NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, March 3
Michigan State @ Ohio State
? Michigan State (19-10, 10-8) ranked #38 by KenPom
? Tempo: #143
? Experience: #210
? Continuity: #193
? Michigan State lost six of its last eight games.
? Michigan State is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games.
? Spartans turn ball over 19.2% of time in Big 14 tilts (#14)
? Under is 3-2 in Spartans? last five road games.
? Michigan State?s schedule, to this point: #15
? bench minutes: #66
? Ohio State (18-9, 11-7) ranked #26 by KenPom
? Tempo: #294
? Experience: #189
? Continuity: #207
? Ohio State lost three of its last five games.
? Buckeyes are 3-2 ATS in last five home games.
? Ohio State has #23 eFG% in country.
? Under is 6-2 in Buckeyes? last eight games.
? Ohio State?s schedule, to this point: #17
? bench minutes: #101
? Big 14 home favorites of 6 or less points are 21-10 ATS
? Michigan State won five of last six series games.
? Spartans lost three of last four visits to Columbus.
California @ Arizona State
? California (12-17, 5-13) ranked #126 by KenPom
? Tempo: #330
? Experience: #84
? Continuity: #85
? Cal won 3 of last 5 games, after an 0-10 skid.
? Golden Bears covered five of last six games.
? California has #266 eFG% in country.
? Over is 3-2 in Golden Bears? last five road tilts.
? California?s schedule, to this point: #78
? bench minutes: #217
? Arizona State (12-16, 8-10) ranked #104 by KenPom
? Tempo: #170
? Experience: #224
? Continuity: #324
? Arizona State won/covered five of its last six games.
? Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS in last five home games.
? Arizona State has #42 eFG% defense in country.
? Under is 3-1 in Sun Devils? last four games.
? Arizona State?s schedule, to this point: #8
? bench minutes: #122
? Pac-12 home favorites of 7 or less points are 12-15 ATS.
? Cal whacked ASU 74-50 at home January 2.
? Arizona State won seven of last eight series games.
? Bears lost last three visits to Tempe, by 31-10-4 points.
TCU @ Kansas
? TCU (19-9, 8-8) ranked #42 by KenPom
? Tempo: #255
? Experience: #279
? Continuity: #307
? TCU won three of its last four games.
? Horned Frogs covered all four of those games.
? TCU is #1 team in country on offensive boards.
? Over is 7-3 in Horned Frogs? last ten games.
? TCU?s schedule, to this point: #21
? bench minutes: #124
? Kansas (23-6, 12-4) ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #74
? Experience: #132
? Continuity: #49
? Kansas lost last two games, giving up 74-80 points.
? Jayhawks are 3-2 ATS in last five home games.
? Kansas has #22 eFG% in country.
? Under is 3-2 in Jayhawks? last five home games.
? Kansas? schedule, to this point: #2
? bench minutes: #296
? Big X double digit home favorites are 6-7 ATS.
? TCU upset Kansas 74-64 at home, two nights ago.
? Horned Frogs had 19 offensive rebounds.
? Kansas won 17 of last 19 series games.
? TCU lost last nine visits here, last four by 7-9-9-8 points.
Iowa @ Michigan
? Iowa (21-8, 18-7) ranked #14 by KenPom
? Tempo: #52
? Experience: #228
? Continuity: #182
? Iowa won seven of its last eight games.
? Hawkeyes are 5-2 ATS in last seven games.
? Iowa ranks last on defensive boards in Big 14 games.
? Under is 3-1 in Hawkeyes? last four games.
? Iowa?s schedule, to this point: #76
? bench minutes: #44
? Michigan (16-12, 10-8) ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #218
? Experience: #295
? Continuity: #244
? Michigan split its last six games.
? Third game in five nights for Wolverines
? Big 14 opponents are shooting 53.2% inside arc (#12 of 14)
? Wolverines are 3-1 ATS in last four home games.
? Michigan?s schedule, to this point: #7
? bench minutes: #322
? Big 14 home teams are 19-15 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Michigan won 84-79 at Iowa two weeks ago.
? Wolverines shot 64% inside arc.
? Michigan won seven of last nine series games.
? Iowa lost last three visits to Michigan, by 15-12-22 points.
Fresno State @ San Diego State
? Fresno State (18-10, 8-7) ranked #63 by KenPom
? Tempo: #356
? Experience: #204
? Continuity: #33
? Fresno State lost four of its last six games.
? Bulldogs covered one of their last six games.
? Fresno State is #7 team in country on defensive boards.
? Under is 8-2 in Bulldogs? last ten games.
? Fresno State?s schedule, to this point: #113
? bench minutes: #237
? San Diego State (19-7, 11-4) ranked #21 by KenPom
? Tempo: #274
? Experience: #32
? Continuity: #109
? San Diego State won seven of its last eight games.
? Aztecs scored 60 or less points in all seven losses.
? San Diego State has #7 eFG% defense in country.
? Aztecs covered their last five games.
? San Diego State?s schedule, to this point: #75
? bench minutes: #102
? Mountain West home favorites of 8+ points are 9-16 ATS
? Aztecs won 61-44 in Fresno February 19.
? San Diego State won last five series games.
? Bulldogs won three of last four visits to Viejas.
MVC tournament (@ St Louis)
Indiana State vs Illinois State
? Indiana State (11-19, 4-14) ranked #230 by KenPom
? Tempo: #62
? Experience: #337
? Continuity: #319
? Indiana State lost five in row, 13 of last 16 games.
? Sycamores are 2-8 ATS in last ten games.
? Indiana State has #259 eFG% defense in country.
? Over is 7-3 in Sycamores? last ten games.
? Indiana State?s schedule, to this point: #103
? bench minutes: #177
? Illinois State (12-19, 5-13) ranked #185 by KenPom
? Tempo: #105
? Experience: #173
? Continuity: #179
? Illinois State lost 10 of their last 12 games.
? Redbirds already fired their coach; he is finishing this season.
? Illinois State is worst team in MVC on defensive boards.
? Redbirds covered four of their last five games.
? Illinois State?s schedule, to this point: #130
? bench minutes: #229
? Teams split pair of games this year; Illinois State beat Sycamores 86-66 Saturday.
? Indiana State won three of last five series games.
Evansville vs Valparaiso
? Evansville (6-23, 2-16) ranked #74 by KenPom
? Tempo: #291
? Experience: #138
? Continuity: #87
? Evansville lost its last seven games.
? Purple Aces are 5-3 ATS in last eight games.
? Evansville has #352 eFG% defense in country.
? Over is 5-2 in Purple Aces? last seven games.
? Evansville?s schedule, to this point: #106
? bench minutes: #85
? Valparaiso (13-17, 6-12) ranked #211 by KenPom
? Tempo: #293
? Experience: #124
? Continuity: #271
? Valparaiso is 2-5 in last seven games (both W?s vs Evansville)
? Crusaders are 5-3 ATS in last eight games.
? Valparaiso has #280 eFG% defense in country.
? Over is 7-2 in Crusaders? last nine games.
? Valparaiso?s schedule to this point: #124
? bench minutes: #121
? Valpo beat Evansville twice, by 16-5 points, on February 19-21.
? Aces led second game by 10 points in second half.
? Valpo won five of last seven series games.
Horizon tournament (@ campus sites)
Ill-Chicago @ Fort Wayne
? Ill-Chicago (14-15, 10-10) ranked #292 by KenPom
? Tempo: #72
? Experience: #115
? Continuity: #306
? Ill-Chicago won its last four games.
? Flames are 2-4 ATS in last six games.
? Ill-Chicago won 80-69 at Milwaukee in first round Tuesday.
? Over is 3-1 in Flames? last four games.
? Ill-Chicago?s schedule, to this point: #332
? bench minutes: #150
? Fort Wayne (20-10, 15-6) ranked #229 by KenPom
? Tempo: #109
? Experience: #20
? Continuity: #59
? Fort Wayne won its last nine games.
? Mastodons covered their last six games.
? Fort Wayne forces turnovers 21.7% of time (#33)
? Over is 4-1 in Mastodons? last five games.
? Fort Wayne?s schedule, to this point: #351
? bench minutes: #297
? Flames lost 73-66 at Fort Wayne February 12.
? Mastodons won last three series games, by 7-33-7 points.
Detroit @ Northern Kentucky
? Detroit (13-14, 10-7) ranked #228 by KenPom
? Tempo: #304
? Experience: #13
? Continuity: #184
? Detroit won four of its last five games.
? Opponents are shooting 54.9% inside arc (#336)
? 49.3% of Detroit?s shots are 3?s (37.2%, #36)
? Titans covered three of their last four games.
? Detroit?s schedule, to this point: #269
? bench minutes: #176
? Northern Kentucky (18-11, 14-6) ranked #214 by KenPom
? Tempo: #325
? Experience: #237
? Continuity: #62
? Northern Kentucky won 12 of its last 14 games.
? Norse force turnovers 21.4% of time (#38)
? Northern Kentucky is 15-0 when it scores 70+ points.
? Norse covered eight of their last ten games.
? Northern Kentucky?s schedule, to this point: #338
? bench minutes: #233
? Detroit already beat NKU twice this season, by 6-8 points.
? Norse had won nine of previous ten meetings.
? NKU beat Detroit in two of last three Horizon tourneys.
Oakland @ Wright State
? Oakland (20-11, 13-7) ranked #184 by KenPom
? Tempo: #134
? Experience: #338
? Continuity: #141
? Oakland split its last eight games.
? Grizzlies played four starters 37:00+ in Tuesday?s wins.
? Oakland is #341 team in country on defensive boards.
? Grizzlies are 2-8 ATS in last ten games.
? Oakland?s schedule, to this point: #272
? bench minutes: #357
? Wright State (18-13, 15-7) ranked #194 by KenPom
? Tempo: #93
? Experience: #265
? Continuity: #68
? Wright State won three of its last four games.
? Raiders are 2-4 ATS in last six games.
? Wright State is shooting 53.8% inside arc (#44)
? Last nine years, Raiders are 12-8 SU in this event.
? Wright State?s schedule, to this point: #337
? bench minutes: #355
? Wright State beat Oakland twice this year, by 11-4 points.
? Oakland led by 8+ points in second half of both games.
? Wright State won eight of last nine series games.
? Oakland lost its last five visits to Dayton.
Robert Morris @ Cleveland State
? Robert Morris (8-23, 6-16) ranked #328 by KenPom
? Tempo: #204
? Experience: #136
? Continuity: #313
? Robert Morris lost six of its last eight games.
? Colonials upset Youngstown by 4 Tuesday; they led by 20 with 6:52 left.
? Robert Morris has #297 eFG% defense in country.
? Under is 6-2 in Colonials? last eight games.
? Robert Morris?s schedule, to this point: #79
? bench minutes: #45
? Cleveland State (19-9, 15-6) ranked #192 by KenPom
? Tempo: #145
? Experience: #2
? Continuity: #57
? Cleveland State is 3-4 in its last seven games.
? Vikings covered three of last four home games.
? Cleveland State is #315 team in country on defensive boards.
? Last four years, Vikings are 6-2 SU in this event.
? Cleveland State?s schedule, to this point: #346
? bench minutes: #248
? Cleveland State won both meetings this year, by 1-7 points.
WCC tournament (@ Las Vegas)
Pacific vs LMU
? Pacific (8-21, 3-11) ranked #282 by KenPom
? Tempo: #116
? Experience: #199
? Continuity: #263
? Pacific lost 7 of last 8 games (win was over LMU)
? Tigers are 1-4-1 ATS in last six games.
? Pacific has #332 eFG%, #341 eFG% defense.
? Tigers? last four games went over the total.
? Pacific?s schedule, to this point: #136
? bench minutes: #83
? LMU (10-17, 3-12) ranked #204 by KenPom
? Tempo: #270
? Experience: #88
? Continuity: #120
? LMU lost 10 of its last 11 games (win vs Pacific)
? Lions went W-L in this tourney three of last four years.
? LMU has #339 eFG% defense in country.
? Over is 6-1 in Lions? last seven games.
? LMU?s schedule, to this point: #89
? bench minutes: #270
? Teams split pair of games this season.
? Pacific won three of last four meetings.
Pepperdine vs San Diego
? Pepperdine (7-24, 1-15) ranked #275 by KenPom
? Tempo: #53
? Experience: #301
? Continuity: #262
? Pepperdine lost its last six games.
? Waves covered four of its last five games.
? Opponents are shooting 55% inside arc (#339)
? Over is 4-2 in Waves? last six games.
? Pepperdine?s schedule, to this point: #85
? bench minutes: #86
? San Diego (14-15, 7-9) ranked #216 by KenPom
? Tempo: #266
? Experience: #85
? Continuity: #267
? San Diego lost six of its last seven games.
? Toreros are 0-6-1 ATS in those seven games.
? San Diego is shooting 46.3% inside arc (#305)
? Over is 6-2 in Toreros? last eight games.
? San Diego?s schedule, to this point: #109
? bench minutes: #26
? San Diego beat Pepperdine twice TY, by 10-8 points.
? Pepperdine had won previous five series games.