CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

04/25/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+900	Detail
04/24/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
04/23/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
04/22/2023	4-3-1	56.25%	+350	Detail
04/21/2023	5-1-0	83.33%	+1950	Detail
04/20/2023	5-1-0	83.33%	+1950	Detail
04/19/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+900	Detail
04/18/2023	2-4-0	33.33%	-1200	Detail
04/17/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
04/16/2023	3-5-0	37.50%	-1250	Detail
04/15/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
04/14/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
04/12/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
04/11/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

04/25/2023........................3 - 1...................75.00%........................ ....+ 9.50
04/24/2023........................1 - 3...................25.00%........................ ....- 11.50
04/23/2023........................4 - 2...................66.66%........................ .....+ 9.00
04/22/2023........................3 - 2..................60.00%......................... ....+ 4.00
04/21/2023........................3 - 1..................75.00%......................... ....+ 9.50
04/20/2023........................4 - 1..................80.00%......................... ...+14.50
04/19/2023........................2 - 1..................66.66%......................... ...+ 4.50
04/18/2023........................1 - 3..................25.00%......................... ...- 11.50
04/17/2023........................0 - 2..................00.00%......................... ..- 11.00
04/16/2023........................3 - 4..................42.85%......................... ....- 7.00
04/15/2023........................3 - 1..................75.00%......................... ....+ 9.50
04/14/2023........................0 - 3..................00.00%......................... ...- 16.50
04/12/2023........................3 - 1..................75.00%......................... .....+ 9.50
04/11/2023........................2 - 1..................66.66%........ .....................+ 4.50

TOTAL,...........................32 - 26.................55.17%....................... ..... + 17.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

04/25/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-400	Detail
04/24/2023	5-2-0	71.43%	+1600	Detail
04/23/2023	3-5-0	37.50%	-1175	Detail
04/22/2023	3-5-0	37.50%	-1300	Detail
04/21/2023	6-2-0	75.00%	+2100	Detail
04/20/2023	8-0-0	100.00%	+4050	Detail
04/19/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+300	Detail
04/18/2023	4-4-0	50.00%	-725	Detail
04/17/2023	4-4-0	50.00%	-510	Detail
04/14/2023	3-0-1	87.50%	+1500	Detail
04/13/2023	14-13-3	51.67%	-650	Detail
04/12/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+950	Detail
04/11/2023	9-11-0	45.00%	-4000	Detail
04/10/2023	7-12-1	37.50%	-4245	Detail
04/09/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
04/08/2023	20-11-1	64.06%	+3375	Detail
04/06/2023	16-12-0	57.14%	+1900	Detail
04/05/2023	5-1-0	83.33%	+2000	Detail
04/04/2023	13-9-0	59.09%	+25	Detail
04/03/2023	2-3-1	41.67%	-675	Detail
04/02/2023	11-6-1	63.89%	+2750	Detail
04/01/2023	13-13-0	50.00%	-375	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday’s 6-pack

Fewest plays of 20+ yards last season:

43— Giants

46— Rams

49— Cardinals

50— Colts

51— Ravens

52— Saints, Steelers




Quote of the Day

“(Jalen) Carter is clearly a complicated prospect……..In mid-March, he pleaded no contest to misdemeanor charges of reckless driving and racing……..he was sentenced to 12 months of probation and 80 hours of community service………he also showed up at his pro day nine pounds heavier than he was at the NFL combine, and he couldn’t finish the position drills……On the field, he is a fantastic prospect.”

Mel Kiper Jr, draft expert




Wednesday’s quiz

Before he was a pro wrestler and later an actor, Dwayne (The Rock) Johnson played college football. He was a defensive lineman at Miami, FL.




Tuesday’s quiz

Before he was a pro wrestler and later an actor, Dwayne (The Rock) Johnson played college football. He was a defensive lineman at Miami, FL.




Monday’s quiz

Last time the Detroit Lions won a playoff game, Troy Aikman was the other team’s quarterback, way back in 1991. Lions beat Dallas 38-6 that day.


***************************************
Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings………

— NFL teams use a thing called the S2 cognitive test to help evaluate quarterbacks in the draft; there are nine parts to it, which are graded separately, kind of like the SAT test we took in high school.

The measurements used in each section include a quarterback’s ability to track multiple objects, make complex decisions, and filter through if/then scenarios with different defensive scenarios — with an ability to improvise.

Someone released the scores from this year’s QB’s; Alabama’s Bryce Young, Fresno State’s Jake Haener did the best. NFL teams are all worth $4B or so each; not sure I’d choose the most important player for my $4B franchise because of his score on a cognitive test.

I have no freakin’ idea if these tests can predict NFL success; I’m thinking studying game film might work better, but the draft is a fascinating process and later this week, we’ll learn a lot more about all that stuff.

— 242 players declared for this year’s NBA Draft, down from 283 players last year, 353 the year before that. There are 48 international players in this year’s draft.

Here’s the thing: the NBA Draft is only two rounds. This year’s draft will have only 58 players taken, so 184 kids are going to be disappointed.

College players who withdraw from the draft and want to be eligible in college next fall must withdraw by Wednesday, May 31.

— Suns 136, Clippers 130— Phoenix wins series 4-1, advances to play……..

— Nuggets 112, Timberwolves 109— Jokic had 28 points, 17 rounds, 12 assists. Denver wins their series, also by 4-1 margin.

— Hawks 119, Celtics 117— Trae Young scored 38 points, dished out 13 assists. Boston still leads the series, 3-2, but they led this game by 10 after the third quarter, couldn’t close the series out.

— NBA playoff series are too long; no team has ever been down 3-0 in a series and won it; only three times ever have been down 3-0 and forced a Game 7. Series should be best-of-5.

— Good news/bad news for the Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday:
Good news— Pirates signed OF Bryan Reynolds to an 8-year, $106.75M contract, the biggest contract in Pirates’ history.

Bad news— Pirates led 7-3 after five innings, lost 8-7 at home to the Dodgers.

— Reds 7, Rangers 6— Texas led 6-1 in 8th inning, but Reds exploded for six runs in the bottom of the 8th; Jonathan India’s 2-run single was the game-winner.

— Giants 5, Cardinals 4— Blake Sabol hit a 2-run, walk-off homer in the bottom of the 9th; Giants scored three runs in the 9th, dropping St Louis to a disappointing 9-15 mark.

— Nationals 5, Mets 0— Mets played 17 of their first 23 games on the road; now they play 10 of their next 13 games at Citi Field.

— Astros 5, Rays 0— Tampa Bay finally loses a home game, after starting the season 14-0 at home. Luis Garcia tossed six shutout innings for Houston.

— Aaron Rodgers will wear number 8 with the Jets, the same number he wore in college with the Cal Bears. Jets retired #12 for Joe Namath a long time ago; Namath said Rodgers could wear number 12 if he wanted to, but Rodgers is smarter than that— don’t mess with a legend.

— Cincinnati Bengals picked up QB Joe Burrow’s 5th-year option; he’ll make at least $29.4M in 2024, unless they work out a much more lucrative deal before then.

— College quarterback happenings:
TCU lands experienced QB Chance Nolan from Oregon State; Nolan started 20 games for the Beavers, but left because Oregon State landed Clemson QB DJ Uiagalelei in the transfer portal.

Notre Dame QB Tyler Buchner entered the transfer portal; Notre Dame landed Wake Forest QB Sam Hartman in the portal, and these days, if a QB ain’t startin’, he’ll likely be departin’

 

[Udog]

CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

MEMPHIS are 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) off 2 or more consecutive home wins in the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 10-29 ATS (-21.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, April 26

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, April 26

MIAMI (48 - 40) at MILWAUKEE (59 - 27) - 4/26/2023, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 34-52 ATS (-23.2 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 45-37 ATS (+4.3 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 228-293 ATS (-94.3 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 270-324 ATS (-86.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 9-9 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 11-8 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
12 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


NEW YORK (50 - 36) at CLEVELAND (52 - 34) - 4/26/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 37-27 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 48-35 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games this season.
NEW YORK is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) against Central division opponents this season.
NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
NEW YORK is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games after allowing 100 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 42-64 ATS (-28.4 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 9-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 8-6 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


LA LAKERS (47 - 40) at MEMPHIS (52 - 34) - 4/26/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 97-78 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 79-64 ATS (+8.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 68-49 ATS (+14.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 56-33 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) against Southwest division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 8-6 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 9-5 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


GOLDEN STATE (46 - 40) at SACRAMENTO (50 - 36) - 4/26/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 12-30 ATS (-21.0 Units) in road games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 12-30 ATS (-21.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games in the second half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SACRAMENTO is 49-37 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 48-37 ATS (+7.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 42-32 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 159-119 ATS (+28.1 Units) in April games since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 78-108 ATS (-40.8 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 9-6 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 11-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NBA

Wednesday, April 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New York @ Cleveland
New York
New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
New York is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing New York

LA Lakers @ Memphis
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of LA Lakers's last 12 games when playing on the road against Memphis
LA Lakers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Memphis's last 12 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Memphis is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home

Miami @ Milwaukee
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games

Golden State @ Sacramento
Golden State
Golden State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Sacramento
Golden State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Sacramento
Sacramento is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 26

NY at CLE	07:00 PM	NY +5.5 U 202.5	+500 +500
LAL at MEM	07:30 PM	MEM -4.0 U 222.0	+500 +500
MIA at MIL	09:30 PM	MIA +11.5 O 219.5	+500 +500
GS at SAC	10:00 PM	GS -1.5 O 235.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Streak SurvivorProfile

Apr 26, 2023	NBA	Golden State Sacramento	- -	10:00 PM	GS -1.5

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Apr 26, 2023	NBA	Golden State Sacramento	123 116	GS -1.5	Win
Apr 25, 2023	MLB	Oakland LA Angels	3 5	Over 9.0	Loss
Apr 24, 2023	MLB	Texas Cincinnati	6 7	TEX -112	Loss
Apr 23, 2023	NBA	Boston Atlanta	129 121	BOS -6.0	Win
Apr 22, 2023	MLB	St. Louis Seattle	4 5	Under 7.5	Loss
Apr 21, 2023	MLB	NY Mets San Francisco	7 0	NYM +103	Win
Apr 20, 2023	MLB	Minnesota Boston	5 11	Over 9.0	Win
Apr 19, 2023	NBA	L.A. Lakers Memphis	93 103	MEM -1.0	Win
Apr 18, 2023	NBA	Atlanta Boston	106 119	BOS -10.0	Win
Apr 17, 2023	MLB	LA Angels Boston	5 4	Under 8.5	Loss
Apr 16, 2023	NBA	L.A. Lakers Memphis	128 112	Over 228.0	Win
Apr 15, 2023	MLB	Tampa Bay Toronto	2 5	TOR -113	Win
Apr 14, 2023	MLB	Tampa Bay Toronto	3 6	TOR +115	Win
Apr 13, 2023	MLB	Milwaukee San Diego	4 3	Under 9.0	Win

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

04/26/2023	8-0-0	100.00%	+4000	Detail
04/25/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+900	Detail
04/24/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
04/23/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
04/22/2023	4-3-1	56.25%	+350	Detail
04/21/2023	5-1-0	83.33%	+1950	Detail
04/20/2023	5-1-0	83.33%	+1950	Detail
04/19/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+900	Detail
04/18/2023	2-4-0	33.33%	-1200	Detail
04/17/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
04/16/2023	3-5-0	37.50%	-1250	Detail
04/15/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
04/14/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
04/12/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
04/11/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
04/09/2023	19-11-0	63.33%	+3450	Detail
04/08/2023	5-1-0	83.33%	+1950	Detail
04/07/2023	10-12-0	45.45%	-1600	Detail
04/06/2023	2-8-0	20.00%	-3400	Detail
04/05/2023	9-6-1	59.38%	+1200	Detail
04/04/2023	12-13-1	48.08%	-1150	Detail
04/02/2023	11-15-0	42.31%	-2750	Detail
04/01/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

04/26/2023........................6 - 0.................100.00%......................... ..+ 30.00
04/25/2023........................3 - 1...................75.00%........................ ....+ 9.50
04/24/2023........................1 - 3...................25.00%........................ ....- 11.50
04/23/2023........................4 - 2...................66.66%........................ .....+ 9.00
04/22/2023........................3 - 2..................60.00%......................... ....+ 4.00
04/21/2023........................3 - 1..................75.00%......................... ....+ 9.50
04/20/2023........................4 - 1..................80.00%......................... ...+14.50
04/19/2023........................2 - 1..................66.66%......................... ...+ 4.50
04/18/2023........................1 - 3..................25.00%......................... ...- 11.50
04/17/2023........................0 - 2..................00.00%......................... ..- 11.00
04/16/2023........................3 - 4..................42.85%......................... ....- 7.00
04/15/2023........................3 - 1..................75.00%......................... ....+ 9.50
04/14/2023........................0 - 3..................00.00%......................... ...- 16.50
04/12/2023........................3 - 1..................75.00%......................... .....+ 9.50
04/11/2023........................2 - 1..................66.66%........ .....................+ 4.50

TOTAL,...........................38 - 26.................59.37%....................... ..... + 47.00

 

[THE ONLY ONE]

Nice playoff run Cnotes :toast:

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in OPS:
1.138— Brandon Marsh, Phil
1.129— Max Muncy, LA
1.105— Matt Chapman, Tor
1.065— Jarred Kelenic, Sea
1.058— James Outman, LA
1.035— Luis Arraez, Miami

Quote of the Day
“I didn’t even know what to do when [the fans] started chanting my name. I wasn’t sure if I was supposed to take off my helmet. … I was trying to focus on the at-bat but also trying to really enjoy the moment, too. There was a lot going on in my mind. It was the coolest thing I could ever imagine. It was the coolest thing that’s ever happened to me.”
Drew Maggi, on his first major league at-bat, after 13 years in the minors

Thursday’s quiz
Of the 16 NFC teams, how many of their current starting quarterbacks have started a Super Bowl?

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Any Given Sunday, Al Pacino plays the coach of the Miami Sharks; Dennis Quaid and Jamie Foxx are two of his quarterbacks. Cameron Diaz plays the owner of the Sharks.

Tuesday’s quiz
Before he was a pro wrestler and later an actor, Dwayne (The Rock) Johnson played college football. He was a defensive lineman at Miami, FL.



*************************************************


Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

— Heat 128, Bucks 126 OT
Milwaukee led by 16 after the third quarter.
Jimmy Butler scored 42 points for Miami.
Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 38 points, had 20 rebounds, but was 10-23 on foul line.
First time since 2012 a #8-seed beat a #1-seed in the playoffs.

— Warriors 123, Kings 116
Golden State wins third straight game, leads series 3-2.
Draymond Green scored 21 off the bench, was +13 in 32:00.
De’Aaron Fox was only 9-25 from the floor.

— Knicks 106, Cavaliers 95
Knicks win a playoff series for first time in ten years.
Donovan Mitchell’s teams are 2-13 ATS in their last 15 playoff games.

— Grizzlies 116, Lakers 99
Lakers’ subs were a combined minus-97
Desmond Bane scored 33 points, Ja Morant 31.
Memphis was +26 in the 18:00 Luke Kennard played.

— Houston Rockets hired Ime Udoka as their new head coach; Udoka went 65-41 in his one year coaching the Celtics, losing in the NBA Finals, but then he got suspended by Boston for off-court reasons.

Now he gets a second chance with a franchise that, over the last three years went 59-177 since they stupidly fired Mike D’Antoni.

— If you like the NBA, I highly recommend going to the NBA Summer League in Las Vegas; this year, it is July 7-17 at UNLV.

There are several games every day, in two arenas; it is fun to watch guys who were great college players fighting like hell just to get invited to NBA training camps. Excellent competition.

Plus, if you like meeting famous people, you’ll see your share at the summer league. Team owners, TV broadcasters, current NBA players, lot of them will be there. It is fun, it doesn’t cost so much and the arena has good air conditioning; July in Las Vegas is really, really hot.

— Nationals 4, Mets 1— Washington was 17-59 against their NL East rivals last year; they’re 3-2 so far this year, beating the Mets the last two days.

— Pirates 8, Dodgers 1— After 13 years, 1,154 games and 4,494 plate appearances in the minor leagues, 33-year old Drew Maggi played in his first major league game. Pretty awesome.

It is April 27th and the Pirates are in first place.

— Giants 7, Cardinals 3— St Louis lost seven of its last nine games, is already eight games out of first place. Cardinals are 0-8 in series openers; their 9-15 start is the Cardinals’ worst since 1973.

— Arizona 2, Royals 0— Zac Gallen tossed 6.1 scoreless innings, now has a 28-inning scoreless streak. Gallen had a 44.1-inning scoreless streak last year; he is really good, and the funny thing, he’s been traded twice, from St Louis to Miami, from Miami to Arizona.

Go figure.

— Reds 5, Rangers 3— Cincinnati sweeps the Rangers; Nick Senzel’s walk-off honer won the game. It was the Reds’ first home run in eight games.

— Astros 1, Rays 0— Tampa Bay started the season 20-3, now they’ve been shut out two games in a row. It is a long season; Rays lead the AL East by 3.5 games. Astros are only half a game behind Texas in the AL West.

— San Diego P Blake Snell has averaged 96.2 pitches/start in his five starts this season, but he still hasn’t gotten an out after the fifth inning. Starting pitchers need to finish six innings, to take the strain off their bullpen; five innings per start isn’t enough.

— NFL Draft starts tonight; for the next three days, we’ll look ahead to the fall and see which teams can improve themselves. The draft is a fascinating process; some teams are so much better at it than others. It’ll be fascinating to see how it plays out.

 

[Udog]

ATLANTA is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) after a win by 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, April 27

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 27

BOSTON (60 - 27) at ATLANTA (44 - 44) - 4/27/2023, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
BOSTON is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BOSTON is 47-38 ATS (+5.2 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 44-34 ATS (+6.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BOSTON is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 225-181 ATS (+25.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
ATLANTA is 38-48 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 38-48 ATS (-14.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
ATLANTA is 23-33 ATS (-13.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
ATLANTA is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 40-53 ATS (-18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 9-6 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-6 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons





NBA

Thursday, April 27

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston @ Atlanta
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games on the road
Boston is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, APRIL 27

BOS at ATL	08:30 PM	BOS -6.5 U 232.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

04/27/2023........................1 - 1...................50.00%........................ ...- 0.50
04/26/2023........................6 - 0.................100.00%......................... ..+ 30.00
04/25/2023........................3 - 1...................75.00%........................ ....+ 9.50
04/24/2023........................1 - 3...................25.00%........................ ....- 11.50
04/23/2023........................4 - 2...................66.66%........................ .....+ 9.00
04/22/2023........................3 - 2..................60.00%......................... ....+ 4.00
04/21/2023........................3 - 1..................75.00%......................... ....+ 9.50
04/20/2023........................4 - 1..................80.00%......................... ...+14.50
04/19/2023........................2 - 1..................66.66%......................... ...+ 4.50
04/18/2023........................1 - 3..................25.00%......................... ...- 11.50
04/17/2023........................0 - 2..................00.00%......................... ..- 11.00
04/16/2023........................3 - 4..................42.85%......................... ....- 7.00
04/15/2023........................3 - 1..................75.00%......................... ....+ 9.50
04/14/2023........................0 - 3..................00.00%......................... ...- 16.50
04/12/2023........................3 - 1..................75.00%......................... .....+ 9.50
04/11/2023........................2 - 1..................66.66%........ .....................+ 4.50

TOTAL,..........................39 - 27.................59.09%....................... ..... + 46.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

04/27/2023	1-1-0	50.00%	-50	Detail
04/26/2023	8-0-0	100.00%	+4000	Detail
04/25/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+900	Detail
04/24/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
04/23/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
04/22/2023	4-3-1	56.25%	+350	Detail
04/21/2023	5-1-0	83.33%	+1950	Detail
04/20/2023	5-1-0	83.33%	+1950	Detail
04/19/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+900	Detail
04/18/2023	2-4-0	33.33%	-1200	Detail
04/17/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
04/16/2023	3-5-0	37.50%	-1250	Detail
04/15/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+850	Detail
04/14/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
04/12/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
04/11/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
04/09/2023	19-11-0	63.33%	+3450	Detail
04/08/2023	5-1-0	83.33%	+1950	Detail
04/07/2023	10-12-0	45.45%	-1600	Detail
04/06/2023	2-8-0	20.00%	-3400	Detail
04/05/2023	9-6-1	59.38%	+1200	Detail
04/04/2023	12-13-1	48.08%	-1150	Detail
04/02/2023	11-15-0	42.31%	-2750	Detail
04/01/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack
Single-season NFL record for receiving yards:
1,964— Calvin Johnson, Det 2012
1,947— Cooper Kupp, Rams 2021
1,871— Julio Jones, Atl 2015
1,848— Jerry Rice, SF 1995
1,834— Antonio Brown, Pitt 2015
1,809— Justin Jefferson, Minn 2022

Quote of the Day
“Pittsburgh got a plug-and-play starter at tackle. He didn’t allow a single sack on 446 pass-block snaps for the national champs last season. The Steelers moved up three spots with the Patriots, trading away #120 overall to do it, and these are the types of trades up the board I like. Giving up a 4th-round pick won’t hurt the rest of this team’s haul, which includes two 2nd-round picks. I expect Jones to start in Week 1.”
Mel Kiper Jr, talking about the Steelers taking Broderick Jones with the 14th pick

Friday’s quiz
Jerry Rice holds the all-time NFL record, with 197 receiving TD’s; who is #2 on the list, with 156 receiving TD’s?

Thursday’s quiz
Of the 16 NFC teams, three current starting quarterbacks have started a Super Bowl; Matthew Stafford, Jared Goff, Jalen Hurts.

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Any Given Sunday, Al Pacino plays the coach of the Miami Sharks; Dennis Quaid and Jamie Foxx are two of his quarterbacks. Cameron Diaz plays the owner of the Sharks.

*********************************************************

Friday’s Den: Thoughts after the first round of the NFL Draft

— NFL had big news hours before the draft started; Baltimore Ravens finally signed QB Lamar Jackson, giving him a 5-year, $260M contract, with $185M of it guaranteed.

Not sure what took so long, but now the Ravens can focus on the 2023 season- they even picked a WR with their first draft pick, Zay Flowers from Boston College.

— Last fall during college football season, I don’t remember any analysts praising QB’s and their chances of being NFL stars, other than USC’s Caleb Williams; I’m pretty sure everyone is already touting Williams as an NFL star— he’ll most likely be the first pick in next year’s draft.

But here we are, the first round is over and three of the first four picks in the 2023 draft were quarterbacks. Go figure.

— Carolina has a new coach (Frank Reich) who started a different QB every year when he was coach of the Colts. They have the wealthiest owner in the league (which means he ain’t patient) and now they have a new QB, Bryce Young from Alabama.

Young is the first Alabama player ever to be the first pick of an NFL draft.

Andy Dalton figures to start the season at QB for Carolina, but Young will be the starter before long, because that is what #1 picks do these days. They learn by doing.

— Houston Texans have a new coach, and now CJ Stroud is their new QB; the history of Ohio State quarterbacks in the NFL isn’t great. Stroud threw 85 TD’s, 12 INT’s in college, starting for two years in Columbus.

Texans traded up with Arizona and got the #3 pick too, taking LB Will Anderson from Alabama. Houston is 11-38 the last three seasons; they were bold Thursday night, but they paid a big price.

Arizona got the #12 pick, the #33 pick, and Houston’s 1st/3rd round picks next year.

— Mel Kiper Jr has Kentucky QB Will Levis ranked ahead of Stroud in his ratings, but Levis was surprisingly not taken at all in the first round. Tough night for the young man; ESPN’s cameras kept showing him sitting there, waiting to hear his name called. It wasn’t.

Levis will have a huge chip on his shoulder when he finally is drafted; once upon a time, Miami Dolphins drafted a quarterback after five other QB’s had been taken that year. Guy turned out to be a pretty good player………Dan Marino.

— Indianapolis Colts, Reich’s old team, drafted QB Anthony Richardson from Florida; they have Gardner Minshew to be Richardson’s veteran mentor, but Minshew has started only 24 games in four NFL seasons (8-16 W-L record). Can they afford to let Minshew play the whole year?

Richardson started only 13 college games at Florida; he completed 9-27 passes in his last game and is only 20 years old. QB’s who complete only 53.8% of their passes are usually more suspect than prospect, but he is mobile and new Colts’ coach Shane Steichen worked wonders with Jalen Hurts in Philadelphia, also a mobile QB, albeit a more experienced one.

— Arizona traded out of the #3 pick to the #12 pick, then traded up to the #6 pick, taking OT Paris Johnson from Ohio State, which should make Kyler Murray happy. One of the guys on NFL Network said “……right now, I think they have the worst roster in the league” referring to the Cardinals.

— Since they blew a 28-3 lead and lost the Super Bowl to New England six years ago, the Atlanta Falcons are 42-56; they took RB Bijan Robinson from Texas with the #8 pick, to try and spruce up their offense, with a young QB (Desmond Ridder) already in place.

— Philadelphia spent a 4th-round pick to move up from the 10th pick to the 9th pick, then they took Georgia DL Jalen Carter, who had slipped because of off-field concerns. He gained nine pounds in two weeks after the NFL Combine, and word was the Georgia coaches didn’t give him much of an endorsement to scouts, which is why he slipped.

Eagles have some other Georgia alums on their squad; they think Carter will be just fine.

— Of the top 10 players in the draft, five played for SEC schools.

— NFL commissioner Roger Goodell makes around $40M a year; he is very good at his job, seems like a good guy. Not wearing a tie at the draft gives everything a more casual air. I’m surprised that Goodell isn’t a lawyer, thought that was part of the deal.

Goodell is terrific at the draft; when the Make-a-Wish kids come out to announce a team’s pick, he is a gracious host.

— I’m off to Las Vegas in ten days, am hoping the NFL will announce the 2023 schedule while I’m there. Want to watch the betting activity in the casino when the first games are posted, think it’ll be fun.

Here’s the thing: they haven’t announced when they’re releasing this year’s schedule. Last year they released the schedule May 12th; I’m hoping for May 11th (or 18th) this year. We’ll see if I’m a good travel planner. If not, I’ll still be in Las Vegas, which is always fun.

— Four of the first 14 players drafted Thursday were offensive tackles; quarterbacks are really expensive, so they have to be protected.

— There wasn’t a wide receiver taken until the 20th pick, but then four in a row were picked.

— Tennessee Titans took OT Peter Skoronski from Northwestern with the #11 pick; the young man has good blood lines, his grandfather is Bob Skoronski, who was a linemen for Green Bay in Super Bowls I, II— he played 11 years in the NFL.

— They had 125,000 people in Kansas City to watch all this Thursday night; rounds 2-3 are tonight, with the rest of the draft on Saturday.

The draft is a fascinating process; not everyone is good at it, which is why it is so interesting.

 

[Udog]

GOLDEN STATE is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) in home games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season in the current season.




NBA
Dunkel

Friday, April 28

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, April 28

MEMPHIS (53 - 34) at LA LAKERS (47 - 41) - 4/28/2023, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
MEMPHIS is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in road games this season.
MEMPHIS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or less this season.
MEMPHIS is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MEMPHIS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MEMPHIS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season.
MEMPHIS is 98-78 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 230-177 ATS (+35.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 8-7 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 9-6 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


SACRAMENTO (50 - 37) at GOLDEN STATE (47 - 40) - 4/28/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 160-119 ATS (+29.1 Units) in April games since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games in the second half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) on Friday nights this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SACRAMENTO is 49-38 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 48-38 ATS (+6.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 42-33 ATS (+5.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 9-7 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NBA

Friday, April 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sacramento @ Golden State
Sacramento
Sacramento is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

Memphis @ LA Lakers
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Memphis's last 23 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Lakers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Memphis


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, APRIL 28

SAC at GS	08:00 PM	SAC +7.5 U 236.0	+500 +500
MEM at LAL	10:30 PM	LAL -4.5 O 220.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Pending Picks

Apr 28, 2023	NBA	Memphis L.A. Lakers	- -	10:30 PM	LAL -4.5

Completed Picks

Apr 27, 2023	MLB	Baltimore Detroit	7 4	Over 8.0	Win
Apr 26, 2023	NBA	Golden State Sacramento	123 116	GS -1.5	Win
Apr 25, 2023	MLB	Oakland LA Angels	3 5	Over 9.0	Loss
Apr 24, 2023	MLB	Texas Cincinnati	6 7	TEX -112	Loss
Apr 23, 2023	NBA	Boston Atlanta	129 121	BOS -6.0	Win
Apr 22, 2023	MLB	St. Louis Seattle	4 5	Under 7.5	Loss
Apr 21, 2023	MLB	NY Mets San Francisco	7 0	NYM +103	Win
Apr 20, 2023	MLB	Minnesota Boston	5 11	Over 9.0	Win
Apr 19, 2023	NBA	L.A. Lakers Memphis	93 103	MEM -1.0	Win
Apr 18, 2023	NBA	Atlanta Boston	106 119	BOS -10.0	Win
Apr 17, 2023	MLB	LA Angels Boston	5 4	Under 8.5	Loss
Apr 16, 2023	NBA	L.A. Lakers Memphis	128 112	Over 228.0	Win
Apr 15, 2023	MLB	Tampa Bay Toronto	2 5	TOR -113	Win
Apr 14, 2023	MLB	Tampa Bay Toronto	3 6	TOR +115	Win
Apr 13, 2023	MLB	Milwaukee San Diego	4 3	Under 9.0	Win