Cnotes College Football News-Notes-Rumors-Best Bets 2024-2025 !

[Cnotes53]

NCAAFB BEST BETS OCTOBER !

10/12/2024............................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%..........................- 35.00
10/11/2024..............................3 - 2 - 0.............................60.00%...........................+ 4.00
10/10/2024..............................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 1.00
10/09/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/08/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/05/2024...........................14 - 18 - 1...........................43.75%............................- 29.00
10/04/2024................................5 - 2 - 0...........................71.42%............................+ 19.50
10/03/2024.,..............................3 - 1 - 0...........................75.00%............................+ 9.50

TOTALS..................................33 - 37 - 1............................47.14%............................ - 33.00


AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 7 college football spreads……
— Alabama (-2.5) @ Tennessee
— Nebraska @ Indiana (-5)
— South Carolina @ Oklahoma (-2.5)
— Michigan @ Illinois (-1)
— Georgia @ Texas (-3.5)
— Kentucky @ Florida (-2)

Thought of the Day
Happy Thanksgiving to all our Canadian friends…….

Monday’s quiz
Where did Jared Goff play his college football?

Sunday’s quiz
NFL QB’s Jared Goff, Patrick Mahomes have fathers who played major league baseball.

Saturday’s quiz
Last time Detroit Tigers made it to the World Series (2012), Hall of Famer Jim Leyland was their manager.

*************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday…….​

Ravens 30, Commanders 23
Baltimore won last four games, scoring 28-35-41-30 points.
Ravens’ first 3 drives: 17 plays, 79 yards, 3 points.
Ravens rest of game: 51 plays, 405 yards, 27 points.
Ravens are 7-3 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.
Over is 5-1 in Baltimore’s games this year.
Ravens ran ball 37 times for 176 yards.
Washington ran ball 18 times for 52 yards.
Baltimore was 6-10 on third down, Commanders 4-12.
Washington’s team total: over 5-1
Over is 5-1 in Washington games this year.

Bears 35, Jaguars 16
Bears’ first two drives: six plays, 7 yards, two punts.
Bears’ next six drives: 45 plays, 353 yards, 35 points.
Last three games, Chicago scored 13 TD’s on 29 drives.
Opponents’ team total: under 6-0
Jaguars in first half: 25 plays, 112 yards, 3 punts, 3 points.
Last five games, Jaguars were outscored 88-35 in first half.
Bears outgained Jacksonville, 373-278.
Jaguars are 12-20 ATS last 32 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Texans 41, Patriots 21
Texans’ first two drives: 19 plays, 100 yards, 14 points.
Houston ran ball 28 times for 192 yards.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 15-8 as an NFL starter.
Houston had four takeaways (+3); they didn’t have any in previous 3 games.
New England lost last five games, outscored 68-33 in first half.
Patriots are 14-53 on third down in their last four games.
NE is 1-10-1 ATS in last dozen games as a home underdog.
Patriots are 30-44 since Tom Brady left town.

Eagles 20, Browns 16
Cleveland’s only TD was on a blocked field goal late in first half.
Cleveland scored 17-18-15-16-13-16 points in its 1-5 start.
Browns are 15-78 on 3rd down so far, 10-16 on 4th down.
Browns have gained 230-297-217-152-215-244 yards so far.
Browns are 5-11-1 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
On their last five drives, Browns were 3-4 on field goals; no TD’s.
Eagles outgained Cleveland, 372-244.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 12-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
QB Hurts is 39-22 as an NFL starter.

Packers 34, Cardinals 13
Packers’ first five drives: 34 plays, 251 yards, 24 points.
Cardinals’ first four drives: 14 plays, 34 yards, four punts.
QB Murray is 30-41-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Last four games, Arizona opponents are 28-47 on third down.
Green Bay led 24-10 at halftime.
QB Love was 22-32/258 passing, with four TD’s.
Packers have 17 takeaways in six games (+9 turnovers)
Green Bay is 27-16-1 ATS in last 44 home games.

Buccaneers 51, Saints 27
Tampa Bay led 17-0 after the first quarter.
Mayfield threw 3 INTs in 2nd quarter; Saints led 27-24 at half.
Bucs’ last five drives: 31 plays, 299 yards, 27 points.
Buccaneers scored 33-30-51 points in their last three games (7 TD’s/19 drives).
Tampa Bay is 12-9-2 in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Saints in 2nd half: 32 plays, 107 yards, outscored 27-0.
New Orleans lost its last four games, by 3-2-13-24 points.
Rookie QB Rattler was 22-40/243 passing in his first NFL start.
Saints are 9-12-2 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points,

Colts (-1) @ Titans
Colts are 10-3 SU/ATS in last 13 visits to Nashville.
Colts are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
Under Steichen, Colts are 10-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
All six Colts games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Colts were 7-15 on third down, Tennessee 4-11.
Tennessee is 0-6 ATS in last six games coming off a win.
Titans have averaged 5.3/5.3/4.9/4.6/3.5 yards/pass attempt.
QB Levis is 4-10 as an NFL starter.

Famous birthdays, October 14th:
Al Oliver, 78
Charlie Joiner, 77
Brent Strom, 76
Lori Petty, 61
Joe Girardi, 60
PJ Brown, 55
Jim Jackson, 54
Merrill Kelly, 36
Jared Goff, 30

Chargers 23, Broncos 16
Chargers in first half: 46 plays, 247 yards, 20 points.
Chargers had 20-play, 69-yard drive that took 10:29- they kicked FG.
Denver in first half: 20 plays, 61 yards, 2 turnovers, no points.
Chargers are 7-3-2 ATS last 11 games as road favorites.
Dobbins ran ball 25 times for 96 yards and a TD.
Chargers led 20-0 at halftime.
Denver is only 20-80 on third down conversions (3-11 this game)
Broncos outscored last five opponents 59-17 in second half.
Broncos are 10-17 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
Chargers had lost their last five visits to Colorado.

Steelers 32, Raiders 13
Steelers ran ball 35 times for 183 yards (5.2 yards/carry)
Steelers allowed 10-6-10-13 points in wins, 27-20 in losses.
Opponents’ team total: under 5-1
Steelers are 15-8-1 ATS in last 24 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Raiders drove 70 yards for a TD on their first drive.
Next eight drives: 36 plays, 130 yards, no points.
Raiders have 12 turnovers in six games (minus-10).
Raiders’ two wins were by 3-4 points, losses by 12-14-16-19 points.

Lions 47, Cowboys 9
Detroit had 10 drives: 5 touchdowns, 4 field goals on first nine.
Goff was 18-25/315 passing, with three TD’s.
Detroit ran ball 36 times for 184 yards.
Lions outscored last three opponents 73-23 in first half.
Star DE Aidan Hutchinson appeared to break his leg
Dallas is 0-3 at home this year, losing by 25-3-36 points.
Cowboys gave up 17-15-17 points in wins, 44-28-47 in losses.
Dallas allowed 14.2/12.1/10.3 yards/pass attempt in their losses.
Cowboys turned ball over on each of their last four possessions.

Falcons 38, Panthers 20
Falcons ran the ball 38 times for 198 yards.
Falcons scored a TD on three of their first five drives.
Atlanta is 12-6 ATS in last 18 NFC South road games.
Falcons scored 22-26-36-38 points in wins, 10-17 in losses.
Panthers trailed this game 22-17 at halftime.
Carolina’s five losses are by 37-23-10-26-18 points.
Carolina is 0-3 SU at home (26-3 Chargers, 34-24 Bengals)
Panthers are 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.
Carolina opponents’ team total: over 5-1

Bengals 17, Giants 7
QB Burrow ran 47 yards for a TD on Cincy’s first drive.
RB Brown put game away with a 30-yard TD run with 1:52 left.
Bengals had allowed 10+ points in 75 consecutive games.
Bengals are 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as a road favorite.
Cincinnati is 20-11-1 ATS in last 32 games coming off a loss
Giants are 0-3 at home (28-6 Vikings, 20-15 Cowboys)
Giants were 5-15 on third down, 3-5 on fourth down.
Giants have one TD on 29 drives in their three home games.
Five of their six games stayed under the total.
QB Jones is 25-41-1 as an NFL starter.

Dodgers 9, Mets 0
Jack Flaherty allowed four baserunners in 7 scoreless IP.
Dodgers have now thrown 33 consecutive scoreless IP.
Mookie Betts knocked in three runs; Ohtani scored twice.
Dodgers grab a 1-0 series lead; Game 2 is today at 5:00.

 

[Udog]

WEEK 8

Tuesday, October 15

Wednesday, October 16

Thursday, October 17

Friday, October 18

Saturday, October 19

 

[Udog]

NCAAF

Week 8

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 8

Tuesday, October 14

Wednesday, October 15

Thursday, October 16

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
NFL underdogs of 5.5+ points this year:
Week 1— 3-1 ATS
Week 2— 6-0 ATS
Week 3— 5-1 ATS
Week 4— 3-2-1 ATS
Week 5— 2-1 ATS
Week 6— 1-3-1 ATS

Quote of the Day
“In practice I think we can get up and down more. I think so often as coaches in modern-day NBA, the league’s gotten so soft, everybody’s afraid to condition and run. We have to.”
Denver Nuggets coach Michael Malone

Tuesday’s quiz
In the football movie Any Given Sunday, where Al Pacino coaches the Miami Sharks, what well known actress plays the owner of the Sharks?

Monday’s quiz
Jared Goff played his college football for the Cal Bears.

Sunday’s quiz
NFL QB’s Jared Goff, Patrick Mahomes have fathers who played major league baseball.

*************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

— Bills 23, Jets 20
Buffalo had 11 penalties for 94 yards.
Jets had 11 penalties for 110 yards; refs threw too many flags.
Buffalo led this game 20-17 at halftime.
Jets missed field goals of 32, 43 yards; Bills missed a PAT.
Jets threw a 52-yard Hail Mary TD on last play of first half.
Rodgers was 23-35/294 passing, with 2 INTs and an INT.
Jets are 17-28 ATS last 45 games as an underdog.
Jets are 9-14 ATS in last 23 games as a home underdog.
Bills scored TD’s on three of their first four drives.
Buffalo is 16-5-1 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Buffalo won eight of last ten series games.

— Mets 7, Dodgers 3
Mark Vientos broke the game open with a 2nd inning grand slam.
Mets bullpen didn’t allow a run in 4 IP.
Series heads to New York, tied 1-1.
Modern baseball: When the Dodgers threw three consecutive shutouts the last few days, they still made 13 pitching changes in those games.

— New York 5, Guardians 2
Soto, Stanton both homered for New York.
Carlos Rodon allowed 3 baserunners, one run in 6 IP.
Alex Cobb started on mound for Cleveland, only his 5th start all season.
This season, Cleveland OF Steven Kwan had a .988 OPS in Guardians’ wins, .565 in the Guardians’ losses.

— Week 6 was a big week for NFL road favorites; they were 7-0 ATS this week.

— So far this season, NFC North teams are 17-4 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Imagine being coach of the Dallas Cowboys, playing a game on your boss’s (Jerry Jones) 82nd birthday, and losing 47-9, heading onto a bye week? Not great.

— Today is October 15, Week 7 is looming, and the Detroit Lions still haven’t played a game outdoors this season.

Famous birthdays, October 15th:
Linda Lavin, 87
Jim Palmer, 79
Joe Klecko, 71
Vanessa Marcil, 55
Fred Hoiberg, 52
Connor Barwin, 38
Blaine Gabbert, 35
Teoscar Hernandez, 32
Jack Flaherty, 29
Brandon Pfaadt, 26

Movie of the Day: Before We Go (2014)- Two strangers stuck in Manhattan for the night become good friends when a lot of unexpected things happen in one very long evening.
Nick is a musician trying to catch his one big break in the business, while also trying to avoid an old girlfriend. Brooke is a woman trying to find the right way to dump her husband, who has been cheating on her.
Good movie; I’ve never heard of one person who was in this movie, but it was well done and fun to watch. It is on Tubi, which has several good movies.

— Best college football teams against spread this year:
Army, BYU, both 6-0 ATS

Worst college football teams against spread this year:
0-6- Air Force, Kansas
0-6-1- North Carolina, NC State

— Florida Gators QB Graham Mertz (torn ACL) is out for the year.

— Kentucky is ranked #23 in the preseason college basketball top 25, their lowest rank in the preseason since 2009,
Kentucky alum Mark Pope is the new basketball coach at Kentucky; this past weekend, his coach with the Wildcats, Rick Pitino, was back in Lexington. Pitino has served as a mentor for Pope since he replaced John Calipari as Kentucky’s coach this spring, but it is an unusual situation, seeing how Pitino coaches St John’s now.
Not often do you see a big-time coach helping prop up a different top 25 program. Pitino wore a Kentucky pullover Friday, but had St John’s gear on Saturday.

— Cleveland Browns are first NFL team in 10 years to score less than 20 points in each of their first six games of a season.

— Louisiana-Monroe’s football team is off to a 5-1 start; Warhawks went a combined 10-36 the last four years. Good start this season for first-year head coach Bryant Vincent.

— Wealthiest owners in the NFL:
$94.3B- Rob Walton, Broncos
$21.3B- David Tepper, Panthers
$17B- Stephen Ross, Dolphins
$16.9B- Stan Kroenke, Rams
$15.2B- Jerry Jones, Cowboys

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 8

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 8

Tuesday’s games
Troy @ South Alabama (-12.5)
Troy (1-5, 0-2)
Trojans are 0-5 vs I-A teams, with home losses by 21-17 points.
Troy has 2 starters back on offense, 2 on defense
Trojans have 42 starts back on offensive line.
Frosh QB Kilcrease is 25-43/379 passing (3 TD’s, no INTs).
Trojans are giving up 31 ppg vs I-A opponents.


Troy was 23-5 SU last two years; they’re 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS vs I-A teams TY
Last 2+ years, Troy is 6-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Trojans are 13-5 ATS in Sun Belt games (0-2 TY).
Under is 3-1 in Troy’s last four games.
Trojans are 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.


South Alabama (2-4, 1-1)
USA is 1-4 in I-A games (only win 48-14 at App State).
Jaguars lost only I-A home game, 52-38 to North Texas.
USA has 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Jaguars have 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lopez has thrown for 1,306 yards (12 TD’s, one INT).


USA is 6-8 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
Last 4+ years, South Alabama is 15-19 ATS in Sun Belt games.
New coach Applewhite was 15-11 in two years at Houston (’17-’18)
South Alabama is 5-6 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Jaguars’ last four I-A games stayed under the total.


Troy won/covered last six series games.
Trojans are 5-1 SU/4-1-1 ATS in last six visits to Mobile.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Sun Belt home favorites are 5-5 ATS in conference play.


Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee State (-10)
Kennesaw State (0-5, 0-1)
Kennesaw lost its first three I-A games by 12-24-21-39 points.
Owls also lost 27-13 to UT-Martin, a I-AA team.
Kennesaw has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Owls have 33 starts back on offensive line, added six transfers.
Soph QB Bryson is 57-111/616 passing, with 2 TD’s, 6 INTs.


All four of their I-A losses were by 12+ points.
Kennesaw is 1-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Owls were outgained by 236.3 yards/game in their I-A tilts.
Kennesaw is 2-9 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.
Under is 3-1 in their I-A games this season.


Middle Tennessee (1-5, 0-2)
MTSU is 0-5 vs I-A teams, outscored 218-69 (44-14 average).
MTSU beat a I-AA team 32-25, but was outgained, 341-328.
MTSU has 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Blue Raiders have 26 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Vattiato has started 18 games.


MTSU is 7-9 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Mason is 9-11 ATS as a home favorite.
MTSU is minus-8 in turnovers in its I-A games.
MTSU is 5-13 ATS in its last 17 conference games.
Blue Raiders are 6-10 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
Three of their last four games went over.


These teams haven’t met recently.
Favorites are 7-4 ATS in C-USA conference games.


Louisiana Tech (-11) @ New Mexico State
Louisiana Tech (2-3, 1-1)
Tech is 1-3 vs I-A teams; they beat MTSU 48-21 last week.
Bulldogs are minus-7 in turnovers in their four games.
Tech has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tech has 79 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Bullock is 48-68/557 passing (6 TD, no INTs).


Under Cumbie, Tech is 3-11 ATS on the road (1-1 TY).
In his career, Cumbie is 4-8 ATS as a favorite (1-2 TY).
LW, Tech ran ball for 222 yards (averaged 69.7 in previous 3).
Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in their last nine conference games.
Under Cumbie, Tech is 2-5 ATS coming off a win.


New Mexico State (1-5, 0-3)
Aggies are 0-5 vs I-A teams, giving up 42.6 ppg.
Aggies have given up 288.6 rushing yards/game in I-A games.
NM State has 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
Aggies have 115 starts back on offensive line.
Former JC QB Awad is 29-70/363 passing (3 TDs, 3 INTs).


Aggies lost two I-A home games, 30-24 (Liberty), 50-40 (New Mexico).
Last 2+ years, NM State is 3-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Aggies are 15-10 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss (0-4 TY).
NM State has completed less than half its passes in all five games.
Aggies did run for 285-206 yards in their last two games.


Louisiana Tech is 6-1 SU/3-4 ATS in last seven series games.
Tech won last three visits to Las Cruces, by 14-21-4 points (1-2 ATS)
Last three meetings stayed under the to
tal.
Favorites are 7-4 ATS in C-USA conference games.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 8

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 8

Wednesday’s games
Western Kentucky @ Sam Houston State (-3)
Western Kentucky (4-2, 2-0)
WKU won its two C-USA tilts, 49-21 MTSU, 44-17 UTEP.
WKU’s losses: 63-0 at Alabama, 21-20 at Boston College.
Hilltoppers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
WKU has 91 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Veltkamp is 94-135/1,147 passing (11 TD’s, 5 INTs).


WKU is 16-7-1 ATS in last 24 games as a road underdog.
WKU is 17-9-1 ATS in last 27 conference games.
Hilltoppers are 17-8-1 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
WKU outgained BC 355-279 in their loss in Boston Sept 28.
WKU’s other I-A win was 26-21 (+2.5) over Toledo.


Sam Houston State (5-1, 2-0)
Bearkats won last four games, scoring 31-31-40-41 points.
Bearkats ran ball for 282 yards/game in those wins.
Sam Houston has 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Bearkats have 70 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Watson played JC ball in Iowa last year.


Sam Houston is 2-7 ATS last 9 games as home favorites (2-0 TY).
Bearkats are 14-15 ATS in last 28 conference games.
Bearkats were down 22-0, rallied to beat Texas State 40-39 on Sept 28.
Sam Houston is 5-1 ATS in last five games coming off a win.
Bearkats won their two home games, 31-13/31-11


WKU (-11) beat the Bearkats 28-23 at home last year.
Hilltoppers outgained Sam Houston 465-357, were minus-2 in turnovers.
C-USA home favorites are 4-2 ATS in conference games.


Florida International (-7) @ Texas-El Paso
FIU (2-4, 1-1)
FIU gave up 16-10 points in wins, 31-38-45-31 in losses.
Panthers have a 45-42 loss to I-AA Monmouth.
FIU has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
FIU has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Jankins started 11 games last year.


FIU is a road favorite for first time since 2019.
In his career, MacIntyre is 5-4 ATS as road favorite.
Last 4+ years, FIU is 0-6 ATS as a favorite anywhere.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 8-9 ATS coming off a loss.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 8-10 ATS in conference games.


Texas-El Paso (0-6, 0-3)
Miners lost I-A games by 33-18-10-20-27 points, scoring 14.4 ppg.
UTEP has been outrushed 1,145-466 in its I-A games.
UTEP has 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
Miners have 26 starts back on offensive line, mostly at I-AA level.
Soph QB Locklear came with the new coach from I-AA Austin Peay.


UTEP is 6-5 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog (0-1 TY).
UTEP is 18-13 ATS in last 30 conference games.
Miners are 12-10 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
UTEP lost 27-24 to I-AA Southern Utah.
Last two games, Miners allowed 517-482 TY, in C-USA games.


UTEP won last two series games, 27-14/40-6.
Panthers lost two of last three visits to El Paso.
Last three meetings stayed under the total.
Favorites are 7-4 ATS in C-USA conference games.


Thursday’s games
Georgia State @ Marshall (-9)
Georgia State (2-3, 0-2)
Panthers lost their two Sun Belt tilts, 38-21/21-14.
Georgia State was outrushed 463-86 in those games.
Georgia State has 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
Georgia State has 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Veilleux started five games at Pitt last year


Panthers lost only road game, 35-12 (+21) at Georgia Tech.
Georgia State is 12-6 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog (0-1 TY).
Georgia State is 20-12 ATS in last 32 conference games (0-2 TY).
Panthers are 13-10-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
Georgia State’s only I-A win: 36-32 (+8.5) over Vanderbilt.


Marshall (3-3, 1-1)
Marshall lost 24-23 LW; they led 23-3 after three quarters.
Marshall is 3-0 SU at home, with I-A wins by 7-15 points.
Thundering Herd has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
Thundering Herd has 57 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Earle started twice for North Texas last year.


Marshall won/covered both its I-A home games this year.
Since 2016, Marshall is 13-29-1 ATS as a home favorite (2-0 TY).
Under Huff, Thundering Herd is 11-14-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Huff, Thundering Herd is 8-9 ATS coming off a loss.
Last three games, Marshal ran ball for 226.3 yards/game.


Teams split their first two meetings as Sun Belt rivals.
Georgia State (+6.5) lost 28-23 at Marshall two years ago.
Both series games went over the total.


Boston College @ Virginia Tech (-6.5)
Boston College (4-2, 1-1)
BC was held to 49-65 rushing yards in its two losses.
Eagles ran ball for 175.3 yards/game in their I-A wins.
Eagles have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Eagles have 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Castellanos started 12 games LY.


Boston College is 5-3 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
In his college career, O’Brien is 7-4 ATS as an underdog.
Eagles are 11-15 ATS in last 26 ACC games.
BC lost 27-21 at Mizzou, 24-14 at Virginia; won 28-13 at Florida State
Eagles’ last four games stayed under the total.


Virginia Tech (3-3, 1-1)
Tech is 0-3 in close games, losing by 7-3-4 points.
Hokies scored 31-37-31 points in their three wins.
Hokies have 11 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Drones started 11 games last year.


Under Pry, Tech is 4-6 ATS as a home favorite (0-2 TY).
Under Pry, Hokies are 11-6 ATS in ACC games.
Under Pry, Hokies are 4-6 ATS coming off a win.
Tech gave up 14-17-7 points in wins, 34-26-38 in losses.
Over is 4-2 in Tech games this season.

Virginia Tech won three of last four meetings.
Boston College is 1-3 SU/ATS last four visits to Blacksburg.
Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 15​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
TROY at USA	07:30 PM	U 54.0	+500
KENN at MTU	08:00 PM	MTU -10.0 U 50.0	+500 +500
LT at NMSU	09:00 PM	NMSU +11.0 O 50.0	+500 +500

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 7 NFL spreads:
— Dolphins @ Indianapolis (-3.5)
— Panthers @ Washington (-7.5)
— Chiefs @ San Francisco (-1.5)
— Jets (-1.5) @ Pittsburgh
— Ravens (-3.5) @ Tampa Bay
— Chargers (-2.5) @ Arizona

Quote of the Day
“It’s just funny how things change, where there was a lot of concern about Shohei not being able to get hits with the runners in scoring position — and now we’re all trying to find ways … to get guys on base so he can hit, right? I kind of find that comical, a little bit.”
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts

Wednesday’s quiz
How many NFL teams have not won a Super Bowl?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the football movie Any Given Sunday, where Al Pacino coaches the Miami Sharks, Cameron Diaz plays the owner of the Sharks.

Monday’s quiz
Jared Goff played his college football for the Cal Bears.


*********************************************


Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings, and Big X basketball notes…….

— Couple of well-known receivers got traded Tuesday:
Jets acquired Davante Adams from Las Vegas, sending a 3rd round pick to the Raiders, a pick that could become a 2nd round pick if the Adams/Jets did really well the rest of this season. Move saves the Raiders $29.6M in dead money on next year’s salary cap.

Cleveland Browns sent Amari Cooper to Buffalo, also for a 3rd round draft pick; Cooper had 53 targets with Cleveland, but caught only 24 of those passes.

— Sounds like Russell Wilson is going to get his first start at QB for Pittsburgh Sunday night, when Steelers host the Jets. Steelers are 4-2 with Justin Fields playing QB in all six games, but they were held under 300 total yards the last two weeks, and Wilson is healthier now.

— Over their last three games, LA Chargers have been outscored 39-3 in the second half.

— New York 6, Cleveland 3
Cleveland P Bibee allowed three runs, got only four outs.
Aaron Judge hit a 2-run home run.
New York leads best-of-7 series, 2-0

— 38.8% of major league pitchers this year have had Tommy John surgery, roughly three of every eight pitchers.

— South Alabama 25, Troy 9
South Alabama led 19-3 at halftime.
Jaguars outgained 1-6 Troy, 318-172.
Troy threw 3 INT’s, averaged only 3.8 yards/pass.

— Middle Tennessee 14, Kennesaw State 5
Blue Raiders ran a punt back 61 yards for a TD.
MTSU outgained the Owls, 284-234.
Kennesaw State is 0-6, in their first year at the I-A level.

Famous birthdays, October 16th:
Timothy Robbins, 66
John Mengelt, 75
Kevin McReynolds, 65
Adrian Murrell, 54

Kordell Stewart, 52
Jonathan Schoop, 33
Bryce Harper, 32
John Wolford, 29

Notes on Big X basketball teams:
— Arizona
Three years under Tommy Lloyd, they’re 88-20, 47-13 in Big X, 4-3 in NCAA’s
In those three years, Wildcats ranked #7-10-11 in the country on offense

— Arizona State
Last four years, Sun Devils were 62-62, 36-41 in Pac-12.
Last three years, ASU ranked #308-275-331 in 3-point FG%.

— Baylor
Bears won national title in 2021; since then, they’re 74-29, 36-18 in Big X.
Last three years, Baylor went WL in NCAA’s all three years, |
Last five years, Baylor was a top 20 offense all five years.

— Brigham Young
BYU hasn’t won an NCAA Tourney game since a play-in game in 2012.
In five years at BYU, Mark Pope was 110-52, 49-29 in WCC, 0-2 in NCAAs.
Pope has moved on to coach Kentucky.

— Central Florida
Last five years, UCF is 39-51 in conference games.
Last four years, Knights ranked #246 or worse in 2-point %age.
UCF’s last NCAA appearance was 2019.

— Cincinnati
Bearcats haven’t made NCAAs since Mick Cronin was coach in 2019
Three years under Wes Miller: 63-43, 25-29 in conference games.

— Colorado
Made NCAA’s twice in last four years.
Last six years, Buffs were 67-49 in Pac-12 games.
Boyle is 3-3 in first round NCAA Tourney games, 0-3 in second round.

— Houston
Last four years, they’re 61-10 in conference games, 11-4 in NCAA Tourney.
Went 32-5, 15-3 last year, their first year in Big X
Last four years, Houston has been a top 10 defensive team.

— Iowa State
In three years under Otzelberger, made NCAA’s last three years, going 4-3 in tourney.
Two years before Otzelberger got there, Cyclones were 5-31 in Big X games.
Iowa State has been a top 8 defensive team the last three years.

— Kansas
Jayhawks won national title is 2022.
Last five years, Kansas is 1-4 in second round of NCAA’s.
Last time Kansas lost a first round NCAA game: 2006.
LY, Jayhawks were 10-8 in Big X, their worst conference record since at least 1997.

— Kansas State
K-State made NCAA’s once in last four years (got to Elite 8 in 2023).
Wildcats turned ball over 21.7% of time LY (#345)

— Oklahoma State
Steve Lutz is new coach (22-12 @ Western Kentucky, 44-23 @ A&M-Corpus Christi)
Last three years, Cowboys were 20-34 in Big X games
Last three years, Cowboys ranked #293-320-332 in turnover %age

— TCU
Last three years, TCU was 64-39, 26-28 in Big X, 2-3 in NCAA’s
Before 2022, Horned Frogs had been in NCAAs once since 1998.
Last three years, TCU ranked #44-23-13 in defense.

— Texas Tech
Tech has been in five of last six NCAA’s, but with 3 different coaches.
Red Raiders lost national title game in 2019.
LY, Tech was 23-11, 11-7 in Big X, their first year under McCasland.

— Utah
Utes last made the NCAA Tournament in 2016.
Utah picked up the pace LY; they were #57 in tempo LY, #237 the year before.l

— West Virginia
DeVries is Mountaineers’ third head coach in three years.
DeVries got Drake to the NCAA’s three of last four years.
Last three years, West Virginia was 15-39 in Big X games.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Wednesday, October 16

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Thursday, October 17

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 8

Friday’s games
Florida State @ Duke (-3)
Florida State (1-5, 1-4)
Florida State is 1-5, with only win 14-9 at home over Cal.
Last four games, FSU was held to 13-12-14-16-13 points.
FSU has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Seminoles have 190 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Glenn is 23-45/228 passing (2 TD’s, one INT)


Seminoles was outgained 410-284 by Cal, in their one win.
Florida State was held under 300 TY in all six games.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 4-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Norvell is 5-10-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Seminole games this season.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 13-17 ATS coming off a loss.


Duke (5-1, 1-1)
Duke lost its last game, 24-14 at Georgia Tech.
Duke won its other ACC game, 21-20 over North Carolina.
Blue Devils have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Murphy started 2 games at Texas last year.


Duke is 9-3 ATS in last 12 as a home favorite.
In his career, Manny Diaz is 7-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2022, Duke is 11-7 ATS in ACC games.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Duke’s coach and QB last year both bolted el$ewhere for big $$$.


Florida State won last 17 series games.
Seminoles are 8-0-1 ATS in last nine meetings.
FSU won its last seven visits to Durham (5-1-1 ATS)
ACC home favorites are 7-8 ATS in conference games.


Oregon (-27.5) @ Purdue
Oregon (6-0, 3-0)
Oregon scored 37-49-34-31-32 points in its I-A wins.
Last three games, Ducks gained 546-431-477-496 TY.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 144 returning starts on the offensive line.
Ducks poached senior QB Gabriel (49 starts at UCF/Oklahoma).


Oregon is 2-0 on road (49-4 at Oregon St, 34-13 at UCLA)
Under Lanning, Oregon is 8-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Ducks are 13-8 ATS in last 21 games as a road favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 14-6 ATS in conference games.
Ducks are 15-4 ATS in last 19 conference games.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 17-8 ATS coming off a win.


Purdue (1-5, 0-3)
Purdue lost 50-49 in OT LW, after trailing 27-3 in 3rd quarter.
Purdue is 0-5 vs I-A teams, giving up 46.8 ppg.
Boilermakers have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Purdue has 165 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Card has 16 career starts.


Purdue is 0-6 ATS last six games as a home underdog.
Boilers are 8-14 ATS in last 22 conference games.
Purdue gave up 550+ TY in three of five I-A games.
Purdue is 7-10 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-1 in Purdue’s I-A games.


These teams haven’t met since 2009.
Big 18 home underdogs are 6-6 ATS in conference games.


Oklahoma State @ BYU (-9.5)
Oklahoma State (3-3, 0-3)
OSU lost its three Big X games, 22-19/42-20/38-14.
Cowboys gave up 232+ rushing yards in 4 of 5 I-A games.
Cowboys have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cowboys have 214 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bowman is in his 7th college season (13 starts LY)


OSU is 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
Oklahoma State is 18-13 ATS in its last 31 Big X games.
Cowboys are 17-11-1 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
Oklahoma State gave up 456-559-558 yards in its three Big X games.
Cowboys scored 39-45 points in their two I-A wins.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.


BYU (6-0, 3-0)
BYU won its first two Big X games, scoring 38-34-41 points.
BYU won/covered all five of its I-A games.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started four games LY.


Last 2+ years, BYU is 2-6 ATS as a home favorite.
BYU scored 34+ points in four of five I-A games.
In his career, coach Sitake is 23-32 ATS as a favorite.
Last 2+ years, BYU is 9-8 ATS coming off a win (5-0 TY).
BYU won 38-9/41-19, in its only I-A home games.
Three of their last four games went over the total.


LY, Oklahoma State (-16.5) beat BYU 40-34 at home.
Cowboys outgained BYU, 503-327
Big X home favorites are 8-10 ATS in conference games.


Fresno State (-3) @ Nevada
Fresno State (3-3, 1-1)
Fresno lost its last two games, 59-14/25-17.
Bulldogs have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Fresno has 106 starts returning on offensive line.
Soph QB Keene started 11 games last year.
Skipper is Fresno’s interim coach this season.


Fresno split its two MW games, 38-21 at New Mexico, 14-59 at UNLV
Bulldogs scored 48-38 points in their two I-A wins.
Bulldogs scored 10-14-17 points in their I-A losses.
Fresno is 9-7 ATS last 16 games as a road favorite.
Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in last 10 Mountain West games.


Nevada (3-4, 0-1)
Nevada lost 3 of last 4 games, giving up 35-37 points in last two,
Five of their six I-A games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
Wolf Pack has 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Nevada has 70 starts returning on offensive line.
Junior QB Lewis started ten games last season.


Nevada allowed 441-562 TY in splitting last two games.
Nevada ran for 353 yards in LW’s 42-37 win over Oregon State.
Wolf Pack is 3-6 ATS last nine games as a home underdog (2-0 TY).
This season, Nevada is 4-1 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2017, Wolf Pack is 32-25 ATS in MW games.


Fresno won last three series games, by 2-27-18 points.
Bulldogs are 4-3 SU/6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Reno.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Highest paid college football coaches:
$13M— Kirby Smart, Georgia
$11,132,775— Dabo Swinney, Clemson
$10,600,000— Steve Sarkisian, Texas
$10,043,418— Lincoln Riley, USC
$10,021,250— Ryan Day, Ohio State
$10M— Mike Norvell, Florida State/Kalen DeBoer, Alabama

Quote of the Day
“I’m telling you, he is not as good as you think- we need to trade him before people find out.”
Washington Redskins coach Mike Shanahan, talking to Washington owner Daniel Snyder about QB Robert Griffin III after the 2012 season, when Griffin won Rookie of the Year.

Thursday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, what actor played the Vice President?

Wednesday’s quiz
12 NFL teams haven’t won a Super Bowl yet.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the football movie Any Given Sunday, where Al Pacino coaches the Miami Sharks, Cameron Diaz plays the owner of the Sharks.

***********************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

— Dodgers 8, Mets 0
Walker Buehler threw 4 scoreless IP.
Hernandez, Muncy, Ohtani all homered.
Dodgers lead best-of-7 series, 2-1.

— Western Kentucky 31, Sam Houston 14
QB Veltkamp threw for 281 yards, three TD’s.
WKU outscored Sam Houston 14-0 in second half.
Hilltoppers were 11-18 on 3rd down, Sam Houston 6-15.
Both teams are 5-2.

— Texas-El Paso 30, Florida International 21
Miners outscored FIU 10-0 in fourth quarter.
UTEP knocked out two QB’s; FIU’s #3 QB threw 2 INTs.
Miners get first win in seven games; they outgained FIU 372-287.

— New Mexico State 33, Louisiana Tech 30 OT
State tied game, scoring a TD with 1:41 left in regulation.
Tech had a 26-yard FG blocked on last play of regulation.
Tech was 11-23 on third down, Aggies 8-15.
This was New Mexico State’s first OT game since 2017.

— Michigan State won the college basketball national title in 2000; that is the last time a Big 18 team won a national championship, kind of hard to believe.

Since then, national titles won by league:
8— ACC, Big East
3— Big X, SEC
1— American

— Joel Embiid just signed a 3-year, $192.9M contract extension with the 76ers, which works out to $784,146 per regular season game.

Embiid came out recently and said he won’t play on back/back nights this year. 76ers have 15 back/backs this year, which means the most games Embiid will play this season is 67.

At $784,146.34 per game, that works out to $11,762,195 Embiid will get paid, for nothing. Of course, Philadelphia pays him for what he’ll do in the playoffs, but still……..

— This summer, I traded for Padres 1B Luis Arraez for my fantasy team; ;he hit .317 in August, .340 in September, but turns out he had a torn ligament in his thumb— he had it operated on this week.

Watching him bat, it looked like he was hurt; he would re-coil after some swings, they took him out of some games early, but he still got lot of hits— thought I was imagining things.

Hopefully he’ll be good to go next spring.

— Red Sox OF Masataka Yoshida is recovering from surgery to fix the labrum in his right shoulder; Yoshida hit .280 this year but only played in 108 games- he hit .289 last year, in 140 games.

— Hurricane Milton shredded the Tropicana Field roof, where the Tampa Bay Rays call home; the stadium isn’t expected to be ready for the start of next season.

Rays are moving into a new stadium in St Petersburg in 2028; the team said “there are more questions than answers” at this point, with the 2025 regular season 162 days away.

— Famous birthdays, October 17th:
Michael McKean, 77
George Wendt, 76
Mike Bratz, 69
Jay Humphries, 62

Danny Ferry, 58
John Mabry, 54
Willie Snead, 32
Myles Straw, 30

— Dallas Cowboys have allowed 415+ total yards in their last five home games, the longest-such streak in the NFL since the 2012 Saints.

— Georgia Bulldogs are an underdog at Texas Saturday, which will end a streak that has seem the Dawgs favored in 49 consecutive games.

— Word of the Day: Kerfuffle- a disturbance or commotion typically caused by a dispute or conflict.

— Tom Brady now owns a piece of the Las Vegas Raiders; if he owns 5% of the team, whose valuation is $6.7B, then his piece is worth $335M. Brady is also obviously a TV analyst now; there are rules he has to follow:

Brady isn’t allowed in other teams’ practice facilities.

He isn’t allowed to watch other teams practice.

He isn’t allowed to go to broadcast production meetings, awkward for a TV analyst.

He can’t publicly criticize game officials or other teams.

Interesting to see how this all turns out.

— In best-of-7 baseball playoff series, teams that took na 2-0 series lead have won 76 of 91 series (84%). Under the current 2-3-2 format, teams winning the first two games at home have won the series 44 of 55 times (80%).

— People gamble on everything these days; there are even Bronny James props for the NBA season, when there is no guarantee how much the young man will even play this year:

-110- James scoring 15+ points in any regular season game
+120- James making 3+ 3-pointers in any regular season game
+550- James making 4+ 3-pointers in any regular season game
+800- James scoring 20+ points in any regular season game.
+1200- James making 5+ 3-pointers in any regular season game

— Things have changed a lot in baseball; back on June 14, 1974, Red Sox played the Angels in Anaheim, Luis Tiant vs Nolan Ryan.

Tiant threw 14.1 innings, threw 280 pitches.
Ryan threw 325 pitches in 13 innings.
Angels won 4-3 in 15 innings.

Unusual for a pitcher to throw 100 pitches in a start now.

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack:
Top 6 teams in the AP preseason college basketball poll:
1) Kansas
2) Alabama
3) UConn
4) Houston
5) Iowa State
6) Gonzaga

Quote of the Day
“First step in solving any problem, is recognizing there is one.”
Jeff Daniels

Friday’s quiz
Of all the active major league players, who has hit the most postseason home runs?

Thursday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, Tim Matheson played the Vice President; he was also in Animal House.

Wednesday’s quiz
12 NFL teams haven’t won a Super Bowl yet.

*************************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff, and Big West basketball info…….

— Virginia basketball coach Tony Bennett surprisingly retired Thursday, 19 days before the Cavaliers’ season opener against Campbell.

Unusual timing for sure; Virginia players have a 30-day window to enter the transfer portal, but how many teams have scholarships open now? Virginia also added three transfers this year to come in and play for Bennett. They can’t be real happy.

Bennett was at Virginia for 15 years; he won a national title in 2019, won six ACC regular season titles, two ACC tournaments and made the NCAAs 10 times in his 15 years in Charlottesville.

Reading into the stuff that has been written so far, this sounds similar to Jay Wright leaving Villanova; Bennett has apparently had enough of the NIL culture in college sports these days, so he has decided to walk away from a very lucrative job.

This will be the first time since 1982 that the ACC doesn’t have a basketball coach who has won a national championship.

— Broncos 33, Saints 10
Sean Payton wins big in his return to the Superdome.
Broncos ran ball 35 times for 225 yards (6.4 yards/carry).
First seven drives, Denver scored two TD’s, kicked four FG’s.
QB Nix threw for 164 yards, ran for 75 more.

New Orleans lost its last five games, by 3-2-13-24-23 points.
Saints were outscored 44-7 in 2nd half of last two games.
Saints are 4-8 ATS last 12 games as a home underdog.
Saints are 9-13-2 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

— Guardians 7, New York 5 (10)
Pinch-hitter Jhonkensy Noel tied game with a 2-out, 2-run HR in 9th inning.
David Fry hit a walk-off home run in the 10th inning.
New York lost its last six playoff games that went extra innings.
New York leads series 2-1; home team has won all three games.

— Dodgers 10, Mets 2
Mookie Betts was 4-6 with three runs scored, 4 RBI
Shohei Ohtani homered, scored four runs.
Max Muncy reached base in 12 consecutive at-bats, before making an out.

— Marshall 35, Georgia State 20
Thundering Herd led 25-10 at halftime.
Marshall ran ball 37 times for 295 yards (8 yards/carry)
Only nine of Marshall’s 57 plays came on third down.

— Virginia Tech 42, Boston College 21
Hokies led 28-0 at halftime.
BC rallied, cut lead to 28-21 after three quarters.
Tech ran ball 40 times for 368 yards (9.2 yards/carry)

— Army, Navy are both in the college football top 25, for first time since 1960.

— Famous birthdays, October 18th:
Bobby Knoop, 86 (my glove in Little League was a Bobby Knoop model)
Mike Ditka, 85
Willie Horton, 82

George Hendrick, 75
Pam Dawber, 74
Jerry Royster, 72

Lindsey Vonn, 40
Yoenis Cespedes, 39
Zac Efron, 37

Big West basketball notes:
— Cal-Bakersfield
Last three years, Roadrunners are 16-38 in Big West games.
Last time they made the NCAAs: 2016, when they were in the WAC.

— Cal Poly
Last five years, Cal Poly went 8-77 in Big West- they fired the coach.
New coach is from Division II Colorado Mesa; he wants to play fast.
Last time Cal Poly made the NCAAs: 2014.

— Cal-Davis
Last two years, Aggies were 25-14 in Big West games, 1-2 in Big West tourney.
Last time Cal-Davis made the NCAAs: 2017.

— Cal State Fullerton
Since 2009, Titans made NCAAs twice (2018, 2022)
Last three years, Fullerton was #229 or worse in eFG%.
Since 2018, Titans are 10-3 in Big West tournament games.

— Hawai’i
Last three years, Hawai’i is 34-21 in Big West conference games.
Hawai’i has been .500+ in conference games the last 12 years.
Since 2017, Rainbows are 2-7 in Big West tournament games.

— Cal-Irvine
Since 2013, Anteaters are 149-48 in Big West games.
Problem is, they’re only 17-10 in conference tournament games.
Cal-Irvine hasn’t won the Big West tournament since 2019.

— Long Beach State
Long Beach won Big West tournament LY, after they fired their coach.
Last three years, Long Beach is 33-22 in conference games.
New coach is a former San Diego State assistant.

— Cal-Northridge
Last three years, Matadors are 16-40 in conference games.
Last NCAAs for Northridge: 2009
Since 2015, Matadors are 1-7 in conference tournament games.

— Cal-Riverside
Four years under coach Magpayo, Riverside is 41-26 in Big West games.
Last 20 years, Highlanders are 0-6 in their second Big West tourney game.
Three of last four years, Riverside went WL in conference tourney.

— Cal San Diego
Tritons were 21-12, 15-5 LY, their 4th year as a Division I team.
Tritons led San Diego State by 14 with with 7:36 left last December, lost 63-62; they’re probably a team to watch in this league.

— Cal Santa Barbara
Gauchos won the Big West tournament in 2021 and 2023.
In 7 years under Pasternack, UCSB is 76-41 in conference games.
Last year was his worst year with Gauchos, 16-15, 9-11 in conference.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Friday, October 18

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 8

Friday’s games
Florida State @ Duke (-3)
Florida State (1-5, 1-4)
Florida State is 1-5, with only win 14-9 at home over Cal.
Last four games, FSU was held to 13-12-14-16-13 points.
FSU has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Seminoles have 190 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Glenn is 23-45/228 passing (2 TD’s, one INT)


Seminoles was outgained 410-284 by Cal, in their one win.
Florida State was held under 300 TY in all six games.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 4-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Norvell is 5-10-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Seminole games this season.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 13-17 ATS coming off a loss.


Duke (5-1, 1-1)
Duke lost its last game, 24-14 at Georgia Tech.
Duke won its other ACC game, 21-20 over North Carolina.
Blue Devils have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Murphy started 2 games at Texas last year.


Duke is 9-3 ATS in last 12 as a home favorite.
In his career, Manny Diaz is 7-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2022, Duke is 11-7 ATS in ACC games.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Duke’s coach and QB last year both bolted el$ewhere for big $$$.


Florida State won last 17 series games.
Seminoles are 8-0-1 ATS in last nine meetings.
FSU won its last seven visits to Durham (5-1-1 ATS)
ACC home favorites are 7-8 ATS in conference games.


Oregon (-27.5) @ Purdue
Oregon (6-0, 3-0)
Oregon scored 37-49-34-31-32 points in its I-A wins.
Last three games, Ducks gained 546-431-477-496 TY.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 144 returning starts on the offensive line.
Ducks poached senior QB Gabriel (49 starts at UCF/Oklahoma).


Oregon is 2-0 on road (49-4 at Oregon St, 34-13 at UCLA)
Under Lanning, Oregon is 8-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Ducks are 13-8 ATS in last 21 games as a road favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 14-6 ATS in conference games.
Ducks are 15-4 ATS in last 19 conference games.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 17-8 ATS coming off a win.


Purdue (1-5, 0-3)
Purdue lost 50-49 in OT LW, after trailing 27-3 in 3rd quarter.
Purdue is 0-5 vs I-A teams, giving up 46.8 ppg.
Boilermakers have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Purdue has 165 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Card has 16 career starts.


Purdue is 0-6 ATS last six games as a home underdog.
Boilers are 8-14 ATS in last 22 conference games.
Purdue gave up 550+ TY in three of five I-A games.
Purdue is 7-10 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-1 in Purdue’s I-A games.


These teams haven’t met since 2009.
Big 18 home underdogs are 6-6 ATS in conference games.


Oklahoma State @ BYU (-9.5)
Oklahoma State (3-3, 0-3)
OSU lost its three Big X games, 22-19/42-20/38-14.
Cowboys gave up 232+ rushing yards in 4 of 5 I-A games.
Cowboys have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cowboys have 214 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bowman is in his 7th college season (13 starts LY)


OSU is 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
Oklahoma State is 18-13 ATS in its last 31 Big X games.
Cowboys are 17-11-1 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
Oklahoma State gave up 456-559-558 yards in its three Big X games.
Cowboys scored 39-45 points in their two I-A wins.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.


BYU (6-0, 3-0)
BYU won its first two Big X games, scoring 38-34-41 points.
BYU won/covered all five of its I-A games.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started four games LY.


Last 2+ years, BYU is 2-6 ATS as a home favorite.
BYU scored 34+ points in four of five I-A games.
In his career, coach Sitake is 23-32 ATS as a favorite.
Last 2+ years, BYU is 9-8 ATS coming off a win (5-0 TY).
BYU won 38-9/41-19, in its only I-A home games.
Three of their last four games went over the total.


LY, Oklahoma State (-16.5) beat BYU 40-34 at home.
Cowboys outgained BYU, 503-327
Big X home favorites are 8-10 ATS in conference games.


Fresno State (-3) @ Nevada
Fresno State (3-3, 1-1)
Fresno lost its last two games, 59-14/25-17.
Bulldogs have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Fresno has 106 starts returning on offensive line.
Soph QB Keene started 11 games last year.
Skipper is Fresno’s interim coach this season.


Fresno split its two MW games, 38-21 at New Mexico, 14-59 at UNLV
Bulldogs scored 48-38 points in their two I-A wins.
Bulldogs scored 10-14-17 points in their I-A losses.
Fresno is 9-7 ATS last 16 games as a road favorite.
Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in last 10 Mountain West games.


Nevada (3-4, 0-1)
Nevada lost 3 of last 4 games, giving up 35-37 points in last two,
Five of their six I-A games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
Wolf Pack has 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Nevada has 70 starts returning on offensive line.
Junior QB Lewis started ten games last season.


Nevada allowed 441-562 TY in splitting last two games.
Nevada ran for 353 yards in LW’s 42-37 win over Oregon State.
Wolf Pack is 3-6 ATS last nine games as a home underdog (2-0 TY).
This season, Nevada is 4-1 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2017, Wolf Pack is 32-25 ATS in MW games.


Fresno won last three series games, by 2-27-18 points.
Bulldogs are 4-3 SU/6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Reno.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Saturday’s best 13 games
Nebraska @ Indiana (-6.5)
Nebraska (5-1, 2-1)
Nebraska allowed total of 34 points in its four I-A wins.
Nebraska won its only road game, 28-10 at Purdue.
Cornhuskers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Nebraska has 152 returning starts on OL, mostly from transfers.
Freshman QB Raiola threw fo4 1,345 yards in his five I-A games.


Nebraska’s only loss was 31-24 at home to Illinois.
Nebraska is 16-7-1 ATS last 24 games as a road underdog.
As college coach, Rhule is 20-10 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 5+ years, Cornhuskers are 8-13-2 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 4-1 in their I-A games.


Indiana (6-0, 3-0)
Hoosiers are 3-0 in league games, scoring 42-42-41 points.
Last three games, Indiana gained 510-510-529 yards.
Hoosiers have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
Hoosiers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Rourke started 33 games at Ohio U.


Indiana is 15-7 ATS last 22 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Cignetti is 9-6 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Cignetti is 14-5 ATS in conference games.
Indiana is 14-9 ATS in its last 23 games coming off a win.
Indiana’s last four games went over the total.


Nebraska won two of three meetings as league rivals.
Under was 2-1 in those games.
Big 14 home favorites are 8-9 ATS in league games.


Auburn @ Missouri (-4.5)
Auburn (2-4, 0-3)
Auburn is 0-3 in SEC, losing by 10-6-18 points.
Auburn has had three straight losing years (6-7/5-7/5-7).
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Thorpe has 37 career starts.


Last 3+ years, Auburn is 6-5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Freeze is 18-8 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 6-5 ATS in SEC games.
In his career, Freeze is 28-22 ATS coming off a loss.
Auburn is minus-11 in turnovers this season.


Missouri (5-1, 1-1)
Mizzou scored 35 ppg in its four I-A wins.
Tigers only loss was 41-10 at Texas A&M.
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tigers have 107 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Cook has started 26 games.


Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 5-12-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Drinkwitz is 9-15-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 19-17 ATS in SEC games.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 14-16-1 ATS coming off a win.
Under Drinkwitz, Tigers are 12-15-1 ATS at home.


Auburn won last three series games (only won was since 2017)
Over was 2-1 in those games.
SEC home favorites are 1-11 ATS in league games.

South Carolina @ Oklahoma (-1.5)
South Carolina (3-3, 1-3)
Gamecocks allowed 19-6-7 points in wins, 36-27-27 in losses.
Carolina lost tough 27-25 game at Alabama last week.
Carolina has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Gamecocks have 118 returning starts on the offensive line.
Freshman QB Sellers threw four passes in three games LY.


Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 7-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 15-13 ATS in SEC games.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 12-6 ATS coming off a loss.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 12-6 ATS coming off a loss.
Carolina split two road games (31-6 at Kentucky/27-25 at Bama)


Oklahoma (4-2, 1-2)
Oklahoma was held to 222-291-237 yards in its SEC games (1-2).
Sooners were held to 15-3 points in losses (25-15 Tennessee/34-3 Texas)
Oklahoma has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
They’re switching to freshman QB Hawkins (14-23/152 passing LW)


Under Venables, Oklahoma is 10-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Venables, Sooners are 8-12-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 4-5 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Oklahoma is +7 in turnovers this year.
Under is 4-2 in their games this season.


These teams haven’t met in this century.
Big X home teams are 9-13 ATS in conference games.


South Carolina @ Oklahoma (-1.5)
South Carolina (3-3, 1-3)
Gamecocks allowed 19-6-7 points in wins, 36-27-27 in losses.
Carolina lost tough 27-25 game at Alabama last week.
Carolina has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Gamecocks have 118 returning starts on the offensive line.
Freshman QB Sellers threw four passes in three games LY.


Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 7-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 15-13 ATS in SEC games.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 12-6 ATS coming off a loss.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 12-6 ATS coming off a loss.
Carolina split two road games (31-6 at Kentucky/27-25 at Bama)


Oklahoma (4-2, 1-2)
Oklahoma was held to 222-291-237 yards in its SEC games (1-2).
Sooners were held to 15-3 points in losses (25-15 Tennessee/34-3 Texas)
Oklahoma has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
They’re switching to freshman QB Hawkins (14-23/152 passing LW)


Under Venables, Oklahoma is 10-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Venables, Sooners are 8-12-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 4-5 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Oklahoma is +7 in turnovers this year.
Under is 4-2 in their games this season.


These teams haven’t met in this century.
Big X home teams are 9-13 ATS in conference games.


Alabama @ Tennessee (-3)
Alabama (5-1, 2-1)
Alabama is 2-1 in SEC games, giving up 34-40-25 points
Crimson Tide scored 35+ points in five of six games.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Milroe has started 14 games.


Last six years, Alabama is 0-2 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, DeBoer is 5-1 ATS as an underdog.
Alabama is 10-8-1 ATS in its last 19 SEC games.
Over is 5-1 in their games this season.
Alabama is 11-5 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.


Tennessee (5-1, 2-1)
Tennessee is 2-1 in SEC games (average total, 38.3).
Tennessee is giving up 10.7 ppg this season.
Tennessee has 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Vols have 112 returning starts on the offensive line;
Frosh QB Iamaleava had one start, was MVP of Citrus Bowl.


Under Heupel, Tennessee is 13-6 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Heupel is 22-14 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 12-15 ATS in SEC games.
Vols were held to 25-14-23 points in their SEC games.
Under is 3-0 in their last three games.


Alabama won 16 of last 17 series games.
Crimson Tide is 9-2 ATS in last 11 visits to Knoxville.
SEC home favorites are 1-11 ATS in conference games.


Michigan (-3.5) @ Illinois
Michigan (4-2, 2-1)
Michigan scored 27+ points in its wins, 12-17 in losses.
Wolverines lost their only road game last week, 27-17 at Washington.
Wolverines have 2 starters back on offense, 5 on defense, a new head coach.
New defensive coordinator Martindale has a significant NFL resume.
Michigan has 53 returning starts on offensive line (none at Michigan).


Michigan is already playing their third QB this season.
Last three games, Michigan has a total of 231 passing yards.
Wolverines are 19-11-3 ATS in its last 33 conference games.
Michigan is 7-12 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
Four of their last five games went over the total.


Illinois (5-1, 2-1)
LW, Illinois won 50-49 in OT; they led 27-3 in third quarter.
Illini’s only loss was 21-7 at Penn State.
Illinois has 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Illini has 77 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Altmyer has 10 career starts.


Under Bielema, Illinois is 4-4 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Bielema is 15-14 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 15-13 ATS in conference games.
Last two weeks, Illinois gave up 239-239 rushing yards.
Illinois is minus-4 in turnovers, in its three Big 14 games.


Michigan won six in row, 12 of last 14 series games.
Wolverines are 6-1 SU/3-4 ATS in last seven visits to Illinois.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.


USC (-7) @ Maryland
USC (3-3, 1-3)
Trojans lost three of their first four Big 18 games.
USC is 0-2 on road (27-24 Michigan/24-17 Minnesota)
USC’s three losses are by 3-7-3 points.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Moss won his only start 42-28 LY (bowl game).


USC is 0-6 ATS in last six games as a road favorite.
In his career, Riley is 8-19-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Trojans are 11-23 ATS in last 34 conference games.
In his career, Riley is 33-39-1 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Riley is 5-9 ATS coming off a loss.
USC is 5-10 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.


Maryland (3-3, 0-3)
Terps lost their two conference games, 27-24/42-28/37-10.
Maryland gave up 7-13-20 points in their wins.
Maryland has 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Terps have 21 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Edwards is 156-228/1,740 passing (11 TDs, 3 INT).

Under Locksley, Maryland is 4-6 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2020, Maryland is 7-11 ATS coming off a loss.
Under Locksley, Terps are 19-31 ATS in conference games.
Terps were minus-4 in turnovers LW (+11 in first five games).
Over is 4-1 in their I-A games.


These teams haven’t met in this century.
Big 18 home underdogs are 6-6 ATS in league games.


Colorado @ Arizona (-2.5)
Colorado (4-2, 2-1)
Colorado won three of its last four games.
Colorado gained 418+ TY in its wins, 260-359 in losses.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.


Sanders is 8-3 ATS as an underdog with Colorado, 4-3 on road.
Since 2014, Colorado is 19-26-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Sanders, Buffs are 8-4 ATS in conference games.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 6-2 ATS coming off a loss.
Colorado’s last three games went over the total.


Arizona (3-3, 1-3)
Arizona is 1-3 in Big X games, giving up 31-28-41 points in losses.
Wildcats scored 61-23 points in I-A wins, 7-22-19 in losses.
Arizona has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
Wildcats have 86 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Fifita started nine games last year.


Arizona is 4-8 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Brennan is 11-10 ATS as a home favorite.
Wildcats are 8-5 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
In his career, Brennan is 33-25-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 8-4 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
Under is 3-1 in Arizona’s last four games.


Arizona is 9-3 in its last 12 games vs Colorado.
Buffs are 2-4 SU/3-3 ATS in last six visits to Tucson.
Over is 10-3 in last thirteen series games.


Baylor @ Texas Tech (-6.5)
Baylor (2-4, 0-4)
Baylor is 0-4 in Big X, giving up 38-34-43 points last 3 games.
Bears’ only I-A win was 31-3 at home over Air Force.
Baylor has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Robertson started four games last year.


Under Aranda, Baylor is 9-8 ATS as road underdogs.
Under Aranda, Bears are 13-11 ATS coming off a win.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 19-22 ATS in conference games.
Last 2+ years, Baylor is +1 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)
Baylor’s last three games went over the total.


Texas Tech (5-1, 3-0)
Texas Tech scored 28+ points in its wins, 16 in its loss (37-16 @ Wazzu)
Tech scored 66-30-44 points in its I-A home games.
Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Red Raiders have 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morton started 12 games LY (12 TDs/2 INTs this year)


Under McGuire, Texas Tech is 8-4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under McGuire, Red Raiders are 11-9-1 ATS in Big X games.
Last two games, Tech gave up 426-301 passing yards.
Tech is 31-34-1 ATS in its last 66 Big X games.
Four of Tech’s five wins were by 8 or fewer points.


Baylor is 9-4 in last 13 games vs Texas Tech.
Bears are 1-7 SU/4-4 ATS in last eight visits to Lubbock.
Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.


Georgia @ Texas (-5)
Georgia (3-0, 1-0)
Georgia split two true road games: 34-31 at Alabama, 13-12 at Kentucky.
Last three games, Dawgs scored 34-31-41 points.
Dawgs have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Georgia has 87 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Beck started 14 games LY.


Georgia is an underdog for first time in its last 50 games.
Georgia is 0-4 ATS in its last four games.
Georgia is 4-7 ATS in its last 11 SEC games.
Georgia is 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Georgia allowed 300+ PY in two of last three games.


Texas (6-0, 2-0)
Texas is 6-0, with all six wins by 19+ points.
Texas has outscored opponents 259-38 this season.
Longhorns have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Longhorns have 123 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Ewers is 78-108/890 passing (9 TD’s, 3 INTs)


Under Sarkisian, Texas is 14-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 16-14 ATS in conference games.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 14-12 ATS coming off a win.
Texas held all six opponents under 300 total yards.
31-12 win at Michigan is closest game they’ve played.


Texas (+12) upset Georgia 28-21 in a bowl game six years ago.
SEC home favorites are 1-11 ATS in league games.


LSU (-1.5) @ Arkansas
LSU (5-1, 2-0)
LSU won its last five games, after a 27-20 loss to USC.
LSU won its only true road game, 36-33 (-6.5) at Ole Miss.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Nussmeier is completing 64% of passes (18 TD’s, 6 INTs)


Under Kelly, Tigers are 2-5 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Kelly is 31-29-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Kelly, LSU is 9-9-1 ATS in SEC games.
Since 2017, LSU is 37-23-2 ATS in SEC games.
LSU’s last three games stayed under the total.


Arkansas (4-2, 2-1)
Arkansas won three of its last four games.
Razorbacks were minus-5 in turnovers in their losses (+3 in wins).
Razorbacks have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Razorbacks have 67 returning starts on the offensive line;
Junior QB Green started 22 games at Boise State.


Under Pittman, Arkansas is 21-7 ATS as an underdog.
Arkansas is 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 21-13-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 12-10-1 ATS coming off a win.
Arkansas’ last three games stayed under the total.


LSU is 7-1 SU/3-4-1 ATS in last eight meetings.
Tigers won last four visits (2-2 ATS) to Arkansas.
Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
Underdogs are 17-4 ATS in SEC conference games.


Kentucky (-1.5) @ Florida
Kentucky (3-3, 1-3)
Kentucky scored 31-41-20 points in wins, 6-12-13 in losses.
Kentucky won its only road game, 20-17 (+15) at Ole Miss.
Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Wildcats have 156 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Vandagriff was a backup at Georgia.


Since 2019, Kentucky is 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Wildcats held 5 of 6 opponents to 288 or fewer total yards.
Kentucky is 15-13 ATS in last 28 SEC games.
Wildcats are 8-4 ATS last 12 games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-1 in Kentucky games this season.


Florida (3-3, 1-2)
Florida scored 45-24 points in I-A wins, 17-20-17 in losses.
Last three years, Gators were 6-7/6-7/5-7.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Gators have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Mertz is OFY; frosh QB Lagway has 5 TD passes, 4 INT’s.


Under Napier, Florida is 2-4 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Napier is 5-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Last 3+ years, Florida is 17-25-1 ATS overall.
Under Napier, Florida is 10-9 ATS in SEC games.
Over is 3-2 in Florida’s I-A games.


Kentucky won last three meetings, by 19-10-7 points.
Wildcats are 6-0-1 ATS in last seven series games.
Kentucky won two of last three visits to the Swamp.
Under is 3-1 in last four series games.


UNLV (-7.5) @ Oregon State
UNLV (5-1)
Rebels are 3-0 SU on road, winning by 20-3-16 points.
UNLV scored 59-41-50 points in its last three games.
UNLV has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 79 starts returning on offensive line.
Senior QB Williams started 40 games at I-AA Campbell.


Under Odom, UNLV is 13-6 against the spread.
In his career, Odom is 6-8 ATS as a road favorite.
Last four games, UNLV is +10 in turnovers.
Under Odom, UNLV is 6-2 ATS in non-conference games.
Last three games, Rebels allowed 316/355/461 passing yards.


Oregon State (4-2)
Oregon gave up 49-42 points in its losses, 17.3 ppg in I-A wins.
Last three games, Beavers scored 38-39-37 points.
Oregon State has 4 starters back on offense, 1 on defense.
Beavers have 93 returning starts on OL, from various places.
Junior QB McCoy started 23 games at I-AA Idaho.


Oregon State is 1-4 ATS last five games as a home underdog.
Beavers are 8-5 ATS in last 13 non-league games.
Beavers are 3-5 ATS in last eight games coming off a loss.
Last 3 games, Oregon State ran ball for 341-251-214 yards.
Beavers’ last four games went over the total.


These teams haven’t met since 2009.
Mountain West favorites are 5-4 ATS, in non-conference games.


TCU @ Utah (-4.5)
TCU (3-3, 1-2)
TCU gave up 35-66-30 points in their three losses.
TCU gave up 289-238-207 rushing yards in those games.
TCU has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hoover started six games last year.


TCU is 4-11 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Dykes is 22-22 ATS as road underdog.
Under Dykes, TCU is 5-4 ATS coming off a loss.
Horned Frogs threw for 356+ yards in three of last four games.
Over is 4-1 in their I-A games this season.


Utah (4-2, 2-2)
Utah lost its last two games, 23-10/27-19 after a 4-0 start.
Utes scored 22+ points in their four wins
Utes have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Utah has 60 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Wilson is 68-122/830 passing; QB Rising is OFY.


Utah is 9-5 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite (0-2 TY).
Utah is 16-13 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
Utes are 0-2 when they run ball for less than 170 yards.
Since 2016, Utes are 45-29 ATS in conference games.
Under is 4-1 in Utah’s I-A games.


These teams haven’t met since 2010.
Big X home favorites are 8-10 ATS in conference games.

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Mets 12, Dodgers 6- Mets led 8-1 in third inning.
— New York 8, Guardians 6- Stanton hit a 3-run homer.
— Duke 23, Florida State 16- Duke’s 1st win in 23 games vs FSU.
— Oregon 35, Purdue 0- Ducks’ first road shutout since 1992.
— Fresno State 24, Nevada 21- Bulldogs outscored Nevada 7-0 in 2nd half.
— BYU 38, Oklahoma State 35- 7-0 BYU scored winning TD with 0:11 left.

Quote of the Day
“I don’t think I’m equipped in this new way to coach, and it’s a disservice if you keep doing that. I’m very sure that this is the right step. I wish I could’ve gone longer. I really do. But it was time.”
Former Virginia basketball coach Tony Bennett

Saturday’s quiz
Who was the first Vice President of the United States?

Friday’s quiz
Of all the active major league players, Jose Altuve (27) has hit the most postseason home runs.

Thursday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, Tim Matheson played the Vice President; he was also in Animal House.

***********************************************

Saturday’s Den: How NFL teams do on first drive of a half

How teams do on first drives of a half:

NFC
Cardinals
Scored TD on first drive in five of six games.
Outscored 21-7 on first drive of third quarter.

Falcons
In four of last five games, they kicked FG on first drive of second half.
Overall, have outscored opponents 29-26 on first drive of a half.

Panthers
Opponents on first drive of last 4 games: 17 plays, 42 yards, 4 punts.
Overall, opponents have outscored them 34-16 on first drive of a half.

Bears
First drive of game: 36 plays, 109 yards, 4 punts, 3 points.
In 3 of last 4 games, have takeaway on first drive of 2nd half.

Cowboys
First drive of half: 12 drives, 6-7 on field goals, no TD’s.
Opponents on first drive of half: 7 TD’s, 4 field goals, one punt.

Lions
First drive of last 3 halves: 70-70-70 yards, all TD’s.
Overall, have outscored opponents 31-23 on first drive of a half.

Packers
First drive of 2nd half: 32 plays, 275 yards, 4 TDs and a FG.
Overall, outscored opponents 41-24 on first drive of a half.

Rams
Last four games, Rams allowed TD on first drive of second half.
Rams on first drive of a half: 53 plays, 228 yards, no TD’s, 2 FG’s.

Vikings
Vikings have outscored opponents 17-0 on first drive of their five games.
Opponents on first drive of a half: 45 plays, 110 yards, 7 punts, one FG.

Giants
Last two games, Giants have takeaway on first drive of 2nd half.
Opponents have outscored them 30-9 on first drive of a half.

Saints
First drive of 2nd half, last 5 games: 26 plays, 54 yards, five punts.
Overall, Saints have outscored opponents 38-26 on first drive of half.

Eagles
First drive of game: 16 plays, 12 yards, 4 punts and a turnover.
First drive of 2nd half: 38 plays, 240 yards, 17 points.

49ers
49ers have outscored opponents 41-14 on first drive of a half.
49ers on first drive of 2nd half: 44 plays, 322 yards, 28 points.

Seahawks
First drive of game: 30 plays, 124 yards, 2 turnovers, 3 points.
First drive of 2nd half: 44 plays, 323 yards, 21 points.

Buccaneers
First drive of last 3 games: 27 plays, 216 yards, 21 points.
Bucs have outscored opponents 38-27 on first drive of a half.

Commanders
Commanders’ first drive of half: 83 plays, 439 yards, 40 points.
Opponents’ first drive of half: 78 plays, 509 yards, 44 points.

Famous birthdays, October 19th:
Lynn Dickey, 75
Lionel Hollins, 71
David Palmer, 67

Brad Daugherty, 59
Keith Foulke, 52
Leonard Little, 50

Rajai Davis, 44
Anthony Santander, 30
Zack Gelof, 25

AFC
— Baltimore
Outscored opponents 31-10 on first drive of a game.
12 halves: Ravens have 7 TD’s, 2 FGs on first drive.

— Buffalo
Outscored opponents 45-30 on first drive of a half.
12 halves: Bills have 6 TD’s, one FG on first drive. Also missed a FG.

— Cincinnati
In 4 of last 5 games, Bengals scored TD on first drive of 2nd half.
Overall, outscored opponents 45-38 on first drive of a half.

— Cleveland
Opponents on first drive of game: 20 plays, 3 yards, 6 punts.
Overall, outscored opponents 27-3 on first drive of a half.

— Denver
First drive of 3rd quarter: 24 plays, 46 yards, six punts.
Overall, opponents have outscored them 17-10 on first drive of a half.

— Houston
Last 3 weeks, Texas outscored opponents 14-0 on first drive of game.
Overall, outscored opponents 33-24 on first drive of a half.

— Indianapolis
First drive of last three games: 70-71-70 yards, all TD’s.
Opponents outscored them 16-3 on first drive of second half.

— Jacksonville
Jaguars have been outscored 28-3 on first drive of games.
Jaguars on first drive of half: 66 plays, 256 yards, 10 points.

— Kansas City
First drive of half: 4 TD’s, 3 FG’s, 3 turnovers, no punts.
Opponents on first drive of game: 44 plays, 311 yards, 24 points.

— Las Vegas
Last two games, Raiders drove 70 yards for TD on their first drive.
Overall, opponents have outscored them 36-17 on first drive of a half.

— LA Chargers
Chargers have outscored opponents 17-3 on first drive of their games.
Opponents’ first drive of half: 54 plays, 225 yards, 4 FG’s, no TD’s, 5 punts.

— Miami
Dolphins first drive of half: 55 plays, 219 yards, 3 turnovers, 2 FG’s, no TD’s.
Opponents on first drive of 2nd half: 24 plays, 66 yards, 4 punts, one FG.

— New England
Patriots’ first drive of game: 26 plays, 37 yards, six punts.
Last 3 games, opponents’ first drive of half: 48 plays, 329 yards, 30 points.

— NJ Jets
First drive of game: 30 plays, 100 yards, 4 punts, 3 points.
Jets have outscored opponents 20-17 on first drive of their games.

— Pittsburgh
Opponents’ first drive, last 3 games: 24 plays, 161 yards, 17 points.
Opponents’ first drive of 2nd half: 23 plays, 76 yards, no points.

— Tennessee
Titans’ first drive of a game: 26 plays, 113 yards, 7 points.
Opponents’ first drive, last 7 halves: 48 plays, 337 yards, 31 points.

 

[Udog]

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Saturday, October 19