NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, February 28
13 of Tuesday’s best college basketball games
Clemson @ Virginia
— Clemson (21-8, 13-5) ranked #68 by KenPom
— Tempo: #143
— Experience: #183
— Continuity: #144
— Clemson won three of its last four games.
— Clemson is 4-5 SU/3-2 ATS as an ACC road underdog.
— Tigers are shooting 54.1% inside arc (#43), 36.7% on arc (#49)
— Tigers are #27 team on defensive boards
— Clemson is 4-3 vs teams in top 50.
— Clemson’s schedule, to this point: #117
— bench minutes: #108
— Clemson’s best win: 72-64 over #33 Duke
— Virginia (21-6, 13-5) ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #360
— Experience: #4
— Continuity: #14
— Virginia split its last four games, scoring 59.8 ppg.
— Virginia is 8-0 SU/5-3 ATS as an ACC home favorite.
— Virginia gets 65.9% of its points inside arc (#5)
— Cavaliers are #36 team in country on defensive boards.
— Cavaliers are 10-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #74
— bench minutes: #274
— Virginia’s best win: 86-79 over #12 Baylor
— Virginia won 12 of last 13 series games.
— Clemson won 67-50 in Charlottesville LY, ending 0-10 skid there.
— ACC home favorites of 6 or less points are 21-15 ATS
Iowa @ Indiana
— Iowa (18-11, 10-8) ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #48
— Experience: #123
— Continuity: #51
— Iowa split its last six games SU.
— Hawkeyes won last game in OT after trailing by 13 with 1:34 left.
— Hawkeyes are 2-7 SU/2-3 ATS as Big 14 road underdogs.
— Iowa has #298 eFG% defense in country.
— Iowa is 5-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Iowa’s schedule, to this point: #22
— bench minutes: #244
— Iowa’s best win: 81-67 over #17 Maryland.
— Indiana (20-9, 11-7) ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #136
— Experience: #67
— Continuity: #41
— Indiana won five of its last seven games
— Hoosiers are 7-1 SU/5-2 ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
— Indiana has #29 eFG% in country.
— Indiana is 9-9 against top 50 teams.
— Hoosiers are 6-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Indiana’s schedule, to this point: #14
— bench minutes: #184
— Indiana’s best wins: 79-71/79-74 over #6 Purdue.
— Iowa (-1) beat Indiana 91-89 January 5th.
— Indiana led that game 28-7 early on.
— Hawkeyes are 5-3 in last eight meetings.
— Iowa lost three of last four visits to Bloomington.
— Big 14 home favorites of 6 or less points are 38-17 ATS
NC State @ Duke
— NC State (22-8, 12-7) ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #89
— Experience: #47
— Continuity: #236
— NC State split its last six games SU.
— Wolfpack is 4-5 SU/2-4-1 ATS as an ACC road underdog.
— NC State is getting only 15.4% of its points on foul line (#325).
— Wolfpack is 3-4 against top 50 teams.
— NC State is 6-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— NC State’s schedule, to this point: #94
— bench minutes: #265
— NC State’s best win: 84-60 over #33 Duke.
— Duke (15-14, 7-11) ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #289
— Experience: #291
— Continuity: #338
— Duke won its last four games, giving up 61.5 ppg
— Blue Devils are 9-0 SU/3-5-1 ATS as an ACC home favorite.
— Duke is #6 team in country on offensive boards.
— Blue Devils are 4-5 vs top 50 teams.
— Duke is 7-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #73
— bench minutes: #136
— Duke’s best win: 71-64 over #18 Xavier.
— Wolfpack (+3) pounded Duke 84-60 January 4th.
— Blue Devils won four of last six series games.
— State lost last three visits to Durham, by 6-19-15 points.
— ACC home favorites of 4 or less points are 14-8 ATS
Saint Louis @ VCU
— Saint Louis (19-10, 11-5) ranked #103 by KenPom
— Tempo: #92
— Experience: #16
— Continuity: #46
— Saint Louis won three of last four games, scoring 81.8 ppg.
— Saint Louis is 4-4 SU/0-1 ATS as an A-14 road underdog
— Opponents are shooting 46% inside the arc (#30)
— Billikens are #70 team on defensive boards.
— Billikens are 8-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Saint Louis’ schedule, to this point: #120
— bench minutes: #146
— Saint Louis’ best win: 76-73 over #27 Providence.
— VCU (22-7, 13-3) ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #45
— Experience: #253
— Continuity: #192
— VCU won 12 of its last 14 games.
— Rams are 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS as an A-15 home favorite.
— VCU is forcing turnovers 24.4% of time (#4)
— VCU is #257 team in country on defensive boards.
— Rams are getting 22.4% of its points on foul line (#18)
— VCU’s schedule, to this point: #145
— bench minutes: #113
— VCU’s best win: 71-67 over #54 Pitt.
— VCU (+2) won 73-65 at Saint Louis February 3.
— Rams won 10 of last 12 series games.
— Saint Louis lost their last six visits to VCU.
— A-15 home favorites of 6 or less points are 24-19 ATS
Texas Tech @ Kansas
— Texas Tech (16-13, 5-11) ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #164
— Experience: #150
— Continuity: #319
— Texas Tech won four of its last five games
— Texas Tech is 6-3 SU/1-1 ATS as an MVC road underdog.
— Raiders have #62 eFG% defense in country.
— Raiders are #4 team on defensive boards.
— Texas Tech is 8-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Texas Tech’s schedule, to this point: #28
— bench minutes: #64
— Texas Tech’s best win: 74-67 over #9 Texas
— Kansas (24-5, 12-4) ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #68
— Experience: #231
— Continuity: #226
— Kansas won its last six games (5-1 ATS)
— Jayhawks are 7-1 SU/3-5 ATS as a Big X home favorite.
— Kansas has #35 eFG% defense in country.
— Jayhawks are forcing turnovers 20.6% of time (#71)
— Kansas is 11-0 in games vs teams ranked outside top 50.
— Kansas’s schedule, to this point: #1
— bench minutes: #360
— Kansas’s best win: 88-80 over #9 Texas.
— Kansas (-2.5) won 75-72 in Lubbock January 5th.
— Jayhawks won nine of last 12 meetings.
— Tech lost its last four visits to Lawrence, by 16-3-6-3 points.
— Big X double digit home favorites are 3-7 ATS.
Arkansas @ Tennessee
— Arkansas (19-10, 8-8) ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #57
— Experience: #254
— Continuity: #333
— Arkansas lost three of its last five games
— Hogs are 2-6 SU/2-3 ATS as an SEC road underdog.
— Arkansas is shooting 54.5% inside arc (#28), 31.9% on arc (#292)
— Huskies has #15 eFG% defense in country.
— Arkansas is forcing turnovers 20.7% of time (#59)
— Arkansas’ schedule, to this point: #32
— bench minutes: #300
— Arkansas’ best win: 76-74 in OT over #16 San Diego State
— Tennessee (21-8, 10-6) ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #270
— Experience: #135
— Continuity: #124
— Tennessee is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Vols are 6-2 SU/4-4 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
— Vols have #1 eFG% defense in country.
— Tennessee is #5 team in country on offensive boards.
— Tennessee is 3-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #41
— bench minutes: #71
— Tennessee’s best win: 68-59 over #3 Alabama
— Tennessee won five of last seven series games.
— Arkansas lost last four visits to Knoxville, by 19-21-5-4 points.
— SEC home favorites of 8 or less points are 16-20 ATS
San Diego State @ Boise State
— San Diego State (23-5, 14-2) ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #215
— Experience: #20
— Continuity: #38
— San Diego State won its last six games (5-1 ATS)
— San Diego State is 7-1 SU/4-3 ATS as a MW road favorite.
— Opponents are shooting 51.5% inside arc (#240), 29% on arc (#11)
— Aztecs are #37 team in country on defensive boards.
— San Diego State is 12-5 against top 100 teams.
— San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #30
— bench minutes: #42
— San Diego State’s best win: 72-52 over #26 Boise State
— Boise State (22-7, 12-4) ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #193
— Experience: #181
— Continuity: #106
— Boise State won seven of its last nine games
— Broncos are 8-0 SU/3-5 ATS as a MW home favorite.
— Broncos have #22 eFG% defense.
— Boise State is #18 team on defensive boards
— Boise State is 10-5 against top 100 teams.
— Boise State’s schedule, to this point: #70
— bench minutes: #348
— Boise State’s best win: 86-71 over #24 Texas A&M
— Boise State (+7) lost 72-52 in San Diego February 3rd.
— Aztecs won seven of last ten series games.
— San Diego State lost four of last five visits to Boise.
— MW home teams are 10-13 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
Sun Belt tournament (@ Pensacola, FL)
Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina
— Arkansas State (12-19, 4-14) ranked #299 by KenPom
— Tempo: #339
— Experience: #269
— Continuity: #234
— Arkansas State is 3-4 SU last seven games, after an 0-10 skid.
— Last six years, Red Wolves are 2-6 SU in Sun Belt tournament.
— ASU is shooting 45.4% inside arc (#337), 33.3% on arc (#226)
— Red Wolves are 5-2 ATS last seven games as an underdog.
— Arkansas State is 7-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Arkansas State’s schedule, to this point: #235
— bench minutes: #320
— Arkansas State’s best win: 60-57 at #151 Old Dominion.
— Coastal Carolina (11-19, 5-13) ranked #285 by KenPom
— Tempo: #129
— Experience: #160
— Continuity: #250
— Coastal lost ten of its last eleven games.
— Chanticleers are 2-5 SU in last five Sun Belt tournaments.
— Coastal is shooting 48.6% inside arc (#252), 30.4% on arc (#337).
— Coastal is #291 team on defensive boards.
— Chanticleers are 7-9 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Coastal’s schedule, to this point: #160
— bench minutes: #15
— Coastal’s best win: 77-76 over #96 Louisiana
— Arkansas State (+3) beat Chanticleers 73-57 at home February 4th.
— Coastal is 6-4 in last ten series games.
Georgia State vs Texas State
— Georgia State (10-20, 3-15) ranked #276 by KenPom
— Tempo: #206
— Experience: #261
— Continuity: #297
— Georgia State lost seven in row, 11 of last 12 games
— Last two years, Georgia State is 5-1 SU in Sun Belt tourney.
— Georgia State is 1-10-1 ATS as a Sun Belt underdog TY.
— Panthers are shooting 46.2% inside arc (#326), 29.1% on arc (#354)
— Panthers are #227 team on defensive boards.
— Georgia State’s schedule, to this point: #171
— bench minutes: #174
— Georgia State’s best win: 68-58 over #105 South Alabama
— Texas State (13-18, 6-12) ranked #218 by KenPom
— Tempo: #328
— Experience: #264
— Continuity: #82
— Texas State lost 10 of its last 13 games.
— Last 8 years, Texas State went 6-2 SU in first Sun Belt tourney game.
— Bobcats are are shooting 47.8% inside arc (#271), 31.1% on arc (#325)
— Opponents are getting 22.2% of points on foul line (#36)
— Texas State is 9-10 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Texas State’s schedule, to this point: #129
— bench minutes: #8
— Texas State’s best win: 63-62 at #95 James Madison
— Georgia State won six of last eight series games.
Horizon tournament (@ campus sites)
IUPUI @ Robert Morris
— IUPUI (5-26, 2-18) ranked #360 by KenPom
— Tempo: #184
— Experience: #359
— Continuity: #348
— IUPUI lost 16 of its last 18 games
— IUPUI is 0-10 SU/6-4 ATS as a Horizon road underdog.
— Last 11 years, Jaguars are 1-11 SU in conference tournaments.
— Jaguars have #355 eFG% defense in country.
— IUPUI is turning ball over 29.3% of time (#347)
— IUPUI’s schedule, to this point: #301
— bench minutes: #23
— IUPUI’s best win: 81-75 over #229 Robert Morris
— Robert Morris (15-16, 10-10) ranked #229 by KenPom
— Tempo: #221
— Experience: #180
— Continuity: #123
— Robert Morris won four of its last five games.
— Colonials are 7-3 SU/3-5 ATS as a Horizon home favorite.
— Colonials are 1-2 SU in their two Horizon tournaments.
— Opponents are shooting 51.5% inside arc (#261)
— Robert Morris is forcing turnovers 21.4% of time (#46)
— Robert Morris’ schedule, to this point: #300
— bench minutes: #328
— Robert Morris’ best win: 83-64 over #121 Youngstown State
— Teams split pair of home wins this season.
— Robert Morris lost 81-75 at IUPUI five nights ago.
— Jaguars split pair of Horizon visits to Robert Morris
Green Bay @ Wright State
— Green Bay (3-28, 2-18) ranked #361 by KenPom
— Tempo: #286
— Experience: #339
— Continuity: #264
— Green Bay is 1-20 SU in its last 21 games.
— Green Bay is 1-9 SU/4-6 ATS as a Horizon road underdog.
— Last six years, Green Bay is 3-6 SU in Horizon tournament.
— Phoenix has #339 eFG%, #338 eFG% defense.
— Phoenix is #326 team on defensive boards.
— Green Bay’s schedule, to this point: #219
— bench minutes: #33
— Green Bay’s best win: 80-79 OT at #231 Milwaukee
— Wright State (17-14, 10-10) ranked #179 by KenPom
— Tempo: #20
— Experience: #99
— Continuity: #62
— Wright State lost three of its last four games.
— Raiders are 5-5 SU/ATS as a Horizon home favorite.
— Wright State won this tournament LY (8-3 SU in last five tourneys)
— Wright State is shooting 54.3% inside arc (#40).
— Raiders are 13-5 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— Wright State’s schedule, to this point: #299
— bench minutes: #209
— Wright State’s best win: 83-65 over #175 Northern Kentucky
— Wright State beat Green Bay twice TY, by 32-31 points.
— Raiders won nine of last 11 series games.
Fort Wayne @ Detroit
— Fort Wayne (17-14, 9-11) ranked #234 by KenPom
— Tempo: #97
— Experience: #2
— Continuity: #8
— Fort Wayne lost five of its last seven games.
— Fort Wayne is 5-5 SU/2-3 ATS as a Horizon road underdog.
— Mastodons went WL in last four conference tournaments.
— Opponents are shooting 55.3% inside arc (#346)
— Opponents are shooting 30.8% on the arc (#30)
— Fort Wayne’s schedule, to this point: #297
— bench minutes: #286
— Fort Wayne’s best win: 76-71 at #121 Youngstown State
— Detroit (13-18, 9-11) ranked #205 by KenPom
— Tempo: #185
— Experience: #53
— Continuity: #287
— Detroit is 5-3 SU in its last eight games
— Titans are 5-5 SU/3-5 ATS as a Horizon home favorite.
— Last five years, Detroit is 2-5 SU in Horizon tournament.
— Titans are shooting 39.3% on arc (#6), 46.3% inside arc (#325).
— Detroit has #320 eFG% defense in country.
— Detroit’s schedule, to this point: #241
— bench minutes: #197
— Detroit’s best win: 70-49 over #113 Charlotte.
— Detroit beat Fort Wayne twice TY, by 9-33 points.
— Titans won four of six Horizon meetings.
— Antoine Davis is 64 points to become the NCAA’s all-time scoring leader, so they need to win this game to give him a realistic shot at the record.
Atlantic Sun tournament (@ campus sites)
Lipscomb @ Stetson
— Lipscomb (19-12, 11-7) ranked #166 by KenPom
— Tempo: #74
— Experience: #272
— Continuity: #98
— Lipscomb won three in row, six of last eight games.
— Lipscomb has #34 eFG% in country.
— Bisons are #46 team in country on defensive boards.
— Bisons are getting only 14.3% of points on foul line (#348)
— Lipscomb is 8-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Lipscomb’s schedule, to this point: #242
— bench minutes: #76
— Lipscomb’s best win: 69-64 over #42 Liberty.
— Stetson (17-12, 12-6) ranked #157 by KenPom
— Tempo: #314
— Experience: #257
— Continuity: #200
— Stetson won six of its last eight games.
— Stetson is shooting 38.8% on the arc (#9)
— Hatters are getting 40% of their points on the arc (#9)
— Hatters are getting only 15.1% of their points on foul line (#330)
— Stetson has #305 eFG% defense in country.
— Stetson’s schedule, to this point: #159
— bench minutes: #68
— Stetson’s best win: 68-67 at #138 South Florida
— Teams split pair of OT decisions this year (road team won both)
— Lipscomb is 8-4 in last 12 series games.
