CNOTES 2023-2024 COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS + NEWS AND NOTES

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 9

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9

Wednesday’s games

Jacksonville State @ Florida International
Jacksonville State (6-2)
— Jacksonville State is 5-2 vs I-A teams.
— This is Jax State’s first season in I-A football
— Gamecocks’ I-A losses: 16-30 at Coastal Carolina, 13-31 to Liberty.
— Coach is Rich Rodriguez (has coached West Va, Michigan, Arizona)
— In his career, Rodriguez is 39-45-1 ATS in road games (1-1-1 TY).
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 43 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 22 starts.
— Gamecocks have +9 turnover ratio.
— Gamecocks are 3-0 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— JSU completed less than 50% of its passes in 3 of last 5 games.
— Under is 5-2 in the Gamecocks’ I-A games.
— Last 3 years, Gamecocks were 24-11 SU, at I-AA level.


Florida International (4-4)
— FIU lost three of its last three games, but won in OT last week.
— last 4+ years, FIU is 15-35 ATS, 17-31-1 ATS
— FIU is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Panthers allowed 410+ total yards in six of seven I-A games.
— FIU was held to 17-6-17-14 points in their losses.
— FIU is playing a freshman QB (59.8%, 6 TD’s, 7 INT’s)
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line, with a new OL coach
— under MacIntyre, Panthers are 4-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— FIU is 6-7 ATS in last 13 C-USA games (2-16-1 ATS from 2019-21)
— FIU lost three of last four bowls SU; they haven’t been to bowl since 2019.


— These teams haven’t met recently.
— C-USA home underdogs are 2-5 ATS.


UTEP @ Sam Houston State
UTEP (2-6)
— UTEP is 1-6 SU/ATS vs I-A teams; they won 27-14 @ FIU.
— Miners’ last five losses were all by 14+ points.
— UTEP is 0-6 when they give up more than 14 points.
— UTEP allowed 24+ points in five of its six losses.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 122 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 29 starts.
— Under Dimel, Miners are 15-18 ATS on road.
— Last 3+ years, UTEP is 13-12 ATS in conference games (1-3 TY).
— Last 5+ years, UTEP is minus-48 in turnovers (minus-5 TY).
— Miners have played in one bowl since 2014 (2021 New Mexico Bowl)


Sam Houston State (0-7)
— Bearkats lost their first seven games (3-3-1 ATS).
— Sam Houston was outscored 65-10 in its first three games.
— Sam Houston was outscored 116-94 in its last four games.
— This is Sam Houston’s first season in I-A football
— Coach Keeler has been here for 10 years.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 50 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 22 starts.
— Bearkats are 0-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
— Under is 4-3 in their games this season.
— Last three years, Sam Houston was 26-5 SU, at I-AA level.


— These teams haven’t met recently.
— C-USA home favorites are 5-6 ATS.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 25​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
JSU at FIU	07:00 PM	JSU -9.0 U 48.0	+500 +500
UTEP at SHSU	08:00 PM	SHSU -3.5 U 37.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
10/25/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
10/24/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
10/21/2023	41-48-3	46.20%	-5900	Detail
10/20/2023	1-1-0	50.00%	-50	Detail
10/19/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
10/18/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
10/17/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-150	Detail
10/14/2023	48-41-1	53.89%	+1450	Detail
10/13/2023	1-5-0	16.67%	-2250	Detail
10/12/2023	0-4-0	0.00%	-2200	Detail
10/11/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
10/10/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-150	Detail
10/07/2023	33-36-4	47.95%	-3300	Detail
10/06/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
10/05/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
10/04/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !

10/25/2023.......................................1 - 3............................25.00%.....................- 11.50
10/24/2023.......................................3 -1.............................75.00%......................+ 9.50
10/21/2023....................................... 9 - 22........................29.03%......................- 76.00
10/20/2023........................................1 - 1..........................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/19/2023.......................................1 - 3...........................25.00%......................- 11,50
10/18/2023.......................................1 - 3...........................25.00%......................- 11.50
10/17/2023.......................................3 - 3...........................50.00%.......................- 1.50
10/14/2023....................................24 - 18.........................57.14%.......................+ 21.00
10/13/2023........................................2 - 3..........................40.00%.......................- 6.50
10/12/2023........................................0 - 4..........................00.00%.......................- 22.00
10/11/2023........................................1 - 1..........................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/10/2023........................................3 - 3..........................50.00%......................- 1.50
10/09/2023........................................3 - 2..........................60.00%.......................+ 4.00
10/07/2023......................................12 - 12.......................50.00%........................- 6.00
10/06/2023........................................2 - 1..........................66.66%........................+ 4.50
10/05/2023........................................2 - 2..........................50.00%........................- 1.00
10/04/2023........................................3 - 1..........................75.00%........................+ 9.50

TOTALS............................................71 - 86.........................45.22%.........................- 101.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Passing yardage leaders in college football:
2,576— Michael Penix, Wash
2,573— Jayden Daniels, LSU
2,433— Brayden Schager, Hawai’i
2,420— Shedeur Sanders, Colo
2,280— Austin Reed, Western Kentucky
2,277— Caleb Williams, USC

Quote of the Day
“It’s silly, silly meaning my genuine feeling is that we have too many smart people that have looked at this and said we should be doing it and we haven’t taken the time to actually move it forward.”
LSU football coach Brian Kelly, on why the SEC hasn’t adopted headset communication between the sidelines and the QB, which would eliminate sign stealing issues

Thursday’s quiz
Which NFL team is the only one that hasn’t covered a spread (0-5-1) so far this season?

Wednesday’s quiz
Chris Paul has been in the NBA for 18 years; he played his college basketball at Wake Forest.

Tuesday’s quiz
Detroit Lions are the only NFC team that has never played in a Super Bowl.


*********************************************

Two dens for Thursday: NHL trends, and a story from the past​

NHL trends (thru October 25)
I’ll try to post this once a week……..

Anaheim 2-4
— lost three of last four games.
— Ducks are 1-2 at home, 1-2 on road
— under 5-1

Arizona 3-3
— 1-0 at home, 2-3 on road.
— over 3-2 on road

Boston 6-0
— won all six of their games.
— under 2-0 at home, 3-1 on road.
— allowed seven goals in six games.

Buffalo 3-4
— 2-3 at home, 1-1 on road.
— under 5-2, 4-1 at home

Calgary 2-4-1
— lost five of last six games.
— 1-1 at home, 1-5 on road.
— over 4-3
— scored four goals in last three games

Carolina 3-4
— lost last three games, outscored 16-8
— 1-0 at home, 2-4 on road.
— over 6-1

Chicago 2-5
— lost five of last six games.
— 0-2 at home, 2-3 on road.
— under 6-1
— last three games, were outscored 12-3

Colorado 6-0
— Colorado won all six of its games
— 2-0 at home, 4-0 on road.
— over 3-3
— outscored opponents 28-12

Columbus 3-2-1
— 2-3 at home, 1-0 on road.
— under 4-1 on road

Dallas 4-0-1
— won four of first five games
— only loss was in OT
— 2-0 at home, 2-1 on road.
— under 4-1
— three of five games went to OT.

Detroit 5-1-1
— won five of last six games
— 3-1 at home, 2-1 on road.
— last four games went over total.

Edmonton 1-5
— lost five of first six games.
— 0-2 at home, 1-3 on road.
— over 3-1 on road

Florida 3-3
— won three of last four games.
— 2-1 at home, 1-2 on road.
— under 2-1 at home, over 2-1 on road

Los Angeles 3-2-1
— won three of last four games.
— 1-3 at home, 2-0 on road.
— over is 5-1, 4-0 at home

Minnesota 3-2-1
— 2-2 at home, 1-1 on road.
— last five games went over.
— allowed 6 goals in wins, 19 in losses.

Montreal 3-2-1
— 2-2 at home, 1-1 on road.
— over 3-3

Nashville 3-4
— 2-2 at home, 1-2 on road.
— under 4-1-1 last six games

New Jersey 3-2-1
— 1-3 at home, 2-0 on road.
— over is 6-0
— 4 of 6 games decided by one goal

NY Islanders 2-2-1
— lost last three games.
— 2-2 at home, 0-1 on road.
— under is 3-2
— allowed 2 goals in wins, 15 in losses

NY Rangers 4-2
— won three of last four games.
— 1-1 at home, 3-1 on road.
— under 5-1, 2-0 at home

Ottawa 3-3
— 3-2 at home, 0-1 on road.
— over 6-0
— allowed 5 goals in wins, 16 in losses

Philadelphia 3-3
— 2-0 at home, 1-3 on road.
— under 3-1 in their last four games.
— allowed 3 goals in wins, 13 in losses

Pittsburgh 2-4
— lost last three games, giving up 14 goals.
— 1-2 at home, 1-2 on road.
— under 2-1 at home, 2-1 on road

St Louis 2-3
— 2-1 at home, 0-2 on road.
— under is 4-1
— scored 11 goals in five games

San Jose 0-6
— lost their first six games.
— 0-4 at home, 0-2 on road.
— under is 4-1-1
— scored eight goals in six games

Seattle 2-5
— lost five of first seven games.
— 1-2 at home, 1-3 on road.
— under is 5-2, 3-1 on road

Tampa Bay 3-4
— 3-1 at home, 0-3 on road.
— over 3-1 at home, 2-1 on road
— 0-2 in OT/SO

Toronto 4-2
— 2-1 at home, 2-1 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— 2-0 in OT/SO
— scored 21 goals in wins, 2 in losses

Vancouver 4-2
— 1-0 at home, 3-2 on road.
— over 4-2

Vegas 7-0
— won their first seven games.
— 4-0 at home, 3-0 on road.
— under 4-0 home, over 2-1 road

Washington 1-4
— lost four of first five games.
— 1-2 at home, 0-2 on road.
— under 4-1

Winnipeg 3-3
— 2-2 at home, 1-1 on road.
— over 2-1-1 home, 1-1 road
— allowed 14 goals in first four games, 4 goals in last two games.

**********************************************

A story from the past……..​

One of my favorite movies was on today, Searching for Bobby Fischer; Joe Mantegna is a sportswriter who is surprised to find out that his 11-year old son is a chess prodigy. It is a great movie: Mantegna, Ben Kingsley, Lawrence Fishburne, William H Macy.
Anyway, when I was in 8th grade 50 years ago, chess was a big deal. Bobby Fischer was a quirky chess grandmaster who was playing Russian Boris Spassky for the world title, and it got a ton of attention— for a couple years in the early 70’s, chess was a big deal.
A friend of my parents had taught me how to play; in May of 1973, there was a tournament of all the Catholic grade schools in Albany County, probably 50 or so kids on a Saturday morning. Two kids from our school went; I had never beaten the other kid. Ever.

So our 8th grade teacher picks us up at the other kid’s house to go to the tournament, but we played a game before he got there, and I beat him.
This had never happened before.
We get to the tournament, played in a ratty old gym, and the games begin. I won my first game, but the other kid, who seriously was a much better player than me, he got beat and just like that, he was eliminated. He very rarely played sports as a kid, and the competition apparently wasn’t his thing. I sucked at sports, but enjoyed playing.

Thinking about it, it was a lot like the scenes in this movie; just a bunch of nerdy kids hunched over chess boards, studying their moves.
While my parents’ friend taught me how to play chess, I had my own ideas, which weren’t better ideas, but I was incapable of grinding out moves, playing patterns, the way great players do.

I just played fast, got my queen out as quickly as possible, tried to do damage with the queen, and it often got people off their games, because it was different.

So I win two more games, and now there are a lot fewer kids in the gym; my 4th game, the board is set up with plastic chess pieces. My opponent requests that we switch to a wooden chess set, a classic Bobby Fischer mind game move, which I had no idea of at the time.
He crushed me, not even close and my teacher took the two of us home. I was happy that at least I won a few games— had never played in a tournament before.

The phone rings in our house and it is a nun from the chess tournament; I had lost, but I wasn’t done playing yet, there were still games to be played to determine who won the championship, so my father drove me back to the gym and he had to sit there watching his nerdy kid play chess.
I won two more games, and the whole event came down to this: I was playing this girl in the last game of the tournament. If she won, she won the championship and I finished 3rd.

If I won, the jerk who beat me won the championship and I finished 2nd. (don’t ask, I can’t remember how/why they ran the tournament like this, but they did)

Seriously, I didn’t like that kid after he beat me; I went over to look at the 2nd/3rd place prizes. If the 3rd place prize was good, I was considering losing on purpose so he wouldn’t win the tournament, but the 3rd place price was cruddy, and the 2nd place prize was this small plastic scroll that at least looked like a trophy, so I tried to win.

(This is where I realize that I was an over-thinker, even at age 13)
Anyway, we sit down and play the last game; my opponent was very nervous; her hand was shaking when she moved her chess pieces. It didn’t take long to beat her, and the jerk won the championship trophy.
50 years later, the small plastic scroll is still hanging in my living room. That was a fun day.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 9

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9

Thursday’s games
Syracuse @ Virginia Tech
Syracuse (4-3)
— Syracuse lost last three games, by a combined 112-24.
— Syracuse gave up 1,179 TY in last two games, 786 PY.
— under Babers, Syracuse is 16-15 ATS as a road dog, 0-2 TY.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 47 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has started 21 games.
— Syracuse is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 ACC games.
— under Babers, Syracuse is 20-26 ATS in games coming off a loss.
— last six Syracuse games stayed under the total.
— Syracuse won four of its last five bowls (were favored in 1 of 5 games).


Virginia Tech (3-4)
— Tech is 3-1 at home, 0-3 on the road.
— Hokies scored 30+ points in wins, 17 or less in losses.
— Tech is 8-6 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 53 starters back on offensive line.
— junior QB Wells started 11 games LY; Baylor transfer Drones is more of a runner.
— under Pry, Hokies are 5-5 ATS in ACC games.
— Tech is 1-13 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
— Hokies lost their last four bowls, giving up 39 ppg.
— Tech’s last bowl win was in 2016.


— Teams have met only once since 2016.
— Syracuse won four of last five series games.
— Teams split last four meetings in Blacksburg.
— ACC home favorites are 8-8 ATS.


Georgia State @ Georgia Southern
Georgia State (6-1)
— Panthers’ only loss was 28-7 at home to Troy.
— Panthers scored 30+ points in five of their six wins.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 23 starts.
— Georgia State is 19-9 ATS in its last 28 Sun Belt games.
— Panthers are 11-4 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog.
— Panthers are 15-6 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
— Three of their last four games stayed under total.
— Panthers won three of last four bowls


Georgia Southern (5-2)
— Eagles scored 34+ points in their wins, 14-13 in losses.
— Eagles are 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS at home, scoring 49-38-38 points.
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 115 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 22 games at Tulsa.
— Georgia Southern is 10-9 ATS in its last 19 Sun Belt games.
— Eagles are 15-5 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
— GSU is 12-7-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
— Four of their last five games stayed under.
— since 2015, Panthers are 3-2 SU/2-3 ATS in bowls


— State won six of last eight series game (5-2-1 ATS)
— State is 2-1-1 ATS in its last four visits here.
— Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
— Sun Belt home favorites are 7-8 ATS.




NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 9

FCS

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR SOUTH CAROLINA STATE VS NC CENTRAL
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina State 39.850; NC Central 67.080
Dunkel Line & Total: NC Central by 27; 61
Vegas Line & Total: NC Central by 18 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC Central (-18 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR LIU AT CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Date: October 26
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: LIU 41.956; Central Connecticut 32.254
Dunkel Line & Total: LIU by 9 1/2; 41
Vegas Line & Total: LIU by 3 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LIU (-3 1/2); Under

 

[ChasDee]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Passing yardage leaders in college football:
2,576— Michael Penix, Wash
2,573— Jayden Daniels, LSU
2,433— Brayden Schager, Hawai’i
2,420— Shedeur Sanders, Colo
2,280— Austin Reed, Western Kentucky
2,277— Caleb Williams, USC

Quote of the Day
“It’s silly, silly meaning my genuine feeling is that we have too many smart people that have looked at this and said we should be doing it and we haven’t taken the time to actually move it forward.”
LSU football coach Brian Kelly, on why the SEC hasn’t adopted headset communication between the sidelines and the QB, which would eliminate sign stealing issues

Thursday’s quiz
Which NFL team is the only one that hasn’t covered a spread (0-5-1) so far this season?

Wednesday’s quiz
Chris Paul has been in the NBA for 18 years; he played his college basketball at Wake Forest.

Tuesday’s quiz
Detroit Lions are the only NFC team that has never played in a Super Bowl.


*********************************************

Two dens for Thursday: NHL trends, and a story from the past​

NHL trends (thru October 25)
I’ll try to post this once a week……..

Anaheim 2-4
— lost three of last four games.
— Ducks are 1-2 at home, 1-2 on road
— under 5-1

Arizona 3-3
— 1-0 at home, 2-3 on road.
— over 3-2 on road

Boston 6-0
— won all six of their games.
— under 2-0 at home, 3-1 on road.
— allowed seven goals in six games.

Buffalo 3-4
— 2-3 at home, 1-1 on road.
— under 5-2, 4-1 at home

Calgary 2-4-1
— lost five of last six games.
— 1-1 at home, 1-5 on road.
— over 4-3
— scored four goals in last three games

Carolina 3-4
— lost last three games, outscored 16-8
— 1-0 at home, 2-4 on road.
— over 6-1

Chicago 2-5
— lost five of last six games.
— 0-2 at home, 2-3 on road.
— under 6-1
— last three games, were outscored 12-3

Colorado 6-0
— Colorado won all six of its games
— 2-0 at home, 4-0 on road.
— over 3-3
— outscored opponents 28-12

Columbus 3-2-1
— 2-3 at home, 1-0 on road.
— under 4-1 on road

Dallas 4-0-1
— won four of first five games
— only loss was in OT
— 2-0 at home, 2-1 on road.
— under 4-1
— three of five games went to OT.

Detroit 5-1-1
— won five of last six games
— 3-1 at home, 2-1 on road.
— last four games went over total.

Edmonton 1-5
— lost five of first six games.
— 0-2 at home, 1-3 on road.
— over 3-1 on road

Florida 3-3
— won three of last four games.
— 2-1 at home, 1-2 on road.
— under 2-1 at home, over 2-1 on road

Los Angeles 3-2-1
— won three of last four games.
— 1-3 at home, 2-0 on road.
— over is 5-1, 4-0 at home

Minnesota 3-2-1
— 2-2 at home, 1-1 on road.
— last five games went over.
— allowed 6 goals in wins, 19 in losses.

Montreal 3-2-1
— 2-2 at home, 1-1 on road.
— over 3-3

Nashville 3-4
— 2-2 at home, 1-2 on road.
— under 4-1-1 last six games

New Jersey 3-2-1
— 1-3 at home, 2-0 on road.
— over is 6-0
— 4 of 6 games decided by one goal

NY Islanders 2-2-1
— lost last three games.
— 2-2 at home, 0-1 on road.
— under is 3-2
— allowed 2 goals in wins, 15 in losses

NY Rangers 4-2
— won three of last four games.
— 1-1 at home, 3-1 on road.
— under 5-1, 2-0 at home

Ottawa 3-3
— 3-2 at home, 0-1 on road.
— over 6-0
— allowed 5 goals in wins, 16 in losses

Philadelphia 3-3
— 2-0 at home, 1-3 on road.
— under 3-1 in their last four games.
— allowed 3 goals in wins, 13 in losses

Pittsburgh 2-4
— lost last three games, giving up 14 goals.
— 1-2 at home, 1-2 on road.
— under 2-1 at home, 2-1 on road

St Louis 2-3
— 2-1 at home, 0-2 on road.
— under is 4-1
— scored 11 goals in five games

San Jose 0-6
— lost their first six games.
— 0-4 at home, 0-2 on road.
— under is 4-1-1
— scored eight goals in six games

Seattle 2-5
— lost five of first seven games.
— 1-2 at home, 1-3 on road.
— under is 5-2, 3-1 on road

Tampa Bay 3-4
— 3-1 at home, 0-3 on road.
— over 3-1 at home, 2-1 on road
— 0-2 in OT/SO

Toronto 4-2
— 2-1 at home, 2-1 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— 2-0 in OT/SO
— scored 21 goals in wins, 2 in losses

Vancouver 4-2
— 1-0 at home, 3-2 on road.
— over 4-2

Vegas 7-0
— won their first seven games.
— 4-0 at home, 3-0 on road.
— under 4-0 home, over 2-1 road

Washington 1-4
— lost four of first five games.
— 1-2 at home, 0-2 on road.
— under 4-1

Winnipeg 3-3
— 2-2 at home, 1-1 on road.
— over 2-1-1 home, 1-1 road
— allowed 14 goals in first four games, 4 goals in last two games.

**********************************************

A story from the past……..​

One of my favorite movies was on today, Searching for Bobby Fischer; Joe Mantegna is a sportswriter who is surprised to find out that his 11-year old son is a chess prodigy. It is a great movie: Mantegna, Ben Kingsley, Lawrence Fishburne, William H Macy.
Anyway, when I was in 8th grade 50 years ago, chess was a big deal. Bobby Fischer was a quirky chess grandmaster who was playing Russian Boris Spassky for the world title, and it got a ton of attention— for a couple years in the early 70’s, chess was a big deal.
A friend of my parents had taught me how to play; in May of 1973, there was a tournament of all the Catholic grade schools in Albany County, probably 50 or so kids on a Saturday morning. Two kids from our school went; I had never beaten the other kid. Ever.

So our 8th grade teacher picks us up at the other kid’s house to go to the tournament, but we played a game before he got there, and I beat him.
This had never happened before.
We get to the tournament, played in a ratty old gym, and the games begin. I won my first game, but the other kid, who seriously was a much better player than me, he got beat and just like that, he was eliminated. He very rarely played sports as a kid, and the competition apparently wasn’t his thing. I sucked at sports, but enjoyed playing.

Thinking about it, it was a lot like the scenes in this movie; just a bunch of nerdy kids hunched over chess boards, studying their moves.
While my parents’ friend taught me how to play chess, I had my own ideas, which weren’t better ideas, but I was incapable of grinding out moves, playing patterns, the way great players do.

I just played fast, got my queen out as quickly as possible, tried to do damage with the queen, and it often got people off their games, because it was different.

So I win two more games, and now there are a lot fewer kids in the gym; my 4th game, the board is set up with plastic chess pieces. My opponent requests that we switch to a wooden chess set, a classic Bobby Fischer mind game move, which I had no idea of at the time.
He crushed me, not even close and my teacher took the two of us home. I was happy that at least I won a few games— had never played in a tournament before.

The phone rings in our house and it is a nun from the chess tournament; I had lost, but I wasn’t done playing yet, there were still games to be played to determine who won the championship, so my father drove me back to the gym and he had to sit there watching his nerdy kid play chess.
I won two more games, and the whole event came down to this: I was playing this girl in the last game of the tournament. If she won, she won the championship and I finished 3rd.

If I won, the jerk who beat me won the championship and I finished 2nd. (don’t ask, I can’t remember how/why they ran the tournament like this, but they did)

Seriously, I didn’t like that kid after he beat me; I went over to look at the 2nd/3rd place prizes. If the 3rd place prize was good, I was considering losing on purpose so he wouldn’t win the tournament, but the 3rd place price was cruddy, and the 2nd place prize was this small plastic scroll that at least looked like a trophy, so I tried to win.

(This is where I realize that I was an over-thinker, even at age 13)
Anyway, we sit down and play the last game; my opponent was very nervous; her hand was shaking when she moved her chess pieces. It didn’t take long to beat her, and the jerk won the championship trophy.
50 years later, the small plastic scroll is still hanging in my living room. That was a fun day.

As an avid chess player to this day, who's game took off in college during the Bobby Fischer era, I can relate to your story and I really enjoyed reading it. Thanks for sharing!

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 26​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
SYR at VT	07:30 PM	SYR +3.0 U 47.5	+500 +500
GSU at GASO	07:30 PM	GSU +1.0 U 63.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
10/26/2023	0-4-0	0.00%	-2200	Detail
10/25/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
10/24/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
10/21/2023	41-48-3	46.20%	-5900	Detail
10/20/2023	1-1-0	50.00%	-50	Detail
10/19/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
10/18/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
10/17/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-150	Detail
10/14/2023	48-41-1	53.89%	+1450	Detail
10/13/2023	1-5-0	16.67%	-2250	Detail
10/12/2023	0-4-0	0.00%	-2200	Detail
10/11/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
10/10/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-150	Detail
10/07/2023	33-36-4	47.95%	-3300	Detail
10/06/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
10/05/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
10/04/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !

10/26/2023.......................................0 - 4............................00.00%.....................- 22.00
10/25/2023.......................................1 - 3............................25.00%.....................- 11.50
10/24/2023.......................................3 -1.............................75.00%......................+ 9.50
10/21/2023....................................... 9 - 22........................29.03%......................- 76.00
10/20/2023........................................1 - 1..........................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/19/2023.......................................1 - 3...........................25.00%......................- 11,50
10/18/2023.......................................1 - 3...........................25.00%......................- 11.50
10/17/2023.......................................3 - 3...........................50.00%.......................- 1.50
10/14/2023....................................24 - 18.........................57.14%.......................+ 21.00
10/13/2023........................................2 - 3..........................40.00%.......................- 6.50
10/12/2023........................................0 - 4..........................00.00%.......................- 22.00
10/11/2023........................................1 - 1..........................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/10/2023........................................3 - 3..........................50.00%......................- 1.50
10/09/2023........................................3 - 2..........................60.00%.......................+ 4.00
10/07/2023......................................12 - 12.......................50.00%........................- 6.00
10/06/2023........................................2 - 1..........................66.66%........................+ 4.50
10/05/2023........................................2 - 2..........................50.00%........................- 1.00
10/04/2023........................................3 - 1..........................75.00%........................+ 9.50

TOTALS............................................71 - 90.........................44.09%.........................- 123.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday’s 6-pack:
All-time leaders in rushing touchdowns:
164— Emmitt Smith
145— LaDainian Tomlinson
123— Marcus Allen
120— Adrian Peterson
110— Walter Payton
106— Jim Brown

Quote of the Day
“I think everyone should go to college and get a degree, and then spend six months as a bartender and six months as a cab driver. Then they would really be educated.”
Al McGuire

Friday’s quiz
Where did Texas football coach Steve Sarkisian play his college football?
Hint: he was a quarterback

Thursday’s quiz
Carolina Panthers are only NFL team that hasn’t covered a spread (0-5-1) this season.

Wednesday’s quiz
Chris Paul has been in the NBA for 18 years; he played his college basketball at Wake Forest.

***************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..​

Bills 24, Buccaneers 18
Bills in first half: 33 plays, 234 yards, 17 points.
Bills in 2nd half: 35 plays, 184 yards, 7 points.
Bills allowed 10-3-20-9-18 points in wins, 22-25-29 in losses.
Allen was 31-40/324 passing, with two TD’s.
Buccaneers lost four of their last five games.
Tampa is 3-0 ATS as road dog this year (6-13-3 from 2017-22)
Tampa scored 20-27-26 points in wins, 11-6-13-18 in losses.
Bucs’ opponents’ team total: under 6-0-1
Tampa Bay threw a Hail Mary 55 yards to the end zone on the last play; had Bucs’ WR Chris Godwin looked up a little quicker, ball would’ve hit him in the hands.

— Steelers/Cardinals are only NFL teams that have been outgained in every game this season; the 4-2 Steelers have been outgained by 110 yards/game, the 1-6 Cardinals by 48.4 yards/game.

— Odd scheduling by the NFL; six teams had last week off, so only 13 games were played, while this week, all 32 teams are playing, then next week, four teams have the week off.

— Sounds like Tennessee Titans are going to start rookie QB Will Levis against Atlanta Sunday, but will also use backup Malik Willis at times. Starting QB Ryan Tannehill (ankle) like won’t play in the game, which sets Levis up to make his first NFL start.

— Minnesota Vikings have thrown 16 TD passes this season; they haven’t run for a TD yet.

— Air Force football team is 7-0 this season; they’re ranked in the top 20 in the country for the first time since 2002.

— Movie of the Day: Punchline (1988)— A medical school dropout and a housewife/mom try to make it as stand-up comedians. They become friends and help each other out at a Manhattan comedy club.
Tom Hanks, Sally Field, John Goodman; hard to go wrong with those stars.

— Tough stretch for Philadelphia sports teams; they’ve lost seven Game 7’s in a row, with 76ers losing last four Game 7’s, Flyers losing last two and now the Phillies losing Game 7 of the NLCS.

— This year’s Diamondbacks are second team ever (1987 Twins) to make it to the World Series, even though they had a negative run differential (-15) during the regular season. Twins had a minus-20 run differential in ’87.

— Only twice in MLB history has the road team won all seven games in a best-of-7 series; the 2019 Nationals won the World Series, the 2023 Rangers won the ALCS— both of them beat the Astros in those series.

— Odds to win the World Series: Rangers -170, Diamondbacks +150

— Arizona Diamondbacks made the World Series with a payroll of $116.5M, 21st in MLB.
By way of contrast, in the near future, two guys on the Milwaukee Bucks, Damian Lillard and Giannis Antetokounmpo, will be earning a total of $122.1M/year. Two guys.

— Dodgers’ 1B Freddie Freeman has missed only 11 games the last six years, while knocking in 557 runs, scoring 626 runs in 859 games. A Hall of Famer, for sure.

— Jacksonville State 41, FIU 16
Gamecocks are 7-2, in their first year of I-A football.
Jacksonville State ran ball 55 times for 265 yards.
FIU had nine penalties for 92 yards; JSU had one penalty, for 15 yards.

— Texas-El Paso 37, Sam Houston State 34
0-8 Bearkats led 27-13 with 2:00 left in third quarter.
UTEP kicked 32-yard FG with 0:03 left for the win.
Miners ran ball 40 times for 222 yards.

— Virginia Tech 38, Syracuse 10
Hokies led 30-3 at halftime.
Rushing yards: Tech 318, Syracuse 0
3rd down conversions: Tech 8-16, Syracuse 0-9

— Georgia Southern 44, Georgia State 21
Eagles threw for 334 yards (9.3 yards/attempt)
Georgia State ran ball 40 times for 290 yards.
Both teams are 6-2.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 9

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9

Florida Atlantic @ Charlotte
Florida Atlantic (3-4)
— FAU scored 20+ points in its wins, 17 or less in losses.
— Panthers ran for 200+ yards in wins, less than 100 in losses.
— 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 113 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB had 23 starts at Central Michigan.
— Last 3 years, FAU was 3-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— Owls are 7-11-1 ATS in their last 19 conference games.
— Under is 4-2 in their I-A games this season.
— FAU won 4 of last 5 bowls; their last bowl was in 2020.


Charlotte (2-5)
— 49ers are 1-5 SU/ATS against I-A teams.
— Last four games, Charlotte scored total of 33 points.
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 11 games at a I-AA school
— Charlotte is 6-5 ATS in its last 11 conference games.
— 49ers are 2-6-1 in last nine games as a home underdog.
— Last four Charlotte games stayed under the total.
— Charlotte lost 31-9 to Buffalo in 2019 Bahamas Bowl, its only bowl.


— FAU won last four series games (3-1 ATS)
— Owls are 2-1-1 ATS in last four visits to Charlotte.
— Under is 7-1 in last eight meetings.
— AAC home underdogs are 2-7 ATS.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9

Saturday’s games
Oklahoma @ Kansas
Oklahoma (7-0)
— Oklahoma scored 43.1 ppg in its first seven games.
— Last three weeks, Sooners gained 523-486-442 yards.
— under Venables, Sooners are 4-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— Oklahoma is +10 in turnovers this season.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 147 starts back on OL; should be much better
— junior QB Gabriel started 12 games LY, also started at UCF
— Oklahoma won its last two games, 34-30/31-29.
— Sooners are 16-12 ATS in last 26 conference games.
— Oklahoma is 2-3 SU/4-1 ATS in last five bowls (average total, 78.2)

Kansas (5-2)
— Kansas gave up 27 or less points in its wins, 40-39 points in losses.
— Last three games, Kansas gave up 252 rushing yards/game.
— Jayhawks ran ball for 221+ yards in four of their five wins.
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line; four starters are back
— junior QB has started 13 games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 4-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— in his career, Leipold is 14-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 9-12-1 ATS in Big X games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 6-10 ATS coming off a loss.
— Kansas was 6-7 LY, going to their first bowl since 2008.

— Oklahoma won last 18 series games.
— Sooners are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Kansas.
— Under is 3-0 in Sooners’ last three visits to Lawrence.
— Big X home underdogs are 8-3 ATS.

Clemson @ NC State
Clemson (4-3)
— Tigers gave up 28-31-28 points in losses, 17 or less in wins.
— Clemson is 5-5 SU in last ten games overall.
— Clemson is 4-0 if they allow less than 300 TY (374-311-362 in L’s)
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 99 starts back on OL, with four returning starters.
— soph QB threw 100 passes LY, but started only once.
— Tigers are 7-8 ATS in last 15 games as a road favorite.
— last 5+ years, Clemson is 31-16-1 ATS in ACC games (1-4 TY).
— Tigers are 5-3 ATS in last eight games coming off a loss.
— Three of Clemson’s last four games stayed under the total.
— Clemson lost three of its last four bowls SU.

NC State (4-3)
— NC State scored 24+ points in wins, 24-10-3 points in losses.
— Wolfpack had bye last week; unclear who starts at QB here.
— NC State scored 12.3 ppg in its three ACC games (2-1).
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB Morris has started four games.
— Previous starter Armstrong started 30 games at Virginia.
— under Doeren, State is 8-11-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last five years, Wolfpack is 18-26-1 ATS in ACC games.
— NC State lost last three bowls; their last bowl win: 2017.

— Clemson won 16 of last 18 series games.
— Tigers are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Raleigh.
— Four of last five meetings went over the total.
— ACC home underdogs are 8-3 ATS.

Memphis @ North Texas
Memphis (5-2)
— Tigers split last four games, giving up 29.5 ppg.
— Tigers scored 28+ points in wins (0-2 score less than 28)
— Memphis allowed 31+ points in three of last four games.
— Last five games, Memphis allowed 455.4 yards/game.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line- 3 starters are back.
— junior QB has 24 career starts
— Memphis is 2-0 on road, 37-3 (-21) at Ark State, 45-21 (-7) at UAB.
— under Silverfield, Memphis is 3-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— Tigers are 10-17 ATS in last 27 AAC games.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.
— Tigers have been bowl eligible nine years in row (’21 bowl cancelled)

North Texas (3-4)
— North Texas allowed 31+ points in five of seven games.
— UNT scored 40-45 points in its I-A wins; 21-39-24-28 in losses.
— UNT hasn’t had a winning season since 2018.
— new HC was 24-18 at I-AA Incarnate Word.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 157 starts back on offensive line; they’re supposed to be good.
— junior QB started 18 games at UL-Monroe.
— UNT allowed 215 rushing yards in all six I-A games.
— since 2016, Mean Green is 6-8 ATS as a home underdog.
— UNT is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 conference games.
— Last three Mean Green games stayed under the total.
— UNT went bowling five of last six years (0-5 SU/1-4 ATS).

— Memphis (-12.5) beat North Texas 44-34 last year.
— UNT outgained 473-332 in that game, but was minus-2 in TO’s.
— Before last year, their last meeting was in 2013.
— AAC home underdogs are 2-7 ATS.

Duke @ Louisville
Duke (5-2)
— Duke QB Leonard has been banged up (check status)
— Duke lost two of last three games, after 4-0 start.
— Duke scored 24+ points in its wins, 14-20 in losses.
— Blue Devils covered their last seven tries as a home favorite.
— 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 122 starts back on offensive line, with 4 starters back
— junior QB has started 14 games.
— under Elko, Blue Devils are 3-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Elko, Duke is 8-3 ATS in ACC games.
— Duke won/covered its last four bowls; last bowl loss was in 2014.

Louisville (6-1)
— Cardinals lost 38-21 at Pitt last game, their first loss of year.
— Louisville has three wins by 7 or fewer points.
— Cardinals are 2-0 at home: BC 56-28 (-14), Notre Dame 33-20 (+6)
— New coach Brohm is a Louisville alum (72-45 as a HC)
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 150 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 12 games at Cal last year.
— Louisville is 11-5 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.
— In his career, Brohm is 20-20 ATS as a home favorite.
— Cardinals went bowling five of last seven years (2-3).

— Louisville (-20) won 62-22 at Duke in last meeting, in ’21.
— Cardinals ran ball for 384 yards in that game.
— Before that, teams last met in 2016.
— ACC home favorites are 8-8 ATS.

Oregon @ Utah
Oregon (6-1)
— Oregon has scored 33+ points in every game this season.
— Ducks’ only loss was 36-33 at Washington.
— Ducks’ road wins: 38-30 at Texas Tech, 42-6 at Stanford.
— Last five games, Oregon ran ball for 222 yards/game.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 96 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB Nix QB has 47 career starts, 34 of them at Auburn.
— Last 5+ years, Ducks are 51-17 SU.
— under Lanning, Ducks are 5-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Lanning, Oregon is 9-4-1 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Under is 4-2 in Oregon’s games vs I-A teams.
— Ducks are 3-2 in last five bowl games; all three wins were by one point.

Utah (6-1)
— Utah is coming off emotional 34-32 win at USC LW.
— Utes are 3-0 SU at home, winning by 13-7-20 points.
— Utah ran ball for 317-247 yards in last two games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; high expectations
— Utah QB Rising (knee) is OFY; soph Barnes is playing well.
— last 4+ years, Utes are 40-14 SU.
— since 2018, Utah is 0-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— Since 2016, Utah is 44-23 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Under is 4-2 in their I-A games.
— Utah lost last four bowls, after Whittingham started out 11-1 in bowls.

— Teams split last eight meetings.
— Ducks lost last two visits to Utah, 38-7/32-25
— Last three meetings stayed under the total.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 6-3 ATS.

Georgia vs Florida (@ Jacksonville)
Georgia (7-0)
— Georgia won first four SEC games by 10-7-38-17 points (1-3 ATS)
— Georgia is 2-4 against spread this season.
— Dawgs outgained last two opponents, 1,160-402.
— In Dawgs’ only one possession game, Auburn ran ball for 219 yards.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— Last four games, Georgia threw for 350.8 yards/game.
— New QB for Georgia; he is completing 73.6%, with 12 TD’s, 4 INTs.
— Last 2+ years, Georgia is 13-11 ATS in SEC games (1-3 TY).
— Georgia’s last four games went over the total.
— Dawgs won their last six bowl games (4-2 ATS)

Florida (5-2)
— Gators scored 22+ points in its wins, 11-14 in losses.
— Florida’s two losses were by 13-19 points.
— Gators are minus-2 in turnovers this season.
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 74 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 32 games at Wisconsin
— under Napier, Florida is 6-2 ATS as an underdog.
— in his career, Napier is 17-4-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Gators are 6-16-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— Florida’s last three games went over the total.
— Gators lost last three bowls, by a combined 114-40.

— Georgia won five of last six series games (4-2 ATS)
— Under is 7-4-1 in last 12 meetings.
— SEC favorites are 19-11 ATS.

Iowa State @ Baylor
Iowa State (4-3)
— Cyclones won three of first four Big X games.
— Iowa State scored 24-27-30 points in I-A wins, 13-7-20 in losses.
— Cyclones are 4-3, but have a +7 turnover ratio.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line
— LY’s starting QB Dekkers withdrew from school (gambling charges)
— freshman QB is completing 60% of passes (12 TD’s/5 INTs).
— ISU is 2-6 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
— last 2+ years, Iowa State is 10-12 ATS in conference games.
— Cyclones lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— ISU is 4-10 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.

Baylor (3-4)
— Baylor is 2-4 vs I-A teams, giving up 33.8 ppg.
— Bears’ two I-A wins were by total of four points.
— Last four games, Baylor allowed 447 yards/game.
— Baylor is 3-5-1 in last nine games as home favorites (0-2-1 TY)
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 54 starts back on offensive line; 2 of 3 starters will be transfers.
— junior QB had 15 starts coming into this year.
— Bears are 12-9 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
— under Aranda, Baylor is 17-17 ATS in Big X games.
— Bears are 3-2 SU in last five bowls; they were underdog in 4 of 5 games.

— Baylor won three of last four meetings (5-0 ATS in last five)
— Cyclones are 2-6 ATS in last eight visits to Waco.
— Last three meetings went over the total.
— Big X home underdogs are 8-3 ATS.

Mississippi State @ Auburn
Mississippi State (4-3)
— Miss State lost three of first four SEC games (W7-3 @ Arkansas LW)
— Bulldogs are 1-1 on road: L30-37 at South Carolina, W7-3 @ Arkansas.
— Miss State gave up 41-37-40 points in its losses.
— Bulldogs passes for less than 110 yards in three of last five games.
— 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 113 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has started 32 games.
— MSU is 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Bulldogs are 15-23 ATS in last 38 SEC games.
— four of last four Miss State games went over the total.
— New coach TY after Mike Leach passed away last year.
— Bulldogs are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.

Auburn (3-4)
— Auburn lost its last four games, giving up 27-27-48-28 points.
— In those three losses, Auburn was 47-87/421 passing, combined.
— Tigers beat UMass 59-14/Cal Bears 14-10 for their I-A wins.
— Last 3+ years, Auburn is 20-23 SU.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 25 games at Michigan State.
— In his career, Freeze is 31-21-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Auburn is 12-7 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite.
— In his career, Freeze is 24-20 ATS coming off a loss.
— Auburn is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 4 of 5)
— Freeze is Auburn’s third coach in 4 years.

— Miss State won last two meetings, 39-33/43-34
— Bulldogs are 4-6 ATS in last ten visits to Auburn.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 11-7 ATS.

Tennessee @ Kentucky
Tennessee (5-2)
— Tennessee lost both true road games, 29-16/34-20, at Florida/Bama.
— Vols outgained Alabama 404-358 LW, still lost 34-20.
— Vols’ I-A wins are by 36-31-21-7 points.
— Vols ran for 232+ yards in all of its I-A wins.
— Vols are 16-4 SU in last 20 games (27-33 from 2017-21)
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 93 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB has nine starts.
— under Heupel, Tennessee is 3-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Heupel, Tennessee is 10-10 ATS in SEC games.
— Vols are 4-1 SU/ATS in their last five bowls.

Kentucky (5-1)
— Kentucky lost last two games, 51-13/38-21, after a 5-0 start.
— Wildcats scored 39.3 ppg in beating four I-A stiffs.
— All six of their I-A games were decided by 17+ points.
— Last three games, Kentucky completed only 33-73 passes.
— 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line (four starters back)
— senior QB started 26 games at NC State.
— Wildcats are 26-15-1 ATS last 42 games as an underdog.
— Under Stoops, Kentucky is 10-12-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— Kentucky is 12-8 ATS in last 20 SEC games.
— Wildcats won four of their last five bowls (lost 21-0 LY).

— Tennessee won 23 of last 26 series games (4-2 last six)
— Vols covered their last five visits to Lexington.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
— SEC home underdogs are 4-8 ATS.

Colorado @ UCLA
Colorado (4-3)
— Colorado lost three of its last four games.
— Buffs gave up 42-48-46 points in their two losses.
— Colorado gave up 35+ points in five of seven games.
— Last three games, Buffs allowed 403-335-399 passing yards.
— Colorado is 3-10 ATS in last 13 games as road underdog.
— Deion Sanders is the new coach (27-6 at I-AA Jackson State)
— 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 44 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB Sanders started 26 games at Jackson State
— Buffs are 3-10-1 ATS in last 14 Pac-12 games.
— Colorado’s new OC was a good head coach at Kent State.
— Colorado hasn’t gone bowling since 2020; their last bowl win, 2004.

UCLA (5-2)
— UCLA is 4-2 vs I-A teams, giving up 13-10-14-17-36-7 points.
— Bruins’ losses: 14-7 (+3.5) @ Utah, 24-36 @ Oregon State
— Under is 5-1 in their I-A games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— 126 starts back on offensive line; high expectations.
— frosh QB Moore is completing 51.8% of passes, with 10 TD’s, 7 INT’s.
— Under Kelly, Bruins are 7-13 ATS as home favorites.
— Since 2019, UCLA is 22-16 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— UCLA is 15-13 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
— UCLA lost its last three bowls, giving up 37-35-37 points.
— Bruins’ last bowl win was 40-35 over K-State in 2014 Alamo Bowl.

— UCLA won nine of last 12 series games.
— Buffs are 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to UCLA.
— Last three meetings went over the total.
— Pac-12 home favorites are 8-7 ATS.

Washington State @ Arizona State
Washington State (4-3)
— Wazzu lost last three games, giving up 25-44-38 points.
— In those games, Coogs were outgained, 1,527-945.
— Coogs scored 50-31-38 points in their I-A wins.
— since 2018, Wazzu is 7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 13 games LY; he’s thrown 15 TD’s, 3 INTs TY.
— Wazzu is 14-7-1 ATS in last 22 conference games.
— Last five games, Coogs are minus-7 in turnovers.
— Wazzu went bowling five of last six years (1-4 SU/0-5 ATS)

Arizona State (1-6)
— ASU is 0-6 vs I-A teams, losing last three by 3-3-8 points.
— ASU’s only win: 24-21 over I-AA Southern Utah.
— Last two weeks, Sun Devils allowed 295-288 yards.
— 32-year old first-year HC was OC at Oregon last year.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 151 starts back on offensive line— added 6 transfers on OL
— Sun Devils have already used four QB’s this year.
— Sun Devils are 2-5-1 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
— ASU is 9-7-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss
— ASU lost four of their last five bowls (won ’19 Sun Bowl, 20-14)

— Washington State won four of last five series games.
— Coogs are 1-5 ATS in last six visits to Tempe.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 6-3 ATS.

Cincinnati @ Oklahoma State
Cincinnati (2-5)
— Bearcats lost last five games, giving up 29.6 ppg.
— Cincinnati’s only I-A win: 27-21 (+6.5) at Pittsburgh.
— Cincy ran ball for 242+ yards in three of last five games.
— 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 20 starts back on offensive line; not much experience.
— senior QB Jones started 7 games at Arizona State LY.
— since 2017, Cincinnati is 9-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— New coach Satterfield is 10-13-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— over is 4-2 in their I-A games this year.
— Cincinnati lost its last three bowls SU; favorites covered 4 of last 5 bowls.

Oklahoma State (5-2)
— Okla State won its last three games, scoring 29-39-48 points.
— OSU allowed 32+ points in four of its last five games.
— Okla State is 3-1 in Big X games (average total, 66).
— Cowboys were minus-2 in turnovers in losses, +7 in wins.
— Cowboys were 7-6 LY, their worst season since 2018.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He comes to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— Cowboys are 15-12-1 ATS last 28 games as a home favorite.
— OSU is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 Big X games.
— Over is 3-1 in their four games.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.

— These teams haven’t met recently.
— Big X home favorites are 9-8 ATS.

UNLV @ Fresno State
UNLV (6-1)
— UNLV won its last five games, scoring 39.9 ppg.
— Rebels’ only loss: 35-7 (+37) at Michigan.
— Last four weeks, UNLV gained 488.3 yards/game.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line, but there isn’t much depth.
— freshman QB has completed 65.2% of passes (5 TD’s, 2 INT’s)
— In his career, coach Odom is 9-14 ATS on road, 3-0 TY.
— Since 2021, Rebels are 11-4 ATS on road.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.
— Rebels haven’t been to a bowl game since 2013.
— UNLV’s last bowl win was in 2000.

Fresno State (6-1)
— Fresno won its two I-A home games, 53-10/27-9.
— Four of their seven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Fresno scored 37 ppg in its five I-A wins.
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB started 11 games at UCF.
— in his career, Tedford is 43-32 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Tedford, Fresno is 20-16-2 ATS in Mountain West.
— under Tedford, Fresno is 9-5 ATS coming off a win.
— Over is 4-2 in their I-A games this season.
— last five years, Bulldogs are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in bowl games.

— Fresno State won last five series games (3-2 ATS)
— Bulldogs won last two games, 37-30/38-30.
— Rebels are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Fresno.
— Last four meetings went over the total.
— Mountain West home favorites are 4-7 ATS.

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 27​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
FAU at CHAR	07:30 PM	FAU -3.5 U 44.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
10/27/2023	1-1-0	50.00%	-50	Detail
10/26/2023	0-4-0	0.00%	-2200	Detail
10/25/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
10/24/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
10/21/2023	41-48-3	46.20%	-5900	Detail
10/20/2023	1-1-0	50.00%	-50	Detail
10/19/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
10/18/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
10/17/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-150	Detail
10/14/2023	48-41-1	53.89%	+1450	Detail
10/13/2023	1-5-0	16.67%	-2250	Detail
10/12/2023	0-4-0	0.00%	-2200	Detail
10/11/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
10/10/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-150	Detail
10/07/2023	33-36-4	47.95%	-3300	Detail
10/06/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
10/05/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
10/04/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !

10/27/2023.......................................1 - 1............................50.00%.....................- 0.50
10/26/2023.......................................0 - 4............................00.00%.....................- 22.00
10/25/2023.......................................1 - 3............................25.00%.....................- 11.50
10/24/2023.......................................3 -1.............................75.00%......................+ 9.50
10/21/2023....................................... 9 - 22........................29.03%......................- 76.00
10/20/2023........................................1 - 1..........................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/19/2023.......................................1 - 3...........................25.00%......................- 11,50
10/18/2023.......................................1 - 3...........................25.00%......................- 11.50
10/17/2023.......................................3 - 3...........................50.00%.......................- 1.50
10/14/2023....................................24 - 18.........................57.14%.......................+ 21.00
10/13/2023........................................2 - 3..........................40.00%.......................- 6.50
10/12/2023........................................0 - 4..........................00.00%.......................- 22.00
10/11/2023........................................1 - 1..........................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/10/2023........................................3 - 3..........................50.00%......................- 1.50
10/09/2023........................................3 - 2..........................60.00%.......................+ 4.00
10/07/2023......................................12 - 12.......................50.00%........................- 6.00
10/06/2023........................................2 - 1..........................66.66%........................+ 4.50
10/05/2023........................................2 - 2..........................50.00%........................- 1.00
10/04/2023........................................3 - 1..........................75.00%........................+ 9.50

TOTALS............................................72 - 91.........................44.17%.........................- 124.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Last six World Series champs:
2022- Astros over Phillies
2021- Braves over Astros
2020- Dodgers over Rays
2019- Nationals over Astros
2018- Red Sox over Dodgers
2017- Astros over Dodgers

Quote of the Day
“Its not up to you to take with you and possess what they gave you, its up to you to pass it on to someone else. So, that’s what I tried to do.”
Dusty Baker

Saturday’s quiz
Boston Red Sox have won four World Series since 2004, under which three managers?

Friday’s quiz
Texas football coach Steve Sarkisian played his college football at BYU.

Thursday’s quiz
Carolina Panthers are only NFL team that hasn’t covered a spread (0-5-1) this season.

*****************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a fall Friday​

— Rangers 6, Diamondbacks 5 (11)
Adolis Garcia hit a walk-off home run in the 11th inning.
Corey Seager tied game with a dramatic ninth inning home run.
Texas bullpen threw 6.1 scoreless innings.
Rangers lead series, 1-0.

— If the ghost runner rule in extra innings is such a great rule, why don’t they use it in the playoffs? This is the way baseball was meant to be played, no ghost runners.

— Two years ago, Rangers were 60-102, Arizona was 52-110.
Texas spent a boatload of $$$ to get better, Arizona developed lot of young players, many of whom benefited from the new rules, which help players who run fast.
Diamondbacks also ripped off Miami, acquiring P Zac Gallen for Jazz Chisholm. I’m told that pitching is an important part of baseball.

— Congrats to Dusty Baker, who retired as manager of the Astros this week. Hopefully he’ll get elected into the Baseball Hall of Fame soon, like next year.
Long time ago, when I was 15, I met Dusty Baker at Shea Stadium in New York— he signed an autograph for me and we talked for a few minutes. Good guy who has had a great career.

— Can’t process the fact that next year, Cal, Stanford and SMU are joining the ACC, seeing how the A in ACC stands for “Atlantic”……..as in Ocean.
SMU is in Dallas, in the southwest. Cal/Stanford are in California, which is close to the PACIFIC Ocean, not the ATLANTIC Ocean. Why is Stanford in same league as Boston College, Miami???

— There is a college basketball player who transferred this year, from Cal-San Diego to Vermont. This is a person who doesn’t value good weather; who would rather live in Vermont than in San Diego?

— Florida Atlantic 38, Charlotte 16
FAU threw for 218 yards (8.1 yards/attempt).
Owls are 4-4, need two more wins to be bowl eligible.
Charlotte was 4-19 on 3rd down; they had 12 penalties for 106 yards.

— In the NHL, last time the Montreal Canadiens had a 40-goal scorer was 1994, when Vincent Damphousse scored 40 goals, with 51 assists. That is the longest current drought in the NHL; team that has gone the next-longest without a 40-goal scorer is Arizona (1998).

— Word of the Day: Prodigy— a person who is gifted with exceptional qualities or abilities.

— In the NBA, LA Lakers started the season saying they wanted to put a cap on Lebron James’ minutes played. So far, in two games:
game 1- Lebron played 29:00 (+7). Lakers were minus-19 with him on bench
game 2- Lebron played 35:00 (+22). Lakers were minus-17 with him on bench
In two games, Lakers are +29 with Lebron playing, minus-36 with Lebron on bench.
So much for a minutes restriction.

— Phoenix Suns were docked a 2024 2nd-round draft pick over tampering with Drew Eubanks. NBA found that the Suns engaged in free-agency discussions involving Eubanks before the permitted date (June 30).

— ESPN replaced Jeff Van Gundy/Mark Jackson with Doc Rivers/Doris Burke as the #1 team on its NBA broadcasts. Then again, they have Stephen A Smith and Michael Wilbon on their studio shows, showing how little they care about teaching people about basketball.
Doc Rivers is good as an analyst; the addition of former Warriors GM Bob Meyers should wind up being good. They’ve been in the arena, can tell us what it is like.
Ex-players, ex-coaches, that’s what makes viewers smarter.

— Garrett Temple is in his 14th NBA season; he is playing for Toronto this year, his 12th NBA team, after playing in college at LSU. He could write a very interesting book.

— Dereck Lively scored 16 points for the Mavericks in his NBA debut; the most points he ever scored in college was 13 points, last year for Duke.

— There are 125 international players on NBA rosters this year, a new record, including 26 players from Canada, 14 from France. All in all, 41 countries are represented in the NBA.

— Thunder 108, Cavaliers 105— Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 34 points, took only two foul shots, which suggests that Cleveland didn’t guard him aggressively enough.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 9

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 28​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
WVU at UCF	12:00 PM	WVU +6.5 O 60.0	+500 +500
CONN at BC	12:00 PM	CONN +14.5 O 50.0	+500 +500
TLSA at SMU	12:00 PM	SMU -20.5 O 57.0	+500 +500
IU at PSU	12:00 PM	PSU -31.0 O 45.5	+500 +500
HOU at KSU	12:00 PM	KSU -17.5 O 60.0	+500 +500
SOCAR at TAM	12:00 PM	SOCAR +17.0 U 51.5	+500 +500
MD at NW	12:00 PM	NW +14.0 U 48.5	+500 +500
MASS at ARMY	12:00 PM	ARMY -9.0 U 50.5	+500 +500
OKLA at KU	12:00 PM	KU +9.5 U 66.0	+500 +500
FSU at WAKE	12:00 PM	WAKE +21.0 O 52.5	+500 +500
WMU at EMU	01:00 PM	EMU +3.0 O 48.0	+500 +500
CLEM at NCST	02:00 PM	NCST +9.5 O 44.5	+500 +500
MEM at UNT	03:00 PM	MEM -6.5 U 68.0	+500 +500
PITT at ND	03:30 PM	PITT +20.5 U 45.0	+500 +500
USM at APP	03:30 PM	APP -17.0 U 56.5	+500 +500
DUKE at LOU	03:30 PM	DUKE +6.0 O 46.0	+500 +500
BYU at TEX	03:30 PM	TEX -20.5 U 50.0	+500 +500
ISU at BAY	03:30 PM	BAY +3.5 U 47.0	+500 +500
ECU at UTSA	03:30 PM	UTSA -18.5 U 48.0	+500 +500
MSU at MINN	03:30 PM	MINN -6.5 O 41.0	+500 +500
MSST at AUB	03:30 PM	AUB -6.5 U 41.0	+500 +500
UVA at MIA	03:30 PM	UVA +18.5 O 47.5	+500 +500
ORE at UTAH	03:30 PM	UTAH +6.5 U 47.0	+500 +500
M-OH at OHIO	03:30 PM	M-OH +7.5 O 38.5	+500 +500
PUR at NEB	03:30 PM	NEB -2.5 U 39.0	+500 +500
UGA at FLA	03:30 PM	FLA +14.0 U 49.5	+500 +500
TULN at RICE	04:00 PM	RICE +10.0 O 55.0	+500 +500
USC at CAL	04:00 PM	CAL +10.0 O 66.5	+500 +500
ULL at USA	05:00 PM	USA -11.5 U 55.0	+500 +500
ARST at ULM	05:00 PM	ULM -2.0 U 56.0	+500 +500
WYO at BSU	05:30 PM	WYO +4.5 O 49.0	+500 +500
MRSH at CCU	06:00 PM	CCU +3.0 U 47.0	+500 +500
AFA at CSU	07:00 PM	CSU +14.5 O 46.5	+500 +500
TENN at UK	07:00 PM	TENN -4.0 U 51.0	+500 +500
WASH at STAN	07:00 PM	WASH -27.5 U 61.0	+500 +500
TROY at TXST	07:00 PM	TROY -6.5 U 53.0	+500 +500
OSU at WIS	07:30 PM	OSU -14.5 U 46.0	+500 +500
COLO at UCLA	07:30 PM	UCLA -15.0 O 61.0	+500 +500
VAN at MISS	07:30 PM	VAN +24.5 O 63.5	+500 +500
CIN at OKST	08:00 PM	OKST -7.5 O 53.0	+500 +500
WSU at ASU	08:00 PM	ASU +5.0 O 49.5	+500 +500
UNC at GT	08:00 PM	GT +11.5 O 65.5	+500 +500
ODU at JMU	08:00 PM	JMU -21.0 O 49.0	+500 +500
UNM at NEV	10:30 PM	UNM -1.0 U 50.0	+500 +500
UNLV at FRES	10:30 PM	UNLV +9.5 U 56.5	+500 +500
ORST at ARIZ	10:30 PM	ARIZ +3.0 O 56.5	+500 +500
SJSU at HAW	11:59 PM	HAW +11.0 O 58.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
10/28/2023	47-47-0	50.00%	-2350	Detail
10/27/2023	1-1-0	50.00%	-50	Detail
10/26/2023	0-4-0	0.00%	-2200	Detail
10/25/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
10/24/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
10/21/2023	41-48-3	46.20%	-5900	Detail
10/20/2023	1-1-0	50.00%	-50	Detail
10/19/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
10/18/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
10/17/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-150	Detail
10/14/2023	48-41-1	53.89%	+1450	Detail
10/13/2023	1-5-0	16.67%	-2250	Detail
10/12/2023	0-4-0	0.00%	-2200	Detail
10/11/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
10/10/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-150	Detail
10/07/2023	33-36-4	47.95%	-3300	Detail
10/06/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
10/05/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
10/04/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail