Cnotes 2023 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

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COLORADO is 58-73 SU (-22.3 Units) in road games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 31-54 SU (-28.4 Units) in home games when the money line is +125 to -125 in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 108-83 Under (16.7 Units) in home games in all games in the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 31-42 SU (-15.2 Units) in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 48-31 SU (13.1 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

BALTIMORE is 10-2 Over (7.8 Units) in road games against division opponents in the current season.

BOSTON is 235-222 SU (-9.2 Units) in home games against AL West opponents since 1996.

TERRY FRANCONA is 71-59 SU (6.1 Units) in home games when playing on Wednesday (Manager of CLEVELAND)

KANSAS CITY is 64-83 SU (-27.3 Units) in road games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 45-75 SU (-37.5 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 151-174 SU (-40.4 Units) in road games in July games since 1996.

LA ANGELS are 32-48 SU (-20.8 Units) in road games when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 55-30 SU (22 Units) in road games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

NY METS are 53-82 SU (-37.2 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

LA DODGERS are 37-19 Under (16.1 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.
 

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MLB

Wednesday, July 5


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Trend Report
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, July 5

National League
Cincinnati
(47-39) @ Washington (34-51)
— Ashcraft is 0-3, 10.38 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 3-3 in his road starts.
— over 8-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-3
— He gave up a run in 7 IP, in his one start vs Washington.


— Reds are 18-4 in their last 22 games.
— Cincinnati is 24-18 on road.
— over 26-14 last 40 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-86
— record in first 5 innings: 33-34-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.1-4-4


— Gray is 2-0, 0.79 in his last two starts.
— Nationals are 8-5 in his last 13 starts.
— over 4-0 last four home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-1
— He allowed 2 runs in 6 IP, in his first start vs Cincinnati.


— Nationals are 6-4 in last ten games.
— Washington is 13-29 at home.
— under 3-2-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 28-85
— record in first 5 innings: 30-45-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4


St Louis (35-50) @ Miami (50-37)
— Cardinals haven’t announced a starter.


— Cardinals are 2-5 in their last seven games.
— Cardinals are 18-25 on road.
— under 9-6 last 15 road games
— scored run in first inning: 30-85
— record in first 5 innings: 32-38-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-1.1-4.2


— Hoeing is 0-1, 4.97 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 3-2 in his starts
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He hasn’t pitched against St Louis.


— Miami lost three of its last five games.
— Marlins are 27-16 at home
— over 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-87
— record in first 5 innings: 38-31-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-3


Cubs (39-45) @ Milwaukee (46-40)
— Steele is 3-0, 1.56 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 9-6 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-3
— He is 1-2, 2.23 in nine starts vs Milwaukee.


— Cubs lost seven of their last nine games.
— Chicago is 18-23 on road.
— under 7-4-1 last 12 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-84
— record in first 5 innings: 38-35-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4.1-4


— Houser is 2-1, 4.24 in his last three starts.
— Brewers are 5-3 in his starts.
— under 6-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-1
— He is 2-2, 4.54 in six starts vs Chicago.


— Brewers are 12-6 in their last 18 games.
— Milwaukee is 23-19 at home.
— over 4-0-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 25-86
— record in first 5 innings: 38-38-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-5


NY Mets (39-46) @ Arizona (50-36)
— Senga is 0-2, 5.29 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 1-3 in his last four road starts.
— under 9-2 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.


— Mets won their last three games.
— Mets are 19-27 on road.
— under 4-2-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 16-85
— record in first 5 innings: 38-38-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-x-3


— Henry is 2-0, 1.96 in his last three starts.
— Arizona won his last seven starts.
— under 3-2-1 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 8-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.


— Arizona is 2-4 in its last six games.
— Arizona is 24-21 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 32-86
— record in first 5 innings: 40-32-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-x-3.1


Pittsburgh (40-45) @ Los Angeles (47-38)
— Bido is 0-1, 4.74 in four starts.
— Pirates are 1-3 in his starts
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.


— Pirates are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Pittsburgh is 18-24 on road.
— over 5-1-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 21-85
— record in first 5 innings: 34-39-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x-5.2


— Miller is 1-1, 10.05 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 5-2 in his starts
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.


— Dodgers are 4-5 in their last nine games.
— Dodgers are 25-16 at home.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 34-85
— record in first 5 innings: 41-35-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-5-5.1
 

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American League
Baltimore
(49-35) @ Bronx (48-38)
— Kremer is 1-1, 7.80 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 10-4 in his last 14 starts
— over 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 9-17
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-2
— He is 1-3, 5.61 in seven starts vs New York.

— Orioles are 7-11 in their last 18 games.
— Baltimore is 23-17 on road.
— over 9-4 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 18-84
— record in first 5 innings: 36-34-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-2

— bullpen game

— New York is 5-2 in its last seven games.
— Bronx is 27-19 at home.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 22-85
— record in first 5 innings: 39-30-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.2-4

Texas (51-35) @ Boston (43-43)
— Gray is 1-0, 2.89 in his last three starts.
— Texas is 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
— over 3-1-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 13-2-2
— He allowed 2 runs in 7.1 IP, in his one start vs Boston.

— Texas is 4-7 in its last eleven games.
— Rangers are 24-17 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 26-86
— record in first 5 innings: 54-22-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-7.2-3

— Bello is 2-1, 1.63 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 8-5 in his starts.
— under 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-2
— He threw 6 shutout IP in his one start vs Texas.

— Red Sox won three of last four games.
— Boston is 21-22 at home.
— under 5-1 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-85
— record in first 5 innings: 30-44-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8-x-7.2

Kansas City
(25-61) @ Minnesota (44-43)
Marsh allowed 5 runs in 4 IP in his first start.
— Royals are 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.

— Royals split their last six games.
— Royals are 12-30 on the road.
— over 6-1 last seven
— scored run in first inning: 29-86
— record in first 5 innings: 23-50-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-2.2

— Lopez is 1-2, 3.82 in his last five starts.
— Twins are 6-2 in his home starts.
— over 5-2 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-3
— He is 2-1, 4.08 in three starts vs Kansas City.

— Twins are 4-1 in their last five games.
— Minnesota is 25-19 at home.
— under 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 22-87
— record in first 5 innings: 36-36-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-2

Oakland (24-63) @ Detroit (37-47)
— Waldichuk is 1-5, 6.78 in 19 games (11 starts) TY.
— Sometimes he starts, sometimes he’s a bulk guy.
— A’s are 5-6 in his starts
— under 6-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit

— A’s are 4-3 in their last seven games.
— Oakland is 12-31 on the road.
— over 8-3-1 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-87
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 21-51-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-2.2

— Rodriguez is 0-2, 5.06 in his last three starts.
— His last start was May 28th.
— Tigers are 5-6 in his starts
— under 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 0-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-3
— He is 2-3, 3.99 in eight starts vs Oakland.

— Detroit is 10-8 in its last 18 games.
— Tigers are 18-22 at home.
— over 15-6-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-84
— record in first 5 innings: 28-39-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-6

Toronto (45-40) @ White Sox (37-49)
— Berrios is 1-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
— Blue Jays are 8-3 in his last 11 starts
— under 7-3 last ten starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-2
— He is 13-6, 3.26 in 23 starts vs Chicago.

— Toronto lost three of last four games.
— Blue Jays are 23-22 on road.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 23-86
— record in first 5 innings: 34-36-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-3

— Lynn is 1-1, 5.30 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 7-4 in his last 11 starts.
— over 12-5
— allowed run in first inning: 8-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10
— He is 2-4, 4.58 in ten starts vs Toronto

— Chicago is 8-14 in its last 22 games.
— White Sox are 20-21 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 22-87
— record in first 5 innings: 33-42-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-x-3

Interleague games
Colorado
(33-54) @ Houston (48-38)
— Anderson is 0-3, 21.22 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 4-5 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-2
— He threw 5 shutout IP in his one start vs Houston.

— Rockies lost 14 of last 18 games.
— Colorado is 13-30 on the road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 24-87
— record in first 5 innings: 26-48-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-1.2

— France is 2-2, 2.73 in his last four starts.
— Houston is 4-6 in his starts.
— under 5-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Astros are 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Houston is 23-19 at home.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 31-86
— record in first 5 innings: 45-29-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4.2-2

Philadelphia (45-39) @ Tampa Bay (57-31)
— Walker is 5-0, 0.84 in his last five starts.
— Phillies are 12-5 in his starts.
— under 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-3
— He is 0-0, 7.00 in two starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Phillies are 19-7 in their last 26 games.
— Phillies are 23-23 on the road.
— under 11-3-3 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-84
— record in first 5 innings: 37-37-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-1.2

— Chrinos is 4-3, 3.64 in 12 games (4 starts).
— Sometimes he starts, sometimes he is bulk guy.
— He hasn’t pitched against Philadelphia.

— Tampa Bay lost its last three games.
— Rays are 34-11 at home.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-88
— record in first 5 innings: 52-27-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-4.2-2

LA Angels (45-43) @ San Diego (40-46)
— Sandoval is 1-6, 5.98 in his last eight starts.
— Angels are 5-10 in his starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-1
— This is his first start against San Diego

— Angels are 5-11 in their last 16 games.
— Angels are 22-23 on road.
— under 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-88
— record in first 5 innings: 38-36-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3

— Lugo is 0-2, 4.50 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 4-7 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-2
— This is his first start against Anaheim.

— Padres are 3-1 in their last four games.
— San Diego is 22-22 at home.
— over 13-5-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-86
— record in first 5 innings: 38-38-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-2

Seattle (42-42) @ San Francisco (46-40)
— Milone allowed a run in 4.2 IP in his first ‘23 starts.
— 36-year old Milone is 53-52, 4.59 in 147 starts.
— Seattle is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 1-0, 5.40 in two starts vs San Francisco.

— Seattle won its last four games.
— Mariners are 18-22 on the road.
— over 9-3 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-84
— record in first 5 innings: 38-34-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-x

— bullpen game

— Giants are 1-6 in their last seven games.
— San Francisco is 23-21 at home
— under 6-2-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 24-86
— record in first 5 innings: 38-34-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-2.1-5

Atlanta (57-28) @ Cleveland (42-43)
— Soroka is 1-1, 7.04 in three starts.
— Braves are 2-1 in his starts
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— This is his first start against Cleveland.

— Atlanta is 25-5 in its last 30 games.
— Braves are 27-13 on the road.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 36-85
— record in first 5 innings: 51-23-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-2.1-4.2

— Quantrill is 0-3, 15.43 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 6-6 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 2-9-1
— He is 0-1, 1.54 in two starts vs Atlanta.

— Guardians are 10-5 in their last 15 games.
— Cleveland is 21-20 at home.
— over 7-5 last 12 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-85
— record in first 5 innings: 33-36-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.1-5.1

Umpires
— Chi-Mil— Visitor is 6-2 in last eight Fletcher games.
— Cin-Wsh— Underdog is 6-1 in last seven Wolcott games.
— StL-Mia— Underdog is 4-2 in last six Nelson games
— NY-Ariz— Underdog is 8-3 in last 11 Barksdale games
— Pitt-LA— Road team is 12-4 in Vondrak games.

— A’s-Det— Favorites won last six Ortiz games
— Balt-NYY— Over is 3-1 in last four Beck games
— Tex-Bos— Under is 5-1 in last six Porter games
— KC-Minn— Under is 12-2 in Cuzzi games.
— Tor-CWS— Under is 8-1 in last nine Guccione games

— Colo-Hst— Over is 5-1 in last six Baker games
— Phil-TB— Favorites are 14-2 in Rackley games
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Atl-Clev— Over is 3-0-1 in last four Jimenez games
— LAA-SD— Favorites are 11-1 in last 12 Layne games
— Sea-SF— Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Marquez games.
 

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Pending Picks

WEDNESDAY, JULY 5

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
COL at HOU02:10 PMHOU -220
U 9.0
+500 +500
OAK at DET06:40 PMOAK +185
U 8.5
+500 +500
PHI at TB06:40 PMTB -125
U 9.0
+500 +500
STL at MIA06:40 PMMIA -115
O 9.0
+500 +500
CIN at WAS07:05 PMWAS +100
U 9.5
+500 +500
BAL at NYY07:05 PMBAL -115
U 9.5
+500 +500
TEX at BOS07:10 PMBOS -105
U 9.5
+500 +500
ATL at CLE07:10 PMATL -165
U 10.0
+500 +500
KC at MIN07:40 PMMIN -260
O 8.5
+500 +500
TOR at CHW08:10 PMCHW +100
U 9.0
+500 +500
CHC at MIL08:10 PMCHC -150
U 8.5
+500 +500
LAA at SD08:40 PMLAA +160
O 8.5
+500 +500
SEA at SF09:05 PMSF -165
O 8.0
+500 +500
NYM at ARI09:40 PMNYM +100
O 9.5
+500 +500
PIT at LAD10:10 PMPIT +210
O 9.0
+500 +500
 

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MLB JULY'S BEST BETS !

07/05/2023.............................7 - 10...............................41.17%.........................- 15.25
07/04/2023............................13 - 5................................72.22%.........................+ 44.75
07/03/2023..............................7 - 4................................63.63%........................+ 14.00
07/02/2023.........................7 - 9 - 1.................................43.75%.........................- 19.00
07/012023..............................12 - 6................................66.66%........................+ 29.00


TOTALS............................46 - 34 - 1...............................57.50%..........................+ 53.50
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
All-time home run leaders for the Seattle Mariners
417— Ken Griffey Jr
309— Edgar Martinez
307— Jay Buhner
242— Kyle Seager
189— Alex Rodriguez
163— Nelson Cruz

Quote of the Day
“Getting a little taste of one snap in the NFL. it’s almost like the biggest tease of all teases, right? You’re just there to kneel the ball down, not even there to actually run a play or hand it off. I definitely have just learned to take every moment for what it is and enjoy where you’re at in this present moment and understand the capabilities and things that you could endure throughout the life and just be able to approach every day like it’s your last.”
Toronto Argonauts’ QB Chad Kelly, who has played in one NFL game

Thursday’s quiz
What number did Cal Ripken Jr wear when he played for the Orioles?
Wednesday’s quiz

In the movie Invincible, the true story about a 30-year old bartender who makes the Eagles as a special teams player, Greg Kinnear plays Philadelphia coach Dick Vermeil.

Tuesday’s quiz
Evan Longoria has hit the most home runs ever by a Tampa Bay Ray.

*****************************************************

Thursday’s Den: NFL trends, with training camp around the corner

— Las Vegas
Raiders were 6-11 last year, 4-9 in games decided by 8 or less points.
Last three years, over is 17-7-1 in Raider home games.
Las Vegas is 8-15 ATS in last 23 games as a home favorite.

— LA Chargers
Chargers are #1 in NFL in salary spent on defensive players.
12 of their 17 games LY (7-5) were decided by 8 or less points.
Chargers ran 41 plays inside opponents’ 5-yard line; 21 of them were passes.

— Rams
Rams lost four games last year that they led at halftime.
Rams were outscored 176-111 in second half, 107-63 in 4th quarter.
Four different quarterbacks started a game LY; the subs were 2-6.

— Miami
Last three years, Dolphins are 18-7 ATS at home, 10-4 when favored.
Last three years, Dolphins are 16-10 ATS as an underdog.
Miami played 11 games LY (6-5) decided by 8 or less points.

— Minnesota
Vikings were 11-0 last year in games decided by 8 or less points.
Minnesota outscored opponents 150-81 in fourth quarter.
Last three years, over is 18-7 in Minnesota home games.

— New England
Since Brady left Foxboro, Patriots are 25-25 SU in regular season.
Last three years, New England is 8-14 ATS as an underdog.
Last year, Patriots were outscored 162-138 in 4th quarter.

— New Orleans
Saints were minus-11 in turnovers LY, with only 14 takeaways.
New Orleans is 6-10 ATS in its last 16 sixteen home games.
Last two years, under is 21-13 in Saints games.

— Giants
Giants were 9-7-1 LY; they were favored in only five games.
Big Blue were 8-4 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Giants ran 31 plays inside opponents’ 5-yard line; 28 of them were runs.

— Jets
Last three years, Jets are 7-18 SU at home.
Jets scored only 41 first quarter points last year (60-41)
Gang Green was minus-7 in turnovers LY (23-16)

— Philadelphia
Last two years, Eagles are 12-5 ATS at home.
QB Hurts ran ball 44 times in red zone last year, 20 times inside 5-yard line.
Eagles lost both of last year’s coordinators to head coaching jobs.

— Pittsburgh
Last three years, Steelers are 14-9 ATS as an underdog.
Last two years, under is 11-5-1 in games at Heinz Field.
LY, Harris ran ball 42 times in red zone; next highest was 13.

— San Francisco
49ers were 13-4 LY; only four of their games were decided by 8 or less points.
Niners were 10-5 ATS as a favorite LY (9-13 ATS in 2020-21)
49ers were +13 (30-17) in turnovers last year.

— Seattle
Underdogs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home games.
Seahawks were 4-6 LY in games decided by 8 or less points, 3-0 in games decided by 3 or less.
Since 2016, Seattle has drafted nine running backs, most in the NFL.

— Tampa Bay
LY, Bucs won four games they trailed at half, lost three games they led at half.
Last two years, Tampa Bay is 5-10 ATS as a road favorite.
With Brady gone, Bucs are #32 in NFL in salaries spent on QB’s,

— Tennessee
Last two years, Titans were 11-5 ATS as an underdog.
Tennessee was outscored 184-94 in second half last year.
Henry ran ball 40 times in red zone LY; next highest was 7 rushes.

— Washington
Last three years, Commanders are 9-6 ATS as a favorite.
Last three years, Commanders are 10-15 SU at home.
Washington was 5-3 LY in games decided by 8 or less points.
 

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WASHINGTON is 20-35 SU (-18.5 Units) in July games in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 63-42 SU (16.8 Units) in home games in day games in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO CUBS are 12-3 SU (8.7 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the current season.

ST LOUIS are 595-502 Over (42.8 Units) on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 since 1996.

TAMPA BAY is 9-1 SU (7.9 Units) in home games against left-handed starters in the current season.

BALTIMORE is 11-2 Over (8.8 Units) in road games against division opponents in the current season.

KANSAS CITY is 64-84 SU (-28.4 Units) in road games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS are 45-24 Over (18.6 Units) as a favorite of -125 to -175 in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 46-22 SU (21.8 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 36-55 SU (-24.5 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 54-47 SU (2.3 Units) as a favorite of -110 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

LA DODGERS are 114-95 SU (9.5 Units) in home games as a favorite of -110 or higher in the last 3 seasons.
 

Udog

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 6

National League
Cincinnati
(48-39) @ Washington (34-52)
— Williamson is 0-2, 6.00 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 6-3 in his starts.
— over 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.


— Reds are 19-4 in their last 23 games.
— Cincinnati is 25-18 on road.
— over 27-14 last 41 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-87
— record in first 5 innings: 34-34-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-4


— Gore is 1-2, 6.05 in his last four starts.
— Nationals are 2-13 in his last 15 starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-5
— He is 2-0, 0.90 in two starts vs Cincinnati.


— Nationals are 1-4 in last five games.
— Washington is 13-30 at home.
— over 3-1-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 29-86
— record in first 5 innings: 30-46-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-4


Cubs (40-45) @ Milwaukee (46-41)
— Stroman is 0-2, 11.00 in his last two starts.
— Cubs are 10-8 in his starts.
— under 6-1-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-4
— He is 3-1, 2.01 in six starts vs Milwaukee.


— Cubs lost seven of their last ten games.
— Chicago is 19-23 on road.
— under 8-4-1 last 13 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-85
— record in first 5 innings: 38-35-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4-3


— Peralta is 0-3, 4.73 in his last six starts.
— Brewers are 7-9 in his starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-2
— He is 5-1, 3.17 in nine starts vs Chicago.


— Brewers are 12-7 in their last 19 games.
— Milwaukee is 23-20 at home.
— over 4-1-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 25-87
— record in first 5 innings: 38-38-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-4


St Louis (35-51) @ Miami (51-37)
— Flaherty is 2-1, 4.76 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— over 11-2 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-2
— He is 1-2, 3.50 in three starts vs Miami.


— Cardinals are 2-6 in their last eight games.
— Cardinals are 18-26 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 30-86
— record in first 5 innings: 32-38-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.1-4.2-8


— Perez was 5-1, 1.47 in his first nine starts.
— In his last start, he gave up six runs in 0.1 IP
— Marlins are 5-5 in his starts
— under 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against St Louis.


— Miami won its last three games.
— Marlins are 28-16 at home
— over 5-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-88
— record in first 5 innings: 38-31-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-6


NY Mets (40-46) @ Arizona (50-37)
— Carrasco is 0-1, 6.55 in his last five starts.
— Mets lost all five of those games.
— over 6-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-1
— He is 1-0, 1.29 in three games (2 starts) vs Arizona.


— Mets won their last four games.
— Mets are 20-27 on road.
— under 5-2-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 16-86
— record in first 5 innings: 38-38-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-1


— Nelson is 2-0, 1.26 in his last two starts.
— Arizona is 7-3 in his last ten starts.
— under 4-1-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-3
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.


— Arizona is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— Arizona is 24-22 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 32-87
— record in first 5 innings: 40-32-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-3


Pittsburgh (40-46) @ Los Angeles (48-38)
— Oviedo is 0-5, 5.34 in his last five starts.
— Pirates are 6-11 in his starts
— under 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 8-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
— He is 1-0, 6.75 in two games (1 start) vs Los Angeles.


— Pirates are 5-4 in their last nine games.
— Pittsburgh is 18-25 on road.
— over 6-1-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 22-86
— record in first 5 innings: 34-40-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-5.2-4


— Urias is 0-2, 16.50 in his last two starts.
— Dodgers are 6-5 in his starts
— over 4-2-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-1
— He is 3-3, 4.17 in eight games (5 starts) vs Pittsburgh.


— Dodgers split their last ten games.
— Dodgers are 26-16 at home.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 34-86
— record in first 5 innings: 42-35-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5.1-3.1
 

Udog

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American League
Oakland
(25-63) @ Detroit (37-48)
— Harris is 2-2, 5.17 in eight games (3 starts) TY.
— Sometimes he starts, sometimes he’s a bulk guy.
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit

— A’s are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Oakland is 13-31 on the road.
— over 9-3-1 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 24-88
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 22-51-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.2-4.2

— Lorenzen is 0-4, 6.27 in his last five starts.
— Tigers lost his last six starts
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-4
— He is 3-0, 0.35 in five games (4 starts) vs Oakland.

— Detroit is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Tigers are 18-23 at home.
— over 16-6-1 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-85
— record in first 5 innings: 28-40-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6-5

Toronto (45-40) @ White Sox (37-49)
— Berrios is 1-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
— Blue Jays are 8-3 in his last 11 starts
— under 7-3 last ten starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-2
— He is 13-6, 3.26 in 23 starts vs Chicago.

— Kikuchi is 1-1, 3.12 in his last three starts.
— Blue Jays are 11-6 in his starts
— over 7-4-1 last dozen starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-2
— He is 2-1, 4.82 in four starts vs Chicago.

— Toronto lost three of last four games.
— Blue Jays are 23-22 on road.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 23-86
— record in first 5 innings: 34-36-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-x

— Lynn is 1-1, 5.30 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 7-4 in his last 11 starts.
— over 12-5
— allowed run in first inning: 8-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10
— He is 2-4, 4.58 in ten starts vs Toronto

— bullpen game

— Chicago is 8-14 in its last 22 games.
— White Sox are 20-21 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 22-87
— record in first 5 innings: 33-42-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-x


Baltimore
(50-35) @ Bronx (48-39)
— Bradish is 2-2, 2.16 in his last four starts.
— Orioles are 9-6 in his starts
— under 5-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-2
— He is 0-1, 5.02 in three starts vs New York.

— Orioles are 8-11 in their last 19 games.
— Baltimore is 24-17 on road.
— over 9-4-1 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 18-85
— record in first 5 innings: 36-35-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-2

— Severino is 1-1, 7.77 in his last five starts.
— New York is 4-4 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-3
— He is 7-1, 3.39 in ten starts vs Baltimore.

— New York is 5-3 in its last eight games.
— Bronx is 27-20 at home.
— over 5-2-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 22-86
— record in first 5 innings: 40-30-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4-4

Texas (51-35) @ Boston (43-43)
— Eovaldi is 1-0, 2.89 in his last three starts.
— Texas is 6-4 in his road starts.
— over 3-1-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 13-2-2
— He is 3-0, 4.45 in six starts vs Boston.
— He pitched for the Red Sox from 2018-22.

— Texas is 4-8 in its last dozen games.
— Rangers are 24-18 on road.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 26-87
— record in first 5 innings: 54-23-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.2-3-2

— Crawford is 2-1, 3.24 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 3-5 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— This is his first start vs Texas.

— Red Sox won four of last five games.
— Boston is 22-22 at home.
— under 6-1 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-86
— record in first 5 innings: 31-44-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-7.2-2

Kansas City
(25-62) @ Cleveland (42-44)
Lyles is 1-1, 6.00 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 1-15 in his starts.
— over 5-3 road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 11-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10-2
— He is 2-1, 4.67 in three starts vs Cleveland.

— Royals are 3-7 in their last ten games.
— Royals are 12-31 on the road.
— over 6-2 last eight
— scored run in first inning: 29-87
— record in first 5 innings: 23-51-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2.2-3

— Bibee is 3-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 6-6 in his starts.
— under 5-1 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Guardians are 10-6 in their last 16 games.
— Cleveland is 21-21 at home.
— under 6-4 last 10 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-86
— record in first 5 innings: 33-37-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-5.1-4.2

Seattle (42-43) @ Houston (49-38)
— Kirby is 2-2, 3.08 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 2-6 in his road starts.
— under 8-5 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-2.
— He gave up 2 runs in 4 IP, in his one start vs Houston.

— Seattle won four of its last five games.
— Mariners are 18-23 on the road.
— over 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-85
— record in first 5 innings: 38-35-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-3.2

— Houston hasn’t named a starter.

— Astros are 8-2 in their last ten games.
— Houston is 24-19 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 31-87
— record in first 5 innings: 46-29-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4.2-2-3

Interleague games
Philadelphia
(46-39) @ Tampa Bay (57-32)
— Sanchez is 0-2, 3.72 in four starts.
— Phillies are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Phillies are 20-7 in their last 27 games.
— Phillies are 24-23 on the road.
— under 11-4-3 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-85
— record in first 5 innings: 38-37-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-1.2-2

— bullpen game

— Tampa Bay lost its last four games.
— Rays are 34-12 at home.
— over 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-89
— record in first 5 innings: 52-28-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-2-6.1
 

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Thursday, July 6


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Trend Report
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Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,137
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48

THURSDAY, JULY 6

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CIN at WAS01:05 PMCIN +100
U 10.0
+500 +500
OAK at DET01:10 PMOAK +145
U 9.0
+500 +500
CHC at MIL02:10 PMCHC -110
U 8.0
+500 +500
TOR at CHW05:10 PMTOR -125
O 9.0
+500 +500
PHI at TB06:40 PMTB -135
U 9.0
+500 +500
STL at MIA06:40 PMMIA -130
O 8.0
+500 +500
BAL at NYY07:05 PMNYY +110
O 8.5
+500 +500
TEX at BOS07:10 PMTEX -140
U 10.0
+500 +500
KC at CLE07:10 PMKC +180
O 9.0
+500 +500
NYM at ARI09:40 PMARI -140
O 10.0
+500 +500
PIT at LAD10:10 PMPIT +195
U 8.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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Pending Picks

DateLeagueGameScoreStatusPick
Jul 6, 2023MLBBaltimore
NY Yankees
-
-
07:05 PMBAL -130
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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48

Completed Picks

DateLeagueGameScorePickOutcome
Jul 6, 2023MLBBaltimore
NY Yankees
14
1
BAL -130Win
Jul 5, 2023WNBAPhoenix
New York
95
99
NY -15.0Loss
Jul 4, 2023MLBNY Mets
Arizona
8
5
Under 9.5Loss
Jul 3, 2023MLBSeattle
San Francisco
6
5
Over 7.5Win
Jul 2, 2023MLBSan Francisco
NY Mets
4
8
Over 9.0Win
Jul 1, 2023MLBLA Dodgers
Kansas City
4
6
Over 9.5Win
 
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