Cnotes 2022-2023 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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NHL PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

05/15/2023............................0 - 2............................00.00%............... ..............- 10.50
05/14/2023............................0 - 2............................00.00%............... ..............- 14.75
05/13/2023............................1 - 1............................50.00%............... ..............- 3.00
05/12/2023............................1 - 2............................33 .33%...........................- 9.00
05/11/2023............................2 - 0..........................100.00%................ ............+ 10.00
05/10/2023............................1 - 3............................25.00%............... ..............- 10.75
05/09/2023............................2 - 1............................66.66%............... .............+ 5.00
05/08/2023............................1 - 1............................50.00%............... .............- 4.00
05/07/2023............................4 - 0..........................100.00%................ ...........+ 20.50
05/06/2023............................1 - 1...........................50.00%................ .............- 0.50
05/05/2023............................0 - 2...........................00.00%................ .............- 10.75
05/04/2023............................1 - 3...........................25.00%................ .............- 7.50
05/03/2023............................1 - 1...........................50.00%................ .............- 0.50
05/02/2023............................1 - 3...........................25.00%................ .............- 11.75
05/01/2023............................1 - 1...........................50.00%................ .............- 0.50

TOTALS...........................17 - 23............................42.50%.............. . .............- 48.00
 
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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Odds to win this week’s PGA golf championship:
15-2— Jon Rahm
9-1— Scottie Scheffler
12-1— Rory McIlroy
20-1— Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, Brooks Koepka
25-1— Collin Morikawa, Tony Finau
30-1— Jordan Spieth, Matt Fitzpatrick, Viktor Hovland, Cameron Young

Quote of the Day
“Why do we drive on parkways, but park on driveways?”
Steven Wright

Tuesday’s quiz
Which Las Vegas hotel/casino is shaped like a pyramid?

Monday’s quiz
This year, Willson Contreras was the Cardinals’ first Opening Day catcher other than Yadier Molina since 2005.

Mike Matheny was the Cardinals’ catcher before Molina.

Sunday’s quiz
Seven current NHL franchises are based in Canada:
Montreal, Toronto, Ottawa, Calgary, Edmonton, Vancouver, Winnipeg.

*************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

You learn new stuff every week: apparently youth boxing is a thing, as in 8 and 9-year old kids being involved in national boxing tournaments.

There were a million kids here at the Westgate Hotel this weekend, most all of them for a boxing tournament in the Las Vegas Convention Center. Apparently some of the tournaments never got finished; some of the parents got involved in their own pugilism, and that ended that.

Go figure.

I was talking to one of the parents Sunday night; he had boxed as a kid and now his two sons do it too. Interesting hobby for a kid.

— Canada’s Stanley Cup title drought extends by another, with Edmonton Oilers the last team from Canada eliminated from the playoffs. 1993 Montreal Canadiens are the last Canadian team to hoist the Stanley Cup.

— NHL’s Final Four is loaded with hockey hotbeds:
Miami, Raleigh, Dallas, Las Vegas.

Odds for the semi-finals:
Carolina -130 vs Florida +110
Las Vegas -140 vs Dallas +120

— NFL QB Matt Ryan has joined CBS Sports as an NFL analyst; he turns 38 years old Wednesday— he will work as both a studio and game analyst.

He also posted this: “P.S. — this is not a retirement post” so he could pull a Jay Cutler and bolt the broadcast booth if a lucrative offer comes around, like it did for Cutler in 2017.

— One of the NFL’s playoff games next December is going to stream exclusively on Peacock, which is horrendous news; I don’t get Peacock, I’m not going to get Peacock, I’m just tired of being extorted for money by every TV network in the country. There is no limit to the NFL’s greed; they apparently banked $100M with this deal.

— Braves 12, Rangers 0— Atlanta tied an all-time record, hitting five two-run homers in this game. Last time it happened was Oakland in 2019, back when the A’s had major league-caliber players. Matt Olson/Sean Murphy both homered in that game; neither homered on Monday,

— Arizona 5, A’s 2— I’m sitting in the sports book watching this game when it dawned on me; I’ve been watching baseball for as long as I can remember, almost 60 years and it is likely that this Oakland team will be the worst team I’ve ever seen. They have no hope; they’re like the Washington Generals, the basketball team that always lost to the Harlem Globetrotters.

How does a team that is this bad get better? They’re moving to Las Vegas soon; people here ain’t going to be happy when the new team in town is dreadful.

— Cardinals 18, Brewers 1— Nolan Arenado has homered four games in a row.

— Blake Snell has started eight games for San Diego; Padres scored 2 or fewer runs in six of those eight games.

— Arlington Renegades won the XFL title this weekend, but it was a bad look for the league. Arlington was 4-6 in the regular season, but they finished 2nd in their division. A team in the other division had a much better record, but didn’t even make the playoffs.

Seattle Sea Dragons’ QB Ben DiNucci is getting a tryout with the Denver Broncos; he played three games for the Cowboys a few years ago. I’d like to see Arlington QB Luis Perez get a look somewhere too; the guy has played in a lot of different leagues.

— Rick Pitino has added 10 transfers this spring; they have two returning players. Four of their transfers came with Pitino from Iona.

Tobin Anderson replaced Pitino at Iona; he’s added 13 new players this spring.

— NBA Draft Lottery is tonight; we’ll find out who is going to draft Victor Wembanyama, the consensus #1 pick this year.

— RIP to poker icon Doyle Brunson, the Babe Ruth of poker, who passed away at age 89, He won World Series of Poker bracelets, won over $6M in live tournament earnings.

More importantly, he once saved me a lot of money. Back when poker was on TV all the time, I got the brilliant idea that I would study poker, learn it inside and out, then get into tournaments and win a boatload of money. Uh-huh.

I bought two of Brunson’s books, got halfway thru one of them, then realized there was no freakin’ way I was ever going to make a lot of money playing poker, or any money.

Zero chance. Nil. Bupkis.

Thank you Mr Brunson. May you rest in peace.
 
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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Casinos have posted NFL spreads for the whole season; here are some spreads for Week 17, a long, long time from now:
— Jets -1 @ Cleveland
— Lions @ Dallas -2.5
— Raiders -2 @ Indianapolis
— Cardinals @ Philadelphia -10
— 49ers -3 @ Washington
— Bengals @ Chiefs -3.5

Quote of the Day
“[The front office] think this is the best bet for us right now to put us in a position to be urgent. We don’t see eye-to-eye on what we think is best for us right now.”
Raiders’ WR Davante Adams

Wednesday’s quiz
Denver Nuggets have always called Denver home, but they became the Nuggets in 1975, their 8th year in existence. What was the team called their first seven years in the ABA?

Tuesday’s quiz
Luxor hotel/casino in Las Vegas is shaped like a pyramid.

Monday’s quiz
This year, Willson Contreras was the Cardinals’ first Opening Day catcher other than Yadier Molina since 2005.

Mike Matheny was the Cardinals’ catcher before Molina.

************************************************** *******

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— ESPN got just about a half-hour out of the NBA Draft Lottery Tuesday night, and for some reason, the Westgate Superbook had the audio up the whole time.

I’m totally convinced that ESPN coaches its people to say “(insert name) is the greatest (insert position) ever”

They said Victor Wembanyama is the greatest draft prospect ever; any of those geniuses ever hear of a guy named Kareem Abdul-Jabbar?

Milwaukee Bucks went 27-55 in their first NBA season; they won a coin flip and drafted Kareem and for the next five seasons, they went:

56-26
66-16
63-19
60-22
59-23

Milwaukee made the Final Four of the NBA in its 2nd, 3rd, 4th year in existence; they won the NBA title in their third year of existence.

No doubt about it, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar is the best draft pick ever.

— San Antonio Spurs won the draft lottery; they’ll get Victor Wembanyama. Last time the Spurs had the #1 pick was 1997, when they took Tim Duncan- I felt old typing that.

— Over the last three seasons, NBA teams that have won the most games are the Bucks, the Suns and the 76ers. All three of them have fired their coach in the last few weeks. Go figure.

— By the way, talking about the NBA Draft, remember that nine years ago, the Denver Nuggets picked a guy from Europe with the 41st pick. No one at ESPN called him the greatest anything anywhere, but these days, they might.

Nikola Jokic has turned into a huge star.

— Nuggets 132, Lakers 126

Denver led 74-56 at halftime.
At one point, Nuggets were outrebounding LA, 20-3.
Lakers’ three subs were a combined +18, Denver’s were minus-31.

— This is the 27th NBA season where the Celtics/Lakers are both in the Final Four:
They met in the Finals 12 times
Lakers won, Celtics lost 9 times.
Celtics won, Lakers lost 4 times
They both lost……..once.

— One more quick thing about ESPN’s NBA studio show: If you insist on four people on a panel, how about more than one of them being a former player? A former coach wouldn’t hurt, either.

— A’s 9, Arizona 8 (12)— Oakland trailed 8-4 in 7th inning; Ryan Noda tied the game with a grand slam, and their bullpen did a great job. Arizona didn’t score after the 7th inning.

A’s finally got their 10th win this season; their starting pitchers still have only two wins, but they’ve been spunky, albeit not very talented.

— Marlins 5, Nationals 4— Both bullpens blew a late-inning lead; Jorge Soler walked it off with a 2-run homer in the ninth inning.

— Rays 8, Mets 5— Rays, with a payroll of $76,955,301, are now 32-11.
Mets, with a payroll of $358,404,946, are 20-23.

— Baltimore Orioles are 27-15, looking like a playoff team, but they’ve been shut out in Kyle Gibson’s last three starts.

— Quick NFL stat: The last 18 times there was a divisional home underdog in Week 1 of an NFL season, the home dog went 15-1-2 against the spread.

Another one; Jacksonville Jaguars are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games against the Colts.

— I’m enjoying my trip to Las Vegas, but I’m not going to miss hearing the person in the next room snore while this is being typed up. Every freakin’ night.
 
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Thursday’s 6-pack
Casinos have posted NFL spreads for the whole season; here are some spreads for Week 2, a long time from now:
— Vikings @ Philadelphia (-5)
— Raiders @ Buffalo (-7.5)
— Ravens @ Cincinnati (-3.5)
— Seahawks @ Detroit (-2)
— Jets @ Dallas (-1)
— Dolphins (-1) @ New England

Quote of the Day
“It’s supposed to be hard. If it wasn’t hard, everyone would do it. The hard……is what makes it great.”
Tom Hanks in A League of Their Own

Thursday’s quiz
In the football movie The Replacements, what great actor played the owner of the Washington Sentinels?

Wednesday’s quiz
Denver Nuggets have always called Denver home, but they became the Nuggets in 1975, their 8th year in existence. They were the Denver Rockets their first seven years in the ABA.

Tuesday’s quiz
Luxor hotel/casino in Las Vegas is shaped like a pyramid.

************************************************** ****************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— One of the most fun parts of coming to Las Vegas is sitting in a sportsbook, and having a conversation with a total stranger about sports/betting. This is especially fun when you learn a lot from the conversation, like today when I met Tom from Chicago.

All of us have more in common than what separates us; here are two people who live 1,000 miles apart and who have never met, chopping it up for a couple hours about a variety of things, and then leaving as friends.

— It aggravates me when baseball teams platoon young prospects; how about finding out if a lefty prospect can hit lefties? Maybe you have a star on your hands; if you constantly sit him vs southpaws, he’ll never believe he can hit them. It is a self-fulfilling prophecy, and it sucks.

I’m thinking of JJ Bleday, who plays for Oakland; he’s hitting .279 in 43 at-bats, and is 2-6 vs lefties. Why only six AB’s? The kid looks like he can play; the A’s are horrible. Play his ass every day and find out if you have a big leaguer on your hands.

— Orioles 3, Angels 1— Two years ago, Baltimore was 52-110; last year, they were 83-79 and so far this year, they’re 28-15.

If manager Brandon Hyde was doing this is New York, the media would want him inducted into Cooperstown, but in Baltimore, no one talks much about him.

— Marlins 4, Nationals 3— Miami is quietly 14-1 in one-run games, 8-20 in all their other games.

— Pirates 8, Tigers 0— 43-year old Rich Hill tossed six shutout innings.

— Rockies 11, Reds 6— Cincinnati led 5-0 in fifth inning. Colorado C Elias Diaz is hitting .331; he knocked in three runs in this game.

— Dodgers 7, Twins 3— Rookie OF James Outman hit a 7th-inning grand slam.

— Arizona 5, A’s 3— Diamondbacks scored twice in the ninth after Laureano’s home run erased a 3-0 deficit. A’s are now 1-9 if they won their previous game.

— Giants 7, Phillies 4— Phillies erased a 4-0 deficit to tie game, but Giants scored three runs in the 8th for the win. Phils lost their last four games, scoring a total of 11 runs.

— Royals 4, Padres 3— San Diego has a huge payroll and is 20-24; they’re 2-9 in their last 11 games, have scored 3 or fewer runs in in six of last eight games. Not good.

— Astros 7, Cubs 6— Chicago led 6-1 in the 8th inning.

— Mets 8, Rays 7 (10)— If you bet the under in this game, look away; Rays led 1-0 after six innings. Last six Tampa Bay games have gone over the total.

— Toronto 3, New York 0 (10)— Danny Jansen, of all people, hits a walk-off three-run tater.

— New York P Domingo German has been suspended 10 games and fined by MLB for violating the rules regarding foreign substances. New York will play one man short during the suspension.

— Baseball injuries:
Milwaukee P Wade Miley (lat strain) goes on the IL
San Diego 3B Manny Machado has a small fracture in his left hand after he was hit by a pitch Monday night. Padres don’t know yet if he’ll head to the IL.
Dodgers P Dustin May has a flexor pronator strain (elbow), will miss at least a month

— Heat 123, Celtics 116 (Miami leads, 1-0)
Miami outscored Boston 46-25 in third quarter.
Heat made 16-31 shots on the arc.

— North Carolina transfer Caleb Love was all set to transfer to Michigan, but that move got the kibosh Wednesday; there was an admissions issue related to credits transferring. Love is back in the transfer portal; he is the best player in there right now.
 
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FLORIDA is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive division games in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, May 18

Ks54mtn.png





NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 18

FLORIDA (50-37-0-7, 107 pts.) at CAROLINA (59-24-3-7, 128 pts.) - 5/18/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 50-44 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 19-24 ATS (-14.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
CAROLINA is 27-8 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a division game this season.
CAROLINA is 51-22 ATS (+51.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 18-10 ATS (+7.3 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
FLORIDA is 9-4 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CAROLINA is 83-115 ATS (-54.3 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 8-6 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 8-6-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)




NHL

Thursday, May 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Florida @ Carolina
Florida
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games
Carolina
Carolina is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
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Past Completed Picks
05/19/20230-0-00.00%+0Detail
05/18/20231-1-050.00%+50Detail
05/15/20230-2-00.00%-1050Detail
05/14/20230-2-00.00%-1475Detail
05/13/20231-1-050.00%-300Detail
05/12/20233-1-075.00%+725Detail
05/11/20232-2-050.00%-100Detail
05/10/20231-3-025.00%-1075Detail
05/09/20232-2-050.00%-325Detail
05/08/20231-1-050.00%-400Detail
05/07/20235-1-083.33%+2175Detail
05/06/20231-1-050.00%-50Detail
05/05/20230-2-00.00%-1075Detail
05/04/20231-3-025.00%-750Detail
05/03/20232-2-050.00%-125Detail
05/02/20231-3-025.00%-1175Detail
05/01/20231-1-050.00%-50Detail
 
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NHL PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

05/18/2023............................1 - 1............................50.00%.............................. + 0.50
05/15/2023............................0 - 2............................00.00%............... ..............- 10.50
05/14/2023............................0 - 2............................00.00%............... ..............- 14.75
05/13/2023............................1 - 1............................50.00%............... ..............- 3.00
05/12/2023............................1 - 2............................33 .33%...........................- 9.00
05/11/2023............................2 - 0..........................100.00%................ ............+ 10.00
05/10/2023............................1 - 3............................25.00%............... ..............- 10.75
05/09/2023............................2 - 1............................66.66%............... .............+ 5.00
05/08/2023............................1 - 1............................50.00%............... .............- 4.00
05/07/2023............................4 - 0..........................100.00%................ ...........+ 20.50
05/06/2023............................1 - 1...........................50.00%................ .............- 0.50
05/05/2023............................0 - 2...........................00.00%................ .............- 10.75
05/04/2023............................1 - 3...........................25.00%................ .............- 7.50
05/03/2023............................1 - 1...........................50.00%................ .............- 0.50
05/02/2023............................1 - 3...........................25.00%................ .............- 11.75
05/01/2023............................1 - 1...........................50.00%................ .............- 0.50

TOTALS...........................18 - 24............................42.85%.............. . .............- 47.50
 
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Friday’s 6-pack

— Florida 3, Carolina 2 (4 OT’s)— 6th-longest game in NHL history.
— Nuggets 108, Lakers 103— Jamal Murray scored 37 points, 23 in 4th quarter alone.
— Cardinals 16, Dodgers 8— Willson Contreras hit two homers, had 6 RBI
— Angels 6, Orioles 5— Halos scored twice in 8th inning.
— Mets 3, Rays 2— Tampa Bay lost six of its last nine games.
— Marlins 5, Nationals 3— Miami is 23-21; right now, they’re the last NL playoff team.

Quote of the Day
“I do know the play-in helped. There are far less teams tanking. Everyone was fighting for it those last two months. Every game was must-see TV and that was in both conferences. So I think [for] the league, that’s probably the best thing that’s happened in the last decade.”
Miami Heat coach Erik Spoelstra

Friday’s quiz
What team did Paul Goldschmidt break into the big leagues with?

Thursday’s quiz
In the football movie The Replacements, Jack Warden played the owner of the Washington Sentinels.

Wednesday’s quiz
Denver Nuggets have always called Denver home, but they became the Nuggets in 1975, their 8th year in existence. They were the Denver Rockets their first seven years in the ABA.


**************************************************


Friday’s Den: 13 of my favorite sports-related movies…….

13) Rocky— The original was a true classic; a journeyman boxer gets a chance to fight for the heavyweight title, and makes the most of it. 40 years later, tourists who come to Philadelphia still pose for pictures near the Rocky statue.

12) Bull Durham— Kevin Costner is a minor league catcher who is brought in to mentor a hot-shot pitching prospect. Robert Wuhl is the pitching coach, Susan Sarandon mentors the prospect off the field.

11) Draft Day— Costner does lot of sports movies; he is GM of the Cleveland Browns in this one, Denis Leary is the Browns’ coach.

The year this movie came out, NFL pushed back the draft so the movie could be promoted more, but Radio City Music Hall wasn’t available for the later date, which is why they started moving the draft around the country. Sometimes great ideas happen by accident.

10) Major League— Bob Uecker should’ve won an Oscar for Best Supporting Actor for his role as Indians’ radio announcer Harry Doyle.

9) Friday Night Lights— Billy Bob Thornton is a high school football coach in west Texas, where they take high school football very seriously.

8) One on One— Robby Benson is a hotshot high school basketball player who gets recruited by a big-time college team, then finds himself in over his head.

7) For Love of the Game— Kevin Costner is a star pitcher for the Tigers who is at the end of his career; he has flashbacks throughout his last game.

Detroit’s manager in this movie is JK Simmons, who is a Tigers fan in real life; New York’s manager is the late Augie Garrido, one of the all-time great college baseball coaches.

6) Any Given Sunday— Al Pacino is a pro football coach whose team is struggling; Cameron Diaz is the owner, Dennis Quaid, Jamie Foxx are two of the QB’s.

Miami Sharks play against four teams in the movie, all coached by NFL Hall of Famers.

5) Invincible— True story about Vince Papale, a 30-year old bartender who tries out for the 1976 Philadelphia Eagles and makes the squad as a special teams player.

4) Fast Break— Gabe Kaplan manages a New York City deli until he applies for a job as a college basketball coach in Nevada. Bernard King, Michael Warren are two of his players; another one is a girl disguised as a guy.

3) Blue Chips— Nick Nolte is a college basketball coach who used to win a lot; in order to start winning again, he has to decide whether to break the recruiting rules or not.

Bob Cousy is the AD; Shaquille O’Neal, Penny Hardaway are two of the recruits. Lot of cameos from basketball people; Jerry Tarkanian, Jim Boeheim, Rick Pitino, Dick Vitale.

2) Moneyball— Beginning isn’t very good, the end sucks, but I’m an A’s fan and this movie is about how the 2003 A’s put together a team that won 20 games in a row, made the playoffs.

Only really bad thing about this movie is they made skipper Art Howe look like a bad manager, and he was anything but— you don’t win 20 games in a row by accident.

1) American Underdog— Kurt Warner’s story had to become a movie; he played in NFL Europe, worked in a supermarket, played in the Arena League, then became an NFL Hall of Famer. It is such an improbable movie that it would seem ridiculous, except we know it is true.
 
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Friday’s 6-pack

— Florida 3, Carolina 2 (4 OT’s)— 6th-longest game in NHL history.
— Nuggets 108, Lakers 103— Jamal Murray scored 37 points, 23 in 4th quarter alone.
— Cardinals 16, Dodgers 8— Willson Contreras hit two homers, had 6 RBI
— Angels 6, Orioles 5— Halos scored twice in 8th inning.
— Mets 3, Rays 2— Tampa Bay lost six of its last nine games.
— Marlins 5, Nationals 3— Miami is 23-21; right now, they’re the last NL playoff team.

Quote of the Day
“I do know the play-in helped. There are far less teams tanking. Everyone was fighting for it those last two months. Every game was must-see TV and that was in both conferences. So I think [for] the league, that’s probably the best thing that’s happened in the last decade.”
Miami Heat coach Erik Spoelstra

Friday’s quiz
What team did Paul Goldschmidt break into the big leagues with?

Thursday’s quiz
In the football movie The Replacements, Jack Warden played the owner of the Washington Sentinels.

Wednesday’s quiz
Denver Nuggets have always called Denver home, but they became the Nuggets in 1975, their 8th year in existence. They were the Denver Rockets their first seven years in the ABA.


**************************************************


Friday’s Den: 13 of my favorite sports-related movies…….

13) Rocky— The original was a true classic; a journeyman boxer gets a chance to fight for the heavyweight title, and makes the most of it. 40 years later, tourists who come to Philadelphia still pose for pictures near the Rocky statue.

12) Bull Durham— Kevin Costner is a minor league catcher who is brought in to mentor a hot-shot pitching prospect. Robert Wuhl is the pitching coach, Susan Sarandon mentors the prospect off the field.

11) Draft Day— Costner does lot of sports movies; he is GM of the Cleveland Browns in this one, Denis Leary is the Browns’ coach.

The year this movie came out, NFL pushed back the draft so the movie could be promoted more, but Radio City Music Hall wasn’t available for the later date, which is why they started moving the draft around the country. Sometimes great ideas happen by accident.

10) Major League— Bob Uecker should’ve won an Oscar for Best Supporting Actor for his role as Indians’ radio announcer Harry Doyle.

9) Friday Night Lights— Billy Bob Thornton is a high school football coach in west Texas, where they take high school football very seriously.

8) One on One— Robby Benson is a hotshot high school basketball player who gets recruited by a big-time college team, then finds himself in over his head.

7) For Love of the Game— Kevin Costner is a star pitcher for the Tigers who is at the end of his career; he has flashbacks throughout his last game.

Detroit’s manager in this movie is JK Simmons, who is a Tigers fan in real life; New York’s manager is the late Augie Garrido, one of the all-time great college baseball coaches.

6) Any Given Sunday— Al Pacino is a pro football coach whose team is struggling; Cameron Diaz is the owner, Dennis Quaid, Jamie Foxx are two of the QB’s.

Miami Sharks play against four teams in the movie, all coached by NFL Hall of Famers.

5) Invincible— True story about Vince Papale, a 30-year old bartender who tries out for the 1976 Philadelphia Eagles and makes the squad as a special teams player.

4) Fast Break— Gabe Kaplan manages a New York City deli until he applies for a job as a college basketball coach in Nevada. Bernard King, Michael Warren are two of his players; another one is a girl disguised as a guy.

3) Blue Chips— Nick Nolte is a college basketball coach who used to win a lot; in order to start winning again, he has to decide whether to break the recruiting rules or not.

Bob Cousy is the AD; Shaquille O’Neal, Penny Hardaway are two of the recruits. Lot of cameos from basketball people; Jerry Tarkanian, Jim Boeheim, Rick Pitino, Dick Vitale.

2) Moneyball— Beginning isn’t very good, the end sucks, but I’m an A’s fan and this movie is about how the 2003 A’s put together a team that won 20 games in a row, made the playoffs.

Only really bad thing about this movie is they made skipper Art Howe look like a bad manager, and he was anything but— you don’t win 20 games in a row by accident.

1) American Underdog— Kurt Warner’s story had to become a movie; he played in NFL Europe, worked in a supermarket, played in the Arena League, then became an NFL Hall of Famer. It is such an improbable movie that it would seem ridiculous, except we know it is true.
 
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DALLAS are 11-20 ATS (-11 Units) after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, May 19

DALLAS (54-25-1-15, 124 pts.) at VEGAS (59-25-0-9, 127 pts.) - 5/19/2023, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 24-40 ATS (-20.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
VEGAS is 59-34 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.
VEGAS is 34-20 ATS (+0.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
VEGAS is 27-11 ATS (+27.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
VEGAS is 30-18 ATS (+4.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VEGAS is 21-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-2 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-2-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.0 Units)




NHL

Friday, May 19

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Trend Report
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Dallas @ Vegas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Vegas
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Vegas is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games


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Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks
05/19/20231-1-050.00%-50Detail
05/18/20231-1-050.00%+50Detail
05/15/20230-2-00.00%-1050Detail
05/14/20230-2-00.00%-1475Detail
05/13/20231-1-050.00%-300Detail
05/12/20233-1-075.00%+725Detail
05/11/20232-2-050.00%-100Detail
05/10/20231-3-025.00%-1075Detail
05/09/20232-2-050.00%-325Detail
05/08/20231-1-050.00%-400Detail
05/07/20235-1-083.33%+2175Detail
05/06/20231-1-050.00%-50Detail
05/05/20230-2-00.00%-1075Detail
05/04/20231-3-025.00%-750Detail
05/03/20232-2-050.00%-125Detail
05/02/20231-3-025.00%-1175Detail
05/01/20231-1-050.00%-50Detail
 
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NHL PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

05/19/2023............................1 - 1...........................50.00%................ ................- 0.50
05/18/2023............................1 - 1............................50.00%............... ............... + 0.50
05/15/2023............................0 - 2............................00.00%............... ..............- 10.50
05/14/2023............................0 - 2............................00.00%............... ..............- 14.75
05/13/2023............................1 - 1............................50.00%............... ..............- 3.00
05/12/2023............................1 - 2............................33 .33%...........................- 9.00
05/11/2023............................2 - 0..........................100.00%................ ............+ 10.00
05/10/2023............................1 - 3............................25.00%............... ..............- 10.75
05/09/2023............................2 - 1............................66.66%............... .............+ 5.00
05/08/2023............................1 - 1............................50.00%............... .............- 4.00
05/07/2023............................4 - 0..........................100.00%................ ...........+ 20.50
05/06/2023............................1 - 1...........................50.00%................ .............- 0.50
05/05/2023............................0 - 2...........................00.00%................ .............- 10.75
05/04/2023............................1 - 3...........................25.00%................ .............- 7.50
05/03/2023............................1 - 1...........................50.00%................ .............- 0.50
05/02/2023............................1 - 3...........................25.00%................ .............- 11.75
05/01/2023............................1 - 1...........................50.00%................ .............- 0.50

TOTALS............................19 - 25............................43.18%.............. . .............- 48.00
 
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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack
Six oldest players to get five hits in a game:
45 years old— Pete Rose, 1986
42— Nelson Cruz, 2023
41.351— Paul Molitor, 1998
41.310— Stan Musial, 1962
41.196— Craig Biggio, 2007
41.014— Pete Rose, 1982

Quote of the Day
“How you play when things aren’t going your way, really defines you as a player.”
Steve Kerr

Saturday’s quiz
Where did Jimmy Butler play his college basketball?

Friday’s quiz
Paul Goldschmidt broke into the big leagues with Arizona in 2011.

Thursday’s quiz
In the football movie The Replacements, Jack Warden played the owner of the Washington Sentinels.

************************************************** ****************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here……..

— RIP to Jim Brown, one of the greatest players in NFL history, who passed away at age 87.

Brown became a good actor after his playing days, with 58 TV/movie credits; he was Al Pacino’s assistant coach in Any Given Sunday, Denzel Washington’s probation officer in He Got Game.

Brown played nine years in the NFL, led the league in rushing eight times. He helped Cleveland win the 1964 NFL title. RIP, sir.

— We’ve had our fantasy baseball league for 19 years now; Friday night was the worst night my team has ever had. Awful.

It was so hideous it was easy to laugh off, but usually I’ll watch a replay of a game late at night. Instead, I watched the new movie Air on Amazon Prime.

Anything with Matt Damon/Ben Affleck is going to be good, but this was very good, dealing with how Sonny Vaccaro became totally focused on Nike signing Michael Jordan as its #1 basketball face back in 1984, when Nike was #3 in the sneaker game, behind Converse/adidas.

Vaccaro sold Jordan’s mom on the idea of her son joining Nike; apparently to this day, Jordan still banks around $400M a year from royalties from Air Jordan sales. Must be nice.

— Giants 4, Marlins 3— Miami is doing well at 23-22, but they’re 2-7 when Alcantara starts; he is pitching well, but is breaking down in one key inning every game. On this night, he fielded a 50-foot ground ball but threw it into right field, setting up the Giants to hit sac flies on their next two at-bats, and those two runs decided the game.

— Mets 10, Guardians 9 (10)
Cleveland led 5-0 in 5th, 7-3 in 7th, 9-7 in 10th.
Ex-Guardian Francisco Lindor has the walk-off hit for the Mets.

— Red Sox 6, Padres 1— Something is going to happen with the Padres soon; they’re awful, despite having a huge payroll.
Last two weeks, they’re 2-10
They’ve scored 3 or fewer runs in nine of those 12 games.

Padres are 0-9 this month if they allow 4 or more runs.

Tigers 8, Nationals 6— Since May 3rd, Detroit is very quietly 10-5.

— Veteran outfielder Jake Marisnick must be very good at packing:
2013-14— Marlins
2014-19— Astros
2020— Mets
2021— Cubs
2021— Padres
2022— Pirates
2023— White Sox

Veteran pitcher Jordan Lyles of Kansas City has pitched for eight teams in 13 years, and he isn’t superstitious. He’s worn eight different uniform numbers.

— Players with 40+ home runs, 40+ steals in same season:
1988— Jose Canseco, A’s
1996— Barry Bonds, SF
1998— Alex Rodriguez, Sea
2006— Alfonso Soriano, Wash

— Battle for Atlantis college hoop tournament in November:
Arkansas, Michigan, North Carolina, Villanova
Memphis, Northern Iowa, Stanford, Texas Tech

— Charleston Classic, November 16-19:
Dayton, Houston, St John’s, Wake Forest
LSU, North Texas, Towson, Utah

— Heat 111, Celtics 105— Miami opens series with pair of road wins; they outscored Boston 36-22 in the 4th quarter. Bam Abedayo had 22 points, 14 rebounds for the Heat.

Miami now has the most playoff wins of any team ever that finished last in the league in scoring during the regular season that season

— Last five years, the NBA team with the worst regular season record didn’t get the #1 pick in the draft— the lottery is having the desired effect, which makes Adam Silver happy.

— Vegas 4, Dallas 3 OT— Knights scored 1:35 into overtime to send everyone back onto the Strip happy. Dallas has tied game with 1:59 left in regulation. Vegas leads Western final, 1-0.
 
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CAROLINA is 23-5 ATS (17.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, May 20

5sajSss.png





NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, May 20

FLORIDA (51-37-0-7, 109 pts.) at CAROLINA (59-24-3-8, 129 pts.) - 5/20/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 51-23 ATS (+4.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 19-10 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
FLORIDA is 10-4 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 8-7-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.8 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)




NHL

Saturday, May 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Florida @ Carolina
Florida
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida


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