CNOTES 2024 - 2025 COLLEGE BASKETBALL NEWS-BEST BETS-OPINIONS THRU THE CHAMPIONSHIP !

Cnotes53

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BEST BETS CBB FEB.

02/23/2025...............8 - 6 - 1...............57.14%.............+ 7.00
02/22/2025.............41 - 34 - 2..............54.66%.............+ 18.00
02/21/2025...............4 - 10 - 1..............28.57%.............-35.00
02/20/2025...............5 - 5 - 0.................50.00%............- 2.50
02/19/2025...............8- 15 - 0................34.78%.............- 42.50
02/18/2025.............17 - 13 - 0...............56.66%.............+ 13.50
02/17/2025...............5 - 5 - 0..................50.00%.............- 2.50
02/16/2025.............16 - 10.- 0...............61.53%.............+ 25.00
02/15/2025.............20 - 18 - 0...............52.63%.............+ 1.00
02/14/2025...............10 - 6 - 0...............62.50%.............+ 17.00
02/13/2025.............29 - 21 - 0...............58.00%..............+ 29.50
02/12/2025.............14 - 12 - 1...............58.84%..............+ 4.00
02/06/2025.............23 - 27 - 0...............46.00%..............- 33.50
02/05/2025.............28 - 17 - 0................62.22%.............+ 46.50
02/04/2025.............18 - 17 - 1................51.42%..............- 3.50
02/03/2025................4 - 8 - 0.................33.00%.............- 24.00
02/02/2025.............11 - 11 - 0................50.00%..............- 5.50
02/01/2025..............22 - 22 -0................50.00%..............- 11.00

TOTALS................283 - 257 - 6...............52.40%...............+ 1.50


BEST BETS & OPINONS TODAY:
SIDES............1 - 3 - 1
TOTALS......... 7 - 3- 0
 

Cnotes53

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Monday’s 6-pack:
According to Bracketology, last six teams in the NCAA Field of 68:
— Wake Forest
— VCU
— Arkansas
— Vanderbilt
— Nebraska
— San Diego State

Quote of the Day
“That’s what Jimmy (Butler) has really added to our team is this sense of calm. It really, frankly, complements the chaos of Steph and Dray. And I think that’s part of our strength as a team, is the chaos that Steph and Dray create.”
Warriors coach Steve Kerr; Golden State is 5-1 since acquiring Jimmy Butler

Monday’s quiz
Who was the St John’s basketball coach, last time they won an NCAA Tournament game?

Sunday’s quiz
When Pete Rose was NL Rookie of the Year in 1963, he played second base.

Saturday’s quiz
When Michael Jordan played minor league baseball for the White Sox’ AA team in 1994, Terry Francona was his manager that year.

*******************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

— Was shopping online late Saturday night, didn’t buy anything but was looking through some stuff. Sunday afternoon, I get a text saying “we saw you were shopping on our site, Still want to buy it? The price lasts for another 15 minutes”- then they have a link that takes you right back to that page.
Maybe I’m just old, but that creeps me out a little bit; not sure if it makes me more likely or less likely to shop on that site anymore.

— Modern basketball has gotten soft, both college and pro; any foul where there is contact above the neck is a flagrant foul now, even if it is incidental contact.
To me, a flagrant foul needs to have some intent behind it. Guys have to learn how to play through some contact.
This ends the complaining part of today’s blog.

— Very good news; this summer at the baseball All-Star Game, players are going back to wearing their team’s uniform, the way it used to be. MLB tried to sell AL/NL uniforms, but having guys wearing their team’s uniforms is the right thing to do.

— The ball/strike challenge thing MLB is experimenting with this spring reminds me of the tennis instant replay system; it goes quickly, and seems to be pretty good. Challenges can’t come from the dugout, and have to be done quickly.
I’m guessing this will become a rule next season. One bad thing about it is that the ball/strike box that was always on TV appears to be a thing of the past now.

— Was great to watch spring training baseball games the last few days, alternate those games with college basketball games. For me personally, was fun listening to two Mets’ games, with Gary Cohen, Ron Darling, Keith Hernandez— it just reminds me of watching baseball with my dad, who was a huge Mets fan.
You don’t learn as much from early spring training games; the regulars sub out really early, lot of minor leaguers play.Once they open minor league camp, then the regulars play a lot more and you can figure some stuff out that might help your fantasy team.

— Cleveland Guardians have 35 pitchers in their major league camp; it is up to pitching coach Carl Willis to script all the innings those 35 pitchers are going to throw this spring. That must be a cumbersome job, especially since the guys who are going to be on the major league roster have to gradually amp up their innings as March moves along.

— Miami Marlins used 70 players last year, the most players any team has ever used in a season. Marlins were also 11-45 vs lefty starting pitchers, which is incredibly bad.

— Oakland A’s signed Gio Urshela to play 3B this year, because they used 10 different guys at the hot corner last year, and that ain’t good.
Urshela is a .273 career hitter; he’s played on five different teams that made the playoffs, so his leadership will be important for a young A’s team that will be trying to make the playoffs for the first time since 2020.

Famous birthdays, February 24th:
Edward James Olmos, 78
Helen Shaver, 74
Tom Burleson, 73- my all-time favorite basketball player
Eddie Murray, 69- Orioles’ 1B, not the Lions’ kicker
Phil McConkey, 68
Nick Esasky, 65
Billy Zane, 59
Mike Lowell, 51
Miguel Rojas, 36
MacKenzie Gore, 26

— Indiana 73, Purdue 58
Indiana pushed coach Mike Woodson out the door, effective after the season, but Indiana is 16-11, 7-9 in a good Big 18- if they finish strong, they could get in the NCAA’s. Bracketology had them as the 6th team out of the field, BEFORE they won this game.
Say Indiana gets in the NCAAs, then wins a game or two; how do you let Woodson walk then? The guy is an alum, was an NBA player/coach; you want to be that cruddy with him?

— St John’s 89, UConn 75
Johnnies led 50-33 at halftime, had a fairly stress-free win.
St John’s is 13-1 since New Year’s Day; they’re eFG% defense is #20.
UConn is 6-6 in its last 12 games; Bracketology had them as an 8-seed, before this game.

— Drake 64, Northern Iowa 58 OT
Drake hit 2 of 3 on foul line with 0:00.1 left to force overtime.
Bulldogs out-rebounded UNI, 46-29
Drake is 25-3, 13-1 in their last fourteen games.
Misleading stat on KenPom: They have Drake listed as the #338 continuity team, but four of their starters came to Drake with coach McCollum from D-II Northwest Missouri State this season- they won a D-II national title together, so they’ve got great continuity, just not at the Division I level.

— UCLA 69, Ohio State 61
UCLA honored the late Bill Walton during this game; he passed away last spring, at age 71. Walton led UCLA to three Final Fours, two national titles, was a great college player.
He was also a total character; I grew to love listening to him broadcast college games- he did so much research, I always said that he taught me 2-3 things every game he worked, and none of them had anything to do with basketball. RIP, Bill.
This game was also Mick Cronin’s 500th win as a college coach.

— Robert Morris 72, Milwaukee 59
Colonials have won six in row, 12 of last 13 games- they lead the Horizon by half a game, with one game left in regular season.
Senior guards are a good thing to have: Robert Morris PG Kam Woods had 15 points, 11 assists in this game.

— Quinnipiac 74, Manhattan 71
Jaspers led 38-21 late in the first half.
Manhattan lost despite going 12-24 on the arc.
Quinnipiac is 28-8 in MAAC games in two years under coach Pecora.

— Oakland 91, Cleveland State 86 OT
Vikings led by 13 midway thru the first half.
Oakland was 27-38 on foul line, Cleveland State 9-13.
Cleveland State is 2-4 in its last six games, after an 11-0 run.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 24

5 of Monday’s best college basketball games:

NC-Wilmington
(-2.5) @ William & Mary
UNCW (21-7, 11-4)
KenPom rating: 126
Tempo: 261
Experience: 34
Continuity: 168
UNCW lost its last two games, after a 9-0 run.
Seahawks are 5-2 SU/3-2 ATS as a CAA road favorite.
UNCW is 9-4 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
Seahawks are shooting 37% on arc in CAA games (#1)
UNCW is rebounding 36.8% of its misses in CAA games (#1)

William & Mary (17-11, 11-4)
KenPom rating: 203
Tempo: 24
Experience: 173
Continuity: 119
Wm & Mary won its last three games, giving up 63 ppg.
Tribe is 7-0 SU in CAA home games (1-0 as home dog)
Wm & Mary is 0-4 vs teams ranked in top 150.
52% of Tribe’s shots are 3’s (34.2%, #153)
Opponents are shooting 54.3% inside arc in CAA play (#14 of 14)


UNCW (-5.5) beat Wm & Mary 85-74 at home January 30
Seahawks were 25-32 on foul line, Wm & Mary 13-20.
UNCW won five of last six series games
CAA home underdogs are 19-15 ATS


North Carolina (-2.5) @ Florida State
North Carolina (17-11, 10-6)
KenPom rating: 44
Tempo: 23
Experience: 84
Continuity: 81
North Carolina won four of its last five games.
Tar Heels are 3-5 SU on ACC road, 1-4 ATS as road favorites.
North Carolina is 5-11 vs teams ranked in top 100
Tar Heels are #310 team in country at forcing turnovers.
North Carolina is shooting 55% inside the arc (#54)

Florida State (16-11, 7-9)
KenPom rating: 85
Tempo: 46
Experience: 257
Continuity: 237
FSU lost six of its last nine games.
Seminoles are 5-3 SU at home in ACC, 1-1 ATS as home dog.
FSU is 0-5 vs top 50 opponents.
Seminoles’ best win: 82-70 vs #56 Pittsburgh.
FSU is #237 team on defensive boards.


North Carolina won last five series games
ACC home underdogs are 19-26 ATS


Michigan @ Nebraska
Michigan (20-6, 12-3)
KenPom rating: 24
Tempo: 60
Experience: 81
Continuity: 267
Michigan won six of its last seven games.
Wolverines are 6-2 SU in Big 18 road games.
Michigan is 6-4 vs top 50 opponents.
Wolverines are shooting 59.2% inside arc (#6)
Michigan has #31 eFG% defense in country.


Nebraska (17-10, 7-9)
KenPom rating: 47
Tempo: 172
Experience: 26
Continuity: 157
Nebraska won five of its last seven games.
Cornhuskers are 4-3 SU in Big 18 home games.
Nebraska is 6-7 vs top 50 opponents.
Cornhuskers are shooting 54.3% inside arc (#70)
Opponents are getting 39.7% of points on arc (#6)

Michigan won eight of last ten series games.
Big 18 home teams are 67-76 ATS


Houston (-1.5) @ Texas Tech
Houston (23-4, 15-1)
KenPom rating: 3
Tempo: 362
Experience: 43
Continuity: 9
Houston won six in row, 19 of last 20 games.
Cougars are 6-2 ATS as a Big X road favorite.
Houston has #11 eFG% defense in country
Cougars are #11 team in country on offensive boards
Houston is shooting 40% on the arc (#4)

Texas Tech (21-6, 12-4)
KenPom rating: 7
Tempo: 276
Experience: 33
Continuity: 141
Texas Tech won 10 of its last 12 games.
Red Raiders are 7-1 SU in Big X home games.
Texas Tech is 4-3 vs top 50 opponents.
Red Raiders have #17 eFG% offense in country.
Opponents are shooting 47% inside arc (#42)


Tech (+11.5) upset Houston 82-81 in OT February 1st.
Houston led that game by 6 with 3:47 left to play.
Houston won two of last three series games.
Big X home underdogs are 10-24 ATS


Kansas (-6.5) @ Colorado
Kansas (18-9, 9-7)
KenPom rating: 21
Tempo: 110
Experience: 1
Continuity: 112
Kansas is 4-5 SU in its last nine games.
Jayhawks lost their last four road tilts SU.
Kansas is 3-2 ATS as a Big X road favorite.
Jayhawks have #7 eFG% defense in country.
Kansas is 2nd-worst team in country at getting to foul line.

Colorado (11-16, 2-14)
KenPom rating: 92
Tempo: 183
Experience: 256
Continuity: 291
Colorado won 2 of last 3 games, after an 0-13 drought.
Buffs covered last five games, after a 1-9 ATS skid.
Colorado scored 72+ points in all its wins this season.
Buffs are turning ball over 21.5% of time (#354)
Colorado was 9-2 in pre-conference play.


Kansas (-16) beat Colorado 71-59 at home February 11
Big X home underdogs are 10-24 ATS
 

Udog

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Dunkel

Monday, February 24


LfpFQAb.png
 

Udog

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If this report updates, I'll add it.


NCAAB

Monday, February 24


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UNC Wilmington vs William & Mary
UNC Wilmington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing William & Mary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UNC Wilmington's last 6 games when playing William & Mary
William & Mary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of William & Mary's last 8 games at home

Lipscomb vs Austin Peay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Austin Peay's last 5 games when playing Lipscomb
Austin Peay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Eastern Kentucky vs Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Eastern Kentucky's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Eastern Kentucky's last 7 games on the road

UTRGV vs McNeese State
UTRGV is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
UTRGV is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
UTRGV is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
UTRGV is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road

Northeastern vs Monmouth
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Northeastern's last 11 games on the road
Northeastern is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Monmouth is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games at home
Monmouth is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

North Carolina vs Florida State
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 6 games when playing at home against North Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games at home

Michigan vs Nebraska
Michigan is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games when playing Michigan
Nebraska is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home

Houston vs Texas Tech
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas Tech
Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 6 games at home

Kansas vs Colorado
Kansas is 21-1 SU in its last 22 games when playing Colorado
Kansas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 9 games when playing at home against Kansas


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

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Monday, February 24

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
UNCW at WM06:00 PMWM +3.5
O 156.5
+500 +500
QNC at UWG07:00 PMQNC -8.5
O 152.0
+500 +500
EKY at JAC07:00 PMEKY +2.5
U 147.5
+500 +500
NWST at SELA07:00 PMSELA -6.5
O 137.0
+500 +500
NE at MONM07:00 PMNE -1.0
O 144.0
+500 +500
UTRGV at MCNS07:00 PMMCNS -15.5+500
MVSU at PV07:00 PMPV -17.5+500
LIP at PEAY07:00 PMPEAY +7.0
O 147.5
+500 +500
COOK at ALST07:00 PMALST -2.5+500
BELL at STET07:00 PMSTET +1.5
O 150.5
+500 +500
UNC at FSU07:00 PMFSU +3.0
U 156.0
+500 +500
UNF at FGCU07:00 PMFGCU -6.5
U 160.5
+500 +500
LAM at IW07:30 PMLAM -1.5+500
NCCU at DSU07:30 PMNCCU +3.5
O 154.0
+500 +500
AMCC at NICH07:30 PMNICH -3.0+500
UNA at CARK07:30 PMCARK +12.0
O 144.0
+500 +500
TAMC at UNO07:30 PMUNO +2.0
U 143.0
+500 +500
MORG at NORF08:00 PMMORG +14.5
O 156.5
+500 +500
SCST at UMES08:00 PMSCST -14.0+500
ARPB at TXSO08:00 PMTXSO -14.0+500
SFA at HBU08:00 PMHBU +1.0+500
MICH at NEB08:00 PMNEB +1.0
O 151.5
+500 +500
HOW at COPP08:00 PMHOW -7.5+500
FAMU at AAMU08:00 PMAAMU +1.0+500
HOU at TTU09:00 PMTTU +1.0
U 131.0
+500 +500
KU at COLO11:00 PMKU -7.0+500
 

Cnotes53

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BEST BETS CBB FEB.

02/24/2025...........11 - 10 - 1...............52.38%............+ 0.00
02/23/2025...............8 - 6 - 1...............57.14%.............+ 7.00
02/22/2025.............41 - 34 - 2..............54.66%.............+ 18.00
02/21/2025...............4 - 10 - 1..............28.57%.............-35.00
02/20/2025...............5 - 5 - 0.................50.00%............- 2.50
02/19/2025...............8- 15 - 0................34.78%.............- 42.50
02/18/2025.............17 - 13 - 0...............56.66%.............+ 13.50
02/17/2025...............5 - 5 - 0..................50.00%.............- 2.50
02/16/2025.............16 - 10.- 0...............61.53%.............+ 25.00
02/15/2025.............20 - 18 - 0...............52.63%.............+ 1.00
02/14/2025...............10 - 6 - 0...............62.50%.............+ 17.00
02/13/2025.............29 - 21 - 0...............58.00%..............+ 29.50
02/12/2025.............14 - 12 - 1...............58.84%..............+ 4.00
02/06/2025.............23 - 27 - 0...............46.00%..............- 33.50
02/05/2025.............28 - 17 - 0................62.22%.............+ 46.50
02/04/2025.............18 - 17 - 1................51.42%..............- 3.50
02/03/2025................4 - 8 - 0.................33.00%.............- 24.00
02/02/2025.............11 - 11 - 0................50.00%..............- 5.50
02/01/2025..............22 - 22 -0................50.00%..............- 11.00

TOTALS................294 - 267 - 6...............52.40%...............+ 1.50


BEST BETS & OPINONS TODAY:
SIDES............3 - 9 - 1
TOTALS.........2 - 4- 0
 

Udog

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Teams with best shooting %age on 3-pointers:
41.1%— Bradley
40.3%— Villanova
40%— North Dakota State, Houston
39.6%— Memphis
39%— St Thomas
38.9%— Cal-Santa Barbara

Quote of the Day
“Obviously, our goals historically have been to try to fill as many of our musts and needs before the draft so you can pick the best player on your board. Didn’t get that totally accomplished last year, but certainly that’s always the goal.”
Dallas Cowboys executive VP Stephen Jones

Tuesday’s quiz
Oakland A’s have won four World Series, under which three managers?

Monday’s quiz
Mike Jarvis was the St John’s basketball coach, last time they won an NCAA Tournament game; he was also Patrick Ewing’s high school coach.

Sunday’s quiz
When Pete Rose was NL Rookie of the Year in 1963, he played second base.

****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

Information below is based on the last eight seasons of college basketball.
There are no absolutes, this we know, but sometimes trends develop, which is what we’re looking for.

— How did teams that made the Final Four do in their conference tournaments?
32 teams in last eight Final Four’s; 17 of them won their conference tournament.
Only 5 of the last 32 Final Four teams lost their first conference tournament game:
2024 Alabama- Beat 12-seed Grand Canyon in 2nd round.
2021 UCLA- Lost their last four games before the NCAA’s; two of their five wins in the NCAA’s came in overtime.
2019 Texas Tech- Played 32-4 Buffalo, coached by Nate Oats, in 2nd round
2017 South Carolina- Upset #2-seed Duke in 2nd round
2016 Syracuse- Beat 15-seed Middle Tennessee in 2nd round
When we’re filling out brackets in three weeks, I’ll be looking for teams that won their first first conference tournament game and, preferably, won the conference tournament

— What seeds get to the Final Four?
Last eight years, 10 #1-seeds, seven #2-seeds made the Final Four, only 17 of 32 teams.
Three #3-seeds, two #4-seeds, three #5-seeds.

— Six of the last seven national champs were #1-seeds; 2023 UConn is the exception; they were a #4-seed, in a season where the Final Four was: #4-seed, two #5-seeds and a #9-seed.

— How did Final Four teams do in their conference’s regular season?
19 of 32 Final Four teams won the regular season, or tied for first.

Famous birthdays, February 25th:
Danny Cater, 85
César Cedeño, 74
Bob Brenly, 71
Jeff Fisher, 67
Todd Blackledge, 64
Don Majkowski, 61
Scott Thompson, 60 (Carrot Top)
Tea Leoni, 59
Rashida Jones, 49
Joakim Noah, 40
Jimmer Fredette, 36
Jorge Soler, 33
Erick Fedde, 32
Fred VanVleet, 31
Bo Nix, 25

— In the last 21 years, 46 major league players have had 8+ RBI in a game; of those 21 games, only once has the player with 8+ RBI been on the losing side
June 21, 2002, Kansas City beat the Angels 12-11 in 11 innings, in Anaheim; Shohei Ohtani hit two home runs, knocked in eight runs for the Angels.

— Alex Rodriguez was at Bucknell’s basketball game over the weekend; during a break in the action, A-Rod took a half-court shot. If it went in, a student won $10,o00, and sure enough, A-Rod drained the shot and the kid got the $$$$.
A-Rod was at Bucknell to speak about his company Jump Platforms; his two partners in the company are affiliated with Bucknell— one is a trustee there, the other attended Bucknell.

— Baseball signings:
Pirates gave P Andrew Heaney $5M for one year
Brewers signed OF’s Mark Canha, Manuel Margot

— If I knew a football player who was attending the NFL Combine, I’d advise him to participate; I’m not really sure why you wouldn’t. There is no contact, you run sprints, do some drills, throw or catch passes. Lot of guys don’t do it though.

— NFL international games in 2025:
Chargers vs ??? in Brazil
Colts vs ??? in Germany
Dolphins vs ??? in Spain
Steelers vs ??? in Ireland
Jaguars vs ??? in England
Browns vs Jets in England
NFL schedule comes out in May.

— Basketball analyst Bill Raftery is 82 years old; this past weekend, he was busy:
Friday- Michigan State @ Michigan
Saturday- Oklahoma State @ Kansas
Sunday- Ohio State @ UCLA
Coach Raftery has a lot of energy; he is still fun to listen to.

— There is a kid on Texas A&M, CJ Wilcher, a 6-5 senior.
He is 3-5 shooting inside the arc this season.
He is 34-83 (41%) shooting on the arc.
83 of his 88 shots have been 3-pointers.

— Nebraska canceled two non-conference football games against Tennessee as part of a plan to recover lost revenue from reduced seating capacity during renovations in Memorial Stadium in 2027. Instead, Nebraska will play two MAC teams (Bowling Green/Miami) at home, instead of playing one of the games vs Tennessee in Knoxville.
Tennessee’s administration wasn’t happy with this development.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 25

5 of Tuesday’s best college basketball games:

Florida
(-7.5) @ Georgia
Florida (24-3, 11-3)
KenPom rating: 4
Tempo: 97
Experience: 169
Continuity: 48
Florida won its last six games, covered last five.
Gators are 3-1 ATS as an SEC road favorite.
Florida has #3 eFG% defense in country.
Gators are shooting 55.8% inside arc (#37)
Florida is 9-3 vs top 50 opponents.

Georgia (16-11, 4-10)
KenPom rating: 45
Tempo: 235
Experience: 155
Continuity: 220
Georgia lost nine of its last 11 games.
Dawgs are 2-7 ATS as an SEC underdog, 2-2 at home.
Georgia is 3-11 vs top 50 opponents.
Dawgs have #25 eFG% defense in country.
Georgia is turning ball over 19.1% of time (#297)


Florida (-11.5) beat Georgia 89-59 at home January 25.
Gators won last 12 series games
SEC home underdogs are 17-13 ATS
Georgia coach White coached Florida from 2015-22


Akron (-8.5) @ Ball State
Akron (21-6, 13-1)
KenPom rating: 100
Tempo: 12
Experience: 246
Continuity: 253
Akron had its 14-game win streak snapped Saturday.
Zips are 2-3 ATS as a MAC road favorite.
Akron 11-0 vs teams ranked outside the top 200.
Zips have #45 eFG% offense in country.
Akron gets 38.8% of its points on 3’s (#29)

Ball State (14-13, 7-7)
KenPom rating: 270
Tempo: 232
Experience: 62
Continuity: 233
Ball State won four of its last five games.
Cardinals are 4-2 ATS as a MAC underdog, 0-1 at home.
Four of their last five games were decided by 1 point, or in OT.
Opponents are shooting 54.1% inside arc (#293)
Ball State is getting 24.3% of its points on foul line (#4)


Akron (-13) beat Ball State 81-73 at home February 4th.
Zips shot 75.7% inside the arc.
Akron won eight of last nine series games
MAC home underdogs are 15-14 ATS


Mississippi State @ Alabama (-8.5)
Miss State (19-8, 7-7)
KenPom rating: 29
Tempo: 149
Experience: 77
Continuity: 127
Miss State is 5-7 SU in its last 12 games.
Bulldogs are 2-2 ATS as an SEC road underdog.
Miss State is 7-7 vs top 50 opponents
Bulldogs are #44 team on offensive boards.
Miss State is shooting 55.3% inside the arc.


Alabama (22-5, 11-3)
KenPom rating: 6
Tempo: 1
Experience: 10
Continuity: 106
Alabama won eight of its last ten games.
Crimson Tide is 3-3 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
Alabama is shooting 60.8% inside the arc.
Crimson Tide is #21 team on offensive boards.
Alabama is 13-4 vs top 50 opponents.

Alabama (-1.5) won 88-84 at Miss State January 29
Alabama shot 15-31 on the arc in that game.
series games.
SEC home favorites are 41-32 ATS


New Mexico @ San Diego State (-2.5)
New Mexico (22-5, 14-2)
KenPom rating: 37
Tempo: 4
Experience: 59
Continuity: 72
New Mexico won eight of its last nine games.
Lobos are 6-2 ATS on MW road (2-0 ATS as MW dog)
New Mexico is 6-2 vs top 50 opponents.
Opponents are shooting 47.4% inside arc (#53)
New Mexico is #24 team on defensive boards.

San Diego State (21-6, 12-4)
KenPom rating: 7
Tempo: 276
Experience: 33
Continuity: 141
San Diego State won 7 of its last 9 games.
Aztecs are 4-4 ATS as Mountain West home favorite.
San Diego State has #5 eFG% defense in country.
Aztecs are 5-5 vs top 50 opponents.
San Diego State is 7-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.


New Mexico (-3.5) beat the Aztecs 62-48 January 11th.
San Diego State shot 35.4% from the floor.
Teams split their last six series games.
Mountain West home favorites are 31-27 ATS


Gonzaga (-6.5) @ Santa Clara
Gonzaga (21-8, 12-4)
KenPom rating: 11
Tempo: 57
Experience: 11
Continuity: 4
Gonzaga is 7-2 in last nine games (both L’s to Saint Mary’s)
Zags are 3-4 ATS as a WCC road favorite.
Gonzaga is 2-8 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Zags are shooting 57.4% inside arc (#14)
Gonzaga has #40 eFG% defense in country.

Santa Clara (19-10, 11-5)
KenPom rating: 55
Tempo: 119
Experience: 105
Continuity: 5
Santa Clara won 5 of last 6 games, scoring 88.5 ppg.
Broncos are 3-2 ATS as a WCC underdog (0-1 at home)
Santa Clara is 6-8 vs top 100 opponents.
Broncos has #25 eFG% offense in country.
Santa Clara is getting 39.7% of its points on arc (#15)


Santa Clara (+15.5) won 103-99 at Gonzaga January 18th.
Broncos shot 18-38 on the arc in that game.
WCC home underdogs are 17-18 ATS
 

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Tuesday, February 25


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Tuesday, February 25

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
JMU at ULM07:30 PMO 138.5+500
LINW at WIU08:30 PMU 143.0+500
MSST at ALA09:00 PMALA -9.5+500
WASH at WIS09:00 PMWASH +13.5
O 147.0
+500 +500
TENN at LSU09:00 PMTENN -10.5+500
SCAR at MIZZ09:00 PMMIZZ -12.5+500
UNLV at SJSU10:00 PMO 137.5+500
WYO at NEV10:00 PMU 134.5+500
GONZ at SCU11:00 PMGONZ -6.0
O 162.5
+500 +500
UNM at SDSU11:00 PMU 145.0+500
 

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BEST BETS CBB FEB.

02/25/2025..............8 - 4 - 0...............66.66%.............+ 18.00
02/24/2025...........11 - 10 - 1...............52.38%............+ 0.00
02/23/2025...............8 - 6 - 1...............57.14%.............+ 7.00
02/22/2025.............41 - 34 - 2..............54.66%.............+ 18.00
02/21/2025...............4 - 10 - 1..............28.57%.............-35.00
02/20/2025...............5 - 5 - 0.................50.00%............- 2.50
02/19/2025...............8- 15 - 0................34.78%.............- 42.50
02/18/2025.............17 - 13 - 0...............56.66%.............+ 13.50
02/17/2025...............5 - 5 - 0..................50.00%.............- 2.50
02/16/2025.............16 - 10.- 0...............61.53%.............+ 25.00
02/15/2025.............20 - 18 - 0...............52.63%.............+ 1.00
02/14/2025...............10 - 6 - 0...............62.50%.............+ 17.00
02/13/2025.............29 - 21 - 0...............58.00%..............+ 29.50
02/12/2025.............14 - 12 - 1...............58.84%..............+ 4.00
02/06/2025.............23 - 27 - 0...............46.00%..............- 33.50
02/05/2025.............28 - 17 - 0................62.22%.............+ 46.50
02/04/2025.............18 - 17 - 1................51.42%..............- 3.50
02/03/2025................4 - 8 - 0.................33.00%.............- 24.00
02/02/2025.............11 - 11 - 0................50.00%..............- 5.50
02/01/2025..............22 - 22 -0................50.00%..............- 11.00

TOTALS................302 - 271 - 6...............52.70%...............+ 19.50


BEST BETS & OPINONS TODAY:
SIDES............3 - 2 - 0
TOTALS..........5 - 2- 0
 

Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Teams with best 2-point FG% defense:
42.9%— Cal-Irvine (23-5)
43.2%— Houston (24-4)
43.3%— Duke (25-3)
43.5%— Hofstra (13-16)
43.8%— San Diego State (19-7)
44%— George Mason (21-6)

Thought of the Day
“The way of success is the way of the craftsman, where you work really hard for years. You show up every day. You do the work. You see yourself as an artist dedicated to your craft with a desire to get better every day……”
Brian Koppelman

Wednesday’s quiz
Who is the last pitcher to throw a complete game no-hitter in the major leagues?
(Cubs threw a combined no-hitter last year)

Tuesday’s quiz
Oakland A’s have won four World Series, under Dick Williams (2), Alvin Dark, Tony LaRussa.

Monday’s quiz
Mike Jarvis was the St John’s basketball coach, last time they won an NCAA Tournament game; he was also Patrick Ewing’s high school coach.

*******************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— Georgia 88, Florida 83
Dawgs led this game 39-13 in first half.
Florida led 80-78 with 1:09 left in the game.
Dawgs got 10-18 on arc, 22-27 on foul line.

— Gonzaga 95, Santa Clara 76
Santa Clara made their first eight 3’s, but wound up 11-25 on arc
Gonzaga shot 57.8% inside the arc.
Zags play San Francisco Saturday, for #2 seed in WCC.

— Oklahoma State 74, Iowa State 68
Underdog Cowboys never trailed, forced 18 turnovers (+6)
Teams combined to shoot 14-50 on the arc.
Banged-up Cyclones are 4-5 in their last nine games.

— Louisville 71, Virginia Tech 66
Cardinals have won six in row, 16 of last 17 games.
Cardinals are shooting 57.5% inside arc (#14)
Louisville is 22-6/15-2; last three years, they were 25-71/11-49

Upsets of the Night:
Oklahoma State (+9.5) 74, Iowa State 68
Georgia Tech (+8.5) 73, Pitt 67
Georgia (+7.5) 88, Florida 83
Western Michigan (+5.5) 82, Ohio U 73

— San Diego State 73, New Mexico 65

Aztecs won eight of their last ten games.
New Mexico shot 36.1% inside the arc.
Lobos/Utah State are tied for first with three games left.

— Lakers 107, Mavericks 99
Luka Doncic had 19 points, 15 rebounds, 12 assists against his old team.
Lakers are 8-2 in February.

Famous birthdays, February 26th:
Mac Percival, 85
Phil Villapiano, 76
Rolando Blackman, 66
JT Snow, 57
Marshall Faulk, 52
Jose Reyes, 42
Luis Rengifo, 28
Trevor Larnach, 28

— March Madness starts Sunday, when the Atlantic Sun tournament tips off; there are six teams within two games of first place in ASUN, so their tournament should be a good one.

— Last year, NC State went 9-11 in the ACC, finished 10th; then they won five games in five days, won the ACC Tournament, then won four more games in the NCAA’s to get to an unlikely Final Four, where they lost 63-50 to Purdue.
Last year, Clemson went 11-9 in ACC, tied for 5th; they lost their first ACC Tourney game to Boston College, but then won three games in the NCAA’s, getting to the Elite 8 before losing 89-82 to Alabama in the regional final.
Clemson was the #25 experience team, NC State was experience team, #14- my point is this:
When the brackets come out, don’t sleep on experienced teams from the big $$$ leagues. Sometimes they wake up at just the right time.

— This one is a little weird; the last eight years, in the A-15 conference, eight different teams have won their conference tournament. VCU is one of the teams that won, but they lost four of the other seven tournament finals.
Last team to win consecutive A-15 tournaments: Temple, in 2009/2010. Duquesne won last year’s tournament.

— Utah Utes fired basketball coach Craig Smith, a week after they swept Kansas/K-State, but the Utes are going to miss the NCAA’s for the 8th year in a row, with Smith the coach for the last four of those seasons.
Utah is 15-12 this year, 7-9 in the Big X; chances are the rich boosters got annoyed and wanted Smith gone, since rich boosters run college sports now.
Will be interesting to see who Utah hires as their new coach; it is a difficult job.

— Two years ago, Kellen Moore was offensive coordinator for Brandon Staley’s Charger team; now Moore is head coach of the Saints- last week he hired Staley as his defensive coordinator.
Saints also hired Doug Nussmeier as their new offensive coordinator; he was the Eagles’ QB coach this year, when they won the Super Bowl. Nussmeier was a QB for five games for the Saints back in the late 90’s— he’s been a QB coach for several teams over the years.

— Buffalo Bills signed WR Khalil Shakir to a 4-year deal worth $60.2M, with $32M of that guaranteed; Shakir caught 76 passes for 821 yards, four TD’s this past season.

— When the Denver Broncos started play in the AFL in 1960, their QB was Frank Tripucka, who played college ball at Notre Dame and had bounced around the NFL— he was 33 that first year in Denver. He started for the Broncos for three seasons.
Frank Tripucka’s son Kelly Tripucka also went to college at Notre Dame, but he was a basketball player. Kelly Tripucka played ten years in the NBA, scoring an average of 17.2 points/game for three different teams.
Kelly Tripucka has a son Jake who went to Duke and helped the Blue Devils win two national titles in lacrosse.
Three generations, all excellent athletes, but in three different sports.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 26

5 of Wednesday’s best college basketball games:

Michigan State
@ Maryland (-3.5)
Michigan State (22-5, 13-3)
KenPom rating: 10
Tempo: 171
Experience: 214
Continuity: 90
Michigan State won four of its last five games.
Spartans are 4-0 ATS as a Big 18 road underdog.
Michigan State is 8-3 vs top 50 opponents.
Spartans have #18 eFG% defense in country.
MSU is shooting 55.2% inside arc (#47), 29.6% on arc (#349)

Maryland (21-6, 11-5)
KenPom rating: 15
Tempo: 52
Experience: 102
Continuity: 240
Maryland won four in row, eight of last nine games.
Terps are 5-2 ATS as a Big 18 home favorite.
Maryland is 6-4 vs top 50 opponents.
Terps have #30 eFG% offense, #43 eFG% defense.
Maryland is forcing turnovers 19.9% of time (#56)


Michigan State won last six series games
Big X home favorites are 50-60 ATS


Ole Miss @ Auburn (-12.5)
Ole Miss (19-8, 8-6)
KenPom rating: 24
Tempo: 141
Experience: 3
Continuity: 136
Ole Miss is 4-6 in last ten games, after a 15-2 start.
Ole Miss lost last two games, giving up 77-81 points.
Rebels are 3-2 ATS as an SEC road underdog.
Ole Miss is 7-8 vs top 50 opponents.
Rebels are forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#25)

Auburn (25-2, 13-1)
KenPom rating: 2
Tempo: 128
Experience: 25
Continuity: 40
Auburn won its last four games, scoring 80.8 ppg.
Tigers are 2-5 ATS as SEC home favorites.
Auburn allowed 84-90 points in their two losses.
Tigers have #9 eFG% defense in country.
Auburn is shooting 56.1% inside arc (#31)


Auburn (-5.5) won 92-82 at Ole Miss February 1st.
Auburn shot 14-28 on arc, won boards 41-30.
Auburn won last seven series games
SEC home favorites are 43-32 ATS


Texas @ Arkansas (-4.5)
Texas (16-11, 5-9)
KenPom rating: 29
Tempo: 149
Experience: 77
Continuity: 127
Texas lost five of its last seven games.
Longhorns are 2-3 ATS as SEC road underdogs.
Texas is 4-10 vs top 50 opponents.
Longhorns are shooting 48.5% inside arc in SEC tilts (#14 of 16)
Opponents are shooting 47% inside arc (#43)


Arkansas (16-11, 5-9)
KenPom rating: 36
Tempo: 91
Experience: 226
Continuity: 329
Arkansas is 4-3 SU/7-0 ATS in last seven games.
Hogs are 1-3 ATS as an SEC favorite this year.
Arkansas is 5-10 vs top 50 opponents.
Hogs has #53 eFG% defense in country.
Arkansas is shooting 54.6% inside arc (#58)

Arkansas (+7.5) won 78-70 at Texas February 5th.
Hogs were 27-35 on foul line in that game.
SEC home favorites are 43-32 ATS


Utah State @ Boise State (-3.5)
Utah State (24-4, 14-3)
KenPom rating: 43
Tempo: 136
Experience: 95
Continuity: 172
Utah State won five of its last six games.
Aggies are 6-2 SU/2-1 ATS as a MW road underdog.
Utah State is 11-4 vs top 100 opponents.
Aggies are shooting 58.4% inside arc (#7)
Utah State is forcing turnovers 20.5% of time (#39)

Boise State (19-8, 11-5)
KenPom rating: 49
Tempo: 235
Experience: 106
Continuity: 191
Boise State won six of its last seven games.
Broncos are won/covered their last six home games.
Boise State is 7-6 vs top 100 opponents.
Broncos are shooting 56.5% inside arc (#29)
Boise State is #2 team in country on defensive boards.


Utah State (-5) beat Boise 81-79 at home January 11th.
Both teams shot over 50% on arc in that game.
series games.
Mountain West home favorites are 32-27 ATS


San Francisco @ Oregon State (-2.5)
San Francisco (22-7, 12-4)
KenPom rating: 64
Tempo: 165
Experience: 165
Continuity: 99
USF won six of its last seven games.
Dons are 4-5 SU/1-3 ATS as WCC road underdogs.
USF is 4-6 vs top 100 opponents.
Dons have #68 eFG% offense, #41 eFG% defense.
USF is shooting 55% inside arc (#53)

Oregon State (20-9, 10-6)
KenPom rating: 79
Tempo: 335
Experience: 235
Continuity: 263
Oregon State won last three games, scoring 82 ppg.
Beavers are 4-2 ATS as a WCC home favorite.
Oregon State is 3-7 vs top 100 opponents.
Beavers have #47 eFG% offense in country.
Oregon State is #48 team on defensive boards.


USF (-2.5) beat Oregon State 81-70 January 18th.
USF was 13-22 on arc in that game, Beavers 1-9
WCC home favorites are 26-27 ATS
 

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Wednesday, February 26


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Wednesday, February 26

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
FOR at GMU07:00 PMGMU -11.5+500
SBON at JOES07:00 PMU 138.0+500
SCUS at HP07:00 PMHP -20.5+500
BELL at FGCU07:00 PMFGCU -13.0+500
GAST at CCAR07:30 PMGAST -3.5+500
SJU at BUT09:00 PMBUT +6.0+500
BC at STAN09:00 PMSTAN -11.0+500
TEX at ARK09:00 PMARK -2.0+500
USU at BSU10:30 PMO 149.0+500
OSU at USC10:30 PMUSC +1.0+500
 

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BEST BETS CBB FEB.

02/26/2025..............3 - 4 - 0................41.85%.............- 7.00
02/25/2025..............8 - 4 - 0................66.66%.............+ 18.00
02/24/2025...........11 - 10 - 1...............52.38%............+ 0.00
02/23/2025...............8 - 6 - 1...............57.14%.............+ 7.00
02/22/2025.............41 - 34 - 2..............54.66%.............+ 18.00
02/21/2025...............4 - 10 - 1..............28.57%.............-35.00
02/20/2025...............5 - 5 - 0.................50.00%............- 2.50
02/19/2025...............8- 15 - 0................34.78%.............- 42.50
02/18/2025.............17 - 13 - 0...............56.66%.............+ 13.50
02/17/2025...............5 - 5 - 0..................50.00%.............- 2.50
02/16/2025.............16 - 10.- 0...............61.53%.............+ 25.00
02/15/2025.............20 - 18 - 0...............52.63%.............+ 1.00
02/14/2025...............10 - 6 - 0...............62.50%.............+ 17.00
02/13/2025.............29 - 21 - 0...............58.00%..............+ 29.50
02/12/2025.............14 - 12 - 1...............58.84%..............+ 4.00
02/06/2025.............23 - 27 - 0...............46.00%..............- 33.50
02/05/2025.............28 - 17 - 0................62.22%.............+ 46.50
02/04/2025.............18 - 17 - 1................51.42%..............- 3.50
02/03/2025................4 - 8 - 0.................33.00%.............- 24.00
02/02/2025.............11 - 11 - 0................50.00%..............- 5.50
02/01/2025..............22 - 22 -0................50.00%..............- 11.00

TOTALS................305 - 275 - 6...............52.58%...............+ 12.50


BEST BETS & OPINONS TODAY:
SIDES............1 - 1 -1
TOTALS.........0 - 0- 0
 
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