Cnotes 2023 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

Cnotes53

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MLB JULY'S BEST BETS !

07/06/2023.............................4 - 11...............................26.66%.........................- 41.25
07/05/2023.............................7 - 10...............................41.17%.........................- 15.25
07/04/2023............................13 - 5................................72.22%.........................+ 44.75
07/03/2023..............................7 - 4................................63.63%........................+ 14.00
07/02/2023.........................7 - 9 - 1.................................43.75%.........................- 19.00
07/012023..............................12 - 6................................66.66%........................+ 29.00


TOTALS............................50 - 45 - 1...............................52.63%..........................+ 12.25
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack:

Odds to win the NBA’s Las Vegas summer league:
6-1— Oklahoma City
8-1— Detroit, Portland
10-1— Indiana
12-1— Charlotte
14-1— Houston
16-1— Sacramento, San Antonio

Quote of the Day
“Trying to fix things quickly takes a long time.”
Oklahoma City Thunder GM Sam Presti

Friday’s quiz
Rams have played in five Super Bowls; four different guys started at QB in those five games, with Kurt Warner starting twice. Who are the other three quarterbacks?

Thursday’s quiz
Cal Ripken Jr wore number 8 when he played for the Orioles.

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Invincible, the true story about a 30-year old bartender who makes the Eagles as a special teams player, Greg Kinnear plays Philadelphia coach Dick Vermeil.

*******************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

— Back in January, I dumped DirecTV for YouTube TV, so I had forgotten about this, but the FOX channel in Albany is still blacked out on DirecTV, and now I’m told the ABC channel in Albany is also off DirecTV. Channel 10 is one of the main college football channels, so people who like sports are likely to be dumping DirecTV as autumn approaches.

— Miami Marlins are 51-38 as we approach the All-Star break; they’re the #1 Wild Card team in the NL right now. Marlins have played 20 games this season that were tied after five innings; they’re 14-6 in those 20 games.

— Manager of the Year race in the National League will be interesting:
Arizona is 50-38, hanging on to first place in the NL West; the last three years, they were 151-233, so Tory Lovullo is a candidate.

Cincinnati is 49-39, in first place in NL Central; they were 62-100 last year, have made the playoffs once since 2014. David Bell is a candidate.

Miami is 51-38; they’ve been in the playoffs once in the last 20 years— that was the shortened season in 2020. They haven’t won a playoff game since they won the 2003 World Series. That makes Skip Schumaker a candidate.

— Major league attendance is up 8.4% so far this season, a good sign for the sport. They’ve done a great job selling the rule changes.

— On June 23, 1971, a pitcher named Rick Wise threw a no-hitter; he also hit two home runs in that game. Pretty good night.

Rick Wise pitched 18 years in the big leagues, had a 188-181 record. He made two All-Star teams, and went 17-14 during that 1971 season.

After that season, he was traded even up for Steve Carlton, that’s how good he was. He wound up in Boston in 1975 and helped the Red Sox get to the World Series.

Rick Wise had an underrated career; if he played for a New York team on June 23, 1971, he’d be a freakin’ legend now.

Brewers 6, Cubs 5 (10)— Victor Ceratini hit a walk-off homer; Milwaukee led 4-1 after five innings, but blew the lead.

— Tampa Bay/Texas are both in first place, but they’re limping into the All-Star break.

Rangers are 4-9 in their last 13 games; Tampa Bay has lost five games in a row. All-Star break is coming at just the right time for both teams.

Mets 9, Arizona 0— Francisco Lindor went 5-for-5, with two triples and a homer. Mets and their $375M payroll have won five in a row, as they head to San Diego for the weekend.

— Back in 2019, Patrick Mahomes threw 26 TD passes; those 26 passes were in the air an average of 17.3 yards.

Last year, Mahomes threw 41 TD passes; only one of those 41 passes was in the air more than 19 yards.

— NBA Summer League starts today in Las Vegas; Toronto Raptors have turned a conference room at the Wynn Hotel into a practice facility. If you like the NBA, good idea to take a trip to Las Vegas some year and watch the summer league in person.

— West Virginia transfer Okonkwo has bolted from Morgantown to North Carolina. He played in 31 games last year for the Mountaineers, playing 11 minutes/game, and has two years of eligibility left.

Tar Heels have now added five transfers this offseason.

— 6’3 Serbian guard Djordje Curcic has committed to the Saint Louis Billikens, Travis Ford’s third international recruit in the last month.

— Movie of the Day: Good Will Hunting (1997)— A custodian at M.I.T., has a gift for math, but needs help from a psychologist to find direction in his life.

Matt Damon is the custodian; Ben Affleck is his best friend. Robin Williams is the psychologist; he is great in this movie.

— College football bowl trend of the day: favorites covered seven of last eight Cotton Bowls.

— Random golf trivia: Andrew Magee is the only golfer ever to get a hole-in-one on a par-4 hole during a PGA tournament. He aced the 17th hole at the 2001 Phoenix Open.

— Happy 77th birthday to Fred Dryer, who played 13 years in the NFL, then became an actor— he was the star of the NBC series Hunter, from 1984-91.

Dryer played for the 1979 NFC champ Rams; he is the only NFL player ever to record two safeties in the same game.

Happy birthday Fred!!!
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Friday, July 7


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MIAMI is 31-55 SU (-29.5 Units) in home games when the money line is +125 to -125 in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 151-175 SU (-41.5 Units) in road games in July games since 1996.

TAMPA BAY is 34-27 SU (8 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

NY YANKEES are 6-24 SU (-20.4 Units) in home games when playing on Friday in the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS are 45-24 Over (18.6 Units) as a favorite of -125 to -175 in the last 3 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 64-85 SU (-29.5 Units) in road games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

OAKLAND is 22-8 SU (13.2 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 46-75 SU (-36.5 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 46-23 SU (20.7 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 17-42 SU (-29.2 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 595-502 Over (42.8 Units) on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 since 1996.

PITTSBURGH is 7-15 SU (-14 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

SAN DIEGO is 8-1 SU (6.9 Units) after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse in the current season.

LA DODGERS are 43-33 SU (6.7 Units) in home games as a favorite of -125 to -175 in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 84-50 SU (29 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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MLB

Friday, July 7


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Trend Report
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Udog

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, July 7

National League
Philadelphia
(47-39) @ Miami (51-38)
— Wheeler is 3-0, 4.03 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 11-6 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-2
— He is 10-4, 2.37 in 20 starts vs Miami.


— Phillies are 21-7 in their last 28 games.
— Phillies are 25-23 on the road.
— under 12-4-3 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-86
— record in first 5 innings: 38-37-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-2-5


— Alcantara is 1-2, 5.54 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 5-3 in his last eight starts
— over 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
— He is 6-8, 3.79 in 17 starts vs Philadelphia.


— Miami won three of its last four games.
— Marlins are 28-17 at home
— over 5-2 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-89
— record in first 5 innings: 38-31-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6-3


Cincinnati (49-39) @ Milwaukee (47-41)
— Abbott is 4-0, 1.21 in six starts.
— Reds are 6-0 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0-3
— He blanked Milwaukee for 6 IP June 5th.


— Reds are 20-4 in their last 24 games.
— Cincinnati is 26-18 on road.
— over 27-15 last 42 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-88
— record in first 5 innings: 34-35-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-7


— Burnes is 1-1, 6.08 in his last four starts.
— Brewers are 4-4 in his home starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-4
— He is 2-1, 2.77 in five starts vs Cincinnati.


— Brewers are 13-7 in their last 20 games.
— Milwaukee is 24-20 at home.
— over 5-1-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 25-88
— record in first 5 innings: 39-38-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-3.2


Pittsburgh (40-47) @ Arizona (50-38)
— Hill is 1-3, 6.65 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 4-7 in his last 11 starts
— over 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-2
— He is 1-7, 5.86 in 12 starts vs Arizona.


— Pirates are 1-5 in their last six games.
— Pittsburgh is 18-26 on road.
— over 6-2-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 22-87
— record in first 5 innings: 34-40-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-4-1.1


— Gallen is 3-1, 3.33 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 12-6 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1
— He is 1-2, 3.78 in three starts vs Pittsburgh.


— Arizona is 2-6 in its last eight games.
— Arizona is 24-23 at home.
— under 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 32-88
— record in first 5 innings: 40-33-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-6


NY Mets (41-46) @ San Diego (41-46)
— Verlander is 1-1, 2.16 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 4-7 in his starts.
— under 8-3
— allowed run in first inning: 5-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6
— He is 2-0, 2.92 in two starts vs San Diego.


— Mets won their last five games.
— Mets are 21-27 on road.
— under 6-2-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 17-87
— record in first 5 innings: 39-38-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1-1


— Darvish is 1-2, 7.88 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 6-8 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-2
— He is 5-1, 3.05 in nine starts vs New York


— Padres are 4-1 in their last five games.
— San Diego is 23-22 at home.
— over 13-6-1 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-87
— record in first 5 innings: 38-38-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-x


Colorado (33-55) @ San Francisco (47-40)
— Gomber is 2-0, 3.75 in his last two starts.
— Colorado is 9-4 in his last 13 starts.
— over 7-3 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-4
— He is 1-4, 8.16 in five starts vs San Francisco.


— Rockies lost 15 of last 19 games.
— Colorado is 13-31 on the road.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 24-88
— record in first 5 innings: 26-49-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-4-x


— Stripling is 0-2, 5.66 in five starts.
— San Francisco is 1-4 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He is 1-1, 2.65 in five starts vs Colorado.


— Giants are 2-6 in their last eight games.
— San Francisco is 24-21 at home
— under 7-2-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 24-87
— record in first 5 innings: 39-34-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-x
 

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American League
Toronto
(47-40) @ Detroit (38-48)
— Manoah is 0-6, 8.40 in his last seven starts.
— Blue Jays are 1-9 in his last 10 starts
— His last start was June 5th- he was in the minors.
— over 6-1 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 2-7-4
— He is 0-1, 5.06 in three starts vs Detroit.

— Toronto won their last three games.
— Blue Jays are 25-22 on road.
— under 8-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 23-88
— record in first 5 innings: 34-37-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-8

— Faedo is 1-3, 5.96 in five starts.
— Tigers are 1-4 in his starts
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Detroit is 4-5 in its last nine games.
— Tigers are 19-23 at home.
— over 16-6-2 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-86
— record in first 5 innings: 29-40-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-5-4


Oakland
(25-64) @ Boston (44-43)
— Medina is 2-7, 6.37 in 11 games (8 starts).
— sometimes he starts; other times he is a bulk guy.
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

— A’s are 5-4 in their last nine games.
— Oakland is 13-32 on the road.
— over 9-3-2 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 24-89
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 22-52-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4.2-3.1

— Red Sox haven’t named a starter.

— Red Sox won five of last six games.
— Boston is 23-22 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-87
— record in first 5 innings: 31-45-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.2-2-5

Kansas City (25-63) @ Cleveland (43-44)
Lynch is 2-0, 2.00 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 3-4 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-2
— He is 0-3, 8.87 in five starts vs Cleveland.

— Royals are 3-8 in their last eleven games.
— Royals are 12-32 on the road.
— over 6-3 last nine
— scored run in first inning: 30-88
— record in first 5 innings: 23-51-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-3

— Civale is 0-0, 3.37 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 4-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-1
— He is 2-1, 4.12 in seven starts vs Kansas City.

— Guardians are 11-6 in their last 17 games.
— Cleveland is 22-21 at home.
— under 7-4 last 11 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-87
— record in first 5 innings: 33-37-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-4.2-4

Baltimore (51-35) @ Minnesota (45-43)
— Irvin is 1-1, 3.64 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 3-3 in his starts
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 0-0, 1.54 in two starts vs Minnesota.

— Orioles are 9-11 in their last 20 games.
— Baltimore is 25-17 on road.
— over 10-4-1 last fifteen games
— scored run in first inning: 19-86
— record in first 5 innings: 37-35-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-3

— Ober is 2-1, 2.88 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 8-5 in his starts.
— under 10-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-3
— He threw 7 shutout IP in his one start vs Baltimore.

— Twins are 5-1 in their last six games.
— Minnesota is 26-19 at home.
— under 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-88
— record in first 5 innings: 37-36-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-x

Seattle (43-43) @ Houston (49-39)
— Castillo is 1-1, 6.00 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 4-8 in his last 12 starts.
— under 4-2 road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-5.
— He is 1-0, 4.15 in two starts vs Houston.

— Seattle won five of its last six games.
— Mariners are 19-23 on the road.
— over 9-5 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-86
— record in first 5 innings: 39-35-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.2-2.1

— Brown is 0-2, 5.74 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 10-6 in his starts
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— Houston is 24-20 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 31-88
— record in first 5 innings: 46-30-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-3

Interleague games
Atlanta
(58-28) @ Tampa Bay (57-33)
— Morton is 3-0, 3.38 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 4-4 in his road starts
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-1
— He is 2-3, 3.44 in six starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Atlanta is 26-5 in its last 31 games.
— Braves are 28-13 on the road.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 37-86
— record in first 5 innings: 52-23-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-4.2-4.1

— Glasnow is 0-2, 5.87 in his last three starts.
— Rays are 4-3 in his starts
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-2
— He is 0-0, 6.23 in three games (1 start) vs Philadelphia.

— Tampa Bay lost its last five games.
— Rays are 34-13 at home.
— over 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-90
— record in first 5 innings: 52-28-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-6.1-6

Cubs (40-46) @ Bronx (48-40)
— Taillon is 0-2, 8,62 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 2-12 in his starts.
— over 6-2-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-2
— He gave up 4 runs in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs New York.
— He pitched for New York in 2021-22.

— Cubs lost eight of their last 11 games.
— Chicago is 19-24 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-86
— record in first 5 innings: 38-36-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3

— Rodon is making his first 2023 start.
— He was 14-8, 2.88 in 31 starts for the Giants LY.
— In his career, he is 56-46, 3.60 in 147 starts.
— He is 2-3, 3.45 in six starts against the Cubs.

— New York is 5-4 in its last nine games.
— Bronx is 27-21 at home.
— over 6-2-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 22-87
— record in first 5 innings: 40-31-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-6.1

Texas (51-36) @ Washington (34-53)
— Bradford is 0-1, 5.79 in four starts.
— Texas is 0-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

— Texas is 4-9 in its last 13 games.
— Rangers are 24-19 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 26-88
— record in first 5 innings: 55-23-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-2.2

— Williams is 2-1, 3.60 in his last three starts.
— Nationals are 9-8 in his starts.
— under 5-2-1 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-1
— He allowed 5 runs in 3.2 IP in his one start vs Texas.

— Nationals are 1-5 in last six games.
— Washington is 13-31 at home.
— over 3-2-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 29-87
— record in first 5 innings: 31-46-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-8.2

St Louis (36-51) @ White Sox (37-51)
— Montgomery is 3-0, 1.77 in his last three starts.
— Cardinals are 6-11 in his starts (4-1 in last five).
— under 5-3 road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-4
— He is 2-0, 2.22 in four starts vs Chicago.

— Cardinals are 3-6 in their last nine games.
— Cardinals are 19-26 on road.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 30-87
— record in first 5 innings: 32-38-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-8-2.1

— Cease is 0-0, 2.65 in his last six starts.
— Chicago is 9-9 in his starts.
— under 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 8-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10
— He hasn’t pitched against St Louis

— Chicago is 8-16 in its last 24 games.
— White Sox are 20-22 at home.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 22-89
— record in first 5 innings: 34-42-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-7

LA Angels (45-44) @ Los Angeles (49-38)
— Canning is 1-1, 3.50 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 8-5 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-1
— He is 1-0, 3.09 in two starts against the Dodgers.

— Angels are 5-12 in their last 17 games.
— Angels are 22-24 on road.
— under 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-89
— record in first 5 innings: 38-36-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-x

— Gonsolin is 0-2, 9.42 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 2-5 in his last seven starts
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 1-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6
— He is 2-0, 2.92 in two starts vs Anaheim.

— Dodgers won three of last four games.
— Dodgers are 27-16 at home.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 35-87
— record in first 5 innings: 42-35-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3.1-3
 

Cnotes53

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48

Pending Picks

FRIDAY, JULY 7

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ATL at TB06:40 PMATL -105
U 8.5
+500 +500
TOR at DET06:40 PMTOR -135
U 9.0
+500 +500
PHI at MIA06:40 PMMIA +110
O 7.5
+500 +500
CHC at NYY07:05 PMNYY -160
U 8.5
+500 +500
TEX at WAS07:05 PMTEX -165
U 10.0
+500 +500
OAK at BOS07:10 PMOAK +190
O 10.5
+500 +500
KC at CLE07:10 PMCLE -185
O 8.5
+500 +500
BAL at MIN08:10 PMMIN -155
U 8.5
+500 +500
STL at CHW08:10 PMCHW -105
U 8.5
+500 +500
SEA at HOU08:10 PMSEA -110
O 7.5
+500 +500
CIN at MIL08:10 PMCIN +100
O 8.0
+500 +500
NYM at SD09:40 PMNYM +105
U 8.0
+500 +500
PIT at ARI09:40 PMPIT +170
U 8.5
+500 +500
LAA at LAD10:10 PMLAA +150
U 9.0
+500 +500
COL at SF10:15 PMSF -160
U 8.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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MLB JULY'S BEST BETS !

07/07/2023.............................9 - 8.................................52.94%..........................+ 3.75
07/06/2023.............................4 - 11...............................26.66%.........................- 41.25
07/05/2023.............................7 - 10...............................41.17%.........................- 15.25
07/04/2023............................13 - 5................................72.22%.........................+ 44.75
07/03/2023..............................7 - 4................................63.63%........................+ 14.00
07/02/2023.........................7 - 9 - 1.................................43.75%.........................- 19.00
07/012023..............................12 - 6................................66.66%........................+ 29.00


TOTALS............................59 - 53 - 1...............................52.67%..........................+ 16.00
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Major league leaders in home runs:
31— Shohei Ohtani, LAA
29— Matt Olson, Atl
26— Pete Alonso, NYM/Luis Robert, CWS
25— Mookie Betts, LA
23— Adolis Garcia, Tex
22— Soler Mia/Schwarber Phil/Albies Atl

Quote of the Day
“Overall, I’m glad we won this game. There’s no better way to start for your premiere. Honestly, I didn’t really know what I was doing on the court tonight. I’m trying to learn for next game.”
Victor Wembanyama

Saturday’s quiz
Allen Ludden hosted the gameshow Password for 19 years; what popular actress was he married to?
Hint: There is a famous episode of The Odd Couple where Felix/Oscar play on Password, and they play against Ludden’s wife and her partner.

Friday’s quiz
Rams have played in five Super Bowls; four different guys started at QB in those five games, with Kurt Warner starting twice. Vince Ferragamo, Jared Goff and Matthew Stafford are the other three quarterbacks.

Thursday’s quiz
Cal Ripken Jr wore number 8 when he played for the Orioles.

***********************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff on a summer night…….

Spurs 78, Hornets 68— ESPN made way too big a deal about Victor Wembanyama’s NBA Summer League debut; the kid is 18, and it showed Friday night.

They sold out the Thomas & Mack Arena, UNLV’s arena, but Wembanyama shot 2-13 from the floor— he did have 8 rebounds, 3 assists, 5 blocked shots, but if you’re hyping up a kid as the best prospect since Lebron James, more was expected.

— Please don’t bet on who is going to be Rookie of the Year, but if you have to, don’t bet on the favorite— there is no value in it.

Three days ago, Arizona OF Corbin Carroll looked like a great bet to win NL Rookie of the Year, but then his shoulder popped out of place while he was hitting and it still looked like it bothered him in Friday’s game.

— Oklahoma City Thunder made a trade this week where they got a draft pick in the 2030 NBA Draft, which means that they traded for a kid who is probably in the 6th grade these days.

— Wednesday night in Milwaukee, Cubs scored three runs in 9th inning to pull out a 4-3 road win, ending a streak where they had lost 112 games in a row when they trailed by 2+ runs in the 9th inning or later.

Phillies 4, Marlins 3— Bad loss for Miami; Christian Pache hit a pinch-hit homer in the 9th inning off closer AJ Puk. This is the same Christian Pache who wasn’t good enough to play for the woeful Oakland A’s. Phillies have now won their last 13 road games.

Arizona 7, Pittsburgh 3
Zac Gallen tossed 7 solid innings, improved to 11-3
Saw something in this game I don’t think I’ve seen before; Jake McCarthy walked his first two times up, then got picked off both times but stole second base both times. It looked like he got picked off on purpose, figuring he could outrun his opponents, which he did.

Seattle 10, Houston 1— Mariners scored nine runs in 4th inning, and didn’t hit a home run in that inning. Luis Castillo evened his record at 6-6 with seven good innings.

Dodgers 11, Angels 4— With Mike Trout out for a long time, the Halos are stumbling; will they trade Shohei Ohtani before the August 1 trade deadline? Angels are 45-45, 4.5 games behind the last Wild Card spot.

Mets 7, Padres 5 (10)
Over last five weeks, San Diego is 1-7 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
Mets have now won six games in a row; they’re still 6.5 games behind the last playoff spot.

— Movie of the Day: The Meddler (2015)— An aging widow from New York (Susan Sarandon) follows her daughter to Los Angeles in hopes of starting a new life after her husband dies.

The title is fitting; Sarandon’s character gets involved in everyone’s business, but lot of what she does is helpful. Some of it isn’t; her relationship with her daughter is shaky.

Excellent cast: Sarandon, JK Simmons, Rose Byrne, Michael McKean, Harry Hamlin, Laura San Giacomo. Stumbled upon this movie on Amazon Prime; it is a good one.

— Worlds colliding; while you slept the other night, I was watching an old episode of Kojak, and who pops up on the screen but Yvonne Craig, who five years earlier had played Batgirl in the classic TV series Batman.

— College football bowl trend of the day: Underdogs are 5-2 SU/6-1 ATS in the last seven Cure Bowls.

— College football teams switching leagues this year:
going to Big X:
BYU, Central Florida, Cincinnati, Houston

going to AAC:
UAB, Charlotte, Florida Atlantic, North Texas, Rice, UTSA

going to Conference USA:
Jacksonville State, Liberty, New Mexico State, Sam Houston State

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t)
NL: Braves, Reds, Arizona. Wild Cards: Dodgers-Marlins-Phillies
AL: Rays, Twins, Rangers. Wild Cards: Orioles, Blue Jays, Astros.
 

Udog

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NY YANKEES are 13-5 SU (7.5 Units) in home games in day games in the current season.

DETROIT is 25-13 SU (10.7 Units) in home games when playing on Saturday in the last 3 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 18-4 SU (13.6 Units) in road games when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the current season.

CHI WHITE SOX is 61-41 Under (15.9 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 84-50 SU (29 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 7-22 SU (-17.2 Units) in home games in July games in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 31-56 SU (-30.6 Units) in home games when the money line is +125 to -125 in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 7-0 SU (7 Units) in home games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 10-1 SU (8.9 Units) in road games when the total is 9 to 9.5 in the current season.

BOSTON is 242-156 SU (70.4 Units) in home games as a favorite of -200 or more since 1996.

KANSAS CITY is 64-86 SU (-30.6 Units) in road games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 156-117 Over (27.3 Units) in road games when playing with a day off since 1996.

ATLANTA is 38-21 Over (14.9 Units) in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

LA DODGERS are 116-97 SU (9.3 Units) in home games in all games in the last 3 seasons.

NY METS are 28-43 SU (-19.3 Units) in road games against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons
 

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MLB

Saturday, July 8


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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, July 8

National League
Colorado
(34-55) @ San Francisco (47-41)
— Seabold is 0-3, 14.54 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 1-7 in his last eight starts.
— under 5-2 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs San Francisco.

— Rockies lost 15 of last 20 games.
— Colorado is 14-31 on the road.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 25-89
— record in first 5 innings: 27-49-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-3

— bullpen game

— Giants are 2-7 in their last nine games.
— San Francisco is 24-22 at home
— under 8-2-1 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 24-88
— record in first 5 innings: 39-35-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-5.1

Cincinnati (49-40) @ Milwaukee (48-41)
— Weaver is 1-0, 6.63 in his last four road starts.
— Reds won his last seven starts overall.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-3
— He is 3-2, 4.23 in seven starts vs Milwaukee.

— Reds are 20-5 in their last 25 games.
— Cincinnati is 26-19 on road.
— over 28-15 last 43 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-89
— record in first 5 innings: 34-36-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-7-3.2

— Rea is 2-0, 2.08 in his last two starts.
— Brewers are 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7
— He is 4-0, 5.17 in four games (3 starts) vs Cincinnati.

— Brewers are 14-7 in their last 21 games.
— Milwaukee is 25-20 at home.
— over 6-1-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 26-89
— record in first 5 innings: 40-38-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-3

Philadelphia (48-39) @ Miami (51-39)
— Suarez is 1-1, 2.25 in his last five starts.
— Phillies are 6-4 in his starts.
— under 2-0-2 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4
— He is 4-1, 3.15 in 15 games (4 starts) vs Miami.

— Phillies are 22-7 in their last 29 games.
— Phillies are 13-0 in last 13 road games.
— under 12-4-4 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-87
— record in first 5 innings: 38-38-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-3

— Garrett is 2-0, 2.17 in his last five starts.
— Marlins are 9-1 in his last ten starts
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-8
— He is 1-1, 3.86 in three starts vs Philadelphia.

— Miami won three of its last five games.
— Marlins are 28-18 at home
— over 5-2-1 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-90
— record in first 5 innings: 39-31-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3-2.1

Pittsburgh (40-48) @ Arizona (51-38)
— Keller is 1-1, 3.50 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 11-7 in his starts
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-4
— He is 1-0, 3.97 in two starts vs Arizona.

— Pirates are 1-6 in their last seven games.
— Pittsburgh is 18-27 on road.
— over 7-2-2 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-88
— record in first 5 innings: 34-41-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-1.1-4

— Arizona hasn’t named a starter.

— Arizona is 3-6 in its last nine games.
— Arizona is 25-23 at home.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 32-89
— record in first 5 innings: 41-33-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6-2

NY Mets (42-46) @ San Diego (41-47)
— Peterson is 1-1, 4.20 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 3-6 in his starts.
— over 5-0-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6-1
— He is 0-1, 4.05 in two games (1 start) vs San Diego.

— Mets won their last six games.
— Mets are 22-27 on road.
— under 6-3-2 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 18-88
— record in first 5 innings: 39-38-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-1-4

— Snell is 4-1, 0.75 in his last six starts.
— Padres are 5-3 in his last eight starts.
— over 2-0-1 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9
— He is 3-4, 3.08 in seven starts vs New York

— Padres are 4-2 in their last six games.
— San Diego is 23-23 at home.
— over 14-6-1 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-88
— record in first 5 innings: 38-38-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-5

American League
Toronto
(48-40) @ Detroit (38-49)
— Gausman is 2-1, 2.74 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 6-2 in his last eight starts
— under 3-1 last four road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4
— He is 2-2, 3.41 in ten starts vs Detroit.

— Toronto won their last four games.
— Blue Jays are 26-22 on road.
— under 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 23-89
— record in first 5 innings: 35-37-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-8-3

— Manning is 2-1, 5.40 in his four starts.
— Tigers are 2-2 in his starts
— over 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings:2-1-1
— He is 0-1, 3.75 in two starts vs Toronto.

— Detroit is 4-6 in its last ten games.
— Tigers are 19-24 at home.
— over 17-6-2 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-87
— record in first 5 innings: 29-41-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-5.1

Oakland (25-65) @ Boston (45-43)
— Blackburn is 1-1, 5.87 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 3-4 in his starts
— under 4-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-3
— He is 1-1, 4.82 in two starts vs Boston

— A’s split their last ten games.
— Oakland is 13-33 on the road.
— over 9-4-2 last fifteen games
— scored run in first inning: 24-90
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 22-53-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3.1-2

— Paxton is 3-0, 2.03 in his last five starts.
— Red Sox are 4-5 in his starts
— over 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-1
— He is 4-0, 3.76 in ten starts vs Oakland.

— Red Sox won six of last seven games.
— Boston is 24-22 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-88
— record in first 5 innings: 32-45-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-7

Kansas City (25-64) @ Cleveland (44-44)
Singer is 1-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 7-10 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-2
— He is 2-1, 4.33 in nine starts vs Cleveland.

— Royals are 3-9 in their last dozen games.
— Royals are 12-33 on the road.
— over 6-4 last ten
— scored run in first inning: 30-89
— record in first 5 innings: 23-52-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-2

— Williams is 0-1, 3.79 in his three starts.
— Guardians are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-2
— He blanked Kansas City for 7 IP June 27.

— Guardians are 12-6 in their last 18 games.
— Cleveland is 23-21 at home.
— under 8-4 last 12 home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-88
— record in first 5 innings: 34-37-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4-2

Baltimore (52-35) @ Minnesota (45-44)
— Wells is 0-2, 4.76 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 9-7 in his starts
— over 5-1-1 road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-5
— He is 2-0, 1.88 in four games (2 starts) vs Minnesota.

— Orioles won their last three games.
— Baltimore is 26-17 on road.
— over 10-5-1 last sixteen games
— scored run in first inning: 19-87
— record in first 5 innings: 37-35-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-3.2

— Gray is 0-1, 3.04 in his last five starts.
— Twins are 3-8 in his last 11 starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-3
— He is 6-5, 4.19 in 13 starts vs Baltimore.

— Twins are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Minnesota is 26-20 at home.
— under 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-89
— record in first 5 innings: 37-36-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-4

Seattle (44-43) @ Houston (49-40)
— Woo is 1-0, 2.20 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Seattle won six of its last seven games.
— Mariners are 20-23 on the road.
— over 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-87
— record in first 5 innings: 40-35-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2.1-2

— Valdez is 1-2, 3.46 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 7-2 in his last nine starts
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-5
— He is 5-0, 1.94 in seven starts vs Seattle.

— Astros are 8-4 in their last 12 games.
— Houston is 24-21 at home.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 31-89
— record in first 5 innings: 46-31-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-6

Interleague games
Atlanta
(59-28) @ Tampa Bay (57-34)
— Strider is 4-0, 3.65 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 15-2 in his starts
— over 12-5
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Atlanta is 27-5 in its last 32 games.
— Braves are 29-13 on the road.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 37-87
— record in first 5 innings: 53-23-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4.1-2.2

— Bradley is 1-1, 8.15 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 3-6 in his last nine starts
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Tampa Bay lost its last six games.
— Rays are 34-14 at home.
— over 11-6 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-91
— record in first 5 innings: 52-29-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-6-3.1

Cubs (41-46) @ Bronx (48-41)
— Smyly is 1-1, 7.30 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 3-6 in his last nine starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-1
— He is 3-0, 1.85 in six starts vs New York.

— Cubs lost eight of their last 12 games.
— Chicago is 20-24 on road.
— over 4-2 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-87
— record in first 5 innings: 39-36-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-1

— Cole is 1-1, 2.63 in his last four starts.
— New York is 13-5 in his starts.
— under 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-4
— He is 10-3, 2.53 in 15 starts vs Chicago.

— New York is 5-5 in its last ten games.
— Bronx is 27-22 at home.
— over 6-3-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 22-88
— record in first 5 innings: 40-32-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6.1-3.2

Texas (52-36) @ Washington (34-54)
— Heaney is 1-1, 4.05 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— under 2-0-2 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-2
— He is 0-0, 3.27 in two starts vs Washington.

— Texas is 5-9 in its last 14 games.
— Rangers are 25-19 on road.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 27-89
— record in first 5 innings: 56-23-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.2-4

— Irvin is 0-2, 4.39 in his last five starts.
— Nationals are 3-8 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-11
— record in first 5 innings: 1-8-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Nationals are 1-6 in last seven games.
— Washington is 13-32 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 30-88
— record in first 5 innings: 31-47-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-8.2-3

St Louis (36-52) @ White Sox (38-51)
— Mikolas is 0-4, 5.95 in his last six starts.
— Cardinals are 8-10 in his starts.
— under 5-3 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-18
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-6
— He gave up 2 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Chicago.

— Cardinals are 3-7 in last ten games.
— Cardinals are 19-27 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 30-88
— record in first 5 innings: 33-38-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8-2.1-3.2

— Toussaint allowed 2 runs in 3.2 IP in his first ‘23 start.
— Chicago is 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts vs St Louis

— Chicago is 9-16 in its last 25 games.
— White Sox are 21-22 at home.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 22-90
— record in first 5 innings: 34-43-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-7-3

LA Angels (45-45) @ Los Angeles (50-38)
— Detmers is 2-0, 1.42 in his last five starts.
— Angels are 6-9 in his starts.
— under 6-0-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-4
— He is 0-2, 5.17 in three starts against the Dodgers.

— Angels are 5-13 in their last 18 games.
— Angels are 22-25 on road.
— under 11-6 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-90
— record in first 5 innings: 38-37-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-x-6.1

— Dodgers haven’t named a starter

— Dodgers won four of last five games.
— Dodgers are 28-16 at home.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 36-88
— record in first 5 innings: 43-35-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-2.1

Umpires
— Col-SF— Under is 7-2-1 in last 10 Livensparger games.
— Cin-Mil— Under is 4-1-1 in last six Tumpane games.
— Phil-Mia— Over is 15-3-1 in Tomlinson games
— Pitt-Ariz— Over is 6-2 in last eight Drake games
— NY-SD— Home team is 8-3 in last 11 Reyburn games.

— Tor-Det— Over is 8-2-1 in last 11 Bacchus games
— Balt-Minn— Road team won 8 of last 9 May games
— KC-Clev— Under is 4-0 in Thomas games
— A’s-Bos— Under is 13-2 in Cuzzi games.
— Sea-Hst— Over is 6-2 in last eight Hoberg games

— Chi-NY— Under is 5-1 in last six Porter games
— StL-Chi— Underdog won four of last five Barrett games
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Tex-Wsh— Over is 10-6 in Morales games
— Atl-TB— Underdog won four of last five DeJesus games
— LAA-LA— Over is 4-1 in last five Little games.
 
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