CNOTES 2023-2024 COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS + NEWS AND NOTES

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
11/25/2023	41-56-1	42.26%	-10300	Detail
11/24/2023	8-5-1	60.71%	+1250	Detail
11/23/2023	1-0-1	75.00%	+500	Detail
11/21/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
11/18/2023	56-55-1	50.45%	-2250	Detail
11/17/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
11/16/2023	0-2-0	0.00%	-1100	Detail
11/15/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail
11/14/2023	1-4-1	25.00%	-1700	Detail
11/11/2023	51-59-0	46.36%	-6950	Detail
11/10/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
11/09/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
11/08/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-150	Detail
11/07/2023	5-1-0	83.33%	+1950	Detail
11/04/2023	57-52-3	52.23%	-100	Detail
11/03/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
11/02/2023	4-2-0	66.67%	+900	Detail
11/01/2023	1-2-1	37.50%	-600	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/25/2023....................18 - 21 - 0.................................46.15%........................- 25.50
11/24/2023.........................6 - 4 - 1.................................60.00%........................+ 8.00
11/23/2023.........................1 - 0 - 1.................................75.00%........................+ 5.00
11/21/2023.........................2 - 2.......................................50.00%.........................- 1.00
11/18/2023.......................30 - 34 - 0..............................46.87%.........................- 37.00
11/17/2023...........................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
11/16/2023...........................0 - 2 - 0...............................00.00%.........................- 11.00
11/15/2023............................2 - 2 - 0..............................50.00%.........................- 1.00
11/14/2023............................1 - 4 - 1...............................20.00%.........................- 17.00
11/11/2023.........................33 -29 ...................................53.22%.........................+ 5.50
11/10/2023............................3 - 1.....................................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
11/09/2023............................1 - 3.....................................25.00%..........................- 11.50
11/08/2023............................2 - 3.....................................40.00%..........................- 6.50
11/07/2023............................5 - 1.....................................83.33%..........................+ 19.50
11/04/2023.........................29 - 29 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 14.50
11/03/2023.............................3 - 1...................................75.00%............................+ 950
11/02/2023.............................4 - 2 - 0.............................66.66%............................+ 9.00
11/01/2023.............................1 - 2 - 0.............................33.33%............................- 6.00

TOTALS...........................143 - 142 - 3.............................50.17%............................- 66.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
— UAB 92, Furman 86- Furman led by 4 with 7:25 left in game.
— San Diego State 76, Cal 67, OT- Aztecs led by 12 with 8:47 left in game.
— Princeton 80, Northeastern 66- Tigers scored 1.38 points/possession.
— Alabama 99, Oregon 91- Crimson Tide shot 57.5% inside the arc.
— Belmont 84, Penn 79, OT- Belmont led by 10 at the half.
— Evansville 93, SE Missouri St 74- 6-0 Purple Aces have jumped 121 spots in the national rankings since the season started.

Quote of the Day
“I don’t want to play golf. When I hit a ball, I want someone else to go chase it.”
Rogers Hornsby

Sunday’s quiz
Which NFL team used to be known as the Houston Oilers?

Saturday’s quiz
Brady Hoke was the football coach at Michigan, before Jim Harbaugh.

Friday’s quiz
Joe Gibbs was coaching the Washington Commanders the last time they won a playoff game, way back in 2005.

******************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday……..​

— Alabama 27, Auburn 24
Alabama threw a 31-yard TD pass on 4th-and-31 with 0:32 left for the win.
Auburn turned ball over three times, was 6-17/93 yards passing.
Crimson Tide plays Georgia in the SEC title game next week.

— Michigan 30, Ohio State 24
First time since 1997 that Michigan beat Buckeyes three years in a row.
Ryan Day is 56-7 at OSU with two Big Ten titles, but he is 1-3 vs Michigan.
Buckeyes outgained Michigan 378-338, but were minus-2 in turnovers.

— Washington 24, Washington State 21
Huskies kicked a 42-yard FG at the gun to finish 12-0 in regular season.
Coogs outgained Washington, 381-306 but had 10 penalties for 85 yards.
Wazzu lost seven of last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
Kid who kicked the game-winning FG was put on scholarship after the game, which seems fair, seeing how Washington will likely make the playoffs for the national title now.

— Florida State 24, Florida 15
Gators led this game 12-7 at halftime; they finish season 5-7.
Neither starting QB played in this game; yardage was 232-226, Florida.
Seminoles finish regular season 12-0, play in ACC title game next week.

— Kentucky 38, Louisville 31
Cardinals led 10-7 at halftime, 24-14 with 2:00 left in 3rd quarter.
Kentucky had a 31-yard TD run with 1:02 left for the win.
Wildcats beat Louisville for fifth time in a row.

— Iowa State 42, Kansas State 35
Cyclones had touchdown PLAYS of 71-77-79-60-33-82 yards.
Iowa State averaged 19.2 yards per pass, 12.7 yards/run.
K-State led 20-14 at halftime, on a snowy night in the Little Apple.

— Upsets of the Week:
Iowa State (+10) 42, Kansas State 35
Kentucky (+7.5) 38, Louisville 31
Eastern Michigan (+6.5) 24, Buffalo 11
Northwestern (+5.5) 45, Illinois 43
Sam Houston State (+3.5) 23, Middle Tennessee 20

— Word of the Day: Persevereance- persistence in doing something despite difficulty or delay in achieving success.

— Michigan State hired Oregon State coach Jonathan Smith as its new coach.
Smith was 34-35 in six seasons at Oregon State, his alma mater.
When a coach bolts a job at his alma mater, where he played QB, that stings.
Smith was 34-35 in Corvallis, but the last two years, Beavers were 18-7.
Oregon State is without a league right now, with Pac-12 out of business; they got left behind with Washington State in all the re-alignment.

— Northwestern 45, Illinois 43
Illinois threw an 80-yard TD pass with 0:55 left, but their 2-point play failed.
Northwestern is 7-5; they scored 14 or less points in all five losses.
In their last five games, Wildcats were +9 in turnovers.

— Old Dominion 25, Georgia State 24
Georgia State led 21-0 at halftime, 24-14 with 2:00 left in game.
Old Dominion scored on a 3-yard run on last play of the game for the win.
Monarchs became bowl eligible with the dramatic win.

— San Jose State 37, UNLV 31
Spartans led this game 20-10 at halftime.
San Jose ran ball 40 times for 233 yards (5.8 yards/carry).
Mountain West ends in a 3-way tie; computer rankings will decide who plays in the MW championship game next weekend.

— West Virginia 34, Baylor 31
Baylor’s Richard Reese ran kickoffs back 96-93 yards, both for touchdowns.
West Virginia still led 27-14 at halftime.
Both teams averaged 10.8 yards/pass attempt.

— LSU 42, Texas A&M 30
Underdog Aggies led 17-14 at halftime; their 3rd-string QB played.
LSU QB Daniels was 16-24/235 yards passing, ran 11 times for 120 yards
A&M outgained the Bayou Bengals, 390-389.

— Oklahoma State 40, BYU 34 OT
BYU led 24-6 at halftime.
Cougars kicked a 48-yard FG at the gun to force OT.
Gordon ran ball 34 times for 166 yards and five TD’s for OSU.

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday’s 6-pack:
College football conference championship games:
— Pac-12: Oregon (-9.5) vs Washington
— Big X: Texas (-12.5) vs Oklahoma State
— Mountain West: Boise State (-3) @ UNLV
— SEC: Georgia (-5.5) vs Alabama
— ACC: Florida State (-4.5) vs Louisville
— C-USA: New Mexico State @ Liberty (-11.5)
— MAC: Miami vs Toledo (-8)
— AAC: SMU @ Tulane (-3.5)
— Sun Belt: Appalachian State @ Troy (-6.5)
— Big 14: Iowa vs Michigan (-23.5)

Quote of the Day
“It’s true I was contacted about a potential opportunity this weekend, but after celebrating a big win against our rivals with players I love like family, I knew in my heart I couldn’t leave the University of Kentucky right now.”
Kentucky football coach Mark Stoops

Monday’s quiz
Which college football team, with minimum of 10 bowls played, has the best winning percentage in bowl games?

Sunday’s quiz
Tennessee Titans used to be known as the Houston Oilers.

Saturday’s quiz
Brady Hoke was the football coach at Michigan, before Jim Harbaugh.

*************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..​

Eagles 37, Bills 34 OT
— Eagles kicked 59-yard FG in rain on last play to force overtime.
— Eagles’ first seven drives: 28 plays, 93 yards, 7 points.
— Eagles last six drives: 37 plays, 281 yards, 30 points.
— Philly ran ball for 185 yards, was only 4-11 on third down.
— Buffalo led game 17-7 at halftime.
— Bills were 13-22 on third down; they outgained Eagles, 505-378.
— Bills are 2-6 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Buffalo is 3-5 SU in its last eight games

Steelers 16, Bengals 10
— Steelers outgained an opponent for first time all season.
— Nine of eleven Steeler games stayed under the total.
— Last four games, Pittsburgh ran ball for 166-205-172-153 yards.
— Steelers won/covered five of their last seven games.
— Steelers in first half: 37 plays, 231 yards, 3 points.
— Steelers in 2nd half: 31 plays, 203 yards, 13 points.
— Cincy was 2-10 on third down, Pittsburgh 8-17.
— Bengals lost last three games, giving up 26.7 ppg.

Falcons 24, Saints 15
— Saints kicked five field goals, but didn’t score a TD.
— Just third loss for NO in last 14 games against the Falcons.
— Saints are 7-11-1 ATS in last 19 games with spread of 3 or less.
— New Orleans is 4-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 20.
— Falcons’ first TD was a 92-yard pick-6.
— Atlanta ran ball for 228 yards, but was outgained, 444-396.
— Last three games, Falcons are 21-40 on third down.
— Underdogs covered Atlanta’s last six games.

Titans 17, Panthers 10
— Carolina is 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS on road this season.
— In five post-bye games, Panthers scored four TD’s on 46 drives.
— In five post-bye games, Carolina scored 15-13-13-10-10 points.
— Last seven games, Panthers were outscored 119-52 in first half.
— Tennessee’s first four drives: 24 plays, 124 yards, 14 points.
— Titans’ 2nd TD drive was 15 yards, after they recovered a fumble.
— Last six games, Tennessee converted 19-70 on third down.
— Tennessee is 4-0 SU at home TY, winning by 3-24-5-7 points.

Colts 27, Buccaneers 20
— Colts’ first three drives: 24 plays, 145 yards, 17 points.
— Indianapolis won its last three games, allowing 13-6-20 points.
— In its last three games, Colts are +5 in turnovers (7-2)
— Colts allowed 20 or less points in wins, 29+ in losses.
— Colts outgained Tampa Bay, 394-298.
— WR Evans caught six passes for 70 yards, two TD’s.
— Mayfield is 36-46 as an NFL starter
— Buccaneers lost six of their last seven games

Giants 10, Patriots 7
— Patriots missed a 35-yard field goal with 0:03 left.
— New England lost last two games, 10-6/10-7.
— Patriots lost seven of their last eight games (1-7 ATS).
— New England is minus-8 in turnovers this year.
— Giants won last two games, giving up 19-7 points.
— Giants’ only TD drive was 26 yards after an INT.
— Last eight games, Giants are +13 in turnovers.
— Last five weeks, Giants are 14-70 on third down.

Jaguars 24, Texans 21
— QB Lawrence was 23-38/364 passing, with a TD.
— Jaguars won/covered seven of their last eight games.
— Under Pederson, Jaguars are 4-0 ATS as a road favorite.
— Jacksonville scored 9-17-3 points in losses, 20+ points in wins.
— Texans’ 58-yard FG attempt bounced off crossbar with 0:34 left.
— Only 2nd loss for Houston in their last 12 games vs Jaguars.
— Texans’ last five games were decided by 2-2-3-5-3 points.
— Houston is 5-9 ATS in last 14 AFC South home games.

Broncos 29, Browns 12
— Browns used two QB’s, completed 20-42 passes, for 190 yards.
— Cleveland converted only 2-13 third down plays.
— Browns are 11-17-1 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— under is 6-3 in last nine Cleveland games.
— Denver’s first three drives: 26 plays, 139 yards, 14 points.
— Last four games, Denver is +12 in turnovers (15-3).
— Broncos outscored last four opponents 61-33 in first half.
— Broncos won last four games, giving up 17-9-22-20 points.

Rams 37, Cardinals 14
— Rams win consecutive games for first time this season.
— LA scored TD on its first drive of game, first time in last six games.
— Rams ran ball for 228 yards, their most this season.
— LA is 4-0 giving up 16 or less points, 1-6 giving up 19+ points.
— First half yardage: Rams 287, Arizona 102.
— last four games, Cardinals are 13-50 on third down.
— Rams won 14 of last 16 games against the Cardinals.
— LA covered its last nine visits to Arizona.

Chiefs 31, Raiders 17
— Chiefs’ first two drives: 7 plays, 13 yards, no points.
— Chiefs’ next five drives: 39 plays, 305 yards, 28 points.
— Game was 14-14 at halftime; Chiefs scored 17 points in 2nd half.
— Chiefs are 11-5 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
— Raiders’ first three drives: 25 plays, 221 yards, 14 points.
— Raiders rest of game: 35 plays, 137 yards, 3 points.
— Las Vegas is 3-17 in its last 20 games against Kansas City.
— Raiders are 12-18 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss.

Ravens 20, Chargers 10
— Baltimore ran ball for 197 yards, was +4 in turnovers
— Ravens are 9-1 when they score 20+ points, 0-2 if they do not.
— Flowers had 37-yard run with 1:36 left to cover the spread.
— Ravens won six of last seven games (5-2 ATS).
— Chargers are 2-5 since their bye, with three losses by 3 points.
— under Staley, Chargers are 2-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— under is 7-1-1 in last eight Charger games.
— AFC West teams are 13-19 ATS outside the division.

Texas A&M 73, Iowa State 69
Cyclones led 35-14 late in first half.
Teams combined to shoot 15-58 on the arc.

Stetson 85, Central Florida 82
ASUN’s Hatters trailed 21-8 early, made 13-30 on the arc.

VCU 86, Penn State 74
Penn State’s coach was VCU’s coach the last six years.

Florida Atlantic 84, Virginia Tech 50
Owls win tournament at Disney’s Wide World of Sports
They beat teams from Big East, Big X, ACC this weekend.

 

[Udog]

WEEK 14

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 14

 

[Udog]

NCAAF

Week 14

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Trend Report
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New Mexico State @ Liberty
New Mexico State
New Mexico State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Mexico State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Liberty
Liberty is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Liberty is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Oregon @ Washington
Oregon
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oregon is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Oregon

Miami-OH @ Toledo
Miami-OH
Miami-OH is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Miami-OH is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Toledo
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Toledo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Oklahoma State @ Texas
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Oklahoma State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Texas
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 10 games

Boise State @ Nevada-Las Vegas
Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boise State's last 6 games on the road
Nevada-Las Vegas
Nevada-Las Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Nevada-Las Vegas is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games

Georgia @ Alabama
Georgia
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Georgia's last 11 games when playing Alabama
Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama's last 5 games

Southern Methodist @ Tulane
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Southern Methodist is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tulane
Tulane
Tulane is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tulane is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Appalachian State @ Troy
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Troy
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Troy
Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Troy is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home

Louisville @ Florida State
Louisville
Louisville is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Louisville's last 9 games when playing Florida State
Florida State
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida State's last 9 games when playing Louisville

Michigan @ Iowa
Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Michigan's last 8 games
Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 5 games
Iowa is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games


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[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Six NFL head coaches fired during their first season on the job:
2023- Frank Reich, Panthers
2022- Nathaniel Hackett, Broncos
2021- Urban Meyer, Jaguars
2007- Bobby Petrino, Falcons
1978- Pete McCulley, 49ers
1976- Lou Holtz, Jets

Quote of the Day
“Your happiness is your responsibility.”
Anonymous

Tuesday’s quiz
Hall of Fame QB Troy Aikman played college football at which two schools?

Monday’s quiz
Marshall Thundering Herd is the college football team, with minimum of 10 bowls played, that has the best winning percentage in bowl games— they’re 13-5 (72.2 winning %) in bowls.

Sunday’s quiz
Tennessee Titans used to be known as the Houston Oilers.

*****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— Bears 12, Vikings 10
Chicago kicked a 30-yard FG with 0:13 left for the win.
Bears had five drives in 2nd half: kicked 3 FG’s, lost 2 fumbles.
DJ Moore caught 11 passes for 114 of Chicago’s 217 passing yards.
QB Fields ran ball 12 times for 59 yards, 24 yards more than any other Bear.
Dobbs threw 17-yard TD pass with 5:54 left, Minnesota’s only TD.
Vikings’ first four drives: 16 plays, 44 yards, 2 INTs, no points.
Chicago was 8-18 on third down, Vikings 2-9.
Under is 8-2 in Minnesota’s last ten games.

— Before Monday, NFL teams were 0-28 this season when they didn’t score a TD.
Now, they’re 1-28.

— So far this year in the NFL……..
divisional home favorites are 18-15 ATS
divisional home underdogs are 9-14-1 ATS
Overall, divisional favorites are 32-24-1 ATS

— Carolina Panthers fired coach Frank Reich after their 1-10 start; two ofter offensive assistant coaches were also told to take a hike.
Panthers are averaging:
15.7 points/game (29th)
4.1 yards per play (T31st)
Panthers are converting 37.2% of their third down opportunities (20th).
You play a rookie QB, your job is in jeopardy; they should have sat Bryce Young, let him learn while watching and played veteran Andy Dalton. Maybe they’d still have their jobs now.
Carolina fired Matt Rhule last year, with $40M left on his contract.
Carolina fired Reich Monday, with $30M left on his contract.
Panthers owner David Tepper is richest owner in the NFL, but he isn’t the most patient one.

— If the 2024 NFL Draft was today……..
1) Bears (from Carolina)
2) Cardinals
3) Patriots
4) Bears
5) Commanders
6) Giants

— Denver Broncos have won five games in a row; in their last four games, Denver has 14 takeaways- they’re +11 in turnovers in those four games.

— In his career, Bills’ QB Josh Allen is 0-6 in overtime games.

— NFC South standings:
Falcons 5-6
Saints 5-6
Buccaneers 4-7
Panthers 1-10
If the Wild Card playoffs were this week, Dallas would be a significant road favorite at whatever team wins the NFC South.

— NFL Draft is a fascinating process; some teams are just so much better at it than others. Chargers’ RB Austin Ekeler is a really good RB, but he wasn’t drafted; he went to college at Western Colorado, which makes you wonder what the Broncos’ scouts are thinking about, such a good player at a D-II school in Denver’s backyard.

— TV show of the day: The White Shadow (1978)- An NBA player retires from the pro game and gets a job as a basketball coach in an inner-city high school.
Ken Howard played the coach; he was excellent in this role. Basketball scenes were well done.
Creator of the show was Bruce Paltrow, Gwyneth Paltrow’s father.

— Tough week for college football coaches:
Indiana fired its coach; he got $15.5M to go away.
New Mexico fired its coach, who they praised in a statement, but when you go 11-32, they tell you to take a hike, even if you’re a New Mexico alumnus.
Middle Tennessee fired its longtime coach after going 3-8 this year, the Blue Raiders’ third losing season in the last five years. The coach was 113-111 in 18 seasons at MTSU, but this is a “what have you done for me lately?” world, and MTSU hasn’t done much lately.
Houston fired its coach, who had three losing seasons in his five years as the Cougars’ head coach, going 31-28 overall. Houston went 4-8 this year, their first year in the Big X; it is better to be a big fish in a small pond, than a smaller fish in a big pond.
Texas-El Paso fired its coach, after he went 20-49 in six seasons with the Miners.
Texas A&M hired Duke coach Mike Elko to fill their coaching vacancy; he was 16-9 in two years as Duke’s coach- before that, he was the defensive coordinator at Texas A&M. Aggies just fired their head coach, even though he had a 45-25 record.
Mississippi State hired Oklahoma OC Jeff Lebby; since 2019, his offenses have scored 50+ points 14 times, most of anyone in the country during that time. Lebby used to be OC at Ole Miss, the Bulldogs’ biggest rival.

— Random trivia: Back in the mid-1950’s, at Van Nuys High School in Los Angeles, Robert Redford, Don Drysdale and Natalie Wood were all students there.
They must’ve had a really good drama club there, plus you had Roy Hobbs on the same baseball team as a Hall of Fame pitcher. Pretty, pretty good.

— Switching to basketball, VCU beat Penn State Sunday; last spring, the Penn State coach left VCU to go coach at his alma mater, an interesting decision.
My question is this: is Penn State a better basketball coaching job than VCU?
Obviously, they’re in a better league, but Penn State is a football school located in an area that isn’t real close to any basketball hotbeds (190 miles from Philadelphia), while VCU is a basketball school, kind of an eastern version of Gonzaga.
VCU has been in 10 of last 12 NCAA tournaments, under three different coaches; Penn State has been in two NCAA tournaments since 2002 (they would’ve made it had there been a tournament in 2020).
If someone asked me which job was better, without knowing the $$$ end of it, I’d say VCU, because winning is a lot more fun that losing.

— Baseball stuff:
St Louis Cardinals have been aggressive in rebuilding their starting rotation, adding free agent pitchers Lance Lynn, Kyle Gibson, Sonny Gray.
Detroit Tigers added P Kenta Maeda.
Winter meetings start Sunday, should be lot of stuff going on.

— Oakland 78, Xavier 76
Good win for 13-point underdog Oakland, and the Horizon League.
Grizzlies outscored Xavier 12-7 over final 3:49.
Oakland was minus-14 on boards, but shot 69.7% inside arc.

— Utah 78, Saint Mary’s 71
Gaels were picked to win WCC, but they’re off to a shaky 3-4 start.
This was first game in eight days for Utah.
Utes are the tallest college team in America.

— Cal-Santa Barbara 69, Fresno State 65
UCSB was 1-5 on arc for whole game, Fresno 7-31.
Fresno led by 7 with 16:25 left in game.
Gauchos didn’t play any seniors; Fresno started five seniors.

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
— Clemson 85, Alabama 77- Tigers start 4 seniors; they were 11-21 on arc.
— Kentucky 95, Miami 73- Wildcats scored 1.32 points/possession.
— UNLV 72, Akron 70- Rebels led by 18 with 13:33 left, hung on for the win.
— Portland State 75, Portland 74- Vikings were down 5 with 2:09 left.
— McNeese State 81, UAB 60- Former LSU coach Will Wade is the McNeese coach.
— Oregon State named DC Trent Bray its new football coach.

Quote of the Day
“I am so tired of hearing how I was the reason that Barry Sanders never won a Super Bowl. I’m so tired of hearing how I was not a good QB.”
Former Detroit Lions’ QB Scott Mitchell (32-41 as an NFL starter, 27-32 in Detroit)

Wednesday’s quiz
Which college football team is the last team to beat Georgia?

Tuesday’s quiz
Hall of Fame QB Troy Aikman played college football at Oklahoma, then UCLA.

Monday’s quiz
Marshall Thundering Herd is the college football team, with minimum of 10 bowls played, that has the best winning percentage in bowl games— they’re 13-5 (72.2 winning %) in bowls.

**************************************

Wednesday’s Den: An early primer on the college basketball season​

We’re 23 days into the college basketball season; this is when we gather information and learn as much as possible. It is still really early, but this is what we’ve learned so far:

— Indiana State 77, Southern Illinois 48- This is the only conference game that’s been played so far this season. Salukis shot 30.4% from floor; Indiana State shot 57.1% inside the arc.

— Six teams in country with the best continuity:
1- Columbia
2- Florida Atlantic
3- Marquette
4- Drexel
5- Cal-Davis
7- Weber State

Six teams in country with the worst continuity:
361- New Mexico State
360- Iona
359- Utah State
357- Idaho
356- Notre Dame
355- Southern Utah

— Purdue won Maui Classic, becoming first team in 13 years to beat a top 15 team three days in a row. Last team to do it was UConn, in 2011 Big East tournament.

— Teams that’ve played easiest schedules so far:
362- TCU
361- Cal-Northridge
360- Tulsa
359- Valparaiso
357- Cal Baptist
356- Georgetown

Teams that’ve played hardest schedules so far:
3- Eastern Washington
4- Rider
8- Morehead State
9- Northern Iowa
10- Cal-Fullerton
12- Boise State

— Some of teams playing fastest tempo in country:
4- George Washington
5- James Madison
6- New Mexico
7- Marshall
8- Western Kentucky
9- Hampton

Some of teams playing slowest tempo in country:
362- Virginia
361- Towson
360- Air Force
359- North Texas
357- Northwestern
356- Saint Peter’s

— Teams with the best FG% defense inside the arc:
1- Illinois
2- Rutgers
3- Providence
5- Virginia
6- Iowa State
7- UConn

Teams with the worst FG% defense inside the arc:
358- Wright State
355- Toledo
348- Drake
347- Cornell
346- Rice
345- Nebraska-Omaha

— Word of the Day: authenticity- being true to your own personality, values, and spirit, regardless of the pressure that you’re under to act otherwise.

— Teams getting highest %age of points on 3-pointers:
1- Creighton
2- Sacramento State
3- St Joe’s
4- Cal-Riverside
6- BYU
10- San Jose State

Teams getting lowest %age of points on 3-pointers:
362- Rio Grande Valley
361- Indiana
359- Western Kentucky
358- IUPUI
357- Cal-Northridge

— James Madison started the season with overtime wins at Michigan State/Kent State; they’re only team in the last 30 years to start a season with back/back overtime wins, both on the road.

— Field of 68’s top 6 mid-major teams:
1- Drake
2- Cal-Santa Barbara
3- Yale
4- Akron
5- Charleston
6- Furman

— According to Kenpom.com, these are the six best conferences in the country:
1- Big X
2- Big East
3- SEC
4- Big 14
5- Pac 12
6- ACC

These are the six worst conferences in the country:
32- NEC
31- SWAC
30- MEAC
29- Patriot
28- Southland
27- Ohio Valley

— Teams forcing highest % of turnovers:
1- Iowa State
2- Houston
3- Florida International
4- Rutgers
5- TCU
6- Cal-Davis

— Teams playing their subs the least:
361- Princeton
360- Murray State
359- West Virginia
358- Oral Roberts
357- Air Force
356- Gonzaga

— Most experienced teams (experience is different than continuity; teams that poach lot of transfers have experienced guys, but guys that haven’t played together very much):
1- St Bonzaventure
2- Washington
3- TCU
4- St John’s
5- North Carolina
6- James Madison

— Least experienced teams
362- Idaho
361- Siena
360- Valparaiso
359- Notre Dame
358- VMI
357- North Carolina A&T

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Interesting NFL spreads this week:
— Seahawks @ Dallas (-9)
— Colts (-1) @ Tennessee
— Chargers (-6) @ New England
— Lions (-4) @ New Orleans
— Falcons (-3) @ Jets
— Cardinals @ Pittsburgh (-5.5)

Quote of the Day
“Make no mistake that a good quarterback in the portal costs, you know, a million to $1.5M to $2M right now, just so we’re all on the same page. Let’s make sure we all understand what’s happening. There are some teams that have $6M or $7M players playing for them.”
Nebraska football coach Matt Rhule

Thursday’s quiz
Who is the all-time leader in passing yards for the Houston Texans?

Wednesday’s quiz
Alabama is the last team to beat Georgia, 41-24 in the 2021 SEC championship game.

Tuesday’s quiz
Hall of Fame QB Troy Aikman played college football at Oklahoma, then UCLA.

************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..​

— Arkansas 80, Duke 73- Duke put only two players in double figures. Arkansas struggled against pressure defense in the last 3:00, but they get a big non-conference win.

— St Joe’s 78, Villanova 65- Hawks lost in overtime at Kentucky, beat Villanova here; they haven’t had a winning season since 2016, but they’re off to a terrific start this year.

— North Carolina 100, Tennessee 92- Game was 61-39 at halftime; Vols are struggling, losing their last three games. Tar Heels were 32-38 on the foul line.

— Colorado State 88, Colorado 83- Are Niko Medved’s Rams the best team in Mountain West? They already have wins over Creighton, Colorado.

— College football has its conference championship games this weekend; here are some quick trends on each conference title game, over the last five years:
AAC- favorites 3-2 against spread. Teams that won three of last five titles have moved on to other leagues.
ACC- favorites 5-0 against spread. Four of those five years the winner was Clemson; they’re not in this year’s game.
Big 14- favorites 3-2 against spread, all double digit spreads, Favorites were either Michigan or Ohio State- they won all five games SU.
Big X- underdogs 3-2 against spread.
C-USA- underdogs 4-1 against spread. Teams that won last five title games have moved on to better leagues.
MAC- underdogs 4-1 against spread. Four different teams won last five titles.
Mountain West- underdogs 4-1 against spread. UNLV is in this game for first time; Boise State is in its for 5th time in last six years, but they haven’t won this game since 2019, and they’ve already fired their coach this season.
Pac-12- underdogs 3-2 against spread. Average total, last four years- 56.5. Oregon (2-1) is in this game for 4th time in five years. Washington is in it for first time since 2018, when they won it.
SEC- underdogs 3-2 against spread. Average total: 68.6. Georgia is 1-3 in this game the last five years, Alabama 3-0.
Sun Belt- underdogs 2-2 against spread (2020 game was cancelled).

— Long time ago, a shortstop named Garry Templeton made the 1979 All-Star Game, but he told the Cardinals’ radio guy (Jack Buck) “If I ain’t starting, I ain’t departing”
Little did he know is that his statement now sums up lot of quarterback situations in college football, except now it is “If I ain’t starting, then I will be departing”
College football has turned into baseball, with QB’s bolting into free agency at a high rate:
Grayson McCall, Coastal Carolina- he played five years there, with 10,000+ PY.
Athan Kaliakmanis, Minnesota
Blake Shapen, Baylor
Riley Leonard, Duke
Will Rogers, Mississippi State
Max Johnson, Texas A&M- already surfaced at North Carolina
Tyler Van Dyke, Miami
Will Howard, Kansas State
Jake Rubley, Kansas State- His dad TJ Rubley played in the NFL/CFL; he also coached Keanu Reeves in his role as the starting QB for the fictional Washington Sentinels in the movie, The Replacements.
Spencer Petras, Iowa
E.J. Warner, Temple- Kurt Warner’s son
Gerry Bohanon, South Florida
This isn’t a complete list; has to be crazy being a college coach these days, recruiting high school kids while also re-recruiting all your current players.

— HBO or Showtime should hook up with some college program to do a reality show based on recruiting and the transfer portal— it would be excellent television.

Put it this way; this season, 55.7% of the starting quarterbacks were transfers.

— Word of the Day: catalyst- a person or thing that precipitates an event.

— College football coaching changes:
Oregon State promoted defensive coordinator Trent Bray to head coach, replacing Jonathan Smith, who bolted to Michigan State. Like Smith, Bray is an Oregon State alum.
San Diego State hired Sean Lewis, who used to coach Kent State; he was offensive coordinator at Colorado this season.

— Mississippi State’s new coach, Jeff Lebby, banks a $1M incentive if his Bulldogs win a national championship. Good luck with that one.

— This season and last, in Sunday night/Monday NFL games, under is 49-17. I can’t come up with a good reason why this is happening, but it is happening.

— Richmond Spiders’ starting G DeLonnie Hunt hurt his wrist, is out 6-8 weeks.

— Lakers 133, Detroit 107- Pistons have lost 15 games in a row, are 0-14 in November.

— 23 years ago, Mark Cuban bought the Dallas Mavericks for $285M; this week, word is out that he is selling a majority stake in the Mavericks, for $3.5B, that’s billion, with a B.
Cuban is cashing out on most of his ownership status, but he will retain full control over the Mavericks’ basketball operations, which is what makes this so unusual.

— New York Mets had some activity Wednesday:
Mets signed P Luis Severino for one year, $13M
Mets signed IF Joey Wendle for one year, $2M (plus incentives)

— Friend of mine found the old TV show White Shadow on YouTube this week, so I’ve spent the last few late-nights catching up with one my all-time favorite TV shows.
Ken Howard is a basketball player who retires from the NBA and gets a job as a basketball coach in an inner-city high school in Los Angeles- his friend from college is the school’s principal.
Hadn’t seen this show in 35-40 years; it was only on for three seasons, but it was well done. Creator of the show was Bruce Paltrow, Gwyneth Paltrow’s father.

— Delaware is moving from the CAA to Conference USA; they’ll be going I-A in football, starting in 2025-26.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 14

Conference championship games

Friday’s games
New Mexico State @ Liberty
New Mexico State (10-3, 7-1)
— Aggies won their last eight games, after a 2-3 start.
— Aggies are 17-9 SU under coach Kill (went 8-30 from 2018-21)
— State lost 33-17 at Liberty back in September.
— State won 31-10 at Auburn two weeks ago.
— Aggies are 9-1 when they give up less than 33 points.
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 51 starts back on offensive line- four starters are back
— junior QB has 8 starts.
— Aggies are 12-6 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog.
— In his career, coach Kill is 23-17 ATS as a road underdog.
— Nine of State’s last 11 games stayed under the total.
— Last year was Aggies’ first bowl since 2017.


Liberty (12-0, 8-0)
— Last 4+ years, Liberty is 46-16 SU/37-25 ATS
— Flames are 12-0 SU/8-4 ATS TY.
— 10 of Flames’ 12 wins were by 10+ points.
— Liberty is 12-11 ATS in last 23 games as home favorites (4-3 TY).
— 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— 98 starts back on offensive line
— soph QB started four games LY.
— Last seven games, Liberty ran the ball for 324.1 yards/game.
— Flames have a +8 turnover ratio.
— Five of their last six games went over the total.
— New HC Chadwell went 39-22 coaching Coastal Carolina.


— Liberty (-9.5) beat New Mexico State 33-17 here in September.
— Flames ran for 250 yards, threw for 276; they were +2 in turnovers.
— Overall, Liberty won four of last six series games.
— New Mexico State beat Liberty 49-14 here LY.
— C-USA home favorites are 9-12 ATS this season.
— Underdogs are 4-1 ATS in last five C-USA title games.


Oregon vs Washington (@ Las Vegas)
Oregon (11-1, 8-1)
— Oregon has scored 31+ points in every game this season.
— Nine of their 11 wins were by 14+ points.
— Ducks’ only loss was 36-33 at Washington on October 14.
— Last four games, Oregon threw ball for 421.5 yards/game.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 96 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB Nix QB has 47 career starts, 34 of them at Auburn.
— Last 5+ years, Ducks are 56-17 SU.
— under Lanning, Ducks are 15-5 ATS as a favorite.
— under Lanning, Oregon is 12-5-1 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— under Lanning, Oregon is 14-4 ATS coming off a win.
— Under is 7-4 in Oregon’s I-A games.
— Ducks are 3-2 in last five bowl games; all three wins were by one point.
— Oregon is in Pac-12 title game for 4th time in last five years (2-1 L3)


Washington (12-0, 9-0)
— Washington is 9-0 SU/3-5-1 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Huskies allowed 300+ PY in three of last five games.
— Last three games, Washington is +4 in turnovers.
— Huskies’ last three wins were by 7-2-3 points.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 36 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 30 starts; 17 here, 13 at Indiana.
— under DeBoer, Huskies are 3-0 ATS as an underdog.
— In his career, DeBoer is 4-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Washington is 17-32-1 ATS in last 50 Pac-12 tilts.
— Last year was Washington’s first bowl since 2019.
— Washington won Pac-12 title game last time they were here (2019)


— Washington (-3) beat Oregon 36-33 in Seattle in October.
— Huskies are 4-3 in last seven series games, winning last two by 3-3 points.
— Pac-12 favorites are 22-30 ATS this season.

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday’s 6-pack:
There are six D-I basketball coaches who are 70+ years old:
— Cliff Ellis, Coastal Carolina- 78 years old, 829 wins.
— Dan D’Antoni, Marshall- 76 years old, 164 wins.
— Leonard Hamilton, Florida State- 75 years old, 630 wins.
— Fran Dunphy, LaSalle- 75 years old, 599 wins.
— Jim Larrañaga, Miami- 74 years old, 730 wins
— Rick Pitino, St John’s- 71 years old, 713 wins

Quote of the Day
“We can’t guard a stop sign.”
Washington Wizards’ Kyle Kuzma. Wizards are 3-15 this season.

Friday’s quiz
Which team is the last one that beat the Dallas Cowboys at home?

Thursday’s quiz
Matt Schaub (23,221) is the all-time leader in passing yards for the Houston Texans.

Wednesday’s quiz
Alabama is the last team to beat Georgia, 41-24 in the 2021 SEC championship game.

******************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here………​

— Cowboys 41, Seahawks 35
Only 5th regular season game ever where neither team punted.
Seattle scored a touchdown on five of its first seven drives.
Seattle in 4th quarter: 3 drives- 20 plays, 78 yards, no points.
Seahawks are 15-9-1 ATS in its last 25 games as road dog (3-2 TY).
Dallas had nine drives: four touchdowns, four field goals.
Cowboys drove 54 yards, scored game-winning TD with 4:37 left.
Seahawks covered four of last five visits to Dallas.
Last four games, Cowboys are 27-52 on third down.

— NFL juggled its TV schedule for Week 15, two weeks from now:
Eagles @ Seattle moves to Monday night.
Chiefs @ New England gets moved to 1:00 Sunday.
There is a tripleheader on Saturday, December 16:
1:00- Vikings @ Cincinnati
4:30- Steelers @ Indianapolis
8:15- Broncos @ Detroit

— Butler 103, Texas Tech 95, OT
Tech led by 5 with 3:10 left in regulation.
Butler shot 12-27 on arc, Tech 13-26.
Not often a team scores 1.25 points/possession and loses.

— Illinois State 69, Ill-Chicago 64
Ill-Chicago led by 13 in first half.
Redbirds shot 66.7% inside the arc.
State starts 5 seniors, but they’re #312 in eFG%.

— UCLA 66, Cal-Riverside 65- Narrow escape for the Bruins.

— Oregon State QB DJ Uiagalelei, who transferred from Clemson last year, is going in the portal again; UCLA QB Dante Moore is also in the portal.
College football has evolved into a situation where every decent QB goes on the open market every December, with lot of money on the table. Not great.

— Clemson fired two assistant coaches, its offensive line coach and its defensive end coach.

— Word of the Day: Consequence- the result of a particular action or situation.

— SEC-ACC have already played 20 basketball games against each other this season:
SEC teams are 14-11 straight up, 15-10 against spread.
SEC teams are 7-2 ATS at home, 6-3 on neutral floors.
ACC teams are 5-2 ATS at home.

— When Duke lost at Arkansas the other night, it was first time in 32 years that Duke played a basketball against an SEC team in an SEC arena.

— San Jose State-Coastal Carolina get rewarded for their good seasons by getting matched up to play in the Hawai’i Bowl. Going to Hawai’i for a bowl must be excellent.
Put it this way; there are bowls in Boise, Boston, Bronx, Maryland, Albuquerque; I’d rather not freeze my butt off during the game. Hawai’i would be just fine.

— Indiana tabbed James Madison coach Curt Cignetti as its new football coach; Dukes are 19-4 the last two years, 13-3 in the Sun Belt Conference. Overall, he went 52-9 at James Madison.

— Cincinnati Reds bolstered their bullpen, adding Emilio Pagan, Nick Martinez as free agents.

— Ole Miss announced that 7-foot center Moussa Cisse, a transfer from Oklahoma State, has cleared by the NCAA to play for Rebels. Cisse was the 2021-22 Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year for Oklahoma State; he started his college career at Memphis.
Ole Miss is off to a 6-0 start, with a win over NC State; they play Memphis Saturday.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 14

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 1​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
NMSU at LIB	07:00 PM	NMSU +10.5 O 56.5	+500 +500
ORE at WASH	08:00 PM	ORE -9.5 U 65.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
12/01/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Northwestern 92, Purdue 88 OT- First loss of season for the #1 Boilers.
— Kansas 69, UConn 65- Huskies led by 5 with 8:55 left.
— Houston 66, Xavier 60- Neither team shot 35% from the floor.
— Norfolk State 63, VCU 60- VCU shot 36.2%, was minus-10 in turnovers.
— Boise State 63, Saint Mary’s 60- Gaels lost five of their last six games.
— Southern Miss 85, UAB 82- Blazers led by 15 points in first half.

Quote of the Day
“I told the team after the game, we need games like this. This is what December football looks like…To get to where we want to go, you have to win these type of games. … How are you going to be good at winning close games if you’re not in them?”
Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy

Saturday’s quiz
Which NFL team did Jim Harbaugh used to coach?

Friday’s quiz
Tampa Bay is the last team that beat the Cowboys in Dallas; they Dallas 19-3 in last year’s season opener.

Thursday’s quiz
Matt Schaub (23,221) is the all-time leader in passing yards for the Houston Texans.

************************************

Saturday’s Den: Where do NFL QB’s come from?

NFC East
— Cowboys- Dak Prescott (Mississippi State)
4th round pick in 2016
72-43 with Dallas, 2-4 in playoffs.
Dallas is set here for next five years.

— Giants- Daniel Jones (Duke)
1st round pick in 2019
23-37-1 with Giants, 1-1 in playoffs.
Has been hurt a lot, is hurt now
Backups- Tyrod Taylor, Tommy DeVito
They’ve got some big decisions to make in off-season.

— Eagles- Jalen Hurts (Alabama/Oklahoma)
2nd round pick in 2020
35-14 with Eagles, 2-2 in playoffs
Eagles are set for the foreseeable future.

— Commanders- Sam Howell (North Carolina)
5th round pick in 2022
5-8 with Washington.
Two years, two offensive coordinators; Howell is doing OK so far.

NFC North
— Bears- Justin Fields (Ohio State)
1st round pick in 2021
7-26 with the Bears
Chicago has two very high draft picks next April; will they take another QB?
Rookie backup Tyson Bagent is 2-2 as a starter this year.

— Lions- Jared Goff (California)
1st round pick by Rams in 2016
traded to Detroit with draft picks for Matthew Stafford
44-30 with Rams, 20-21-1 with Detroit (2-3 in playoffs with LA)
Lions are set here for next five years.

— Packers- Jordan Love (Utah State)
1st round pick in 2020
5-7 with Green Bay.
Aaron Rodgers is tough act to follow, but he’s doing OK so far.

— Vikings- Kirk Cousins (Michigan State)
4th round pick by Washington, in 2012
26-31-1 with Washington, 51-39-1 with Vikings (1-3 in playoffs).
He’ll be 36 when next season starts, coming off a bad injury; his future is unclear.
Joshua Dobbs (2-11 as NFL starter) is Minnesota’s QB right now.
Vikings have a major decision to make in off-season.

NFC South
Falcons- Desmond Ridder (Cincinnati)
3rd round pick in 2022
7-6 with Falcons.
He’s been benched once this year, but is starting again; it is still early for him.

Panthers- Bryce Young (Alabama)
#1 overall pick in last April’s draft
1-9 with Carolina; head coach/QB coach already got fired.
They scored 27 points in the one game backup Dalton started.
Would it kill Carolina to sit Young and let him watch some?

Saints- Derek Carr (Fresno State)
2nd round pick by Raiders in 2014
63-80 with Raiders, 5-6 with New Orleans (0-1 in playoffs)
Carr will be 33 in March; are Saints sold on him?
Last time Saints drafted a QB in 1st round? Archie Manning, in 1971.

Buccaneers- Baker Mayfield (Oklahoma)
#1 overall pick by Cleveland in 2018
29-30 with Browns, 1-5 Carolina, 1-3 with Rams, 4-7 with Bucs
Has played for four teams the last three years; he is still only 28.
Would think he’ll still be Tampa Bay’s quarterback next year.

NFC West
Cardinals- Kyler Murray (Texas A&M/Oklahoma)
#1 overall pick in 2019
26-34-1 with Arizona (0-1 in playoffs)
Has a very big contract; can he stay healthy and be productive?

Rams- Matthew Stafford (Georgia)
#1 overall pick in 2009 by Detroit
Traded to Rams for Jared Goff
74-93-1 with Lions, 24-16 with Rams (4-3 in playoffs)
won Super Bowl two years ago
will be 36 in February; how much longer does he want to play?

49ers- Brock Purdy (Iowa State)
7th round pick in 2022 draft
15-4 with 49ers (2-1 in playoffs)
came out of nowhere last year to be the starter.
49ers are built to win now; will he get them over the hump?

Seahawks- Geno Smith (West Virginia)
2nd round pick by Jets, in 2013.
12-18 with Jets, 0-1 with Giants, 16-17 with Seattle
0-1 in playoffs (lost 41-23 to 49ers LY)
Is 33 years old, has regressed some this year.

AFC East
Bills- Josh Allen (Wyoming)
1st round pick in 2018
62-34 with Buffalo, 4-4 in playoffs
Bills are set here for next 7-8 years.

Dolphins- Tua Tagovailoa (Alabama)
1st round pick in 2020
29-16 with Miami; he’s headed to playoffs for first time.
Dolphins seem set here for the next 10 years.

Patriots- Mac Jones (Alabama)
1st round pick in 2021
18-25 with New England, 0-1 in playoffs
Is now more of a suspect that prospect; his future is unclear.
Patriots have lot of decisions to make this winter.

Jets- Aaron Rodgers (California)
1st round pick by Green Bay, in 2005
158-85-1 with Packers (11-10 in playoffs)
Won Super Bowl, 14 years ago.
Got hurt on his 4th play with Jets this season
Tore his Achilles; today is his 40th birthday.
He is expected to play before end of this season; we’ll see.
If not him, then who? (no one on current roster)

AFC North
Ravens- Lamar Jackson (Louisville)
1st round pick in 2018 draft
55-22 with Baltimore, 1-3 in playoffs.
Ravens are set here for next 8-10 years.

Bengals- Joe Burrow (Ohio State/LSU)
1st overall pick in 2020 draft
34-22-1 with Bengals (5-2 in playoffs)
Cincinnati is set here for the next ten years.

Browns- Deshaun Watson (Clemson)
1st round pick by Houston in 2017
28-25 with Texans, 8-4 with Browns (1-2 in playoffs)
Had off-field problems with Texans, was suspended
If he can stay healthy, Browns are set here for next 6-7 years.

Steelers- Kenny Pickett (Pittsburgh)
1st round pick in 2022 draft
14-9 with Steelers, hasn’t made playoffs yet.
Steelers fired their OC last week- who will new guy be?

AFC South
Texans- CJ Stroud (Ohio State)
2nd overall pick in 2023 draft
6-5 in his rookie year, doing surprisingly well.
Texans are trying to make playoffs for first time since 2019.
Looks like Houston is set here for foreseeable future.

Colts- Anthony Richardson (Florida)
#4 overall pick in 2023 draft
only started 13 games in college
2-2 as starter TY; got hurt, is OFY.
last seven years, Colts have started 7 different QB’s in Week 1.
Gardner Minshew is 4-3 as Colts’ starter this year.

Jaguars- Trevor Lawrence (Clemson)
1st overall pick in 2021 draft
21-26 with Jaguars, 1-1 in playoffs
Jaguars are set here for next 10-12 years

Titans- Will Levis (Kentucky)
2nd round pick in 2023 draft
2-3 as starter in his rookie season; 2-0 at home, 0-3 on road
as long as he hands off a lot to Derrick Henry, he’ll be OK.

AFC West
Broncos- Russell Wilson (NC State/Wisconsin)
3rd round pick by Seahawks, in 2012
113-60-1 with Seattle, 10-16 with Denver (9-7 in playoffs)
Won Super Bowl ten years ago.
Just turned 35; how much longer does he want to play?

Chiefs- Patrick Mahomes (Texas Tech)
10th overall pick in 2017 draft (9 teams passed on him!?!?!?!)
83-22 with the Chiefs, 11-3 in playoffs, an all-time great.
Chiefs are set here for next 7-8 years.
Would be nice if they got him better receivers.

Raiders- Aidan O’Connell (Purdue)
4th round pick in 2023 draft
2-3 as a rookie starter; head coach has already been fired.
As usual, Raiders have lot of questions to answer this winter.

Chargers- Justin Herbert (Oregon)
6th overall pick in 2020 draft
29-32 with Chargers, 0-1 in playoffs (blew 27-0 lead, lost 31-30)
Chargers are set here, for next ten years.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 14

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 2​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
M-OH at TOL	12:00 PM	M-OH +7.0 O 43.5	+500 +500
OKST at TEX	12:00 PM	OKST +15.0 O 57.0	+500 +500
BSU at UNLV	03:00 PM	BSU -2.5 U 60.5	+500 +500
APP at TROY	04:00 PM	APP +5.0 O 52.5	+500 +500
SMU at TULN	04:00 PM	SMU +3.0 O 47.0	+500 +500
UGA at ALA	04:00 PM	ALA +4.0 O 54.5	+500 +500
MICH at IOWA	08:00 PM	IOWA +22.0 O 35.0	+500 +500
LOU at FSU	08:00 PM	FSU -1.0 U 46.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
12/02/2023	8-8-0	50.00%	-400	Detail
12/01/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

DECEMBER'S CFB BEST BETS THRU THE BOWL AND CHAMPIONSHIP !

12/02/2023.......................5 - 4..........................55.55%................................+ 3.00
12/01/2023.......................2 - 2..........................50.00%................................- 1.00

TOTALS............................7 - 6...........................53.84%...............................+ 2.00