CFL Betting Notes - Div Finals
David Schwab
The final weekend of CFL regular season games kicked things off with Montreal posting its 10th straight-up victory of the year by beating Ottawa 42-32 as a seven-point road favorite on Friday night.
In the first of three Saturday games, Saskatchewan clinched the West Division title with a 23-13 victory against Edmonton in a PUSH as a 10-point home favorite. Hamilton closed out its season with a tight 21-18 win at home against Toronto, but the Tiger-Cats came nowhere close to covering the 13 ?-point spread. Calgary closed as a 6 ?-point road favorite against British Columbia and the Stampeders failed to cover in a 21-16 decision.
Sunday, Nov. 10
Edmonton Eskimos (8-10 SU, 5-12-1 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (10-8 SU, 10-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -1 ?
Total: 50
Game Overview
Edmonton enters the playoffs as a crossover team from the West Division. The Eskimos split the season series against Montreal SU with the home team winning each meeting. They were 0-2 ATS with the total staying UNDER 54 points in a 20-10 loss to the Alouettes as 5 ?-point road favorites. Edmonton has just two straight-up wins over its last nine games with a 1-7-1 record against the spread. The total has stayed UNDER in three of its last five contests. It has gone 2-6-1 ATS on the road this season.
Logan Kilgore took the majority of the snaps at quarterback in the season finale. He completed 12-of-22 passes for 88 yards with two touchdown throws against one interception. Taking over for the injured Trevor Harris over final six games of the season, he has thrown for 1,199 yards while completing 65.5 percent of his 174 attempts. Kilgore has six touchdown passes against nine interceptions.
This will be Montreal?s first postseason appearance since the 2014 CFL season. The Alouettes followed a SU win with a SU loss in each of their past nine outings. They went 5-4 ATS during this same span with the total going OVER in three of their final four games. Montreal failed to cover the closing spread in five of its final seven home games.
Vernon Adams Jr. completed 13-of-16 passing attempts in limited action Friday night for 126 yards and two touchdowns before giving way to Matt Shiltz. Adams finished the regular season with 3,942 total passing yards while completing 65.7 percent of his 431 passing attempts. He tossed 24 touchdowns against 13 interceptions. William Stanback was the Alouettes? leading rusher with 1,048 yards and five scores on 170 carries. He gained 45 yards on seven rushing attempts against Ottawa.
Betting Trends
-- With the SU season split, Edmonton has won 11 of its last 12 games against Montreal. It also has an 8-4 edge in these meetings ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five games in this inter-division clash.
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-7 SU, 12-6 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (12-6 SU, 5-12-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -6
Total: 49 ?
Game Overview
The Blue Bombers have the benefit of a Week 21 bye heading into their third game against Calgary over the past four weeks. This will be the fourth meeting between these West Division rivals this season with the home team winning each game SU. Winnipeg has the 2-1 edge ATS with the total going OVER in all three games. The Blue Bombers are 5-1 ATS this season when closing as underdogs and they have covered in three of their last five road games.
In the season-ending 29-28 home win against Calgary, Zach Collaros was under center at quarterback in his only start this season due to injury. He completed 22-of-28 passes for 221 yards and two scores. He was also picked off once. Andrew Harris gained another 64 yards running the ball on 15 carries. He ended the regular season as the CFL?s leading rusher with 1,380 yards and four scores on 225 carries.
The Week 20 loss to Winnipeg cost Calgary the West Division title after opening that home-and-home series with a 37-33 victory as a 6 ?-point favorite at home. The Stampeders were 7-2 SU in their last nine games with a costly 2-6-1 record ATS after failing to cover in their last five games. The total stayed UNDER 47 points in Saturday?s win against BC after going OVER in six of their previous 10 outings. Calgary is 2-7 ATS at home this season and a dismal 1-11-1 ATS closing as a favorite.
Bo Levi Mitchell ended the season with 3,464 passing yards and 19 touchdown throws in 11 starts. He completed 66 percent of his 415 passing attempts. He threw for a combined 687 yards and seven touchdowns in those final two games against Winnipeg. Reginald Begelton has been his top target with 102 receptions in 17 games. His 1,444 receiving yards is ranked third in the CFL and his 10 touchdown catches are also tied for the third most in the CFL.
Betting Trends
-- Calgary has the slight 6-4 SU edge in the last 10 meetings between these two division foes. This includes a 22-14 SU win in last year?s playoffs as a 7 ?-point home favorite. The series is tied 5-5 ATS with the total going OVER in six of the 10 games.
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CFL
Long Sheet
Week 22
Sunday, November 10
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EDMONTON (8 - 10) at MONTREAL (10 - 8) - 11/10/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
EDMONTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a division game this season.
EDMONTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf this season.
EDMONTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WINNIPEG (11 - 7) at CALGARY (12 - 6) - 11/10/2019, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus division opponents this season.
WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a division game this season.
WINNIPEG is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in games played on turf this season.
CALGARY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
CALGARY is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in games played on turf this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-4 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-4 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CFL
Week 22
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Sunday, November 10
Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games
Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Montreal is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games at home
Montreal is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Montreal is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Montreal is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Edmonton is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Edmonton is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Edmonton is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Edmonton's last 14 games on the road
Edmonton is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Edmonton is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Calgary is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Calgary is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Calgary is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
Winnipeg is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Calgary
Winnipeg is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
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CFL Division Semifinals preview, odds, picks & predictions: Why Winnipeg is worth a wager
Rohit Ponnaiya
The Winnipeg Blue Bombers are 6-point underdogs on the road against the Calgary Stampeders in the CFL Western Division semifinals on Sunday.
The CFL division semifinals take place on Sunday with the Edmonton Eskimos crossing over to play the Montreal Alouettes, while the Calgary Stampeders host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers as 6-point chalk.
We break down the odds (provided by 10bet.com) with analysis and predictions for both CFL playoff games this weekend.
Season Betting Trends
Favorites: 62-19 SU, 38-41-2 ATS
Home teams: 50-31 SU, 40-39-2 ATS
Over/Under: 37-43-1
Week 21 Picks: 3-1
Season to date: 39-36-2
EDMONTON ESKIMOS AT MONTREAL ALOUETTES (-1.5, 50)
This line is a testament to how much the Alouettes have flown under the radar all season. While the Eskimos will have star quarterback Trevor Harris, he's played just one game since September 8 and they had red-zone problems on offense even with Harris under center.
Alouettes QB Vernon Adams Jr might be the front-runner for Most Outstanding Player after accounting for 36 total touchdowns (24 passing and 12 running) in 16 games this season. While the Eskimos defense has been excellent against the pass they've been vulnerable to the run giving up 5.4 yards per carry. That's bad news against the mobile Adams and Montreal running back William Stanback who rushed for 1048 yards in 14 games with 6.2 YPA.
Edmonton has struggled on the road going 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS. Their three victories away from home came against the three-worst teams in the league in Ottawa, Toronto and B.C. The Als went 6-3 at home, including a 20-10 victory over the Esks in Week 6 - a game which Harris was healthy for. Take the home side to win and cover.
PICK: Montreal -1.5
WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS AT CALGARY STAMPEDERS (-6, 49.5)
If the regular-season matchups between these teams are any indication, this should be a close game. The Bombers went 2-1 in the series with a total score of 89-88 for Calgary. The biggest margin of victory was a 37-33 Calgary victory in Week 19 where Winnipeg had a fourth-quarter lead.
While Calgary could certainly repeat as Grey Cup champions this isn't the same juggernaut they've had in years past. The Stamps rank fourth in the league in offense and in defense (both in terms of yardage and scoring), which in a league of nine teams isn't exactly impressive.
The Bombers struggled towards the end of the season but with the recently acquired (and recently healthy) Zach Collaros looking sharp against the Stamps in their season finale, their passing struggles might be over. Winnipeg has the top running attack and the best run defense in the league and, at least on paper, a formidable pass defense that has piled up 48 sacks and 24 interceptions.
When it comes to special teams, Winnipeg has a clear edge. Returner Janarion Grant has two punt return TDs against Calgary this season and Winnipeg is plus-7 in big plays on special teams while Calgary is minus-6.
The Bombers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against Western Conference opponents while the Stamps are 0-6-1 ATS in their previous seven games overall. Take Winnipeg and the points.
PICK: Winnipeg +6
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CFL
Dunkel
Week 22
Sunday, November 10
Edmonton @ Montreal
Game 821-822
November 10, 2019 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
110.395
Montreal
109.972
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
by 2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+2); Under
Winnipeg @ Calgary
Game 823-824
November 10, 2019 @ 4:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
116.567
Calgary
117.533
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 6
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+6); Under
David Schwab
The final weekend of CFL regular season games kicked things off with Montreal posting its 10th straight-up victory of the year by beating Ottawa 42-32 as a seven-point road favorite on Friday night.
In the first of three Saturday games, Saskatchewan clinched the West Division title with a 23-13 victory against Edmonton in a PUSH as a 10-point home favorite. Hamilton closed out its season with a tight 21-18 win at home against Toronto, but the Tiger-Cats came nowhere close to covering the 13 ?-point spread. Calgary closed as a 6 ?-point road favorite against British Columbia and the Stampeders failed to cover in a 21-16 decision.
Sunday, Nov. 10
Edmonton Eskimos (8-10 SU, 5-12-1 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (10-8 SU, 10-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -1 ?
Total: 50
Game Overview
Edmonton enters the playoffs as a crossover team from the West Division. The Eskimos split the season series against Montreal SU with the home team winning each meeting. They were 0-2 ATS with the total staying UNDER 54 points in a 20-10 loss to the Alouettes as 5 ?-point road favorites. Edmonton has just two straight-up wins over its last nine games with a 1-7-1 record against the spread. The total has stayed UNDER in three of its last five contests. It has gone 2-6-1 ATS on the road this season.
Logan Kilgore took the majority of the snaps at quarterback in the season finale. He completed 12-of-22 passes for 88 yards with two touchdown throws against one interception. Taking over for the injured Trevor Harris over final six games of the season, he has thrown for 1,199 yards while completing 65.5 percent of his 174 attempts. Kilgore has six touchdown passes against nine interceptions.
This will be Montreal?s first postseason appearance since the 2014 CFL season. The Alouettes followed a SU win with a SU loss in each of their past nine outings. They went 5-4 ATS during this same span with the total going OVER in three of their final four games. Montreal failed to cover the closing spread in five of its final seven home games.
Vernon Adams Jr. completed 13-of-16 passing attempts in limited action Friday night for 126 yards and two touchdowns before giving way to Matt Shiltz. Adams finished the regular season with 3,942 total passing yards while completing 65.7 percent of his 431 passing attempts. He tossed 24 touchdowns against 13 interceptions. William Stanback was the Alouettes? leading rusher with 1,048 yards and five scores on 170 carries. He gained 45 yards on seven rushing attempts against Ottawa.
Betting Trends
-- With the SU season split, Edmonton has won 11 of its last 12 games against Montreal. It also has an 8-4 edge in these meetings ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five games in this inter-division clash.
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-7 SU, 12-6 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (12-6 SU, 5-12-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -6
Total: 49 ?
Game Overview
The Blue Bombers have the benefit of a Week 21 bye heading into their third game against Calgary over the past four weeks. This will be the fourth meeting between these West Division rivals this season with the home team winning each game SU. Winnipeg has the 2-1 edge ATS with the total going OVER in all three games. The Blue Bombers are 5-1 ATS this season when closing as underdogs and they have covered in three of their last five road games.
In the season-ending 29-28 home win against Calgary, Zach Collaros was under center at quarterback in his only start this season due to injury. He completed 22-of-28 passes for 221 yards and two scores. He was also picked off once. Andrew Harris gained another 64 yards running the ball on 15 carries. He ended the regular season as the CFL?s leading rusher with 1,380 yards and four scores on 225 carries.
The Week 20 loss to Winnipeg cost Calgary the West Division title after opening that home-and-home series with a 37-33 victory as a 6 ?-point favorite at home. The Stampeders were 7-2 SU in their last nine games with a costly 2-6-1 record ATS after failing to cover in their last five games. The total stayed UNDER 47 points in Saturday?s win against BC after going OVER in six of their previous 10 outings. Calgary is 2-7 ATS at home this season and a dismal 1-11-1 ATS closing as a favorite.
Bo Levi Mitchell ended the season with 3,464 passing yards and 19 touchdown throws in 11 starts. He completed 66 percent of his 415 passing attempts. He threw for a combined 687 yards and seven touchdowns in those final two games against Winnipeg. Reginald Begelton has been his top target with 102 receptions in 17 games. His 1,444 receiving yards is ranked third in the CFL and his 10 touchdown catches are also tied for the third most in the CFL.
Betting Trends
-- Calgary has the slight 6-4 SU edge in the last 10 meetings between these two division foes. This includes a 22-14 SU win in last year?s playoffs as a 7 ?-point home favorite. The series is tied 5-5 ATS with the total going OVER in six of the 10 games.
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CFL
Long Sheet
Week 22
Sunday, November 10
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EDMONTON (8 - 10) at MONTREAL (10 - 8) - 11/10/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
EDMONTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a division game this season.
EDMONTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf this season.
EDMONTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WINNIPEG (11 - 7) at CALGARY (12 - 6) - 11/10/2019, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus division opponents this season.
WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a division game this season.
WINNIPEG is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in games played on turf this season.
CALGARY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
CALGARY is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in games played on turf this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-4 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-4 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CFL
Week 22
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, November 10
Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games
Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Montreal is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games at home
Montreal is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Montreal is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Montreal is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Edmonton is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Edmonton is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Edmonton is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Edmonton's last 14 games on the road
Edmonton is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Edmonton is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Calgary is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Calgary is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Calgary is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
Winnipeg is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Calgary
Winnipeg is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
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CFL Division Semifinals preview, odds, picks & predictions: Why Winnipeg is worth a wager
Rohit Ponnaiya
The Winnipeg Blue Bombers are 6-point underdogs on the road against the Calgary Stampeders in the CFL Western Division semifinals on Sunday.
The CFL division semifinals take place on Sunday with the Edmonton Eskimos crossing over to play the Montreal Alouettes, while the Calgary Stampeders host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers as 6-point chalk.
We break down the odds (provided by 10bet.com) with analysis and predictions for both CFL playoff games this weekend.
Season Betting Trends
Favorites: 62-19 SU, 38-41-2 ATS
Home teams: 50-31 SU, 40-39-2 ATS
Over/Under: 37-43-1
Week 21 Picks: 3-1
Season to date: 39-36-2
EDMONTON ESKIMOS AT MONTREAL ALOUETTES (-1.5, 50)
This line is a testament to how much the Alouettes have flown under the radar all season. While the Eskimos will have star quarterback Trevor Harris, he's played just one game since September 8 and they had red-zone problems on offense even with Harris under center.
Alouettes QB Vernon Adams Jr might be the front-runner for Most Outstanding Player after accounting for 36 total touchdowns (24 passing and 12 running) in 16 games this season. While the Eskimos defense has been excellent against the pass they've been vulnerable to the run giving up 5.4 yards per carry. That's bad news against the mobile Adams and Montreal running back William Stanback who rushed for 1048 yards in 14 games with 6.2 YPA.
Edmonton has struggled on the road going 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS. Their three victories away from home came against the three-worst teams in the league in Ottawa, Toronto and B.C. The Als went 6-3 at home, including a 20-10 victory over the Esks in Week 6 - a game which Harris was healthy for. Take the home side to win and cover.
PICK: Montreal -1.5
WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS AT CALGARY STAMPEDERS (-6, 49.5)
If the regular-season matchups between these teams are any indication, this should be a close game. The Bombers went 2-1 in the series with a total score of 89-88 for Calgary. The biggest margin of victory was a 37-33 Calgary victory in Week 19 where Winnipeg had a fourth-quarter lead.
While Calgary could certainly repeat as Grey Cup champions this isn't the same juggernaut they've had in years past. The Stamps rank fourth in the league in offense and in defense (both in terms of yardage and scoring), which in a league of nine teams isn't exactly impressive.
The Bombers struggled towards the end of the season but with the recently acquired (and recently healthy) Zach Collaros looking sharp against the Stamps in their season finale, their passing struggles might be over. Winnipeg has the top running attack and the best run defense in the league and, at least on paper, a formidable pass defense that has piled up 48 sacks and 24 interceptions.
When it comes to special teams, Winnipeg has a clear edge. Returner Janarion Grant has two punt return TDs against Calgary this season and Winnipeg is plus-7 in big plays on special teams while Calgary is minus-6.
The Bombers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against Western Conference opponents while the Stamps are 0-6-1 ATS in their previous seven games overall. Take Winnipeg and the points.
PICK: Winnipeg +6
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CFL
Dunkel
Week 22
Sunday, November 10
Edmonton @ Montreal
Game 821-822
November 10, 2019 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
110.395
Montreal
109.972
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
by 2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+2); Under
Winnipeg @ Calgary
Game 823-824
November 10, 2019 @ 4:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
116.567
Calgary
117.533
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 6
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+6); Under