CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2021-2022 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

[Cnotes53]

MARCH MADNESS BIG DANCE AND NIT BEST BETS AND OPINIONS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

03/23/2022................6-2-0............75.00%............+19.00
03/22/2022................7-2-1............75.00%............+24.00
03/21/2022................6-5-0............54.55%..............+2.50
03/20/2022.............19-13-2............59.37%............+23.50
03/19/2022.............13-19-1............40.91%.............-39.50
03/18/2022.............17-14-1.............54.69%.............+8.00
03/17/2022.............16-18-0.............47.06%.............-19.00
03/16/2022.............14-13-1.............51.79%...............-1.50
03/15/2022 ............13-11-0............ 54.17% .............+4.50

TOTALS.................111-97-3..............53.36%............,+49.50
.


BEST BETS

03/23/2022..............6-2-0.................75.00%................+19.00
03/22/2022..............4-3-0.................57.14%................+ 3.50
03/21/2022..............4-4-0.................50.00%.................- 2.00
03/20/2022...........12-10-2................54.54%................+ 5.00
03/19/2022.............8-13-1................38.09%.................-31.50
03/18/2022.............12-8-0................60.00%.................+16.00
03/17/2022............10-11-0...............47.61%.................- 10.50
03/16/2022...............8-6-1................57.14%.................+ 7.00
03/15/2022...............6-5-0................54.54%.................+ 2.50

TOTALS..................66-58-4................53.22%................+ 11.00


UPDATED 03/23/2022

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Thursday?s 6-pack
Conference records (SU/ATS) in this year?s NCAA Tournament:
ACC? 8-2/8-2
Big East? 4-4/5-3
Big 14? 9-7/6-9-1
Big X? 9-3/8-4
Pac-12? 4-1/1-4
SEC? 4-5/2-7

Quote of the Day
?You can use moments during the season to catapult you. You can galvanize together over frustration and disappointment. Teams can also go the other way. I don?t see that with our group. I don?t see that with our locker room. But we have needed a kick in the butt.?
Miami Heat coach Erik Spoelstra

Thursday?s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, which Las Vegas hotel do the four friends stay in?

Wednesday?s quiz
Trae Young played his college basketball at Oklahoma.

Tuesday?s quiz
Matt Ryan played his college football at Boston College.

*****************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??..

13) Next time you?re in Las Vegas, I?m suggesting you have dinner at Maggiano?s, which is in the Fashion Show Mall across the Strip from Wynn and Encore. Excellent Italian place; if you get a seat by the window, you can watch people walk up/down the Strip, which is also fun.

12) Since 2015, #1-seeds in NCAA Tournament are 14-4-1 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

11) Since 2012, double digit favorites are 2-5 ATS in Sweet 16 games

10) Last four years, underdogs are 4-2 ATS when a #2-seed plays a #3-seed in Sweet 16.

9) Since 2000, Duke is 7-8 SU in Sweet 16 games.

8) Teams that win the NCAA Tournament tend to be teams that covered early round games; last time a team won the tournament after going 0-2 ATS in rounds 1-2 was 1997, when Arizona won it all. That is also the last season a Pac-12 team won the championship.

7) Mississippi State hired New Mexico State coach Chris Jans as its new coach; Jans was raking in $640,000 in Las Cruces, now he?ll be making $2.2M, where is he a small fish in a very deep SEC pond, as opposed to being one of the big fish in the shallow WAC pond.

6) Listening to the Braves-Rays game yesterday, Atlanta play-by-play guy Chip Caray has gotten so much better as an announcer; his grandfather Harry Caray was a legend, a total character. Skip Caray had a quirky sense of humor that he used often, but Chip Caray is more basic, and he has become very good behind the mike. Lot of pressure with some famous relatives preceding him.

5) Padres pitching prospect MacKenzie Gore wears number 1; weird seeing a pitcher wearing number one.

4) Kansas City Chiefs traded WR Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins for five draft picks; a first, a second, two fourths and a sixth round pick. Miami then gave Hill $30M a year for four years, as they commit to offense under new coach Mike McDaniel.

Over last three years, WR?s with most TD catches:
69? Davante Adams
60? Mike Evans
56? Tyreek Hill

Hill used to catch passes from Patrick Mahomes; now he?ll catch passes from Tua Tagovailoa, which is a huge downgrade. Miami will be an interesting team next fall.

3) NFL backup QB news:
? Dolphins brought in Teddy Bridgewater to back up Tagovailoa.
? Buffalo brought in Case Keenum to back up Josh Allen,
? Cleveland replaced Keenum with Jacoby Brissett, who figures to get 6+ starts once the NFL gives Watson his inevitable suspension, assuming that they?re going to deal Baker Mayfield..

Saints, Seahawks, Panthers still need a starting QB.

2) I?ve talked before how Major League Baseball has a marketing issue, as in, they suck at marketing their own product, which is a very good one.

I?m on my way out the door of my hotel Wednesday, and while there is a live spring training game on TV, the hotel bar, with three TV?s, has ESPN talk shows on, when you can?t even hear what they?re saying.

Baseball needs to promote itself to restaurant/hotel chains, to show their product to the public.

1) Two weeks to go until baseball season starts; Cubs had 55 players on their roster as of yesterday, which means they need to cut 27 guys pretty soon. Rosters will be 28 until May 1st, then drop to 26 the rest of the way.

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, March 24

NCAAB

Thursday, March 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

No trends to report except for...

Houston @ Arizona
Houston
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 24

Arkansas vs Gonzaga
? Arkansas (27-8) ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #28
? Experience: #70
? Continuity: #291
? Arkansas won eight of its last ten games.
? Razorbacks force turnovers 20.5% of time (#59)
? Arkansas shoots only 30.5% on arc (#314)
? Razorbacks are 13-2 outside the SEC.
? Arkansas schedule, to this point: #42
? bench minutes: #314

? Gonzaga (28-3) ranked #1 by KenPom
? Tempo: #6
? Experience: #260
? Continuity: #220
? Gonzaga won 21 of its last 22 games.
? Zags are shooting 61% inside arc (#1)
? Gonzaga lost 91-82 to SEC?s Alabama, back in December.
? Zags have #1 eFG% defense in country.
? Gonzaga?s schedule, to this point: #102
? bench minutes: #273

? Since 2015, #1-seeds are 14-4-1 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

Michigan vs Villanova
? Michigan (19-14) ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #203
? Experience: #297
? Continuity: #245
? Michigan is 6-5 in its last eleven games.
? Wolverines are shooting 53.3% inside arc (#48)
? You?re reading armadillosports.com
? Last week, Michigan outscored opponents 46-27/42-33 in 2nd half.
? Last four NCAA?s, Wolverines are 12-3 SU.
? Michigan?s schedule, to this point: #4
? bench minutes: #316

? Villanova (28-7) ranked #11 by KenPom
? Tempo: #345
? Experience: #51
? Continuity: #35
? Villanova won seven in row, 12 of last 13 games.
? Wildcats have #66 eFG% defense in country.
? Three Wildcats played more than 25:00 in Friday?s win.
? Under Wright, Villanova is 4-3 SU in Sweet 16 games.
? Villanova?s schedule, to this point: #17
? bench minutes: #318

? Since 2017, #11 or worse seeds are 7-2 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

Texas Tech vs Duke
? Texas Tech (27-9) ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #217
? Experience: #34
? Continuity: #290
? Texas Tech is 5-3 in its last eight games.
? Red Raiders are shooting 55% inside arc (#22)
? Texas Tech are forcing turnovers 23.5% of time (#11)
? Last four years, Red Raiders are 11-3 in NCAA?s.
? Texas Tech?s schedule, to this point: #15
? bench minutes: #58

? Duke (30-6) ranked #10 by KenPom
? Tempo: #167
? Experience: #346
? Continuity: #229
? Duke won 16 of its last 19 games.
? Blue Devils are shooting 56.1% inside arc (#9)
? Duke has #42 eFG% defense in country.
? Since 2000, Duke is 7-8 SU in Sweet 16 games.
? Duke?s schedule, to this point: #64
? bench minutes: #313

? Last four years, underdogs are 4-2 ATS in Sweet 16 tilts between #2-3 seeds.

Houston vs Arizona
? Houston (30-5) ranked #2 by KenPom
? Tempo: #334
? Experience: #86
? Continuity: #322
? Houston won 11 of its last 12 games.
? Last three tournaments, Cougars are 10-3 SU.
? Cougars rebound 37.7% of their misses (#3)
? Houston has #5 eFG% defense.
? Houston?s schedule, to this point: #85
? bench minutes: #270

? Arizona (33-3) ranked #3 by KenPom
? Tempo: #5
? Experience: #355
? Continuity: #193
? Arizona won eight in row, 17 of its last 18 games.
? Wildcats have #9 eFG%, #7 eFG% defense.
? Arizona scored 81+ points in its last eight games.
? Wildcats were held to 73-59-63 points (65 ppg)
? Arizona?s schedule, to this point: #73
? bench minutes: #219

? Since 2015, #1-seeds are 14-4-1 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

 

[Udog]

Arkansas is 14-5-1 ATS in the past 20 games overall.
Arkansas is 9-4-1 ATS in the past 14 vs. winning teams.
Arkansas is 4-0 ATS in the past four as an underdog.
Arkansas is 1-5 ATS in the past six neutral-site games.
Arkansas is 0-4 ATS in the past four NCAA Tournament games.
Gonzaga is 0-4-1 ATS in the past five games overall.
Gonzaga is 0-4 ATS in the past four NCAA Tournament games.
Gonzaga is 0-4-1 ATS in the past five vs. winning teams.
The OVER is 7-1 in the past eight games for Arkansas.
The OVER is 13-5 in the past 18 as an underdog for Arkansas.
The UNDER is 6-2 in the past eight NCAA Tournament games for Arkansas.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven neutral-site games for Gonzaga.


Michigan is 5-2 ATS in the past seven games as an underdog.
Michigan is 9-1-1 ATS in the past 11 neutral-site games as a 'dog.
Michigan is 4-1 ATS in the past five NCAA Tournament games.
Villanova is 5-2 ATS in the past seven neutral-site games.
Villanova is 17-4 ATS in the past 21 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
Villanova is 19-7 ATS in the past 26 NCAA Tournament games.
The OVER is 19-7 in the past 26 games for Michigan.
The OVER is 5-0 in the past five as an underdog for Michigan.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games for Villanova.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five as a favorite for Villanova.
The UNDER is 6-1 in the past seven neutral-site games for Villanova.


Texas Tech is 2-6 ATS in the past eight games overall.
Texas Tech is 2-5 ATS in the past seven as a favorite.
Texas Tech is 17-6 ATS in the past 23 vs. winning teams.
Texas Tech is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 NCAA Tournament games.
Texas Tech is 4-9 ATS in the past 13 neutral-site games.
Duke is 1-5 ATS in the past six games overall.
Duke is 1-4 ATS in the past five vs. winning teams.
Duke is 1-7 ATS in the past eight NCAA Tournament games.
Duke is 6-0 ATS in the past six neutral-site games as an underdog.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games as a favorite for Texas Tech.
The UNDER is 8-3 in the past 11 NCAA Tournament games for Texas Tech.
The UNDER is 8-3 in the past 11 neutral-site games for Texas Tech.
The OVER is 7-1 in the past eight games for Duke.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four games as an underdog for Duke.
The OVER is 6-1 in the past seven neutral-site games for Duke.


Houston is 5-0 ATS in the past five games overall.
Houston is 12-3 ATS in the past 15 as an underdog.
Houston is 25-9 ATS in the past 34 neutral-site games.
Houston is 7-2 ATS in the past nine neutral-site games as an underdog.
Arizona 0-4 ATS in the past four NCAA Tournament games.
Arizona is 4-11 ATS in the past 15 neutral-site games.
Arizona is 3-10 ATS in the past 13 neutral-site games as a favorite.
The UNDER is 6-2-1 in the past nine games for Houston.
The UNDER is 14-6 in the past 20 as a 'dog for Houston.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven neutral-site games for Houston.
The OVER is 7-1 in the past eight games for Arizona.
The OVER is 7-1 in the past eight as a favorite for Arizona.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five neutral-site games for Arizona.
The OVER is 7-0 in the past seven following an ATS loss for Arizona.

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, MARCH 24
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

ARK at GONZ 07:09 PM
ARK +10.0
O 155.0
+500 +500

MICH at VILL 07:29 PM
MICH +5.0
U 134.5
+500 +500

TTU at DUKE 09:39 PM
DUKE -1.0
U 137.5
+500 +500

HOU at ARIZ 09:59 PM
HOU +2.0
O 145.0
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

MARCH MADNESS BIG DANCE AND NIT BEST BETS AND OPINIONS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

03/24/2022................4-4-0............50.00%...............-2.00
03/23/2022................6-2-0............75.00%............+19.00
03/22/2022................7-2-1............75.00%............+24.00
03/21/2022................6-5-0............54.55%..............+2.50
03/20/2022.............19-13-2............59.37%............+23.50
03/19/2022.............13-19-1............40.91%.............-39.50
03/18/2022.............17-14-1.............54.69%.............+8.00
03/17/2022.............16-18-0.............47.06%.............-19.00
03/16/2022.............14-13-1.............51.79%...............-1.50
03/15/2022 ............13-11-0............ 54.17% .............+4.50

TOTALS...............115-101-3..............53.24%............,+47.50
.


BEST BETS

03/24/2022..............2-4-0.................33.33%................-12.00
03/23/2022..............6-2-0.................75.00%................+19.00
03/22/2022..............4-3-0.................57.14%................+ 3.50
03/21/2022..............4-4-0.................50.00%.................- 2.00
03/20/2022...........12-10-2................54.54%................+ 5.00
03/19/2022.............8-13-1................38.09%.................-31.50
03/18/2022.............12-8-0................60.00%.................+16.00
03/17/2022............10-11-0...............47.61%.................- 10.50
03/16/2022...............8-6-1................57.14%.................+ 7.00
03/15/2022...............6-5-0................54.54%.................+ 2.50

TOTALS..................68-62-4................52.30%................- 1.00


UPDATED 03/24/2022

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Friday?s 6-pack
Conference records (SU/ATS) in this year?s NCAA Tournament:
ACC? 9-2/9-2
Big East? 5-4/6-3
Big 14? 9-8/6-10-1
Big X? 9-4/8-5
Pac-12? 4-2/1-5
SEC? 5-5/3-7

Quote of the Day
?We are winning the World Series in 2022?..We will win the World Series this year, put it on record.?
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts

Friday?s quiz
When Ben Simmons played his one season at LSU, one of his teammates is the son of a 3-time Grammy award-winning musician. Who is this musician?

Thursday?s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, the four friends stay in Caeser?s Palace.

Wednesday?s quiz
Trae Young played his college basketball at Oklahoma.

*********************

Friday?s Den: Wrapping up a terrific Thursday

13) Kansas is favored by 7.5 points over Providence Friday night; if the Jayhawks lose, it?ll be the first time EVER (in the 64+-team era) that no #-1 seeds made it to the Elite 8.

Thursday was a rough night for number one seeds.

12) Arkansas 74, Gonzaga 68:
? Razorbacks ended first half on 15-4 run, led 32-29 at halftime.
? Arkansas is 14-2 outside the SEC.
? Gonzaga was 28-4 this season, but 0-2 vs SEC teams (Alabama/Arkansas)

11) Houston 72, Arizona 60:
? Cougars never trailed, were by far the more physical team.
? Arizona shot 33.3% from floor, gave up 1.16 points/possession.
? Houston gave up 68-53-60 points in three NCAA tourney wins.

10) Villanova 63, Michigan 55:
? Villanova has won eight in row, 13 of last 14 games.
? Michigan shot 34.4% from floor, 34.9% inside arc.
? Villanova is in Elite 8 for third time in last six years.

9) Duke 78, Texas Tech 73:
? Free throws: Duke 15-17, Texas Tech 5-9
? Red Raiders led 68-66 with 3:00 left in game.
? Duke is shooting 37% on arc (#29), 56.2% inside arc (#8)

8) NC-Wilmington 96, Middle Tennessee 90, 2OT:
? Seahawks won CBI championship Wednesday afternoon.
? UNCW won four games in four days; title game was day game after a nite game.
? MTSU led by 11 with 12:33 left to play.
? UNCW was 36-43 on foul line, Blue Raiders 34-46.

7) New York City lifted its vaccine mandate this week, meaning Kyrie Irving and any unvaccinated players on the two NYC baseball teams can play in home games.

6) Strange stat of the day: Memphis Grizzlies are 15-2 when star G Ja Morant doesn?t play; that stat will get tested some more, as Morant will miss the next two weeks with a knee problem.

5) Brian Schottenheimer will serve as a consultant to the Dallas Cowboys in 2022, working on both sides of the ball. Dallas coach Mike McCarthy broke into the NFL working for Brian?s dad Marty Schottenheimer with Kansas City back in 1993.

This will be Schottenheimer?s 8th NFL team; he was with Jacksonville LY, was OC in Seattle the three years before that.

4) Los Angeles Angels signed C Max Stassi to a 3-year, $17.5M deal

3) Colorado Rockies traded OF Raimel Tapia and a minor league to Toronto, for OF Randal Grichuk.

2) Was reading about a 12-team fantasy draft, where all the owners were fantasy baseball experts; none of the first 44 guys drafted are on my fantasy team. Cedric Mullins was 45th pick, Kris Bryant 48th. Now, either my team isn?t very good, or those guys aren?t so expert.

1) I?d like to thank the good people at MGM Grand Sportsbook for letting me hang out Thursday night. Was fun watching the ballgames there. This is a really good sportsbook that is well-run, comfortable and around the corner from an excellent pizza place.

 

[Udog]

MIAMI is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games.

ST PETERS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing <=12 turnovers/game after 15+ games in the current season.

PROVIDENCE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game in the current season.

N CAROLINA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games when the line is +3 to -3 in the last 3 seasons.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, March 25

NCAAB

Friday, March 25

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

No trends to report except for...

North Carolina @ UCLA
North Carolina
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing UCLA
North Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing UCLA
UCLA
UCLA is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina
UCLA is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 25

Saint Peter?s vs Purdue (@ Philadelphia)
? Saint Peter?s (21-11) ranked #102 by KenPom
? Tempo: #240
? Experience: #177
? Continuity: #34
? Saint Peter?s won its last nine games.
? Peacocks have #5 eFG% defense in country.
? Saint Peter?s is shooting 46.1% inside arc (#314)
? Peacocks third #15-seed to make it to the Sweet 16.
? Saint Peter?s schedule, to this point: #169
? bench minutes: #17

? Purdue (29-7) ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #236
? Experience: #210
? Continuity: #13
? Purdue is 5-1 in its last six games.
? Boilers are 26-0 when they score 70+ points, 3-7 when they don?t.
? Purdue has #4 eFG% in country.
? Boilers scored 78-81 points in last week?s wins.
? Purdue?s schedule, to this point: #29
? bench minutes: #64

#15-seeds who have gotten this far:
2013? Florida Gulf Coast (+13) lost 62-50 to Florida
2021? Oral Roberts (+11.5) lost 72-70 to Arkansas

Providence vs Kansas (@ Chicago)
? Providence (27-5) ranked #32 by KenPom
? Tempo: #283
? Experience: #7
? Continuity: #124
? Providence is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games.
? Friars beat Texas Tech of Big X 72-68 at home in December.
? Providence has #34 eFG% defense in country.
? Friars allowed 57-51 points in first two tourney wins.
? Providence?s schedule, to this point: #60
? bench minutes: #302

? Kansas (30-6) ranked #5 by KenPom
? Tempo: #64
? Experience: #130
? Continuity: #47
? Kansas won its last seven games.
? Jayhawks are shooting 54.0% inside arc (#37)
? Kansas has #37 eFG% defense.
? Jayhawks are 2-0 vs Big East (95-75 St John?s/79-72 Creighton)
? Kansas schedule, to this point: #4
? bench minutes: #295

? Even after last night, #1-seeds are 14-6-1 ATS in last 21 Sweet 16 games.
? Kansas is last #1-seed left in this year?s tournament.

North Carolina vs UCLA (@ Philadelphia)
? North Carolina (26-9) ranked #22 by KenPom
? Tempo: #32
? Experience: #220
? Continuity: #94
? North Carolina won 14 of its last 17 games.
? Tar Heels shoot 36.5% on arc (#41)
? North Carolina is #2 team in country on defensive boards.
? Tar Heels are 4-5 this season vs top 25 teams.
? North Carolina?s schedule, to this point: #37
? bench minutes: #339

? UCLA (27-7) ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #270
? Experience: #96
? Continuity: #8
? UCLA won 10 of its last 12 games.
? Bruins allowed 53-56 points in first two tourney games.
? UCLA has #72 eFG% defense in country.
? Bruins are 3-3 this season vs top 25 teams.
? UCLA?s schedule, to this point: #39
? bench minutes: #141

? Since 2011, #8-9 seeds are 5-2-1 ATS in Sweet 16 games.
? Two years ago, Carolina beat UCLA 74-64 in Las Vegas.

Iowa State vs Miami (@ Chicago)
? Iowa State (22-12) ranked #38 by KenPom
? Tempo: #237
? Experience: #95
? Continuity: #339
? Iowa State scored 41-59-54 points in last three games.
? Cyclones forces turnovers 24.7% of time (#4)
? Iowa State is 14-0 out of conference (NC SOS #328)
? Cyclones are 10-10 vs top 50 teams.
? Iowa State?s schedule, to this point: #11
? bench minutes: #254

? Miami (25-10) ranked #44 by KenPom
? Tempo: #148
? Experience: #147
? Continuity: #241
? Miami won nine of its last 12 games.
? Hurricanes are shooting 54.9% inside arc (#22)
? Miami is #265 team in country on defensive boards.
? Four of Miami?s last five games were decided by 4 or less points.
? Miami?s schedule, to this point: #49
? bench minutes: #354

? Underdogs are 3-0 ATS in Sweet 16 games between #10/#11 seeds.




Saint Peter?s has covered the spread in five straight games when playing on a neutral court.
Purdue has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 12 games.
Purdue has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last eight games.


Kansas has won 24 straight games when playing on a Friday.
Kansas has scored 75 points or more in 10 of its last 11 NCAA Tournament games.
Kansas has seen 139 or less total points in seven of its last eight games when playing on a neutral court.
Providence has lost 1H in 11 straight games when facing a non-AP-ranked school on a neutral court.


UCLA has won eight straight NCAA Tournament games when facing a lower seed.
UCLA has gone into overtime in two of its last three NCAA Tournament games when facing a Top 8 seed at night.
UNC has seen 147 or more total points in seven of its last eight NCAA Tournament games.
UNC has lost 1H in seven of its last eight games when facing an AP-ranked school at night.
UCLA has allowed 70 points or less in nine straight games when facing a non-AP-ranked school.


Iowa State has won the 1H in seven of its last eight games when playing on a neutral court on a Friday.
Miami has scored 68 points or more in 12 straight games.
Miami has won 16 of its last 18 games when facing a non-AP-ranked school at night.
Miami has seen 134 or more total points in nine straight games.

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, MARCH 25
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

SPC at PUR 07:09 PM
SPC +12.5
O 135.5
+500 +500

PROV at KU 07:29 PM
PROV +7.5
O 141.0
+500 +500

UNC at UCLA 09:39 PM
UNC +2.5
U 142.0
+500 +500

ISU at MIA 09:59 PM
ISU +2.0
O 132.5
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

MARCH MADNESS BIG DANCE AND NIT BEST BETS AND OPINIONS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

03/25/2022................4-4-0............50.00%...............-2.00
03/24/2022................4-4-0............50.00%...............-2.00
03/23/2022................6-2-0............75.00%............+19.00
03/22/2022................7-2-1............75.00%............+24.00
03/21/2022................6-5-0............54.55%..............+2.50
03/20/2022.............19-13-2............59.37%............+23.50
03/19/2022.............13-19-1............40.91%.............-39.50
03/18/2022.............17-14-1.............54.69%.............+8.00
03/17/2022.............16-18-0.............47.06%.............-19.00
03/16/2022.............14-13-1.............51.79%...............-1.50
03/15/2022 ............13-11-0............ 54.17% .............+4.50

TOTALS...............119-105-3..............53.12%............,+45.50
.


BEST BETS

03/25/2022..............4-4-0................50.00%...................-2.00
03/24/2022..............2-4-0.................33.33%................-12.00
03/23/2022..............6-2-0.................75.00%................+19.00
03/22/2022..............4-3-0.................57.14%................+ 3.50
03/21/2022..............4-4-0.................50.00%.................- 2.00
03/20/2022...........12-10-2................54.54%................+ 5.00
03/19/2022.............8-13-1................38.09%.................-31.50
03/18/2022.............12-8-0................60.00%.................+16.00
03/17/2022............10-11-0...............47.61%.................- 10.50
03/16/2022...............8-6-1................57.14%.................+ 7.00
03/15/2022...............6-5-0................54.54%.................+ 2.50

TOTALS..................72-66-4................52.17%................- 3.00


UPDATED 03/25/2022

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Saturday?s 6-pack
Regional finals between #4-seeds and #2-seeds:
1991? #2 Duke (-6.5) 78, St John?s 61
1995? #4 Ohio State (+3.5) 68, UMass 54
1995? #2 Arkansas (-2) 68, Virginia 61
1996? #4 Syracuse (+6) 60, Kansas 57
2006? #4 LSU (+3) 70, Texas 60, OT
2011? #4 Kentucky (-1.5) 76, LSU 69

Quote of the Day
?It eats at you. These guys won 29 games and then you feel awful.?
Purdue coach Matt Painter

Saturday?s quiz
When was last time North Carolina was in a Final Four?

Friday?s quiz
When Ben Simmons played his one season at LSU, one of his teammates was the son of a 3-time Grammy award-winning musician? Bruce Hornsby.

Thursday?s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, the four friends stay in Caeser?s Palace.

*******************

Saturday?s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday

13) Saint Peter?s 67, Purdue 64:
? February 20: Saint Peter?s lost 84-70 at Siena; they were 12-11 overall, 10-6 in MAAC. Since then, they?re 10-0, the first 15-seed EVER to make the Elite 8.
? Peacocks held Purdue star Jaden Ivey to nine points.
? March 25 is National Peacock Day (seriously).

12) Kansas 66, Providence 61:
? Kansas was 20-26 on foul line, Friars 11-16.
? Teams combined to go 6-37 on the arc.
? Kansas is only #1-seed left in the tournament.

11) If you?re in New Jersey and you wagered on North Carolina to win the East Region, you?ve already won; New Jersey sports books can?t take bets on Saint Peter?s.

10) North Carolina 71, UCLA 66:
? Caleb Love scored 30 points, was 6-13 on arc.
? Tar Heels played four starters 37:00+.
? UCLA stars Juzang/Jaquez shot combined 10-31 from floor.

9) Miami 70, Iowa State 56:
? Hurricanes shot 56.7% inside arc; they?re in Elite 8 for first time.
? Cyclones were 4-22 on arc, 2-4 on foul line.
? Miami played all five starters 34:00+.

8) Elite 8 by conference:
1 each? AAC, Big East, Big X, MAAC, SEC.

7) Coaching carousel:
? Steve Prohm returns to Murray State (he was 104-29 there from 2012-15)
? Ball State hired UCLA assistant Michael Lewis
? UMass hired former K-State/South Carolina coach Frank Martin.

6) They?re not calling as many fouls in the tournament as they do during the season; the phrase ?play thru contact? is very important.

In practices, teams do drills where coaches disrupt players with foam pads while they shoot close to the basket, just for this reason. This is partly why teams with older players are doing better; they?re more physically mature, play thru contact better.

5) Tampa Bay Rays acquired OF Harold Ramirez from the Cubs, in exchange for a minor league infielder. Ramirez is a .271 hitter over parts of three seasons with Miami and Cleveland.

4) Dodgers gave manager Dave Roberts a 3-year contract extension; he has a 542-329 over the last six years, best in majors during that time.

3) If you have HBO Max, I recommend watching the old TV series Without a Trace; great show about the FBI division assigned to find people who go missing, for various reasons. Anthony LaPaglia was terrific as Jack Malone, head of the unit.

2) The Price Is Right has been on TV for 50 years? Damn, I?m old; remember watching that as a kid; Price is Right at 3:00, Match Game at 3:30, every weekday.

1) Cleveland Browns ran a classic news dump Friday, doing the Deshaun Watson introductory press conference on Friday of the Sweet 16?s, when most sports fans are distracted by other stuff. When you introduce your new star player and his most consequential sentence is ?I am innocent? that?s probably not a good thing.

 

[Udog]

PORTLAND is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the current season.

HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games in the current season.

DUKE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts in the last 3 seasons.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, March 26

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 26

Houston vs Villanova
? Houston (32-5) ranked #2 by KenPom
? Tempo: #338
? Experience: #87
? Continuity: #322
? Houston won 12 of its last 13 games.
? Last three tournaments, Cougars are 11-3 SU.
? Cougars rebound 37.7% of their misses (#3)
? Houston has #3 eFG% defense.
? Houston?s schedule, to this point: #78
? bench minutes: #271

? Villanova (29-7) ranked #10 by KenPom
? Tempo: #345
? Experience: #50
? Continuity: #35
? Villanova won eight in row, 13 of last 14 games.
? Wildcats have #57 eFG% defense in country.
? Four Wildcats played 35:00+ in Thursday?s win.
? Under Wright, Villanova is 3-1 SU in Elite 8 games.
? Villanova?s schedule, to this point: #14
? bench minutes: #320

?There have been four regional finals between #2-#5-seeds:
1996- #5 Mississippi State (+4.5) 73, Cincinnati 63
2005- #5 Michigan State (+1) 94, Kentucky 88, 2OT
2010- #5 Butler (+4) 63, Kansas State 56
2019- #5 Auburn (+4.5) 77, Kentucky 71

Arkansas vs Duke
? Arkansas (28-8) ranked #16 by KenPom
? Tempo: #28
? Experience: #70
? Continuity: #292
? Arkansas won nine of its last eleven games.
? Razorbacks force turnovers 20.5% of time (#59)
? Arkansas shoots only 30.4% on arc (#316)
? Razorbacks are 14-2 outside the SEC.
? Arkansas played four starters 33:00+ in Thursday?s win.
? Arkansas schedule, to this point: #37
? bench minutes: #323

? Duke (31-6) ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #167
? Experience: #347
? Continuity: #229
? Duke won 17 of its last 20 games.
? Blue Devils are shooting 56.2% inside arc (#8)
? Duke has #47 eFG% defense in country.
? Since 1998, Duke is 5-4 SU in Elite 8 games.
? Blue Devils played four starters 34:00+ in Thursday?s win.
? Duke?s schedule, to this point: #57
? bench minutes: #314

? Underdogs are 4-2 ATS in regional finals between #2-#4 seeds.

Portland @ Southern Utah
? Portland (19-14) ranked #175 by KenPom
? Tempo: #67
? Experience: #352
? Continuity: #346
? Portland has played one game since March 5th.
? Pilots are 1-11 vs top 200 teams.
? Portland won seven of its last nine D-I games.
? Pilots lost two of three games vs Big Sky teams this year.
? Portland?s schedule, to this point: #196
? bench minutes: #319

? Southern Utah (22-11) ranked #161 by KenPom
? Tempo: #102
? Experience: #6
? Continuity: #7
? Southern Utah won six of its last eight games.
? Thunderbirds are shooting 53.9% inside arc (#37)
? Southern Utah has #252 eFG% defense in country.
? Thunderbirds are #16 team in country on defensive boards.
? Southern Utah?s schedule, to this point: #287
? bench minutes: #196

? Portland coach Shantay Legans went 7-3 against Southern Utah when he was head coach at Eastern Washington, 2-0 in Big Sky tournament games.




NCAAB

Saturday, March 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

No trends to report except for...

Portland @ Southern Utah
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
Portland is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Southern Utah
Southern Utah is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
Southern Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Arkansas has allowed 73 points or less in 17 of its last 19 games when playing on a neutral court at night.
Duke has won 12 of its last 13 games when playing on a neutral court.
Duke has won the 1H in 31 of its last 39 games.
Duke has seen 149 or more total points in seven of its last eight games when playing on a neutral court.

 

[Udog]

Houston has scored 66 points or more in 22 of its last 23 games when playing at night.
Houston has won 1H in 25 of its last 27 games.
Villanova has seen 123 total points or less in six straight games when playing on a neutral court at night.
Villanova has won 11 straight NCAA Tournament games when facing a lower seed.

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, MARCH 26
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

PORT at SUU 06:00 PM
PORT +4.0
U 155.0
+500 +500

HOU at VILL 06:09 PM
HOU -2.5
U 128.0
+500 +500

ARK at DUKE 08:49 PM
ARK +3.5
U 147.5
+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

MARCH MADNESS BIG DANCE AND NIT BEST BETS AND OPINIONS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

03/26/2022................3-3-0............50.00%...............-1.50
03/25/2022................4-4-0............50.00%...............-2.00
03/24/2022................4-4-0............50.00%...............-2.00
03/23/2022................6-2-0............75.00%............+19.00
03/22/2022................7-2-1............75.00%............+24.00
03/21/2022................6-5-0............54.55%..............+2.50
03/20/2022.............19-13-2............59.37%............+23.50
03/19/2022.............13-19-1............40.91%.............-39.50
03/18/2022.............17-14-1.............54.69%.............+8.00
03/17/2022.............16-18-0.............47.06%.............-19.00
03/16/2022.............14-13-1.............51.79%...............-1.50
03/15/2022 ............13-11-0............ 54.17% .............+4.50

TOTALS...............122-108-3..............53.04%............,+44.00
.


BEST BETS

03/26/2022..............3-3-0................50.00%..................-1.50
03/25/2022..............4-4-0................50.00%...................-2.00
03/24/2022..............2-4-0.................33.33%................-12.00
03/23/2022..............6-2-0.................75.00%................+19.00
03/22/2022..............4-3-0.................57.14%................+ 3.50
03/21/2022..............4-4-0.................50.00%.................- 2.00
03/20/2022...........12-10-2................54.54%................+ 5.00
03/19/2022.............8-13-1................38.09%.................-31.50
03/18/2022.............12-8-0................60.00%.................+16.00
03/17/2022............10-11-0...............47.61%.................- 10.50
03/16/2022...............8-6-1................57.14%.................+ 7.00
03/15/2022...............6-5-0................54.54%.................+ 2.50

TOTALS..................75-69-4................52.08%................- 4.50


UPDATED 03/26/2022

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Sunday?s 6-pack
Six pitchers who are still free agents:
? Chris Archer
? Jake Arrieta
? Mike Fiers
? Tommy Milone
? Ervin Santana
? Jos? Ure?a

Quote of the Day
?We have more people cashing tickets on Saint Peter?s moneyline than I think are enrolled in the school.?
Derek Stevens, owner of the Circa Casino

Sunday?s quiz
Which two teams played in the NFL?s first-ever regular season overtime game?

Saturday?s quiz
North Carolina was last in a Final Four in 2017.

Friday?s quiz
When Ben Simmons played his one season at LSU, one of his teammates was the son of a 3-time Grammy award-winning musician? Bruce Hornsby.

****************************

Sunday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Villanova 50, Houston 44:
? Houston shot 1-20 on the arc.
? Foul line: Villanova 15-15, Cougars 9-14
? When you score 0.86 points/possession and still win, that?s an ugly game.
? Villanova G Moore suffered a lower leg injury late in this game; it didn?t look good.

12) Duke 78, Arkansas 69:
? Duke shot 58.1% inside the arc.
? Only six Blue Devils played more than 5:00.
? Arkansas gave up 62.3 ppg in first three tourney games, 78 in this one.

11) ACC didn?t have a great regular season, but their teams are 12-2 in the NCAA?s, with three of the last six teams still standing.

10) This season, only three of the twelve top 3 seeds made the Elite 8; contrast that to 2007, when seven of the eight top 2 seeds got to the Elite 8.

The top tier of teams isn?t as good this season.

9) Charlie Moore is the point guard for Miami Hurricanes; here is his career path:
2017? Cal Bears
2019? Kansas
2020-21? DePaul
2022? Miami
Five years, four schools. Interesting career.

8) Memphis Tigers were notified of multiple violations by the NCAA, including getting rid of evidence the NCAA wanted to look over during their investigation. Not good.

7) Grizzlies 127, Bucks 102? Weird stat: Memphis is 17-2 when Ja Morant doesn?t play.

6) Raptors 131, Pacers 91? Game was delayed for over an hour in second quarter, when a speaker in the arena caught fire. When the game resumed, the fans who were escorted out of the arena weren?t allowed back in. Luckily, no one was hurt.

5) Free agent WR Jarvis Landry isn?t getting the contract offers he thought he would; he?s fired his agent and hired a new one. We?ll see how much that helps.

4) New Jersey Jets signed K Greg Zuerlein, who has kicked for Rams/Cowboys. He made a 56-yard FG in OT to put the Rams into the Super Bowl three years ago.

3) Had the Red Sox-Tampa Bay game on TV in my motel room Saturday, and Boston TV guy Dave O?Brien was whining about pace of play in the first two innings. No bueno.

You get paid six figures to broadcast baseball; if you don?t like it, quit. 1,000 or so people will quickly apply to take your place. Promote the game, that?s part of the job.

2) In 2006, George Mason made the Final Four as a #11-seed; their coach? Jim Larranaga

Sunday, Larranaga?s Miami Hurricanes try to make the Final Four as a #10-seed.

1) Apparently Shaheen Holloway is making $266,000 to coach Saint Peter?s this year; once he signs with Seton Hall, after this great run he?s led the Peacocks on, he?ll be adding a zero at the end of that salary.

 

[Udog]

MIAMI is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.

ST PETERS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in March games in the current season.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, March 27

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 27

Saint Peter?s vs North Carolina (@ Philadelphia)
? Saint Peter?s (22-11) ranked #99 by KenPom
? Tempo: #242
? Experience: #177
? Continuity: #34
? Saint Peter?s won its last ten games.
? Peacocks have #7 eFG% defense in country.
? Saint Peter?s is shooting 46.1% inside arc (#314)
? Peacocks are first #15-seed to make it to the Elite 8.
? Saint Peter?s is 3-1 this season vs top 50 teams.
? Saint Peter?s schedule, to this point: #169
? bench minutes: #17
? Peacocks played ten players 8:00+ in Thursday?s win.

? North Carolina (27-9) ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #36
? Experience: #217
? Continuity: #95
? North Carolina won 15 of its last 18 games.
? Tar Heels shoot 36.3% on arc (#45)
? North Carolina is #2 team in country on defensive boards.
? Tar Heels are 15-1 this season vs teams outside top 75.
? North Carolina?s schedule, to this point: #24
? bench minutes: #343

? #8-seeds are 5-1 ATS in Elite 8 games.

Miami vs Kansas (@ Chicago)
? Miami (26-10) ranked #35 by KenPom
? Tempo: #139
? Experience: #147
? Continuity: #241
? Miami won 10 of its last 13 games.
? Hurricanes are shooting 55% inside arc (#22)
? Miami is #271 team in country on defensive boards.
? Miami allowed 61 ppg in its three tourney wins.
? Miami?s schedule, to this point: #43
? bench minutes: #354
? Hurricanes played all five starters 34:00 in Friday?s win.

? Kansas (31-6) ranked #5 by KenPom
? Tempo: #63
? Experience: #130
? Continuity: #46
? Kansas won its last eight games.
? Jayhawks are shooting 53.8% inside arc (#39)
? Kansas has #29 eFG% defense.
? Jayhawks are 14-2 outside Big X this season
? Kansas schedule, to this point: #4
? bench minutes: #297

? Since 2003, #1-seeds are 20-30 ATS in regional finals.
? #10-seeds are 6-2 ATS in regional finals.

 

[Udog]

Miami-Florida has seen 140 or more total points in seven straight games when playing on a neutral court during the daytime.
Kansas has won 20 of its last 21 games when facing a non-AP-ranked opponent.
Kansas has won 1H in 10 straight games when playing on a neutral court.


Saint Peter's has won 11 of its last 12 games.
Saint Peter's has covered the spread in six straight games when playing on a neutral court.
UNC has covered the spread in three straight games.
UNC has gone UNDER the point total in three of its last four games after winning the game prior.

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, MARCH 27
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

MIA at KU 02:20 PM
KU -6.0
U 147.0
+500 +500

SPC at UNC 05:05 PM
SPC +7.5
O 137.5
+500 +500