Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

Udog

Udog

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NHL

Sunday, January 8

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Trend Report
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Vancouver @ Winnipeg
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vancouver's last 11 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Vancouver is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Winnipeg's last 11 games
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Florida @ Dallas
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Florida

Columbus @ Washington
Columbus
Columbus is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Columbus

Pittsburgh @ Arizona
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games at home

Calgary @ Chicago
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games

St. Louis @ Minnesota
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis

Toronto @ Philadelphia
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Boston @ Anaheim
Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Anaheim
Anaheim is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston


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Cnotes53

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SUNDAY, JANUARY 8
VAN at WIN03:00 PMWIN -185
U 6.5		+500 +500
FLA at DAL03:30 PMFLA +110
O 6.5		+500 +500
CLB at WAS05:00 PMCLB +270
O 6.5		+500 +500
PIT at ARI07:00 PMARI +190
O 6.5		+500 +500
CAL at CHI07:00 PMCHI +275
O 6.0		+500 +500
STL at MIN07:00 PMMIN -185
U 6.5		+500 +500
TOR at PHI07:00 PMTOR -220
U 6.0		+500 +500
BOS at ANA08:30 PMBOS -300
U 6.0		+500 +500
 
Udog

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Monday’s 6-pack
Next weekend’s Wild Card games:
Saturday 4:30— Seahawks @ San Francisco
8:15— Chargers @ Jacksonville
Sunday 1:00— Dolphins @ Buffalo
4:30— Giants @ Minnesota
8:15— Ravens @ Cincinnati
Monday 8:15— Cowboys @ Tampa Bay

Quote of the Day
“We didn’t feel like there was more risk [of further injury] but I know he was hurting, and he was hurting bad. But that’s the kind of competitor he is, that’s the kind of person he is, and kind of teammate and leader he is that he was able to go out there and tough through it.”
Eagles’ coach Nick Sirianni, talking about QB Jalen Hurts

Monday’s quiz
Detroit Lions haven’t won a playoff game since 1991; who did they beat in that game?

Sunday’s quiz
Jameis Winston has thrown for the most yards (19,737) in Tampa Bay Bucs’ history.

Saturday’s quiz
Stan Kroenke owns the LA Rams; he also owns the NBA’s Denver Nuggets.

******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……

Seahawks 19, Rams 16 OT
— Mayfield completed only 13-26 passes, for 147 yards.
— Rams in 2nd half/OT: 32 plays, 99 yards, 3 points.
— Rams lost 11 of last 14 games SU (5-9 ATS).
— Rams were 4-2 scoring 20+ points, 1-10 when they scored less.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 162-55 in second half.

— Seahawks made the playoffs when the Lions beat Green Bay.
— Seattle tied this game with 2:23 left on a 22-yard field goal.
— Seattle won the game on a field goal on their 2nd possession of OT.
— Seattle held last three opponents to 297/279/269 total yards.
— Seahawks visit the Bay Area, play the 49ers in playoffs next week.

Lions 20, Packers 16
— Detroit won eight of its last ten games (9-1 ATS).
— Last ten games, Lions were +14 in turnovers (18-4)
— Last six games, Detroit outscored foes 94-51 in second half.
— Lions were 5-2 ATS as a road underdog this season.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 12-21-1 SU, 23-10-1 ATS.

— Green Bay missed playoffs for first time since 2018.
— Packers had won/covered their last four games before this loss.
— Green Bay kicked a FG on three of its first four drives.
— WR Watson caught five passes for 104 yards.
— Green Bay was 1-8 this year when they scored less than 24 points.

Bills 35, Patriots 23
— Bills won their last seven games, scoring 29.3 ppg.
— Bills ran two kicks back for TD’s, including opening kickoff.
— Last three games, Buffalo converted 21-37 third down plays.
— Bills won six of last seven games with New England.
— Last three Buffalo games went over the total.

— With this loss, Patriots are eliminated from playoff contention.
— New England went 2-5 SU/1-6 ATS in their last seven games
— Both teams turned ball over three times.
— New England was 7-0 giving up 17 or less points, 1-9 giving up 20+.
— Last six games, Patriots converted 30-100 third down plays.

Dolphins 11, Jets 6
— Dolphins win; they’re the #7 seed in the AFC, visit Buffalo next week.
— Sanders kicked a 50-yard FG with 0:18 left for the win.
— Miami won six of its eight home games this season.
— Miami is 6-4 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Dolphins’ win snapped their 5-game losing skid.

— Last three games, Jets had 30 drives, didn’t score a TD.
— Jets went 2-8 in their last ten games, after a 5-2 start.
— Jets were outgained 302-187, ran ball 20 times for 38 yards.
— Jets went 6-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-9 scoring less than 20.
— 10 of last 12 Jet games stayed under the total.

Vikings 29, Bears 13
— Vikings went 13-4 this season, despite being outscored by 3 points.
— Minnesota outgained the Bears 482-259.
— Vikings averaged 10.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Minnesota is 11-0 when it scores 24+ points, 2-4 when it does not.
— Seven of their last nine games went over the total.

— Texans won, so Chicago gets the first pick in April’s draft.
— Bears lost ten in row, 13 of last 14 games SU (3-10-1 ATS)
— QB Peterman was 11-19/114 passing in his first start in four years.
— Last four games, Bears converted 12-47 on third down.
— Last ten games, Chicago gave up 33.2 ppg.

Texans 32, Colts 31
— Mills threw 28-yard TD pass with 0:50 left for the win.
— By winning, Houston slips to #2 in April’s draft.
— Texans led 24-14 with 2:00 left in third quarter.
— Last six games, Houston was outscored 88-49 in second half.
— Last five weeks, Houston had 13 takeaways (+5 turnovers)

— Colts lost 10 of their last 11 games SU.
— Both teams turned ball over three times in this game.
— Colts went 1-6 ATS as a favorite this year.
— Six of their last eight games went over the total.
— Colts had 14 turnovers in last six games (minus-5)

Panthers 10, Saints 7
— Piniero kicked a 42-yard FG as time expired for the win.
— QB Darnold played whole game, was 5-15/43 passing, with two INT’s.
— Carolina’s only TD; they recovered Darnold’s fumble in end zone.
— Panthers went 5-3 SU last eight games, 8-3 ATS in last 11.
— Panthers are 13-9 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog.

— Saints outgained Carolina, 304-203.
— Panthers are 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Bourbon Street.
— New Orleans held 8 of last 9 foes under 6.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Saints went 3-1 after their bye week, giving up 12 ppg.
— Saints are 5-10 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win (2-5 TY).

Falcons 30, Buccaneers 17
— Atlanta covered spread for first time since Week 6.
— Falcons outscored Tampa Bay 20-0 in second half.
— Atlanta split rookie QB Ridder’s four starts.
— In Ridder’s four starts, Falcons converted 25-56 on third down.
— Seven of their last ten games were decided by 6 or fewer points.

— Tampa Bay used all three of its QB’s in this game.
— Bucs have home playoff game next week, rested guys in 2nd half.
— Tampa Bay is 7-1 allowing less than 20 points, 1-8 giving up 20+.
— Buccaneers are 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games.
— Bucs were held under 100 yards rushing in 14 of last 16 games.

Steelers 28, Browns 14
— Browns went 3-3 SU/ATS in Watson’s six starts.
— Watson’s six games: Browns scored 8 TDs on 57 drives, with 21 3/outs.
— Steelers sacked Watson seven times in this game.
— Browns were 2-7 this year when they ran for less than 171 yards.
— Browns were 7-4 giving up 24 or less points, 0-6 giving up more than 24.

— Steelers won/covered six of their last seven games.
— In those seven games, Steelers converted 70-129 (54.3%) on third down
— In this game, Steelers were 9-15 on 3rd down, Cleveland 5-12.
— Steelers finish 9-8; Tomlin has still never had a losing season.
— That said, last five years, Pittsburgh is 0-2 in playoff games.

Bengals 27, Ravens 16
— These teams will meet again in the playoffs here next week.
— #3 QB Brown was 19-44/286 passing with two INT’s.
— Ravens turned ball over four times (minus-3).
— Last five weeks, Baltimore was outscored 51-16 in second half.
— Baltimore is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games.

— Bengals’ first three drives: 28 plays, 143 yards, 17 points.
— Cincinnati won its last eight games (12-2 ATS last 14).
— Baltimore outgained the Ravens, 386-257.
— Last three games, Bengals were held to 53-73-55 rushing yards.
— Bengals are 11-0 if they score 21+ points, 1-4 if they score 20 or less.

Broncos 31, Chargers 28
— Chargers didn’t need this; they play at Jacksonville next week.
— Chargers are 9-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-6 if they give up 27+.
— Last 12 games, Chargers converted 78-174 on third down (44.1%)
— Chargers are 4-8 ATS in last 12 AFC West road games.
— Denver outrushed the Chargers, 205-59.

— Broncos ran for 205 yards, outgained Chargers 471-352
— Jeudy caught five passes for 154 yards.
— Denver averaged 10.2 yards/pass attempt.
— Denver covered five of its last six games.
— Last five Denver games went over the total.

49ers 38, Cardinals 13
— San Francisco won its last ten games (8-2 ATS)
— 49ers outscored last nine opponents 157-54 in second half.
— 49ers are 10-0 when they score 24+ points, 3-4 when they don’t.
— Last five games, 49ers converted 65-132 (49.2%) on third down.
— 49ers are 8-1 ATS as a home favorite this season.

— 49ers host Seattle in the playoffs Saturday.
— Cardinals lost their last seven games, and 11 of their last 13.
— Arizona turned ball over four times, ran for only 61 yards.
— Arizona was 1-13 SU when it scores less than 29 points.
— Last 12 games, Arizona was outscored 191-92 in 2nd half.

Eagles 22, Giants 16
— Giants went 3-6-1 SU in last 10 games, after a 6-1 start.
— Giants are 13-4 ATS this season, 5-2 as a road underdog.
— Giants are 8-0-1 allowing 20 or less points, 1-7 allowing 21+ points.
— Davis Webb played QB for Giants (23-40/168 passing).
— Giants visit Minnesota in playoffs next week.

— Eagles clinch #1 seed in NFC, have next week off.
— Philly won 15 of last 19 games against the Giants.
— Giants covered five of last six visits to Philadelphia.
— Hurts was 20-35/229 passing in his return to the lineup.
— Philly is 7-2 SU/6-3 ATS at home this season.

Commanders 26, Cowboys 6
— #5-seed Dallas visits Tampa Bay in playoffs next Monday night.
— Cowboys are 0-8 in last eight road playoff games (last win- 1992)
— Prescott threw a pick-6 that made score 13-0 Washington.
— Cowboys missed the PAT after their only touchdown.
— Cowboys are 7-6 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite (2-3 TY).

— Rookie QB Howell was 11-19/169 in first NFL start.
— Washington went 1-3-1 SU/1-4 ATS in its last five games.
— Commanders outgained Dallas 309-182 in this game.
— Washington was 5-1 when it scores 23+ points, 3-7-1 if they didn’t.
— 12 of their last 15 games stayed under the total.
 
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BUFFALO is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

MONTREAL is 54-53 ATS (-4.3 Units) after having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games since 1996.

OTTAWA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

EDMONTON is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.




NHL

Monday, January 9

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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ Buffalo
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

Seattle @ Montreal
Seattle
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games
Montreal is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

Nashville @ Ottawa
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Nashville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville

Edmonton @ Los Angeles
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Los Angeles is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Edmonton


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Cnotes53

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MONDAY, JANUARY 9
PHI at BUF07:00 PMBUF -230
U 6.5		+500 +500
SEA at MON07:30 PMSEA -210
O 6.0		+500 +500
NAS at OTT07:30 PMNAS +100
O 6.0		+500 +500
EDM at LA10:30 PMLA -110
U 6.5		+500 +500
 
Udog

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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Next weekend’s Wild Card games, with spreads/totals:
Saturday 4:30— Seahawks @ San Francisco (-10, 43)
8:15— Chargers (-1, 47) @ Jacksonville
Sunday 1:00— Dolphins @ Buffalo (-10.5, 44.5)
4:30— Giants @ Minnesota (-3, 48.5)
8:15— Ravens @ Cincinnati (-6.5, 43.5)
Monday 8:15— Cowboys (-3, 45) @ Tampa Bay

Quote of the Day
“I’m not looking at it as far as being a part of a rebuild, however that looks. That’s why I trust my camp and my representation to be able to get a map from here to there and to see what that looks like to be a part of something that has a trusted plan.”
Texans’ WR Brandin Cooks, who would like to be traded

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the Arizona Cardinals’ coach, last time they won a playoff game?

Monday’s quiz
Detroit Lions haven’t won a playoff game since 1991; they beat Dallas 38-6 in that day.

Sunday’s quiz
Jameis Winston has thrown for the most yards (19,737) in Tampa Bay Bucs’ history.

*******************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— Georgia 65, TCU 7
Dawgs win national title for second year in a row.
Georgia had six drives in first half; five TD’s and a field goal.
This was one of the worst games I’ve seen in several years.
TCU’s punter, by the way, is a 29-year old Australian.

— Houston Texans head coaches, 2020-23:
2020– Bill O’Brien
2021– David Culley
2022– Lovie Smith
2023– to be decided

Texans are the worst organization in the NFL

— Arizona fired HC Kliff Kingsbury, GM Steve Keim Monday; Cardinals were 28-38-1 in four years under Kingsbury, losing their only playoff game last year. Kingsbury had previously gone 35-40 in six years coaching Texas Tech, going 1-2 in bowl games.

— 2022 Chicago Bears are the first NFL team ever to finish with the most rushing yards in the league but also finish with the most losses.

— Washington Commanders’ rookie Sam Howell was the 65th QB to start an NFL game this season, the most ever in a non-strike year.

— Buccaneers are third team ever to win an NFL division with a losing record; the other two were Seattle in 2010, Carolina in 2014. Both of those teams won their Wild Card game, then lost the following week.

— LA Dodgers DFA’d pitcher Trevor Bauer; they have to pay him $22.5M this year, and whoever picks him up only has to pay him $750,000.

— DeJuan Clayton is a 6-2 guard for the Cal Bears’ basketball team. He is in his 7th year of college basketball, which doesn’t happen much. Clayton will turn 26 years old in May.
2016-21— Coppin State
2021-22— Hartford
2022-23— California

— Random trivia: When Robert Kennedy was assassinated in 1968, his replacement in the US Senate was Charles Goodell, who had been a 4-term Congressman.

Charles Goodell is/was the father of NFL commissioner Roger Goodell.

— Phillies/Tigers made a trade over the weekend:
Phillies get: RP Gregory Soto, IF Kody Clemens
Tigers get: OF Matt Vierling, utility guy Nick Maton, C Donny Sands

— Seattle Mariners signed OF AJ Pollock to a one-year, $7M deal.

— Raiders’ QB Derek Carr has a no-trade clause in his hefty contract; you get the feeling he is going to wind up waiving the no-trade clause to land with a team that will start him.

— Favorites went 27-15 SU, 19-22-1 ATS in bowls this season. Under was 21-19-2.

— All six Wild Card games this weekend are rematches from during the season; we’ll have info on all six games posted on our NFL page later this week.

— Bills’ QB Josh Allen threw for 704 yards, ran for 124 more in two games vs Miami this season; he is only player EVER with 700+ passing yards, 100+ rushing yards against one team in the regular season.
 
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SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games in the current season.

VANCOUVER is 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) in road games off a road loss by 2 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games after a game where they covered the spread in the current season.

NY RANGERS are 4-10 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the cu...

COLUMBUS are 5-27 ATS (-24.7 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 s...

DETROIT is 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) in home games off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more in the current season.

CALGARY is 18-24 ATS (-8.4 Units) after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 0-19 ATS (-20.9 Units) after 3 straight losses by 2 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

FLORIDA is 10-3 Over (6.7 Units) off a road loss in the current season.
 
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NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, January 10

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Udog

Udog

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NHL

Tuesday, January 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Seattle @ Buffalo
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Buffalo is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games

New Jersey @ Carolina
New Jersey
New Jersey is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
Carolina is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Minnesota @ NY Rangers
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Rangers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Vancouver @ Pittsburgh
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Vancouver's last 18 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home

Columbus @ Tampa Bay
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Columbus's last 10 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Winnipeg @ Detroit
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games at home

Dallas @ NY Islanders
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Islanders's last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas
NY Islanders is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas

Calgary @ St. Louis
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Calgary
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Calgary

San Jose @ Arizona
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Jose's last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Jose's last 9 games
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing at home against San Jose
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose

Florida @ Colorado
Florida
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Colorado's last 15 games


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C

Cnotes53

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TUESDAY, JANUARY 10
VAN at PIT07:00 PMPIT -180
O 6.5		+500 +500
MIN at NYR07:00 PMNYR -140
O 6.0		+500 +500
WIN at DET07:00 PMWIN -130
O 6.0		+500 +500
CLB at TB07:00 PMCLB +325
O 6.0		+500 +500
SEA at BUF07:00 PMO 6.5+500
NJ at CAR07:00 PMNJ +130
U 6.0		+500 +500
DAL at NYI07:30 PMDAL -120
O 5.5		+500 +500
CAL at STL08:00 PMSTL +145
O 6.0		+500 +500
SJ at ARI09:00 PMARI +120
O 6.5		+500 +500
FLA at COL09:30 PMFLA +110
O 6.0		+500 +500
 
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Wednesday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in passing yards:
5,250— Patrick Mahomes, KC
4,739— Justin Herbert, LAC
4,694— Tom Brady, TB
4,547— Kirk Cousins, Minn
4,475— Joe Burrow, Cincy
4,438— Jared Goff, Det

Quote of the Day
“I think it’s a lot easier to get worse at quarterback than to get better in this league. So, I think what Jared (Goff) has done this year, he captained the ship of a top-3 offense, and he was top-10 statistically in most of the passing categories…….I do think that Jared has proven to everybody that he is the starting quarterback for us.”
Lions’ GM Brad Holmes

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Cavaliers’ star Donovan Mitchell play his college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
Bruce Arians was the Arizona Cardinals’ coach last time they won a playoff game, in 2015.

Monday’s quiz
Detroit Lions haven’t won a playoff game since 1991; they beat Dallas 38-6 in that day.

*****************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

— Carlos Correa is going to sign a 6-year, $200M contract with Minnesota, pending a physical, but since he played for the Twins last year (136 games), doubtful that he will flunk this physical.

Correa his .291 with 22 homers for the Twins last season; he is 28.

— Other baseball stuff:
P Johnny Cueto signed a one-year, $8.5M deal with the Marlins.
1B Brandon Belt signed one-year, $9.3M deal with Toronto.
OF Corey Dickerson signed a ne-year, $2.25M deal with Washington.

— Red Sox IF Trevor Story had elbow surgery this week, is expected to miss most of 2023; not sure why the surgery was done in January instead of October, but it was. Story hit .238 with 16 homers last year, his first year away from Colorado.

— Detroit Lions led Green Bay 20-16 with 2:10 left Sunday night; they actually used a hook-and-ladder trick play to try and get a first down to run out the clock. You NEVER see play calling like that in the NFL; they got the first down on the following play, and eliminated division rival Green Bay.

Dan Campbell has been a unique head coach in his two years with Detroit; he isn’t afraid to try bold stuff, and his players bust their butts for him. In the first 5:00 of a game against the Rams last year, Lions tried an onside kick and a fake punt. In the first 5:00 of the game.

For the record, if you bet on the Lions every game the last two years, you would be 23-10-1.

— Miami Heat 112, Oklahoma City 111
In a one-point game, Heat was 40-40 on the foul line.
Jimmy Butler was 23-23 on the line; the entire Thunder team was 14-21.
Miami scored the last six points of the game.

— South Carolina 71, Kentucky 68— Gamecocks were ranked #214 coming in; they were a 20-point underdog in this game. Kentucky is 3-5 against top 100 teams, 3-3 in last six games overall. The natives are restless in Lexington.

— Florida 67, LSU 56
All ten starters in this game are transfers.
Teams combined to shoot 10-53 on the arc.

— Virginia 65, North Carolina 58
Tar Heels have lost eight in a row in Charlottesville.
UNC big guy Bacot got hurt 2:00 into the game.
Carolina led by 7 early in second half.

— Kansas 79, Oklahoma 75
Sooners led by 10 with 5:19 left in game
Kansas was 31-39 on foul line; ton of foul shots for a college game.
Kansas is 15-1, 4-0 in Big X, with wins by 2-3-14-4 points.

— Seton Hall 66, Georgetown 51— Hoyas lost their last 27 Big East games.

— DePaul 75, Villanova 65— Villanova is 8-9; anyone have Jay Wright’s phone number?

— Grand Canyon PG Jovan Blacksher tore his ACL, is out for the year; the Antelopes are 11-5 this season, 2-1 in the WAC.

— Bill Belichick’s record without Tom Brady: 79-88
Tom Brady’s record without Bill Belichick: 37-19

— As far as NFL totals go, under hit 55% this season, the most under’s have hit since 1991.

— This week is a tough one for NFL coaches on non-playoff teams. Lot of guys get fired.
Washington Commanders fired OC Scott Turner.
Tennessee Titans fired four assistants, including OC Todd Downing.

— There are currently five head coaching openings in the NFL:
Arizona
Carolina
Denver
Houston
Indianapolis

— NFL Draft is April 27-29, in Kansas City. NFL has done a good job the last few years in moving the draft all over the country. Smart.

— Get well soon to White Sox’ relief pitcher Liam Hendriks, who revealed this week that he has non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma. We wish him well with his treatment/recovery.
 
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PHILADELPHIA is 7-30 ATS (-26 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 26-4 ATS (21.6 Units) in home games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 7-30 ATS (-26 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

SAN JOSE is 145-123 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread since 1996.




NHL

Wednesday, January 11

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Trend Report
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Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home

Nashville @ Toronto
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Nashville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville
Toronto is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

Edmonton @ Anaheim
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Edmonton is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton

San Jose @ Los Angeles
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Jose's last 10 games
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose
Los Angeles is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
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WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 11
WAS at PHI07:00 PMWAS -165
O 6.0		+500 +500
NAS at TOR07:30 PMTOR -200
U 6.5		+500 +500
EDM at ANA10:00 PMANA +195
O 6.5		+500 +500
SJ at LA10:00 PMSJ +175
O 6.5		+500 +500
 
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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack
QB’s with most passes thrown in Super Bowl, with round they were drafted in:
421— Tom Brady, 6th round
155— Peyton Manning, 1st round
152— John Elway, 1st round
145— Jim Kelly, 1st round
132— Kurt Warner, undrafted
122— Joe Montana, 3rd round

Quote of the Day
“He was the toughest player I’ve ever coached. He was really unusual in that regard. He was a great player and just loved playing the game. Those are the things I remember the most. He was a really tough guy, and he was an extremely gifted athlete. But the toughness … wow!”
John Robinson, Charles White’s head coach at USC and with the LA Rams. Charles White passed away this week at age 64. RIP, sir.

Thursday’s quiz
Which former major league outfielder was the QB for the Tennessee Volunteers the year before Peyton Manning became Tennessee’s QB?

Wednesday’s quiz
Cavaliers’ star Donovan Mitchell played his college basketball at Louisville.

Tuesday’s quiz
Bruce Arians was the Arizona Cardinals’ coach last time they won a playoff game, in 2015.

*******************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— 7 of the 12 starting QB’s in this weekend’s NFL playoff games will be making their first career playoff start; 4 of the 12 head coaches will be coaching their first playoff game.

— Which reminds me that since 1969, the Pittsburgh Steelers have had THREE head coaches. There are five NFL teams that have had 18 head coaches each during that same time.

— Georgia QB Stetson Bennett just won his second consecutive college national title; he is three months older than Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert, who is finishing his third NFL season.

— New Jersey Jets fired offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur; they didn’t score a TD in their last three games this year, after finishing 31st in league in points and total yards last year.

— Miami Marlins traded SS Miguel Rojas to the Dodgers for a minor league infielder; Rojas is expected to play a utility role for the Dodgers.

— Detroit Tigers are moving their centerfield fence in 10 feet this season, and lowering the fences in right and right-center field. Their CF fence will be 415 feet from home plate, second behind Colorado in longest distance from home plate.

— Mike Trout got traded in our fantasy league again this week; think it is the fourth time he’s been traded, which seems weird to me. Wish someone would offer to trade him to my team.

— San Diego Padres signed 42-year old DH Hector Cruz to a one-year, $1M deal; he hit only .234 with ten homers for Washington last year.

— Oklahoma basketball coach Porter Moser grew up in Naperville, IL; his next door neighbor was Paula Zahn, who went on to be a national news anchor on CBS and CNN. Apparently Ms Zahn was also Moser’s babysitter for a while.

— Texas 79, TCU 75— Horned Frogs led 40-22 late in first half; Texas scored 50 points in the second half, shot 56% inside the arc.

— Marquette 82, UConn 76— Huskies have lost three of last four games, after a 14-0 start; all three losses came on the road. Marquette is 14-4, 6-1 in Big East.

— Alabama 84, Arkansas 69— Crimson Tide was really impressive in this game, scoring 51 points in 2nd half. Alabama was 25-36 on foul line, ton of free throws for a college team, especially on the road. Alabama plays fast, is an excellent defensive team.

— UCF 107, Memphis 104, 2OT— Kendris Davis was 21-23 on the foul line. In a college game. And his team still lost. UCF made 16-35 on the arc, 33-37 on foul line.

— Penn State 85, Indiana 66— Hoosiers lost last three games, giving up 91-84-85 points, after a 10-3 start; they’re 1-4 in the Big 14.

— Duke 77, Pitt 69— Panthers led by 11 early in second half, but Duke outrebounded them 51-28, made 23-27 on foul line. Both teams are now 4-2 in a down ACC.

— Charleston 71, NC-Wilmington 69— Two of the better, if not the two best teams in CAA; Charleston is 17-1, hasn’t lost since Veteran’s Day against North Carolina- they start three seniors. UNCW led this game by 5 with 2:24 left, but the Cougars pulled it out.

Too bad this game wasn’t on TV; CAA needs to hook up with ESPN for better TV exposure.

— Saint Louis 63, George Mason 62— Billikens outscored GMU 9-0 over final 2:21 to avoid being upset at home. Mason lost by one, was 12-23 on foul line. No bueno.

— Cal-Riverside 74, Cal-San Diego 68— Apparently this was an epic bad beat, as Riverside (-3.5) stole the ball at the very end up 71-68 and their kid shot a 3-pointer at the buzzer and banked it in to cover the spread, after UCSD blew an 18-point second half lead.

— Western Kentucky 80, UAB 78— Blazers lost their last three games, by 2-3-2 points, after starting season 12-2. Blazers led by 7 with 7:58 left; they were 18-28 on foul line.

— Clemson 83, Louisville 70— Never thought I’d see the day where Louisville’s basketball team is 2-15, but here we are. Opponents are shooting 55.2% inside the arc against them; they’re turning ball over 23.9% of the time.
 
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SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off 2 or more consecutive road wins in the current season.

WINNIPEG is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 13-5 ATS (7.5 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in the last 3 sea...

VANCOUVER is 13-7 ATS (5.3 Units) in road games after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last...

DALLAS are 11-3 Under (7.7 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 12-2 Over (9.8 Units) off a close road loss by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals in the last 3 seasons.

CALGARY is 3-10 ATS (-8 Units) in road games off a close road loss by 1 goal in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 0-20 ATS (-22 Units) after 3 straight losses by 2 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

VEGAS are 8-1 Under (6.9 Units) off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
 
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