CNOTES 2024 - 2025 COLLEGE BASKETBALL NEWS-BEST BETS-OPINIONS THRU THE CHAMPIONSHIP !

Cnotes53

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
Baseball teams whose attendance went down last year:
-24.1%— White Sox
-20.1%— A’s
-16.7%— Mets
-11.2%— Cardinals
-10.7%— Angels
-7.7%— Blue Jays

Thought of the Day
“Without you, I would not have been the second-leading scorer on a championship team. … I can’t thank you enough, are you kidding me? I didn’t even think that was possible.”
Klay Thompson, thanking the doctor who operated on his injured achilles tendon in 2020

Thursday’s quiz
Where did Klay Thompson play his college basketball?

Wednesday’s quiz
Blake Snell is the last pitcher to throw a complete game no-hitter in the major leagues.

Tuesday’s quiz
Oakland A’s have won four World Series, under Dick Williams (2), Alvin Dark, Tony LaRussa.

***********************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— There’s a lot of BS going on in the world these days, let’s start with some good stuff.
Tuesday night in LA, the Lakers beat Dallas 107-99; Klay Thompson scored 22 points, had 8 rebounds for the Mavericks. After the game, Thompson gave a 2022 NBA championship ring to Dr. Richard Ferkel, who surgically repaired Thompson’s torn achilles tendon in 2020.
“Oh my gosh, this is unbelievable.” Dr. Ferkel said, when he saw the ring he was getting. NBA championship rings are very big, and very expensive.
Showing gratitude is simple enough, but needs to happen more often.

— For three years now, the NFL Players Association has done a report card that grades teams on 11 different categories as far as off-field things; treatment of families, food/cafeteria, nutritionist/dietician, locker room, training room, training staff, weight room, strength coaches, team travel, head coach and owner.

Arizona Cardinals were lowest-ranked team, after being 27th last year.
League-wide, there were four F-minus grades given out:

1- Cardinals- locker room.
Players think the locker room and weight room are too small.

2- Bills- team travel
Only 35% of players said they had a comfortable amount of personal space on team flights. Players sit in smaller seats during travel while coaches/auxiliary staff sit in first class.

3- Bengals- treatment of families
Cincinnati is one of only three teams in the NFL that doesn’t offer daycare during home games, and one of 10 teams that does not offer a family room.
Also, the team’s dietitian only works two days a week; players want her hired full-time.

4- Browns- locker room
Cleveland upgraded its weight room last year; players gave it an A grade this year, but now they would like a bigger locker room, too.

— NFL Combine starts Thursday, lot of 40-yard sprints and interviews with Mel Kiper.

— Major league teams must make a decent amount of $$$ during spring training; Mets drew over 7,200 fans for their Grapefruit League opener last week. Cubs draw bigger crowds than that out in Arizona.

— Washington Nationals signed closer Kyle Finnegan for one year, $6M; Finnegan had 38 saves for Washington last year.

— Someone who needs to be in the Baseball Hall of Fame:
Charlie Finley was an insurance salesman who got rich selling group medical insurance to doctors; he bought the Kansas City A’s in 1960, moved them to Oakland in 1968, was the team’s general manager as well as a great promoter.

Finley’s A’s won three straight World Series from 1972-74, but then free agency became a thing and Finley couldn’t compete with the big $$$ owners who then infiltrated the game. He sold the A’s in 1980, but think about the impact Finley had/still has, actually.

Finley’s A’s were the first team to wear more colorful uniforms; think about how much $$$ teams make now from selling hats/jerseys/jackets. Billions of dollars; Finley helped that ball get rolling, over 50 years ago.

He wasn’t very well-liked, so he’ll probably never get inducted into Cooperstown, but he damn sure should be.

Famous birthdays, February 27th:
Joanne Woodward, 95
James Worthy, 64
Greg Cadaret, 63
Matt Stairs, 57
Loy Vaught, 57
Duce Staley, 50
Devin Harris, 42
Aníbal Sánchez, 41
Chris Godwin, 29

— Michigan State 58, Maryland 55
Kid on Michigan State drained a 1/2-court shot at the buzzer.
Spartans had blown a 9-point lead with 5:24 left to play.
Teams combined to shoot 8-35 on the arc.

— San Francisco 74, Oregon State 72
Beavers’ tying basket came half-second after the horn sounded.
Oregon State was only 14-24 on the foul line.
San Francisco won seven of its last eight games.

— Arkansas 86, Texas 81 OT
Arkansas led by 14 with 10:15 left in the game.
Razorbacks played only seven guys.
Texas lost five of its last six games.

— Vanderbilt 86, Texas A&M 84
Lot of fouls; Vandy was 28-36 on line, Aggies 31-39
Bracketology has Vanderbilt as a #10-seed in NCAA’s.
Aggies lost last three games, after a 20-5 start.

— Villanova 59, Seton Hall 54
Seton Hall led 37-21 early in second half.
Pirates were only 8-17 on the foul line.
Wildcats won five of their last seven games.

— Kentucky 83, Oklahoma 82
6-4 junior Oweh scored 28 points, had no assists- his job is to shoot.
Both teams shot 63% inside the arc.
Sooners are 4-11 in SEC, after a 13-0 pre-conference mark.

— East Tennessee State 59, Mercer 58
ETSU beat Mercer twice TY, by total of three points.
ETSU survived shooting 7-13 on the foul line.
Buccaneers won six of their last eight games.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 27

5 of Thursday’s best college basketball games:

North Texas
(-1.5) @ Florida Atlantic
North Texas (20-6, 11-3)
KenPom rating: 63
Tempo: 362
Experience: 17
Continuity: 287
North Texas won 10 of its last 12 games.
Mean Green are 4-1 ATS as an AAC road favorite.
North Texas is 6-5 vs teams ranked in top 125.
Mean Green has #25 eFG% defense in country.
North Texas is forcing turnovers 19.7% of time (#59)

FAU (15-12, 8-6)
KenPom rating: 109
Tempo: 66
Experience: 120
Continuity: 346
FAU lost its last two games, giving up 75-84 points.
Owls are 4-3 SU in AAC home games.
FAU is 1-6 vs top 100 opponents.
Opponents are shooting 38.4% on the arc (#359)
FAU is #287 team on defensive boards.


North Texas (-7.5) beat FAU 77-64 at home January 26
Owls led by 8 early in second half.
FAU won five of last seven series games
AAC home underdogs are 17-14 ATS


Chattanooga @ NC-Greensboro (-1.5)
Chattanooga (21-8, 13-3)
KenPom rating: 122
Tempo: 216
Experience: 192
Continuity: 198
UT-Chat is 9-0 SU/7-2 ATS in last nine games.
Mocs are 6-1 SU in SoCon road games.
UT-Chat is 1-6 vs teams ranked in top 125.
Mocs are shooting 58.2% inside arc (#10)
Opponents are shooting 36% on the arc (#300)

NC-Greensboro (19-10, 12-4)
KenPom rating: 125
Tempo: 344
Experience: 113
Continuity: 76
UNCG won five of its last six games.
Spartans are 5-2 SU in SoCon home games.
UNCG is 2-3 vs teams ranked in top 125.
UNCG is shooting 47.8% inside arc (#304), 36.4% on arc (#53)
Spartans have #33 eFG% defense in country.


UNCG (+2.5) won 78-75 at Chattanooga January 9th.
Spartans shot 11-23 on arc in that game.
UNCG won five of last seven series games
SoCon home favorites are 24-37 ATS


UAB @ Wichita State (-1.5)
UAB (18-9, 11-3)
KenPom rating: 107
Tempo: 93
Experience: 179
Continuity: 27
UAB won 11 of its last 13 games.
Blazers are 4-3 SU on AAC road.
UAB is 3-5 vs opponents ranked in top 125.
Blazers are #4 team in country on offensive boards.
UAB has #191 eFG% defense.


Wichita State (17-10, 7-7)
KenPom rating: 124
Tempo: 113
Experience: 18
Continuity: 51
Wichita won its last six games (5-1 ATS)
Shockers are 4-3 SU in AAC home games.
Wichita is 6-3 vs opponents ranked in top 125.
Shockers are turning ball over 18.4% of time in AAC tilts (#13 of 13)
Wichita is shooting 30% on arc in AAC tilts (#13 of 13)

Teams split their two series games last year.
AAC home favorites are 26-40 ATS


Cal-San Diego (-5.5) @ Cal-Northridge
Cal-San Diego (24-4, 14-2)
KenPom rating: 35
Tempo: 259
Experience: 295
Continuity: 116
Cal-San Diego won/covered its last nine games.
Tritons are 6-1 ATS as Big West road favorites.
Cal-San Diego is 3-2 vs teams ranked in top 125.
Tritons are forcing turnovers 23.4% of time (#2)
Cal-San Diego has #33 eFG% offense in country.

Cal-Northridge (20-7, 12-4)
KenPom rating: 106
Tempo: 13
Experience: 158
Continuity: 219
CSUN won its last seven games.
Matadors are 5-2 SU in big West home games.
CSUN is 1-4 vs top 100 opponents.
Matadors are forcing turnovers 21.4% of time (#22)
CSUN is a top 10 rebounding team in country.


Cal-San Diego (-10.5) whacked CSUN 79-54 January 25th
Northridge shot 32.8% from the floor.
Tritons won last seven series games.
Big West home favorites are 30-27 ATS


Saint Mary’s (-13.5) @ LMU
Saint Mary’s (25-4, 15-1)
KenPom rating: 18
Tempo: 351
Experience: 203
Continuity: 84
Saint Mary’s won five in row, 15 of last 16 games.
Gaels are 5-2 ATS as WCC road favorites.
Opponents are shooting 45.5% inside arc (#13)
Gaels are #3 team in country on offensive boards.
Saint Mary’s has already clinched #1-seed in WCC tourney.

LMU (16-13, 8-9)
KenPom rating: 79
Tempo: 335
Experience: 235
Continuity: 263
LMU lost five of its last seven games.
Lions are 2-2 ATS as a WCC home underdog.
Lions are 1-4 ATS in last five games overall.
LMU has #238 eFG% offense.
8 of their last 10 losses were by 14+ points.


Saint Mary’s (-16) beat LMU 81-56 at home January 7th
Gaels won six of last seven series games.
WCC home underdogs are 17-19 ATS
 

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Thursday, February 27


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Udog

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Friday’s 6-pack:
Most 3-point shots made, in NBA/ABA history:
3,969— Steph Curry
3,101— James Harden
2,973— Ray Allen
2,774— Damian Lillard
2,642— Klay Thompson
2,560— Reggie Miller

Thought of the Day
“I took the film at a time that I was desperate for money. I took it for all the wrong reasons, and it turned out to be one of those films that stick around. I was from that area of the country and knew of that event, strangely enough. We filmed fifty miles from where I was brought up. So it was a bizarre feeling. I never expected the film to have the kind of legs it’s had.”
Gene Hackman, on why he played Coach Dale in Hoosiers

Friday’s quiz
Which former NFL head coach played in lowest-scoring NBA (yes, NBA) game ever played?
(Hint: He was a head coach in a Super Bowl)

Thursday’s quiz
Klay Thompson played his college basketball at Washington State.

Wednesday’s quiz
Blake Snell is the last pitcher to throw a complete game no-hitter in the major leagues.

*****************************************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..



— Sunday night, March Madness tips off with two games in the ASUN Tournament:
Stetson vs Central Arkansas @ Nashville, winner plays Lipscomb Monday
Austin Peay vs North Florida @ Florence, AL; winner plays North Alabama Monday

Michigan 84, Rutgers 82
Rutgers led 57-49 at halftime; they scored 25 points in 2nd half.
Michigan shot 72.7% inside the arc.
Wolverines have won eight of their last nine games.

UAB 80, Wichita State 72
UAB won 12 of its last 14 games.
Blazers were +8 in turnovers (17-9)
Loss snaps Wichita’s six-game winning streak.

Wright State 82, Cleveland State 76
With this score, Robert Morris wins Horizon regular season for first time.
Cleveland State led 45-31 at halftime.
Wright State made 12-21 shots on the arc.

Towson State 88, Wm & Mary 73
Towson shot 14-32 on arc, wins CAA regular season title.
Wm & Mary led by 15, early in second half.
Tigers out-rebounded Wm & Mary, 44-23

North Texas 71, Florida Atlantic 61
North Texas shot 66.7% inside the arc.
Mean Green has won five in row, 11 of last 13 games.

Warriors 121, Magic 115
Steph Curry scored 56 points, shooting 12-19 on the arc.
Rest of the Warriors were 7-26 on the arc.
Orlando led 66-52 at halftime.
Golden State is 7-1 since they acquired Jimmy Butler.

Famous birthdays, February 28th:
Bernadette Peters, 77
Mercedes Ruehl, 77
Adrian Dantley, 70
John Turturro, 68
Ken Whisenhunt, 63
Ickey Woods, 59
Tayshaun Prince, 45
Aroldis Chapman, 37
Alex Caruso, 31
Randy Arozarena, 30
Luka Doncic, 26
Lance McCutcheon, 26

— In its last three games, BYU’s basketball team has……
Scored 90+ points
Shot 50%+ from the floor
Made 12+ 3-pointers
Had fewer than 12 turnovers.
They’re the first team in the last 25 years to do that three game in a row.

— Utah fired basketball coach Craig Smith Monday, with only four games left in the regular season; they couldn’t have waited a couple weeks, until the regular season was over?
One of coach Smith’s son is a walk-on sub with the Utes; another son is Director of Operations for Utah. Seems kind of harsh to fire their dad, while his sons stick it out and finish the season.

— Right now, there are nine NFL QB’s with contracts that average $50M/year. Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott is the highest-paid player right now, at $60M/year.

— Detroit Pistons have won eight games in a row, their longest winning streak since 2008.

— There is an NHL game in Ohio State’s football stadium Saturday night- Detroit-Columbus will play in Ohio Stadium, with ESPN showing the game. NHL has hit the jackpot with these outdoor games over the years- they’ll have a huge crowd for this game.

— White Sox OF Andrew Benintendi broke his hand when he was hit by a pitch, is out 4-6 weeks. Benintendi had a rough year last year, hitting .229, now he’s going to miss the first part of the season.

— RIP to the great actor Gene Hackman, who passed away this week at age 95; in his long career, he won two Academy Awards, four Golden Globe awards.
I remember him most from Hoosiers, but he was in a ton of movies- Runaway Jury, The Firm, The Replacements, Class Action.
What a great career. RIP, sir.
 
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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 28

5 of Friday’s best college basketball games:

Davidson
@ VCU (-15.5)
Davidson (16-12, 6-9)
KenPom rating: 127
Tempo: 284
Experience: 145
Continuity: 41
Davidson lost three of its last four games.
Wildcats are 3-1 ATS as an A-15 road underdog.
Seven of their last eight losses were by 8 or fewer points.
Wildcats are shooting 53.6% inside arc (#93)
Davidson is #59 team in country on defensive boards.

VCU (23-5, 13-2)
KenPom rating: 29
Tempo: 228
Experience: 120
Continuity: 346
VCU has won seven in row, 13 of last 14 games.
Rams are 6-1 ATS as an A-15 home favorite.
VCU has #6 eFG% defense in country.
Rams are forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#25)
Bracketology has VCU in NCAA’s; they need to keep winning.


VCU won five of last six series games
A-15 home favorites are 35-39 ATS


UCLA @ Purdue (-5.5)
UCLA (20-8, 11-6)
KenPom rating: 28
Tempo: 310
Experience: 85
Continuity: 178
UCLA won nine of its last 11 games.
Bruins are 3-2 ATS as a Big 18 road underdog.
UCLA is 7-6 vs top 50 opponents.
Bruins are forcing turnovers 23.4% of time (#4)
UCLA is 9-6 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.

Purdue (19-9, 11-6)
KenPom rating: 17
Tempo: 290
Experience: 189
Continuity: 42
Purdue lost its last four games, giving up 79.3 ppg.
Boilers are 5-3 ATS as Big 18 home favorites.
Purdue is 6-7 vs top 50 opponents.
Boilers have #16 eFG% offense in country.
Opponents are shooting 56% inside arc (#338)


Big 18 home favorites are 50-67 ATS


Appalachian State @ Marshall (-3.5)
Appalachian State (17-12, 10-7)
KenPom rating: 149
Tempo: 347
Experience: 81
Continuity: 256
App State lost three of its last four games.
App State is 4-4 SU/1-1 ATS as Sun Belt road dogs.
App State is 5-8 vs teams ranked in top 200.
App State has #16 eFG% defense in country.
App State is shooting 49.8% inside arc (#236)


Marshall (18-12, 11-6)
KenPom rating: 178
Tempo: 94
Experience: 73
Continuity: 147
Marshall won last three games, scoring 77.7 ppg.
Herd is 3-2 ATS as a Sun Belt home favorite.
Marshall is 6-7 vs teams ranked in top 200,
Opponents are getting 22.5% of their points on foul line (#33)
Marshall is shooting 32% on the arc (#273)

Marshall (+4.5) won 69-59 at App State six days ago.
Thundering Herd shot 58.3% inside the arc.
Marshall is 3-2 in last five series games.
Sun Belt home favorites are 34-36 ATS


Kent State @ Akron (-3.5)
Kent State (19-9, 9-6)
KenPom rating: 119
Tempo: 267
Experience: 97
Continuity: 93
Kent won six of its last seven games.
Flashes are 5-2 SU/1-2 ATS as a MAC road underdog.
Kent is 2-4 vs teams ranked in top 125.
Flashes have #58 eFG% defense in country.
Kent is #32 team in country on defensive boards.

Akron (22-6, 14-1)
KenPom rating: 102
Tempo: 12
Experience: 246
Continuity: 253
Akron won 15 of its last 16 games.
Zips are 3-4 ATS as a MAC home favorite.
Akron is 2-4 vs teams ranked in top 150.
Zips have #44 eFG% offense in country.
Akron is #84 team in country on defensive boards.


Akron (+1.5) won 85-71 at Kent State January 31.
Zips won five of last seven series games.
MAC home favorites are 23-35 ATS


Nevada (-1.5) @ UNLV
Nevada (16-12, 8-9)
KenPom rating: 72
Tempo: 344
Experience: 10
Continuity: 92
Nevada won five of its last seven games.
Wolf Pack is 3-5 SU in Mountain West road games.
Nevada is 4-9 vs top 100 teams.
Wolf Pack has #36 eFG% offense in country.
Nevada is #40 team in country on defensive boards.

UNLV (15-13, 9-8)
KenPom rating: 96
Tempo: 270
Experience: 109
Continuity: 236
UNLV’s star PG Thomas (shoulder) missed last 2 games (check status)
Rebels won four of their last five games.
UNLV is 4-4 SU in Mountain West home games.
Rebels are 2-12 vs teams ranked in top 100
UNLV is shooting 32.4% on arc in MW games (#10 of 11)


Nevada (-4.5) beat UNLV 71-65 at home February 1st.
Wolf Pack is 11-4 in last fifteen series games.
Mountain West home underdogs are 16-17 ATS
 

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Cnotes53

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Friday, February 28

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
IONA at NIAG06:30 PMIONA +1.0
O 138.0
+500 +500
DAV at VCU07:00 PMDAV +14.5
U 141.0
+500 +500
RID at MW07:00 PMO 130.5+500
ARST at ULM07:30 PMO 151.5+500
UCLA at PUR08:00 PMPUR -6.0
O 138.5
+500 +500
ULL at USA08:00 PMULL +13.5
O 135.5
+500 +500
JMU at TXST08:00 PMO 142.0+500
TROY at USM08:30 PMU 144.5+500
IOWA at NW09:00 PMO 150.5+500
APP at MRSH09:00 PMU 136.5+500
KENT at AKR09:00 PMAKR -4.0
U 156.5
+500 +500
NEV at UNLV11:00 PMUNLV +2.0
O 133.5
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack:

Purdue 76, UCLA 66- Boilermakers shot 11-22 on the arc.
UNLV 68, Nevada 55- Rebels won five of their last six games.
Akron 77, Kent State 72- Zips are 15-1 in the MAC
Manhattan 77, Canisius 72- 3-25 Canisius led by 17 midway thru first half.
Yale 72, Dartmouth 67- Yale has won 13 in a row; their last loss was December 21.
Texas State 102, James Madison 93, 2OT- Sun Belt regular season finishes in a 4-way tie for first place.

Quote of the Day
“The call is surprisingly correct.”
Umpire Mike Muchlinski, announcing to the crowd that an instant replay challenge showed that his call was right.

Saturday’s quiz
Who is the only major league ballplayer who played 162 games in each of the last three seasons?

Friday’s quiz
Former Vikings’ head coach Bud Grant played in the lowest-scoring NBA (yes, NBA) game ever, when he played for the Minneapolis Lakers in 1951.

Thursday’s quiz
Klay Thompson played his college basketball at Washington State.

**********************************************************

Saturday’s Den: Baseball issues for 2025, now that March is here…….

— As I started writing this, Shohei Ohtani hit a home run in his first at-bat of the 2025 Cactus League; Ohtani was a 50-50 guy last year, but this year he figures to get back on the mound too.

Ohtani is 38-19, 3.01 in 86 MLB starts, with a 1.08 WHIP; he is coming back from Tommy John surgery.

Dodgers have spent a boatload of $$$; they’re favored to win the World Series again this year. It has been 25 years since a team won the World Series two years in a row.

— Juan Soto signed a 15-year, $765M contract with the Mets, who went 89-73 last year but lost the NLCS to the Dodgers in six games. Mets have Lindor-Soto-Alonso leading off their lineup, but how good is their batting order after that?

— New York’s American League team hasn’t won a World Series since 2009, despite having a huge payroll every year; last year was first time since ’09 they were in a World Series. They’ve made the playoffs seven of last eight years, but now they lost Soto, but added Paul Goldschmidt, Cody Bellinger and Max Fried.

— Tampa Bay Rays will play their home games this year in a minor league stadium in Tampa, because the Trop was wicked by a hurricane last year. Rays will play ton of home games early in the season, to avoid the humid summer weather in Florida.

A’s will be playing home games in Sacramento’s minor league stadium the next three years; hopefully they’ll move to Las Vegas for the ’28 season, but since their owner is a cheap bastard, no one knows for sure.

Summer weather in Sacramento is said to be a lot warmer than Oakland, so A’s home games figure to be more high scoring than previous years.

— Still unclear what the Red Sox lineup is going to look like; they signed Alex Bregman, but also have Rafael Devers- they both play third base. Devers is banged-up right now; when he gets back in the lineup, does Bregman move to 2B? Does Devers move to 1B?

Boston seems to have an excess of hitters; will they trade one for a pitcher (Dylan Cease)?

— Pittsburgh haven’t had a winning season since 2018, haven’t made the playoffs since 2015, but their pitching rotation is pretty good; too bad they won’t spend $$$ on some hitters- they could compete for a playoff spot in a less-than-stellar NL Central.

— Wish they’d put in the ball/strike replay challenge thing in for this season; it seems to be a very good idea, from what I’ve seen in spring training. MLB and the players’ union could get together and make this happen right?

Famous birthdays, March 1st:
Elvin Bethea, 79
Brian Winters, 73
Ron Howard, 71
Catherine Bach, 71
George Eads, 58

Chris Webber, 52
Trevor Cahill, 37
Michael Conforto, 32

Tyreek Hill, 31
Ja’Maar Chase, 25

— Watching spring training games is fun (to a point); watch lot of Dodger games, listen to Rick Monday do analysis- he does radio during the season. He is 79 years old, has a great voice.

When I was a little kid, Rick Monday was an outfielder for the A’s; he was the first player taken in the 1965 amateur draft, which was the first-ever amateur draft.

He played 19 years in the majors and since has had an excellent broadcasting career.

— Read that All-Stars will be wearing their team’s uniform during the All-Star Game this year, which is a good thing, a throwback to the old days.

— Jose Altuve is going to play LF for the Astros this year; Christian Walker will play 1B, Isaac Paredes will replace Bregman at 3B, and it looks like Brendan Rodgers will play 2B.

Altuve’s defensive metrics at 2B weren’t good last year, so they’re moving him to the outfield. Left field in Houston’s stadium isn’t big; am curious where he’ll play in road games.

— Will Nolan Arenado remain a Cardinal, or get traded to a contender? He is on the books for $32M this year, $27M next year, $15M in 2027; he said he wanted to get traded to a contender, but apparently vetoed a trade to Houston.

Cardinals don’t appear to be a contender this season, so unloading a big contract makes some sense for St Louis.

— Mike Trout is moving to right field this year, as he tries to stay healthier; Trout will be 34 in August, has played in only 266 games the last four years, 41% of the Angels’ games. Not ideal for a guy who is on the books for $37M a year through 2030.

— Terry Francona is the new manager in Cincinnati; Reds have made the playoffs only once since 2013, the short season in 2020, but Francona is a Hall of Fame-level manager, winning two World Series in Boston, winning an AL title in Cleveland.

Reds have had three winning seasons the last five years, but were 77-85 last year, going 15-28 in one-run games. Reverse that stat, and Cincinnati would’ve been a playoff team.

— Arizona Diamondbacks lost the World Series in 2023, then won five more games last year than they did in ’23, but narrowly missed the playoffs.

Arizona added P Corbin Burnes, 1B Josh Naylor, but lost Christian Walker; they’re trying hard to win, but being a division rival of the Dodgers can be discouraging. More than likely, they’ll be hunting for a Wild Card spot, like the one they got in 2023.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 1

5 of Saturday’s best college basketball games:

Auburn
(-4.5) @ Kentucky
Auburn (26-2, 14-1)
KenPom rating: 2
Tempo: 124
Experience: 25
Continuity: 40
Auburn won five in row, 19 of last 20 games.
Tigers are 3-3 ATS as an SEC road favorite.
Auburn has #23 eFG% offense, #11 eFG% defense
Tigers gave up 84-90 points in their two losses.
Auburn is #25 team in country on offensive boards.

Kentucky (19-9, 8-7)
KenPom rating: 15
Tempo: 36
Experience: 7
Continuity: 355
Kentucky won four of its last six games.
Wildcats are 3-2 ATS as an SEC underdog.
Kentucky has #16 eFG% offense in country.
Opponents are shooting 53.4% inside arc (#271)
Kentucky is #51 team on defensive boards.


Kentucky is 3-2 in last five series games
SEC home underdogs are 21-13 ATS


Texas Tech @ Kansas (-4.5)
Texas Tech (21-7, 12-5)
KenPom rating: 7
Tempo: 272
Experience: 33
Continuity: 142
Texas Tech split its last six games after an 18-4 start.
Red Raiders are 2-1 ATS as a Big X road underdog.
Texas Tech has #27 eFG% offense, #40 eFG% defense.
Red Raiders are #41 team on offensive boards.
Texas Tech is 5-4 vs teams ranked in top 50.

Kansas (19-9, 10-7)
KenPom rating: 1
Tempo: 20
Experience: 1
Continuity: 112
Kansas split its last ten games SU.
Jayhawks are 3-4 ATS as a Big X home favorite.
Kansas has #9 eFG% defense in country.
Jayhawks are 4-7 vs teams ranked in top 50
Kansas is getting 13.6% of points on foul line (#360)


Kansas won eight of last ten series games
Big X home favorites are 53-43 ATS


Alabama @ Tennessee (-3.5)
Alabama (23-5, 12-3)
KenPom rating: 6
Tempo: 1
Experience: 9
Continuity: 108
Alabama won nine of its last 11 games.
Crimson Tide is 2-1 ATS as an SEC road underdog.
Last five games, Alabama scored 99 ppg.
Crimson Tide is shooting 60.7% inside arc (#1)
Alabama has #30 eFG% defense in country.


Tennessee (23-5, 10-5)
KenPom rating: 5
Tempo: 346
Experience: 15
Continuity: 160
Tennessee won six of its last seven games.
Vols are 4-3 ATS as SEC home favorites.
Tennessee has #1 eFG% defense in country.
Vols are #15 team on offensive boards.
Tennessee is 6-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.

Tennessee won three of last four series games.
SEC home favorites are 47-34 ATS


Texas A&M @ Florida (-9.5)
Texas A&M (20-8, 9-6)
KenPom rating: 21
Tempo: 225
Experience: 12
Continuity: 6
Texas A&M lost last three games, giving up 77.7 ppg.
Aggies are 4-2 ATS as an SEC road underdog.
Texas A&M has #312 eFG% offense in country.
Aggies is #1 team in country on offensive boards.
Texas A&M has #42 eFG% defense in country.

Florida (24-4, 11-4)
KenPom rating: 4
Tempo: 76
Experience: 64
Continuity: 47
Florida won six of its last seven games.
Gators are 5-2 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
Florida has #7 eFG% defense in country.
Gators are shooting 55.5% inside arc (#40)
Florida is #9 team in country on offensive boards.


Texas A&M won five of last six series games.
SEC home favorites are 47-34 ATS


Gonzaga (-9.5) @ San Francisco
Gonzaga (22-8, 13-4)
KenPom rating: 9
Tempo: 46
Experience: 10
Continuity: 4
Gonzaga won six of its last seven games.
Zags are 4-4 ATS as a WCC road favorite.
Gonzaga is 2-8 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Zags have #18 eFG% offense in country.
Gonzaga is #26 team in country on defensive boards.

San Francisco (23-7, 13-4)
KenPom rating: 62
Tempo: 166
Experience: 164
Continuity: 99
USF won seven of its last eight games.
Dons are 2-3 ATS as a WCC home underdog.
USF is 5-6 vs top 100 opponents.
Dons have #50 eFG% defense in country,
USF is shooting 54.9% inside arc (#51)


Gonzaga (-14.5) beat USF 88-77 at home February 13.
Gonzaga has beaten USF 31 times in a row.
WCC home underdogs are 18-19 ATS
 

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Saturday, March 1


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Saturday, March 1


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