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Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack:
Best ERA’s for starting pitchers with 20+ career playoff starts:
2.51— Jon Lester (22 starts)
2.67— John Smoltz (27)
2.71— Whitey Ford (22)
2.98— Gerrit Cole (20)
3.27— Greg Maddux (30)
3.30— Tom Glavine (35)

Quote of the Day
“All of these kids that move around in the portal, none of them are pros. There are no pros in the portal. If they were pros, they wouldn’t be in the portal. They’re all college guys looking to improve.”
Houston basketball coach Kelvin Sampson

Friday’s quiz
Oklahoma City Thunder starting playing in Oklahoma in 2008-09; before that, where did the team call home?

Thursday’s quiz
In the old TV show Magnum PI, Magnum always spent the 4th of July by himself; that was the day his father passed away, when Magnum was five years old.

Wednesday’s quiz
Last two times the New York Knicks won the NBA title, they beat the Lakers in the Finals both times.

*****************************************

Friday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— Wednesday night, Miami Heat named their home court after longtime coach/team president Pat Riley; this is his 30th year with the Miami franchise.
Riley is 1,381-805 as an NBA coach, winning five NBA titles (4 with Lakers, one with the Heat, in 2006). He also led the Knicks to the NBA Finals in 1994.
Miami has won two NBA titles with Riley as team president and Erik Spoelstra as coach; Riley was inducted into the basketball Hall of Fame in 2008.
Coach Riley is from Schenectady, NY; he went to Linton High School, in 1992, Linton merged with Mont Pleasant HS to form Schenectady High School, which is located in the former Linton facility. Coach Riley gave the school a lot of money to help refurbish the gym/locker room. The gym at Schenectady is named after him.
Long time ago (1993-2001), I spent eight years as an assistant basketball coach at Schenectady High; I was the analytics/numbers guy, the geeky coach/scout. This was the most interesting thing I’ve ever done in my life, and one of the most fun.
I was lucky to work for great people and we had really, really good players; we won state titles in 1998 and 2001. When we won the state titles, coach Riley sent us all gifts to commemorate our efforts- I’m looking at them in my living room as I type this.
Congratulations to you Coach Riley, on one of the best careers anyone has ever had. It was an honor to spend eight years working in your gym.

Rams 30, Vikings 20
Stafford was 25-34/279 passing, with four TD’s. (helps to have Kupp/Nacua healthy)
Rams outgained Minnesota, 386-276.
LA was 4-10 on third down, Vikings 2-7.
Rams scored 27-20-30 points in their wins, 20-10-18-19 in losses.
Rams are 6-3-1 ATS last ten games as a home underdog.
Vikings’ first two drives: 18 plays, 140 yards, 14 points.
Vikings’ last six drives: 30 plays, 125 yards, 2 FGs and a safety
Minnesota ran for only 64 yards; they were 2-7 on 3rd down.
WR Jefferson caught eight passes for 115 yards.
Minnesota is 4-8-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.

— Pitt 41, Syracuse 13
Panthers are 7-0 for the first time since 1982.
Pitt scored three defensive TD’s in the first half, led 31-0 at halftime.
Syracuse ran ball for only six yards on 29 carries; they threw 5 INTs in all.

— Old Dominion 47, Georgia Southern 19
Monarchs led 30-7 at half; QB Jospeh threw 4 first half TD passes.
ODU outgained Georgia Southern, 560-416.
Monarchs ran ball 41 times for 256 yards.

— Kennesaw State 27, Liberty 24
1-6 Owls were a 27-point underdog; Liberty came into the game 5-0.
This is Kennesaw State’s first-ever win as a I-A program.
Liberty had nine penalties for 100 yards.

— Jacksonville State 42, Middle Tennessee 20
QB Huff threw for 137 yards and TD, ran for 151 yards and 2 TD’s.
Gamecocks have won four games in a row for first time since 2020.
Jax State outgained the Blue Raiders, 577-365

— There was very sad news Thursday; South Florida basketball coach Amir Abdur-Rahim passed away at age 43.
Abdur-Rahim was undergoing a medical procedure at a Tampa-area hospital when he died due to complications that arose during the procedure. He is survived by his wife and three children.
Abdur-Rahim was a rising star in coaching; he built the Kennesaw State program from the ground up, going 26-9 two years ago, making the NCAAs as a 14-seed.
He then moved on to South Florida last year, went 25-8, 16-2 in the AAC.
Very sad news. RIP, sir.

Famous birthdays, October 25:
Dan Issel, 76
Dave Cowens, 76
Gifford Nielsen, 70
Mark Vlasic, 61
Pat Swilling, 60
Mike Harkey, 58
Terrell Lowery, 54
Pedro Martinez, 53
Juan Soto, 26

— Dallas Cowboys kicker Brandon Aubrey missed practice Wednesday for jury duty; he got a letter from the court and was selected as a juror for a felony case. In order to be removed from the jury, both sides and the judge would have to sign off and install an alternate juror.
Cowboys travel to San Francisco Saturday afternoon for their game against the 49ers; they return to Dallas early Monday morning.

— NBA has an in-season tournament starting November 12, kind of an admission that interest in the league is weak before Christmas.
Last year, the Lakers won the tournament; they raised a banner in their arena, but showed their true colors when they fired coach Davin Ham after a 47-35 season and a first-round exit from the playoffs.
If the in-season tournament had any meaning at all, no way does the coach get fired.

— Speaking of the Lakers, the G-League starts November 8; hopefully they’ll send Bronny James to play there, so the young man can play a lot and get the experience he needs.
Lebron/Bronny played a few minutes together the other night, becoming the first father/son to play on same team, but Bronny only played one year at USC— he isn’t as good as his dad, and likely never will be (who is???). He needs to play a lot to progress into an NBA-level player.

— Watching the Phoenix Suns should be fun this winter; 22 of their first 32 shots the other night were 3-pointers. Coach Mike Budenholzer likes a wide-open style, for to watch.

— Congrats to Atlanta Hawks radio announcer Steve Holman, who recently broadcast his 3,000th consecutive game for the Hawks.

— NC State QB Grayson McCall is retiring from football, after he had a concussion in a game earlier this month. He is 23 years old, played six years of college football. We wish him well.

— Carolina Panthers’ QB Andy Dalton got banged up in a car accident this week; he won’t start this week, when the 1-6 Panthers visit Denver.
2nd-year QB Bryce Young will start this week; Carolina lost 47-10/26-3 in the two games he started earlier this season, in Weeks 1-2.

— There are 134 I-A college football teams; Florida State is the only one that hasn’t scored more than 21 points in a game this season.
 

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NCAAF
Weather Report

Friday, October 25


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Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, OCTOBER 25

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
LOU at BC07:30 PMBC +7.5
U 53.5
+500 +500
BSU at UNLV10:30 PMBSU -3.5
U 65.5
+500 +500
RUTG at USC11:00 PMUSC -14.0
U 56.0
+500 +500
 

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NCAAFB BEST BETS OCTOBER !

10/25/2024............................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
10/24/2024............................1 - 3 - 0...............................25.00%.........................- 11.50
10/23/2024............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
10/22/2024............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
10/15/2024............................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%..........................+ 9.50
10/12/2024............................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%..........................- 35.00
10/11/2024..............................3 - 2 - 0.............................60.00%...........................+ 4.00
10/10/2024..............................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 1.00
10/09/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/08/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/05/2024...........................14 - 18 - 1...........................43.75%............................- 29.00
10/04/2024................................5 - 2 - 0...........................71.42%............................+ 19.50
10/03/2024.,..............................3 - 1 - 0...........................75.00%............................+ 9.50

TOTALS..................................44 - 46 - 1............................48.88%............................ - 28.00


AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
NBA players who earned most $$$ last year (salary + endorsements)
$155.8M— Steph Curry
$133.7M— Lebron James
$103.7M— Giannis Antetokounmpo
$97.9M— Kevin Durant
$66.8M— Damian Lillard
$59.4M— Joel Embiid/Nikola Jokic

Quote of the Day
“Definitely every player wants to be happy where they’re at. And at the end of the day, whenever you win, you’re going to be really happy. So wherever you are that you have a chance to win a championship, you’re going to be excited to play for them. I think that’s the biggest thing.”
Free agent-to-be Juan Soto

Saturday’s quiz
What was the last team to win a World Series four games to none?

Friday’s quiz
Oklahoma City Thunder starting playing in Oklahoma in 2008-09; before that, they were the Seattle SuperSonics.

Thursday’s quiz
In the old TV show Magnum PI, Magnum always spent the 4th of July by himself; that was the day his father passed away, when Magnum was five years old.

***********************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday night…….

— Quite a night in Los Angeles Friday:
Game 1, World Series
Suns-Lakers
Rutgers-USC
East LA Classic at SoFi Stadium (HS football)
Bosco at Mater Dei at Santa Ana Stadium (HS football)
Concert at the Intuit Dome

Famous birthdays, October 25:
Jaclyn Smith, 79
Pat Sajak, 78
Toby Harrah, 76
Mike Hargrove, 75
Rita Wilson, 68
Dylan McDermott, 63
Nick Collison, 44
Francisco Liriano, 41
Monta Ellis, 39

— Minnesota Vikings LT Christian Darrisaw tore up his knee Thursday night, is out for the year. He got hurt on the last play of the first half.

— The longest TD pass in Detroit Lions history happened in 1966, Karl Sweetan to Pat Studstill for 99 yards in a 45-14 loss to the Baltimore Colts. Sweetan/Studstill later wound up as teammates on the Rams in 1969-70.
Studstill wound up having a brief career as an actor; he was in four episodes of The Dukes of Hazzard and an episode of Magnum PI. All in all, he has 12 acting credits on IMDB.

— 6-8 F Guerschon Yabusele plays for the 76ers; he’s scored 19 points in their first two games this season.
From 2017-19, Yabusele played in 74 games for the Celtics, scoring 2.3 ppg in 6.6 minutes/game; he spent the next five years playing pro ball, in China, France, Spain.
My point in this; it is REALLY HARD to make it onto an NBA roster. Lot of really good players make six-figure salaries playing overseas.

— Last season, every team in the NBA took at least 35% of their shots behind the 3-point arc; as recently as ten years ago, no NBA team took 35% of their shots behind the arc.

— NFL teams take out insurance policies on player contracts; if Browns QB Deshaun Watson can’t play next year because of his achilles injury, that $46M is almost entirely insured. On his salary this year, only $13.9M of it appears to be insured.

Movie of the Day: Random Hearts (1999)- A police sergeant and U.S. Representative both lose their spouses in a plane crash, and they soon discover that their spouses were having an affair with each other.
Harrison Ford is the policeman, Kristin Scott Thomas is the politician; this is a very good movie but obviously it is sad too, since two people dying also uncovered their chicanery.
Several good character actors (Paul Guilfoyle from CSI, for one) are also in the movie.

— You know you’re watching an old movie when a guy goes in a bar and asks the bartender for change of a dollar, so he can go use a pay phone.

— Arkansas visits Kentucky February 1st; should be good theater, with John Calipari going back to the arena where he made four Final 4’s and won a national title.

— Top 7 mid-major college basketball teams:
Gonzaga
Memphis
Boise State
Virginia Commonwealth
Dayton
Saint Mary’s
Grand Canyon

— I’m debating buying the NBA TV package, so I can watch any game I want; it isn’t expensive, it isn’t that, it just that it bugs me that guys who are making over $500,000/game aren’t going to play both ends of a back/back. Not that difficult, just play ball.
I also prefer college ball to the NBA, so once that starts my attention will be there; college kids play in conference tournaments- they don’t take games off when they play on consecutive days.

— 20 years ago, Iowa actually won a football game 6-4 at Penn State; Hawkeyes outgained the Nittany Lions, 168-147; they were +3 in turnovers. Teams combined to go 10-36 on third down, and each team punted seven times.
Penn State scored two safeties; the second one was intentional, with 8:11 left.
 
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SATURDAY, OCTOBER 26

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
BUFF at OHIO12:00 PMBUFF +5.0+500
GT at VT12:00 PMGT +11.0+500
UNC at UVA12:00 PMUVA -3.5+500
CHAR at MEM12:00 PMCHAR +17.0+500
NEB at OSU12:00 PMNEB +25.0+500
OKLA at MISS12:00 PMO 49.0+500
TULN at UNT12:00 PMUNT +7.5+500
ND at NAVY12:00 PMNAVY +14.0+500
WASH at IU12:00 PMIU -5.0+500
ARK at MSST12:45 PMARK -7.5+500
GSU at APP01:00 PMO 59.0+500
CMU at M-OH02:00 PMCMU +10.5+500
TEM at ECU02:00 PMO 49.0+500
ILL at ORE03:30 PMORE -21.5+500
EMU at AKR03:30 PMAKR +2.0+500
USM at JMU03:30 PMUSM +24.0+500
TTU at TCU03:30 PMTCU -6.0
O 65.0
+500 +500
WAKE at STAN03:30 PMSTAN +3.0+500
BGSU at TOL03:30 PMO 48.0+500
KENT at WMU03:30 PMWMU -18.5+500
UTSA at TLSA03:30 PMUTSA -9.0+500
MIZZ at ALA03:30 PMMIZZ +16.0+500
MD at MINN03:30 PMMINN -5.5+500
BYU at UCF03:30 PMBYU +2.5+500
RICE at CONN03:30 PMRICE +7.0+500
NIU at BALL03:30 PMNIU -13.0+500
NW at IOWA03:30 PMIOWA -14.5+500
OKST at BAY03:30 PMO 64.5+500
ORST at CAL04:00 PMORST +10.5
O 49.0
+500 +500
TEX at VAN04:15 PMVAN +17.0
O 51.0
+500 +500
UNM at CSU05:00 PMUNM +4.0
O 62.0
+500 +500
ULM at USA05:00 PMUSA -7.0
O 44.5
+500 +500
TROY at ARST07:00 PMARST -7.5
U 50.0
+500 +500
UTAH at HOU07:00 PMHOU +5.0
U 37.0
+500 +500
USU at WYO07:00 PMWYO +2.5+500
FSU at MIA07:00 PMFSU +21.0+500
WVU at ARIZ07:00 PMARIZ -5.5+500
MSU at MICH07:30 PMMICH -4.0
O 38.5
+500 +500
PSU at WIS07:30 PMWIS +6.5+500
LSU at TAM07:30 PMLSU +1.0
U 54.5
+500 +500
AUB at UK07:45 PMUK -1.0+500
SMU at DUKE08:00 PMDUKE +10.5
O 48.5
+500 +500
KU at KSU08:00 PMKSU -10.0+500
SJSU at FRES08:00 PMSJSU +4.5+500
CIN at COLO10:15 PMCOLO -6.5+500
WSU at SDSU10:30 PMWSU -14.5+500
 

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NCAAFB BEST BETS OCTOBER !

10/26/2024.......................12 - 12 - 2..............................50.00%..........................- 6.00
10/25/2024............................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
10/24/2024............................1 - 3 - 0...............................25.00%.........................- 11.50
10/23/2024............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
10/22/2024............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
10/15/2024............................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%..........................+ 9.50
10/12/2024............................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%..........................- 35.00
10/11/2024..............................3 - 2 - 0.............................60.00%...........................+ 4.00
10/10/2024..............................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 1.00
10/09/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/08/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/05/2024...........................14 - 18 - 1...........................43.75%............................- 29.00
10/04/2024................................5 - 2 - 0...........................71.42%............................+ 19.50
10/03/2024.,..............................3 - 1 - 0...........................75.00%............................+ 9.50

TOTALS..................................56 - 58 - 3............................49.12%............................ - 34.00


AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
NBA players who earned a lot of $$$ last year (salary + endorsements)
$58.2M— Devin Booker
$57.7M— Bradley Beal
$57.7M— Paul George
$56.8M— Jimmy Butler
$56.7M— Kawhi Leonard
$55M— Luka Doncic
These players ranked #8-13 in the NBA in earnings last year.

Quote of the Day
“If you look at it, for us and our group to take 40 3s in a game, that’s promising. It’s promising. We can get it up to 50, hopefully, but 40 is good.”
Lakers coach JJ Redick

Sunday’s quiz
When was last time the World Series went to seven games?

Saturday’s quiz
2012 San Francisco Giants were last team to win a World Series four games to none.

Friday’s quiz
Oklahoma City Thunder starting playing in Oklahoma in 2008-09; before that, they were the Seattle SuperSonics.

**************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

World Series, Game 2:
Dodgers 4, New York 2
Hernandez/Freeman hit back/back HR’s in third inning.
Yamamoto threw 6.1 IP, retired the last 11 batters he faced.
Ohtani appeared to dislocate his left shoulder stealing a base in 7th inning.
Dodgers lead series, 2-0; Game 3 is Monday night.
Three of the six umpires in this World Series are in their first World Series.

— Indiana 31, Washington 17
Hoosiers are 8-0 for first time since 1967.
Washington’s defensive coordinator is Steve Belichick, Bill’s son
Washington’s offfensive coordinator is Brennan Carroll, Pete’s son

— Ohio State 21, Nebraska 17
25-point favorite Buckeyes scored game-winning TD with 6:04 left.
Ohio State was 1-10 on 3rd down; they ran ball 31 times for 64 yards.
Nebraska is 5-3; they haven’t gone bowling since 2016.

— TCU 35, Texas Tech 34
Tech led 31-14 with 4:00 left in third quarter, 34-21 with 9:00 left in game.
TCU threw an 84-yard TD pass with 5:10 left for the game-winning TD.
Tech was 8-20 on 3rd down, 2-2 on 4th; TCU was 3-9 on 3rd down.

— Kansas State 29, Kansas 27
K-State kicked a 51-yard FG with 1:42 left for the win.
Wildcats have now beaten Kansas 16 times in a row.
Jayhawks are 5-4 ATS in last nine of those meetings.
Kansas is 2-6 this year, with five losses by 6 or fewer points.

Upsets of the Week:
Kennesaw State (+25) 27, Liberty 24
Ball State (+13) 25, Northern Illinois 23
Tulsa (+8) 46, Tex-San Antonio 45
North Carolina (+4) 41, Virginia 14

— SMU 28, Duke 27 OT
SMU blocked a short field goal on last play of regulation.
Duke scored TD in OT, went for 2 points/win, but failed on the try.
Mustangs have won five in a row, are 7-1 this season.
— Underdogs were 4-0 ATS in the Conference USA games during the week.

— Baylor 38, Oklahoma State 28
Baylor snapped an 8-game home losing streak in Big X games.
OSU is 0-5 in Big X games, giving up 307.2 rushing yards/game.
Baylor gained 565 yards on 58 plays (9.7 yards/play)

— Ball State 25, Northern Illinois 23
This is a bad loss for Notre Dame; they lost to NIU, which is now 4-4, 1-3 in the MAC, which isn’t a great league.

Famous birthdays, October 27th:
John Cleese, 85
Pete Vuckovich, 72
Matt Cavanaugh, 68
Rick Carlisle, 65
Jim Leonhard, 42
Brady Quinn, 40
Jon Niese, 38
Mark Barron, 35
Francisco Mejia, 29
Lonzo Ball, 27

— Tulsa 46, Tex-San Antonio 45
Roadrunners led this game 35-7 at halftime.
Tulsa scored two TD’s in the last 2:26 to pull out a dramatic win.
UTSA threw ball for 443 yards, but had 12 penalties for 129 yards.

— Memphis 33, Charlotte 28
Charlotte scored TD with 1:20 left to take a 28-24 lead.
Memphis threw a 24-yard TD pass with 0:31 left for the win.
Tigers are 7-1; their only loss was 56-44 at Navy.

— James Madison 32, Southern Mississippi 15
Since 2014, Dukes are 113-25 SU (45-24 ATS last 69 games)
In this game, JMU ran ball 41 times for 199 yards.
Southern Miss is 17-38 SU in its last 55 games.

— Wake Forest 27, Stanford 24
These schools are 2,729 miles apart; why are they in the same league?!?!?!?
Deacons kicked a 23-yard field goal with 1:48 left to win the game.
Wake ran ball for 173 yards, had four takeaways (+2).

— Utah State 27, Wyoming 25
Utah State drove 53 yards, kicked a 40-yard FG at the gun for a road win.
Wyoming ran ball for 276 yards (6.6 yards/carry) but turned ball over twice.
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting NFL spreads next week…….
— Texans @ Jets (-1)
— Dolphins @ Buffalo (-6)
— Broncos @ Buffalo (-9.5)
— Chargers (-2) @ Cleveland
— Saints (-6.5) @ Carolina
— Raiders @ Cincinnati (-8)

Quote of the Day
“Buy some time and don’t throw the ball out of bounds.”
Washington QB Jayden Daniels, on what he was thinking before he threw a football 64 yards for the game-winning Hail Mary TD pass on the last play Sunday.

Monday’s quiz
Who was the Jets’ coach the last time they made the playoffs?

Sunday’s quiz
2019 was last time World Series went to seven games, when the Nationals beat Houston.

Saturday’s quiz
2012 San Francisco Giants were last team to win a World Series four games to none.

***************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Commanders 18, Bears 15
Washington led 9-0 at halftime.
Bears scored a TD with 0:27 left to take a 15-12 lead.
Washington threw a 52-yard Hail Mary TD on last play of the game.
This was first game since 1977 where both teams scored go-ahead TD in last 0:30 of play.
Bears’ first seven drives: 36 plays, 93 yards, six punts.
Bears’ last four drives: 24 plays, 200 yards, 15 points.
Chicago scored 24-24-36-35 points in their wins, 13-16-15 in losses.
Chicago’s three losses are by 6-5-3 points.

Patriots 25, Jets 23
Patriots drove 70 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:22 left.
Backup QB Brissett came off bench, won game in relief of injured starter Maye.
Patriots are 24-4 in last 28 games against the Jets.
Jets are 1-8 SU/2-7 ATS in last nine visits to Foxboro.
Jets are 0-5 SU/ATS in last five games.
Jets gave up 23-37-25 points in three games since coaching change.
Jets are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
Last three weeks, Jets were outscored 45-12 in 2nd half.

Eagles 37, Bengals 17
Eagles had eight drives: 4 TD’s, 3 field goals and a punt.
Philly averaged 11.8 yards/pass attempt.
Eagles won four of their last five games.
Eagles are 7-2-1 ATS last ten games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Bengals are 0-4 at home, losing by 6-5-3-20 points.
Game was 10-10 at halftime.
Bengals first two drives: 28 plays, 131 yards, TD/FG
Bengals rest of game: 6 drives- 30 plays, 150 yards, 7 points.

Packers 30, Jaguars 27
Packers drove 64 yards, kicked game-winning FG at gun.
Green Bay had short TD drives of 28, 5 yards.
Packers won six of their last seven games.
Green Bay is 3-11-1 ATS in last 15 games as a road favorite.
Jaguars drove 87 yards, tied game 27-27 on TD with 1:48 left.
Both teams averaged over 9.0 yards/pass attempt.
Five of their last six games went over the total.
Under Pederson, Jaguars are 5-3 ATS as a home underdog.

Lions 52, Titans 14
Detroit scored 3 TDs in 2nd quarter, all on short drives: 25-12-22 yards.
Lions scored 52 points; QB Goff threw for only 85 yards.
Lions’ Kalif Raymond had a 90-yard punt return for a TD, a 72-yard kickoff return and another punt return for 64 yards.
Under Campbell, Lions are 12-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Tennessee is minus-13 in turnovers; their special teams have sucked.
Tennessee is 3-8 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
Titans have been outscored 111-43 in second half.
Misleading stat: Titans outgained Detroit 416-225.

Falcons 31, Buccaneers 26
Cousins was 23-29/276 passing, with four TD’s.
Atlanta won four of its last five games SU.
Four of Falcons’ last five games went over the total.
Atlanta is 3-0 SU on road, scoring 22-38-31 points.
Last five games, Bucs 33-30-51-31-26 points, only went 2-3.
Tampa Bay has eight turnovers in last three games (minus-4)
Since 2021, Bucs are 2-6 ATS as a home underdog.
Tampa Bay’s last five games went over the total.

Cardinals 28, Dolphins 27
Cardinals in first half: 23 plays, 112 yards, 7 points.
Cardinals in second half: 38 plays, 278 yards, 20 points.
Arizona is 17-9 ATS last 26 games as a road underdog.
Last six games, opponents are 45-76 (59.2%) on third down.
Arizona drove 72 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 0:01 left.
Dolphins led 20-10 with 6:30 left in third quarter.
Miami allowed 17-10 points in its wins, 31-24-16-31-28 in losses.
Dolphins are 8-13 ATS in last 21 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Browns 29, Ravens 24
Browns in first half: 31 plays, 152 yards, 6 points.
Browns in second half: 37 plays, 250 yards, 23 points.
Winston threw 38-yard TD pass with 0:59 left for the win.
Cleveland is 13-5-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
On first drive, Ravens were stopped on downs on 10-yard line.
On last drive, Ravens were on Cleveland 25, but couldn’t score TD.
Cleveland was 8-15 on third down, Ravens were 2-10
Over is 7-1 in Baltimore’s games this year.

Texans 23, Colts 20
Houston led 17-10 at halftime.
In first half, QB Richardson was 2-15 passing, for 81 yards.
All eight Colts games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Colts are 4-1-1 ATS last six AFC South road games.
Indy won four of its last six games (5-0-1 ATS)
Houston beat Colts twice this year, 29-27/23-20.
Texans have five wins by 6 or fewer points.
Texans are 5-14 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite
Mixon ran ball 25 times for 102 yards and a TD.

Famous birthdays, October 28th:
Lenny Wilkens, 87
Dennis Franz, 80
Annie Potts, 72
Randy Wittman, 65
Bob Melvin, 63
Jami Gertz, 59
Steve Atwater, 58
Julia Roberts, 57
Brad Paisley, 52
Terrell Davis, 52
Jarrett Jack, 41
Spencer Strider, 26

Chargers 26, Saints 8
Saints’ first five drives: 20 plays, 90 yards, five punts.
New Orleans lost its last six games, last four by 13-24-13-18 points.
Saints are 1-5 against spread in last six games.
Last four games, New Orleans was outscored 71-13 in second half.
Chargers led 9-5 at halftime.
Bolts in second half: 28 plays, 207 yards, 17 points.
Chargers scored 22-26-23-26 points in wins, 10-10-15 in losses.
Under is 6-1 in their first seven games.

Bills 31, Seahawks 10
Bills ran for 164 yards, outgained Seattle 445-233.
Buffalo is 5-0 when it allows less than 23 points.
Buffalo outscored last four opponents 64-16 in second half.
Buffalo is 17-5-1 ATS last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Seahawks were 1-7 on third down, Buffalo 8-15.
Last four games, Seattle gave up 180.5 rushing yards/game.
Seahawks are 0-4 when they give up more than 20 points.
Seahawks are 12-21-3 ATS last 36 games coming off a win.

Broncos 28, Panthers 14
Panthers lost Young’s three starts: 47-10, 26-3, 28-14.
Carolina’s seven losses are all by 14+ points.
Carolina is 2-11-1 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog.
Panthers gave up 20+ points in first half in seven of eight games.
Denver won/covered five of its last six games.
Broncos’ first two drives: 12 plays, 47 yards, no points.
Broncos’ next three drives: 24 plays, 195 yards, 21 points.
QB Nix was 28-37/284 passing, with three TD’s.

Chiefs 27, Raiders 20
Chiefs converted 12-16 third down plays, led 17-10 at half.
Last five games, Chiefs are 41-74 on third down.
Chiefs won their first seven games (4-3 ATS), by 7-1-5-7-13-10-7 points.
Kansas City is 7-0 despite being minus-5 in turnovers.
Raiders’ first two drives: 22 plays, 120 yards, 10 points.
Raiders’ last six drives: 35 plays, 89 yards, 10 points.
Kansas City won 16 of last 19 series games.
Raiders are 15-7 ATS in last 22 AFC West home games.

49ers 30, Cowboys 24
Dallas led 10-6 at halftime.
49ers’ 1st 3 drives of 3rd quarter: 21 plays, 167 yards, 21 points.
Cowboys gave up 17-15-17 points in wins, 44-28-47-30 in losses.
Cowboys allowed 14.2/12.1/10.3/8.8 yards/pass attempt in losses.
Purdy threw ball for 260 yards, ran for 56 more.
49ers are 13-8 ATS last 21 games as a home favorite.
49ers scored 32-30-36-30 points in wins, 17-24-23-18 in losses.
San Francisco is 12-7 ATS last 19 games coming off a loss.
 

Cnotes53

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting college football spreads this week…….
— Arizona @ Central Florida (-5)
— Ole Miss (-4) @ Arkansas
— USC @ Washington (even)
— Wisconsin @ Iowa (-4)
— Texas A&M (-4) @ South Carolina
— Ohio State (-3) @ Penn State

Quote of the Day
“A little song, a little dance……a little seltzer down your pants.”
Chuckles the Clown, from The Mary Tyler Moore Show; the episode about Chuckles’ funeral aired 49 years ago this week, in 1975.

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Daniel Jones play his college football?

Monday’s quiz
Rex Ryan was the Jets’ coach the last time they made the playoffs, in 2010.

Sunday’s quiz
2019 was last time World Series went to seven games, when the Nationals beat Houston.

****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— YouTubeTV is very good; had the NFL game and the World Series on same screen last night, which was very good. Easier that watching the second game on my laptop.

Steelers 26, Giants 18
Steelers’ first TD was a 73-yard punt return by Austin in 3rd quarter.
Austin scored Steelers’ other TD, a 29-yard TD pass.
Steelers averaged 8.7/8.1 yards/pass attempt in Wilson’s first two starts.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
Steelers have won their last 22 Monday night home games.
Game was 9-9 at halftime; six field goals.
Giants ran the ball for 157 yards (6.3 yards/carry)
Giants had 11 penalties for only 65 yards.
QB Jones is 25-43-1 as an NFL starter, 1-15 in night games.

— Random facts:
Steelers have had three head coaches since 1969.
Michigan State has had two basketball coaches since 1976.

— Dodgers 4, New York 2
Freeman hit a 2-run homer in first inning.
Buehler threw five shutout IP, on 76 pitches.
Six relievers combined to get the last 12 outs.
Dodgers lead series, 3-0.

— The baseball Shohei Ohtani hit for his 50th home run this season apparently sold for $4,392,000 at a recent auction.

— P Yoshinobu Yamamoto was 7-2, 3.00 in 18 starts for the Dodgers this year; he signed a 12-year contract worth $325M ($27.1M/year). In his last three playoff starts, Yamamoto gave up only 3 runs in 15.2 IP (5 runs in 5 IP in his first one).
Cubs gave P Shota Imanaga $22.5M for two years (plus team options for 2026-28); he was 15-3, 2.91 in 29 starts this year, which bodes very well for other Asian pitchers who want to come over here for the big bucks.

Famous birthdays, October 29
Richard Dreyfuss, 77
Kate Jackson, 76
Danny Vranes, 66
Jesse Barfield, 65
RA Dickey, 50
Keenan Burton, 4o
Andy Dalton, 37
Ender Inciarte, 34
Evan Fournier, 32

— How would you like to be the guy that bet $120,000 on the Bears Sunday, only to lose on the Hail Mary on the last play? It was posted on Twitter that the person made the bet at Caeser’s.

— At the SouthPoint casino in Las Vegas, you can bet on which NFL team will score the first touchdown every Sunday. Atlanta Falcons (12-1) were Sunday’s winner.

— Washington State’s football team is 7-1, their best start since 2018, when a Gardner Minshew-led Coog squad was 7-1 under coach Mike Leach. Wazzu has three wins by 5 or fewer points so far this season.

— There are college basketball scrimmages going on; some of them have surfaced on TV, which has been fun to see. Season starts for real next Monday November 4.

— Last three games, USC’s football team has given up 518, 429, 434 total yards. No bueno.

— There are 11 college basketball players this season who used to play for New Mexico, but transferred out of Albuquerque.

— Rice fired football coach Mike Bloomgren after the Owls started this season 2-6; Rice hasn’t had a winning season since 2014, but they play in bowls the last two years, losing both of them.
Bloomgren was 24-52 at Rice; the school owes him around $900,000.
 

Udog

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WEEK 10

Tuesday, October 29


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Wednesday, October 30

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Thursday, October 31

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Friday, November 1

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Saturday, November 2

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NCAAF

Week 10


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Trend Report
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NCAAF
Weather Report

Tuesday, October 29


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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Tuesday’s games
New Mexico State
@ Florida International (-9.5)
New Mexico State (2-5, 1-3)
Aggies are 1-5 vs I-A teams, giving up 40.5 ppg.
Aggies are minus-10 in turnovers.
NM State has 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
Aggies have 115 starts back on offensive line.
Former JC QB Awad is 40-92/518 passing (4 TDs, 3 INTs).


Aggies gave up 280+ rushing yards in four of last five games.
NM State is 6-8-1 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog (0-3 TY).
Aggies are 12-4-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
NM State has completed less than half its passes in 6 of 7 games.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.


Florida International (2-6, 1-3)
Panthers lost five of their last six games.
FIU is 0-5 when it allows more than 16 points.
FIU has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
FIU has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Jankins started 11 games last year.


Last 4+ years, FIU is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, MacIntyre is 16-16 ATS as home favorite.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 0-4 ATS as a favorite anywhere.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 9-10 ATS coming off a loss.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 9-11 ATS in conference games.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.


Teams split meetings the last two years, both in Las Cruces.
C-USA underdogs are 11-8 ATS in league games, 5-5 on road.


Louisiana @ Texas State (-3.5)
Louisiana (6-1, 3-0)
ULL has scored 33+ points in six of its seven games.
Cajuns’ only loss was 41-33 at home to Tulane.
ULL has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
Cajuns have 91 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Wooldridge had 8 starts before this year.


Louisiana is 12-5-1 ATS in last 18 games as road underdogs.
Under Desormeaux, ULL is 6-4 ATS as an underdog.
Under Desormeaux, ULL is 4-12-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Cajuns are 4-0 SU on road TY, scoring 33 ppg.
ULL gave up 200+ rushing yards in three of last five games.


Texas State (4-3, 2-1)
Bobcats scored 28+ points in five of six I-A games.
Texas State gave up 17-10-9 points in I-A wins, 31-40-24 in losses.
Texas State has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Texas State has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB McCloud has completed 68.4% of passes (20 TD’s, 7 INTs)


Texas State is 6-4 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite.
Under Kinne, Bobcats are 6-7 ATS as a favorite.
Texas State is 13-9 ATS last 22 games coming off a loss.
Texas State is 4-0 when it gains 467+ yards, 0-3 when it doesn’t.
Bobcats’ last three games stayed under the total.


Louisiana is 11-0 SU/10-1 ATS in last 11 series games.
Last time Texas State was favored over ULL: 2014.
Cajuns’ last three visits to Texas State went over the total.
Sun Belt home favorites are 9-7 ATS in conference games.


Louisiana Tech @ Sam Houston State (-9.5)
Louisiana Tech (3-4, 2-2)
Tech is 2-4 vs I-A teams, with three losses by 7 or less points.
Bulldogs are +3 in turnovers last three games (minus-8 in first three).
Tech has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tech has 79 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Bullock is 91-138/1,038 passing (9 TD, no INTs).


Under Cumbie, Tech is 3-8 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Cumbie is 4-9 ATS as a road underdog.
As a head coach, Cumbie is 8-11 ATS as an underdog.
Bulldogs are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
Under Cumbie, Tech is 2-6 ATS coming off a win.


Sam Houston State (6-2, 3-1)
Bearkats won five of its last six games (4-2 ATS).
Bearkats were held to 10-14 points in last two games.
Sam Houston has 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Bearkats have 70 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Watson played JC ball in Iowa last year.


Sam Houston is 3-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
Bearkats are 6-6 ATS in last 12 conference games.
Sam Houston is 5-2 ATS in last seven games coming off a win.
Bearkats are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.


Sam Houston (+7.5) won 42-27 at Louisiana Tech LY
C-USA underdogs are 11-8 ATS in league games, 5-5 on road.
 

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TUESDAY, OCTOBER 29

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NMSU at FIU07:00 PMNMSU +7.5
O 43.5
+500 +500
ULL at TXST07:30 PMTXST -4.5
U 59.5
+500 +500
LT at SHSU08:00 PMSHSU -10.0
O 45.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NCAAFB BEST BETS OCTOBER !

10/29/2024...........................1 - 4 - 0...............................25.00%.........................- 17.00
10/26/2024.......................12 - 12 - 2..............................50.00%..........................- 6.00
10/25/2024............................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
10/24/2024............................1 - 3 - 0...............................25.00%.........................- 11.50
10/23/2024............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
10/22/2024............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
10/15/2024............................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%..........................+ 9.50
10/12/2024............................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%..........................- 35.00
10/11/2024..............................3 - 2 - 0.............................60.00%...........................+ 4.00
10/10/2024..............................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 1.00
10/09/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/08/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/05/2024...........................14 - 18 - 1...........................43.75%............................- 29.00
10/04/2024................................5 - 2 - 0...........................71.42%............................+ 19.50
10/03/2024.,..............................3 - 1 - 0...........................75.00%............................+ 9.50

TOTALS..................................57 - 62 - 3............................47.89%............................ - 51.00


AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
 
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