CNOTES 2023-2024 COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS + NEWS AND NOTES

[Cnotes53]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/02/2023.............................4 - 2 - 0.............................66.66%............................+ 9.00
11/01/2023.............................1 - 2 - 0.............................33.33%............................- 6.00

TOTALS..................................5 - 4 - 0..............................55.55%............................+ 3.00

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack:
Some interesting college hoop games next week:
Monday— Georgia vs Oregon
Tuesday— Auburn vs Baylor
Wednesday— Mississippi State vs Arizona State
Friday— Wake Forest @ Georgia
Texas A&M @ Ohio State
Tennessee @ Wisconsin

Quote of the Day
“It’s not a celebration that we have a new coach and there’s been changes made. We, obviously, think it was time, one way or the other, it was time for some sort of change. Just to bring a little juice in and revitalize the team a little bit. So, I think that’s kind of the mindset we’re having, just trying to have fun and enjoy our time in this building because I think as we speak to each other, it’s been too much of, this has just been feeling like work too much and not having enough fun.”
Raiders WR Davante Adams

Friday’s quiz
Where did Patrick Mahomes play his college football?

Thursday’s quiz
Ted Williams was the first manager of the Texas Rangers, in 1972.

Wednesday’s quiz
Raiders lost the Super Bowl after the 2002 season; since then, they’ve had 20 head coaches, not including interim coaches. Next year’s coach will be #21.

******************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here………

— Steelers 20, Titans 16
Titans in first half: 37 plays, 220 yards, 13 points.
Titans in second half: 34 plays, 152 yards, 3 points.
Tennessee is 0-4 SU in true road games, losing by 1-24-7-4 points (1-3 ATS)
Titans scored 27-27-28 points in wins; they scored 15-3-16-16-16 in losses.

Steelers drove 92 yards, scored game-winning TD with 4:02 left.
Pitt is 30-16-1 ATS in last 47 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
Seven of eight Steeler games stayed under the total.
Last seven games, Steelers have a +9 turnover margin.

Under is 20-7 in NFL primetime games this season.

On bright side for Tennessee, rookie QB Levis looks like a keeper.

— Texas Tech 35, TCU 28
Red Raiders led 20-7 at halftime.
TCU QB Hoover threw for 352 yards, but also two INTs.
Tech RB Brooks ran 31 times for 146 yards and a TD.
Both teams are 4-5 now.

— Duke 24, Wake Forest 21
Duke kicked a 26-yard FG at the gun to win the game.
Deacons outgained Duke, 400-267.
Both teams turned ball over twice.
Duke is 6-3; they’re bowl eligible now.

— Troy 28, South Alabama 10
Troy WR Lewis caught four passes for 120 yards, 3 TD’s.
South Alabama was 0-10 on third down conversions.
Trojans are 7-2 this season.

— Spurs 132, Suns 121
San Antonio led 75-55 at halftime.
Rookie Wembanyama scored 38 points, was +21 for the Spurs.
San Antonio swept both games in their visit to Phoenix.

— Canucks 10, Sharks 1
San Jose is 0-9-1; they’ve been outscored 45-10.

— Movie of the Day: Major League (1989)— The new owner of a major league team puts together a purposely horrible team so they’ll lose and she can move the team and make more money. But when the plot is uncovered, they start winning just to spite her.

Tom Berenger is the team’s catcher, Charlie Sheen a reliever, Corbin Bernsen the 3B and best of all, Bob Uecker is the radio announcer.

— Max Scherzer gets a World Series ring this year; he also got:
$15M from Washington
$36.6M from the Mets
$6.7M from the Rangers

$58.3M and a World Series ring; pretty good year.

— Padres’ DH Nelson Cruz retired this week, he finishes with 464 home runs, 2,053 hits. He was MVP of the ALCS in 2011, the last time Texas made the World Series before this year.

— Over is 7-0 in LSU’s football games this fall.

— When was the last time Clemson/USC were home underdogs on the same day?

— Oklahoma plays Oklahoma State this week; with the Sooners bolting to the SEC, is this the last time these inter-state rivals will meet?

They’ve been playing since 1904, 117 times in all. Too bad $$$ intruded and ended one of the better rivalries in college football.

— Memphis Grizzlies are 0-5 this season; last time they were 0-5 was 2002.

— Lakers 130, Clippers 125 OT
Great game Wednesday night, kind of like a playoff game.
Lebron James scored 35 points, had 12 rebounds, 7 assists in 42:00.
Anthony Davis played 48:00, Kawhi Leonard 41:00; it was like real basketball.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 10

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Friday’s games
Boston College @ Syracuse
Boston College (5-3)
— Eagles won last four games, after a 1-3 start.
— During the win streak, BC is minus-3 in turnovers.
— Six of their eight games were decided by 7 or less points.
— Last four games, BC ran ball for 268.5 yards/game.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 137 starts back on offensive line; much improved.
— soph QB started four games LY
— under Hafley, BC is 7-9 ATS as a road underdog (2-1 TY).
— under Hafley, Eagles are 15-15 ATS in ACC games (2-2 TY).
— over is 5-2 in their I-A games.
— BC hasn’t played in a bowl since 2019 (one in ’21 was cancelled).

Syracuse (4-4)
— Syracuse lost last four games, by a combined 150-34.
— Syracuse gave up 1,707 TY in last three games, 996 PY.
— under Babers, Syracuse is 12-10 ATS as a home favorite, 1-1 TY.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 47 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has started 21 games.
— Syracuse is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 ACC games.
— under Babers, Syracuse is 20-27 ATS in games coming off a loss.
— six of last seven Syracuse games stayed under the total.
— Syracuse won four of its last five bowls (were favored in 1 of 5 games).

— Syracuse won last two series games, 32-23/21-6
— BC is 3-6 ATS in last nine visits to the Carrier Dome.
— under is 5-3-1 in last nine meetings.

Colorado State @ Wyoming
Colorado State (3-5)
— CSU scored 31+ points in wins; they’re 0-4 scoring less than 31.
— State lost its last two games, 25-23/30-13.
— Last 5+ years, Rams are minus-33 in turnovers (minus-3 TY).
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 46 starts back on offensive line, but only one starter is back.
— frosh QB Nicolosi is completing 63.6% of passes (16 TD’s, 11 INT)
— under Norvell, Colorado State is 6-3 ATS as a road dog (3-0).
— Rams are 1-3 SU on road, losing by 8-20-2 points (won @ MTSU)
— over is 5-2 in their I-A games.
— Rams lost their last four bowls, giving up 41.3 ppg.
— Their last bowl win was in 2013, 48-45 over Washington State.

Wyoming (5-3)
— Wyoming lost last two games, after a 5-1 start.
— Cowboys gave up 31-34-32 points in their losses.
— Wyoming is 4-0 when they give up 26 or fewer points.
— Cowboys gave up 214+ RY in four of last five games.
— 5 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 52 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 12 career starts.
— Under Bohl, Wyoming is 32-22-2 ATS at home.
— Under Bohl, Cowboys are 29-25-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
— Under Bohl, Wyoming is 13-11-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— three of their last four games went over the total.
— Wyoming won/covered three of its last four bowl games.

— Wyoming won six of last seven series games.
— Rams are 0-3 SU/ATS in last three visits to Laramie.
— Over is 4-4 in last eight meetings.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Saturday’s top 13 games
Arkansas @ Florida
Arkansas (2-6)
— Hogs lost last six games, five of them by 7 or less points.
— Arkansas lost its last game 7-3 to Miss State.
— Arkansas’ only I-A win: 28-6 (-38) over Kent State.
— Last three weeks, Hogs were held to 217.5 yards/game.
— Arkansas gave up 28 sacks the last six games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 78 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has 24 starts
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 18-11-2 ATS in SEC games.
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 15-8 ATS as an underdog.
— Last three weeks, Hogs were outrushed, 697-281.
— Hogs’ last three games stayed under the total.
— Razorbacks won three of their last four bowls, scoring 37 ppg.


Florida (5-3)
— Florida split last four games, giving up 313/315 PY last two games.
— Gators scored 22+ points in its wins, 11-14-20 in losses.
— Florida’s three losses were by 13-19-23 points.
— Gators are minus-3 in turnovers this season.
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 74 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 32 games at Wisconsin
— under Napier, Florida is 3-6 ATS as a favorite, 3-5 at home.
— in his career, Napier is 19-22-1 ATS as a favorite.
— Gators are 11-7-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
— Florida’s last four games went over the total.
— Gators lost last three bowls, by a combined 114-40.


— Florida won eight of last nine series games.
— This is teams’ first meeting since 2020.
— Arkansas is 0-5 ATS in last five visits to Gainesville.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 13-8 ATS.


Texas A&M @ Ole Miss
Texas A&M (5-3)
— A&M lost two of last three games, after a 4-1 start.
— Aggies scored 27+ points in its five wins (0-2 score less than 27).
— Aggies are 5-1 giving up 22 or less points (gave up 48-26-20 in losses).
— A&M is 0-2 in true road games: 48-33 @ Miami, 20-13 @ Tennessee.
— 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 91 starts back on offensive line.
— soph backup QB Johnson has 5 career starts- his dad won a Super Bowl.
— since 2020, Aggies are 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— in his career, Fisher is 13-15 ATS as an underdog.
— under Fisher, A&M is 22-23-1 ATS in SEC games.
— under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— A&M won its last three bowls, scoring 52-24-41 points.


Ole Miss (7-1)
— Ole Miss won its last four games, scoring 35.8 ppg
— Rebels were outgained 356-301 in 24-10 loss at Alabama.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 8-9 ATS as a home favorite.
— Rebels are +7 in turnovers this season.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 131 starts back on offensive line; good offensive line
— junior QB started 12 games last year.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 13-8-2 ATS at coming off a win.
— Under Kiffin, Rebels are 14-16 ATS in the SEC.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Ole Miss is 2-3 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.


— Ole Miss won last two meetings, 31-28/29-19
— Aggies are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Oxford.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 13-8 ATS.


Kansas State @ Texas
Kansas State (6-2)
— K-State won its last three games, by 17-38-41 points.
— In its five Big X games, K-State ran for 258.6 yards/game.
— Wildcats are 5-0 when they allow less the 29 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; all five starters are back
— junior QB started 15 games last two years.
— under Klieman, K-State is 9-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Klieman, K-State is 15-9 ATS as an underdog.
— under Klieman, K-State is 28-14 ATS in Big X games.
— under Klieman, K-State is 21-13 ATS coming off a win.
— three of their last four games stayed under total.
— Wildcats went to a bowl games three of last four years.


Texas (7-1)
— Texas scored 30+ points in every game this year.
— Longhorns’ only loss: 34-30 (-4) vs Oklahoma.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 9-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line
— soph QB started 10 games last year.
— In his career, Sarkisian is 35-25 ATS as a favorite.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 13-11 ATS as a favorite.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 11-12 ATS in Big X games.
— Five of their six games stayed under total.
— Texas is 4-1 in last five bowls; they were underdog is 3 of the 4 wins.


— Texas won last six series games, covered last three.
— K-State is 5-3 ATS in last eight visits to Austin.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten meetings.
— Big X home favorites are 12-9 ATS.


Notre Dame @ Clemson
Notre Dame (7-2)
— Notre Dame won last two games, 48-20/58-7.
— Irish scored 14-20 points in losses, 41+ in six of seven wins.
— ND has road wins at NC State/Duke, lost 33-20 at Louisville.
— under Freeman, Notre Dame is 2-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 69 starts back on offensive line- new OL coach was at Wisconsin for 7 years.
— Senior QB Hartman started 45 games at Wake Forest.
— Irish are 8-5-1 ATS last 14 games coming off a win.
— Notre Dame is +13 in turnovers in its wins, minus-4 in only loss.
— Irish lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).


Clemson (4-4)
— Tigers gave up 24+ points in losses, 17 or less in wins.
— Clemson is 5-6 SU in last eleven games overall.
— Last three games, Tigers are minus-5 in turnovers.
— Clemson is 0-3 if they allow 300+ total yards.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 99 starts back on OL, with four returning starters.
— soph QB threw 100 passes LY, but started only once.
— since 2013, Tigers are 2-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— Clemson is 31-16-1 ATS in ACC games (1-4 TY).
— since 2018, Tigers are 5-4 ATS coming off a loss.
— Four of Clemson’s last five games stayed under the total.
— Clemson lost three of its last four bowls SU.
— ACC home underdogs are 3-2 ATS out of conference.


— Clemson won three of last five meetings.
— This is Notre Dame’s first visit to Clemson since 2015.
— Under is 3-2 in last five series games.


Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State
Oklahoma (7-1)
— Oklahoma lost 38-33 at Kansas LW (scored 43.1 ppg first seven games).
— Last four weeks, Sooners gained 523-486-442-440 yards.
— under Venables, Sooners are 4-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— Oklahoma is +10 in turnovers this season.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 147 starts back on OL; should be much better
— junior QB Gabriel started 12 games LY, also started at UCF
— Oklahoma’s last three games were decided by 4-2-5 points.
— Sooners are 16-13 ATS in last 29 conference games.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— Oklahoma is 2-3 SU/4-1 ATS in last five bowls (average total, 78.2)


Oklahoma State (6-2)
— Okla State won its last four games, scoring 29-39-48-45 points.
— OSU allowed 32+ points in four of its last six games.
— Okla State is 4-1 in Big X games (average total, 64.4).
— Cowboys were minus-2 in turnovers in losses, +7 in wins.
— Cowboys were 7-6 LY, their worst season since 2018.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He comes to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— under Gundy, Cowboys are 10-11-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— OSU is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 Big X games.
— Over is 3-1 in their four games.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.


— Oklahoma is bolting to SEC; this could be the last Bedlam game.
— Sooners are 17-3 in last 20 games vs Oklahoma State
— Oklahoma is 7-1 ATS in last eight visits to Stillwater.
— Three of last four meetings stayed under the total.
— Big X home underdogs are 9-4 ATS.


Missouri @ Georgia
Missouri (7-1)
— Mizzou is 6-1 vs I-A teams, despite giving up 25.1 ppg.
— Mizzou is 2-0 in true road tilts (38-21 @ Vandy/38-21 @ Kentucky)
— Mizzou’s only loss was 49-39 at home to LSU.
— Tigers scored 30+ points in their last six games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 136 starts back on offensive line; very experienced
— junior QB has started 14 games.
— In his career, Drinkwitz is 15-9 ATS as an underdog.
— Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 16-14 ATS in SEC games.
— five of last six Mizzou games went over the total.
— Mizzou lost its last four bowls; their last bowl win— 2015.


Georgia (8-0)
— Georgia won first five SEC games by 10-7-38-17-23 points (2-3 ATS)
— Georgia is 2-4-1 against spread this season.
— Dawgs outgained last two opponents, 1,646-741.
— In Dawgs’ only one possession game, Auburn ran ball for 219 yards.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— Last four games, Georgia threw for 350.8 yards/game.
— New QB for Georgia; he is completing 73.0%, with 14 TD’s, 4 INTs.
— Last 2+ years, Georgia is 14-11 ATS in SEC games (2-3 TY).
— Georgia’s last five games went over the total.
— Dawgs won their last six bowl games (4-2 ATS)


— Georgia won last nine series games (2-6 ATS in last eight)
— Mizzou is 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Georgia.
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 13-8 ATS.


Kansas @ Iowa State
Kansas (6-2)
— Kansas split its last four games, after a 4-0 start.
— Jayhawks are 6-0 when they give up 33 or less points.
— Last four games, Kansas gave up 255.8 rushing yards/game.
— Jayhawks ran ball for 221+ yards in five of their six wins.
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line; four starters are back
— junior QB has started 13 games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 4-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— in his career, Leipold is 10-19-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 10-12-1 ATS in Big X games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 7-5-1 ATS coming off a win.
— four of their last five games went over the total.
— Kansas was 6-7 LY, going to their first bowl since 2008.


Iowa State (4-3)
— Cyclones won last three games, giving up 14-10-18 points.
— Iowa State scored 24-27-30-30 points in I-A wins, 13-7-20 in losses.
— Cyclones are 5-3, have a +7 turnover ratio.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line
— LY’s starting QB Dekkers withdrew from school (gambling charges)
— freshman QB is completing 60.2% of passes (13 TD’s/6 INTs).
— under Campbell, ISU is 15-17 ATS as a home favorite.
— last 2+ years, Iowa State is 11-12 ATS in conference games.
— over is 3-2 in their last five games.
— ISU is 5-10 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
— Cyclones lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).


— Iowa State won 11 of last 13 series games.
— Kansas is 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Ames.
— Three of last four meetings went over the total.
— Big X home favorites are 12-9 ATS.


Washington @ USC
Washington (8-0)
— Washington is 5-0 SU/1-3-1 ATS in first five Pac-12 games.
— Last three games, Huskies ran ball 63 times for only 203 yards.
— Washington is also minus-6 in turnovers, in last three games.
— Huskies beat Oregon 36-33 in only game with single-digit spread.
— Washington is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a road favorite (1-2 TY).
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 36 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 30 starts; 17 here, 13 at Indiana.
— In his career, DeBoer is 7-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— Washington is 15-30-1 ATS in last 46 Pac-12 tilts.
— over is 3-2 in their last five games.
— Last year was Washington’s first bowl since 2019.


USC (7-2)
— USC lost two of last three games, giving up 42.6 ppg in last five.
— Trojans scored 32+ points in eight of their nine games.
— USC is 0-3 ATS TY in games with spread of 10 or less points.
— under Riley, Trojans are 7-5 ATS at home (2-3 TY).
— Last five games, USC gave up 41-41-48-34-49 points.
— Last two games, they allowed 247-235 rushing yards.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 95 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has started 21 games, was favored to win Heisman Trophy.
— This is first time Lincoln Riley has ever been a home underdog.
— in his career, Riley is 4-1 ATS as an underdog of any kind.
— USC is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 3 of 5 games)


— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Washington is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to the Coliseum.
— Under is 9-1 in last ten series games.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 10-4 ATS.


Kentucky @ Mississippi State
Kentucky (5-3)
— Kentucky lost last two games, giving up 51-38-33 points.
— Wildcats scored 39.3 ppg in beating four I-A stiffs.
— Kentucky is 0-3 scoring less than 28 points.
— Last three games, Kentucky allowed 471 yards/game.
— 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line (four starters back)
— senior QB started 26 games at NC State.
— since 2018, Wildcats are 4-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— in his career, Stoops is 29-17 ATS as a favorite.
— Kentucky is 12-9 ATS in last 21 SEC games.
— Last five Kentucky games went over the total.
— Wildcats won four of their last five bowls (lost 21-0 LY).


Mississippi State (4-4)
— Miss State lost four of its last six games.
— Bulldogs scored 7-13 points in last two games.
— Miss State gave up 41-37-40-27 points in its losses.
— Bulldogs are 1-4 when they score less than 31 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 113 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has started 32 games.
— MSU is 1-9 ATS in last 10 games as a home underdog.
— Bulldogs are 4-10 ATS in last 14 SEC games.
— four of last six Miss State games went over the total.
— New coach TY after Mike Leach passed away last year.
— Bulldogs are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.


— Home teams won last eight series games.
— Kentucky is 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Starkville.
— Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.
— SEC home underdogs are 4-10 ATS.


LSU @ Alabama
LSU (6-2)
— LSU scored 34+ points in its last six games.
— Tigers scored 41-34-49-49 points in last four games.
— Tigers’ losses: 45-24 vs Fla State/55-49 at Ole Miss.
— LSU gained 500+ yards in its last six games.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 102 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 43 starts, 29 of them at Arizona State.
— since 2016, LSU is 9-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, Kelly is 20-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— since 2017, LSU is 35-21-1 ATS in SEC games.
— LSU is 23-14 ATS in last 37 games coming off a win.
— Over is 7-0 in LSU games this season.
— LSU is 4-1 SU/ATS in bowls the last five years.


Alabama (7-1)
— Alabama won its last six games (4-2 ATS).
— Crimson Tide’s only loss was 34-24 at home to Texas.
— Longhorns threw for 349 yards in that game.
— Alabama held three of last five opponents under 265 TY.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line.
— Alabama is 16-7-1 ATS in last 24 games as a home favorite
— Alabama is 23-17-1 ATS in last 41 games coming off a win.
— Crimson Tide is +2 in turnovers since start of LY (+76 from 2015-21)
— Alabama is 4-1 ATS in SEC games this season.
— three of their last four games went over.
— Crimson Tide won six of its last eight bowls.


— Alabama won nine of last eleven series games.
— LSU is 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Tuscaloosa.
— Three of last four meetings went over the total.
— SEC home favorites are 13-8 ATS.


Oregon State @ Colorado
Oregon State (6-3)
— All six Oregon State wins TY are by 12+ points.
— OSU gave up 35 ppg in its three road games (1-2).
— Beavers’ losses: 38-35 at Wazzu/27-24 at Arizona LW.
— Beavers are +7 in turnovers this season.
— OSU is 3-7 ATS in last 10 games as a road favorite.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 28 games at Clemson.
— Beavers are 13-6 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
— Beavers are 2-3 SU in last five bowls (were favored in all five).


Colorado (4-4)
— Colorado lost four of last five games, after 3-0 start.
— Buffs gave up 42-48-46-28 points in their losses.
— Colorado gave up 35+ points in five of eight games.
— Last four games, Buffs allowed 351.5 passing yards/game.
— Buffs were held under 300 TY in three of last five games.
— Colorado is 3-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Deion Sanders is the new coach (27-6 at I-AA Jackson State)
— 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 44 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB Sanders started 26 games at Jackson State
— Buffs are 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 Pac-12 games.
— Colorado’s new OC was a good head coach at Kent State.
— Colorado hasn’t gone bowling since 2020; their last bowl win, 2004.


— Colorado won four of last six series games.
— Beavers are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Boulder.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 10-4 ATS.


Boise State @ Fresno State
Boise State (4-4)
— Boise State is 4-4, with three losses by 3 or less points.
— last three games, Boise ran ball for 262-244-227 yards.
— last three games, Broncos are minus-5 in turnovers.
— Last six years, Boise was +31 in turnovers (minus-5 TY).
— Broncos scored 30+ points in each of last six points.
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 80 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started 10 games.
— since 2017, Boise is 8-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Avalos, Broncos are 11-9-1 ATS in conference games.
— four of their last five games went over the total.
— since 2017, Boise is 2-1 in bowls (had two cancelled)


Fresno State (7-1)
— Fresno won its three I-A home games, 53-10/27-9/31-24.
— Five of their eight games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Fresno scored 36 ppg in its six I-A wins.
— Bulldogs are 3-1 SU/0-4 ATS in their last four games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB started 11 games at UCF.
— in his career, Tedford is 43-33 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Tedford, Fresno is 20-17-2 ATS in Mountain West.
— under Tedford, Fresno is 9-6 ATS coming off a win.
— last five years, Bulldogs are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in bowl games.


— Boise State is 6-4 SU in last ten series games.
— Broncos are 7-2 ATS in last nine visits to Fresno.
— Six of last seven meetings stayed under the total.
— Mountain West home favorites are 6-8 ATS.


UCLA @ Arizona
UCLA (6-2)
— UCLA is 5-2 vs I-A teams, giving up 13-10-14-17-36-7-16 points.
— last three games, UCLA ran ball for 284-221-218 yards.
— Bruins’ losses: 14-7 (+3.5) @ Utah, 36-24 (+3.5) @ Oregon State
— Under is 6-1 in their I-A games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 126 starts back on offensive line; high expectations.
— junior QB is completing 69.9% of passes, with 5 TD’s, 3 INT’s.
— Bruins are 6-1 ATS last seven games as road favorites.
— Since 2019, UCLA is 22-17 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— UCLA is 15-14 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
— UCLA lost its last three bowls, giving up 37-35-37 points.
— Bruins’ last bowl win was 40-35 over K-State in 2014 Alamo Bowl.


Arizona (5-3)
— Arizona won its last two games, 44-6/27-24.
— Four of their last five games were decided by 7 or less points.
— Wildcats are 5-0 when they give up less than 31 points.
— last 3+ years, Arizona is minus-35 in turnovers (minus-3 TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— frosh QB has completed 75.8% of passes (11 TD’s, 3 INTs)
— under Fisch, Arizona is 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— under is 6-1 in last seven Arizona games.
— Arizona hasn’t played in a bowl game since 2017.
— From 2018-22, Wildcats were 15-38 SU.


— Teams split their last six meetings.
— UCLA is 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Tucson.
— Last four meetings stayed under the total.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 10-4 ATS.

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 3​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
BC at SYR	07:30 PM	BC +2.5 U 50.5	+500 +500
CSU at WYO	08:00 PM	WYO -6.0 O 43.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
11/03/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
11/02/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+900	Detail
11/01/2023	1-2-1	37.50%	-600	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/03/2023.............................3 - 1................................75.00%..........................+ 950
11/02/2023.............................4 - 2 - 0............................66.66%..........................+ 9.00
11/01/2023.............................1 - 2 - 0............................33.33%...........................- 6.00

TOTALS..................................8 - 5 - 0.............................61.53%..........................+ 12.50

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 10

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Boston College 17, Syracuse 10- Eagles scored winning TD with 2:23 left.
— Wyoming 24, Colorado State 15- 6-3 Cowboys ran ball for 194 yards.
— Warriors 141, Thunder 139- Golden State subs were +25, starters minus-15.
— Pacers 121, Cavaliers 116— Indiana led 70-53 at halftime.
— Nuggets 125, Dallas 114— Jokic had 33 points, 14 boards, 9 assists.
— Blazers 115, Grizzlies 113, OT— Memphis blew 10-point lead with 3:10 left.

Quote of the Day
“The secret of success is sincerity. Once you can fake that, you’ve got it made.”
Jean Giraudoux

Saturday’s quiz
Which NBA team drafted Shaquille O’Neal?

Friday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes played his college football at Texas Tech.

Thursday’s quiz
Ted Williams was the first manager of the Texas Rangers, in 1972.

************************************

Saturday’s Den: Shooting the breeze about a bunch of stuff……

— Brook Lopez plays for the Milwaukee Bucks; he is 35 years old, has been in the NBA for 16 years now. What makes him interesting is how he re-invented his skill set in the middle of his career.

In the first eight years of his career, the 7-foot tall Lopez stayed close to the basket- he was a combined 3 for 31 on 3-pointers.

I’ll repeat that: in years 1-8 of his career, he was 3-31 on the arc.

Then he decided to re-invent himself; since then, Lopez is 791-2,264 on the arc. This is truly remarkable, how an 8-year NBA veteran totally changed his game so he could stay in the NBA.

For his career, Lopez is averaging 16.3 ppg. Shooting is marketable; he is a 79.6% career shooter on the foul line, 34.6% on the arc, 53% inside the arc.

Lopez will earn $25M this year, $23M next year, which will put him over $221M in career earnings. He’s worked very hard to sharpen and increase his skill set. Good for him.

— Here’s a stat for you: NHL teams that have played consecutive nights on road:
6-5 the first night
3-8 the second night

— and another interesting stat: NBA road teams who played the night before are 2-8 ATS:
2-3 if they played on the road the previous night
0-5 if they played at home the previous night

— best NFL teams in the red zone:
5.50 points/drive- Ravens (34 drives)
5.46- Chargers (24 drives)
5.43- Rams (only 21 drives)
5.34- Bills (32 drives)
5.23- Bears (only 22 drives)

— worst NFL teams in the red zone:
2.81- Giants (gave up a TD on defense and a blocked FG TD)
3.78- Vikings (23 drives)
3.95- Jets (only 19 drives)
4.09- Titans (23 drives)
4.15- Jaguars (only 20 drives)

— most TD plays of 20+ yards:
13- Dolphins
10- Lions
8- Vikings, Jaguars
7- Colts
6- Eagles, Bears
5- Commanders

— fewest TD plays of 20+ yards:
0- Ravens, Falcons
1- Panthers, Bengals, Raiders, Giants, Seahawks
2- Browns, Packers, Patriots

— Word of the Day: gimmick— a trick or device intended to attract attention, business and/or publicity.

The NBA’s in-season tournament is most definitely a gimmick.

— Place I usually go to for lunch was closed Friday; they had fire in the kitchen or something like that, so I went somewhere else, a place I used to go to a lot 20 years ago, when I lived near there.

Walk in, and the waitress is arguing with a guy who was eating chicken wings with peanut butter on them. Turns out the guy also works there, but it was funny listening to them argue. She was actually yelling at him; it did look a little gross, but he said he liked it.

There was Harry Chapin music playing when I walked in, a pleasant surprise.

I passed on the chicken wings/peanut butter combo- not my thing.

— Sounds like Deshaun Watson will start at QB for Cleveland Sunday, while rookie Clayton Tune gets his first NFL start for the Cardinals.

Can’t remember an NFL season with this many unsettled QB situations; teams are playing young QB’s before they’re ready; several other QB’s have gotten hurt. Very difficult year for picking games; they’re all tough, but this season teams seem to be a lot more fragile than usual.

— Dodgers P Clayton Kershaw had shoulder surgery this week, hopes to pitch at some point in 2024, but he is a free agent. Will teams wait until next summer to pursue him? Kershaw is 35 years old; he signed one-year contracts the last two years.

— College basketball starts Monday; how will Purdue bounce back from being only the second #1-seed to lose a first round NCAA Tournament game?

In 2018, Virginia was 31-2, a #1-seed when they got upset 74-54 by UMBC in the first round; not only were they the first #1 seed to lose, they lost by 20. It was stunning, but the Cavaliers came back the next season and won the national title, also as a #1-seed.

Purdue big man Zach Edey is surprisingly still in college, so the Boilermakers should be really good again this year. Maybe this time, his teammates will give him the ball in March.

— From 2018-22, Sean Lewis was the football coach at Kent State; he inherited a 2-10 team, went 2-10 his first season, but then the next four years, he went 22-21— he did a really good job there, making the Golden Flashes competitive.

This season, Lewis resigned at Kent State to become the offensive coordinator at Colorado, an odd decision, but he probably makes a lot more $$$ now.

Colorado was 1-11 last year, averaging 15.4 points/game; they made a splash in the off-season and hired Deion Sanders as head coach— he had been at I-AA Jackson State. Sanders hired Lewis as his OC, to mentor the Buffs’ quarterback, Sanders’ son Shedeur.

This season, Colorado is 4-4, scoring 32.1 ppg. They’ve lost four of their last five games, but Rome wasn’t built in a day; they’re vastly improved over last year.

Then word comes out this week that Colorado basically demoted Lewis, promoting former NFL head coach Pat Shurmur to co-offensive coordinator— he will work with the offensive line, and presumably, Colorado will run the ball more now.

The previous OL coach came to Colorado from Kent State with Lewis. It’ll be interesting to see next month, when the regular season ends, if coach Lewis goes back to being a head coach, since his work at Colorado doesn’t seem to be appreciated very much.

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 4​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
OSU at RUTG	12:00 PM	OSU -19.0 O 43.5	+500 +500
CONN at TENN	12:00 PM	TENN -35.0 U 55.5	+500 +500
JSU at SOCAR	12:00 PM	JSU +15.5 O 55.0	+500 +500
ARK at FLA	12:00 PM	FLA -3.0 O 49.0	+500 +500
WIS at IU	12:00 PM	IU +9.0 O 45.0	+500 +500
ND at CLEM	12:00 PM	CLEM +3.5 U 43.0	+500 +500
TAM at MISS	12:00 PM	MISS -3.0 U 52.0	+500 +500
NEB at MSU	12:00 PM	NEB -3.0 U 34.5	+500 +500
CAMP at UNC	12:00 PM	UNC -38.0 U 67.5	+500 +500
KSU at TEX	12:00 PM	KSU +3.5 U 49.5	+500 +500
KENN at SHSU	01:00 PM	KENN +17.5 O 42.0	+500 +500
ASU at UTAH	02:00 PM	UTAH -10.5 U 39.0	+500 +500
GT at UVA	02:00 PM	UVA -1.0 U 56.0	+500 +500
NAVY at TEM	02:00 PM	NAVY -7.0 U 46.0	+500 +500
ARMY at AFA	02:30 PM	AFA -18.0 O 31.5	+500 +500
USF at MEM	03:00 PM	USF +13.5 O 68.0	+500 +500
FAU at UAB	03:00 PM	UAB -1.0 U 59.0	+500 +500
ULL at ARST	03:00 PM	ULL -7.0 U 59.5	+500 +500
UTSA at UNT	03:00 PM	UNT +8.0 O 71.0	+500 +500
TULN at ECU	03:30 PM	ECU +17.0 O 45.0	+500 +500
VT at LOU	03:30 PM	LOU -9.0 U 47.5	+500 +500
UCF at CIN	03:30 PM	UCF -3.5 U 60.0	+500 +500
HOU at BAY	03:30 PM	BAY -2.5 U 58.5	+500 +500
PSU at MD	03:30 PM	MD +9.0 U 50.5	+500 +500
IOWA at NW	03:30 PM	NW +5.0 U 31.0	+500 +500
ILL at MINN	03:30 PM	ILL +3.0 O 44.0	+500 +500
MIZZ at UGA	03:30 PM	MIZZ +14.5 O 55.5	+500 +500
FSU at PITT	03:30 PM	FSU -21.5 U 50.0	+500 +500
CCU at ODU	03:30 PM	CCU +1.5 U 51.5	+500 +500
OKLA at OKST	03:30 PM	OKLA -5.0 O 62.0	+500 +500
JMU at GSU	03:30 PM	JMU -5.5 U 52.0	+500 +500
MERR at MASS	03:30 PM	MASS -17.5 U 57.0	+500 +500
HAW at NEV	04:00 PM	NEV -3.5 O 50.0	+500 +500
CHAR at TLSA	04:00 PM	CHAR +4.0 O 48.0	+500 +500
ULM at USM	04:00 PM	USM -3.0 U 56.5	+500 +500
AUB at VAN	04:00 PM	AUB -13.0 U 50.0	+500 +500
GASO at TXST	05:00 PM	TXST -3.0 U 68.5	+500 +500
CAL at ORE	05:30 PM	CAL +25.5 O 60.0	+500 +500
MRSH at APP	06:00 PM	APP -3.0 U 56.0	+500 +500
UNLV at UNM	06:00 PM	UNLV -12.5 U 60.0	+500 +500
MTU at NMSU	06:00 PM	MTU +3.5 O 55.0	+500 +500
LT at LIB	06:00 PM	LIB -15.0 U 59.5	+500 +500
USU at SDSU	07:00 PM	USU -2.0 U 57.0	+500 +500
BYU at WVU	07:00 PM	WVU -12.0 O 48.0	+500 +500
KU at ISU	07:00 PM	ISU -3.0 U 53.5	+500 +500
SMU at RICE	07:30 PM	SMU -13.0 O 58.0	+500 +500
UK at MSST	07:30 PM	UK -5.0 U 45.5	+500 +500
WASH at USC	07:30 PM	USC +3.0 O 77.5	+500 +500
PUR at MICH	07:30 PM	MICH -32.5 U 53.5	+500 +500
LSU at ALA	07:45 PM	ALA -3.0 U 61.5	+500 +500
MIA at NCST	08:00 PM	NCST +6.5 O 44.0	+500 +500
STAN at WSU	09:00 PM	WSU -13.5 O 59.0	+500 +500
WKU at UTEP	09:00 PM	WKU -9.5 U 54.5	+500 +500
BSU at FRES	10:00 PM	FRES -2.5 U 54.0	+500 +500
ORST at COLO	10:00 PM	COLO +13.0 O 61.5	+500 +500
UCLA at ARIZ	10:30 PM	ARIZ +2.5 O 50.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
11/04/2023	57-52-3	50.00%	-100	Detail
11/03/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
11/02/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+900	Detail
11/01/2023	1-2-1	37.50%	-600	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/04/2023.........................29 - 29 - 0.............................50.00%............................- 14.50
11/03/2023.............................3 - 1.................................75.00%.............................+ 950
11/02/2023.............................4 - 2 - 0.............................66.66%............................+ 9.00
11/01/2023.............................1 - 2 - 0.............................33.33%............................- 6.00

TOTALS...............................37 - 34 - 0..............................52.11%............................- 2.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
— 76ers 112, Suns 100— Maxey scored 25 points, handed out 10 assists.
— Hornets 125, Pacers 124— Charlotte subs were +39; starters were minus-34.
— Magic 120, Lakers 101— Lebron was +12; they were minus-31 without him.
— Celtics 124, Nets 114— Tatum scored 32 points, grabbed 11 rebounds.
— Nuggets 123, Bulls 101— Jokic had 28 points, 15 rebounds, 9 assists.
— Penguins 10, Sharks 2— San Jose is first team since 1966 to give up 10+ goals in consecutive games.

Quote of the Day
“I’m really proud of our team. In this two week’s time a lot of things went on in the program, and they kept in it..………You’re either quitting or fighting in life. That’s it. I’m really proud because we fought.”
Arkansas coach Sam Pittman

Sunday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes was the 10th pick in the 2017 NFL Draft; who was the only QB picked ahead of him that year?

Saturday’s quiz
Orlando Magic drafted Shaquille O’Neal with the 1st pick in the 1992 NBA Draft.

Friday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes played his college football at Texas Tech.

****************************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday…….

In football, field position matters; could someone please explain to the over-educated geniuses who advocate going for it on 4th down all the time?
If you go for it on 4th down at midfield and fail, that’s pretty much a turnover, and turnovers are killers in football- they give the opponent’s offense a short field to work with.
Kicking field goals is OK; three points are better than none. Seven points are better than three, obviously, but I’m thinking that getting no points is more of a negative than seven points is a positive.

— Oklahoma State 27, Oklahoma 24
Cowboys win the last meeting in the Bedlam series.
Teams had been playing for 114 years, three years before Oklahoma was a state.
Sooners gained 492 yards, but turned ball over three times (minus-2).
Why can’t these teams keep playing? In this era where $$$ matters so much, you’d think a guaranteed sellout every year would be appealing. Go figure.

— Clemson 31, Notre Dame 23
Tigers led 24-9 at halftime.
Notre Dame completed only 13-30 passes; they turned ball over three times.
Clemson went the whole game without getting called for a penalty.

— Texas 33, Kansas State 30 OT
Texas led 27-7 with 2:00 left in third quarter.
Teams combined to convert 4-28 third down plays.
K-State went for it on 4th-and-goal from the 3-yard line in OT; they failed.
Pet Peeve of the Week: Recruiting is important in college sports; if you’re in a great game like this one, just kick the FG in OT and keep playing. TV exposure helps recruiting.

— Ole Miss 38, Texas A&M 35
Rebels drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:42 left.
A&M trailed 14-0, scored first TD on 75-yard return of a blocked FG.
Aggies have lost nine road games in a row.
Rebels have trailed in second half in four of their eight wins.

— Arkansas 39, Florida 36, OT
Razorbacks end their six-game losing streak.
Arkansas gained 481 yards; they fired their OC last week, after a 7-3 loss.
Florida missed an extra point and a 44-yard FG.

— Alabama 42, LSU 28
LSU led 28-21 with 8:00 left in third quarter.
Alabama was 11-14 on third down, LSU 4-9
Alabama ran ball 46 times for 288 yards.

— Washington 52, USC 42
Huskies led 35-28 at halftime.
Washington ran ball 42 times for 316 yards.
USC lost three of its last four games, after a 6-0 start.

— Oregon State 26, Colorado 19
Colorado lost five of last six games, after a 3-0 start.
Beavers outgained Colorado, 418-238.
7-2 Oregon State ran ball 46 times for 195 yards.

— Upsets of the Week:
Army (+18.5) 23, Air Force 3
Stanford (+13) 10, Washington State 7
Indiana (+9.5) 20, Wisconsin 14
Temple (+6.5) 32, Navy 18
Arkansas State (+6.5) 37, Louisiana 17
Oklahoma State (+6) 27, Oklahoma 24
Arkansas (+6) 39, Florida 36, OT
Central Michigan (+5.5) 37, Northern Illinois 31

— Word of the Day: Irascible— describing someone who is easily angered.

— Temple 32, Navy 18
EJ Warner was 27-33/402 passing, with four TD’s.
Owls were 6-9 on third down; they survived four turnovers (minus-4).

— Illinois 27, Minnesota 26
Illini backup QB threw a 46-yard TD pass with 0:50 left for the win.
Illinois was 9-17 on third down, Gophers 3-12.
Illini WR Williams caught 13 passes for 131 yards, two TD’s.

— UAB 45, Florida Atlantic 42
Blazers tied game on a 70-yard TD pass with 4:20 left.
Blazers won game on a 26-yard FG with 0:03 left.
UAB led 35-14 with 12:00 left in third quarter.
UAB QB Zeno was 29-35/484, with five TD passes.

— Charlotte 33, Tulsa 26 OT
Tulsa led 17-0 with 5:00 left in first half.
Both teams scored in last minute of regulation.
Tulsa ran ball for 273 yards, was 12-22 on third down.

— Memphis 59, South Florida 50
Both teams need to recruit defensive players.
Total yardage was 583-580, USF.
Memphis is the quietest 7-2 team in the country.

— Army 23, Air Force 3
Air Force was unbeaten (8-0) coming into this game.
Falcons turned ball over six times, losing four fumbles.
This matchup stayed under the total for the 10th year in a row.

— Ohio State 35, Rutgers 16
Rutgers led 9-7 at halftime; then Ohio State got a 93-yard pick-6.
Rutgers had ball in red zone four times: 3 FG’s and the pick-6. No bueno.
Rutgers outgained OSU 361-328, but didn’t cover as an 18-point underdog.

— Iowa 10, Northwestern 7
This game, with lowest total ever, was 0-0 at halftime.
Since 2019, under is 37-19-1 in Iowa games.
Hawkeyes kicked a 52-yard FG with 0:14 left for the win.

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday’s 6-pack:
— USC fired defensive coordinator Alex Grinch after a 52-42 loss Saturday.
— Miami Marlins hired Rays GM Peter Bendix as their club president.
— Raptors 123, Spurs 116 OT- San Antonio led 54-35 at halftime.
— Mavericks 124, Hornets 118- Charlotte led 62-50 at halftime.
— Grizzlies 112, Blazers 100- Memphis wins its first game in six tries.
— Suns 120, Pistons 106- Kevin Durant scored 41 points for Phoenix.

Quote of the Day
“What he was able to do in really five days’ time was as impressive as I’ve seen a quarterback be able to do.”

Vikings coach Kevin O’Connell, talking about QB Joshua Dobbs
Monday’s quiz
Where did Nick Saban coach just before he became coach at Alabama?

Sunday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes was the 10th pick in the 2017 NFL Draft; Mitchell Trubisky was the only QB picked ahead of him that year.

Saturday’s quiz
Orlando Magic drafted Shaquille O’Neal with the 1st pick in the 1992 NBA Draft.

***********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..​

Texans 39, Buccaneers 37
— Texans drove 75 yards in 0:40, scored game-winning TD with 0:06 left.
— Rookie QB Stroud was 30-42/470 passing, with 5 TD passes.
— Houston in 2nd half: 32 plays, 365 yards, 31 points.
— Texans are 2-10 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Bucs scored a TD with 0:46 left to take a 37-33 lead.
— Texans outgained Tampa Bay, 496-332.
— Bucs lost four in row, five of last six games (3-3 ATS).
— Texans took a knee after game-winning TD, rather than kick PAT that would’ve covered the 2.5-point spread.

Vikings 31, Falcons 28
— Vikings drove 75 yards in 1:46, scored game-winning TD with 0:22 left.
— QB Dobbs, acquired on Tuesday, was 20-30/158 passing off the bench.
— Vikings converted 7-16 on third down, Falcons 10-18.
— Minnesota won/covered last four games, scoring 19-22-24-31 points.

— Atlanta turned ball over on consecutive plays late in third quarter.
— Falcons drove 84 yards, scored TD to go ahead 28-24 with 2:08 left.
— Heinicke was 21-38/268 passing, in his first ’23 start.
— Falcons are 3-11-1 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.

Chiefs 21, Dolphins 14
— Kansas City led 21-0 at half, scoring defensive TD 0:33 before the half.
— KC has outscored opponents 165-59 in first half.
— Chiefs are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Opponents’ team total: under 7-2.
— Dolphins in first half: 25 plays, 110 yards, no points.
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 4-6 ATS as an underdog.
— Favorites are 8-0 ATS in Miami’s games this season.
— Miami scored 31+ points in five of six wins; 20-17-14 in losses.

Ravens 37, Seahawks 3
— Ravens ran 75 plays for 515 yards, Seattle 47 plays for 151 yards.
— Baltimore ran ball 41 times for 298 yards.
— Last six games, Ravens outscored opponents 108-19 in first half.
— Baltimore won five of last six games (4-2 ATS)
— Seattle’s first five drives: 20 plays, 50 yards, 4 punts and an INT.
— Seattle was outscored 60-6 in second half of their losses, 20-0 in this game.
— Seahawks are 10-16-1 ATS in last 27 games after a win.
— Seahawks scored 37-37-24-20-24 points in wins, 13-13-3 in losses.

Browns 27, Cardinals 0
— Arizona is 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS last six games, losing by 19-14-17-10-7-27 points.
— Cardinals ran 48 plays for 58 yards, Browns ran 71 plays for 326 yards.
— Cardinals have been outscored 135-47 in 2nd half of games.
— Three NFC West teams Sunday: no TD’s, 2 FG’s/33 drives, outscored 84-6.
— Browns’ three TD’s were on drives of 49-11-56 yards.
— Opponents have converted only 27-104 third down plays (1-12 here).
— Cleveland won/covered four of its five home games.
— Cleveland is 8-2-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.

Packers 20, Rams 3
— Rams lost four of their last five games.
— QB Stafford didn’t play: Rypien was 13-28/130 passing, no bueno.
— Last three games, Cooper Kupp caught 8 passes for 98 yards…….total.
— Rams are 8-18 since they won Super Bowl two years ago.
— Green Bay outgained the Rams, 391-187.
— Packers ran ball for 184 yards (4.8 yards/carry).
— Green Bay has outscored opponents 41-17 on 1st drive of a half.
— Team total: under 6-2. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3

Commanders 20, Patriots 17
— New England led 14-10 at halftime.
— Washington’s first two drives of 2nd half: 15 plays, 140 yards, 10 points.
— Commanders outgained New England, 432-327.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 5-5 as an NFL starter.
— Patriots lost five of their last six games (1-5 ATS).
— In those games, Patriots were outgained by 102.2 yards/game.
— Since Brady left, NE is 27-32 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— In his career, Belichick is now 82-97 SU without Brady.

Saints 24, Bears 17
— Saints’ TD drives were 45-75-47 yards.
— Last five weeks, Saints outscored foes 61-27 in second half.
— Under is 7-2 in Saints’ games this season.
— New Orleans is 4-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-3 scoring less than 20.
— Chicago turned ball over five times on 11 drives (minus-5).
— Bears are +5 in turnovers in wins, minus-12 in losses.
— In Bagent’s three starts, Bears are 20-39 on third down.
— Chicago is 6-14-1 ATS in last 21 games as road underdogs (1-3 TY).

Colts 27, Panthers 13
— Kenny Moore had two pick-6’s for the 4-5 Colts.
— Indianapolis led 20-3 at halftime.
— Colts’ offense in 1st half: 38 plays, 184 yards, 13 points.
— Colts in second half: 18 plays, 50 yards, no points.
— Panthers averaged only 3.2 yards/pass attempt.
— Panthers outgained the Colts, 275-198.
— In Young’s seven starts. Carolina averaged 5+ yards/pass attempt once.
— Carolina is 1-6-1 against spread this season.

Raiders 30, Giants 6
— QB Jones hurt his knee; they fear he tore his ACL.
— Giants in first half: 29 plays, 104 yards, 2 INT’s, no points.
— Giants lost six of last seven games, scoring 10 ppg.
— Giants’ team total: under 7-2.
— Raiders in first half: 31 plays, 231 yards, 24 points.
— Rookie QB O’Connell was 16-25/209 passing, in his 2nd start.
— Under is 7-2 in Raider games this season.
— Raiders won three of their four home games TY.

Eagles 28, Cowboys 23
— Dallas led 17-14 at halftime.
— Eagles’ first two drives in 2nd half: 17 plays, 147 yards, 14 points.
— Under Sirianni, Philly is 11-4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Eagles won eight of their first nine games (5-2-2 ATS)
— Prescott was 29-44/374 passing, with three TD’s.
— Dallas outgained the Eagles, 406-292.
— Cowboys are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to Philly.
— Cowboys are +9 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.

Bengals 24, Bills 18
— Buffalo is 2-3 SU in its last five games (0-5 ATS).
— Bills drove 85 yards for a TD on its first drive.
— next six drives: 37 plays, 160 yards, 2 turnovers, 3 points.
— Bills allowed 10-3-20-9-18 points in wins, 22-25-29-24 in losses.
— Cincy’s first two drives: 20 plays, 145 yards, 14 points.
— Bengals won/covered last four games, giving up 20-13-17-18 points.
— Last two games, Cincy averaged 7.6/7.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Last four games, Bengals are +7 in turnovers.

 

[Udog]

WEEK 11

 

[Udog]

NCAAF

Week 11

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Week 11

Ball State @ Northern Illinois
Ball State (2-7, 1-4)
— Ball State is 1-6 vs I-A teams (beat Central Michigan 24-17)
— Cardinals scored 14 or less points in five or their seven losses.
— Cardinals’ three MAC losses were by 18-14-7-3 points.
— Ball State held last four opponents under 300 TY.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 67 starts back on OL, three starters are back.
— Cardinals have played three different QB’s this year.
— Ball State is 6-8-1 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
— last 4+ years, Cardinals are 20-16 ATS in MAC games.
— Under is 5-2 in Ball State’s last seven I-A games.
— Ball State has one winning season (2020) the last nine years.
— Ball State is 1-8 all-time in bowls, 1-4 SU/ATS in last five.


Northern Illinois (4-5, 3-2)
— Huskies won three of their last three games.
— NIU is 3-1 giving up 14 or fewer points, 1-4 giving up 22+ points.
— NIU gave up 14-13-13 points in MAC wins, 35-37 in losses.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 117 starts back on offensive line; they’re supposed to be good.
— senior QB made 16 starts before this year.
— Last two years, NIU is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite (0-2 TY).
— Under Hammock, NIU is 17-19 ATS in MAC games (3-2 TY)
— Under Hammock, NIU is 15-13 ATS coming off a loss.
— NIU went to one bowl the last four years.


— Ball State won 3 of last 4 series games, after an 0-10 skid.
— Last five meetings were all decided by 8 or less points.
— Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to DeKalb.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
— MAC home favorites are 8-9 ATS.


Central Michigan @ Western Michigan
Central Michigan (5-4, 3-2)
— Chippewas are 5-1 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Since start of LY, CMU is minus-20 in turnovers LY (-3 this year)
— Chippewas are 1-4 SU on road (won 34-30 @ South Alabama).
— MAC road losses: 37-13 @ Buffalo, 24-17 @ Ball State.
— CMU escaped with a 45-42 home win over I-AA New Hampshire.
— 4 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 54 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB started one game LY.
— under McElwain, CMU is 11-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, McElwain is 17-15-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— under McElwain, CMU is 14-13 ATS coming off a win.
— Three of Chippewas’ last four games stayed under the total.
— Chippewas went bowling in five of last eight years (1-4).


Western Michigan (3-6, 2-3)
— Broncos are 3-0 scoring 35+ points, 0-6 scoring less than 35.
— Last three games, WMU is +4 in turnovers.
— WMU was 5-7 last year, their first losing season since 2013.
— 8 starters back on offense, 2 on defense
— 81 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 22 games at Old Dominion; LY’s QB’s also return.
— new HC Taylor was OC at Louisville last year.
— since 2019, Broncos are 10-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— since 2017, Broncos are 22-27-2 ATS in MAC tilts (4-1 TY).
— over is 6-1 in their last seven games.
— WMU is 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS in last five bowls, after losing first six bowls.


— Western Michigan won seven of last ten series games.
— Chippewas covered their last five visits to Kalamazoo (3-2 SU).
— Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
— MAC home favorites are 8-9 ATS.


Ohio U @ Buffalo
Ohio U (6-3, 3-2)
— Ohio lost two of last three games, after a 5-1 start.
— Bobcats are 5-0 when they score 17+ points.
— Bobcats allowed 17 or less points in wins, 20+ in losses.
— Ohio is +6 in turnovers in its wins, minus-6 in losses.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line; they’re expected to improve.
— soph QB has started 19 games.
— under Albin, Bobcats are 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Albin, Ohio U is 5-9 ATS coming off a loss.
— under Albin, Bobcats are 12-10 ATS in MAC games.
— Ohio U won/covered its last four bowl games.


Buffalo (3-6, 3-2)
— Bulls won three of last five games, after an 0-4 start.
— Buffalo gave up 13 or less points in wins, 39.8 ppg in losses.
— Buffalo lost 40-37 at home to I-AA Fordham.
— last six games, Bulls are +6 in turnovers.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 13 games LY, threw for school record 3,030 yards.
— Buffalo is 13-5-1 ATS in last 19 games as a home dog (1-1 TY).
— under Linguist, Buffalo is 6-11 ATS coming off a loss.
— under Linguist, Buffalo is 8-11-1 ATS in MAC games (3-2 ATS)
— last five Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Buffalo won its last three bowls, after losing its first three.


— Ohio won three of last four series games.
— Bobcats are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Buffalo.
— under is 6-3 in last nine meetings.
— MAC home underdogs are 4-7 ATS.

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 7​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
BALL at NIU	07:00 PM	NIU -9.0 U 44.0	+500 +500
CMU at WMU	07:00 PM	WMU -3.0 O 58.0	+500 +500
OHIO at BUFF	07:30 PM	OHIO -7.5 U 44.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/07/2023............................5 - 1.................................83.33%............................+ 19.50
11/04/2023.........................29 - 29 - 0.............................50.00%............................- 14.50
11/03/2023.............................3 - 1.................................75.00%.............................+ 950
11/02/2023.............................4 - 2 - 0.............................66.66%............................+ 9.00
11/01/2023.............................1 - 2 - 0.............................33.33%............................- 6.00

TOTALS.................................42 - 35 - 0............................54.54%............................+ 17.50