NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, March 17
Michigan vs Colorado State
? Michigan (17-14) ranked #33 by KenPom
? Tempo: #218
? Experience: #292
? Continuity: #246
? Michigan is 4-5 in its last nine games.
? Wolverines are shooting 53% inside arc (#60)
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? Michigan beat San Diego State of MW by 14 in December.
? Last 3 NCAA?s, Wolverines are 10-3 SU.
? Michigan?s schedule, to this point: #6
? bench minutes: #324
? Since 2015, Big 14 teams are 32-11 SU in first NCAA tourney game.
? Colorado State (25-5) ranked #31 by KenPom
? Tempo: #280
? Experience: #150
? Continuity: #18
? Colorado State won nine of its last 11 games.
? Rams are 10-0 outside MW, beating Creighton/Saint Mary?s.
? Colorado State is shooting 56.3% inside arc (#11)
? Rams are in NCAA?s for first time since 2013.
? Colorado State?s schedule, to this point: #80
? bench minutes: #154
? Since 2015, Mountain West teams are 3-11 in NCAA?s.
? Last six years, underdogs are 14-10 ATS in 6-11 games.
South Dakota State vs Providence
? South Dakota State (30-4) ranked #71 by KenPom
? Tempo: #159
? Experience: #293
? Continuity: #10
? South Dakota State won last 21 games; last loss was December 15
? Jackrabbits are shooting 44.2% on arc (#1), 56.3% inside arc (#10)
? South Dakota State split their four top 100 games.
? Since 2012, Jackrabbits are 0-5 SU in first round games (2-3 ATS).
? South Dakota State?s schedule, to this point: #243
? bench minutes: #187
? Providence (25-5) ranked #49 by KenPom
? Tempo: #273
? Experience: #6
? Continuity: #123
? Providence is 4-3 SU in last seven games.
? Three of Friars? last five wins were in overtime.
? Providence has #40 eFG% defense in country.
? This is Friars? first NCAA game since 2018; Cooley is 1-4 in first round games.
? Providence?s schedule, to this point: #56
? bench minutes: #302
? Last four tournaments, Big East teams are 10-11 SU in first round.
? This is smallest spread ever for a 4-13 game.
Memphis vs Boise State
? Memphis (21-10) ranked #28 by KenPom
? Tempo: #34
? Experience: #227
? Continuity: #163
? Memphis won 12 of its last 14 games.
? Tigers rebound 37.5% of their misses (#5)
? Memphis also turns ball over 22.9% of time (#352)
? Fairly quick turnaround; Tigers lost to Houston in AAC final Sunday.
? Memphis schedule, to this point: #60
? bench minutes: #7
? Memphis is in NCAA?s for first time since 2014.
? Last four years, AAC teams are 5-6 ATS in first round.
? Boise State (27-7) ranked #26 by KenPom
? Tempo: #307
? Experience: #51
? Continuity: #70
? Boise State won eight of last nine games.
? Broncos are #5 team in country on defensive boards.
? Boise State was 3-4 in November, is 24-3 since then.
? Broncos are in NCAA?s for first time since 2015.
? Boise State?s schedule, to this point: #74
? bench minutes: #259
? Since 2015, Mountain West teams are 3-11 in NCAA?s.
? Memphis beat Boise State 59-55 on neutral floor in LY?s NIT.
Norfolk State vs Baylor
? Norfolk State (24-6) ranked #168 by KenPom
? Tempo: #187
? Experience: #33
? Continuity: #247
? Norfolk State won six in row, 15 of last 17 games.
? Spartans lost by 40 at Xavier, 13 at Wichita, its two top 100 games.
? Norfolk State has #16 eFG% defense in country.
? Spartans won play-in game LY, upset Missouri as 21-point dogs back in 2012, in a 2-15 game
? Norfolk State?s schedule, to this point: #357
? bench minutes: #207
? Since 2009, MEAC teams are 2-7 ATS in this round.
? Baylor (26-6) ranked #5 by KenPom
? Tempo: #169
? Experience: #205
? Continuity: #243
? Baylor is 6-0 teams outside top 150, all by 29+ points.
? Bears rebound 36.3% of misses (#7)
? Baylor shot 11-47 on arc in last two games.
? Bears are the defending national champs.
? Baylor?s schedule, to this point: #12
? bench minutes: #106
? Last four tournaments, Big X teams are 16-11 ATS in first round.
Longwood vs Tennessee
? Longwood (26-6) ranked #144 by KenPom
? Tempo: #235
? Experience: #140
? Continuity: #120
? Longwood won 19 of its last 20 games.
? Lancers lost by 33-16 in only two games vs top 150 teams.
? Longwood is shooting 38.6% on arc (#6)
? Lancers are in NCAA?s for first time.
? Longwood?s schedule, to this point: #344
? bench minutes: #81
? Last six years, Big South teams are 1-5 ATS in this round.
? Tennessee (26-7) ranked #7 by KenPom
? Tempo: #172
? Experience: #298
? Continuity: #202
? Tennessee won 12 of its last 13 games.
? Quick turnaround for Vols; they won SEC title Sunday.
? Tennessee forces turnovers 22.9% of time (#15)
? Volunteers rebound 32.8% of their misses (#45)
? Tennessee?s schedule, to this point: #185
? bench minutes: #169
? Last five years, favorites are 11-9 ATS in 3-14 games.
Richmond vs Iowa
? Richmond (23-12) ranked #83 by KenPom
? Tempo: #191
? Experience: #18
? Continuity: #14
? Richmond got in by winning A-14 tourney last week.
? Spiders are 7-10 against top 100 teams.
? Richmond held six of last seven opponents to 66 or less points.
? 42.1% of Spiders? shots are 3?s (33.7%, #175)
? Richmond?s schedule, to this point: #92
? bench minutes: #272
? Since 2014, A-14 teams are 9-12 ATS in this round.
? Iowa (25-9) ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #52
? Experience: #230
? Continuity: #178
? Iowa won 12 of its last 14 games.
? Hawkeyes scored 92.8 ppg in Big 14 tourney last week.
? Iowa has #33 eFG% in country.
? Hawkeyes are #262 team in country on defensive boards.
? Iowa?s schedule, to this point: #49
? bench minutes: #35
? Since 2017, Big 14 teams are 15-12 ATS in this round.
? Last five tournaments, underdogs are 12-8 ATS in 5-12 games.
Georgia State vs Gonzaga
? Georgia State (18-10) ranked #151 by KenPom
? Tempo: #174
? Experience: #96
? Continuity: #24
? Georgia State won its last ten games.
? Panthers force turnovers 22.7% of time (#19)
? Georgia State is shooting 43.1% inside arc (#351)
? Panthers lost first round games in ?18/?19 by 15-29 points.
? Georgia State?s schedule, to this point: #177
? bench minutes: #129
? Last six tournaments, Sun Belt teams are 3-5 ATS in this round.
? Gonzaga (26-3) ranked #1 by KenPom
? Tempo: #4
? Experience: #264
? Continuity: #221
? Gonzaga won 19 of its last 20 games.
? Zags are shooting 60.9% inside arc (#2)
? Gonzaga hasn?t played in nine days.
? Last 11 years, Zags are 7-4 ATS in first round games.
? Gonzaga?s schedule, to this point: #99
? bench minutes: #273
? Last four years, underdogs are 9-7 ATS in 1-16 games.
Marquette vs North Carolina
? Marquette (19-12) ranked #47 by KenPom
? Tempo: #26
? Experience: #349
? Continuity: #336
? Marquette is 4-6 in its last ten games.
? Eagles are 6-5 this season vs top 50 teams.
? Marquette is #306 team in country on defensive boards.
? Since 2014, Shaka Smart is 0-5 in NCAA tourney games (7-3 before that)
? Marquette?s schedule, to this point: #25
? bench minutes: #98
? Last five tournaments, Big East teams are 6-13-1 ATS in first round.
? North Carolina (24-9) ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #38
? Experience: #209
? Continuity: #90
? North Carolina won 12 of its last 15 games.
? Tar Heels shoot 36.2% on arc (#53)
? North Carolina is #2 team in country on defensive boards.
? Since 2000, Tar Heels are 17-1 SU in first round games.
? North Carolina?s schedule, to this point: #54
? bench minutes: #347
? Last four tournaments, ACC teams are 7-23 ATS in first round.
? Last four years, underdogs are 9-7 ATS in 8-9 games.
New Mexico State vs UConn
? New Mexico State (26-6) ranked #81 by KenPom
? Tempo: #223
? Experience: #146
? Continuity: #185
? New Mexico State won 11 of its last 14 games.
? Aggies are 5-1 against top 100 teams.
? New Mexico State has #20 eFG% defense in country.
? Last 25 years, Aggies are 0-10 SU in this round (3-6 ATS in last nine)
? New Mexico State?s schedule, to this point: #133
? bench minutes: #149
? Last 10 tournaments, WAC teams are 3-7 ATS in first round.
? UConn (23-9) ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #291
? Experience: #116
? Continuity: #32
? UConn won seven of its last nine games.
? Opponents are shooting 42.8% inside arc (#5)
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? UConn rebounds 37.9% of its misses (#1)
? Huskies are 2-1 ATS in this round since Calhoun left UConn.
? UConn?s schedule, to this point: #52
? bench minutes: #244
? Last five tournaments, Big East teams are 6-13-1 ATS in first round.
? Last five tournaments, underdogs are 12-8 ATS in 5-12 games.
Saint Peter?s vs Kentucky
? Saint Peter?s (19-11) ranked #118 by KenPom
? Tempo: #242
? Experience: #177
? Continuity: #34
? Saint Peter?s won its last seven games.
? Peacocks have #6 eFG% defense in country.
? Saint Peter?s is shooting 45.9% inside arc (#317)
? Peacocks are in NCAA?s for first time since 2011.
? Saint Peter?s schedule, to this point: #212
? bench minutes: #16
? Since 2010, MAAC teams are 2-10 ATS in NCAA?s.
? Kentucky (26-7) ranked #3 by KenPom
? Tempo: #155
? Experience: #188
? Continuity: #296
? Kentucky is 5-3 in its last eight games.
? Wildcats is shooting 53.7% inside arc (#43)
? Kentucky is rebounding 37.8% of its misses (#4)
? Wildcats are 3-5 ATS in last eight first round games.
? Kentucky?s schedule, to this point: #29
? bench minutes: #247
? Last three tournaments, SEC teams are 9-12 ATS in first round
? Last two years, 15-seeds are 5-3 ATS in first round.
Indiana vs Saint Mary?s
? Indiana (21-13) ranked #35 by KenPom
? Tempo: #187
? Experience: #295
? Continuity: #175
? Indiana is 5-3 in its last eight games.
? Six of Hoosiers? last seven games were decided by 5 or less points.
? Indiana had 15 offensive rebounds in Tuesday?s 66-58 win.
? Opponents are shooting 43.6% inside arc (#9)
? Indiana?s schedule, to this point: #39
? bench minutes: #173
? Since 2017, Big 14 teams are 15-12 ATS in this round.
? Saint Mary?s (25-7) ranked #16 by KenPom
? Tempo: #338
? Experience: #79
? Continuity: #17
? Saint Mary?s hasn?t played in nine days.
? Gaels won five of their last six games.
? Saint Mary?s is #4 team in country on defensive boards.
? Since 2008, Gaels are 2-5 ATS in this round.
? Saint Mary?s schedule, to this point: #57
? bench minutes: #316
? Last five tournaments, underdogs are 12-8 ATS in 5-12 games.
Creighton vs San Diego State
? Creighton (22-11) ranked #53 by KenPom
? Tempo: #190
? Experience: #309
? Continuity: #341
? Creighton split its last six games, after a 6-0 run.
? Bluejays? PG Nembhard is out for year.
? Opponents are shooting 43.5% inside arc (#9)
? Bluejays lost 95-81 to Colorado State of MW in November.
? Creighton?s schedule, to this point: #44
? bench minutes: #127
? Last five tournaments, Big East teams are 6-13-1 ATS in first round.
? San Diego State (23-8) ranked #22 by KenPom
? Tempo: #268
? Experience: #34
? Continuity: #110
? San Diego State won 11 of its last 13 games.
? Aztecs have #5 eFG% defense in country.
? San Diego State is shooting 46.6% inside arc (#299)
? Aztecs are 5-3 ATS in last eight first round games.
? San Diego State?s schedule, to this point: #61
? bench minutes: #103
? Since 2015, Mountain West teams are 3-11 in NCAA?s.
? Last four years, underdogs are 9-7 ATS in 8-9 games.
Vermont vs Arkansas
? Vermont (28-5) ranked #59 by KenPom
? Tempo: #288
? Experience: #4
? Continuity: #40
? Vermont won 22 of its last 23 games.
? Vermont lost to Maryland by 11, Providence by 10, its highest-profile games.
? Vermont is shooting 58.9% inside arc (#3)
? Catamounts are #1 in country on defensive boards, playing in lesser league.
? Vermont?s schedule, to this point: #330
? bench minutes: #126
? Last ten years, America East teams are 6-4 ATS in this round.
? Arkansas (25-8) ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #28
? Experience: #72
? Continuity: #290
? Arkansas lost 2 of last 3 games, after a 14-1 run.
? Razorbacks force turnovers 20.6% of time (#56)
? Arkansas shoots only 30.7% on arc (#313)
? Razorbacks were in Elite 8 LY; they?re 4-1 last five first round games.
? Arkansas schedule, to this point: #46
? bench minutes: #313
? Last three tournaments, SEC teams are 9-12 ATS in first round
? Last three years, underdogs are 9-3 ATS in 4-13 games.
San Francisco vs Murray State
? San Francisco (24-9) ranked #21 by KenPom
? Tempo: #89
? Experience: #78
? Continuity: #146
? San Francisco hasn?t played in ten days.
? Dons are 5-4 in their last ten games.
? 44.4% of USF?s shots are 3?s (34.7%, #107)
? Dons is in NCAA?s for first time since 1998
? San Francisco?s schedule, to this point: #44
? bench minutes: #127
? Murray State (30-2) ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #246
? Experience: #250
? Continuity: #125
? Murray State won its last 20 games- their last loss was December 22
? Racers are shooting 53.5% inside arc (#48)
? Murray State is 4-1 against top 100 teams.
? Since 2010, Racers are 3-1 SU in first round games.
? Murray State?s schedule, to this point: #235
? bench minutes: #285
? OVC teams are 12-4-1 ATS in last 17 first-round games.
? Last eight years, favorites are 18-13 ATS in 7-10 games.
UCLA vs Akron
? UCLA (25-7) ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #258
? Experience: #97
? Continuity: #8
? UCLA won eight of its last ten games.
? Five of Bruins? last six games went over the total.
? UCLA has #75 eFG% defense in country.
? Bruins got to Sweet 16 in four of their last five tournaments.
? UCLA?s schedule, to this point: #44
? bench minutes: #127
? Last two years, Pac-12 teams are 7-0 ATS in this round.
? Akron (24-9) ranked #131 by KenPom
? Tempo: #351
? Experience: #321
? Continuity: #130
? Akron won its last eight games.
? Zips lost 67-66 at Ohio State, its highest-profile game.
? Akron gets 20.8% of its points on foul line (#39)
? Zips are in NCAAs for first time since 2013.
? Akron?s schedule, to this point: #280
? bench minutes: #283
? MAC teams covered their last five first round games.
? Last three years, underdogs are 9-3 ATS in 4-13 games.
Texas Southern vs Kansas
? Texas Southern (19-12) ranked #184 by KenPom
? Tempo: #117
? Experience: #3
? Continuity: #113
? Texas Southern was 0-7 at one point this season.
? Tigers won 14 of their last 16 games.
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? Texas Southern turns ball over 21.4% of time (#328)
? Tigers have #12 eFG% defense in country.
? Texas Southern?s schedule, to this point: #317
? bench minutes: #1
? Tigers outscored Corpus Christi 26-9 on foul line in Tuesday?s win.
? Kansas (28-6) ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #68
? Experience: #130
? Continuity: #46
? Kansas won its last five games.
? Jayhawks are shooting 54.5% inside arc (#30)
? Kansas has #45 eFG% defense.
? Jayhawks are 4-1-1 ATS in last six first round games.
? Kansas schedule, to this point: #3
? bench minutes: #299
? Big X teams
? Last four years, underdogs are 9-7 ATS in 1-16 games.
