NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, March 18
Loyola Chi vs Ohio State
? Loyola (25-7) ranked #24 by KenPom
? Tempo: #308
? Experience: #26
? Continuity: #48
? Loyola won seven of its last nine games.
? Ramblers have #7 eFG% in country.
? You?re reading armadillosports.com
? Loyola lost 63-61 to Big 14?s Michigan State in November.
? Last three tourneys, Ramblers went 6-2 in NCAA?s.
? Loyola?s schedule, to this point: #105
? bench minutes: #137
? Since 2009, MVC teams are 12-5 ATS in first round games.
? Ohio State (19-11) ranked #32 by KenPom
? Tempo: #287
? Experience: #189
? Continuity: #213
? Ohio State lost four of its last five games.
? Buckeyes have #22 eFG% in country.
? Opponents are shooting 46.2% inside arc (#41)
? Under Holtmann, Buckeyes are 3-2 in NCAA?s, 2-1 in first round.
? Ohio State?s schedule, to this point: #22
? bench minutes: #85
? Since 2017, Big 14 teams are 15-12 ATS in this round.
? Last eight years, favorites are 18-13 ATS in 7-10 games.
Jacksonville State vs Auburn
? Jacksonville State (21-10) ranked #276 by KenPom
? Tempo: #146
? Experience: #40
? Continuity: #26
? Jacksonville State won five of its last six games.
? Gamecocks lost to VCU by 14, Alabama by 6, their high profile games.
? Jacksonville State is located 100 miles north of Auburn
? Gamecocks are shooting 38.2% on arc (#11)
? Jacksonville State?s schedule, to this point: #277
? bench minutes: #265
? Last eight years, ASun teams are 6-2 ATS in this round.
? Auburn (23-9, 18-4) ranked #275 by KenPom
? Tempo: #40
? Experience: #306
? Continuity: #279
? Auburn is 5-4 in last nine games, after a 22-1 start.
? Opponents are shooting 42.6% inside arc (#4)
? Auburn rebounds 33.1% of its misses (#42)
? In his career, Pearl is 7-3 SU in first round games.
? Auburn?s schedule, to this point: #34
? bench minutes: #80
? Last three tournaments, SEC teams are 9-12 ATS in first round
? Jacksonville State is 105 miles north of Auburn- teams last played in 2014.
? Last two years, 15-seeds are 5-3 ATS in first round.
Montana State vs Texas Tech
? Montana State (27-7) ranked #125 by KenPom
? Tempo: #157
? Experience: #217
? Continuity: #33
? Montana State won six in row, 18 of its last 20 games.
? Bobcats get 21.9% of points on foul line (#16)
? Montana State has #32 eFG% in country.
? Bobcats are in NCAA?s for first time since 1996.
? Michigan State?s schedule, to this point: #308
? bench minutes: #180
? Last six tournaments, Big Sky teams are 1-4-1 ATS in this round.
? Texas Tech (25-9) ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #211
? Experience: #42
? Continuity: #291
? Texas Tech split its last six games.
? Red Raiders are shooting 55.1% inside arc (#21)
? Texas Tech are forcing turnovers 23.6% of time (#10)
? Last three years, Red Raiders are 9-3 in NCAA?s.
? Texas Tech?s schedule, to this point: #250
? bench minutes: #335
? Last four tournaments, Big X teams are 16-11 ATS in first round.
? Last five years, favorites are 11-9 ATS in 3-14 games
Yale vs Purdue
? Yale (19-11) ranked #147 by KenPom
? Tempo: #86
? Experience: #166
? Continuity: #n/a
? Yale won 11 of its last 13 games.
? Under Jones, Bulldogs are 2-0 ATS in NCAA first round, upsetting Baylor in 2016.
? Yale is 0-5 this season vs top 100 teams.
? Bulldogs lost to Seton Hall by 36, Auburn by 22, Saint Mary?s by 27 in high-profile games.
? Yale?s schedule, to this point: #197
? bench minutes: #111
? Last ten years, Ivy League teams are 8-2 ATS in this round.
? Purdue (37-7) ranked #14 by KenPom
? Tempo: #248
? Experience: #211
? Continuity: #13
? Purdue split its last six games.
? Boilers are 24-0 when they score 70+ points, 3-7 when they don?t.
? Purdue has #4 eFG% in country.
? Under Painter, Boilers are 7-5 SU in first round.
? Purdue?s schedule, to this point: #30
? bench minutes: #63
? Since 2017, Big 14 teams are 15-12 ATS in this round.
? Last five years, favorites are 11-9 ATS in 3-14 games
Delaware vs Villanova
? Delaware (22-12) ranked #145 by KenPom
? Tempo: #199
? Experience: #131
? Continuity: #67
? Delaware finished T4 in CAA, but won CAA tourney.
? Blue Hens are shooting 54.2% inside arc (#35)
? Delaware lost by 22-11 in their two non-CAA top 100 games.
? Blue Hens are in NCAAs for first time since 2014.
? Delaware?s schedule, to this point: #206
? bench minutes: #307
? Last 15 years, CAA teams are 11-4 ATS in this round, but lost last two (87-53/78-49)
? Villanova (26-7) ranked #11 by KenPom
? Tempo: #345
? Experience: #54
? Continuity: #38
? Villanova won five in row, 10 of last 11 games.
? Wildcats have #64 eFG% defense in country.
? Delaware C Painter played for Villanova from 2017-19.
? Last 7 tournaments, Wildcats are 5-1-1 ATS in first round games.
? Villanova?s schedule, to this point: #185
? bench minutes: #169
? Last five tournaments, Big East teams are 6-13-1 ATS in first round.
? Last two years, 15-seeds are 5-3 ATS in first round.
Miami vs USC
? Miami (23-10) ranked #160 by KenPom
? Tempo: #160
? Experience: #148
? Continuity: #240
? Miami won seven of its last ten games.
? Hurricanes are shooting 54.8% inside arc (#27)
? Miami is #267 team in country on defensive boards.
? Under Larranaga, Miami is 2-2 SU in first round games.
? Miami?s schedule, to this point: #63
? bench minutes: #354
? Last four tournaments, ACC teams are 7-23 ATS in first round.
? USC (26-7) ranked #42 by KenPom
? Tempo: #237
? Experience: #201
? Continuity: #118
? USC lost 3 of its last 4 games (UCLA x2, Arizona)
? Trojans are rebounding 33.8% of their misses (#6)
? Opponents are shooting 41.6% inside arc (#2)
? Under Enfield, Trojans are 2-1 SU in this round.
? USC?s schedule, to this point: #84
? bench minutes: #209
? Last two years, Pac-12 teams are 7-0 ATS in this round.
? Last eight years, favorites are 18-13 ATS in 7-10 games.
Notre Dame vs Alabama
? Notre Dame (23-10) ranked #51 by KenPom
? Tempo: #256
? Experience: #192
? Continuity: #44
? Notre Dame is 9-3 in their last dozen games.
? Irish are 8-8 vs top 100 teams.
? You?re reading armadillosports.com
? Notre Dame is shooting 37.6% on arc (#21)
? Irish played three guys 42:00+ in Wednesday?s double OT win.
? Notre Dame?s schedule, to this point: #66
? bench minutes: #319
? Last four tournaments, ACC teams are 7-23 ATS in this round.
? Alabama (19-13) ranked #25 by KenPom
? Tempo: #12
? Experience: #239
? Continuity: #211
? Alabama lost its last three games, giving up 83 ppg.
? Crimson Tide is #280 team in country on defensive boards.
? 48% of Alabama?s shots are 3?s (30.8%, #305)
? Crimson Tide
? Alabama?s schedule, to this point: #1
? bench minutes: #213
? SEC teams
? Last six years, underdogs are 14-10 ATS in 6-11 games.
Virginia Tech vs Texas
? Virginia Tech (23-12) ranked #23 by KenPom
? Tempo: #344
? Experience: #108
? Continuity: #91
? Virginia Tech won 13 of its last 15 games.
? Hokies are shooting 39.3% on arc (#3)
? 41.5% of Virginia Tech?s shots are 3?s (#95)
? Last four tournaments, Hokies are 1-3 SU in this round
? Virginia Tech?s schedule, to this point: #65
? bench minutes: #333
? Last four tournaments, ACC teams are 7-23 ATS in first round.
? Texas (21-11) ranked #15 by KenPom
? Tempo: #341
? Experience: #12
? Continuity: #255
? Texas lost last three games, scoring 61.3 ppg.
? Longhorns are forcing turnovers 23.3% of time (#14)
? Texas is rebounding 31.9% of its misses (#59)
? Since 2012, Longhorns are 1-6 SU in this round.
? Beard is 4-0 SU in this round, including a win at Little Rock.
? Texas schedule, to this point: #64
? bench minutes: #104
? Last four tournaments, Big X teams are 16-11 ATS in first round.
? Last six years, underdogs are 14-10 ATS in 6-11 games.
Chattanooga vs Illinois
? Chattanooga (27-7) ranked #72 by KenPom
? Tempo: #302
? Experience: #90
? Continuity: #49
? Chattanooga won 14 of its last 17 games.
? Mocs have #58 eFG% in country.
? Opponents are shooting 52.1% inside arc (#272)
? Last 20 years, Mocs are 0-3 SU in this round.
? Chattanooga?s schedule, to this point: #142
? bench minutes: #281
? Last 11 years, SoCon teams are 6-4-1 ATS in this round.
? Illinois (22-9) ranked #17 by KenPom
? Tempo: #177
? Experience: #83
? Continuity: #114
? Illinois is 5-4 in its last nine games.
? Illini rebounds 33.4% of its misses (#35)
? Opponents are shooting 45.4% inside arc (#28)
? Last year was Illini?s first NCAA tourney since 2013.
? Illinois schedule, to this point: #15
? bench minutes: #240
? Since 2015, Big 14 teams are 32-11 SU in first NCAA tourney game.
? Last five years, favorites are 11-9 ATS in 3-14 games.
Cal-Fullerton vs Duke
? Cal-Fullerton (21-10) ranked #149 by KenPom
? Tempo: #239
? Experience: #67
? Continuity: #153
? Fullerton won seven of its last nine games.
? Titans are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 7-13-10 points.
? Opponents are shooting 37.1% on arc (#330)
? Last 20 years, Titans are 0-2 in NCAA?s, losing by 26-15 points.
? Cal-Fullerton?s schedule, to this point: #219
? bench minutes: #259
? Last six years, Big West teams are 4-2 ATS in this round.
? Duke (28-6) ranked #12 by KenPom
? Tempo: #150
? Experience: #345
? Continuity: #230
? Duke split its last four games, after a 12-1 run.
? Blue Devils are shooting 55.8% inside arc (#14)
? Duke has #47 eFG% defense in country.
? Last 8 tournaments, Blue Devils are 2-6 ATS in first round.
? Duke?s schedule, to this point: #71
? bench minutes: #312
? Last four tournaments, ACC teams are 7-23 ATS in first round.
? Last two years, 15-seeds are 5-3 ATS in first round.
Iowa State vs LSU
? Iowa State (20-12) ranked #48 by KenPom
? Tempo: #232
? Experience: #95
? Continuity: #339
? Iowa State lost last three games, scoring 48.3 ppg.
? Cyclones forces turnovers 24.6% of time (#6)
? Iowa State is 12-0 out of conference (NC SOS #328)
? Cyclones had four top 60 wins, all before Christmas.
? Iowa State?s schedule, to this point: #17
? bench minutes: #252
? LSU (30-3, 20-2) ranked #19 by KenPom
? Tempo: #92
? Experience: #329
? Continuity: #300
? LSU fired its coach already for breaking NCAA rules.
? Tigers are 3-4 in their last seven games.
? LSU is 12-1 outside Big X, losing 77-68 at TCU of Big X.
? Tigers won their first round game in last two tournaments.
? LSU?s schedule, to this point: #28
? bench minutes: #159
Wright State vs Arizona
? Wright State (22-13) ranked #172 by KenPom
? Tempo: #85
? Experience: #262
? Continuity: #68
? Wright State won its last six games.
? Wright State is 4-6 SU outside the Horizon League.
? Raiders are shooting 53.1% inside arc (#57)
? Raiders? two best guys played 40-39 minutes in Wednesday?s win.
? Wright State?s schedule, to this point: #325
? bench minutes: #326
? Last nine years, Horizon teams are 0-9 SU in this round (2-7 ATS)
? Arizona (31-3) ranked #2 by KenPom
? Tempo: #8
? Experience: #355
? Continuity: #191/
? Arizona won six in row, 15 of its last 16 games.
? Wildcats have #10 eFG%, #9 eFG% defense.
? Arizona scored 81+ points in its last six games.
? Wildcats? last tournament was ?18, last win in ?17.
? Arizona?s schedule, to this point: #45
? bench minutes: #89
? Last two years, Pac-12 teams are 7-0 ATS in this round.
? Last four years, underdogs are 9-7 ATS in 1-16 games.
Houston vs UAB
? Houston (29-5) ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #333
? Experience: #92
? Continuity: #321
? Houston won nine of its last ten games.
? Cougars rebound 37.8% of their misses (#3)
? Houston has #3 eFG% defense.
? Last three tournaments, Cougars are 7-3 SU.
? Houston?s schedule, to this point: #93
? bench minutes: #235
? Since 2016, AAC teams are 7-6 ATS in first round.
? UAB (27-7) ranked #46 by KenPom
? Tempo: #81
? Experience: #102
? Continuity: #157
? UAB won its last seven games, including a 3OT win.
? Blazers force turnovers 21.4% of time (#33)
? UAB rebound 33.4% of their misses (#37)
? Blazers are in NCAAs for first time since 2015.
? UAB?s schedule, to this point: #175
? bench minutes: #177
? Last six years, C-USA teams are 5-1 ATS in this round.
? Last five tournaments, underdogs are 12-8 ATS in 5-12 games.
Davidson vs Michigan State
? Davidson (27-6) ranked #41 by KenPom
? Tempo: #304
? Experience: #181
? Continuity: #74
? Davidson won seven of its last nine games.
? Wildcats are #8 team in country on defensive boards.
? Davidson is shooting 38.5% on arc (#8)
? Wildcats are 0-4 in NCAA?s since Steph Curry?s heyday in 2008.
? Davidson?s schedule, to this point: #121
? bench minutes: #301
? Since 2014, A-14 teams are 9-12 ATS in this round.
? Michigan State (22-12) ranked #40 by KenPom
? Tempo: #141
? Experience: #210
? Continuity: #194
? Michigan State is 8-10 in last 18 games, after a 14-2 start.
? Spartans are shooting 37.8% on arc (#18)
? Michigan State is 9-2 out of conference.
? Spartans are 7-2 SU in last nine first round games.
? Michigan State?s schedule, to this point: #11
? bench minutes: #78
? Since 2017, Big 14 teams are 15-12 ATS in this round.
? Last eight years, favorites are 18-13 ATS in 7-10 games.
Colgate vs Wisconsin
? Colgate (23-11) ranked #119 by KenPom
? Tempo: #163
? Experience: #41
? Continuity: #11
? Colgate won its last fifteen games.
? Raiders are 4-9 outside Patriot League.
? Colgate is shooting 40.1% on arc (#2)
? Raiders were in last two tourneys, losing by 17-7 points.
? Colgate?s schedule, to this point: #337
? bench minutes: #310
? Last four years, Patriot League teams are 3-1 ATS in this round.
? Wisconsin (24-7) ranked #34 by KenPom
? Tempo: #208
? Experience: #281
? Continuity: #226
? Wisconsin lost last two games (Nebraska/Michigan St)
? Badgers are #41 team in country on defensive boards.
? Wisconsin is shooting 31.2% on arc (#291)
? Badgers are 6-3 ATS in last nine first round tilts.
? Wisconsin?s schedule, to this point: #19
? bench minutes: #315
? Since 2017, Big 14 teams are 15-12 ATS in this round.
? Last five years, favorites are 11-9 ATS in 3-14 games
TCU vs Seton Hall
? TCU (20-12) ranked #38 by KenPom
? Tempo: #244
? Experience: #279
? Continuity: #308
? TCU is 4-7 in its last eleven games.
? Horned Frogs turn ball over 21.6% of time (#336)
? TCU rebounds 38% of its misses (#1)
? Last 25 years, Horned Frogs are 0-2 in NCAA (?18/?98)
? TCU?s schedule, to this point: #44
? bench minutes: #127
? Last four tournaments, Big X teams are 16-11 ATS in first round.
? Seton Hall (21-10) ranked #35 by KenPom
? Tempo: #162
? Experience: #21
? Continuity: #150
? Seton Hall won six of its last seven games.
? Pirates has #17 eFG% defense in country.
? Seton Hall is shooting 46.2% inside arc (#312)
? Under Willard, Pirates are 1-3 SU in first round games.
? Seton Hall?s schedule, to this point: #33
? bench minutes: #114
? Last four tournaments, Big East teams are 10-11 SU in first round.
? Last four years, underdogs are 9-7 ATS in 8-9 games.