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[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 10 college football spreads:
— Georgia (-2.5) @ Ole Miss
— Michigan @ Indiana (-14)
— Iowa State (-3) @ Kansas
— Clemson (-6.5) @ Virginia Tech
— Alabama (-2.5) @ LSU
— BYU (-4) @ Utah

Quote of the Day
“What’s important for all the Oklahoma State fans to know is that we’re very aware of what’s going on, and at some point in life, we all have to put trust into somebody. And I think they need to trust that we have a good plan for what’s going on here in the big picture, and we have answers. Sometimes they’re not short term. Sometimes they might be long-term answers.”
Oklahoma State football coach Mike Gundy; his team is 3-6, 0-6 in Big X games

Tuesday’s quiz
In The Hangover movies, what well-known actor played Alan’s father?

Monday’s quiz
Matt Moore was the Miami Dolphins’ QB, last time they won a game in Buffalo, which was way back in 2016. Adam Gase was Miami’s coach.

Sunday’s quiz
Gerrit Cole broke into the major leagues with the Pittsburgh Pirates, in 2013.

***********************************

Tuesday’s Den: The first night of college basketball and other things……..​

College basketball started Monday with an avalanche of games; no one and I emphasize NO ONE knows very much right now, and that includes the coaches, so I’ll watch a ton of games and we’ll gradually learn stuff.
There are six D-I teams with no returning players from last year, none. Players transfer at an alarming rate, so the pre-Christmas games are used to figure things out. We’ll be watching a boatload of games as we gather knowledge. November used to be a fun time to pick games; the more experienced teams cleaned up. It ain’t so easy anymore.

There are 364 Division I teams now; the Final Four is in San Antonio this year. Here are some notes from the first night of the road to the Alamo.

— FS1 did an unusual thing and cut in/out of all the Big East teams playing Monday; none of them were playing anyone good, but all the teams got some TV exposure.
Big East teams went 8-0, but four of the wins were by 7 or less points. It takes teams time to develop chemistry and you really can’t measure how that happens.

— Gonzaga 101, Baylor 63- Zags bamboozled Baylor; they made 13-31 on the arc- they looked so good they’re overrated now. Baylor was 3-21 on the arc; they beat Gonzaga in the national title game four years ago. This game was their comeuppance for that.

— Ohio State 80, Texas 72- High-level game in Las Vegas; Buckeyes made 14-28 on the arc, Texas was 7-28. Ohio State’s subs outscored the Texas bench, 33-10.

— MAC/Sun Belt Challenge
Sun Belt teams were all home; they went 8-4 in these games, with favorites going 7-5 ATS.

— Oklahoma State 89, Green Bay 76— Doug Gottlieb played his college ball at Oklahoma State, then became a TV/radio personality. Now he’s coaching Green Bay and his first game with the Phoenix was in his old college arena.
74-possession game, fast pace. Both teams shot over 45% on the arc.
— They had a tripleheader of games at Sanford Pentagon in Sioux Falls, South Dakota:

Santa Clara 85, Saint Louis 78
Billikens’ best player, Robbie Avila, hurt his ankle, played only 29:00.
Both teams took more 3-point shots than 2-point shots.

Charleston 90, Southern Illinois 80
Chris Mack’s Cougars shot 62.9% inside the arc.
SIU was +8 in turnovers, but shot only 5-21 on the arc.

South Dakota State 80, McNeese State 73
Jackrabbits were a 10-point underdog in their home state.
Game was 33-33 at halftime.
McNeese started five seniors; this will hurt their seeding in March, assuming they win the Southland title.
Lot of information to go thru; we’ll do some more tomorrow.

Famous birthdays, November 5th:
Kellen Winslow, 67
Lloyd Moseby, 65
Tatum O’Neal, 61
Famke Janssen, 60
Todd Collins, 53
Johnny Damon, 51
Jerry Stackhouse, 50
Jason Kelce, 37
Jon Gray, 33
Odell Beckham, 32

— Chiefs 30, Buccaneers 24 OT
Kansas City converted 12-18 third down plays.
Chiefs ran 83 plays for 384 yards, Bucs 52 for 284.
TE Kelce caught 14 passes for 100 yards.
Chiefs are 8-0, but they’re 4-3-1 against the spread.
Tampa Bay lost for fourth time in last five games.
Bucs drove 81 yards, forced OT on a TD with 0:27 left.
Tampa Bay’s last six games went over the total.
Bucs are 9-2 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.

— NFC teams are 25-20 against AFC teams this season.

— New Orleans Saints fired coach Dennis Allen Monday; Saints lost their last seven games, after winning 47-10/44-19 in Weeks 1-2. Losing to Carolina gets you fired.
Allen was 18-25 in 2.5 years with the Saints; teen years ago, when the Raiders fired him after an 0-4 start, Derek Carr was the QB for that team, too.

— Las Vegas Raiders fired OC Luke Getsy and two other assistant coaches; Raiders have lost five games in a row, using three different QB’s. They also fired their offensive line coach and their QB coach. Getsy was in his first year with Las Vegas; not a lot of patience there.

— Cowboys QB Dak Prescott has a hamstring injury that is said to be worse than first feared; he is expected to miss multiple games, maybe even go on IR, which would mean missing 4+ games. Dallas is 3-5 and coach Mike McCarthy’s job is in jeopardy.

— NFL flexed the Jets-Colts game off of Sunday night in Week 11, replacing it with Bengals-Chargers. Good news for Jets fans; it’ll be lot warmer for the 1:00 game than a night game.

— Bears, Steelers are only two NFL teams that hasn’t played a divisional game yet.

— We mentioned yesterday that Detroit played its first seven games indoors, before they won in Green Bay Sunday. Last NFL team to play their first seven games indoors? The 1998 Saints, coached by Mike Ditka. Saints were 4-3 in the indoor games, but wound up with a 6-10 record.

— Tennessee Titans (16-1) scored the first touchdown Sunday; yes, you can bet on that.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Tuesday, November 5

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Tuesday’s games
Bowling Green (-14) @ Central Michigan
Bowling Green (4-4, 3-1)
Falcons are 2-0 on MAC road (27-20 @ Akron/41-26 @ Toledo)
Bowling Green is 4-2 if it scores 27+ points, 0-2 if it doesn’t.
Falcons have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Falcons have 123 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bazelak has 40 career starts.


Bowling Green is 7-3 ATS last 10 games as a road favorite.
Falcons are 1-4 ATS as a favorite this season.
Under Loeffler, Falcons are 16-25 ATS in MAC games.
BG won last two weeks 27-6/41-20 (+5 in turnovers)
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.


Central Michigan (3-5, 1-3)
CMU lost its last three games, by 2-4-39 points.
Chippewas allowed 30+ points in 5 of 7 I-A games.
Chippewas have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Chippewas have 73 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Labas was at Iowa the last two years.


Under McElwain, CMU is 6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Four of their last five games TY were decided by 4 or fewer points.
Chippewas are 4-16 ATS in last 20 MAC games.
Last two weeks, CMU gave up 450-518 total yards.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.


Bowling Green won three of last four meetings.
This is first time since 2004 that BG is favored over the Chippewas.
Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
MAC home underdogs are 8-4 ATS in conference games.


Miami OH (-11.5) @ Ball State
Miami (4-4, 3-1)
Redhawks won last three games, scoring 38-30-46 points.
Miami is 0-4 when it scores fewer than 23 points.
Redhawks have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Miami has 100 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gabbert has 37 career starts.


Miami is 5-2 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
Redhawks are 10-2 ATS in last 12 MAC games.
Favorites are 6-2 ATS in their games this season.
Miami held its last two opponents to 291-168 total yards.
Over is 4-0 in Miami’s MAC games.


Ball State (3-5, 2-2)
Ball State’s MAC losses: 37-34 at CMU, 45-42 to Western Michigan,.
Four of their last six games were decided by 3 or less points.
Cardinals have 8 starters back on offense, only one on defense.
Cardinals have 81 returning starts on offensive line.
Freshman QB Lemonza started three games last year.


Ball State is 5-1 ATS last six games as a home underdog (2-0 TY).
Four of their last six games TY were decided by 4 or fewer points.
Cardinals are 14-6 ATS in last 20 MAC games.
Ball State allowed 420+ TY in six of seven I-A games.
Over is 7-1 in their I-A games this year.


Miami won seven of last eight series games.
Last two years, Miami nipped Ball State, 17-15/18-17.
Redhawks are 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Muncie.
MAC home underdogs are 8-4 ATS in conference games.

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 5​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
BGSU at CMU	07:30 PM	CMU +14.0 U 48.0	+500 +500
M-OH at BALL	08:00 PM	BALL +12.0 O 48.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAFB BEST BETS NOVEMBER !

11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%....................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%...................- 22.50

TOTALS.........................13 - 16 - 0...................44.82%..................- 23.00

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
— Arizona State 55, Idaho State 48- ASU survived shooting 30.8% from floor.
— San Francisco 86, Cal Poly 78- Mustangs lost, but they’re a much-improved team.
— Rice 77, FIU 70- Owls shot 64.3% inside the arc.
— North Texas 80, Evansville 63- UNT out-rebounded the Aces, 39-22.
— Washington 79, Cal-Davis 73- Huskies survived shooting 21-38 on foul line.
— Kansas State 89, New Orleans 65- N’Guessan had 21 points, 15 rebounds.

Quote of the Day
“Maybe I could have not let my emotions show quite as much, but it’s also something that I’ve tried to do more and I know people in the locker room have wanted me to do a little more, whether good or bad. But I can’t show my emotion positively and then when things don’t go well, not let that be known as well.”
Bengals QB Joe Burrow

Wednesday’s quiz
Which president’s picture is on the $2 bill?

Tuesday’s quiz
In The Hangover movies, Jeffrey Tambor played Alan’s father.

Monday’s quiz
Matt Moore was the Miami Dolphins’ QB, last time they won a game in Buffalo, which was way back in 2016. Adam Gase was Miami’s coach.

*******************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Early season NBA trends……..​

NBA trends (thru Tuesday, November 5)

Hawks (3-5):
— 1-5 SU in their last six games.
— 0-3 ATS as an underdog.
— Over 7-1

Celtics (7-1):
— won last three games, by 15-10-30 points.
— 2-0 ATS as a home favorite, 3-3 as road favorite.
— under 3-1-1 last five games.

Nets (4-4):
— won three of their last four games SU.
— 5-1 ATS last six games.
— 5-1 ATS as an underdog.
— under 3-1 last four games

Hornets (2-5):
— lost five of last six games SU; 1-4 ATS last five.
— 1-3 ATS at home.
— under 3-1-1 last five games.

Bulls (3-4)
— lost last two games, by 8-9 points.
— allowed 120+ points in three of last four games.
— over 5-2

Cavaliers (8-0):
— 8-0 SU/7-1 ATS this season.
— 5-1 ATS as a favorite, 2-0 as underdog.
— over 3-1 last four games.

Mavericks (4-3):
— lost two of last three games, all at home.
— 2-4 ATS as a favorite.
— under 4-2 last six games.

Nuggets (4-3):
— 4-1 SU last five games.
— 1-5 ATS as a favorite, 1-0 as an underdog.
— over 5-0 last five games.

Pistons (3-5):
— won three of last four games SU.
— 3-1 ATS as road underdogs, 2-2 as a home dog.
— under 6-2

Warriors (6-1):
— won last four games SU, scoring 120 ppg.
— 4-0 ATS on the road.
— 2-0 ATS as an underdog.
— over 3-1 last four games

Rockets (4-3):
— won three of last four games SU
— 2-3 ATS as a favorite, 2-0 as an underdog.
— under 5-2

Pacers (3-4):
— 1-5 SU if they score less than 134 points.
— 1-2 ATS as a favorite, 3-1 ATS as an underdog.
— over 5-0 last five games.

Clippers (3-4):
— lost three of last four games
— 2-3 ATS at home, 2-0 on road.
— over 3-2 at home, under 2-0 on road.

Lakers (4-3):
— lost three of last four games SU
— 3-0 ATS at home, 1-3 ATS on road.
— over 4-2 last six games.

Grizzlies (4-4):
— 2-3 ATS last five games.
— 1-4 ATS as a favorite.
— under 3-1 last four games

Famous birthdays, November 6th:
Sally Field, 78
Charlie Criss, 76
Gerald Riggs, 64
Ethan Hawke, 54
Lamar Odom, 45
Luke Jackson, 43
James Paxton, 36
Alejandro Kirk, 26

Heat (3-3):
— 1-3 SU at home, 2-0 on road.
— road team covered all six of their games.
— under 4-1 last five games.

Bucks (1-6):
— lost last six games, last two by 1-2 points.
— 1-4 ATS as a favorite.
— under 4-1 last five games.

Timberwolves (4-3)
— won four of last six games SU.
— 2-5 ATS, all as a favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games.

Pelicans (3-5):
— lost five of last six games SU
— 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS on the road.
— over 4-2 last six games.

Knicks (3-3):
— 0-3 SU if they score less than 116 points.
— 3-2 ATS as a favorite.
— under 2-0 at home, over 3-1 on road.

Thunder (7-0):
— 7-0 SU/6-1 ATS this season.
— 4-0 ATS on road, 2-1 at home.
— under 5-2

Magic (3-5):
— lost last four games, last three by 11-23-16 points.
— 1-4 ATS as road underdog.
— under 3-1 last four games.

76ers (1-5):
— lost last three games, by 10-17-2 points.
— 0-3 ATS as favorite, 2-1 as underdog.
— over 5-1

Suns (6-1):
— won their last five games SU
— last four wins were all by 6 or fewer points.
— under 3-1 at home, 3-0 on road

Trailblazers (3-5):
— split last six games SU, after an 0-2 start.
— 3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— under 4-1 last five games

Kings (4-3):
— 4-1 SU/ATS in last five games.
— 3-1 ATS as a favorite.
— over 4-3

Spurs (3-4):
— 2-3 SU in last five games
— 1-0 ATS as favorite, 3-3 as an underdog.
— under 2-1 on road (2-2 at home)

Raptors (2-6):
— 1-5 SU in last six games.
— 7-1 ATS, all as an underdog.
— over 7-1

Jazz (1-6):
— lost six of seven games SU
— 1-3 ATS as home underdog, 2-1 as road dog.
— under 3-1 home games.

Wizards (2-4):
— all four of their losses were by 13+ points.
— 1-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— over 4-1 last five games.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Wednesday, November 6

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Wednesday’s games
Ohio U (-18.5) @ Kent State
Ohio U (5-3, 3-1)
Bobcats allowed 30-38-41 points in losses, 25 or fewer points in wins.
Ohio U is 3-1 in MAC, with wins by 20-2-31 points.
Bobcats have 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Bobcats have 57 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Navarro has thrown for 1,217 yards (7 TD’s, 7 INTs)


Under Albin, Ohio U is 5-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Albin, Ohio U is 11-9 ATS as a favorite.
Under Albin, Bobcats are 19-10 ATS in MAC games.
Ohio is 5-3 SU, despite being minus-7 in turnovers.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.


Kent State (0-8, 0-4)
Kent is 0-4 SU/2-2 ATS in MAC, losing by 19-2-21-31 points.
Flashes are minus-11 in turnovers in its MAC games.
Flashes have 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Flashes have 75 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Ulatowski started three games last year.


Under Burns, Kent is 2-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Kent is averaging 23.8 ppg in their MAC games.
Flashes are 5-14-1 ATS in last 20 MAC games.
Kent gave up 400+ total yards in every game this year.
Over is 5-2 in their I-A games.


Ohio U won seven of last nine meetings.
Bobcats won/covered three of last four visits to Kent State.
Under is 11-4 in last fifteen series games.


Northern Illinois (-2) @ Western Michigan
Northern Illinois (4-4, 1-3)
NIU is 1-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Huskies are 0-3 if they allow more than 20 points.
Huskies have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Huskies have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Hampton has thrown for 1,100 yards (9 TD’s, 5 INTs)


Under Hammock, Huskies are 6-21-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Hammock, NIU is 2-7 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Hammock, NIU is 19-24 ATS in MAC games.
Underdogs are 6-0-1 ATS in their I-A games.
Under is 4-2-1 in their I-A games.


Western Michigan (5-3, 4-0)
WMU is 4-0 SU/2-1-1 ATS in MAC, scoring 44.8 points/game.
Broncos were held to 14-0-20 points in their losses.
Flashes have 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Flashes have 75 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Ulatowski started three games last year.


Under Taylor, WMU is 5-2 ATS in MAC home games.
Last two games, Broncos ran ball for 209/358 yards.
WMU allowed 309+ passing yards in three of last four games.
Last four games, WMU is +9 in turnovers.
Over is 4-0 in their MAC conference games.


Last two years, NIU beat Western Michigan 24-0/24-21
Huskies are 1-3 SU/3-1 ATS in last four visits to Kalamazoo.
Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 6​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
NIU at WMU	07:00 PM	WMU +2.0 O 51.5	+500 +500
OHIO at KENT	07:00 PM	OHIO -20.0 U 52.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAFB BEST BETS NOVEMBER !

11/06/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%....................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%...................- 22.50

TOTALS.........................16 - 17 - 0...................48.48%..................- 13.50

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Thursday, November 7

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Thursday’s games
Appalachian State (-1.5) @ Coastal Carolina
Appalachian State (4-4, 2-3)
App State won last two games, scoring 33-28 points.
App State is 4-0 giving up 26 or less points, 0-4 giving up 34+ points.
App State has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
App State has 15 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Aguilar started 13 games last year.


App State is 1-3 SU on road (won 21-19 at East Carolina)
Under Clark, App State is 4-11-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Clark, App State is 13-28-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Clark, App State is 15-23-1 ATS in Sun Belt games.
App State is 6-4-1 ATS last 11 games coming off a win.


Coastal Carolina (4-4, 1-3)
Coastal lost last three games, giving up 39-34-38 points.
Chanticleers are 0-4 scoring less than 28 points.
Coastal has 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Coastal has 40 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Vasko started four games LY.


Chanticleers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games.
Coastal is 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
Coastal allowed 200+ rushing yards in four of last five games.
Under Beck, Coastal is 6-6 ATS in conference games.
Over is 5-2 in their I-A games.


Chanticleers won three of last four series games.
App State lost 35-28/34-23 in last two visits to Coastal.
Last three meetings stayed under the total.


Florida Atlantic @ East Carolina (-7.5)
Florida Atlantic (2-6, 0-4)
FAU lost last four I-A games, giving up 48-41-38-44 points.
Owls’ only I-A win: 38-20 over Florida International.
FAU has 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Owls have only 22 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Fancher started 17 games at Marshall.


Last four I-A games, FAU gave up 509 yards/game.
Under Herman, FAU is 4-3 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Herman is 9-5 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Herman, Owls are 4-7-1 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Herman is 26-37-2 ATS in conference games.
Over is 5-0 in their last five I-A games.


East Carolina (4-4, 2-2)
ECU gave up 55-45-34 points in last three games.
Pirates are 1-3 when they score fewer than 30 points.
ECU has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Pirates have 61 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Garcia played in 9 games for Miami.


Last six games, ECU gave up 405+ yards in every game.
Under coach Houston, FAU is 8-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Houston, Pirates are 24-21 ATS in conference games.
ECU is 4-1 when it allows less than 35 points.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.


East Carolina won last two meetings, 22-7/31-13.

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 7​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
APP at CCU	08:00 PM	APP -1.5 O 62.5	+500 +500
FAU at ECU	08:00 PM	ECU -8.0 U 59.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAFB BEST BETS NOVEMBER !

11/07/2024.......................1 - 3 - 0..................25.00%...................- 11.50
11/06/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%....................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%...................- 22.50

TOTALS.........................17 - 20 - 0...................45.94%..................- 25.00

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday’s 6-pack:
Leading scorers in the NBA:
32.6— Anthony Davis, LAL
31.0— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
30.2— Jayson Tatum, Bos
28.8— Nikola Jokic, Den
28.6— Luka Doncic, Dal
28.1— LaMelo Ball, Char

Quote of the Day
“Really our focus with Deshaun (Watson), I would say for any player with a season-ending injury and a major injury, is first and foremost and to make sure that he gets healthy from the Achilles injury. Everything else, we’ll deal with at a later moment.”
Cleveland Browns GM Andrew Berry

Friday’s quiz
Steelers’ QB Russell Wilson played college football at which two schools?

Thursday’s quiz
Who was coach of the Baltimore Ravens, before John Harbaugh?

Wednesday’s quiz
Thomas Jefferson’s picture is on the $2 bill.

*******************************************

Friday’s Den: College basketball notes from the first week…….​

— Ravens 35, Bengals 34
Bengals scored TD with 0:38 left, went for 2 points/win, but failed.
Burrow threw for 428 yards, four TD’s.
Bengals outgained Baltimore, 470-389
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in games decided by fewer than 7 points.
Bengals are 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
Ravens’ first six drives: 31 plays, 107 yards, 7 points.
Ravens’ last four drives: 26 plays, 258 yards, 28 points.
Baltimore is 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS in its last eight games.
Ravens scored 35 touchdowns on their last 78 drives.
Opponents’ team total: over 8-2

College basketball notes from the season’s first week:

— Columbia 90, Villanova 80
Columbia shot 70% inside arc, against a Big East team.
Lions haven’t had a winning season since 2016.
Villanova started five seniors; they were favored by 17.5 points.

— Gonzaga 102, Baylor 63
Zags scored 1.44 points/possession, bringing their A game.
Gonzaga also started five seniors; they raised expectations…..a lot.

— North Florida 74, South Carolina 71
Ospreys of the A-SUN pull a big upset- they were 19-point dogs.
South Carolina led by 8 with 14:10 left in game.
Gamecocks were only 14-25 on the foul line.

— Creighton 99, Rio Grande Valley 86
Ryan Kalkbrenner was 20-22 from floor, scored 49 points.
Senior PG Ashworth was 17-17 on foul line.
Red flag: Creighton gave up 86 points to a Southland team.

— Central Florida 64, Texas A&M 61
Knights were down 11 with 6:24 left in game.
UCF was 22-31 on foul line, Aggies were 8-14.
Knights won despite shooting 34% from the floor.

— Ivy League went 3-1 against the MAAC this week, with only loss Siena’s 72-71 OT win over Brown, a game Brown led by 6 with 1:41 left in regulation.

— Famous birthdays, November 8th:
Mary Hart, 74
Alfre Woodard, 72
Jimmy Giles, 70
Chuck Cecil, 60
Courtney Thorne-Smith, 57
Brevin Knight, 49
Sam Bradford, 37
Yasmani Grandal, 36
Giancarlo Stanton, 35

— Oklahoma State 89, Green Bay 76
OSU alum Doug Gottlieb is coaching Green Bay now, plus he is still a radio personality. This was a 74-possession game, fast pace. OSU led 39-38 at halftime, which is a good sign for Green Bay’s chances of being a contender in the Horizon League.

— South Dakota State 80, McNeese State 73
Upset here; McNeese starts five seniors, is being touted as a potential Cinderella in March. Jackrabbits started two freshmen and a sophomore; they made 12-35 on the arc.

— Arizona State 55, Idaho State 48
Was reading an article that inferred how Bobby Hurley isn’t enjoying the NIL era; this game was like watching paint dry, really bad paint. 0.83 points/possession against a Big Sky team doesn’t bode well for a Sun Devil squad that is moving up to the Big X this season.

— San Diego State 63, Cal-San Diego 58
Underdog Tritons led by 6 with 9:09 left; they start three seniors, two juniors in their fifth year as a D-I team. Cal-San Diego shot 28.6% inside arc, 38.5% on the arc. Aztecs’ next four D-I games are all against top 40 teams, which will be interesting.

— Rider 68, San Diego 67
Kid on USD scored 24 points and he didn’t start; this is a good win for the MAAC against Steve Lavin’s Toreros, who started three sophomores. Rider starts four seniors, always a good thing.

— Vermont started the season with a trip to Alabama:
Vermont 67, UAB 62- Great win for America East; UAB was 0-10 on the arc.
Auburn 94, Vermont 43- Reality set in here; this game was 84-27 at one point.

— Top 5 teams in country in experience:
Xavier
Ole Miss
Nevada
Oklahoma State
Memphis

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Friday, November 8

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Friday’s games
California (-7) @ Wake Forest
California (4-4, 0-4)
Cal lost its first four ACC games, by 5-1-1-2 points.
Cal held six of eight opponents to 17 or fewer points.
Golden Bears have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Golden Bears have 112 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Mendoza started eight games last year.


Under Wilcox, Cal is 4-6 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Wilcox, Cal is 33-28-1 ATS in conference games.
Cal is +13 in turnovers this season.
Cal is 13-11 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
Under is 4-2-1 in their I-A games.


Wake Forest (4-4, 2-2)
Wake is 3-4 vs I-A teams, with wins by 4-3-3 points.
Deacons are 4-0 if they allow 30 or less points, 0-4 if they allow 31+.
Deacons have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Wake Forest has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bachmeier had 37 starts at Boise State/Louisiana Tech.


Deacons won three of their last four games SU.
Wake is 0-4-1 ATS last five games as a home underdog.
Last 2+ years, Wake is 8-10-2 ATS in conference games.
Deacons are 1-5-2 ATS in last eight games coming off a win.
Wake gave up 430+ TY in all four of their losses.


These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
Home underdogs are 6-9 ATS in ACC conference games.


Iowa (-6.5) @ UCLA
Iowa (6-3, 4-2)
Iowa is 1-3 if it allows 20+ points, 5-0 if it allows less than 20.
Iowa’s six wins were all by 17+ points.
Hawkeyes have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 154 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB McNamara has 21 career starts.


Hawkeyes are 11-5 ATS last 16 games as a road favorite (1-1 TY).
In his career, Ferentz is 32-23-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Iowa is 32-18-1 ATS in last 51 games coming off a win.
Hawkeyes are 24-18-1 ATS in their last 42 conference games.
Over is 7-1 in their I-A games.


UCLA (3-5, 2-4)
UCLA won its last two games, 35-32/27-20.
Bruins are 1-5 when they score less than 27 points.
UCLA has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Bruins have 101 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Garbers started 6 games last year.


UCLA is 0-3 SU/ATS at home, scoring 13-13-17 points.
Bruins are 5-3 ATS last eight games as a home dog (1-2 TY).
UCLA covered five of its last six games overall.
Last two games, Bruins are +2 in turnovers (minus-7 in first six)
Under is 4-2 in UCLA’s last six games.


These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
Home underdogs are 11-14 ATS in Big 18 conference games.


Rice @ Memphis (-8)
Rice (3-6, 2-3)
Rice upset Navy LW, after they fired their coach.
Owls are 3-0 if they score 24+ points, 0-6 if they don’t.
Rice has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Owls have 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Warner started 20 games at Temple.


Rice is 8-11-1 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.
Owls were held to 14 or less points in five of their six losses.
Rice is 9-5 ATS in last 14 conference games.
Owls are 7-9 ATS last 16 games coming off a win.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.


Memphis (7-2, 3-2)
Tigers scored 52-33-36 points in their last three games.
Memphis gave up 56-44 points in their two losses.
Memphis has 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Tigers have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Hanigan has 37 career starts.


Memphis is 1-6-1 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
Under Silverfield, Memphis is 7-15-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Memphis is 6-3-1 ATS in last 10 games coming off a loss.
Last three Memphis games went over the total.


These teams haven’t met since 2012.
AAC home favorites are 12-5 ATS in conference games.


New Mexico @ San Diego State (-2.5)
New Mexico (3-6, 2-3)
Lobos allowed 35+ points in eight of nine games.
New Mexico scored 50-52-50 points in their wins.
New Mexico has 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Lobos have 17 starts returning on OL (added 8 transfers).
Soph QB Dampier has thrown for 2,243 yards (10 TDs, 12 INTs)


Lobos allowed 474+ TY in seven of nine games.
New Mexico is 6-12 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Mendenhall is 27-24 ATS as a road underdog.
New Mexico is 8-20-1 ATS last 29 conference games.
Lobos are 9-20 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
Over is 6-2 in New Mexico games this season.


San Diego State (3-5, 2-1)
Four of Aztecs’ last five games were decided by 3 or fewer points.
Aztecs are 3-0 if they score 27+ points, 0-5 if they don’t.
San Diego State has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Aztecs have 67 starts returning on offensive line.
Frosh QB O’Neil has thrown for 1,240 yards (6 TDs, 2 INTs)


Aztecs have losses this year by 21-21-1-3-32 points.
San Diego State is 4-9 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
In his career, coach Lewis is 8-8 ATS as a home favorite.
San Diego State is 9-5 ATS last 14 conference games.
In his career, Lewis is 18-14 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.


San Diego State won last nine meetings (4-1 ATS last five)
Lobos are 0-5 SU/3-2 ATS in last five visits to San Diego.
Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Mountain West home favorites are 7-6 ATS in conference games.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 11

FCS

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR DARTMOUTH AT PRINCETON​

Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 60.609; Princeton 44.691
Dunkel Line & Total: Dartmouth by 16; 44
Vegas Line & Total: Dartmouth by 5 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (-5 1/2); Under

More tomorrow......

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 8​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
CAL at WAKE	08:00 PM	WAKE +7.0 U 54.5	+500 +500
IOWA at UCLA	09:00 PM	IOWA -6.0 O 44.5	+500 +500
RICE at MEM	09:00 PM	MEM -7.5 U 50.0	+500 +500
UNM at SDSU	10:30 PM	SDSU -2.5 U 65.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAFB BEST BETS NOVEMBER !

11/08/2024.......................2 - 3 - 0..................40.00%...................- 6.50
11/07/2024.......................1 - 3 - 0..................25.00%...................- 11.50
11/06/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%....................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%...................- 22.50

TOTALS.........................19 - 23 - 0...................45.23%..................- 31.50

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Celtics 108, Nets 104 OT- Jayson Tatum had 33 points, nine rebounds.
— Suns 114, Mavericks 113- Nurkic made game-winning FT with 0:00.8 left.
— Pistons 122, Hawks 121- Cunningham had his third straight triple-double.
— Cavaliers 136, Warriors 117- Cleveland led 83-42 at halftime.
— Knicks 116, Bucks 94- Milwaukee is off to a 2-7 start.
— Thunder 126, Rockets 107- Holngren, Gilgeous-Alexander both had 29 points.

Quote of the Day
“I feel like I’ve never really got those calls, so I don’t really expect that.”
Bengals QB Joe Burrow

Saturday’s quiz
Who was starting QB for the Patriots, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?

Friday’s quiz
Steelers’ QB Russell Wilson played college football at NC State, Wisconsin.

Thursday’s quiz
Brian Billick was coach of the Baltimore Ravens, before John Harbaugh.

***************************************************

Saturday’s Den: College basketball and baseball notes……..​

— Kansas 92, North Carolina 89
Jayhawks led by 15 at halftime; they trailed for while in 2nd half.
UNC was 28-31 on foul line, Kansas 12-17.
Kansas had only four turnovers, in a 77-possession game.

— The airplane carrying Auburn’s basketball team to Saturday’s game in Houston turned around shortly after takeoff and returned to the airport Friday afternoon when activity on the plane prompted the pilot to abandon the flight plan. No bueno.
Air Traffic Control got a message from the plane that said “a bunch of basketball players were fighting” The team was expected to try and fly to Houston Friday night.

— Alabama 88, Arkansas State 79
Lot of fouls; Bama was 28-44 on line, Ark State 23-38.
Teams combined to go 12-59 on the arc. Brickfest.

— Austin Peay 68, Butler 66
Not good when a Big East team loses to an Atlantic Sun squad.

— VCU 80, Boston College 55
VCU starts five seniors; they held BC to 29.3% from floor.

— Charleston 86, South Florida 71
6-10 senior Brzovic had 34 points, nine rebounds.
Chris Mack’s Cougars are 2-0, scoring 90-86 points.

— Furman 76, Belmont 74
Paladins made 16-35 shots on the arc, 12-24 inside arc.

— Famous birthdays, November 9th:
Bruce Gossett, 83
Virgil Carter, 79
Robert David Hall, 76
Teddy Higuera, 67
Adam Dunn, 45
Michael Busch, 27

Baseball notes……..
— St Louis Cardinals are moving Willson Contreras from catcher to 1B/DH next year; he has three years left on his 5-year, $87M contract. This should keep the 32-year old Contreras a little healthier— he played in only 84 games last year, 33 of them as the Cardinals’ DH.

— Angels’ SS Zach Neto had surgery on his right (throwing) shoulder, might miss the start of next season. 23-year old Neto hit 23 HR’s last year, knocked in 77 runs.

— Former Marlins’ manager Skip Schumaker signed on with the Texas Rangers as a senior advisor to club president Chris Young, fueling speculation that he’ll be the eventual successor to Bruce Bochy as manager of the Rangers.

— Mets’ OF Tyrone Taylor has had two surgeries since the season ended, one to fix a hernia, the other one on his elbow. He is expected to be ready for the start of spring training.

— Dodgers are expected to move to Mookie Betts to an infield position next year; they said they haven’t decided whether it will be 2B or shortstop.

— Free agent 3B Alex Bregman had surgery to clean up some bone chips in his right (throwing) elbow; Bregman hit .260 last year, with 26 homers, 75 RBI.

— Bronx Bombers announced that manager Aaron Boone will be back next year; Boone has a 603-429 regular season record in seven years as a manager, 22-23 in playoff games.

— Cleveland Guardians re-signed C Austin Hedges for one year, $4M; he is a highly-regarded defensive catcher.
Guardians’ David Fry had surgery to fix a ligament in his elbow; he hit 14 homers in 122 games this past season, with an .804 OPS while playing five different positions.

— A’s re-signed reliever TJ McFarland for one year, $1.8M; he appeared in 79 games for the A’s this past season.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Saturday, November 9

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Saturday’s best 13 games
Syracuse @ Boston College (-2)
Syracuse (6-2, 3-2)
Syracuse is 5-0 when it scores 31+ points (24-13 in losses).
Orange allowed 31+ points in three of last four games.
Syracuse has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Orangemen have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB McCord started 12 games at Ohio State last year.


Syracuse is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
Average total in their I-A games is 59.7.
Syracuse is 8-13 ATS in last 21 conference games.
Orange is 14-8-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
Under is 4-2 in their last six I-A games.


Boston College (4-4, 1-3)
BC lost its last three games, ,giving up 24-42-31 points.
Eagles are 0-4 when they allow more than 20 points.
Eagles have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Eagles have 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Castellanos started 12 games LY.


Boston College is 0-8 ATS in last eight games as a home favorite.
In his college career, O’Brien is 8-6 ATS as a home favorite.
Eagles are 12-16 ATS in last 28 ACC games.
Last two games, BC gave up 532-461 total yards.
Under is 5-2 in their I-A games.


Teams split their last 12 meetings.
Syracuse is 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS in last three visits to Chestnut Hill.
Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games,
ACC home favorites are 15-13 ATS in conference games.


West Virginia @ Cincinnati (-4)
West Virginia (4-4, 3-2)
WVU allowed 36.3 ppg in its four losses, 28-14-26 in I-A wins.
West Virginia has a minus-6 turnover ratio.
Mountaineers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mountaineers have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Greene has 14 career starts.


Under Brown, WVU is 11-12 ATS as a road underdog (2-0 TY).
In his career, Brown is 20-14 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Brown, WVU is 23-26 ATS in Big X games.
Mountaineers are 12-18 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.


Cincinnati (5-3, 3-2)
Cincinnati gave up 28-44-34 points in their losses.
Bearcats gave up 20 or fewer points in their wins.
Bearcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bearcats have 91 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby started 7 games at Indiana last year.


Cincinnati is 5-8 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Satterfield is 26-25-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 2+ years, Cincinnati is 6-14-2 ATS in conference games.
Bearcats are 5-7-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-1-1 in Cincinnati’s last seven games.


West Virginia (-5.5) beat Cincinnati 42-21 LY, running for 424 yards.
This was teams’ first meeting since 2011.
Big X home favorites are 12-15 ATS in conference games.


Navy (-3.5) @ South Florida
Navy (6-2, 4-1)
Navy lost its last two games, scoring 14-10 points.
Middies scored 34+ points in all of their wins.
Navy has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Middies have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Horvath has run ball for 814 yards, thrown for 1,096.


Navy is 7-3 ATS in last 10 games as a road favorite.
Middies’ closest game this year: 56-44 win over Memphis.
Navy is 1-6 ATS in last seven games coming off a loss.
Navy has thrown for 100+ yards in every game this year.
Navy has +12 turnover ratio in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Over is 6-1 in their I-A games.


South Florida (4-4, 2-2)
USF won its last two games, scoring 35-44 points.
Bulls are 0-4 scoring less than 35 points.
Bulls have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
USF has 58 returning starts on offensive line.
Redshirt frosh QB Brown has started 15 games.


USF is 3-6 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
Under Golesh, Bulls are 5-7 ATS in conference games.
Under Golesh, USF is 6-3 ATS coming off a win.
In 5 of last 6 games, Bulls gave up 485+ total yards.
USF is 4-1 when it gives up less than 42 points.


Teams split last four series games.
Navy’s last visit here was in 2016, a 52-45 loss.
Under is 2-2 in last four meetings.


Georgia (-2.5) @ Ole Miss
Georgia (7-1, 5-1)
Georgia won its last four games, by 18-10-15-14 points.
Dawgs scored 31+ points in seven of their eight games.
Dawgs have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Georgia has 87 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Beck started 14 games LY.


Georgia is 1-6 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.
Georgia is 1-5 ATS in its last six I-A games.
Georgia is 5-8 ATS in its last 13 SEC games.
Georgia is 5-10-1 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Dawgs’ only loss was 41-34 at Alabama.


Ole Miss (7-2, 3-2)
Ole Miss is 3-2 in its SEC games; both losses were by 3 points.
Rebels gave up 330+ PY in two of last three games.
Rebels have 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Rebels have 222 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dart has started 25 games.


All seven Ole Miss wins are by 12+ points.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 6-7 ATS as a dog, 4-2 at home.
In his career, Kiffin is 4-8 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Kiffin, Rebels are 22-15-2 ATS coming off a win.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 16-20-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 7-1 in Ole Miss’ I-A games this season.


Georgia beat Ole Miss 52-17, their first meeting since 2016.
Dawgs are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in last six visits to Oxford.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings overall.
SEC underdogs are 29-13 ATS in league games.

Michigan @ Indiana (-14.5)
Michigan (5-4, 3-3)
Wolverines lost three of last four games, after a 4-1 start.
Michigan scored 24+ points in its wins, 12-17-7 in losses.
Wolverines have 2 starters back on offense, 5 on defense, a new head coach.
New defensive coordinator Martindale has a significant NFL resume.
Michigan has 53 returning starts on offensive line (none at Michigan).


Since 2018, Michigan is 3-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Last five games, Michigan was held under 290 TY four times.
Wolverines are 21-12-3 ATS in its last 36 conference games.
Michigan is 2-5 ATS in last seven games coming off a loss.
Five of their last six games went over the total.


Indiana (9-0, 6-0)
Hoosiers are 6-0 in league games, scoring 42-42-41-56-31-47 points.
Hoosiers’ two closest wins were both by 14 points.
Last three games, Indiana is +7 in turnovers.
Hoosiers have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
Hoosiers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Rourke started 33 games at Ohio U


Indiana is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite this year.
In his career, Cignetti is 11-6 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Cignetti is 17-5 ATS in conference games.
Indiana is 17-9 ATS in its last 25 games coming off a win.
Six of Indiana’s last seven games went over the total.


Michigan won 20 of last 21 series games.
Wolverines are 5-1 SU/1-5 ATS in last six visits to Indiana.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Iowa State (-3) @ Kansas
Iowa State (7-1, 4-1)
Iowa State lost its first game LW, 23-22 to Texas Tech.
Cyclones are 3-0 on road, giving up 11.7 ppg.
Cyclones have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cyclones have 90 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.


Iowa State’s last two games were decided by 1-3 points.
Under Campbell, ISU is 12-10-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Cyclones are 9-5 ATS in last 14 conference games.
Cyclones are +9 in turnovers this season.
Iowa State is averaging 458.2 yards in its Big X games.


Kansas (2-6, 1-4)
Kansas is 1-6 in I-A games, with five losses by 6 or fewer points.
Last four games, Kansas is +7 in turnovers.
Jayhawks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Kansas has 130 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels has 20 career starts.


In his career, Leipold is 16-7-1 ATS as home underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 6-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 15-16-1 ATS in Big X games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 10-14 ATS coming off a loss.
Four of last five Kansas games went over the total.


Kansas won last two series games,, 28-21/14-11.
Before that, Iowa State had won 11 of previous 12 meetings.
Cyclones are 5-2 SU/4-3 ATS in last seven visits to Lawrence.
Under is 10-4 in last 14 meetings.


Clemson (-6) @ Virginia Tech
Clemson (6-2, 5-1)
Clemson allowed 34-33 points in its two losses.
Clemson is 5-2 ATS in last seven games coming off a loss.
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tigers have 106 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Klubnik has 14 career starts.


Last 4+ years, Clemson is 9-10 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Swinney is 32-30-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Tigers are 13-10 ATS in their last 23 ACC games.
Last four games, Tigers averaged 513.8 yards/game.
Under is 3-1-1 in last five Clemson games.


Virginia Tech (5-4, 3-2)
Tech won three of its last four games.
Hokies are 5-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
Tech gave up 34-26-38-38 points in losses.
Hokies have 11 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Drones started 11 games last year.


Tech is 5-3 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
Under Pry, Hokies are 13-7 ATS in ACC games.
Under Pry, Hokies are 10-7 ATS coming off a loss.
Tech is 0-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Over is 5-2 in last seven Tech games.


These teams haven’t met since 2020.
Clemson is 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in last six meetings.
Tigers are 3-0 SU/ATS in last three visits to Blacksburg.
Under is 5-1 in last six series games.


Colorado (-4.5) @ Texas Tech
Colorado (6-2, 4-1)
Colorado won five of its last six games (6-0 ATS).
Colorado scored 31+ points in five of its six wins.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.


Sanders is 4-3 ATS as a favorite with Colorado, 1-1 on road.
Since 2014, Colorado is 3-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Sanders, Buffs are 10-4 ATS in conference games.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 5-4 ATS coming off a win.
Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games.


Texas Tech (6-3, 4-2)
Texas Tech split last two games, both decided by a point.
Tech gave up 37-59-35 points in their three losses.
Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Red Raiders have 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morton started 12 games LY (17 TDs/3 INTs this year)


Texas Tech is 6-4 ATS last 10 games as a home underdog.
Under McGuire, Red Raiders are 13-10-1 ATS in Big X games.
Texas Tech is 4-2 in Big X games (average total, 65.8)
Tech is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games.
Five of Tech’s six wins were by 8 or fewer points.


These teams haven’t met since 2010.
Big X home underdogs are 2-5 ATS


South Carolina (-4.5) @ Vanderbilt
South Carolina (5-3, 3-3)
Gamecocks allowed 20 or fewer points in wins, 36-27-27 in losses.
Carolina is +9 in turnovers in its wins, minus-4 in losses.
Carolina has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Gamecocks have 118 returning starts on the offensive line.
Freshman QB Sellers threw four passes in three games LY.


Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 2-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 17-13 ATS in SEC games.
Gamecocks are 7-3 ATS in last nine games coming off a win.
South Carolina is 0-3 when it allows more than 20 points.
Over is 5-1 in their last six games.


Vanderbilt (6-3, 3-2)
Vandy won four of its last five games.
Vandy is 4-0 when it gives up less than 27 points.
Commodores have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Commodores have 121 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Pavia started 23 games at New Mexico State.


Vandy is 6-2 ATS this season.
Under Lea, Vandy is 18-17 ATS as an underdog (6-0 TY).
Vandy is 10-11 ATS in its last 21 SEC games (5-0 TY).
Under Lea, Vandy is 4-10 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games.


South Carolina won last 15 series games.
Gamecocks are 4-0 ATS in last four visits to Nashville.
Under is 6-3 in last nine meetings.


Central Florida @ Arizona State (-2.5)
Central Florida (4-5, 2-4)
UCF lost five of its last six games.
Knights scored 45-35-56 points in their three I-A wins.
Knights have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
UCF has 58 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Rizk was 20-25/294 passing in LY’s win.


Under Malzahn, UCF is 5-4 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Malzahn is 13-15 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Malzahn, Knights are 13-18-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Malzahn, UCF is 12-14 ATS in games coming off a win.
Over is 6-2 in their I-A games.


Arizona State (6-2, 3-2)
Sun Devils scored 27+ points in their wins, 22-14 in losses.
Sun Devils are 4-0 SU/ATS at home this season.
ASU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Sun Devils have 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Leavitt has 1,470 PY this year, with 11 TD’s, 4 INTs.


ASU is 7-3 ATS in last 10 games as a home favorite.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 9-5 ATS in conference games.
ASU is 6-13 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
Arizona State ran for 225+ yards in four of their six wins.
ASU is 3-0 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.


These teams haven’t met since 2002.
Big X home favorites are 12-16 ATS


Alabama (-2.5) @ LSU
Alabama (6-2, 3-2)
Alabama lost its last two road games, at Vandy/Tennessee.
Crimson Tide was held under 100 yards rushing in the losses.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Milroe has started 14 games.


Alabama is 6-11 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
In his career, DeBoer is 9-9 ATS as a road favorite.
Alabama is 11-9-1 ATS in its last 21 SEC games.
Over is 5-3 in their games this season.
Alabama is 11-6 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.


LSU (6-2, 3-1)
LSU lost 38-23 at Texas A&M LW, ending 6-game win streak.
LSU scored 29+ points in wins, 20-23 in losses.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Nussmeier is completing 62.4% of passes (20 TD’s, 9 INTs)


Under Kelly, Tigers are 3-2 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Kelly is 3-0 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Kelly, LSU is 10-10-1 ATS in SEC games.
Since 2017, LSU is 38-24-2 ATS in SEC games.
Four of LSU’s last five games stayed under the total.


Alabama won 10 of last 12 meetings.
Crimson Tide is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in last six visits to LSU.
Over is 4-1 in last five series games.


Oklahoma (-3) @ Missouri
Oklahoma (5-4, 1-4)
Oklahoma was held to 15 or fewer points in 4 of 5 SEC games.
Sooners are 0-4 when they allow more than 21 points.
Oklahoma has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Arnold has thrown for 1,169 yards (12 TDs, 3 INTs)


Under Venables, Oklahoma is 3-6-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Venables, Sooners are 9-13-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 8-11-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Last four games, Oklahoma is minus-6 in turnovers.
Sooners were held under 300 TY in five of last seven I-A games.


Missouri (6-2, 2-2)
Mizzou split its last four games, after a 4-0 start.
Tigers losses: 41-10 at Texas A&M, 34-0 at Alabama.
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tigers have 107 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Cook is hurt; backup Pyne was 8-3 at Notre Dame/Arizona State.


Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 7-3 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Drinkwitz is 17-11 ATS as an underdog (0-2 TY).
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 20-18 ATS in SEC games.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 10-9 ATS coming off a loss.
Under is 5-2 in their I-A games.


These teams haven’t met since 2011.
SEC home underdogs are 10-6 ATS in conference games.


BYU (-3) @ Utah
BYU (8-0, 5-0)
BYU won its first five Big X games, scoring 37.6 ppg.
BYU is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in its Big X games.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started four games LY.


BYU is 7-5 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
BYU scored 34+ points in its last six games.
In his career, coach Sitake is 25-36 ATS as a favorite.
Last 2+ years, BYU is 10-9 ATS coming off a win (6-1 TY).
Underdogs are 3-1 ATS in their road games.
Five of their last six games went over the total.


Utah (4-4, 2-4)
Utah lost last four games, scoring 12.5 ppg, after a 4-0 start.
Utes scored 22+ points in their four wins
Utes have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Utah has 60 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Wilson has 1,200 PY, with 8 TD’s, 8 INTs,


Since 2018, Utah is 0-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Utah is 16-15 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss.
Utes are 0-4 when they run ball for less than 170 yards.
Since 2016, Utes are 45-31 ATS in conference games (1-5 TY).
Utah’s last five games stayed under the total.


Utah won nine of last 10 meetings.
Cougars are 0-5 SU/3-2 ATS in last five visits to Salt Lake City.
Under is 8-3 in last eleven series games.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 11

FCS