Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Fewest NFL playoff wins in the Super Bowl era:
1— Detroit Lions
4— Houston Texans
6— Arizona Cardinals
7— Cleveland/Jacksonville
8— Cincinnati Bengals
9— Carolina Panthers

Quote of the Day
“He changed my life.”
Eagles’ QB Gardner Minshew, talking at a memorial service for the late Mike Leach, who coached Minshew for one season at Washington State. Minshew threw for 4,776 yards that season, and is now in the NFL.

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Matthew Stafford play his college football?

Tuesday’s quiz
They play the Holiday Bowl every December in San Diego.

Monday’s quiz
Justin Turner broke into the major leagues with the Orioles, in 2009. He later played four years for the Mets, before landing with the Dodgers.

****************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— San Francisco Giants were supposed to sign SS Carlos Correa to a 13-year, $350M contract, then have a big press conference about it Tuesday, but a medical concern appeared during Correa’s physical, and everything was on hold.

I’m typing this at 4am, watching re-runs of The West Wing on my laptop; Correa has changed his mind, and inked a 12-year, $315M deal with the New York Mets.

I’m wondering what those medical concerns are.

— I was thinking the other day: “How do Heisman Trophy winners do in their bowl game?” so I looked it up. It figures that winning the Heisman is a big distraction; football coaches pretty much hate distractions.

Since 2009, the Heisman winner’s team is 12-6 SU, 11-7 ATS in their bowl; some of those teams were in the college football playoff, which is why it is 18 games in 14 years.

— New York Knicks have won eight games in a row, during which they’re +112 with Quentin Grimes on the floor. Of the 48 NBA players who played 250+ minutes since the Knicks’ streak started, Grimes’ +112 is the best plus-minus in the league.

— Atlanta Falcons covered their first six games this season, going 3-3 SU; they’re 0-8 ATS since then, going 2-6 SU. Now they’re starting a rookie QB, which usually doesn’t help much in the present.

— Billionaire mortgage lender Mat Ishbia bought the Phoenix Suns Tuesday for roughly $4B, that’s billion, with a B. The deal includes the Phoenix team in the WNBA.

Ishbia, president and CEO of United Wholesale Mortgage, a Michigan-based company, has been trying to buy NBA/NFL teams recently- he tried to buy the Denver Broncos LY. He was a walk-on reserve for Michigan State’s national champion college hoop team in 2000.

— Quarterback Devin Leary transferred from NC State to Kentucky; he played 30 games for the Wolfpack, throwing 62 TD’s with only 16 INT’s. He will be coached by Liam Coen, who is going back to being an assistant at Kentucky after coaching this year with the LA Rams.

— Hopefully another college QB, JT Daniels, will write a book someday; Daniels announced this week that he is transferring to Rice, his 4th college stop. He must have some very interesting stories to tell.

Daniels played two years (12 games) at USC, then two years (9 games) at Georgia, then played this year at West Virginia (10 games). Daniels will turn 23 on Groundhog Day; he’ll be 24 before the NFL drafts him in 2024.

— Other baseball happenings:
Angels signed IF Brandon Drury to a 2-year, $17M deal.
P Jordan Lyles gets a 2-year, $17M deal with Kansas City.
RP Adam Ottavino gets a 2-year, $14.5M deal to stay with the Mets.
1B/OF Matt Carpenter signed a one-year, $6M deal with San Diego

— Last six games, Chicago Bears have been outscored 45-0 in last 2:00 of each half.

— Green Bay waived WR Sammy Watkins Monday afternoon; Baltimore Ravens gobbled him up Tuesday, after WR Devin Duvernay got hurt in practice.

Providence 103, Marquette 98, 2OT
Marquette led by 8 with 5:04 left in regulation.
Providence was 35-49 on foul line, Marquette 13-19; three Golden Eagles fouled out.

Wake Forest 81, Duke 70—In 1975, John Wooden retired as UCLA’s coach; he remains the best college hoop coach ever. The guy who replaced Wooden was Gene Bartow, who went 52-9 at UCLA, but 52-9 wasn’t good enough to satisfy a spoiled fanbase, and he left to start the program at UAB, where he wound up coaching for 18 years. He was a very good coach.

Which brings us to Jon Scheyer, who is replacing Mike Krzyzewski this year; Krzyzewski is probably the 2nd-best coach of all-time. Duke is 10-3 this year- they started three freshmen in the Wake Forest game, but freshman don’t always stay in school very long, and Duke’s fanbase is spoiled.

It’ll be interesting to see how long Scheyer lasts at Duke; he’ll win lot of games, but it figures to be a thankless job. He’ll get other offers from less-stressful programs; when will he jump?

— There have been some big upsets in college basketball the last couple nights:
North Alabama (+22) 66, Ole Miss 65
Weber State (+16) 75, Utah State 72
Md-Eastern Shore (+15.5) 86, Temple 78
Tex-Arlington (+15) 68, San Francisco 63
Utah Valley (+12) 77, Oregon 72
Harvard (+10) 62, Cal-Irvine 57


Miami 66, Virginia 64— Hurricanes are quietly 12-1, 3-0 in ACC games.

Eastern Michigan 41, San Jose State 27
Spartans led 13-0, had PAT blocked and run back for two points.
Eastern Michigan wound up scoring 33 consecutive points.
EMU WR Lassiter caught six passes for 108 yards, two TD’s.

Toledo 21, Liberty 19
Rockets were 10-18 on third down, Liberty 2-9
Toledo ran 84 plays for 356 yards; Liberty 41 plays for 253 yards.
Good day for the MAC, going 2-0 in bowls.
 

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NEW JERSEY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days in the current season.

DETROIT is 60-70 ATS (-17 Units) in home games after losing their previous game in overtime since 1996.

MONTREAL is 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the current season.

NASHVILLE is 101-90 ATS (2 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread since 1996.

DALLAS are 598-478 Under (72.2 Units) off a win or tie in their previous game since 1996.

ANAHEIM is 7-28 ATS (-23.8 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in road games off 2 or more consecutive home losses in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Dunkel

Wednesday, December 21


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Udog

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Wednesday, December 21


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Trend Report
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Tampa Bay @ Detroit
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Detroit is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Tampa Bay

New Jersey @ Florida
New Jersey
New Jersey is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Florida
New Jersey is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Florida
Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey

Montreal @ Colorado
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games at home

Nashville @ Chicago
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nashville's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Nashville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games

Edmonton @ Dallas
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games on the road
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton

Minnesota @ Anaheim
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Anaheim is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota

Arizona @ Vegas
Arizona
Arizona is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Vegas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 21
TB at DET07:00 PMTB -160
U 6.5
+500 +500
NJ at FLA07:00 PMNJ +125
O 6.5
+500 +500
MON at COL08:00 PMCOL -280
O 5.5
+500 +500
NAS at CHI08:30 PMCHI +170
O 6.0
+500 +500
EDM at DAL09:30 PMEDM +125
O 6.5
+500 +500
MIN at ANA10:00 PMANA +240
U 6.0
+500 +500
ARI at VEG10:00 PMARI +250
O 6.0
+500 +500
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack
Eastern Illinois 92, Iowa 83— Panthers were a 31.5-point underdog.
Florida State 73, Notre Dame 72— Seminoles won three of last four, after a 1-9 start.
Nets 143, Warriors 113— Brooklyn led 91-51 at halftime.
San Francisco 97, Arizona State 60— Dons made 15-29 on the arc.
— QB Nick Foles is going to start for the Colts this week against the Chargers.
— Tennessee Titans’ QB Ryan Tannehill (ankle) is likely out for the year. Rookie Malik Willis is the new starter, with Josh Dobbs the backup.

Quote of the Day
“Every time I walked in, he would have the Cubs game on. He just loved baseball so much. … Being a Cub means more to me than people will realize. It’s no secret I left my hometown team to be here.”
Cubs’ SS Dansby Swanson, talking about his late grandfather, who was a Cubs’ fan

Wednesday’s quiz
When Michael Jordan played minor league baseball for the Birmingham Barons in the Southern League in 1994, who was the Barons’ manager?
Hint: He later won two World Series as a manager

Wednesday’s quiz
Matthew Stafford played his college football at Georgia.

Tuesday’s quiz
They play the Holiday Bowl every December in San Diego.

****************************

Thursday’s Den: In a perfect world, where I made the decisions……….

In a perfect world, where I made the decisions……….
— Higher-seeded NFL teams would choose their opponents for playoff games.

Eagles are the #1 seed in the NFC right now; they would get a first round bye, which leaves Minnesota as the #2 seed. They would get the choice of playing the 5-6-7 seed in their first playoff game, then San Francisco would get their choice of the two remaining teams to play.

This would be a tremendous TV show, when teams announce who they choose to play. Great TV means more $$$ and we know NFL owners love $$$.

Second round of the playoffs would be the same thing; #1-seed would get to choose which of the two lowest-remaining teams they’d like to play.

They used to do this in the G-League; we do it in our fantasy baseball league now— it is fun.

— Long time ago, in the early 70’s, NBA had a 1-on-1 tournament; this would be an awesome idea for the offseason, to raise $$$ for the charities of the players’ choice.

Imagine a 64-player bracket, with games on national TV in the summer; it would be excellent. Would be fun to sit in a sportsbook and watch people who bet on these games.

Two players per team would get in, and then you could have fan voting for the last four spots. It would create a lot of interest.

— Major League Baseball has to have a salary floor; we pretty much know there will never be a salary cap, but for the love of God, if you own a big league team and you don’t try to win, why do you own the freakin’ team?!?!?!

A site called Spotrac estimates that the Mets will wind up paying a luxury tax of $84.2M on next year’s payroll. $84.2M tax on a payroll of $353,900,339. With Carlos Correa’s signing, the salary tax goes up to the $100M level.

Here are the bottom five estimated payrolls in MLB
26) Royals $96,280,809
27) Reds $86,491,989
28) Orioles $81,787,001
29) Pirates $72,965,709
30) A’s $61,930,158

Mets’ payroll TAX will be higher than five teams’ entire payrolls. Awesome.

So let’s suggest a $100M salary floor; you’re not up for that, then sell your team. Competitive balance is what makes the NFL great; baseball could use more of it.

— You know how they have four play-in games at the start of the NCAA Tournament? Those eight teams should all be at-large teams, not conference champs from cruddy conferences. Reward the conference champs by letting them all get to the first Thursday/Friday round.

Let the last teams eight who survive the bubble have to play in Dayton.

— Once a quarterback gets past the line of scrimmage running with the ball, he should lose his special quarterback protection. You see a guy run, then he slides down when he seems a tackler coming, and whines to the ref if he gets touched. You pass the line of scrimmage, you’re just another player.

— With USC/UCLA bolting the Pac-12 for a midwestern league (the Big 16?), Pac-12 will be back to Pac-10, unless they listed to us and add two teams:

UNLV, and either San Diego State/Boise State. BYU would’ve made sense, but they’re bolting to the Big X instead. Adding both San Diego State/Boise State would help the football side a decent amount, but how do you add teams and ignore Las Vegas?

— NFL should scrap Thursday games (except Week 1/Thanksgiving) and go to doubleheaders on Monday nights, that’s the better idea. Amazon Prime could still show a game every week, and the players wouldn’t have to play games on three days’ rest.

— One week every season, NBA games would use the red, white and blue ball the ABA had back in the day; the four former ABA teams that still exist (Pacers, Nuggets, Spurs, Nets) would play each other that week. A good way to honor the sport’s past.

— If I ran an NFL team and we had a good quarterback, I’d let him call plays and use no-huddle offense. Teams have all week to work up a game plan; let Sunday be the players’ day. Think that defenses would have harder time defining trends and they couldn’t substitute as much.

— Baseball should re-align geographically; the five California teams could be in one division, the two New York City teams should be division rivals, it would just be more fun.

Cubs-White Sox, A’s-Giants, Dodgers-Angels would be good division rivalries.

— High school basketball players should be able to jump right from high school to the pros; they used to do this. Lebron James, Kevin Garnett, Kobe Bryant; none of them played in college.

This would help the college game; people would become more familiar with the players who play college ball.

— There are readers out there who just LOVE IT when I talk about politics, so let’s do that for a minute. My idea: once any politician turns 72 years old, he/she cannot run for office again. We need younger people more invested in our government; having 80-year old senators makes zero sense. Who would be against this idea?

— When a college football/basketball coach takes more $$$ and moves up the coaching ladder, his new team should have to play a road game at the coach’s old school, to compensate them for poaching the coach.

Last spring, Shaheen Holloway bolted from Saint Peter’s to Seton Hall; under my plan, Seton Hall would have to come to Jersey City and play a road game against the Peacocks. Big money teams don’t like to play true road games.

— There is absolutely no need for baseball managers/coaches to wear uniforms; let them dress like football coaches, with pullovers/khakis.

— College basketball has no official starting point; they should bring back the 24-hour college basketball marathon that used to be on TV. It was awesome; it was actually 28 or 29 straight hours of college hoop, with a game from Hawai’i at 4am, then small college East Coast games at 6am/8am. Maybe the night before Election Day, so we have a solid TV option instead of results of elections.
 

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PHILADELPHIA is 8-27 ATS (-21.7 Units) off a win against a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive road games in the last 3 seasons.

OTTAWA is 17-12 ATS (3.8 Units) after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

CAROLINA is 33-15 ATS (15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season in the last 3...

SEATTLE is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game in the current season.

LOS ANGELES are 562-437 Under (81.3 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

SAN JOSE is 12-36 ATS (-27.6 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Long Sheet

Thursday, December 22


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PHILADELPHIA (11-15-0-7, 29 pts.) at TORONTO (20-7-0-6, 46 pts.) - 12/22/2022, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-0-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (18-13-0-2, 38 pts.) at NY RANGERS (18-11-0-5, 41 pts.) - 12/22/2022, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 10-4 (+6.5 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 10-4-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+7.3 Units)

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WASHINGTON (17-13-0-4, 38 pts.) at OTTAWA (14-16-0-2, 30 pts.) - 12/22/2022, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 2-2 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 2-2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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WINNIPEG (21-10-0-1, 43 pts.) at BOSTON (25-4-0-2, 52 pts.) - 12/22/2022, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-0-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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CAROLINA (20-6-0-6, 46 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (19-9-0-4, 42 pts.) - 12/22/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 42-73 ATS (-32.9 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 15-2 ATS (+11.3 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 33-15 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 4-1 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 4-1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

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SEATTLE (18-10-0-3, 39 pts.) at VANCOUVER (13-15-0-3, 29 pts.) - 12/22/2022, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 5-0 (+5.3 Units) against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 5-0-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)

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CALGARY (15-12-0-6, 36 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (18-12-0-5, 41 pts.) - 12/22/2022, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-1-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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MINNESOTA (18-11-0-2, 38 pts.) at SAN JOSE (10-18-0-6, 26 pts.) - 12/22/2022, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 5-7 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 7-5-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Thursday, December 22


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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ Toronto
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Winnipeg @ Boston
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
Boston is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

NY Islanders @ NY Rangers
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Rangers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Washington @ Ottawa
Washington
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games at home

Carolina @ Pittsburgh
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Seattle @ Vancouver
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Seattle is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle

Calgary @ Los Angeles
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary

Minnesota @ San Jose
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Jose's last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games at home


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Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 22
CAR at PIT07:00 PMCAR +115
O 5.5
+500 +500
NYI at NYR07:00 PMNYI +145
O 5.5
+500 +500
WIN at BOS07:00 PMWIN +200
O 6.0
+500 +500
WAS at OTT07:00 PMWAS -135
O 6.5
+500 +500
SEA at VAN10:00 PMSEA -125
O 6.5
+500 +500
CAL at LA10:30 PMLA +100
O 6.0
+500 +500
MIN at SJ10:30 PMMIN -165
O 6.0
+500 +500
 

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12/22/20228-6-057.14%+525Detail
12/21/20226-7-146.43%-700Detail
12/20/20226-9-040.00%-1700Detail
12/19/20226-7-146.43%-975Detail
12/18/20226-3-165.00%+1450Detail
12/17/202213-13-050.00%-300Detail
12/16/20223-3-050.00%+650Detail
12/15/20229-6-060.00%+1825Detail
12/14/20222-4-033.33%-1475Detail
12/13/202210-9-052.63%+275Detail
12/12/20225-5-050.00%+300Detail
12/11/20227-5-058.33%+650Detail
12/10/20226-9-140.63%-1750Detail
12/09/202210-10-050.00%-700Detail
12/08/20227-3-070.00%+1900Detail
12/07/20227-4-162.50%+1525Detail
12/06/20226-9-040.00%-4025Detail
12/05/20224-8-033.33%-2750Detail
12/04/20223-4-042.86%-425Detail
12/03/20228-8-050.00%-100Detail
12/02/20222-4-033.33%-1585Detail
12/01/202212-9-057.14%+1535Detail
 

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack
College hoop teams getting biggest % of points on 3’s:
47.4%— Liberty
47.0%— Lafayette
46.5%— Chattanooga
44.3%— Penn State
43.7%— North Carolina A&T
42.9%— Marist

Quote of the Day
“Our sport feels broken now. We’ve got somebody with three times the median payroll and has no care whatsoever for the long-term of any of these contracts, in terms of the risk associated with any of them. How exactly does this work? I’m having a hard time wrapping my head around it.”
Anonymous MLB executive, talking about the Mets’ spending spree

Friday’s quiz
Who was the first coach of the Jacksonville Jaguars?

Thursday’s quiz
When Michael Jordan played minor league baseball for the Birmingham Barons in the Southern League in 1994, Terry Francona was the Barons’ manager.

Wednesday’s quiz
Matthew Stafford played his college football at Georgia.

***************************

Friday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..

— NFL’s Sunday Ticket is going to YouTube TV starting next year, which means that I’ll dump DirecTV after college basketball ends in March. I’ve had DirecTV for a long time, but primarily so I can watch the Rams every week, without going out to bars to watch.

Have to do my research on the best TV plan going forward; lot of options out there. I know almost nothing about YouTube TV, but I have until August to figure it out.

— Mets’ fans are excited about signing Justin Verlander, Carlos Correa as free agents; they’re going to have the biggest payroll in MLB history. Good for them.

But hey, the A’s signed Drew Rucinski this week. The 33-year old Rucinski gets $3M for this year, roughly what the Mets’ batboys earn (kidding). $3M is big money in Oakland. So what if Verlander will make $1,343,750 PER START this year, and that’s if he starts 32 games.

Rucinski pitched for the NC Dinos in Korea the last four years, going 53-36, 3.06 in 121 KBO starts. He is 4-4, 5.33 in 41 major league games from 2014-18, with the Angels/Marlins.

— An unusual thing about college basketball is that once you play a team out of conference, you root like hell for that team to win games, since their success helps your strength of schedule, which factors in to if/where you land on Selection Sunday.

Let’s look at UNLV, which is 11-1, but against schedule #227. Rebels beat Dayton/Washington State, two top 100 teams, lost by a hoop to #89 San Francisco. None of those three teams are in the top 50, so it will really help the Rebels if those three teams win a lot of conference games.

Jaguars 19, Jets 3
Jacksonville is 5-2 SU in last seven games after a 2-6 start.
QB Lawrence threw for 229 yards, ran 7 times for 51 more yards.
Jaguars were 7-16 on third down, Jets 2-13.
Last six games, Jaguars are +7 in turnovers (13-6)

Jets’ only score was FG on 1st drive; they recovered fumble on Jags’ 16-yard line.
#4 QB Streveler ran ball 9 times for 54 yards; rest of team had 11 rushes, 12 yards.
Jets are 2-6 SU in their last eight games, after a 5-2 start.
Jets are 6-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-7 scoring less than 20.

— Eagles’ QB Jalen Hurts (shoulder) is out for Saturday’s game in Dallas; Gardner Minshew (8-14 as an NFL starter) will start under center for Philly.

— Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson is out again this week, third game in a row he’ll miss. He is trying to get a huge contract from the Ravens, but the best ability is availability— Jackson got hurt in Week 13 LY, never played again, and now he’s missed Weeks 14-16 this year. Not good.

Adding to the intrigue is that Jackson has been acting as his own agent, which makes things in negotiations a lot more personal.

Eastern Illinois 92, Iowa 83— How does a 31-point underdog win on the road?
Favored Hawkeyes led 22-8 early on.
Iowa was down two starters (Murray, Connor McCaffery)
Eastern Illinois shot 66.7% inside the arc.
Iowa was only 7-33 on the arc.

Eastern Illinois is a bad team, 2-9 vs D-I teams; their other D-I win was over IUPUI, the worst of all the 363 D-I teams in the country. Just a hideous loss for Iowa, the biggest favorite to lose in the last 30 years.

— Wednesday was Early Signing Day in college football; lot of games that will be played 3-4 years from now were decided Wednesday, as teams re-stock their rosters. But don’t just assume what you hear on TV in true. Recruiting ratings aren’t gospel.

When he came out of high school, Aaron Donald was the #22 recruit in his class; he’s going to be in the Pro Football Hall of Fame. You think there were really 21 players who were better than him that year?

Some teams develop talent better than others; Kansas State is 10-3 this year, with three (3!!!!) players who were 4 or 5-star recruits. They recruit athletes, develop them into players.

— New York Knicks got nailed for tampering with free agent Jalen Brunson; as a result they’ll lose a 2nd-round draft pick in 2025.

— Golden State Warriors are 15-18, #11-seed in the west right now, and Steph Curry is out for the next couple months. Warriors are 3-16 on the road; looks like they’ll miss the playoffs.

— Law and Order is one of my favorite TV shows; 21 years, 472 episodes, a great launching point for lot of acting careers, not to mention the spinoff shows that branched off this original show.

Take Billions on Showtime; there are 32 actors who have appeared in 12+ episodes of Billons. 14 of those 32 actors appeared in at least one episode of Law and Order, and two others were in Law and Order SVU, and that doesn’t count Eric Bogosian, who was in Law and Order: Criminal Intent for 61 episodes, but was only in 11 episodes of Billions (so far).

— Cincinnati Reds signed OF/1B Wil Myers to one-year, $6M deal; Myers had an injury-plagued 2022, then went 3-29 in the playoffs for San Diego.

— Saints-Browns total Saturday is going to be the lowest NFL total since 2009, due to frigid weather in Ohio this weekend.

— Billy Eppler is the New York Mets’ GM; when he first graduated from college at UConn, he interned with the NFL’s Washington Redskins, then scouted in the Bronx, became assistant GM there, and later moved on to become GM of the Angels. Must also be nice to be GM of a team where the owner writes blank checks.

SMU 85, Iona 81— Mustangs trailed by 12 with 10:36 left in game, but rallied to beat Rick Pitino’s Iona squad, overcoming 21 turnovers. Iona lost despite making 13-22 on the arc. SMU shot 64.3% inside the arc.

This game is part of the Diamond Head Classic in Hawai’i. Christmas in Hawai’i must be fun.

— Detroit-Ottawa NHL game this week was postponed because of cruddy weather in Canada; it will be played February 27 instead.

Missouri 93, Illinois 71— Tigers led 51-26 at half-time; putrid effort by the Illini, which is 2-3 in its last five games, after a 6-1 start.

Western Kentucky 44, South Alabama 23
Hilltoppers led 31-3 at halftime.
WKU’s first three TD’s came on plays of 44-27-25 yards.
Hilltoppers threw for 522 yards (9.3 yards/attempt)

Air Force 30, Baylor 15
Falcons outgained Baylor 379-230.
Bears ran ball 26 times for 42 yards, completed only 11-23 passes.
Baylor lost its last four games, after a 6-3 start.

— Major League Baseball reduced Trevor Bauer’s suspension from 324 games to 194, meaning he is good to go for spring training. Dodgers have until January 6 to release him or add him to the 40-man roster. Bauer is eligible now, but is being docked pay for the first 50 games of 2023
 

Udog

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WINNIPEG is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 7-29 ATS (-24.9 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days in the last 3 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) off a road win in the current season.

NY ISLANDERS are 9-2 Over (6.8 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 13-3 Over (9.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 6-2 ATS (3.8 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 5-24 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games in the current season.

ARIZONA is 38-50 ATS (-17 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 6-0 Over (6 Units) in road games in December games in the current season.

CALGARY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) on Friday nights in the last 3 seasons.
 

Udog

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NHL

Friday, December 23


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ Carolina
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Boston @ New Jersey
Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing Boston

Winnipeg @ Washington
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Florida @ NY Islanders
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Florida's last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Islanders's last 12 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games

Colorado @ Nashville
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Nashville's last 10 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

Montreal @ Dallas
Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games
Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Montreal

Columbus @ Chicago
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games
Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Columbus
Chicago is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Columbus

Vancouver @ Edmonton
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Vancouver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver

Los Angeles @ Arizona
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games

St. Louis @ Vegas
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 10 of St. Louis's last 11 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Vegas's last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Vegas's last 16 games when playing St. Louis

Calgary @ Anaheim
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games
Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim
Anaheim is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Anaheim's last 10 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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FRIDAY, DECEMBER 23
BOS at NJ07:00 PMNJ +100
U 6.5
+500 +500
WIN at WAS07:00 PMWAS -165
O 6.0
+500 +500
PHI at CAR07:00 PMCAR -330
U 6.0
+500 +500
FLA at NYI07:30 PMFLA -140
U 6.5
+500 +500
MON at DAL08:00 PMDAL -320
U 6.0
+500 +500
COL at NAS08:00 PMCOL -125
U 5.5
+500 +500
CLB at CHI08:30 PMCHI -105
O 6.5
+500 +500
VAN at EDM09:00 PMVAN +180
O 7.0
+500 +500
LA at ARI09:30 PMARI +145
O 6.0
+500 +500
STL at VEG10:00 PMSTL +145
O 6.0
+500 +500
CAL at ANA10:30 PMANA +180
U 6.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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48
12/23/202212-7-361.36%+2725Detail
12/22/20228-6-057.14%+525Detail
12/21/20226-7-146.43%-700Detail
12/20/20226-9-040.00%-1700Detail
12/19/20226-7-146.43%-975Detail
12/18/20226-3-165.00%+1450Detail
12/17/202213-13-050.00%-300Detail
12/16/20223-3-050.00%+650Detail
12/15/20229-6-060.00%+1825Detail
12/14/20222-4-033.33%-1475Detail
12/13/202210-9-052.63%+275Detail
12/12/20225-5-050.00%+300Detail
12/11/20227-5-058.33%+650Detail
12/10/20226-9-140.63%-1750Detail
12/09/202210-10-050.00%-700Detail
12/08/20227-3-070.00%+1900Detail
12/07/20227-4-162.50%+1525Detail
12/06/20226-9-040.00%-4025Detail
12/05/20224-8-033.33%-2750Detail
12/04/20223-4-042.86%-425Detail
12/03/20228-8-050.00%-100Detail
12/02/20222-4-033.33%-1585Detail
12/01/202212-9-057.14%+1535Detail
 
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