Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 17

PIT at NYI	07:00 PM	NYI -115 O 5.5	+500 +500
CHI at OTT	07:00 PM	OTT -280 O 6.5	+500 +500
DAL at MIN	08:00 PM	DAL -115 U 5.5	+500 +500
NYR at EDM	09:00 PM	NYR +100 O 7.0	+500 +500
LA at ANA	09:00 PM	ANA +210 O 6.5	+500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

02/17/2023	5-3-0	62.50%	+25	Detail
02/16/2023	9-7-0	56.25%	+750	Detail
02/15/2023	6-6-0	50.00%	-525	Detail
02/14/2023	7-11-0	38.89%	-2925	Detail
02/13/2023	6-3-1	65.00%	+2100	Detail
02/12/2023	3-5-0	37.50%	-1825	Detail
02/11/2023	15-13-0	53.57%	-160	Detail
02/10/2023	2-6-0	25.00%	-2150	Detail
02/09/2023	7-6-1	53.57%	-400	Detail
02/08/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1100	Detail
02/07/2023	6-5-1	54.17%	+650	Detail
02/06/2023	6-5-0	54.55%	+800	Detail
02/01/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+1000	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the World Baseball Championship
2-1— Dominican Republic
5-2— United States
7-2— Japan
9-1— Puerto Rico
18-1— Cuba, Korea, Venezuela
30-1— Chinese Taipei
40-1— Mexico

Quote of the Day
“And with college basketball, if you can pick a Final 4 or National Champion – you have a crystal ball. I’ve never seen such parity in my life. Anyone can win it this year”
Rick Pitino

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie The Rewrite, Hugh Grant plays a Hollywood screenwriter who teaches a writing course at which northeastern college?

Friday’s quiz
Last time New York Knicks were in the NBA Finals, they lost in five games to San Antonio, in 1999.

Thursday’s quiz
In the football movie Any Given Sunday, Cameron Diaz played the owner of the Miami Sharks.

**************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

— Do first round results in the NCAA Tournament indicate which teams are mostly likely to win the national championship?

Last 16 national champs went 13-3 ATS in their first round game.
Last 20 national champs went 17-3 ATS in their second round game.

— San Diego Padres’ 3B Manny Machado has a $30M a year contract thru 2028, but he can opt out after this season, which he says he will do. That’s his decision, but……..

Why announce it now? Why is that a good idea? How does that help HIM?

Padres have spent lot of $$$ to be contenders this season; why upstage that optimism by acting like a selfish jerk?

— Sounds like Padres/Angels are going to use 6-man starting pitching rotations, which would be unusual. Angels are probably doing it because Shohei Ohtani is used to that from Japan; no idea why San Diego is doing it.

— There have been eight times in NBA history where a player scored 40+ points while also grabbing 40+ rebounds. In one game.

All eight of those games belong to Wilt Chamberlain.

— Win/loss record for the Jets’ last 12 starting QB’s:
8-14— Zach Wilson
1-8— Joe Flacco
2-5— Mike White
13-25— Sam Darnold
0-2— Luke Falk
0-1— Trevor Siemian
5-11— Josh McCown
1-6— Bryce Petty
13-14— Ryan Fitzpatrick
1-2— Michael Vick
12-18— Geno Smith
33-29— Mark Sanchez

This helps explain why they’d like to add Aaron Rodgers; Jets haven’t made the playoffs since 2010.

— Colleges that had the most players in cited to this year’s NBA Combine:
13— Alabama
12— Georgia
9— Florida, LSU, Michigan, TCU
8— Clemson, Ohio State
7— Maryland, Oklahoma, Penn State, Tennessee

— NFL coaching stuff:
Washington Commanders hired Eric Bieniemy as their new offensive coordinator.
Carolina Panthers hired Thomas Brown as their new offensive coordinator.

— Los Angeles Dodgers had a great year last year, they went 111-51, but they were only 16-15 in one-run games. Their record could’ve been a lot better.

Colorado Rockies went 23-24 in one-run games, but they finished 68-94. Could’ve been a lot worse.

— Angels signed P Matt Moore to a one-year deal worth $7.5M.

— It is interesting how leagues do things differently:
NBA has their trade deadline the week before their All-Star Game
NHL has their trade deadline several weeks after their All-Star Game

— Boston Celtics took the interim coach tag off of 34-year old Joe Mazzulla; he is now their permanent head coach. Celtics are 42-17 under Mazzulla.

— Looking at the #1-5 seeds in the NBA’s Western Conference, only one of them has ever won an NBA title and that was way back in 1951, when the Rochester Royals won a championship in the NBA’s third season.

Royals moved to Cincinnati in 1957.
Royals changed their name to the Kings, moved to Kansas City in 1972.
Kings moved to Sacramento in 1985.

— Longest winning streaks in college basketball:
16— Eastern Washington, Big Sky
11— Oral Roberts, Summit
10— Toledo, MAC
9— Hofstra CAA/Northwestern State Southland

— XFL starts this weekend, with four games, as football never rests.

— Get well soon to Richmond basketball coach Chris Mooney, who will have heart surgery soon and miss the rest of this season; Mooney will undergo a procedure to remove an aneurysm in his ascending aorta. Assistant coach Peter Thomas will be the Spiders’ interim head coach.

 

[Udog]

FLORIDA is 15-4 Over (10.6 Units) in road games after playing a road game in the current season.

COLORADO is 27-7 ATS (19.3 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more in the current season.

NEW JERSEY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 6-2 ATS (3.8 Units) in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 29-69 ATS (-46.9 Units) after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games since 1996.

WASHINGTON is 36-20 Over (14 Units) in road games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 40-26 ATS (11.4 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games in the last 3 seasons.

CALGARY is 7-1 Over (5.9 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current seas...

ARIZONA is 9-36 ATS (-30.6 Units) in road games after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games since 1996.

DETROIT is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more in the current season.

BUFFALO is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more in the current season.

VEGAS are 30-17 Over (11.3 Units) after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NHL

Saturday, February 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Florida @ Nashville
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games on the road
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing Florida
Nashville is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games

Colorado @ St. Louis
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 10 games on the road
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado

NY Islanders @ Boston
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
NY Islanders is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games

New Jersey @ Pittsburgh
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Columbus @ Dallas
Columbus
Columbus is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Columbus is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games

Montreal @ Toronto
Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Montreal is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Montreal

Washington @ Carolina
Washington
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina
Carolina is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games at home

Philadelphia @ Vancouver
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Vancouver
Philadelphia is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vancouver's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia

NY Rangers @ Calgary
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games
Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers

Arizona @ Los Angeles
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games
Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Buffalo @ San Jose
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Detroit @ Seattle
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Vegas
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Vegas
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Vegas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, February 18

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 18

COL at STL	02:00 PM	STL +145 O 6.0	+500 +500
FLA at NAS	02:00 PM	NAS +105 O 6.5	+500 +500
NYI at BOS	05:00 PM	NYI +195 O 5.5	+500 +500
NJ at PIT	05:30 PM	NJ -115 U 6.5	+500 +500
CLB at DAL	06:00 PM	DAL -270 U 6.0	+500 +500
MON at TOR	07:00 PM	MON +325 O 6.5	+500 +500
WAS at CAR	08:00 PM	CAR -192 O 5.5	+500 +500
NYR at CAL	10:00 PM	CAL -135 O 6.5	+500 +500
PHI at VAN	10:00 PM	VAN -120 U 6.5	+500 +500
ARI at LA	10:30 PM	ARI +180 U 6.5	+500 +500
DET at SEA	10:30 PM	SEA -180 O 6.5	+500 +500
BUF at SJ	10:30 PM	SJ +100 U 6.5	+500 +500
TB at VEG	10:30 PM	TB -125 O 6.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

02/19/2023	0-0-0	0.00%	+0	Detail
02/18/2023	11-15-0	42.31%	-3350	Detail
02/17/2023	7-3-0	70.00%	+1025	Detail
02/16/2023	9-7-0	56.25%	+750	Detail
02/15/2023	6-6-0	50.00%	-525	Detail
02/14/2023	7-11-0	38.89%	-2925	Detail
02/13/2023	6-3-1	65.00%	+2100	Detail
02/12/2023	3-5-0	37.50%	-1825	Detail
02/11/2023	15-13-0	53.57%	-160	Detail
02/10/2023	2-6-0	25.00%	-2150	Detail
02/09/2023	7-6-1	53.57%	-400	Detail
02/08/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1100	Detail
02/07/2023	6-5-1	54.17%	+650	Detail
02/06/2023	6-5-0	54.55%	+800	Detail
02/01/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+1000	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack
Teams shooting highest %age inside the 3-point arc:
59.3%— Marquette
59.0%— Indiana State
59.0%— Furman
58.9%— Eastern Washington
58.2%— Gonzaga
57.8%— Cornell

Quote of the Day
“You ain’t getting a lot of these guys unless they’re getting some sort of bag. Number one, we weren’t in position to do that. Number two, we’re not comfortable doing that. Number three, we didn’t want to ever prioritize some random guy from the Mountain West Conference over our current players. That’s ludicrous to me.”
Marquette coach Shaka Smart, talking about the transfer portal

Sunday’s quiz
When was the last time a Pac-12 team won the national title in college basketball?

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie The Rewrite, Hugh Grant plays a Hollywood screenwriter who teaches a writing course at Binghamton University.

Friday’s quiz
Last time New York Knicks were in the NBA Finals, they lost in five games to San Antonio, in 1999.

*******************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

SEC
— Kentucky 66, Tennessee 54— Wildcats are 8-3 in their last 11 games; they swept Tennessee this year, look like they’ll be going to the NCAA’s. Kentucky led 39-19 at halftime; Vols are 2-4 in their last six games, after an 18-3 start.

When you see the brackets in three weeks and start filling them out, think about this: in his long and successful career, Tennessee coach Rick Barnes is 25-26 in NCAA Tournament games. His team was favored in 18 of the 26 games they lost. His teams are 19-31-1 ATS in tournament games; they’re 9-16 SU in tournament games decided by 6 or fewer points.

Big 12
— Kansas 87, Baylor 71— Baylor led by 17 at one point; they led 45-32 at halftime. Kansas outscored them 55-26 in the second half.

— Kansas State 61, Iowa State 55— Cyclones led 31-23 at halftime, were outscored 38-24 in the second half.

— TCU 100, Oklahoma 75— TCU star Miles returned, scored 15 points; Horned Frogs shot 74% inside the arc. That is how a fragile a lot of teams are; TCU went 1-4 in the games Miles missed, but they looked great here, with him back in lineup.

With two weeks left in regular season, Kansas/Texas are tied for first place, with a Baylor a game behind them in third place.

ACC
— Miami 96, Wake Forest 87— Miami has won five games in row; they’re 22-5, 13-4 in ACC, but somehow, when the selection committee unveiled its top 16 teams on the Bracket Preview Show, they left Miami out. There is no freakin’ way there are 16 teams better than the Hurricanes.

— Louisville 83, Clemson 73— This is a horrific, hideous loss for the Tigers, just the kind of thing bubble teams need to avoid. Bracketology has Clemson as the last team in, but this loss is going to stick out like a sore thumb on Selection Sunday.

Big West
— Cal-Riverside 74, UCSB 61— Riverside sweeps the Gauchos for the first time; they’re 18-10, 11-5 in Big West play, their best-ever season as a Division I team.

— Cal-Irvine 78, Cal-Davis 76— Santa Barbara got beat in Riverside, so the Anteaters take over first place in the Big West.

Lot of the mid-major leagues only have another week of games before their conference tournaments start. Here is a look at some of those leagues……..

— MAC— Kent State/Toledo are tied for first, with Akron a game behind them and Ball State another game back.

— Ivy— Yale-Princeton-Penn are in a 3-way tie for first with two games left; more importantly, Cornell/Brown are tied for 4th place. The Ivy Tournament is a 4-team event. Both teams play Yale/Columbia to finish the regular season.

— MVC— Drake/Bradley are tied for first place, with three other teams a game behind.

— Atlantic 15— Leagues shouldn’t have more than 12 teams; these 14 or 15-team leagues are so freakin’ cumbersome. With two weeks to go in regular season, VCU leads Dayton/Saint Louis by a game each. Fordham is 21-6 and having a great season.

— Big Sky— Eastern Washington is 21-7, 15-0 in league games, with a 3-game lead, but there will be a ton of pressure on the Eagles to win the Big Sky tournament; they ain’t getting an at-large bid. EWU is 5-7 in its D-I non-league games; their best non-conference win was over #138 Cal-Davis but they do have the nation’s longest active winning streak, 17 in a row.

— University of New Mexico offers a course called “Sports English” which deals with how athletes interact with print/TV media. Wish they had courses like this when I was in college.

— A high school kid in West Virginia made 20-28 3-pointers in a recent game; he scored 64 points in his team’s easy win. Making 20-28 3-pointers in an empty gym would be impressive.

— Apparently there are only two escalators in the entire state of Wyoming, both in a shopping mall in Casper. They were actually talking about that on TV during the Wyoming-Air Force game Friday night.

— Friday was quite a day for the athletic department at Grand Canyon University; during the day, MLB Network broadcast their baseball game against Cal State-San Diego, then at 11pm, the Antelopes’ basketball game vs Abilene Christian was on ESPN2. They have a terrific student section for their home basketball games.

Former Vanderbilt coach Bryce Drew coaches Grand Canyon; they’re 17-10 this season, 8-6 in a pretty good WAC.

XFL season started Saturday:
— Renegades 22, Vipers 20— Las Vegas scored a TD with 0:08 left, but the game-tying 2-point play failed, so the home crowd in Arlington went home happy.

Vipers’ QB Perez threw three TD passes, but has also threw two pick-6’s, which were the only two TD’s Arlington scored. Perez was in training camp with the Rams last summer. Renegades’ QB Drew Plitt was in camp with Cincinnati; he threw for 179 yards.

— Roughnecks 33, Guardians 12— Wade Phillips coaches Houston; I remember when his dad coached the Houston Oilers way back when. Wade’s son is the OC in Minnesota now. Is there an advantage for teams in this league who have a head coach with experience?

Brandon Silvers is Houston’s QB; he played in the AAF in 2019, the XFL in 2020. He played college ball at Troy State. Orlando used two QB’s, Paxton Lynch, who used to play for Denver Broncos, and Qjuinten Dormady, who played at Central Michigan.

— Best part of leagues like this is that they give the TV viewer better access to what goes on behind the curtain; instant replay reviews, interviews on sidelines, stuff like that. There are different rules including being able to go for 1, 2 or 3 points after a touchdown— I think that rule will one day make its way into the NFL.

By the way, Houston Roughnecks have the ugliest helmets……ever. Worse than the Browns or the Bears’ throwback helmets.

 

[Udog]

OTTAWA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 16-3 Over (12.7 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.

EDMONTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after 4 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 11-18 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 7-0 Under (7 Units) when playing 5 or less games in 14 days in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 6-2 ATS (3.8 Units) in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons.




NHL

Sunday, February 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Nashville @ Minnesota
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Nashville is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games

St. Louis @ Ottawa
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games
Ottawa is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

Edmonton @ Colorado
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Edmonton's last 10 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton

Toronto @ Chicago
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Toronto

Winnipeg @ New Jersey
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
Winnipeg is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games

Columbus @ Arizona
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, February 19

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 19

NAS at MIN	02:00 PM	MIN -200 U 6.0	+500 +500
STL at OTT	02:00 PM	OTT -150 O 6.5	+500 +500
EDM at COL	03:00 PM	COL -125 O 6.5	+500 +500
TOR at CHI	06:00 PM	TOR -245 O 6.5	+500 +500
WIN at NJ	07:00 PM	NJ -130 U 6.0	+500 +500
CLB at ARI	08:30 PM	ARI -120 U 6.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

02/19/2023	9-2-1	79.17%	+2725	Detail
02/18/2023	11-15-0	42.31%	-3350	Detail
02/17/2023	7-3-0	70.00%	+1025	Detail
02/16/2023	9-7-0	56.25%	+750	Detail
02/15/2023	6-6-0	50.00%	-525	Detail
02/14/2023	7-11-0	38.89%	-2925	Detail
02/13/2023	6-3-1	65.00%	+2100	Detail
02/12/2023	3-5-0	37.50%	-1825	Detail
02/11/2023	15-13-0	53.57%	-160	Detail
02/10/2023	2-6-0	25.00%	-2150	Detail
02/09/2023	7-6-1	53.57%	-400	Detail
02/08/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1100	Detail
02/07/2023	6-5-1	54.17%	+650	Detail
02/06/2023	6-5-0	54.55%	+800	Detail
02/01/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+1000	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack
College teams with best 2-point FG% defense, and their records:
41.9%— Alabama (23-4)
42.4%— USC (19-8)
42.6%— Arizona State (19-9)
43%— Utah Valley (21-6)
43.1%— Houston (25-2)
43.7%— Tennessee (20-7)

Quote of the Day
“I think every pitcher is taught to be on your own tempo, be controlled, breathe and slow the game down. Now the pitch clock is going to affect that a little bit, but we’re all big leaguers. We can make an adjustment.”
Astros’ P Ryan Pressly

Monday’s quiz
When Michael Jordan played minor league baseball for the White Sox AA team in 1994, what current major league skipper managed the team?

Sunday’s quiz
1997 was the last time a Pac-12 team won the national title in college basketball, when the Arizona Wildcats won.

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie The Rewrite, Hugh Grant plays a Hollywood screenwriter who teaches a writing course at Binghamton University.

*****************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend……..

— NC State 77, North Carolina 69— Tar Heels have now lost five of their last six games; they were outscored 29-15 over the final 9:10 of this game. Carolina is a bubble team; they still have to play Virginia/Duke before the ACC Tournament.

With an 0-9 record against Quad 1 teams, North Carolina needs to beat a quality team.

— Northwestern 80, Iowa 60— Wildcats had two players poached last summer; one went to Duke, the other North Carolina, so they lost two good players they didn’t think they were going to lose. After going 60-90 the last five years, expectations were low this year. Very low.

Despite that, Northwestern has won five games in a row; they’re 20-7, 11-5 in conference, and they appear headed to the Field of 68, a magical season for coach Chris Collins. Wildcats are 8-3 in games decided by 7 or less points; they’re a very good defensive team.

— Houston 72, Memphis 64— Tigers are 20-7, just above the bubble according to Bracketology; they can’t afford a bad loss in the AAC Tournament, or Selection Sunday becomes a very long day. Memphis-Houston have a rematch in Memphis in two weeks; they could use a win there to lower everyone’s blood pressure.

— Nebraska 70, Maryland 66 OT— Nebraska won its last three games, two of them in OT; they are 7-10 in conference, their best Big 14 record in five years.

— Georgetown 68, Butler 63— Hoyas end a 22-game road losing streak; they’re now 2-35 in their last 37 conference games, but they’re also 9-1 ATS in their last ten games, so if you’ve been betting on Georgetown, you’ve been cleaning up.

— Quinnipiac 90, Rider 88, 2OT— Rider led by 16 with 12:11 left in game, blew the lead; they lost last two games by 3-2 points, after an 8-game win streak. Quinnipiac was 29-41 on foul line, 11-22 on arc. Rider was 11-17 on the foul line.

Rider is now tied for 2nd in the MAAC with Siena, two games behind Iona.

— Washington State 68, Oregon 65— Ducks lost their last three games by a total of 11 points, as they slip off the bubble.

— Last Sunday, Eagles won the Super Bowl; seven days later, Arizona hired Eagles’ DC Jonathan Gannon as their new head coach, and he has already hired his two coordinators, one of whom is 29 years old, younger than 11 players on the Arizona roster.

Cleveland Browns’ QB coach Drew Petzing is the Cardinals new OC; his job is to coach Kyler Murray, a QB who makes $46M a year, has a 25-31-1 career record and is coming off a serious knee injury. No pressure there.

Cardinals hiring 29-year old Eagles LB coach Nick Rallis as defensive coordinator; he worked for the Vikings under Mike Zimmer, before moving to the Eagles.

— Major league teams went 13-6 in arbitration hearings against players this winter; those hearings are one side or the other; there is no middle ground.

— Actor/comedian Richard Belzer passed away this weekend at age 78; for 23 years, he played Detective John Munch, first on Homicide, then on Law and Order SVU.

A long time ago, I think it was 1978, my cousin took me to Catch a Rising Star, a comedy club in Manhattan. The place was famous for being a launching pad for the careers of many famous singers/comedians. Richard Belzer was the MC; funny, profane; this was a whole new world to me. I was 18; I enjoyed watching comedians on TV; all this was fascinating.

Johnny Carson used to visit this place and put the better comedians on the Tonight Show; that is how prominent it was. A young lady came on stage to sing; she was REALLY good; turns out it was Pat Benatar, who became really famous shortly thereafter.

When Homicide was first on TV, I took an interest because Mr Belzer played John Munch, who was a wise-cracking detective. He was very good in that role, for a long time.

It sucks that Richard Belzer passed away this weekend; he entertained a lot of people for a long time. RIP, sir.

XFL season started this weekend:
— Battlehawks 18, Brahmas 15— Trailing 15-3 with 2:00 to go, St Louis scored two TD’s and won the game, behind QB AJ McCarron, who started four games in the NFL from 2015-20. The new onside kick rule is how the Battlehawks got the second drive in the last 2:00.

Instead of an onside kick, the team that is kicking off has a 4th-and-15 from its own 20-yard line, and the game continues from there. St Louis converted the 4th-and-15, then drove 80 yards for the game-winning TD.

Brahmas outgained St Louis 324-235; they ran 77 plays to 46 for St Louis, but they lost.

— Defenders 22, Sea Dragons 18— Sea Dragons have great helmets; they also fumbled on the 3-yard line in the last minute, losing a game they led 9-0 early on. Defenders scored on a pick-6;

Interesting matchup here; June Jones is Seattle’s OC, Gregg Williams is the Defenders’ DC. Defenders completed only 9-21 passes, were outgained 331-177, but the pick-6 turned the tide in their favor.

— All in all, a good first weekend for the league; the games were competitive, fun to watch (except for Houston’s helmets, which are awful), The league announced their championship game will be in the Alamodome in San Antonio in May.

 

[Udog]

BOSTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite in the current season.

ANAHEIM is 4-27 ATS (-25.7 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in 2 straight games in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more in the current season.

NY ISLANDERS are 21-40 ATS (-23 Units) in road games after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 7-0 Under (7 Units) when playing 5 or less games in 14 days in the current season.




NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, February 20

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OTTAWA (26-24-0-4, 56 pts.) at BOSTON (42-9-0-4, 88 pts.) - 2/20/2023, 1:07 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 42-13 ATS (+58.7 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 29-4 ATS (+20.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 28-29 ATS (+76.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 18-16 ATS (+45.5 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 171-154 ATS (-86.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-3 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-3-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.0 Units)

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ANAHEIM (17-34-0-5, 39 pts.) at FLORIDA (28-26-0-5, 61 pts.) - 2/20/2023, 1:07 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 2-13 ATS (+21.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
ANAHEIM is 17-55 ATS (+111.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 7-27 ATS (+56.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
FLORIDA is 71-23 ATS (+30.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 28-3 ATS (+21.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 284-303 ATS (+652.3 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 57-50 ATS (+119.2 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 26-21 ATS (+54.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 28-31 ATS (+65.5 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 10-17 ATS (-14.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 3-0-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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SEATTLE (32-18-0-6, 70 pts.) at SAN JOSE (17-31-1-8, 43 pts.) - 2/20/2023, 4:07 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 32-24 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 10-3 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
SEATTLE is 16-10 ATS (+26.6 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
SAN JOSE is 17-39 ATS (-50.3 Units) in all games this season.
SAN JOSE is 2-15 ATS (+23.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
SAN JOSE is 67-69 ATS (-41.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 4-1 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (22-25-0-10, 54 pts.) at CALGARY (26-21-0-9, 61 pts.) - 2/20/2023, 4:07 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-33 ATS (+63.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 493-450 ATS (-142.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-16 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-5 ATS (+17.7 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
CALGARY is 26-30 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games this season.
CALGARY is 73-66 ATS (-34.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-16 ATS (-19.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CALGARY is 11-17 ATS (-19.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CALGARY is 10-16 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CALGARY is 2-5 ATS (-8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 2-1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (28-25-1-5, 62 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (27-20-0-8, 62 pts.) - 2/20/2023, 7:07 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 10-9-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (34-20-0-1, 69 pts.) at NY RANGERS (32-15-2-7, 73 pts.) - 2/20/2023, 7:07 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 21-33 ATS (-17.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 94-62 ATS (+171.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 55-33 ATS (+18.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 48-36 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 26-18 ATS (+45.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 34-21 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 2-1-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NHL

Monday, February 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ottawa @ Boston
Ottawa
Ottawa is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Ottawa

Anaheim @ Florida
Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Anaheim's last 17 games
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Florida's last 14 games

Seattle @ San Jose
Seattle
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Seattle

Philadelphia @ Calgary
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Calgary
Philadelphia is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Calgary
Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Winnipeg @ NY Rangers
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Winnipeg's last 16 games on the road
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

NY Islanders @ Pittsburgh
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against NY Islanders


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, February 20

 

[Udog]

NHL Against the Spread Rankings

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 20

NYI at PIT	07:00 PM	PIT -160 O 6.0	+500 +500
WIN at NYR	07:00 PM	NYR -165 U 6.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

02/20/2023	1-2-1	37.50%	-1125	Detail
02/19/2023	9-2-1	79.17%	+2725	Detail
02/18/2023	11-15-0	42.31%	-3350	Detail
02/17/2023	7-3-0	70.00%	+1025	Detail
02/16/2023	9-7-0	56.25%	+750	Detail
02/15/2023	6-6-0	50.00%	-525	Detail
02/14/2023	7-11-0	38.89%	-2925	Detail
02/13/2023	6-3-1	65.00%	+2100	Detail
02/12/2023	3-5-0	37.50%	-1825	Detail
02/11/2023	15-13-0	53.57%	-160	Detail
02/10/2023	2-6-0	25.00%	-2150	Detail
02/09/2023	7-6-1	53.57%	-400	Detail
02/08/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1100	Detail
02/07/2023	6-5-1	54.17%	+650	Detail
02/06/2023	6-5-0	54.55%	+800	Detail
02/01/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+1000	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— Sitting here at 2am and I just struck TV gold; found re-runs of all the old Odd Couple TV shows, the Jack Klugman/Tony Randall shows from the 70’s. Tremendous.

When the Odd Couple ran its course on network TV, the re-runs aired on local stations for years. I’d watch them all the time; lot of times my dad would come home from work and sit there and shake his head/laugh watching it with me. Those were fun times.

— West Virginia 85, Oklahoma State 67— Mountaineers won easily, snapping a 3-game losing skid- they’re 16-12, 5-10 in Big X, somehow still a bubble team. West Virginia has a road trip to Kansas/Iowa State Saturday/Monday; they need to win one of those games to get off the bubble.

— While we’re here, my opinion is that a team that is 5-10 in its conference shouldn’t be allowed in the NCAA Tournament. You want to play for a national title, the team should have to finish at least 8-10 to get in the tournament.

If I made the rules, two games under .500 in conference play would be a minimum requirement to make the NCAA’s, unless you win the conference tournament.

— Duke 79, Louisville 62— Never thought I’d see the day when Louisville is 4-24, but here we are. They actually led this game 18-9, but the Cardinals are turning the ball over 22.7% of the time (#355), shooting 46.9% inside the arc (#309). Louisville is experience team #338, and it shows.

— Cal-Fullerton 74, UCSB 60— Surprisingly easy win for the Titans, who improve to 11-6 in the Big West. UCSB drops into a 3-way tie for 2nd in the Big West, two games behind Cal-Irvine.

— Cal-Irvine 69, Cal Poly 56— Anteaters have won five games in a row, but haven’t looked good doing it; they beat Cal Poly 55-54/59-56, and Cal Poly is horrible- they’ve lost 16 games in a row.

Irvine is almost always a good defensive team; Big West teams are shooting 42.6% inside the arc against them, the best defense in the league.

— Kansas 63, TCU 58— Jayhawks have won five in a row, are 23-5 and talking heads on ESPN is falling all over themselves saying they’re the best team in the country. We’ll see.

TCU shot 30.3% from the floor they’ve lost five of their last six games.

— Illinois 78, Minnesota 69— Gophers have lost 10 games in a row, are 7-18, 1-14; I’m not sure if the coach’s job is in jeopardy, but I do know that Luke Murray is an assistant coach at UConn. If Minnesota does make a change, they should hire Luke Murray as their new head coach.

Could you imagine Bill Murray’s son coaching the Gophers? The commercials they could make with clips from Caddyshack thrown in— it would be excellent.

— Cal-Riverside 96, Cal-Northridge 76— Highlanders are shooting 38.6% on the arc in Big West games, #1 in league; this will be Riverside’s 4th straight winning season- they haven’t been in the Division I NCAA Tournament yet. We’ll see what happens next month.

— Hawai’i 61, Cal-Bakersfield 50— Rainbows are 20-8, are in a 3-way tie for second in Big West; they’ve got the #6 eFG% defense in country.

— Cal-Davis 76, Cal-San Diego 66— Aggies were +8 in turnovers (16-8); they were 22-34 on the foul line. Cal-Davis is a good defensive team, forcing turnovers 21.3% of time (#41).

— Was watching Cleveland State play the other night; the school’s athletic director also plays the trumpet in the band at home games.

— Siena Saints are 17-10, 11-5 in the MAAC; they’ve got players from six different countries on their roster. Siena is three miles from my house; I’m wondering what the two kids from Iceland on their team think about living in the Albany suburbs?

— Tulsa is 5-21 this season, 3-21-2 against the spread; they’ve lost eight games in a row, all by 10+ points. Opponents are shooting 57.5% inside the arc against them; no bueno.

— Indianapolis Colts are going to hire Jim Bob Cooter as offensive coordinator; the new head coach Shane Steichen is going to call plays, but Cooter will be the OC— he worked for the Lions from 2014-18. I’m wondering what Matthew Stafford thinks of him?

In his playing days, Cooter was Peyton Manning’s backup at Tennessee, which I’m guessing helped him land a job with the Colts.

— NFL free agency starts in less than a month; Giants’ QB Daniel Jones has changed agents. Supposedly negotiations between Jones’ people and the Giants got off to a rough start, and now Jones fired those people, and has new people.

The average salary in 2022 for NFL starting QB’s on a veteran contract was $32,036,681.

If you were an NFL GM and your job depended on the team winning, would you pay Daniel Jones $32,036,681 a year to play quarterback? It is an interesting question.