CNOTES 2023-2024 COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS + NEWS AND NOTES

Udog

Udog

Registered
Forum Member
Sep 10, 2018
17,779
20
38
NCAAF

Week 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

QmnqHT5.png



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
C

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,374
29
48
Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Six interesting NFL games to watch this weekend:
— Jaguars @ New Orleans (-3)
— Falcons @ Tampa Bay (-2.5)
— Raiders (-3) @ Chicago
— Browns (-2) @ Indianapolis
— Lions @ Baltimore (-3)
— Bills (-8.5) @ New England

Tweet of the Day
“There is an epidemic of poor game management and questionable decisions happening among CFB Head Coaches…This leads to a lack of awareness in situational football from the players.”
Joel Klatt, TV analyst/former college QB

Tuesday’s quiz
Which pro football team did Paris Hilton’s grandfather (Barron Hilton) used to own?

Monday’s quiz
In the TV show CSI, Jaclyn Smith played Hodges’ mother; she was one of the stars of Charlie’s Angels, a very popular TV show in the late 70’s.

Sunday’s quiz
Rutgers football coach Greg Schiano was once head coach of the Tampa Bay Bucs.

*************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..​

— Cowboys 20, Chargers 17:
Dallas kicked a 39-yard FG with 2:23 left for the win.
Cowboys’ first seven drives: 39 plays, 220 yards, 10 points.
Cowboys’ last two drives: 22 plays, 129 yards, 10 points.
Dallas is 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
Chargers ran ball 23 times for only 53 yards.
Last four games, Chargers converted only 17-53 third down plays.
Chargers’ two TD drives were short: 42 and 20 yards.
Chargers are 1-3 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
— AFC is now 15-11 against the NFC this season.
— Under was 12-2-1 in NFL games this week.

Rangers 2, Astros 0
— Texas scored 4 runs in first inning, three before they made an out.
— Astros hit three home runs, all with bases empty.
— Texas leads best-of-7 series, 2-0.
— Rangers are 7-0 this postseason.
— Astros are 40-45 at home this season; no team has ever been under .500 at home and made it to a World Series.

Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 3
— Phillies hit three solo homers in first two innings.
— Wheeler allowed only three baserunners in six IP.
— Phillies lead best-of-7 series, 1-0.

— Final Four of baseball are those four teams: Rangers, Astros, Arizona, Phillies, In the history of baseball, only one player has played for all four teams.

Matt Kata played in 278 games over five years for five different teams; he was a utility player who hit .239 with 12 home runs in his career. If you’re wondering, Pittsburgh was the fifth team he played for.

— Miami Marlins had a good year this year, going 84-78 and making the playoffs for the first time in a 162-game season since 2003, but Monday, GM Kim Ng surprisingly resigned.
Apparently the Marlins wanted to hire a president of baseball operations who would’ve been ranked above Ng in the team’s hierarchy, so she hit the bricks.

— College football conference trends:
AAC home teams are 6-11 ATS, 4-7 if favored.
ACC home underdogs are 7-3 ATS.
Big X home teams are 14-8 ATS, 8-5 if favored.
Big 14 home underdogs are 2-7 ATS.
Conference USA home teams are 5-9 ATS.
MAC home teams are 7-11 ATS, 2-5 if they’re an underdog.
Mountain West home teams are 7-9 ATS.
Pac-12 home teams are 14-6 ATS
SEC home favorites are 9-6 ATS, home underdogs are 4-7 ATS
Sun Belt home teams are 7-8 ATS.

— NFL divisional trends:
In divisional games, home teams are 11-15-1 ATS.
NFC North teams are 6-9-1 ATS outside the division.
NFC South teams are 4-12 ATS outside the division.
NFC West teams are 4-1 ATS as a non-divisional favorite.
In non-divisional games, home favorites are 18-16 ATS
In non-divisional games, road favorites are 11-10 ATS

Over last few years, NFL teams who turned down a bye the week after playing a game in England have gone 9-4 SU.
AFC East teams are 9-7 ATS outside the division.
AFC North teams are 8-5-1 ATS outside the division
AFC South teams are 9-6 ATS outside the division.
AFC West teams are 6-11 ATS outside the division.

— Colts’ owner Jim Irsay said Monday that rookie QB Anthony Richardson is probably done for the season with a shoulder injury.

— Wisconsin QB Tanner Mordecai broke his throwing hand against Iowa Saturday, a big blow to the Badgers’ season. Redshirt freshman Braedyn Locke is Wisconsin’s new starting QB; this week will be his first college start.

— NC-Charlotte’s basketball team went 22-14 last year, 9-11 in Conference USA; their KenPom rating jumped from #208 to #106- they had a good year, but now the 49ers have moved to the AAC, and their coach, for whatever reason, quit to become an assistant coach at Virginia.
Somehow, Charlotte kept all their returning players; the new coach has been a head coach in pro leagues overseas, so things should be alright, but it is a red flag when the head coach quits after a good year to become an assistant somewhere else.

— Toronto Maple Leafs’ star Auston Matthews had a hat trick in each of Toronto’s first two games; he is only the second player in the last 100 years to do that (Alex Ovechkin, 2017 is the other).

— Word of the Day: Conundrum— a problem that doesn’t have a clear solution or an obvious correct answer.
Handicapping football games can be a conundrum, especially since coaches have become morons about game management situations.

— College football teams that are 6-0 against the spread:
UNLV, Oklahoma, Penn State. Who would’ve thought that?

— Oregon State is 15-1 ATS in its last sixteen home football games.

— Last three games, New England was outscored 26-6 in the first half.

— Last three games, Ravens outscored opponents 49-9 in the first half.

— Last three games, Giants were outscored 51-15 in the second half.

— Golden State Warriors have four players whose fathers played in the NBA.

— Boston Celtics hired Jeff Van Gundy as a senior consultant, after ESPN stupidly let him go as its lead TV analyst.

— Last week in Los Angeles, a 15-year old kid named Robby Thomas was chosen to shoot during the timeout of a Lakers’ exhibition game; if he made a layup and a 3-pointer within a minute, he won whatever the prize was.
ESPN’s commercial got fouled up, so they were live on air as the kid was finishing up; he has good form for a kid that young, and sure enough, he made his last shot to win the contest. Funny thing, he didn’t seem the least bit excited about winning.
The Lakers’ cheerleaders are surrounding him as photographers take pictures and the kid kind of shrugged it off. Unusual for this day and age.
 
Udog

Udog

Registered
Forum Member
Sep 10, 2018
17,779
20
38
NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 8

up6nRVN.png





NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 8

Tuesday’s games
Middle Tennessee @ Liberty
Middle Tennessee (2-5)
— MTSU is 1-5 vs I-A teams, losing by 49-4-8-21-15 points.
— Blue Raiders’ only I-A win: 31-23 over Louisiana Tech LW.
— MTSU is minus-5 in turnovers (+12/+11 last two years).
— Last 3 games, Blue Raiders allowed 421.3 yards/game.
— 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 50 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB started six games the last two years.
— MTSU is giving up 36.5 ppg in its I-A games.
— Blue Raiders are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road dog.
— Blue Raiders are 3-8 ATS in last 11 conference games.
— MTSU won their bowl game the last two years.

Liberty (6-0)
— Last 4+ years, Liberty is 40-16 SU/34-22 ATS
— Flames are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS TY, gaining 479 yards/game.
— Flames are 3-0 at home TY, winning 34-24/33-17/21-6 (2-1 ATS)
— Liberty is 10-9 ATS in last 19 games as home favorite (2-1 TY).
— 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 98 starts back on offensive line
— soph QB started four games LY.
— Liberty has run the ball for 253.5 yards/game TY.
— Flames have a +8 turnover ratio.
— Four of their last five games stayed under the total.
— New HC Chadwell went 39-22 coaching Coastal Carolina.

— MTSU (+19.5) lost 41-13 at Liberty in only meeting, two years ago.
— Conference USA home favorites are 5-4 ATS.

Western Kentucky @ Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky (4-2)
— WKU won its first two C-USA games, 31-10/35-28/
— Hilltoppers are +8 in turnovers; last two years, were +10/+11.
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 56 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 14 games LY, threw for 4,744 yards, 40 TD’s.
— WKU scored 35.7 ppg in its wins (+6 turnovers).
— WKU was held to 10-24 points in its losses (minus-1 turnovers).
— under Helton, WKU is 7-3-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Under is 3-2 in their I-A games.
— Hilltoppers are 14-4-1 ATS in last 19 conference games.
— WKU has been to a bowl the last four years (3-1).

Jacksonville State (5-1)
— Jacksonville State is 4-2 vs I-A teams.
— This is Jax State’s first season in I-A football
— Gamecocks’ I-A losses: 16-30 at Coastal Carolina, 13-31 to Liberty.
— Coach is Rich Rodriguez (has coached West Va, Michigan, Arizona)
— In his career, Rodriguez is 48-55-2 ATS in home games (2-1 TY).
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 43 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 22 starts.
— Gamecocks have +10 turnover ratio.
— Last three weeks, Gamecocks gave up 435/563/417 TY.
— JSU completed less than 50% of its passes in 3 of last 4 games.
— Under is 4-2 in the Gamecocks’ I-A games.
— Last 3 years, Gamecocks were 24-11 SU, at I-AA level.

— These two teams haven’t met recently.
— Conference USA home underdogs are 1-4 ATS.

Southern Miss @ South Alabama
Southern Mississippi (1-5)
— Southern Miss is 0-5 SU/ATS vs I-A teams, giving up 39.6 ppg.
— Golden Eagles are 0-2 on road, losing 66-13/44-37.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 87 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB is a transfer from Clemson (53%, 7 TD’s, 5 INT).
— USM has a win over a I-AA team; that was six weeks ago.
— Under Hall, Golden Eagles are 5-7 ATS as road underdogs.
— Under Hall, Golden Eagles are 8-11 ATS in conference games.
— over is 3-2 in their I-A games.
— Southern Miss has been to one bowl the last three years.

South Alabama (3-3)
— USA is 3-3, despite winning 33-7 at Oklahoma State.
— Jaguars lost the next week, as 16-point home faves vs Central Michigan.
— USA allowed 17-7-7 points in wins, 37-34-31 points in losses.
— 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 69 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB had 13 career starts coming into this year.
— USA is 0-2 TY in games decided by less than 18 points.
— Jaguars are 3-0 scoring 33+ points, 0-3 scoring less than 33.
— under Wommack, Jaguars are 6-5 ATS as a home favorite.
— Jaguars’ last three games went over the total.
— under Wommack, Jaguars are 8-10 ATS in conference games.
— South Alabama is 0-3 in bowl games (’14, ’16, last year)

— USA is 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS in series, winning by 7-24-11 points.
— Southern Miss (+2) lost 31-7 in last visit to Mobile.
— Sun Belt home favorites are 6-6 ATS.

Wednesday’s games
Florida International @ Sam Houston State
Florida International (3-4)
— FIU lost its last three games, 38-6/34-17/27-14.
— last 4+ years, FIU is 14-35 ATS, 16-31-1 ATS
— Panthers allowed 439+ total yards in five of six I-A games.
— FIU was held to 17-6-17-14 points in their losses.
— FIU is playing a freshman QB (57.8%, 5 TD’s, 7 INT’s)
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line, with a new OL coach
— Panthers are 7-14 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog.
— FIU is 5-7 ATS in last 12 C-USA games (2-16-1 ATS from 2019-21)
— FIU lost three of last four bowls SU; they haven’t been to bowl since 2019.

Sam Houston State (0-6)
— Bearkats lost their first six games (3-2-1 ATS).
— Sam Houston was outscored 65-10 in its first three games.
— Sam Houston was outscored 83-67 in its last three games.
— This is Sam Houston’s first season in I-A football
— Coach Keeler has been here for 10 years.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 50 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 22 starts.
— Bearkats are favored for first time this year.
— Under is 4-2 in their games this season.
— Last three years, Sam Houston was 26-5 SU, at I-AA level.

— These teams haven’t played recently.
— Conference USA home favorites are 5-4 ATS.

New Mexico State @ UTEP
New Mexico State (4-3)
— Aggies are 12-10 SU under coach Kill (went 8-30 from 2018-21)
— Aggies are 3-3 vs I-A teams, giving up 41-33-20 points in losses.
— State’s I-A wins TY are by 10-17-14 points.
— Aggies are 0-2 when they score less than 27 points.
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 51 starts back on offensive line- four starters are back
— junior QB has 8 starts.
— since 2016, Aggies are 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— In his career, coach Kill is 9-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— Four of State’s last five games stayed under the total.
— Last year was Aggies’ first bowl since 2017.

UTEP (2-5)
— UTEP is 1-5 SU/ATS vs I-A teams; they won 27-14 @ FIU LW.
— Miners’ last four losses were all by 14+ points.
— UTEP is 0-5 when they give up more than 14 points.
— UTEP lost I-A home games, 45-28 (UNLV), 24-10 (La Tech)
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 122 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 29 starts.
— Under Dimel, Miners are 11-18 ATS at home.
— Last 3+ years, UTEP is 13-11 ATS in conference games (1-2 TY).
— Last 5+ years, UTEP is minus-48 in turnovers (minus-5 TY).
— Miners have played in one bowl since 2014 (2021 New Mexico Bowl)

— UTEP beat New Mexico State last two years, 20-13/30-3.
— Favorites covered five of last six series games.
— Five of last six meetings stayed under the total.
— Conference USA home underdogs are 1-4 ATS.
 
C

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,374
29
48

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 17​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MTU at LIB07:00 PMLIB -14.5
U 57.0		+500 +500
USM at USA07:30 PMUSM +18.0
O 52.0		+500 +500
WKU at JSU07:30 PMJSU +7.5
U 59.5		+500 +500
 
C

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,374
29
48
COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !

10/17/2023.......................................3 - 3.............................50.00%.......................- 1.50
10/14/2023....................................24 - 18...........................57.14%.......................+ 21.00
10/13/2023........................................2 - 3...........................40.00%.......................- 6.50
10/12/2023........................................0 - 4...........................00.00%.......................- 22.00
10/11/2023........................................1 - 1...........................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/10/2023........................................3 - 3............................50.00%......................- 1.50
10/09/2023........................................3 - 2...........................60.00%.......................+ 4.00
10/07/2023......................................12 - 12........................50.00%........................- 6.00
10/06/2023........................................2 - 1..........................66.66%........................+ 4.50
10/05/2023........................................2 - 2..........................50.00%........................- 1.00
10/04/2023........................................3 - 1..........................75.00%........................+ 9.50

TOTALS............................................55 - 50.........................52.38%.........................+ 0.00
 
C

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,374
29
48
Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Most-watched college football games last weekend:
7.04M people— Oregon-Washington
6.43M— USC-Notre Dame
4.38M— Texas A&M-Tennessee
3.55M— Indiana-Michigan
3.43M— Arkansas-Alabama
3.29M— Stanford-Colorado

Tweet of the Day
“It was after the game, and certainly that was a gut-wrenching and emotional loss. I was frustrated and kicked something I shouldn’t have kicked and thought I was OK, and then the adrenaline of the game wore off……..before anyone starts the narrative like the head football coach is frustrated and lost his poise and all that — no, I care. I care about these kids, and I was really upset on Saturday night because I didn’t do enough to help them get over the hump and win the football game.”
South Carolina coach Shane Beamer

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did 49ers’ QB Brock Purdy play his college football?

Tuesday’s quiz
Paris Hilton’s grandfather (Barron Hilton) used to own the Los Angeles/San Diego Chargers

Monday’s quiz
In the TV show CSI, Jaclyn Smith played Hodges’ mother; she was one of the stars of Charlie’s Angels, a very popular TV show in the late 70’s.

**************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings………​

— Phillies 10, Diamondbacks 0
Game was 2-0 after five innings; Arizona’s bullpen got hammered.
Kyle Schwarber homered twice for Philadelphia.
Phillies lead best-of-7 series, 2-0

— Fan in the stands in Philadelphia had a #21 Phillies jersey, a Bake McBride jersey; the guy last played for the Phillies in 1981. McBride was a very fast outfielder, a .299 lifetime hitter, but it is time for that fan to buy himself a new jersey.

— NFL Draft is a fascinating process:
Patrick Mahomes was the 10th pick of the 2017 Draft; he might be wind up being the best quarterback of all time.
QB Josh Rosen was the 10th pick of the 2018 Draft: he is one of the biggest busts in draft history, going 3-13 as a starter for Cardinals/Dolphins. He was out of the NFL at age 24.
NFL teams are worth $5B or so; how do you make a mistake like that?

— Only five of the 30 NFL teams who played last week scored more than 21 points; quality of NFL offenses is way down so far this season. Under was 12-2-1 in Week 6 games.
Young QB’s get rushed into the lineup, coaches are too conservative in close games. Defenses definitely have the upper hand so far this season.

— Texas A&M’s football team is 4-3 this season, after losing close games to Alabama, Tennessee the last two weeks. Last two years, Aggies are 0-6 in true road games; the natives are restless.
There are rumors that Texas A&M may tell Fisher to take a hike, but if they do that this year, they have to pay him $67.5M to go away. Imagine getting paid $67.5M to go away?

— Flag football is going to be a sport at the 2028 Summer Olympics, which will he held in Los Angeles. Curious how many different countries will field team for that event.

— Fairfield basketball coach Jay Young quit three weeks before the Stags are going to open the season at Boston College. Young was 50-73 in four years at Fairfield; assistant coach Chris Casey will serve as interim coach this season.

— Word of the Day: palaver— Empty nonsense or useless talk.

— Field position is important in the NFL; if your defense/special teams are doing really well, they will create opportunities for the offense to work on a short field, so they have to do less to score a touchdown.
So far this season, teams with most TD drives shorter than 60 yards:
8— Bills
7— Commanders
6— Lions, Jaguars, Chargers, Dolphins, 49ers

— So far this season, teams with most TD drives allowed shorter than 60 yards:
8— Panthers
7— Broncos, Raiders
6— Dolphins

— Not only has New England allowed five TD drives shorter than 60 yards, their offense has also given up four TD’s to opposing defenses.

— Offenses with most touchdown plays of 20+ yards:
10— Dolphins
8— Lions
6— Bears, Jaguars

— Defenses with most touchdown plays allowed of 20+ yards:
9— Broncos
7— Commanders
5— Colts, Buccaneers

— Brian Hoyer is a backup QB for the Raiders; he played the second half against New England Sunday, going 6-10/102 yards as Las Vegas held on for a 21-17 win.
Hoyer has been in the NFL for 15 years, starting 40 games (16-24). Last time Hoyer started a game his team won was in 2016, when his Chicago Bears beat Detroit 17-14.

— There are 11 unbeaten teams left in college football.

— Michael Jordan’s teams played 30 games against teams with Sherman Douglas on them; Jordan’s teams went 30-0 in those games. That is the most wins without a loss by one player over another in NBA history.

— Chicago Bears’ QB Justin Fields dislocated his right thumb Sunday; he may be out for year, no one is really saying, but obviously that is a especially bad injury for a quarterback.
Bears’ backup QB is rookie Tyson Bagent, who played college football for Shepherd U in West Virginia, a D-II school. He is going to get a chance to show his stuff the rest of the season.
If the season ended right now, the Bears would have the top two picks in the 2024 NFL Draft; they have Carolina’s pick next year. Will they move on from Fields?

— Genius of the Day: South Carolina football coach Shane Beamer broke his foot Saturday, when he kicked something in frustration after his Gamecocks lost 41-39 to Florida, blowing a 10-point lead in the fourth quarter. Not good.
 
Udog

Udog

Registered
Forum Member
Sep 10, 2018
17,779
20
38
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 8

Thursday’s games
Rice @ Tulsa
Rice (3-3)
— Rice lost its two road games, 37-10 at Texas, 42-29 at USF.
— Owls allowed 37+ points in four of five I-A games.
— under Bloomgren, Rice is 14-11 ATS as a road underdog (1-0 TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 94 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has completed 63.6% of his passes, thrown 15 TD’s, 5 INT’s.
— under Bloomgren, Rice is 19-20 ATS in conference games.
— Rice is minus-5 in turnovers this year (minus-13 last year)
— Over is 3-1 in last four Rice games.
— Rice got to a bowl LY, its first bowl since 2014.

Tulsa (3-3)
— Tulsa scored 10-17-17 in its I-A losses, 22-48 in its wins.
— Tulsa is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
— 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line- two starters bolted to Auburn.
— frosh QB has completed 60.8% of his passes, thrown 8 TD’s, 7 INT’s.
— Tulsa is 4-7-1 ATS in last dozen conference games.
— Golden Hurricane is 2-7 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
— In his career, Wilson is 11-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Tulsa made bowls two of last three years (1-1).

— These teams haven’t met since 2013.
— Tulsa won nine of last 11 series games.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten meetings.
— AAC home favorites are 4-7 ATS

James Madison @ Marshall
James Madison (6-0)
— JMU is 3-0 on road, winning by 1-2-7 points.
— Dukes are 3-2 ATS as road favorites since jumping to I-A.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line- lot of experience.
— junior QB has completed 64.5% of his passes, thrown 14 TD’s, 3 INT’s.
— JMU scored 31+ points in five of its six games.
— Dukes allowed 299+ passing yards in all five I-A games.
— JMU is 8-3 ATS in conference games since joining Sun Belt.
— James Madison is one of 11 unbeaten teams in country.

Marshall (4-2)
— Marshall lost its last two games, giving up 48-41 points.
— Thundering Herd is scoring 32.2 ppg vs I-A opponents.
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB started seven games last year.
— Marshall is 2-0 at home vs I-A teams, winning 24-17/41-35
— Last three weeks, Marshall allowed 436.3 yards/game.
— Thundering Herd is 17-23 ATS in last 40 conference games.
— Tulsa is minus-4 in turnovers last year (minus-15 previous five years)
— Last five years, Marshall went 2-3 in bowl games.

— Marshall (+12) upset James Madison 26-12 LY.
— Herd outgained JMU 326-247, was +2 in turnovers.
— Sun Belt home underdogs are 2-3 ATS this year.

Friday’s game
SMU @ Temple
SMU (4-2)
— SMU scored 38-34-31 points in its I-A wins, 11-17 in losses.
— SMU’s losses are to Big X teams: 28-11 at Oklahoma, 34-17 at TCU.
— Mustangs are 3-0 in AAC, winning by 24-18-21 points.
— last 4+ years, SMU is 36-18 SU/26-27 ATS.
— under Lashlee, Mustangs are 4-0 ATS as a road favorite.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 123 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB Stone has competed 57.1% of passes, with 14 TD’s, 5 INT.
— since 2017, Mustangs are 21-28 ATS in AAC (1-2 TY)
— Under is 5-0 in SMU’s I-A games.
— SMU qualified for a bowl 4 of last 5 years; last bowl win, 2012.

Temple (2-5)
— Owls lost last four games, giving up 45.8 ppg
— QB Warner (concussion) didn’t play last week (check status)
— Temple gave up 220+ rushing yards in four of last five I-A tilts.
— Owls’ one I-A win was 24-21 at home over Akron.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 40 starts back on offensive line.
— Temple is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games as a home underdog.
— Owls are 8-18 ATS in last 26 conference games.
— Since start of ’22, Temple is minus-23 in turnovers (+3 previous 6 years)
— Temple hasn’t been to a bowl since 2019.

— Teams haven’t met since 2020.
— SMU won three of last five meetings.
— Favorites covered the last four.
— Average total in last five series games, 81.8.
— Last five meetings went over the total.
 
C

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,374
29
48

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 18​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
FIU at SHSU07:00 PMSHSU -5.0
U 41.5		+500 +500
NMSU at UTEP09:00 PMNMSU -3.5
O 47.5		+500 +500
 
C

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,374
29
48

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 18​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
FIU at SHSU07:00 PMSHSU -5.0
U 41.5		+500 +500
NMSU at UTEP09:00 PMNMSU -3.5
O 47.5		+500 +500
 
C

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,374
29
48
COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !

10/18/2023.......................................1 - 3..............................25.00%......................- 11.50
10/17/2023.......................................3 - 3.............................50.00%.......................- 1.50
10/14/2023....................................24 - 18...........................57.14%.......................+ 21.00
10/13/2023........................................2 - 3...........................40.00%.......................- 6.50
10/12/2023........................................0 - 4...........................00.00%.......................- 22.00
10/11/2023........................................1 - 1...........................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/10/2023........................................3 - 3............................50.00%......................- 1.50
10/09/2023........................................3 - 2...........................60.00%.......................+ 4.00
10/07/2023......................................12 - 12........................50.00%........................- 6.00
10/06/2023........................................2 - 1..........................66.66%........................+ 4.50
10/05/2023........................................2 - 2..........................50.00%........................- 1.00
10/04/2023........................................3 - 1..........................75.00%........................+ 9.50

TOTALS............................................56 - 56.........................50.00%.........................- 11.50
 
C

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,374
29
48
Thursday’s 6-pack:
NFL leaders in passing yardage:
1,876— Tua Tagovailoa, Mia
1,679— Kirk Cousins, Minn
1,677— Matthew Stafford, Rams
1,660— CJ Stroud, Hous
1,618— Jared Goff, Det
1,593— Patrick Mahomes, KC

Tweet of the Day
“We’re all tied together. It’s a journey that we’re experiencing together. Somebody will get the statistics from it, but none of those statistics are worth anything if you don’t have a full support from your players across the board, all 11, and then it goes down to the organization and all those things combined. But I know this, our players run a lot of plays that I have a lot of history with, and it looks different, and that’s because of hard work and unbelievable abilities.”
Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel

Thursday’s quiz
In the first three years (1960-62) of the AFL, the Kansas City Chiefs played in a different city; what was their name back then?

Wednesday’s quiz
49ers’ QB Brock Purdy played his college football at Iowa State.

Tuesday’s quiz
Paris Hilton’s grandfather (Barron Hilton) used to own the Los Angeles/San Diego Chargers

************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……​

— Astros 8, Rangers 5
Jose Altuve homered; Astros led 5-0 in 4th inning.
Cristian Javier got 17 outs, allowed only two runs.
Texas leads series 2-1; road team won all three games.

— New Jersey Jets traded WR Mecole Hardman to Kansas City, for two draft picks, a 6th and 7th round pick. Hardman had previously won two Super Bowl rings playing with the Chiefs, but he signed with the Jets as a free agent last spring.

— 49ers QB Brock Purdy is earning $870,000 this season; there are 20 starting QB’s in the NFL who make more than $870,000 PER GAME!!!!

— According to kenpom.com the top six college hoop teams to start this season:
1- Purdue
2- Kansas
3- Houston
4- UConn
5- Gonzaga
6- Arizona

— Justin Minaya is a 6-7 forward who is trying to make the Portland Trailblazers; his father is Omar Minaya, who used to be general manager of the New York Mets. Justin Minaya played his college ball at both South Carolina and Providence.

— NBA’s Oklahoma City Thunder likes to accumulate draft choices; over the next seven drafts, the Thunder has 37 (37!!!!) draft picks. Seeing how rosters are 15 players and the Thunder was halfway decent (40-42) last year, it is unclear what they’ll do with all that draft capital.
I mean, in 2029, the Thunder has seven second round draft picks, and a first round pick.

— Movie of the Day: Percy vs Goliath (2020)— A Canadian farmer takes on a giant corporation after their GMOs interfere with his crops. As he speaks out against the company’s business practices, he realizes he is representing thousands of other disenfranchised farmers around the world fighting the same battle.
Christopher Walken plays the farmer; he is the reason to watch this movie, which apparently is a true story; Zach Braff plays his lawyer, Christina Ricci plays another lawyer who comes out of nowhere and encourages the farmer to challenge the big company.

— Florida International 33, Sam Houston State 27, OT
Panthers snap a 3-game skid, even their record at 4-4.
FIU forced OT with a 36-yard FG with 0:05 left in regulation.
0-7 Bearkats outgained FIU, 410-331

— New Mexico State 28, Texas-El Paso 7
Game was 7-7 at halftime.
Aggies ran ball 35 times for 253 yards.
UTEP converted only 2-12 third down plays.

— Liberty 42, Middle Tennessee 35
Game was 21-21 at halftime.
Liberty ran ball 61 times for 401 yards.
MTSU threw for 332 yards (9.0 yards/attempt).

— Jacksonville State 20, Western Kentucky 17
Gamecocks kicked 41-yard FG at the gun to win the game.
WKU led 17-7 with 6:00 left in third quarter.
Jacksonville State is 6-2, in its first season as a I-A team.

— South Alabama 55, Southern Miss 3
La’Damian Webb ran ball 20 times for 102 yards, four TD’s.
Jaguars outgained Southern Miss 647-149.
South Alabama won its last two games by a combined 110-10

— NFL commish Roger Goodell got a three-year contract extension through March 2027; financial stuff wasn’t announced, but supposedly he was banking around $60M a year the last few years.
Goodell has been NFL commissioner since 2006; the last NFL team that got sold before his tenure started sold for $600M (Vikings). Earlier this year, Washington Commanders were sold for $6.05B, so obviously, the NFL has profited greatly with Goodell as commissioner.
 
Udog

Udog

Registered
Forum Member
Sep 10, 2018
17,779
20
38
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 8

Saturday’s top 13 games

Penn State @ Ohio State
Penn State (6-0)
— Penn State is 2-0 on road: 30-13 @ Illinois, 41-13 @ NW’ern.
— Nittany Lions were favored by 14+ points in all six games.
— since 2019, Penn State is 4-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— last 2+ years, Penn State is +27 in turnovers (+10 TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has completed 64.6% of passes, with 9 TD’s, no INTs.
— in his career, Franklin is 12-12 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last two years, PSU is 15-6-1 ATS in conference games.
— Last six years, Penn State is 3-2 SU/ATS in bowls.

Ohio State (6-0)
— Ohio State is 2-0 at home vs I-A foes, winning 63-10/37-17.
— Buckeyes are 16-11 ATS in last 27 games as a home favorite.
— Last 10+ years, Buckeyes are 122-15 SU/71-63-2 ATS.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line; had 3 starters drafted last spring.
— junior QB McCord has completed 64.1% of his passes, with 11 TD’s, one INT.
— Buckeyes are 23-18 ATS in last 41 games coming off a win.
— Ohio State is 21-15-1 ATS in last 37 conference games.
— Under is 4-1 in Ohio State’s I-A games.
— Ohio State split last six bowls, giving up 52-45-42 points in last three.

— Ohio State won six in row, 10 of last 11 games.
— Penn State covered its last three visits to Columbus.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
— Big 14 home favorites are 6-7 ATS.

Mississippi State @ Arkansas
Mississippi State (3-3)
— Miss State lost first three SEC games, giving up 41-37-40 points.
— Bulldogs lost only road game, 37-30 at South Carolina.
— Miss State scored 31-41 points in its I-A wins.
— 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 113 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has started 32 games.
— MSU is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
— Bulldogs are 14-23 ATS in last 37 SEC games.
— last four Miss State games went over the total.
— New coach TY after Mike Leach passed away last year.
— Bulldogs are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.

Arkansas (2-5)
— Hogs lost last five games, four of them by 7 or less points.
— Arkansas’ only I-A win: 28-6 (-38) over Kent State.
— Last three weeks, Hogs were held to 236.7 yards/game.
— Arkansas gave up 16 sacks the last three games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 78 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has 24 starts
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 18-10-2 ATS in SEC games.
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 15-7 ATS as an underdog.
— Last three weeks, Hogs were outrushed, 577-178.
— Razorbacks won three of their last four bowls, scoring 37 ppg.

— Miss State won eight of last 11 series games.
— Bulldogs covered four of last five visits to Arkansas.
— Over is 12-4 in last sixteen meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 9-6 ATS.

Memphis @ UAB
Memphis (4-2)
— Tigers lost two of last three games, giving up 34-32-31 points.
— Tigers scored 28+ points in wins (0-2 score less than 28)
— Last four games, Memphis allowed 432-542-519-403 yards.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line- 3 starters are back.
— junior QB has 24 career starts
— Memphis won its only road game, 37-3 (-21) at Arkansas State.
— under Silverfield, Memphis is 2-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— Tigers are 9-17 ATS in last 26 AAC games.
— Tigers have been bowl eligible nine years in row (’21 bowl cancelled)

Alabama-Birmingham (2-5)
— Blazers lost five of their six I-A games, giving up 41.7 ppg.
— Blazers’ one win was 56-35 over USF; they ran for 253 yards.
— UAB has allowed 472.7 yards/game against I-A teams.
— 3 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 11 starts back on offensive line- not much experience.
— junior QB had 2 career starts before this year
— since 2019, UAB is 1-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— this season, Blazers are 3-2 ATS as an underdog.
— Over is 4-2 in their I-A games.
— Blazers split two bowls the last two seasons.
— Trent Dilfer is in his first year as a college head coach.

— Teams haven’t met since 2012.
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— AAC home underdogs are 2-4 ATS.

Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest
Pittsburgh (2-4)
— Pitt lost four of its five I-A games (beat Louisville, 38-21)
— Last two weeks, Panthers gave up 427-444 TY.
— Pitt lost its two road games (17-6 @ WV, 38-21 @ Va Tech)
— Panthers gained less than 290 total yards in four of five I-A games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; 3 starters are back.
— senior QB Jurkovec started 24 games at Boston College
— since 2018, Panthers are 6-7 ATS as a road underdog (0-1 TY).
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Pitt split its last four bowls; 3 of the 4 were decided by 4 or less points.

Wake Forest (3-3)
— 4-year starting QB Hartman bolted to Notre Dame (45 starts).
— Wake Forest was 19-8 SU the last 2 years; why would he leave?
— Deacons are 0-3 in ACC, scoring 16-12-13 points.
— Wake Forest scored 36-27 points in its I-A wins.
— 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has completed 58.6% of passes (9 TD’s, 7 INT’s).
— since 2017, Deacons are 18-10 ATS as home favorite (1-1 TY).
— last 3+ years, Wake is 14-10 ATS as a favorite.
— In his career, Clawson is 31-22 ATS as a home favorite.
— Wake won bowl games the last two years, 38-10/27-17.

— Pitt won both ACC meetings, 45-21/34-13.
— ACC home favorites are 6-6 ATS.

Oklahoma State @ West Virginia
Oklahoma State (4-2)
— OSU allowed 32+ points in three of its last four games.
— Okla State is 2-1 in Big X games (average total, 60.7).
— Cowboys were minus-2 in turnovers in losses, +6 in wins.
— Cowboys were 7-6 LY, their worst season since 2018.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He comes to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— since 2018, Cowboys are 8-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— OSU is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 Big X games.
— Under is 3-2 in their five I-A games.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.

West Virginia (4-2)
— WVU gave up 38-41 points in losses, 21 or less in wins.
— WVU is 2-1 in Big X, losing 41-39 at Houston LW.
— WVU outgained Cougars 546-393 LW, lost on 49-yard Hail Mary at gun.
— Three of WVU’s last four games stayed under the total.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started two games last year.
— since 2020, WVU is 8-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under Brown, WVU is 17-21 ATS in the Big X (2-1 TY).
— since 2016, West Virginia is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in bowl games

— Oklahoma State won seven of last eight series games.
— Cowboys won/covered last four visits to Morgantown.
— Under is 8-2 in last ten meetings.

Wisconsin @ Illinois
Wisconsin (4-2)
— QB Mordecai is OFY; freshman QB Locke is transfer from Miss State.
— This will be Locke’s first college start.
— Wisconsin scored 24+ points in its wins, 22-6 in losses.
— 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 97 starts back on offensive line.
— three of their last four games stayed under total.
— last 10+ years, Badgers are 24-13 ATS as a road favorite.
— last three years, Badgers were 12-15 ATS in the Big 14.
— Wisconsin’s 7-6 record LY was their worst since 2008.
— Wisconsin won/covered its last three bowls.

Illinois (3-4)
— Illini scored 30-23-27 points in its wins, 15.5 ppg in losses.
— Illinois allowed 30+ points in three of its four losses.
— Illini is 1-6 against spread this season.
— Last year was Illinois’ first winning season since 2011.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— new QB started one game at Ole Miss.
— under Bielema, Illinois is 3-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— in his career, Bielema is 14-13 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Bielema, Illinois is 13-10 ATS in conference games.
— Illinois is 3-2 in last five bowls; they were underdog in 4 of the 5 games.

— Wisconsin is 14-3 in last 17 series games, 2-2 in last four.
— Badgers are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Illinois
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games played at Illinois.

Washington State @ Oregon
Washington State (4-2)
— Wazzu lost last two games: 25-17 at UCLA, 44-6 to Arizona.
— In those games, Coogs were outgained, 986-450.
— Coogs scored 50-31-38 points in their I-A wins.
— since 2019, Wazzu is 6-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 13 games LY; he’s thrown 14 TD’s, 3 INTs TY.
— Wazzu is 14-6-1 ATS in last 20 conference games.
— Last four games, Coogs are minus-7 in turnovers.
— Wazzu went bowling five of last six years (1-4 SU/0-5 ATS)

Oregon (5-1)
— Oregon got its first loss LW, 36-33 at Washington.
— Ducks scored 44.3 ppg in their I-A wins.
— Ducks’ I-A home wins: 55-10 over Hawai’i, 42-6 over Colorado.
— Last four games, Oregon ran ball for 215.5 yards/game.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 96 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB Nix QB has 47 career starts, 34 of them at Auburn.
— Last 5+ years, Ducks are 50-17 SU.
— under Lanning, Ducks are 6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Lanning, Oregon is 8-3-1 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Under is 4-1 in Oregon’s four games vs I-A teams.
— Ducks are 3-2 in last five bowl games; all three wins were by one point.

— Oregon won last four series games, scoring 40.5 ppg.
— Coogs are 5-0-1 ATS in last six visits to Eugene.
— Over is 14-5 in last nineteen meetings.
— Pac-12 home favorites are 8-4 ATS.

Tennessee @ Alabama
Tennessee (5-1)
— Tennessee lost its only true road game, 29-16 at Florida.
— Vols’ I-A wins are by 36-31-21-7 points.
— Vols ran for 232+ yards in all of its I-A wins.
— Vols are 16-3 SU in last 19 games (27-33 from 2017-21)
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 93 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB has nine starts.
— since 2020, Tennessee is 1-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Under Heupel, Tennessee is 10-9 ATS in SEC games.
— Three of their last four games stayed under total.
— Vols are 4-1 SU/ATS in their last five bowls.

Alabama (6-1)
— Alabama allowed 7-3-10-17-21 points in its wins.
— Crimson Tide’s only loss was 34-24 at home to Texas.
— Longhorns threw for 349 yards in that game.
— Alabama held three of last five opponents under 265 TY.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line.
— Alabama is 15-7-1 ATS in last 23 games as a home favorite
— Bama completed only 10-21 passes in LW’s 24-21 win over Arkansas.
— Crimson Tide is +3 in turnovers since start of LY (+76 from 2015-21)
— Alabama is 10-11-1 ATS in its last 22 SEC games.
— Crimson Tide won six of its last eight bowls.

— Vols upset Alabama 52-49 LY, first win over Bama since 2006.
— Tennessee is 3-5 ATS in its last eight visits to Alabama.
— Over is 8-3 in last eleven meetings.

South Carolina @ Missouri
South Carolina (2-4)
— South Carolina is 1-4 vs I-A teams, giving up 34.4 ppg.
— Gamecocks beat Miss State 37-30 for its one I-A win.
— Carolina allowed 477 yards/game in its five I-A tilts.
— 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line; they added two I-AA transfers, too.
— Junior QB has 30 starts, 13 of them at Oklahoma.
— Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 9-11 ATS in the SEC.
— Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 4-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— SC’s new offensive coordinator has been an OC in the NFL.
— Carolina is 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS in last five bowls.
— Coach Beamer broke his foot kicking something after LW’s 41-39 loss.

Missouri (6-1)
— Mizzou is 5-1 vs I-A teams, despite giving up 27.3 ppg.
— Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 5-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— Mizzou’s only loss was 49-39 at home to LSU.
— Tigers scored 30+ points in five of six I-A games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 136 starts back on offensive line; very experienced
— junior QB has started 14 games.
— In his career, Drinkwitz is 12-9 ATS as a favorite.
— Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 15-14 ATS in SEC games.
— Last five Mizzou games went over the total.
— Mizzou lost its last four bowls; their last bowl win— 2015.

— Missouri won/covered last four series games.
— Gamecocks are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Columbia.
— Under is 9-2 in last eleven meetings.

TCU @ Kansas State
TCU (4-3)
— TCU scored 34+ points in its wins, 42-21-14 in losses.
— Frogs are 0-2 when they score less than 34 points.
— Frogs are 0-3 in games decided by fewer than 17 points.
— TCU has gained 396+ TY in all of its games this year.
— 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started three games.
— TCU is 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
— under Dykes, Frogs are 8-5-1 ATS in Big X games.
— under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— TCU went 13-2 LY, but lost national title game 65-7 to Georgia.
— TCU qualified for a bowl in four of last six seasons.

Kansas State (4-2)
— K-State won its I-A home games, 42-13 (-15), 44-31 (-6.5).
— Its in three Big X games, K-State ran for 281-220-272 yards.
— Wildcats are 3-0 when they allow less the 29 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; all five starters are back
— junior QB started 15 games last two years.
— under Klieman, K-State is 12-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 16-9 ATS as a favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 26-14 ATS in Big X games.
— under Klieman, K-State is 19-13 ATS coming off a win.
— four of their last five games went over.
— Wildcats went to a bowl games three of last four years.

— K-State beat TCU 31-28 in OT, in Big X title game LY.
— K-State won/covered four of last five series games.
— Wildcats are 3-1 ATS in last four visits to TCU.
— Under is 7-1 in last eight meetings.

Ole Miss @ Auburn
Ole Miss (5-1)
— Ole Miss scored 37-48-55-27 points in its I-A wins.
— Rebels were outgained 356-301 in 24-10 loss at Alabama.
— Ole Miss are 1-1 on road (37-20 @ Tulane/24-10 @ Alabama)
— Rebels are +6 in turnovers this season.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 131 starts back on offensive line; good offensive line
— junior QB started 12 games last year.
— Ole Miss is 5-1 ATS in last six years as a road favorite.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 11-8-2 ATS at coming off a win.
— Under Kiffin, Rebels are 12-16 ATS in the SEC.
— Ole Miss is 2-3 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.

Auburn (3-3)
— Auburn lost its last three games, giving up 27-27-48 points.
— In those three losses, Auburn was 35-70/297 passing, combined.
— Tigers beat UMass 59-14/Cal Bears 14-10 for their I-A wins.
— Last 3+ years, Auburn is 20-22 SU.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 25 games at Michigan State.
— In his career, Freeze is 26-12 ATS as an underdog.
— since 2018, Auburn is 5-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— In his career, Freeze is 10-4 ATS as a home dog.
— Auburn is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 4 of 5)
— Freeze is Auburn’s third coach in 4 years.

— Auburn won six of last seven series games.
— Ole Miss covered three of last four visits to Auburn.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.

Clemson @ Miami
Clemson (4-2)
— Tigers gave up 28-31 points in losses, 17 or less in wins.
— Last 10+ years, Clemson is 125-20 SU.
— Clemson is 4-0 if they allow less than 300 TY (374-311 in losses)
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 99 starts back on OL, with four returning starters.
— soph QB threw 100 passes LY, but started only once.
— Tigers are 14-9-2 ATS in last 25 games as a road favorite.
— last 5+ years, Clemson is 31-15-1 ATS in ACC games (1-3 TY).
— Tigers are 9-14 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— Clemson’s last three games stayed under the total.
— Clemson lost three of its last four bowls SU.

Miami FL (4-2)
— Miami lost last two games, 23-20/41-31, after a 4-0 start.
— ‘canes scored 38+ points in all of their wins.
— Last 2+ years, Miami is 16-14 SU, 11-18 ATS.
— Miami has gained 451+ TY in all five I-A games this year.
— 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 18 career starts.
— since 2013, Miami is 5-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— In his career, Cristobal is 10-10 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Cristobal, Hurricanes are 1-9 ATS in ACC games.
— Miami hasn’t been to a bowl since 2020; last bowl win? 2016.

— Clemson won last four series games, by a combined 170-30
— Tigers won/covered their last three visits to Miami.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series meetings.

Utah @ USC
Utah (5-1)
— Utah QB Rising (knee) missed first six games (check status)
— Utes played two QBs so far; one is more of a runner.
— Utes are 1-1 on road: W20-13 at Baylor, L7-21 at Oregon State.
— Utah was held under 275 TY in three of five I-A games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; high expectations
— senior QB (Rising) has started 24 games, none this year.
— last 4+ years, Utes are 39-14 SU.
— last 2+ years, Utah was 2-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— Since 2016, Utah is 43-23 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Under is 4-1 in their I-A games.
— Utah lost last four bowls, after Whittingham started out 11-1 in bowls.

USC (6-1)
— USC was minus-5 in turnovers LW, got waxed 48-20 at Notre Dame.
— Trojans won their first six games, scoring 51.8 ppg (2-4 ATS).
— USC was favored by 20+ points in their first six games.
— Trojans are 2-2 ATS at home TY.
— Last three games, USC gave up 41-41-48 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 95 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has started 21 games, is favored to win Heisman Trophy.
— In his career, Riley is 25-17 ATS as a road underdog, 7-4 at USC.
— under Riley, Trojans are 6-8 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— USC is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 3 of 5 games)

— Utah won last three series games, scoring 43-47-42 points.
— Utes (+2.5) beat USC 47-24 in Pac-12 title game LY.
— Utah is 2-4 ATS in last six visits to the LA Coliseum.
— Over is 7-1-1 in last nine meetings.
 
C

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,374
29
48

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 19​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
JMU at MRSH07:00 PMJMU -3.5
O 49.5		+500 +500
RICE at TLSA07:00 PMTLSA -3.5
O 58.5		+500 +500
 
C

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,374
29
48
C

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,374
29
48
COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !

10/19/2023.......................................1 - 3...........................25.00%......................- 11,50
10/18/2023.......................................1 - 3...........................25.00%......................- 11.50
10/17/2023.......................................3 - 3...........................50.00%.......................- 1.50
10/14/2023....................................24 - 18.........................57.14%.......................+ 21.00
10/13/2023........................................2 - 3..........................40.00%.......................- 6.50
10/12/2023........................................0 - 4..........................00.00%.......................- 22.00
10/11/2023........................................1 - 1..........................50.00%.......................- 0.50
10/10/2023........................................3 - 3..........................50.00%......................- 1.50
10/09/2023........................................3 - 2..........................60.00%.......................+ 4.00
10/07/2023......................................12 - 12.......................50.00%........................- 6.00
10/06/2023........................................2 - 1..........................66.66%........................+ 4.50
10/05/2023........................................2 - 2..........................50.00%........................- 1.00
10/04/2023........................................3 - 1..........................75.00%........................+ 9.50

TOTALS............................................57 - 59.........................49.13%.........................- 23.00
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Bet on MyBookie
Top