Cnotes College Football News-Notes-Rumors-Best Bets 2024-2025 !

[Cnotes53]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
Last six NBA champions:
2024— Boston Celtics
2023— Denver Nuggets
2022— Golden State Warriors
2021— Milwaukee Bucks
2020— Los Angeles Lakers
2019— Toronto Raptors

Quote of the Day
“Our kicking game is atrocious. If you can kick and you’re at Arizona State, e-mail me. We’re going to have kicking tryouts on Monday … I’m dead serious.”
Arizona State football coach Kenny Dillingham

Sunday’s quiz
Barry Bonds was walked intentionally 120 times in 2004, the most of any player ever; other than Bonds, Willie McCovey (1969) has received the most intentional walks in a season. How many did he have that year?

Saturday’s quiz
John Adams was the first Vice President of the United States.

Friday’s quiz
Of all the active major league players, Jose Altuve (27) has hit the most postseason home runs.

*********************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday…….​

— Georgia 30, Texas 15
Dawgs led #1-ranked Texas 23-0 at halftime.
Longhorns benched QB Ewers in first half, put him back in later
Texas ran ball 27 times for only 29 times.
Georgia turned ball over three times, Longhorns four times.

— Tennessee 24, Alabama 17
Vols ran ball 43 times for 214 yards (5.0 yards/carry).
Alabama has lost two of its last three games.
Last three games, Tennessee has been outscored 13-0 in first half.
Alabama had 15 penalties for 115 yards, Tennessee 11 for 95.

— Iowa State 38, Central Florida 35
UCF led 28-14 with 9:00 left in third quarter.
Cyclones scored game-winning TD with 0:30 left.
Iowa State is 7-0 for the first time since 1938.
UCF lost despite running ball 39 times for 354 yards.

— Miami 52, Louisville 45
Miami QB Ward threw for 319 yards, four TD’s.
Hurricanes are 7-0 for first time since 2017.
Louisville ran a kickoff back 100 yards for a TD.
Miami scored a defensive TD to make score 24-14 in 2nd quarter.

— Indiana 56, Nebraska 7
7-0 Hoosiers have yet to trail in a game this season.
Indiana QB Rourke hurt his thumb, didn’t play in 2nd half.
Hoosiers are off to their best start since 1967.
Only 9 of Indiana’s 63 plays came on third down.

— Famous birthdays, October 20th:
Juan Marichal, 87
Noland Smith, 81
Isaac Curtis, 74
Dave Collins, 72
Keith Hernandez, 71
Dave Krieg, 66
Herman Moore, 55
Calvin Broadus, 53 (better known as Snoop Dogg)

— Military schools kept on rolling:
Navy 51, Charlotte 17- Middies had pick-6’s of 61, 84 yards.
Army 45, East Carolina 28- QB Daily ran ball 31 times for 171 yards, 5 TDs
Army is 7-0, Navy is 6-0; they play each other December 14th.

— Duke 23, Florida State 16
Duke had been 0-22 against the Seminoles.
This was first time Duke was favored over Florida State.
Duke was +4 in turnovers; they were outgained 291-180.

— Missouri 21, Auburn 17
Auburn led 17-6 after the third quarter.
Mizzou QB Cook went to hospital for an MRI on his ankle, came back to lead two 4th quarter TD drives.
6-1 Mizzou scored game-winning TD with 0:46 left.

— Illinois 21, Michigan 7
Illini ended a 6-game losing skid against Michigan.
Wolverines outgained Illinois 322-267, but were minus-3 in turnovers.
4-3 Michigan is off to its worst start in ten years.

— UNLV 33, Oregon State 25
Beavers led this game 17-16 at halftime.
Oregon State was on UNLV’s 6-yard line when game ended.
UNLV is 6-1 and bowl eligible for second year in a row.
Rebels ran ball 40 times for 188 yards.

— Upsets of the Week:
New Mexico State (+12.5) 33, Louisiana Tech 30 OT
NC State (+10) 24, California 23
Old Dominion (+10) 24, Texas State 10
Georgia Southern (+9.5) 28, James Madison 14
Texas-El Paso (+7) 30, Florida International 21
Maryland (+7) 29, USC 28
Baylor (+6.5) 59, Texas Tech 35
Michigan State (+6.5) 32, Iowa 20

— Eastern Michigan 38, Central Michigan 34
Chippewas led 34-16 with 12:00 left in game.
EMU scored game-winning TD with 1:42 left.
Central lost despite running ball 45 times for 285 yards.

— SMU 40, Stanford 10
SMU threw TD passes of 87-45-38 yards in first quarter.
Bowl-eligible Mustangs have won eight straight road games.
Stanford has lost 11 home games in a row to I-A teams.

— South Carolina 35, Oklahoma 9
Gamecocks scored two defensive TD’s in the first quarter.
South Carolina had nine sacks, four takeaways (+4 TO’s)
Oklahoma is 4-3, 1-3 in its first season in the SEC.

— Maryland 29, USC 28
USC led this game 21-7 at halftime, 28-14 with 11:00 left.
Maryland scored game-winning TD with 0:53 left.
Terps were only 2-13 on third down; they were 3-6 on 4th down.
Trojans have lost four of last five games; they’re 5-9 in last 14 games.

— Cincinnati 24, Arizona State 14
Down by 10 points, ASU missed field goals of 48-41 yards in 4th quarter.
Sun Devils have having open tryouts for kicker on campus Monday.
Both teams are now 5-2.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAFB BEST BETS OCTOBER !

10/15/2024............................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%..........................+ 9.50
10/12/2024............................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%..........................- 35.00
10/11/2024..............................3 - 2 - 0.............................60.00%...........................+ 4.00
10/10/2024..............................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 1.00
10/09/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/08/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/05/2024...........................14 - 18 - 1...........................43.75%............................- 29.00
10/04/2024................................5 - 2 - 0...........................71.42%............................+ 19.50
10/03/2024.,..............................3 - 1 - 0...........................75.00%............................+ 9.50

TOTALS..................................36 - 38 - 1............................48.64%............................ - 23.50


AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting spreads, Week 8
— Eagles @ Cincinnati (-2.5)
— Packers (-4.5) @ Jacksonville
— Titans @ Detroit (-11.5)
— Falcons @ Tampa Bay (-3)
— Cardinals @ Miami (-3.5)
— Ravens (-9.5) @ Cleveland

Quote of the Day
“We’ve been good enough to have the lead to win them all — we just haven’t been good enough to separate. So we’ve put ourselves in that position. … There’s not a magic remedy, right? You go back to work, you keep identifying the things we’re not doing well, keep trying to emphasize and maximize the things that we are, and trying to be 1-0 next week.”
USC coach Lincoln Riley. Trojans are 6-9 in their last 15 games.

Monday’s quiz
Green Bay Packers are a publicly-owned team; of the other 31 NFL owners, who is least wealthy of the group?

Sunday’s quiz
Barry Bonds was walked intentionally 120 times in 2004, the most of any player ever; other than Bonds, Willie McCovey (1969) has received the most intentional walks in a season. He had 45 intentional walks that year.

Saturday’s quiz
John Adams was the first Vice President of the United States.

******************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday…….​

Chiefs 28, 49ers 18
Kansas City is 6-0, last unbeaten team in the NFL.
Chiefs ran ball for 184 yards on 39 carries (4.7/carry)
Chiefs are 11-5 ATS in last 16 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Since 2017, Kansas City is 13-4 ATS as an underdog.
Chiefs were 8-14 on third down, San Francisco 2-11.
49ers scored 32-30-36 points in wins, 17-24-23-18 in losses.
49ers are 0-3 when they gain less than 400 total yards (310 this game)
Chiefs have won five in a row vs 49ers, including two Super Bowls.

Lions 31, Vikings 29
Lions’ first three drives: 10 plays, 30 yards, no points.
Lions’ next four drives: 28 plays, 299 yards, 28 points.
WR St Brown caught 8 passes for 112 yards and a TD.
Detroit scored 42-47-31 points last three games (15 TDs on 30 drives).
Lions drove 44 yards, kicked game-winning 44-yard FG with 0:19 left.
Vikings had taken 29-28 lead on a defensive TD with 5:50 left.
Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in last seven NFC North home games
Over is 8-1-1 in last their last ten games with Detroit.

Packers 24, Texans 22
Green Bay drove 39 yards, kicked 45-yard FG at the gun for the win.
Packers are 5-0 when they allow less than 30 points.
Green Bay outscored last five opponents 66-22 in second half.
Packers survived being minus-3 in turnovers (+9 first six games).
Texans led 19-14 at halftime.
Houston in 2nd half: 30 plays, 76 yards, 3 points.
Stroud was only 10-21/86 passing (2.2 yards/attempt)
Texans are 10-4-1 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog

Eagles 28, Giants 3
RB Barkley ran ball 17 times for 176 yards against his old team.
Philly led 14-3 at half, outgained the Giants, 339-119.
Overall, Eagles ran ball 45 times for 269 yards.
Eagles are 14-3 in last 17 games against the Giants.
Giants’ first six drives: 23 plays, 32 yards, six punts.
Giants’ QB’s threw for 105 yards, were sacked 8 times for 62 yards.
In four home games TY, Giants have one TD on 41 drives.
Under is 6-1 in Big Blue games this season.

Jaguars 32, Patriots 16
New England lost its last six games, outscored 90-43 in first half.
Last three weeks, Patriots gave up 193-192-171 rushing yards.
Patriots are 30-45 since Tom Brady left town.
NE is 7-20-1 ATS in last 28 games as an underdog.
Patriots led 10-0 early in 2nd quarter; Jaguars led 22-10 at half.
Washington ran a punt back 96 yards for a Jaguar TD.
Jaguars outgained New England 364-295.
Jacksonville is 4-2 in their last six games in England.

Bills 34, Titans 10
Buffalo in first half: 20 plays, 90 yards, 5 punts, 7 points.
Tennessee led 10-7 at halftime.
Buffalo in second half: 36 plays, 299 yards, 27 points.
Bills averaged 9.3 yards/pass attempt (Cooper 4 catches, 66 yards)
1-5 Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; their win was 31-12.
Tennessee is minus-9 in turnovers, has had two punts blocked.
Tennessee is 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog.
Titans has trailed in only one of their six games at halftime.

Famous birthdays, October 21st
Manfred Mann, 84
Zack Grienke, 41
Shelden Williams, 41
Ricky Rubio, 34
Greg Robinson, 32
Davis Mills, 26

— New York 5, Cleveland 2 (10)
Juan Soto hit a 3-run homer in 10th inning.
Stanton hit 2-run HR to tie game 2-2 in 6th inning.
New York advances to World Series for first time since 2009

Dodgers 10, Mets 5
Tommy Edman batted cleanup, drove in four runs.
Dodgers led this game 6-1 in third inning.
World Series starts Friday; the #2 and #3 payroll teams in baseball.
Someone needs to tell the FOX TV guys that the Mets were #1 payroll team in the major leagues this season, not exactly a Cinderella story.

Seahawks 34, Falcons 14
Seahawks threw 31-yard TD pass with 0:04 left in first half to go up, 17-7
Up 24-14, Seattle salted game way with a defensive TD with 12:46 left.
Seahawks are 17-10-1 ATS last 28 games as a road underdog.
Seattle’s team total: over 7-0
Atlanta is 5-15-1 ATS last 21 games as a home favorite.
Atlanta was 8-15 on third down, but turned ball over three times.
Falcons were held to 10-17-14 points in their three losses.
Falcons are 5-14 ATS in last 19 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Bengals 21, Browns 14
Bengals ran opening kick of game back 100 yards for a TD.
Bengals rest of first half: 24 plays, 86 yards, no points.
Cincinnati led 7-6 at half; Browns missed PAT after a TD.
Bengals first three drives of second half: 12 plays, 113 yards, 14 points.
Browns had 2 of their 3 QB’s knocked out of this game.
Looked like QB Watson tore his achilles; he is out for the year,
Cleveland scored 17-18-15-16-13-16-14 points in its 1-6 start.
Browns were 8-19 on third down, Cincinnati 2-13.

Colts 16, Dolphins 10
Miami scored a TD on its second drive (11 plays, 58 yards)
Dolphins rest of game: 56 plays, 280 yards, 3 points.
Down 13-10, Miami clanked 54-yard FG off upright with 5:14 left.
Last four games, Dolphins have four touchdowns on 55 drives.
Dolphins’ team total: under 6-0
Colts QB Richardson completed only 10-24 passes for 129 yards.
Indy won four of its last five games (4-0-1 ATS)
All seven Colts games (4-3) were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Under Steichen, Colts are 4-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Commanders 40, Panthers 7
Carolina’s six losses are by 37-23-10-26-18-33 points.
Carolina is 2-10-1 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.
Panthers gave up 20+ points in first half in six of seven games.
Carolina is 4-14-2 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
Rookie QB Daniels (ribs) left early in game, after a 46-yard run.
Veteran backup Mariota was 18-23/205 passing, with 2 TD’s.
Washington’s first score was a 67-yard pick-6 by Fowler.
Commanders won/covered five of their last six games.
Last six games, Commanders scored 19 TD’s, kicked 20 FG’s on 51 drives.

Rams 20, Raiders 15
LA allowed 17 TD’s in first five games; Raiders had no TD’s, 5 FG’s.
Rams had 4 takeaways (+3); their TD drives were 47-26 yards.
Rams are +4 in turnovers in their wins, minus-3 in losses.
RB Williams ran ball 21 times for 76 yards, two TD’s.
First time this season Rams led after the three quarters.

QB O’Connell hurt his thumb; Minshew was 15-34/154 passing (3 INTs)
Raiders have 16 turnovers in seven games (minus-13).
Since 2019, Raiders are 20-13 ATS as a road underdog.
Opponents have converted only 24 of 83 third down plays.
Rookie TE Bowers caught 10 passes for 93 yards.

Steelers 30, Jets 15
Jets led 15-6 with 5:00 left in first half.
Jets lost last four games, by 1-6-3-15 points.
Jets scored 24-24 points in wins, 19-9-17-20-15 in losses.
Jets are 5-12-1 ATS in last 18 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Steelers in 2nd half: 4 drives- 36 plays, 227 yards, 24 points.
QB Wilson was 16-29/264 passing, 2 TDs in his first Pittsburgh start.
Steelers are 13-5-2 ATS last 20 games as a home underdog.
Steelers allowed 10-6-10-13-15 points in wins, 27-20 in losses.
Steelers are 16-8-1 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or less points.

 

[Udog]

WEEK 9

Tuesday, October 22

Wednesday, October 23

Thursday, October 24

Friday, October 25

Saturday, October 26

 

[Udog]

NCAAF

Week 9

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 9

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9

Tuesday’s games
Sam Houston State (-6.5) @ Florida International
Sam Houston State (5-2, 2-1)
Bearkats won four of its last five games, scoring 31-31-40-41 points.
Bearkats ran ball for 282 yards/game in those wins.
Sam Houston has 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Bearkats have 70 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Watson played JC ball in Iowa last year.


Sam Houston is 3-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
Bearkats are 6-5 ATS in last 11 conference games.
Sam Houston was held to 14-14 points in its losses.
Sam Houston is 4-6 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.
Bearkats are 6-3 ATS in their last nine road games.


Florida International (2-5, 1-2)
Panthers lost four of their last five games.
FIU gave up 16-10 points in wins, 31-38-45-31-30 in losses.
FIU has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
FIU has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Jankins started 11 games last year.


Under MacIntyre, FIU is 6-5 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, MacIntyre is 19-16 ATS as home underdog.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 14-12 ATS as an underdog anywhere.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 8-10 ATS coming off a loss.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 8-11 ATS in conference games.


FIU (+5.5) won 33-27 at Sam Houston last year.
Conference USA home underdogs are 4-3 ATS in league games.


Texas-El Paso @ Louisiana Tech (-7)
Texas-El Paso (1-6, 1-3)
Miners beat FIU 30-21 LW, outrushing Panthers 211-85.
UTEP had been outrushed 1,145-466 in its I-A losses.
UTEP has 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
Miners have 26 starts back on offensive line, mostly at I-AA level.
Soph QB Locklear came with the new coach from I-AA Austin Peay.


UTEP is 6-9 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog (1-3 TY).
UTEP is 19-13 ATS in last 32 conference games.
Miners are 10-16-1 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
UTEP lost 27-24 to I-AA Southern Utah.
Miners allowed 34.8 ppg in their four road games.


Louisiana Tech (2-4, 1-2)
Tech is 1-4 vs I-A teams, with three losses by 7 or less points.
Bulldogs are +3 in turnovers last two games (minus-8 in first three).
Tech has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tech has 79 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Bullock is 48-68/557 passing (6 TD, no INTs).


Under Cumbie, Tech is 4-5 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Cumbie is 4-5 ATS as a home favorite.
As a head coach, Cumbie is 4-9 ATS as a favorite.
Bulldogs are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
Under Cumbie, Tech is 9-13 ATS coming off a loss.


Louisiana Tech won 10 of last 11 games against UTEP.
Miners are 0-5 SU/3-2 ATS in their last five visits to Ruston.
Under is 3-1 in last four series games.
C-USA home favorites are 4-4 ATS in conference games.

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting spreads, Week 8
— Bills (-3) @ Seattle
— Bears (-3) @ Washington
— Panthers @ Denver (-7.5)
— Chiefs (-10) @ Las Vegas
— Cowboys @ San Francisco (-4.5)
— Giants @ Pittsburgh (-6)

Quote of the Day
“We’re all going to be dead soon, and it really doesn’t matter anymore. So there’s zero pressure. You have an opportunity to carry the organization forward, to double down on the tradition and history of what this organization has. And what else would you expect than someone expecting you to win all the time?”
Celtics coach Joe Mazzulla, talking about Boston repeating as NBA champs

Tuesday’s quiz
Arizona Cardinals have played in one Super Bowl; who was their QB in that game?

Monday’s quiz
Green Bay Packers are a publicly-owned team; of the other 31 NFL owners, Bengals owner Mike Brown is the least wealthy.

Sunday’s quiz
Barry Bonds was walked intentionally 120 times in 2004, the most of any player ever; other than Bonds, Willie McCovey (1969) has received the most intentional walks in a season. He had 45 intentional walks that year.

******************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..​

— Ravens 41, Buccaneers 31
Baltimore won/covered last five games, scoring 28-35-41-30-41 points.
First seven drives, Ravens ran 40 plays for 379 yards, 34 points.
RB Henry carried ball 15 times for 169 yards.
Ravens are 10-4 ATS in last 14 games as a road favorite.
Over is 6-1 in Baltimore’s games this year.
Both of Buccaneers’ star WR’s (Evans/Godwin) left with injuries.
Tampa Bay led 10-0 after the first quarter.
Buccaneers scored 33-30-51-31 points in last four games.
Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
Buccaneers are 4-9 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC teams.

— Cardinals 17, Chargers 15
On their first drive, Chargers fumbled on Arizona’s 2-yard line.
Chargers wound up kicking five field goals on their eight drives.
Last four games, on 17 2nd half drives, Chargers have no TD’s, 4 FG’s.
Chargers scored 22-26-23 points in wins, 10-10-15 in losses.
Chargers are 3-12 ATS in last 15 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Arizona drove 56 yards, kicked game-winning FG at the gun.
Cardinals are 17-12 ATS last 29 games coming off a loss.
Chargers were 6-14 on third down, Arizona 2-7
Murray’s 44-yard TD run put Cardinals ahead 14-9.
Cardinals are 8-5 ATS last 13 games as a home underdog.

— OK, let’s say you’re voting for who gets into the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Let’s take a look at the blind resume for two candidates (both QB’s):
Player A: 117-117 regular season W-L, 8-4 playoffs.
Won two Super Bowls
Player B: 72-72 regular season W-L, 8-2 playoffs.
Won two Super Bowls
Who gets in? Both? Neither? Just Player A? Just Player B?
Both won two Super Bowls, with a .500 regular season record. Seems logical that both of them should get in, or neither one, right?

— Cleveland Browns are planning on building a domed stadium in suburban Brook Park, which apparently will be privately funded.

— Giants’ QB Daniel Jones is the only starting QB since 2000 with no passing TD’s in six consecutive home games.

— When the Lions play in Green Bay on November 3rd, it’ll be their first game outdoors this season, their eighth game this year.

— Famous birthdays, October 22:
Christopher Lloyd, 86
Wilbur Wood, 83
Jeff Goldblum, 72
Jamie Quirk, 70
Luis Zendejas, 63
Ichiro Suzuki, 51
Carmen Ejogo, 50
Robinson Cano, 42
Corbin Burnes, 30

There will be scapegoats:
— Oklahoma has lost three of its last four games, is 132nd in the country in offense; they fired offensive coordinator Seth Littrell Sunday.
Littrell was North Texas’ head coach from 2016-22; he was an analyst at Oklahoma last year, was promoted to OC this year when Jeff Lebby left to become Mississippi State’s head coach.

— Oklahoma is an underdog of 20.5 points vs Ole Miss this week; it would be the first time since 1997 that the Sooners were an underdog of 20+ points- 348 games ago.

— Utah Utes offensive coordinator Andy Ludwig resigned (was fired) Sunday; Utah lost its last three games, scoring a total of 36 points. Mike Bajakian was promoted to QB coach/offensive coordinator (on an interim basis).
Bajakian joined Utah this year as an analyst after spending four seasons as offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach at Northwestern, a school exactly known for offense, but he was also a QB coach for the Tampa Bay Bucs from 2015-18.

— East Carolina fired football coach Mike Houston after their 3-4 start; Houston was 27-38 in 5+ seasons coaching the Pirates, getting to bowl games in 2021, 2022, but ECU lost its last two games, giving up 100 points to Charlotte/Army. Not good.

— USC has led in the 4th quarter of all their games this season, but they’re 3-4; over the last 20 years, only one other team has led in the 4th quarter of their first seven games, and been under .500 (Utah State in 2011).

— Movie of the Day: One on One (1977)- A small-town basketball star goes to college and tries to impress his tutor, teammates, and coach.
Robby Benson is the star; lot has changed since this movie was made (I was in high school, for example) but some of it still holds up. Annette O’Toole is his tutor and a very young Melanie Griffith has a cameo at the start of the movie.
One on One was filmed at Colorado State; I think they still use that arena.

— In September, parlays accounted for 32.3% of sports bets in New Jersey, 72.5% of their gross revenue. Parlays are a casino’s very good friend.

— Do NFL coaches get drug tested? I’m wondering this because Detroit coach Dan Campbell does some weird stuff— he takes chances, reckless chances at times.
First possession Sunday, Lions tried a fake punt in Minnesota; it failed badly, but the Lions were good enough to win anyway, kicking a field goal at the end. Couple of years ago against the Rams, Detroit tried an onside kick/fake punt in the first half….of the same game!!!

— 2016 Atlanta Falcons had five coaches on their staff who are currently NFL head coaches:
Dan Quinn, Washington
Raheem Morris, Atlanta
Mike McDaniel, Miami
Jeff Ulbrich, Jets
Kyle Shanahan, San Francisco

— Oh, by the way, the two quarterbacks up above?
Player B is Jim Plunkett
Player A in Eli Manning

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Tuesday, October 22

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 22​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
SHSU at FIU	07:30 PM	SHSU -4.5 O 46.5	+500 +500
UTEP at LT	08:00 PM	UTEP +6.5 U 48.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAFB BEST BETS OCTOBER !

10/22/2024............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
10/15/2024............................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%..........................+ 9.50
10/12/2024............................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%..........................- 35.00
10/11/2024..............................3 - 2 - 0.............................60.00%...........................+ 4.00
10/10/2024..............................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 1.00
10/09/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/08/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/05/2024...........................14 - 18 - 1...........................43.75%............................- 29.00
10/04/2024................................5 - 2 - 0...........................71.42%............................+ 19.50
10/03/2024.,..............................3 - 1 - 0...........................75.00%............................+ 9.50

TOTALS..................................38 - 40 - 1............................48.71%............................ - 24.50


AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting college football spreads, Week 8
— Boise State (-3) @ UNLV
— Notre Dame (-12.5) vs Navy (@ Meadowlands)
— Washington @ Indiana (-6.5)
— Illinois @ Oregon (-21.5)
— BYU @ Central Florida (-1.5)
— Texas Tech @ TCU (-6.5)

Quote of the Day
“If a guy is going to cheat you on the golf course, he’s going to cheat you in business.”
Arnold Palmer, as told to Rick Reilly

Wednesday’s quiz
Last two times the New York Knicks won the NBA title, which team did they beat in the Finals both times?

Tuesday’s quiz
Arizona Cardinals have played in one Super Bowl; Hall of Famer Kurt Warner was their QB in that game.

Monday’s quiz
Green Bay Packers are a publicly-owned team; of the other 31 NFL owners, Bengals owner Mike Brown is the least wealthy.

***********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….​

— Celtics 132, Knicks 109
Celtics led 74-55 at halftime.
Boston shot 29-61 on the arc, and they missed their last 14.
Jayson Tatum scored 37 points.

— Lakers 110, Timberwolves 103
Anthony Davis scored 36 points, grabbed 16 rebounds.
Lebron/Bronny James are first father/son to play in same NBA game.
Lakers had lost their last six season openers.

— Sam Houston 10, Florida International 7
Game was scoreless at halftime.
Sam Houston kicked a 20-yard FG with 1:57 left for the road win.
Bearkats are bowl eligible for the first time as a I-A team.

— Louisiana Tech 14, Texas-El Paso 10
Tech was 6-17 on third down, Miners 1-14.
Bulldogs ran ball 30 times for 7 yards, UTEP 47 times for 166 yards.
Tech has won 11 of its last 12 games against UTEP.

— All 32 NHL teams played Tuesday; the over/under on goals scored for all 32 teams was 101.5. Night ended with 98 goals being scored.

— American League teams won last two World Series; leagues split the last 12 Fall Classics.

— When the Rams won Sunday, Sean McVay tied John Robinson for the most wins (79) by a coach in franchise history.

— Famous birthdays, October 23rd:
Weird Al Yankovic, 65
Doug Flutie, 62
Mike Tomczak, 62
Keith Van Horn, 49
Ryan Reynolds, 48
Kyle Gibson, 37
Nick Bosa, 27
Dylan Carlson, 26

— Random fact that is kind of amazing; Pittsburgh Steelers have had only three head coaches since 1969- Chick Noll, Bill Cowher, Mike Tomlin.
Steelers are only NFL team that hasn’t played a divisional game yet.

— Indiana Hoosiers QB Kurtis Rourke had surgery on his right (passing) thumb, is out for a while. Indiana, off to its best start since 1967, hosts Washington Saturday.

— Hawai’i is joining the Mountain West on a full-time basis in two years, which figures to hurt their basketball program. Hawaii is 34-21 in Big West games the last three years, but moving up to the Mountain West is a big step up, just ask UNLV.

— If you have a son who is athletic and kind of tall, get him a basketball and send him outside to practice……..a lot
Denver Nuggets signed Aaron Gordon to a 4-year, $133M contract extension.
Washington Wizards signed Corey Kispert to a 4-year, $54M contract extension.
Atlanta Hawks signed Jalen Johnson to a 5-year, $150M contract extension.
Golden State Warriors signed Moses Moody to a 3-year, $39M contract extension.
Houston Rockets signed Alperen Sengun to a 5-year, $185M contract extension.
Minnesota Timberwolves signed Rudy Gobert to a 3-year, $110M contract extension.
It is really, really hard to make it to the NBA, but if you do, it pays off handsomely.

— Fernando Valenzuela, the great Dodger pitcher, passed away Tuesday at age 63.
In 1981, Valenzuela won the NL Rookie of the Year and Cy Young awards as a 20-year-old by going 13-7 with a 2.48 ERA.
Valenzuela went to six consecutive All-Star Games from 1981-86 and also finished in the top five of the Cy Young voting in 1982, 1985, and 1986.
June 19, 1990, Valenzuela pitched a no-hitter against St Louis, the same night Dave Stewart also threw a no-hitter, the only time two no-hitters happened on the same day.
Valenzuela had a 173-153 record in the majors, then was 5-1, 1.98 in eight playoff games.
RIP, sir.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Tuesday, October 22

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9

Wednesday’s games
Liberty (-25) @ Kennesaw State
Liberty (5-0, 3-0)
Liberty won its three C-USA games, by 6-18-7 points.
Liberty is scoring 31 ppg vs I-A teams (1-3 ATS).
Flames have 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Flames have 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Salter has 18 career starts.


Under Chadwell, Liberty is 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Chadwell, Liberty is 6-6 ATS in conference games.
Liberty is running ball for 219 yards/game in I-A tilts.
Flames are 7-8 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
Liberty gave up 24 points in four of its five games.


Kennesaw State (0-6, 0-2)
Kennesaw lost its first five I-A games by 12-24-21-39-9 points.
Owls also lost 27-13 to UT-Martin, a I-AA team.
Kennesaw has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Owls have 33 starts back on offensive line, added six transfers.
Last three games, Owls completed last then half their passes


Kennesaw is 1-4 ATS in its I-A games.
Kennesaw has yet to gain more than 270 yards in a game TY.
Last three games, Owls are minus-6 in turnovers.
Kennesaw is 2-10 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
Under is 4-1 in their I-A games this season.


These teams haven’t met as I-A opponents.


Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State (-21)
Middle Tennessee (2-5, 1-2)
MTSU is 1-5 vs I-A teams, outscored 223-83 (37-14 average).
MTSU was held under 100 YR in five of its last six games.
MTSU has 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Blue Raiders have 26 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Vattiato has started 18 games.


MTSU is 7-11-1 ATS last 19 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Mason is 18-18-1 ATS as a road underdog.
MTSU is minus-6 in turnovers in its I-A games.
MTSU is 6-13 ATS in its last 18 conference games.
Blue Raiders are 8-16 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win


Jacksonville State (3-3, 2-0)
Gamecocks won their last three games, scoring 44-63-54 points.
Jax State ran for 273-384-334 yards in winning last three games.
Jax State has 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Gamecocks have 67 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Huff played last two years at I-AA Furman.


Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 5-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 7-2 ATS in conference games.
Jax State was +11 in turnovers the last three games.
Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 11-7 ATS coming off a win.
Over is 5-1 in their games this season.


Jacksonville State (+3) won 45-30 at Middle Tennessee LY.
MTSU gained 563 yards in that game, but was minus-3 in turnovers.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 23​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
LIB at KENN	07:00 PM	LIB -26.0 U 47.0	+500 +500
MTU at JVST	07:30 PM	JVST -20.5 O 63.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAFB BEST BETS OCTOBER !

10/23/2024............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
10/22/2024............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
10/15/2024............................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%..........................+ 9.50
10/12/2024............................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%..........................- 35.00
10/11/2024..............................3 - 2 - 0.............................60.00%...........................+ 4.00
10/10/2024..............................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 1.00
10/09/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/08/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/05/2024...........................14 - 18 - 1...........................43.75%............................- 29.00
10/04/2024................................5 - 2 - 0...........................71.42%............................+ 19.50
10/03/2024.,..............................3 - 1 - 0...........................75.00%............................+ 9.50

TOTALS..................................40 - 42 - 1............................48.78%............................ - 25.50


AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
— Kennesaw State 27, Liberty 24- Liberty was favored by 27.5 points.
— Jacksonville State 42, MTSU 20- Gamecocks outscored MT 21-3 in 3rd quarter.
— Suns 116, Clippers 113 OT- Suns were +14 in 24:00 Royce O’Neale played.
— Grizzlies 126, Jazz 124- Ja Morant had 22 points,, ten assists.
— Pacers 115, Pistons 109- Indiana outscored Pistons 33-19 in 4th quarter.
— Hawks 120, Nets 116- Onyeka Okongwu scored a career-high 28 points.

Quote of the Day
“We are not making any changes.”
New Jersey Giants owner John Mara

Thursday’s quiz
In the old TV show Magnum PI, what holiday did Magnum always spend by himself?

Wednesday’s quiz
Last two times the New York Knicks won the NBA title, they beat the Lakers in the Finals both times.

Tuesday’s quiz
Arizona Cardinals have played in one Super Bowl; Hall of Famer Kurt Warner was their QB in that game.

******************************************

Thursday’s Den: Very early college basketball information…….​

College basketball starts in 10 days…..some stuff to think about
— UConn won the last two national titles; last team to win three in a row was UCLA, way back from 1971-73. Last spring, Danny Hurley turned down a chance to coach the Lakers; he lost four starters from last year, but his Huskies are still a preseason top 10 team.

— TV/radio personality Doug Gottlieb is the new coach at Green Bay; he’s making $215,000 this year coaching, as well as continuing as host of his national radio show during the week. He was a really good TV analyst on game broadcasts.
Gottlieb played point guard at Notre Dame/Oklahoma State; his late father was a coach, and his brother is still coaching. This should be interesting to follow.

— 6-3 guard PJ Haggerty scored 21.2 ppg last year for Tulsa, more than any freshman in the country; he then bolted to Memphi$, because that’s what happens in college sports now. Rooting for smaller college teams is like rooting for the A’s or the Pirates- your best players are bolting for $$$.

— No Pac-12 this year; it’ll be back down the road, but there is one less automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament this year, and one more at-large bid. Oregon State, Washington State are playing in the WCC this year, Gonzaga’s league.

— 15 of the 18 ACC teams will be in the ACC Tournament……10 of the 13 teams in the MAAC will be in their tournament. In the past, the whole league played in their conference tournaments.

— Since 2015, six ACC teams have made it to a Final Four:
Duke, Miami, North Carolina, NC State, Syracuse, Virginia

— College sports has gone mad; realignment of leagues has been to maximize $$$ from football, and basketball (and other sports) are suffering as a result.
Stanford/Cal are in the ATLANTIC Coast Conference; they’ll take two-game road trips this winter. January 15, 18th Stanford plays at Wake Forest/North Carolina; this makes no sense, and must cost schools a ton of dollar$.

— Famous birthdays, October 24th:
Kevin Kline, 77
Chester Marcol, 75
Omar Moreno, 72
Jay Novacek, 62
Corey Dillon, 50
Eric Hosmer, 35
Jalen Ramsey, 30
Rafael Devers, 28
Jaylen Brown, 28
Amon-Ra St. Brown, 25

— David Patrick is a coach who has now quit as a head coach twice, to become an assistant coach somewhere else, an unusual career move.
From 2018-20, Patrick was coach at Cal-Riverside; they went 10-23/17-15 at UCR, improving from 4-12 to 7-9 in the Big West in his second year, but then he bolted to Arkansas, where he was an assistant for Eric Musselman.
The last two years, Patrick was an assistant at Sacramento State in the Big Sky, where he went 14-18/10-24 in two years. Last spring, Patrick moved on and is now an assistant at LSU.

— Only three Big East teams made the NCAA Tournament last year, the fewest amount of teams since the league re-booted in 2014. One of those teams won the national title, but St John’s and Seton Hall getting squeezed out of at-large bids was surprising.

— Eric Musselman is going to win big (eventually) at USC; he’s added 10 transfers this season, eight of them seniors. There is only one kid on USC’s team who was a Trojan last year, and he only scored 2.3 ppg last year.

— Last seven years, seven different teams have won the C0nference USA conference tournament; last 11 years, eight different teams have won the Big West tournament.

— Steve Lutz is the new coach at Oklahoma State; he was 22-12 in his one year at Western Kentucky last year, after he was 47-23, 21-11 in two years at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi.
Oklahoma State was 21-9 in the one year Cade Cunningham played for them, but in the three years since, Cowboys went 8-10, 4-14. 4-14 in Big X games.

— Utah State is on its sixth head coach in 11 years, which is weird because during that time, they’ve had only one losing season.

— Since 2010, Ivy League teams are a surprisingly good 8-14 in the NCAA Tournament.

— Coaching carousel was in full gear this past spring:
Rob Lanier went from SMU to Rice
Andy Enfield went from USC to SMU
Eric Musselman went from Arkansas to USC
John Calipari went from Kentucky to Arkansas
Mark Pope went from BYU to Kentucky.
Kyle Smith went from Washington State to Stanford
Danny Sprinkle went from Utah State to Washington
Dusty May went from Florida Atlantic to Michigan
Pat Kelsey went from Charleston to Louisville
Former Louisville coach Chris Mack went to Charleston.
Should be a very interesting season; enjoy!!!

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Tuesday, October 22

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9

Thursday’s games
Georgia Southern @ Old Dominion (-2)
Georgia Southern (5-2, 3-0)
Eagles are 3-0 in Sun Belt, scoring 38-24-28 points.
GSU gave up 56-52 points in losses to Boise State, Ole Miss
GSU has 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Eagles have 50 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB/new starter French threw only 16 passes LY.


Under Helton, GSU is 4-8 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Helton is 6-17 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Helton is 33-36-1 ATS in conference games.
Eagles are 13-8-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.


Old Dominion (3-4, 2-1)
Old Dominion won 3 of last 4 games, after an 0-3 start.
Monarchs have run ball for 198 yards/game in Sun Belt tilts.
ODU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Monarchs have 33 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Joseph is 58-106/571 passing (4 TD’s, 2 INTs)


Last 2+ years, Old Dominion is 0-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Rahne, ODU is 10-10 ATS in home games.
Monarchs are 8-3 ATS in last 11 Sun Belt games. .
Monarchs are 10-8 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
ODU is 3-1 when it scored 21+ points, 0-3 when it doesn’t.


Road team team won last two meetings (underdogs 2-0 ATS)
Both games stayed under the total.
Sun Belt home favorites are 7-5 ATS in league games.


Syracuse @ Pittsburgh (-6)
Syracuse (5-1, 2-1)
Syracuse won its last three games, scoring 42-44-24 points.
Orange threw for 339+ yards in all five of its I-A games.
Syracuse has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Orangemen have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB McCord started 12 games at Ohio State last year.


Syracuse won both its road games (44-41 UNLV, 24-17 NC State).
Last 2+ years, Syracuse is 2-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Average total in their I-A games is 59.0.
Syracuse is 7-12 ATS in last 19 conference games.
Orange is 14-7-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.


Pittsburgh (6-0, 2-0)
Pitt is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in its first five I-A games.
Panthers threw for 300+ yards in five of six games.
Panthers have 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Panthers have 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Holstein is 126-199/1,700 passing, with 15 TD’s, 5 INTs.


Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 16-24-3 ATS as a home favorite.
Panthers allowed 24+ points in four of their five I-A games.
Pitt is 6-7 ATS in its last 13 ACC home games.
Last 2+ years, Panthers are 8-10 ATS in ACC games overall.
Panthers are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in their last four I-A games.


Pitt has won 19 of its last 23 games vs Syracuse.
Syracuse is 0-10 SU/3-7 ATS in last 10 visits to Pittsburgh.
Under is 9-3 in last 12 series games.
ACC home favorites are 9-10 ATS in conference play.


Friday’s games
Louisville (-7.5) @ Boston College
Louisville (4-3, 2-2)
Louisville allowed 31-34-52 points in its three losses.
Cardinals gave up 20 or fewer points in their wins.
Cardinals have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Louisville has 172 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Though has started at Oregon, Texas Tech


Louisville lost three of its last four games (0-4 ATS)
In his career, Brohm is 10-13 ATS as a road favorite.
Since 2020, Cardinals are 2-6 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Brohm, Louisville is 1-4 ATS coming off a loss.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.


Boston College (4-3, 1-2)
BC won both I-A home games, over Michigan St, Western Kentucky
Eagles lost last two games (24-14 @ Virginia, 42-21 @ Va Tech)
Eagles have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Eagles have 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Castellanos started 12 games LY.


Boston College is 15-7-1 ATS last 23 games as a home dog.
In his college career, O’Brien is 7-5 ATS as an underdog.
Eagles are 11-16 ATS in last 27 ACC games.
BC gave up 368 rushing yards in LW’s 42-21 at Virginia Tech.
Under is 5-1 in their I-A games.


Home side won last six series games.
Louisville is 0-3 SU/ATS in last three visits to Boston.
Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings.


Boise State (-3.5) @ UNLV
Boise State (5-1, 2-0)
Broncos won last three I-A games, scoring 45-62-28 points.
Boise has run for 279.4 yards/game in its I-A games.
Boise has 6 starters back on offense, all 11 on defense.
Broncos have 66 starts returning on the offensive line.
Soph QB Madsen (132 pass attempts LY) is the ‘QB.


Boise’s only loss: 37-34 (+17) @ Oregon last month.
Broncos are 3-5-2 ATS in last ten games as a road favorite.
Over is 4-1 in their I-A games.
Broncos are 12-6-2 ATS in last 20 conference games.
Boise is 12-22-2 ATS in last 36 games coming off a win.


UNLV (6-1, 2-0)
Rebels are 6-1, have a +12 turnover ratio.
UNLV scored 45.8 ppg in its last four games.
UNLV has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 79 starts returning on offensive line.
Senior QB Williams started 40 games at I-AA Campbell.


Under Odom, UNLV is 14-6 against the spread.
In his career, Odom is 4-3 ATS as a home underdog.
UNLV’s only loss: 44-41 at home to Syracuse.
Under Odom, UNLV is 7-4 ATS in conference games.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.


Boise State is 6-0 SU/3-3 ATS in last six meetings.
Broncos won/covered their last three visits to UNLV.
Over is 4-2 in last six series games.


Rutgers @ USC (-13.5)
Rutgers (4-3, 1-3)
Rutgers lost its last three games, giving up 30.3 ppg.
Scarlet Knights were held under 300 yards in 3 of last 4 games.
Scarlet Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
Rutgers has 123 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Kaliakmanis started 12 games at Minnesota.


Scarlet Knights are 12-5-1 ATS last 18 games as road underdogs.
In his college career, Schiano is 34-21-3 ATS as road underdog.
Last 3+ years, Rutgers is 11-17-3 ATS in conference games.
Rutgers is 2-8 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-2 in their I-A games.


USC (3-4, 1-4)
Trojans lost four of their first five Big 18 games.
USC’s losses are by 1-3-3-7 points.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Moss won his only start 42-28 LY (bowl game).


USC is 9-5 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Riley is 27-19 ATS as a home favorite.
Trojans are 11-22 ATS in last 33 conference games.
In his career, Riley is 33-38-1 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Riley is 6-9 ATS coming off a loss.
Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games.


These teams haven’t met in last 20 years. .
Big 14 home favorites are 9-10 ATS in league games.


Saturday’s best 13 games
Notre Dame (-13) vs Navy (@ Meadowlands)
Notre Dame (6-1)
Notre Dame won its last five games, scoring 41 ppg.
Notre Dame’s only loss was 16-14 at home to Northern Illinois.
Irish have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Notre Dame has 34 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Leonard started 21 games at Duke.


Notre Dame held six of seven opponents to 13 or fewer points.
Since 2017, Notre Dame is 17-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Freeman, Notre Dame is 5-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Freeman, Notre Dame is 8-3 ATS in all road games.
Under Freeman, Notre Dame is 13-8-1 ATS coming off a win


Navy (6-0)
Navy is 6-0, with all six wins by 12+ points.
Middies have run ball for 279 yards/games vs I-A opponents.
Navy has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Middies have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Horvath has run ball for 621 yards, thrown for 888.


Navy is 15-8 ATS in last 23 games as an underdog.
Middies are 5-0 ATS vs I-A teams this year.
Navy is 11-3 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Navy has thrown for 100+ yards in every game this year.
Navy has a +12 turnover ratio, in six games.


Notre Dame is 11-1 SU/6-6 ATS in last 12 series games.
Over is 9-4 in last thirteen meetings.


Washington @ Indiana (-6.5)
Washington (4-3, 2-2)
Washington was held to 19-18-16 in losses, scored 30-24-27 in I-A wins.
Huskies are 0-2 on road: 21-18 at Rutgers, 40-16 at Iowa.
Huskies have 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Huskies have 36 returning starts on offensive line, none of them here.
Senior QB Rogers started 40 games at Mississippi State.


Since 2014, Washington is 8-7 ATS as a road underdog.
Since 2018, Huskies are 20-35 ATS in conference games (2-2 TY).
In his career, Fisch is 8-7 ATS as a road underdog.
Washington is 4-7 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Under is 4-2 in their I-A games this season.


Indiana (6-0, 3-0)
Senior QB Rourke (thumb) is out for this game.
Hoosiers are 4-0 in league games, scoring 42-42-41-56 points.
Last four games, Indiana gained 510-510-529-495 yards.
Hoosiers have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
Hoosiers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.


Indiana is 16-7 ATS last 23 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Cignetti is 10-6 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Cignetti is 15-5 ATS in conference games.
Indiana is 15-9 ATS in its last 24 games coming off a win.
Indiana’s last five games went over the total.


These teams haven’t met since 2003.

Arkansas (-6.5) @ Mississippi State
Arkansas (4-3, 2-2)
Arkansas was held to 17-19-10 points in its last three games.
Razorbacks were minus-8 in turnovers in their losses (+3 in wins).
Razorbacks have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Razorbacks have 67 returning starts on the offensive line;
Junior QB Green started 22 games at Boise State.


Last 11 years, Arkansas is 1-6-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 6-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
Arkansas is 21-14-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 14-11 ATS coming off a loss.
Arkansas’ last four games stayed under the total.


Mississippi State (1-6, 0-4)
Miss State is 0-6 in I-A games, giving up 37.7 ppg.
Miss State gave up 415+ TY in five of six I-A games.
Bulldogs have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Bulldogs have 67 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Van Buren is 61-114/792 passing (6 TD’s, 2 INTs)


Since 2019, MSU is 2-11-1 ATS as a home underdog.
MSU is 7-12-1 ATS in its last 20 SEC games (3-0 last three).
Bulldogs are 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Jeff Lebby is Miss State’s 5th head coach the last eight seasons.
Over is 4-1 in Miss State’s last five games.


Miss State won nine of last 12 meetings.
Arkansas is 2-4 SU/3-3 ATS last six visits to Starkville.
Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.


Illinois @ Oregon (-21.5)
Illinois (6-1, 3-1)
Illinois is 3-1 in Big 18 games, losing 21-7 at Penn State.
Illini has a +7 turnover ratio, minus-1 in league games.
Illinois has 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Illini has 77 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Altmyer has 10 career starts.


Under Bielema, Illinois is 11-3 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Bielema is 26-16-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 18-13 ATS in conference games.
Illinois is 10-12 ATS last 22 games coming off a win.
Under is 4-2 in Illinois’ I-A games.


Oregon (7-0, 4-0)
Oregon scored 37-49-34-31-32-35 points in its I-A wins.
Last five games, Ducks gained 546-431-477-496-421 TY.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 144 returning starts on the offensive line.
Ducks poached senior QB Gabriel (49 starts at UCF/Oklahoma).


Under Lanning, Oregon is 10-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Lanning, Ducks are 19-8 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 15-7 ATS in conference games.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 18-8 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.


These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.


Maryland @ Minnesota (-4)
Maryland (4-3, 1-3)
Terps are 1-3 in conference games, giving up 33.5 ppg
Maryland is 4-1 when it scores 27+ points.
Maryland has 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Terps have 21 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Edwards is 195-278/2,113 passing (13 TDs, 4 INT).

Under Locksley, Maryland is 6-12 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Locksley is 11-20 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Locksley, Terps are 20-31 ATS in conference games.
Terps were minus-5 in turnovers last 2 games (+11 in first five games).
Over is 4-1-1 in their I-A games.


Minnesota (4-3, 2-2)
Minnesota beat USC/UCLA last two games, after a 2-3 start.
Gophers allowed 8.5 ppg in wins, 19-31-27 points in losses.
Gophers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Minnesota has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Brosmer started 36 games at I-AA New Hampshire.


Minnesota is 8-5 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Fleck is 24-21 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 32-31-2 ATS in conference games.
Minnesota is +11 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
Gophers were held under 100 YR in all three losses.


These teams haven’t met since 2021.
Terps lost last two visits to Minnesota, 34-16/52-10
Over is 4-1 in last five series games.


Oklahoma State @ Baylor (-7)
Oklahoma State (3-4, 0-4)
OSU lost its three Big X games, 22-19/42-20/38-14/38-35.
Cowboys gave up 232+ rushing yards in 5 of 6 I-A games.
Cowboys have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cowboys have 214 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bowman is in his 7th college season (13 starts LY)


OSU is 4-5 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.
Oklahoma State is 19-13 ATS in its last 32 Big X games.
Cowboys are 18-11-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss.
Oklahoma State gave up 456-559-558-473 yards in its Big X games.
Cowboys scored 39-45 points in their two I-A wins.


Baylor (3-4, 1-4)
Baylor is 1-4 in Big X, giving up 37.5 ppg in last four games.
Bears scored 31-59 points in their two I-A wins.
Baylor has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Robertson started four games last year.


Under Aranda, Baylor is 9-7 ATS as home favorites.
Under Aranda, Bears are 13-11 ATS coming off a win.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 20-22 ATS in conference games.
Last 2+ years, Baylor is +3 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)
Baylor’s last four games went over the total.


Oklahoma State won three of last four series games.
Cowboys won last two visits to Waco, 36-25/42-3
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Texas Tech @ TCU (-6.5)
Texas Tech (5-2, 3-1)
Texas Tech is 3-1 in Big X games (average total, 70.3)
Tech gave up 37-59 points in their two losses.
Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Red Raiders have 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morton started 12 games LY (17 TDs/3 INTs this year)


Under McGuire, Texas Tech is 3-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Under McGuire, Red Raiders are 11-10-1 ATS in Big X games.
Last three games, Tech gave up 502 yards/game.
Tech is 31-35-1 ATS in its last 67 Big X games.
Four of Tech’s five wins were by 8 or fewer points.


TCU (4-3, 2-2)
TCU gave up 35-66-30 points in their three losses.
TCU gave up 289-238-207 rushing yards in those games.
TCU has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hoover started six games last year.


Under Dykes, TCU is 7-6 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Dykes is 28-23 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dykes, TCU is 12-10-1 ATS in Big X games.
Last four games (2-2), Frogs are minus-12 in turnovers.
Over is 4-2 in their I-A games this season.


TCU won four of last five series games (favorites 4-0 ATS last four)
Tech lost 34-24/34-18 in last two visits to Fort Worth.
Under is 5-3 in last eight meetings.


West Virginia @ Arizona (-3.5)
West Virginia (3-4, 2-2)
WVU allowed 36.3 ppg in its four losses, 28-14 in I-A wins.
West Virginia has a minus-7 turnover ratio.
Mountaineers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mountaineers have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Greene has 14 career starts.


Under Brown, WVU is 10-12 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Brown is 19-14 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Brown, WVU is 22-26 ATS in Big X games.
Under Brown, Mountaineers are 18-13 ATS in games coming off a loss.
West Virginia gave up 14-28-14 points in its wins.


Arizona (3-4, 1-4)
Arizona is 1-4 in Big X games, giving up 31-28-41-34 points in losses.
Wildcats scored 61-23 points in I-A wins, 7-22-19-7 in losses.
Arizona has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
Wildcats have 86 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Fifita started nine games last year.


Arizona is 4-9 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Brennan is 11-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Wildcats are 8-6 ATS in their last 14 conference games.
In his career, Brennan is 33-26-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 8-5 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.


These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.


Penn State (-6.5) @ Wisconsin
Penn State (6-0, 3-0)
Penn State is 3-0 in Big 18; 21-7 (Illinois), 37-11 (UCLA), 33-30 (USC).
Nittany Lions are 2-0 on road: 34-12 at West Virginia, 33-30 at USC.
Nittany Lions have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Penn State has 45 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Allar started 13 games last year.


Under Franklin, Penn State is 53-38-3 ATS as a favorite.
Under Franklin, Penn State is 20-13 ATS as a road favorite.
Nittany Lions are 3-0 SU/0-3 ATS in conference games TY.
PSU held four of six opponents to 260 or fewer total yards.
Four of their six games stayed under the total.


Wisconsin (5-2, 3-1)
Wisconsin won last three games, by a combined 117-16.
Wisconsin gave up 42-38 points in its losses (Alabama, USC).
Badgers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Badgers have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Locke started three games last year.


Since 2014, Badgers are 2-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2017, Badgers are 3-6 ATS as an underdog anywhere.
In his career, Fickell is 16-10 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2014, Badgers are 25-19 ATS in conference games.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.


Penn State won/covered last five meetings.
Nittany Lions won/covered three of last four visits to Madison.
Over is 4-3 in last seven series games.


LSU @ Texas A&M (-2.5)
LSU (6-1, 3-0)
LSU won its last six games, after a 27-20 loss to USC.
LSU is 2-0 in true road games, 36-33 Ole Miss, 34-10 Arkansas.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Nussmeier is completing 64% of passes (18 TD’s, 6 INTs)


Under Kelly, Tigers are 3-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Kelly is 20-12-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Kelly, LSU is 10-9-1 ATS in SEC games.
Since 2017, LSU is 38-23-2 ATS in SEC games.
LSU’s last four games stayed under the total.


Texas A&M (6-1, 4-0)
A&M won last five I-A games, after a 23-13 loss to Notre Dame.
Aggies scored 33+ points in three of four SEC games.
Aggies have 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
A&M has 112 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Weigman has 8 career starts.


A&M ran ball for 204 yards/game in its SEC tilts.
Aggies are 1-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
A&M is 7-10-3 ATS in its last 20 SEC games.
In his career, new HC Elko is 8-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Aggies are 5-8-3 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.


Home team won last seven meetings.
LSU is 0-3 SU/2-1 ATS in last three visits to College Station.
Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.


Auburn @ Kentucky (-2.5)
Auburn (2-5, 0-4)
Auburn is 0-4 in SEC, losing by 10-6-18-4 points.
Auburn has had three straight losing years (6-7/5-7/5-7).
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Thorpe has 37 career starts.


Last 3+ years, Auburn is 6-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Freeze is 18-9 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 6-6 ATS in SEC games.
In his career, Freeze is 28-23 ATS coming off a loss.
Auburn is minus-10 in turnovers this season.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.


Kentucky (3-4, 1-4)
Kentucky scored 31-41-20 points in wins, 6-12-13-20 in losses.
Kentucky is 0-3 when it gives up more than 17 points.
Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Wildcats have 156 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Vandagriff was a backup at Georgia.


Kentucky is 17-11 ATS last 28 games as a home favorite.
Wildcats held 5 of 7 opponents to 288 or fewer total yards.
Kentucky is 15-14 ATS in last 28 SEC games.
Wildcats are 8-5 ATS last 12 games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-2 in Kentucky games this season.


These teams haven’t met since 2020.
Auburn won five of last six meetings.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Kansas @ Kansas State (-10.5)
Kansas (2-5, 1-3)
Kansas is 1-5 in I-A games, with four losses by 6 or fewer points.
Last three games, Kansas is +8 in turnovers.
Jayhawks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Kansas has 130 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels has 20 career starts.


In his career, Leipold is 11-21-1 ATS as road underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 5-11 ATS as a road underdog..
Under Leipold, Kansas is 14-16-1 ATS in Big X games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 9-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
Last four Kansas games went over the total.


Kansas State (6-1, 4-1)
K-State scored 31+ points in its wins, lost 38-9 at BYU.
Wildcats scored 42-31-45 points in their last three games.
Wildcats have 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Wildcats have 73 returning starts on OL, only 36 at I-A level.
Frosh QB Johnson threw for 1,405 yards, ran for 306 more in five games.


K-State is 13-2 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 23-14 ATS as a favorite.
Under Klieman, K-State is 33-18 ATS in Big X games.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 25-19 ATS coming off a win.
Last three K-State games went over the total.


K-State is 15-0 SU/11-4 ATS in last fifteen series games.
Jayhawks are 0-6 SU/2-4 ATS in last six visits to Manhattan.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Cincinnati @ Colorado (-5.5)
Cincinnati (5-2, 3-1)
Cincinnati’s two losses were 28-27 to Pitt, 44-41 at Texas Tech.
Bearcats gave up 20 or fewer points in their wins.
Bearcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bearcats have 91 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby started 7 games at Indiana last year.


Under Satterfield, Cincinnati is 3-2-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Satterfield is 12-15-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Cincinnati is 6-13-2 ATS in conference games.
Bearcats are 5-10-1 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Under is 5-1 in Cincinnati’s I-A games this year.


Colorado (5-2, 3-1)
Colorado won four of its last five games.
Colorado scored 31+ points in four of its five wins.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.


Sanders is 3-3 ATS as a favorite with Colorado, 2-2 at home.
Colorado is 7-11 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
Under Sanders, Buffs are 9-4 ATS in conference games.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 4-4 ATS coming off a win.
Three of Colorado’s last four games went over the total.


These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 24​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
GASO at ODU	07:00 PM	GASO +2.0 U 54.0	+500 +500
SYR at PITT	07:30 PM	SYR +6.0 U 62.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAFB BEST BETS OCTOBER !

10/24/2024............................1 - 3 - 0...............................25.00%.........................- 11.50
10/23/2024............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
10/22/2024............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
10/15/2024............................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%..........................+ 9.50
10/12/2024............................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%..........................- 35.00
10/11/2024..............................3 - 2 - 0.............................60.00%...........................+ 4.00
10/10/2024..............................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 1.00
10/09/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/08/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/05/2024...........................14 - 18 - 1...........................43.75%............................- 29.00
10/04/2024................................5 - 2 - 0...........................71.42%............................+ 19.50
10/03/2024.,..............................3 - 1 - 0...........................75.00%............................+ 9.50

TOTALS..................................41 - 45 - 1............................47.67%............................ - 37.00


AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20