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Tuesday, January 5


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Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 5


Vanderbilt @ Kentucky
Vanderbilt (4-3, 0-1)
? ranked #144 by KenPom
? Tempo: #178
? Experience: #294
? Continuity: #113
? Vandy lost its SEC opener 91-72 at home to Florida.
? Commodores lost only true road game by 20 at Davidson.
? Vandy is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 11-20-19 points.

Kentucky (2-6, 1-0)
? ranked #49 by KenPom
? Tempo: #196
? Experience: #339
? Continuity: #339
? Wildcats lost six of their last seven games.
? Kentucky won its SEC opener in double OT at Miss State
? Kentucky scored 64 or fewer points in all six losses.

? Kentucky won last eight series games.
? Vandy lost its last 12 visits to Lexington, last four by 9 or fewer points.

Davidson @ Duquesne
Davidson (5-4, 1-1)
? ranked #74 by KenPom
? Tempo: #353
? Experience: #176
? Continuity: #41
? Davidson lost four of its five top 100 games.
? 46.6% of Wildcats? shots are 3?s (36.3%, #84)
? Davidson won its only true road game, by 9 at Rhode Island

Duquesne (2-2, 1-1)
? ranked #89 by KenPom
? Tempo: #223
? Experience: #98
? Continuity: #12
? Third game in four nights for the Dukes.
? Duquesne split first two A-14 games, both were at GW.
? This is Duquesne?s first home game this season.

? Davidson won seven of last eight series games.
? Wildcats lost 71-64 here LY, their first loss in last four visits.

NC State @ Clemson
NC State (6-1, 2-0)
? ranked #46 by KenPom
? Tempo: #66
? Experience: #194
? Continuity: #99
? Wolfpack won first two ACC games, both 79-76 scores.
? State lost its only true road game, 80-69 at Saint Louis.
? Wolfpack is forcing turnovers 28.2% of time (#4)

Clemson (8-1, 2-1)
? ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #289
? Experience: #184
? Continuity: #96
? Clemson?s only loss was 66-60 at Virginia Tech.
? Tigers won their last three games, giving up 61 ppg.
? To this point, Clemson has played schedule #39.

? NC State won four of last five series games.
? Wolfpack lost last three visits here, by 4-16-11 points.

Kansas State @ Texas Tech
Kansas State (5-6, 1-2)
? ranked #153 by KenPom
? Tempo: #346
? Experience: #327
? Continuity: #270
? K-State lost four of five top 100 games.
? Wildcats are turning ball over 21.7% of time (#259)
? K-State won its only true road game, 74-65 at Iowa State.

Texas Tech (8-3, 1-2)
? ranked #14 by KenPom
? Tempo: #326
? Experience: #279
? Continuity: #277
? Tech?s two Big X losses were by 1-5 points.
? Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 27.7% of time (#6).
? Tech has #10 eFG% defense in country.

? Texas Tech won five of last six series games.
? Wildcats lost their last six visits to Lubbock.

Toledo @ Kent State
Toledo (8-3, 3-0)
? ranked #87 by KenPom
? Tempo: #253
? Experience: #197
? Continuity: #191
? Toledo won its first three MAC games, by 17-23-11 points.
? Rockets are shooting 37.2% on arc (#54).
? Toledo held its last three opponents under 60 points.

Kent State (3-2, 0-1)
? ranked #148 by KenPom
? Tempo: #112
? Experience: #30
? Continuity: #309
? Kent State lost its only top 100 game, in OT at Virginia.
? Golden Flashes lost MAC opener, by 4 at Akron.
? Kent State has #21 eFG% defense in country.

? Kent State won last three series games, by 2-7-13 points.
? Toledo lost its last three visits here.

Florida @ Alabama
Florida (5-1, 2-0)
? ranked #21 by KenPom
? Tempo: #88
? Experience: #260
? Continuity: #121
? Gators won first two SEC games, scoring 87 ppg.
? Florida?s only loss was by 12 at Florida State.
? Gators have #19 eFG% in country.

Alabama (7-3, 2-0)
? ranked #36 by KenPom
? Tempo: #26
? Experience: #111
? Continuity: #162
? Alabama won its first two SEC games, giving up 63.5 ppg.
? Crimson Tide scored 79.3 ppg in their last three games.
? Alabama is 4-3 this season in top 100 games.

? Florida won 15 of last 17 series games.
? Gators won their last eight visits to Tuscaloosa.

Iowa State @ Texas
Iowa State (2-5, 0-3)
? ranked #92 by KenPom
? Tempo: #158
? Experience: #113
? Continuity: #273
? Cyclones lost first three Big X games, by 9-5-11 points.
? Iowa State is turning ball over 24.2% of time (#310)
? Cyclones? two wins are over teams ranked #320/#349

Texas (8-1, 2-0)
? ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #194
? Experience: #117
? Continuity: #5
? Texas won its first two Big X games, scoring 80.5 ppg
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Sandwich game: Texas just beat Kansas, has West Virginia next.
? Texas has #6 eFG% defense in country.

? Texas won six of last eight series games.
? Cyclones lost their last five visits to Austin.

North Carolina @ Miami
North Carolina (6-4, 1-2)
? ranked #31 by KenPom
? Tempo: #109
? Experience: #325
? Continuity: #148
? UNC?s only ACC win was 66-65 over Notre Dame.
? Tar Heels lost four of their last seven games.
? UNC is turning ball over 21.5% of time (#255).

Miami (4-4, 0-3)
? ranked #65 by KenPom
? Tempo: #130
? Experience: #253
? Continuity: #227
? Miami lost its last two games, by total of 3 points.
? Hurricanes are 1-3 in top 100 games, beating Purdue 58-54.
? Miami is shooting 28% on arc (#303), turning ball over 21% of time (#235).

? North Carolina won last four series games, by average of 13 points.
? Teams split last four series games played here.

Memphis @ Central Florida
Memphis (6-4, 2-1)
? ranked #61 by KenPom
? Tempo: #28
? Experience: #323
? Continuity: #58
? Memphis split its last four games.
? Tigers lost four of five top 100 games, beating Saint Mary?s by 17.
? Memphis won its only top 10 game, 80-74 at Tulane.

Central Florida (3-3, 1-2)
? ranked #97 by KenPom
? Tempo: #248
? Experience: #245
? Continuity: #265
? Knights lost last two games, scoring 54-61 points.
? To this point, UCF has played schedule #5.
? UCF has forced turnovers 21.4% of time (#86).

? Memphis won three of last four series games.
? Tigers lost three of last four visits to Orlando.

Rutgers @ Michigan State
Rutgers (7-2, 3-2)
? ranked #19 by KenPom
? Tempo: #148
? Experience: #133
? Continuity: #31
? Rutgers lost two of last three games.
? Scarlet Knights gave up 80.3 ppg in last four games.
? Rutgers is shooting 39.3% on arc (#23).

Michigan State (7-3, 1-3)
? ranked #50 by KenPom
? Tempo: #50
? Experience: #189
? Continuity: #72
? Spartans? only Big 14 win was 84-77 over Nebraska.
? Michigan State is giving up 80.5 ppg in league games.
? Spartans lost three of their five top 100 games.

? Spartans are 10-0 vs Rutgers in Big 14 play.
? MSU won its last four visits here, by 20-31-10-11 points.

UConn @ Marquette
UConn (4-1, 1-1)
? ranked #39 by KenPom
? Tempo: #310
? Experience: #171
? Continuity: #111
? This is UConn?s first true road game.
? Huskies? only loss was 76-74 in OT to Creighton.
? UConn has #23 eFG% defense in country.

Marquette (6-5, 2-3)
? ranked #51 by KenPom
? Tempo: #222
? Experience: #195
? Continuity: #168
? Marquette lost four of its last six games.
? Golden Eagles lost five of seven top 100 games.
? Marquette is shooting 38% on the arc (#38).

Missouri @ Mississippi State
Missouri (7-1, 1-1)
? ranked #41 by KenPom
? Tempo: #143
? Experience: #9
? Continuity: #6
? Tigers? only loss was 73-53 at home to Tennessee.
? Mizzou won four of its five top 100 games.
? Tigers have #14 eFG% defense in country.

Mississippi State (6-4, 1-1)
? ranked #75 by KenPom
? Tempo: #342
? Experience: #299
? Continuity: #257
? MSU won six of last eight games, with both losses in double OT.
? Bulldogs is shooting 37.9% on arc (#41), only 60.4% on line (#324).
? MSU lost three of its four top 100 games.

? Bulldogs won last four series games.
? Mizzou lost its last four visits to Starkville.

Kansas @ TCU
Kansas (8-2, 2-1)
? ranked #12 by KenPom
? Tempo: #167
? Experience: #266
? Continuity: #118
? Kansas won its only true road game, 58-57 at Texas Tech.
? Jayhawks lost last game 84-59 at home to Texas.
? To this point, Kansas has played schedule #9.

TCU (9-2, 2-1)
? ranked #63 by KenPom
? Tempo: #235
? Experience: #319
? Continuity: #120
? Horned Frogs won their last five games.
? TCU has #56 eFG% in country.
? TCU won three of five top 100 games.

? Kansas won last six series games.
? Jayhawks won their last seven visits to Fort Worth.
 

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603N ILLINOIS -604 OHIO U
N ILLINOIS are 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after scoring 55 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

607DAYTON -608 FORDHAM
DAYTON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

609VANDERBILT -610 KENTUCKY
KENTUCKY is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1997.

611DAVIDSON -612 DUQUESNE
DAVIDSON is 57-31 ATS (22.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.

613NC STATE -614 CLEMSON
CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

615KANSAS ST -616 TEXAS TECH
TEXAS TECH is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) in home games after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent since 1997.

617NEBRASKA -618 PURDUE
PURDUE is 93-64 ATS (22.6 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread since 1997.

621W MICHIGAN -622 BALL ST
W MICHIGAN is 29-54 ATS (-30.4 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1997.

623FLORIDA -624 ALABAMA
ALABAMA is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

625IOWA ST -626 TEXAS
IOWA ST is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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TUESDAY, JANUARY 5
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


TOL at KENT 02:00 PM
TOL +2.5
O 148.0


HC at BU 02:00 PM
BU -13.5
U 146.0


WIN at CHSO 03:00 PM
CHSO +16.0
U 149.0


CAMP at WEBB 03:00 PM
CAMP +3.0

HAMP at RAD 06:00 PM
HAMP +4.0

DAY at FOR 06:00 PM
DAY -11.5

NIU at OHIO 06:00 PM
NIU +14.5

CMU at BGSU 06:00 PM
CMU +9.0

LONG at SCUS 06:00 PM
SCUS -1.0


***********************


KSU at TTU 07:00 PM
TTU -16.0

DAV at DUQ 07:00 PM
DAV -2.0
U 137.0


NCST at CLEM 07:00 PM
NCST +5.0 **********
O 137.0


FLA at ALA 07:00 PM
ALA -3.0 **********
U 153.0

VAN at UK 07:00 PM
VAN +11.5

DSU at COPP 08:00 PM
COPP -9.5

ISU at TEX 08:00 PM
TEX -12.5 **********
O 140.5


UNC at MIA 08:00 PM
UNC -3.5
U 141.0


MIZZ at MSST 09:00 PM
MSST +2.0

CONN at MARQ 09:00 PM
MARQ +1.0
O 139.5


RUTG at MSU 09:00 PM
RUTG +2.0
O 149.5


MEM at UCF 09:00 PM
MEM -2.0
U 137.5


KU at TCU 10:00 PM
TCU +6.0
O 139.0
 

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January's College Basketball Sides / Totals Leans :

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

01/05/2021......15-16-0......48.38%......-1350 Detail
01/04/2021...3-9-1 ....26.92%......-3450 Detail
01/03/2021.....13-9-0 59.09% +1550 Detail
01/02/2021.....27-34-1 44.26% -5200 Detail
01/01/2021.....7-7-2.....50.00%. -350 Detail


Totals.............65-75-4.......46.42........-103.50
 

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Wednesday?s 6-pack
Spreads for this weekend?s Wild Card games:
? Indianapolis @ Buffalo (-6.5, 51)
? LA Rams @ Seattle (-4, 42.5)
? Tampa Bay (-9, 45) @ Washington
? Baltimore (-3, 55.5) @ Tennessee
? Chicago @ New Orleans (-9.5, 47)
? Cleveland @ Pittsburgh (-6, 47.5)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 351,774
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?People give me a hard time, but the only meat I eat is chicken. It?s been like that my whole life. I really don?t know why. I started that when I was younger, but it?s something I?ve kind of just kept up through my whole life. Chicken is the only meat I eat, so I only go to restaurants that serve something with chicken on the menu.?
North Carolina QB Sam Howell

Wednesday?s quiz
Michael Jordan was the 3rd pick in the 1984 NBA Draft; who was taken #1 and #2?

Tuesday?s quiz
Rams have played in four Super Bowls, under four different head coaches; Ray Malavasi, Dick Vermeil, Mike Martz, Sean McVay

Monday?s quiz
Joe Gibbs won three Super Bowls coaching Washington, playing three different QB?s; Doug Williams, Joe Theismann, Mark Rypien.

****************************

Wednesday?s Den: Some early college basketball knowledge

This is another unusual college basketball season, but hopefully this season will play out until the end, which obviously didn?t happen last year. Here is some early knowledge??..

13) Michigan (4-0) is the only unbeaten team left in the Big 14; there are fewer turnovers in this league than in any league in the country. Lot of half-court basketball.

While I?m typing this up, I?m watching re-runs of the old TV show The West Wing, and who shows up on one episode but Michigan coach Juwan Howard, who shows up playing pick-up ball with the President and his staff. This was 1999; Howard was still an active player.

7-2 Rutgers looks like they?ll make the NCAA?s for first time since 1991.

12) Oklahoma State starts out 1-3 in Big X, after going 6-0 out of conference; Cowboys are #312 in experience, #280 in continuity. Their best player is freshman Cade Cunningham, who won?t be in college three months from now? he?ll be getting ready for the NBA Draft, but he?ll likely stay engaged here, since his brother is an assistant coach at Oklahoma State.

11) North Carolina is 6-4, 1-2 in the ACC; they?re experience team #325. Duke is off to a 3-2 start, 1-0 in ACC; they haven?t played since December 16, and are experience team #338. Seems like a bad year to have an inexperienced team.

10) Teams from the bigger conferences with the most experience:
AAC: Tulsa, SMU, East Carolina
ACC: Georgia Tech, Notre Dame, Florida State
A-14: Richmond, Dayton, Saint Louis
Big East: Seton Hall, Georgetown, Creighton
Big 14: Wisconsin, Penn State, Michigan
Big X: Oklahoma, Iowa State, Texas
Pac-12: Oregon, Colorado, California
SEC: Missouri, Georgia, Ole Miss

9) Teams from the bigger conferences with the least experience:
AAC: Tulane, Memphis, Central Florida
ACC: Duke, Louisville, North Carolina
A-14: UMass, St Joe?s, LaSalle
Big East: Butler, St John?s, Marquette
Big 14: Purdue, Indiana, Northwestern
Big X: Kansas State, TCU, Oklahoma State
Pac-12: Washington State, Arizona, Utah
SEC: Auburn, Kentucky, LSU

8) Maybe this category is more important than experience; continuity. How long have teams been together. Teams that cobble together transfers may have more experience, but they?re still getting to know each other.

Teams from the bigger conferences with the most
AAC: East Carolina, Memphis, South Florida
ACC: Georgia Tech, Clemson, Florida State
A-14: Richmond, Duquesne, Saint Louis
Big East: Villanova, Creighton, UConn
Big 14: Wisconsin, Rutgers, Illinois
Big X: Texas, West Virginia, Oklahoma
Pac-12: UCLA, Utah, Stanford
SEC: Missouri, South Carolina, Texas A&M

7) Montana Grizzlies started out Big Sky play 1-3; the four games were decided by a total of six points. Montana hasn?t finished under .500 in Big Sky play since 2004.

6) Seton Hall split its six non-conference games, but is off to a 5-1 start in Big East play; their only conference loss was to Providence, in overtime. Overall, Pirates have played schedule #33 so far this season.

5) Two years ago, Washington was 27-9, 15-3 in Pac-12, a 9-seed in the NCAA?s, but since then, Huskies are 16-24, 5-16 in league games. Washington is 1-7 this season; their only win is over #280 Seattle.

Oregon/UCLA are tied for first place at 3-0; Arizona is 9-1, 3-1 in conference, but they?re not going to the NCAA?s this year, and they?re experience team #281, so some regression is expected. Stanford won five of its last six games; they?re 6-3, vs schedule #40.

4) Kentucky is 2-6; one win was in double OT, the other over #275 Morehead State. Wildcats are #339 in experience, turning ball over 22.8% of time (#288)- lack of a true point guard seems to be an issue.

Tennessee is 7-1, with wins over Colorado, Cincinnati, Missouri; they defend very well, have overcome some COVID issues already.

3) Teams who take highest %age of their shots behind the arc:
58.6%- Wofford
53.9%- Evansville
52.4%- UNLV
52.3%- Akron
51.9%- Florida International, Auburn

2) San Diego State is off to a 7-2 start, but they led 33-7 in one of the games they lost. You wouldn?t think the #8 team in experience would blow a lead like that. Utah State/Boise State would appear to be San Diego State?s biggest challengers in the Mountain West.

UNLV hasn?t played since December 5th; they were off to a 1-4 start anyway- no depth.

1) Tulsa won its last five games after a 1-3 start; their last three D-I wins are over Houston, Memphis, Cincinnati, all quality wins. Golden Hurricane is #34 experience team that has played schedule #57- they force turnovers 22.3% of the time.

8-1 Houston is favored in the AAC; 6-4 Memphis has been a bit of a disappointment.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, January 6


Tulsa @ South Florida
Tulsa (6-3, 3-1)
? ranked #79 by KenPom
? Tempo: #322
? Experience: #34
? Continuity: #186
? Tulsa won its last five games after a 1-3 start.
? Tulsa?s last three D-I wins: Houston, Memphis, Cincinnati
? Tulsa is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#55)

South Florida (6-4, 2-2)
? ranked #100 by KenPom
? Tempo: #252
? Experience: #109
? Continuity: #68
? USF lost four of its six top 100 games.
? Bulls are turning ball over 21.5% of time (#255)
? USF is shooting only 59.1% on foul line (#329).

? Tulsa won all nine AAC meetings.
? Tulsa won last four visits here, by 17-12-8-9 points.

UMass @ George Washington
UMass (2-3, 1-1)
? ranked #114 by KenPom
? Tempo: #31
? Experience: #333
? Continuity: #199
? Three UMass losses are by total of nine points.
? Minutemen split their two road games so far.
? UMass has #316 eFG% defense in country.

George Washington (3-7, 2-1)
? ranked #208 by KenPom
? Tempo: #168
? Experience: #272
? Continuity: #211
? GW won two of last three games, after a 1-6 start.
? To this point, Colonials have played schedule #291.
? GW lost four of its five top 200 games.

? George Washington won last eight series games.
? Minutemen lost last four visits here, by 6-22-16-12 points.

Rhode Island @ Richmond
Rhode Island (5-5, 2-1)
? ranked #76 by KenPom
? Tempo: #134
? Experience: #114
? Continuity: #292
? URI lost both its road games, 11 at Wisconsin, 3 at WKU.
? Rams lost four of their seven top 100 games.
? URI won last game in OT, after being down four with 0:20 left.

Richmond (7-3, 1-1)
? ranked #59 by KenPom
? Tempo: #130
? Experience: #11
? Continuity: #10
? Spiders lost two of last three games, after a 6-1 start.
? Richmond lost last two home tilts (Hofstra, St Bonaventure)
? Spiders have #27 eFG% in country.

? Teams split last four series games.
? Rams won two of last three visits to Richmond.

Virginia Tech @ Louisville
Virginia Tech (8-1, 2-0)
? ranked #42 by KenPom
? Tempo: #302
? Experience: #210
? Continuity: #116
? Tech won its first two ACC games, by 2-6 points.
? Hokies won their last four games overall.
? Tech is getting 43.1% of its points on arc (36.5%, #77)

Louisville (7-1, 2-0)
? ranked #24 by KenPom
? Tempo: #325
? Experience: #337
? Continuity: #325
? Louisville?s only loss came after an 18-day layoff.
? Cardinals allowed 59 ppg in three wins since then.
? Louisville won first two ACC games by 10-12 points.

? Louisville won all six ACC meetings.
? Hokies lost last four visits here, by 15-4-8-16 points.

Wichita State @ Houston
Wichita State (6-2, 2-0)
? ranked #83 by KenPom
? Tempo: #247
? Experience: #133
? Continuity: #222
? Wichita won last three D-I games, by 4-5-4 points, all on road
? Shockers split their four top 100 games.
? To this point, Wichita has played schedule #25.

Houston (8-1, 3-1)
? ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #314
? Experience: #181
? Continuity: #105
? Houston?s one loss was by a point at Tulsa.
? Houston?s three AAC wins were by 26-9-14 points.
? Cougars are forcing turnovers 24.9% of time (#15)

? Houston won five of six AAC meetings.
? Shockers lost last three visits here, by 14-9-33 points.

Georgetown @ Butler
Georgetown (3-6, 1-4)
? ranked #106 by KenPom
? Tempo: #75
? Experience: #41
? Continuity: #245
? Hoyas lost last three games, by 11-11-4 points.
? Georgetown is turning ball over 21.9% of time (#267)
? Under Ewing, Hoyas are 20-42 in Big East games.

Butler (2-5, 1-3)
? ranked #83 by KenPom
? Tempo: #290
? Experience: #273
? Continuity: #281
? Butler?s Big East losses are by 19-16-8 points.
? Bulldogs split pair with Providence, their only Big East win.
? Butler has #323 eFG% defense in country.

? Teams split last eight series games.
? Hoyas won their last four games in Hinkle Fieldhouse.

Arkansas @ Tennessee
Arkansas (9-1, 1-1)
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Tempo: #29
? Experience: #223
? Continuity: #329
? Arkansas lost its last game, at home to Missouri.
? Hogs won their only road game, by 12 at Auburn.
? Arkansas has #22 eFG% defense in country.

Tennessee (7-1, 1-1)
? ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #295
? Experience: #221
? Continuity: #89
? Tennessee lost its last game, at home to Alabama.
? Vols have three top 100 wins: Colorado, Cincinnati, Missouri
? Tennessee is forcing turnovers 25.3% of time (#14).

? Tennessee won three of last four series games.
? Razorbacks lost last two visits to Knoxville, by 19-21 points.

St John?s @ Xavier
St John?s (6-4, 1-3)
? ranked #92 by KenPom
? Tempo: #16
? Experience: #260
? Continuity: #204
? St John?s is playing its first game in 17 days.
? Red Storm lost both its road games, by 9-3 points.
? St John?s is forcing turnovers 23.5% of time (#29).

Xavier (8-2, 1-2)
? ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #194
? Experience: #117
? Continuity: #5
? Xavier lost its last two games, after an 8-0 start.
? Musketeers won four of their six top 100 games.
? Xavier has #25 eFG% in country.

? Xavier won last eleven series games.
? Johnnies lost last five games in Cintas Center.

Minnesota @ Michigan
Minnesota (10-2, 3-2)
? ranked #31 by KenPom
? Tempo: #109
? Experience: #325
? Continuity: #148
? Gophers are 0-2 on Big 14 road, losing by 27-12 points.
? Home team won all five of their conference games.
? Minnesota won four of its six top 100 games.

Michigan (9-0, 4-0)
? ranked #10 by KenPom
? Tempo: #211
? Experience: #64
? Continuity: #142
? Michigan won its last three games, by 11-11-19 points.
? Wolverines are shooting 61.7% inside arc (#6)
? Michigan doesn?t sub a lot (bench minutes #307)

? Michigan won 14 of last 16 series games.
? Gophers lost their last six visits to Ann Arbor.

Seton Hall @ Creighton
Seton Hall (8-4, 5-1)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #231
? Experience: #15
? Continuity: #123
? Pirates won seven of last eight games, after a 1-3 start.
? Seton Hall won last three road tilts (Penn St, Marquette, Xavier)
? To this point, Seton Hall has played schedule #40.

Creighton (8-2, 4-1)
? ranked #14 by KenPom
? Tempo: #71
? Experience: #48
? Continuity: #18
? Creighton?s two losses were by total of 6 points.
? Bluejays won last four games, last three by 2-5-2 points.
? Bluejays are shooting 57.1% inside arc (#21)

? Teams split last eight series games.
? Pirates lost three of last four visits to Omaha.

Oklahoma @ Baylor
Oklahoma (6-2, 2-1)
? ranked #44 by KenPom
? Tempo: #125
? Experience: #68
? Continuity: #46
? Sooners are 1-1 on road; their last road game was Dec 9th.
? Oklahoma?s three Big X games were decided by 4-2-4 points.
? Sooner opponents are shooting 42.2% inside arc (#18).

Baylor (9-0, 2-0)
? ranked #2 by KenPom
? Tempo: #115
? Experience: #145
? Continuity: #62
? Baylor is forcing turnovers 27.3% of time (#5)
? To this point, Bears have played schedule #230.
? Baylor is shooting 43.8% on the arc (#2).

? Baylor won last five series games.
? Sooners won last four visits to Waco, by 6-23-6-4 points.

Auburn @ Ole Miss
Auburn (6-4, 0-2)
? ranked #74 by KenPom
? Tempo: #184
? Experience: #341
? Continuity: #313
? Auburn lost first two SEC games, to Texas A&M/Arkansas.
? Tigers are turning ball over 23.5% of time (#307).
? Auburn lost four of its five top 100 games.

Ole Miss (5-3, 0-1)
? ranked #50 by KenPom
? Tempo: #164
? Experience: #111
? Continuity: #202
? Rebels lost three of their last four games.
? Best team Ole Miss has beaten: #186 NC-Wilmington.
? Rebels are forcing turnovers 26.8% of time (#7).

? Auburn won four of last six series games.
? Teams split last four meetings played here.

Georgia @ LSU
Georgia (7-1, 0-1)
? ranked #91 by KenPom
? Tempo: #14
? Experience: #97
? Continuity: #253
? Dawgs lost last game, by 10 at home to Miss State.
? This is Georgia?s first road game.
? Dawgs are forcing turnovers 23.9% of time (#25).

LSU (6-2, 1-1)
? ranked #26 by KenPom
? Tempo: #196
? Experience: #326
? Continuity: #129
? LSU lost its last game, by 4 at Florida.
? Tigers lost two of their three top 100 games.
? LSU has #13 eFG%, vs schedule #204.

? LSU won last three series games, by 10-4-30 points.
? Dawgs lost four of last five visits to Baton Rouge.
 

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651ST JOSEPHS -652 ST BONAVENTURE
ST JOSEPHS are 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

655PITTSBURGH -656 SYRACUSE
PITTSBURGH is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive conference games in the last 3 seasons.

657SAINT LOUIS -658 LASALLE
LASALLE is 15-5 ATS (9.5 Units) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

659MASSACHUSETTS -660 GEORGE WASHINGTON
MASSACHUSETTS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a combined score of 165 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

663VIRGINIA TECH -664 LOUISVILLE
LOUISVILLE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.

665PENN ST -666 OHIO ST
PENN ST is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

669THE CITADEL -670 MERCER
MERCER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game in the last 3 seasons.

671SAMFORD -672 UT-CHATTANOOGA
SAMFORD is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.

673VA COMMONWEALTH -674 GEORGE MASON
GEORGE MASON is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games after playing a game as a road underdog in the last 3 seasons.

675GEORGETOWN -676 BUTLER
GEORGETOWN is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.
 

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WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 6
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


STJOE at SBON 04:00 PM
SBON -13.0
U 149.0


TLSA at USF 04:00 PM
TLSA +1.0
O 127.0


PITT at SYR 04:30 PM
SYR -11.0
U 139.5

MASS at GW 06:00 PM
GW +4.0

URI at RICH 06:00 PM
RICH -4.0

VT at LOU 06:30 PM
LOU -5.0
U 131.5
 

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EVENING ACTION:

VCU at GMU 07:00 PM
VCU -5.5

SAM at CHAT 07:00 PM
O 156.0

GTWN at BUT 07:00 PM
O 138.5

UGA at LSU 07:00 PM
UGA +8.5

ARK at TENN 07:00 PM
ARK +8.0

UNCG at WOF 07:00 PM
WOF +1.0
O 139.5


IW at NWST 07:30 PM
NWST -7.5

SJU at XAV 08:00 PM
XAV -7.0
O 155.0

WICH at HOU 08:00 PM
WICH +11.5

SHSU at SELA 08:00 PM
SHSU -5.0

ACU at HBU 08:00 PM
HBU +15.0

MINN at MICH 08:30 PM
MICH -7.5
U 150.5


OKLA at BAY 09:00 PM
BAY -11.0
U 151.0

TAM at SCAR 09:00 PM
SCAR -3.5

WAKE at UVA 09:00 PM
U 124.0

USU at UNM 10:00 PM
USU -13.0

AFA at BSU 11:00 PM
BSU -19.0
 

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January's College Basketball Sides / Totals Leans :

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

01/06/2021......18-11-1......62.07%......+2950 Detail
01/05/2021......15-16-0......48.38%......-1350 Detail
01/04/2021.......3-9-1 .26.92%......-3450 Detail
01/03/2021.....13-9-0 59.09% +1550 Detail
01/02/2021.....27-34-1 44.26% -5200 Detail
01/01/2021.....7-7-2.....50.00%. -350 Detail


Totals.............83-86-4.......49.11........-74.00
 

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Thursday?s 6-pack
Order for the 2021 NFL Draft:

1) Jacksonville
2) NJ Jets
3) Miami (from Houston)
4) Atlanta
5) Cincinnati
6) Philadelphia

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 354,106
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?I started today thinking about how we?re going to guard Lou Williams without fouling him. Suddenly, that didn?t seem very important when I turned on the TV. ? It?s just a clear reminder that the truth matters in our country.?
Steve Kerr

Thursday?s quiz
What year did the designated hitter come into the major leagues?

Wednesday?s quiz
Michael Jordan was the 3rd pick in the 1984 NBA Draft; Hakeem Olajuwon was taken #1 and Sam Bowie was taken #2

Tuesday?s quiz
Rams have played in four Super Bowls, under four different head coaches; Ray Malavasi, Dick Vermeil, Mike Martz, Sean McVay

****************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??.

I feel kind of stupid posting this article about sports on such a depressing day for our country, but this is what I do, and maybe it can provide some distraction for a couple of minutes.

Prayers go out to police and military who are trying to keep the peace. We appreciate you.

13) I mention this every now and then because I?m fascinated by how nomadic some football coaches are. This is the career path of Jedd Fisch, new coach of the Pac-12?s Arizona Wildcats.

1997: PK Yonge HS (Florida)? Defensive coordinator
1998: New Jersey Red Dogs, Arena League? WR coach
1999-2000: U of Florida? Graduate assistant
2002-03: Houston Texans? Defensive quality control
2004-07: Baltimore Ravens? Offensive assistant
2008: Denver Broncos? WR coach
2009-10: U of Minnesota? Offensive coordinator/QBs coach

2010: Seattle Seahawks? QBs coach
2011-12: Miami, FL? Offensive coordinator/QBs coach
2013-14: Jacksonville Jaguars? Offensive coordinator
2015-16: U of Michigan? Passing game coordinator/QB-WR coach
2017: UCLA? Offensive coordinator/QBs coach, then interim head coach
2018-19: Los Angeles Rams? Assistant offensive coordinator
2020: New England Patriots? QBs coach

The guy must be great at packing. Now he makes $2.2M a year.

12) Quite a stat about the Green Bay Packers this year:
? Aaron Rodgers threw 48 TD passes.
? Green Bay?s punter punted 46 times.

11) Stephen Curry missed a foul shot the other night, ending a streak of 80 consecutive makes; last time an NBA player had made 80+ free throws in a row was Dirk Nowitzki, in 2010.

10) Washington QB Alex Smith is just the 5th quarterback in NFL history to lead three different teams to the playoffs; Chiefs, 49ers were the others.

9) Random fact of the day: More people live in DeKalb County (Georgia) than in the whole state of Wyoming.

8) QB JT Daniels will come back to play for the Georgia Bulldogs next fall.

7) OF Robbie Grossman banks $10M for two years from Detroit. The 8-year veteran has a .350 career on-base percentage. Detroit will be his fourth MLB team.

6) Miami Dolphins? offensive coordinator Chan Gailey resigned/got fired Wednesday, meaning Miami will have its third OC in three years next season. Continuity helps NFL teams, especially where young QB?s are concerned.

5) NFL teams who played rookies the most snaps on offense this season:
1,130? Chargers, Cowboys
1,077? Broncos

4) PGA Tour starts Thursday, with the Sentry Tournament of Champions, so daytime TV gets a little bit better on Thursdays/Fridays.

3) Wednesday would?ve been Ralph Branca?s 94th birthday; Branca pitched in the major leagues for 12 years, going 88-68, mostly for the Brooklyn Dodgers. He made three All-Star teams, but is best known for giving up a walk-off homer to Bobby Thomson in a 1951 NL playoff game.

2) My dad grew up in New York City, was a huge Brooklyn Dodger fan; when I was a young person, I knew way too much about the Brooklyn Dodgers, seeing how they moved to LA three years before I was born. There is a still a ceramic dish on my kitchen wall, painted with the field at Ebbets Field on it.

1) One of the coolest things I ever did was in 1990 or so, on a weekday afternoon. Ralph Branca was doing an appearance at Mohawk Mall in Niskayuna, a mall that no longer exists. So I call my dad and tell him to get ready, I was taking him somewhere, but didn?t tell him where.

It was eight miles from my dad?s house to Mohawk Mall; on the way, I tell him we?re going to meet Ralph Branca, and confirm if all the stories he told me over the years were true.

We get to the mall, and Mr Branca is sitting at a card table, not many people around, which was perfect. I introduce my dad to Mr Branca, and then stepped back and watched them talk for the next 15-20 minutes, about Ebbets Field, the Dodgers, Ernie Lombardi, old baseball stuff. It was tremendously tremendous.

He confirmed all of my dad?s stories, and then when some other people showed up, we said our goodbyes and went home. It couldn?t have gone any better. Happy birthday, Mr Branca.
 

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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, January 7


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Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, January 7


Northeastern @ Hofstra
Northeastern (3-5, 2-0)
? ranked #161 by KenPom
? Tempo: #244
? Experience: #316
? Continuity: #213
? Huskies swept Elon by 23-8 points to open CAA play.
? Northeastern is 0-5 on road, losing by 15-4 to teams outside top 100.
? Huskies are turning ball over 21.2% of time (#249)

Hofstra (6-3, 2-0)
? ranked #148 by KenPom
? Tempo: #143
? Experience: #183
? Continuity: #82
? Hofstra won five of its last six games.
? Hofstra won first two CAA tilts over Wm & Mary, by 5-9 points.
? Hofstra takes 42.7% of its shots on arc (#63), but is shooting only 29.1% on arc (#285).

? Hofstra won nine of last 12 series games.
? Huskies lost 75-72/75-71 in last two visits here.

Iowa @ Maryland
Iowa (9-2, 3-1)
? ranked #5 by KenPom
? Tempo: #88
? Experience: #210
? Continuity: #51
? Iowa gave up 99-102 points in its two losses.
? Hawkeyes split two road games; won by 2 at Rutgers, lost in OT at Minnesota.
? Iowa has #28 eFG% in country.

Maryland (6-5, 1-4)
? ranked #47 by KenPom
? Tempo: #300
? Experience: #155
? Continuity: #106
? Maryland lost five of its last seven games.
? Terrapins lost two of their last three home games.
? Maryland is shooting 36.6% on arc (#74).

? Maryland won five of last seven series games.
? Hawkeyes lost 91-73/82-72 in last two visits here.

Indiana @ Wisconsin
Indiana (7-4, 2-2)
? ranked #22 by KenPom
? Tempo: #297
? Experience: #286
? Continuity: #80
? Indiana is 0-2 on road, losing by 2 at Florida St, 9 at Illinois.
? Hoosiers won last two games, including an OT win over Penn State.
? To this point, Indiana has played schedule #17.

Wisconsin (9-2, 3-1)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #333
? Experience: #22
? Continuity: #14
? Badgers? only Big 14 loss was at home to Maryland.
? Wisconsin won six of its last seven games overall.
? Opponents are shooting 40.6% inside arc (#8).

? Wisconsin won seven of last eight series games.
? Hoosiers lost their last 14 visits to Madison last two by 10-20.

Cincinnati @ SMU
Cincinnati (2-6, 0-3)
? ranked #82 by KenPom
? Tempo: #111
? Experience: #200
? Continuity: #200
? Cincy lost its first three AAC games, by 3-5-4 points.
? Bearcats lost five in row overall, haven?t won since Dec 9.
? Cincy is shooting 26.0% on arc (#324).

SMU (6-1, 2-1)
? ranked #51 by KenPom
? Tempo: #124
? Experience: #63
? Continuity: #75
? SMU lost its last game by 14 to Houston.
? Mustangs? two AAC wins are by 15-8 points.
? SMU has #24 eFG% defense in country.

? Cincinnati won last seven series games.
? Bearcats won last two visits here, 76-51/52-49.

UNLV @ Colorado State
UNLV (1-4, 0-0)
? ranked #141 by KenPom
? Tempo: #191
? Experience: #218
? Continuity: #247
? Rebels haven?t played since December 5th.
? Three of their four losses by 12+ points.
? UNLV hasn?t subbed much (#317 bench minutes).

Colorado State (6-2, 3-1)
? ranked #84 by KenPom
? Tempo: #55
? Experience: #314
? Continuity: #56
? Rams won a game last week after trailing 33-7.
? State?s losses are by 20 at Saint Mary?s, 13 at San Diego State.
? This is Rams? third game in six nights.

? UNLV won four of last five series games.
? Rebels lost five of last seven visits to Fort Collins.

Washington @ Stanford
Washington (1-7, 0-3)
? ranked #127 by KenPom
? Tempo: #171
? Experience: #106
? Continuity: #208
? Huskies have Pac-12 losses by 14-3-27 points.
? Washington is shooting 24.3% on arc (#336)
? Huskies? only win was over #280 Seattle.

Stanford (2-5, 1-3)
? ranked #42 by KenPom
? Tempo: #91
? Experience: #266
? Continuity: #41
? Stanford won five of its last six games.
? Cardinal scored 63-63-56 points in its losses.
? Stanford is shooting 29.6% on arc (#276)

? Stanford won five of last seven series games.
? Huskies lost five of last six visits to The Farm.

USC @ Arizona
USC (6-2, 1-1)
? ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #232
? Experience: #188
? Continuity: #326
? USC was held to 58-62 points in losses to UConn, Colorado.
? This is Trojans? first true road game, though their UConn loss was at Mohegan Sun, which is in the Nutmeg State.
? USC has #5 eFG% defense in country.

Arizona (9-1, 3-1)
? ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #174
? Experience: #281
? Continuity: #317
? Wildcats? one loss was by 3 at Stanford.
? Arizona won its last four games, scoring 81 ppg.
? Wildcats are grabbing 37.9% of their own missed shots (#11).

? USC won three of last four series games.
? Trojans lost their last ten visits to Tucson.

Illinois @ Northwestern
Illinois (8-3, 4-1)
? ranked #7 by KenPom
? Tempo: #53
? Experience: #216
? Continuity: #45
? Illini split four road tilts, losing at Missouri/Rutgers.
? To this point, Illinois has played schedule #8.
? Illinois is shooting 41.8% on arc (#6).

Northwestern (6-3, 3-2)
? ranked #55 by KenPom
? Tempo: #127
? Experience: #254
? Continuity: #53
? Wildcats lost their last two games, giving up 87-85 points.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Northwestern is shooting 40% on the arc (#13).
? To this point, Wildcats have played schedule #19.

? Illinois won last four series games, all by 8 or fewer points.
? Teams split last six meetings played here.

Nevada @ San Diego State
Nevada (8-3, 3-1)
? ranked #118 by KenPom
? Tempo: #102
? Experience: #330
? Continuity: #296
? Nevada won four of its last five games.
? Wolf Pack lost only top 100 game by 25 to San Francisco.
? To this point, Nevada has played schedule #226.

San Diego State (7-2, 1-1)
? ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #331
? Experience: #9
? Continuity: #139
? Aztecs split last four games after a 5-0 start.
? Last week, San Diego State lost a game they were leading 33-7.
? Aztecs are forcing turnovers 23.5% of time (#29)

? San Diego State won six of last seven series games.
? Wolf Pack lost their last seven games in Viejas Center.

Washington State @ California
Washington State (8-1, 1-1)
? ranked #128 by KenPom
? Tempo: #223
? Experience: #310
? Continuity: #187
? Coogs lost their last game to Arizona, in double OT.
? To this point, Wazzu has played schedule #323.
? This is Coogs? first game outside of Pullman.

California (5-6, 0-4)
? ranked #142 by KenPom
? Tempo: #328
? Experience: #78
? Continuity: #96
? Cal lost first four league games, scoring 62.8 ppg.
? Golden Bears are 1-6 in top 200 games, upsetting San Francisco.
? Cal is turning ball over 21.3% of time (#251)

? Cal won last three series games, by 7-7-9 points.
? Coogs lost last two visits to Cal, by 7-7 points.

UCLA @ Arizona State
UCLA (7-2, 3-0)
? ranked #35 by KenPom
? Tempo: #341
? Experience: #208
? Continuity: #3
? UCLA?s Pac-12 wins are by 20-2-3 points.
? Bruins lost only true road game, 73-58 at San Diego State.
? UCLA won its two games last weekend by total of 5 points.

Arizona State (4-3, 1-0)
? ranked #57 by KenPom
? Tempo: #13
? Experience: #158
? Continuity: #134
? ASU hasn?t played since December 16.
? Sun Devils lost two of their three top 100 games.
? ASU is forcing turnovers 23.0% of time (#38).

? Arizona State won four of last five series games.
? Bruins lost 88-79/84-66 in last two visits to Tempe.

Oregon @ Colorado
Oregon (8-1, 3-0)
? ranked #15 by KenPom
? Tempo: #37
? Experience: #26
? Continuity: #302
? Ducks won eight in row, after an opening loss to Missouri.
? Last six games, Oregon has scored 75.5 ppg.
? Ducks have #47 eFG% defense in country.

Colorado (7-3, 1-2)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #267
? Experience: #27
? Continuity: #107
? Buffs lost two of their last three games.
? Only two of their first ten games were at home.
? Buffs are forcing turnovers 21.3% of time (#88).

? Teams split last eight series games.
? Home side won last 11 series games.
? Ducks lost their last six visits to Boulder.

BYU @ Gonzaga
BYU (9-2, 0-0)
? ranked #67 by KenPom
? Tempo: #93
? Experience: #75
? Continuity: #259
? BYU won last four games, beating Utah/San Diego State.
? Cougars have two quality road wins (Utah State/San Diego State)
? BYU is shooting 55.1% inside arc (#43).

Gonzaga (10-0, 1-0)
? ranked #1 by KenPom
? Tempo: #7
? Experience: #255
? Continuity: #173
? Zags won their WCC opener, 85-62 over USF.
? Gonzaga is shooting 65.2% inside arc (#3).
? Zags already have six top 100 wins.

? Gonzaga won nine of last 11 series games.
? Cougars lost last three visits to Spokane, by 8-34-23 points.
 

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