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Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, OCTOBER 4

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
JVST at KENN07:00 PMJVST -17.0
O 49.5
+500 +500
HOU at TCU07:30 PMHOU +16.0
U 50.5
+500 +500
SYR at UNLV09:00 PMUNLV -5.5
O 59.0
+500 +500
MSU at ORE09:00 PMMSU +23.5
O 52.0
+500 +500
 

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NCAAFB BEST BETS OCTOBER !

10/04/2024................................5 - 2 - 0...........................71.42%............................+ 19.50
10/03/2024.,..............................3 - 1 - 0...........................75.00%............................+ 9.50

TOTALS.....................................8 - 3 - 0............................72.72%...........................+ 29.00


AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Pitchers with most strikeouts in a playoff game:
17- Bob Gibson, StL
16- Kevin Brown, SD
15- Gerrit Cole, Hat
15- Roger Clemens, NYY
15- Livan Hernandez, Mia
15- Mike Mussina, Balt
15- Sandy Koufax, LA

Quote of the Day
“I do think that the postseason is going to be different from the World Baseball Classic, considering that we did have a week off. So I’m doing the best I can to make sure that my first at-bat is really good.”
Shohei Ohtani, who plays in his first major league playoff game tonight

Saturday’s quiz
Before the NHL’s Calgary Flames moved to Calgary in 1980, where did they call home?

Friday’s quiz
Washington Redskins drafted Kirk Cousins, in the 4th round of the 2012 draft.

Thursday’s quiz
Buck Showalter was manager of the Baltimore Orioles, last time they won a playoff game.

*******************************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

Falcons 36, Buccaneers 30 OT
Cousins threw a 45-yard TD pass on first possession of OT.
Cousins threw for 509 yards, four TD’s.
Atlanta’s three wins are by 1-2 points and an OT game.
Falcons scored 22-26-36 points in wins, 10-17 in losses.
Cousins is first QB in last 58 years to throw for 250+ yards before halftime, and 250+ yards after halftime, in the same game.
Tampa Bay in first half: 25 plays, 223 yards, 24 points.
Tampa Bay in second half: 28 plays, 106 yards, six points.
Atlanta outgained the Buccaneers, 550-333.
Over is 11-2 in last 13 series games.
Atlanta WR London caught 12 passes for 154 yards and a TD.

— Texas State 38, Troy 17
Bobcats ran ball for 215 yards, threw for 252 more.
Texas State led 24-10 at halftime.
1-5 Troy ran ball 33 times for only 63 yards.

— Sam Houston 41, Texas-El Paso 21
Bearkats led 17-7 at halftime.
Sam Houston has won four in row since 45-14 loss at UCF.
Sam Houston outgained Miners, 517-323.

— Jacksonville State 63, Kennesaw State 24
Gamecocks outscored Kennesaw 42-7 in second half.
Jax State outgained the Owls, 577-270
Gamecocks ran ball for 384 yards (7.2 yards/carry).

— Houston 30, TCU 19
Cougars were a 16.5-point underdog.
Houston outrushed the Horned Frogs, 207-66.
Houston had been shut out in its previous two games.

— Oregon 31, Michigan State 10
Ducks led 21-0 at halftime.
Oregon was 6-12 on third down, MSU 2-11
Ducks outrushed the Spartans, 213-59.

— Syracuse 44, UNLV 41 OT
Syracuse scored the first 14 points in both halves.
Orange tied game 38-38 with 0:23 left in regulation.
Syracuse was 11-18 on third down, Rebels 3-7.
Syracuse ran 96 plays for 492 yards, UNLV 50 plays for 354 yards.

Famous birthdays, October 5th:
Steve Miller, 81
Dennis Byrd, 58
Rex Chapman, 57
Grant Hill, 52
Jesse Palmer, 46
Travis Kelce, 35
Cody Zeller, 32
Zack Littell, 29

— Mets 4, Brewers 2
Pete Alonso hit a dramatic 3-run homer in top of the 9th.
Quintana threw six shutout IP, Myers threw 5 shutout IP.
Mets advance to play the Phillies in the NLDS.
It is a very good to be Alonso’s agent, seeing how he is a free agent this winter.

— Cincinnati Reds made a great move, hired Terry Francona as their new manager.
Francona has 1,994 career wins and two World Series titles. He also got Cleveland to the 2016 World Series, where they lost to the Cubs.
He left Cleveland after the 2023 season because of health problems, so good to hear he is coming back. Reds will be better off for it.

— Padres’ P Joe Musgrove is out for the playoffs and probably next year too; he’s going to have Tommy John surgery, after leaving Wednesday’s star with a sore elbow.

— Arizona Diamondbacks got to the World Series last year, but they fired pitching coach Brett Strom this week, which seems odd. Arizona was 89-73 this year despite scoring the most runs in MLB, but Strom is a highly thought of pitching coach.
Long time ago, when he was pitching, Strom was the second pitcher to have Tommy John surgery, back in 1973.

— Celtics 107, Nuggets 103- Exhibition game was played in the basketball hotbed that is Abu Dhabi; Payton Pritchard scored 21 points in 24:00 for Boston.

— Timberwolves 124, Lakers 107
Top three scorers for Minnesota all came off the bench.
Bronny James scored a basket, had an assist in 16:00 (1-6 from floor)
This game was in Palm Springs, CA.
Lakers’ situation is so unusual; Lebron James is still really good, one of the best players in NBA history, but now his son is also on the team, while the Lakers have a new coach (JJ Redick) who has never been a coach at any level. Strange situation.

— A’s 1B/DH Brent Rooker had surgery on his right forearm; the guy hit .293 with 39 homers, 112 RBI while playing with a screwed up arm- he mostly DH’d this season, but is expected to be ready to go for spring training.

— Minnesota Twins VP/general manager Thad Levine is leaving the Twins after eight years; they made the playoffs in four of those eight years, winning three AL Central titles.
Twins went 6-18 in their last 24 games this year and missed the playoffs, but before Levine came to the Twins, Minnesota had missed the playoffs six years in a row.

— Devils 4, Sabres 1- First game of the NHL’s regular season was in Czechoslovakia; rest of the league doesn’t start until Tuesday.
 

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Weather Report

Saturday, October 5


kR7WWZn.png
 

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Dunkel

Week 6

FCS


DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR PRINCETON AT COLUMBIA

Date: Saturday, October 5
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 52.854; Columbia 51.873
Dunkel Line & Total: Princeton by 1; 35
Vegas Line & Total: Princeton by 3 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbia (+3 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR CENTRAL CONNECTICUT AT YALE

Date: Saturday, October 5
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Central Connecticut 36.642; Yale 64.712
Dunkel Line & Total: Yale by 28; 60
Vegas Line & Total: Yale by 21 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Yale (-21 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR BRYANT AT BROWN

Date: Saturday, October 5
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Bryant 45.231; Brown 57.166
Dunkel Line & Total: Brown by 12; 50
Vegas Line & Total: Brown by 6 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brown (-6 1/2); Under
 

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SATURDAY, OCTOBER 5

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
WAKE at NCST12:00 PMO 54.5+500
SMU at LOU12:00 PMSMU +7.0
O 57.0
+500 +500
MIZZ at TAM12:00 PMMIZZ +2.0+500
ARMY at TLSA12:00 PMARMY -10.5+500
BC at UVA12:00 PMU 50.0+500
MASS at NIU12:00 PMNIU -17.5+500
PITT at UNC12:00 PMPITT -3.0+500
NAVY at AFA12:00 PMNAVY -9.5+500
PUR at WIS12:00 PMWIS -14.0+500
UCLA at PSU12:00 PMPSU -28.0+500
TULN at UAB01:00 PMTULN -15.0+500
WMU at BALL02:00 PMWMU -9.5+500
IU at NW03:30 PMIU -13.5+500
ECU at CHAR03:30 PMCHAR +9.0+500
APP at MRSH03:30 PMMRSH -3.0+500
M-OH at TOL03:30 PMTOL -6.5
O 44.0
+500 +500
MISS at SOCAR03:30 PMSOCAR +9.5+500
VT at STAN03:30 PMU 49.5+500
IOWA at OSU03:30 PMIOWA +19.5+500
AUB at UGA03:30 PMUGA -24.0+500
BGSU at AKR03:30 PMBGSU -16.0+500
TEM at CONN03:30 PMCONN -16.5+500
RUTG at NEB04:00 PMRUTG +7.0+500
WVU at OKST04:00 PMWVU +4.0+500
ALA at VAN04:15 PMVAN +23.0+500
CSU at ORST06:30 PMORST -11.0+500
USU at BSU07:00 PMBSU -26.5+500
ULL at USM07:00 PMULL -17.0+500
USA at ARST07:00 PMO 60.0+500
ODU at CCU07:00 PMODU +5.0+500
JMU at ULM07:00 PMJMU -17.0+500
CLEM at FSU07:00 PMCLEM -14.5+500
USC at MINN07:30 PMMINN +8.5+500
BAY at ISU07:30 PMISU -12.0
O 45.0
+500 +500
MICH at WASH07:30 PMMICH +1.5
O 41.0
+500 +500
NEV at SJSU07:30 PMSJSU -7.0
O 51.5
+500 +500
TENN at ARK07:30 PMTENN -13.5+500
DUKE at GT08:00 PMGT -7.5+500
HAW at SDSU08:00 PMO 46.0+500
KU at ASU08:00 PMASU -3.0+500
MIA at CAL10:30 PMCAL +10.0
U 54.0
+500 +500
TTU at ARIZ11:00 PMTTU +6.5
O 63.5
+500 +500
 

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NCAAFB BEST BETS OCTOBER !

10/05/2024...........................14 - 18 - 1...........................43.75%............................- 29.00
10/04/2024..............................5 - 2 - 0...........................71.42%............................+ 19.50
10/03/2024.,............................3 - 1 - 0...........................75.00%............................+ 9.50

TOTALS................................22 - 21 - 1............................51.16%...........................+ 00.00


AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Active NFL QB’s who have had a game with 500+ passing yards:
— Joe Burrow
— Derek Carr
— Kirk Cousins
— Jared Goff
— Dak Prescott
— Matthew Stafford

Quote of the Day
“This is the dream, right here, and for the next 12 hours, I’m going to enjoy the dream. We’ve got more ahead of us, but this is what Vanderbilt football needs to be about: big wins on big stages. We’re going to go get some more.”
Vanderbilt coach Clark Lea

Sunday’s quiz
Which former Chicago Bears QB threw for 8,697 yards in his college days, playing for Vanderbilt?

Saturday’s quiz
Before the NHL’s Calgary Flames moved to Calgary in 1980, they called Atlanta home.

Friday’s quiz
Washington Redskins drafted Kirk Cousins, in the 4th round of the 2012 draft.

*************************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday…….

— Vanderbilt 40, Alabama 35
Commodores were a 23-point underdog; huge upset.
Vandy had been 0-60 all-time vs top-5 teams.
Commodores were 12-18 on third down, Alabama 3-7
Vandy QB Pavia was New Mexico State’s QB LY, when the Aggies pulled an upset at Auburn. Now he wins this game, another big upset.
As I type this, there are reports of Vandy students carrying the goalposts from the field down Main Street in Nashville.

— Service academies are on a roll:
Nayy 34, Air Force 7- Navy is 5-0.
Middies outgained Air Force, 463-273
Navy ran ball 49 times for 329 yards (6.7 yards/carry)

Army 49, Tulsa 7
Cadets have won nine games in a row, dating back to last year.
Army was 6-6 passing, for 160 yards.
This is Army’s best start since 1996.
Army-Navy game this year is going to be a very big deal.

— Wake Forest 34, NC State 30
RB Claiborne ran 20 times for 136 yards, two TD’s.
Deacons scored game-winning TD with 1:01 left.
NC State QB McCall got KO’d from this game with a head injury.

— Indiana 41, Northwestern 24
Hoosiers are 6-0 for first time since 1967.
Indiana outscored the Wildcats, 529-336
Indiana QB Rourke was 25-33/380 passing, with three TD’s.

— Minnesota 24, USC 17
Gophers outscored USC 14-0 in 4th quarter.
Minnesota scored game-winning TD with 0:56 left.
Trojans were 7-11 on third down, Gophers 2-8.
USC turned ball over three times (minus-2).

— Arizona State 35, Kansas 31
Sun Devils scored game-winning TD with 0:16 left.
Kansas had taken the lead on a TD with 2:04 left.
Jayhawks are 0-5 vs I-A teams (four losses by 6 or fewer points)

Upsets of the Week:
Vanderbilt (+23) 40, Alabama 35
Houston (+16.5) 30, TCU 19
UL-Monroe (+16) 21, James Madison 19
Arkansas (+13.5) 19, Tennessee 14
Minnesota (+9.5) 24, USC 17
Charlotte (+8) 55, East Carolina 24
Syracuse (+6.5) 44, UNLV 41, OT
SMU (+6.5) 34, Louisville 27
Wake Forest (+4) 34, NC State 30

— Guardians 7, Tigers 0
Cleveland scored five runs in bottom of the first.
Lane Thomas hit a 3-run HR in his first playoff at-bat.
Guardians still used five pitchers to finish a stress-free win.

— Mets 6, Phillies 2
Zack Wheeler threw 111 pitches, tossed 7 shutout IP
Phillies bullpen threw 58 pitches, allowed 6 runs in 2 IP.
Brandon Nimmo was 2-4, with two RBI.

— New York 6, Royals 5
New York bullpen allow one unearned run in 4 IP.
Verdugo, batting 9th, was 2-3 with two runs scored.
Kansas City pitchers walked eight hitters.

— Dodgers 7, Padres 5
Ohtani was 2-5, with two runs scored, 3 RBI
San Diego led 5-3 after three innings.
Dodger bullpen tossed six shutout IP.

Famous birthdays, October 6th:
Tony Dungy, 69
Alfredo Griffin, 67
Elisabeth Shue, 61
Ruben Sierra, 59
Jeremy Sisto, 50
Jake Bauers, 29
Bryson Stott, 27
Trevor Lawrence, 25
Kyle Pitts, 24

— UConn 29, Temple 20
UConn led 23-20 with 0:03 left, Temple had ball on UConn’s 1-yard line; not only didn’t Temple score, their QB fumbled and UConn ran the ball back 96 yards for the final margin.

— Western Michigan 45, Ball State 42
RB Nixon ran ball 14 times for 124 yards and three TD’s.
Ball State led 35-31 after three quarters.

— Texas A&M 41, Missouri 10
During the week, Mizzou’s coach caused a stir because the sister of a Texas A&M player is a Mizzou staffer; the coach said he wouldn’t let her watch practice this week, because her brother might be playing QB in this game for the other team.
Texas A&M is 3-0 in the SEC for first time since 2016; the kid didn’t start.
Distractions are a bad thing; Mizzou got blasted in this game, outgained 512-254.

— Oregon 31, Michigan State 10
Andrew Boyle kicked a 50-yard field goal in this game Friday night, Oregon’s first field goal of 50+ yards since 2008.

— Washington 27, Michigan 17
Huskies outscored Michigan 13-0 in 4th quarter.
Washington outgained Wolverines, 429-287.

— Why isn’t Pete Carroll on TV? Guy is a great coach; Nick Saban is on TV, Bill Belichick is on TV and Carroll seems to have a better personality than both of those guys. It is nonsensical.
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 6 NFL spreads:
— 49ers (-3) @ Seattle
— Bears (-1) vs Jaguars (@ London)
— Commanders @ Baltimore (-6.5)
— Cardinals @ Green Bay (-5)
— Texans (-6.5) @ New England
— Buccaneers @ New Orleans (-2.5)

Quote of the Day
“We’re not a championship-level team right now. We’re not. I like to think that we’ll come back and improve throughout the season to get to that point, but right now we are not and we have to get better.”
QB Joe Burrow, after the Bengals’ 1-4 start

Monday’s quiz
Who managed the San Diego Padres, last time they were in a World Series?

Sunday’s quiz
Former NFL QB Jay Cutler threw for 8,697 yards in his college days, playing for Vanderbilt.

Saturday’s quiz
Before the NHL’s Calgary Flames moved to Calgary in 1980, they called Atlanta home.

********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday……..

Vikings 23, Jets 17
Jets’ first four drives: 12 plays, 19 yards, 2 punts, 2 INTs.
Jets averaged only 3.8 yards/pass attempt.
Jets scored 24-24 points in wins, 19-9-17 in losses.
Under Saleh, Jets are 17-27 ATS as an underdog.
Vikings’ first TD was a 63-yard pick-6 by Van Ginkel.
Minnesota won first five games, scoring 27.8 ppg.
Vikings have outscored opponents 86-24 in first half.
Minnesota’s only TD drive was only 53 yards.

Bears 36, Panthers 10
Bears scored a TD on four of their first six drives.
Chicago averaged 9.9 yards/pass attempt.
Home team won all five Chicago games (favorites 4-1 ATS)
Bears outgained Carolina, 424-292.
Carolina scored a TD on their second drive of the game.
Rest of game, Panthers ran 52 plays for 236 yards, 3 points.
Carolina is 8-17-1 ATS in last 26 games as a road underdog.
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1

Ravens 41, Bengals 38 OT
Bengals led 38-28 with 8:54 left in regulation.
Ravens forced OT with a 56-yard FG with 1:40 left.
Jackson was 26-42/348 passing, with four TD’s.
Baltimore won last two games, scoring 28-35-41 points.
Burrow was 30-39/392 passing, with five TD’s.
Chase caught 10 passes for 193 yards, with two TD’s.
Last three games, Bengals scored 33-34-38 points.
Cincinnati is 1-4, with losses by 6-1-5-3 points.

Dolphins 15, Patriots 10
Dolphins drove 80 yards, scored only TD with 4:24 left.
Last three games, Miami scored three touchdown on 44 drives.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 5-2 ATS in AFC East road games.
Dolphins’ team total: under 5-0
Patriots were 17-56 on third down in losing last four games.
NE has scored only five TD’s on their first 50 drives.
NE is 1-7-1 ATS in last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Patriots are 30-43 since Tom Brady left town.

Commanders 34, Browns 13
Commanders won/covered last four games, scoring 38-42-34 points in last three.
QB Daniels threw for 238 yards, ran for 82 more.
Last four games, Commanders scored 14 TD’s, kicked 12 FG’s on 34 drives.
Washington converted 29 of last 52 third down plays.
Cleveland was outgained 434-212 in this game.
Browns were 1-13 on third down, Washington 8-17.
Last three games, Browns averaged 223.3 yards/game.
Cleveland scored 17-18-15-16-13 points in its 1-4 start.

Jaguars 37, Colts 34
Jaguars drove 39 yards, kicked 49-yard FG with 0:21 left for the win.
Jaguars led 20-10 after the third quarter.
QB Lawrence threw for 371 yards, two TD’s on his 25th birthday.
Jaguars averaged 10.9 yards/pass attempt.
Colts drove 82 yards, tied game 34-34 with 2:40 left.
39-year old backup QB Flacco was 33-44/359 passing, with 3 TD passes.
Colts were 7-14 on third down, Jaguars 3-10.
Colts are 0-10 SU/0-9-1 ATS in last ten visits to Jacksonville.

Texans 23, Bills 20
Fairbairn kicked a 59-yard FG with 0:02 left for the win.
Texans have wins by 2-6-4-3 points.
Houston outgained the Bills, 425-276.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 14-8 as an NFL starter.
Josh Allen completed only 9-30 passes, for 131 yards.
Last two games, Buffalo threw for only 42-56 yards in the first half.
Texans were 8-16 on third down, Buffalo 3-14.
WR Diggs caught six passes for 82 yards against his old team.

Famous birthdays, October 7th
John Mellencamp, 73
Simon Cowell, 65
Toni Braxton, 58
Priest Holmes, 51
Evan Longoria, 39
Chase Daniel, 38
Mookie Betts, 32
Jesus Sanchez, 27
Tutu Atwell, 25

Broncos 34, Raiders 18
Denver’s only first half TD was a 100-yard pick-6 by Surtain.
Broncos in second half: 29 plays, 162 yards, 21 points.
Broncos outscored last four opponents 43-14 in second half.
Win snaps a nine-game losing skid against the Raiders.
Raiders first two drives: 17 plays, 138 yards, 10 points.
Raiders rest of game: 49 plays, 166 yards, 8 points.
O’Connell replaced Minshew at QB in second half.
Raiders were 7-15 on third down, Denver 3-12.

Cardinals 24, 49ers 23
Cardinals drove 75 yards, kicked 35-yard FG with 1:40 left for the win.
49ers led 23-10 at halftime, 23-13 with 12:00 left.
Cardinals are 16-8 ATS last 24 games as a road underdog.
49ers were 6-11 on third down, Arizona 3-10.
49ers in first half: 41 plays, 239 yards, one TD, 3 FG’s.
49ers in second half: 25 plays, 130 yards, 3 turnovers.
49ers gave up 19-13 points in their wins, 23-27-24 in losses.
San Francisco is already 0-2 in NFC West games.

Packers 24, Rams 19
Rams led at halftime, for first time this year.
Packers first 2 drives of 2nd half: 9 plays, 124 yards, 14 points.
Rams first 2 drives of 2nd half: 13 plays, 71 yards, two turnovers.
Packers have 14 takeaways in five games (+7 turnovers)
Last 4 games, Rams allowed a TD on opponents’ first drive of 2nd half.
Rams were 8-16 on third down, Packers 1-8.
Rams averaged only 4.9 yards/pass attempt.
McVay is 1-5 coaching against Green Bay.

Giants 29, Seahawks 20
Seattle’s 47-yard game-tying FG was blocked, run back for TD by Giants with 0:55 left.
Giants were 7-16 on third down, Seattle 3-11.
Giants outgained the Seahawks, 420-333.
Under Daboll, Giants are 14-6 ATS coming off a loss.
Seattle’s first TD was a 102-yard fumble return in first quarter.
Seahawks didn’t score an offensive TD until there was 2:13 left in game.
Score was 10-10 at halftime.
NFC West teams are 4-9-1 ATS in non-divisional games.

Cowboys 20, Steelers 17
Start of game was delayed 90 minutes by a lightning storm.
Dallas drove 70 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:26 left.
Dallas outgained Steelers 445-226, but had 3 turnovers and had FG blocked
Cowboys were 9-15 on third down, Pittsburgh 3-12.
Tolbert caught seven passes for 87 yards and a TD.
Steelers allowed 10-6-10 points in wins; 24-20 in losses.
Pittsburgh averaged only 4.3 yards/pass attempt.
Pittsburgh’s team total: under 4-1
QB Fields is 13-30 as an NFL starter (3-2 with Steelers).

— Phillies 7, Mets 6
Nick Castellanos hit a walk-off single in the 9th inning.
Mets had tied game with two runs in top of 9th.
Series heads to Queens for Game 3 on Tuesday.

— Padres 10, Dodgers 2
San Diego hit six home runs, tied series 1-1.
Yu Darvish allowed one run, three hits over 7 IP.
Dodgers have lost seven of their last eight playoff games.
Game 3 is in San Diego Tuesday.
 

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WEEK 7

Tuesday, October 8

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Wednesday, October 9

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Thursday, October 10

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Friday, October 11

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Saturday, October 12

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Week 7


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Trend Report
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Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 7

Tuesday’s game
Florida International
@ Liberty (-17)
FIU (2-3, 1-0)
FIU gave up 16-10 points in wins, 31-38-45 in losses.
Panthers have a 45-42 loss to I-AA Monmouth.
FIU has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
FIU has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Jankins started 11 games last year.


FIU is 10-16 ATS last 26 games as road underdogs.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 6-6 ATS as road underdogs.
In his career, MacIntyre is 29-24 ATS as a road dog.
Panthers are 5-11 ATS last 16 games coming off a win.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 7-10 ATS in conference games.


Liberty (4-0, 2-0)
Liberty’s game LW was cancelled because of flooding at App State
Liberty is 3-0 vs I-A teams, winning by 6-18-11 points.
Flames have 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Flames have 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Salter has 18 career starts.


Liberty is 14-12 ATS last 26 games as home favorite.
Under Chadwell, Liberty is 6-4 ATS as home favorite.
Under Chadwell, Liberty is 7-4 ATS in conference games.
Flames are 25-15 ATS in last 40 games coming off a win.
Liberty hasn’t played in 17 days, because of the cancelled game.


Liberty won both meetings, 36-34/38-6
LY, Flames outgained FIU 520-211, running for 364 yards.


Wednesday’s game
New Mexico State
@ Jacksonville State (-20.5)
New Mexico State (1-4, 0-2)
Aggies are 0-4 vs I-A teams, giving up 39.8 ppg.
Aggies have given up 277.3 rushing yards/game in I-A games.
NM State has 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
Aggies have 115 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Marucci started a game at Wake Forest LY.


Aggies lost their two road games by a combined 79-11.
NM State is 6-7-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road dog.
Aggies are 15-9 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss (0-3 TY).
NM State has completed less than half its passes in all five games.
Aggies did run for 285 yards LW, in 50-40 loss to New Mexico.

Jacksonville State (2-3, 0-0)
Gamecocks gave up 55-49-37 points in their three losses.
Jax State ran for 273-384 yards in winning last two games.
Jax State has 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Gamecocks have 67 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Huff played last two years at I-AA Furman.


Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 6-2 ATS in conference games.
Jax State was +8 in turnovers the last two games.
Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 10-7 ATS coming off a win.
Over is 4-1 in their games this season.


New Mexico State (+2.5) upset Jax State 20-17 in Las Cruces LY.
Aggies outgained Jax State 455-333 in that game.
 

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TUESDAY, OCTOBER 8

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
FIU at LIB07:00 PMLIB -16.0
U 55.5
+500 +500
 

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NCAAFB BEST BETS OCTOBER !

10/08/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/05/2024...........................14 - 18 - 1...........................43.75%............................- 29.00
10/04/2024................................5 - 2 - 0...........................71.42%............................+ 19.50
10/03/2024.,..............................3 - 1 - 0...........................75.00%............................+ 9.50

TOTALS..................................23 - 22 - 1............................51.11%...........................- 00.50


AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 6 college football spreads:
— Washington @ Iowa (-2.5)
— Texas (-14) vs Oklahoma (@ Dallas)
— Penn State (-5.5) @ USC
— Arizona @ BYU (-4.5)
— Ohio State (-3) @ Oregon
— Ole Miss (-3.5) @ LSU

Quote of the Day
“This is probably the best team I’ve had in 25 years. I just felt that the best way to go forward was a new direction. Taking Jeff Ulbrich and making him the interim head coach, I thought that would get the most out of this team and give us the best chance that we all want to have, which is going to the playoffs.”
Jets owner Woody Johnson

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was the Dodgers’ manager, last time they missed the playoffs?

Tuesday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes played his college football at Texas Tech.

Monday’s quiz
Bruce Bochy managed the San Diego Padres, last time they were in a World Series.

*******************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

— Jets fired coach Robert Saleh after the team lost 23-17 to the Vikings in England; Jets were 20-36 in Saleh’s 3+ years as head coach. DC Jeff Ulbrich is the interim coach.
This is complicated; Week 6 is early to fire a coach. Jets’ last two losses were by a total of seven points. Jets owner Woody Johnson used to be an ambassador to England, maybe he didn’t like seeing his team lose in front of friends. Who knows why rich people do things?
Jets obviously signed QB Aaron Rodgers before last season, but he tore his achilles on the 4th play of the season, so Saleh got a Mulligan for last year. Not this year.
Another odd part of this is that most NFL teams have their bye week after they play over the pond, but the Jets’ bye isn’t until the week before Thanksgiving- they host the Bills on Monday night this coming week.

— Mets 7, Phillies 2
Sean Manaea allowed five baserunners, one run in 7 strong IP.
Pete Alonso homered, walked twice, scored two runs.
Game 4 is Wednesday in Queens.

— Padres 6, Dodgers 5
All the scoring in this game was in the first 2.5 innings.
San Diego bullpen allowed only one baserunner in four scoreless IP.
Padres scored all six of their runs in the second inning.
Game 4 is in San Diego Wednesday.

— Last month, Dodger P Walker Buehler and his wife were at Santa Anita racetrack; they were confronted by a group of people there, and apparently one of the people stole a watch from Buehler- the watch is said to be worth $100,000. The crime is still under investigation.
Dodgers were playing in Colorado that weekend, but Buehler wasn’t going to pitch so he and some other players got the weekend off. Maybe he should’ve gone.

— Liberty 31, Florida International 24, OT
5-0 Flames were favored by 15.5 points.
FIU scored two TD’s in last 6:23 to force overtime.
Liberty ran ball for 281 yards (5.6 yards/carry).

— Cruddy weather in Florida has moved the Memphis-South Florida game from Friday night to Saturday in Tampa.

— RIP to former MLB pitcher Luis Tiant, who passed away at age 83; Tiant was 229-172 in his 19-year career, where he pitched for six different teams.
He led the AL with a 1.60 ERA in 1968, the Year of the Pitcher; after MLB lowered the mounds that winter, Tiant went 9-20, 3.71 the next year, then Cleveland traded him to the Twins.
In 1972, Tiant went 15-6, 1.91 for the Red Sox, again leading the AL in ERA; he helped Boston make it to the ’75 World Series. He was 3-0, 2.86 in four postseason starts.
RIP, sir.

Famous birthdays:
Jackson Browne, 76
Robert Wuhl, 73
Scott Bakula, 70
Mike Singletary, 66
Kenny Anderson, 54
Dexter McCleon,. 51
Darius Miles, 43
Derek Holland, 38
Starling Marte, 36

— New England Patriots are going to give rookie QB Drake Maye his first NFL start this week, at home against Houston.
Patriots lost their last four games, scoring total of 26 points in last three. This seems kind of early to be throwing a rookie QB to the wolves, but the other rookie QB’s in the NFL are doing well, so maybe Maye will do alright.

— Saints QB Derek Carr has an oblique injury, figures to miss a couple games; Jake Haener is the Saints’ backup QB- this week figures to be his first start. Haener has thrown 8 passes in his three NFL cameo appearances. Rookie Spencer Rattler would be Haener’s backup.

— Green Bay WR Romeo Doubs got suspended for last week’s game for conduct detrimental to the team. The suspension cost him $54,422; he is expected back this week.

— NBA training camps are underway; LA Clippers made a wise move, hiring Jeff Van Gundy as an assistant coach. Sounds like he will be their defensive coordinator.
ESPN is off the rails; not sure why they fired Van Gundy and Mark Jackson as game analysts, but they did, so now Van Gundy is back coaching, which is good for the Clippers.

— Cincinnati Reds did a smart thing last week and hired Terry Francona as their new manager; they fired all three of their hitting coaches Tuesday.
Reds were 77-85 this week, ramming 16th in runs scored, 26th in batting average. How do you finish 16th in runs scored playing in their hitting-friendly ballpark?
Reds were 15-28 in one-run games this year; they were shut out 16 times, losing four 1-0 games.

— One event I’ve circled on the calendar are baseball’s Winter Meetings, which will be in Dallas December 8-11. Looking forward to seeing which players move where this winter, with an eye on making my fantasy team better for next year.

— College basketball is only four weeks away; I’ve started prep work for that, which is harder than ever because of the ridiculous amount of players transferring, but it will be fun to watch college basketball again.

— Speaking of which, my new TV was delivered Tuesday morning. My last TV was a warrior, 10 or 11 years, including the pandemic year when it was on almost constantly. The last week was odd, with no TV, watching games on my laptop. YouTube TV is a good thing to have.
 

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WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 9

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NMSU at JVST07:30 PMJVST -20.5
U 58.5
+500 +500
 
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