CNOTES COLLEGE HOOPS OPINIONS BEST BETS AND NEWS !

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

02/22/2023	54-66-2	45.08%	-9300	Detail
02/21/2023	26-24-1	51.96%	-200	Detail
02/20/2023	19-16-1	54.17%	+700	Detail
02/19/2023	24-28-0	46.15%	-3400	Detail
02/18/2023	74-86-1	46.27%	-10300	Detail
02/17/2023	14-18-0	43.75%	-2900	Detail
02/16/2023	61-65-2	48.44%	-5250	Detail
02/15/2023	46-59-3	43.98%	-9450	Detail
02/14/2023	24-27-1	47.12%	-2850	Detail
02/13/2023	19-21-0	47.50%	-2050	Detail
02/12/2023	16-13-1	55.00%	+850	Detail
02/11/2023	158-136-4	53.69%	+4200	Detail
02/10/2023	16-13-0	55.17%	+850	Detail
02/09/2023	33-36-1	47.86%	-3300	Detail
02/08/2023	44-59-1	42.79%	-10450	Detail
02/07/2023	32-22-0	59.26%	+3900	Detail
02/06/2023	12-15-1	44.64%	-2250	Detail
02/05/2023	11-21-0	34.38%	-6050	Detail
02/04/2023	78-84-2	48.17%	-7200	Detail
02/03/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
02/02/2023	33-30-0	52.38%	+0	Detail
02/01/2023	25-33-3	43.44%	-5650	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack
Over/under win totals for baseball:
96— Dodgers
95— Astros, Bronx
94.5— Braves, Mets
93— Padres
92— Blue Jays
90— Cardinals

Quote of the Day
“It’s hard to judge me from the outside stuff. A lot of people think what I do is put on a lot of antics and all that extra [stuff]. But reality, when I’m on your team and I’m your teammate, I’m a player and you’re my coach, you get a different vibe: ‘He’d do anything for the team.’”
Chicago Bulls’ G Patrick Beverly

Thursday’s quiz
When was last time a #2-seed lost to a #15-seed in first round of NCAA’s?

Wednesday’s quiz
LSU won national championships in college football, in 2007/2019; Les Miles, Ed Orgeron were the two coaches.

Tuesday’s quiz
Jack Klugman played a medical examiner in the old TV show Quincy

******************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud………

— Alabama 78, South Carolina 76 OT— Freshman Brandon Miller scored 41 points and pretty much single-handedly won this game, despite being in the news for off-court reasons. Miller made 6-13 shots on the arc; only one other Alabama player scored in double figures.

— Belmont 89, Indiana State 88— Sycamores led by 19 in first half, by 17 at half, by 9 with 3:16 left in game, but they lost. Belmont is now in a 3-way tie for 3rd with Indiana State, Southern Illinois. Two of those three teams are likely to play each other in MVC quarter-finals.

— When you miss a 3-point shot, the rebounds are longer/more scattered than a rebound of the typical 2-point shot. Because of that, one of the most underrated skills in today’s game is getting loose balls— knowing angles, being quick to react, then being tough enough to get the loose ball, even if it means diving on the floor to get it.

It is a little harder to measure that skill, but it is there.

— There is a receiver for the Houston Roughnecks in the XFL, Jontre Kirklin; he caught five passes for 71 yards and a TD last week, and looked good doing it. You figure he is a guy who could get a look in an NFL training camp this summer.

Kirklin was on the Arizona Cardinals’ practice squad last year, but was cut before the season started. Turns out he got a DUI and if you’re a practice squad guy, that Is something that will end your employment. Quickly.

Hopefully he learned his lesson and will get another chance.

— In case you were wondering, underdogs covered three of four games in Week 1 of the XFL; three of the four games went over the total.

— Remember the movie Little Big League? The guy who owns the Minnesota Twins (Jason Robards) dies and wills the team to his 12-year old grandson, who winds up naming himself manager of the Twins. Pretty good movie, but not the most realistic one.

Anyway, the mom in that movie (Ashley Crow)…..her son in real life is Pete Crow-Armstrong, an outfield prospect for the Cubs— he hit .312 in A ball last season. The kid got drafted in our fantasy league Wednesday night.

— Last season, major league home runs were hit at the lowest rate since 2015.

— Has anyone ever had Marco’s Pizza? Am seeing lot of commercials for it on TV, but I’ve never seen a Marco’s pizza place. The Interweb indicates their locations are mostly in the midwest, but it looks like there are several in Las Vegas. May have to check one of them out next month.

— Former UCLA/NBA star Marques Johnson posted a video on Twitter this week, showing him dunking on an outdoor hoop…….at age 67. Good for him.

— Elvis Andrus signed a one-year, $3M deal with the White Sox; he is expected to play second base for the first time in his career. This will be Andrus’ 15th year in the big leagues; he hit 17 homers last year, for A’s/White Sox.

— Texas A&M is 11-3 against the spread in SEC games this season; Buzz Williams is a good coach.

— Boston College 63, Virginia 48— Cavaliers are struggling; they shot 32% from floor in this game, after beating Louisville/Notre Dame by 2-3 points in their previous two games.

— Old Dominion 69, Southern Miss 64— Sun Belt is a weird league; teams from Virginia to Louisiana. This is one of the worst shooting conferences; rebounding is very important.

Southern Miss had won nine in a row, but now they’ve lost their last two road games, are tied for first with Marshall.

— Kentucky 82, Florida 74— Kentucky was 10-6 on January 10; nitwits there were calling for Calipari’s head. Wildcats are 9-3 since then; Bracketology has them as an 8-seed now, so they are off the bubble for now. The nitwits have been quiet.

— Boise State 82, New Mexico 77— Broncos won 12 of their last 14 games, are game behind San Diego State atop the Mountain West. New Mexico has lost six of its last eight games, after an 18-2 start; they’re sliding off the bubble.

 

[Udog]

xx

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 23

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[Udog]

NCAAB

Thursday, February 23

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 23

13 of Thursday’s best college hoop games

Penn State @ Ohio State
— Penn State (16-11, 7-9) ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #297
— Experience: #1
— Continuity: #135
— Penn State won its last two games, after a 3-8 skid.
— Penn State is 2-6 SU/2-4 ATS as Big 14 road underdogs.
— Lions have #7 eFG% in country.
— Penn State gets 11% of its points on foul line, least in country.
— Lions are #20 team in country on defensive boards.
— Penn State’s schedule, to this point: #45
— bench minutes: #299
— Penn State’s best win: 85-66 over #24 Indiana

— Ohio State (11-16, 3-13) ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #212
— Experience: #84
— Continuity: #347
— Ohio State lost eight in row, 13 of last 14 games.
— Buckeyes are 2-5 SU/1-6 ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
— Ohio State is shooting 46.1% inside arc in Big 14 tilts (#14 of 14)
— Ohio State is #14 team in Big 14 games on defensive boards.
— Last four games, Buckeyes scored 58.5 ppg.
— Ohio State’s schedule, to this point: #13
— bench minutes: #142
— Ohio State’s best win: 67-66 over #27 Rutgers

— Ohio State won six of last eight series games.
— Penn State lost its last four visits to Columbus.
— Big 14 home teams are 29-12 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

Memphis @ Wichita State
— Memphis (20-7, 10-4) ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #14
— Experience: #10
— Continuity: #272
— Memphis won eight of its last ten games.
— Memphis is 4-3 SU/1-2-1 ATS as an AAC road favorite.
— Memphis is forcing turnovers 21% of time (#48)
— Tigers are #307 team on defensive boards.
— Tigers have #63 eFG%, #45 eFG% defense.
— Memphis’ schedule, to this point: #67
— bench minutes: #43
— Memphis’ best win: 82-73 over #22 Auburn.

— Wichita State (14-12, 7-7) ranked #113 by KenPom
— Tempo: #237
— Experience: #284
— Continuity: #321
— Wichita won three of its last four games.
— Wichita is 2-5 SU/1-1 ATS as an AAC home underdog.
— Shockers have #24 eFG% defense.
— Shockers are shooting 52.4% inside arc (#54), 29.7% on arc (#345)
— Wichita is 1-10 against teams ranked in top 100.
— Wichita’s schedule, to this point: #113
— bench minutes: #199
— Wichita’s best win: 79-65 at #114 Temple.

— Memphis (-11.5) beat Wichita State 88-78 at home January 19.
— Tigers won five in row, seven of last eight meetings.
— Memphis won two of last three visits to Wichita.
— AAC home underdogs of 3 or less points are 3-4 ATS.

North Texas @ Charlotte
— North Texas (23-5, 14-3) ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #363
— Experience: 160
— Continuity: #139
— North Texas won its last eight games (2 of last 4 in OT).
— North Texas is 8-1 SU/6-1 ATS as a C-USA road favorite.
— Mean Green are #29 team on offensive boards.
— North Texas has #23 eFG% defense in country.
— Opponents are getting 24.1% of points on arc (#356).
— North Texas’ schedule, to this point: #112
— bench minutes: #226
— North Texas’ best win: 82-79 over #69 UAB, in 2 OT’s.

— Charlotte (16-11, 7-9) ranked #121 by KenPom
— Tempo: #362
— Experience: #174
— Continuity: #273
— Charlotte won three of its last four games.
— 49ers are 4-3 SU/0-1 ATS as a C-USA home underdog.
— Charlotte has #25 eFG% in country.
— 49ers are 7-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Charlotte is #17 team on defensive boards.
— Charlotte’s schedule, to this point: #163
— bench minutes: #211
— Charlotte’s best win: 54-42 over #26 Boise State

— These two teams play the two slowest tempos in America.
— North Texas (-6) beat Charlotte 67-43 February 11.
— Mean Green won four of last five series games.
— North Texas lost five of last six visits to Charlotte.
— C-USA home underdogs of 3 or less points are 3-2 ATS.

Wright State @ Oakland
— Wright State (16-13, 9-9) ranked #187 by KenPom
— Tempo: #15
— Experience: #100
— Continuity: #62
— Wright State lost last two games, giving up 85-77 points.
— Raiders are 4-4 SU/1-2 ATS as a Horizon road favorite.
— Opponents are shooting 52% inside arc (#264)
— Raiders have #37 eFG% in country.
— Wright State is 4-8 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Wright State’s schedule, to this point: #313
— bench minutes: #203
— Wright State’s best win: 77-61 over #183 Abilene Christian.

— Oakland (12-17, 10-8) ranked #280 by KenPom
— Tempo: #126
— Experience: #53
— Continuity: #44
— Oakland won three of its last five games.
— Grizzlies are 5-3 SU/0-1 ATS as a Horizon home underdog.
— Oakland is 8-9 ATS as an underdog this season.
— Oakland has #340 eFG% defense in country.
— Grizzlies are #340 team on defensive boards.
— Oakland’s schedule, to this point: #213
— bench minutes: #351
— Oakland’s best win: 92-89 OT over #179 Cleveland State

— Oakland (+5.5) won 75-73 at Wright State January 8th.
— Wright State won 11 of last 13 series games.
— Raiders won five of last six visits to Oakland.
— Horizon home underdogs of 3 or less points are 2-4 ATS

Cal Baptist @ Sam Houston State
— Cal Baptist (15-12, 6-7) ranked #146 by KenPom
— Tempo: #333
— Experience: #33
— Continuity: #216
— Cal Baptist lost four of its last five D-I games.
— Cal Baptist is 2-4 SU/1-3 ATS as a WAC road underdog.
— Lancers have #225 eFG% in country, #52 eFG% defense.
— Cal Baptist is shooting 32.6% on arc (#248), 64.6% on line (#343)
— Lancers are #71 team on defensive boards.
— Cal Baptist’s schedule, to this point: #220
— bench minutes: #69
— Cal Baptist’s best win: 73-64 at #100 Washington

— Sam Houston State (20-6, 10-4) ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #323
— Experience: #271
— Continuity: #163
— Sam Houston won three in row, eight of last nine games.
— Bearkats are 5-1 SU/2-4 ATS as a WAC home favorite.
— Last three games, Sam Houston allowed only 59 ppg.
— Bearkats are shooting 40.2% on arc (#2), 47.7% inside arc (#278)
— Sam Houston is forcing turnovers 24.1% of time (#10)
— Sam Houston’s schedule, to this point: #105
— bench minutes: #31
— Sam Houston’s best win: 65-55 at #54 Utah

— Sam Houston won 73-68 at Cal Baptist LY, their first WAC meeting.
— WAC home favorites of 7+ points are 8-10 ATS

Rice @ UAB
— Rice (17-10, 8-8) ranked #168 by KenPom
— Tempo: #42
— Experience: #105
— Continuity: #138
— Rice lost five of its last seven games.
— Owls are 5-3 SU/5-2 ATS as a C-USA road underdog.
— Owls have #35 eFG%, #321 eFG% defense in country.
— Rice is 7-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Rice is 1-4 against top 100 teams.
— Rice’s schedule, to this point: #152
— bench minutes: #363
— Rice’s best win: 72-60 at #53 North Texas.

— UAB (20-8, 11-6) ranked #69 by KenPom
— Tempo: #30
— Experience: #5
— Continuity: #120
— UAB won seven of its last eight games.
— UAB is 7-2 SU/1-7 ATS as a C-USA home favorite.
— Blazers have #65 eFG% defense in country.
— Blazers are #8 team in country on offensive boards.
— UAB is getting 21.6% of points on foul line (#31)
— UAB’s schedule, to this point: #150
— bench minutes: #75
— UAB’s best win: 86-77 over #40 FAU.

— UAB (-3.5) won 70-52 at Rice January 28.
— Blazers won nine of last 11 series games.
— Rice lost last three visits to UAB, by 10-12-24 points.
— C-USA double digit home favorites are 5-14 ATS

Michigan @ Rutgers
— Michigan (15-12, 9-7) ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #142
— Experience: #309
— Continuity: #275
— Michigan won four of its last six games.
— Michigan is 2-5 SU/1-5 ATS as Big 14 road underdog.
— Wolverines have #75 eFG% defense.
— Wolverines are 4-10 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Michigan is 4-8 against top 50 teams.
— Michigan’s schedule, to this point: #34
— bench minutes: #314
— Michigan’s best win: 81-46 over #17 Maryland

— Rutgers (17-10, 9-7) ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #236
— Experience: #103
— Continuity: #49
— Rutgers lost three of its last four games
— Rutgers is 6-2 SU/5-2 ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
— Rutgers forces turnovers 22.2% of time (#25)
— Knights have #9 eFG% defense in country
— Knights have #283 eFG% in country
— Rutgers’ schedule, to this point: #55
— bench minutes: #218
— Rutgers’ best win: 65-64 at #4 Purdue

— Michigan is 10-1 vs Rutgers in Big 14 meetings.
— Wolverines won four of last five visits to the Garden State.
— Big 14 home favorites of 6 or less points are 37-14 ATS

Northwestern @ Illinois
— Northwestern (20-7, 11-5) ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #285
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #77
— Northwestern won five in row, 8 of last 10 games.
— Wildcats are 5-2 SU/4-2 ATS as a Big 14 road underdog.
— Wildcats are forcing turnovers 21.8% of time (#32)
— Northwestern has #58 eFG% defense.
— Northwestern also has #306 eFG%.
— Northwestern’s schedule, to this point: #53
— bench minutes: #279
— Northwestern’s best win: 64-58 over #4 Purdue

— Illinois (18-9, 9-7) ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #65
— Experience: #297
— Continuity: #344
— Illinois lost three of its last five games
— Illini is 5-2 SU/ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
— Illinois is shooting 55.9% inside arc (#17), 31.5% on arc (#305)
— Illinois has #20 eFG% in country.
— Illini is #44 team on offensive boards, #81 on defensive end.
— Illinois’ schedule, to this point: #56
— bench minutes: #173
— Illinois’ best win: 79-70 over #2 UCLA

— Northwestern (+2.5) beat Illinois 73-60 at home January 4th.
— That win snapped an 8-game losing skid to Illinois.
— Wildcats lost their last 15 games at Illinois.
— Big 14 home favorites of 6 or less points are 37-14 ATS

USC @ Colorado
— USC (19-8, 11-5) ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #125
— Experience: #139
— Continuity: #147
— USC won eight of its last 11 games.
— Trojans are 3-5 SU/2-3 ATS as a Pac-12 road underdog.
— USC has #13 eFG% defense.
— Trojans are #334 team on defensive boards.
— Trojans are 6-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— USC’s schedule, to this point: #59
— bench minutes: #280
— USC’s best win: 77-64 over #2 UCLA

— Colorado (15-13, 7-10) ranked #52 by KenPom
— Tempo: #73
— Experience: #293
— Continuity: #121
— Colorado split its last eight games SU.
— Buffs are 5-2 SU/3-4 ATS as a Pac-12 home favorite.
— Buffs force turnovers 20.5% of time (#63)
— Colorado has #250 eFG% in country.
— Colorado is erratic; beat Tennessee, lost to Grambling/UMass.
— Colorado’s schedule, to this point: #48
— bench minutes: #20
— Colorado’s best win: 78-66 over #6 Tennessee

— USC (-3) beat Colorado 68-61 at home January 12.
— Buffs won seven of last nine series games.
— USC lost three of last four visits to Boulder.
— Pac-12 home favorites of 3 or less points are 7-5 ATS.

Eastern Washington @ Weber State
— Eastern Washington (21-7, 15-0) ranked #112 by KenPom
— Tempo: #109
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #113
— EWU won its last 16 D-I games.
— EWU is 7-0 SU/4-1 ATS as Big Sky road favorites.
— EWU is shooting 58.9% inside arc (#4)
— Eagles are #51 team on defensive boards.
— Eagles’ last loss: December 13, 77-70 at Texas Tech.
— EWU’s schedule, to this point: #206
— bench minutes: #209
— EWU’s best win: 70-67 at #111 Montana State

— Weber State (15-13, 10-5) ranked #208 by KenPom
— Tempo: #288
— Experience: #143
— Continuity: #214
— Weber State won seven of its last ten games.
— Wildcats won five of seven Big Sky home games SU.
— Weber State has #300 eFG% defense.
— Weber State is #4 team on defensive boards.
— Wildcats are turning ball over 19.8% of time (#282)
— Weber State’s schedule, to this point: #132
— bench minutes: #166
— Weber State’s best win: 75-72 at #35 Utah State

— EWU (-5) beat Weber State 75-71 at home January 28.
— Eagles won five of last six series games.
— EWU won three of last four visits to Ogden.
— Big Sky home underdogs of 3 or less points are 7-8 ATS.

Long Beach State @ Cal-Santa Barbara
— Long Beach State (15-13, 9-7) ranked #147 by KenPom
— Tempo: #1
— Experience: #310
— Continuity: #231
— Long Beach lost three of its last four games.
— Long Beach 5-3 SU/1-3 ATS as a Big West road underdog.
— Long Beach is shooting 48.9% inside arc (#237)
— Long Beach #16 team in country on offensive boards.
— Long Beach takes the fewest 3-point shots in America.
— Long Beach’s schedule, to this point: #120
— bench minutes: #66
— Long Beach’s best win: 93-88 in OT over #89 Cal-Irvine

— Cal-Santa Barbara (20-7, 11-5) ranked #119 by KenPom
— Tempo: #322
— Experience: #68
— Continuity: #18
— UCSB lost last three games, scoring 60.7 ppg.
— Gauchos are 5-3 SU/4-4 ATS as a Big West home favorite.
— Gauchos are shooting 55% inside arc (#25)
— UCSB gets 59.4% of its points inside arc (#14)
— UCSB is 6-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— UCSB’s schedule, to this point: #226
— bench minutes: #326
— UCSB’s best win: 73-65 at #89 Cal-Irvine

— UCSB (-1) won 75-72 at Long Beach two weeks ago.
— Gauchos are 6-5 in last eleven meetings.
— Long Beach won three of last four visits to the Thunderdome.
— Big West home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-12 ATS

UCLA @ Utah
— UCLA (23-4, 14-2) ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #249
— Experience: #107
— Continuity: #150
— UCLA won its last six games (4-2 ATS).
— Bruins are 6-2 SU/5-2 ATS as a Pac-12 road favorite.
— UCLA is forcing turnovers 24.7% of time (#5)
— Bruins have #32 eFG% defense in country.
— UCLA is #20 team in country on offensive boards.
— UCLA’s schedule, to this point: #51
— bench minutes: #284
— UCLA’s best win: 87-60 at #17 Maryland.

— Utah (17-11, 10-7) ranked #54 by KenPom
— Tempo: #240
— Experience: #183
— Continuity: #52
— Utah lost four of its last six games.
— Utes are 6-2 ATS in their Pac-12 home games.
— Utah is 3-5 ATS as a Pac-12 underdog.
— Utah is #36 team on defensive boards.
— Utes are 3-4 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Utah’s schedule, to this point: #79
— bench minutes: #274
— Utah’s best win: 81-66 over #10 Arizona.

— UCLA (-12) beat Utah 68-49 at home January 12.
— Bruins won last six series games.
— UCLA won its last three trips ti Utah, by 11-15-5 points.
— Pac-12 home underdogs of 7+ points are 11-6 ATS

Cal-Riverside @ Hawai’i
— Cal-Riverside (19-10, 12-5) ranked #138 by KenPom
— Tempo: #183
— Experience: #131
— Continuity: #158
— Riverside won its last three games, scoring 85.3 ppg.
— UCR is 5-3 SU/3-2 ATS as a Big West road underdog.
— Riverside is shooting 48.6% inside arc (#247), 36.1% on arc (#68)
— UCR is #12 team on defensive boards.
— Riverside is 11-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Riverside’s schedule, to this point: #135
— bench minutes: #111
— Riverside’s best win: 81-79 at #105 LMU.

— Hawai’i (20-8, 11-5) ranked #122 by KenPom
— Tempo: #309
— Experience: #177
— Continuity: #71
— Hawai’i won four of its last five games.
— Hawai’i is 5-2 SU/1-6 ATS as a Big West home favorite.
— Rainbows have #7 eFG% defense in country.
— Rainbows have #262 eFG% in country.
— Hawaii is 8-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Hawai’i’s schedule, to this point: #268
— bench minutes: #349
— Hawai’i’s best win: 62-51 over #57 Washington State

— Hawaii (+2.5) won 67-63 at Riverside January 21.
— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Riverside won four of last five visits to Hawai’i
— Big West home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-12 ATS

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, February 23

 

[Udog]

xx

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 23

PSU at OSU	06:30 PM	PSU +2.5 O 142.5	+500 +500
WRST at OAK	07:00 PM	OAK +3.0 O 157.0	+500 +500
MEM at WICH	07:00 PM	MEM -2.0 O 147.0	+500 +500
STONE at WAG	07:00 PM	WAG -3.5 U 124.5	+500 +500
LONG at WEBB	07:00 PM	WEBB -2.0 U 130.0	+500 +500
UTEP at FIU	07:00 PM	FIU +1.5 U 137.5	+500 +500
SFBK at SH	07:00 PM	SH -7.0 O 135.0	+500 +500
UTSA at FAU	07:00 PM	FAU -17.0 O 149.0	+500 +500
MONM at HAMP	07:00 PM	MONM +2.0 O 140.0	+500 +500
TOWS at COFC	07:00 PM	TOWS +9.0 O 150.0	+500 +500
ELON at CWM	07:00 PM	CWM +1.0 O 136.0	+500 +500
DEL at NCAT	07:00 PM	DEL -2.5 U 151.0	+500 +500
CCSU at MW	07:00 PM	MW -4.0 U 125.0	+500 +500
NE at DREX	07:00 PM	NE +6.5 O 129.0	+500 +500
FDU at SFPA	07:00 PM	SFPA +2.0 U 157.0	+500 +500
UNT at CHAR	07:00 PM	UNT -3.0 O 109.5	+500 +500
NKU at DETU	07:00 PM	DETU -1.0 U 139.0	+500 +500
STON at UNCW	07:00 PM	STON +10.0 O 125.0	+500 +500
RMU at INDPU	07:30 PM	INDPU +10.5 O 134.5	+500 +500
UTECH at UTRGV	07:30 PM	UTRGV +2.0 O 154.5	+500 +500
RICE at UAB	07:30 PM	RICE +12.0 U 157.5	+500 +500
CALBA at SHSU	07:30 PM	CALBA +6.0 O 128.5	+500 +500
SUU at UTA	08:00 PM	SUU -5.0 U 145.0	+500 +500
UVU at TST	08:00 PM	UVU -2.5 U 136.5	+500 +500
ORU at SDAK	08:00 PM	ORU -13.5 O 155.5	+500 +500
KC at SDST	08:00 PM	SDST -10.5 O 134.5	+500 +500
STT at NDSU	08:00 PM	NDSU -4.0 U 147.5	+500 +500
MCNS at HCU	08:00 PM	HCU +0.0 U 156.5	+500 +500
SELA at LAM	08:00 PM	LAM +7.0 O 146.5	+500 +500
NICH at UNO	08:00 PM	NICH -5.0 U 154.5	+500 +500
UALR at SIUE	08:00 PM	SIUE -8.0 U 152.5	+500 +500
TAMCOM at AMCC	08:30 PM	TAMCOM +11.0 O 143.5	+500 +500
NWST at IW	08:30 PM	NWST -6.5 U 141.0	+500 +500
PFW at MILW	08:30 PM	MILW -2.5 O 150.5	+500 +500
MICH at RUTG	08:30 PM	RUTG -5.5 U 135.0	+500 +500
TNTC at SIND	08:30 PM	SIND -5.5 O 147.5	+500 +500
CLEVST at WIGB	09:00 PM	CLEVST -13.0 O 134.5	+500 +500
LT at WKU	09:00 PM	LT +4.5 O 143.0	+500 +500
PRST at MONT	09:00 PM	MONT -6.0 U 145.5	+500 +500
NW at ILL	09:00 PM	NW +6.0 O 136.0	+500 +500
EWU at WEB	09:00 PM	EWU +0.0 U 140.5	+500 +500
TNST at UTM	09:00 PM	UTM -4.5 O 159.5	+500 +500
USC at COLO	09:00 PM	USC +2.5 U 140.5	+500 +500
CSUS at MTST	09:00 PM	MTST -9.5 U 128.0	+500 +500
SEMO at LNDNWD	09:00 PM	LNDNWD +4.0 U 146.0	+500 +500
IDHO at IDST	09:00 PM	IDST -3.5 U 140.0	+500 +500
WASH at CAL	09:00 PM	WASH -8.0 U 129.5	+500 +500
LBSU at UCSB	10:00 PM	UCSB -5.0 U 148.0	+500 +500
CSB at CSN	10:00 PM	CSN -1.0 O 125.5	+500 +500
PEPP at SCU	10:00 PM	PEPP +11.0 O 163.0	+500 +500
PAC at SMC	10:00 PM	PAC +19.0 O 137.0	+500 +500
UCSD at UCI	10:00 PM	UCSD +13.0 O 140.0	+500 +500
PORT at SF	11:00 PM	SF -8.0 U 154.0	+500 +500
UCLA at UTAH	11:00 PM	UCLA -7.0 U 130.5	+500 +500
WSU at STAN	11:00 PM	STAN -2.0 O 134.5	+500 +500
USD at GONZ	11:00 PM	USD +23.0 O 164.5	+500 +500
UCRV at HAW	11:59 PM	HAW -3.5 U 131.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

02/23/2023	56-54-2	50.89%	-1700	Detail
02/22/2023	54-66-2	45.08%	-9300	Detail
02/21/2023	26-24-1	51.96%	-200	Detail
02/20/2023	19-16-1	54.17%	+700	Detail
02/19/2023	24-28-0	46.15%	-3400	Detail
02/18/2023	74-86-1	46.27%	-10300	Detail
02/17/2023	14-18-0	43.75%	-2900	Detail
02/16/2023	61-65-2	48.44%	-5250	Detail
02/15/2023	46-59-3	43.98%	-9450	Detail
02/14/2023	24-27-1	47.12%	-2850	Detail
02/13/2023	19-21-0	47.50%	-2050	Detail
02/12/2023	16-13-1	55.00%	+850	Detail
02/11/2023	158-136-4	53.69%	+4200	Detail
02/10/2023	16-13-0	55.17%	+850	Detail
02/09/2023	33-36-1	47.86%	-3300	Detail
02/08/2023	44-59-1	42.79%	-10450	Detail
02/07/2023	32-22-0	59.26%	+3900	Detail
02/06/2023	12-15-1	44.64%	-2250	Detail
02/05/2023	11-21-0	34.38%	-6050	Detail
02/04/2023	78-84-2	48.17%	-7200	Detail
02/03/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
02/02/2023	33-30-0	52.38%	+0	Detail
02/01/2023	25-33-3	43.44%	-5650	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack
Over/under win totals for baseball:
58— A’s
59— Nationals
65— Pirates, Rockies
67— Reds
71.5— Tigers
74— Marlins

Quote of the Day
“80% of the people who hear your troubles don’t care, and the other 20% are glad you’re having them.”
Tommy Lasorda

Friday’s quiz
Where did Ja Morant play his college basketball?

Thursday’s quiz
Last year was the last time a #2-seed lost to a #15-seed in first round of NCAA’s; Saint Peter’s (+18) upset Kentucky 85-79 in overtime.

Wednesday’s quiz
LSU won national championships in college football, in 2007/2019; Les Miles, Ed Orgeron were the two coaches.

********************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

— I’m watching the XFL game last week, whatever the first game of the weekend was, and they ask one of the head coaches why he chose a play they used.

“Analytics” he replied, because that’s what every coach says now to shut up reporters. No one ever questions you when you say “Analytics”

My problem is this; it was the FIRST freakin’ game of a new season in a new league; there AREN’T ANY analytics. You can’t use NFL or college trends; this isn’t the NFL or college. It is something different, something very different.

— Los Angeles Dodgers’ over/under win totals the last few years:
2019— 92.5— over by 13.5 games
2020— 37.5— over by 5.5 games
2021— 102.5— over by 3.5 games
2022— 97.5— over by 13.5 games

— Los Angeles Angels’ over/under win totals the last few years:
2018– 84.5— under by 4.5 games
2019— 82— under by 10 games
2020— 31.5— under by 5.5 games
2021— 83.5— under by 6.5 games
2022— 84.5— under by 11.5 games

— Mississippi State has a pitched named Jurrangelo Cijntje who pitches with both hands; he has to declare before each hitter which hand he will pitch with— can’t change during an at-bat.

Few years ago, there was a reliever Pat Venditte who pitcher in 61 games for five teams; he also threw with both hands. In an era where the pitcher has to stay in a game for three batters, there is a distinct advantage platoon-wise to being able to pitch with both hands.

— Last four years, in the First Four play-in games when the NCAA Tournament narrows from 68 teams to 64, the favorites are 11-4-1 against the spread.

— Davis Webb started at QB for the Giants in their meaningless Week 18 loss to the Eagles; it was his first and only NFL start. He retired after the season; Thursday, he was named QB coach for the Denver Broncos, at age 28.

— 70-year old Rick Pitino is 57-21 in three seasons coaching Iona College; there are rumors that some big $$$ programs might be looking to hire him as their next coach (Texas? St John’s?).

Pitino is 704-289 as a college coach; he also coached six years in the NBA. He is a great coach; would he be willing to take one more shot at the big time? Will be interesting to see.

— St Louis 20, Seattle 18
St Louis kicked a FG on last play; they won their first two games by 3-2 points.
Thru the first five games of the XFL season, underdogs are 4-1 ATS, over is 4-1

Game was broadcast on FX; I had forgotten that channel even existed. I used to watch shows like Nip-Tuck and It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia on FX.

— Illinois 66, Northwestern 62— Visiting Wildcats led 37-19 at halftime, but got run out of the building in the second half. Loss snaps Northwestern’s 5-game win streak.

— Lindenwood 105, SE Missouri State 102, 2 OT— Visiting Redhawks led by 20 with 14:36 left in game, wound up losing in double OT, to a team that is 10-20, 5-12 in its first season playing at the D-I level. Kid on Lindenwood scored 26 points, and he didn’t even start.

— Cal-San Diego 99, Cal-Irvine 91— Not often the Anteaters give up 90+ points; they damn near got run out of their own gym in this game- they trailed by 22 with 12:38 left. Irvine now leads UCSB and Riverside by a game atop Big West standings- their conference tournament is in Las Vegas, so seeding doesn’t mean as much as in leagues where they play on home courts, but I’m thinking teams still value winning a regular season title.

— UCSB 78, Long Beach State 73— Gauchos played only seven guys; they snap a 3-game losing skid after they started the season 20-4. Long Beach plays the fastest tempo in America, they take the fewest 3’s in the country, but they’ve lost four of last five games, with three of the four losses by 5 or less points.

— Charlotte 55, North Texas 49— Two teams that play the slowest tempos in America played a 54-possession game here that was reminiscent of games before the shot clock and ESPN even existed. UNT’s loss gives Florida Atlantic a 2-game cushion atop the C-USA standings.

— Washington State 67, Stanford 63— Wazzu played all five starters 31:00+; you get closer to March, rotations get tighter. Coogs made 12-25 on the arc; they’ve won four games in a row. Stanford has lost five of its last six games.

— Eastern Washington 89, Weber State 82— Eagles made 13-23 on the arc, are now 16-0 in the Big Sky Conference, only two games away from a perfect conference season. Then the pressure really builds; they still need to win the Big Sky Tournament to get in the Field of 68.

Eastern Washington was 4-7 at one point in December, with losses to FIU/Yale and South Dakota State- their last loss was December 13th. They’re shooting 64.2% inside the arc in conference games, getting a lot of easy shots.

 

[Udog]

xx

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, February 24

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Friday, February 24

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 24

13 of Friday’s best college hoop games

Xavier @ Seton Hall
— Xavier (20-8, 12-5) ranked #23 by KenPom
— Tempo: #26
— Experience: #14
— Continuity: #38
— Xavier lost three of its last four games.
— Musketeers’ last three losses were by total of 4 points.
— Xavier split its four Big East road games SU.
— Musketeers have #9 eFG% in country.
— Xavier is #58 team in country on defensive boards..
— Xavier’s schedule, to this point: #22
— bench minutes: #337
— Xavier’s best win: 83-73/82-79 over #5 UConn

— Seton Hall (16-12, 9-8) ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #192
— Experience: #19
— Continuity: #205
— Seton Hall lost three of its last four games.
— Pirates are 5-3 SU in Big East home games.
— Seton Hall is shooting 48.5% inside arc (#253), 32.4% on arc (#260)
— Seton Hall has #27 eFG% defense.
— Pirates are forcing turnovers 21.4% of time (#39)
— Seton Hall’s schedule, to this point: #19
— bench minutes: #117
— Seton Hall’s best win: 67-66 over #5 UConn

— Xavier (-8) beat Seton Hall 73-70 December 20.
— Seton Hall won four of last six series games.
— Xavier won three of last four visits to the Garden State.
— Big East home underdogs of 3 or less points are 4-8 ATS.

Siena @ Rider
— Siena (17-10, 11-5) ranked #176 by KenPom
— Tempo: #211
— Experience: #240
— Continuity: #128
— Siena lost three of its last five games.
— Siena is 5-2 SU/2-0 ATS as an MAAC road underdog.
— Siena is getting 21.1% of points on foul line (#45)
— Saints are #48 team on defensive boards.
— Saints are 14-1 when they score 70+, 3-9 when they do not.
— Siena’s schedule, to this point: #311
— bench minutes: #166
— Siena’s best win: 60-55 over #59 Seton Hall.

— Rider (14-11, 11-5) ranked #190 by KenPom
— Tempo: #292
— Experience: #22
— Continuity: #28
— Rider lost last two games, after an 8-0 run.
— Rider is 6-2 SU/2-6 ATS as a MAAC home favorite.
— Broncs are #28 team on offensive boards.
— Broncs have #240 eFG% in country.
— Opponents are shooting 47.2% inside arc (#63).
— Rider’s schedule, to this point: #293
— bench minutes: #215
— Rider’s best win: 70-67 at #78 Iona

— Siena (-6.5) beat Rider 68-63 January 8.
— Saints won seven of last nine series games.
— Siena won last three games in Broncs’ Zoo, by 1-2-9 points.
— MAAC home favorites of 3 or less points are 4-10 ATS

Iona @ Mt St Mary’s
— Iona (23-5, 14-3) ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #363
— Experience: 160
— Continuity: #139
— Iona won its last seven games (5-2 ATS)
— Iona is 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS as a MAAC road favorite.
— Gaels are forcing turnovers 20.9% of time (#52)
— Gaels are #303 team in country on defensive boards.
— Last six games, Iona allowed 56.5 ppg.
— Iona’s schedule, to this point: #112
— bench minutes: #226
— Iona’s best win: 84-62 over #104 Saint Louis.

— Mt St Mary’s (10-18, 6-11) ranked #295 by KenPom
— Tempo: #249
— Experience: #53
— Continuity: #82
— Mt St Mary’s won its last two games, after a 5-15 skid.
— MSM is 3-6 SU/0-3 ATS as a MAAC home underdog.
— MSM is shooting 44.9% inside arc (#339), 36.8% on arc (#42)
— Mt St Mary’s is turning ball over 20.8% of time (#322)
— Mt St Mary’s is 7-9 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Mt St Mary’s schedule, to this point: #298
— bench minutes: #119
— Mt St Mary’s best win: 79-75 at #163 Quinnipiac.

— Iona (-15) whacked Mt St Mary’s 81-51 February 3.
— That was teams’ first meeting as MAAC rivals.
— MAAC double digit favorites are 5-9 ATS

Richmond @ VCU
— Richmond (14-14, 7-8) ranked #156 by KenPom
— Tempo: #288
— Experience: #101
— Continuity: #235
— Richmond lost six of its last nine games.
— Spiders are 1-6 SU/1-2 ATS as an A-14 road underdog.
— Richmond coach Mooney had a heart operation, is OFY.
— Spiders hare #23 team in country on defensive boards.
— Richmond is 5-8 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Richmond’s schedule, to this point: #179
— bench minutes: #181
— Richmond’s best win: 82-52 over #75 Drake

— VCU (21-7, 12-3) ranked #77 by KenPom
— Tempo: #138
— Experience: #253
— Continuity: #193
— VCU won five of its last six games.
— Rams are 5-2 SU/ATS as an A-15 home favorite.
— VCU forces turnovers 25% of time (#4)
— VCU has #48 eFG% defense in country.
— Rams are getting 22.7% of points on foul line (#16)
— VCU’s schedule, to this point: #142
— bench minutes: #114
— VCU’s best win: 63-62 at #60 Dayton

— VCU (-1) won 74-62 at Richmond January 20.
— VCU won four of last five games in this crosstown rivalry.
— Spiders lost three of last four visits to VCU.
— A-15 home favorites of 8+ points are 7-9 ATS.

Marshall @ Old Dominion
— Marshall (24-6, 13-4) ranked #76 by KenPom
— Tempo: #11
— Experience: #8
— Continuity: #87
— Marshall won 12 of its last 14 games.
— Marshall is 6-2 SU/4-2 ATS as a Sun Belt road favorite.
— Hard is forcing turnovers 20.4% of time (#67)
— Marshall is shooting 33.3% on arc (#217), 54.6% on line (#33)
— Herd is #331 team on defensive boards.
— Marshall’s schedule, to this point: #239
— bench minutes: #363
— Marshall’s best win: 100-85 over #90 Toledo.

— Old Dominion (18-11, 10-7) ranked #160 by KenPom
— Tempo: #298
— Experience: #235
— Continuity: #282
— Old Dominion won seven of its last nine games.
— Monarchs split their four Sun Belt home games SU.
— Old Dominion is shooting 32% on arc (#285), 46.8% inside arc (#307)
— Monarchs are #224 team on defensive boards.
— Old Dominion is 12-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Old Dominion’s schedule, to this point: #165
— bench minutes: #102
— Old Dominion’s best win: 82-77 over #91 Furman

— Marshall (-9) beat Old Dominion 73-65 at home January 14.
— Marshall won seven of last nine series games.
— Thundering Herd split its last four visits to ODU.
— Sun Belt home underdogs of 4 or less points are 14-13 ATS.

Appalachian State @ Georgia Southern
— Appalachian State (16-14, 9-8) ranked #171 by KenPom
— Tempo: #297
— Experience: #278
— Continuity: #257
— App State won three of its last five games.
— ASU is 4-4 SU/3-2 ATS as a Sun Belt road underdog.
— ASU has #255 eFG% in country.
— Opponents are shooting 46.1% inside arc (#34)
— App State is 6-8 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— App State’s schedule, to this point: #169
— bench minutes: #120
— App State’s best win: 71-62 at #96 James Madison.

— Georgia Southern (15-15, 8-9) ranked #210 by KenPom
— Tempo: #215
— Experience: #221
— Continuity: #222
— Southern won three of its last five games.
— Southern is 6-2 SU/3-2-1 ATS as a Sun Belt home favorite.
— Eagles have #283 eFG% in country.
— Eagles are 9-8 vs teams ranked outside top 150.
— Southern is 7-8 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Southern’s schedule, to this point: #175
— bench minutes: #144
— Southern’s best win: 81-76 over #76 Marshall

— Georgia Southern (+4) won 67-65 at App State January 12.
— App State won eight of last ten series games.
— ASU won three of last four visits to Statesboro.
— Sun Belt home teams are 25-20 ATS if spread was 3 or less.

Coastal Carolina @ Troy State
— Coastal Carolina (11-18, 5-12) ranked #281 by KenPom
— Tempo: #140
— Experience: #161
— Continuity: #248
— Coastal lost nine of its last ten games.
— Coastal is 1-7 SU/3-4 ATS as Sun Belt road underdog.
— Chanticleers have #313 eFG% in country.
— Chanticleers are #302 team in country on defensive boards.
— Coastal is 7-9 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Coastal’s schedule, to this point: #178
— bench minutes: #17
— Coastal’s best win: 77-76 over #100 Louisiana

— Troy State (18-12, 10-7) ranked #134 by KenPom
— Tempo: #166
— Experience: #184
— Continuity: #245
— Troy won five of its last six games
— Troy is 6-2 SU/4-2 ATS as a Sun Belt home favorite.
— Troy forces turnovers 21.1% of time (#46)
— Trojans are #278 team in country on defensive boards.
— Trojans hare shooting 51.6% inside arc (#118), 31.1% on arc (#325)
— Troy’s schedule, to this point: #135
— bench minutes: #219
— Troy’s best win: 80-65 over #100 Louisiana

— Coastal won seven of last eight series games.
— Chanticleers are 4-3 in their last seven visits to Troy.
— Sun Belt double digit home favorites are 9-10 ATS

Southern Mississippi @ Texas State
— Southern Miss (24-6, 13-4) ranked #94 by KenPom
— Tempo: #129
— Experience: #54
— Continuity: #249
— Southern Miss lost 2 of last 3 games, after a 9-0 run.
— Eagles are 4-4 SU/2-3 ATS as Sun Belt road favorites.
— Eagles have #47 eFG% defense.
— Southern Miss is shooting 52.3% inside arc (#87), 32.8% on arc (#241)
— Southern Miss is 5-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Southern Miss’ schedule, to this point: #195
— bench minutes: #247
— Southern Miss’ best win: 76-72 at #48 Liberty.

— Texas State (13-17, 6-11) ranked #219 by KenPom
— Tempo: #328
— Experience: #265
— Continuity: #84
— Texas State lost nine of its last 12 games
— Bobcats are 3-5 SU/0-4 ATS as a Big 14 home underdog.
— Texas State is shooting 47.4% inside arc (#290), 31.4% on arc (#309)
— Opponents are shooting 36.9% on arc (#323)
— Bobcats are 9-10 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Texas State’s schedule, to this point: #134
— bench minutes: #8
— Texas State’s best win: 63-62 at #96 James Madison.

— Southern Miss (-8) beat Texas State 67-58 January 28
— That was teams’ first meeting as Sun Belt rivals.
— Sun Belt home underdogs of 4 or less points are 14-13 ATS.

Georgia State @ James Madison
— Georgia State (10-19, 3-14) ranked #272 by KenPom
— Tempo: #194
— Experience: #262
— Continuity: #295
— Georgia State lost six in row, 10 of last 11 games.
— Panthers are 3-5 SU/2-3 ATS as a Pac-12 road underdog.
— Georgia State has #13 eFG% defense.
— Panthers are #334 team on defensive boards.
— Panthers are 6-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Georgia State’s schedule, to this point: #200
— bench minutes: #170
— Georgia State’s best win: 68-58 over #102 South Alabama

— James Madison (20-10, 11-6) ranked #96 by KenPom
— Tempo: #32
— Experience: #9
— Continuity: #35
— James Madison won seven of their last nine games.
— Dukes are 5-3 SU/4-4 ATS as a Sun Belt home favorite.
— Dukes force turnovers 22.2% of time (#25)
— James Madison is getting 21.1% of its points on foul line (#43)
— James Madison is 7-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— James Madison’s schedule, to this point: #184
— bench minutes: #18
— James Madison’s best win: 72-66 at #76 Marshall.

— James Madison (-5) won 63-47 at Georgia State December 29
— That was teams’ first meeting as Sun Belt rivals.
— Sun Belt double digit home favorites are 9-10 ATS

Wyoming @ Colorado State
— Wyoming (8-19, 3-12) ranked #161 by KenPom
— Tempo: #280
— Experience: #35
— Continuity: #41
— Wyoming lost 14 of its last 17 games.
— Wyoming is 1-6 SU/2-3-1 ATS as MW road underdogs.
— Wyoming has #306 eFG% defense.
— Cowboys are 2-14 vs teams ranked in top 125.
— Cowboys are 2-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Wyoming’s schedule, to this point: #67
— bench minutes: #21
— Wyoming’s best win: 70-56 at #49 New Mexico.

— Colorado State (12-16, 4-11) ranked #250 by KenPom
— Tempo: #110
— Experience: #209
— Continuity: #164
— Colorado State lost seven of its last nine games.
— Rams are 1-6 SU/1-3 ATS as a MW home favorite.
— Colorado State has #297 eFG% defense.
— Colorado State is shooting 56.4% inside arc (#13)
— Rams are 4-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Colorado State’s schedule, to this point: #52
— bench minutes: #114
— Colorado State’s best win: 62-60 at #8 Saint Mary’s.

— Wyoming (+2) beat Colorado State 58-57 January 21.
— Cowboys won after blowing 16-point second half lead.
— Colorado State won six of last nine series games.
— Wyoming lost last three visits to Fort Collins, by 35-11-6 points.
— Mountain West home favorites of 7+ points are 14-15 ATS

South Alabama @ Louisiana
— South Alabama (16-14, 9-8) ranked #102 by KenPom
— Tempo: #253
— Experience: #198
— Continuity: #346
— South Alabama won eight of its last nine games.
— South Alabama 3-5 SU/2-3 ATS as a Sun Belt road underdog.
— Jaguars have #29 eFG% defense in country.
— Jaguars are shooting 53.5% inside arc (#54)
— South Alabama is getting 11.9% of points on foul line (#362)
— South Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #161
— bench minutes: #341
— South Alabama’s best win: 85-54 over #94 Southern Miss.

— Louisiana (22-7, 12-5) ranked #101 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #170
— Continuity: #71
— Louisiana is 2-3 in last five games, after a 10-0 run.
— Cajuns are 8-0 SU/5-3 ATS as a Sun Belt home favorite.
— Cajuns have #56 eFG% in country.
— Louisiana is #25 team in country on offensive boards.
— Louisiana is 6-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Louisiana’s schedule, to this point: #159
— bench minutes: #275
— Louisiana’s best win: 77-67 over #76 Marshall

— Louisiana (+2) won 79-76 in Mobile January 14.
— South Alabama won four of last six series games.
— Jaguars won 60-57/77-70 in last two visits to Lafayette.
— Sun Belt home favorites of 5 or less points are 21-15 ATS

Air Force @ UNLV
— Air Force (14-15, 5-11) ranked #154 by KenPom
— Tempo: #346
— Experience: #318
— Continuity: #70
— Air Force lost eight of its last ten games
— Falcons are 3-5 SU/5-3 ATS as a MW road underdog.
— Air Force is shooting 56.1% inside arc (#15)
— Opponents are getting 21.5% of points on foul line (#318)
— Opponents are shooting 51.7% inside arc (#247)
— Air Force’s schedule, to this point: #122
— bench minutes: #99
— Air Force’s best win: 89-77 over #49 New Mexico.

— UNLV (16-11, 5-10) ranked #85 by KenPom
— Tempo: #55
— Experience: #59
— Continuity: #256
— UNLV lost last three games, giving up 76.7 ppg.
— Rebels are 2-5 SU/2-4 ATS as a MW home favorite.
— UNLV has #271 eFG% defense.
— UNLV is #311 team on defensive boards.
— Rebels are getting 21.4% of points on foul line (#34)
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— UNLV’s schedule, to this point: #80
— bench minutes: #77
— UNLV’s best win: 68-62 over #32 Nevada.

— UNLV won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Air Force lost eight of last nine visits to UNLV.
— Mountain West home favorites of 8+ points are 9-11 ATS.

Nevada @ Fresno State
— Nevada (21-7, 11-4) ranked #32 by KenPom
— Tempo: #264
— Experience: #154
— Continuity: #170
— Nevada won five of its last six games.
— Wolf Pack is 3-4 SU/2-0 ATS as a MW road favorite.
— Nevada is getting 23.4% of points on foul line (#10)
— Wolf Pack is #38 team on defensive boards.
— Nevada is 7-2 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Nevada’s schedule, to this point: #40
— bench minutes: #333
— Nevada’s best win: 75-66 over #16 San Diego State

— Fresno State (10-17, 6-10) ranked #149 by KenPom
— Tempo: #332
— Experience: #89
— Continuity: #36
— Fresno lost nine of its last 13 games.
— Fresno is 4-4 SU/3-1 ATS as a MW home underdog.
— Bulldogs have #295 eFG% in country.
— Bulldogs are forcing turnovers 20.3% of time (#68)
— Opponents are shooting 36.9% on the arc (#322)
— Fresno’s schedule, to this point: #59
— bench minutes: #106
— Fresno’s best win: 71-67 over #49 New Mexico

— Nevada (-9) beat Fresno State 77-66 at home two weeks ago.
— Wolf Pack won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Teams split their last four visits in Fresno.
— Mountain West home dogs of 4 or less points are 6-4 ATS

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, February 24

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 24

RICH at VCU	07:00 PM	VCU -9.0 O 133.5	+500 +500
MRSH at ODU	07:00 PM	MRSH -2.5 U 148.0	+500 +500
SPU at CAN	07:00 PM	SPU +3.5 O 132.0	+500 +500
MRST at MAN	07:00 PM	MAN -4.0 U 132.0	+500 +500
FAIR at NIAG	07:00 PM	FAIR +1.5 O 124.5	+500 +500
IONA at MSM	07:00 PM	IONA -10.0 U 139.5	+500 +500
SIE at RID	07:00 PM	RID -2.5 U 134.0	+500 +500
XAV at HALL	07:00 PM	HALL +1.5 U 141.0	+500 +500
JVST at NORAL	07:00 PM	NORAL -1.5 U 141.5	+500 +500
EKY at JAC	07:00 PM	EKY +0.0 O 134.0	+500 +500
PEAY at FGCU	07:00 PM	FGCU -11.0 O 134.5	+500 +500
QNC at LIB	07:00 PM	QNC +16.0 O 148.0	+500 +500
BELL at UNF	07:00 PM	UNF -5.0 O 139.0	+500 +500
LIP at STET	07:00 PM	LIP +1.5 O 148.5	+500 +500
APP at GASO	07:00 PM	GASO -1.5 U 131.5	+500 +500
CCU at TROY	07:30 PM	TROY -10.0 U 144.5	+500 +500
ARST at ULM	07:30 PM	ULM -4.5 U 131.0	+500 +500
GSU at JMU	08:00 PM	GSU +15.0 O 144.0	+500 +500
KENN at CARK	08:00 PM	KENN -9.5 U 158.0	+500 +500
USM at TXST	08:00 PM	USM -2.5 O 135.0	+500 +500
USA at ULL	09:00 PM	ULL -4.5 U 146.5	+500 +500
WYO at CSU	09:00 PM	WYO +7.0 O 137.0	+500 +500
SEA at GRC	09:00 PM	GRC -6.5 O 141.0	+500 +500
AFA at UNLV	09:30 PM	AFA +9.0 O 137.5	+500 +500
NEV at FRES	11:00 PM	NEV -3.0 O 129.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks

Past Completed Picks

02/24/2023	25-25-0	50.00%	-1250	Detail
02/23/2023	56-54-2	50.89%	-1700	Detail
02/22/2023	54-66-2	45.08%	-9300	Detail
02/21/2023	26-24-1	51.96%	-200	Detail
02/20/2023	19-16-1	54.17%	+700	Detail
02/19/2023	24-28-0	46.15%	-3400	Detail
02/18/2023	74-86-1	46.27%	-10300	Detail
02/17/2023	14-18-0	43.75%	-2900	Detail
02/16/2023	61-65-2	48.44%	-5250	Detail
02/15/2023	46-59-3	43.98%	-9450	Detail
02/14/2023	24-27-1	47.12%	-2850	Detail
02/13/2023	19-21-0	47.50%	-2050	Detail
02/12/2023	16-13-1	55.00%	+850	Detail
02/11/2023	158-136-4	53.69%	+4200	Detail
02/10/2023	16-13-0	55.17%	+850	Detail
02/09/2023	33-36-1	47.86%	-3300	Detail
02/08/2023	44-59-1	42.79%	-10450	Detail
02/07/2023	32-22-0	59.26%	+3900	Detail
02/06/2023	12-15-1	44.64%	-2250	Detail
02/05/2023	11-21-0	34.38%	-6050	Detail
02/04/2023	78-84-2	48.17%	-7200	Detail
02/03/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
02/02/2023	33-30-0	52.38%	+0	Detail
02/01/2023	25-33-3	43.44%	-5650	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack
First 6 picks of the 1973 baseball draft
1) Texas— David Clyde, P— Had an 18-33 record in five seasons.
2) Phillies— John Stearns, C— Made four All-Star games in 11 seasons.
3) Brewers— Robin Yount, SS— Hall of Famer who later moved to CF.
4) Padres— Dave Winfield OF— Hall of Famer; drafted in three sports.
5) Indians— Glenn Tufts, 1B— Never got above AA in the minor leagues.
6) Giants— Johnnie LeMaster, SS— Hit .222 in 12 big league seasons.

Quote of the Day
“…….all the guys sitting, resting. That’s the only thing I probably don’t like. Just play, man. If you’re 80%, 70% – you gotta play. I don’t like all the sitting, missing games and stuff like that. These people might have enough money to come to one game, you know what I’m saying? That might be the game they come to and then you’re sitting out.”
Anthony Edwards of the Timberwolves, talking about NBA load management

Saturday’s quiz
Hall of Famer Bill Russell won 11 titles in 13 years playing with the Celtics; which NBA team drafted Russell? (it wasn’t Boston)

Friday’s quiz
Ja Morant played his college basketball at Murray State.

Thursday’s quiz
Last year was the last time a #2-seed lost to a #15-seed in first round of NCAA’s; Saint Peter’s (+18) upset Kentucky 85-79 in overtime.

**********************************

Saturday’s Den: Baseball questions, with spring training underway

— Baseball changed lot of rules this year; going to be interesting to see how that impacts play this season. No more shifts, a play clock to quicken pace of play, bigger bases, a limit to how many times a pitcher can throw to first base. I think they’ve made good rule changes.

— Watching the first spring training games Friday with the pitch clock, TV broadcasts will be changing; lot of fewer replays of action right after it happens, because there is a 0:30 clock until the next pitch is thrown. Lot less small talk between pitches.

— San Diego Padres spent lot of $$$ this year, trying hard to unseat the Dodgers in NL West, but then star 3B Manny Machado said he will opt out of his contract after this season, hoping to make more than the $30M/year he was scheduled to make thru 2028.

Will that be a distraction for the Padres, or is is just business as usual?

— I’ve mentioned this here before, but my dad grew up in New York City, was.a big Brooklyn Dodger fan. When I was a kid, I learned quickly to never say the name “O’Malley”— Walter O’Malley was the Dodgers’ owner who moved the team from Brooklyn to Los Angeles. My dad didn’t like Walter O’Malley, not one bit.

San Diego Padres are now owned by Peter Seidler, who is Walter O’Malley’s grandson. Wish my dad was here to get his reaction to that; chances are he wouldn’t like the Padres very much.

— Highest current projected payrolls for this baseball season:

$300M— New York (NL)
$261M— New York (AL)
$241M— Phillies
$225M— Braves
$212M— Angels
$205M— Padres

— Lowest current projected payrolls for this baseball season:

$40,925,000— A’s
$45,025,000— Orioles
$59,262,500— Pirates
$64,451,211— Rays
$48,624,500— Reds
$75,010,000— Guardians

— Mets’ owner Steve Cohen has raised a lot of eyebrows by also spending a boatload of $$$ to make his team a winning team. Hell, wish he owned the A’s, but now they’re just as despicable as the other New York team. It is no fun rooting for a team that doesn’t try to win.

Cohen loosely inspired the character Bobby Axelrod on the Showtime series Billions.

— The A’s situation will be interesting; will they move to Las Vegas? Portland? Doesn’t sound like they’ll get a new stadium in Oakland. Would be nice if their cheapskate owner would try to win— what a novel idea.

If they move to Las Vegas and are still cheapskates, someone might wind up like Joe Pesci’s character in Casino.

— Tampa Bay Rays also have a stadium issue; will they stay in Florida or move to Montreal? Charlotte? Nashville?

— Once the two stadium issues are resolved, MLB will move ahead with expanding to 32 teams; the expansion fees will recoup $$$ owners lost during the shortened 2020 season. Having 32 big league teams will make scheduling a lot easier.

— Texas Rangers are paying SS Corey Seager/2B Marcus Semien a combined $57M a year, but they went 68-94 last year, so they hired future Hall of Famer Bruce Bochy as their new skipper, added Jacob deGrom as a mound ace. We’ll see if that makes Texas a contender; they’ve had six straight losing seasons.

— Angels have two of the game’s great stars, Trout/Ohtani, but they were 73-89 last year.

Angels haven’t made the playoffs since 2014- their last winning season was 2015, and all that with a payroll of $212M for this year. Pitching is kind of important; the Angels need more of it.

— Speaking of Ohtani, he can be a free agent next winter; going to be quite a bidding war for his services. Would the Angels consider trading him this summer?

— Aaron Judge hit 62 home runs last year; what does he do for an encore? Teammate Giancarlo Stanton hit 59 homers in 2017, but hasn’t ht more than 38 since then.

— Not sure what the Red Sox/Cubs are doing; big market teams that aren’t spending much $$$. Red Sox won World Series in 2018; they’ve made playoffs once since then. Boston finished last in AL East last year, 21 games out of first place.

Cubs missed the playoffs in three of last four seasons; their prospects for this year aren’t great.

— Detroit Tigers moved their fences in this year, mostly in CF; will that help their hitters/hurt their pitchers?

— Cleveland Guardians won AL Central by 11 games last year; they were only team in the division to finish over .500. Will they be challenged more this year? White Sox let Jose Abreu go, Minnesota re-tooled some but not a lot. Cleveland made playoffs five of last seven years, but has not made it to the World Series since losing Game 7 to the Cubs in 2016.

— Seattle Mariners made playoffs last year for first time since 2001; at this time last year, I had three Seattle hitters on my fantasy team, but their ballpark isn’t conducive to scoring runs— got rid of two of the three, and the third guy got traded to Milwaukee.

— My baseball TV experience will be better this season; couldn’t watch the World Series last year. The local FOX station was/is at war with DirecTV, so that station was off my TV, so no World Series. I’ve dumped DirecTV for YouTube TV. Looking forward to this season.

 

[Udog]

xx