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[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting college football spreads for next week:
— Arkansas @ Oklahoma State (-7.5)
— Texas (-3.5) @ Michigan
— Iowa State @ Iowa (-2.5)
— South Carolina @ Kentucky (-6.5)
— Michigan State @ Maryland (-7.5)
— Kansas (-6.5) @ Illinois

— USC 27, LSU 20
Trojans outscored LSU 14-3 in the 4th quarter.
USC QB Moss threw for 378 yards in his 2nd college start.
LSU lost its season opener for third year in a row.

Miller Moss is 2-0 as a college starter, throwing for 372/378 yards on neutral fields, after USC lost five of the last six games Caleb Williams played for them.

— College football home underdogs were 5-4 ATS this week.
Home favorites were 10-10 ATS.

— Too-early conference trends:
AAC 2-2 ATS
ACC 4-4 ATS
Big X 3-3 ATS

Big 18 6-6 ATS
C-USA 1-2 ATS, all as road underdogs
MAC 3-3 ATS, all as road underdogs

Mountain West 5-3 ATS
(I just typed Pac-12, had to delete it)
SEC 4-4 ATS
Sun Belt 3-3 ATS

— Minnesota Gophers’ QB Max Brosmer was at I-AA New Hampshire for five years before he became a Gopher; he threw for 6,603 yards the last two years. Has to be a huge jump from playing in the CAA to the Big 18— Minnesota has a 3-week stretch coming up wheee they play Michigan, USC and UCLA in consecutive weeks.

Little different than playing Monmouth, Albany and Towson State.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Monday, September 2

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 1

Boston College @ Florida State (0-1, 0-1) (-17)
New coach O’Brien was 54-52 as an NFL HC, was 15-9 in two years at Penn State.
Eagles have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Eagles have 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Castellanos started 12 games LY.


Last four years, Boston College was 8-10 ATS as an underdog.
At Penn State, O’Brien was 5-3 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2017, Eagles are 10-18 ATS in non-conference games.
Underdogs covered Boston College’s last five season openers.


Florida State lost its opener 24-21 (-10.5) to Ga Tech, in Ireland.
FSU is 23-5 SU last 2+ years (19-27 from 2018-21)
FSU has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Seminoles have 190 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Uiagalelei has 41 career starts, 28 of them at Clemson.


Seminoles gave up 190 rushing yards to Ga Tech last week.
Under Norvell, FSU is 8-11 ATS as home favorites.
In his career, Norvell is 22-22 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 2+ years, Florida State is 11-7 ATS in conference games.
Since 2020, Seminoles are 5-10 ATS coming off a loss.


Florida State won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
Eagles lost their last six visits to Tallahassee (2-4 ATS)
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 2​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
BC at FSU	07:30 PM	FSU -16.5 U 50.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAFB BEST BETS AUGUST-SEPTEMBER!

09/02/2024.............................1 - 1 - 0............................50.00%............................- 0.50
09/01/2024.............................1 - 1 - 0............................50.00%............................- 0.50
08/30/2024..........,................17 - 13 - 1.........................56.66%.............................+ 13.50
08/29/2024.............................13 - 4 - 2.........................76.47%.............................+ 43.00

TOTALS...................................32 - 19 - 3.........................62.74%.............................+ 55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting college football spreads for this week:
— Virginia @ Wake Forest (-2.5)
— Tennessee (-7.5) vs NC State (@ Charlotte)
— Colorado @ Nebraska (-7.5)
— Texas Tech (-1.5) @ Washington State
— Mississippi State @ Arizona State (-6.5)
— Oregon State @ San Diego State (-4)

Quote of the Day
“I do not want to go to Brazil. You want to know why? I’m going to tell you why. They already told us not to leave the hotel. They told us we can’t do too much going on, because the crime rate is crazy. I’m like ‘NFL, why would you want to send us somewhere with a crime rate this high?'”
Philadelphia Eagles CB Darius Slay; the Eagles-Packers play in Brazil Friday night

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who has the most passing yards?

Monday’s quiz
In the history of the Houston Astros, Craig Biggio has scored the most runs.

Sunday’s quiz
Terry Bowden (Bobby Bowden’s son) was Clemson’s football coach, before Dabo Swinney.

**********************************

Tuesday’s Den: our Week 1 NFL writeup……..​

This information will be posted on our NFL page every week.
Thursday’s game
Ravens @ Chiefs (-3)
Last 8 years, Baltimore is 7-1 SU/ATS in Week 1
Since 2015, Ravens are 20-9-2 ATS as a road underdog.
QB Jackson is 60-23 as an NFL starter.
Since 2008, Ravens are 11-5 ATS in their road opener.
Last three years, under is 15-10 in Baltimore’s road games.
Ravens have a first-time defensive coordinator.
Last 7 years, Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in Week 1.
Last four years, under is 21-11-1 in games at Arrowhead.
QB Mahomes is 89-25 as an NFL starter.
Last 3 years, Kansas City is 0-3 ATS in its home opener.
Last 21 years, defending Super Bowl champ is 11-7-3 ATS in Week 1 the next three years, 0-3 the last three years.
Chiefs won five of last six meetings.
Chiefs won 17-10 in Baltimore, in LY’s playoffs.
Ravens are 3-2 in Arrowhead, losing last two visits.

Friday’s game (@ San Paulo, Brazil)
Packers vs Eagles (-2.5)
Green Bay is 19-8 ATS in last 27 games as an underdog.
Last 6 years, Packers are 2-4 ATS in Week 1.
QB Love is 10-10 as an NFL starter.
Green Bay hasn’t opened at home since 2018.
Former Boston College HC Hafley is Green Bay’s new DC.
QB Hurts is 36-20 as an NFL starter.
Eagles have two new coordinators; Kellen Moore is new OC.
Last 8 years, Eagles are 7-1 SU/5-3 ATS in Week 1.
Since 2018, Eagles are 28-39-1 ATS as a favorite.
Last 5 years, over is 3-1-1 in their season opener.
Teams split their last six series games.
Eagles won last meeting 40-33, two years ago.

Sunday’s games
Cardinals @ Bills (-6.5)
Last 5 years, Arizona is 2-2-1 SU/4-1 ATS in Week 1.
Cardinals are 20-11-1 ATS in last 32 games as a road underdog.
QB Murray is 28-37-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Last three years, Arizona is 9-6 ATS vs AFC opponents.
Under is 5-1 in their last six road openers.
Arizona is one of 7 teams with same HC, coordinators as LY.
Last 8 years, Bills are only 4-4 SU in their season opener.
Last 5 years, Buffalo is 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS in its home opener.
Last 3 years, Bills are 12-12-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2019, Buffalo is 14-8-1 ATS vs NFC opponents.
QB Allen is 68-35 as an NFL starter.
Under is 4-1 in their last five season openers.
Bills won six of last eight meetings.
Cardinals lost four of five visits to Buffalo.
Cardinals’ only win here was in first visit, in 1971.

Patriots @ Bengals (-9.5)
Patriots’ first game since 1999 without Belichick as coach.
Last 3 years, New England is 0-3 SU/ATS in Week 1.
Last 4 years, New England is 9-12 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 9 years, Patriots are 6-3 ATS in road openers.
Patriots starting QB Brissett is 18-30 as an NFL starter.
Last 2 years, Bengals are 9-3-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 8 years, Bengals are 2-6 SU/ATS in home openers.
Since 2016, Cincinnati is 0-5 ATS as a favorite in a home opener.
QB Burrow is 34-24-1 as an NFL starter.
Cincinnati has new OC this year, though HC Taylor is really the OC.
New England won seven of last nine series games.
Patriots won four of last six visits to Cincinnati.

Vikings (-1) @ Giants
This is only 2nd time in last 8 years that Vikings are opening on road.
Last 7 years, Minnesota is 0-6-1 SU/0-7 ATS in road openers.
Under is 13-7 in their last 20 road openers.
QB Darnold is 21-35 as an NFL starter.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 8-8-3 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Minnesota is one of 7 teams with same HC, coordinators as LY.
Last 13 years, Giants started season 0-1 eleven times (both wins by one point).
Since 2012, Giants are 2-10 SU/1-11 ATS in home openers.
QB Jones is 23-37-1 as an NFL starter.
Under Daboll, Giants are 5-4-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Giants’ last ten home openers stayed under the total.
New defensive coordinator for Big Blue this season.
Minnesota won four of last five series games.
Giants won last meeting, 31-24, in ’22 playoffs.
This is Vikings’ first visit to New Jersey since 2019.

Titans @ Bears (-4.5)
Last 7 years, underdog is 7-0 ATS in Titans’ Week 1 games.
Last 11 years, Tennessee is 9-2 SU/8-3 ATS in its road opener.
Since 2018, Titans are 28-16 ATS as a road underdog.
Titans’ last five season openers stayed under the total.
QB Levis is 3-6 as an NFL starter.
Titans have an all-new coaching staff.
Since 2003, QB’s taken with #1 pick in draft are 0-14-1 SU/1-14 ATS in their first start.
Last 10 years, Bears are 2-8 SU/4-6 ATS in Week 1 games.
Last 10 years, Chicago is 0-3 ATS as a Week 1 favorite.
Under Eberflus, Bears are 2-3-1 ATS as a favorite.
Bears have a 3rd-year HC but have two new coordinators TY.
Tennessee won three of last four meetings.
Titans won four of six visits to Chicago

Steelers @ Falcons (-3)
Steelers OC Smith was Atlanta’s head coach the last three years (21-30 W-L)
Since 2017, Pittsburgh is 22-12-1 as a road underdog.
QB Wilson is 124-79-1 as an NFL starter.
Last two years, Steelers were 7-3 ATS vs NFC squads.
Pittsburgh won/covered its last four road openers.
Steelers’ last seven road openers stayed under the total.
Raheem Morris is 21-38 as an NFL head coach.
Last four years, Atlanta is 4-13-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last two years, Falcons were 3-6-1 ATS vs NFC squads.
New QB Cousins is 77-70-2 as an NFL starter.
Last 7 years, Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their home opener.
This is fifth year in a row Atlanta has opened season at home.
Pittsburgh won last four series games.
Falcons’ last series win was 41-38 in 2006, in OT.
Steelers are 8-2 SU in Atlanta.

Jaguars @ Dolphins (-3)
Jaguars are 19-17 SU under Pederson (15-50 previous four years)
Since 2018, Jaguars are 14-23-2 ATS as a road underdog.
QB Lawrence is 21-31 as an NFL starter.
Last 7 years, Jaguars are 3-4 SU/5-2 ATS in road openers.
Jacksonville’s last four road openers went over the total.
Under Pederson, Jaguars are 8-7 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 10-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2013, Dolphins are 8-2 ATS in Week 1 games.
QB Tagovailoa is 32-20 as an NFL starter.
Miami is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 home openers.
Over is 12-3 in their last fifteen home openers.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 4-5 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Jacksonville won three of last four series games.
Jaguars won two of three visits to Miami.

Famous birthdays, September 3rd:
Valerie Perrine, 81
Steve Schirripa, 66
Charlie Sheen, 59
Luis Gonzalez, 57
Robert Bailey, 56
George Lynch, 54
Damon Stoudamire, 51
Mason Crosby, 40
David Peterson, 29

Texans (-3) @ Colts
Houston was 10-7 LY, its first winning year since 2019.
Since 2016, Texans are 2-7-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Last 7 years, Texans are 5-2 ATS in road openers.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 10-7 as an NFL starter.
Under is 7-2 in their last nine road openers.
Houston is one of 7 teams with same HC, coordinators as LY.
Last 10 years, Colts are 0-9-1 SU/1-8-1 ATS in Week 1.
Since 2020, Colts are 3-8-1ATS in AFC South home games.
Since 2018, Indy is 5-7 ATS as a home underdog.
2nd-year QB Richardson is 2-2 as an NFL starter.
Colts are one of 7 teams with same HC, coordinators as LY.
Houston is 2-1-1 in last four meetings.
Texans won 32-21/23-19 in last two visits to Indy.
Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.
Underdogs are 8-5 ATS in last 13 meetings.

Panthers @ New Orleans (-4)
Last three years, Carolina is 7-15-1 ATS as road underdog.
2nd year QB Young is 2-14 as an NFL starter.
Last 5 years, Carolina is 1-4 SU/ATS in Week 1 games.
Since 2009, Panthers are 5-10 ATS in road openers.
Last nine years, Carolina is 11-15-1 ATS in NFC South road games.
Last three years, Saints missed playoffs, going 9-8/7-10/9-8
Last three years, New Orleans is 6-8 ATS as a home favorite.
QB Carr is 72-88 as an NFL starter.
Last 10 years, Saints are 4-6 SU/1-9 ATS in Week 1 games.
Last 9 years, New Orleans is 1-8 ATS in home openers.
Last six years, Saints are 8-10 ATS in NFC South home games.
Saints are 7-3 in last ten series games.
Panthers lost seven of last nine visits to New Orleans.
Last six series games stayed under the total.
Underdogs are 8-4 ATS in last dozen meetings.

Raiders @ Chargers (-3)
Raiders won their season opener four of last five years.
QB Minshew is 15-22 as an NFL starter; Raiders are his 4th team.
Since 2019, Las Vegas is 19-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Since 2007, Raiders are 12-4-1 ATS in road openers.
Last five years, Raiders are 9-6 ATS in AFC West road games.
Under is 5-2 in their last seven road openers.
Chargers also won their season opener four of last five years.
Harbaugh was 49-22-1 as 49ers’ coach (2011-14).
Since 2018, Bolts are 11-22-2 ATS as a home favorite.
QB Herbert is 30-33 as an NFL starter.
Last 7 years, Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their home opener.
Last four years, Chargers are 6-5-1 ATS in AFC West home games.
Home team won last six series games.
Raiders won last meeting 63-21 last year.
Raiders lost last three visits to SoFi, by 14-5-7 points.

Broncos @ Seahawks (-5.5)
Rookie QB Nix (61 college starts) makes his first NFL start.
In his career, Payton is 50-34-2 ATS as an underdog.
Last three years, Broncos are 7-10 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 7 years, Denver is 1-6 SU/2-5 ATS in road openers.
Last two years, Denver was 3-7 ATS vs NFC opponents.
Under is 4-2 in their last six road openers.
Last four years, Seahawks are 6-3 ATS as home favorites.
Since 2009, Seattle is 13-2 SU/10-5 ATS in home openers (3-5 ATS last 8).
Seattle is 10-7-2 ATS last 19 games vs AFC opponents.
QB Smith is 30-37 as an NFL starter, 18-18 with Seattle.
Under is 10-3 in their last 13 home openers.
First game as head coach for Mike MacDonald.
Seahawks won three of last four meetings.
Broncos lost last two visits to Seattle, 26-20/17-16.

Cowboys @ Browns (-2.5)
Last ten years, Dallas is 4-6 SU in Week 1 games.
Last four years, Cowboys are 6-10 ATS as a road underdog.
Last two years, Dallas was 4-8 ATS on natural grass.
QB Prescott is 75-46 as an NFL starter.
Last two years, Dallas was 6-4 ATS vs AFC opponents.
Cowboys covered four of their last five road openers.
Cleveland won last 2 season openers (1-21-1 from 1999-2021)
Browns were 11-6 LY, with four different QB’s getting a win.
Cleveland was 8-1 ATS at home LY, 6-0 as a home favorite.
QB Watson is 37-31 as an NFL starter, 8-4 with Browns.
Cleveland is 13-5-1 ATS in last 19 games vs NFC opponents.
Over is 4-1 in Browns’ last four home openers.
Dallas won four of five series games.
Browns won last meeting, 49-38 in 2020.
Cowboys won their last three visits to Cleveland.

Commanders @ Buccaneers (-3.5)
Rookie QB Daniels (55 college starts) makes his first NFL start.
Last eight years, Commanders are 29-23-1 ATS as road underdogs.
Last 5 years, Washington allowed 30+ points in road openers (1-4 SU/2-3 ATS)
Over is 4-1 in those five road openers.
Dan Quinn was 46-44 as coach of the Falcons (2015-20).
Last eight years, Washington has started 8 different QB’s in Week 1.
Under Bowles, Tampa Bay is 3-6-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Last four years, Tampa Bay is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
QB Mayfield is 42-28 as an NFL starter, 10-9 with Buccaneers.
Over is 3-1 in their last four home openers.
Last two years, under is 10-6 in Tampa Bay home games.
Washington won three of last four series games.
Commanders won last two visits to Tampa; their last loss here was in 2007.

Rams @ Lions (-3.5)
Under McVay, Rams started season 1-0 six of seven years.
Under McVay, Rams are 7-0 SU/5-2 ATS in road openers.
Under McVay, Rams are 11-10-2 ATS as a road underdog.
QB Stafford is 28-18 as Rams’ QB (was 74-93-1 with Detroit).
Over is 4-1 in Rams’ last five road openers.
Under Campbell, Lions are 9-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 9 years, Detroit is 2-7 SU/4-5 ATS in home openers.
Over is 6-1 in their last seven home openers.
QB Goff is 26-24-1 as Detroit’s QB (was 44-30 with Rams)
Last six years, Lions are 1-4-1 SU in Week 1 games.
Detroit beat LA 24-23 in LY’s playoffs.
Rams are 3-2 in last five series games.
Rams lost four of last five visits to Detroit.
Rams QB Stafford played for Detroit from 2009-20.
Lions QB Goff played for Rams from 2017-20.

Monday’s game
Jets @ 49ers (-3.5)
QB Rodgers played only 4 plays LY before he tore his achilles.
Rodgers is 159-85-1 as an NFL starter.
Last four years, Jets are 10-18 ATS as road underdogs.
Jets are 5-13-1 ATS in last 19 games vs NFC opponents.
Last 8 years, Jets are 2-6 SU/3-4-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight road openers.
Jets coach Saleh was DC for 49ers from 2017-20.
Under Shanahan, San Francisco is 18-22-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last two years, 49ers were 3-7 ATS vs AFC opponents.
QB Purdy is 21-5 as an NFL starter.
Last 7 years, 49ers are 3-4 SU/2-5 ATS in Week 1 games.
Under is 8-2 in their last ten home openers.
49ers are 11-3 in series games.
Jets are 2-4 in road meetings, winning last one 23-17 in OT in last one, in 2016.

 

[Udog]

WEEK 2

Friday, September 6

Saturday, September 7

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 2

 

[Udog]

NCAAF

Week 2

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Trend Report
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[Cnotes53]

Thursday’s quiz
Who threw the first no-hitter in Arizona Diamondbacks’ history?

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Someone to Watch Over Me, Tom Berenger is a New York City cop assigned to protect a woman who witnessed a murder. Mimi Rogers played the witness.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Jameis Winston has the most passing yards.

******************************************

Thursday’s Den: NFL notes, thoughts with the season starting tonite…….​

How last 20 defending Super Bowl champs did in Week 1 the next season; 15 of the last 16 opened at home:
2003: Buccaneers (+3) W17-0 @ Philadelphia
2004: Patriots (-3) W27-24 vs Indianapolis
2005: Patriots (-7.5) W30-20 vs Oakland
2006: Steelers (-1) W28-17 vs Miami
2007: Colts (-5.5) W41-10 vs New Orleans
2008: Giants (-4.5) W16-7 vs Washington
2009: Steelers (-6.5) W13-10 vs Tennessee
2010: Saints (-5) W14-9 vs Minnesota
2011: Packers (-5) W42-34 vs New Orleans
2012: Giants (-5) L17-24 vs Dallas
2013: Ravens (+7.5) L27-49 @ Denver
2014: Seahawks (-5.5) W36-16 vs Green Bay
2015: Patriots (-7) W28-21 vs Pittsburgh
2016: Broncos (+3) W21-20 vs Carolina
2017: Patriots (-8) L27-42 vs Kansas City
2018: Eagles (-1) W18-12 vs Atlanta
2019: Patriots (-5.5) W33-3 vs Pittsburgh
2020: Chiefs (-9) W34-20 vs Houston
2021: Buccaneers (-8) W31-29 vs Dallas
2022: Rams (+2.5) L10-31 vs Buffalo
2023: Chiefs (-4.5) L20-21 vs Detroit
(11-7-3 ATS, 0-3 ATS last three years)

— 17 of the 32 offensive coordinators are in new jobs this season; makes it difficult to handicap Week 1, not much idea what to expect.

— Steelers brought in Russell Wilson AND Justin Fields this year, as they totally re-made their QB room. Wilson is 124-79-1 with a Super Bowl ring, but he was 17-27 the last three years and he will be 36 years old in November.
Fields is 10-28 as an NFL starter, heading towards suspect more than prospect. Will they use him in goal line/short yardage situations?

— Pittsburgh OC Arthur Smith was the Falcons’ head coach the last three years, going 7-10 all three seasons, so they fired him; Steelers open up in Atlanta Sunday.
Think that game is a little personal for Smith?

— Deshaun Watson has already gone thru two years of his guaranteed, five-year $46M/year contract, but he’s only played in 12 of 34 games for the Browns so far. Cleveland went 11-6 last year, with four different QB’s earning a win- that isn’t sustainable- they need Watson to play like a QB who deserves $46M a year.

— Eagles started 10-1 last year, then lost six of their last seven games, then changed both of their coordinators— it came out that QB Jalen Hurts and coach Nick Sirianni aren’t exactly the best of buddies, which puts the focus on new OC Kellen Moore, who spent eight of the last nine years with division rival Dallas.
This is a franchise that let Andy Reid/Doug Peterson walk; is Sirianni on thin ice?

— Aaron Donald retired; when a team loses one of the best defensive players ever, it puts their defense in question, especially with a new defensive coordinator (Chris Shula).

— Famous birthdays, September 5th:
William Devane, 85
Billy Kilmer, 85
Michael Keaton, 73
Willie Gault, 64
Dennis Scott, 56
Austin Corbett, 29
Jarren Duran, 28
Steven Kwan, 27
Mac Jones, 26

— Jets’ QB Aaron Rodgers tore his achilles on the 4th play last season; his health is obviously a big key as the Jets try to make the playoffs for the first time since 2010. Jets have five prime-time games and a Europe game in their first nine contests; someone in the league office thinks Gang Green is a contender.

— Chargers QB Justin Herbert battled a plantar fascia injury all summer; he was in a walking boot for two weeks. Chargers recently traded for Taylor Heinicke to back up Herbert; Heinicke is 13-16-1 as an NFL starter.

— Last five years, Buffalo Bills are 58-24 in regular season, only 5-5 in playoff games; Bills have problems with the salary cap these days, the way a lot of contending teams do, so their roster may be a little thinner this season than it has been.

— It is difficult for me to process that Bill Belichick, Pete Carroll are no longer NFL coaches; did they suddenly become incompetent? Hopefully Carroll will surface on TV somewhere; with his enthusiasm, he’d be a great teacher on TV.
Belichick seems like he is kind of boring; hopefully I’ll be wrong about that, but we’ll see.

— Should rookie QB’s start right away? Patrick Mahomes didn’t start until the last game of his rookie year; watching for a while can be a help.
Bears/Commanders are going with rookie QB’s right away; we’ll see how that works out.

— How last 20 Super Bowl losers did in Week 1 the following season:
2003: Raiders (+3) L20-25 @ Tennessee
2004: Panthers (-3) L14-24 vs Green Bay
2005: Eagles (-1) L10-14 @ Atlanta
2006: Seahawks (-6) W9-6 @ Detroit
2007: Bears (+7) L3-19 @ San Diego
2008: Patriots (-16) W17-10 vs Kansas City
2009: Cardinals (-5) L16-20 vs San Francisco
2010: Colts (-1.5) L24-34 @ Houston
2011: Steelers (+1) L7-35 @ Baltimore
2012: Patriots (-5) W34-13 @ Tennessee
2013: 49ers (-5) W34-28 vs Green Bay
2014: Broncos (-7.5) W31-24 vs Indianapolis
2015: Seahawks (-3.5) L31-34 OT @ Rams
2016: Panthers (-3) L20-21 @ Denver
2017: Falcons (-6.5) W23-17 @ Chicago
2018: Patriots (-6.5) W27-20 vs Houston
2019: Rams (-1.5) W30-27 @ Carolina
2020: 49ers (-7) L20-24 vs Arizona
2021: Chiefs (-5.5) W33-29 vs Cleveland
2022: Bengals (-7) L20-23 OT vs Pittsburgh
2023: Eagles (-3.5) W25-20 @ Philadelphia
(5-16 ATS, 3-3 ATS last six years)

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Friday, September 6

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 6​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
BYU at SMU	07:00 PM	SMU -11.5 O 55.5	+500 +500
DUKE at NW	09:00 PM	NW -2.5 U 37.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAFB BEST BETS AUGUST-SEPTEMBER!

09/06/2024.............................0 - 4 - 0............................00.00%...........................- 22.00
09/02/2024.............................1 - 1 - 0............................50.00%............................- 0.50
09/01/2024.............................1 - 1 - 0............................50.00%............................- 0.50
08/30/2024..........,................17 - 13 - 1.........................56.66%.............................+ 13.50
08/29/2024.............................13 - 4 - 2.........................76.47%.............................+ 43.00

TOTALS...................................32 - 23 - 3.........................55.00%.............................+ 33.50

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

— Duke 26, Northwesters 20 OT
Game was 13-13 after regulation.
Duke beats the Wildcats for sixth time in a row.
Both teams missed a field goal shorter than 35 yards.
Game was played in Northwestern’s temporary stadium, in front of 11,062 fans.


— BYU 18, SMU 15
BYU kicked game-winning field goal with 1:58 left.
SMU kicked five field goals, didn’t score a touchdown.
Teams combined to convert only 5-29 third down plays.
Both teams turned ball over three times.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Saturday, September 7

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 7​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
BGSU at PSU	12:00 PM	O 49.5	+500
KSU at TULN	12:00 PM	TULN +8.5	+500
TEX at MICH	12:00 PM	TEX -7.5 U 42.5	+500 +500
ARK at OKST	12:00 PM	ARK +9.5	+500
ARMY at FAU	12:00 PM	FAU -2.5 U 42.5	+500 +500
PITT at CIN	12:00 PM	PITT +2.5	+500
TROY at MEM	12:00 PM	U 56.5	+500
AKR at RUTG	12:00 PM	U 39.5	+500
URI at MINN	12:00 PM	MINN -23.5	+500
GT at SYR	12:00 PM	GT -2.5	+500
MCNS at TAM	12:45 PM	TAM -48.5 O 56.5	+500 +500
TNTC at UGA	02:00 PM	U 62.5	+500
UT at UNLV	03:00 PM	UNLV -41.5 O 55.5	+500 +500
JVST at LOU	03:30 PM	LOU -28.5	+500
TEM at NAVY	03:30 PM	U 42.5	+500
NIU at ND	03:30 PM	ND -27.5 O 44.5	+500 +500
ISU at IOWA	03:30 PM	IOWA -2.5 U 37.5	+500 +500
DUQ at BC	03:30 PM	U 52.5	+500
SOCAR at UK	03:30 PM	O 41.5	+500
EMU at WASH	03:30 PM	EMU +25.5	+500
BAY at UTAH	03:30 PM	BAY +14.5 O 55.5	+500 +500
CAL at AUB	03:30 PM	AUB -11.5 U 53.5	+500 +500
IDHO at WYO	03:30 PM	O 42.5	+500
MSU at MD	03:30 PM	MSU +8.5 U 44.5	+500 +500
CHAR at UNC	03:30 PM	UNC -22.5	+500
MASS at TOL	03:30 PM	O 51.5	+500
UTSA at TXST	04:00 PM	TXST -1.5	+500
MTU at MISS	04:15 PM	U 62.5	+500
MRSH at VT	04:30 PM	MRSH +20.5	+500
USA at OHIO	06:00 PM	OHIO +1.5	+500
FAMU at MIA	06:00 PM	O 53.5	+500
CMU at FIU	06:00 PM	CMU -4.5	+500
ECU at ODU	06:00 PM	O 54.5	+500
SHSU at UCF	06:30 PM	O 56.5	+500
TLSA at ARST	07:00 PM	O 65.5	+500
GASO at NEV	07:00 PM	U 58.5	+500
SJSU at AFA	07:00 PM	AFA -3.5	+500
USF at ALA	07:00 PM	ALA -30.5	+500
BUFF at MIZZ	07:00 PM	O 51.5	+500
CWM at CCU	07:00 PM	CCU -14.5	+500
CP at STAN	07:00 PM	U 58.5	+500
UVA at WAKE	07:00 PM	WAKE -1.5 U 55.5	+500 +500
CHAT at GSU	07:00 PM	GSU -10.5 U 54.5	+500 +500
KU at ILL	07:00 PM	U 57.5	+500
UAB at ULM	07:00 PM	O 54.5	+500
TENN at NCST	07:30 PM	TENN -5.0 U 56.5	+500 +500
COLO at NEB	07:30 PM	NEB -6.5 O 55.5	+500 +500
ALCN at VAN	07:30 PM	VAN -30.5	+500
SFA at UNT	07:30 PM	UNT -23.5	+500
WMU at OSU	07:30 PM	O 54.5	+500
HOU at OKLA	07:45 PM	OKLA -27.5 O 49.5	+500 +500
APP at CLEM	08:00 PM	APP +16.5 U 52.5	+500 +500
LIU at TCU	08:00 PM	U 54.5	+500
TTU at WSU	10:00 PM	O 66.5	+500
BSU at ORE	10:00 PM	BSU +18.5 O 60.5	+500 +500
NAU at ARIZ	10:00 PM	U 61.5	+500
LIB at NMSU	10:15 PM	LIB -21.5	+500
ORST at SDSU	10:30 PM	ORST -5.5 O 54.5	+500 +500
MSST at ASU	10:30 PM	MSST +5.5 O 58.5	+500 +500
USU at USC	11:00 PM	USC -28.5 U 63.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAFB BEST BETS AUGUST-SEPTEMBER!

09/07/2024..........................21 - 17 - 0............................55.26%..........................+ 11.20
09/06/2024.............................0 - 4 - 0............................00.00%...........................- 22.00
09/02/2024.............................1 - 1 - 0............................50.00%............................- 0.50
09/01/2024.............................1 - 1 - 0............................50.00%............................- 0.50
08/30/2024..........,................17 - 13 - 1.........................56.66%.............................+ 13.50
08/29/2024.............................13 - 4 - 2.........................76.47%.............................+ 43.00

TOTALS.................................53 - 40 - 3.........................56.98%.............................+ 47.70

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Astros 11, Arizona 5- Houston is 7-0 when Kikuchi starts.
— Mets 4, Reds 0- Jose Quintana got his 100th MLB win.
— Rays 7, Orioles 1- Loss knocks Baltimore out of AL East lead.
— Marlins 9, Phillies 5- Loss snaps Philly’s 6-game win streak.
— Royals 4, Twins 2- Bobby Witt Jr had the game-winning hit.
— Toronto 9, Braves 5- Spencer Horwitz was 4-5 with two HR’s.

Quote of the Day
“We did enough things wrong to deserve to lose. We were fortunate to find a way to win. Overall, our body of work on offense not very good today. I’m really proud of the guys that stepped up when they had an opportunity.”
Oklahoma coach Brent Venables, after his 16-12 win Saturday

Sunday’s quiz
When Bryce Harper broke into the major leagues, what team was he on?

Saturday’s quiz
Ron Jaworski was quarterback for the Eagles, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Invincible, Philadelphia beat the Giants in Week 2 of the 1976 season; Craig Morton played QB for the Giants in that game.

*******************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday…….​

— Oklahoma State 39, Arkansas 31 OT
Arkansas led this game 21-7 at halftime.
Razorbacks tied game with a 45-yard FG at the gun in regulation.
Arkansas was 11-19 on 3rd down, Cowboys 5-16

— Texas 31, Michigan 12
Longhorns won easily; they led 24-3 at halftime.
Texas was 10-16 on third down, Michigan 3-12
Michigan’s new coach supposedly doesn’t have a contract yet; my advice would be to go get one signed as quickly as possible, before they change their mind.

— Northern Illinois 16, Notre Dame 14
NIU kicked a 35-yard FG with 0:31 left to post a big upset.
Huskies outgained Notre Dame, 388-286.
NIU ran ball for 190 yards, was +2 in turnovers.

— Iowa State 20, Iowa 19
Iowa led this game 13-0 at halftime.
Iowa State threw a 75-yard TD pass, had 4th quarter FG’s of 46-54 yards.
Just 2nd win for Cyclones in their last nine meetings with Iowa.

— Virginia 31, Wake Forest 30
Deacons led 17-3 early in second quarter.
Cavaliers outscored Wake 14-0 in fourth quarter.
Virginia was only 3-14 on 3rd down, but 3-3 on 4th down.

— Famous birthdays, September 8th:
Lem Barney, 79
Maurice Cheeks, 68
Heather Thomas, 67
Latrell Sprewell, 54
Amani Toomer, 50
Gerrit Cole, 34
Matt Barkley, 34
Lars Nootbaar, 27
Leody Taveras, 26
September 8th was my grandfather’s birthday; happy birthday, Pop!!!

— Penn State 34, Bowling Green 27
MAC’s Falcons led 24-20 at halftime.
Bowling Green was 7-14 on 3rd down, Penn State 2-9
Nittany Lions ran for 234 yards (6.3 yards/carry).

— Oklahoma 16, Houston 12
Cougars outgained Oklahoma, 318-249
Houston lost 27-7 at home to UNLV LW; red flag for the Sooners?
Oklahoma’s punter downed 3 punts inside the Houston 10-yard line.

— Pittsburgh 28, Cincinnati 27
Panthers outscored Cincinnati 15-0 in 4th quarter.
Pitt threw 4th quarter TD passes of 38-56 yards.
Panthers kicked a 35-yard FG with 0:17 left for the win.

— Oregon 37, Boise State 34
Boise State led 20-14 at halftime.
Down 34-27, Ducks ran kickoff back 100 yards for TD with 9:59 left.
Oregon kicked a 25-yard FG at the gun.
Game was on Peacock, so I couldn’t watch it. Oy.

— Upsets of the Week:
Northern Illinois (+28) 16, Notre Dame 14
BYU (+12.5) 18, SMU 15
California (+11.5) 21, Auburn 14
UL-Monroe (+11) 32, UAB 6
Michigan State (+9) 27, Maryland 24
South Carolina (+8.5) 31, Kentucky 6
Iowa State (+8) 20, Iowa 19
Illinois (+4.5) 23, Kansas 17

Losing to a I-AA team isn’t good:
Idaho 17, Wyoming 13
St Francis PA 23, Kent State 17

— California 21, Auburn 14
Cal QB Mendoza was 19-21 passing in first half, when Cal led, 14-7.
Golden Bears converted 10-19 third down plays.
Auburn threw 4 INT’s, two in 4th quarter; Cal was +5 in turnovers.

— Kansas State 34, Tulane 27
Tulane led this game 20-10 at halftime.
K-State ran a fumble back 60 yards for game-winning TD with 8:13 left.
Tulane threw for 342 yards, averaged 11.8 yards/attempt.

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday’s 6-pack:
— Arizona 12, Astros 6- Pavin Smith hit 3 homers, had 8 RBI.
— White Sox 7, Red Sox 2- Chicago scored five runs in last inning.
— Royals 2, Twins 0- Michael Wacha tossed seven shutout IP.
— Reds 3, Mets 1- Loss snaps Mets’ 9-game winning streak.
— Dodgers 4, Guardians 0- Shohei Ohtani hit his 46th home run.
— Braves 4, Blue Jays 3 (11)- Sean Murphy had game-winning RBI

Quote of the Day
“Have you thanked a (Cleveland) Brown lately? Thank ’em for all of our players.”
Hannah McNair, Houston Texans vice president, wife of team owner Cal McNair
She is referring to the bonanza Texans got in the Deshaun Watson trade in 2022.

Monday’s quiz
Before Sunday, who was the last rookie QB to start.a game for the Washington Redskins/Commanders?
(Hint: It happened in 2012)

Sunday’s quiz
When Bryce Harper broke into the major leagues, he was on the Washington Nationals.

Saturday’s quiz
Ron Jaworski was quarterback for the Eagles, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

*******************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..​

Bills 34, Cardinals 28
First three drives, Arizona ran 36 plays, 191 yards, 17 points.
Rest of game, Arizona ran 25 plays, 80 yards, 3 points.
Cardinals’ only TD in second half was a 96-yard kick return.
Last 5 years, Arizona is 2-3-1 SU/5-1 ATS in Week 1.
Cardinals are 21-11-1 ATS in last 33 games as a road underdog.
Arizona led 17-10 at halftime.
Bills scored four TD’s, kicked FG on their first seven drives.
Cardinals were 7-13 on 3rd down, Buffalo 3-9.
Bills were 3-9 on 3rd down conversions, but 2-2 on 4th down.
Bufflo averaged 8.9 yards per pass attempt.

Patriots 16, Bengals 10
Stevenson carried ball 25 times for 120 yards.
Joey Slye kicked three field goals (35-35-37 yards)
Bengals outgained New England, 324-290.
Last 10 years, Patriots are 7-3 ATS in road openers.
There were 14,206 entries in the Circa Survivor Pool in Las Vegas; 4,895 people had the Bengals, more than any other team.
Bengals went 3/out on first 3 drives (9 plays, 19 yards)
On their fourth drive, Bengals lost a fumble in red zone.
Cincinnati was minus-2 in turnovers, converted only 4-11 on 3rd down.
Last nine years, Bengals are 2-7 SU/ATS in home openers.
Since 2016, Cincinnati is 0-6 ATS as a favorite in a home opener.

Vikings 28, Giants 6
Vikings had an 11-play, 99 yard TD drive that took up 6:44.
LB Andrew Van Ginkel scored on a 10-yard pick-6.
Vikings outgained the Giants, 312-240
First time in eight years Minnesota won their road opener.
Under is 14-7 in Vikings’ last 21 road openers.
Giants averaged only 3.5 yards/pass attempt.
Giants were minus-2 in turnovers, had 9 penalties for 95 yards.
Last 14 years, Giants started season 0-2 12 times.
Since 2012, Giants are 2-11 SU/1-12 ATS in home openers.
QB Jones is 23-38-1 as an NFL starter.

Bears 24, Titans 17
Tennessee led 17-0 with 2:00 left in first half.
Bears scored two TD’s; a blocked punt, and a pick-6.
Teams combined to convert only 5-27 third down plays.
Tennessee averaged 3.0 yards/pass attempt.
QB Levis is 3-7 as an NFL starter.
QB Williams was 14-29/93 in his NFL debut, but his team won.
Bears averaged only 2.1 yards/pass attempt.
Titans outgained Chicago, 244-148.
Bears outscored Tennessee 14-0 in 4th quarter.
Three teams didn’t score an offensive TD; two of them won.

Steelers 18, Falcons 10
Steelers won without scoring a TD; they kicked six FG’s.
Last 2+ years, Steelers outgained Atlanta, 270-226.
Steelers OC Smith was Atlanta’s head coach the last three years (21-30 W-L)
Since 2017, Pittsburgh is 23-12-1 as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh won/covered its last five road openers.
Falcons in second half: 21 plays, 45 yards, two turnovers.
Atlanta was 2-9 on third down, Steelers 8-17.
Falcons were minus-3 in turnovers (0-3).
Raheem Morris is 21-39 as an NFL head coach.
Last 4+ years, Atlanta is 4-14-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Dolphins 20, Jaguars 17
Jason Sanders kicked a 52-yard FG at the gun for a walk-off win.
Tagovailoa threw a 80-yard TD pass to Tyreek Hill in third quarter
Dolphins were 8-16 on third down, Jaguars were 2-10.
Tagovailoa is 33-20 as an NFL starter.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 4-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Jaguars led 14-0 with 2:00 left in first half.
Miami outscored the Jaguars 13-0 in second half.
QB Lawrence is 21-31 as an NFL starter.
Last eight years, Jaguars are 3-5 SU/6-2 ATS in road openers.
Under Pederson, Jaguars are 9-7 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Texans 29, Colts 27
Houston’s first 3 drives: 22 plays, 145 yards: FG-FG-TD
Texans led 12-7 at halftime.
Houston outgained the Colts, 417-303.
Fairbairn made three FG’s: 50-51-51 yards.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 11-7 as an NFL starter.
Colts’ first six drives: 30 plays, 160 yards, 7 points.
Colts’ last three drives: 13 plays, 143 yards, TD-TD-TD
Indy completed only 9-19 passes, but averaged 23.5 yards/completion.
Last 10 years, Colts are 0-10-1 SU/2-8-1 ATS in Week 1.
Texans won their third straight visit to Indianapolis.

Saints 47, Panthers 10
Saints scored on their first nine drives (5 TDs, 4FGs)
New Orleans led 30-3 at halftime.
Saints were 7-13 on third down, Carolina 1-10
Carolina averaged only 3.9 yards/pass attempt.
New Orleans outgained the Panthers, 379-193
Last 3+ years, Carolina is 7-16-1 ATS as road underdog.
2nd year QB Young is 2-15 as an NFL starter.
Last six years, Carolina is 1-5 SU/ATS in Week 1 games.
Since 2009, Panthers are 5-11 ATS in road openers.
Last nine years, Carolina is 11-16-1 ATS in NFC South road games.

Chargers 22, Raiders 10
Chargers outscored Las Vegas 16-3 in second half.
Raiders in 2nd half: 32 plays, 183 yards, 3 points, 2 turnovers.
Chargers were 9-15 on third down, Raiders 5-14.
QB Minshew is 15-23 as an NFL starter; Raiders are his 4th team.
Riaders’ only TD was 31-yard pass from Minshew to Mattison.
Chargers ran ball for 176 yards, Raiders 71.
JK Dobbins rushed for 135 yards on 10 carries, including a 12-yard TD.
Cameron Dicker kicked three FG’s (53-25-24 yards).
Home team won last seven series games.
Chargers won their season opener five of last six years.

Seahawks 26, Broncos 20
Denver scored two safeties in first half, led 13-9 at halftime.
Seattle’s first three drives of 2nd half: 22 plays, 178 yards, 17 points.
Rookie starting QB’s went 1-2 this week.
Broncos averaged only 3.0 yards/pass attempt.
Seahawks outgained Denver, 304-231.
RB Walker carried ball 20 times for 103 yards and a TD.
Seahawks won four of their last five games against Denver.
QB Smith is 31-37 as an NFL starter, 19-18 with Seattle.
Seattle is 3-6 ATS in its last nine home openers.
So far this week, NFC teams are 3-2 vs AFC opponents.

Cowboys 33, Browns 17
QB Prescott signed a 4-year, $240M contract Sunday morning.
KaVontae Turpin ran a punt back 60 yards for a TD.
Brandon Aubrey kicked FG’s of 57, 50, 46 and 40 yards.
QB Prescott is 76-46 as an NFL starter.
Last 2+ years, Dallas is 7-4 ATS vs AFC opponents.
Cleveland went 3/out on seven of first eight drives.
Cowboys led 20-3 at halftime.
Dallas outgained the Browns 216-54 in first half.
Cleveland was 2-15 on third down, Cowboys were 4-14.
Over is 4-1 in Browns’ last five home openers.

Buccaneers 37, Commanders 20
Bucs had ball eight times; scored four TD’s, kicked three FG’s.
QB Mayfield threw for 289 yards and four TD’s.
Mayfield is 43-28 as an NFL starter, 11-9 with Buccaneers.
Last five years, Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
Over is 4-1 in their last five home openers.
Buccaneers outgained Washington, 392-299.
Rookie QB Daniels had 88 of Washington’s 138 rushing yards.
Commanders were 2-8 on third down, Tampa Bay 9-13.
Last 6 years, Washington allowed 30+ points in road openers (1-5 SU/2-4 ATS)
Over was 5-1 in those six road openers.

Lions 26, Rams 20 OT
Detroit tied game 20-20 on 32-yard FG with 0:20 left in regulation.
Lions drove 70 yards for game-winning TD on first drive of overtime.
Detroit ran ball for 163 yards, Rams ran for 83 yards.
Under Campbell, Lions are 10-4 ATS as a home favorite.
QB Goff is 27-24-1 as Detroit’s QB (was 44-30 with Rams)
Rams had ball and 20-17 lead with 4:10 left, but couldn’t run out the clock.
Cooper Kupp caught 14 passes for 110 yards and a TD.
LA gained 181 yards in first half, but scored only three points, trailed 10-3.
LA in second half: 37 plays, 237 yards, 17 points.
Rams WR Nacua hurt his knee in first half, didn’t return.

 

[Udog]

WEEK 3

Thursday, September 12

Friday, September 13

Saturday, September 14

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 3