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Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 13
Saturday’s best 13 games
Indiana @ Ohio State (-10.5)
Indiana (10-0, 7-0)
Hoosiers are 10-0; they’re underdog for first time this year.
Last four games, Hoosiers gave up 12.3 ppg.
Last four games, Indiana is +7 in turnovers.
Hoosiers have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
Hoosiers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Rourke started 33 games at Ohio U
Indiana is 5-10 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Cignetti is 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Cignetti is 17-6 ATS in conference games.
Indiana is 17-10 ATS in its last 27 games coming off a win.
Six of Indiana’s last eight games went over the total.
Ohio State (9-1, 6-1)
Ohio State won last four games, last two by combined 76-7.
Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.
Ohio State has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Buckeyes have 103 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Howard stated 33 games at Kansas State.
Under Day, OSU is 24-15 ATS as a home favorite.
Buckeyes’ only loss was 32-31 at Oregon; Ducks gained 496 yards.
Oregon is only opponent that gained more than 273 yards.
Buckeyes are 9-6-1 ATS in last 16 conference games.
OSU is 11-6-2 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Ohio State allowed 17 or fewer points in all of its wins.
Ohio State won last 24 series games.
Hoosiers are 9-4 ATS in last 13 series games.
Indiana is 6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Columbus.
Over is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
Big 18 home favorites are 23-18 ATS.
Ole Miss (-11.5) @ Florida
Ole Miss (8-2, 4-2)
Ole Miss is 4-2 in its SEC games; both losses were by 3 points.
Rebels are +5 in turnovers in their last three games.
Rebels have 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Rebels have 222 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dart has started 25 games.
All eight Ole Miss wins are by 12+ points.
Ole Miss is 9-2-1 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
In his career, Kiffin is 20-17-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Kiffin, Rebels are 23-15-2 ATS coming off a win.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 17-20-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 8-1 in Ole Miss’ I-A games this season.
Florida (5-5, 3-4)
Four of Gators’ five losses were by 13+ points.
Florida is 0-5 when it scores less than 24 points.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Gators have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lagway has 7 TD passes, 5 INT’s (1,297 PY).
Under Napier, Florida is 11-7 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Napier is 22-10-1 ATS as an underdog.
Florida covered six of its last seven games overall.
Under Napier, Florida is 13-10 ATS in SEC games.
Over is 6-3 in Florida’s I-A games.
These teams haven’t met since 2020.
Florida won three of last four series games.
SEC home underdogs are 14-8 ATS
Iowa (-6) @ Maryland
Iowa (6-4, 4-3)
Iowa is 1-4 if it allows 20+ points, 5-0 if it allows less than 20.
Iowa’s six wins were all by 17+ points.
Hawkeyes have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 154 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB McNamara has 21 career starts.
Hawkeyes are 11-6 ATS last 16 games as a road favorite (1-2 TY).
In his career, Ferentz is 32-24-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Iowa is 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Hawkeyes are 24-19-1 ATS in their last 43 conference games.
Over is 7-2 in their I-A games.
Maryland (4-6, 1-6)
Terps lost last three games, giving up 48-39-31 points.
Maryland is 4-1 when it scores 27+ points.
Maryland has 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Terps have 21 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Edwards has 2,855 passing yards (15 TDs, 9 INT).
Under Locksley, Maryland is 7-7 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Locksley is 13-15 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Locksley, Terps are 21-33 ATS in conference games.
Terps were minus-10 in turnovers last five games (+11 in first five games).
Over is 3-1-1 in their home games.
Teams haven’t met since 2021.
Iowa won last three meetings (51-14/23-0/31-15).
Big 18 home underdogs are 15-15 ATS
North Carolina (-2.5) @ Boston College
North Carolina (6-4, 3-3)
North Carolina won its last three games, scoring 41-35-31 points.
Tar Heels are 6-1 when they allow less than 34 points.
Tar Heels have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Tar Heels have 59 returning starts on OL, 49 from one guy.
Junior QB Criswell has 2,003 passing yards (12 TD’s, 3 INTs)
Tar Heels are 3-10-2 ATS last 15 games as a road favorite.
In his career, Mack Brown is 44-50-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Since 2021, Tar Heels are 12-18 ATS in ACC games.
Carolina ran ball for 200+ yards in three of last four games.
Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
Boston College (5-5, 2-4)
BC lost four of its last five games, after a 4-1 start.
Eagles are 1-5 when they allow more than 20 points.
Eagles have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Eagles have 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB James has 456 PY in his two starts.
Boston College is 16-7-1 ATS in last 24 games as a home dog.
In his college career, O’Brien is 2-0 ATS as a home underdog.
Eagles are 14-16 ATS in last 30 ACC games.
Last two games, BC gave up 431+ total yards.
Over is 4-0 in their last four games.
These teams haven’t met since 2020.
North Carolina is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five meetings.
ACC home underdogs are 9-11 ATS
Arizona @ TCU (-11)
Arizona (4-6, 2-6)
Arizona is 2-6 in Big X games, giving up 31.7 ppg in losses.
Four of their six losses were by 22+ points.
Arizona has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
Wildcats have 86 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Fifita started nine games last year.
Arizona is 7-5 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Brennan is 17-15 ATS as a road underdog.
Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their conference games TY.
In his career, Brennan is 34-28-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Over is 3-2 in their last five games.
TCU (6-4, 4-3)
TCU is 5-0 when it gives up fewer than 30 points.
Last three games, TCU scored 35-34-38 points.
TCU has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hoover started six games last year.
Under Dykes, TCU is 8-7 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Dykes is 29-24 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dykes, TCU is 13-12-1 ATS in Big X games.
Frogs are 6-4 despite being minus-10 in turnovers.
Over is 6-3 in their I-A games this season.
These teams haven’t met since 2003.
Big X home favorites are 17-19 ATS.
Penn State (-11.5) @ Minnesota
Penn State (9-1, 6-1)
Penn State won its last two games, 35-6/49-10.
PSU’s only loss was 20-13 at home to Ohio State.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS on road this season.
Nittany Lions have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Penn State has 45 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Allar started 13 games last year.
Under Franklin, Penn State is 56-38-3 ATS as a favorite.
Under Franklin, Penn State is 22-13 ATS as a road favorite.
Nittany Lions are 6-1 SU/3-4 ATS in conference games TY.
Last two games, Penn State ran ball for 266-234 yards.
Six of their last eight games stayed under the total.
Minnesota (6-4, 4-3)
Minnesota won four of its last five games.
Only one of the Gophers’ losses was by more than 7 points.
Gophers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Minnesota has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Brosmer started 36 games at I-AA New Hampshire.
Minnesota is 8-8-2 ATS last 16 games as a home underdog.
In his career, Fleck is 10-13-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 34-32-2 ATS in conference games.
Minnesota is +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
Gophers are 5-0 when they run ball for 100+ yards.
Home team won/covered last four series games.
Penn State lost 31-26/24-10 in last two visits to Minnesota.
Over is 5-2-1 in last eight meetings.
BYU @ Arizona State (-3)
BYU (9-1, 6-1)
BYU lost 17-13 to Kansas LW, its first loss this year.
BYU has four wins by six or fewer points.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started four games LY.
BYU is 19-8 ATS last 27 games as a road underdog.
BYU scored 34+ points in sieven of its ten games.
In his career, coach Sitake is 25-14-1 ATS as an underdog.
BYU is 7-12 ATS last 19 games coming off a loss.
Last two games, BYU gave up 259/242 total yards.
Five of their last six games went over the total.
Arizona State (8-2, 5-2)
ASU won three in row, five of its last six games.
Sun Devils scored 24+ points in their wins, 22-14 in losses.
ASU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Sun Devils have 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Leavitt has 1,906 PY this year, with 17 TD’s, 4 INTs.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 11-5 ATS in conference games.
ASU is 8-13 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
Arizona State is 4-0 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Sun Devils are 5-0 SU/ATS at home, scoring 35 ppg.
These teams have met once since 1998.
Big X home favorites are 17-19 ATS
Colorado (-3) @ Kansas
Colorado (8-2, 6-1)
Colorado won eight of its last nine games (9-0 ATS).
Colorado scored 31+ points in eight of its nine wins.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.
Sanders is 7-3 ATS as a favorite with Colorado, 3-1 on road.
Since 2016, Colorado is 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Sanders, Buffs are 13-4 ATS in conference games.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 8-4 ATS coming off a win.
Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.
Kansas (4-6, 3-4)
Kansas won three of last four games, after a 1-5 start.
Jayhawks have five losses by 6 or fewer points.
Jayhawks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Kansas has 130 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels has 20 career starts.
In his career, Leipold is 17-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Kansas is 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS in its last four games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 11-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
Five of last seven Kansas games went over the total.
These teams haven’t met since 2010.
Big X home underdogs are 4-7 ATS.
Alabama (-13.5) @ Oklahoma
Alabama (8-2, 4-2)
Alabama lost 2 of last 3 road games, at Vandy/Tennessee.
Crimson Tide was held under 100 yards rushing in the losses.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Milroe has started 14 games.
Alabama is 7-11 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
In his career, DeBoer is 10-9 ATS as a road favorite.
Alabama is 12-9-1 ATS in its last 22 SEC games.
Under is 3-0 in their last three I-A games.
Alabama is 12-6 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
Oklahoma (5-5, 1-5)
Oklahoma lost its last four SEC games, giving up 31.3 ppg.
Sooners are 0-5 when they allow more than 21 points.
Oklahoma has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Arnold has thrown for 1,243 yards (12 TDs, 3 INTs)
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 0-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Venables, Sooners are 9-14-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 6-5 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last four I-A games, Oklahoma is minus-9 in turnovers.
Sooners were held under 300 TY in five of last six I-A games.
These teams haven’t met since a bowl game in 2018.
SEC home underdogs are 14-8 ATS.
Iowa State @ Utah (-3)
Iowa State (8-2, 5-2)
Iowa State lost 2 of last 3 games, after a 7-0 start.
Last four games, Cyclones gave up 251.8 rushing yards/game.
Cyclones have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cyclones have 90 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.
Iowa State’s last four games had average total of 57.5.
Under Campbell, ISU is 14-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Cyclones are 10-6 ATS in last 16 conference games.
Cyclones are +8 in turnovers this season.
Iowa State is averaging 448.3 yards in its Big X games.
Utah (4-6, 2-6)
Utah lost its last six games (1-5 ATS)
Utes scored 22+ points in their four wins (0-5 score less than 22)
Utes have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Utah has 60 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Wilson has 1,436 PY (10 TDs, 11 INTs)
Utah is 9-6 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite (0-3 TY).
Utah is 2-7 ATS in last nine games overall.
Utes are 0-6 when they run ball for less than 170 yards.
Since 2016, Utes are 46-32 ATS in conference games (2-6 TY).
Five of Utah’s last seven games stayed under the total.
These teams haven’t met since 2010.
Big X home favorites are 17-19 ATS.
Cincinnati @ Kansas State (-8)
Cincinnati (5-5, 3-4)
Cincinnati lost last three games, giving up 34-31-34 points.
Cincinnati is 5-0 giving up less than 28 points.
Bearcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bearcats have 91 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby started 7 games at Indiana last year.
Cincinnati is 3-6-1 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog.
In his career, Satterfield is 12-17-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Cincinnati is 6-16-2 ATS in conference games.
Bearcats are 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Under is 6-2-1 in Cincinnati’s I-A games.
Kansas State (7-3, 5-3)
K-State lost its last two games, after a 7-1 start.
K-State scored 29+ points in its wins, 9-19-14 in losses.
Wildcats are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Wildcats have 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Wildcats have 73 returning starts on OL, only 36 at I-A level.
Frosh QB Johnson has thrown for 1,892 yards (17 TDs, 7 INTs)
K-State is 13-4 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 23-17 ATS as a favorite.
Under Klieman, K-State is 33-21 ATS in Big X games.
Wildcats are 8-1 ATS last nine games coming off a loss.
Under is 3-0 in K-State’s last three games.
These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
Big X home favorites are 17-19 ATS.
USC (-5) @ UCLA
USC (5-5, 3-5)
Trojans lost four of their last six games.
USC is 1-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Maiava started 11 games at UNLV; this is hist 2nd USC start.
Under Riley, USC is 2-10 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Riley is 8-21-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Trojans are 13-23 ATS in last 36 conference games.
In his career, Riley is 35-39-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Riley, USC is 10-12 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 2-1-1 in their road games this year.
UCLA (4-6, 3-5)
UCLA won three of its last four games, after a 1-5 start.
Bruins are 1-6 when they score less than 20 points.
UCLA has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Bruins have 101 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Garbers started 6 games last year.
UCLA is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
UCLA is 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
Bruins covered six of last eight games overall.
UCLA is 8-2 ATS last 10 games coming off a loss.
Last four games, Bruins are +2 in turnovers (minus-7 in first six)
Over is 3-1 in UCLA’s last four games.
Road team won last four meetings.
Trojans won 48-45/43-38 in last two visits to UCLA.
Over is 5-1 in last six series games.
Big 18 home underdogs are 15-15 ATS
Colorado State @ Fresno State (-3)
Colorado State (7-3, 5-0)
Rams are 5-0 in MW games, giving up 14.8 ppg.
CSU gave up 52-28-39 points in their losses.
Rams have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
CSU has 94 starts returning on the offensive line.
Rams’ soph QB has 11 starts; he threw 22 TD’s, 16 INT’s last year.
Rams covered their last seven games overall.
Under Norvell, Rams are 7-5 ATS as road underdogs.
In his career, Norvell is 17-14 ATS as a road underdog.
CSU allowed 441+ total yards in three of five MW games.
Under is 7-2 in their I-A games.
Fresno State (5-5, 3-3)
Fresno lost its last two games, 21-20/36-28.
Bulldogs are 1-5 scoring less than 33 points.
Bulldogs have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Fresno has 106 starts returning on offensive line.
Soph QB Keene started 11 games last year.
Skipper is Fresno’s interim coach this season.
Fresno is 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Bulldogs are 6-7 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
Last two games, Bulldogs ran ball 33 times for 14 yards.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Bulldogs are 3-10-1 ATS in last 14 Mountain West games.
Colorado State won six of last eight meetings.
Rams are 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Fresno.
Over is 4-3 in last seven series games.
Mountain West home favorites are 8-9 ATS.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 13
Saturday’s best 13 games
Indiana @ Ohio State (-10.5)
Indiana (10-0, 7-0)
Hoosiers are 10-0; they’re underdog for first time this year.
Last four games, Hoosiers gave up 12.3 ppg.
Last four games, Indiana is +7 in turnovers.
Hoosiers have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
Hoosiers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Rourke started 33 games at Ohio U
Indiana is 5-10 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Cignetti is 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Cignetti is 17-6 ATS in conference games.
Indiana is 17-10 ATS in its last 27 games coming off a win.
Six of Indiana’s last eight games went over the total.
Ohio State (9-1, 6-1)
Ohio State won last four games, last two by combined 76-7.
Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.
Ohio State has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Buckeyes have 103 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Howard stated 33 games at Kansas State.
Under Day, OSU is 24-15 ATS as a home favorite.
Buckeyes’ only loss was 32-31 at Oregon; Ducks gained 496 yards.
Oregon is only opponent that gained more than 273 yards.
Buckeyes are 9-6-1 ATS in last 16 conference games.
OSU is 11-6-2 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Ohio State allowed 17 or fewer points in all of its wins.
Ohio State won last 24 series games.
Hoosiers are 9-4 ATS in last 13 series games.
Indiana is 6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Columbus.
Over is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
Big 18 home favorites are 23-18 ATS.
Ole Miss (-11.5) @ Florida
Ole Miss (8-2, 4-2)
Ole Miss is 4-2 in its SEC games; both losses were by 3 points.
Rebels are +5 in turnovers in their last three games.
Rebels have 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Rebels have 222 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dart has started 25 games.
All eight Ole Miss wins are by 12+ points.
Ole Miss is 9-2-1 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
In his career, Kiffin is 20-17-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Kiffin, Rebels are 23-15-2 ATS coming off a win.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 17-20-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 8-1 in Ole Miss’ I-A games this season.
Florida (5-5, 3-4)
Four of Gators’ five losses were by 13+ points.
Florida is 0-5 when it scores less than 24 points.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Gators have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lagway has 7 TD passes, 5 INT’s (1,297 PY).
Under Napier, Florida is 11-7 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Napier is 22-10-1 ATS as an underdog.
Florida covered six of its last seven games overall.
Under Napier, Florida is 13-10 ATS in SEC games.
Over is 6-3 in Florida’s I-A games.
These teams haven’t met since 2020.
Florida won three of last four series games.
SEC home underdogs are 14-8 ATS
Iowa (-6) @ Maryland
Iowa (6-4, 4-3)
Iowa is 1-4 if it allows 20+ points, 5-0 if it allows less than 20.
Iowa’s six wins were all by 17+ points.
Hawkeyes have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 154 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB McNamara has 21 career starts.
Hawkeyes are 11-6 ATS last 16 games as a road favorite (1-2 TY).
In his career, Ferentz is 32-24-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Iowa is 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Hawkeyes are 24-19-1 ATS in their last 43 conference games.
Over is 7-2 in their I-A games.
Maryland (4-6, 1-6)
Terps lost last three games, giving up 48-39-31 points.
Maryland is 4-1 when it scores 27+ points.
Maryland has 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Terps have 21 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Edwards has 2,855 passing yards (15 TDs, 9 INT).
Under Locksley, Maryland is 7-7 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Locksley is 13-15 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Locksley, Terps are 21-33 ATS in conference games.
Terps were minus-10 in turnovers last five games (+11 in first five games).
Over is 3-1-1 in their home games.
Teams haven’t met since 2021.
Iowa won last three meetings (51-14/23-0/31-15).
Big 18 home underdogs are 15-15 ATS
North Carolina (-2.5) @ Boston College
North Carolina (6-4, 3-3)
North Carolina won its last three games, scoring 41-35-31 points.
Tar Heels are 6-1 when they allow less than 34 points.
Tar Heels have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Tar Heels have 59 returning starts on OL, 49 from one guy.
Junior QB Criswell has 2,003 passing yards (12 TD’s, 3 INTs)
Tar Heels are 3-10-2 ATS last 15 games as a road favorite.
In his career, Mack Brown is 44-50-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Since 2021, Tar Heels are 12-18 ATS in ACC games.
Carolina ran ball for 200+ yards in three of last four games.
Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
Boston College (5-5, 2-4)
BC lost four of its last five games, after a 4-1 start.
Eagles are 1-5 when they allow more than 20 points.
Eagles have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Eagles have 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB James has 456 PY in his two starts.
Boston College is 16-7-1 ATS in last 24 games as a home dog.
In his college career, O’Brien is 2-0 ATS as a home underdog.
Eagles are 14-16 ATS in last 30 ACC games.
Last two games, BC gave up 431+ total yards.
Over is 4-0 in their last four games.
These teams haven’t met since 2020.
North Carolina is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five meetings.
ACC home underdogs are 9-11 ATS
Arizona @ TCU (-11)
Arizona (4-6, 2-6)
Arizona is 2-6 in Big X games, giving up 31.7 ppg in losses.
Four of their six losses were by 22+ points.
Arizona has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
Wildcats have 86 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Fifita started nine games last year.
Arizona is 7-5 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Brennan is 17-15 ATS as a road underdog.
Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their conference games TY.
In his career, Brennan is 34-28-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Over is 3-2 in their last five games.
TCU (6-4, 4-3)
TCU is 5-0 when it gives up fewer than 30 points.
Last three games, TCU scored 35-34-38 points.
TCU has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hoover started six games last year.
Under Dykes, TCU is 8-7 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Dykes is 29-24 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dykes, TCU is 13-12-1 ATS in Big X games.
Frogs are 6-4 despite being minus-10 in turnovers.
Over is 6-3 in their I-A games this season.
These teams haven’t met since 2003.
Big X home favorites are 17-19 ATS.
Penn State (-11.5) @ Minnesota
Penn State (9-1, 6-1)
Penn State won its last two games, 35-6/49-10.
PSU’s only loss was 20-13 at home to Ohio State.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS on road this season.
Nittany Lions have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Penn State has 45 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Allar started 13 games last year.
Under Franklin, Penn State is 56-38-3 ATS as a favorite.
Under Franklin, Penn State is 22-13 ATS as a road favorite.
Nittany Lions are 6-1 SU/3-4 ATS in conference games TY.
Last two games, Penn State ran ball for 266-234 yards.
Six of their last eight games stayed under the total.
Minnesota (6-4, 4-3)
Minnesota won four of its last five games.
Only one of the Gophers’ losses was by more than 7 points.
Gophers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Minnesota has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Brosmer started 36 games at I-AA New Hampshire.
Minnesota is 8-8-2 ATS last 16 games as a home underdog.
In his career, Fleck is 10-13-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 34-32-2 ATS in conference games.
Minnesota is +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
Gophers are 5-0 when they run ball for 100+ yards.
Home team won/covered last four series games.
Penn State lost 31-26/24-10 in last two visits to Minnesota.
Over is 5-2-1 in last eight meetings.
BYU @ Arizona State (-3)
BYU (9-1, 6-1)
BYU lost 17-13 to Kansas LW, its first loss this year.
BYU has four wins by six or fewer points.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started four games LY.
BYU is 19-8 ATS last 27 games as a road underdog.
BYU scored 34+ points in sieven of its ten games.
In his career, coach Sitake is 25-14-1 ATS as an underdog.
BYU is 7-12 ATS last 19 games coming off a loss.
Last two games, BYU gave up 259/242 total yards.
Five of their last six games went over the total.
Arizona State (8-2, 5-2)
ASU won three in row, five of its last six games.
Sun Devils scored 24+ points in their wins, 22-14 in losses.
ASU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Sun Devils have 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Leavitt has 1,906 PY this year, with 17 TD’s, 4 INTs.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 11-5 ATS in conference games.
ASU is 8-13 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
Arizona State is 4-0 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Sun Devils are 5-0 SU/ATS at home, scoring 35 ppg.
These teams have met once since 1998.
Big X home favorites are 17-19 ATS
Colorado (-3) @ Kansas
Colorado (8-2, 6-1)
Colorado won eight of its last nine games (9-0 ATS).
Colorado scored 31+ points in eight of its nine wins.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.
Sanders is 7-3 ATS as a favorite with Colorado, 3-1 on road.
Since 2016, Colorado is 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Sanders, Buffs are 13-4 ATS in conference games.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 8-4 ATS coming off a win.
Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.
Kansas (4-6, 3-4)
Kansas won three of last four games, after a 1-5 start.
Jayhawks have five losses by 6 or fewer points.
Jayhawks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Kansas has 130 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels has 20 career starts.
In his career, Leipold is 17-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Kansas is 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS in its last four games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 11-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
Five of last seven Kansas games went over the total.
These teams haven’t met since 2010.
Big X home underdogs are 4-7 ATS.
Alabama (-13.5) @ Oklahoma
Alabama (8-2, 4-2)
Alabama lost 2 of last 3 road games, at Vandy/Tennessee.
Crimson Tide was held under 100 yards rushing in the losses.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Milroe has started 14 games.
Alabama is 7-11 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
In his career, DeBoer is 10-9 ATS as a road favorite.
Alabama is 12-9-1 ATS in its last 22 SEC games.
Under is 3-0 in their last three I-A games.
Alabama is 12-6 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
Oklahoma (5-5, 1-5)
Oklahoma lost its last four SEC games, giving up 31.3 ppg.
Sooners are 0-5 when they allow more than 21 points.
Oklahoma has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Arnold has thrown for 1,243 yards (12 TDs, 3 INTs)
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 0-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Venables, Sooners are 9-14-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 6-5 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last four I-A games, Oklahoma is minus-9 in turnovers.
Sooners were held under 300 TY in five of last six I-A games.
These teams haven’t met since a bowl game in 2018.
SEC home underdogs are 14-8 ATS.
Iowa State @ Utah (-3)
Iowa State (8-2, 5-2)
Iowa State lost 2 of last 3 games, after a 7-0 start.
Last four games, Cyclones gave up 251.8 rushing yards/game.
Cyclones have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cyclones have 90 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.
Iowa State’s last four games had average total of 57.5.
Under Campbell, ISU is 14-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Cyclones are 10-6 ATS in last 16 conference games.
Cyclones are +8 in turnovers this season.
Iowa State is averaging 448.3 yards in its Big X games.
Utah (4-6, 2-6)
Utah lost its last six games (1-5 ATS)
Utes scored 22+ points in their four wins (0-5 score less than 22)
Utes have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Utah has 60 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Wilson has 1,436 PY (10 TDs, 11 INTs)
Utah is 9-6 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite (0-3 TY).
Utah is 2-7 ATS in last nine games overall.
Utes are 0-6 when they run ball for less than 170 yards.
Since 2016, Utes are 46-32 ATS in conference games (2-6 TY).
Five of Utah’s last seven games stayed under the total.
These teams haven’t met since 2010.
Big X home favorites are 17-19 ATS.
Cincinnati @ Kansas State (-8)
Cincinnati (5-5, 3-4)
Cincinnati lost last three games, giving up 34-31-34 points.
Cincinnati is 5-0 giving up less than 28 points.
Bearcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bearcats have 91 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby started 7 games at Indiana last year.
Cincinnati is 3-6-1 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog.
In his career, Satterfield is 12-17-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Cincinnati is 6-16-2 ATS in conference games.
Bearcats are 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Under is 6-2-1 in Cincinnati’s I-A games.
Kansas State (7-3, 5-3)
K-State lost its last two games, after a 7-1 start.
K-State scored 29+ points in its wins, 9-19-14 in losses.
Wildcats are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Wildcats have 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Wildcats have 73 returning starts on OL, only 36 at I-A level.
Frosh QB Johnson has thrown for 1,892 yards (17 TDs, 7 INTs)
K-State is 13-4 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 23-17 ATS as a favorite.
Under Klieman, K-State is 33-21 ATS in Big X games.
Wildcats are 8-1 ATS last nine games coming off a loss.
Under is 3-0 in K-State’s last three games.
These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
Big X home favorites are 17-19 ATS.
USC (-5) @ UCLA
USC (5-5, 3-5)
Trojans lost four of their last six games.
USC is 1-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Maiava started 11 games at UNLV; this is hist 2nd USC start.
Under Riley, USC is 2-10 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Riley is 8-21-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Trojans are 13-23 ATS in last 36 conference games.
In his career, Riley is 35-39-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Riley, USC is 10-12 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 2-1-1 in their road games this year.
UCLA (4-6, 3-5)
UCLA won three of its last four games, after a 1-5 start.
Bruins are 1-6 when they score less than 20 points.
UCLA has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Bruins have 101 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Garbers started 6 games last year.
UCLA is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
UCLA is 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
Bruins covered six of last eight games overall.
UCLA is 8-2 ATS last 10 games coming off a loss.
Last four games, Bruins are +2 in turnovers (minus-7 in first six)
Over is 3-1 in UCLA’s last four games.
Road team won last four meetings.
Trojans won 48-45/43-38 in last two visits to UCLA.
Over is 5-1 in last six series games.
Big 18 home underdogs are 15-15 ATS
Colorado State @ Fresno State (-3)
Colorado State (7-3, 5-0)
Rams are 5-0 in MW games, giving up 14.8 ppg.
CSU gave up 52-28-39 points in their losses.
Rams have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
CSU has 94 starts returning on the offensive line.
Rams’ soph QB has 11 starts; he threw 22 TD’s, 16 INT’s last year.
Rams covered their last seven games overall.
Under Norvell, Rams are 7-5 ATS as road underdogs.
In his career, Norvell is 17-14 ATS as a road underdog.
CSU allowed 441+ total yards in three of five MW games.
Under is 7-2 in their I-A games.
Fresno State (5-5, 3-3)
Fresno lost its last two games, 21-20/36-28.
Bulldogs are 1-5 scoring less than 33 points.
Bulldogs have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Fresno has 106 starts returning on offensive line.
Soph QB Keene started 11 games last year.
Skipper is Fresno’s interim coach this season.
Fresno is 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Bulldogs are 6-7 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
Last two games, Bulldogs ran ball 33 times for 14 yards.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Bulldogs are 3-10-1 ATS in last 14 Mountain West games.
Colorado State won six of last eight meetings.
Rams are 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Fresno.
Over is 4-3 in last seven series games.
Mountain West home favorites are 8-9 ATS.
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 23
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILL at RUTG | 12:00 PM | RUTG -2.5 U 47.5 | +500 +500 |
| UNC at BC | 12:00 PM | BC +2.5 U 50.0 | +500 +500 |
| IU at OSU | 12:00 PM | IU +10.5 U 52.5 | +500 +500 |
| SHSU at JVST | 12:00 PM | JVST -5.0 U 57.0 | +500 +500 |
| CONN at SYR | 12:00 PM | SYR -10.0 O 53.0 | +500 +500 |
| MISS at FLA | 12:00 PM | FLA +13.0 O 58.0 | +500 +500 |
| SMU at UVA | 12:00 PM | UVA +11.0 U 54.5 | +500 +500 |
| IOWA at MD | 12:00 PM | IOWA -4.5 U 41.0 | +500 +500 |
| WAKE at MIA | 12:00 PM | WAKE +23.5 U 66.5 | +500 +500 |
| MASS at UGA | 12:45 PM | MASS +42.0 U 55.0 | +500 +500 |
| WKU at LIB | 01:00 PM | WKU +1.0 O 55.5 | +500 +500 |
| UTEP at TENN | 01:00 PM | TENN -41.5 U 54.0 | +500 +500 |
| RICE at UAB | 02:00 PM | RICE -7.0 U 52.0 | +500 +500 |
| BGSU at BALL | 02:00 PM | BGSU -12.0 U 53.5 | +500 +500 |
| NMSU at MTU | 02:30 PM | MTU -3.0 O 53.0 | +500 +500 |
| JMU at APP | 02:30 PM | JMU -7.5 O 57.5 | +500 +500 |
| USA at USM | 03:00 PM | USM +24.0 U 54.0 | +500 +500 |
| CHAR at FAU | 03:00 PM | CHAR -3.0 U 49.5 | +500 +500 |
| ULM at ARST | 03:00 PM | ARST -3.0 O 51.5 | +500 +500 |
| FIU at KENN | 03:00 PM | FIU -9.0 O 42.5 | +500 +500 |
| ARIZ at TCU | 03:00 PM | TCU -10.5 U 60.0 | +500 +500 |
| NW at MICH | 03:30 PM | NW +10.5 O 35.0 | +500 +500 |
| STAN at CAL | 03:30 PM | CAL -14.5 O 53.5 | +500 +500 |
| COLO at KU | 03:30 PM | COLO -2.5 O 59.0 | +500 +500 |
| PSU at MINN | 03:30 PM | MINN +11.0 U 45.0 | +500 +500 |
| ECU at UNT | 03:30 PM | UNT -2.5 O 74.0 | +500 +500 |
| TLSA at USF | 03:30 PM | TLSA +17.5 O 61.5 | +500 +500 |
| TTU at OKST | 03:30 PM | TTU -4.5 O 64.0 | +500 +500 |
| GASO at CCU | 03:30 PM | GASO +2.0 O 59.0 | +500 +500 |
| UK at TEX | 03:30 PM | TEX -18.5 O 47.0 | +500 +500 |
| BYU at ASU | 03:30 PM | ASU -3.5 U 48.5 | +500 +500 |
| SDSU at USU | 03:30 PM | USU -5.0 U 60.0 | +500 +500 |
| WIS at NEB | 03:30 PM | WIS +1.0 U 41.0 | +500 +500 |
| UCF at WVU | 03:30 PM | WVU +3.0 O 60.5 | +500 +500 |
| LT at ARK | 04:00 PM | ARK -23.5 O 48.5 | +500 +500 |
| WOF at SOCAR | 04:00 PM | SOCAR -42.5 U 49.5 | +500 +500 |
| PITT at LOU | 04:00 PM | PITT +7.5 O 57.5 | +500 +500 |
| MIZZ at MSST | 04:15 PM | MIZZ -9.0 U 58.0 | +500 +500 |
| TROY at ULL | 05:00 PM | TROY +8.5 O 51.5 | +500 +500 |
| BAY at HOU | 07:00 PM | BAY -7.5 O 50.5 | +500 +500 |
| ARMY at ND | 07:00 PM | ARMY +14.0 O 44.5 | +500 +500 |
| WSU at ORST | 07:00 PM | ORST +10.5 U 56.5 | +500 +500 |
| GSU at TXST | 07:00 PM | TXST -21.0 O 59.5 | +500 +500 |
| BSU at WYO | 07:00 PM | BSU -22.5 U 55.0 | +500 +500 |
| TAM at AUB | 07:30 PM | AUB +1.0 U 46.0 | +500 +500 |
| ALA at OKLA | 07:30 PM | OKLA +14.0 O 46.0 | +500 +500 |
| MRSH at ODU | 07:30 PM | MRSH +3.0 U 51.5 | +500 +500 |
| ISU at UTAH | 07:30 PM | ISU -6.5 U 42.0 | +500 +500 |
| VAN at LSU | 07:45 PM | VAN +9.0 U 52.5 | +500 +500 |
| CIN at KSU | 08:00 PM | KSU -8.5 U 55.0 | +500 +500 |
| VT at DUKE | 08:00 PM | VT -3.0 O 46.0 | +500 +500 |
| AFA at NEV | 10:30 PM | AFA +3.0 O 44.5 | +500 +500 |
| CSU at FRES | 10:30 PM | CSU +3.0 O 44.5 | +500 +500 |
| USC at UCLA | 10:30 PM | UCLA +5.0 U 52.0 | +500 +500 |
NCAAFB BEST BETS NOVEMBER !
11/23/2024................24 - 25 - 0...................48.97%...............- 17.50
11/22/2024.....................3 - 3 - 0...................50.00%...............- 1.50
11/21/2024.....................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/20/2024.....................3 - 1- 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/19/2024.....................2 -3 - 0....................40.00%................- 6.50
11/16/2024...................20 - 30 - 0...................40.00%...............- 65.00
11/15/2024......................2 - 6 - 0...................25.00%...............- 23.00
11/14/2024......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/13/2024......................4 - 2 - 0...................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/12/2024......................2 - 2 - 0...................50.00%................- 1.00
11/09/2024....................20 - 15 - 0..................57.14%................+ 17.50
11/08/2024.......................2 - 3 - 0..................40.00%.................- 6.50
11/07/2024.......................1 - 3 - 0..................25.00%.................- 11.50
11/06/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%..................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%..................- 22.50
TOTALS........................101 - 112 - 0.................47.41%.................- 111.00
*************************************************************************************
AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
11/23/2024................24 - 25 - 0...................48.97%...............- 17.50
11/22/2024.....................3 - 3 - 0...................50.00%...............- 1.50
11/21/2024.....................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/20/2024.....................3 - 1- 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/19/2024.....................2 -3 - 0....................40.00%................- 6.50
11/16/2024...................20 - 30 - 0...................40.00%...............- 65.00
11/15/2024......................2 - 6 - 0...................25.00%...............- 23.00
11/14/2024......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/13/2024......................4 - 2 - 0...................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/12/2024......................2 - 2 - 0...................50.00%................- 1.00
11/09/2024....................20 - 15 - 0..................57.14%................+ 17.50
11/08/2024.......................2 - 3 - 0..................40.00%.................- 6.50
11/07/2024.......................1 - 3 - 0..................25.00%.................- 11.50
11/06/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%..................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%..................- 22.50
TOTALS........................101 - 112 - 0.................47.41%.................- 111.00
*************************************************************************************
AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Nuggets 127, Lakers 102- Jokic had 34 points, 13 rebounds, 8 assists.
— Bucks 125, Hornets 119- Antetokounmpo had 32 points, 11 rebounds.
— Trail Blazers 104, Rockets 98- Portland was a 12.5-point underdog.
— Spurs 104, Warriors 94- Spurs outscored Golden State 33-13 in 4th quarter.
— Grizzlies 142, Bulls 131- Scotty Pippen Jr had 30 points, 10 assists.
— Jazz 121, Knicks 106- Utah was +30 with Markkanen on court, minus-15 in the 15:00 he sat out.
Quote of the Day
“How do you tell when you’re out of invisible ink?”
Steven Wright
Sunday’s quiz
When was the last time Alabama lost 3+ football games in a season?
Saturday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs (won last two titles), the 2021 Rams are the last team to win a Super Bowl- they beat Cincinnati 23-20 in that game.
Friday’s quiz
Last time the Cleveland Browns played in a playoff game, Joe Flacco was their QB.
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As I’m typing this, there is a car race going on thru the streets of Las Vegas. Weird.
I can’t process that Cal-Stanford is an ACC game, USC-UCLA is a Big 18 game.
— Oklahoma 24, Alabama 3
Last spring, Alabama poached Miami OH’s kicker; his FG was the Tide’s only score.
Oklahoma had lost its last four I-A games.
Alabama completed only 11-27 passes, threw 3 INTs.
Alabama is 8-3; Miami OH is 7-4; would be messed up if they met in a bowl game.
— Florida 24, Ole Miss 17
Underdogs are 30-15 ATS in SEC games this season.
Rebels outgained Florida, 464-344, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
Gators beat LSU/Ole Miss last two weeks, they’re 6-5/bowl eligible.
— USC 19, UCLA 13
Trojans outscored UCLA 10-0 in fourth quarter.
USC’s only TD of game was the decisive score, with 6:55 left.
Trojans are 6-5, are now bowl eligible. UCLA won’t go bowling.
USC has led in the 4th quarter in all five of their losses.
— Arizona State 28, BYU 23
ASU is 9-2, having a great year, but coach Dillingham over-thought the end of this game so badly he damn near committed coaching malpractice. Seriously.
Sun Devils led 28-23 and had the ball deep in BYU territory with 1:04 left; they tried this weird stuff to kill the clock that failed, running backwards a couple times to kill time, but BYU wound up with one play to run a Hail Mary from its own 49-yard line.
Hail Mary failed, but I’d be curious to know what coach Dillingham think about all that now.
ASU led this game 28-9 late in third quarter, held on for dear life; they’ve won four in a row.
— Auburn 43, Texas A&M 41 OT
Auburn led this game 21-0 with 5:00 left before halftime.
Auburn tied the game on a 20-yard FG with 0:05 left.
A&M was 10-19 on third down, Auburn 5-14.
The overtime system is strange; once they hit the 3rd overtime, teams alternate plays from the 2-yard line, like a shootout in the NHL. Not a great system.
— Texas Tech 56, Oklahoma State 48
Mike Gundy is a good coach, but Cowboys are 0-8 in conference games.
Oklahoma State gave up 38+ points in each of its last seven games.
Texas Tech was 14-22 on third down, Cowboys were 2-9.
— Kansas 37, Colorado 21
Kansas punter Damon Greaves’ family made the trip from Australia to Kansas City for this game; problem is, the Jayhawks didn’t punt in this game. Not once.
Kansas is 5-6; five of their six losses are by 6 or fewer points. They need a win at Baylor next week to become bowl eligible.
— Upsets of the Week:
Georgia State (+21) 52, Texas State 44
Oklahoma (+14) 24, Alabama 3
Florida (+12) 24, Ole Miss 17
Kennesaw State (+9) 27, FIU 26
Appalachian State (+7.5) 34, James Madison 20
UAB (+7) 40, Rice 14
Central Michigan (+5.5) 16, Western Michigan 14
Saturday’s college basketball notes:
— Fresno State 72, Long Beach State 69
Bulldogs outscored Long Beach 14-0 over the final 2:48.
Fresno was 30-44 on foul line, Long Beach 3-4. AT Long Beach!!!!
— UNLV 72, New Mexico State 65
Rebels were 30-42 on foul line; PG Thomas was 13-19.
New Mexico State shot 31.3% from floor, had 21 offensive boards.
Game was 62-62 with 4:25 left to play.
— Stanford 71, Santa Clara 69
Cardinal trailed 67-59 with 3:29 left in game.
7-1 senior Reynaud had 32 points, 16 rebounds.
Stanford survived shooting 10-21 on the foul line.
— Milwaukee 76, Wofford 74
Panthers were 19-33 on foul line, Wofford 8-15.
Wofford led by 8 with 14:08 left to play.
Teams combined to shoot 11-41 on the arc.
— Famous birthdays, November 24:
Oscar Robertson, 86
Dave Bing, 81
Rudy Tomjanovich, 76
Steve Yeager, 76
Henry Bibby, 75
Katherine Heigl, 46
Ryan Fitzpatrick, 42
Jeimer Candelario, 31
Tyler Soderstrom, 23
More college football…….
— Nebraska 44, Wisconsin 25
Cornhuskers snap 4-game skid, are bowl eligible for first time since 2016.
Dylan Raiola threw for 293 yards and a TD.
Wisconsin had beaten Nebraska nine times in a row.
— Cal 24, Stanford 21
Stanford led 21-7 with 1:00 left in third quarter.
Mendoza’s third TD pass of day with 2:40 left was a game-winner.
Golden Bears have beaten their arch-rival four years in a row.
— Illinois 38, Rutgers 31
Illini threw a 40-yard TD pass with 0:04 left for the win.
Rutgers had taken the lead on a TD with 1:08 left.
Scarlet Knights led 17-15 after the third quarter.
Illinois is very quietly 8-3.
— Marshall 42, Old Dominion 35
Marshall QB Braxton threw for 210 yards, ran for 140 more.
Thundering Herd scored game-winning TD with 4:03 left.
Monarchs outgained Marshall, 513-469.
— Penn State 26, Minnesota 25
Nittany Lions were 1-11 on third down, 3-4 on fourth down.
Minnesota led 10-0 early in second quarter.
Penn State is 5-0 on the road for the first time since 1985.
— Ohio State 38, Indiana 15
Game was 7-7 late in first half when Indiana’s punter fumbled a snap, and Ohio State had a short TD drive because of that. Things unraveled from the there for the 10-1 Hoosiers.
Buckeyes outgained Indiana 316-151; Hoosiers completed only 8-18 passes- their QB was sacked six times.
— Nuggets 127, Lakers 102- Jokic had 34 points, 13 rebounds, 8 assists.
— Bucks 125, Hornets 119- Antetokounmpo had 32 points, 11 rebounds.
— Trail Blazers 104, Rockets 98- Portland was a 12.5-point underdog.
— Spurs 104, Warriors 94- Spurs outscored Golden State 33-13 in 4th quarter.
— Grizzlies 142, Bulls 131- Scotty Pippen Jr had 30 points, 10 assists.
— Jazz 121, Knicks 106- Utah was +30 with Markkanen on court, minus-15 in the 15:00 he sat out.
Quote of the Day
“How do you tell when you’re out of invisible ink?”
Steven Wright
Sunday’s quiz
When was the last time Alabama lost 3+ football games in a season?
Saturday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs (won last two titles), the 2021 Rams are the last team to win a Super Bowl- they beat Cincinnati 23-20 in that game.
Friday’s quiz
Last time the Cleveland Browns played in a playoff game, Joe Flacco was their QB.
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Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college sports Saturday……..
Seven top 25 teams lost Saturday.As I’m typing this, there is a car race going on thru the streets of Las Vegas. Weird.
I can’t process that Cal-Stanford is an ACC game, USC-UCLA is a Big 18 game.
— Oklahoma 24, Alabama 3
Last spring, Alabama poached Miami OH’s kicker; his FG was the Tide’s only score.
Oklahoma had lost its last four I-A games.
Alabama completed only 11-27 passes, threw 3 INTs.
Alabama is 8-3; Miami OH is 7-4; would be messed up if they met in a bowl game.
— Florida 24, Ole Miss 17
Underdogs are 30-15 ATS in SEC games this season.
Rebels outgained Florida, 464-344, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
Gators beat LSU/Ole Miss last two weeks, they’re 6-5/bowl eligible.
— USC 19, UCLA 13
Trojans outscored UCLA 10-0 in fourth quarter.
USC’s only TD of game was the decisive score, with 6:55 left.
Trojans are 6-5, are now bowl eligible. UCLA won’t go bowling.
USC has led in the 4th quarter in all five of their losses.
— Arizona State 28, BYU 23
ASU is 9-2, having a great year, but coach Dillingham over-thought the end of this game so badly he damn near committed coaching malpractice. Seriously.
Sun Devils led 28-23 and had the ball deep in BYU territory with 1:04 left; they tried this weird stuff to kill the clock that failed, running backwards a couple times to kill time, but BYU wound up with one play to run a Hail Mary from its own 49-yard line.
Hail Mary failed, but I’d be curious to know what coach Dillingham think about all that now.
ASU led this game 28-9 late in third quarter, held on for dear life; they’ve won four in a row.
— Auburn 43, Texas A&M 41 OT
Auburn led this game 21-0 with 5:00 left before halftime.
Auburn tied the game on a 20-yard FG with 0:05 left.
A&M was 10-19 on third down, Auburn 5-14.
The overtime system is strange; once they hit the 3rd overtime, teams alternate plays from the 2-yard line, like a shootout in the NHL. Not a great system.
— Texas Tech 56, Oklahoma State 48
Mike Gundy is a good coach, but Cowboys are 0-8 in conference games.
Oklahoma State gave up 38+ points in each of its last seven games.
Texas Tech was 14-22 on third down, Cowboys were 2-9.
— Kansas 37, Colorado 21
Kansas punter Damon Greaves’ family made the trip from Australia to Kansas City for this game; problem is, the Jayhawks didn’t punt in this game. Not once.
Kansas is 5-6; five of their six losses are by 6 or fewer points. They need a win at Baylor next week to become bowl eligible.
— Upsets of the Week:
Georgia State (+21) 52, Texas State 44
Oklahoma (+14) 24, Alabama 3
Florida (+12) 24, Ole Miss 17
Kennesaw State (+9) 27, FIU 26
Appalachian State (+7.5) 34, James Madison 20
UAB (+7) 40, Rice 14
Central Michigan (+5.5) 16, Western Michigan 14
Saturday’s college basketball notes:
— Fresno State 72, Long Beach State 69
Bulldogs outscored Long Beach 14-0 over the final 2:48.
Fresno was 30-44 on foul line, Long Beach 3-4. AT Long Beach!!!!
— UNLV 72, New Mexico State 65
Rebels were 30-42 on foul line; PG Thomas was 13-19.
New Mexico State shot 31.3% from floor, had 21 offensive boards.
Game was 62-62 with 4:25 left to play.
— Stanford 71, Santa Clara 69
Cardinal trailed 67-59 with 3:29 left in game.
7-1 senior Reynaud had 32 points, 16 rebounds.
Stanford survived shooting 10-21 on the foul line.
— Milwaukee 76, Wofford 74
Panthers were 19-33 on foul line, Wofford 8-15.
Wofford led by 8 with 14:08 left to play.
Teams combined to shoot 11-41 on the arc.
— Famous birthdays, November 24:
Oscar Robertson, 86
Dave Bing, 81
Rudy Tomjanovich, 76
Steve Yeager, 76
Henry Bibby, 75
Katherine Heigl, 46
Ryan Fitzpatrick, 42
Jeimer Candelario, 31
Tyler Soderstrom, 23
More college football…….
— Nebraska 44, Wisconsin 25
Cornhuskers snap 4-game skid, are bowl eligible for first time since 2016.
Dylan Raiola threw for 293 yards and a TD.
Wisconsin had beaten Nebraska nine times in a row.
— Cal 24, Stanford 21
Stanford led 21-7 with 1:00 left in third quarter.
Mendoza’s third TD pass of day with 2:40 left was a game-winner.
Golden Bears have beaten their arch-rival four years in a row.
— Illinois 38, Rutgers 31
Illini threw a 40-yard TD pass with 0:04 left for the win.
Rutgers had taken the lead on a TD with 1:08 left.
Scarlet Knights led 17-15 after the third quarter.
Illinois is very quietly 8-3.
— Marshall 42, Old Dominion 35
Marshall QB Braxton threw for 210 yards, ran for 140 more.
Thundering Herd scored game-winning TD with 4:03 left.
Monarchs outgained Marshall, 513-469.
— Penn State 26, Minnesota 25
Nittany Lions were 1-11 on third down, 3-4 on fourth down.
Minnesota led 10-0 early in second quarter.
Penn State is 5-0 on the road for the first time since 1985.
— Ohio State 38, Indiana 15
Game was 7-7 late in first half when Indiana’s punter fumbled a snap, and Ohio State had a short TD drive because of that. Things unraveled from the there for the 10-1 Hoosiers.
Buckeyes outgained Indiana 316-151; Hoosiers completed only 8-18 passes- their QB was sacked six times.
Monday’s 6-pack:
Some interesting Week 13 NFL spreads
— Bears @ Detroit (-10.5, 48.5)
— Giants @ Dallas (-3.5, 38.5)
— Dolphins @ Green Bay (-3, 47.5)
— Raiders @ Kansas City (-12.5, 42.5)
— Colts (-2.5, 42.5) @ New England
— Steelers @ Cincinnati (-3, 46.5)
Quote of the Day
“We got down to the end there and it was a game-situational extravaganza. It was like Yahtzee. Everything was in there.”
Dallas coach Mike McCarthy, after the Cowboys’ 34-26 win
Monday’s quiz
In the movie Last Vegas, what well-known actress plays the lounge singer who winds up hooking up with Michael Douglas at the end of the movie?
Sunday’s quiz
2010 was the last time Alabama lost 3+ football games in a season; ESPN’s Greg McElroy was Alabama’s QB that year.
Saturday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs (won last two titles), the 2021 Rams are the last team to win a Super Bowl- they beat Cincinnati 23-20 in that game.
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Down 27-20, Washington threw an 86-yard TD pass with 0:21 left.
Seibert missed the PAT, his second missed PAT of the game.
Dallas then ran the onside kick back for a TD.
Cowboys snap a 5-game losing streak with this upset win.
This game was 3-3 at halftime.
Washington lost last three games, after a 7-2 start.
Commanders allowed 26+ points in all five losses.
QB Daniels threw for 275 yards, 2 TDs, ran for 74 yards and another TD. This was first game in NFL history with 2 missed PAT’s, 2 kick returns for TDs and also a blocked punt.
Titans 32, Texans 27
Titans’ first three drives: 22 plays, 212 yards, 17 points.
Tennessee led 20-17 at halftime.
Houston took 24-23 lead on pick-6 0:04 left in 3rd quarter.
Titans went ahead for good on 70-yard TD pass with 9:35 left.
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; 31-20-32 points in wins.
Houston is 2-4 in last six games, after a 5-1 start.
Texans are 2-5 when they give up more than 20 points.
Houston is 5-15 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
Texans are 2-7 ATS in last nine AFC South home games.
Vikings 30, Bears 27, OT
Minnesota drove 83 yards, kicked game-winning FG in OT.
Bears had scored 11 points in last 0:22 of regulation to tie game.
Bears lost their last five games, three of them by 3 or fewer points.
Vikings won/covered their last five visits to Chicago
Bears are 3-11 ATS in last 14 NFC North home games.
Minnesota is 8-2-2 ATS in last 12 games as road favorite.
Addison caught 8 passes for 162 yards and a TD.
Minnesota scored 30 points despite Jefferson catching 2 passes for 27 yards.
Last three years, Vikings have 23 wins by 8 or fewer points, most in NFL.
Vikings are 9-0 when they allow less than 30 points.
Chiefs 30, Panthers 27
Chiefs led 27-16 after third quarter.
Chiefs’ first five drives: 52 plays, 319 yards, 27 points.
Carolina drove 51 yards, tied game on TD with 1:49 left.
Kansas City then drove 57 yards, kick game-winning FG at gun.
Chiefs are 10-1 SU; they’re 0-5 ATS in last five games.
Kansas City ran ball for 165 yards, their 2nd-most this season.
Over is 8-3 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers’ opponents’ team total: over 8-3
Famous birthdays, November 25
John Laroquette, 77
Bernie Kosar, 61
Jill Hennessy, 56
Anthony Peeler, 55
Donovan McNabb, 48
Nick Swisher, 44
Alec Burleson, 26
Jaylen Waddle, 26
Blake Corum, 24
Dolphins 34, Patriots 15
Miami won last three games, giving up 15-19-15 points.
Dolphins led 31-0 after the third quarter.
Last six weeks, Dolphins outscored foes 77-25 in 1st half.
Miami is now 7-1 in last eight games vs New England.
New England’s first seven drives: 37 plays, 160 yards, no points.
Patriots are 6-14 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
New England is 10-22-1 ATS in last 33 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 32-48 since Tom Brady left town.
Buccaneers 30, Giants 7
Buccaneers’ first six drives: 52 plays, 366 yards, 30 points.
Tampa Bay led 23-0 at halftime.
Mayfield threw for 294 yards, also ran for a TD.
Buccaneers’ team total: over 9-2
Giants in first half: 17 plays, 46 yards, 3 punts, no points.
Giants lost their last six games (0-6 ATS).
Giants are 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS at home, losing by 22-5-10-25-5-23 points.
Giants haven’t had a positive turnover ratio in any game TY.
Lions 24, Colts 6
Detroit won its last nine games (8-1 ATS).
Last five games, Lions outscored opponents 77-11 in 2nd half.
Detroit is 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS on road this season.
Opponents have converted 24 of last 84 third down plays.
Under Campbell, Lions are 8-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Colts in second half: 20 plays, 94 yards, no points.
Colts are 6-9 ATS last 15 games as a home underdog.
AFC South underdogs are 9-15 ATS in non-divisional games.
Broncos 29, Raiders 19
Raiders led 13-9 at halftime.
Denver in 2nd half: 38 plays, 163 yards, 20 points.
Raiders in 2nd half: 44 plays, 180 yards, 6 points.
Denver is 6-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-5 if they score 20 or less.
Last five weeks, Broncos converted 36-70 third down plays.
Raiders are 0-7 SU/2-5 ATS in last seven games
Raiders have 22 turnovers in 11 games (minus-17).
Raiders’ opponents’ team total: over 8-3
QB Minshew broke his collarbone, is out for year.
First time in nine years Denver won at the Raiders.
Packers 38, 49ers 10
Packers won six of their last seven games.
Green Bay’s first three drives: 34 plays, 187 yards, 17 points.
Green Bay outscored last eight foes 128-58 in second half.
Packers out rushed San Francisco, 169-44.
Backup QB Allen was 17-29/199 passing (first start since 2022)
49ers are 1-6 when they score less than 30 points.
49ers are 0-5 when they gain less than 400 yards.
San Francisco is +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
Seahawks 16, Cardinals 6
Seattle’s only offensive TD came on a 61-yard drive just before halftime.
Seahawks scored a defensive TD on a pick-6 in third quarter.
Seattle allowed 26+ points in losses, 20 or less in wins.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Arizona was 3-12 on third down, Seahawks 7-14.
Cardinals are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to Seattle.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in last seven NFC West road games.
QB Murray is 34-42-1 SU as an NFL starter.
These teams are for first atop the NFC West.
Eagles 37, Rams 20
Eagles led 20-14 at halftime.
Barkley ran 70 yards for TD on first play of 3rd quarter.
Barkley ran ball 26 times for 255 yards, 2 TD’s.
Eagles are 7-0 SU/5-2 in their last seven games overall.
Philly was 9-15 on third down, Rams 0-8.
Last four games, Rams are only 8-41 on third down.
Eagles are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Rams are 1-6 scoring less than 26 points, 4-0 scoring 26+.
College basketball notes……..
— LSU 109, Central Florida 102, 3 OTs
UCF led 38-18 late in first half.
LSU is 5-1, with the #27 eFG% defense.
— Drake 81, Vanderbilt 70
MVC’s Bulldogs win Charleston tournament, with 4 starters poached from a D2 team.
Bulldogs shot 61.5% inside the arc.
6-4 junior Stirtz had 16 points, 11 assists.
— Bradley 80, Middle Tennessee 69
MVC’s Braves win tournament at Coastal Carolina.
Bradley starts four seniors; they shot 10-22 on the arc.
Braves are #33 team in country in continuity.
— Georgia 66, St John’s 63
Dawgs are rebounding 43.7% of their missed shots (#5 in country)
St John’s had 21 offensive boards, but shot 2-19 on the arc.
Rough 1-2 trip to Atlantis, with losses by 1-3 points.
— Kennesaw State 79, Rutgers 77
Kennesaw led by 18 at halftime.
Owls out-rebounded Rutgers, 46-24.
Kennesaw survived being minus-13 in turnovers (22-9).
— Wisconsin 81, Pitt 75
Wisconsin is 7-0, scoring 79+ points in every game.
Badgers are playing pace #152, their fastest pace in at least 28 years.
Badgers are shooting 86.5% on foul line, #1 in country.
Some interesting Week 13 NFL spreads
— Bears @ Detroit (-10.5, 48.5)
— Giants @ Dallas (-3.5, 38.5)
— Dolphins @ Green Bay (-3, 47.5)
— Raiders @ Kansas City (-12.5, 42.5)
— Colts (-2.5, 42.5) @ New England
— Steelers @ Cincinnati (-3, 46.5)
Quote of the Day
“We got down to the end there and it was a game-situational extravaganza. It was like Yahtzee. Everything was in there.”
Dallas coach Mike McCarthy, after the Cowboys’ 34-26 win
Monday’s quiz
In the movie Last Vegas, what well-known actress plays the lounge singer who winds up hooking up with Michael Douglas at the end of the movie?
Sunday’s quiz
2010 was the last time Alabama lost 3+ football games in a season; ESPN’s Greg McElroy was Alabama’s QB that year.
Saturday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs (won last two titles), the 2021 Rams are the last team to win a Super Bowl- they beat Cincinnati 23-20 in that game.
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Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday……..
Cowboys 34, Commanders 26Down 27-20, Washington threw an 86-yard TD pass with 0:21 left.
Seibert missed the PAT, his second missed PAT of the game.
Dallas then ran the onside kick back for a TD.
Cowboys snap a 5-game losing streak with this upset win.
This game was 3-3 at halftime.
Washington lost last three games, after a 7-2 start.
Commanders allowed 26+ points in all five losses.
QB Daniels threw for 275 yards, 2 TDs, ran for 74 yards and another TD. This was first game in NFL history with 2 missed PAT’s, 2 kick returns for TDs and also a blocked punt.
Titans 32, Texans 27
Titans’ first three drives: 22 plays, 212 yards, 17 points.
Tennessee led 20-17 at halftime.
Houston took 24-23 lead on pick-6 0:04 left in 3rd quarter.
Titans went ahead for good on 70-yard TD pass with 9:35 left.
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; 31-20-32 points in wins.
Houston is 2-4 in last six games, after a 5-1 start.
Texans are 2-5 when they give up more than 20 points.
Houston is 5-15 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
Texans are 2-7 ATS in last nine AFC South home games.
Vikings 30, Bears 27, OT
Minnesota drove 83 yards, kicked game-winning FG in OT.
Bears had scored 11 points in last 0:22 of regulation to tie game.
Bears lost their last five games, three of them by 3 or fewer points.
Vikings won/covered their last five visits to Chicago
Bears are 3-11 ATS in last 14 NFC North home games.
Minnesota is 8-2-2 ATS in last 12 games as road favorite.
Addison caught 8 passes for 162 yards and a TD.
Minnesota scored 30 points despite Jefferson catching 2 passes for 27 yards.
Last three years, Vikings have 23 wins by 8 or fewer points, most in NFL.
Vikings are 9-0 when they allow less than 30 points.
Chiefs 30, Panthers 27
Chiefs led 27-16 after third quarter.
Chiefs’ first five drives: 52 plays, 319 yards, 27 points.
Carolina drove 51 yards, tied game on TD with 1:49 left.
Kansas City then drove 57 yards, kick game-winning FG at gun.
Chiefs are 10-1 SU; they’re 0-5 ATS in last five games.
Kansas City ran ball for 165 yards, their 2nd-most this season.
Over is 8-3 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers’ opponents’ team total: over 8-3
Famous birthdays, November 25
John Laroquette, 77
Bernie Kosar, 61
Jill Hennessy, 56
Anthony Peeler, 55
Donovan McNabb, 48
Nick Swisher, 44
Alec Burleson, 26
Jaylen Waddle, 26
Blake Corum, 24
Dolphins 34, Patriots 15
Miami won last three games, giving up 15-19-15 points.
Dolphins led 31-0 after the third quarter.
Last six weeks, Dolphins outscored foes 77-25 in 1st half.
Miami is now 7-1 in last eight games vs New England.
New England’s first seven drives: 37 plays, 160 yards, no points.
Patriots are 6-14 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
New England is 10-22-1 ATS in last 33 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 32-48 since Tom Brady left town.
Buccaneers 30, Giants 7
Buccaneers’ first six drives: 52 plays, 366 yards, 30 points.
Tampa Bay led 23-0 at halftime.
Mayfield threw for 294 yards, also ran for a TD.
Buccaneers’ team total: over 9-2
Giants in first half: 17 plays, 46 yards, 3 punts, no points.
Giants lost their last six games (0-6 ATS).
Giants are 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS at home, losing by 22-5-10-25-5-23 points.
Giants haven’t had a positive turnover ratio in any game TY.
Lions 24, Colts 6
Detroit won its last nine games (8-1 ATS).
Last five games, Lions outscored opponents 77-11 in 2nd half.
Detroit is 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS on road this season.
Opponents have converted 24 of last 84 third down plays.
Under Campbell, Lions are 8-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Colts in second half: 20 plays, 94 yards, no points.
Colts are 6-9 ATS last 15 games as a home underdog.
AFC South underdogs are 9-15 ATS in non-divisional games.
Broncos 29, Raiders 19
Raiders led 13-9 at halftime.
Denver in 2nd half: 38 plays, 163 yards, 20 points.
Raiders in 2nd half: 44 plays, 180 yards, 6 points.
Denver is 6-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-5 if they score 20 or less.
Last five weeks, Broncos converted 36-70 third down plays.
Raiders are 0-7 SU/2-5 ATS in last seven games
Raiders have 22 turnovers in 11 games (minus-17).
Raiders’ opponents’ team total: over 8-3
QB Minshew broke his collarbone, is out for year.
First time in nine years Denver won at the Raiders.
Packers 38, 49ers 10
Packers won six of their last seven games.
Green Bay’s first three drives: 34 plays, 187 yards, 17 points.
Green Bay outscored last eight foes 128-58 in second half.
Packers out rushed San Francisco, 169-44.
Backup QB Allen was 17-29/199 passing (first start since 2022)
49ers are 1-6 when they score less than 30 points.
49ers are 0-5 when they gain less than 400 yards.
San Francisco is +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
Seahawks 16, Cardinals 6
Seattle’s only offensive TD came on a 61-yard drive just before halftime.
Seahawks scored a defensive TD on a pick-6 in third quarter.
Seattle allowed 26+ points in losses, 20 or less in wins.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Arizona was 3-12 on third down, Seahawks 7-14.
Cardinals are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to Seattle.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in last seven NFC West road games.
QB Murray is 34-42-1 SU as an NFL starter.
These teams are for first atop the NFC West.
Eagles 37, Rams 20
Eagles led 20-14 at halftime.
Barkley ran 70 yards for TD on first play of 3rd quarter.
Barkley ran ball 26 times for 255 yards, 2 TD’s.
Eagles are 7-0 SU/5-2 in their last seven games overall.
Philly was 9-15 on third down, Rams 0-8.
Last four games, Rams are only 8-41 on third down.
Eagles are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Rams are 1-6 scoring less than 26 points, 4-0 scoring 26+.
College basketball notes……..
— LSU 109, Central Florida 102, 3 OTs
UCF led 38-18 late in first half.
LSU is 5-1, with the #27 eFG% defense.
— Drake 81, Vanderbilt 70
MVC’s Bulldogs win Charleston tournament, with 4 starters poached from a D2 team.
Bulldogs shot 61.5% inside the arc.
6-4 junior Stirtz had 16 points, 11 assists.
— Bradley 80, Middle Tennessee 69
MVC’s Braves win tournament at Coastal Carolina.
Bradley starts four seniors; they shot 10-22 on the arc.
Braves are #33 team in country in continuity.
— Georgia 66, St John’s 63
Dawgs are rebounding 43.7% of their missed shots (#5 in country)
St John’s had 21 offensive boards, but shot 2-19 on the arc.
Rough 1-2 trip to Atlantis, with losses by 1-3 points.
— Kennesaw State 79, Rutgers 77
Kennesaw led by 18 at halftime.
Owls out-rebounded Rutgers, 46-24.
Kennesaw survived being minus-13 in turnovers (22-9).
— Wisconsin 81, Pitt 75
Wisconsin is 7-0, scoring 79+ points in every game.
Badgers are playing pace #152, their fastest pace in at least 28 years.
Badgers are shooting 86.5% on foul line, #1 in country.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,028
- 16
- 38
NCAAF
Week 14
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Trend Report
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Week 14
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Trend Report
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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Some interesting college football spreads
— South Carolina @ Clemson (-2.5)
— Louisville (-3.5) @ Kentucky
— Kansas @ Baylor (-1)
— Notre Dame (-7.5) @ USC
— Auburn @ Alabama (-11.5)
— Arizona State (-9) @ Arizona
Quote of the Day
“I’ve been at the top. I feel like I’ve been at the bottom—you just got to react the same regardless of what it is. I know I’m going to have a good game again. I know I’m going to have a bad game again. I got to ride the wave, get to the next one and get through it. I jokingly say all the time you only remember your last game.”
Broncos QB Bo Nix
Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the Broncos’ QB, the last time they made the playoffs?
Monday’s quiz
In the movie Last Vegas, Mary Steenburgen plays the lounge singer who winds up hooking up with Michael Douglas at the end of the movie.
Sunday’s quiz
2010 was the last time Alabama lost 3+ football games in a season; ESPN’s Greg McElroy was Alabama’s QB that year.
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Tigers led by 13 with 4:00 left in game, but it went to OT.
Memphis was 29-40 on foul line, UConn 19-24
Memphis was 12-22 on arc, UConn 14-30
Six of the eight players Memphis used are seniors.
— Modern college basketball- Memphis’ roster is mostly transfers:
PJ Haggerty- six games at TCU, 30 games at Tulsa
Tyrese Hunter- 35 games at Iowa State, 71 games at Texas
Dain Dainja- 3 games at Baylor, 71 games at Illinois.
Colby Rogers- 47 games at Cal Poly, 28 games at Siena, 33 games at Wichita
PJ Carter- 11 games at Campbell, a year at a junior college, 30 games at UTSA
Nicholas Jourdain- 74 games at Temple.
Moussa Cisse- 29 games at Memphis, 61 games at Oklahoma State, 26 games at Ole Miss, now he is back in Memphis.
Memphis is #6 in country in experience, #319 in continuity. An older team that figures to get better as they play together more.
— PJ Haggerty took 298 foul shots for Tulsa last year, 2nd most in country (Zach Edey, 436).
College basketball trends (these records are all against the spread, thru Sunday)……..
I’ll list the leagues as ranked on Kenpom.com
— SEC
23-16 ATS as a favorite, 7-7 as underdog, 9-6 on neutral courts
— Big X
16-29 ATS as a favorite, 7-9 as underdog, 4-11 on neutral courts
— Big 18
29-35 ATS as a favorite, 8-6 as underdog, 4-3 on neutral courts
— Big East
14-18 ATS as a favorite, 6-2 as underdog, 6-2 on neutral courts
— ACC
20-21 ATS as a favorite, 11-12 as underdog, 7-8 on neutral courts
— Mountain West
14-13 ATS as a favorite, 7-8 as underdog, 2-3 on neutral courts
— Famous birthdays, November 26
Jan Stenerud, 82
Art Shell, 78
Richie Hebner, 77
Roger Wehrli, 77
Harry Carson, 71
Bob Walk, 68
Mike Moore, 65
Harold Reynolds, 64
Chuck Finley, 62
Mario Elie, 61
Shawn Kemp, 55
Cal Raleigh, 28
— Atlantic 15
15-18 ATS as a favorite, 5-13 as underdog, 5-10 on neutral courts
— West Coast
16-16 ATS as a favorite, 9-12 as underdog, 3-3 on neutral courts
— American
16-16 ATS as a favorite, 9-11 as underdog, 4-11 on neutral courts
— Conference USA
10-5 ATS as a favorite, 16-9 as underdog, 7-2 on neutral courts
— Missouri Valley
15-13 ATS as a favorite, 16-11 as underdog, 8-4 on neutral courts
— WAC
3-15 ATS as a favorite, 7-12 as underdog, 1-1 on neutral courts
— Big West
13-11 ATS as a favorite, 20-13 as underdog, 5-1 on neutral courts
It is still very early in the college basketball season; everyone is still learning which teams have how much and that includes the coaches.
Some interesting college football spreads
— South Carolina @ Clemson (-2.5)
— Louisville (-3.5) @ Kentucky
— Kansas @ Baylor (-1)
— Notre Dame (-7.5) @ USC
— Auburn @ Alabama (-11.5)
— Arizona State (-9) @ Arizona
Quote of the Day
“I’ve been at the top. I feel like I’ve been at the bottom—you just got to react the same regardless of what it is. I know I’m going to have a good game again. I know I’m going to have a bad game again. I got to ride the wave, get to the next one and get through it. I jokingly say all the time you only remember your last game.”
Broncos QB Bo Nix
Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the Broncos’ QB, the last time they made the playoffs?
Monday’s quiz
In the movie Last Vegas, Mary Steenburgen plays the lounge singer who winds up hooking up with Michael Douglas at the end of the movie.
Sunday’s quiz
2010 was the last time Alabama lost 3+ football games in a season; ESPN’s Greg McElroy was Alabama’s QB that year.
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Tuesday’s Den: Early season college basketball trends
— Memphis 99, UConn 97, OTTigers led by 13 with 4:00 left in game, but it went to OT.
Memphis was 29-40 on foul line, UConn 19-24
Memphis was 12-22 on arc, UConn 14-30
Six of the eight players Memphis used are seniors.
— Modern college basketball- Memphis’ roster is mostly transfers:
PJ Haggerty- six games at TCU, 30 games at Tulsa
Tyrese Hunter- 35 games at Iowa State, 71 games at Texas
Dain Dainja- 3 games at Baylor, 71 games at Illinois.
Colby Rogers- 47 games at Cal Poly, 28 games at Siena, 33 games at Wichita
PJ Carter- 11 games at Campbell, a year at a junior college, 30 games at UTSA
Nicholas Jourdain- 74 games at Temple.
Moussa Cisse- 29 games at Memphis, 61 games at Oklahoma State, 26 games at Ole Miss, now he is back in Memphis.
Memphis is #6 in country in experience, #319 in continuity. An older team that figures to get better as they play together more.
— PJ Haggerty took 298 foul shots for Tulsa last year, 2nd most in country (Zach Edey, 436).
College basketball trends (these records are all against the spread, thru Sunday)……..
I’ll list the leagues as ranked on Kenpom.com
— SEC
23-16 ATS as a favorite, 7-7 as underdog, 9-6 on neutral courts
— Big X
16-29 ATS as a favorite, 7-9 as underdog, 4-11 on neutral courts
— Big 18
29-35 ATS as a favorite, 8-6 as underdog, 4-3 on neutral courts
— Big East
14-18 ATS as a favorite, 6-2 as underdog, 6-2 on neutral courts
— ACC
20-21 ATS as a favorite, 11-12 as underdog, 7-8 on neutral courts
— Mountain West
14-13 ATS as a favorite, 7-8 as underdog, 2-3 on neutral courts
— Famous birthdays, November 26
Jan Stenerud, 82
Art Shell, 78
Richie Hebner, 77
Roger Wehrli, 77
Harry Carson, 71
Bob Walk, 68
Mike Moore, 65
Harold Reynolds, 64
Chuck Finley, 62
Mario Elie, 61
Shawn Kemp, 55
Cal Raleigh, 28
— Atlantic 15
15-18 ATS as a favorite, 5-13 as underdog, 5-10 on neutral courts
— West Coast
16-16 ATS as a favorite, 9-12 as underdog, 3-3 on neutral courts
— American
16-16 ATS as a favorite, 9-11 as underdog, 4-11 on neutral courts
— Conference USA
10-5 ATS as a favorite, 16-9 as underdog, 7-2 on neutral courts
— Missouri Valley
15-13 ATS as a favorite, 16-11 as underdog, 8-4 on neutral courts
— WAC
3-15 ATS as a favorite, 7-12 as underdog, 1-1 on neutral courts
— Big West
13-11 ATS as a favorite, 20-13 as underdog, 5-1 on neutral courts
It is still very early in the college basketball season; everyone is still learning which teams have how much and that includes the coaches.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,028
- 16
- 38
NCAAF
Weather Report
Tuesday, November 26
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 14
Tuesday’s games
Toledo (-8) @ Akron
Toledo (7-4, 4-3)
Toledo split its last eight games, after a 3-0 start.
Rockets are 6-0 giving up less than 24 points.
Toledo has 4 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Rockets had no returning starts on OL (added 3 transfers).
Junior QB Gleason started two games LY.
Toledo is 3-10 ATS last 13 games as a road favorite (0-3 TY).
Rockets are 11-6 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.
Rockets are 11-14 ATS in last 25 MAC games.
Toledo is +8 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
Over is 3-2 in their road games.
Akron (3-8, 2-5)
Akron split its last four games, after a 1-6 start.
Last five games, Akron is minus-9 in turnovers.
Zips have 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Zips have 68 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Finley started 2 games each at NC State, Cal
Seven of Zips’ eight losses are by 10+ points.
In his career, Moorhead is 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Moorhead, Zips are 13-9-1 ATS in MAC games.
Akron ran ball for 220-277 yards in its two I-A wins.
Over is 7-3 in their I-A games.
These teams haven’t met since 2021.
Toledo is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in last four series games.
Rockets split last four visits to Akron (last visit, 2016)
Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Kent State @ Buffalo (-21.5)
Kent State (0-11, 0-7)
Kent is 0-7 SU/2-5 ATS in MAC, losing by 19-2-21-31-41-27-21 points.
Flashes are minus-11 in turnovers in its MAC games.
Flashes have 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Flashes have 75 returning starts on offensive line.
Last six games, Kent completed less than half their passes.
Under Burns, Kent is 3-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Kent lost its last three games by a combined 112-24.
Flashes are 6-16-1 ATS in last 23 MAC games.
Last five games, Kent was outgained by 240+ yards every week.
Under is 3-1 in their last four road games.
Buffalo (7-4, 5-2)
Buffalo won its last three games, scoring 41-51-37 points.
Last five games, Bulls allowed 489-489-452-520-445 yards.
Bulls have 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Buffalo has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Ogbonna has 2,051 PY (16 TD’s, 4 INTs)
Buffalo is 3-9 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite (1-1 TY).
In his career, Lembo is 10-10 ATS as a home favorite.
Buffalo is 5-0 when it allows less than 38 points.
Bulls are 12-18-1 ATS in last 31 MAC games.
Over is 7-0 in their last seven games.
Teams split their last six series games.
Kent is 4-2 SU/ATS in last six visits to Buffalo.
Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.
Weather Report
Tuesday, November 26
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 14
Tuesday’s games
Toledo (-8) @ Akron
Toledo (7-4, 4-3)
Toledo split its last eight games, after a 3-0 start.
Rockets are 6-0 giving up less than 24 points.
Toledo has 4 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Rockets had no returning starts on OL (added 3 transfers).
Junior QB Gleason started two games LY.
Toledo is 3-10 ATS last 13 games as a road favorite (0-3 TY).
Rockets are 11-6 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.
Rockets are 11-14 ATS in last 25 MAC games.
Toledo is +8 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
Over is 3-2 in their road games.
Akron (3-8, 2-5)
Akron split its last four games, after a 1-6 start.
Last five games, Akron is minus-9 in turnovers.
Zips have 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Zips have 68 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Finley started 2 games each at NC State, Cal
Seven of Zips’ eight losses are by 10+ points.
In his career, Moorhead is 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Moorhead, Zips are 13-9-1 ATS in MAC games.
Akron ran ball for 220-277 yards in its two I-A wins.
Over is 7-3 in their I-A games.
These teams haven’t met since 2021.
Toledo is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in last four series games.
Rockets split last four visits to Akron (last visit, 2016)
Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Kent State @ Buffalo (-21.5)
Kent State (0-11, 0-7)
Kent is 0-7 SU/2-5 ATS in MAC, losing by 19-2-21-31-41-27-21 points.
Flashes are minus-11 in turnovers in its MAC games.
Flashes have 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Flashes have 75 returning starts on offensive line.
Last six games, Kent completed less than half their passes.
Under Burns, Kent is 3-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Kent lost its last three games by a combined 112-24.
Flashes are 6-16-1 ATS in last 23 MAC games.
Last five games, Kent was outgained by 240+ yards every week.
Under is 3-1 in their last four road games.
Buffalo (7-4, 5-2)
Buffalo won its last three games, scoring 41-51-37 points.
Last five games, Bulls allowed 489-489-452-520-445 yards.
Bulls have 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Buffalo has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Ogbonna has 2,051 PY (16 TD’s, 4 INTs)
Buffalo is 3-9 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite (1-1 TY).
In his career, Lembo is 10-10 ATS as a home favorite.
Buffalo is 5-0 when it allows less than 38 points.
Bulls are 12-18-1 ATS in last 31 MAC games.
Over is 7-0 in their last seven games.
Teams split their last six series games.
Kent is 4-2 SU/ATS in last six visits to Buffalo.
Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 26
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENT at BUFF | 07:00 PM | KENT +23.5 O 49.5 | +500 +500 |
| TOL at AKR | 07:00 PM | TOL -9.5 O 49.0 | +500 +500 |
NCAAFB BEST BETS NOVEMBER !
11/262024....................1 - 3 - 0......................25.00%...............- 11.50
11/23/2024................24 - 25 - 0...................48.97%...............- 17.50
11/22/2024.....................3 - 3 - 0...................50.00%...............- 1.50
11/21/2024.....................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/20/2024.....................3 - 1- 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/19/2024.....................2 -3 - 0....................40.00%................- 6.50
11/16/2024...................20 - 30 - 0...................40.00%...............- 65.00
11/15/2024......................2 - 6 - 0...................25.00%...............- 23.00
11/14/2024......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/13/2024......................4 - 2 - 0...................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/12/2024......................2 - 2 - 0...................50.00%................- 1.00
11/09/2024....................20 - 15 - 0..................57.14%................+ 17.50
11/08/2024.......................2 - 3 - 0..................40.00%.................- 6.50
11/07/2024.......................1 - 3 - 0..................25.00%.................- 11.50
11/06/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%..................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%..................- 22.50
TOTALS........................102 - 115 - 0.................47.00%.................- 122.50
*************************************************************************************
AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
11/262024....................1 - 3 - 0......................25.00%...............- 11.50
11/23/2024................24 - 25 - 0...................48.97%...............- 17.50
11/22/2024.....................3 - 3 - 0...................50.00%...............- 1.50
11/21/2024.....................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/20/2024.....................3 - 1- 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/19/2024.....................2 -3 - 0....................40.00%................- 6.50
11/16/2024...................20 - 30 - 0...................40.00%...............- 65.00
11/15/2024......................2 - 6 - 0...................25.00%...............- 23.00
11/14/2024......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/13/2024......................4 - 2 - 0...................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/12/2024......................2 - 2 - 0...................50.00%................- 1.00
11/09/2024....................20 - 15 - 0..................57.14%................+ 17.50
11/08/2024.......................2 - 3 - 0..................40.00%.................- 6.50
11/07/2024.......................1 - 3 - 0..................25.00%.................- 11.50
11/06/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%..................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%..................- 22.50
TOTALS........................102 - 115 - 0.................47.00%.................- 122.50
*************************************************************************************
AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
Wednesday’s 6-pack:
— Bucks 106, Heat 103- Milwaukee has won five in a row, is now 9-9.
— Rockets 117, Minnesota 111 OT- Alperen Sengun had a triple double.
— Spurs 128, Jazz 115- Spurs were +34 in 22:00 sub Wesley played.
— Suns 127, Lakers 100- Phoenix outscored LA 36-18 in third quarter.
— Bulls 127, Wizards 108- Bulls outscored Washington 40-18 in 2nd quarter.
— San Diego State 71, Creighton 53- Aztecs’ subs outscored Creighton’s bench 18-7.
Quote of the Day
“I don’t think that’s crazy at all. This is a Super Bowl-winning coach. Mike McCarthy has been there and done that. He has great ideas. We got a lot of football left.”
Cowboys owner Jerry Jones
Wednesday’s quiz
Who did the Detroit Lions beat, the last time they won on Thnaksgiving Day?
Tuesday’s quiz
Peyton Manning was the Broncos’ QB, the last time they made the playoffs, in 2015.
Monday’s quiz
In the movie Last Vegas, Mary Steenburgen plays the lounge singer who winds up hooking up with Michael Douglas at the end of the movie.
*******************************
Last year, Snell was 5-3, 3.12 in 20 starts for the Giants; he was 14-9, 2.25 in 32 starts for San Diego the year before. He is 76-58, 3.19 in 211 career starts.
Dodger players got a full World Series share of $477,441 apiece- they voted that more people than usual get full shares, so the full share was less than what Ranger, Astro players got in the previous two years.
— Kansas 75, Duke 72
Kansas star Dickinson played only 24:00; he was ejected for a flagrant foul.
Duke is 4-2, losing this game and by 5 to Kentucky.
Kansas is #1 in country in experience, #110 in continuity; they’re off to a 6-0 start.
— Alabama 85, Houston 80 OT
Houston led by 4 with 1:03 left in regulation.
Alabama was 30-41 on foul line, Cougars 26-33.
LJ Cryer was 9-26 from floor, had 2 assists; his job is to shoot.
— Colorado 73, UConn 72
Huskies led by 11 late in the first half.
UConn lost last two games, by total of three points.
In those games, UConn was 29-37 on foul line; opponents, 47-68.
UConn-Dayton is an unlikely 7th-place game Wednesday in Maui.
— Samford 103, North Dakota State 98, OT
Bison led by 15 with 4:38 left to play. Yikes.
Samford shot 73% inside arc, only 13-23 on foul line.
North Dakota State was 20-39 on arc; one of their subs was 7-8.
— Wyoming 64, Tulane 63
Tulane led by 16 with 13:58 left in the game.
Teams combined to shoot 8-42 on the arc.
Jordan Nesbitt had 10 points, 13 rebounds; he didn’t start.
— In Division I college hoop this year, there are 25 sets of brothers who are teammates.
— Tuesday night college basketball upsets:
Colorado (+14.5) 73, UConn 72
Western Illinois (+11.5) 64, South Alabama 63
Boston College (+9.5) 63, Boise State 61
Cal-Fullerton (+5.5) 72, Pepperdine
— Famous birthdays, November 27:
Dave Giusti, 85
Don Strock, 74
Curtis Armstrong, 71
AJ Duhe, 69
Michael Rispoli, 64
Brooke Langton, 54
Nick Van Exel, 53
Ivan Rodriguez, 53
Adam Archuleta, 47
Jimmy Rollins, 46
Lamarcus Joyner, 34
Eloy Jimenez, 28
— North Carolina fired football coach Mack Brown; the 73-year old Brown has UNC headed to a bowl games for the sixth year in a row, but the school decided to move on.
Brown is 282-149-1 as a head coach, 113-78-1 in Chapel Hill, 14-12 in bowl games.
— East Carolina fired its football coach last month when they were 3-4; the interim coach has gone 4-0 since then, so now interim coach Blake Harrell has become head coach Blake Harrell.
ECU has scored 45.8 ppg in the four games with Harrell in charge; they’re bowl eligible.
— One of the teams Harrell beat was Tulsa (38-31); they fired football coach Kevin Wilson Sunday, a day after the Hurricane lost 63-30 at South Florida. Wilson was 7-16 in his two years at Tulsa; wide receivers coach/recruiting coordinator Ryan Switzer is the interim coach.
— Texas-Texas A&M are playing this year for the first time since 2011, when they were big rivals in the Big X. Now they’re SEC rivals; last time they played, Longhorns won 27-25 on a walk-off field goal by Justin Tucker, now the Ravens’ kicker.
— Since 2005, double digit favorites are 9-0 ATS in NFL Thanksgiving Day games.
— With Tampa Bay Rays playing home games at a spring trining facility next year, MLB juggled the Rays’ schedule a little bit, I’m guessing to keep as many of their games as possible out of the extreme summer heat in Florida.
47 of Tampa Bay’s first 59 games will be at home; 69 of their last 103 games are on the road.
— 33-year old lefty Yusei Kikuchi signed a 3-year, $63M contract with the Los Angeles Angels; Kikuchi was 5-1, 2.70 in ten starts for the Astros LY, after they acquired him from Toronto.
In his MLB career, Kikuchi is 41-47, 4.57 in 154 starts.
— There is a NFL survivor pool at Circa in Las Vegas; it costs $1,000 to get in- there were 14,266 entries this year, so the prize pool is $14,266,000.
Before last week, there were 99 people left in the survivor pool; one genius didn’t put a pick in, so he’s out. 33 people had Washington, eight others had Houston, so they’re below 60 people left in the pool.
— Bucks 106, Heat 103- Milwaukee has won five in a row, is now 9-9.
— Rockets 117, Minnesota 111 OT- Alperen Sengun had a triple double.
— Spurs 128, Jazz 115- Spurs were +34 in 22:00 sub Wesley played.
— Suns 127, Lakers 100- Phoenix outscored LA 36-18 in third quarter.
— Bulls 127, Wizards 108- Bulls outscored Washington 40-18 in 2nd quarter.
— San Diego State 71, Creighton 53- Aztecs’ subs outscored Creighton’s bench 18-7.
Quote of the Day
“I don’t think that’s crazy at all. This is a Super Bowl-winning coach. Mike McCarthy has been there and done that. He has great ideas. We got a lot of football left.”
Cowboys owner Jerry Jones
Wednesday’s quiz
Who did the Detroit Lions beat, the last time they won on Thnaksgiving Day?
Tuesday’s quiz
Peyton Manning was the Broncos’ QB, the last time they made the playoffs, in 2015.
Monday’s quiz
In the movie Last Vegas, Mary Steenburgen plays the lounge singer who winds up hooking up with Michael Douglas at the end of the movie.
*******************************
Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….
— Dodgers signed P Blake Snell for five years, $182M (36.4M/year).Last year, Snell was 5-3, 3.12 in 20 starts for the Giants; he was 14-9, 2.25 in 32 starts for San Diego the year before. He is 76-58, 3.19 in 211 career starts.
Dodger players got a full World Series share of $477,441 apiece- they voted that more people than usual get full shares, so the full share was less than what Ranger, Astro players got in the previous two years.
— Kansas 75, Duke 72
Kansas star Dickinson played only 24:00; he was ejected for a flagrant foul.
Duke is 4-2, losing this game and by 5 to Kentucky.
Kansas is #1 in country in experience, #110 in continuity; they’re off to a 6-0 start.
— Alabama 85, Houston 80 OT
Houston led by 4 with 1:03 left in regulation.
Alabama was 30-41 on foul line, Cougars 26-33.
LJ Cryer was 9-26 from floor, had 2 assists; his job is to shoot.
— Colorado 73, UConn 72
Huskies led by 11 late in the first half.
UConn lost last two games, by total of three points.
In those games, UConn was 29-37 on foul line; opponents, 47-68.
UConn-Dayton is an unlikely 7th-place game Wednesday in Maui.
— Samford 103, North Dakota State 98, OT
Bison led by 15 with 4:38 left to play. Yikes.
Samford shot 73% inside arc, only 13-23 on foul line.
North Dakota State was 20-39 on arc; one of their subs was 7-8.
— Wyoming 64, Tulane 63
Tulane led by 16 with 13:58 left in the game.
Teams combined to shoot 8-42 on the arc.
Jordan Nesbitt had 10 points, 13 rebounds; he didn’t start.
— In Division I college hoop this year, there are 25 sets of brothers who are teammates.
— Tuesday night college basketball upsets:
Colorado (+14.5) 73, UConn 72
Western Illinois (+11.5) 64, South Alabama 63
Boston College (+9.5) 63, Boise State 61
Cal-Fullerton (+5.5) 72, Pepperdine
— Famous birthdays, November 27:
Dave Giusti, 85
Don Strock, 74
Curtis Armstrong, 71
AJ Duhe, 69
Michael Rispoli, 64
Brooke Langton, 54
Nick Van Exel, 53
Ivan Rodriguez, 53
Adam Archuleta, 47
Jimmy Rollins, 46
Lamarcus Joyner, 34
Eloy Jimenez, 28
— North Carolina fired football coach Mack Brown; the 73-year old Brown has UNC headed to a bowl games for the sixth year in a row, but the school decided to move on.
Brown is 282-149-1 as a head coach, 113-78-1 in Chapel Hill, 14-12 in bowl games.
— East Carolina fired its football coach last month when they were 3-4; the interim coach has gone 4-0 since then, so now interim coach Blake Harrell has become head coach Blake Harrell.
ECU has scored 45.8 ppg in the four games with Harrell in charge; they’re bowl eligible.
— One of the teams Harrell beat was Tulsa (38-31); they fired football coach Kevin Wilson Sunday, a day after the Hurricane lost 63-30 at South Florida. Wilson was 7-16 in his two years at Tulsa; wide receivers coach/recruiting coordinator Ryan Switzer is the interim coach.
— Texas-Texas A&M are playing this year for the first time since 2011, when they were big rivals in the Big X. Now they’re SEC rivals; last time they played, Longhorns won 27-25 on a walk-off field goal by Justin Tucker, now the Ravens’ kicker.
— Since 2005, double digit favorites are 9-0 ATS in NFL Thanksgiving Day games.
— With Tampa Bay Rays playing home games at a spring trining facility next year, MLB juggled the Rays’ schedule a little bit, I’m guessing to keep as many of their games as possible out of the extreme summer heat in Florida.
47 of Tampa Bay’s first 59 games will be at home; 69 of their last 103 games are on the road.
— 33-year old lefty Yusei Kikuchi signed a 3-year, $63M contract with the Los Angeles Angels; Kikuchi was 5-1, 2.70 in ten starts for the Astros LY, after they acquired him from Toronto.
In his MLB career, Kikuchi is 41-47, 4.57 in 154 starts.
— There is a NFL survivor pool at Circa in Las Vegas; it costs $1,000 to get in- there were 14,266 entries this year, so the prize pool is $14,266,000.
Before last week, there were 99 people left in the survivor pool; one genius didn’t put a pick in, so he’s out. 33 people had Washington, eight others had Houston, so they’re below 60 people left in the pool.
Thursday’s 6-pack:
NBA leaders in minutes per game:
37.6— Nikola Jokic, Den
36.6— Luka Doncic, Dal
36.4— Jaylen Brown, Bos
36.3— DeMar DeRozan, Sac
36.3— Michael Porter, Den
35.9— Damian Lillard, Milw
Quote of the Day
“During this time of the year, I am constantly being reminded of the things in my life that I am most thankful for. Baseball is one of them. Baseball has been a part of my life for as long as I can remember, and for the rest of my life I will be thankful for the opportunities and experiences it has given me. Time is precious.
I’m incredibly grateful for all the years I spent playing the game I love, but now it is time for me to spend it with the people who I’m most thankful for. Thank you to all of you who have been there for me throughout the years. It’s been an unbelievable ride.”
Brandon Crawford, who retired this week after 14 years in the major leagues
Thursday’s quiz
Hall of Fame QB Johnny Unitas played 18 years in the NFL, the first 17 for the Baltimore Colts; what team did Unitas play for in his last season?
Wednesday’s quiz
Detroit Lions beat the Vikings 16-13 in 2016, the last time Detroit won on Thanksgiving Day.
Tuesday’s quiz
Peyton Manning was the Broncos’ QB, the last time they made the playoffs, in 2015.
****************************************
— Auburn 90, Memphis 76
Auburn wins Maui Classic, scoring 86 ppg in three games.
Auburn is 7-0 already, with four top 40 wins.
Auburn shot 72% inside the arc.
— Alabama 95, Rutgers 90
Alabama was 10-25 on the arc, Rutgers 2-13
Bailey/Harper combined for 59 points for Rutgers; they’re both freshmen.
Alabama survived being minus-11 (20-9) in turnovers.
— Dayton 85, UConn 67
Defending national champ Huskies went 0-3 at the Maui Classic.
UConn is 4-3; four teams they beat are all ranked #321 or lower.
— West Virginia 86, Gonzaga 78 OT
Zags led by 5 with 0:25 left in regulation.
Senior G Small scored 31 points, had 7 rebounds for WVU
Gonzaga star Nembhard was 1-10 from the floor.
— Michigan State 94, North Carolina 91 OT
Spartans led by 14 late in first half.
UNC is 1-3 vs top 100 teams; they trailed by 21 in the one win.
Spartans are 6-2 despite shooting 22.4% on the arc (#361)
— Oregon 78, San Diego State 68
Ducks were 18-26 on foul line, Aztecs 4-8
Oregon out-rebounded San Diego State, 41-24.
Ducks are 7-0, with three top 100 wins.
— There were 12 teams that won Wednesday that trailed at one time by 10+ points.
— Wednesday night college basketball upsets:
West Virginia (+14.5) 86, Gonzaga 78 OT
Western Michigan (+9) 73, Youngstown State 62
Dayton (+7.5) 85, UConn 67
Appalachian State (+7) 66, Sam Houston State 63
Sacramento State (+6.5) 63, Air Force 61
Georgia State (+4.5) 74, Tulsa 71
Michigan State (+4.5) 94, North Carolina 91 OT
— Famous birthdays, November 28:
Paul Warfield, 82
Ed Harris, 74
S. Epatha Merkerson, 72
Preston Dennard, 69
Judd Nelson, 65
Jon Stewart, 62
Walt Weiss, 61
Johnny Newman, 61
John Burkett, 60
Matt Williams, 59
Leandro Barbosa, 42
Andrew Bogut, 40
— Louisville 89, Indiana 61
Cardinals are 4-1; experience team #10, continuity team #352
Last three years, Louisville was 25-71, 11-49 in ACC games.
Bringing in a boatload of transfers is making a big difference.
— Texas A&M 77, Creighton 73
Aggies scored 27 points in 1st half, 50 in 2nd half.
Creighton was 13-37 on the arc, 10-23 inside arc.
Bluejays are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, scoring 63 ppg.
— Sacramento State 63, Air Force 61
Hornets trailed by 17 late in first half.
Sac State shot 9-21 on arc (42.9%), 13-35 (37.1%) inside arc.
— Oklahoma 79, Providence 77
Senior G Elvis scored 26 points, had one assist- his job is to score.
Sooners shot 60% inside thew arc.
This was the first top 200 game for both teams.
— Michigan 78, Xavier 53
Wolverines shot 11-22 on the arc.
Michigan is 6-1, with the #15 eFG% in country.
New coach May is really good; he led FAU to Final 4 two years ago.
— Samford 84, Utah Valley 76
Samford starts 3 seniors; they trailed by 13 with 10:42 left to play.
Samford forced 23 turnovers (+10); they shot 55.8% inside arc.
Utah Valley started three sophs, two juniors. Experience matters.
— If you watch a basketball game on TV with no sound on, it is interesting to see how much contact the refs allow; watching the second half of Dayton-UConn as I type this, the officials are letting the guys play. You see lot of contact, without lot of fouls called.
NBA leaders in minutes per game:
37.6— Nikola Jokic, Den
36.6— Luka Doncic, Dal
36.4— Jaylen Brown, Bos
36.3— DeMar DeRozan, Sac
36.3— Michael Porter, Den
35.9— Damian Lillard, Milw
Quote of the Day
“During this time of the year, I am constantly being reminded of the things in my life that I am most thankful for. Baseball is one of them. Baseball has been a part of my life for as long as I can remember, and for the rest of my life I will be thankful for the opportunities and experiences it has given me. Time is precious.
I’m incredibly grateful for all the years I spent playing the game I love, but now it is time for me to spend it with the people who I’m most thankful for. Thank you to all of you who have been there for me throughout the years. It’s been an unbelievable ride.”
Brandon Crawford, who retired this week after 14 years in the major leagues
Thursday’s quiz
Hall of Fame QB Johnny Unitas played 18 years in the NFL, the first 17 for the Baltimore Colts; what team did Unitas play for in his last season?
Wednesday’s quiz
Detroit Lions beat the Vikings 16-13 in 2016, the last time Detroit won on Thanksgiving Day.
Tuesday’s quiz
Peyton Manning was the Broncos’ QB, the last time they made the playoffs, in 2015.
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Thursday’s Den: Happy Thanksgiving…….
— Other than March, this might be the best week of the year for college basketball; ton of games on TV from all over the country, with games on very late at night. Good stuff.— Auburn 90, Memphis 76
Auburn wins Maui Classic, scoring 86 ppg in three games.
Auburn is 7-0 already, with four top 40 wins.
Auburn shot 72% inside the arc.
— Alabama 95, Rutgers 90
Alabama was 10-25 on the arc, Rutgers 2-13
Bailey/Harper combined for 59 points for Rutgers; they’re both freshmen.
Alabama survived being minus-11 (20-9) in turnovers.
— Dayton 85, UConn 67
Defending national champ Huskies went 0-3 at the Maui Classic.
UConn is 4-3; four teams they beat are all ranked #321 or lower.
— West Virginia 86, Gonzaga 78 OT
Zags led by 5 with 0:25 left in regulation.
Senior G Small scored 31 points, had 7 rebounds for WVU
Gonzaga star Nembhard was 1-10 from the floor.
— Michigan State 94, North Carolina 91 OT
Spartans led by 14 late in first half.
UNC is 1-3 vs top 100 teams; they trailed by 21 in the one win.
Spartans are 6-2 despite shooting 22.4% on the arc (#361)
— Oregon 78, San Diego State 68
Ducks were 18-26 on foul line, Aztecs 4-8
Oregon out-rebounded San Diego State, 41-24.
Ducks are 7-0, with three top 100 wins.
— There were 12 teams that won Wednesday that trailed at one time by 10+ points.
— Wednesday night college basketball upsets:
West Virginia (+14.5) 86, Gonzaga 78 OT
Western Michigan (+9) 73, Youngstown State 62
Dayton (+7.5) 85, UConn 67
Appalachian State (+7) 66, Sam Houston State 63
Sacramento State (+6.5) 63, Air Force 61
Georgia State (+4.5) 74, Tulsa 71
Michigan State (+4.5) 94, North Carolina 91 OT
— Famous birthdays, November 28:
Paul Warfield, 82
Ed Harris, 74
S. Epatha Merkerson, 72
Preston Dennard, 69
Judd Nelson, 65
Jon Stewart, 62
Walt Weiss, 61
Johnny Newman, 61
John Burkett, 60
Matt Williams, 59
Leandro Barbosa, 42
Andrew Bogut, 40
— Louisville 89, Indiana 61
Cardinals are 4-1; experience team #10, continuity team #352
Last three years, Louisville was 25-71, 11-49 in ACC games.
Bringing in a boatload of transfers is making a big difference.
— Texas A&M 77, Creighton 73
Aggies scored 27 points in 1st half, 50 in 2nd half.
Creighton was 13-37 on the arc, 10-23 inside arc.
Bluejays are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, scoring 63 ppg.
— Sacramento State 63, Air Force 61
Hornets trailed by 17 late in first half.
Sac State shot 9-21 on arc (42.9%), 13-35 (37.1%) inside arc.
— Oklahoma 79, Providence 77
Senior G Elvis scored 26 points, had one assist- his job is to score.
Sooners shot 60% inside thew arc.
This was the first top 200 game for both teams.
— Michigan 78, Xavier 53
Wolverines shot 11-22 on the arc.
Michigan is 6-1, with the #15 eFG% in country.
New coach May is really good; he led FAU to Final 4 two years ago.
— Samford 84, Utah Valley 76
Samford starts 3 seniors; they trailed by 13 with 10:42 left to play.
Samford forced 23 turnovers (+10); they shot 55.8% inside arc.
Utah Valley started three sophs, two juniors. Experience matters.
— If you watch a basketball game on TV with no sound on, it is interesting to see how much contact the refs allow; watching the second half of Dayton-UConn as I type this, the officials are letting the guys play. You see lot of contact, without lot of fouls called.
- Sep 10, 2018
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NCAAF
Weather Report
Thursday, November 28
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 14
Thursday’s game
Memphis @ Tulane (-13.5)
Memphis (9-2, 5-2)
Tigers won six of last seven games; their losses were by 12-8.
Memphis gave up 56-44 points in their two losses.
Memphis has 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Tigers have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Hanigan has 37 career starts.
Memphis is 4-9-1 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog.
Tigers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.
Under Silverfield, Memphis is 3-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Memphis is 11-16-1 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
Four of last five Memphis games went over the total.
Memphis is +16 in turnovers in its wins, minus-3 in losses.
Tulane (9-2, 7-0)
Green Wave won its last eight games, scoring 43.4 ppg.
Tulane won its last three games by a combined 121-9.
Tulane’s two losses were to K-State/Oklahoma, Big X teams.
Green Wave has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Green Wave has 143 returning starts on offensive line.
Redshirt frosh QB Mensah has thrown for 2,197 yards, 18 TD’s.
Tulane is 20-10 ATS last 30 games as a home favorite.
Tulane is 32-15 ATS in last 46 games as a favorite.
Green Wave is 31-17-1 ATS in last 49 conference games.
New coach Sumrall is 8-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Tulane is 20-12 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win.
Over is 6-4 in their I-A games.
Home side won six of last seven series games.
Memphis is 0-3 SU?ATS in last three visits to Tulane, losing by 10-14-16.
Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Weather Report
Thursday, November 28
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 14
Thursday’s game
Memphis @ Tulane (-13.5)
Memphis (9-2, 5-2)
Tigers won six of last seven games; their losses were by 12-8.
Memphis gave up 56-44 points in their two losses.
Memphis has 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Tigers have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Hanigan has 37 career starts.
Memphis is 4-9-1 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog.
Tigers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.
Under Silverfield, Memphis is 3-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Memphis is 11-16-1 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
Four of last five Memphis games went over the total.
Memphis is +16 in turnovers in its wins, minus-3 in losses.
Tulane (9-2, 7-0)
Green Wave won its last eight games, scoring 43.4 ppg.
Tulane won its last three games by a combined 121-9.
Tulane’s two losses were to K-State/Oklahoma, Big X teams.
Green Wave has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Green Wave has 143 returning starts on offensive line.
Redshirt frosh QB Mensah has thrown for 2,197 yards, 18 TD’s.
Tulane is 20-10 ATS last 30 games as a home favorite.
Tulane is 32-15 ATS in last 46 games as a favorite.
Green Wave is 31-17-1 ATS in last 49 conference games.
New coach Sumrall is 8-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Tulane is 20-12 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win.
Over is 6-4 in their I-A games.
Home side won six of last seven series games.
Memphis is 0-3 SU?ATS in last three visits to Tulane, losing by 10-14-16.
Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.
