CNOTES 2023-2024 COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS + NEWS AND NOTES

Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack:
Highest scoring teams in college football:
48.5— Oregon
47.3— USC
45.3— LSU
45.2— Oklahoma
44.3— Penn State
44.3— Washington

Tweet of the Day
“If you want to be successful…….
know what you are going,
love what you are doing,
and believe in what you are doing. ”
Will Rogers

Friday’s quiz
Who managed the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their one World Series title?

Thursday’s quiz
In the first three years (1960-62) of the AFL, the Kansas City Chiefs played in a different city; back then, they were the Dallas Texans.

Wednesday’s quiz
49ers’ QB Brock Purdy played his college football at Iowa State.

**********************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

Jaguars 31, Saints 24
— Kirk caught 44-yard TD pass with 3:08 left for game-winning TD.
— Jaguars led 24-9 after a pick-6 with 6:47 left in third quarter.
— Jaguars won/covered their last four games.
— Jacksonville outscored last four opponents 66-19 in first half.
— Saints lost four of their last five games.
— New Orleans converted 3-18 third down plays.
— Saints had ball in red zone on last drive, but couldn’t tie game.
— Saints are 6-9-1 ATS in last 16 games with spread of 3 or less.

— Diamondbacks 2, Phillies 1
Game was scoreless thru six innings.
Neither starting pitcher finished the sixth inning.
Ketel Marte had walk-off single in 9th inning.
Phillies lead series, 2-1; home side won all three games.

— Astros 10, Rangers 3
Altuve went 3-4, with three runs scored.
Alvarez went 2-4, with 3 RBI
Astros used four relievers to get 20 outs.
Series is tied 2-2; road team won all four games.
Roof was open at the Rangers’ ballpark, first time that happened since mid-May.

— This week, Max Scherzer joined David Wells as the only pitchers ever to start a playoff game for five different teams.

— Denver Broncos lost the last ten games they led at halftime, which isn’t good.

— Thru six games, Bears’ WR DJ Moore has 582 receiving yards; last year, Cole Kmet led the Bears in receiving yards for the whole season, with 544.

— This is the first time since 2017 that no NFL team started the season 6-0.

— Las Vegas Raiders have ruled QB Jimmy Garoppolo out for this week’s game in Chicago; rookie Aidan O’Connell is likely to start, even though Brian Hoyer played the whole second half in last week’s win over New England.

— Word of the Day: shenanigans— devious tricks used, especially for an underhanded purpose

— Rice 42, Tulsa 10
Well-traveled QB Daniels threw for 342 yards, two TD’s.
WR McCaffrey caught six passes for 99 yards and a TD.
Owls ran for 170 yards (5.5 yards/carry)
Rice outscored Tulsa 21-0 in second half.

— James Madison 20, Marshall 9
7-0 James Madison led 3-0 at halftime.
JMU’s punter pinned Marshall inside their 20-yard line seven times.
Dukes outgained Marshall, 405-169.
Marshall’s only TD was a 94-yard kick return.

— This past June, Michigan Wolverines had two players taken in the top 15 of the NBA Draft, the 49th team since 1979 to do that.
Of those 49 teams, Michigan was the only one that didn’t make the NCAA Tournament.

— Last six years, the defending NBA champ has gone under their win total for that next season. All in all, 22 of the last 28 defending champs stayed under their win total.

— Retired Syracuse coach Jim Boeheim is going to do some TV work for ESPN this winter; he is already signed up to do NCAA Tournament games on Westwood One radio.

— NCAA is investigating Michigan Wolverines’ football team for stealing opponents’ signs; someone posted a halftime interview with Rutgers’ coach Greg Schiano, who seemed to imply that he knew there were shenanigans going on when his team trailed 14-7 at halftime in a game in Ann Arbor.

— RIP to actor Burt Young, who passed away this week at age 83; he played Paulie in six of the Rocky movies. He has 166 acting credits on IMDB.com, he was in the original version of The Gambler, with James Caan in 1974, and he was also in the Marines for two years, in real life.
RIP, sir.
 

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Weather Report

Week 8


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Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, OCTOBER 20

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
SMU at TEM07:00 PMSMU -21.0
U 54.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
10/21/20230-0-00.00%+0Detail
10/20/20231-1-050.00%-50Detail
10/19/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
10/18/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
10/17/20233-3-050.00%-150Detail
10/14/202348-41-153.89%+1450Detail
10/13/20231-5-016.67%-2250Detail
10/12/20230-4-00.00%-2200Detail
10/11/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
10/10/20233-3-050.00%-150Detail
10/07/202333-36-447.95%-3300Detail
10/06/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
10/05/20232-2-050.00%-100Detail
10/04/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
 

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !

10/20/2023........................................1 - 1..........................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/19/2023.......................................1 - 3...........................25.00%......................- 11,50
10/18/2023.......................................1 - 3...........................25.00%......................- 11.50
10/17/2023.......................................3 - 3...........................50.00%.......................- 1.50
10/14/2023....................................24 - 18.........................57.14%.......................+ 21.00
10/13/2023........................................2 - 3..........................40.00%.......................- 6.50
10/12/2023........................................0 - 4..........................00.00%.......................- 22.00
10/11/2023........................................1 - 1..........................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/10/2023........................................3 - 3..........................50.00%......................- 1.50
10/09/2023........................................3 - 2..........................60.00%.......................+ 4.00
10/07/2023......................................12 - 12.......................50.00%........................- 6.00
10/06/2023........................................2 - 1..........................66.66%........................+ 4.50
10/05/2023........................................2 - 2..........................50.00%........................- 1.00
10/04/2023........................................3 - 1..........................75.00%........................+ 9.50

TOTALS............................................58 - 60.........................49.15%.........................- 23.50
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
lowest scoring teams in college football:
13.4— Sam Houston State
13.4— Kent State
15.0— Ball State
15.3— Charlotte
15.6— Akron
16.4— Texas-El Paso

Quote of the Day
“Success consists of going from failure to failure, without a loss of enthusiasm.”
Winston Churchill

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie 21, about six MIT students who become trained to be experts in card counting in blackjack, what famous actor played the guy who trained the students?

Friday’s quiz
Bob Brenly managed the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their one World Series title.

Thursday’s quiz
In the first three years (1960-62) of the AFL, the Kansas City Chiefs played in a different city; back then, they were the Dallas Texans.

********************************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

Astros 10, Rangers 3
Altuve hit a 3-run homer in top of the 9th.
game was 1-1 after five innings.
Astros used three relievers to get 10 outs.
Astros lead series, 3-2; road team won all five games.

Diamondbacks 6, Phillies 5
Alek Thomas hit a pinch-hit, 2-run HR in bottom of 8th
Phillies led 5-2 in seventh inning.
Arizona amazingly used eight pitchers in a 9-inning game.
series is tied, 2-2; home side won all four games.

SMU 55, Temple 0
Mustangs led 24-0 at halftime.
SMU QB Stone was 23-36/300 passing, with two TD’a.
Temple QB EJ Warner (concussion) didn’t play

— Dillon Gabriel was the quarterback at Central Florida from 2019-21; last year he transferred to Oklahoma, and since then, UCF jumped to the Big X, because next year, Texas/Oklahoma are jumping to the SEC.
This week, Central Florida visits Oklahoma, in what will be their only meeting as conference rivals. Dillon Gabriel gets to play against some of his old teammates.

— Will Venable is associate manager for the Texas Rangers; this week he turned down a chance to interview for the vacant managing job with the Mets. Who turns down an interview for a managing job, especially in a big market with a really rich owner?
Only a cynical person would read into this and guess that Venable has a promise to become the Rangers’ manager when Bruce Bochy retires.

— This week, Astros’ 1B Jose Abreu became the oldest player in the last 100 years to hit a home run and steal a base in the same playoff game.

— This made me feel old; kid named Johnny Backus just signed to play baseball for Michigan Wolverines. His mother is actress Mira Sorvino, his grandfather was Paul Sorvino.

— Word of the Day: karma— effects of one’s actions that determine his or her destiny.
In other words, right actions produce good results while wrong actions produce bad ones.

— Modern baseball: Arizona-Phillies are 0-0 in 6th inning, and Brandon Pfaadt is breezing thru the Phillies’ lineup, but as soon as he faces his 18th batter they yank him, because over-educated nerds in the Arizona front office said so. Pfaadt had only thrown 70 pitches.
If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. At least let him allow a baserunner before you take the guy out.

— Lot of college basketball teams took foreign trips this summer; this is a big advantage in the transfer portal age, since foreign trips let teams have 10 extra practices before the trip, and those practices are very valuable.
Lot of teams are just totally re-booting their rosters, which makes handicapping November games virtually impossible (if you want to win). Coaches don’t even know what’s up; they use the pre-conference games to establish their rotations for conference play.

— People kept saying how Jaguars’ QB Trevor Lawrence had a bad leg, might not play Thursday night; he wore a brace on his knee, and then the game started, and Lawrence ran the ball eight time for 59 yards and he looked pretty nimble and Jacksonville won. Go figure.
In a perfect world, where I make all decisions…….

— NBA needs to sponsor a 32-person (or 64) 1-on-1 tournament in the summer, with each player posting a charity that he is playing for. This would be wildly popular: can you imagine?
Steph Curry vs Lebron James
James Harden vs Kevin Durant
Giannis Antetokounmpo vs Jayson Tatum
This needs to happen; the league had a 1-on-1 tournament for two years back in the 70’s, but it died because Julius Erving’s agent wouldn’t let him play in it.

— NFL officials need to call fewer holding penalties; league says they want more scoring, then call fewer holding penalties.

— We need more game shows on TV, and fewer of these talk programs with contrived arguments; bring back Hollywood Squares. That was an excellent gameshow.
 

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SATURDAY, OCTOBER 21

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MEM at UAB12:00 PMUAB +7.0
O 62.0
+500 +500
RUTG at IU12:00 PMIU +6.0
U 40.0
+500 +500
AFA at NAVY12:00 PMNAVY +10.0
U 33.5
+500 +500
BAY at CIN12:00 PMCIN -3.5
U 49.5
+500 +500
PSU at OSU12:00 PMPSU +5.0
U 45.5
+500 +500
UCF at OKLA12:00 PMOKLA -17.0
U 67.5
+500 +500
WMU at OHIO12:00 PMWMU +16.5
O 53.0
+500 +500
MSST at ARK12:00 PMARK -6.5
O 48.0
+500 +500
BC at GT12:00 PMBC +5.5
O 57.0
+500 +500
CHAR at ECU02:00 PMECU -6.5
U 40.0
+500 +500
ULM at GASO02:00 PMGASO -17.0
U 60.0
+500 +500
AKR at BGSU02:00 PMBGSU -7.5
U 37.0
+500 +500
UNT at TULN03:30 PMUNT +20.0
O 63.0
+500 +500
USF at CONN03:30 PMUSF -1.0
U 57.0
+500 +500
EMU at NIU03:30 PMNIU -12.0
U 43.5
+500 +500
OKST at WVU03:30 PMOKST +3.0
O 49.5
+500 +500
PITT at WAKE03:30 PMPITT +1.0
O 45.5
+500 +500
BUFF at KENT03:30 PMBUFF -6.5
U 43.5
+500 +500
SOCAR at MIZZ03:30 PMSOCAR +7.5
O 58.0
+500 +500
WIS at ILL03:30 PMILL +3.0
O 40.5
+500 +500
WSU at ORE03:30 PMORE -20.0
U 60.5
+500 +500
MINN at IOWA03:30 PMMINN +4.0
U 30.5
+500 +500
NW at NEB03:30 PMNEB -10.5
U 40.5
+500 +500
TENN at ALA03:30 PMALA -9.5
O 47.5
+500 +500
CMU at BALL03:30 PMCMU -5.5
U 41.0
+500 +500
TEX at HOU04:00 PMHOU +23.5
O 60.5
+500 +500
TOL at M-OH04:00 PMM-OH +2.0
O 46.5
+500 +500
HAW at UNM06:00 PMHAW -2.0
O 60.0
+500 +500
UTSA at FAU06:00 PMUTSA -2.5
U 58.0
+500 +500
UVA at UNC06:30 PMUNC -23.5
U 58.0
+500 +500
USU at SJSU07:00 PMSJSU -3.5
O 66.0
+500 +500
TCU at KSU07:00 PMKSU -5.5
U 60.0
+500 +500
CSU at UNLV07:00 PMUNLV -7.5
U 61.5
+500 +500
TTU at BYU07:00 PMTTU -3.0
U 50.0
+500 +500
CCU at ARST07:00 PMCCU -9.5
U 59.5
+500 +500
MISS at AUB07:00 PMMISS -6.5
U 55.0
+500 +500
APP at ODU07:00 PMODU +5.5
O 56.0
+500 +500
MICH at MSU07:30 PMMSU +24.5
U 46.0
+500 +500
ARMY at LSU07:30 PMARMY +33.0
U 60.0
+500 +500
DUKE at FSU07:30 PMDUKE +14.0
U 49.0
+500 +500
UTAH at USC08:00 PMUTAH +7.0
U 51.5
+500 +500
GSU at ULL08:00 PMULL -3.0
U 62.0
+500 +500
CLEM at MIA08:00 PMCLEM -3.0
U 48.5
+500 +500
NEV at SDSU09:00 PMSDSU -12.5
O 48.0
+500 +500
UCLA at STAN10:30 PMSTAN +17.5
O 53.0
+500 +500
ASU at WASH10:30 PMASU +27.0
O 61.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
10/21/202340-49-344.94%-6950Detail
10/20/20231-1-050.00%-50Detail
10/19/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
10/18/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
10/17/20233-3-050.00%-150Detail
10/14/202348-41-153.89%+1450Detail
10/13/20231-5-016.67%-2250Detail
10/12/20230-4-00.00%-2200Detail
10/11/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
10/10/20233-3-050.00%-150Detail
10/07/202333-36-447.95%-3300Detail
10/06/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
10/05/20232-2-050.00%-100Detail
10/04/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
 

Cnotes53

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !

10/21/2023....................................... 9 - 22........................29.03%......................- 76.00
10/20/2023........................................1 - 1..........................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/19/2023.......................................1 - 3...........................25.00%......................- 11,50
10/18/2023.......................................1 - 3...........................25.00%......................- 11.50
10/17/2023.......................................3 - 3...........................50.00%.......................- 1.50
10/14/2023....................................24 - 18.........................57.14%.......................+ 21.00
10/13/2023........................................2 - 3..........................40.00%.......................- 6.50
10/12/2023........................................0 - 4..........................00.00%.......................- 22.00
10/11/2023........................................1 - 1..........................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/10/2023........................................3 - 3..........................50.00%......................- 1.50
10/09/2023........................................3 - 2..........................60.00%.......................+ 4.00
10/07/2023......................................12 - 12.......................50.00%........................- 6.00
10/06/2023........................................2 - 1..........................66.66%........................+ 4.50
10/05/2023........................................2 - 2..........................50.00%........................- 1.00
10/04/2023........................................3 - 1..........................75.00%........................+ 9.50

TOTALS............................................67 - 82.........................44.96%.........................- 99.50
 

Cnotes53

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
NFL leaders in receiving yards:
814— Tyreek Hill, Mia
672— AJ Brown, Phil
620— Stefon Diggs, Buff
598— Puka Nacua, Rams
582— DJ Moore, Chi
571— Justin Jefferson, Minn

Quote of the Day
“………I think the spot was horrible. I think we got the first down. It was first-and-nine at the nine. I don’t understand review. Every time I think something is reviewable, I can’t get them to review it. They say they’re looking at it, but I don’t know that.”
Houston Cougars’ coach Dana Holgorsen, after his team’s 31-24 loss to Texas

Sunday’s quiz
Where was the first Super Bowl played?

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie 21, about six MIT students who become trained to be experts in card counting in blackjack, Kevin Spacey played the guy who trained the students.

Friday’s quiz
Bob Brenly managed the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their one World Series title.


****************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday……..

— Utah 34, USC 32
Game was 14-14 at halftime.
Utah led 28-14 with a minute left in third quarter.
USC scored TD after long punt return to take 32-31 lead with 1:46 left.
Utes kicked a 38-yard FG at the gun for a dramatic win.

— Alabama 34, Tennessee 20
Tennessee led 20-7 at halftime.
Last year, Alabama had 17 penalties for 130 yards vs Tennessee.
In this game, Crimson Tide had one penalty for five yards.

— Oklahoma 31, Central Florida 29
UCF scored TD with 1:16 left, but failed on 2-point conversion.
Former Knight Gabriel was 25-38/253 passing, with three TD’s.
Central Florida is 0-4 in its first year in the Big X.

— UNLV 25, Colorado State 23
Rebels are 6-1, bowl eligible for first time since 2013.
UNLV kicked FG, took 22-20 lead with 1:27 left.
Colorado State kicked FG, took 23-22 lead with 0:44 left.
UNLV kicked 28-yard FG to win the game with 0:03 left.

— Ohio State 20, Penn State 12
Buckeyes outgained Penn State, 365-240
Nittany Lions converted 1-16 third down plays.
HC James Franklin is 1-9 against Ohio State.

— Air Force 17, Navy 6
Air Force threw a 94-yard TD pass, longest play in school history.
Other Air Force TD was a pick-6 with 3:51 left.
Under is now 25-3 in the last 28 Armed Forces games.

— Upsets of the Week:
Virginia (+23.5) 31, North Carolina 27
Jacksonville State (+7.5) 20, Western Kentucky 17
Charlotte (+7) 10, East Carolina 7
Utah (+6.5) 34, USC 32
Old Dominion (+6.5) 28, Appalachian State 21
Mississippi State (+6) 7, Arkansas 3
Florida International (+5) 33, Sam Houston State 27, OT
Boston College (+4.5) 38, Georgia Tech 23
Ball State (+4.5) 24, Central Michigan 17
BYU (+4.5) 27, Texas Tech 14

— Word of the Day: Chicanery— the use of trickery to achieve a goal.
Arkansas could use some more chicanery in their offense.

— Mississippi State 7, Arkansas 3
Arkansas has lost six games in a row; the natives are restless.
Five of the six losses were by 7 or fewer points.

— Miami 28, Clemson 20, OT
Clemson led 17-7 after three quarters.
Miami was 9-18 on third down, Tigers 4-14
Clemson ran ball 34 times for 31 yards.
Clemson is 4-3; they’re not used to being 4-3.

— Wake Forest 21, Pittsburgh 17
Deacons threw 15-yard TD pass with 0:07 for the win.
Marucci was 12-21/151 passing; he is/was Wake’s 3rd-string QB.
Pitt outgained Wake 414-323, was +2 in turnovers, still lost.

— Texas 31, Houston 24
Longhorns led 21-0 with 7:00 left in first half.
Houston tied game twice after that; their last drive ended on Texas 10-yard line.
Texas QB Ewers (shoulder) left game early in 4th quarter.

— Tulane 35, North Texas 28
Tulane led 28-7 with 4:00 left in third quarter.
North Texas tied game, scoring 21 points in 8:57.
Green Wave drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 2:34 left.

— Minnesota 12, Iowa 10
Hawkeyes led 10-3 at halftime.
Minnesota snaps 8-game losing skid vs Iowa.
This was Gophers’ first win in Iowa City since 1999.

— Wisconsin 25, Illinois 21
Illinois led 21-7 after three quarters.
Freshman QB Locke threw two 4th quarter TD’s, in his first college start.
Badgers converted 10-17 third down plays.

— Phillies 6, Diamondbacks 1
Wheeler tossed seven strong innings to get the win.
Schwarber, Realmuto homered for Philadelphia.
Phillies lead series, 3-2.
 

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Week 9


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Trend Report
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Cnotes53

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting spreads for this week’s NFL:
— Buccaneers @ Buffalo (-8)
— Saints @ Indianapolis (-1)
— Jaguars (-1.5) @ Pittsburgh
— Texans (-3) @ Carolina
— Eagles (-6.5) @ Washington
— Patriots @ Miami (-10.5)

Quote of the Day
“In anger, we should refrain both from speech and action.”
Pythagoras

Tuesday’s quiz
What is the only NFC team that has never played in a Super Bowl?

Monday’s quiz
Hall of Famer Dick Vermeil coached the Philadelphia Eagles, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Sunday’s quiz
The first Super Bowl was played in the Los Angeles Coliseum; Packers 35, Chiefs 10.

*****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— Giannis Antetokounmpo signed a 3-year, $186M contract with the Milwaukee Bucks, meaning he will earn $62M a year, which works out to $756,097 per game.
Antetokounmpo averaged 32.1 minutes/game last year; if he does that this year, it works out to $23,554.44 per minute played.

— NFL Films and HBO also hit the jackpot; Miami Dolphins will be the featured in-season team for Hard Knocks this year, it was announced
Monday. Coach Mike McDaniel should be interesting to see in action.
Colts/Cardinals were the in-season teams on Hard Knocks the last two years. Dolphins were last featured on Hard Knocks in the summer of 2012.

Vikings 22, 49ers 17
Kirk Cousins was 35-45/378 passing, with two TD’s.
Vikings on their first six drives: 52 plays, 377 yards, 22 points.
Minnesota converted 8-13 third down plays.
All seven Viking games have been decided by 8 or fewer points.
Both teams turned the ball over on their first possession.
49ers were outgained 786-540 in their last two games.
McCaffrey carried ball 15 times for only 45 yards.
49ers are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS in last five visits to Minnesota.

— College football conference trends:
AAC— home favorites 4-10 ATS, home underdogs 2-7
ACC— home underdogs 8-3 ATS
Big X— home underdogs 8-3 ATS
Big 14— home favorites 7-9 ATS, home underdogs 2-10 ATS
C-USA— home favorites 5-6 ATS, home underdogs 2-5
MAC— home favorites 6-7 ATS
Mountain West— home favorites 4-7 ATS
Pac-12— home underdogs 6-3 ATS
SEC— home favorites 11-7 ATS, home underdogs 4-8
Sun Belt— home favorites 7-8 ATS

— NFL divisional trends:
NFC East teams are 12-9-1 ATS outside the division
NFC North teams are 9-11-1 ATS outside the division
NFC South teams are 4-14 ATS outside the division
NFC West home teams are 5-2 ATS outside the division
AFC East home teams are 6-4 ATS outside the division
AFC North home teams are 6-2-1 ATS outside the division
AFC South teams are 11-5-1 ATS outside the division
AFC West teams are 6-12 ATS outside the division

— Saturday afternoon, the 4:00-7:00 window, I’m watching four games on one screen on my YouTube TV account; one game each from the Big 14, Big X, SEC, Pac-12.
Big 14— Minnesota-Iowa— Both teams should’ve punted on first down.
Big X— Texas-Houston— Teams that jumped from AAC to the Big X have some catching up to do.
SEC— Ole Miss-Auburn— Rebels are lucky to have Lane Kiffin as coach; he’s been a head coach in the NFL.
Pac-12— Washington State-Oregon— Wazzu QB Ward threw for 438 yards in a losing cause.
Interesting contrast in styles between the leagues.

— Utah declared that QB Cam Rising is out for the year with a knee injury; Utes are 6-1 with backup QB Barnes under center.

— When baseball free agency starts, obviously Shohei Ohtani will be a big topic, but there is another Japanese pitcher, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who is expected to draw lot of interest from teams with lot of $$$ who need pitching.

— Word of the Day: Focus— the ability to concentrate attention or to sustain concentration.
If you’re easily distracted, you lack focus.

— Long time ago, there was a 2B named Nellie Fox; he is a Hall of Famer who played 19 years in the major leagues. In his career, Fox struck out only 216 times in 10,351 plate appearances.
This season, Kyle Schwarber struck out 215 times in 720 plate appearances.

— Outside Camden Yards in Baltimore, there is a statue of the great 3B Brooks Robinson, who passed away recently. It is a pretty normal statue of Robinson playing the field, except that his glove is gold, as it should be.

— Last week was the 50th anniversary of the day when Rams’ DE Fred Dryer got two safeties in the same game, a 22-5 win over Green Bay. Both safeties were in the 4th quarter and it was two different QB’s he sacked for the safeties (Scott Hunter, Jim Del Gaizo).

— What bowl game is going to get stuck with the Iowa Hawkeyes? Iowa is 6-2, but their offense is putrid; they’ve gained 300+ yards in only one game this year- they lost 12-10 to Minnesota Saturday, gaining a total of 127 yards, on 56 plays. Not good.
Former Rams’ coach Mike Martz is out there somewhere; why wouldn’t Iowa call a guy like Martz and hire him to jazz up their offense? Iowa’s last two games were 15-6/12-10; if they hired a real offensive coordinator like Martz, 15-6/12-10 would be a thing of the past.

— Monday was the first time since 2004 that the baseball playoffs had a Game 6 and a Game 7 on the same day.

Diamondbacks 5, Phillies 1
Arizona scored three runs in top of the second inning.
Pham and Gurriel hit back-to-back home runs.
Merrill Kelly tossed 5 IP, giving up a run; they took him out after 90 pitches.
Game 7 is tonight in Philadelphia.

Rangers 11, Astros 4
Adolis Garcia homered twice; he hit five home runs in the last four games.
Texas scored 20 runs in winning Games 6-7 of this series.
Road team won all seven games in this series.
Rangers host the World Series, starting Friday night.

— Baseball is a fascinating business; on February 10, 2021, the Rangers designated Adolis Garcia for assignment and cleared a spot on the 40-man roster for P Mike Foltynewicz.
All 29 of the other teams let Garcia clear waivers, and on February 13, 2021, Texas invited him as a non-roster player to camp. Lucky for them they did.
 

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NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 9


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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9

Tuesday’s games
New Mexico State
@ Louisiana Tech
New Mexico State (5-3)
— Aggies are 13-10 SU under coach Kill (went 8-30 from 2018-21)
— Aggies are 4-3 vs I-A teams, giving up 41-33-20 points in losses.
— State’s I-A wins TY are by 10-17-14-21 points.
— Aggies are 0-2 when they score less than 27 points.
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 51 starts back on offensive line- four starters are back
— junior QB has 8 starts.
— Aggies are 9-6 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog.
— In his career, coach Kill is 20-17 ATS as a road underdog.
— Five of State’s last six games stayed under the total.
— Last year was Aggies’ first bowl since 2017.


Louisiana Tech (3-5)
— Tech lost four of its last five games.
— Tech allowed 17-10 points in I-A wins, 38-40-28-35-31 in losses.
— Bulldogs gave up 209+ rushing yards in four of last six I-A games.
— under Cumbie, Tech is 2-2 ATS as a home favorite (0-2 TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 76 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 29 games at Boise State.
— Under is 4-2-1 in its I-A games.
— Bulldogs haven’t been to a bowl since 2020.


— These teams haven’t met since 2012.
— C-USA home favorites are 5-6 ATS.


Liberty @ Western Kentucky
Liberty (7-0)
— Last 4+ years, Liberty is 41-16 SU/34-23 ATS
— Flames are 7-0 SU/5-2 ATS TY, gaining 487.9 yards/game.
— Flames are 3-0 on road TY, winning 55-27/38-6/31-13 (3-0 ATS)
— Liberty is 5-6 ATS in last 11 games as road favorites (3-0 TY).
— 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 98 starts back on offensive line
— soph QB started four games LY.
— Liberty has run the ball for 274.6 yards/game TY.
— Flames have a +9 turnover ratio.
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
— New HC Chadwell went 39-22 coaching Coastal Carolina.


Western Kentucky (4-3)
— WKU won its first two I-A home games, 41-24/31-10
— Hilltoppers are +9 in turnovers; last two years, were +10/+11.
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 56 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 14 games LY, threw for 4,744 yards, 40 TD’s.
— WKU scored 35.7 ppg in its wins (+6 turnovers).
— WKU was held to 10-24-17 points in its losses (even in turnovers).
— under Helton, WKU is 3-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Hilltoppers are 14-5-1 ATS in last 20 conference games.
— WKU has been to a bowl the last four years (3-1).


— Liberty (+14.5) upset WKU 30-20 on the road in 2020.
— C-USA home underdogs are 2-5 ATS.
 

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TUESDAY, OCTOBER 24

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NMSU at LT07:00 PMNMSU +3.0
U 55.0
+500 +500
LIB at WKU07:30 PMLIB -4.5
U 61.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
10/24/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
10/21/202341-48-346.20%-5900Detail
10/20/20231-1-050.00%-50Detail
10/19/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
10/18/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
10/17/20233-3-050.00%-150Detail
10/14/202348-41-153.89%+1450Detail
10/13/20231-5-016.67%-2250Detail
10/12/20230-4-00.00%-2200Detail
10/11/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
10/10/20233-3-050.00%-150Detail
10/07/202333-36-447.95%-3300Detail
10/06/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
10/05/20232-2-050.00%-100Detail
10/04/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
 

Cnotes53

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !

10/23/2023.......................................3 -1.............................75.00%......................+ 9.50
10/21/2023....................................... 9 - 22........................29.03%......................- 76.00
10/20/2023........................................1 - 1..........................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/19/2023.......................................1 - 3...........................25.00%......................- 11,50
10/18/2023.......................................1 - 3...........................25.00%......................- 11.50
10/17/2023.......................................3 - 3...........................50.00%.......................- 1.50
10/14/2023....................................24 - 18.........................57.14%.......................+ 21.00
10/13/2023........................................2 - 3..........................40.00%.......................- 6.50
10/12/2023........................................0 - 4..........................00.00%.......................- 22.00
10/11/2023........................................1 - 1..........................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/10/2023........................................3 - 3..........................50.00%......................- 1.50
10/09/2023........................................3 - 2..........................60.00%.......................+ 4.00
10/07/2023......................................12 - 12.......................50.00%........................- 6.00
10/06/2023........................................2 - 1..........................66.66%........................+ 4.50
10/05/2023........................................2 - 2..........................50.00%........................- 1.00
10/04/2023........................................3 - 1..........................75.00%........................+ 9.50

TOTALS............................................70 - 83.........................45.75%.........................- 90.00
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
NFL players who have scored the most points this year:
68— Jake Elliott, Phil
66— Raheem Mostert Mia/Christian McCaffrey SF
64— Harrison Butker, KC
63— Brett Maher, Rams/Ka’imi Fairbairn, Hst
60— Brandon Aubrey, Dal
59— Blake Grupe, NO

Quote of the Day
“It’s supposed to be hard. If it wasn’t hard, everyone would do it. The hard… is what makes it great.”
Tom Hanks in A League of Their Own

Wednesday’s quiz
Chris Paul has been in the NBA for 18 years; where did he play his college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
Detroit Lions are the only NFC team that has never played in a Super Bowl.

Monday’s quiz
Hall of Famer Dick Vermeil coached the Philadelphia Eagles, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

*****************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

— Diamondbacks 4, Phillies 2
Arizona’s bullpen tossed five scoreless innings.
Corbin Carroll went 3-4 with two runs scored, two RBI.
Arizona-Texas World Series starts Friday night in Dallas.

— Texas Rangers the last six years:
2018: 67-95
2019: 78-84
2020: 22-38
2021: 60-102
2022: 68-94
2023: 90-72
Texas hired Bruce Bochy as their new manager last winter; now they’re in the World Series. Bochy has previously led the Giants and Padres to four World Series. When this season is over, they should fly him to Cooperstown and induct him into the Hall of Fame. He deserves it.
Bochy is 6-0 in winner-take-all playoff games, by the way.

— For three days in February 2021, Adolis Garcia was a free agent, could’ve been scooped up by any major league team. You’re telling me that none of these over-educated Ivy League geniuses that run major league teams knew enough to sign him up?
Go figure.

— Houston Astros the last seven years:
2017- won World Series
2018- lost ALCS
2019- lost World Series
2020- lost ALCS
2021- lost World Series
2022- won World Series
2023- lost ALCS
Pretty nice run they’re on; there are rumors that manager Dusty Baker is going to retire— he is 74 years old. If he does retire, it’ll be interesting to see who they turn to as manager— they figure to be a contender for the next few years, at least.
Astros were 40-47 at home this season, 56-30 on the road; it makes no sense.

— New Mexico State 27, Louisiana Tech 24
New Mexico State kicked 31-yard FG with 5:16 left for the win.
Aggies ran ball 40 times for 232 yards.
New Mexico State has won four games in row, for first time since 2002.

— Liberty 42, Western Kentucky 29
Flames led 14-10 at half; they’re 8-0 this season.
Liberty ran ball 54 times for 323 yards, 6.0 yards/carry.
WKU QB Reed was 30-44 passing for 365 yards, 4 TD’s.

— Word of the Day: flummoxed— utterly confused or perplexed.
Handicapping NFL games this season has me flummoxed; lot of erratic play. Can’t get a handle on things yet.

— Saturday night in Seattle, Arizona State led Washington 7-6 with about 8:30 left; ASU had the ball deep in Washington territory, 4th-and-3.
8:30 left in the game, Washington hadn’t scored a TD the whole game. If the Sun Devils kick a field goal, they’re up 10-6, and Washington has to score a TD to win, something they hadn’t done the whole game. So they kick the field goal, right? Did I mention that Washington hadn’t scored a touchdown the whole game?
No- this is 2023, and football coaches are screwing up situational football; it actually is OK to be conservative now and then, really it is. Washington goes for it on 4th-and-3, and they throw a pick-6, and Washington winds up winning, 15-7.
Oy.

— Oregon QB Bo Nix started his 54th college game last week, the most by any college QB ever, passing Colt McCoy and Kellen Moore (now the Chargers’ OC).

— USC lost 34-32 to Utah Saturday: after the game, no Trojan players were made available to the media, which is a bad look for USC. How are you preparing your players for the next level when they don’t have to answer questions after a tough loss?
Also makes you wonder how Lincoln Riley would do if he coached in the NFL; media access is a given there, and their seasons are a lot longer than college seasons.

— Morehead State guard Mark Freeman, preseason OVC Player of the Year, hurt his wrist and is likely out for the season. Freeman scored 15 ppg last year and helped Morehead upset Clemson in the first round of the NIT.

— Montana Grizzlies have a shooting guard who is in his 7th year of college basketball; the guy is married with two kids.

— Zach Collins plays for the San Antonio Spurs; in five years, he’s started 42 of the 245 games he’s played in, playing 18.9 minutes a game. Last year, he scored 11.6 ppg while starting 26 of the 63 games he played in. He is complimentary player, nothing wrong with that, but for sure, he isn’t a star.
I remember seeing him play in a high school tournament in Las Vegas when he was in 10th grade, December 2013. He played for Bishop Gorman HS in Las Vegas.
Now he is really rich, just signed a 2-year deal with the Spurs for $35M. Playing in the NBA is really profitable, when subs are banking $17.5M a year.

— Washington Commanders on 3rd down, last four games:
Week 4- 8-17 @ Philadelphia
Week 5- 6-12 vs Chicago (14-27 in consecutive games)
Week 6- 2-10 @ Atlanta
Week 7- 1-15 @ NJ Giants (3-25 in last two games. Not good)

— Rams cut their kicker Tuesday; he missed two field goals and an extra point Sunday. The new kicker is Lucas Havrisik, who was on the Browns’ practice squad- he was on the Colts’ practice squad last year, after kicking in college at Arizona.

— San Francisco Giants made a good move and hired Bob Melvin as their new manager.
 
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