Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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OCTOBER NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/25/2022..............11-9-0...................55.00%.....................+16.35
10/24/2022...............5-7-0....................41.67%.....................-11.10
10/23/2022...............5-5-0....................50.00%.....................+4 .25
10/22/2022.............93-73-0..................57.69%..................... 10.70
10/21/2022................2-4-0...................33.33%.....................- 7.00
10/20/2022...............16-7-1..................69.75%.....................+25 00
10/19/2022.................3-3-0..................50.00%.....................+ 3.65
10/18/2022.................8-8-0..................50.00%......................- 3.95
10/17/2022...............11-7-0..................61.11%................. .....-5.10
10/15/2022..............11-16-1.................41.07%......................-36.90
10/14/2022..................5-3-0.................62.50%................. ....+ 9.50
10/13/2022................12-8-0.................60.00%................. ...+19.95
10/12/2022..................8-4-0.................66.67%................. ...+12.35
10/11/2022..................2-2-0.................50.00%................... ....-1.40

TOTALS..................99-83-2................54.39%.....................+ 39.50


BEST BETS

10/25/2022..................5-7-0.................41.66%.....................-2.00
10/24/2022..................2-5-0.................28.57%.....................-15.85
10/23/2022..................2-4-0.................33.33%.....................-3.75
10/22/2022..................8-7-0.................53.33%.....................+5.95
10/21/2022..................2-2-0.................50.00%.....................+ 4.15
10/20/2022..................6-2-1.................75.00%.....................+21.7 0
10/19/2022..................3-3-0.................50.00%.....................+ 3.65
10/18/2022..................4-5-0.................44.44%.................... .+ 0.95
10/17/2022..................6-4-0.................60.00%.................... .+8.55
10/14//2022.................3-3-0.................50.00%.................... .- 0.50
10/13/2022..................6-6-0.................50.00%.................... .+1.50
10/12/2022..................3-2-0..................60.00%.................... +5.15
10/11/2022..................1-2-0..................33.33%.................... .-6.40

TOTALS..................51-52-0..................49.51%................. .+ 22.60
 
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Wednesday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in rushing yardage:
740— Nick Chubb, Clev
726— Saquon Barkley, NJG
633— Josh Jacobs, LV
536— Derrick Henry, Tenn
510— Lamar Jackson, Balt
504— Dameon Pierce, Hst

Quote of the Day
“This has been a very tough day for me and, honestly speaking, coach was the most caring person I ever met. He cared so much for his players and honestly speaking it would (be) very difficult for me to put on a jasper’s uniform again if coach ain’t on those sidelines. Love you coach!”
Manhattan basketball player Jose Perez

Wednesday’s quiz
First time the Rams played in a Super Bowl, who was their QB?

Tuesday’s quiz
Last time the Chicago Bears played in a Super Bowl, Rex Grossman was their QB.

Monday’s quiz
Mary Tyler Moore Show was set in the Twin Cities of Minnesota.

******************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

Notes on how NFL divisions are doing against the spread, in non-divisional games:
— NFC East— (14-5) 9-2 ATS at home, 7-3 as underdogs, 7-2 as favorites.
— NFC North— (8-10) 2-5 ATS on road, 4-5 as underdogs, 3-4 as favorites.
— NFC South— (6-12) 3-5 ATS on road, 4-8 as underdogs, 2-4 as favorites.
— NFC West— (9-10) 3-6 ATS as favorites, 6-4 as underdogs, 4-6 at home

— AFC East— (12-8) 0-4 ATS as home dogs, 6-1 as road dog, 7-3 as favorites
— AFC North— (11-9) 5-2 ATS as underdogs, 6-4 on road, 6-7 as favorites
— AFC South— (6-8) 3-5 ATS as road underdogs, 2-3 at home, 1-2 as favorites
— AFC West— (6-10) 1-5 ATS as home favorites, 4-3 as road favorites.

— Scheduling quirk; Indianapolis Colts have already played five of their six division games. There are six teams that have only played one divisional game so far.

— Green Bay is +10.5 at Buffalo this week, just second time in last 11 years they’ve been a double digit underdog. In 2017, Packers (+13) lost 31-28 in Pittsburgh.

— QB Bailey Zappe has had an interesting path to the NFL:
He played three years at I-AA Houston Baptist. The offensive coordinator there got a better job at Western Kentucky— he took Zappe and HBU’s best receiver with him. Zappe threw for 62 TD’s in three years with the Huskies.

At Western Kentucky, Zappe threw for another 62 TD’s, but in one season. New England took him in the 4th round of last spring’s draft.

So far in his rookie season, Zappe has thrown for 596 yards, four TD’s.

— World Series starts Friday night; games are on FOX. Problem is, the FOX station in Albany is having a price war with DirecTV, as in, the station is no longer being shown on DirecTV, which means the World Series won’t be on my TV Friday night, unless these greedy bastards come to an agreement on their dispute.

Oy.

Called both parties to complain; they both blamed the other side. Go figure.

The DirecTV guy did tell me that I can probably watch the ballgame on my phone, so there is that. Can also go out and watch it at a bar that doesn’t have DirecTV.

— Miami Marlins named Cardinals’ bench coach Skip Schumacher as their new manager; he also spent four years coaching in the San Diego Padres’ organization, after playing 11 years in the majors, for three different teams.

— George Clooney/Julia Roberts have now been in six movies together; by way of contrast, Spencer Tracy and Katharine Hepburn were in nine movies together.

— Manhattan Jaspers fired their basketball coach Tuesday, less than two weeks before the season starts. Bad timing.

Manhattan had been picked to finish second in the MAAC in the preseason coaches’ poll; good luck with that, seeing how a lot of Manhattan’s players voiced their displeasure with Steve Masiello getting fired— he had been there for 11 years.

Manhattan made the NCAA’s in 2014 and 2015, but they haven’t had a winning season since; Masiello’s contract was up in April.

Manhattan has 10 seniors, who are not happy; the players could petition the NCAA to be immediately eligible if they transfer, which could create a small tsunami of players going elsewhere. Stay tuned.

— Speaking of the MAAC, the league made a big jump last year, ranked #16 out of 32 college hoop conferences. That is 11 spots higher than the year before, and highest ranking for the league since 2013, when the MAAC was #14 in the country.

— There are 11 Division I college basketball programs in the state of Indiana.

— In the NBA, Portland Trailblazers are 4-0 for the first time since 1999.

— Denver G Ish Smith is playing for his 13th NBA team, which is an NBA record. In his 13 seasons, he’s scored 5,465 points, with 2,800 assists. Interesting career.

— Halloween is coming up next week; few years ago, I spent Halloween weekend at the SouthPoint Casino in Las Vegas, a very good place.

The rodeo was also in Las Vegas; first couple nights I was there, 80% of the people in the casino were wearing cowboy garb— tins of Skoal, the whole deal. I felt like an extra in an old western movie. Bartenders were annoyed; apparently, cowboys aren’t good tippers.

The night after the cowboys went home, they laid out a red carpet at the front door of the casino; asked a security guard what the deal was, it was the Fetish and Fantasy Ball.

Talk about an eye-opening experience; some very interesting costumes. I rode up in the elevator with a couple; the guy was dressed up as a prison guard, his female friend was his prisoner, with a cuffs on and all that, even around her neck. Her costume was cut in strategic places.

Difficult to concentrate on your gambling with costumes like that roaming around the casino all night, but I do highly recommend Halloween in Las Vegas.
 
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NY ISLANDERS are 25-15 Over (8.5 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

EDMONTON is 14-3 Over (10.7 Units) off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 13-40 ATS (-31 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 26

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NHL

Wednesday, October 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Rangers @ NY Islanders
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Rangers's last 12 games
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
NY Islanders is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Rangers

Edmonton @ St. Louis
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Edmonton
St. Louis is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games

Tampa Bay @ Anaheim
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim
Anaheim is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
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WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 26
NYR at NYI07:30 PMNYR +132
O 6.0		+500 +500
EDM at STL08:00 PMSTL +103
O 6.5		+500 +500
TB at ANA10:00 PMTB -146
U 6.5		+500 +500
 
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OCTOBER NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !




10/26/2022...............2-4-0....................33.33%.....................-11.00
10/25/2022..............11-9-0...................55.00%.....................+16 .35
10/24/2022...............5-7-0....................41.67%.....................-11.10
10/23/2022...............5-5-0....................50.00%.....................+4 .25
10/22/2022.............93-73-0..................57.69%..................... 10.70
10/21/2022................2-4-0...................33.33%.....................- 7.00
10/20/2022...............16-7-1..................69.75%.....................+25 00
10/19/2022.................3-3-0..................50.00%.....................+ 3.65
10/18/2022.................8-8-0..................50.00%......................- 3.95
10/17/2022...............11-7-0..................61.11%................. .....-5.10
10/15/2022..............11-16-1.................41.07%......................-36.90
10/14/2022..................5-3-0.................62.50%................. ....+ 9.50
10/13/2022................12-8-0.................60.00%................. ...+19.95
10/12/2022..................8-4-0.................66.67%................. ...+12.35
10/11/2022..................2-2-0.................50.00%................... ....-1.40

TOTALS.................101-87-2................53.72%.....................+ 28.50


BEST BETS


10/26/2022.................1-4-0..................20.00%....................-16.00
10/25/2022..................5-7-0.................41.66%.....................-2.00
10/24/2022..................2-5-0.................28.57%.....................-15.85
10/23/2022..................2-4-0.................33.33%.....................-3.75
10/22/2022..................8-7-0.................53.33%.....................+5.95
10/21/2022..................2-2-0.................50.00%.....................+ 4.15
10/20/2022..................6-2-1.................75.00%.....................+21.7 0
10/19/2022..................3-3-0.................50.00%.....................+ 3.65
10/18/2022..................4-5-0.................44.44%.................... .+ 0.95
10/17/2022..................6-4-0.................60.00%.................... .+8.55
10/14//2022.................3-3-0.................50.00%.................... .- 0.50
10/13/2022..................6-6-0.................50.00%.................... .+1.50
10/12/2022..................3-2-0..................60.00%.................... +5.15
10/11/2022..................1-2-0..................33.33%.................... .-6.40

TOTALS..................52-56-0..................48.14%.................... .+ 6.60
 
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Thursday’s 6-pack
NFL teams with worst record vs the spread (all 2-5):
— Carolina
— Denver
— Green Bay
— Jacksonville
— New Orleans
— Tampa Bay

Quote of the Day
“I think that, you know, we have to be truthful with one another, and sometimes the truth hurts. I didn’t sit there and listen to the whole thing. So I just think you have to get to the root of the truth. And that gives you an opportunity to learn and grow. And we can’t run away from that, ever. And no different than when we’re in those team meetings. You always call it how it is. And I don’t think anybody’s off limits, starting with myself.”
Green Bay coach Matt LaFleur

Thursday’s quiz
Joel Embiid played one season of college hoop, for which school?

Wednesday’s quiz
First time the Rams played in a Super Bowl, Vince Ferragamo was their QB.

Tuesday’s quiz
Last time the Chicago Bears played in a Super Bowl, Rex Grossman was their QB.

***********************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— We talked a few days ago, about how starting next year, Amazon Prime will televise an NFL game the day after Thanksgiving. Putting an NFL game on at 3:00 in the afternoon on a Friday seems unusual, but there is this: if Amazon can keep people out of shopping malls for a few hours on one of the busiest shopping days of the year, those people are more likely to do their shopping online, where the #1 option is………Amazon.

Go figure.

— Under is 63-44-1 in NFL games this season; only three teams have played more overs than unders— Raiders, Browns, Saints.

Broncos, Colts, Bucs have gone under in six of seven games, Bills/Rams in five of six.

— Best teams against spread this season:
6-1— Falcons, Giants
4-1-1—- Bills
5-2— Bengals, Cowboys, Jets

— Watched one of my all-time favorite movies Wednesday; Fast Break, with Gabe Kaplan as the manager of a New York City deli who quits to become a college basketball coach in Nevada. The movie came out in 1979, when I was a college student who hoped to be a basketball coach one day. Hadn’t seen the movie in a very long time, so this was fun.

I mention this because in the movie, the players at Cadwallader University wear Nikes, when Nike wasn’t that big a deal in 1979— the company didn’t go public until 1980. Nike registered the “swoosh” with the patent/trademark people in 1974.

The basketball parts of this movie are excellent; Gabe Kaplan had being a coach down pat; one of his players was Bernard King, the great NBA player. Michael Warren played at UCLA- he has 87 acting credits on IMDB.com.

— The question of whether to pay Lamar Jackson as a top-flight QB is a quandary the Baltimore Ravens will soon face; Jackson is the #5 rusher in the NFL right now, with 510 yards— no one else on the Ravens has more than 189 rushing yards. Very unusual for a quarterback.

Baltimore beat the Browns 23-20 last week, with Jackson throwing for only 120 yards; he ran for 59 more. Ravens won; Jackson is 42-18 as an NFL starter, impressive. It’ll be fascinating to see what they wind up doing, especially with Jackson acting as his own agent.

— Philadelphia Eagles acquired DE Robert Quinn from the Bears, for a 4th-round draft pick. Eagles are going all-in on a Super Bowl run this season. Eagles are 4th team for Quinn over the last five seasons— he was an All-Pro player for Chicago last year.

— Was watching Kansas State’s football game Saturday; Kurt Warner’s son Kade is a receiver for the Wildcats. Jake Rubley is a backup QB for K-State; his dad TJ Rubley started seven games for the Rams in 1993, but played in only one more NFL game after that, for Green Bay in 1995.

TJ Rubley was Jake’s high school coach, so the kid is well-schooled.

— St Louis Cardinals fired lot of their coaches this week, including pitching coach Mike Maddux. Veteran pitcher Adam Wainwright will be back next year, for his 18th big league season, all with the Redbirds.

— Phillies manager Rob Thomson took the team over this season, when Philly was 22-29; he is trying to join Jack McKeon/Bob Lemon as the only managers to win a World Series after taking the team over during a season.

— Winger Phil Kessel played in his 990th consecutive NHL game this week, setting a record; you have to be a tough SOB to not miss an NHL game for over 12 seasons.

—- Houston, Oklahoma City have the two youngest rosters in the NBA.

— Valparaiso University has switched its nickname from the Crusaders to the Beacons.

— Belmont/Murray State jumped from the OVC to the Missouri Valley Conference this season; Belmont went 94-14 in OVC games the last six years, but played in the NCAA’s only one time in those six years (there was no tourney in 2020).

— Since 2012, Missouri Valley squads are 12-1 in first round of the NCAA Tournament. Jumping from the OVC to the MVC is a large jump, for both programs.
 
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PHILADELPHIA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

MONTREAL is 2-17 ATS (-16.7 Units) in road games first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

OTTAWA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 6-2 ATS (3.8 Units) in road games after allowing 6 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 121-141 ATS (-34.1 Units) after having won 4 of their last 5 games since 1996.

WASHINGTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after playing 3 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored over the last...

VANCOUVER is 5-0 ATS (5 Units) in road games off 2 or more consecutive home losses in the last 3 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 27-15 ATS (10.5 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 6-0 Under (6 Units) first half of the season in the current season.
 
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NHL

Thursday, October 27

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Detroit @ Boston
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit

Montreal @ Buffalo
Montreal
Montreal is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Montreal's last 12 games
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal

Minnesota @ Ottawa
Minnesota
Minnesota is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Florida @ Philadelphia
Florida
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Florida's last 16 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home

St. Louis @ Nashville
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Nashville
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Nashville is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against St. Louis

Edmonton @ Chicago
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Edmonton's last 10 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Washington @ Dallas
Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Vancouver @ Seattle
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Vancouver's last 17 games
Seattle
Seattle is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

Winnipeg @ Los Angeles
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Winnipeg's last 10 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Los Angeles's last 10 games when playing Winnipeg

Toronto @ San Jose
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Toronto's last 21 games on the road
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 8 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
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THURSDAY, OCTOBER 27
DET at BOS07:00 PMBOS -249
O 6.5		+500 +500
MON at BUF07:00 PMBUF -184
U 7.0		+500 +500
MIN at OTT07:00 PMMIN -128
U 6.5		+500 +500
FLA at PHI07:00 PMPHI +181
O 6.5		+500 +500
STL at NAS08:00 PMSTL +150
O 6.0		+500 +500
EDM at CHI08:30 PMEDM -206
U 6.5		+500 +500
WAS at DAL08:30 PMDAL -118
O 5.5		+500 +500
VAN at SEA10:00 PMSEA -124
O 6.5		+500 +500
WIN at LA10:30 PMLA -139
U 6.0		+500 +500
TOR at SJ10:30 PMTOR -216
U 6.5		+500 +500
 
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OCTOBER NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/27/2022...........10-10-0....................50.00%.....................-11.60
10/26/2022...............2-4-0....................33.33%.....................-11.00
10/25/2022..............11-9-0...................55.00%.....................+16 .35
10/24/2022...............5-7-0....................41.67%.....................-11.10
10/23/2022...............5-5-0....................50.00%.....................+4 .25
10/22/2022.............93-73-0..................57.69%..................... 10.70
10/21/2022................2-4-0...................33.33%.....................- 7.00
10/20/2022...............16-7-1..................69.75%.....................+25 00
10/19/2022.................3-3-0..................50.00%.....................+ 3.65
10/18/2022.................8-8-0..................50.00%......................- 3.95
10/17/2022...............11-7-0..................61.11%................. .....-5.10
10/15/2022..............11-16-1.................41.07%......................-36.90
10/14/2022..................5-3-0.................62.50%................. ....+ 9.50
10/13/2022................12-8-0.................60.00%................. ...+19.95
10/12/2022..................8-4-0.................66.67%................. ...+12.35
10/11/2022..................2-2-0.................50.00%................... ....-1.40

TOTALS.................111-97-2................53.36%.....................+ 16.90


BEST BETS

10/27/2022.................6-8-0..................42.85%....................-20.40
10/26/2022.................1-4-0..................20.00%....................-16.00
10/25/2022..................5-7-0.................41.66%.....................-2.00
10/24/2022..................2-5-0.................28.57%.....................-15.85
10/23/2022..................2-4-0.................33.33%.....................-3.75
10/22/2022..................8-7-0.................53.33%.....................+5.95
10/21/2022..................2-2-0.................50.00%.....................+ 4.15
10/20/2022..................6-2-1.................75.00%.....................+21.7 0
10/19/2022..................3-3-0.................50.00%.....................+ 3.65
10/18/2022..................4-5-0.................44.44%.................... .+ 0.95
10/17/2022..................6-4-0.................60.00%.................... .+8.55
10/14//2022.................3-3-0.................50.00%.................... .- 0.50
10/13/2022..................6-6-0.................50.00%.................... .+1.50
10/12/2022..................3-2-0..................60.00%.................... +5.15
10/11/2022..................1-2-0..................33.33%.................... .-6.40

TOTALS..................58-64-0..................47.54%.................. .-13.80
 
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Friday’s 6-pack
Colleges with most players on NBA rosters:
27— Kentucky
25— Duke
12— UCLA
11— USC
11— North Carolina
10— Arizona

Quote of the Day
“It’s not even close. I know there’s stuff going around the league right now, there’s some issues. Hands down, we should be playing on grass. Hands down, we should be on grass. And that’s all I’m going to say.”
Cooper Kupp, not a fan of artificial turf

Friday’s quiz
Tom Brady was once drafted in the baseball amateur draft, as a catcher; who drafted him?

Thursday’s quiz
Joel Embiid played one season of college hoop, for Kansas.

Wednesday’s quiz
First time the Rams played in a Super Bowl, Vince Ferragamo was their QB.

*************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

— Question for you to discuss amongst yourselves:

If somehow we could have a football league with every player ever playing in their prime, under today’s rules, and you had the first pick, who would you want your quarterback to be?

It is an interesting debate.

— Ravens 27, Buccaneers 22
Ravens in first half: 41 plays, 141 yards, 3 points.
Ravens in second half: 34 plays, 289 yards, 24 points.
Ravens are 10-1 ATS last eleven games with spread of 3 or less.
Jackson threw ball for 238 yards, ran for 43 more.
AFC North teams are 12-9 ATS in non-divisional games.

3rd down conversions: Ravens 6-13, Bucs 4-13
Rushing yardage: Ravens 33-231, Bucs 15-44
Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games (0-6 ATS)
Tampa Bay is 0-4 this year when it gives up more than 15 points.
NFC South teams are 6-12 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Ryan Fitzpatrick is sitting there on the halftime show for Amazon; he played QB for 17 years in the NFL. I’d rather hear his insights than Kirk Herbstreit’s. Herbstreit never played in the NFL; plus he works college games on Saturday.

— NC State 22, Virginia Tech 21
Hokies led 21-3 with 2:00 left in third quarter.
State was 8-19 on third down, Tech 1-11.
Freshman QB Morris was 20-29/265 passing, with three TD’s.

— Southern Miss 39, Louisville 24
Golden Eagles led 29-11 at halftime.
Southern Miss had TD passes of 52-76 yards.
USM salted game away with a 52-yard pick-6 with 1:14 left.

— Los Angeles Lakers are 0-4, first time Lebron James has been 0-4 since his rookie year back in 2003. Lakers, by the way, are shooting 22.3% on the arc this season; when you have a great passer on your team, it seems like a wise thing to surround him with good shooters.

— Bengals’ star WR Ja’Marr Chase is out 4-6 weeks with a hip injury, a huge blow to Cincinnati’s chances this season.

— Mac Jones is starting at quarterback for the New England against the Jets Sunday.

— New Jersey Giants drafted WR Kadarius Toney in the first round last year, under a different regime; they traded him to Kansas City Thursday, for 3rd/6th round draft picks. Toney played in only 12 of a possible 23 games with the Giants, catching 41 passes for 420 yards.

— World Series starts tonight; Phillies’ ace Aaron Nola and Astros’ 3B Alex Bregman were college roommates at LSU.

— Houston-Philly World Series goes for the next week; the Week 9 Thursday night NFL game is also Houston-Philly, with Eagles visiting the Texans.

— David Stearns quit as Milwaukee Brewers’ president of baseball operations; Brewers missed the playoffs by a game this year, after making the playoffs the last four years.

Stearns is only 37 years old; guys don’t generally quit big jobs like that. Hope he is OK.

— Doing my preseason college basketball homework, lot of teams have jumped leagues for this season. Belmont/Murray State bolted the OVC for the Missouri Valley. Sun Belt Conference has four new teams, Loyola Chi is in the Atlantic-10 (A-15?) now, CAA added four new teams.

— Dolphins-Lions this week; Jared Goff’s first NFL start came against Miami in 2016, a game I’ve talked about in this space many times. Rams led 10-0 with 5:00 left, lost 14-10. Six years later, lot of people on both sides have changed jobs since then.

— There has been only one kick/punt return for a TD in the NFL this season, Devin Duvernay for the Ravens in Week 2.

— I enjoy researching trends, and thinking about handicapping and then picking winners; one thing that pretty much baffles me is prop betting. I’m not clear on how the bettor has any edge on prop bets; so much depends on coaching adjustments, injuries that happen after the game starts.

If you just want action, prop bets must be awesome; you can wager on most anything, but if you are serious about turning a profit, not sure how great prop bets are.
 
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ANAHEIM is 13-41 ATS (-32.1 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 21-14 ATS (5.6 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 209-212 ATS (-24.2 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days since 1996.

ARIZONA is 19-21 ATS (-4.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.
 
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NHL

Friday, October 28

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Trend Report
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Anaheim @ Vegas
Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing Vegas
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Vegas
Vegas is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Anaheim
Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Anaheim

NY Islanders @ Carolina
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 6 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Carolina is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing NY Islanders

Boston @ Columbus
Boston
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Columbus's last 7 games

Colorado @ New Jersey
Colorado
Colorado is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Jersey's last 10 games

Pittsburgh @ Vancouver
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Winnipeg @ Arizona
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games at home


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C

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FRIDAY, OCTOBER 28
ANA at VEG06:00 PMANA +232
O 6.5		+500 +500
BOS at CLB07:00 PMBOS -140
O 6.5		+500 +500
COL at NJ07:00 PMNJ +110
U 6.5		+500 +500
NYI at CAR07:00 PMCAR -183
O 5.5		+500 +500
PIT at VAN10:00 PMPIT -169
O 6.5		+500 +500
WIN at ARI10:30 PMARI +129
O 6.5		+500 +500
 
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OCTOBER NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/28/2022...............4-8-0....................33.33%.....................-29.10
10/27/2022...........10-10-0....................50.00%.....................-11.60
10/26/2022...............2-4-0....................33.33%.....................-11.00
10/25/2022..............11-9-0...................55.00%.....................+16 .35
10/24/2022...............5-7-0....................41.67%.....................-11.10
10/23/2022...............5-5-0....................50.00%.....................+4 .25
10/22/2022.............93-73-0..................57.69%..................... 10.70
10/21/2022................2-4-0...................33.33%.....................- 7.00
10/20/2022...............16-7-1..................69.75%.....................+25 00
10/19/2022.................3-3-0..................50.00%.....................+ 3.65
10/18/2022.................8-8-0..................50.00%......................- 3.95
10/17/2022...............11-7-0..................61.11%................. .....-5.10
10/15/2022..............11-16-1.................41.07%......................-36.90
10/14/2022..................5-3-0.................62.50%................. ....+ 9.50
10/13/2022................12-8-0.................60.00%................. ...+19.95
10/12/2022..................8-4-0.................66.67%................. ...+12.35
10/11/2022..................2-2-0.................50.00%................... ....-1.40

TOTALS..............115-105-2................52.27%.......................- 12.20


BEST BETS

10/28/2022.................3-7-0..................30.00%....................-24.95
10/27/2022.................6-8-0..................42.85%....................-20.40
10/26/2022.................1-4-0..................20.00%....................-16.00
10/25/2022..................5-7-0.................41.66%.....................-2.00
10/24/2022..................2-5-0.................28.57%.....................-15.85
10/23/2022..................2-4-0.................33.33%.....................-3.75
10/22/2022..................8-7-0.................53.33%.....................+5.95
10/21/2022..................2-2-0.................50.00%.....................+ 4.15
10/20/2022..................6-2-1.................75.00%.....................+21.7 0
10/19/2022..................3-3-0.................50.00%.....................+ 3.65
10/18/2022..................4-5-0.................44.44%.................... .+ 0.95
10/17/2022..................6-4-0.................60.00%.................... .+8.55
10/14//2022.................3-3-0.................50.00%.................... .- 0.50
10/13/2022..................6-6-0.................50.00%.................... .+1.50
10/12/2022..................3-2-0..................60.00%.................... +5.15
10/11/2022..................1-2-0..................33.33%.................... .-6.40

TOTALS..................61-71-0..................46.21%.................. .-38.75
 
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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack
36.3— Luka Doncic, Dal
36.0— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
33.2— Kevin Durant, Bklyn
32.6— Ja Morant, Mem
32.5— Devin Booker, Phx
32.5— Jayson Tatum, Bos

Quote of the Day
“Offensive and defensive holding would be the same penalty. Defensive holding is only five yards, offensive holding is 10 yards. I just think they should be the same.”
Bengals’ QB Joe Burrow

Saturday’s quiz
Fred Thompson was an actor who played a DA on Law and Order; in real life, he was a US Senator from which state?

Friday’s quiz
Tom Brady was once picked in the baseball amateur draft, as a catcher; he was taken in the 18th round of the 1995 draft by the Montreal Expos.

Thursday’s quiz
Joel Embiid played one season of college hoop, for Kansas.

****************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

— Phillies 6, Astros 5 (10):
JT Realmuto homered in the 10th inning for the winning run.
Astros led 5-0 after two innings, but game was 5-5 after four innings.
Kyle Tucker homered twice for Houston.
In eight World Series starts, Justin Verlander is now 0-6, 6.07; in 25 other playoff starts, he is 15-5, 3.04.

— Phillies are sixth team all-time to overcome a five-run deficit to win a World Series game. Dusty Baker was on the wrong end of the last two, also losing Game 6 of the 2002 World Series against the Angels.

— The local FOX TV station and DirecTV are at war over $$$, so I couldn’t watch this game on my TV, which is pretty sad. Greedy bastards on both sides.

I started watching the game on my phone but got booted off that after an hour. Listened to rest of the game on the ESPN app on my phone. Baseball on the radio is still excellent.

— Utah 21, Washington State 17:
Utah’s backup QB Barnes threw for 175 yards and a TD.
Utes were 7-15 on third down, Wazzu was 3-10.
Coogs ran ball 19 times for only 42 yards.

— East Carolina 27, BYU 24:
Pirates kicked a 33-yard FG at the gun for the win.
ECU’s Mitchell ran ball for 176 yards (8.4 yards/carry)
East Carolina is 6-3 this year, 13-8 in their last 21 games.

— Florida International 42, Louisiana Tech 34 OT:
Tech led 17-7 midway thru second quarter.
FIU forced overtime with a FG with 0:16 left in regulation.
Tech converted 10-18 on 3rd down, outgained Tech 429-378.
FIU’s QB James threw for 321 yards, three TD’s.

— Mentioned the other day that I watched the old (1979) movie Fast Break the other night, one of my favorites. Gabe Kaplan’s Cadwallader team plays Western U; he got a new contract if his team pulled the upset, which of course, they did, because its the movies.

Anyway, forgot to mention that the assistant coach for Western U (with no speaking part, and unlisted in credits) was none other than the great coach Jim Harrick, who at the time was an assistant coach at UCLA. He became the coach at Pepperdine later that year, and went on to win a national title at UCLA in 1995.

— College basketball teams are allowed to take a foreign trip once every four years; with the last two years screwed up by COVID, there weren’t any trips taken, so lot of teams took them this past summer. Those trips give teams an extra ten practices before the trip, plus, games/bonding experiences during the trip- they’re generally a big help.

— Pacers 127, Wizards 117— Indiana Pacers’ Tyrese Haliburton is first Pacer with 10+ assists in five straight games since Mark Jackson, in 2000.

— Cavaliers 132, Celtics 123 OT— LeVert/Mitchell both scored 41 points for Cleveland, which made 16-35 on the arc. Three Boston starters were minus-20 or worse, in a game they lost in overtime. Sub Sam Hauser was +23 in 12:00, which is hard to do.

— Timberwolves 111, Lakers 102— Lakers turned ball over 22 times (minus-12); they’re now 0-5, the only NBA team that hasn’t covered the spread yet. Sacramento is the only other NBA team that hasn’t won a game SU.

— Liberty signed football coach Hugh Freeze to an 8-year contract extension worth just under $5M a year; Freeze is 33-12 coaching Liberty, 82-40 overall, with previous stops at Arkansas State and Ole Miss.

— With Election Day looming, a word of advice; if you’re running for public office, and it doesn’t matter which party you are, because both sides are doing it this year, do NOT send me a post card advertisement that does nothing but rip the other candidate.

I’ve gotten three such post card-type ads; they don’t mention the candidate they’re backing, they just rip the other side, complete with pictures and all. Tell me why to vote FOR your candidate, do NOT tell me why to vote against the other person.
 
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NY RANGERS are 14-7 ATS (6.3 Units) in road games after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the last 3 seas...

OTTAWA is 22-21 ATS (-1.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

SAN JOSE is 179-165 ATS (-2.5 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games since 1996.

PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 Under (6.9 Units) off an home win scoring 4 or more goals over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 6-0 Over (6 Units) in road games after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 147-191 ATS (-63.1 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1996.

BUFFALO is 13-6 ATS (6.4 Units) off a close home loss by 1 goal in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 8-3 ATS (4.7 Units) after 2 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 15-5 ATS (9.5 Units) in home games on Saturday games in the last 3 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

CALGARY is 10-2 Over (7.8 Units) in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

SEATTLE is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
 
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NHL

Saturday, October 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Rangers @ Dallas
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Rangers's last 13 games
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Ottawa @ Florida
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Florida
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games at home

Tampa Bay @ San Jose
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games when playing on the road against San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Jose's last 11 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Toronto @ Los Angeles
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Toronto's last 22 games on the road
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games
Los Angeles is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

Montreal @ St. Louis
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing Montreal

Chicago @ Buffalo
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Minnesota @ Detroit
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Detroit's last 20 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Detroit's last 16 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Carolina @ Philadelphia
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Carolina's last 12 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina

Colorado @ NY Islanders
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Colorado's last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
Colorado is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games on the road
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Islanders's last 11 games when playing at home against Colorado
NY Islanders is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado

Washington @ Nashville
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Nashville's last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Nashville's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington

Pittsburgh @ Seattle
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

Edmonton @ Calgary
Edmonton
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
Calgary
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton


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