NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, March 3
13 of Friday’s best college basketball games
MVC tournament (@ St Louis)
Northern Iowa vs Bradley
— Northern Iowa (14-17, 10-11) ranked #218 by KenPom
— Tempo: #163
— Experience: #340
— Continuity: #320
— Northern Iowa lost eight of its last ten games.
— Northern Iowa played four starters 29:00+ in last nite’s 75-62 win.
— Panthers have #322 eFG% defense in country.
— Panthers are 0-5 against top 100 teams.
— Northern Iowa is 6-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Northern Iowa’s schedule, to this point: #188
— bench minutes: #334
— Northern Iowa’s best win: 69-57 over #133 Southern Illinois
— Bradley (23-8, 16-4) ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #284
— Experience: #211
— Continuity: #53
— Bradley won last ten games, covered last eight.
— Bradley hasn’t played since Sunday.
— Bradley has #16 eFG% defense in country.
— Braves are #23 team on defensive boards.
— Braves lost its first MVC tourney game the last two years.
— Bradley’s schedule, to this point: #202
— bench minutes: #153
— Bradley’s best win: 73-61 over #81 Drake
— Bradley beat Northern Iowa twice this year, 68-53/77-69
— Braves won four of last five series games.
Indiana State vs Belmont
— Indiana State (21-11, 14-7) ranked #95 by KenPom
— Tempo: #33
— Experience: #206
— Continuity: #88
— Indiana State won 8 of its last 10 games.
— Since 2003, Sycamores are 2-10 in 2nd round MVC tourney games.
— ISU had stress-free win last nite; no one played more than 27:00.
— Indiana State is shooting 59.6% inside arc (#1)
— Indiana State is #9 team in country on defensive boards.
— Indiana State’s schedule, to this point: #293
— bench minutes: #56
— Indiana State’s best win: 75-73 over #81 Drake
— Belmont (21-10, 14-6) ranked #126 by KenPom
— Tempo: #133
— Experience: #171
— Continuity: #265
— Belmont won four of its last five games
— Last five years, Bruins went 6-4 in OVC tourney games.
— Belmont is shooting 38.7% on arc (#11)
— Belmont gets 37.6% of its points on 3-pointers (#24)
— Bruins are 9-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Belmont’s schedule, to this point: #196
— bench minutes: #187
— Belmont’s best wins: 78-76/63-60 over #78 Bradley
— Indiana State lost 89-88 at Belmont last week; they led by 19 in first half.
— That was teams’ first meeting as MVC rivals.
Murray State vs Drake
— Murray State (17-14, 12-9) ranked #225 by KenPom
— Tempo: #199
— Experience: #208
— Continuity: #345
— Murray State won four of its last five games
— Racers won OVC tournament three of last five years.
— Murray State is shooting 49.2% inside arc (#229), 32.7% on arc (#252)
— Racers have #241 eFG% defense in country.
— Murray State played 7 guys Thursday, in easy 78-50 win.
— Murray State’s schedule, to this point: #183
— bench minutes: #309
— Murray State’s best win: 88-79 over #23 Bradley
— Drake (24-7, 15-5) ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #110
— Experience: #27
— Continuity: #19
— Drake won 10 of its last 11 games.
— Last four years, Drake won its first MVC tourney game.
— Bulldogs have #61 eFG% defense.
— Bulldogs are #3 team in country on defensive boards.
— Drake has #78 eFG%, #61 eFG% defense.
— Drake’s schedule, to this point: #203
— bench minutes: #260
— Drake’s best win: 58-52 over #43 Mississippi State
— Drake beat Murray State twice this year, 82-64/94-68
— Those were these teams’ first two meetings as MVC rivals.
Missouri State @ Southern Illinois
— Missouri State (17-14, 13-8) ranked #152 by KenPom
— Tempo: #357
— Experience: #187
— Continuity: #334
— Missouri State is 5-2 in its last seven games.
— Missouri State played four starters 30:00+ in last nite’s 74-57 win.
— Missouri State went WL in six of last seven MVC tourneys.
— Bears are #42 team in country on offensive boards.
— Bears are shooting 33.1% on arc (#236), 62.6% on foul line (#358)
— Missouri State’s schedule, to this point: #165
— bench minutes: #34
— Missouri State’s best wins: 52-49/65-62 OT over #81 Drake
— Southern Illinois (22-9, 14-6) ranked #133 by KenPom
— Tempo: #332
— Experience: #23
— Continuity: #65
— SIU won five of its last seven games.
— Last four years, Salukis are 1-4 SU in MVC tourney games.
— 47.1% of SIU’s shots are 3’s (#11); they’re only making 32.3% of them (#276)
— SIU is shooting 55.7% inside arc (#16)
— Salukis has #55 eFG% defense in country.
— SIU’s schedule, to this point: #223
— bench minutes: #159
— SIU’s best win: 61-60 at #44 Oklahoma State
— Salukis beat Missouri State twice this year, 61-57/73-53
— SIU won 12 of last 14 series games.
CAA tournament (@ Washington DC)
Monmouth vs Hampton
— Monmouth (6-25, 5-13) ranked #353 by KenPom
— Tempo: #135
— Experience: #356
— Continuity: #327
— Monmouth lost its last four games, giving up 78 ppg
— Last seven years, Monmouth was 5-2 in its first MAAC tourney game.
— Hawks are turning ball over 21.1% of time (#331)
— Hawks are shooting 44.1% inside arc (#349), 27.9% on arc (#361)
— Monmouth is #341 team on defensive boards.
— Monmouth’s schedule, to this point: #184
— bench minutes: #62
— Monmouth’s best win: 69-67 over #207 Drexel
— Hampton (8-23, 5-13) ranked #341 by KenPom
— Tempo: #106
— Experience: #126
— Continuity: #178
— Hampton lost six of its last eight games.
— Pirates are having 4th straight losing season.
— Hampton is shooting 43.2% inside arc (#354), 32.4% on arc (#271)
— Pirates has #315 eFG% defense in country.
— Hampton is #272 team in country on defensive boards.
— Hampton’s schedule, to this point: #272
— bench minutes: #341
— Hampton’s best win: 75-72 over #207 Drexel
— Hampton beat Monmouth twice this year, 83-66/86-81
— Those were teams’ first meetings as CAA rivals.
WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
Portland vs BYU
— Portland (13-18, 5-11) ranked #155 by KenPom
— Tempo: #88
— Experience: #105
— Continuity: #30
— Portland lost four of its last five games
— Last five years, Portland is 1-5 in WCC tourney games.
— Pilots allowed 81+ points in four of their five losses.
— Pilots are shooting 56.6% inside arc (#8), 37.4% on arc (#30)
— Portland has #44 eFG% defense in country.
— Portland’s schedule, to this point: #93
— bench minutes: #86
— Portland’s best win: 83-71 over #56 Villanova.
— BYU (17-14, 7-9) ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #47
— Experience: #288
— Continuity: #230
— BYU lost seven of its last ten games.
— Since 2007, BYU is 13-3 in its first conference tourney game.
— Cougars are turning ball over 20.3% of time (#312)
— Cougars are #14 team in country on defensive boards.
— BYU is 10-2 vs teams ranked outside top 150.
— BYU’s schedule, to this point: #81
— bench minutes: #47
— BYU’s best win: 83-80 over #14 Creighton
— Portland (+10) lost 71-58 at BYU New Year’s Eve.
— Cougars won last 13 series games.
Pacific vs San Francisco
— Pacific (15-17, 8-9) ranked #175 by KenPom
— Tempo: #57
— Experience: #176
— Continuity: #264
— Pacific is 3-5 SU in its last eight games.
— Pacific made 10-20 on arc in last nite’s 84-71 win.
— Tigers are shooting 39% on the arc (#7)
— Tigers have #324 eFG% defense in country.
— Pacific is #313 team in country on defensive boards.
— Pacific’s schedule, to this point: #116
— bench minutes: #6
— Pacific’s best win: 95-89 at #82 Santa Clara.
— San Francisco (18-13, 7-9) ranked #107 by KenPom
— Tempo: #103
— Experience: #118
— Continuity: #198
— San Francisco won three of its last four games
— Dons won first WCC tourney game four of last five years.
— USF is shooting 35.7% (#90) on arc; 49% of their shots are 3’s (#3).
— Dons are shooting 53.5% inside arc (#55)
— Opponents are getting 22.9% of points on foul line (#343).
— San Francisco’s schedule, to this point: #100
— bench minutes: #188
— San Francisco’s best win: 97-60 over #63 Arizona State
— San Francisco beat Pacific twice this year, 78-57/76-68.
— Dons won 11 of last 13 series games.
Elsewhere……..
Akron @ Kent State
— Akron (21-9, 13-4) ranked #106 by KenPom
— Tempo: #306
— Experience: #39
— Continuity: #137
— Akron games
— Zips are 3-5 SU/2-5 ATS as a Big 14 road underdog.
— Akron has #67 eFG% defense in country.
— Zips are 4-10 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Akron is 7-10 vs teams ranked in top 50.
— Akron’s schedule, to this point: #218
— bench minutes: #280
— Akron’s best win: 67-55 over #76 Kent State
— Kent State (24-6, 14-3) ranked #76 by KenPom
— Tempo: #157
— Experience: #59
— Continuity: #66
— Kent State won six of its last seven games.
— Flashes are 8-0 SU/4-4 ATS as a MAC home favorite.
— Flashes are forcing turnovers 23% of time (#16)
— Kent State has #33 eFG% defense in country.
— Kent State is 5-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Kent State’s schedule, to this point: #193
— bench minutes: #219
— Kent State’s best win: 75-63 over #84 Toledo.
— Akron (-2) beat Kent State 67-55 February 3.
— Zips won five of last seven series games.
— Akron lost four of last five visits to Kent State
— MAC home favorites of 5 or less points are 15-8 ATS
Toledo @ Ball State
— Toledo (24-6, 15-2) ranked #84 by KenPom
— Tempo: #55
— Experience: #57
— Continuity: #28
— Toledo won its last 14 games (6-2 ATS last eight)
— Toledo scored 81+ points in 13 of last 14 games.
— Toledo is 7-1 SU/1-5 ATS as a MAC road favorite.
— Rockets are shooting 40.1% on arc (#2), 54.2% inside arc (#38)
— Rockets are #270 team on defensive boards.
— Toledo’s schedule, to this point: #260
— bench minutes: #346
— Toledo’s best win: 93-85 over #58 UAB
— Ball State (20-10, 11-6) ranked #153 by KenPom
— Tempo: #169
— Experience: #133
— Continuity: #54
— Ball State lost three of its last four games.
— Cardinals won seven of eight MAC home games SU.
— Cardinals are 3-2 ATS as a MAC underdog.
— Ball State getting 21.7% of points on foul line (#30)
— Ball State is shooting 37.7% on the arc (#23)
— Ball State’s schedule, to this point: #256
— bench minutes: #326
— Ball State’s best win: 82-70 over #76 Kent State
— Ball State (+9) won 90-83 at Toledo January 3.
— Teams split their last ten meetings.
— Rockets lost their last three visits to Muncie.
— MAC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 8-10 ATS
East Carolina @ Tulane
— East Carolina (15-14, 6-10) ranked #194 by KenPom
— Tempo: #171
— Experience: #348
— Continuity: #299
— East Carolina won four of its last six games
— Pirates are 2-5 SU/2-3-1 ATS as an AAC road underdog.
— East Carolina has #315 eFG% in country.
— Pirates are getting 21.4% of their points on foul line (#38)
— East Carolina is #205 team in country on defensive boards.
— East Carolina’s schedule, to this point: #167
— bench minutes: #141
— East Carolina’s best win: 75-71 over #65 Cincinnati
— Tulane (17-10, 10-6) ranked #94 by KenPom
— Tempo: #3
— Experience: #49
— Continuity: #1
— Tulane lost its last three games, giving up 85 ppg.
— Green Wave is 5-2 SU/4-1 ATS as an AAC home favorite.
— Tulane is #239 team on defensive boards.
— Tulane is shooting 54.1% inside arc (#40)
— Green Wave is 5-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Tulane’s schedule, to this point: #120
— bench minutes: #294
— Tulane’s best wins: 96-89/90-89 OT over Memphis
— East Carolina (+6) upset Tulane 83-68 at home Wednesday night.
— ECU wan eight of last ten series games.
— Pirates lost 60-56/86-66 in last two visits to New Orleans.
— AAC double digit home favorites are 9-8 ATS.
Dayton @ Saint Louis
— Dayton (20-10, 12-5) ranked #69 by KenPom
— Tempo: #346
— Experience: #165
— Continuity: #4
— Dayton won seven of its last nine games
— Dayton is 5-3 SU in its A-14 road games.
— Dayton shooting 55% inside the arc (#23)
— Flyers have #6 eFG% in country.
— Flyers are 4-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Dayton’s schedule, to this point: #163
— bench minutes: #198
— Dayton’s best win: 62-58 at #73 VCU
— Saint Louis (19-11, 11-6) ranked #104 by KenPom
— Tempo: #71
— Experience: #17
— Continuity: #49
— Saint Louis is 4-5 in its last nine games
— Saint Louis won seven of its eight A-14 home games.
— Opponents are shooting 46.5% inside arc (#41)
— Billikens are #65 team on defensive boards.
— Saint Louis is 3-7 against top 100 teams.
— Saint Louis’s schedule, to this point: #115
— bench minutes: #137
— Saint Louis’s best win: 76-73 over #31 Providence
— Dayton (-4) beat Saint Louis 70-56 at home February 10.
— Dayton won seven of last eight series games.
— Flyers split their last six visits to Saint Louis.
— A-14 home teams are 26-18 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
Stephen F Austin @ Utah Valley
— Stephen F Austin (19-11, 11-6) ranked #118 by KenPom
— Tempo: #101
— Experience: #245
— Continuity: #169
— SF Austin won four of its last six games
— SF Austin was 24-36 on foul line in OT loss to Sam Houston Wednesday
— Lumberjacks are 4-4 SU, 3-1 ATS as a WAC road underdog.
— Lumberjacks are forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#8)
— SF Austin is #328 team on defensive boards.
— SF Austin’s schedule, to this point: #156
— bench minutes: #41
— SF Austin’s best win: 75-58 over #110 NC-Greensboro
— Utah Valley (23-7, 14-3) ranked #85 by KenPom
— Tempo: #67
— Experience: #139
— Continuity: #133
— Utah Valley won seven of its last eight games.
— Aggies are 7-1 SU/5-2 ATS as a WAC home favorite.
— Aggies has #4 eFG% defense in country.
— Utah Valley is getting 21% of its points on foul line (#45)
— Utah Valley is shooting 31.8% on arc (#297)
— Utah Valley’s schedule, to this point: #111
— bench minutes: #264
— Utah Valley’s best win: 77-72 at #41 Oregon
— SF Austin beat Utah Valley 78-59 LY in their only WAC meeting.
— WAC home favorites of 6+ points are 17-14 ATS
New Mexico @ Colorado State
— New Mexico (21-9, 8-9) ranked #47 by KenPom
— Tempo: #24
— Experience: #86
— Continuity: #60
— New Mexico is 3-7 in its last 10 games, after an 18-2 start.
— New Mexico is 3-5 SU/0-3 ATS as a MW road favorite.
— Lobos are getting 21.6% of their points on foul line (#34)
— New Mexico has #47 eFG% in country.
— Lobos are 6-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— New Mexico’s schedule, to this point: #80
— bench minutes: #347
— New Mexico’s best win: 69-65 at #8 Saint Mary’s
— Colorado State (13-17, 5-12) ranked #111 by KenPom
— Tempo: #249
— Experience: #207
— Continuity: #163
— Colorado State split its last six games SU
— Rams lost six of their eight Mountain West home games.
— Colorado State has #294 eFG% defense in country.
— Colorado State is shooting 56.4% inside arc (#13)
— Rams are 4-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Colorado State’s schedule, to this point: #58
— bench minutes: #117
— Colorado State’s best win: 62-60 at #8 Saint Mary’s
— New Mexico (-7) beat Colorado State 88-69 at home December 28.
— Rams won five of last six series games.
— New Mexico lost its last four visits to New Mexico.
— MW home teams are 12-15 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
