Cnotes 2023 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

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MLB

Thursday, September 28

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, September 28

National League
St Louis (69-89) @ Milwaukee (89-69)
— Hudson is 0-1, 6.89 in his last three starts.
— Cardinals are 7-4 in his starts
— over 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 0-11
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4
— He is 11-3, 5.10 in six starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals are 2-6 in their last eight games.
— Cardinals are 36-43 on the road.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 48-158
— record in first 5 innings: 68-66-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-2.2

— Burnes is 1-0, 1.93 in his last two starts.
— Brewers are 5-6 in his last 11 starts
— under 9-4 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-31
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-7
— He is 4-5, 2.97 in 13 starts vs St Louis.

— Brewers are 24-12 in last 36 games.
— Milwaukee is 46-31 at home.
— under 7-1 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 46-158
— record in first 5 innings: 68-65-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-4

Pittsburgh (74-84) @ Philadelphia (89-69)
— Ortiz is 4-5, 4.96 in 17 games (14 starts)
— sometimes he starts, sometimes he’s a bulk guy.
— He hasn’t pitched against Philadelphia.

— Pirates are 16-11 in their last 27 games.
— Pittsburgh is 36-44 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 40-158
— record in first 5 innings: 59-77-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-3

— Wheeler is 4-0, 3.89 in his last six starts.
— Phillies are 13-6 in his last 19 starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-31
— record in first 5 innings: 16-11-4
— He is 4-0, 2.13 in six starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Phillies are 10-2 in their last dozen games.
— Phillies are 49-31 at home.
— over 7-4-1 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 49-158
— record in first 5 innings: 70-68-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-4.2

Miami (82-76) @ NY Mets (72-86)
— Luzardo is 2-1, 2.91 in his last six starts.
— Marlins are 6-6 in his last 12 starts
— over 6-2 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-31
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 15-11-5
— He is 2-1, 4.21 in five starts vs New York.

— Miami is 7-5 in its last dozen games.
— Marlins are 36-41 on the road.
— over 4-2 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-157
— record in first 5 innings: 64-67-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-8.2

— Peterson is 0-1, 6.41 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 5-11 in his last 16 starts
— over 5-1-1 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 4-12-4
— He is 2-2, 2.57 in five starts vs Miami.

— Mets lost five of their last six games.
— Mets are 40-38 at home.
— over 4-2-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 35-158
— record in first 5 innings: 69-68-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-7

Cubs (82-76) @ Atlanta (102-56)
— Stroman is 0-2, 14.54 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 3-5 in his last eight starts
— over 6-0 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-24
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 11-9-4
— He is 4-2, 2.25 in seven starts vs Atlanta.

— Cubs won three of last five games.
— Chicago is 37-40 on road.
— over 8-3 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 47-158
— record in first 5 innings: 72-63-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2.2-3.2

— Braves haven’t named a starter.

— Atlanta won five of last six games.
— Braves are 50-27 at home.
— over 18-4-1 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 61-157
— record in first 5 innings: 90-47-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5.1-4

Los Angeles (98-60) @ Colorado (57-101)
— Dodgers haven’t named a starter.

— Dodgers are 10-3 in their last 13 games.
— Dodgers are 45-32 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 62-158
— record in first 5 innings: 80-59-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-3

— Flexen is 0-2, 7.36 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 3-8 in his starts
— over 9-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-1
— This is his first start vs Los Angeles

— Colorado lost nine of last ten games.
— Colorado is 35-42 at home.
— under 11-5 last sixteen games
— scored run in first inning: 45-159
— record in first 5 innings: 64-78-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-10-4.2

American League
Oakland (48-110) @ Minnesota (85-73)
— Medina is 3-10, 5.64 in 22 games (16 starts)
— sometimes he starts, sometimes he’s a bulk guy.
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota

— A’s lost 11 of last 13 games.
— Oakland is 22-55 on road.
— under 8-5 last 13 road games
— scored run in first inning: 40-158
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 45-89-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5-2.2

— Gray is 2-2, 1.70 in his last six starts.
— Twins are 6-10 in his last 16 starts.
— under 6-4 last 10 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-31
— record in first 5 innings: 17-11-3
— He is 1-1, 4.66 in four starts vs Oakland.
— He pitched for Oakland from 2013-17.

— Twins are 10-4 in their last 14 games.
— Minnesota is 47-33 at home.
— under 5-4 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 43-158
— record in first 5 innings: 66-67-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-4.2

Kansas City (54-103) @ Detroit (74-83)
Last night’s game was suspended in the top of the 5th; it will resume at 1:15

— Ragans is 4-0, 2.53 in his last seven starts.
— Kansas City is 6-5 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-1
— This is his first start vs Detroit

— Royals won 10 of last 12 games.
— Royals are 23-56 on the road.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 46-157
— record in first 5 innings: 53-86-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-3

— Gipson-Long is 1-0, 2.40 in three starts.
— Detroit is 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Detroit is 13-9 in its last 22 games.
— Tigers are 33-43 at home
— under 26-16 last 42 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-157
— record in first 5 innings: 62-71-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-3.1

Bronx (81-77) @ Toronto (87-71)
— Weaver is 1-0, 2.89 in two starts for New York.
— New York won both his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— New York won five of last six games.
— Bronx is 39-38 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 41-158
— record in first 5 innings: 68-61-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-x

— Bassitt is 3-1, 2.57 in his last five starts.
— Blue Jays are 8-6 in his home starts
— under 4-2-1 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-32
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 12-15-5
— He is 0-0, 1.38 in two starts vs New York.

— Toronto lost three of its last four games.
— Blue Jays are 41-36 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 36-157
— record in first 5 innings: 64-62-32
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-3

Boston (76-82) @ Baltimore (99-59)
— Sale is 0-0, 4.80 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 12-7 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-4
— He is 0-1, 14.25 in three starts vs Baltimore TY.

— Red Sox are 7-19 in their last 26 games.
— Boston is 37-40 on road.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 50-158
— record in first 5 innings: 59-77-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6-3

— Kremer is 0-0, 6.23 in his last four starts.
— Orioles are 15-3 in his last 18 starts.
— over 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 13-31
— record in first 5 innings: 17-9-5
— He is 1-0, 9.35 in two starts vs Boston TY.

— Orioles are 8-3 in their last eleven games.
— Baltimore is 47-30 at home.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 43-158
— record in first 5 innings: 76-56-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-1-3.1

Texas (89-69) @ Seattle (85-73)
— Montgomery is 2-0, 0.43 in his last three starts.
— Texas is 4-6 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-3
— He is 1-1, 1.98 in two starts vs Seattle.

— Texas won seven of last eight games.
— Rangers are 39-37 on road.
— over 24-9 last 33 games
— scored run in first inning: 48-158
— record in first 5 innings: 86-51-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-2

— Gilbert is 0-2, 4.58 in his last three starts.
— Mariners are 1-4 in his last five starts.
— over 5-3 last eight starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 13-31
— record in first 5 innings: 17-11-3
— He is 0-2, 2.92 in two starts vs Texas TY.

— Seattle is 6-12 in its last 18 games.
— Mariners are 42-35 at home.
— over 14-8-2 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 47-158
— record in first 5 innings: 76-58-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6-5

Interleague games
Arizona (83-74) @ White Sox (60-98)
— Arizona hasn’t named a starter.

— Arizona won eight of its last ten games.
— Arizona is 42-39 on road.
— over 9-3-1 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 55-157
— record in first 5 innings: 67-60-30
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6-3.1

— Toussaint is 1-0, 1.59 in his last two starts.
— White Sox are 6-9 in his starts.
— over 10-3-1 last 14 starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10-1
— He is 0-1, 3.86 in two starts vs Arizona.

— Chicago is 4-5 in its last nine games.
— White Sox are 30-47 at home.
— under 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-157
— record in first 5 innings: 57-81-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-6.2
 
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THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 28​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PIT at PHI06:05 PMPIT +218
U 8.0		+500 +500
BOS at BAL06:35 PMBAL -115
U 7.5		+500 +500
NYY at TOR07:07 PMTOR -183
O 8.5		+500 +500
MIA at NYM07:10 PMMIA -132
O 7.5		+500 +500
CHC at ATL07:20 PMCHC +123
O 9.5		+500 +500
LAD at COL08:40 PMLAD -214
U 11.5		+500 +500
TEX at SEA09:40 PMTEX +103
O 7.5		+500 +500
 
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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
09/28/20237-7-050.00%-180Detail
09/27/202315-11-057.69%+1685Detail
09/26/202313-14-148.21%-1690Detail
09/25/20233-3-050.00%-250Detail
09/24/202320-10-066.67%+6185Detail
09/23/202316-10-061.54%+2985Detail
09/22/202315-12-155.36%+1815Detail
09/21/20238-8-150.00%-310Detail
09/20/202316-14-053.33%-855Detail
09/19/202317-12-158.33%+2465Detail
09/18/202311-10-152.27%-290Detail
09/17/202313-17-043.33%-2095Detail
09/16/202315-14-151.67%-420Detail
09/15/202314-15-148.33%-1445Detail
09/14/20236-6-050.00%+0Detail
09/13/202316-10-260.71%+2910Detail
09/12/202310-9-152.50%+985Detail
09/11/202311-9-055.00%+835Detail
09/10/202312-16-243.33%-2800Detail
09/09/202315-15-050.00%-1435Detail
09/08/202315-12-155.36%+1375Detail
09/04/20235-16-125.00%-6740Detail
09/03/20239-19-233.33%-5950Detail
09/02/202315-14-151.67%-645Detail
09/01/202310-18-035.71%-5860Detail
 
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SEPT'S MLB BEST BETS !

09/28/2023..............................2 - 7..............................20.00%........................- 26.80
09/27/2023..............................8 - 12............................40.00%........................- 18.00
09/26/2023..............................9 - 11 -1.......................45.00%........................- 11.60
09/25/2023..............................2 - 2..............................50.00%.........................- 1.60
09/24/2023..............................15 - 10.........................60.00%.........................+ 35.75
09/23/2023..............................13 - 8...........................61.90%.........................+ 31.85
09/22/2023..............................12 - 9...........................57.14.............................+ 21.75
09/21/2023...............................6 - 7 ...........................46.15%..........................-4.30
09/20/2023..............................12 - 11 .........................52.17%..........................- 6.65
09/19/2023..............................8 - 10 - 1........................44.44%..........................- 4.35
09/18/2023...............................10- 7 -1........................58.82%..........................+ 15.75
09/17/2023...............................11 - 13..........................45.83%..........................- 5.05
09/16/2023................................8 - 9.............................47.05%...........................- 6.80
09/15/2023................................9 - 13- 1........................40.90%...........................- 20.60
09/14/2023................................6 - 5.............................54.54%...........................+ 5.30
09/13/2023...............................14 - 8 - 2........................63.63%...........................+ 33.85
09/12/2023................................7 - 8 - 1.........................46.66%...........................+ 1.15
09/11/2023................................9 - 6..............................60.00%.........................+ 16.55
09/10/2023................................7 - 15 - 1........................31,81%............................- 47.50
09/09/2023................................8 - 12............................40.00%..........................- 31.70
09/08/2023...............................14 - 8 - 1.........................63.63%............................+ 31.00
09/04/2023................................5 - 10.............................33.33%..........................- 31.05
09/03/2023...............................5 - 16 - 1.........................23.80%...........................- 61.35
09/02/2023...............................12 - 9 - 1.........................57.14%...........................+ 15.95
09/01/2023................................7 - 14.............................33.33%...........................- 39.50

TOTALS...................... ...........219 - 240 - 10.......................47.71%..........................- 113.06
 
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Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack:
Thru three weeks, NFL leaders in passing yardage:
1,075— Kirk Cousins, Minn
1,024— Tua Tagovailoa, Miami
939— Justin Herbert, LAC
910— Matthew Stafford, Rams
906— CJ Stroud, Hst
819— Jared Goff, Det

Quote of the Day
“I love mankind…….Its people I can’t stand.”
Linus, from the Peanuts comic strip

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Baltimore Orioles made the playoffs, who was their manager?

Thursday’s quiz
When Michael Jordan played minor league baseball for the Birmingham Barons, he wore number 45.

Wednesday’s quiz
In the old TV show Las Vegas, June Lockhart played James Caan’s mother.

*********************************************

Friday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Thursday​

— Miami Marlins scored two runs in top of ninth Thursday, led Mets 2-1 when rain delayed the game; after a delay of 3:17, they suspended the game around 1:00 am, which complicates things.
Marlins lead the Cubs by half a game for last Wild Card slot; if Thursday’s game needs to be finished to impact the playoff race, Marlins will return to New York to finish the game Monday.
If the game doesn’t impact the playoff race, the score reverts back to the 8th inning, the game won’t be completed, and the Mets will win the game, 1-0.

— Lions 34, Packers 20
Detroit in first half: 42 plays, 259 yards, 27 points.
Green Bay in first half: 23 plays, 54 yards, 3 points.
Detroit is 11-3 ATS in last 14 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Under Campbell, Lions are 26-11-1 ATS.
Last two games, Green Bay was outscored 44-3 in first half.
Total yardage: Detroit 401, Green Bay 230
Lions are 11-2 ATS in last 13 games vs Green Bay.
Detroit has beaten the Packers four times in row for first time since 1983.

— In their first three games, Cleveland Browns have allowed only one TD on 33 drives, and that TD was a 71-yard TD pass by Pittsburgh.

— Jacksonville State 35, Sam Houston State 28 OT
Jax State tied game on a 28-yard TD pass/2-point conversion with 0:13 left.
Sam Houston led game 21-7 at halftime.
JSU RB Jackson carried ball 13 times for 129 yards and a TD.

— Tulsa 48, Temple 26
Tulsa ran for 289 yards, converted 9-15 on third down.
Temple QB EJ Warner was 27-49/269, with two TD passes.

— Western Kentucky 31, Middle Tennessee 10
Hilltoppers led 23-3 at halftime.
WKU converted 10-19 third down plays.

— Only two baseball players EVER have hit:
.300+ career batting average
500+ home runs
3,167+ hits
1,800+ RBI
600+ doubles
Henry Aaron and……..Miguel Cabrera

— Word of the Day: Serendipity— A chain of events that occurs in a favorable way.

— Ronald Acuna stole his 70th base Wednesday, making him the first player ever with 40+ home runs, 70+ stolen bases in the same season.

— Happened to be watching the Pirates-Phillies game last night when Angel Hernandez called Bryce Harper out on a check swing, a truly horrible call— it wasn’t close, and I didn’t care who won the game, it was just an awful call.
Harper went on tilt, walked down to 3B while he yelled at Hernandez. At first I thought he was getting tossed on purpose, since the Phillies are already in the playoffs, but you could tell he was genuinely ticked off. Replays showed what a bad call it was.

— Baltimore 2, Boston 0— Orioles win their 100th game, clinch the AL East title.
Orioles signed a new 30-year lease at Camden Yards, good for the fans in Baltimore.

— Braves 5, Cubs 3
Atlanta clinched home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.
Cubs fell a half-game behind Marlins in the Wild Card race.

— Mariners 3, Rangers 2— JP Crawford’s 2-run double in bottom of the ninth moved Seattle within a game of the Astros for the last playoff spot in the AL.

— USFL/XFL are going to merge, a smart move that will make spring football prominent for years to come. Details haven’t been announced yet, but this is a good move.

— A reminder that this Sunday, the last day of baseball’s regular season, every game starts at 3:00 Eastern time.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they start Tuesday):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards- Phillies, Arizona, Marlins
AL: Orioles, Twins, Rangers. Wild Cards- Rays, Blue Jays, Astros
 
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PITTSBURGH is 10-0 SU (10 Units) in home games when playing with a day off in the current season.

CLEVELAND is 19-4 SU (14.6 Units) in road games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent in the current season.

BALTIMORE is 178-131 SU (33.9 Units) in night games in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 327-313 SU (-17.3 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996.

NY METS are 15-3 SU (11.7 Units) in home games as an underdog of +100 to +150 in the current season.

ATLANTA is 49-30 SU (16 Units) when playing on Friday in the last 3 seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 11-2 Over (8.8 Units) in road games when playing with a day off in the current season.

CHICAGO CUBS are 69-48 Under (16.2 Units) as an underdog of +125 to +175 in the last 3 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 13-3 SU (10.7 Units) in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of th...

COLORADO is 81-51 SU (24.9 Units) at home when the total is 11 to 11.5 in the last 3 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 41-15 SU (24.5 Units) after 2 straight games where they committed no errors in the current season.

LA ANGELS are 142-102 Under (29.8 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.

HOUSTON is 38-10 SU (27 Units) in road games as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.

SEATTLE is 2-11 SU (-13.2 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in the current s...

LA DODGERS are 25-7 SU (17.3 Units) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 in the current season.
 
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MLB

Friday, September 29

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, September 29

National League
Miami (82-76) @ Pittsburgh (75-84)
— Marlins haven’t named a starter

— Miami is 7-5 in its last dozen games.
— Marlins are 36-41 on the road.
— over 4-2 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-158
— record in first 5 innings: 64-67-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-8.2-1
— Marlins’ game Thursday was suspended late Thursday night with Miami leading 2-1 in top of 9th inning. No info has been posted on when game will be finished.

— Pirates haven’t named a starter.

— Pirates are 17-11 in their last 28 games.
— Pittsburgh is 38-40 at home.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 40-159
— record in first 5 innings: 60-77-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-4

Philadelphia (89-70) @ NY Mets (72-86)
— Walker is 0-0, 6.38 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— over 4-0-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 13-30 (8 of last 9)
— record in first 5 innings: 13-13-4
— He is 1-1, 3.38 in three starts vs New York TY.

— Phillies are 10-3 in their last 13 games.
— Phillies are 40-38 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 50-159
— record in first 5 innings: 70-69-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4.2-5

— Megill is 0-0, 3.24 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 3-7 in his last 10 starts
— under 4-1-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-24
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-1
— He is 2-1, 3.00 in four starts vs Philadelphia.

— Mets lost five of their last six games.
— Mets are 40-38 at home.
— over 4-2-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 35-158
— record in first 5 innings: 69-68-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-7-1.2

Washington (69-90) @ Atlanta (103-56)
— Williams is 0-3, 10.39 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— over 7-3-1 last eleven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 13-29
— record in first 5 innings: 8-19-2
— He is 2-1, 3.32 in five starts vs Atlanta.

— Nationals are 4-12 in their last 16 games.
— They’re 35-43 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 51-159
— record in first 5 innings: 58-84-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-3.1

— Winans is 1-2, 4.33 in five starts.
— Atlanta is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 5 IP in a start vs Washington Sunday.

— Atlanta won six of last seven games.
— Atlanta clinched home field thru World Series last nite.
— Braves are 51-27 at home.
— over 18-5-1 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 62-158
— record in first 5 innings: 91-47-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-4-5.1

Cubs (82-77) @ Milwaukee (90-69)
— Hendricks is 1-1, 4.25 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 4-7 in his last 11 starts
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-23
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-5
— He is 0-0, 2.25 in two starts vs Milwaukee TY.

— Cubs are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— Chicago is 37-41 on road.
— over 8-4 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 48-159
— record in first 5 innings: 72-64-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3.2-6

— Rea is 0-1, 6.92 in his last three starts.
— Brewers are 7-3 in his last 10 starts
— over 4-0 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 8-10-3
— He gave up four runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Chicago.

— Brewers are 25-12 in last 37 games.
— Milwaukee is 47-31 at home.
— under 8-1 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 47-159
— record in first 5 innings: 69-65-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-5

Cincinnati (81-78) @ St Louis (69-90)
— Williamson is 0-2, 7.36 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-22
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-9
— He gave up four runs in 4.1 IP, in his one start vs St Louis.

— Reds lost five of last seven games.
— Cincinnati is 43-35 on road.
— under 7-4-1 last 12 road games
— scored run in first inning: 47-159
— record in first 5 innings: 64-61-34
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-5.2-x

— bullpen game

— Cardinals are 2-7 in their last nine games.
— Cardinals are 33-45 at home.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 48-159
— record in first 5 innings: 69-66-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.2-3

Los Angeles (98-61) @ San Francisco (78-81)
— Lynn is 2-0, 3.50 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 8-2 in his starts.
— over 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
— He is 1-5, 4.27 in nine starts vs San Francisco

— Dodgers are 10-3 in their last 13 games.
— Dodgers are 45-33 on road.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 63-159
— record in first 5 innings: 80-60-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4

— Winn is 1-2, 4.95 in four starts.
— Giants are 1-3 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.

— Giants lost 11 of last 14 games.
— San Francisco is 44-34 at home.
— under 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 44-157
— record in first 5 innings: 61-70-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.1-3

American League
Cleveland (75-84) @ Detroit (76-83)
— Quantrill is 1-1, 1.66 in his last four starts.
— Guardians are 2-8 in his last ten starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-18
— record in first 5 innings: 3-12-3
— He is 3-2, 2.82 in six starts vs Detroit.

— Guardians lost six of last nine games.
— Cleveland is 33-45 on the road.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 43-158
— record in first 5 innings: 64-68-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.2-5.2-3

— Wentz is 0-4, 8.54 in his last six starts.
— Detroit is 1-9 in his last ten starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 4-12-2
— He is 1-0, 1.69 in two starts vs Cleveland TY.

— Detroit is 14-9 in its last 23 games.
— Tigers are 35-43 at home
— under 26-17 last 43 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-158
— record in first 5 innings: 62-72-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-4

Boston (76-83) @ Baltimore (100-59)
— Pivetta is 0-0, 1.35 in his last two starts.
— Red Sox are 6-9 in his starts.
— under 6-0 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-4
— He is 7-2, 3.54 in 11 starts vs Baltimore.

— Red Sox are 7-20 in their last 27 games.
— Boston is 37-41 on road.
— under 9-3 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 50-159
— record in first 5 innings: 59-78-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3-3

— Means is 1-1, 2.60 in three starts.
— Orioles are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 4-2, 3.70 in seven starts vs Boston.

— Orioles are 9-3 in their last dozen games.
— Baltimore is 48-30 at home.
— under 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 44-159
— record in first 5 innings: 77-56-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3.1-3.2

Tampa Bay (96-62) @ Toronto (87-71)
— Civale is 0-1, 7.85 in his last four starts.
— Tampa Bay is 6-3 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-1
— He is 1-1, 6.17 in two starts vs Toronto.

— Tampa Bay won three of its last four games.
— Rays are 44-34 on road.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 60-158
— record in first 5 innings: 84-54-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-x

— Ryu is 0-2, 4.95 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 6-4 in his starts
— over 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-3
— He is 0-0, 3.72 in six starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Toronto lost three of its last five games.
— Blue Jays are 43-36 at home.
— over 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 36-158
— record in first 5 innings: 65-62-32
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-1.1

Bronx (81-78) @ Kansas City (54-105)
— Rodon is 1-3, 6.75 in his last four starts.
— New York is 3-10 in his starts.
— under 8-5
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7-3
— He is 3-5, 3.95 in ten starts for Kansas City.

— New York won five of last seven games.
— Bronx is 39-39 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 41-159
— record in first 5 innings: 68-62-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-4

— Lyles is 2-2, 4.91 in his last five starts.
— Kansas City is 6-24 in his starts.
— over 7-4-1 last 12 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 14-30
— record in first 5 innings: 10-17-3
— He is 3-3, 4.38 in eight starts vs New York.

— Royals lost their last three games.
— Royals are 31-47 at home.
— over 6-2-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 47-159
— record in first 5 innings: 54-87-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-1.2

Texas (89-70) @ Seattle (86-73)
— Eovaldi is 1-1, 7.41 in his last five starts.
— Texas is 5-1 in his last six starts.
— over 5-2 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-24
— record in first 5 innings: 17-4-3
— He is 2-0, 4.09 in two starts vs Seattle TY.

— Texas won seven of last nine games.
— Rangers are 39-38 on road.
— over 24-10 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 48-159
— record in first 5 innings: 87-51-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-2.2

— Woo is 3-2, 3.96 in his last five starts.
— Mariners are 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— under 7-2 last nine starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-5
— He is 0-2, 20.26 in two starts vs Texas TY.

— Seattle is 7-12 in its last 19 games.
— Mariners are 43-35 at home.
— over 14-9-2 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 47-159
— record in first 5 innings: 76-59-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-5-3

Oakland (49-110) @ LA Angels (71-88)
— Waldichuk is 4-8, 5.29 in 34 games (21 starts)
— sometimes he starts, sometimes he’s a bulk guy.
— He is 1-1, 5.50 in three starts vs Anaheim

— A’s lost 11 of last 14 games.
— Oakland is 23-55 on road.
— under 9-5 last 14 road games
— scored run in first inning: 40-159
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 46-89-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2.2-3

— Silseth is 1-0, 4.26 in his last four starts.
— His last start was August 26
— Anaheim is 5-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-1
— He is 1-1, 2.19 in two starts vs Oakland.

— Angels are 3-11 in their last 14 games.
— Angels are 36-42 at home.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 42-159
— record in first 5 innings: 62-71-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-x

Interleague games
San Diego (79-80) @ White Sox (61-98)
— bullpen game

— Padres won 11 of last 13 games.
— San Diego is 35-43 on road.
— under 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 57-158
— record in first 5 innings: 75-66-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 0.1-3-x

— Cease is 1-1, 1.93 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 8-5 in his last 13 home starts.
— under 3-0 last three starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 6-32
— record in first 5 innings: 13-11-8
— He allowed four runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs San Diego.

— Chicago is 3-2 in its last five games.
— White Sox are 31-47 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 41-158
— record in first 5 innings: 58-81-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6.2-5

Minnesota (85-74) @ Colorado (58-101)
— Ryan is 1-1, 5.06 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 3-5 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-28
— record in first 5 innings: 8-15-5
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Colorado.

— Twins are 10-5 in their last 15 games.
— Minnesota is 38-40 on road.
— under 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 43-159
— record in first 5 innings: 66-68-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.2-5

— Blach is 1-2, 8.53 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 4-8 in his starts
— under 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4
— This is his first start vs Minnesota.

— Colorado lost nine of last 11 games.
— Colorado is 36-42 at home.
— under 11-6 last seventeen games
— scored run in first inning: 46-159
— record in first 5 innings: 65-78-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 10-4.2-3

Houston (87-72) @ Arizona (84-75)
— France is 1-1, 6.20 in his last four starts.
— Houston is 11-4 in his last 15 starts.
— over 9-5 last 14 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-10-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Astros are 5-10 in their last 15 games.
— Houston is 48-30 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 55-159
— record in first 5 innings: 74-64-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3.1-5

— Gallen is 3-1, 3.96 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— over 5-1-1 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-33
— record in first 5 innings: 19-9-5
— He is 1-0, 3.24 in four starts vs Houston.

— Arizona won eight of its last 11 games.
— Arizona is 43-35 at home.
— over 9-4-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 55-158
— record in first 5 innings: 67-61-30
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3.1-5.1
 
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FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 29​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MIA at PIT06:35 PMMIA -112
O 8.5		+500 +500
CLE at DET06:40 PMDET -102
O 8.0		+500 +500
BOS at BAL07:05 PMBAL -125
O 8.0		+500 +500
TB at TOR07:07 PMTOR -140
O 8.0		+500 +500
PHI at NYM07:10 PMPHI -116
O 8.0		+500 +500
WAS at ATL07:20 PMWAS +247
O 10.5		+500 +500
SD at CHW07:40 PMSD -129
O 8.5		+500 +500
MIN at COL08:10 PMCOL +166
U 11.5		+500 +500
NYY at KC08:10 PMKC +134
U 9.5		+500 +500
CHC at MIL08:10 PMCHC +104
U 8.5		+500 +500
CIN at STL08:15 PMCIN -112
O 9.0		+500 +500
OAK at LAA09:38 PMOAK +126
U 8.5		+500 +500
HOU at ARI09:40 PMARI -126
U 8.5		+500 +500
TEX at SEA10:10 PMTEX +104
O 7.5		+500 +500
LAD at SF10:15 PMSF +126
U 8.5		+500 +500
 
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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
09/29/202315-13-053.57%+1390Detail
09/28/20235-7-041.67%-1180Detail
09/27/202315-11-057.69%+1685Detail
09/26/202313-14-148.21%-1690Detail
09/25/20233-3-050.00%-250Detail
09/24/202320-10-066.67%+6185Detail
09/23/202316-10-061.54%+2985Detail
09/22/202315-12-155.36%+1815Detail
09/21/20238-8-150.00%-310Detail
09/20/202316-14-053.33%-855Detail
09/19/202317-12-158.33%+2465Detail
09/18/202311-10-152.27%-290Detail
09/17/202313-17-043.33%-2095Detail
09/16/202315-14-151.67%-420Detail
09/15/202314-15-148.33%-1445Detail
09/14/20236-6-050.00%+0Detail
09/13/202316-10-260.71%+2910Detail
09/12/202310-9-152.50%+985Detail
09/11/202311-9-055.00%+835Detail
09/10/202312-16-243.33%-2800Detail
09/09/202315-15-050.00%-1435Detail
09/08/202315-12-155.36%+1375Detail
09/04/20235-16-125.00%-6740Detail
09/03/20239-19-233.33%-5950Detail
09/02/202315-14-151.67%-645Detail
09/01/202310-18-035.71%-5860Detail
 
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SEPT'S MLB BEST BETS !

09/29/2023.............................12 - 8.............................60.00%.......................+ 27.45
09/28/2023..............................2 - 7..............................20.00%........................- 26.80
09/27/2023..............................8 - 12............................40.00%........................- 18.00
09/26/2023..............................9 - 11 -1.......................45.00%........................- 11.60
09/25/2023..............................2 - 2..............................50.00%.........................- 1.60
09/24/2023..............................15 - 10.........................60.00%.........................+ 35.75
09/23/2023..............................13 - 8...........................61.90%.........................+ 31.85
09/22/2023..............................12 - 9...........................57.14.............................+ 21.75
09/21/2023...............................6 - 7 ...........................46.15%..........................-4.30
09/20/2023..............................12 - 11 .........................52.17%..........................- 6.65
09/19/2023..............................8 - 10 - 1........................44.44%..........................- 4.35
09/18/2023...............................10- 7 -1........................58.82%..........................+ 15.75
09/17/2023...............................11 - 13..........................45.83%..........................- 5.05
09/16/2023................................8 - 9.............................47.05%...........................- 6.80
09/15/2023................................9 - 13- 1........................40.90%...........................- 20.60
09/14/2023................................6 - 5.............................54.54%...........................+ 5.30
09/13/2023...............................14 - 8 - 2........................63.63%...........................+ 33.85
09/12/2023................................7 - 8 - 1.........................46.66%...........................+ 1.15
09/11/2023................................9 - 6..............................60.00%.........................+ 16.55
09/10/2023................................7 - 15 - 1........................31,81%............................- 47.50
09/09/2023................................8 - 12............................40.00%..........................- 31.70
09/08/2023...............................14 - 8 - 1.........................63.63%............................+ 31.00
09/04/2023................................5 - 10.............................33.33%..........................- 31.05
09/03/2023...............................5 - 16 - 1.........................23.80%...........................- 61.35
09/02/2023...............................12 - 9 - 1.........................57.14%...........................+ 15.95
09/01/2023................................7 - 14.............................33.33%...........................- 39.50

TOTALS...................... ...........231 - 248 - 10.......................48.22%..........................- 91.61
 
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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Best NFL teams in the red zone this season (thru 3 weeks):
6.20— Ravens (62 points/10 drives)
6.00— Chiefs
5.93— Dolphins
5.89— Packers
5.75— Chargers
5.60— Bears (only five drives)

Quote of the Day
“Hope it’s up to your standards. I didn’t know I was a poor man’s anything.”
Jared Goff Thursday night, after Ryan Fitzpatrick called him “…..a poor man’s Matt Ryan”

Saturday’s quiz
Where did Jared Goff play his college football?

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Baltimore Orioles made the playoffs was in 2016; Buck Showalter was their manager.

Thursday’s quiz
When Michael Jordan played minor league baseball for the Birmingham Barons, he wore number 45.

***********************************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……​

— Marlins 4, Pirates 3
Miami trailed 3-0 in 8th inning, scored four runs in top of the 8th.

— Brewers 4, Cubs 3 (10)
Cubs tied game after trailing 3-0 in 8th inning.
Carlos Santana got the game-winning hit.
Cubs/Reds are tied, 1.5 games behind the Marlins for the last playoff spot.

— Astros 2, Arizona 1
Jose Urquidy got a spot start, threw six scoreless IP.
Jose Abreu’s two-run double was the game-winning hit.

— Mariners 8, Rangers 0— Seattle stays within a game of Houston in the Wild Card race; Texas leads the Astros by a game in AL West.

— Royals 12, New York 5— Carlos Rodon faced eight batters, threw 35 pitches, gave up six hits, walked two guys— all eight hitters scored. It was the worst start by any MLB pitcher since 2019, when Stephen Matz faced eight guys, and they all got on base.
Rodon is in the first year of a six-year, $162M contract. Yikes.

— San Francisco Giants fired manager Gabe Kapler Friday, two years after his Giants went 107-55; the other three years he managed the Giants:
2020— 29-31
2021— 107-55
2022— 81-81
2023— 78-81

— Texas Rangers have 30 saves this year; they’ve blown 33 saves. No bueno.

— Louisville 13, NC State 10
Wolfpack led 10-0 at halftime.
Cardinals outgained NC State 306-201; Wolfpack had only 9 first downs.
Louisville kicked a 53-yard FG with 5:32 left for the winning score.

— Oregon State 21, Utah 7
Beavers outgained Utah, 358-198
Utah’s starting QB still hasn’t played this season.
Both teams are 4-1 now.

— Louisiana Tech 24, UTEP 10
Tech led 17-7 at halftime.
Neither team completed half their passes
Tech was 3-11 on third down, UTEP 3-18.

— BYU 35, Cincinnati 27
First score of game was a pick-6 for BYU.
BYU QB Slovis threw TD passes of 22-59 yards.
Bearcats outgained BYU, 498-295

— Word of the Day: Quagmire- an awkward, complex, or hazardous situation.

— Los Angeles Chargers have their bye next week, in Week 5; the last nine years, Chargers are 1-8 ATS in the game before their bye.

— Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields is 5-23 SU/9-18-1 ATS as an NFL quarterback; Bears host Denver this week, a team that lost 70-20 last week, but Denver is favored by 3.5 points.

— Green Bay’s Jordan Love is 2-3 in his first five NFL starts.
Aaron Rodgers was 2-3 in his first five NFL starts; so was Brett Favre.

— 21 of the 32 head coaches in the NFL are in their first NFL head coaching job; guys who get fired in the NFL are more likely to go off to college jobs (Matt Rhule, Jim Mora Jr, Lane Kiffin, Nick Saban come to mind).
How come no one has given Dan Quinn another shot at being a head coach? Few years ago, the guy was winning a Super Bowl 28-3. You’d think he would get hired by someone.

— Only one 0-4 NFL team made the playoffs that year: the 1992 San Diego Chargers.

— Thru Thursday’s games, 1,137 baseball games went over the total this season, 1,136 games stayed under the total.

— Minnesota Twins have struck out 1,629 times this season, the most by any team, ever.

— A reminder that this Sunday, the last day of baseball’s regular season, every game starts at 3:00 Eastern time.

— Best college football teams against the spread:
4-0 ATS: Liberty, Oklahoma, Oregon, Penn State, UNLV
3-0-1 ATS: Rutgers, Syracuse

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they start Tuesday):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards- Phillies, Arizona, Marlins
AL: Orioles, Twins, Rangers. Wild Cards- Rays, Blue Jays, Astros
 
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DETROIT is 73-48 SU (20.2 Units) in home games in day games in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 186-179 SU (-10.9 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.

NY METS are 15-3 SU (11.7 Units) in home games as an underdog of +100 to +150 in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 10-0 SU (10 Units) in home games when playing with a day off in the current season.

BALTIMORE is 179-131 SU (34.9 Units) in night games in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 54-85 SU (-39.5 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

NY METS are 15-3 SU (11.7 Units) in home games as an underdog of +100 to +150 in the current season.

KANSAS CITY is 71-51 SU (14.9 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 37-48 SU (-15.8 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 82-53 Under (23.7 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 48-27 Under (18.3 Units) in home games in day games in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 131-162 SU (-47.2 Units) in night games in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 16-28 SU (-14.8 Units) in road games when playing on Saturday in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 61-34 SU (23.6 Units) in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

LA DODGERS are 17-5 SU (11.5 Units) in road games when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the current season.

LA ANGELS are 142-102 Under (29.8 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
 
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