NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, January 21
13 of Saturday’s best college hoop games
Miami @ Duke
— Miami (15-3, 6-2) ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #139
— Experience: #28
— Continuity: #144
— Miami split its last four games, losing last two on road by 6-2 points.
— Miami is 2-0 ATS as an ACC underdog this season.
— Hurricanes are shooting 56.3% inside arc (#15).
— Miami is 6-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Hurricanes are #50 team on offensive boards, #307 on defensive end.
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #93
— bench minutes: #326
— Miami’s best win: 66-64 over #11 Virginia
— Duke (13-5, 4-3) ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #259
— Experience: #289
— Continuity: #342
— Duke split its last six games, after a 10-2 start
— Duke is 3-0 SU/1-1-1 ATS at home in ACC, winning by 16-19-8 points.
— Duke is shooting 49.9% inside arc (#181), 31% on arc (#300)
— Blue Devils are #3 team in country on offense boards.
— Blue Devils have #40 eFG% defense in country.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #44
— bench minutes: #97
— Duke’s best win: 71-64 over #19 Xavier.
— Duke won five of last seven series games.
— Miami won three of its last five games at Duke.
— ACC home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-11 ATS.
TCU @ Kansas
— TCU (14-4, 3-3) ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #48
— Experience: #74
— Continuity: #3
— TCU lost three of last four games, after a 13-1 start.
— Frogs are 2-1 ATS as a Big X road underdog.
— TCU is #26 team on offensive boards, #292 on defensive end.
— TCU forces turnovers 23.7% of time (#19).
— Frogs are shooting 28.7% on the arc (#348)
— TCU’s schedule, to this point: #130
— bench minutes: #33
— TCU’s best win: 88-87 at #16 Baylor
— Kansas (16-2, 5-1) ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #113
— Experience: #238
— Continuity: #226
— Kansas won 10 of its last 11 games.
— Kansas is 0-3 ATS in Big X home tilts, winning by 2-4-2 points.
— Opponents are shooting 31.5% on arc (#79), 45.3% inside arc (#35).
— Jayhawks are forcing turnovers 21.4% of time (#46)
— Kansas is 8-1 in games decided by 6 or less points.
— Kansas schedule, to this point: #1
— bench minutes: #343
— Kansas best win: 62-60 over #9 Iowa State
— Kansas won 10 of last 11 series games.
— TCU lost its last 10 games in Lawrence (last five by 7-9-9-8-4)
— Big X home favorites of 5+ points are 3-10 ATS
UCLA @ Arizona
— UCLA (17-2, 8-0) ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #242
— Experience: #109
— Continuity: #148
— UCLA won last 14 games- their losses were in Las Vegas in November.
— UCLA is 3-1 ATS as a Pac-12 road favorite this year.
— Bruins are forcing turnovers 25.1% of time (#8)
— UCLA is #31 team in country on offensive boards.
— Bruins have #53 eFG% defense.
— UCLA’s schedule, to this point: #31
— bench minutes: #244
— UCLA’s best win: 63-53 over #33 Kentucky
— Arizona (16-3, 5-3) ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #11
— Experience: #72
— Continuity: #165
— Arizona split its last four games, after a 14-1 start.
— Arizona is 3-1 SU/1-3 ATS in Pac-12 home games.
— Wildcats are shooting 57.5% inside arc (#9), 35.7% on arc (#85)
— Wildcats are #51 team on offensive boards, #92 on defensive end.
— Arizona is 4-0 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Arizona’s schedule, to this point: #37
— bench minutes: #282
— Arizona’s best win: 75-70 over #2 Tennessee
— UCLA won six of last eight series games.
— Bruins won four of last five visits to Tucson.
— Pac-12 home favorites of 3 or less points are 5-3 ATS.
Virginia @ Wake Forest
— Virginia (14-3, 6-2) ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #360
— Experience: #4
— Continuity: #10
— Virginia won its last four games, giving up 62.5 ppg.
— Virginia is 2-2 SU on ACC road, 1-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— Cavaliers are shooting 50.9% inside arc (#139), 38.2% on arc (#17).
— Opponents are shooting 44.6% inside arc (#23), 34.9% on arc (#245).
— Cavaliers are 6-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #33
— bench minutes: #236
— Virginia’s best win: 86-79 over #16 Baylor.
— Wake Forest (14-5, 6-2) ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #85
— Experience: #62
— Continuity: #298
— Wake Forest won six of its last seven games, after an 8-4 start.
— In its last four games, Wake Forest scored 85.5 ppg.
— Deacons won/covered all four of their ACC home games.
— Wake Forest is shooting 54% inside arc (#44), 37.6% on arc (#30).
— Deacons are 5-2 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Wake Forest’s schedule, to this point: #85
— bench minutes: #286
— Wake Forest’s best win: 81-70 over #29 Duke
— Virginia won nine of last ten series games.
— Cavaliers won their last five visits here.
— ACC home teams are 11-7 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
Iowa State @ Oklahoma State
— Iowa State (14-3, 5-1) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #309
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #186
— Iowa State won seven of its last eight games.
— Cyclones’ only Big X loss: 62-60 at #7 Kansas.
— Iowa State is forcing turnovers 28.5% of time (#1)
— Cyclones are #44 team in country on offensive boards.
— Iowa State is 4-1 in games decided by 5 or less points.
— Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #24
— bench minutes: #203
— Iowa State’s best win: 78-67 over #10 Texas
— Oklahoma State (10-8, 2-4) ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #201
— Experience: #64
— Continuity: #130
— OSU lost four of its last six games, after an 8-4 start.
— OSU is shooting 44.8% inside arc in Big X games (#10 of 10)
— Cowboys have #7 eFG% defense in country.
— Cowboys are shooting 32.1% on arc (#259), 50.2% inside arc (#170)
— OSU is 2-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— OSU’s schedule, to this point: #12
— bench minutes: #96
— OSU’s best win: 67-60 over #23 West Virginia.
— Oklahoma State won five of last six series games.
— Cyclones split their last four visits to Stillwater.
— Home teams are 7-6 ATS in Big X games with spread of 3 or less.
Texas A&M @ Kentucky
— Texas A&M (13-5, 5-0) ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #235
— Experience: #100
— Continuity: #82
— Texas A&M won its last seven games, after a 6-5 start.
— Aggies won/covered all five of their SEC games.
— Opponents are shooting 44.1% inside arc (#16)
— Aggies are #9 team in country on offensive boards.
— Aggies are forcing turnovers 22% of time (#37)
— Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #148
— bench minutes: #86
— Texas A&M’s best wins: 66-63/54-52 over #45 Florida
— Kentucky (12-6, 3-3) ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #266
— Experience: #107
— Continuity: #195
— Kentucky is 5-4 in last nine games, after a 7-2 start.
— Kentucky is #1 team in country on offensive boards.
— Wildcats are shooting 49.4% inside arc (#200), 37.1% on arc (#43)
— Opponents are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#76)
— Wildcats are 3-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Kentucky’s schedule, to this point: #100
— bench minutes: #152
— Kentucky’s best win: 63-56 at #2 Tennessee.
— Kentucky won six of last seven series games.
— Aggies lost last four visits to Kentucky, by 17-42-1-11 points.
— SEC home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-1 ATS.
Marquette @ Seton Hall
— Marquette (15-5, 7-2) ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #87
— Experience: #300
— Continuity: #102
— Marquette won six of its last seven games.
— Eagles split four Big East road games, losing by 5-4 points.
— Marquette shooting 60.2% inside arc (#1), 35.1% on arc (#112).
— Marquette is forcing turnovers 21.8% of time (#41)
— All five Marquette losses were by 5 or less points.
— Marquette’s schedule, to this point: #15
— bench minutes: #269
— Marquette’s best win: 82-76 over #6 UConn.
— Seton Hall (12-8, 5-4) ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #234
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #205
— Seton Hall is 5-1 SU/6-0 ATS in its last six games.
— Pirates are getting 22.6% of their points on foul line (#16)
— Seton Hall is forcing turnovers 20.6% of time (#75).
— Pirates have #22 eFG% defense in country.
— Seton Hall is 5-7 vs top 100 teams.
— Seton Hall’s schedule, to this point: #5
— bench minutes: #48
— Seton Hall’s best win: 67-66 over #6 UConn.
— Marquette beat Seton Hall 83-69 at home December 27.
— Marquette won last three meetings, by 10-1-14 points.
— Eagles lost three of last four visits to the Garden State.
— Home teams are 10-7 ATS in Big East games with spread of 4 or less points.
Belmont @ Bradley
— Belmont (14-6, 7-2) ranked #123 by KenPom
— Tempo: #166
— Experience: #185
— Continuity: #267
— Belmont won its last five games, scoring 76.2 ppg.
— Bruins are shooting 40.4% on arc (#2)
— Belmont is #311 team in country on defensive boards.
— Bruins are 5-3 vs teams ranked in top 150.
— Belmont is 7-2 in games decided by 6 or less points.
— Belmont’s schedule, to this point: #207
— bench minutes: #175
— Belmont’s best win: 63-60 over Bradley December 28
— Bradley (13-7, 6-3) ranked #83 by KenPom
— Tempo: #278
— Experience: #227
— Continuity: #62
— Bradley won/covered its four MVC home games.
— Opponents are shooting 44.1% inside arc (#18), 31.5% on arc (#81)
— Bradley is #21 team in country on defensive boards.
— Braves are forcing turnovers 20.7% of time (#72)
— Bradley is 3-6 vs teams ranked in top 150.
— Bradley’s schedule, to this point: #185
— bench minutes: #140
— Bradley’s best win: 74-55 over #114 Akron
— Bradley lost 63-60 at Belmont December 28.
— Braves led by 9 with 10:05 left in the game.
— MVC home favorites of 7 or less points are 10-7 ATS.
North Texas @ UAB
— North Texas (15-5, 6-3) ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #363
— Experience: #144
— Continuity: #151
— North Texas lost two of last three games, after a 14-3 start.
— Mean Green is 4-1 SU/3-1-1 ATS in C-USA road games.
— North Texas is shooting 45.3% inside arc (#324), 34.7% on arc (#127)
— Foes are shooting 45.3% inside arc (#33), 31% on arc (#64)
— North Texas is #18 team in country on offensive boards.
— North Texas’s schedule, to this point: #131
— bench minutes: #217
— North Texas’s best win: 60-58 over #103 Grand Canyon
— UAB (13-6, 4-4) ranked #71 by KenPom
— Tempo: #19
— Experience: #5
— Continuity: #120
— UAB is 1-4 in last five games; all four losses were by 3 or fewer points.
— Blazers’s best player Walker missed last two games (check status)
— Blazers are shooting 48.6% inside arc (#234), 36.4% on arc (#61)
— UAB is #7 team in country on offensive boards, #213 on defensive end.
— Opponents are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#73), 34.1% on arc (#200)
— UAB’s schedule, to this point: #228
— bench minutes: #74
— UAB’s best win: 87-73 over #87 Georgia.
— UAB won six of last nine series games.
— Road team won seven of last eight meetings.
— North Texas won three of last four visits here.
— C-USA home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-6 ATS.
NC State @ North Carolina
— NC State (15-4, 5-3) ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #59
— Experience: #49
— Continuity: #243
— NC State won four in row, seven of its last eight games.
— Wolfpack is forcing turnovers 20.5% of time (#79)
— Wolfpack is shooting 52.6% inside arc (#83).
— NC State is 6-4 against top 100 teams.
— NC State is 4-2 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— NC State’s schedule, to this point: #101
— bench minutes: #290
— NC State’s best win: 84-60 over #29 Duke
— North Carolina (13-6, 5-3) ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #100
— Experience: #29
— Continuity: #14
— Carolina won eight of its last ten games.
— Tar Heels are 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS as an ACC home favorite.
— Carolina is shooting 53.6% inside arc (#58), 32% on arc (#263)
— Carolina is #52 team in country on defensive boards.
— Tar Heels are 5-6 vs teams in top 100.
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— Carolina’s schedule, to this point: #19
— bench minutes: #355
— Carolina’s best win: 89-84 in OT over #21 Ohio State
— North Carolina won eight of last nine series games.
— Wolfpack lost last four visits to Chapel Hill, by 17-6-10-20 points.
— ACC home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-11 ATS.
Alabama @ Missouri
— Alabama (16-2, 6-0) ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #4
— Experience: #260
— Continuity: #280
— Alabama won seven in row, 10 of its last 11 games.
— Crimson Tide won/covered all six of its SEC games.
— Alabama won its SEC road games, by 11-15-12 points.
— Crimson Tide has #3 eFG% defense in country.
— Alabama is turning ball over 19.9% of time (#275)
— Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #2
— bench minutes: #117
— Alabama’s best win: 71-65 at #1 Houston
— Missouri (14-4, 3-3) ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #36
— Experience: #14
— Continuity: #319
— Missouri is 2-3 in its last five games, after a 12-1 start.
— Missouri is forcing turnovers 25.9% of time (#4)
— Tigers are shooting 58.8% inside arc (#4).
— Missouri is #357 team in country on defensive boards.
— Tigers have #282 eFG% defense in country.
— Missouri’s schedule, to this point: #96
— bench minutes: #80
— Missouri’s best win: 79-76 over #22 Arkansas.
— Missouri won three of last four meetings.
— Crimson Tide lost their last three visits to Columbia.
— SEC home underdogs are 6-9 against the spread.
Texas @ West Virginia
— Texas (15-3, 4-2) ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #101
— Experience: #8
— Continuity: #149
— Texas is 4-2 SU/1-5 ATS in Big X games.
— Longhorns are shooting 56.9% inside arc (#10), 32.8% on arc (#222)
— Texas is 6-3 against top 100 teams.
— Texas is forcing turnovers 23% of time (#24)
— Longhorns are 5-1 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Texas schedule, to this point: #77
— bench minutes: #144
— Texas best win: 72-67 over #13 Creighton.
— West Virginia (11-7, 1-5) ranked #23 by KenPom
— Tempo: #141
— Experience: #80
— Continuity: #330
— West Virginia is 1-5 in Big X, with four losses by 7 or less points.
— WVU is forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#33)
— West Virginia is shooting 52.8% inside arc (#78), 35.3% on arc (#105)
— WVU is #43 team on offensive boards.
— West Virginia is 4-7 against top 100 teams.
— West Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #13
— bench minutes: #78
— West Virginia’s best win: 74-65 over #30 TCU
— Texas won seven of last nine series games.
— Longhorns won 72-70/82-81 in last two visits here.
— Big X home teams are 7-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary’s
— Santa Clara (16-5, 4-2) ranked #84 by KenPom
— Tempo: #54
— Experience: #177
— Continuity: #133
— Santa Clara is 4-2 SU/6-0 ATS in its WCC games.
— In its last four games, Santa Clara scored 85 ppg.
— Broncos are 5-3 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Broncos are #26 team in country on defensive boards.
— Santa Clara is 3-4 against top 100 teams.
— Santa Clara’s schedule, to this point: #95
— bench minutes: #346
— Santa Clara’s best win: 73-58 over #24 Boise State
— Saint Mary’s (17-4, 6-0) ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #350
— Experience: #179
— Continuity: #60
— Saint Mary’s is 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in its WCC games.
— Opponents are shooting 43.2% inside arc (#11), 30.4% on arc (#51)
— Saint Mary’s is #1 team in country on defensive boards.
— Gaels are 6-3 against top 100 teams.
— Saint Mary’s is 2-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Saint Mary’s schedule, to this point: #76
— bench minutes: #348
— Saint Mary’s best win: 68-61 over #28 San Diego State
— Saint Mary’s won 67-64 at Santa Clara New Year’s Eve.
— Saint Mary’s is 4-3 in last seven meetings.
— Gaels won five of last six visits to Santa Clara.
— WCC double digit home favorites are 6-4 ATS.