CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2021-2022 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, March 3

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, MARCH 3
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

UTA at ULL 12:30 PM
UTA +3.5
O 134.5
+500 +500

UALR at USA 03:00 PM
USA -12.0
U 134.5
+500 +500

ULM at ARST 06:00 PM
ARST -6.0
U 141.0
+500 +500

UMASS at HART 06:00 PM
HART -3.5
U 138.0
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

EVENING BEST BETS AND OPINIONS !

MRST at CAN 07:00 PM
MRST -2.0
U 137.0
+500 +500

IONA at MAN 07:00 PM
MAN +9.5
U 145.5
+500 +500

SIE at NIAG 07:00 PM
SIE +2.5
U 130.0
+500 +500

L-MD at BU 07:00 PM
BU -5.0
+500

TEM at HOU 07:00 PM
TEM +15.5
O 131.5
+500 +500

QUIN at MONM 07:00 PM
MONM -6.5
U 143.5
+500 +500

KENN at JVST 07:00 PM
KENN +8.0
+500

LIP at LIB 07:00 PM
LIP +10.0
O 145.0
+500 +500

AMER at NAVY 07:00 PM
AMER +11.0
+500

BUCK at COLG 07:00 PM
BUCK +15.0
+500

ARMY at LEH 07:00 PM
LEH -1.0
+500

FAU at FIU 07:00 PM
FAU -5.0
+500

CIN at SMU 07:00 PM
CIN +7.5
O 140.5
+500 +500

CARK at JAC 07:00 PM
JAC -10.0
+500

PSU at ILL 07:00 PM
PSU +12.5
U 134.0
+500 +500

MSU at OSU 07:00 PM
OSU -6.0
+500

UIC at PFW 07:00 PM
PFW -6.0
O 147.0
+500 +500

OAK at WRST 07:00 PM
WRST -5.0
+500

DETU at NKU 07:00 PM
DETU +4.5
O 137.5
+500 +500

INST at ILST 07:00 PM
ILST -1.5
+500

FGCU at BELL 07:00 PM
BELL -2.5
+500

RID at FAIR 07:30 PM
FAIR -3.5
+500

MORG at COPP 07:30 PM
COPP +2.5
+500

HOW at NORF 07:30 PM
NORF -4.5
+500

DSU at UMES 07:30 PM
DSU +9.5
+500

SCST at NCCU 07:30 PM
NCCU -2.0
+500

TST at SHSU 07:30 PM
SHSU -6.0
+500

***********************

TCU at KU 08:00 PM
KU -10.5
U 144.0
+500 +500

RMU at CLEVST 08:00 PM
CLEVST -11.0
+500

UNT at UTSA 08:00 PM
UTSA +14.5
O 123.5
+500 +500

CAL at ASU 08:00 PM
ASU -7.0
+500

UCF at TULN 08:00 PM
TULN -1.0
+500

DSTATE at ACU 08:00 PM
ACU -12.0
+500

GASO at CCU 08:30 PM
CCU -6.5
+500

MVSU at ALCN 08:30 PM
ALCN -13.5
+500

ARPB at JKST 08:30 PM
JKST -10.0
+500

************************

PAC at LMU 09:00 PM
LMU -4.5
+500

MEM at USF 09:00 PM
MEM -12.5
+500

IOWA at MICH 09:00 PM
IOWA +2.0
U 155.5
+500 +500

STAN at ARIZ 09:00 PM
ARIZ -18.5
+500

SOU at ALST 09:00 PM
SOU -4.5
+500

SUU at IDST 09:00 PM
SUU -7.5
+500

RICE at UTEP 09:00 PM
UTEP -6.0
+500

NAU at EWU 09:00 PM
NAU +10.5
O 146.0
+500 +500

PRST at IDHO 09:00 PM
PRST -2.5
+500

CSUS at MTST 09:00 PM
MTST -13.0
+500

UNCO at MONT 09:00 PM
MONT -2.5
U 146.5
+500 +500

UVU at GRC 09:00 PM
GRC -6.5
+500

EVAN at VALP 09:30 PM
VALP -5.5
+500

****************

TNTC at MORE 10:00 PM
MORE -8.0
+500

UCI at CP 10:00 PM
CP +9.5
+500

HAW at UCSB 10:00 PM
UCSB -7.5
U 131.0
+500 +500

UCD at LBSU 10:00 PM
LBSU -5.5
+500

ORE at WASH 10:00 PM
WASH +5.0
U 145.0
+500 +500

UCSD at CSB 10:00 PM
UCSD +3.5
+500

********************

PEPP at USD 11:00 PM
USD -4.0
+500

UCRV at CSF 11:00 PM
CSF -2.5
+500

ORST at WSU 11:00 PM
ORST +14.0
+500

FRES at SDSU 11:00 PM
SDSU -8.0
U 116.0
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

MARCH MADNESS OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

03/03/2022...............44-38-3.................53.65%...............+11.00
03/02/2022...............39-26-1.................60.00%...............+52.00
03/01/2022...............27-28-1.................49.11%................-19.00

TOTALS....................110-92-5.................54.45%...............+44.00


BEST BETS:

03/03/2022...............27-21-2..................56.25%.............+19.50
03/02/2022...............20-13-0..................60.60%.............+28.50
03/01/2022...............13-13-0..................50.00%...............- 6.50


TOTALS.....................60-47-2..................56.07%..............+41.50



UPDATED ON 03/03/2022

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Friday?s 6-pack
Odds to win SEC basketball tournament:
+190? Kentucky
+275? Auburn
+375? Tennessee
+600? Arkansas
+1000? LSU
+1200? Alabama
+2000? Florida
+3300? Mississippi State

Quote of the Day
?Life is too short to be anything but happy. Falling down is part of life; getting back up is living.?
Anonymous

Friday?s quiz
Before they were the Washington Nationals, what city did that franchise call home?

Thursday?s quiz
Luxor hotel/casino in Las Vegas is shaped like a pyramid.

Wednesday?s quiz
Fred Gwynne played the judge in the classic movie, My Cousin Vinny; he is best known for being the star of The Munsters

*********************************

Friday?s Den: Random stuff with weekend here??.

13) NFL Combine is this week; since the NFL is a well-run league, they manage to stay in the news 12 months a year. This week, prospects are running 40-yard dash, doing drills, throwing, catching passes, trying to catch the scouts? eyes.

I?m told QB is an important position in football; I talked about this last fall, but here are two of the top QB prospects for this year?s draft:
a) Kenny Pickett, Pitt:
? Was in college for five years; he?ll be 24 before training camp starts
? Jared Goff has played five years in NFL, is only 27.
? Pickett had only one really productive college season.
? Average arm strength, smaller hands than any current NFL starting QB
? Opted out of Pitt?s bowl game.

b) Matt Corral, Ole Miss:
? Played in his team?s bowl game, but hurt his ankle and isn?t 100% yet.
? Played two years for Lane Kiffin, a former NFL head coach.
? Not a great long passer, but has good mobility. Accurate short passing game.
? Isn?t going to throw at the Combine.

Given my choice, I?ll take the QB who finished the season with his teammates, and didn?t bail out to protect himself from injury. It is the Al Pacino speech from Any Given Sunday:

?You?re a goddamn quarterback!!! You know what that means? It?s the top spot, kid. It?s the guy who takes the fall. It?s the guy everybody?s looking at first ? the leader of a team ? who will support you when they understand you. Who will break their ribs and their noses and their necks for you, because they believe. ?Cause you make them believe. That?s a quarterback.?

12) New Orleans Saints have 16th pick in first round; they need a QB. Last time Saints drafted a QB in first round was 1971, Ole Miss QB named Archie Manning. You may have heard of him.

11) 2022 NFL year starts on March 16; that?s when lot of personnel shuffling should begin, the day before the first round of the NCAA Tournament starts. Busy week.

10) NFL leaders in turnover ratio last year:
+14? Dallas, Indianapolis
+13? Green Bay
+12? Arizona
+11? Minnesota
+10? Tampa Bay

Hard to replicate a double-digit turnover profit; there are handicappers who target teams to regress after a great turnover season. It is even worse when you?re +14 or +11 and don?t make the playoffs that season, like the Colts/Vikings.

9) NFL teams with worst turnover ratio last year:
-20? Jacksonville
-13? Chicago, Jets, Carolina
-11? Baltimore
-9? Las Vegas
-8? Giants
Four of those seven teams have a new head coach; another switched OC?s.

8) Duke opened up at minus-12 for Saturday night?s home game vs North Carolina, the biggest spread in that rivalry since 2010. In this season?s first Duke-UNC game, Blue Devils ran out to a 31-8 lead, so oddsmakers are encouraging people to wager on the Tar Heels.

7) Sun Belt tournament:
? Little Rock 75, South Alabama 71? Trojans finished last in Sun Belt; they were a 12-point underdog here, but they made 14-24 on the arc, which is how upsets happen.
? All four games were decided by 6 or less points, with two upsets.

6) Kansas 72, TCU 68? Horned Frogs have some work to do, but the way they rebound, you don?t want to see them in the first round of NCAA?s, should they get there. After upsetting Kansas earlier this week, they almost did it again here.

5) Washington 78, Oregon 67? Ducks have lost five of last seven games, their bubble is probably burst- they?ll need a big week in Pac-12 tourney next week.

4) Ohio State 80, Michigan State 69? Spartans lost seven of last nine games; they look like a dead team. Could be headed to Dayton in two weeks.

3) Word of the Day: Quisling? a traitor who collaborates with an enemy force occupying their country.

2) If the baseball lockout eats up more than 15 days of the regular season, Mets? 1B Pete Alonso would become a free agent in 2025, instead of 2024, which gives you an idea of how the dispute becomes more complicated, the longer it drags on.

1) I?m no fan of the players making so much money; I root for a team that doesn?t try to win, so all the A?s good players skip town sooner rather than later, but check this out:

? In 2002, Jeffrey Loria bought the Marlins for $158.8M; 15 years later, he sold them for $1.2B, making a freakin? fortune in 15 short years.
? Also in 2002, John Henry bought the Red Sox for $660M; today. Red Sox are worth $3.465B, so Henry has made $2.8B in 20 years.

Owners are cleaning up, so are the players. Gordon Gekko once famously said in Wall Street, ?Greed is good?, and the owners are being really greedy. Like I said before, we?ll see if both sides kill the golden goose.

 

[Udog]

LONGWOOD is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days in the current season.

LOYOLA-IL is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games in the last 2 seasons.

THE CITADEL is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after a loss by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

W MICHIGAN is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the current season.

KENT ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

WINTHROP is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite in the last 3 seasons.

TOLEDO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game in the current season.

C MICHIGAN is 24-9 ATS (14.1 Units) in road games vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents since 1997.

E MICHIGAN is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in road games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the last 3 seasons.

ST BONAVENTURE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the current season.

MERCER is 20-10 ATS (9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games in the last 3 sea...

N ILLINOIS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after playing 5 consecutive games as an underdog in the current season.

CAMPBELL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

DRAKE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the current season.

SAN JOSE ST is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games in March games since 1997.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, March 4

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Friday, March 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Illinois State @ Northern Iowa
Illinois State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois State's last 6 games when playing Northern Iowa
Illinois State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Iowa
Northern Iowa
Northern Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Illinois State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Iowa's last 6 games when playing Illinois State

Bradley @ Loyola-Chicago
Bradley
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bradley's last 7 games when playing Loyola-Chicago
Bradley is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Loyola-Chicago
Loyola-Chicago
Loyola-Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Bradley
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Loyola-Chicago's last 7 games when playing Bradley

The Citadel @ East Tennessee State
The Citadel
The Citadel is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing East Tennessee State
East Tennessee State
No trends to report

Buffalo @ Kent State
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Kent State
Kent State
Kent State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Kent State is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Ball State @ Western Michigan
Ball State
Ball State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Western Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ball State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Western Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 6 games when playing at home against Ball State
Western Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ball State

Bowling Green @ Toledo
Bowling Green
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Bowling Green's last 9 games when playing on the road against Toledo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Bowling Green's last 7 games when playing Toledo
Toledo
Toledo is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toledo's last 9 games when playing at home against Bowling Green

Central Michigan @ Akron
Central Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 6 games when playing Akron
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Central Michigan's last 8 games when playing on the road against Akron
Akron
Akron is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Central Michigan
Akron is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing Central Michigan

Eastern Michigan @ Miami-Ohio
Eastern Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Eastern Michigan's last 14 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami-Ohio
Miami-Ohio
Miami-Ohio is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Eastern Michigan
Miami-Ohio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Eastern Michigan

Richmond @ St. Bonaventure
Richmond
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Richmond's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Bonaventure
Richmond is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
St. Bonaventure
St. Bonaventure is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
St. Bonaventure is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Valparaiso @ Missouri State
Valparaiso
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Valparaiso's last 7 games when playing Missouri State
Valparaiso is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Missouri State
Missouri State
Missouri State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Valparaiso
Missouri State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Valparaiso

Western Carolina @ Mercer
Western Carolina
Western Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Mercer
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Western Carolina's last 5 games when playing Mercer
Mercer
No trends to report

Ohio @ Northern Illinois
Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Ohio's last 16 games on the road
Ohio is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ohio
Northern Illinois is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ohio

Southeast Missouri State @ Murray State
Southeast Missouri State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Southeast Missouri State's last 10 games when playing Murray State
Southeast Missouri State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Murray State
Murray State
Murray State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southeast Missouri State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Murray State's last 10 games when playing Southeast Missouri State

Loyola Marymount @ BYU
Loyola Marymount
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Loyola Marymount's last 7 games when playing BYU
Loyola Marymount is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing BYU
BYU
BYU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Loyola Marymount
BYU is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Loyola Marymount

Southern Illinois @ Drake
Southern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Illinois's last 7 games when playing Drake
Southern Illinois is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Drake
Drake
Drake is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Drake's last 7 games when playing Southern Illinois

Morehead State @ Belmont
Morehead State
Morehead State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Belmont
Morehead State is 7-12-2 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Belmont
Belmont
Belmont is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing Morehead State
Belmont is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Morehead State

Utah State @ San Jose State
Utah State
Utah State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State
Utah State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against San Jose State
San Jose State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose State's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Jose State's last 14 games when playing Utah State

San Diego @ Portland
San Diego
San Diego is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Portland
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing San Diego
Portland is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 4

Richmond @ St Bonaventure
? Richmond (19-11, 10-7) ranked #91 by KenPom
? Tempo: #197
? Experience: #19
? Continuity: #14
? Richmond split its last six games.
? Spiders are 2-5 ATS in last seven games.
? Richmond is 4-9 against top 100 teams.
? Under is 7-2-1 in Spiders? last ten games.
? Richmond?s schedule, to this point: #99
? bench minutes: #93

? St Bonaventure (19-8, 11-5) ranked #86 by KenPom
? Tempo: #246
? Experience: #8
? Continuity: #7
? St Bonaventure won seven of last eight games.
? Bonnies are 5-2-1 ATS in those eight games.
? St Bonaventure gets 57.7% of points inside arc (#25)
? Bonnies? last three games stayed under the total.
? St Bonaventure?s schedule, to this point: #100
? bench minutes: #358

? A-14 home favorites of 4 or less points are 12-12 ATS
? Richmond beat Bonnies 71-61 at home February 4.
? Spiders outscored thin Bonnie squad 29-17 over final 12:11.
? Bonnies won four of last six series games.
? Richmond lost last three visits here, by 16-2-4 points.

Buffalo @ Kent State
? Buffalo (19-9, 13-5) ranked #141 by KenPom
? Tempo: #244
? Experience: #28
? Continuity: #76
? Buffalo won nine of its last ten games.
? Bulls are 0-5 ATS in last five games.
? Buffalo rebound 37.2% of their misses (#5)
? Under is 3-2 in Bulls? last five games.
? Buffalo?s schedule, to this point: #235
? bench minutes: #292

? Kent State (20-9, 15-4) ranked #141 by KenPom
? Tempo: #245
? Experience: #182
? Continuity: #122
? Kent State is 11-0 since the loss in Buffalo.
? Flashes covered eight of their last ten games.
? MAC opponents are shooting 46.4% inside arc (#2)
? Under is 5-2 in Flashes? last seven games.
? Kent State?s schedule, to this point: #240
? bench minutes: #247

? MAC home teams are 12-14 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Kent lost 64-51 in Buffalo January 21.
? Bulls shot 65.5% inside arc in that game.
? Buffalo won seven of last nine series games.
? Teams split last four meetings played here.

Utah State @ San Jose State
? Utah State (16-14, 7-10) ranked #57 by KenPom
? Tempo: #205
? Experience: #87
? Continuity: #228
? Utah State lost five of its last six games.
? Aggies covered once in last five games.
? Utah State is shooting 56.7% inside arc (#8)
? Aggies? last three games stayed under total.
? Utah State?s schedule, to this point: #63
? bench minutes: #242

? San Jose State (8-21, 1-16) ranked #285 by KenPom
? Tempo: #268
? Experience: #335
? Continuity: #286
? San Jose State lost 16 of its last 17 games.
? Spartans are 6-3 ATS in last nine games.
? San Jose State has #321 eFG% defense in country.
? Over is 6-3 in Spartans? last nine games.
? San Jose State?s schedule, to this point: #82
? bench minutes: #225

? Mountain West home favorites of 8+ points are 9-16 ATS
? Spartans lost 78-62 at Utah State February 3.
? Utah State won last seven series games.
? Spartans lost their last eight visits to Logan, last four by 30+ each.

MVC tournament (@ St Louis)
Illinois State vs Northern Iowa
? Illinois State (13-19, 6-13) ranked #184 by KenPom
? Tempo: #112
? Experience: #173
? Continuity: #176
? Illinois State lost 10 of their last 13 games.
? Only one Redbird played more than 30:00 last nite.
? Illinois State is worst team in MVC on defensive boards.
? Redbirds covered five of their last six games.
? Illinois State?s schedule, to this point: #131
? bench minutes: #228

? Northern Iowa (18-10, 14-4) ranked #89 by KenPom
? Tempo: #163
? Experience: #288
? Continuity: #13
? Northern Iowa won nine of its last ten games.
? Panthers covered seven of their last nine games.
? Northern Iowa is shooting 54.1% inside arc (#38)
? Last five years, Panthers are 4-4 SU in this event.
? Northern Iowa?s schedule, to this point: #98
? bench minutes: #252

? UNI beat Illinois State twice TY, by 15-2 points.
? Teams split last dozen series games.

Bradley vs Loyola
? Bradley (17-13, 11-7) ranked #90 by KenPom
? Tempo: #174
? Experience: #242
? Continuity: #265
? Bradley won nine of its last 12 games.
? Braves covered once in last four games.
? Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#30)
? Braves won this tourney two of last three years.
? Bradley?s schedule, to this point: #121
? bench minutes: #133

? Loyola (22-7, 13-5) ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #316
? Experience: #27
? Continuity: #49
? Loyola won six of its last nine games.
? Ramblers are 3-7 ATS in last ten games.
? Loyola has #4 eFG% in country.
? Ramblers won this tourney two of last four years.
? Loyola?s schedule to this point: #108
? bench minutes: #137

? Teams split pair of 7-point decisions this season.
? Loyola won five of last six series games.

Valparaiso vs Missouri State
? Valparaiso (13-17, 6-12) ranked #202 by KenPom
? Tempo: #291
? Experience: #125
? Continuity: #271
? Valparaiso is 3-5 in last eight games (all 3 W?s vs Evansville)
? Crusaders are 6-3 ATS in last nine games.
? Valparaiso played seven guys 22-33:00 in last nite?s easy win.
? Over is 8-2 in Crusaders? last ten games.
? Valparaiso?s schedule to this point: #133
? bench minutes: #122

? Missouri State (22-9, 13-5) ranked #62 by KenPom
? Tempo: #195
? Experience: #140
? Continuity: #101
? Missouri State won five of its last six games.
? Bears? last five games went over total.
? Missouri State has #20 eFG% in country.
? Bears went W-L in this tourney five of last six years.
? Missouri State?s schedule, to this point: #132
? bench minutes: #290

? Missouri State beat Valpo twice TY, by 17-18 points.
? Bears won 10 of 13 MVC meetings.

Southern Illinois vs Drake
? Southern Illinois (16-14, 9-9) ranked #119 by KenPom
? Tempo: #350
? Experience: #184
? Continuity: #96
? SIU won four of its last five games.
? Salukis covered their last four games.
? SIU has made 38.2% of its 3?s in MVC play (#1)
? Last ten years, Salukis are 5-10 in this event.
? Southern Illinois schedule, to this point: #138
? bench minutes: #271

? Drake (22-9, 13-5) ranked #88 by KenPom
? Tempo: #241
? Experience: #35
? Continuity: #28
? Drake won last five games, giving up 62 ppg.
? Bulldogs are 3-5 ATS in last eight games.
? Drake beat Salukis 62-60 Saturday, after leading by 17.
? Last three years, Bulldogs are 4-3 in Arch Madness.
? Drake?s schedule to this point: #134
? bench minutes: #171

? Drake beat SIU twice this year, by 1-2 points.
? Drake won eight of last 11 series games.

OVC tournament (@ Evansville, IN)
SE Missouri State @ Murray State
? SE Missouri State (14-17, 9-9) ranked #240 by KenPom
? Tempo: #13
? Experience: #311
? Continuity: #50
? SE Missouri State won three of its last four games.
? Redhawks are 5-0-1 ATS in last six games.
? Since 2003, SEMO has never won (0-6) in second game of this event.
? Redhawks have #270 eFG% defense in country.
? SE Missouri State?s schedule, to this point: #261
? bench minutes: #73

? Murray State (28-2, 18-0) ranked #26 by KenPom
? Tempo: #255
? Experience: #250
? Continuity: #128
? Murray State has won 18 in row; their last loss was December 22.
? Under is 7-1 in Racers? last eight games.
? Murray State forces turnovers 21.5% of time (#36)
? Racers won two of last four OVC tourneys (7-3 SU in last five)
? Murray State?s schedule, to this point: #249
? bench minutes: #282

? SEMO led Murray by 12 with 5:52 left Saturday, lost 62-60.
? Racers won both meetings this year, by 25-2 points.
? Murray State won last ten series games.

Morehead State vs Belmont
? Morehead State (22-10, 13-5) ranked #121 by KenPom
? Tempo: #299
? Experience: #254
? Continuity: #153
? Morehead State is 3-4 in its last seven games.
? Eagles covered twice in last six games.
? Opponents are shooting 45.7% inside arc (#28)
? Eagles never trailed in 73-56 win last night.
? Morehead State?s schedule, to this point: #239
? bench minutes: #274

? Belmont (25-6, 15-3) ranked #78 by KenPom
? Tempo: #78
? Experience: #154
? Continuity: #19
? Belmont won 11 of its last 12 games.
? Bruins are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games.
? Belmont is shooting 61.4% inside arc (#1)
? Last four years, Bruins are 6-3 in this event.
? Belmont?s schedule, to this point: #204
? bench minutes: #210

? Teams split two games TY; Belmont?s win was 48-47.
? Morehead won three of last four meetings, after losing previous nine.

SoCon tournament (@ Asheville, NC)
Citadel @ East Tennessee State
? Citadel (12-17, 6-12) ranked #251 by KenPom
? Tempo: #31
? Experience: #185
? Continuity: #107
? Citadel lost four of its last five games.
? Bulldogs? last six games stayed under total.
? Citadel takes 50.4% of its shots behind arc (34.8%, #115)
? Last five years, Bulldogs are 3-2 SU in first tourney game.
? Citadel?s schedule, to this point: #156
? bench minutes: #329

? East Tennessee State (15-16, 7-11) ranked #174 by KenPom
? Tempo: #273
? Experience: #249
? Continuity: #169
? ETSU split last six games, after an 0-5 skid.
? Buccaneers are 2-3 ATS in last five games.
? ETSU has #305 eFG% defense in country.
? Last 15 years, Buccaneers are 13-2 SU in first tourney game.
? East Tennessee State?s schedule, to this point: #118
? bench minutes: #326

? Teams split pair of road wins this season.
? East Tennessee State won last five series games.

Western Carolina vs Mercer
? Western Carolina (11-20, 5-13) ranked #283 by KenPom
? Tempo: #114
? Experience: #133
? Continuity: #333
? Western Carolina lost six of its last eight games.
? Catamounts have #298 eFG% defense in country.
? 51.2% of WCU?s shots are 3?s (31.5%, #282)
? Last five years, Catamounts are 1-5 SU in this event.
? Western Carolina?s schedule, to this point: #147
? bench minutes: #147

? Mercer (15-16, 8-10) ranked #199 by KenPom
? Tempo: #309
? Experience: #134
? Continuity: #236
? Mercer lost six of its last eight games.
? Bears has #309 eFG% defense in country.
? Mercer covered six of their last nine games.
? Bears lost in SoCon tourney finals LY
? Mercer?s schedule, to this point: #124
? bench minutes: #299

? Teams split pair of home wins this season.
? Teams split last eight series games.

WCC tournament (@ Las Vegas)
LMU vs BYU
? LMU (11-17, 4-12) ranked #193 by KenPom
? Tempo: #260
? Experience: #89
? Continuity: #121
? LMU lost 10 of its last 12 games (both wins vs Pacific)
? Lions went W-L in this tourney three of last four years.
? LMU only played seven guys in last night?s win.
? Over is 7-1 in Lions? last eight games.
? LMU?s schedule, to this point: #95
? bench minutes: #261

? BYU (21-9, 9-6) ranked #48 by KenPom
? Tempo: #135
? Experience: #166
? Continuity: #158
? BYU won four of last five games, after an 0-5 skid.
? Cougars are 2-8 ATS in last ten games.
? BYU is #19 team in country on defensive boards.
? Last 15 years, Cougars are 15-3 SU in first tourney game.
? BYU?s schedule, to this point: #63
? bench minutes: #99

? BYU beat LMU twice this year, by 1-20 points.
? Cougars won last seven series games.

San Diego vs Portland
? San Diego (15-15, 8-9) ranked #216 by KenPom
? Tempo: #266
? Experience: #85
? Continuity: #267
? San Diego lost six of its last eight games.
? Toreros are 1-6-1 ATS in those eight games.
? San Diego is shooting 46.3% inside arc (#305)
? Over is 6-2 in Toreros? last eight games.
? San Diego?s schedule, to this point: #109
? bench minutes: #26

? Portland (17-13, 7-7) ranked #180 by KenPom
? Tempo: #76
? Experience: #351
? Continuity: #346
? Portland won five of last six D-I games.
? Pilots are 13-2 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
? Portland is 11-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
? Last four years, Pilots are 0-4 SU in this event.
? San Diego?s schedule, to this point: #173
? bench minutes: #332

? Teams split a pair TY; Toreros won in OT, Portland won by 32
? San Diego won six of last seven series games.

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, MARCH 4
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

ILST at UNI 01:00 PM
ILST +8.0
U 144.5
+500 +500

CHSO at SCUS 02:00 PM
CHSO +6.0
O 143.0
+500 +500

BRAD at L-IL 03:30 PM
BRAD +5.5
U 131.5
+500 +500

CIT at ETSU 05:00 PM
CIT +5.5
U 150.5
+500 +500

BALL at WMU 06:00 PM
BALL -4.0
O 144.5
+500 +500

BUFF at KENT 06:00 PM
BUFF +3.0
U 145.5
+500 +500

HP at WIN 06:00 PM
U 141.5
+500

BGSU at TOL 06:30 PM
TOL -15.5
O 166.0
+500 +500

*************************

RICH at SBON 07:00 PM
O 137.0
+500

EMU at M-OH 07:00 PM
M-OH -9.0
U 146.5
+500 +500

CMU at AKR 07:00 PM
CMU +13.5
+500

VALP at MOSU 07:00 PM
VALP +10.5
+500

WCU at MER 07:30 PM
U 142.5
+500

OHIO at NIU 08:00 PM
OHIO -10.0
U 137.5
+500 +500

SEMO at MURR 08:00 PM
O 150.0
+500

CAMP at WEBB 08:00 PM
CAMP +3.5
+500

******************

LMU at BYU 09:00 PM
BYU -12.0
+500

SIU at DRKE 09:30 PM
DRKE -3.5
+500

MORE at BEL 10:30 PM
MORE +4.5
O 139.0
+500 +500

**********************

USD at PORT 11:00 PM
USD +1.0
U 140.0
+500 +500

USU at SJSU 11:00 PM
USU -11.0
U 137.0
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

MARCH MADNESS OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

03/04/2022...............20-12-1.................62.50%...............+34.00
03/03/2022...............44-38-3.................53.65%...............+11.00
03/02/2022...............39-26-1.................60.00%...............+52.00
03/01/2022...............27-28-1.................49.11%................-19.00

TOTALS..................130-104-6.................55.55%...............+78.00


BEST BETS:

03/04/2022..................9-7-0...................56.25%.............+ 6.50
03/03/2022...............27-21-2..................56.25%.............+19.50
03/02/2022...............20-13-0..................60.60%.............+28.50
03/01/2022...............13-13-0..................50.00%...............- 6.50


TOTALS.....................69-54-2..................56.09%..............+48.00



UPDATED ON 03/04/2022

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Saturday?s 6-pack
Odds to win ACC basketball tournament:
Even? Duke
+550? Virginia Tech
+700? North Carolina, Wake Forest
+900? Notre Dame
+1100? Miami
+1200? Virginia
+1500? Syracuse
+1800? Florida State
+2000? Clemson
+2200? Louisville
+5000? BC, Ga Tech, NC State, Pitt

Quote of the Day
?Slumps are usually caused by not doing the simple things well. Look at your own performance before you place the blame elsewhere.?
Harvey Mackay

Saturday?s quiz
Which active NBA coach was born in Lebanon?

Friday?s quiz
Before they were the Washington Nationals, they were the Montreal Expos.

Thursday?s quiz
Luxor hotel/casino in Las Vegas is shaped like a pyramid.

**********************************

Saturday?s Den: My 13 favorite TV shows

In couple days, I?ll remember that I forgot a show from long time ago, and I?ll have to re-do this list, but this is the list for today

13) In Plain Sight? Show about a US Marshal?s unit that relocates federal witnesses; show ran for four years, but it was on USA Network, and it ended when the show?s star got a role on a show on regular network TV, which obviously was more lucrative.

Not lot of TV shows are set in Albuquerque; this was a very good show.

12) Ray Donovan? The most violent program on this list; just about everybody on this Showtime series that isn?t related to the Donovans eventually winds up dead.

Ray Donovan is a fixer for rich people, but he can?t fix his own family; his wife passes away from cancer, his father is a creep, his daughter seems destined to follow in her dad?s footsteps.

Live Schreiber plays Ray, Jon Voight plays his father (a genuine creep); they?ve had guest stars like Susan Sarandon, James Woods, Wendell Pierce, Hank Azaria. Alan Alda, C Thomas Howell.

Very good show but also very violent.

11) M*A*S*H? Years later, after watching re-runs of this show on our local channel 10 and the Boston channel for hours at a time, it dawned on me that this was actually a very sad show, with humor/jokes masking the grotesque sadness of wartime Korea.

The McLean Stevenson episodes were the best; he was Colonel Henry Blake for the first 75 episodes, and a lot of them were classics, just funny as hell.

10) Green Acres? As a kid, I spent lot of hours watching Green Acres re-runs; my dad would walk into the room, say ?Why the hell are you watching this??, but within five minutes, he?d be sitting there laughing harder than me and would leave the room before my mother came in and saw the both of us laughing. She wasn?t a big fan of Hank Kimball or Arnold Ziffel.

9) Billions? Showtime series about rich hedge fund traders who push the boundaries of the law while New York prosecutors in NYC try to catch them in the act of doing illegal stuff.

Chuck Rhoades is an attorney who claims to be the moral compass of New York, but he is also into S&M- his ex-wife was his dominatrix, and she is also the psychiatrist for the hedge fund company. Small world.

This show is really well-written, especially since the main hedge fund character had to be written out of the show because his wife died in real life- they?ve successfully changed the tenor of the show with the new hedge fund guy, a less sketchy trader.

Trivia: Paul Giamatti plays the prosecutor; he is the son of former baseball commissioner Bart Giamatti. I suggested a cameo role for Pete Rose, but so far, that hasn?t happened.

8) West Wing? Martin Sheen plays the President in this show; his cabinet included Rob Lowe, Allison Janney, Richard Schiff, John Spencer? great cast.

Actor Duke Hill was in both West Wing and Suits; Mary Louise Parker was in this and is also in Billions. Alan Alda was in this, Ray Donovan and of course, M*A*S*H

Jimmy Smits, Mary MacCormack, Tim Matheson, Gary Cole, just a ton of excellent actors.

In one episode, President Bartlet has to throw out the first pitch at an Orioles? game, but he never played ball, so one of his aides has to teach him how to throw a baseball in a hallway in the White House, where an errant toss breaks an expensive vase.

7) Without a Trace? Show about the FBI Missing Persons Squad that finds missing people by applying advanced psychological profiling to reveal the victims lives.

Anthony LaPaglia was great as Jack Malone, the squad?s leader. Like a lot of main characters on TV, he is better at his job than he is at managing his own personal life.

6) White Shadow? Ken Howard plays a washed-up NBA player who becomes a high school basketball coach in Los Angeles. Show only lasted three years, because well, high school kids graduate so they would?ve had to turn most of the cast over every other year.

The basketball scenes were really well-done; Gwyneth Paltrow?s father was the creator of the show. Lot of the issues they tackled in this show were issues that real high school in the inner city had to deal with. Ken Howard was great as Coach Reeves; he wasn?t some all-knowing guy; he had flaws but he fought for his kids and they respected him for it (most of the time).

5) Mr Ed? This show ran on network TV from 1961-66, so I never saw it until the re-runs came on at 4:30 weekdays on a local channel in the early 70?s.

Mr Ed was a talking horse, but he only talked to Wilbur Post, an architect who worked at home but never seemed to actually work.

Mr Ed was a big Dodger fan; his favorite player was OF Willie Davis. In one episode, the horse takes batting practice against Sandy Koufax, and hits a ball off the wall at Dodger Stadium, with the bat held in his mouth. A fun show, not necessarily a realistic one.

4) CSI? I spent a good chunk of my work career searching fingerprints and working for the NY State Division of Criminal Justice, so I enjoyed all the CSI shows, but especially the one set in Las Vegas? the actors seemed to have a chemistry working together.

The episode where Warrick Brown gets murdered and Gil Grissom gives his eulogy in church is just horrendously sad, but a great scene.

I have this idea (a teacher friend of mine scoffed at this) that CSI should be taught to all high school kids, so they realize how difficult it is to get away with crimes, so maybe there would be fewer crimes. What could it hurt?

3) Odd Couple? As a kid, Oscar Madison was one of my heroes; a sportswriter who always spilled food on his clothes but was a good natured guy who somehow dated a doctor, one of the Pidgeon sisters, or the princess of some obscure country (?You bought her a salty pretzel!!! Oh boy!!!?).

To this day when I see my cousin?s husband, we recite lines from Odd Couple episodes; when they owned a greyhound racing dog, or appeared on Password (a game show). Great stuff.
(Trivia: they played against Betty White on Password; White was married to Allen Ludden, the host of Password)

Never, ever say the word ?assume? to me, or I?ll recite the scene where Felix is in court, writes ?assume? on a chalkboard, then says, ?When you assume, you make an ass of u and me?

Even the judge was impressed with that one.

2) Law and Order? 20 years, 456 episodes, a great launching point for lot of acting careers, not to mention the spinoff shows that branched off this original show.

Take Billions; there are 32 actors who have appeared in 12+ episodes of Billons; 14 of those 32 actors appeared in at least one episode of Law and Order, and two others were in Law and Order SVU, and that doesn?t count Eric Bogosian, who was in Law and Order: Criminal Intent for 61 episodes, but was only in 10 episodes of Billions (so far).

1) Magnum PI? I?ve never been to Hawai?i, but if I ever went, would like to visit Robin Masters? estate; I?m told you can visit there, it is a museum or something.

One of the best episodes was when Frank Sinatra played a retired New York City cop whose granddaughter was murdered? this was near the end of both the series and Sinatra?s career.

The overriding themes of the show were that great friends will do all kinds of stuff for each other, and if you?re really good looking and drive a Ferrari, women will like you 🙂

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Saturday, March 5

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 5

Davidson @ Dayton
? Davidson (25-4, 15-2) ranked #46 by KenPom
? Tempo: #318
? Experience: #178
? Continuity: #73
? Davidson won last five games, giving up 55.2 ppg.
? Wildcats covered their last four games.
? Davidson has #12 eFG% in country.
? Under is 6-1 in Wildcats? last seven games.
? Davidson?s schedule, to this point: #139
? bench minutes: #307

? Dayton (21-9, 13-4) ranked #47 by KenPom
? Tempo: #343
? Experience: #358
? Continuity: #296
? Dayton won nine of its last eleven games.
? Flyers covered six of their last seven games.
? Opponents are shooting 45.7% inside arc (#29)
? Over is 6-3 in Flyers? last nine games.
? Dayton?s schedule, to this point: #126
? bench minutes: #171

? A-14 home favorites of 5 or less points are 17-15 ATS
? Dayton won last four series games.
? Wildcats lost last three visits here, by 6-1-15 points.

Alabama @ LSU
? Alabama (19-11, 9-8) ranked #22 by KenPom
? Tempo: #14
? Experience: #240
? Continuity: #214
? Alabama won five of its last seven games.
? Crimson Tide is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games.
? 47.3% of their shots are 3?s (31.3%, #292)
? Over is 4-1 in last five Crimson Tide games.
? Alabama?s schedule, to this point: #1
? bench minutes: #223

? LSU (20-10, 8-9) ranked #16 by KenPom
? Tempo: #86
? Experience: #323
? Continuity: #301
? LSU lost three of its last four games.
? Tigers covered four of their last five games.
? LSU forces turnovers 25.1% of time (#4)
? Over is 7-3 in Tigers? last ten games.
? LSU?s schedule, to this point: #23
? bench minutes: #157

? SEC home favorites of 4 or less points are 14-5 ATS
? Alabama beat LSU 70-67 at home January 19.
? Bama was 7-34 on arc; they outscored LSU 21-9 on foul line.
? Alabama won last five series games.
? Teams split last four meetings in Baton Rouge.

Indiana @ Purdue
? Indiana (18-11, 9-10) ranked #48 by KenPom
? Tempo: #177
? Experience: #298
? Continuity: #177
? Indiana lost six of its last eight games.
? Hoosiers are 1-3 ATS in last four road tilts.
? Opponents are shooting 43.7% inside arc (#11)
? Over is 5-1 in Hoosiers? last six games.
? Indiana?s schedule, to this point: #56
? bench minutes: #167

? Purdue (24-6, 13-6) ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #236
? Experience: #212
? Continuity: #15
? Purdue lost last two games, after a 24-4 start.
? Boilers are 0-4-2 ATS in last six games.
? Purdue has #3 eFG% in country.
? Under is 5-1 in Boilers? last six games.
? Purdue?s schedule, to this point: #34
? bench minutes: #46

? Big 14 double digit home favorites are 11-14 ATS
? Indiana scored last five points, beat Purdue 68-65 at home January 20.
? Teams combined to go 21-41 on foul line.
? Purdue won nine of last ten series games.
? Hoosiers lost last four visits to Mackey Arena.

Seton Hall @ Creighton
? Seton Hall (19-9, 10-8) ranked #33 by KenPom
? Tempo: #115
? Experience: #22
? Continuity: #157
? Seton Hall won last four games, giving up 66 ppg.
? Pirates covered their last four road games.
? Seton Hall is shooting 44% inside arc in Big East tilts (#10 of 11)
? Under is 7-3 in Pirates? last ten games.
? Seton Hall?s schedule, to this point: #30
? bench minutes: #98

? Creighton (20-9, 12-6) ranked #67 by KenPom
? Tempo: #187
? Experience: #312
? Continuity: #341
? Creighton is 7-1 since the loss at Seton Hall.
? Bluejays covered six of last seven games.
? Creighton has #14 eFG% defense in country.
? Under is 6-4 in Bluejays? last ten games.
? Creighton?s schedule, to this point: #43
? bench minutes: #336

? Big East home teams are 10-15 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Seton Hall led 37-16 at half, whacked Creighton 74-55 February 4.
? Bluejays won four of last five series games.
? Seton Hall lost 77-60/89-53 in last two visits here.

Texas @ Kansas
? Texas (21-9, 10-7) ranked #15 by KenPom
? Tempo: #339
? Experience: #13
? Continuity: #257
? Texas split its last six games.
? Longhorns are 0-4 ATS in last four games.
? Texas has 47.8% eFG% in Big X games (#8 of 10)
? Over is 5-2 in Longhorns? last seven games.
? Texas?s schedule, to this point: #31
? bench minutes: #160

? Kansas (24-6, 13-4) ranked #10 by KenPom
? Tempo: #71
? Experience: #132
? Continuity: #48
? Kansas won its last five home games.
? Jayhawks are 3-5 ATS in last eight games.
? Kansas is shooting 55% inside arc (#25)
? Under is 4-2 in Jayhawks? last six games.
? Kansas?s schedule, to this point: #3
? bench minutes: #303

? Big X home favorites are 32-20 ATS.
? Texas scored last 7 points, beat Kansas 79-76 at home February 7.
? Teams split last eight series games.
? Texas won here LY, ending an 0-9 skid in Lawrence.

St John?s @ Marquette
? St John?s (16-13, 8-10) ranked #66 by KenPom
? Tempo: #2
? Experience: #157
? Continuity: #238
? St John?s is 3-4 in its last seven games.
? Red Storm covered seven of their last nine games.
? St John?s forces turnovers 21.5% of time (#36)
? Over is 4-1 in Red Storm?s last five games.
? St John?s schedule, to this point: #72
? bench minutes: #139

? Marquette (18-11, 10-8) ranked #39 by KenPom
? Tempo: #29
? Experience: #350
? Continuity: #336
? Marquette is 3-5 in last eight games, after a 7-0 run.
? Eagles are 0-6 ATS in last six games.
? Marquette is #311 team in country on defensive boards.
? Over is 5-2 in Eagles? last seven games.
? Marquette?s schedule, to this point: #19
? bench minutes: #99

? Big East home favorites of 4 or less points are 5-9 ATS.
? St John?s is 6-4 in last ten series games.
? Teams split last four meetings played here.

North Carolina @ Duke
? North Carolina (22-8, 14-5) ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #43
? Experience: #208
? Continuity: #90
? North Carolina won 10 of its last 12 games.
? Tar Heels are 6-3-1 ATS in last ten games.
? North Carolina is #3 team in country on defensive boards.
? Over is 8-2 in Tar Heels? last ten games.
? North Carolina?s schedule, to this point: #59
? bench minutes: #348

? Duke (26-4, 16-3) ranked #5 by KenPom
? Tempo: #167
? Experience: #341
? Continuity: #230
? Emotional night; Coach K?s last home game.
? Blue Devils won their last seven games.
? Duke is shooting 55.3% inside arc (#24)
? Over is 6-2 in Blue Devils? last eight games.
? Duke?s schedule, to this point: #78
? bench minutes: #285

? ACC double digit home favorites are 12-14 ATS
? Duke led first meeting 31-8, won 87-67 February 5.
? Duke won four of last six series games.
? Tar Heels lost three of last four visits to Durham.

Boise State @ Colorado State
? Boise State (24-6, 15-2) ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #303
? Experience: #54
? Continuity: #72
? Boise State won five in row, 21 of last 23 games.
? Broncos are 3-6 ATS in last nine games.
? Boise State is #4 team in country on defensive boards.
? Over is 8-2 in Broncos? last ten games.
? Boise State?s schedule, to this point: #81
? bench minutes: #248

? Colorado State (23-4, 13-4) ranked #31 by KenPom
? Tempo: #253
? Experience: #153
? Continuity: #20
? Colorado State won seven of its last eight games.
? Rams covered five of their last seven games.
? Colorado State is shooting 55.7% inside arc (#18)
? Rams? last four games stayed under the total.
? Colorado State?s schedule, to this point: #87
? bench minutes: #143

? Mountain West home teams are 6-16 ATS if spread was 3 or less.
? Colorado State won 77-74 in OT at Boise February 13.
? Boise made 13-24 on arc, led by 7 with 9:26 left.
? Teams split last six series games.
? Broncos won four of last five visits to Fort Collins.

USC @ UCLA
? USC (25-5, 14-5) ranked #41 by KenPom
? Tempo: #229
? Experience: #197
? Continuity: #116
? USC won six of its last seven games.
? Trojans covered one of last five games.
? Opponents are shooting 41.4% inside arc (#2)
? Over is 3-1-1 in Trojans? last five games.
? USC?s schedule, to this point: #92
? bench minutes: #209

? UCLA (22-6, 14-5) ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #259
? Experience: #98
? Continuity: #12
? UCLA won five of its last six games.
? Bruins are 6-2 ATS in last eight games.
? UCLA has #52 eFG% defense in country.
? Under is 3-2 in Bruins? last five games.
? UCLA?s schedule, to this point: #47
? bench minutes: #76

? Pac-12 home favorites of 7+ points are 15-20 ATS
? USC beat UCLA 67-64 at home February 12.
? Trojans won last five series games.
? USC won 74-63/64-63 in last two visits to Pauley.

MVC tournament (@ St Louis)
Northern Iowa vs Loyola
? Northern Iowa (19-10, 15-4) ranked #88 by KenPom
? Tempo: #174
? Experience: #287
? Continuity: #13
? Northern Iowa won 10 of its last 11 games.
? Panthers covered eight of their last ten games.
? Northern Iowa is shooting 54.3% inside arc (#35)
? Panthers played six guys in stress-free win yesterday.
? Northern Iowa?s schedule, to this point: #101
? bench minutes: #258

? Loyola (23-7, 14-5) ranked #26 by KenPom
? Tempo: #316
? Experience: #27
? Continuity: #49
? Loyola won seven of its last ten games.
? Ramblers are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games.
? Loyola has #4 eFG% in country.
? Ramblers won this tourney twice in last four years.
? Loyola?s schedule to this point: #107
? bench minutes: #138

? Teams split pair of games TY; UNI beat them in OT last week.
? UNI was 35-42 on foul line, Loyola 18-20 in LW?s game.
? Ramblers made 16-32 on arc in last week?s loss.
? Loyola won nine of last 11 series games.

Missouri State vs Drake
? Missouri State (23-9, 14-5) ranked #64 by KenPom
? Tempo: #188
? Experience: #141
? Continuity: #102
? Missouri State won six of its last seven games.
? Five of Bears? last six games went over total.
? Missouri State has #21 eFG% in country.
? Bears went W-L in this tourney five of last six years.
? Missouri State?s schedule, to this point: #136
? bench minutes: #292

? Drake (23-9, 14-5) ranked #85 by KenPom
? Tempo: #241
? Experience: #35
? Continuity: #33
? Drake won last six games, giving up 60.3 ppg.
? Bulldogs are 4-5 ATS in last eight games.
? Drake got no points out of its bench in yesterday?s win.
? Last four years, Bulldogs are 5-3 in Arch Madness.
? Drake?s schedule to this point: #134
? bench minutes: #171

? Missouri State beat Drake twice this year, by 5-4 points.
? February 9, Bears outscored Drake 16-6 over final 5:56 of 66-62 win.
? Drake won eight of last ten series games- they beat Bears 71-69 in LY?s Arch Madness.

OVC tournament (@ Evansville, IN)
Morehead State vs Murray State
? Morehead State (22-10, 13-5) ranked #121 by KenPom
? Tempo: #299
? Experience: #254
? Continuity: #153
? Morehead State is 3-4 in its last seven games.
? Eagles covered twice in last six games.
? Opponents are shooting 45.7% inside arc (#28)
? Eagles never trailed in 73-56 win last night.
? Morehead State?s schedule, to this point: #239
? bench minutes: #274

? Murray State (29-2, 19-0) ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #255
? Experience: #249
? Continuity: #128
? Murray State has won 19 in row; their last loss was December 22.
? Under is 7-2 in Racers? last nine games.
? Murray State forces turnovers 21.2% of time (#41)
? Racers won two of last four OVC tourneys (8-3 SU in last six)
? Murray State?s schedule, to this point: #252
? bench minutes: #286

? Murray State beat Morehead twice this year, by 11-4 points.
? Racers outscored Morehead 17-4 over final 5:17 of a 57-53 win February 12.
? Murray won seven of last nine series games.

WCC tournament (@ Las Vegas)
BYU vs San Francisco
? BYU (22-9, 10-6) ranked #45 by KenPom
? Tempo: #124
? Experience: #168
? Continuity: #158
? BYU won five of last six games, after an 0-5 skid.
? Cougars are 3-8 ATS in last eleven games.
? BYU is #12 team in country on defensive boards.
? Cougars played nine guys in stress-free game last night.
? BYU?s schedule, to this point: #74
? bench minutes: #85

? San Francisco (23-8, 10-6) ranked #23 by KenPom
? Tempo: #91
? Experience: #76
? Continuity: #148
? USF won seven of its last ten games.
? Dons haven?t played since Saturday.
? USF is shooting 54.4% inside arc (#32)
? Dons last four games went over the total.
? USF?s schedule, to this point: #85
? bench minutes: #206

? Teams split pair of games this season.
? USF won four of last six series games.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, March 5

 

[Udog]

Arkansas has covered the spread in three of its last four games when playing as the underdog.
Tennessee has won four of its last six games when facing Arkansas.
Tennessee has gone OVER the point total in seven of its last eight games when facing Arkansas.


LSU has covered the spread in three straight games.
Alabama has failed to cover the spread in 20 of its last 30 games.
LSU has gone OVER the point total in four of its last six home games when facing Alabama.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, March 5

 

[Udog]

Indiana is 2-6 ATS in the past eight games overall.
Indiana is 3-13-1 ATS in the past 17 road games.
Indiana is 0-6 ATS in the past six vs. winning teams.
Purdue is 0-4-2 ATS in the past six games overall.
Purdue is 1-3-1 ATS in the past five home games.
Purdue is 0-3-2 ATS in the past five vs. winning teams.
The OVER is 5-1 in the past six games overall for Indiana.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven road games for Indiana.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven vs. winning teams for Indiana.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six games overall for Purdue.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five home games for Purdue.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven vs. winning teams for Purdue.
The home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine meetings.


Kentucky is 1-3-1 ATS in the past five games overall.
Kentucky is 4-12-2 ATS in the past 18 road games.
Florida is 1-4 ATS in the past five games vs. winning teams.
The UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 road games for Kentucky.
The UNDER is 6-1 in the past seven vs. winning teams for Kentucky.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five vs. winning teams for Florida.
The road team is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings.


Creighton has pushed or covered the spread in six of its last seven games.
Creighton has won seven of its last eight games.
Seton Hall has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games.
Seton Hall has gone UNDER the point total in four of its last five games.


Texas is 0-4 ATS in the past four games overall.
Texas is 3-8 ATS in the past 11 road games.
Texas is 1-4 ATS in the past five vs. winning teams.
Kansas is 2-5 ATS in the past seven vs. winning teams.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven games overall for Texas.
The OVER is 6-0 in the past six road games for Texas.
The OVER is 24-11-1 in the past 36 home games for Texas vs. teams with a winning road record.
The road team is 12-3-1 ATS in the past 16 meetings.
The underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the past four meetings.
The OVER is 3-0 in the past three meetings.


Iowa State is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six games after scoring 50 or fewer points last time out.
Baylor is 3-1-1 ATS in the past five home games.
Baylor is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six vs. winning teams.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven games for Iowa State.
The OVER is 16-7 in the past 23 vs. winning teams for Iowa State.
The OVER is 20-9 in the past 29 home games for Baylor.
The OVER is 18-7-1 in the past 26 vs. winning teams for Baylor.
The home team is 21-10 ATS in the past 31 meetings.


UNC is 3-0-1 ATS in the past four road games.
UNC is 4-10-1 ATS in the past 15 as an underdog.
UNC is 2-6-1 ATS in the past nine as a road 'dog.
UNC is 3-0-1 ATS in the past four vs. winning teams.
Duke is 3-9 ATS in the past 12 home games vs. teams with a winning road record.
The OVER is 8-2 in the past 10 games overall for UNC.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five road games for UNC.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven as an underdog for UNC.
The OVER is 7-3 in the past 10 as a road underdog for UNC.
The OVER is 5-0 in the past five vs. winning teams for UNC.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five games overall for Duke.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five as a favorite for Duke.
The home team is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings.
UNC is 7-2 ATS in the past nine meetings.
The OVER is 5-0 in the past five meetings.


Boise State is 10-2 ATS in the past 12 road games.
Boise State is 5-1 ATS in the past six as an underdog.
Boise State is 7-1 ATS in the past eight as a road 'dog.
Colorado State is 5-2 ATS in the past seven games overall.
Colorado State is 2-6 ATS in the past eight home games.
The OVER is 8-2 in the past 10 games overall for Boise State.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four road games for Boise State.
The OVER is 12-3-1 in the past 16 vs. winning teams for Boise State.
The UNDER is 6-2 in the past eight as an underdog for Boise State.
The UNDER is 6-2 in the past eight as a road 'dog for Boise State.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four games overall for Colorado State.
The UNDER is 9-2 in the past 11 home games for Colorado State.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four as a favorite for Colorado State.
The OVER is 11-3-1 in the past 15 vs. winning teams for Colorado State.


UCLA has covered the spread in two straight games.
USC has covered the spread five of its last six games when playing as the underdog.
UCLA has covered the spread in six of its last eight games.

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, MARCH 5
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

VILL at BUT 12:00 PM
BUT +8.5
O 128.0
+500 +500

UVA at LOU 12:00 PM
UVA -3.0
O 125.5
+500 +500

BC at GT 12:00 PM
BC +3.0
+500

ALA at LSU 12:00 PM
LSU -4.0
O 152.0
+500 +500

ARK at TENN 12:00 PM
TENN -5.5
O 139.5
+500 +500

CIT at CHAT 12:00 PM
CIT +13.0
O 145.5
+500 +500

SCUS at LONG 12:00 PM
LONG -6.5
+500

DAV at DAY 12:30 PM
DAY -3.5
U 131.0
+500 +500

ULL at TXST 12:30 PM
TXST -5.0
+500

MRST at NIAG 01:00 PM
NIAG -3.0
U 130.5
+500 +500

QUIN at IONA 01:00 PM
QUIN +13.5
U 148.5
+500 +500

FAIR at SPC 01:00 PM
SPC -7.0
U 126.5
+500 +500

MIA at SYR 01:00 PM
U 153.0
+500

SCAR at AUB 01:00 PM
AUB -14.5
U 146.0
+500 +500

*********************

MTU at ODU 02:00 PM
ODU -1.5
+500

DART at HARV 02:00 PM
HARV -5.0
+500

LAS at DUQ 02:00 PM
LAS -1.0
+500

GW at FOR 02:00 PM
FOR -5.0
+500

WEBB at WIN 02:00 PM
WIN -4.0
+500

FIU at FAU 02:00 PM
FAU -11.5
+500

TCU at WVU 02:00 PM
WVU -3.0
+500

IND at PUR 02:00 PM
PUR -10.5
+500

NCST at FSU 02:00 PM
NCST +7.0
+500

VT at CLEM 02:00 PM
CLEM +2.5
+500

UK at FLA 02:00 PM
UK -4.5
+500

URI at STJOE 02:30 PM
URI -1.0
+500

VMI at WOF 02:30 PM
WOF -5.5
+500

HALL at CREI 02:30 PM
HALL +2.0
+500

PITT at ND 02:30 PM
ND -12.5
+500

****************************

TTU at OKST 03:00 PM
TTU -2.5
+500

CHAR at USM 03:00 PM
CHAR -7.5
+500

MRSH at WKU 03:00 PM
MRSH +9.5
O 154.0
+500 +500

UALR at TROY 03:00 PM
TROY -9.5
+500

UNT at UTEP 03:00 PM
UNT -5.0
+500

STAN at ASU 03:00 PM
ASU -6.0
+500

ECU at WICH 03:00 PM
ECU +10.0
+500

LT at UAB 03:00 PM
LT +7.0
+500

RICE at UTSA 03:00 PM
UTSA +3.0
+500

CALBA at LAM 03:00 PM
CALBA -8.5
+500

UGA at MIZZ 03:30 PM
UGA +7.0
+500

L-IL at UNI 03:30 PM
UNI +3.0
+500

*************************

VCU at SLU 04:00 PM
SLU -2.5
U 135.5
+500 +500

MASS at GMU 04:00 PM
MASS +7.5
+500

SIE at CAN 04:00 PM
CAN -2.5
+500

MONM at RID 04:00 PM
MONM -2.0
+500

TEX at KU 04:00 PM
TEX +6.5
+500

OKLA at KSU 04:00 PM
KSU -2.0
+500

COR at CLMB 04:00 PM
O 156.5
+500

UCI at CSB 04:00 PM
UCI -5.0
+500

ORE at WSU 04:00 PM
WSU -2.0
+500

FRES at WYO 04:00 PM
FRES +4.0
U 126.5
+500 +500

SELA at NWST 04:00 PM
SELA -1.5
+500

CHS at SEA 04:00 PM
SEA -16.0
+500

UNO at NICH 04:30 PM
NICH -8.0
+500

************************

NE at CWM 05:00 PM
NE -7.5
+500

DEP at CONN 05:00 PM
DEP +9.5
+500

CAL at ARIZ 05:00 PM
CAL +22.0
+500

NAU at IDHO 05:00 PM
IDHO -2.0
+500

PRST at EWU 05:00 PM
PRST +5.0
+500

AMCC at IW 05:00 PM
AMCC -6.5
+500

ARST at GSU 06:00 PM
ARST +3.5
+500

ISU at BAY 06:00 PM
BAY -12.0
+500

PRIN at PENN 06:00 PM
PRIN -2.5
+500

MSM at BRY 06:00 PM
MSM +7.0
+500

BELL at LIB 06:00 PM
BELL +7.0
+500

MER at FUR 06:00 PM
FUR -7.0
+500

UNC at DUKE 06:00 PM
UNC +11.5
+500

VAN at MISS 06:00 PM
MISS -1.0
+500

ARPB at ALCN 06:00 PM
ALCN -10.5
+500

UNCO at MTST 06:00 PM
UNCO +6.0
+500

DRKE at MOSU 06:00 PM
DRKE +1.0
O 137.0
+500 +500