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Udog

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Saturday, November 23


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Udog

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Saturday’s best 13 games
Indiana
@ Ohio State (-10.5)
Indiana (10-0, 7-0)
Hoosiers are 10-0; they’re underdog for first time this year.
Last four games, Hoosiers gave up 12.3 ppg.
Last four games, Indiana is +7 in turnovers.
Hoosiers have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
Hoosiers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Rourke started 33 games at Ohio U


Indiana is 5-10 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Cignetti is 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Cignetti is 17-6 ATS in conference games.
Indiana is 17-10 ATS in its last 27 games coming off a win.
Six of Indiana’s last eight games went over the total.


Ohio State (9-1, 6-1)
Ohio State won last four games, last two by combined 76-7.
Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.
Ohio State has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Buckeyes have 103 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Howard stated 33 games at Kansas State.


Under Day, OSU is 24-15 ATS as a home favorite.
Buckeyes’ only loss was 32-31 at Oregon; Ducks gained 496 yards.
Oregon is only opponent that gained more than 273 yards.
Buckeyes are 9-6-1 ATS in last 16 conference games.
OSU is 11-6-2 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Ohio State allowed 17 or fewer points in all of its wins.


Ohio State won last 24 series games.
Hoosiers are 9-4 ATS in last 13 series games.
Indiana is 6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Columbus.
Over is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
Big 18 home favorites are 23-18 ATS.


Ole Miss (-11.5) @ Florida
Ole Miss (8-2, 4-2)
Ole Miss is 4-2 in its SEC games; both losses were by 3 points.
Rebels are +5 in turnovers in their last three games.
Rebels have 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Rebels have 222 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dart has started 25 games.


All eight Ole Miss wins are by 12+ points.
Ole Miss is 9-2-1 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
In his career, Kiffin is 20-17-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Kiffin, Rebels are 23-15-2 ATS coming off a win.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 17-20-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 8-1 in Ole Miss’ I-A games this season.


Florida (5-5, 3-4)
Four of Gators’ five losses were by 13+ points.
Florida is 0-5 when it scores less than 24 points.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Gators have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lagway has 7 TD passes, 5 INT’s (1,297 PY).


Under Napier, Florida is 11-7 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Napier is 22-10-1 ATS as an underdog.
Florida covered six of its last seven games overall.
Under Napier, Florida is 13-10 ATS in SEC games.
Over is 6-3 in Florida’s I-A games.


These teams haven’t met since 2020.
Florida won three of last four series games.
SEC home underdogs are 14-8 ATS


Iowa (-6) @ Maryland
Iowa (6-4, 4-3)
Iowa is 1-4 if it allows 20+ points, 5-0 if it allows less than 20.
Iowa’s six wins were all by 17+ points.
Hawkeyes have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 154 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB McNamara has 21 career starts.


Hawkeyes are 11-6 ATS last 16 games as a road favorite (1-2 TY).
In his career, Ferentz is 32-24-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Iowa is 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Hawkeyes are 24-19-1 ATS in their last 43 conference games.
Over is 7-2 in their I-A games.


Maryland (4-6, 1-6)
Terps lost last three games, giving up 48-39-31 points.
Maryland is 4-1 when it scores 27+ points.
Maryland has 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Terps have 21 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Edwards has 2,855 passing yards (15 TDs, 9 INT).

Under Locksley, Maryland is 7-7 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Locksley is 13-15 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Locksley, Terps are 21-33 ATS in conference games.
Terps were minus-10 in turnovers last five games (+11 in first five games).
Over is 3-1-1 in their home games.


Teams haven’t met since 2021.
Iowa won last three meetings (51-14/23-0/31-15).
Big 18 home underdogs are 15-15 ATS


North Carolina (-2.5) @ Boston College
North Carolina (6-4, 3-3)
North Carolina won its last three games, scoring 41-35-31 points.
Tar Heels are 6-1 when they allow less than 34 points.
Tar Heels have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Tar Heels have 59 returning starts on OL, 49 from one guy.
Junior QB Criswell has 2,003 passing yards (12 TD’s, 3 INTs)


Tar Heels are 3-10-2 ATS last 15 games as a road favorite.
In his career, Mack Brown is 44-50-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Since 2021, Tar Heels are 12-18 ATS in ACC games.
Carolina ran ball for 200+ yards in three of last four games.
Under is 5-1 in their last six games.


Boston College (5-5, 2-4)
BC lost four of its last five games, after a 4-1 start.
Eagles are 1-5 when they allow more than 20 points.
Eagles have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Eagles have 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB James has 456 PY in his two starts.


Boston College is 16-7-1 ATS in last 24 games as a home dog.
In his college career, O’Brien is 2-0 ATS as a home underdog.
Eagles are 14-16 ATS in last 30 ACC games.
Last two games, BC gave up 431+ total yards.
Over is 4-0 in their last four games.


These teams haven’t met since 2020.
North Carolina is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five meetings.
ACC home underdogs are 9-11 ATS


Arizona @ TCU (-11)
Arizona (4-6, 2-6)
Arizona is 2-6 in Big X games, giving up 31.7 ppg in losses.
Four of their six losses were by 22+ points.
Arizona has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
Wildcats have 86 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Fifita started nine games last year.


Arizona is 7-5 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Brennan is 17-15 ATS as a road underdog.
Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their conference games TY.
In his career, Brennan is 34-28-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Over is 3-2 in their last five games.


TCU (6-4, 4-3)
TCU is 5-0 when it gives up fewer than 30 points.
Last three games, TCU scored 35-34-38 points.
TCU has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hoover started six games last year.


Under Dykes, TCU is 8-7 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Dykes is 29-24 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dykes, TCU is 13-12-1 ATS in Big X games.
Frogs are 6-4 despite being minus-10 in turnovers.
Over is 6-3 in their I-A games this season.


These teams haven’t met since 2003.
Big X home favorites are 17-19 ATS.


Penn State (-11.5) @ Minnesota
Penn State (9-1, 6-1)
Penn State won its last two games, 35-6/49-10.
PSU’s only loss was 20-13 at home to Ohio State.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS on road this season.
Nittany Lions have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Penn State has 45 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Allar started 13 games last year.


Under Franklin, Penn State is 56-38-3 ATS as a favorite.
Under Franklin, Penn State is 22-13 ATS as a road favorite.
Nittany Lions are 6-1 SU/3-4 ATS in conference games TY.
Last two games, Penn State ran ball for 266-234 yards.
Six of their last eight games stayed under the total.


Minnesota (6-4, 4-3)
Minnesota won four of its last five games.
Only one of the Gophers’ losses was by more than 7 points.
Gophers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Minnesota has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Brosmer started 36 games at I-AA New Hampshire.


Minnesota is 8-8-2 ATS last 16 games as a home underdog.
In his career, Fleck is 10-13-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 34-32-2 ATS in conference games.
Minnesota is +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
Gophers are 5-0 when they run ball for 100+ yards.


Home team won/covered last four series games.
Penn State lost 31-26/24-10 in last two visits to Minnesota.
Over is 5-2-1 in last eight meetings.


BYU @ Arizona State (-3)
BYU (9-1, 6-1)
BYU lost 17-13 to Kansas LW, its first loss this year.
BYU has four wins by six or fewer points.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started four games LY.


BYU is 19-8 ATS last 27 games as a road underdog.
BYU scored 34+ points in sieven of its ten games.
In his career, coach Sitake is 25-14-1 ATS as an underdog.
BYU is 7-12 ATS last 19 games coming off a loss.
Last two games, BYU gave up 259/242 total yards.
Five of their last six games went over the total.


Arizona State (8-2, 5-2)
ASU won three in row, five of its last six games.
Sun Devils scored 24+ points in their wins, 22-14 in losses.
ASU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Sun Devils have 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Leavitt has 1,906 PY this year, with 17 TD’s, 4 INTs.


Under Dillingham, ASU is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 11-5 ATS in conference games.
ASU is 8-13 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
Arizona State is 4-0 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Sun Devils are 5-0 SU/ATS at home, scoring 35 ppg.


These teams have met once since 1998.
Big X home favorites are 17-19 ATS


Colorado (-3) @ Kansas
Colorado (8-2, 6-1)
Colorado won eight of its last nine games (9-0 ATS).
Colorado scored 31+ points in eight of its nine wins.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.


Sanders is 7-3 ATS as a favorite with Colorado, 3-1 on road.
Since 2016, Colorado is 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Sanders, Buffs are 13-4 ATS in conference games.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 8-4 ATS coming off a win.
Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.


Kansas (4-6, 3-4)
Kansas won three of last four games, after a 1-5 start.
Jayhawks have five losses by 6 or fewer points.
Jayhawks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Kansas has 130 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels has 20 career starts.


In his career, Leipold is 17-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Kansas is 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS in its last four games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 11-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
Five of last seven Kansas games went over the total.


These teams haven’t met since 2010.
Big X home underdogs are 4-7 ATS.


Alabama (-13.5) @ Oklahoma
Alabama (8-2, 4-2)
Alabama lost 2 of last 3 road games, at Vandy/Tennessee.
Crimson Tide was held under 100 yards rushing in the losses.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Milroe has started 14 games.


Alabama is 7-11 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
In his career, DeBoer is 10-9 ATS as a road favorite.
Alabama is 12-9-1 ATS in its last 22 SEC games.
Under is 3-0 in their last three I-A games.
Alabama is 12-6 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.


Oklahoma (5-5, 1-5)
Oklahoma lost its last four SEC games, giving up 31.3 ppg.
Sooners are 0-5 when they allow more than 21 points.
Oklahoma has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Arnold has thrown for 1,243 yards (12 TDs, 3 INTs)


Under Venables, Oklahoma is 0-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Venables, Sooners are 9-14-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 6-5 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last four I-A games, Oklahoma is minus-9 in turnovers.
Sooners were held under 300 TY in five of last six I-A games.


These teams haven’t met since a bowl game in 2018.
SEC home underdogs are 14-8 ATS.


Iowa State @ Utah (-3)
Iowa State (8-2, 5-2)
Iowa State lost 2 of last 3 games, after a 7-0 start.
Last four games, Cyclones gave up 251.8 rushing yards/game.
Cyclones have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cyclones have 90 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.


Iowa State’s last four games had average total of 57.5.
Under Campbell, ISU is 14-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Cyclones are 10-6 ATS in last 16 conference games.
Cyclones are +8 in turnovers this season.
Iowa State is averaging 448.3 yards in its Big X games.


Utah (4-6, 2-6)
Utah lost its last six games (1-5 ATS)
Utes scored 22+ points in their four wins (0-5 score less than 22)
Utes have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Utah has 60 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Wilson has 1,436 PY (10 TDs, 11 INTs)


Utah is 9-6 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite (0-3 TY).
Utah is 2-7 ATS in last nine games overall.
Utes are 0-6 when they run ball for less than 170 yards.
Since 2016, Utes are 46-32 ATS in conference games (2-6 TY).
Five of Utah’s last seven games stayed under the total.


These teams haven’t met since 2010.
Big X home favorites are 17-19 ATS.


Cincinnati @ Kansas State (-8)
Cincinnati (5-5, 3-4)
Cincinnati lost last three games, giving up 34-31-34 points.
Cincinnati is 5-0 giving up less than 28 points.
Bearcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bearcats have 91 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby started 7 games at Indiana last year.


Cincinnati is 3-6-1 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog.
In his career, Satterfield is 12-17-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Cincinnati is 6-16-2 ATS in conference games.
Bearcats are 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Under is 6-2-1 in Cincinnati’s I-A games.


Kansas State (7-3, 5-3)
K-State lost its last two games, after a 7-1 start.
K-State scored 29+ points in its wins, 9-19-14 in losses.
Wildcats are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Wildcats have 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Wildcats have 73 returning starts on OL, only 36 at I-A level.
Frosh QB Johnson has thrown for 1,892 yards (17 TDs, 7 INTs)


K-State is 13-4 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 23-17 ATS as a favorite.
Under Klieman, K-State is 33-21 ATS in Big X games.
Wildcats are 8-1 ATS last nine games coming off a loss.
Under is 3-0 in K-State’s last three games.


These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
Big X home favorites are 17-19 ATS.


USC (-5) @ UCLA
USC (5-5, 3-5)
Trojans lost four of their last six games.
USC is 1-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Maiava started 11 games at UNLV; this is hist 2nd USC start.


Under Riley, USC is 2-10 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Riley is 8-21-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Trojans are 13-23 ATS in last 36 conference games.
In his career, Riley is 35-39-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Riley, USC is 10-12 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 2-1-1 in their road games this year.


UCLA (4-6, 3-5)
UCLA won three of its last four games, after a 1-5 start.
Bruins are 1-6 when they score less than 20 points.
UCLA has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Bruins have 101 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Garbers started 6 games last year.


UCLA is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
UCLA is 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
Bruins covered six of last eight games overall.
UCLA is 8-2 ATS last 10 games coming off a loss.
Last four games, Bruins are +2 in turnovers (minus-7 in first six)
Over is 3-1 in UCLA’s last four games.


Road team won last four meetings.
Trojans won 48-45/43-38 in last two visits to UCLA.
Over is 5-1 in last six series games.
Big 18 home underdogs are 15-15 ATS


Colorado State @ Fresno State (-3)
Colorado State (7-3, 5-0)
Rams are 5-0 in MW games, giving up 14.8 ppg.
CSU gave up 52-28-39 points in their losses.
Rams have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
CSU has 94 starts returning on the offensive line.
Rams’ soph QB has 11 starts; he threw 22 TD’s, 16 INT’s last year.


Rams covered their last seven games overall.
Under Norvell, Rams are 7-5 ATS as road underdogs.
In his career, Norvell is 17-14 ATS as a road underdog.
CSU allowed 441+ total yards in three of five MW games.
Under is 7-2 in their I-A games.


Fresno State (5-5, 3-3)
Fresno lost its last two games, 21-20/36-28.
Bulldogs are 1-5 scoring less than 33 points.
Bulldogs have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Fresno has 106 starts returning on offensive line.
Soph QB Keene started 11 games last year.
Skipper is Fresno’s interim coach this season.


Fresno is 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Bulldogs are 6-7 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
Last two games, Bulldogs ran ball 33 times for 14 yards.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Bulldogs are 3-10-1 ATS in last 14 Mountain West games.


Colorado State won six of last eight meetings.
Rams are 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Fresno.
Over is 4-3 in last seven series games.
Mountain West home favorites are 8-9 ATS.
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 23

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ILL at RUTG12:00 PMRUTG -2.5
U 47.5
+500 +500
UNC at BC12:00 PMBC +2.5
U 50.0
+500 +500
IU at OSU12:00 PMIU +10.5
U 52.5
+500 +500
SHSU at JVST12:00 PMJVST -5.0
U 57.0
+500 +500
CONN at SYR12:00 PMSYR -10.0
O 53.0
+500 +500
MISS at FLA12:00 PMFLA +13.0
O 58.0
+500 +500
SMU at UVA12:00 PMUVA +11.0
U 54.5
+500 +500
IOWA at MD12:00 PMIOWA -4.5
U 41.0
+500 +500
WAKE at MIA12:00 PMWAKE +23.5
U 66.5
+500 +500
MASS at UGA12:45 PMMASS +42.0
U 55.0
+500 +500
WKU at LIB01:00 PMWKU +1.0
O 55.5
+500 +500
UTEP at TENN01:00 PMTENN -41.5
U 54.0
+500 +500
RICE at UAB02:00 PMRICE -7.0
U 52.0
+500 +500
BGSU at BALL02:00 PMBGSU -12.0
U 53.5
+500 +500
NMSU at MTU02:30 PMMTU -3.0
O 53.0
+500 +500
JMU at APP02:30 PMJMU -7.5
O 57.5
+500 +500
USA at USM03:00 PMUSM +24.0
U 54.0
+500 +500
CHAR at FAU03:00 PMCHAR -3.0
U 49.5
+500 +500
ULM at ARST03:00 PMARST -3.0
O 51.5
+500 +500
FIU at KENN03:00 PMFIU -9.0
O 42.5
+500 +500
ARIZ at TCU03:00 PMTCU -10.5
U 60.0
+500 +500
NW at MICH03:30 PMNW +10.5
O 35.0
+500 +500
STAN at CAL03:30 PMCAL -14.5
O 53.5
+500 +500
COLO at KU03:30 PMCOLO -2.5
O 59.0
+500 +500
PSU at MINN03:30 PMMINN +11.0
U 45.0
+500 +500
ECU at UNT03:30 PMUNT -2.5
O 74.0
+500 +500
TLSA at USF03:30 PMTLSA +17.5
O 61.5
+500 +500
TTU at OKST03:30 PMTTU -4.5
O 64.0
+500 +500
GASO at CCU03:30 PMGASO +2.0
O 59.0
+500 +500
UK at TEX03:30 PMTEX -18.5
O 47.0
+500 +500
BYU at ASU03:30 PMASU -3.5
U 48.5
+500 +500
SDSU at USU03:30 PMUSU -5.0
U 60.0
+500 +500
WIS at NEB03:30 PMWIS +1.0
U 41.0
+500 +500
UCF at WVU03:30 PMWVU +3.0
O 60.5
+500 +500
LT at ARK04:00 PMARK -23.5
O 48.5
+500 +500
WOF at SOCAR04:00 PMSOCAR -42.5
U 49.5
+500 +500
PITT at LOU04:00 PMPITT +7.5
O 57.5
+500 +500
MIZZ at MSST04:15 PMMIZZ -9.0
U 58.0
+500 +500
TROY at ULL05:00 PMTROY +8.5
O 51.5
+500 +500
BAY at HOU07:00 PMBAY -7.5
O 50.5
+500 +500
ARMY at ND07:00 PMARMY +14.0
O 44.5
+500 +500
WSU at ORST07:00 PMORST +10.5
U 56.5
+500 +500
GSU at TXST07:00 PMTXST -21.0
O 59.5
+500 +500
BSU at WYO07:00 PMBSU -22.5
U 55.0
+500 +500
TAM at AUB07:30 PMAUB +1.0
U 46.0
+500 +500
ALA at OKLA07:30 PMOKLA +14.0
O 46.0
+500 +500
MRSH at ODU07:30 PMMRSH +3.0
U 51.5
+500 +500
ISU at UTAH07:30 PMISU -6.5
U 42.0
+500 +500
VAN at LSU07:45 PMVAN +9.0
U 52.5
+500 +500
CIN at KSU08:00 PMKSU -8.5
U 55.0
+500 +500
VT at DUKE08:00 PMVT -3.0
O 46.0
+500 +500
AFA at NEV10:30 PMAFA +3.0
O 44.5
+500 +500
CSU at FRES10:30 PMCSU +3.0
O 44.5
+500 +500
USC at UCLA10:30 PMUCLA +5.0
U 52.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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NCAAFB BEST BETS NOVEMBER !

11/23/2024................24 - 25 - 0...................48.97%...............- 17.50
11/22/2024.....................3 - 3 - 0...................50.00%...............- 1.50
11/21/2024.....................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/20/2024.....................3 - 1- 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/19/2024.....................2 -3 - 0....................40.00%................- 6.50
11/16/2024...................20 - 30 - 0...................40.00%...............- 65.00
11/15/2024......................2 - 6 - 0...................25.00%...............- 23.00
11/14/2024......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/13/2024......................4 - 2 - 0...................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/12/2024......................2 - 2 - 0...................50.00%................- 1.00
11/09/2024....................20 - 15 - 0..................57.14%................+ 17.50
11/08/2024.......................2 - 3 - 0..................40.00%.................- 6.50
11/07/2024.......................1 - 3 - 0..................25.00%.................- 11.50
11/06/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%..................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%..................- 22.50

TOTALS........................101 - 112 - 0.................47.41%.................- 111.00

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
 

Cnotes53

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Nuggets 127, Lakers 102- Jokic had 34 points, 13 rebounds, 8 assists.
— Bucks 125, Hornets 119- Antetokounmpo had 32 points, 11 rebounds.
— Trail Blazers 104, Rockets 98- Portland was a 12.5-point underdog.
— Spurs 104, Warriors 94- Spurs outscored Golden State 33-13 in 4th quarter.
— Grizzlies 142, Bulls 131- Scotty Pippen Jr had 30 points, 10 assists.
— Jazz 121, Knicks 106- Utah was +30 with Markkanen on court, minus-15 in the 15:00 he sat out.

Quote of the Day
“How do you tell when you’re out of invisible ink?”
Steven Wright

Sunday’s quiz
When was the last time Alabama lost 3+ football games in a season?

Saturday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs (won last two titles), the 2021 Rams are the last team to win a Super Bowl- they beat Cincinnati 23-20 in that game.

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Cleveland Browns played in a playoff game, Joe Flacco was their QB.

****************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college sports Saturday……..

Seven top 25 teams lost Saturday.
As I’m typing this, there is a car race going on thru the streets of Las Vegas. Weird.
I can’t process that Cal-Stanford is an ACC game, USC-UCLA is a Big 18 game.

— Oklahoma 24, Alabama 3
Last spring, Alabama poached Miami OH’s kicker; his FG was the Tide’s only score.
Oklahoma had lost its last four I-A games.
Alabama completed only 11-27 passes, threw 3 INTs.
Alabama is 8-3; Miami OH is 7-4; would be messed up if they met in a bowl game.

— Florida 24, Ole Miss 17
Underdogs are 30-15 ATS in SEC games this season.
Rebels outgained Florida, 464-344, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
Gators beat LSU/Ole Miss last two weeks, they’re 6-5/bowl eligible.

— USC 19, UCLA 13
Trojans outscored UCLA 10-0 in fourth quarter.
USC’s only TD of game was the decisive score, with 6:55 left.
Trojans are 6-5, are now bowl eligible. UCLA won’t go bowling.
USC has led in the 4th quarter in all five of their losses.

— Arizona State 28, BYU 23
ASU is 9-2, having a great year, but coach Dillingham over-thought the end of this game so badly he damn near committed coaching malpractice. Seriously.
Sun Devils led 28-23 and had the ball deep in BYU territory with 1:04 left; they tried this weird stuff to kill the clock that failed, running backwards a couple times to kill time, but BYU wound up with one play to run a Hail Mary from its own 49-yard line.
Hail Mary failed, but I’d be curious to know what coach Dillingham think about all that now.
ASU led this game 28-9 late in third quarter, held on for dear life; they’ve won four in a row.

— Auburn 43, Texas A&M 41 OT
Auburn led this game 21-0 with 5:00 left before halftime.
Auburn tied the game on a 20-yard FG with 0:05 left.
A&M was 10-19 on third down, Auburn 5-14.
The overtime system is strange; once they hit the 3rd overtime, teams alternate plays from the 2-yard line, like a shootout in the NHL. Not a great system.

— Texas Tech 56, Oklahoma State 48
Mike Gundy is a good coach, but Cowboys are 0-8 in conference games.
Oklahoma State gave up 38+ points in each of its last seven games.
Texas Tech was 14-22 on third down, Cowboys were 2-9.

— Kansas 37, Colorado 21
Kansas punter Damon Greaves’ family made the trip from Australia to Kansas City for this game; problem is, the Jayhawks didn’t punt in this game. Not once.
Kansas is 5-6; five of their six losses are by 6 or fewer points. They need a win at Baylor next week to become bowl eligible.

Upsets of the Week:
Georgia State (+21) 52, Texas State 44
Oklahoma (+14) 24, Alabama 3
Florida (+12) 24, Ole Miss 17
Kennesaw State (+9) 27, FIU 26
Appalachian State (+7.5) 34, James Madison 20
UAB (+7) 40, Rice 14
Central Michigan (+5.5) 16, Western Michigan 14

Saturday’s college basketball notes:
— Fresno State 72, Long Beach State 69

Bulldogs outscored Long Beach 14-0 over the final 2:48.
Fresno was 30-44 on foul line, Long Beach 3-4. AT Long Beach!!!!

— UNLV 72, New Mexico State 65
Rebels were 30-42 on foul line; PG Thomas was 13-19.
New Mexico State shot 31.3% from floor, had 21 offensive boards.
Game was 62-62 with 4:25 left to play.

— Stanford 71, Santa Clara 69
Cardinal trailed 67-59 with 3:29 left in game.
7-1 senior Reynaud had 32 points, 16 rebounds.
Stanford survived shooting 10-21 on the foul line.

— Milwaukee 76, Wofford 74
Panthers were 19-33 on foul line, Wofford 8-15.
Wofford led by 8 with 14:08 left to play.
Teams combined to shoot 11-41 on the arc.

Famous birthdays, November 24:
Oscar Robertson, 86
Dave Bing, 81
Rudy Tomjanovich, 76
Steve Yeager, 76
Henry Bibby, 75
Katherine Heigl, 46
Ryan Fitzpatrick, 42
Jeimer Candelario, 31
Tyler Soderstrom, 23

More college football…….
— Nebraska 44, Wisconsin 25

Cornhuskers snap 4-game skid, are bowl eligible for first time since 2016.
Dylan Raiola threw for 293 yards and a TD.
Wisconsin had beaten Nebraska nine times in a row.

— Cal 24, Stanford 21
Stanford led 21-7 with 1:00 left in third quarter.
Mendoza’s third TD pass of day with 2:40 left was a game-winner.
Golden Bears have beaten their arch-rival four years in a row.

— Illinois 38, Rutgers 31
Illini threw a 40-yard TD pass with 0:04 left for the win.
Rutgers had taken the lead on a TD with 1:08 left.
Scarlet Knights led 17-15 after the third quarter.
Illinois is very quietly 8-3.

— Marshall 42, Old Dominion 35
Marshall QB Braxton threw for 210 yards, ran for 140 more.
Thundering Herd scored game-winning TD with 4:03 left.
Monarchs outgained Marshall, 513-469.

— Penn State 26, Minnesota 25
Nittany Lions were 1-11 on third down, 3-4 on fourth down.
Minnesota led 10-0 early in second quarter.
Penn State is 5-0 on the road for the first time since 1985.

— Ohio State 38, Indiana 15
Game was 7-7 late in first half when Indiana’s punter fumbled a snap, and Ohio State had a short TD drive because of that. Things unraveled from the there for the 10-1 Hoosiers.
Buckeyes outgained Indiana 316-151; Hoosiers completed only 8-18 passes- their QB was sacked six times.
 

Cnotes53

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Monday’s 6-pack:
Some interesting Week 13 NFL spreads
— Bears @ Detroit (-10.5, 48.5)
— Giants @ Dallas (-3.5, 38.5)
— Dolphins @ Green Bay (-3, 47.5)
— Raiders @ Kansas City (-12.5, 42.5)
— Colts (-2.5, 42.5) @ New England
— Steelers @ Cincinnati (-3, 46.5)

Quote of the Day
“We got down to the end there and it was a game-situational extravaganza. It was like Yahtzee. Everything was in there.”
Dallas coach Mike McCarthy, after the Cowboys’ 34-26 win

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Last Vegas, what well-known actress plays the lounge singer who winds up hooking up with Michael Douglas at the end of the movie?

Sunday’s quiz
2010 was the last time Alabama lost 3+ football games in a season; ESPN’s Greg McElroy was Alabama’s QB that year.

Saturday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs (won last two titles), the 2021 Rams are the last team to win a Super Bowl- they beat Cincinnati 23-20 in that game.

***********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday……..

Cowboys 34, Commanders 26
Down 27-20, Washington threw an 86-yard TD pass with 0:21 left.
Seibert missed the PAT, his second missed PAT of the game.
Dallas then ran the onside kick back for a TD.
Cowboys snap a 5-game losing streak with this upset win.
This game was 3-3 at halftime.
Washington lost last three games, after a 7-2 start.
Commanders allowed 26+ points in all five losses.
QB Daniels threw for 275 yards, 2 TDs, ran for 74 yards and another TD. This was first game in NFL history with 2 missed PAT’s, 2 kick returns for TDs and also a blocked punt.

Titans 32, Texans 27
Titans’ first three drives: 22 plays, 212 yards, 17 points.
Tennessee led 20-17 at halftime.
Houston took 24-23 lead on pick-6 0:04 left in 3rd quarter.
Titans went ahead for good on 70-yard TD pass with 9:35 left.
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; 31-20-32 points in wins.
Houston is 2-4 in last six games, after a 5-1 start.
Texans are 2-5 when they give up more than 20 points.
Houston is 5-15 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
Texans are 2-7 ATS in last nine AFC South home games.

Vikings 30, Bears 27, OT
Minnesota drove 83 yards, kicked game-winning FG in OT.
Bears had scored 11 points in last 0:22 of regulation to tie game.
Bears lost their last five games, three of them by 3 or fewer points.
Vikings won/covered their last five visits to Chicago
Bears are 3-11 ATS in last 14 NFC North home games.
Minnesota is 8-2-2 ATS in last 12 games as road favorite.
Addison caught 8 passes for 162 yards and a TD.
Minnesota scored 30 points despite Jefferson catching 2 passes for 27 yards.
Last three years, Vikings have 23 wins by 8 or fewer points, most in NFL.
Vikings are 9-0 when they allow less than 30 points.

Chiefs 30, Panthers 27
Chiefs led 27-16 after third quarter.
Chiefs’ first five drives: 52 plays, 319 yards, 27 points.
Carolina drove 51 yards, tied game on TD with 1:49 left.
Kansas City then drove 57 yards, kick game-winning FG at gun.
Chiefs are 10-1 SU; they’re 0-5 ATS in last five games.
Kansas City ran ball for 165 yards, their 2nd-most this season.
Over is 8-3 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers’ opponents’ team total: over 8-3

Famous birthdays, November 25
John Laroquette, 77
Bernie Kosar, 61
Jill Hennessy, 56
Anthony Peeler, 55
Donovan McNabb, 48
Nick Swisher, 44
Alec Burleson, 26
Jaylen Waddle, 26
Blake Corum, 24

Dolphins 34, Patriots 15
Miami won last three games, giving up 15-19-15 points.
Dolphins led 31-0 after the third quarter.
Last six weeks, Dolphins outscored foes 77-25 in 1st half.
Miami is now 7-1 in last eight games vs New England.
New England’s first seven drives: 37 plays, 160 yards, no points.
Patriots are 6-14 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
New England is 10-22-1 ATS in last 33 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 32-48 since Tom Brady left town.

Buccaneers 30, Giants 7
Buccaneers’ first six drives: 52 plays, 366 yards, 30 points.
Tampa Bay led 23-0 at halftime.
Mayfield threw for 294 yards, also ran for a TD.
Buccaneers’ team total: over 9-2
Giants in first half: 17 plays, 46 yards, 3 punts, no points.
Giants lost their last six games (0-6 ATS).
Giants are 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS at home, losing by 22-5-10-25-5-23 points.
Giants haven’t had a positive turnover ratio in any game TY.

Lions 24, Colts 6
Detroit won its last nine games (8-1 ATS).
Last five games, Lions outscored opponents 77-11 in 2nd half.
Detroit is 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS on road this season.
Opponents have converted 24 of last 84 third down plays.
Under Campbell, Lions are 8-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Colts in second half: 20 plays, 94 yards, no points.
Colts are 6-9 ATS last 15 games as a home underdog.
AFC South underdogs are 9-15 ATS in non-divisional games.

Broncos 29, Raiders 19
Raiders led 13-9 at halftime.
Denver in 2nd half: 38 plays, 163 yards, 20 points.
Raiders in 2nd half: 44 plays, 180 yards, 6 points.
Denver is 6-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-5 if they score 20 or less.
Last five weeks, Broncos converted 36-70 third down plays.
Raiders are 0-7 SU/2-5 ATS in last seven games
Raiders have 22 turnovers in 11 games (minus-17).
Raiders’ opponents’ team total: over 8-3
QB Minshew broke his collarbone, is out for year.
First time in nine years Denver won at the Raiders.

Packers 38, 49ers 10
Packers won six of their last seven games.
Green Bay’s first three drives: 34 plays, 187 yards, 17 points.
Green Bay outscored last eight foes 128-58 in second half.
Packers out rushed San Francisco, 169-44.
Backup QB Allen was 17-29/199 passing (first start since 2022)
49ers are 1-6 when they score less than 30 points.
49ers are 0-5 when they gain less than 400 yards.
San Francisco is +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.

Seahawks 16, Cardinals 6
Seattle’s only offensive TD came on a 61-yard drive just before halftime.
Seahawks scored a defensive TD on a pick-6 in third quarter.
Seattle allowed 26+ points in losses, 20 or less in wins.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Arizona was 3-12 on third down, Seahawks 7-14.
Cardinals are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to Seattle.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in last seven NFC West road games.
QB Murray is 34-42-1 SU as an NFL starter.
These teams are for first atop the NFC West.

Eagles 37, Rams 20
Eagles led 20-14 at halftime.
Barkley ran 70 yards for TD on first play of 3rd quarter.
Barkley ran ball 26 times for 255 yards, 2 TD’s.
Eagles are 7-0 SU/5-2 in their last seven games overall.
Philly was 9-15 on third down, Rams 0-8.
Last four games, Rams are only 8-41 on third down.
Eagles are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Rams are 1-6 scoring less than 26 points, 4-0 scoring 26+.

College basketball notes……..

— LSU 109, Central Florida 102, 3 OTs
UCF led 38-18 late in first half.
LSU is 5-1, with the #27 eFG% defense.

— Drake 81, Vanderbilt 70
MVC’s Bulldogs win Charleston tournament, with 4 starters poached from a D2 team.
Bulldogs shot 61.5% inside the arc.
6-4 junior Stirtz had 16 points, 11 assists.

— Bradley 80, Middle Tennessee 69
MVC’s Braves win tournament at Coastal Carolina.
Bradley starts four seniors; they shot 10-22 on the arc.
Braves are #33 team in country in continuity.

— Georgia 66, St John’s 63
Dawgs are rebounding 43.7% of their missed shots (#5 in country)
St John’s had 21 offensive boards, but shot 2-19 on the arc.
Rough 1-2 trip to Atlantis, with losses by 1-3 points.

— Kennesaw State 79, Rutgers 77
Kennesaw led by 18 at halftime.
Owls out-rebounded Rutgers, 46-24.
Kennesaw survived being minus-13 in turnovers (22-9).

— Wisconsin 81, Pitt 75
Wisconsin is 7-0, scoring 79+ points in every game.
Badgers are playing pace #152, their fastest pace in at least 28 years.
Badgers are shooting 86.5% on foul line, #1 in country.
 

Udog

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WEEK 14

Tuesday, November 26

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Thursday, November 28

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Friday, November 29

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Saturday, November 30

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Udog

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NCAAF

Week 14


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