CNOTES 2023-2024 COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS + NEWS AND NOTES

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
— Baylor 88, Auburn 82— Very high-level early season game.
— North Texas 83, Northern Iowa 77 OT— Mean Green made 11-22 on the arc.
— Fort Wayne 82, DePaul 74— Summit team beats a Big East squad.
— St John’s 90, Stony Brook 74— Rick Pitino wins his Johnnies’ debut.
— Indiana 69, Florida Gulf Coast 63— Surprisingly tough win for the Hoosiers.
— Rams signed QB Carson Wentz; he has 11 days until Rams play again.

Quote of the Day
“There has never been a better time to be a part of our athletic department and this program. My family and I are so proud to be at this university, and I am looking forward to many more seasons representing the most passionate fan base in the country. There’s no place like Kansas.”
Kansas basketball coach Bill Self; that’s what you say when you sign a $53M contract

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Shaquille O’Neal play his college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
Chargers have played in one Super Bowl; Stan Humphries was their QB in that game.

Monday’s quiz
Nick Saban went 15-17 in two years coaching the Miami Dolphins, just before he became coach at Alabama.

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Wednesday’s Den: Early season NBA trends

NBA trends (thru Tuesday)
I’ll try to post this once a week like the NHL trends…….

Hawks (4-3):
— won four of their last five games.
— over 3-0 at home

Celtics (5-1):
— won five of first six games SU (3-2-1 ATS)
— over 5-1, 2-0 at home

Nets (3-4):
— covered six of seven games (5-1 ATS as an underdog).
— 3-1 SU at home, 0-3 SU on road.
— over 3-0 at home

Hornets (2-4):
— lost four of their last five games SU.
— 3-2 ATS as an underdog.
— last four games went over the total.

Bulls (3-5)
— lost three of their last four games.
— 2-6 ATS, 1-4 as a favorite.

Cavaliers (3-4):
— 1-3 SU at home, 2-1 on road.
— 1-3 ATS as a favorite.
— under 5-2

Mavericks (6-1):
— won six of first seven games.
— 3-1 ATS on the road.
— over 5-2

Nuggets (7-1):
—won/covered last three games.
— 4-1 ATS as home favorites
— under 3-0 on road, over 3-2 at home

Pistons (2-6):
— lost five of their last six games.
— 3-4 ATS as an underdog.
— over 5-1 last six games

Warriors (6-2):
— won six of last seven games SU
— 2-4 ATS as a favorite
— under 5-3

Rockets (3-3):
— won/covered last three games.
— 3-1 ATS at home, 0-2 on road.

Pacers (4-3):
— 3-2 ATS as a favorite.
— over 6-1

Clippers (3-3):
— 3-1 ATS in LA, 0-2 ATS on road.
— over 3-2-1

Lakers (3-4):
— 3-0 SU at home, 0-4 SU on road.
— 2-5 ATS, 1-3 as a favorite.
— under 5-2

Grizzlies (1-6):
— lost six of first seven games SU.
— 1-4 ATS as a favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games

Heat (3-4):
— 0-5 ATS in last five games.
— 0-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— under 3-1 at home

Bucks (4-2):
— 0-5-1 ATS this season, all as a favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games.

Timberwolves (4-2)
— won/covered last three games
— 4-0 ATS at home, 0-2 on road.
— under 3-1 at home

Pelicans (4-3):
— all three losses were by 18+ points
— 2-2 SU/ATS at home, 2-1 on road.

Knicks (3-4):
— covered three of last four games
— 4-2-1 ATS this season
— 2-1 ATS as a favorite, 2-1-1 as an underdog
— under 5-0 last five games

Thunder (4-3):
— covered five of seven games.
— 2-1 ATS as a favorite, 3-1 as an underdog.
— three of last four games went over total.

Magic (4-3):
— 2-1 ATS at home, 3-1 on road.
— under 5-1-1

76ers (5-1):
— won last five games SU, covered all six.
— 5-0 ATS as a favorite, 1-0 as an underdog.
— over 4-2

Suns (3-4):
— lost three of last four games
— 1-2 ATS at home, 3-1 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games

Trailblazers (3-4):
— won/covered three of last four games
— under 3-1 last four games
— have been an underdog in every game

Kings (2-4):
— lost four of last five games
— under 3-2 last five games

Spurs (3-4):
— favorites are 3-0 ATS in their home games.
— 2-4 ATS as an underdog.
— over 6-1

Raptors (3-4):
— 2-1 ATS as a favorite, 2-2 as an underdog.
— under 5-2

Jazz (2-6):
— lost last three games, by 2-28-17 points.
— 1-3 ATS on the road
— over 4-0 at home

Wizards (1-5):
— lost last four games (2-2 ATS).
— over 5-1

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 11

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Wednesday’s games
Akron @ Miami OH
Akron (2-7, 1-4)
— Akron is 1-7 vs I-A teams, with three losses by 3 or fewer points.
— Zips are 2-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-6 scoring less than 24.
— Akron has a minus-8 turnover ratio.
— last 5+ years, Zips are minus-49 in turnovers
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 64 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 10 games LY, after playing JC ball.
— under Moorhead, Akron is 7-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Moorhead, Akron is 7-5-1 ATS in conference games.
— Akron is 2-4 ATS in last six games coming off a win.
— over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Akron hasn’t gone bowling since 2017.
— last 4+ years, Akron is 7-44 SU/18-31-1 ATS


Miami OH (7-2, 4-1)
— Red Hawks are 7-0 if they score 23+ points.
— Miami was held to 3-17 points in its two losses (Miami FL/Toledo)
— Miami was 6-7 LY despite a +11 turnover ratio.
— Red Hawks were held under 300 TY in three of five MAC tilts.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 61 starts back on offensive line- lost 2 starters to transfer portal.
— senior QB has 29 career starts
— Miami is 5-7 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Red Hawks are 13-11 ATS in last 24 conference games.
— Miami played in bowls three of last four years, going 1-2.


— Miami won last six series games (4-2 ATS)
— Zips are 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Miami.
— Under is 11-4 in last fifteen meetings.
— MAC home favorites are 8-9 ATS.


Bowling Green @ Kent State
Bowling Green (5-4, 3-2)
— Bowling Green won last three games, scoring 24-41-24 points.
— Last five games, Bowling Green has a +11 turnover ratio.
— Falcons scored 6-7-0 points in their last three losses.
— BG threw for less than 100 yards in three of last four games.
— Falcons held last three opponents to 238-279-283 yards.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 75 starts back on offensive line, are expected to improve.
— junior QB Bazelak started 29 games at Missouri/Indiana.
— last six years, BG is 0-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— since 2016, Falcons are 7-16-1 ATS coming off a win.
— over is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Bowling Green lost four of its last five bowl games (1-4 ATS)
— Falcons went bowling LY, but have had 7 straight losing seasons.


Kent State (1-8, 0-5)
— Kent State’s head coach last 5 years quit to be OC at Colorado.
— Golden Flashes are 0-8 vs I-A teams; 31-27 was closest game.
— Kent State was held under 250 TY in six of the eight games.
— Flashes’ only win is 38-10 over I-AA Central Connecticut.
— Kent State is 0-2 ATS as a home dog TY (6-1 under Lewis).
— 0 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— They might be the least experienced team in the country.
— 5 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB threw 18 passes at Purdue last year
— Kent is 8-10-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
— New coach Burns has never been a HC; he was an assistant at Minnesota.
— Kent played in two bowls the last four years, their 3rd/4th all-time.


— Kent won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
— Falcons are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Kent.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine meetings.
— MAC home underdogs are 4-7 ATS.


Eastern Michigan @ Toledo
Eastern Michigan (4-5, 2-3)
— Eagles are 3-0 scoring 24+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 24.
— Last two weeks, EMU was minus-5 in turnovers.
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 58 starts back on offensive line; only two starters are back.
— soph QB Smith was 3-1 as starter LY, before he got hurt.
— EMU is 7-2 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
— under Creighton, EMU is 32-14-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— last 3+ years, Eagles are 17-10 ATS in MAC games.
— under is 5-3 in their I-A games.
— Eagles were 7-6/9-4 last two years, after going 32-61 from 2013-20.
— EMU won bowl game 41-27 LY, snapping 4-game bowl losing skid.

Toledo (8-1, 4-0)
— Toledo is 5-0 in MAC, winning by 2-18-7-4-18 points.
— Rockets’ only loss was 30-28 at Illinois in season opener.
— Toledo has run ball for 215.6 yards/game in MAC play.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 94 starts back on offensive line— 4 starters are back
— junior QB has 19 starts, was 2nd-team all-MAC last year.
— last 4+ years, Toledo is 8-15 ATS as home favorites (1-3 TY).
— under Candle, Toledo is 27-33-1 ATS in MAC games (2-3 TY).
— since 2018, Rockets are 13-25 ATS coming off a win (2-5 TY).
— Rockets’ last three games stayed under the total.
— Toledo is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in last five bowls- they beat Liberty 21-19 LY.


— Toledo won 14 of last 16 series games (3-2 in last five)
— EMU covered its last three visits to Toledo.
— Over is 11-5 in last sixteen meetings.
— MAC home favorites are 8-9 ATS.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 8​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
AKR at M-OH	07:00 PM	AKR +17.0 U 37.5	+500 +500
BGSU at KENT	07:00 PM	BGSU -10.5 U 40.0	+500 +500
EMU at TOL	07:30 PM	EMU +19.0 O 45.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
11/08/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-150	Detail
11/07/2023	5-1-0	83.33%	+1950	Detail
11/04/2023	57-52-3	52.23%	-100	Detail
11/03/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
11/02/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+900	Detail
11/01/2023	1-2-1	37.50%	-600	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/08/2023............................2 - 3.................................40.00%.............................- 6.50
11/07/2023............................5 - 1.................................83.33%............................+ 19.50
11/04/2023.........................29 - 29 - 0............................50.00%............................- 14.50
11/03/2023............................3 - 1.................................75.00%.............................+ 950
11/02/2023............................4 - 2 - 0.............................66.66%............................+ 9.00
11/01/2023............................1 - 2 - 0.............................33.33%............................- 6.00

TOTALS..............................44 - 38 - 0.............................53.65%............................+ 11.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
— Nuggets 108, Warriors 105- Jokic scored 35 points, grabbed 13 rebounds.
— 76ers 106, Celtics 103- Embiid scored 27 points, grabbed 10 rebounds.
— Nets 100, Clippers 93- LA was minus-15 with Harden, +8 without him.
— Suns 116, Bulls 115 OT- Phoenix was 19-48 on the arc, 19-42 inside it.
— Thunder 128, Cavaliers 120- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 43 points.
— Bucks 120, Pistons 118- Damian Lillard scored 34 for Milwaukee.

Quote of the Day
“I think you’ve got to watch that you don’t give off a tight, nervous vibe to your team. As I’ve looked back at the two road trips like this with elite teams, the two times we went to Alabama, the players could feel me get uptight and we played that way. I don’t feel like that this week.”
Ole Miss football coach Lane Kiffin

Thursday’s quiz
Which NBA head coach is a graduate of the Air Force Academy?

Wednesday’s quiz
Shaquille O’Neal played his college basketball at LSU.

Tuesday’s quiz
Chargers have played in one Super Bowl; Stan Humphries was their QB in that game.

***********************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..​

— Week 14, 1967 was a long time ago, but it pointed the NFL towards Wild Card teams making the playoffs.
Back then, before the NFL-AFL merger, the NFL had four divisions. Coastal Division had the Rams, 49ers, Baltimore Colts and the Falcons.
Going into Week 14, the last week of the season, Colts were 11-0-2, the Rams 10-1-2 (there was no overtime back then). The teams tied 24-24 in Week 5, so if the Rams could beat Baltimore, they would win the division, and since there were no Wild Card teams back then, Colts would miss the playoffs- the Rams would’ve been 1-0-1 head-to-head against them.

Game was played on December 17; my parents had to go out to a Christmas party, and they dragged their two kids along with them. Luckily for 7-year old me, the place had a bar, and for some reason, they let me sit at the bar and watch the game.
All the adults at the bar were rooting for Johnny Unitas and the Colts; 7-year old me was rooting for the team with the cool helmets.
Rams won 34-10; Jack Snow caught an 80-yard TD pass, and the Rams made the playoffs, while the Colts, who were unbeaten going into the last game of the season, did not. Three years later, in 1970, they started with Wild Card teams, so that would never happen again.

— Cincinnati Bengals’ first drive in their last four games:
Week 6- 11 plays, 64 yards, TD
Week 7- 13 plays, 69 yards, TD
Week 8- 10 plays, 85 yards, TD
Week 9- 9 plays, 76 yards, TD
In other words, Joe Burrow is healthy again.

— Teams are 1-6 SU/0-7 ATS the week after playing the Cowboys.

— Tommy DeVito will start at QB for the Giants Sunday, the 10th rookie QB to start a game this season, setting an NFL record.
Sunday, Giants/Vikings are both starting a different QB for the third week in a row, first time that has happened in the NFL since 2015.

— Last 11 times they were an underdog, New England is 1-10 against the spread.

— Texas Rangers’ SS Marcus Semien batted 835 times this year (regular season and playoffs), the most times a player has ever batted in one season.

— Los Angeles Angels named Ron Washington their new manager; Washington used to be the Texas Rangers’ manager- he went 664-611 in eight seasons with Texas, winning an AL pennant in both 2010, 2011.

— Word of the Day: Charlatan— a person falsely claiming to have a special knowledge or skill; a fraud.

— Presbyterian 68, Vanderbilt 62
Horrendous loss for SEC’s Vandy; they led by 10 late in first half.
Presbyterian was 5-27 last year, losing their last 18 games.
Vandy starts three seniors; they were 8-33 on the arc.

— Ball State 20, Northern Illinois 17
Cardinals scored 10 points in last 3:44 for the upset win.
Ball State kicked a 36-yard FG at the gun.
Cardinals were 10-18 on third down, NIU was 3-10

— Western Michigan 38, Central Michigan 28
WMU outscored the Chippewas 17-0 in 4th quarter.
Four of Broncos’ five TD’s were on plays of 22+ yards.
WMU averaged 9.3 yards/pass attempt.

— Ohio U 20, Buffalo 10
Buffalo led 3-0 at halftime.
Bobcats are 6-0 when they score 17+ points.
under Albin, Bobcats are 5-2 ATS as a road favorite.

— Miami OH 19, Akron 0
Miami outrushed the Zips, 186-36.
Red Hawks improve to 8-2 this season.
Akron is 0-7 when they score less than 24 points.

— Bowling Green 49, Kent State 19
6-4 Falcons won their fourth game in a row.
First time since 2017 that BG covered as a road favorite.
Kent State is 0-9 this year against I-A teams.

— Toledo 49, Eastern Michigan 23
9-1 Rockets led 35-3 at halftime.
Only 7 of Toledo’s 60 plays came on third down.
Toledo averaged 15.1 yards/pass attempt.

— Denver Nuggets’ star Jamal Murray (hamstring) is out 3-4 weeks.

— Auburn-Baylor basketball game Tuesday night was high level, the kind of game you see in the Final Four. Two very good teams, who both got better by not playing a stiff to start their season.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 11

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Thursday’s games
Virginia @ Louisville
Virginia (2-7, 1-4)
— Virginia is 1-7 vs I-A teams (won 31-27 at North Carolina)
— Cavaliers covered three of four games as a road underdog.
— Since 2020, Virginia is 10-6 ATS as a road dog.
— Cavaliers allowed 305 RY in LW’s 45-17 home loss to Ga Tech.
— Over is 5-2-1 in their I-A games.
— 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 17 starts back on offensive line.
— true frosh QB is 84-139/1,132 passing, with 7 TD’s, 7 INT’s
— previous QB started 30 games, transferred to NC State.
— Virginia is 19-10 ATS in its last 29 ACC games.
— Virginia has a minus-5 turnover ratio.
— Virginia hasn’t played in bowl since 2019 (’21 game cancelled)


Louisville (8-1, 5-1)
— Cardinals won last two games by a combined 57-3.
— Louisville has three wins by 7 or fewer points.
— Louisville’s only loss (38-21 (-7.5) at Pitt)
— Cardinals are 4-1 SU/ATS at home this season.
— Louisville is 15-7 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 150 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 12 games at Cal last year.
— In his career, Brohm is 22-21 ATS as a home favorite.
— under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Cardinals went bowling five of last seven years (2-3).


— Teams split their last six series games.
— Virginia is 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Louisville.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
— Home favorites are 11-12 ATS in ACC games.


Southern Mississippi @ Louisiana
Southern Mississippi (2-7, 1-5)
— Southern Miss is 1-7 SU/2-6 ATS vs I-A teams, giving up 38.5 ppg.
— USM is 0-4 SU/1-3 ATS on road TY, losing by 53-7-52-10 points.
— Last two weeks, Golden Eagles ran ball for 507 yards.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 87 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB is a transfer from Clemson (53%, 7 TD’s, 5 INT).
— USM beat UL-Monroe 24-7 LW, their first I-A win this year.
— Under Hall, Golden Eagles are 6-7 ATS as road underdogs.
— Under Hall, Golden Eagles are 10-12 ATS in conference games.
— over is 4-0 in their road games this season.
— Southern Miss has been to one bowl the last three years.


Louisiana (5-4, 2-3)
— Louisiana is 5-0 if they score 33+ points, 0-4 if they score less than 33.
— Ragin’ Cajuns are 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a home favorite.
— 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— frosh QB is completing 66.7% of passes- 11 TD’s, 5 INTs.
— Cajuns are 10-4 ATS in last 14 games following a loss.
— Louisiana allowed 426+ TY in three of its last four games.
— ULL is 7-6 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
— Louisiana’s last four games stayed under the total.
— ULL went bowling the last five years, going 3-2 SU/1-4 ATS.


— Southern Miss won/covered last seven series games.
— Teams have met only once since 2016.
— USM (+1) beat Ragin’ Cajuns 39-24 at home last year.
— Sun Belt home favorites are 11-13 ATS.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Friday’s games
North Texas @ SMU
North Texas (3-6, 1-4)
— North Texas lost last three games, giving up 35-45-37 points.
— UNT scored 40-45 points in its I-A wins; 30.5 ppg in losses.
— Last five games, Mean Green gave up 275 rushing yards/game.
— UNT is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games.
— UNT hasn’t had a winning season since 2018.
— new HC was 24-18 at I-AA Incarnate Word.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 157 starts back on offensive line; they’re supposed to be good.
— junior QB started 18 games at UL-Monroe.
— Mean Green is 9-4 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.
— UNT is 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 conference games.
— four of last five Mean Green games stayed under the total.
— UNT went bowling five of last six years (0-5 SU/1-4 ATS).


SMU (7-2, 5-0)
— SMU won its last five games (3-2 ATS), scoring 45 ppg.
— Mustangs scored 38-34-31-69-36 points in its I-A wins.
— SMU’s losses are to Big X teams: 28-11 at Oklahoma, 34-17 at TCU.
— Mustangs are 5-0 in AAC, winning by 24-18-21-59-5 points.
— last 4+ years, SMU is 38-18 SU/27-28 ATS.
— under Lashlee, Mustangs are 3-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 123 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB Stone has competed 58.9% of passes, with 21 TD’s, 5 INT.
— since 2017, Mustangs are 22-29 ATS in AAC (2-3 TY)
— SMU’s last three games went over total.
— SMU qualified for a bowl 4 of last 5 years; last bowl win, 2012.


— SMU won/covered last four series games.
— North Texas is 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS in last five visits to SMU.
— Under is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
— AAC home favorites are 5-13 ATS.


Wyoming @ UNLV
Wyoming (6-3, 3-2)
— Wyoming is 6-0 at home, 0-3 on the road.
— Cowboys gave up 31-34-32 points in their losses.
— Wyoming is 5-0 when they give up 26 or fewer points.
— Cowboys gave up 214+ RY in four of last six games.
— 5 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 52 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 12 career starts.
— Wyoming is 8-11 ATS last 19 games as a road underdog (2-1 TY).
— Cowboys are 7-3-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
— Under Bohl, Wyoming is 42-34 ATS in conference games.
— Wyoming won/covered three of its last four bowl games.


UNLV (7-2, 4-1)
— UNLV won six of its last seven games, scoring 39.9 ppg.
— Rebels’ losses: 7-35 (+37) at Michigan/24-31 (+10) @ Fresno.
— UNLV has gained 400+ yards in every game but the Michigan game.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line, but there isn’t much depth.
— frosh QB has completed 64.9% of passes (10 TD’s, 4 INT)
— In his career, coach Odom is 15-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— Rebels are 8-13 ATS last 21 games as a home favorite (1-1 TY).
— UNLV is 12-9 ATS in its last 21 Mountain West games.
— Five of their last seven games went over the total.
— Rebels haven’t been to a bowl game since 2013.
— UNLV’s last bowl win was in 2000.


— Wyoming won five of last six series games.
— Cowboys are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to UNLV.
— Over is 10-3 in last 13 meetings.
— Mountain West home favorites are 8-9 ATS.


Saturday’s top 13 games
Alabama @ Kentucky
Alabama (8-1, 6-0)
— Alabama won its last seven games (5-2 ATS).
— Crimson Tide’s only loss was 34-24 at home to Texas.
— Longhorns threw for 349 yards in that game.
— Last two games, Alabama gave up 404-478 TY.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line.
— Alabama is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite (1-2 TY)
— Alabama is 24-17-1 ATS in last 42 games coming off a win.
— Crimson Tide is +3 in turnovers since start of LY (+76 from 2015-21)
— Alabama is 5-1 ATS in SEC games this season.
— four of their last five games went over.
— Crimson Tide won six of its last eight bowls.


Kentucky (6-3, 3-3)
— Kentucky lost three of last four games, after a 5-0 start.
— Wildcats gave up 51-38-33 points in losses (28 or less in wins)
— Kentucky is 1-3 scoring less than 28 points.
— Kentucky was held under 300 TY in three of last four games.
— 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line (four starters back)
— senior QB started 26 games at NC State.
— under Stoops, Wildcats are 10-13-2 ATS as home underdogs.
— in his career, Stoops is 40-46 ATS in SEC games.
— Kentucky is 13-7 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
— Five of last six Kentucky games went over the total.
— Wildcats won four of their last five bowls (lost 21-0 LY).


— Alabama won last seven series games (4-3 ATS)
— Crimson Tide won/covered its last three visits to Lexington.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
— SEC home underdogs are 4-12 ATS.


Michigan @ Penn State
Michigan (9-0, 6-0)
— Wolverines are 6-0 SU/4-1-1 ATS in Big 14 games.
— Michigan is 8-2-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.
— All nine Michigan wins are by 24+ points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 145 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB McCarthy has 13 career starts (22 TD passes, 5 INT LY).
— Last 2+ years, Michigan is 16-7-2 ATS in conference games.
— Michigan is 18-12-3 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.
— last five Michigan games went over the total.
— Michigan is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in last five bowls, giving up 40.3 ppg in last four


Penn State (8-1, 5-1)
— Penn State scored 30+ points in all its wins.
— Nittany Lions (+4) lost 20-12 at Ohio State.
— since 2020, Penn State is 4-6 ATS as an underdog.
— last 2+ years, Penn State is +33 in turnovers (+16 TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has completed 62.8% of passes, with 20 TD’s, one INT.
— in his career, Franklin is 9-7 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last 2+ years, PSU is 15-8-1 ATS in conference games.
— Over is 4-1 in Penn State’s last five games.
— Last six years, Penn State is 3-2 SU/ATS in bowls.


— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Michigan covered three of last four visits to Happy Valley.
— Over is 7-4 in last eleven series games.
— Big 14 home underdogs are 6-13 ATS.


Texas Tech @ Kansas
Texas Tech (4-5, 3-3)
— Tech split their six Big X games, scoring 13-21-14 in losses.
— Red Raiders scored 49-39-35 points in their I-A wins.
— Tech is 0-5 if they score less than 35 points.
— Last four games, Red Raiders are minus-7 in turnovers.
— 11 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 142 starts back on offensive line.
— freshman QB is completing 61.9% of passes (10 TD’s, 2 INTs)
— Tech is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games as a road underdog.
— Red Raiders are 5-11 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
— under is 3-1 in their road games.
— Tech won last two bowls as an underdog; scored 34-34-42 in last three.


Kansas (7-2, 4-2)
— Kansas gave up 40-39 points in its two losses.
— Jayhawks are 7-0 when they give up 33 or less points.
— Kansas gave up 200+ rushing yards in four of last five games.
— Jayhawks gained 400+ total yards in five of eight I-A games.
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line; four starters are back
— junior QB has started 13 games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 5-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— in his career, Leipold is 18-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 11-12-1 ATS in Big X games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 8-5-1 ATS coming off a win.
— three of their last four games went over the total.
— Kansas was 6-7 LY, going to their first bowl since 2008.


— Red Raiders won three in row, 15 of last 16 series games.
— Tech is 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Lawrence.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
— Big X home favorites are 14-12 ATS.


Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona (6-3, 4-2)
— Arizona won its last three games, is bowl eligible.
— Four of their last six games were decided by 7 or less points.
— Wildcats are 6-0 when they give up less than 31 points.
— last 3+ years, Arizona is minus-36 in turnovers (minus-4 TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— frosh QB has completed 75.8% of passes (11 TD’s, 3 INTs)
— under Fisch, Arizona is 0-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Fisch, Arizona is 14-10 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— under is 7-1 in last eight Arizona games.
— Arizona hasn’t played in a bowl game since 2017.
— From 2018-22, Wildcats were 15-38 SU.


Colorado (4-5, 1-5)
— Colorado lost five of last six games, after 3-0 start.
— Buffs gave up 42-48-46-28-26 points in their losses.
— Colorado scored 34.4 ppg in first seven games, 16-19 in last two.
— Buffs lost last two games, despite being +5 in turnovers.
— Buffs were held under 300 TY in four of last six games.
— Colorado is 4-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Deion Sanders is the new coach (27-6 at I-AA Jackson State)
— 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 44 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB Sanders started 26 games at Jackson State
— Buffs are 5-10-1 ATS in last 16 Pac-12 games.
— under is 3-1 in Colorado’s last four games.
— Colorado changed play callers LW, was outgained 418-238
— Colorado hasn’t gone bowling since 2020; their last bowl win, 2004.


— Arizona won eight of last 11 series games.
— Wildcats are 4-2 SU/3-3 ATS in last six visits to Boulder.
— Over is 9-3 in last 12 meetings.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 12-4 ATS


Baylor @ Kansas State
Baylor (3-6, 2-4)
— Baylor is 2-6 vs I-A teams, giving up 32.3 ppg.
— Bears are 0-4 when they score less than 30 points.
— Last six games, Baylor is +5 in turnovers.
— Baylor won both road games SU, by total of four points.
— under Aranda, Baylor is 8-4 ATS as a road underdog (2-0 TY)
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 54 starts back on offensive line; 2 of 3 starters will be transfers.
— junior QB had 15 starts coming into this year.
— Bears are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
— under Aranda, Baylor is 17-19 ATS in Big X games.
— Bears are 3-2 SU in last five bowls; they were underdog in 4 of 5 games.


Kansas State (6-3, 4-2)
— K-State won three of last four games (lost 33-30 at Texas).
— K-State ran for 33 yards LW (258.6 yards/game previous 5 games).
— Wildcats are 5-0 when they allow less the 29 points.
— Wildcats are scoring 42 ppg in I-A home games.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; all five starters are back
— junior QB started 15 games last two years.
— K-State is 9-1 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 18-9 ATS as a favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 29-14 ATS in Big X games.
— under Klieman, K-State is 13-6 ATS coming off a loss.
— over is 5-3 in their last eight games
— Wildcats went to a bowl games three of last four years.


— Baylor won 8 of last 11 series games.
— Bears covered their last three visits to the Little Apple.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten meetings.
— Big X home favorites are 14-12 ATS.


Miami @ Florida State
Miami FL (6-3, 2-3)
— Miami lost three of last five games, after a 4-0 start.
— ‘canes are 6-1 when they score 28+, 0-2 if they don’t.
— Last 2+ years, Miami is 18-15 SU, 12-20 ATS.
— Miami 276/292 TY in its last two games.
— 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 18 career starts.
— since 2019, Miami is 7-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, Cristobal is 18-22 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Cristobal, Hurricanes are 2-11 ATS in ACC games.
— over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Miami hasn’t been to a bowl since 2020; last bowl win? 2016.


Florida State (9-0, 7-0)
— Seminoles’ last five wins were all by 17+ points.
— FSU threw for 344+ yards in three of last four games.
— Seminoles are +7 in turnovers this season.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 206 starts back on offensive line; ton of experience.
— senior QB has 26 starts; he threw for 3,214 yards LY.
— Seminoles are 3-1 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— in his career, Norvell is 22-20 ATS as a home favorite
— under Norvell, FSU is 16-15 ATS in the ACC.
— Over is 6-3 in their games this season.
— Seminoles went bowling LY for first time since 2019
— FSU has played in one bowl since 2019 (3-1 last four SU)


— Florida State (-7.5) whacked Miami 45-3 last year.
— Overall, teams split last eight meetings.
— Miami is 6-2 ATS in last eight visits to Tallahassee.
— Under is 9-3 in last 12 series games.
— ACC home favorites are 11-12 ATS.


Oklahoma State @ Central Florida
Oklahoma State (7-2, 5-1)
— Okla State won its last five games, scoring 29-39-48-45-27 points.
— OSU allowed 33-34 points in its two losses.
— Okla State is 5-1 in Big X games (average total, 62.2).
— Cowboys were minus-2 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
— Cowboys were 7-6 LY, their worst season since 2018.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He comes to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— Cowboys are 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
— In his career, Gundy is 31-20-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— OSU is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 Big X games.
— Over is 3-1 in their four games.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.


UCF (4-5, 1-5)
— UCF lost five of six Big X games, giving up 38.2 ppg.
— Knights are giving up 479.8 yards/game in Big X play.
— Big X opponents have run ball for 259.3 yards/game.
— UCF allowed 31+ points in I-A losses, 6-16-26 in wins.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 126 starts back on offensive line- good depth
— senior QB Plumlee has 22 starts between UCF/Ole Miss.
— under Malzahn, Knights are 8-12 ATS coming off a win.
— in his career, Malzahn is 9-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— over is 4-2 in UCF’s last six games.
— Central Florida is 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.


— These teams haven’t played in this century.
— Big X home underdogs are 11-4 ATS.


Rutgers @ Iowa
Rutgers (6-3, 3-3)
— Rutgers split its last six games, after a 3-0 start.
— Knights scored 7-13-16 points in losses; 24+ in wins.
— Rutgers allowed 31-24-35 points in its losses.
— Knights are 0-3 when they allow more than 319 TY.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 101 starters back on offensive line; new OL coach comes from NFL.
— soph QB started 6 games last year.
— since 2020, Scarlet Knights are 12-6-1 ATS on the road.
— in his college career, Schiano is 41-32-2 ATS on the road.
— over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Rutgers is 1-3 in its last four bowls; last bowl win was in 2014.


Iowa (7-2, 4-2)
— Iowa QB McNamara tore his ACL, is out for year.
— soph backup QB is completing 41.6% of passes (3 TD, 4 INTs)
— Iowa scored total of 35 points in its last three games.
— Hawkeyes gained 291 or less TY in eight of nine games.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 114 starts back on offensive line
— Iowa is 9-10-1 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite.
— Hawkeyes are 18-10 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
— Iowa is 18-13-1 ATS in last 32 conference games.
— Iowa won four of its last five bowl games (5-0 ATS)


— Iowa won last three meetings (2-1 ATS), by a combined 71-14.
— Rutgers (+18.5) lost 30-0 in last visit here, in 2019.
— Under is 2-1 in the three series games.
— Big 14 road teams are 25-16 ATS this season.


Utah @ Washington
Utah (7-2, 4-2)
— Utah was held to 7-6 points in its two losses.
— Utes are 2-1 SU on road, beating Baylor (20-13)/USC (34-32)
— Utah ran ball for 247+ yards in three of last four games.
— since 2014, Utah is 14-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; high expectations
— soph QB Barnes is completing 58.9% of passes (8 TD/5 INT)
— last 4+ years, Utes are 41-15 SU.
— Since 2016, Utah is 45-24 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Three of their last four games went over.
— Utah lost last four bowls, after Whittingham started out 11-1 in bowls.


Washington (9-0, 6-0)
— Washington is 6-0 SU/2-3-1 ATS in first six Pac-12 games.
— Huskies allowed 499+ TY in three of last four games.
— Washington is minus-6 in turnovers, in its last four games.
— Huskies allowed 32+ points in four of last six games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 36 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 30 starts; 17 here, 13 at Indiana.
— under DeBoer, Huskies are 7-4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— In his career, DeBoer is 11-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Washington is 16-30-1 ATS in last 47 Pac-12 tilts.
— over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Last year was Washington’s first bowl since 2019.


— Washington won seven of last nine series games.
— Utah is 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Seattle.
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
— Pac-12 home favorites are 9-9 ATS.


Tennessee @ Missouri
Tennessee (7-2, 3-2)
— Tennessee is 1-2 in true road games, losing 29-16/34-20, at Florida/Bama.
— Vols won 33-27 at Kentucky, but gave up 372 passing yards.
— Vols are 6-0 when they score 30+ points, 1-2 if they don’t.
— Vols ran for 232+ yards in all of its I-A wins.
— Vols ran ball for 100-133 yards in their losses.
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 93 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB has nine starts.
— Tennessee is 7-2 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.
— Tennessee is 9-5 ATS in last 14 SEC games.
— four of their last five games went over the total.
— Vols are 4-1 SU/ATS in their last five bowls.


Missouri (7-2, 3-2)
— Mizzou is 6-2 vs I-A teams, despite giving up 25.8 ppg.
— Mizzou gave up 49-30 points in losses to LSU/Georgia.
— Mizzou’s only loss was 49-39 at home to LSU.
— Tigers scored 30+ points in six of their last seven games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 136 starts back on offensive line; very experienced
— junior QB has started 14 games.
— In his career, Drinkwitz is 16-9 ATS as an underdog.
— Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 17-14 ATS in SEC games.
— five of last seven Mizzou games went over the total.
— Mizzou lost its last four bowls; their last bowl win— 2015.


— Tennessee won/covered last four series games.
— Vols beat Mizzou 66-24/62-24 the last two years.
— over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
— SEC home teams are 18-22 ATS.


Auburn @ Arkansas
Auburn (5-4, 2-4)
— Auburn won its last two games, after an 0-4 skid
— Auburn allowed 15 or less points in wins, 27+ in losses.
— Last 3+ years, Auburn is 22-23 SU.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 25 games at Michigan State.
— In his career, Freeze is 16-8 ATS as a road dog (0-2 TY).
— Auburn is 8-15-1 ATS in last 24 games as a road underdog.
— Tigers are 8-11-2 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
— under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Auburn is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 4 of 5)
— Freeze is Auburn’s third coach in 4 years.


Arkansas (3-6, 1-5)
— Hogs lost 6 of last 7 games (five losses by 7 or less points).
— Six of their last seven games were decided by 7 or less points.
— Arkansas ran ball for 226 yards LW, outgained Florida 481-394.
— Previous four weeks, Hogs were held to 227.5 yards/game.
— Arkansas gave up 33 sacks the last seven games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 78 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has 24 starts
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 19-11-2 ATS in SEC games.
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 5-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— Hogs are 2-5-1 ATS in last eight games coming off a win.
— three of Hogs’ last four games stayed under the total.
— Razorbacks won three of their last four bowls, scoring 37 ppg.


— Auburn won six of last seven meetings (5-2 ATS)
— Auburn won/covered four of last five visits to Arkansas.
— Over is 8-1 in last nine series games.
— SEC home favorites are 14-10 ATS


Ole Miss @ Georgia
Ole Miss (8-1, 5-1)
— Ole Miss won its last five games, scoring 36.2 ppg
— Rebels were outgained 356-301 in 24-10 loss at Alabama.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 2-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, Kiffin is 14-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Rebels are +8 in turnovers this season.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 131 starts back on offensive line; good offensive line
— junior QB started 12 games last year.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 13-8-3 ATS at coming off a win.
— Under Kiffin, Rebels are 14-16-1 ATS in the SEC.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Ole Miss is 2-3 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.


Georgia (9-0, 6-0)
— Georgia won first six SEC games by 10-7-38-17-23-9 points (2-4 ATS)
— Georgia is 2-5-1 against spread this season.
— Dawgs allowed 20+ points in five of last six games.
— In Dawgs’ only one possession game, Auburn ran ball for 219 yards.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— Last five games, Georgia threw for 331.4 yards/game.
— New QB for Georgia; he is completing 72.2%, with 16 TD’s, 4 INTs.
— Last 2+ years, Georgia is 14-12 ATS in SEC games (2-4 TY).
— five of Georgia’s last six games went over the total.
— Dawgs won their last six bowl games (4-2 ATS)


— These teams haven’t met since 2016.
— Georgia won 10 of last 11 series games (7-4 ATS)
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 14-10 ATS


Texas @ TCU
Texas (8-1, 5-1)
— Texas scored 30+ points in every game this year.
— Longhorns’ only loss: 34-30 (-4) vs Oklahoma.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 4-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— last four games, Texas gave up 23.5 ppg.
— 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line
— check status on whether starting QB Ewers/backup Murphy plays
— In his career, Sarkisian is 9-10 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 11-13 ATS in Big X games.
— Five of their seven games stayed under total.
— Texas is 4-1 in last five bowls; they were underdog is 3 of the 4 wins.


TCU (4-5, 2-4)
— TCU scored 34+ points in its wins, 42-21-14-3-28 in losses.
— Frogs are 0-4 when they score less than 34 points.
— Frogs are 0-4 in games decided by fewer than 17 points.
— TCU lost four of last five games, after a 3-1 start.
— 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started three games.
— TCU is 5-4-1 ATS in last 10 games as a home underdog.
— Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
— under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— TCU went 13-2 LY, but lost national title game 65-7 to Georgia.
— TCU qualified for a bowl in four of last six seasons.


— Underdogs covered five of last seven series games.
— TCU won seven of last nine series games.
— Texas is 1-3 ATS in last four visits to TCU.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
— Big X home underdogs are 11-4 ATS.

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 9​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
UVA at LOU	07:30 PM	LOU -20.5 U 49.5	+500 +500
USM at ULL	07:30 PM	USM +8.5 U 52.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
11/09/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
11/08/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-150	Detail
11/07/2023	5-1-0	83.33%	+1950	Detail
11/04/2023	57-52-3	52.23%	-100	Detail
11/03/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
11/02/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+900	Detail
11/01/2023	1-2-1	37.50%	-600	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/09/2023............................1 - 3................................25.00%..........................- 11.50
11/08/2023............................2 - 3................................40.00%..........................- 6.50
11/07/2023............................5 - 1.................................83.33%.........................+ 19.50
11/04/2023.........................29 - 29 - 0.............................50.00%.........................- 14.50
11/03/2023.............................3 - 1................................75.00%..........................+ 950
11/02/2023............................4 - 2 - 0.............................66.66%..........................+ 9.00
11/01/2023............................1 - 2 - 0.............................33.33%..........................- 6.00

TOTALS...............................45 - 41 - 0.............................52.32%............................- 0.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday’s 6-pack:
Last six rookies to win a Silver Slugger Award:
2023- Gunnar Henderson, UT
2022- Julio Rodriguez, OF
2017- Aaron Judge, OF
2016- Corey Seager, SS
2014- Jose Abreu, 1B
2012- Mike Trout, OF

Quote of the Day
“There was a lot of people who worked really hard alongside me. … I am really thankful for the four years I got, coming from zero coaching experience to getting the chance to manage such a great organization that has impacted my life in a great way. There’s great people there. I really don’t have a whole lot negative to say, to be honest. I get mad from time to time but I have a lot to be thankful for.”
Former Cubs manager David Ross

Friday’s quiz
Since 1985, who is the only Chicago Bears’ QB to play in a Pro Bowl?

Thursday’s quiz
Spurs coach Gregg Popovich is a graduate of the Air Force Academy.

Wednesday’s quiz
Shaquille O’Neal played his college basketball at LSU.

****************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..​

— Bears 16, Panthers 13
Former Bear Ihmir Smith-Marsette ran a punt back 79 yards for a TD.
Carolina led 10-9 at halftime- they didn’t score a TD on offense.
Carolina in 2nd half: 35 plays, 91 yards, 3 points.
Panthers ran ball 16 times for only 43 yards.
Chicago’s only TD drive was 38 yards; they took lead for good in third quarter.
Total yardage was 295-213, Chicago
Bears were 6-15 on third down, Carolina 3-15.
Four of last five Chicago games stayed under the total.

— Bears, by the way, have Carolina’s first round pick next spring, plus their own, so there is a decent chance they could get the first two picks in the 2024 Draft. Would they move on from Justin Fields and draft Caleb Williams, or trade one/both of the picks for a boatload of picks/players, to rebuild their roster around Fields?

— James Madison 113, Kent State 108, 2 OT’s
JMU scored five points in last 0:02 of regulation to force overtime.
Dukes made 17-35 on the arc, Kent State 11-28
Golden Flashes were 35-48 on foul line, JMU 24-36.
James Madison upset Michigan State in their opener; great start for the Dukes.

— Cal-Davis 79, Pepperdine 78
Ty Johnson scored 28 points, scoring the game-winning hoop with 0:00.8 left.
Pepperdine led this game 50-31 early in second half.
If you like college basketball, you need to get ESPN+; there are a ton of games on there, from all over the country. This was a fun game to watch, fast-paced action.

— While we’re on college hoop, it is really, really tough to wager on early season games; lot of teams have totally rebuilt their rosters. Their coaches don’t even know what they have; how are we supposed to know?
Plus, NCAA is still deciding on whether some transfers are eligible; Cal Bears just got one of their players declared eligible this week, which is a big help to them.
Was watching Western Kentucky-Wichita State game; two new head coaches, the game was like a rock fight, everyone getting used to each other. Very difficult game to handicap.

— Dayton Flyers lost a good player, Malachi Smith, for the season with a knee injury; Gonzaga also lost a good player for the season- Steele Venters, with a knee injury.

— Word of the Day: Pinnacle— the most successful point, the high point.
Pinnacle is not to be confused with Pinochle, a card game for two or more players using a 48-card deck consisting of two of each card from nine to ace, the object being to score points for various combinations and to win tricks.

— Bryce Harper is going to be the Phillies 1B going forward, which means Rhys Hoskins will be playing elsewhere next season. Hoskins missed 2023 with an injury but he’ll be starting for someone in 2024- he hit 57 homers in 2021-22.

— From 1985-2015, Kentucky’s football team went to only eight bowl games; this year, Mark Stoops’ Wildcats are headed to their 8th straight bowl, which is impressive.
Granted, there are more bowls now than there were in the 80’s, but winning consistently in a league as tough as the SEC is nothing to sneeze at.

— Texas Longhorns’ QB Quinn Ewers will return from injury this week and start against TCU.

— San Diego Padres are going to have assistant farm director Mike Daly manage their AAA farm team next year. Daly has never coached at the professional level; this is unusual.
San Diego still hasn’t chosen a replacement for manager Bob Melvin at the major league level.

— Relief pitcher Will Smith pitched for the Rangers, Astros, Braves the last three years; he is the first player in pro sports history (MLB, NFL, NBA, NHL) to play in at least one game for three different franchises in consecutive seasons who all won a championship.

— Atlanta 120, Orlando 119
Dejounte Murray hit the game-winning 3-pointer for Atlanta.
Trae Young scored 41 points for the Hawks.
Game was played in Mexico City.

— Indiana 126, Milwaukee 124— Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 50 points, had 12 rebounds, but Milwaukee was minus-8 in the 12:00 he was on the bench.
Indiana shot 20-48 on the arc, as they improve to 6-3.

— Louisville 31, Virginia 24
Louisville had TD plays of 52, 73 yards in last 6:20 of game.
Virginia had taken a 21-14 lead by virtue of two defensive TD’s.
Louisville is 9-1; 2-8 Virginia had 13 penalties for 100 yards.

— Southern Miss 34, Louisiana 31 OT
Southern Miss drove 75 yards, tied game on a TD with 1:26 left.
USM was 9-18 on third down, Louisiana was 4-15.
Golden Eagles were an 8.5-point underdog; they ran ball for 229 yards.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 11

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 10​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
UNT at SMU	09:00 PM	SMU -18.5 U 65.0	+500 +500
WYO at UNLV	10:45 PM	UNLV -3.0 U 49.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
11/10/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
11/09/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
11/08/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-150	Detail
11/07/2023	5-1-0	83.33%	+1950	Detail
11/04/2023	57-52-3	52.23%	-100	Detail
11/03/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
11/02/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+900	Detail
11/01/2023	1-2-1	37.50%	-600	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/10/2023............................3 - 1.....................................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
11/09/2023............................1 - 3.....................................25.00%..........................- 11.50
11/08/2023............................2 - 3.....................................40.00%..........................- 6.50
11/07/2023............................5 - 1.....................................83.33%..........................+ 19.50
11/04/2023.........................29 - 29 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 14.50
11/03/2023.............................3 - 1...................................75.00%............................+ 950
11/02/2023.............................4 - 2 - 0.............................66.66%............................+ 9.00
11/01/2023.............................1 - 2 - 0.............................33.33%............................- 6.00

TOTALS.................................48 - 42 - 0.............................53.33%............................+ 9.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Six most valuable NHL franchises:
$2.65B— Toronto Maple Leafs
$2.45B— New York Rangers
$2.27B— Montreal Canadiens
$1.64B— Chicago Blackhawks
$1.78B— Boston Bruins
$1.72B— Los Angeles Kings

Quote of the Day
“I love playing this game, I love competing. I love being in the locker room with the guys. I’ll never get that again, so I want to make sure I get as many opportunities to do that as I can. I love this team, I love the city, it’s been a blast. Obviously, had a bunch of success in our first year and trying to duplicate that either this year, next year, whenever it is. But, I enjoy playing too much to hang it up.”
Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford

Saturday’s quiz
Which current NBA franchise used to be known as the Cincinnati Royals?

Friday’s quiz
Since 1985, Mitch Trubisky (2018) is the only Chicago Bears’ QB to play in a Pro Bowl.

Thursday’s quiz
Spurs coach Gregg Popovich is a graduate of the Air Force Academy.

*************************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….​

— Michigan football coach Jim Harbaugh has been suspended for three games, as a result of the sign-stealing shenanigans involving the Wolverines. Michigan responded with a temporary restraining order request against the Big 14; by the time you read this, the lawyers will have billed a few more hours and the judge will have made a decision.
Michigan’s next three games are Penn State, Maryland, Ohio State, big games.

— Arizona 78, Duke 73
All five Arizona starters scored scored between 11-14 points.
Wildcats out-rebounded Duke, 45-33.
High-level game; these teams play in Tucson next year.

— Memphis 70, Missouri 55
Mizzou led this game 33-26 at half, got outscored 44-22 in second half.
Mizzou shot 32.1% from floor, 6-28 on arc.
Memphis out-rebounded Mizzou, 47-33.

— Missouri has a guard named Caleb Grill, who has had an interesting career:
2020— Iowa State- Cyclones were 12-20 that year.
2021— UNLV— Rebels went 12-15, the coach quit and bolted to Iowa State, where he used to be an assistant.
2022— Iowa State— back to the Cyclones with the coach- they went 22-13, made Sweet 16.
2023— Iowa State— Cyclones went 19-14, after a 13-2 start.
2024— Missouri— he’s scored 21 points in the Tigers’ first two games.

— Texas A&M 73, Ohio State 66
SEC is supposed to be loaded this year; this game is a good example of this.

— Tennessee 80, Wisconsin 70
Another good game for the SEC, a solid road win.

— Uh-oh scores— games that could signal a long year for the losers:
Chattanooga 81, Louisville 71
Nicholls State 68, LSU 66
Monmouth 73, West Virginia 65

— Word of the Day: Litigation— the process of taking legal action.

— SMU 45, North Texas 21
Mustangs led 17-14 at halftime.
8-0 Mustangs ran ball 58 times for 318 yards, threw for 234 more.

— Princeton 74, Hofstra 67— Good start for Tigers, beating Rutgers/Hofstra this week, as they look to build on their Sweet 16 appearance last year.

— Oregon State 81, Troy 80, 2OT
Trojans had 23 turnovers, OSU had 21.
Beavers were 26-39 on foul line, Troy was 22-29.

— Surprising Item of the Day: Baseball announcer Jason Benetti, who grew up in Chicago as a big White Sox fan, is jumping from the White Sox to the Detroit Tigers. Very surprising, and disappointing for White Sox fans, because Benetti/Steve Stone were a great team.
There are rumors that White Sox owner Jerry Reinsdorf isn’t a fan of Benetti’s, which fueled his departure, but Benetti is an awesome announcer. Born with cerebral palsy, he graduated from Syracuse, then he got a law degree from Wake Forest while broadcasting minor-league ball.
He also works on a national stage for football/basketball, hard to believe someone wouldn’t want him to be their announcer. Friday was a good day for Detroit Tiger fans.

— QB Kyler Murray is starting for the Cardinals, his first action since tearing up his knee last year. Arizona went 1-13 in the fourteen games since Murray got hurt.

— Oakland A’s claimed 3B/OF Miguel Andujar off waivers from Pittsburgh, a good move. Andujar had a .776 OPS in 30 games with the Pirates last year.

— If you like to bet NBA first half props, the Lakers are now 0-9 ATS in the first half of their games this season.

— 76era G Tyrese Maxey is the only NBA player this season who has two games with 10+ assists and no turnovers.

— Random trivia; on the great old TV show M*A*S*H, the actors wore dog tags, because their characters were in the Army. Some of the characters wore their own dog tags, from when they were in the service, but the star of the show, Alan Alda, wore two dog tags from real soldiers who served in wars.
Years later, those dog tags and the boots Alda wore on the show sold at an auction for $125,000, with the proceeds going to charity.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 11

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 11​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
TLSA at TULN	12:00 PM	TLSA +24.0 O 53.0	+500 +500
MICH at PSU	12:00 PM	MICH -5.0 U 45.0	+500 +500
ALA at UK	12:00 PM	ALA -10.5 O 47.0	+500 +500
VAN at SOCAR	12:00 PM	SOCAR -13.5 U 55.5	+500 +500
GT at CLEM	12:00 PM	GT +14.5 O 54.5	+500 +500
MD at NEB	12:00 PM	MD -2.5 U 42.5	+500 +500
HC at ARMY	12:00 PM	ARMY -12.0 U 56.0	+500 +500
IU at ILL	12:00 PM	IU +5.0 O 44.0	+500 +500
TEM at USF	12:00 PM	USF -7.0 U 70.0	+500 +500
VT at BC	12:00 PM	BC +2.5 U 49.0	+500 +500
TTU at KU	12:00 PM	KU -4.0 O 62.5	+500 +500
ODU at LIB	01:00 PM	ODU +13.5 O 59.0	+500 +500
MEM at CHAR	02:00 PM	MEM -10.0 U 51.5	+500 +500
CONN at JMU	02:00 PM	JMU -25.5 U 48.5	+500 +500
TROY at ULM	02:00 PM	TROY -21.5 U 45.5	+500 +500
ARIZ at COLO	02:00 PM	COLO +9.5 O 54.5	+500 +500
NCST at WAKE	02:00 PM	NCST -1.5 U 42.5	+500 +500
APP at GSU	02:00 PM	GSU -3.0 U 62.5	+500 +500
NEV at USU	03:00 PM	USU -16.0 U 55.0	+500 +500
SHSU at LT	03:00 PM	LT -7.5 U 49.5	+500 +500
BAY at KSU	03:00 PM	BAY +21.0 O 55.0	+500 +500
NMSU at WKU	03:30 PM	WKU -5.0 O 54.0	+500 +500
PITT at SYR	03:30 PM	PITT -3.0 U 37.5	+500 +500
UAB at NAVY	03:30 PM	UAB -2.5 U 53.5	+500 +500
OKST at UCF	03:30 PM	UCF +2.5 O 64.5	+500 +500
MIA at FSU	03:30 PM	MIA +14.5 O 50.0	+500 +500
UTAH at WASH	03:30 PM	UTAH +8.0 U 49.0	+500 +500
NW at WIS	03:30 PM	NW +11.5 U 42.0	+500 +500
MINN at PUR	03:30 PM	MINN -2.0 U 48.0	+500 +500
TXST at CCU	03:30 PM	CCU +2.5 O 57.0	+500 +500
TENN at MIZZ	03:30 PM	MIZZ +2.5 O 58.5	+500 +500
FIU at MTU	03:30 PM	FIU +10.5 O 51.5	+500 +500
RUTG at IOWA	03:30 PM	RUTG +1.0 U 27.5	+500 +500
WSU at CAL	04:00 PM	WSU +2.5 O 60.0	+500 +500
ECU at FAU	04:00 PM	FAU -7.5 O 44.5	+500 +500
AUB at ARK	04:00 PM	ARK -2.0 O 48.0	+500 +500
ARST at USA	05:00 PM	USA -13.5 U 55.0	+500 +500
STAN at ORST	05:30 PM	STAN +21.0 O 51.5	+500 +500
WVU at OKLA	07:00 PM	OKLA -12.5 U 60.0	+500 +500
GASO at MRSH	07:00 PM	GASO -1.5 U 56.5	+500 +500
CIN at HOU	07:00 PM	HOU -3.0 U 53.5	+500 +500
SDSU at CSU	07:00 PM	CSU -3.5 U 46.5	+500 +500
MISS at UGA	07:00 PM	UGA -10.5 U 58.5	+500 +500
MSU at OSU	07:30 PM	MSU +31.5 O 47.0	+500 +500
MSST at TAM	07:30 PM	TAM -18.0 U 42.5	+500 +500
FLA at LSU	07:30 PM	LSU -16.0 U 67.0	+500 +500
TEX at TCU	07:30 PM	TCU +13.0 U 55.5	+500 +500
RICE at UTSA	07:30 PM	RICE +13.5 O 56.0	+500 +500
DUKE at UNC	08:00 PM	DUKE +13.0 O 51.5	+500 +500
ASU at UCLA	09:00 PM	ASU +16.5 O 44.5	+500 +500
UNM at BSU	10:00 PM	UNM +27.5 O 59.5	+500 +500
ISU at BYU	10:15 PM	ISU -8.0 U 41.0	+500 +500
FRES at SJSU	10:30 PM	SJSU -2.5 O 53.5	+500 +500
USC at ORE	10:30 PM	ORE -15.5 O 77.0	+500 +500
AFA at HAW	11:00 PM	AFA -19.5 O 47.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
11/11/2023	51-59-0	46.36%	-6950	Detail
11/10/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
11/09/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
11/08/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-150	Detail
11/07/2023	5-1-0	83.33%	+1950	Detail
11/04/2023	57-52-3	52.23%	-100	Detail
11/03/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
11/02/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+900	Detail
11/01/2023	1-2-1	37.50%	-600	Detail