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Udog

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 16


13 of Thursday’s best college hoop games

Purdue @ Maryland

— Purdue (23-3, 12-3) ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #320
— Experience: #286
— Continuity: #229
— Purdue lost 2 of last 3 games, after a 22-1 start.
— Purdue is 6-1 SU/2-3-1 ATS as a Big 14 road favorite.
— Boilers are #1 team in country on offensive boards.
— Purdue has #27 eFG% defense in country.
— Boilers are shooting 54.5% inside arc (#38)
— Purdue’s schedule, to this point: #33
— bench minutes: #158
— Purdue’s best win: 75-70 over #11 Marquette.

— Maryland (17-8, 8-6) ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #282
— Experience: #11
— Continuity: #158
— Maryland won five of its last six games.
— Terps won all seven of their Big 14 home games.
— Maryland is shooting 53.9% inside arc (#46), 30.4% on arc (#336)
— Maryland has #34 eFG% defense in country.
— Terps are 4-6 against top 50 teams.
— Maryland’s schedule, to this point: #44
— bench minutes: #296
— Maryland’s best win: 66-55 over #19 Indiana

— Maryland (+11) lost 58-55 at Purdue January 22.
— Teams combined to go 5-34 on the arc.
— Home team won last eight series games.
— Purdue lost its last three visits to Maryland.

Florida Atlantic @ Middle Tennessee
— Florida Atlantic (24-2, 14-1) ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #128
— Experience: #137
— Continuity: #26
— FAU won last three games, scoring 82.3 ppg.
— FAU gave up 80-86 points in its two losses.
— FAU is 6-1 SU/4-1 ATS as a C-USA road favorite.
— Owls have #30 eFG% in country.
— Owls are #23 team in country on defensive boards.
— FAU’s schedule, to this point: #143
— bench minutes: #12
— FAU’s best win: 76-74 at #48 Florida.

— Middle Tennessee (15-11, 8-7) ranked #127 by KenPom
— Tempo: #170
— Experience: #203
— Continuity: #21
— MTSU lost four of its last six games.
— MTSU is 5-2 SU/1-1 ATS as a C-USA home underdog.
— Blue Raiders are forcing turnovers 22% of time (#29)
— Blue Raiders are shooting 52.6% inside arc (#78)
— MTSU is #227 team in country on defensive boards.
— MTSU’s schedule, to this point: #106
— bench minutes: #215
— MTSU’s best win: 74-73 in OT over #65 UAB.

— FAU (-9) beat Blue Raiders 95-67 at home January 26.
— Owls won five of last seven series games.
— FAU lost five of last six visits to Murfreesboro.

Wichita State @ Temple
— Wichita State (13-12, 6-7) ranked #124 by KenPom
— Tempo: #244
— Experience: #285
— Continuity: #321
— Wichita State split its last eight games.
— Wichita State is 4-2 SU/6-0 ATS on AAC road.
— Shockers are shooting 52.3% inside arc (#85), 29.3% on arc (#351)
— Opponents are shooting 44.9% inside arc (#14), 32.1% on arc (#81)
— Wichita State is #230 team on defensive boards.
— Wichita State s schedule, to this point: #114
— bench minutes: #198
— Wichita State’s best win: 55-43 over #121 Grand Canyon.

— Temple (14-12, 8-5) ranked #109 by KenPom
— Tempo: #227
— Experience: #198
— Continuity: #52
— Temple lost its last three games, giving up 79.7 ppg.
— Owls are 3-3 SU/1-1 ATS as an AAC home favorite.
— Temple has #77 eFG% defense in country.
— Owls are #233 team in country on defensive boards.
— Temple is turning ball over 20.6% of time (#310)
— Temple’s schedule, to this point: #81
— bench minutes: #324
— Temple’s best win: 56-55 at #1 Houston

— Wichita State won five of last seven series games.
— Shockers lost 81-79OT/65-53 in last two visits to Temple.

North Texas @ Louisiana Tech
— North Texas (21-5, 12-3) ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #363
— Experience: #152
— Continuity: #140
— North Texas won its last six games.
— Mean Green is 6-1 SU/4-1 ATS as a C-USA road favorite.
— North Texas has #23 eFG% defense.
— Mean Green is shooting 47.6% inside arc (#282), 36% on arc (#74)
— North Texas is #30 team in country on offensive boards.
— North Texas’ schedule, to this point: #110
— bench minutes: #220
— North Texas’ best wins: 63-52/82-79 2OT over #65 UAB

— Louisiana Tech (13-12, 6-8) ranked #137 by KenPom
— Tempo: #203
— Experience: #145
— Continuity: #182
— Louisiana Tech lost six of its last nine games
— Bulldogs are 4-2 SU/0-1 ATS as a C-USA home underdog.
— Overall, Tech is 5-1 ATS as a C-USA underdog this year.
— Louisiana Tech has #80 eFG% offense.
— Bulldogs are forcing turnovers 22% of time (#30)
— Louisiana Tech’s schedule, to this point: #108
— bench minutes: #123
— Louisiana Tech’s best win: 79-76 at #132 Samford

— UNT (-9) beat Tech 67-65 at home January 11.
— North Texas led 36-18 at halftime.
— Mean Green won last six series games.
— Teams split their last four meetings in Ruston.

Old Dominion @ James Madison
— Old Dominion (16-10, 8-6) ranked #170 by KenPom
— Tempo: #309
— Experience: #235
— Continuity: #287
— Old Dominion won five of its last six games.
— All six games were decided by 6 or less points.
— Monarchs are 5-2 SU/4-1 ATS as Sun Belt road underdogs.
— Old Dominion is shooting 31.9% on arc (#278), 47% inside arc (#301)
— Monarchs are #50 team on offensive boards, #212 on defensive end.
— Old Dominion’s schedule, to this point: #194
— bench minutes: #133
— Old Dominion’s best win: 82-77 over #86 Furman

— James Madison (18-9, 9-5) ranked #100 by KenPom
— Tempo: #32
— Experience: #10
— Continuity: #35
— James Madison won seven of its last nine games.
— Dukes are 3-2 SU/2-3 ATS as a Sun Belt home favorite.
— James Madison is forcing turnovers 22.8% of time (#21)
— Dukes are getting 21% of points on foul line (#48)
— James Madison is 6-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— James Madison’s schedule, to this point: #202
— bench minutes: #16
— James Madison’s best win: 72-66 at #75 Marshall.

— JMU (+1.5) never trailed, won 78-73 at Old Dominion February 2.
— Dukes won last three series games, by 2-5-5 points.
— Monarchs split their last two visits to James Madison.

Central Florida @ Memphis
— Central Florida (15-9, 6-6) ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #322
— Experience: #166
— Continuity: #335
— UCF won its last two games, after an 0-5 skid.
— Knights are 2-4 SU/3-2 ATS as an AAC road dog.
— Knights are turning ball over 20.2% of time (#299)
— UCF is shooting 37% on arc (#33), 47.7% inside arc (#277)
— UCF is forcing turnovers 21% of time (#53)
— UCF’s schedule, to this point: #92
— bench minutes: #158
— UCF’s best win: 60-56 in OT over #30 Oklahoma State

— Memphis (19-6, 9-3) ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #16
— Experience: #9
— Continuity: #269
— Memphis won seven of its last eight games.
— Memphis is 4-1 SU/1-4 ATS as an AAC home favorite.
— Tigers are shooting 53.9% inside arc (#48).
— Tigers are forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#44)
— Memphis has #51 eFG% defense in country.
— Memphis’ schedule, to this point: #77
— bench minutes: #49
— Memphis’ best win: 82-73 over #18 Auburn.

— UCF(-1.5) beat Memphis 107-104 in 2OT’s January 11.
— Memphis led that game by 11 with 4:47 left.
— UCF made 16-35 on the arc.
— Tigers won seven of last nine series games.
— Knights lost their last four visits to Memphis.

Colorado @ Arizona State
— Colorado (14-12, 6-9) ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #60
— Experience: #293
— Continuity: #122
— Colorado lost six of its last nine games.
— Colorado is 1-7 SU/2-3 ATS as a Pac-12 road underdog.
— Buffs are turning ball over 19.5% of time (#258)
— Colorado has #241 eFG% in country.
— Buffs have #55 eFG% defense in country.
— Colorado’s schedule, to this point: #62
— bench minutes: #29
— Colorado’s best win: 78-66 over #4 Tennessee

— Arizona State (18-8, 9-6) ranked #67 by KenPom
— Tempo: #121
— Experience: #70
— Continuity: #241
— ASU won three of its last four games.
— ASU is 4-4 SU/1-4 ATS as a Pac-12 home favorite.
— ASU has #14 eFG% defense in country.
— Sun Devils are #274 team in country on defensive boards.
— Sun Devils are shooting 31.7% on arc (#289), 48.5% inside arc (#248)
— ASU’s schedule, to this point: #68
— bench minutes: #140
— ASU’s best win: 73-71 over #12 Creighton

— ASU (+9) won 60-59 at Colorado December 1.
— Buffs led 56-44 with 6:07 left in game.
— Colorado won four of last six meetings.
— Buffs won 68-81/75-57 in last two visits to Tempe.

Southern Mississippi @ South Alabama
— Southern Miss (23-4, 12-2) ranked #85 by KenPom
— Tempo: #137
— Experience: #56
— Continuity: #250
— USM won its last nine games (6-3 ATS).
— Eagles won four of six Sun Belt road games SU.
— Eagles are shooting 53.3% on the arc (#63)
— USM is forcing turnovers 20.5% of time (#72)
— USM is #77 team on offensive boards. #225 on defensive end.
— USM’s schedule, to this point: #217
— bench minutes: #255
— USM’s best win: 76-72 at #45 Liberty.

— South Alabama (13-14, 6-8) ranked #138 by KenPom
— Tempo: #221
— Experience: #194
— Continuity: #346
— South Alabama won five of its last six games
— Jaguars are 4-3 SU/2-2 ATS as a Sun Belt home favorite.
— South Alabama has #50 eFG% defense in country.
— Jaguars are shooting 53.2% inside arc (#65), 32.2% on arc (#268)
— South Alabama is 1-6 against top 100 teams.
— South Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #162
— bench minutes: #309
— South Alabama’s best win: 63-62 over #99 James Madison.

— Southern Miss (-6.5) beat USA 76-72 at home January 19.
— Jaguars had won previous three meetings.

Santa Clara @ BYU
— Santa Clara (19-8, 7-5) ranked #92 by KenPom
— Tempo: #58
— Experience: #179
— Continuity: #132
— Santa Clara won its last three games, scoring 78 ppg.
— Broncos are 3-2 SU/2-2 ATS as an WCC road underdog.
— Santa Clara is shooting 49.6% inside arc (#210), 36.5% on arc (#54)
— Santa Clara has #233 eFG% defense.
— Broncos are 7-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Santa Clara’s schedule, to this point: #86
— bench minutes: #341
— Santa Clara’s best win: 73-58 over #28 Boise State

— BYU (16-12, 6-7) ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #40
— Experience: #289
— Continuity: #227
— BYU lost five of its last seven games.
— Cougars are 4-2 SU/3-1 ATS as a WCC home favorite.
— BYU is turning ball over 20.9% of time (#321)
— BYU is shooting 53.4% inside arc (#61), 32% on arc (#278)
— Cougars are #16 team in country on defensive boards.
— BYU’s schedule, to this point: #84
— bench minutes: #46
— BYU’s best win: 83-80 over #11 Creighton

— Santa Clara (+2) beat BYU 83-76 at home January 19.
— BYU is 4-3 in last seven series games, after a 13-0 run.
— Broncos lost their last nine visits to Provo.

Utah @ Arizona
— Utah (17-9, 10-5) ranked #47 by KenPom
— Tempo: #239
— Experience: #183
— Continuity: #51
— Utah won five of its last seven games.
— Utah is 4-3 SU/3-2 ATS as a Pac-12 road underdog.
— Utah has #4 eFG% defense in country.
— Utes are #80 team on offensive boards.
— Utes are 3-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Utah’s schedule, to this point: #93
— bench minutes: #281
— Utah’s best win: 81-66 over #13 Arizona

— Arizona (22-4, 11-4) ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #8
— Experience: #61
— Continuity: #165
— Arizona won seven of its last eight games
— Wildcats are 6-1 SU/4-3 ATS as a Pac-12 home favorite.
— Arizona is shooting 56.6% inside arc (#11), 36.8% on arc (#44)
— Wildcats are #43 team on offensive boards, #86 on defensive end.
— Arizona has #41 eFG% defense.
— Arizona’s schedule, to this point: #54
— bench minutes: #289
— Arizona’s best win: 58-52 over #3 UCLA

— Utah (+6) beat Arizona 81-66 at home December 1.
— Teams split last six series games.
— Utes lost their last nine visits to Tucson.

Weber State @ Sacramento State
— Weber State (13-13, 8-5) ranked #217 by KenPom
— Tempo: #275
— Experience: #146
— Continuity: #219
— Weber State lost three of its last five games.
— Wildcats split their six Big Sky road games SU.
— Weber State has #324 eFG% defense in country.
— Wildcats are turning ball over 19.8% of time (#268)
— Weber State is 5-4 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Weber State’s schedule, to this point: #138
— bench minutes: #170
— Weber State’s best win: 75-72 at #39 Utah State

— Sacramento State (12-14, 5-8) ranked #234 by KenPom
— Tempo: #358
— Experience: #64
— Continuity: #273
— Sacramento lost five in row, seven of last eight games.
— Hornets lost five of seven Big Sky games SU.
— Hornets are turning ball over 20.2% of time (#298)
— Sacramento has #290 eFG% defense in country.
— Sacramento is #39 team on offensive boards, #49 on defensive end.
— Sacramento’s schedule, to this point: #173
— bench minutes: #262
— Sacramento’s best win: 76-74 over #146 Long Beach State

— Weber State (-5) beat Sacramento 50-48 at home January 21.
— Wildcats won last five series games.
— Weber State won 82-73/79-59 in last two visits to Sacramento.

Stanford @ UCLA
— Stanford (11-14, 5-9) ranked #98 by KenPom
— Tempo: #279
— Experience: #144
— Continuity: #10
— Stanford won six of its last eight games.
— Cardinal is 1-5 SU/3-2 ATS as a Pac-12 road underdog.
— Stanford is turning ball over 19.6% of time (#260)
— Cardinal is #62 team in country on defensive boards.
— Stanford is 3-11 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Stanford’s schedule, to this point: #63
— bench minutes: #108
— Stanford’s best win: 88-79 over #13 Arizona

— UCLA (21-4, 12-2) ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #256
— Experience: #105
— Continuity: #150
— UCLA won its last four games, giving up 55.8 ppg.
— Bruins are 6-0 SU/3-3 ATS as a Pac-12 home favorite.
— UCLA is forcing turnovers 25% of time (#4)
— UCLA is #20 team in country on offensive boards.
— Bruins are shooting 36.2% on the arc (#67)
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— UCLA’s schedule, to this point: #39
— bench minutes: #273
— UCLA’s best win: 87-60 at #23 Maryland.

— UCLA (-6) beat Stanford 80-66 at Maples December 1.
— UCLA led that game 32-9 early on.
— Bruins won seven of last ten series games.
— Stanford lost 14 of last 15 games in Pauley (won in 2020)

Gonzaga @ LMU
— Gonzaga (21-5, 10-2) ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #42
— Experience: #42
— Continuity: #19
— Gonzaga is 5-1 since being upset by LMU January 19.
— Zags are 5-1 SU/1-4 ATS as a WCC road favorite.
— Gonzaga is shooting 57.7% inside arc (#7), 37.6% on arc (#23)
— Zags are #63 team on defensive boards.
— Gonzaga has #258 eFG% defense in country.
— Gonzaga’s schedule, to this point: #40
— bench minutes: #334
— Gonzaga’s best win: 100-90 over #2 Alabama

— LMU (17-10, 7-6) ranked #95 by KenPom
— Tempo: #178
— Experience: #31
— Continuity: #105
— LMU lost three of its last four games.
— LMU is 5-1 SU/1-0 ATS as a WCC home underdog.
— Lions are shooting 52.2% inside arc (#88), 36.5% on arc (#53)
— Lions are #36 team in country on defensive boards.
— Opponents are shooting 51.2% inside arc (#231)
— LMU’s schedule, to this point: #90
— bench minutes: #147
— LMU’s best win: 78-74 in OT over #7 Saint Mary’s

— LMU (+15) upset Gonzaga 68-67 in Spokane January 19.
— Before that, Gonzaga had won the previous 25 series games.
— Zags haven’t lost in Gersten Pavilion since 2010.
 

Udog

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Dunkel

Thursday, February 16


7nPNukc.png
 

Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 16
SFPA at SFBK02:00 PMSFBK -1.0
U 136.0
+500 +500
PUR at MD06:30 PMPUR -1.0
U 132.0
+500 +500
TXST at APP06:30 PMAPP -4.5
U 122.5
+500 +500
ODU at JMU07:00 PMODU +8.0
O 141.5
+500 +500
HAMP at HOF07:00 PMHAMP +17.0
O 148.0
+500 +500
UNCW at DREX07:00 PMDREX +1.0
O 125.5
+500 +500
CWM at STON07:00 PMCWM +4.0
O 129.5
+500 +500
DEL at TOWS07:00 PMDEL +7.5
O 136.0
+500 +500
MONM at NE07:00 PMNE -5.0
U 136.0
+500 +500
GSU at CCU07:00 PMGSU +0.0
O 140.5
+500 +500
WKU at CHAR07:00 PMWKU +3.5
O 130.5
+500 +500
WICH at TEM07:00 PMTEM -4.5
U 137.0
+500 +500
WAG at CCSU07:00 PMWAG +1.5
O 121.5
+500 +500
FDU at SH07:00 PMFDU +2.0
O 155.5
+500 +500
WIGB at RMU07:00 PMWIGB +14.0
O 129.0
+500 +500
QNC at JVST07:00 PMQNC +1.5
O 144.5
+500 +500
UNCA at RAD07:00 PMUNCA +4.5
O 136.0
+500 +500
LIB at KENN07:00 PMLIB -6.5
O 137.0
+500 +500
FAU at MTU07:00 PMFAU -4.5
O 144.5
+500 +500
UNT at LT07:00 PMUNT -3.5
U 119.0
+500 +500
MILW at YSU07:00 PMYSU -10.0
U 156.5
+500 +500
HOU at SMU07:00 PMHOU -15.5
O 138.5
+500 +500
GASO at MRSH07:00 PMGASO +13.0
O 146.5
+500 +500
MW at HART07:00 PMMW -8.5
U 123.5
+500 +500
COFC at ELON07:00 PMCOFC -13.5
U 149.0
+500 +500
LIU at STONE07:00 PMSTONE -12.5
O 136.5
+500 +500
CARK at EKY07:30 PMCARK +12.5
O 162.5
+500 +500
NORAL at BELL07:30 PMNORAL +3.5
O 137.5
+500 +500
COLO at ASU08:00 PMASU -4.0
U 137.0
+500 +500
EIU at SEMO08:00 PMSEMO -8.5
U 149.5
+500 +500
JAC at PEAY08:00 PMJAC -2.5
U 125.0
+500 +500
USM at USA08:00 PMUSM -1.0
O 140.5
+500 +500
ULM at ULL08:00 PMULL -13.0
U 139.5
+500 +500
UNF at LIP08:00 PMLIP -7.5
O 152.0
+500 +500
UND at ORU08:00 PMORU -19.0
U 156.5
+500 +500
NDSU at KC08:00 PMKC +2.0
U 135.0
+500 +500
UCF at MEM08:00 PMUCF +6.5
O 149.5
+500 +500
UTSA at RICE08:00 PMRICE -11.5
O 153.0
+500 +500
AMCC at NICH08:00 PMAMCC +1.5
O 152.5
+500 +500
HCU at LAM08:00 PMLAM -1.0
O 150.5
+500 +500
SDAK at NEOM08:00 PMSDAK +1.0
O 145.5
+500 +500
LNDNWD at TNTC08:30 PMTNTC -7.0
O 135.5
+500 +500
TROY at ARST08:30 PMTROY -6.0
U 129.5
+500 +500
SIND at UALR08:30 PMSIND -2.0
O 156.5
+500 +500
IW at MCNS08:30 PMMCNS -5.5
U 137.0
+500 +500
SMC at USD09:00 PMUSD +13.5
O 137.0
+500 +500
SCU at BYU09:00 PMBYU -5.0
O 149.0
+500 +500
TNST at MORE09:00 PMMORE -5.0
O 135.5
+500 +500
SIUE at UTM09:00 PMUTM -1.5
U 150.5
+500 +500
UNO at TAMCOM09:00 PMTAMCOM -7.5
U 144.0
+500 +500
SDST at DEN09:00 PMSDST -4.0
O 144.5
+500 +500
OSU at IOWA09:00 PMIOWA -7.5
U 152.5
+500 +500
UAB at UTEP09:00 PMUAB -6.0
U 141.0
+500 +500
NAU at EWU09:00 PMEWU -10.5
O 151.0
+500 +500
UNCO at IDHO09:00 PMUNCO -1.5
U 151.5
+500 +500
SELA at NWST09:00 PMNWST -6.5
O 151.0
+500 +500
CAL at USC10:00 PMUSC -16.0
O 130.0
+500 +500
UTAH at ARIZ10:00 PMUTAH +11.0
O 146.0
+500 +500
IDST at PRST10:00 PMPRST -4.5
U 145.5
+500 +500
WEB at CSUS10:00 PMCSUS -1.5
U 126.0
+500 +500
GONZ at LMU11:00 PMLMU +8.5
O 156.5
+500 +500
SF at PAC11:00 PMPAC +5.0
O 153.0
+500 +500
ORST at WSU11:00 PMORST +13.0
U 122.5
+500 +500
STAN at UCLA11:00 PMSTAN +13.5
O 129.5
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack
Early odds to win next year’s Super Bowl:
6-1— Buffalo/Kansas City
8-1— Philadelphia/San Francisco
10-1— Cincinnati
16-1— Dallas
20-1— Baltimore, Jacksonville, LA Chargers
25-1— Detroit

Quote of the Day
“It is very difficult to adjust to it……I hope we get a dome.”
Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields, talking about the Chicago weather

Friday’s quiz
Who did the New York Knicks play, last time they were in the NBA Finals?

Thursday’s quiz
In the football movie Any Given Sunday, Cameron Diaz played the owner of the Miami Sharks.

Wednesday’s quiz
Before they moved to Oakland in 1968, Oakland A’s called two other cities home; Kansas City and Philadelphia.

****************************

Friday’s Den: Identifying trends for this year’s NCAA tournament

Are there any characteristics that can identify teams that will win the college basketball national title? I’ve studied the last six national champs, and came up with some trends:

— Last five national champs were #1-seeds; Villanova was a #2-seed when they won in 2016, Duke was a #1-seed when they won in 2015.

In 2014, 7-seed UConn beat 8-seed Kentucky in the national title game; since that year, six of the seven national champs have been #1-seeds.

The teams that lost the last seven national title games: four #1-seeds, two #3-seeds and a #8-seed (North Carolina last year)

Power conference teams have ruled the tournament, which doesn’t bode well for Houston in this year’s event.

— Tempo/pace of play— Nothing here; last six national champs have been all over the board as far as tempo goes.

— Offensive efficiency— This one is huge; last six national champs were all in the top 10 in this category. As I type this, that would narrow the potential national champs to:

Baylor
Gonzaga
Houston
Marquette
Iowa
Missouri
Xavier
Miami
Arizona
Purdue

— Defensive efficiency— Last six national champs were all in the top 25 in this category; there are five SEC teams in top 25 defensive efficiency.

— eFG%— This is same as regular FG%, except 3-pointers count as 1.5 baskets made. Five of the last six national champs were in the top 30 in this category.

— eFG% defense— Little bit of a mixed bag; Baylor was #121 two years ago, North Carolina was #71 in 2017. Doesn’t seem to be as important as the offensive end.

— 2-point FG%— Four of last six national champs were in top 50 in 2-point FG%.

— Point distribution— There seems to be no correlation, none, to how national champs got their points. This especially applies to foul shots; of the last six champs, Kansas last year (#184) ranked in the top 200 of getting their points on the foul line.

To beat quality teams, you cannot depend on getting the best of the whistles. Fewer fouls are called in March; guys have to play through contact to have success.

— Non-conference strength of schedule— Baylor ’21/Virginia ’19 had terrible non-conference schedules; the other four champs ranked in the top 90, but Kansas LY (#49) had the only top 50 non-conference schedules.

— Overall strength of schedule— This indicates a trend: five of the last six national champs had an overall strength of schedule in the top 25, pointing us towards the power conferences to pick our national champ. Baylor is 2021 (#54) is the lone exception from the last six years.

— Depth— This one is surprising; of the last six national champs, only North Carolina in 2017 (#69) had bench minutes in the top 200. TV timeouts are longer in the NCAA’s; depth doesn’t mean as much.

— Experience— Of the last six national champs, only Baylor in 2021 was in the top 100 in this category; talent is more important than experience, and there is no metric that measures talent.

— Continuity— This category helps some; four of the last six national champs had a continuity in the top 80, with Baylor (#31), Kansas (#45) winning the last two years. In this day and age when kids transfer a lot, talented teams that bond over a period of 2-3 years have an advantage.

In Thursday’s play……..
Maryland 68, Purdue 54— Purdue had only two players score more than 6 points; they’ve now lost three of their last four games, after a 22-1 start. Boilermakers scored 54-58 points in their last two games.

Gonzaga 108, LMU 65— Zags avenged an earlier loss to LMU; they led 68-28 at halftime.

Middle Tennessee 74, Florida Atlantic 70— Owls are 3-2 in their last five games, after a 21-1 start; they’ve given up 80 ppg in their last three games.

Iowa 92, Ohio State 75— Buckeyes are in free fall; they’ve lost seven in row, 12 of last 13 games- they’re shooting 46.1% inside arc in Big 14 games.

Memphis 64, UCF 63— Tigers led 43-35 at halftime; they hung on to win, scoring 20 points in second half. Memphis turned ball over 24 times; they’ve won eight of their last nine games.

NC-Wilmington 72, Drexel 71, 2OT— Drexel led by 15 early, by 4 with 1:16 left in the first OT. Dragons were just 13-21 on foul line in a one-point loss. UNCW won six of its last seven games; the last two seasons, Seahawks are 48-16, 28-8 in CAA play.

Southern Indiana 82, Little Rock 81— Trojans lost 11 of their last 14 games; five of their last six losses are by 4 or less points.

South Alabama 85, Southern Miss 54— Golden Eagles had won nine games in a row, but South Alabama shot 74% inside the arc in this game. USM leads Marshall/Louisiana by one game each in Sun Belt standings.

— RIP Tim McCarver, who passed away at age 81. McCarver caught in the major leagues for 21 years, appearing in four different decades. He then became one of the game’s best TV analysts, working 24 World Series.

McCarver was especially good as a TV analyst for the Mets in the late 80’s; he was great when he worked every day on.a local broadcast, as opposed to only once a week on network TV. I learned a lot listening to him every night.

RIP, sir.
 

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CORNELL is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

KENT ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.

RIDER is 9-2 Over (6.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

DAYTON is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers in the current season.

CLEVELAND ST is 30-15 ATS (13.5 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

FAIRFIELD is 8-1 Under (6.9 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

IONA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 in the current season.

NIAGARA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the current season.

COLUMBIA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

BROWN is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

IUPU-FT WAYNE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 in the last 3 seasons.

PENNSYLVANIA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after playing a game as an underdog in the current season.

SIENA is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

SOUTHERN UTAH is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the last 3 seasons.

WYOMING is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

NEW MEXICO is 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers in the current season.

GRAND CANYON is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in home games against conference opponents in the current season.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 17


13 of Friday’s best college hoop games

Dartmouth @ Cornell

— Dartmouth (9-15, 5-5) ranked #272 by KenPom
— Tempo: #121
— Experience: #358
— Continuity: #255
— Dartmouth is 5-4 SU in its last nine games.
— Dartmouth is 2-2 SU/3-1 ATS as an Ivy road underdog.
— Big Green is turning ball over 20% of time (#283)
— Dartmouth has #250 eFG% in country.
— Big Green is 4-2 in Ivy League games decided by 7 or less points.
— Dartmouth’s schedule, to this point: #186
— bench minutes: #3
— Dartmouth’s best win: 81-77 at #75 Yale

— Cornell (15-8, 5-5) ranked #119 by KenPom
— Tempo: #21
— Experience: #332
— Continuity: #89
— Cornell lost four of last five games, giving up 85.8 ppg.
— Big Red is 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS as an Ivy League home favorite.
— Cornell is shooting 58.6% inside arc (#4), 35.4% on arc (#102)
— Cornell has #352 eFG% defense in country.
— Big Red is forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#28)
— Cornell’s schedule, to this point: #200
— bench minutes: #11
— Cornell’s best win: 94-82 over #75 Yale

— Cornell (-8.5) won 74-63 at Dartmouth December 1.
— Big Red won eight of last 11 series games.
— Dartmouth lost five of its last six visits to Ithaca.
— Ivy League home favorites of 8+ points are 5-6 ATS.

Yale @ Penn
— Yale (17-6, 7-3) ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #247
— Experience: #336
— Continuity: #116
— Yale won its last six games, giving up 61.2 ppg in last five.
— Yale is 2-2 SU/2-1 ATS as an Ivy League road favorite.
— Yale is #8 team in country on defensive boards.
— Bulldogs have #62 eFG% in country.
— Opponents are shooting 45.5% inside arc (#23)
— Yale’s schedule, to this point: #236
— bench minutes: #201
— Yale’s best win: 73-44 over #118 Vermont

— Penn (14-11, 6-4) ranked #140 by KenPom
— Tempo: #215
— Experience: #249
— Continuity: #6
— Penn won its last five games, scoring 81 ppg.
— Penn won three of its four Ivy home games SU.
— Quakers are 4-5 ATS as an underdog this season.
— Quakers have #59 eFG% in country
— Penn is 3-2 in Ivy games decided by 8 or less points.
— Penn’s schedule, to this point: #175
— bench minutes: #113
— Penn’s best win: 81-69 over #112 Colgate

— Yale (-6) beat Penn 70-63 at home January 21.
— Teams split their last 12 meetings.
— Yale lost its last five games at Penn, by 9-23-11-8-8 points.
— Ivy League home underdogs of 4 or less points are 4-3 ATS

Brown @ Princeton
— Brown (13-10, 6-4) ranked #165 by KenPom
— Tempo: #116
— Experience: #305
— Continuity: #56
— Brown won six of its last eight games.
— Brown is 2-2 SU/3-0 ATS as an Ivy road underdog.
— Bears are turning ball over 19.5% of time (#257)
— Brown is shooting 61.8% inside arc (#361), 35.4% on arc (#99)
— Bears are #11 team on defensive boards.
— Brown’s schedule, to this point: #248
— bench minutes: #156
— Brown’s best win: 80-66 over #119 Cornell.

— Princeton (16-7, 7-3) ranked #120 by KenPom
— Tempo: #166
— Experience: #317
— Continuity: #172
— Princeton is 4-3 SU in its last seven games.
— Tigers are 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS as an Ivy home favorite.
— Princeton is shooting 55.7% inside arc (#17)
— Tigers are #5 team in country on defensive boards.
— Princeton is 7-6 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Princeton’s schedule, to this point: #261
— bench minutes: #302
— Princeton’s best wins: 75-68/89-82 over #119 Cornell

— Princeton (-4) lost 72-70 at Brown January 14.
— Tigers led by 10 early in second half.
— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Brown split their last four visits to Princeton.
— Ivy League home favorites of 6+ points are 7-8 ATS

Canisius @ Rider
— Canisius (6-18, 4-11) ranked #278 by KenPom
— Tempo: #163
— Experience: #197
— Continuity: #201
— Canisius lost six of its last seven games.
— Griffins are 2-6 SU/4-3 ATS as a MAAC road underdog.
— Canisius has #306 eFG% defense.
— Griffins are #284 team in country on defensive boards.
— Canisius is shooting 45.8% inside arc (#326), 33.1% on arc (#222)
— Canisius’ schedule, to this point: #168
— bench minutes: #77
— Canisius’ best win: 85-65 over #157 Quinnipiac

— Rider (14-9, 11-3) ranked #177 by KenPom
— Tempo: #290
— Experience: #23
— Continuity: #28
— Rider won its last eight games (5-3 ATS)
— Broncs are 5-1 SU/1-5 ATS as a MAAC home favorite.
— Rider is #22 team in country on offensive boards.
— Rider has #251 eFG% in country.
— Broncs are 8-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Rider’s schedule, to this point: #294
— bench minutes: #223
— Rider’s best win: 70-67 at #77 Iona

— Rider (-1.5) beat Canisius 66-64 on Niagara’s court December 31.
— Rider was 14-18 on foul line, Canisius 1-8
— Broncs won four of last five series games.
— Canisius lost 61-60/70-62 in last two visits to Rider.
— Ivy League home favorites of 6+ points are 7-8 ATS

Niagara @ Mt St Mary’s
— Niagara (14-10, 9-6) ranked #239 by KenPom
— Tempo: #351
— Experience: #193
— Continuity: #259
— Niagara won five of its last six games.
— Niagara is 4-3 SU in its MAAC road games.
— Opponents are shooting 47% inside arc (#60), 35.1% on arc (#252)
— Niagara is shooting 49.6% inside arc (#213).
— Eagles are 11-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Niagara’s schedule, to this point: #271
— bench minutes: #239
— Niagara’s best wins: 64-60/79-73 OT over #157 Quinnipiac

— Mt St Mary’s (8-18, 4-11) ranked #294 by KenPom
— Tempo: #250
— Experience: #53
— Continuity: #85
— Mt St Mary’s lost 12 of its last 15 games.
— MSM lost six of its seven MAAC home games SU.
— Mt St Mary’s is turning ball over 21.2% of time (#327)
— MSM is shooting 44.4% inside arc (#343), 36.4% on arc (#60)
— Mt St Mary’s is #255 team in country on defensive boards.
— Mt St Mary’s schedule, to this point: #281
— bench minutes: #152
— Mt St Mary’s best win: 79-75 at #157 Quinnipiac

— Niagara (-2.5) beat Mt St Mary’s 67-55 at home December 31.
— MAAC home teams are 6-14 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

Manhattan @ Iona
— Manhattan (9-14, 7-7) ranked #293 by KenPom
— Tempo: #179
— Experience: #128
— Continuity: #170
— Manhattan won three of its last four games.
— Jaspers are 3-3 SU/4-1-1 ATS as an MAAC road dog.
— Jaspers are turning ball over 20.7% of time (#315)
— Manhattan is #353 in country on defensive boards.
— Manhattan is forcing turnovers 21.3% of time (#41)
— Manhattan’s schedule, to this point: #321
— bench minutes: #252
— Manhattan’s best win: 71-66 in OT over #167 Siena

— Iona (18-7, 11-3) ranked #77 by KenPom
— Tempo: #87
— Experience: #227
— Continuity: #197
— Iona won its last five games, covered last four.
— Iona is 6-1 SU/3-4 ATS as a MAAC home favorite.
— Gaels are forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#44)
— Gaels have #19 eFG% defense in country.
— Iona is #297 team in country on defensive boards.
— Iona’s schedule, to this point: #197
— bench minutes: #235
— Iona’s best win: 84-62 over #102 Saint Louis

— Iona (-13) won 84-76 in OT at Manhattan January 20.
— Iona blew a 15-point 2nd half lead in that game.
— Gaels won 12 of last 15 series games (4-3 last seven).
— Jaspers lost their last nine visits to New Rochelle.
— MAAC double digit home favorites are 3-5 ATS

Dayton @ Loyola Chi
— Dayton (17-9, 9-4) ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #339
— Experience: #164
— Continuity: #8
— Dayton won four of its last five games.
— Dayton is 3-3 SU/2-3 ATS as an A-15 road favorite.
— Flyers are turning ball over 19.9% of time (#276)
— Dayton is shooting 54.5% inside arc (#33)
— Flyers have #8 eFG% defense in country.
— Dayton’s schedule, to this point: #154
— bench minutes: #273
— Dayton’s best win: 62-58 at #84 VCU.

— Loyola Chi (9-16, 3-10) ranked #246 by KenPom
— Tempo: #260
— Experience: #157
— Continuity: #252
— Loyola lost 11 of its last 14 games.
— Loyola is 2-4 SU/1-2 ATS as an A-15 home underdog.
— Loyola is turning ball over 23.1% of time (#358)
— Ramblers are shooting 55.2% inside arc (#24)
— Ramblers are 3-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Loyola’s schedule, to this point: #160
— bench minutes: #206
— Loyola’s best win: 76-58 over #73 Clemson

— Dayton (-15) beat Loyola 85-81 in OT at home January 31.
— Loyola led by 8 with 9:57 left in regulation.
— A-15 home underdogs of 5+ points are 5-3 ATS.

Wright State @ Cleveland State
— Wright State (16-11, 9-7) ranked #177 by KenPom
— Tempo: #17
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #62
— Wright State won its last three games, scoring 89.3 ppg.
— Raiders are 4-2 SU/3-1 ATS as a Horizon road underdog.
— Raiders are shooting 54.5% inside the arc (#36)
— Wright State is #54 team on defensive boards.
— Wright State is 4-5 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Wright State’s schedule, to this point: #329
— bench minutes: #195
— Wright State’s best win: 77-61 over #184 Abilene Christian

— Cleveland State (16-11, 8-5) ranked #192 by KenPom
— Tempo: #296
— Experience: #134
— Continuity: #203
— Cleveland State won five of its last seven games
— Vikings are 6-1 SU/3-4 ATS as a Sun Belt home favorite.
— Cleveland State is forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#54)
— Vikings are #27 team on offensive boards, #359 on defensive end.
— CSU is shooting 31.2% on arc (#315), 69.3% on foul line (#263)
— Cleveland State’s schedule, to this point: #287
— bench minutes: #277
— Cleveland State’s best win: 81-78 over #108 Youngstown State

— Vikings (+3.5) never trailed, won 85-77 in Dayton January 21.
— Cleveland State won five of last seven series games.
— Wright State lost 81-74 OT/85-75 in last two visits to Cleveland.
— Horizon home favorites of 3 or less points are 10-6 ATS

Northern Kentucky @ Fort Wayne
— Northern Kentucky (16-11, 11-5) ranked #209 by KenPom
— Tempo: #356
— Experience: #87
— Continuity: #23
— NKU lost three of its last five games.
— Norse is 3-3 SU/1-1 ATS as a Horizon road favorite.
— NKU is shooting 47.5% inside arc (#290).
— NKU has #268 eFG% defense.
— Norse is forcing turnovers 24.5% of time (#6)
— NKU’s schedule, to this point: #302
— bench minutes: #263
— NKU’s best win: 64-51 over #66 Cincinnati.

— Fort Wayne (15-12, 7-9) ranked #230 by KenPom
— Tempo: #103
— Experience: #2
— Continuity: #5
— Fort Wayne lost its last three games, giving up 79 ppg.
— Mastodons are 3-4 SU/0-7 ATS in Horizon home games.
— Opponents are shooting 55.5% inside arc (#348)
— Fort Wayne is turning ball over 19.4% of time (#250)
— Mastodons are 6-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Fort Wayne’s schedule, to this point: #291
— bench minutes: #292
— Fort Wayne’s best win: 76-71 at #108 Youngstown State

— NKU (-3) beat Fort Wayne 74-54 at home January 21.
— Norse won five of six series games.
— Horizon home underdogs of 4 or less points are 2-4 ATS.

Detroit @ Oakland
— Detroit (11-16, 7-9) ranked #206 by KenPom
— Tempo: #168
— Experience: #54
— Continuity: #285
— Detroit won three of its last four games.
— Detroit is 3-6 SU/2-5 ATS as a Horizon road underdog.
— Detroit is shooting 46.3% inside arc (#320), 39.2% on arc (#7)
— Titans are getting 40.7% of their points on the arc (#5)
— Titans have #319 eFG% defense in country.
— Detroit’s schedule, to this point: #221
— bench minutes: #111
— Detroit’s best win: 70-49 over #128 Charlotte

— Oakland (12-16, 10-7) ranked #263 by KenPom
— Tempo: #134
— Experience: #52
— Continuity: #46
— Oakland won three of its last four games
— Grizzlies are 5-2 SU/2-2-1 ATS as a Horizon home favorite.
— Oakland is shooting 30.8% on arc (#329)
— Grizzlies are #329 team on defensive boards.
— Oakland has #330 eFG% defense.
— Oakland’s schedule, to this point: #205
— bench minutes: #359
— Oakland’s best win: 75-73 at #177 Wright State

— Oakland (+5) won 76-67 at Detroit January 24.
— Oakland won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Titans lost four of last five visits to Oakland.
— Horizon home favorites of 3 or less points are 10-6 ATS

Quinnipiac @ Siena
— Quinnipiac (17-9, 8-7) ranked #157 by KenPom
— Tempo: #55
— Experience: #125
— Continuity: #45
— Quinnipiac lost its last three games, giving up 81 ppg.
— Bobcats are 3-4 SU/1-1 ATS as MAAC road underdogs.
— Quinnipiac has #39 eFG% defense in country.
— Bobcats are shooting 47.5% inside arc (#289)
— Quinnipiac is 8-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Quinnipiac’s schedule, to this point: #296
— bench minutes: #90
— Quinnipiac’s best win: 81-58 over #77 Iona

— Siena (17-9, 11-4) ranked #167 by KenPom
— Tempo: #204
— Experience: #241
— Continuity: #128
— Siena is 5-4 SU in its last nine games.
— Saints is 6-2 SU/2-5 ATS as a MAAC home favorite.
— Saints are shooting 48.1% inside arc (#265), 36.1% on arc (#74)
— Siena is getting 21.1% of points on foul line (#44)
— Siena is #40 team on defensive boards.
— Siena’s schedule, to this point: #309
— bench minutes: #162
— Siena’s best win: 60-55 over #60 Seton Hall.

— Siena (+3) won 83-76 at Quinnipiac December 30.
— Saints won five of last six series games.
— Bobcats lost 84-61/85-76 in last two visits to Albany.
— MAAC home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-16 ATS

Air Force @ Wyoming
— Air Force (13-14, 4-10) ranked #158 by KenPom
— Tempo: #350
— Experience: #315
— Continuity: #67
— Air Force lost seven of its last eight games.
— Falcons are 2-5 SU/4-3 ATS as a MW road underdog.
— Air Force has #25 eFG% in country.
— Falcons are #218 team in country on defensive boards.
— Air Force is 12-5 vs teams ranked outside the top 100.
— Air Force’s schedule, to this point: #121
— bench minutes: #110
— Air Force’s best win: 89-77 over #63 New Mexico.

— Wyoming (8-17, 3-10) ranked #150 by KenPom
— Tempo: #284
— Experience: #39
— Continuity: #50
— Wyoming is 3-4 SU in its last seven games.
— Cowboys are 2-4 SU in their MW home games.
— Wyoming is 2-3 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Wyoming has #305 eFG% defense in country.
— Cowboys are shooting 52.3% inside arc (#85)
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Wyoming’s schedule, to this point: #69
— bench minutes: #13
— Wyoming’s best win: 70-56 at #63 New Mexico.

— Air Force (-3) beat Wyoming 82-74 at home January 17.
— Falcons trailed by 12 early; they made 10-25 on arc.
— Teams split their last ten meetings.
— Air Force is 3-4 SU in its last seven visits to Laramie.
— Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 12-8 ATS.

New Mexico @ San Jose State
— New Mexico (19-7, 6-7) ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #27
— Experience: #86
— Continuity: #57
— New Mexico lost its last four games, giving up 80 ppg
— Lobos are 2-4 SU/1-2 ATS as a MW road underdog.
— New Mexico is shooting 53.2% inside arc (#63), 35.3% on arc (#105)
— Lobos are #51 team on defensive boards.
— Check status of injured New Mexico star House (missed last 2 games)
— New Mexico’s schedule, to this point: #93
— bench minutes: #335
— New Mexico’s best win: 69-65 at #8 Saint Mary’s

— San Jose State (16-10, 7-6) ranked #93 by KenPom
— Tempo: #348
— Experience: #192
— Continuity: #47
— San Jose won three of its last four games.
— San Jose is 5-1 SU/2-0 ATS as a MW home favorite.
— Spartans are shooting 52.3% inside arc (#88).
— Spartans are #32 team on offensive boards, #19 on defensive end.
— Opponents are shooting 46.5% inside arc (#47)
— San Jose’s schedule, to this point: #76
— bench minutes: #336
— San Jose’s best win: 69-64 over #39 Utah State

— Lobos (-10) beat San Jose State 77-57 at home January 17.
— New Mexico won five of last seven meetings.
— Lobos lost their last three visits to San Jose.
— Mountain West home favorites of 3 or less points are 7-7 ATS.
 

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Friday, February 17


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Trend Report
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Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
30,378
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48
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 17
CAN at RID07:00 PMRID -6.0
U 140.5
+500 +500
MAN at IONA07:00 PMMAN +16.0
O 141.5
+500 +500
NIAG at MSM07:00 PMNIAG +1.0
U 124.5
+500 +500
FAIR at MRST07:00 PMFAIR -2.0
O 127.0
+500 +500
BRWN at PRIN07:00 PMPRIN -6.5
U 143.5
+500 +500
YALE at PENN07:00 PMYALE -3.0
U 142.0
+500 +500
HARV at CLMB07:00 PMHARV -10.5
U 138.0
+500 +500
DAY at L-IL07:00 PML-IL +7.0
O 131.0
+500 +500
WRST at CLEVST07:00 PMCLEVST -2.0
O 150.0
+500 +500
DETU at OAK07:00 PMOAK -2.0
O 154.0
+500 +500
NKU at PFW07:00 PMNKU -3.0
O 132.5
+500 +500
QUIN at SIE09:00 PMSIE -2.5
O 141.0
+500 +500
UTECH at SUU09:00 PMSUU -8.5
O 156.0
+500 +500
AFA at WYO10:00 PMWYO -5.0
O 130.5
+500 +500
UNM at SJSU10:30 PMSJSU -1.5
O 143.5
+500 +500
ACU at GRC11:00 PMACU +6.5
O 144.5
+500 +500
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the World Baseball Championship
2-1— Dominican Republic
5-2— United States
7-2— Japan
9-1— Puerto Rico
18-1— Cuba, Korea, Venezuela
30-1— Chinese Taipei
40-1— Mexico

Quote of the Day
“And with college basketball, if you can pick a Final 4 or National Champion – you have a crystal ball. I’ve never seen such parity in my life. Anyone can win it this year”
Rick Pitino

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie The Rewrite, Hugh Grant plays a Hollywood screenwriter who teaches a writing course at which northeastern college?

Friday’s quiz
Last time New York Knicks were in the NBA Finals, they lost in five games to San Antonio, in 1999.

Thursday’s quiz
In the football movie Any Given Sunday, Cameron Diaz played the owner of the Miami Sharks.

**************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

— Do first round results in the NCAA Tournament indicate which teams are mostly likely to win the national championship?

Last 16 national champs went 13-3 ATS in their first round game.
Last 20 national champs went 17-3 ATS in their second round game.

— San Diego Padres’ 3B Manny Machado has a $30M a year contract thru 2028, but he can opt out after this season, which he says he will do. That’s his decision, but……..

Why announce it now? Why is that a good idea? How does that help HIM?

Padres have spent lot of $$$ to be contenders this season; why upstage that optimism by acting like a selfish jerk?

— Sounds like Padres/Angels are going to use 6-man starting pitching rotations, which would be unusual. Angels are probably doing it because Shohei Ohtani is used to that from Japan; no idea why San Diego is doing it.

— There have been eight times in NBA history where a player scored 40+ points while also grabbing 40+ rebounds. In one game.

All eight of those games belong to Wilt Chamberlain.

— Win/loss record for the Jets’ last 12 starting QB’s:
8-14— Zach Wilson
1-8— Joe Flacco
2-5— Mike White
13-25— Sam Darnold
0-2— Luke Falk
0-1— Trevor Siemian
5-11— Josh McCown
1-6— Bryce Petty
13-14— Ryan Fitzpatrick
1-2— Michael Vick
12-18— Geno Smith
33-29— Mark Sanchez

This helps explain why they’d like to add Aaron Rodgers; Jets haven’t made the playoffs since 2010.

— Colleges that had the most players in cited to this year’s NBA Combine:
13— Alabama
12— Georgia
9— Florida, LSU, Michigan, TCU
8— Clemson, Ohio State
7— Maryland, Oklahoma, Penn State, Tennessee

— NFL coaching stuff:
Washington Commanders hired Eric Bieniemy as their new offensive coordinator.
Carolina Panthers hired Thomas Brown as their new offensive coordinator.

— Los Angeles Dodgers had a great year last year, they went 111-51, but they were only 16-15 in one-run games. Their record could’ve been a lot better.

Colorado Rockies went 23-24 in one-run games, but they finished 68-94. Could’ve been a lot worse.

— Angels signed P Matt Moore to a one-year deal worth $7.5M.

— It is interesting how leagues do things differently:
NBA has their trade deadline the week before their All-Star Game
NHL has their trade deadline several weeks after their All-Star Game

— Boston Celtics took the interim coach tag off of 34-year old Joe Mazzulla; he is now their permanent head coach. Celtics are 42-17 under Mazzulla.

— Looking at the #1-5 seeds in the NBA’s Western Conference, only one of them has ever won an NBA title and that was way back in 1951, when the Rochester Royals won a championship in the NBA’s third season.

Royals moved to Cincinnati in 1957.
Royals changed their name to the Kings, moved to Kansas City in 1972.
Kings moved to Sacramento in 1985.

— Longest winning streaks in college basketball:
16— Eastern Washington, Big Sky
11— Oral Roberts, Summit
10— Toledo, MAC
9— Hofstra CAA/Northwestern State Southland

— XFL starts this weekend, with four games, as football never rests.

— Get well soon to Richmond basketball coach Chris Mooney, who will have heart surgery soon and miss the rest of this season; Mooney will undergo a procedure to remove an aneurysm in his ascending aorta. Assistant coach Peter Thomas will be the Spiders’ interim head coach.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 18


13 of Saturday’s best college hoop games

Illinois @ Indiana

— Illinois (17-8, 8-6) ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #64
— Experience: #295
— Continuity: #344
— Illinois lost two of its last three games.
— Illinois is 3-4 SU/0-1 ATS as a Big 14 road underdog.
— Illini is shooting 56.4% inside arc (#14), 31.3% on arc (#307)
— Illinois has #16 eFG% defense in country.
— Illini is #40 team on offensive boards, #74 on defensive end
— Illinois’ schedule, to this point: #46
— bench minutes: #175
— Illinois’ best win: 79-70 over #3 UCLA

— Indiana (18-8, 9-6) ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #142
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #40
— Indiana won eight of its last ten games.
— Hoosiers 6-1 SU/5-1 ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
— Indiana is shooting 53.9% inside arc (#47), 37.8% on arc (#19)
— Indiana has #40 eFG% defense in country.
— Hoosiers are #84 team on defensive boards.
— Indiana’s schedule, to this point: #20
— bench minutes: #162
— Indiana’s best win: 79-74 over #6 Purdue

— Indiana (+7) won 80-65 at Illinois January 19.
— Teams split their last ten meetings.
— Illini won 75-71 OT/74-57 in last two visits to Indiana.
— Big 14 home favorites of 6 or less points are 35-13 ATS

Tennessee @ Kentucky
— Tennessee (20-6, 9-4) ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #255
— Experience: #132
— Continuity: #124
— Tennessee lost three of its last five games.
— Tennessee is 4-2 SU/3-3 ATS as an SEC road favorite.
— Tennessee is #4 team in country on offensive boards.
— Vols have #1 eFG% defense in country.
— Vols are forcing turnovers 23.3% of time (#17)
— Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #45
— bench minutes: #101
— Tennessee’s best win: 68-59 over #2 Alabama Wednesday

— Kentucky (17-9, 8-5) ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #276
— Experience: #105
— Continuity: #204
— Kentucky split its last six games.
— Kentucky won four of its six SEC home games SU.
— Wildcats are 2-3 ATS as an underdog this season.
— Wildcats are #1 team in country on offensive boards.
— Kentucky is 5-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Kentucky’s schedule, to this point: #51
— bench minutes: #180
— Kentucky’s best win: 63-56 at #4 Tennessee

— Kentucky (+12) won 63-56 at Tennessee January 14.
— Wildcats outscored Tennessee 22-7 on foul line, in Knoxville.
— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Vols split their last six visits to Rupp Arena.
— SEC home underdogs of 3 or less points are 2-6 ATS

Iowa State @ Kansas State
— Iowa State (17-8, 8-5) ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #304
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #196
— Iowa State lost four of its last six games.
— Iowa State is 2-4 SU/3-2 ATS as a Big X road underdog.
— Cyclones are #48 team in country on offensive boards.
— Iowa State is shooting 61.8% inside arc (#361), 35.4% on arc (#99)
— Opponents are getting 22.8% of their points on foul line (#344)
— Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #8
— bench minutes: #224
— Iowa State’s best win: 68-53 over #7 Kansas

— Kansas State (19-7, 7-6) ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #47
— Experience: #30
— Continuity: #317
— K-State lost five of its last seven games.
— Wildcats are 5-1 SU/4-0 ATS as a Big X home favorite.
— K-State is forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#43)
— Wildcats have #54 eFG% defense in country.
— K-State is turning ball over 19.9% of time (#279).
— K-State’s schedule, to this point: #18
— bench minutes: #327
— K-State’s best win: 83-82 in OT over #7 Kansas

— Iowa State (-5) beat K-State 80-76 at home January 25.
— Teams split their last ten meetings.
— Cyclones are 4-3 in their last seven visits to the Little Apple.
— Big X home favorites of 3 or less points are 9-4 ATS

Wake Forest @ Miami
— Wake Forest (17-9, 9-6) ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #62
— Experience: #60
— Continuity: #297
— Wake Forest won last three games, scoring 81.3 ppg.
— Deacons are 4-3 SU/3-1 ATS as an ACC road underdog.
— Wake Forest has #28 eFG% in country.
— Deacons are #94 team in country on defensive boards.
— Wake Forest is 6-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Wake Forest’s schedule, to this point: #84
— bench minutes: #311
— Wake Forest’s best win: 92-85 over #36 North Carolina.

— Miami (21-5, 12-4) ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #126
— Experience: #27
— Continuity: #144
— Miami won its last five games, scoring 85.2 ppg.
— Canes are 7-0 SU/4-2 ATS as an ACC home favorite.
— Miami is #256 team in country on defensive boards.
— Miami has #22 eFG% in country.
— Canes are 9-4 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #75
— bench minutes: #317
— Miami’s best win: 66-64 over #17 Virginia.

— Miami won six of last eight series games.
— Deacons lost their last nine visits to Miami.
— ACC home favorites of 7 or less points are 19-15 ATS

Oklahoma State @ TCU
— Oklahoma State (16-10, 7-6) ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #161
— Experience: #73
— Continuity: #154
— Oklahoma State won seven of its last nine games.
— Oklahoma State is 2-4 SU/4-2 ATS as a Big X road dog.
— Cowboys have #7 eFG% defense in country.
— Oklahoma State is turning ball over 20.8% of time (#319).
— Cowboys are 5-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Oklahoma State’s schedule, to this point: #10
— bench minutes: #70
— Oklahoma State’s best wins: 61-59/64-56 over #15 Iowa State

— TCU (17-9, 6-7) ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #46
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #3
— TCU lost its last four games, scoring 62.7 ppg in last three.
— Frogs’ star Miles is expected back for this game.
— TCU is forcing turnovers 22.7% of time (#21)
— Frogs are shooting 53.7% inside arc (#52), 28.4% on arc (#358)
— TCU is #286 team in country on defensive boards.
— TCU’s schedule, to this point: #21
— bench minutes: #10
— TCU’s best win: 83-60 at #7 Kansas

— Oklahoma State (-4) beat TCU 79-73 at home two weeks ago.
— TCU won eight of last 12 series games.
— Cowboys lost their last five visits to Fort Worth.
— Big X home favorites of 6 or less points are 22-7 ATS

Fordham @ VCU
— Fordham (21-5, 9-4) ranked #130 by KenPom
— Tempo: #77
— Experience: #79
— Continuity: #68
— Fordham won eight of its last nine games.
— Rams are 4-2 SU/3-2 ATS as an A-15 road dog.
— Rams are turning ball over 18.9% of time (#223)
— Fordham is #33 in country on defensive boards.
— Fordham is getting 22.1% of points on foul line (#23)
— Fordham’s schedule, to this point: #313
— bench minutes: #233
— Fordham’s best win: 95-90 at #91 Tulane.

— VCU (19-7, 10-3) ranked #84 by KenPom
— Tempo: #147
— Experience: #255
— Continuity: #194
— VCU won 14 of its last 17 games.
— VCU is 4-2 SU/ATS as an A-15 home favorite.
— Rams are forcing turnovers 25% of time (#4)
— Rams are #250 team in country on defensive boards.
— VCU is 6-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— VCU’s schedule, to this point: #145
— bench minutes: #122
— VCU’s best win: 71-67 over #57 Pittsburgh

— VCU won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Fordham lost its last five visits here, by 16-16-34-13-18 points.
— A-14 home favorites of 8+ points are 7-9 ATS.

Baylor @ Kansas
— Baylor (20-6, 9-4) ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #214
— Experience: #206
— Continuity: #187
— Baylor won four in row, 10 of last 11 games.
— Baylor is 4-2 SU/2-1 ATS as a Big X road underdog.
— Bears are #11 team in country on offensive boards.
— Baylor is shooting 52% inside arc (#98), 36.4% on arc (#60)
— Bears are forcing turnovers 20.7% of time (#66)
— Baylor’s schedule, to this point: #7
— bench minutes: #197
— Baylor’s best win: 80-75 over #3 UCLA.

— Kansas (21-5, 9-4) ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #70
— Experience: #232
— Continuity: #225
— Kansas won five of its last six games.
— Kansas is 5-1 SU/2-4 ATS as a Big X home favorite.
— Kansas is forcing turnovers 20.8% of time (#57)
— Jayhawks are shooting 52.7% inside arc (#77), 35.6% on arc (#98)
— Jayhawks are 8-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Kansas’ schedule, to this point: #1
— bench minutes: #352
— Kansas’ best win: 88-80 over #9 Texas

— Baylor (-3) beat Kansas 75-69 at home January 23.
— Baylor won four of last six series games.
— Bears lost 71-58/83-54 in last two visits to Lawrence.
— Big X home favorites of 6 or less points are 22-7 ATS

Utah @ Arizona State
— Utah (17-10, 10-6) ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #240
— Experience: #182
— Continuity: #51
— Utah lost three of its last five games.
— Utes have #4 eFG% defense in country.
— Utah is 5-10 against top 100 teams.
— Utah is 3-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Utah’s schedule, to this point: #82
— bench minutes: #281
— Utah’s best win: 81-66 over #11 Arizona

— Arizona State (18-9, 9-7) ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #132
— Experience: #68
— Continuity: #240
— Arizona State lost six of its last nine games
— Sun Devils are 4-5 SU/1-5 ATS as a Pac-12 home favorite.
— ASU is shooting 31.5% on arc (#295), 48.3% inside arc (#260)
— Opponents are shooting 42.4% inside arc (#3)
— Sun Devils are #279 team on defensive boards.
— Arizona State’s schedule, to this point: #64
— bench minutes: #137
— Arizona State’s best win: 73-71 over #12 Creighton

— ASU won four of last five series games.
— Utah lost 83-64/64-62 in last two visits to Tempe.
— Pac-12 home favorites of 3 or less points are 6-5 ATS

Duke @ Syracuse
— Duke (18-8, 9-6) ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #269
— Experience: #288
— Continuity: #337
— Duke won four of its last six games SU.
— Blue Devils lost four of their last five road games.
— Duke is turning ball over 19.1% of time (#235).
— Blue Devils are #7 team in country on offensive boards.
— Duke has #32 eFG% defense.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #56
— bench minutes: #140
— Duke’s best win: 71-64 over #22 Xavier.

— Syracuse (16-10, 9-6) ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #180
— Experience: #282
— Continuity: #216
— Syracuse won its last three games, scoring 76 ppg.
— Orange are 4-3 SU in their ACC home games.
— Syracuse is 2-8 against top 100 teams.
— Syracuse is #346 team on defensive boards.
— Orange are 5-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Syracuse’s schedule, to this point: #107
— bench minutes: #187
— Syracuse’s best win: 75-72 over #43 NC State

— Duke won last seven series games.
— Blue Devils won last four games in the Carrier Dome.
— ACC home teams are 20-13 ATS in games where spread was 3 or less points.

Texas A&M @ Missouri
— Texas A&M (19-7, 11-2) ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #243
— Experience: #91
— Continuity: #87
— Texas A&M won four in row, 13 of last 15 games.
— Texas A&M is 3-6 SU/2-5 ATS as a Horizon road underdog.
— Texas A&M is shooting 46.3% inside arc (#320), 39.2% on arc (#7)
— Aggies are getting 40.7% of their points on the arc (#5)
— Aggies have #319 eFG% defense in country.
— Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #81
— bench minutes: #179
— Texas A&M’s best wins: 79-63/83-78 over #18 Auburn

— Missouri (19-7, 7-6) ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #45
— Experience: #18
— Continuity: #326
— Missouri won five of its last seven games
— Tigers are 5-1 SU/1-3 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
— Missouri is shooting 56.3% inside arc (#15), 36.1% on arc (#69)
— Missouri is forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#8)
— Tigers are #362 team on defensive boards.
— Missouri’s schedule, to this point: #58
— bench minutes: #98
— Missouri’s best win: 86-85 at #4 Tennessee

— Aggies (-3) beat Missouri 82-64 at home January 11.
— Texas A&M won four of its last six games.
— Aggies won their last three visits to Columbia.
— SEC home teams are 8-9 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

Utah @ Arizona State
— Utah (17-10, 10-6) ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #240
— Experience: #182
— Continuity: #51
— Utah lost three of its last five games.
— Utes have #4 eFG% defense in country.
— Utah is 5-10 against top 100 teams.
— Utah is 3-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Utah’s schedule, to this point: #82
— bench minutes: #281
— Utah’s best win: 81-66 over #11 Arizona

— Arizona State (18-9, 9-7) ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #132
— Experience: #68
— Continuity: #240
— Arizona State lost six of its last nine games
— Sun Devils are 4-5 SU/1-5 ATS as a Pac-12 home favorite.
— ASU is shooting 31.5% on arc (#295), 48.3% inside arc (#260)
— Opponents are shooting 42.4% inside arc (#3)
— Sun Devils are #279 team on defensive boards.
— Arizona State’s schedule, to this point: #64
— bench minutes: #137
— Arizona State’s best win: 73-71 over #12 Creighton

— ASU won four of last five series games.
— Utah lost 83-64/64-62 in last two visits to Tempe.
— Pac-12 home favorites of 3 or less points are 6-5 ATS

Duke @ Syracuse
— Duke (18-8, 9-6) ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #269
— Experience: #288
— Continuity: #337
— Duke won four of its last six games SU.
— Blue Devils lost four of their last five road games.
— Duke is turning ball over 19.1% of time (#235).
— Blue Devils are #7 team in country on offensive boards.
— Duke has #32 eFG% defense.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #56
— bench minutes: #140
— Duke’s best win: 71-64 over #22 Xavier.

— Syracuse (16-10, 9-6) ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #180
— Experience: #282
— Continuity: #216/
— Syracuse won its last three games, scoring 76 ppg.
— Orange are 4-3 SU in their ACC home games.
— Syracuse is 2-8 against top 100 teams.
— Syracuse is #346 team on defensive boards.
— Orange are 5-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Syracuse’s schedule, to this point: #107
— bench minutes: #187
— Syracuse’s best win: 75-72 over #43 NC State

— Duke won last seven series games.
— Blue Devils won last four games in the Carrier Dome.
— ACC home teams are 20-13 ATS in games where spread was 3 or less points.

Texas A&M @ Missouri
— Texas A&M (19-7, 11-2) ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #243
— Experience: #91
— Continuity: #87
— Texas A&M won four in row, 13 of last 15 games.
— Texas A&M is 3-6 SU/2-5 ATS as a Horizon road underdog.
— Texas A&M is shooting 46.3% inside arc (#320), 39.2% on arc (#7)
— Aggies are getting 40.7% of their points on the arc (#5)
— Aggies have #319 eFG% defense in country.
— Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #81
— bench minutes: #179
— Texas A&M’s best wins: 79-63/83-78 over #18 Auburn

— Missouri (19-7, 7-6) ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #45
— Experience: #18
— Continuity: #326
— Missouri won five of its last seven games
— Tigers are 5-1 SU/1-3 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
— Missouri is shooting 56.3% inside arc (#15), 36.1% on arc (#69)
— Missouri is forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#8)
— Tigers are #362 team on defensive boards.
— Missouri’s schedule, to this point: #58
— bench minutes: #98
— Missouri’s best win: 86-85 at #4 Tennessee

— Aggies (-3) beat Missouri 82-64 at home January 11.
— Texas A&M won four of its last six games.
— Aggies won their last three visits to Columbia.
— SEC home teams are 8-9 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

Michigan State @ Michigan
— Michigan State (16-9, 8-6) ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #306
— Experience: #148
— Continuity: #117
— MSU is 4-5 SU in its last nine games.
— Spartans are 3-4 SU/ATS as Big 14 road underdogs.
— MSU has #18 eFG% defense in country.
— Spartans are #34 team on defensive boards.
— MSU is shooting 47.6% inside arc (#287), 37% on arc (#34)
— MSU’s schedule, to this point: #4
— bench minutes: #234
— MSU’s best win: 63-58 over #16 Maryland.

— Michigan (14-12, 8-7) ranked #52 by KenPom
— Tempo: #140
— Experience: #307
— Continuity: #274
— Michigan is 5-7 SU in its last dozen games.
— Wolverines is 6-2 SU/5-2 ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
— Wolverines have #72 eFG% defense.
— Michigan is 4-8 against top 50 teams.
— Michigan is #4-10 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Michigan’s schedule, to this point: #32
— bench minutes: #321
— Michigan’s best win: 81-46 over #16 Maryland.

— Michigan State (-5) beat Michigan 59-53 January 7.
— Spartans won seven of last ten series games.
— Home teams won last seven meetings.
— MSU lost its last three visits to Ann Arbor, by 9-19-17.
— Big 14 home teams are 26-11 ATS, in games with spread of 3 or less.

Nevada @ Utah State
— Nevada (20-6, 10-3) ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #254
— Experience: #154
— Continuity: #171
— Nevada won its last four games, scoring 75.3 ppg.
— Wolf Pack is 3-3 SU/2-2 ATS as a MW road underdog.
— Nevada is 5-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Wolf Pack is #39 team in country on defensive boards.
— Nevada is getting 23.9% of its points on foul line (#6)
— Nevada’s schedule, to this point: #46
— bench minutes: #333
— Nevada’s best win: 75-66 over #19 San Diego State.

— Utah State (20-7, 9-5) ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #125
— Experience: #28
— Continuity: #157
— Utah State won six of its last nine games.
— Aggies are 6-1 SU/4-3 ATS as a MW home favorite.
— Utah State is shooting 52.8% inside arc (#73), 40.2% on arc (#2)
— Utah State is #29 team in country on defensive boards.
— Aggies are 3-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Utah State’s schedule, to this point: #67
— bench minutes: #330
— Utah State’s best win: 84-73 over #48 New Mexico.

— Nevada (-2) beat Utah State 85-70 at home January 13.
— Utah State won five of last seven series games.
— Wolf Pack lost three of last four visits to Logan.
— Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 12-7 ATS

Auburn @ Vanderbilt
— Auburn (18-8, 8-5) ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #151
— Experience: #85
— Continuity: #54
— Auburn lost five of its last seven games.
— Tigers are 3-3 SU/3-1 ATS as an SEC road favorite.
— Auburn has #5 eFG% defense in country.
— Tigers are #271 team on defensive boards.
— Auburn is shooting 51.7% inside arc (#113), 29.9% on arc (#342)
— Auburn’s schedule, to this point: #35
— bench minutes: #39
— Auburn’s best win: 72-59 over #23 Arkansas.

— Vanderbilt (14-12, 7-6) ranked #91 by KenPom
— Tempo: #245
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #123
— Vanderbilt won its last four games, scoring 75.8 ppg.
— Vanderbilt is 4-2 SU/2-2 ATS as an SEC home underdog.
— Vandy is shooting 48.6% inside arc (#244), 32.8% on arc (#235).
— Commodores are #84 team on offensive boards.
— Vanderbilt is 7-5 in games decidedly 7 or less points.
— Vanderbilt’s schedule, to this point: #25
— bench minutes: #31
— Vanderbilt’s best win: 66-65 over #4 Tennessee

— Auburn won last five series games.
— Tigers won 64-53/73-67 in last two visits to Nashville.
— SEC home underdogs of 3 or less points are 2-6 ATS
 

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Saturday, February 18


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