CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

[Udog]

NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

GOLDEN STATE is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in home games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, May 2

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, May 2

MIAMI (50 - 40) at NEW YORK (51 - 37) - 5/2/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 36-52 ATS (-21.2 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 286-229 ATS (+34.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in the second round of the playoffs since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

LA LAKERS (48 - 41) at GOLDEN STATE (48 - 41) - 5/2/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 249-299 ATS (-79.9 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 669-757 ATS (-163.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or less since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 45-30 ATS (+12.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 7-5 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 7-5 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NBA

Tuesday, May 2

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Trend Report
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Miami @ New York
Miami
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

LA Lakers @ Golden State
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
LA Lakers is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
Golden State
Golden State is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


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[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, MAY 2

MIA at NY	07:30 PM	MIA +6.5 O 206.5	+500 +500
LAL at GS	10:00 PM	GS -4.5 U 228.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Pending Picks

May 2, 2023	NBA	L.A. Lakers Golden State	- -	10:00 PM	GS -4.5

Completed Picks

May 1, 2023	MLB	San Francisco Houston	3 7	Over 8.5	Win

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

05/02/2023..................................2 - 2............................50.00%.............. ...............- 1.00
05/01/2023..................................2 - 2............................50.00%............... ..............- 1.00

TOTALS......................................4 - 4.............................50.00%.............. ..............- 2.00

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Leaders among active major leaguers in triples:
58— Charlie Blackmon, Colo
53— Kevin Kiernaier, Tor
51— Mike Trout LAA/Starling Marte NYM
50— Elvis Andrus, CWS
49— Andrew McCutchen, Pitt
47— David Peralta, LA

Quote of the Day
“I don’t even know where to start. It’s been a long time coming, a lot of hard work. I’ve been through a lot, and I’m not just talking about basketball … it feels good. I don’t know what to say. It’s amazing.”
76ers’ Joel Embiid, after winning the NBA’s MVP award

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Oceans Eleven, what famous actress plays George Clooney’s ex-wife?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Heaven Can Wait, the Rams win the Super Bowl with Warren Beatty’s character playing quarterback- he wore number 16 (Ron Jaworski was the Rams’ QB at the time).

Monday’s quiz
Klay Thompson played his college basketball at Washington State.

************************************************** ****

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— NFL schedule comes out next week, so we’ve started to identify trends and things that could point us towards picking some winners.

Over the last 20 years, the defending Super Bowl champ is 11-6-3 ATS in their Week 1 game the next season, 9-4-3 as a favorite, 2-2 as an underdog- they’re 16-4 SU.

During that same time, Super Bowl losers are 4-16 ATS in their Week 1 game the next season, 4-13 as a favorite, 0-3 as an underdog- they’re 9-11 SU.

— Odd fact: Last time the Super Bowl loser was an underdog in their Week 1 game the next year was 2011, it was the Steelers.

— Green Bay Packers/QB Jordan Love agreed on a one-year contract extension worth up to $22.5M (including $13.5M fully guaranteed). Had Green Bay picked up his 5th-year option instead of giving him the extension, Love would’ve earned a guaranteed $20.272M for 2024, after making $2,298,655 in 2023, which will be his first season as the starter.

— Interesting night of baseball Tuesday; in 7 of the 14 games, the winning run scored from the 7th inning on.

— Under was 10-4 in baseball Tuesday; five starting pitchers didn’t allow a run, only one of them got the win in his game.

— Red Sox 7, Blue Jays 6— Boston is 12-6 in its last 18 games. Toronto lost its last three games, all in their opponent’s last turn at bat.

— Dodgers 13, Phillies 1— Dodgers won their last five games, scoring 40 runs. Bryce Harper returned from Tommy John surgery, went 0-4 with three strikeouts as the DH.

— Orioles 11, Tigers 7— Baltimore is 20-9, but they’re still 3.5 games out of first place; Mountcastle homered twice, knocked in five runs.

— Rangers 6, Arizona 4— Zac Gallen’s scoreless streak ended at 28 innings, but he left the game with a 4-3 lead after five innings, which didn’t last long.

— Angels 5, Cardinals 1— St Louis lost 11 of its last 14 games; the natives are getting restless.

— Major League personnel moves:
Marlins put OF Avasail Garcia on the IL
A’s put SS Aledmys Diaz (hamstring) on the IL
Astros put P Luis Garcia (elbow) on the IL
Royals put SS Nicky Lopez (appendicitis) on the IL

— Random trivia: 21 years ago this week, Mike Cameron/Brett Boone hit back-to-back home runs twice for Seattle……in the same inning. It was the first time ever that teammates went back-to-back twice in the same game, much less the same inning.

— Orioles are 10-0 in series openers; Cardinals are 0-10.

— Who makes Arkansas’ football schedule? Razorbacks have a ridiculously hard 4-game stretch coming up this fall:
September 23: @ LSU
September 30, vs Texas A&M at the Cowboys’ Stadium in Arlington
October 7, @ Ole Miss
October 14, @ Alabama

None of the games are at home; no off-weeks in between. Yikes.

— Next October, Dallas Mavericks/Minnesota Timberwolves will be play two NBA preseason games in Abu Dhabi.

— December 16 in Atlanta, there is a pretty good college basketball twinbill:
Kentucky-Ohio State, then UCLA-North Carolina.

— NHL was a six-team league until they expanded to 12 teams for the 1967-68 season; Toronto Maple Leafs won the Stanley Cup in 1967, the last year the NHL had six teams.

They haven’t won the Stanley Cup since then, the only Original Six team that hasn’t.

— Knicks 111, Heat 105
Brunson scored 30 points, made 6-10 3-pointers.
Heat’s star Butler (ankle) sat this game out.
Miami was 17-49 on the arc, 21-36 inside the arc.
Knicks outscored Miami 35-28 in fourth quarter.
Series is tied, 1-1

— Lakers 117, Warriors 112
Davis had 30 points, 23 rebounds in LA’s upset win.
Schroder scored 19 points off the bench for LA.
Lakers lead series, 1-0.

 

[Udog]

BOSTON is 20-45 ATS (-29.5 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, May 3

PHILADELPHIA (59 - 28) at BOSTON (61 - 28) - 5/3/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 48-39 ATS (+5.1 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-5 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 7-5 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NBA

Wednesday, May 3

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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ Boston
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, May 3

 

[Cnotes53]

Pending Picks

WEDNESDAY, MAY 3

Philadelphia Boston	- -	08:00 PM	PHI +9.0 Over 218.5	+500 +500	Pending Pending

Completed Picks


Past Completed Picks

05/02/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
05/01/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

Pending Picks

May 3, 2023	NHL	New Jersey Carolina	- -	07:00 PM	CAR -115

Completed Picks

May 2, 2023	NBA	L.A. Lakers Golden State	117 112	GS -4.5	Loss
May 1, 2023	MLB	San Francisco Houston	3 7	Over 8.5	Win

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

05/03/2023	0-2-0	0.00%	-1100	Detail
05/02/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
05/01/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

05/03/2023..................................0 - 2............................00.00%............... ...............- 11.00
05/02/2023..................................2 - 2............................50.00%.............. ...............- 1.00
05/01/2023..................................2 - 2............................50.00%............... ..............- 1.00

TOTALS......................................4 - 6.............................40.00%.............. ..............- 12.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

May 3, 2023	NHL	New Jersey Carolina	1 5	CAR -115	Win
May 2, 2023	NBA	L.A. Lakers Golden State	117 112	GS -4.5	Loss
May 1, 2023	MLB	San Francisco Houston	3 7	Over 8.5	Win

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack
Leaders among active major leaguers in doubles:
610— Miguel Cabrera
453— Joey Votto
424— Evan Longoria
422— Freddie Freeman
397— Andrew McCutchen
393— Paul Goldschmidt

Quote of the Day
“Most teammates I know who don’t love basketball are the really (bleep)ing good ones — are the most skilled ones. It’s the wildest shit in the world. Preparation is different when you got so much skill. You could just show up to the game and get a mother-bleeping 30, 40. That might work against other teams who aren’t that good. But you can’t do that in the playoffs.”
NBA player Patrick Beverley

Thursday’s quiz
Max Scherzer has been in the major leagues for 16 years; what team did he break into the major leagues with?

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Oceans Eleven, Julia Roberts plays George Clooney’s ex-wife.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Heaven Can Wait, the Rams win the Super Bowl with Warren Beatty’s character playing quarterback- he wore number 16 (Ron Jaworski was the Rams’ QB at the time).

*************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud

— So I’m at the post office Wednesday; the guy in front of me is mailing two crates that apparently had live birds in them. Who knew you could mail birds at the post office?

— If you like baseball, and you’re on Twitter, follow @homerunreport Every time a home run is it in the major leagues, they post:
Launch angle
Exit velocity
distance
how many MLB ballparks it would’ve been a home run in.

I’m a big fan of seeing how many ballparks a home run would’ve gone out of; good stuff.

— Red Sox 8, Blue Jays 3— Toronto went 16-3 against the Red Sox last year; they’re 0-3 so far this season. Sloppy game for the Blue Jays; they made four errors.

— Tigers 6-8, Mets 5-1— Apparently $375M doesn’t buy as much as it used to; Mets out-spent everyone this winter, but now they’ve lost eight of their last 10 games, are 16-15, five games behind Atlanta in the AL East.

— Mariners 7, A’s 2 (10)— AJ Pollock was hitting .140 this season when he tied the game with a 9th inning home run. Whatever Mark Kotsay is making this year for managing the A’s, it isn’t enough— what a cruddy team they gave him to run.

That said, in the A’s last four games, the winning run scored from the 7th inning on; they’re competing, but they still lose most every night.

— Dodgers 10, Phillies 6
Max Muncy hit a walk-off grand slam.
Dodgers scored 36 runs in sweeping this series, the most runs they’ve ever scored in a 3-game series at Dodger Stadium.
Bryce Harper was 3-3 with two walks in his second game back from the injured list.

— Braves 14, Marlins 6— I watched this game to see if I wanted to pick up Marlins’ P Braxton Garrett for my fantasy team; he gave up 11 runs in 4.1 IP.

Talk about taking one for the team.

— New York 4, Cleveland 3 (10)— Willie Calhoun tied the game with a 9th inning single, Jose Trevino won it with a walk-off hit in the 10th. Unlikely heroes.

— Royals 6, Orioles 0— Zack Greinke needed only 44 pitches to get thru 5 IP, but they took him out anyway— they didn’t want him facing the Orioles’ lineup a third time. Go figure.

Baltimore starter Kyle Gibson faced 28 hitters; he didn’t walk or strike out any of them; that doesn’t happen a lot. He got only one whiff on the Royals’ 39 swings against him.

— Arizona 12, Texas 7— Christian Walker homered twice for the Diamondbacks. Josh Jung homered twice for Texas. Arizona’s bullpen threw 3.1 scoreless innings.

— Tampa Bay 8, Pittsburgh 1— Rays are 25-6, 4.5 games ahead in the AL East. Pirates lost their last three games, after a 20-8 start, but they still lead the NL Central.

— Colorado Rockies’ P German Marquez (Tommy John surgery) is out for the year.

— Good college basketball doubleheader in Toronto December 9th; Purdue-Alabama, then TCU-Clemson.

— There have been 59 coaching changes in college basketball this spring; roughly 16% of teams in Division I have changed head coaches.

— Celtics 121, 76ers 87— Boston made 20-51 on the arc; series is tied 1-1.

— WR Randall Cobb signed with the Jets, re-uniting with Aaron Rodgers. Nine of his 12 years in the NFL have come with Rodgers as his QB.

 

[Udog]

LA LAKERS are 21-40 ATS (-23 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, May 4

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 4

LA LAKERS (49 - 41) at GOLDEN STATE (48 - 42) - 5/4/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-16 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 8-5 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 8-5 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NBA

Thursday, May 4

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA Lakers @ Golden State
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Laker


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[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, MAY 4

LAL at GS	09:00 PM	GS -6.0 U 227.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Pending Picks

May 4, 2023	NBA	L.A. Lakers Golden State	- -	09:00 PM	GS -6.5

Completed Picks

May 3, 2023	NHL	New Jersey Carolina	1 5	CAR -115	Win
May 2, 2023	NBA	L.A. Lakers Golden State	117 112	GS -4.5	Loss
May 1, 2023	MLB	San Francisco Houston	3 7	Over 8.5	Win

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

May 4, 2023	NBA	L.A. Lakers Golden State	100 127	GS -6.5	Win
May 3, 2023	NHL	New Jersey Carolina	1 5	CAR -115	Win
May 2, 2023	NBA	L.A. Lakers Golden State	117 112	GS -4.5	Loss
May 1, 2023	MLB	San Francisco Houston	3 7	Over 8.5	Win

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

05/04/2023	1-0-1	75.00%	+500	Detail
05/03/2023	0-2-0	0.00%	-1100	Detail
05/02/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
05/01/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

05/04/2023............................1 - 0 - 1...........................100.00%............... .............+ 5.00
05/03/2023..................................0 - 2............................00.00%............... ...............- 11.00
05/02/2023..................................2 - 2............................50.00%.............. ...............- 1.00
05/01/2023..................................2 - 2............................50.00%............... ..............- 1.00

TOTALS......................................5 - 6.............................45.45%.............. ..............- 7.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday’s 6-pack

Last six World Series champs:
2017— Houston Astros
2018— Boston Red Sox
2019— Washington Nationals
2020— Los Angeles Dodgers
2021— Atlanta Braves
2022— Houston Astros

Quote of the Day

“So listen. I can talk for hours on it and I can talk for a minute; the minute’s probably easier. He doesn’t like me and I don’t like him, that’s how it is.”

Phoenix Suns’ owner Mat Ishbia, talking about Cavaliers’ owner Dan Gilbert

Friday’s quiz

How many NBA championship rings has Steve Kerr won, both as a player and coach?

Thursday’s quiz

Max Scherzer has been in the major leagues for 16 years; he broke into the major leagues with Arizona, in 2008.

Wednesday’s quiz

In the movie Oceans Eleven, Julia Roberts plays George Clooney’s ex-wife.


************************************************** ****
Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

— What have you done for me lately?

Mike Budenholzer went 310-146 in five years as coach of the Milwaukee Bucks, winning the NBA title two years ago. 310-146 is a really good record.

Milwaukee fired him Thursday; the team was recently sold, with the Haslam family that also owns the Cleveland Browns now running things. Bucks were the #1-seed in the East this year, but they got upset by Miami in the playoffs. I guess the new owners weren’t happy about it.

I’m figuring Budenholzer won’t be out of work long; he also went 230-219 in five years with the Atlanta Hawks. Winning coaches are hard to find.

— ESPN has four people on their NBA pregame show; only one of them played in the NBA, which is disappointing. Why they insist on putting Stephen A Smith on camera is baffling, but that’s why they’re ESPN, and why less people watch them now.

— Warriors 127, Lakers 100
Golden State outscored Lakers 84-47 in 2nd/3rd quarters.
Warriors were 21-42 on the arc; Klay Thompson was 8-11.
Series is now tied, 1-1.

— Basketball star Hunter Dickinson bolts from Michigan to Kansas; he averaged 18.5 ppg, 9.0 rebounds in 32.7 minutes/game last year.

— Weird baseball schedule Thursday; there were 10 games, only one twilight game, and that was over by 9:10. Luckily on YouTube TV, you can watch replays of games played earlier in the day, but why no night games at all?

— Back in 2012, Harvard-Westlake HS in Los Angeles had these three guys on their baseball team: Max Fried, Lucas Giolito, Jack Flaherty.

Imagine coaching a high school team with three future major leaguers on it? The coach was a guy named Ethan Katz, who later on was pitching coach for the White Sox.

— Rays 3, Pirates 2— Tampa Bay sweeps the Pirates; they’re 26-6, 17-2 at home.

Rays are fifth team since 1947 to start a season 25-6 or better; the other four teams all won the World Series that season:
1955 Dodgers
1958 Bronx
2016 Cubs
1984 Tigers

— Tampa Bay P Zach Eflin was told by umpires in this game that if he didn’t take his wedding ring off, he’d be ejected. Apparently most umpire crews let Eflin wear the ring, but this crew did not, so he took it off.

— Nationals 4, Cubs 3— Last two weeks, Cubs are 0-7 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on. Getting swept by the Nationals es no bueno.

Time of this game was 1:55; vendors couldn’t have been happy with that.

— Baltimore 13, Kansas City 10— Orioles are 21-10, leading the AL Wild Card race; they’re 10-3 in games where the winning scored from 7th inning on.

Kansas City, on the other hand, is 2-14 at home, with the equally-lowly A’s coming to town this weekend.

— Colorado 9, Milwaukee 6— Brewers led 6-0 after six innings, but were outscored 9-0 in the last three innings. Coming into this game, Colorado had been outscored 49-27 from 7th inning on this season.

— Detroit 2, Mets 0— Justin Verlander gave up two homers in the first inning of his first start for New York, then settled down, but Eduardo Rodriguez blanked the Mets for eight innings, as the Tigers sweep the 3-game series in Motown.

— QB Lamar Jackson is banking a $72.5M signing bonus from the Baltimore Ravens; hopefully he plays in December this year. Jackson missed the Ravens’ last six games last year, their last four games the year before. They say the best ability is dependability.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
NL: Braves-Pirates-Dodgers. Wild Cards: Brewers, Arizona, Padres
AL: Rays, Twins, Rangers. Wild Cards: Orioles, Red Sox, Tor/LAA