CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Cnotes53

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MONDAY, JANUARY 16
BOS at CHA01:00 PMCHA +8.5
O 230.5
+500 +500
IND at MIL02:30 PMIND +6.0
O 229.5
+500 +500
GS at WAS03:00 PMWAS +3.5
O 234.5
+500 +500
NO at CLE03:00 PMNO +7.0
O 222.5
+500 +500
TOR at NY03:00 PMNY -2.5
U 218.0
+500 +500
MIA at ATL03:30 PMMIA -1.0
U 222.5
+500 +500
UTA at MIN04:00 PMMIN -2.0
O 234.5
+500 +500
PHO at MEM06:00 PMMEM -10.5
U 229.0
+500 +500
HOU at LAL10:30 PMLAL -5.5
O 235.5
+500 +500
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Some teams with best continuity in college basketball:
1) Tulane
3) Purdue
6) Stanford
9) Virginia
14) North Carolina
15) Cal-Santa Barbara

Quote of the Day
“You can’t let a guy like him go. There’s always some new, exciting kid that has potential to go out there and be great. But this is a business of ‘for sures’ and ‘knowns,’ and you know who Lamar Jackson is. I think it’s in the best interest of the Ravens organization to give him a long-term contract and make him ‘the guy.'”
Ravens defensive end Calais Campbell

Tuesday’s quiz
Before Monday night, the last time Dallas won a road playoff game was 30 years ago, in San Francisco; who was the 49ers’ quarterback in that game?

Monday’s quiz
Michael Vick played his college football at Virginia Tech.

Sunday’s quiz
When Don Shula won his 325th win as an NFL coach back in 1993, Jaguars’ coach Doug Pederson played some QB for the Dolphins that day.

************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

Cowboys 31, Buccaneers 14
First time in 30 years Dallas won a road playoff game.
Cowboys’ first two drives: 6 plays, minus-5 yards, no first downs
Cowboys’ next six drives: 58 plays, 404 yards, five TD’s
Dallas K Maher missed four of five PAT’s
Cowboys play the 49ers in Santa Clara Sunday night.

— I’m a little surprised that QB Lamar Jackson didn’t go to Cincinnati for the Ravens’ playoff game. Will be interesting to follow his contract situation with the Ravens this off-season.

— Arizona Cardinals hired Monti Ossenfort as their new GM; he had been the Tennessee Titans’ director of player personnel. His first job in Arizona is to hire a new head coach.

Ossenfort also spent 15 with the New England Patriots, starting as a scout and eventually climbing to be the team’s director of college scouting- he has four Super Bowl rings.

— Illinois’ basketball team is going to get a mid-season boost by adding two foreign players; Zacharie Perrin, a 6-10 forward from France, and Niccolo Moretti, a point guard from Italy, who had been playing NBA Global Academy in Australia.

Illinois is 13-5 right now, 4-3 in the Big 14.

— FS1 has San Jose State-New Mexico, a full-access broadcast Tuesday night, which means both coaches will be miked, there will be almost no commercials, and we’ll be able to hear some of the huddles and halftime talks. They do this with Big East games now and then; it is interesting to listen to.

— All-time scoring leaders in college basketball:
3,667— Pete Maravich, LSU— head coach was his dad
3,249— Freeman Williams, Portland State
3,232— Antoine Davis, Detroit Mercy— head coach is his dad
3,225— Chris Clemons, Campbell
3,217— Lionel Simmons, LaSalle
3,165— Alphonso Ford, Mississippi Valley State
3,150— Doug McDermott, Creighton— head coach was his dad

— Nowadays, TV guys routinely preach how it is OK for a kid to play with two fouls in the first half; back when John Chaney was coaching at Temple, he was a big believer at not playing kids when they had two fouls in the first half, and the talking heads nodded their heads— almost no one played kids in that situation 20-25 years ago.

Coaches are mixed in their two-foul strategy; Virginia, UCLA, Kentucky don’t play their guys much with two fouls in first half. Lot of the smaller schools do, maybe because they have less depth than the bigger-name programs.

Purdue 64, Michigan State 63— 7-foot-4 Zach Edey scored half of Purdue’s points; they trailed 57-53 with 3:43 left to play. Other than Edey, Purdue was 9-26, a potential red flag for March.

Middle Tennessee 74, UAB 73 OT— Blazers have lost four of last five games, after starting season 12-2; their last four losses were by 1-2-3-2 points. UAB star Jordan Walker missed their last two games.

Florida Atlantic 76, Western Kentucky 62— FAU has won 16 games in a row; they’re in the top 25 for the first time ever. Owls’ only loss was to Ole Miss back in November.

Rice 88, UTSA 81 OT— Much-improved Owls are 13-5, 4-3 in Conference USA; they trailed this game 43-25 late in first half, 69-57 with 4:10 left in game.

UCSB 73, Cal-Irvine 65— Gauchos post an upset in the Bren Center, creating a 4-way tie for first atop the Big West standings, with Cal-Riverside/Hawai’i.

Villanova 77, Georgetown 73— Hoyas have now lost 28 Big East games in a row.

— Boston Red Sox added C Jorge Alfaro to a minor-league deal; he’ll make their roster and split time with Reese McGuire behind the plate. Alfaro has been in the majors the last seven years, hitting .256 for three teams (Phillies-Marlins-Padres).
 

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MILWAUKEE is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is 8-0 Over (8 Units) off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 2 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 107-150 ATS (-58 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season.




NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, January 17


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NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 17


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TORONTO (20 - 24) at MILWAUKEE (28 - 16) - 1/17/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 101-135 ATS (-47.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (27 - 15) at SAN ANTONIO (13 - 31) - 1/17/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 53-72 ATS (-26.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
BROOKLYN is 31-54 ATS (-28.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1225-1093 ATS (+22.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 620-535 ATS (+31.5 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 170-131 ATS (+25.9 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 418-348 ATS (+35.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 443-371 ATS (+34.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 192-150 ATS (+27.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 346-286 ATS (+31.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 206-160 ATS (+30.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 92-63 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-0 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (21 - 22) at DENVER (30 - 13) - 1/17/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 54-69 ATS (-21.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 144-183 ATS (-57.3 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
PORTLAND is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 63-83 ATS (-28.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 8-7 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 11-5 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
11 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (27 - 16) at LA CLIPPERS (23 - 22) - 1/17/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 119-154 ATS (-50.4 Units) against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Tuesday, January 17


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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Toronto @ Milwaukee
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 12 games when playing Toronto

Brooklyn @ San Antonio
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
San Antonio
San Antonio is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 13 of San Antonio's last 15 games

Portland @ Denver
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ LA Clippers
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of LA Clippers's last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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TUESDAY, JANUARY 17
TOR at MIL07:30 PMMIL -1.0
U 221.5
+500 +500
BK at SA08:00 PMSA +4.0
O 229.5
+500 +500
POR at DEN09:00 PMPOR +6.0
O 237.0
+500 +500
PHI at LAC10:00 PMPHI +1.5
O 223.0
+500 +500
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Kansas State 83, Kansas 82 OT— Wildcats are most improved team in country.
Iowa State 78, Texas 67— Cyclones are in 3-way tie for first atop the Big X.
Wake Forest 87, Clemson 77— Tigers’ first ACC loss this season (7-1).
Belmont 80, Murray State 65— Belmont has won eight of its last nine games.
Boise State 77, Nevada 62— Broncos lead Mountain West by half-game.
Tennessee 70, Mississippi State 59— Vols are 15-3, 5-1 in SEC games.

Quote of the Day
“When life gives you lemons, make lemonade.”
Dale Carnegie

Wednesday’s quiz
When was the last time a team from the Big Ten Conference won the national title in college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
Before Monday night, the last time Dallas won a road playoff game was 30 years ago, in San Francisco; Steve Young was the 49ers’ quarterback in that game.

Monday’s quiz
Michael Vick played his college football at Virginia Tech.

**************************

Wednesday’s Den: NBA trends…….

NBA trends (thru Monday, January 16)

Hawks (22-22)
:
— won last three games SU.
— 2-6 ATS last eight as home favorite
— under 4-1 last five games

Celtics (33-12):
— won last seven games SU (5-2 ATS)
— 3-6 ATS last nine games as a home favorite
— over 16-6 at home

Nets (27-15):
— 2-3 SU last five games (1-4 ATS).
— 8-3 ATS last 11 as a home favorite
— under 5-0 in their last five road games.

Hornets (11-34):
— 1-8 last nine games SU (2-7 ATS).
— 5-16 ATS at home
— over 9-4 last 13 road games

Bulls (20-24)
— lost three of last four games SU.
— 6-1 ATS last seven home games.
— over 8-3 last eleven home games

Cavaliers (28-17):
— won six of last nine games SU
— 2-5 ATS last seven road games.
— over 5-2 last seven home games

Mavericks (24-21):
— 1-4 SU last five games.
— 4-1ATS last five as home favorites.
— over 4-1 last five home games

Nuggets (30-13):
—won last six games SU (4-1-1 ATS).
— 5-8 ATS as road favorites
— under 4-1 last five road games

Pistons (12-35):
— 1-5 SU/ATS last six games.
— 4-11 ATS last fifteen games
— over 6-1 in their last seven road games.

Warriors (22-22):
— lost four of last six games SU
— 1-5 ATS last six as a home favorite; 3-8 ATS as road favorite.
— over 12-0 last 12 road games; under 8-2 last ten home games.

Rockets (10-34):
— 0-11 SU/1-10 ATS in last eleven games
— 0-7 ATS last seven road games
— over 4-1-1 last six road games

Pacers (23-22):
— 1-3 SU last four games; 1-4 ATS last five
— 5-1 ATS last six as a home underdog
— over 8-3 last eleven games

Clippers (23-22):
— 2-7 SU/3-6 ATS last nine games
— 6-2 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
— under 20-3-1 in Staples Center.

Lakers (20-24):
— 1-3 last four games SU/7-2 ATS last nine
— 6-3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— over 8-3 last 11 road games

Grizzlies (30-13):
— 11-0 SU/8-3 ATS last 11 games.
— 5-1 ATS last six road games
— over 6-0-1 last seven games

Heat (24-21):
— won three of last four games SU.
— 3-1-1 ATS last five home games
— under 6-2 last eight home games.

Bucks (28-16):
— 8-3 ATS last 11 home games
— 3-6 ATS last nine road games.
— over 10-2 last 12 home games.

Timberwolves (22-23)
— 6-2 last eight games SU.
— underdogs covered 8 of their last 10 home games
— over 5-1 last six road games

Pelicans (26-18):
— 1-4 SU in their last five games.
— 1-8 ATS last nine games as road underdog
— over 6-3 last nine road games

Knicks (25-20):
— 7-2 SU last nine games
— 2-6 ATS last eight home games.
— over 7-2 last nine home games

Thunder (21-23):
— 5-1 SU/6-0 ATS last six games.
— 7-2 ATS last nine home games overall.
— over 7-1 last eight games

Magic (16-28):
— 4-1 ATS last five games overall.
— 13-6 ATS as home underdog
— over 5-1 last six home games.

76ers (27-16):
— won seven of last games SU, last two by one point each.
— 4-0 ATS as home underdog, 3-5 as road dogs.
— over 9-3 last 12 games

Suns (21-24):
— 1-9 SU/3-7 ATS last ten games
— 6-9 ATS as an underdog.
— under 5-2 last seven home games

Trailblazers (21-22):
— won last two games SU, after a 1-6 skid
— 1-6 ATS last seven games as road underdogs.
— over 3-0 last three games

Kings (24-18):
— won/covered their last four games
— 5-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— five of last six home games went over.

Spurs (13-31):
— 1-8 SU/6-3 ATS last nine games
— 5-2 ATS last seven home games.
— over 12-2-1 last fifteen games

Raptors (20-24):
— won/covered four of last five games.
— 1-5-1 ATS as a road favorite
— over 4-0 last four road games

Jazz (23-24):
— 3-1 SU last four games/4-1 ATS last five games.
— 1-5 ATS last six as a home favorite
— over 12-3 last 15 road games

Wizards (18-26):
— lost five of last six games SU.
— 3-5-1 ATS last nine home games.
— over 7-2 last nine home games.
 

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ATLANTA is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 in the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season.

HOUSTON is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) after 7 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 7-0 Under (7 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the current season.

CLEVELAND is 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

UTAH is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the current season.

DENVER is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games off a home win in the current season.

Mike Brown is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents.
 

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NBA

Wednesday, January 18


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Trend Report
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Washington @ New York
Washington
Washington is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against New York
Washington is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
New York is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
New York is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

Atlanta @ Dallas
Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games at home

Indiana @ Oklahoma City
Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games

Cleveland @ Memphis
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Miami @ New Orleans
Miami
Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing Miami
New Orleans is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

Charlotte @ Houston
Charlotte
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home

LA Clippers @ Utah
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 12 of LA Clippers's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah
Utah is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games

Minnesota @ Denver
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Sacramento @ LA Lakers
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home


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Long Sheet

Wednesday, January 18


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ATLANTA (22 - 22) at DALLAS (24 - 21) - 1/18/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 58-73 ATS (-22.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 123-160 ATS (-53.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 239-190 ATS (+30.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (18 - 26) at NEW YORK (25 - 20) - 1/18/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 51-71 ATS (-27.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 24-38 ATS (-17.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (11 - 34) at HOUSTON (10 - 34) - 1/18/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 17-27 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 70-101 ATS (-41.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 238-287 ATS (-77.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 34-60 ATS (-32.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 26-54 ATS (-33.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (24 - 21) at NEW ORLEANS (26 - 18) - 1/18/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (28 - 17) at MEMPHIS (30 - 13) - 1/18/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 36-59 ATS (-28.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 338-404 ATS (-106.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 81-52 ATS (+23.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games this season.
MEMPHIS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MEMPHIS is 226-167 ATS (+42.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (23 - 22) at OKLAHOMA CITY (21 - 23) - 1/18/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (23 - 23) at UTAH (23 - 24) - 1/18/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTAH is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 7-7 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 8-7 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (22 - 23) at DENVER (31 - 13) - 1/18/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 203-253 ATS (-75.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (24 - 18) at LA LAKERS (20 - 24) - 1/18/2023, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA LAKERS are 89-112 ATS (-34.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 5-5 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 6-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 18
WAS at NY07:30 PMWAS +5.0
O 224.5
+500 +500
ATL at DAL07:30 PMDAL -2.5
U 233.0
+500 +500
IND at OKC08:00 PMOKC -3.5
O 238.5
+500 +500
MIA at NO08:00 PMNO +3.5
U 219.5
+500 +500
CHA at HOU08:00 PMCHA -2.5
O 236.5
+500 +500
CLE at MEM08:00 PMMEM -7.5
U 227.5
+500 +500
LAC at UTA09:00 PMLAC +8.5
O 228.5
+500 +500
MIN at DEN10:00 PMDEN -9.5
U 239.0
+500 +500
SAC at LAL10:30 PMLAL +2.0
O 246.5
+500 +500
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack
Highest scoring college hoop teams:
86.9— Gonzaga
86.1— Southern Utah
85.1— UAB
85.0— James Madison/Youngstown State
84.9— Cornell
84.8— Arizona/Toledo

Quote of the Day
“I worship the dirt she treats me like.”
Herb Tarlek, from the old TV show WKRP in Cincinnati

Thursday’s quiz
Vikings’ QB Kirk Cousins started his NFL career with what team?

Wednesday’s quiz
Last time a team from the Big Ten Conference won the national title in college basketball was in 2000, when Michigan State won.

Tuesday’s quiz
Before Monday night, the last time Dallas won a road playoff game was 30 years ago, in San Francisco; Steve Young was the 49ers’ quarterback in that game.

*********************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

— Since 2007, there have been six games in this round of the NFL playoffs where divisional rivals faced off:

2007— Giants (+7.5) 21, Dallas 17
2008— Eagles (+4) 23, Giants 11
2010— Steelers (-3.5) 31, Ravens 24
2010— Jets (+9) 28, Patriots 21
2013— Broncos (-8) 24, Chargers 11
2020— Buccaneers (+7.5) 30, Saints 20

Underdogs were 4-2 SU/ATS in those games.

— Chargers lost 31-30 in Jacksonville Saturday, so of course they fired their offensive coordinator this week, because scoring 30 points in a playoff game isn’t good enough.

Understood that they blew a 27-0 lead in that game, but Justin Herbert played thru fractured rib cartilage this year and the Chargers made the playoffs. Not sure why a scapegoat was needed, but it’ll be interesting to see who the new OC is.

— Tampa Bay Buccaneers are firing OC Byron Leftwich, two years after they won the Super Bowl; maybe they shouldn’t have had a 45-year old QB playing behind a banged-up offensive line. If Brady retires or bolts to the Raiders, it is unclear where Tampa Bay turns for a QB.

— Kansas City Chiefs are 8.5-point favorites this week over Jacksonville; they’ve been favored now in their last 14 playoff games, a record during the Super Bowl era.

— Tennessee Titans hired Ran Carthon as their new GM, which means the 49ers will get a 3rd round pick in April’s draft, because Carthon is a minority hire. Carthan was San Francisco’s director of player personnel when the 49ers moved up to draft QB Trey Lance; would he trade for Lance now, with Brock Purdy making his case to being the 49ers’ QB going forward?

— Jacksonville Jaguars signed QB Nathan Rourke to a futures’ contract; Rourke went to college at Ohio U— he played in the Canadian League the last two seasons.

— TCU hired Kendal Briles as its new offensive coordinator; he replaces Garrett Riley, who bolted to Clemson last week. Briles had been at Arkansas the last three years.

— LSU QB Walker Howard transferred to Ole Miss; Boise State QB Hank Bachmeier is leaving to play for Louisiana Tech. Bachmeier played in 29 games at Boise; he still has two years of eligibility left.

— Baseball stuff:
Red Sox gave OF Adam Duvall a one-year, $7M contract.
Mets gave OF Tommy Pham a one-year, $6M deal
Brewers gave IF/OF Brian Anderson a one-year, $3.5M deal, which is interesting because the Brewers’ TV play-by-play guy is also named Brian Anderson.

— There are still eight college basketball programs where the most points a player ever scored against them were scored by Pete Maravich.

Missouri 79, Arkansas 76
Arkansas led by 10 with 5:07 left to play.
Mizzou was 30-40 on foul line, Arkansas 23-26
Razorbacks have lost 5 of last 6 games, after an 11-1 start.

Seton Hall 67, UConn 66
Pirates scored on a cutback with 0:02 left for the win.
UConn has lost 5 of 6 games, after a 14-0 start.
UConn coach Hurley (COVID) missed this game.
Huskies led this game 37-20 late in first half.

Marquette 83, Providence 75
Marquette scored 1.26 points/possession, avenging an earlier loss to Providence when the Friars took 49 foul shots.

Oklahoma State 72, Oklahoma 56— Cowboys outscored Oklahoma 48-26 in second half.

Nebraska 63, Ohio State 60— Buckeyes have lost five games in a row, after a 10-3 start.

Whats the deal with these teams going in the ashcan this month? Are teams more fragile now because they mostly haven’t been together as long as in previous eras.

San Diego State 82, Colorado State 76 OT— Colorado State led by 9 with 15:43 left in game, but let it slip away. Aztecs are tied with Boise State atop the Mountain West.

DePaul 73, Xavier 72— Blue Demons snapped Xavier’s 11-game winning streak

Pitt 75, Louisville 54— Never thought I’d see the day where Louisville is 2-17 and Georgetown is 5-14, but here we are.
 

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DETROIT is 41-24 ATS (14.6 Units) off a home loss in the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 10-0 Over (10 Units) when playing their 4th road game in 7 days over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 182-232 ATS (-73.2 Units) in home games as a dog since 1996.

PHOENIX is 21-8 ATS (12.2 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

Doc Rivers is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days (Coach of PHILADELPHIA)




NBA

Thursday, January 19


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chicago @ Detroit
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Chicago

Golden State @ Boston
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Toronto @ Minnesota
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Toronto

Brooklyn @ Phoenix
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Phoenix's last 12 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ Portland
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
Portland
Portland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
Last edited:

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NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, January 19


8xVRuR0.png





NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, January 19


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (20 - 24) at DETROIT (12 - 35) - 1/19/2023, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 106-73 ATS (+25.7 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (22 - 22) at BOSTON (33 - 12) - 1/19/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
BOSTON is 82-64 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 46-32 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-5 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-5 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (20 - 25) at MINNESOTA (22 - 24) - 1/19/2023, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (27 - 16) at PHOENIX (21 - 24) - 1/19/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 53-73 ATS (-27.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 31-55 ATS (-29.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 127-103 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 65-36 ATS (+25.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 92-64 ATS (+21.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (28 - 16) at PORTLAND (21 - 23) - 1/19/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 54-70 ATS (-23.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 38-51 ATS (-18.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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THURSDAY, JANUARY 19
GS at BOS07:30 PMGS +7.0
O 241.5
+500 +500
TOR at MIN08:00 PMMIN +5.5
O 231.5
+500 +500
BK at PHO10:00 PMBK -3.0
O 220.5
+500 +500
PHI at POR10:00 PMPHI -2.0
O 233.5
+500 +500
 

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Friday’s 6-pack
Highest-paid players in NBA this year:
$48,070,014— Steph Curry
$47,063,478— Russell Westbrook
$44,474,988— Lebron James
$44,119,845— Kevin Durant
$43,279,250— Bradley Beal
$42,492,492— Damian Lillard

Quote of the Day
“Do you know something? I respect the rules. It’s so disrespectful that the tournament has us out here until 3 or 4 o’clock in the morning and we’re not allowed to go and take a piss. It’s a joke.”
Tennis player Andy Murray, who wasn’t allowed to take a bathroom break during his 5-set match this week, which took 5 hours, 50 minutes to finish

Friday’s quiz
Of the eight starting QB’s in this weekend’s NFL playoffs, how many have started a Super Bowl?

Thursday’s quiz
Vikings’ QB Kirk Cousins started his NFL career with Washington in 2012.

Wednesday’s quiz
Last time a team from the Big Ten Conference won the national title in college basketball was in 2000, when Michigan State won.

*******************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

LMU 68, Gonzaga 67— 15-point underdog Lions post a big upset; they’re 4-3 in WCC now. Gonzaga had three WCC wins by 5 or fewer points, but they were all on the road. Gonzaga had won 75 home games in a row.

Indiana 80, Illinois 65— 7-point underdog Hoosiers pull the upset; Trayce Jackson-Davis scored 35 points, with 9 rebounds, 5 assists. Indiana is just 3-4 in conference play. Loss snaps a 4-game winning streak for Illinois.

Maryland 64, Michigan 58— Terps avenged an 81-46 loss to Michigan on New Year’s Day. Wolverines are struggling, 5-7 in their last 12 games.

James Madison 89, Troy 87 OT— Troy shot 65% inside arc, but turned ball over 21 times in a foul-fest; JMU was 26-36 on foul line, Troy 22-32.

Sun Belt conference tournament is going to be great; right now, four teams are 5-2, three others are 4-3 atop the Sun Belt standings. Wide-open league.

Northern Kentucky 57, Cleveland State 56— Marques Warrick hit a 3-pointer at the buzzer to send the fans home happy. Plus, it was Warrick’s birthday, so a big night for him.

— Is it me, or are more NFL assistant coaches getting fired this year? Seems like lot of teams are getting rid of large chucks of their coaching staff:

Dolphins fired DC Josh Boyer and three other defensive assistants.

Ravens dumped OC Greg Roman after four years on the job, adding intrigue to the Lamar Jackson situation. Jackson missed Baltimore’s last six games this year, their last four games last year. Unclear to me how that merits a coaching change.

Baltimore’s GM claims that they don’t want to trade Jackson; we’ll see.

Vikings fired DC Ed Donatell after only one season on the job, one where Minnesota went 13-5

Browns replaced DC Joe Woods with former Lions HC Jim Schwartz.

Chargers fired their OC and their QB coach, after losing a playoff game 31-30.

Rams let six assistant coaches go after a 5-12 season; two others had already left for other jobs.

You get the idea; more coaches will move when all the head coaching openings get filled.

— Read today where someone bid $6B for the Washington Commanders, that’s billion, with a B.

NFL doesn’t want Daniel Snyder around anymore, but if/when if he leaves, he’s going to leave with a hell of a lot more $$$ than he came in with.

— AFC teams will have 9 home games, 8 road games next year; AFC teams will be the “home” teams for the five games to be played in Europe.

Bills, Jaguars, Chiefs, Patriots, Titans will have “home” games in Europe next year.

— Seattle Mariners signed 2B Tommy LaStella, who played only 76 innings in the field for the Giants last year, in an injury-riddled season. Giants are still paying the great majority of his $11M salary.

— Kansas City Royals gave P Aroldis Chapman a one-year, $3.75M deal. Chapman had a 4.46 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP last year; not good.

— Notre Dame basketball coach Mike Brey is leaving the school after this season, his 23rd year at the school. Notre Dame is 9-10 this year, 1-7 in ACC; they were 24-11 last year, 11-15 the year before. They’ve made NCAA Tournament once since 2017.

— NBA teams who do the best/worst ATS on second night of a back/back:
Wizards 6-1
Bucks 5-1-1
Bulls 6-2
Celtics 4-1-2
76ers/Raptors 5-2

Mavericks 2-7-1
Suns 1-5
Knicks 1-3-1
Pelicans 2-4
Clippers 3-5
 
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