CNOTES COLLEGE HOOPS OPINIONS BEST BETS AND NEWS !

Cnotes53

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Sunday’s 6-pack
Leading rebounders in the NBA:
12.5— Domantas Sabonis, Sac
11.9— Nikola Jokic, Den
11.8— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
11.5— Rudy Gobert, Minn
11.3— Nikola Vucevic, Chi
11.1— Clint Capela, Atl

Quote of the Day
“Even though [our flight] was a charter, I thought, my goodness, those guys have to do this every other week to play a basketball game? It would be exhausting. It’s going to be a real challenge to be at their best with that kind of travel. I’m wishing them all the best, but that’s more travel than I would ever wish on anybody.”
San Diego State coach Brian Dutcher, talking about USC/UCLA joining the Big 14

Saturday’s quiz
Which college basketball team is known as the Gauchos?

Saturday’s quiz
2018 was the last time a Big East team won a national title in college basketball, when Villanova beat Michigan for the title.

Friday’s quiz
1997 was the last time a Pac-12 team won the national title in college basketball, when Arizona beat Kentucky in overtime to win the championship.




************************************************** *********


Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

Florida Atlantic is in the Final Four; let that sink in for a minute.

— Florida Atlantic 79, Kansas State 76
K-State led 57-50 with 12:00 left in game.
#9-seed Owls survived being minus-10 in turnovers (22-12)
UCLA made Final Four two years ago as an #11-seed, but this was only the second time ever that FAU was even in the freakin’ tournament. Totally amazing achievement.

— UConn 82, Gonzaga 54
Huskies won their four NCAA Tournament games, by 24-15-23-28 points.
UConn is 29-8; they’re 1-5 in games decided by 6 or less points.
Gonzaga shot 33% from the floor, an ugly end to an excellent 31-6 season.

— Did some work Saturday, trying to identify which stats work best to identify teams that are going to prosper in the NCAA Tournament. There are no absolutes, but some things stand out:

Things that seem not to matter too much:
— Deep benches— longer TV timeouts in the tournament
— Reliance on 3-point shooting— hard to shoot it well six games in a row
— Continuity

Different teams succeed for different reasons; some teams just get cobbled together in the summer and they click, like Kansas State. K-State was an older team, #30 in experience, but #316 in continuity, but they defended well, their 5th-year PG had a monster year and they did great. No one would have predicted that back in November.

Defensive eFG%— Four of the top 10 in the country made the Sweet 16; the two worst teams in this category that made the Sweet 16 are Miami/Gonzaga- they were both in the top 25 in eFG% offense. So, teams that score easy baskets and/or prevent their opponents from getting easy baskets.

Forcing turnovers— UCLA, Texas, Tennessee were strong in this category; Creighton is terrible, but they’re still playing.

— Teams that rank high in eFG%, both offense and defense, those are the teams we need to focus on. That is what I’ll be searching for next March.

— Charlotte Hornets (+16) won in Dallas Friday night, the biggest upset in NBA this season.

— Ben Simmons is hurt again; he is making $35,448,672 this season, will make $88M combined over the next two seasons, talk about a guy who is stealing money.

In six NBA seasons (he sat one out completely), Simmons has played in 317 games; he is a career 56% shooter on the foul line, 5-36 on the arc. Great passer, very good defender, but over the last four seasons, he has played in only 157 out of a possible 300 games.

Not sure why you would want this guy on your team, in a sport with a salary cap.

— Baseball season starts on Thursday, some quick thoughts:

— In Japan, teams play six games a week, most teams use six starting pitchers, so one start per week. Oakland A’s signed a pitcher Shintaro Fujinami; word is that he will pitch every Saturday this season, that’s it, once a week. They’ll fill in with other guys around him.

I’ve seen Fujinami pitch couple times; he’s good. Has control lapses, but didn’t give up many hits in the Cactus League. Think he’ll help the A’s a lot; not sure he’ll be a great fantasy pitcher, not a lot of strikeout in his game.

Angels are also likely to wind up using six starting pitchers, letting Ohtani get extra rest between his starts. Could be a new trend, six-man starting rotations.

— Wonder what interpreters earn who work for major league teams? Pretty important job; Fujinami comes out of the game Saturday, he huddles with his catcher and the interpreter. Pitching coach goes to the mound, interpreter is right there.

— St Louis Cardinals used 14 starting pitchers last year, the most they’ve used in any one season since 2002.

Cardinals signed P Miles Mikolas to a 2-year, $40M contract extension.

— OF Jurickson Profar has visa issues, hasn’t joined his new team (Colorado Rockies) yet.

— LB Bobby Wagner went back to the Seahawks, after a year with the Rams; Wagner played 10 years in Seattle, before bolting to LA last season.

— NFC East is the only NFL division, where all four teams have won a Super Bowl.
 

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CREIGHTON is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.

TEXAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in March games in the current season.



NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, March 26


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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 26


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MIAMI (28 - 7) vs. TEXAS (29 - 8) - 3/26/2023, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in March games this season.
MIAMI is 42-30 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 42-30 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more this season.
MIAMI is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CREIGHTON (24 - 12) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (30 - 6) - 3/26/2023, 2:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 159-121 ATS (+25.9 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CREIGHTON is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 1-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 26


San Diego State vs Creighton (@ Louisville)
— San Diego State (30-6) ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #255
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #39
— San Diego State won seven in row, 13 of last 14 games.
— San Diego State allowed 55.7 ppg in its last seven games.
— Aztecs have #20 eFG% defense in country.
— Aztecs are 16-6 against top 100 teams.
— San Diego State is 12-3 in games decoded by 7 or less points.
— San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #42
— bench minutes: #31
— San Diego State’s best win: 71-64 over #4 Alabama

— Creighton (24-12) ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #139
— Experience: #158
— Continuity: #82
— Creighton won six of its last six games.
— Creighton scored 80.3 ppg in its first three tourney games.
— Bluejays have #24 eFG% in country, #44 eFG% defense.
— Bluejays are #11 team in country on defensive boards.
— Creighton is 4-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Creighton’s schedule, to this point: #12
— bench minutes: #351
— Creighton’s best win: 56-53 over #3 UConn

— Last 8+ years, underdogs are 20-14 ATS in Elite 8 games.

Miami vs Houston (@ Kansas City)
— Miami (28-7) ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #92
— Experience: #27
— Continuity: #138
— Miami won 12 of its last 14 games.
— Miami lost to Kansas in the Elite 8 last year.
— Canes have #23 eFG% in country.
— Canes are #71 team in country on offensive boards.
— Miami is 7-3 against top 50 teams.
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #71
— bench minutes: #323
— Miami’s best win: 89-75 over #2 Houston

— Texas (29-8) ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #100
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #148
— Texas wont its last seven games, giving up 60 ppg.
— Texas was last in Elite 8 in ’08/’06 (last Final 4 was ’03)
— Longhorns force turnovers 22.3% of time (#19)
— Texas is shooting 53.9% inside arc (#39)
— Longhorns are 15-7 vs top 50 teams.
— Texas’ schedule, to this point: #7
— bench minutes: #120
— Texas’ best win: 93-74 over #6 Gonzaga

— Last 8+ years, underdogs are 20-14 ATS in Elite 8 games.
 

Cnotes53

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SUNDAY, MARCH 26
CREI at SDSU02:20 PMSDSU +2.5
U 134.5
+500 +500
MIA at TEX05:05 PMMIA +4.0
O 148.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Completed Picks

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03/26/20234-0-0100.00%+2000Detail
03/25/20232-2-050.00%-100Detail
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03/15/202310-10-050.00%-500Detail
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03/11/202325-21-054.35%+950Detail
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03/09/202354-53-450.45%-2150Detail
03/08/202335-33-251.43%-650Detail
03/07/202321-31-040.38%-6550Detail
03/06/20239-17-235.71%-4850Detail
03/05/202330-30-050.00%-1500Detail
03/04/202384-102-045.16%-14100Detail
03/03/202336-24-259.68%+4800Detail
03/02/202363-44-158.80%+7300Detail
03/01/202331-43-242.11%-8150Detail
 

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack
Jets’ QB’s and their records during their 12-year playoff drought:
14-17— Mark Sanchez
13-14— Ryan Fitzpatrick
13-25— Sam Darnold
12-18— Geno Smith
8-14— Zach Wilson
5-11— Josh McCown
2-5— Mike White
1-2— Michael Vick
1-6— Bryce Petty
1-8— Joe Flacco
0-2— Luke Falk
0-1— Greg McElroy, Trevor Siemian

Quote of the Day
“My best skill was that I was coachable. I was a sponge and aggressive to learn.”
Michael Jordan

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Rounders, what famous actor played Russian mobster Teddy KGB?

Sunday’s quiz
Cal-Santa Barbara’s basketball team is known as the Gauchos.

Saturday’s quiz
2018 was the last time a Big East team won a national title in college basketball, when Villanova beat Michigan for the title.

*****************************

Monday’s Den: Random thoughts with the Final Four set

— 18 years ago, 11-seed George Mason (+8) upset #1-seed UConn 86-84 to get to an unlikely Final Four; coach of that team was Jim Larranaga. Then yesterday………

Miami 88, Texas 81— Larranaga is back in the Final Four, in his 12th season at Miami; his Hurricanes tied for first place in the ACC this season, still only got a #5-seed.

Texas led 64-51 with 12:51 left in the game.
Miami’s Jordan Miller was 7-7 from floor, 11-11 on foul line.
Miami was 28-32 on foul line, Longhorns 11-15.

Larranaga is 73 years old; he was an assistant to Terry Holland at Virginia during the Ralph Sampson era in the early 80’s. This is the cherry on top of a freakin’ great career.

— Texas needs to do the right thing now and make interim coach Rodney Terry the full-time coach. Terry did a great job this year; I’m trying to remember why he left Fresno State for UTEP five years ago, after going 66-34 his last three years in Fresno.

Terry went 37-48 in three years at UTEP, then signed on to be Chris Beard’s assistant at Texas. When Beard got fired in November for off-court reasons, Terry took over and now he deserves to be the full-time coach. This is a no brainer.

San Diego State 57, Creighton 56
Creighton shot 35.4% on the arc this year;; they were 2-17 in this game
Bluejays led 41-34 with 13:14 left to play.
Coming into this month, Mountain West teams were 0-8 in the last three NCAA Tournaments; now they have a team in the Final Four.

— Early lines for the Final Four games:
UConn -5 vs Miami
San Diego State -1.5 vs Florida Atlantic

— This is the first time ever the Final Four won’t have any #1, #2 or #3 seeds in it.

— Final Four teams have earned $8,330,000; the teams get half that amount, their leagues split the rest of the money. FAU gets $4,165,000; other ten teams in Conference USA get $416,500 apiece. Big payday for those schools, especially the mid-major teams.

This past season, Florida Atlantic’s entire operating budget for basketball was $1,627,839.

— Back in December, a gutsy gambler wagered $500 on Florida Atlantic to get to the Final Four, at 400-1 odds; dude cashed the ticket for $200,000 Saturday.

— VCU’s Mike Rhoades is expected to bolt for the Penn State job, at $3.5M a year; I’m really doubting if Penn State is a better basketball job than VCU. Penn State is obviously a football school; they had the most experienced team in the country this year. VCU is a basketball school, close to an East Coast version of Gonzaga.

— New Mexico State hired Sam Houston coach Jason Hooten this weekend; Aggies had an awful season, cancelling it after starting 2-10 in the WAC- there were numerous off-court issues with a first-year coach, but New Mexico State also has a winning tradition— they’ve been in eight of the last 11 NCAA Tournaments.

Hooten was at Sam Houston State for 13 years, going 26-8 this past season.

— In case you were wondering, Boise State has the most appearances in an NCAA Tournament without ever winning a game (0-9).

— Cincinnati Reds are paying 53-year old Ken Griffey Jr $3.59M this season, a deferred payment on a contract he signed in 2000. Only three Reds this season will earn more than Griffey.

— 49ers acquired kicker Zane Gonzalez from Carolina; their last kicker Robbie Gould is a free agent. Gonzalez was hurt last year, didn’t kick; he is 91-113 one field goals in a six-year career with the Browns, Cardinals and Panthers.
 

Cnotes53

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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Since 2010-11, college hoop teams with the best winning %age:
.865 — Gonzaga
.811 — Kansas
.786 — Duke
.768 — Arizona
.762 — Kentucky
.761 — San Diego State

Quote of the Day
“It’s an ongoing process. I’m following it very closely, just like everybody else is here and looking forward to a resolution. I’m excited. Thinking about Lamar all the time. Thinking about him as our quarterback. We’re building our offense around that idea. I’m just looking forward to getting back to football and I’m confident that’s going to happen.”
Ravens’ coach John Harbaugh

Tuesday’s quiz
Which baseball Hall of Famer once played point guard for San Diego State’s basketball team?

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Rounders, John Malkovich played Russian mobster Teddy KGB.

Sunday’s quiz
Cal-Santa Barbara’s basketball team is known as the Gauchos.




************************************************


Tuesday’s Den: XFL trends, and other football stuff in March……..

— Opening Day of baseball season is Thursday, so of course the NFL owns the headlines today, because the NFL doesn’t have much of an offseason anymore.

— I’m told that quarterback is an important position in football; right now the Baltimore Ravens have a QB who wants a boatload of guaranteed $$$, the Ravens don’t want to guarantee a whole lot of that money and since the QB is acting as his own agent, things have gotten personal.

Lamar Jackson has a career W-L record of 45-16 in the regular season, which is really good; in the playoffs, he is 1-3, with Baltimore scoring 13.5 ppg in those games. Not so good.

Here’s the thing: Jackson didn’t play in the Ravens’ last six games last year, he didn’t play in their last four games the year before. Leg injuries for a running QB aren’t good. Ravens are 18-17 the last two years; expectations are higher than that.

One of the best abilities is availability/dependability; good QB’s make $35-$40M a year in the NFL, with the expectation that he is your leader, the face of your franchise. He is expected to play and play very well, not to mention being a leader.

Schedule comes out in a few weeks; would be a lot easier to sell those season tickets if your quarterback/leader isn’t at odds with the team.

So there is a standoff; this is bad for the NFL, bad for the Ravens, bad for Jackson.

Ravens can come out of this smelling like a rose if they trade Jackson for a couple of first round picks and then land another QB (Carson Wentz, Teddy Bridgewater, Matt Ryan???) to back up Tyler Huntley, who has a 3-6 record in nine NFL starts.

If the Ravens trade Jackson to the Colts, they could use the Colts’ draft pick they’ll get back to draft their QB of the future, which buys them time with their fans.

What happens if Jackson refuses to budge on his contract demands? Does he simply not play? How is this good for him? Who is advising him? Do you want to put your entire franchise in the hands of someone who may be being advised by sketchy people?

— NFL schedule comes out in a month or so; there is a lot of $$$ involved with which games are on in primetime. Would be nice to know who each team’s quarterback is going to be.

Indianapolis Colts, who used to call Baltimore home, visit the Ravens this season; if Jackson is traded to the Colts, guaranteed that is either a Monday night game or a Thursday Amazon game.

— Jets/Packers are still at odds over the Aaron Rodgers trade. Just let me know when they make a decision. This whole debacle has become exhausting.

Jets by the way, have nine home games this year (all AFC teams have 9, NFC teams 8) plus one of their “road” games is against the Giants in the stadium they share, so the Jets really only have seven road games this coming season.

If/when Rodgers becomes a Jet, Jets will gain 2-3 more primetime slots, you can bet on that.

— Detroit Lions’ over/under win total this season is 9.5, the highest it has been in the last 30 years.

Let me say right here that I think it is foolish to bet on season win totals before the schedules come out. As the great Bud Grant used to say, “Its not who you play, it is when you play them”

— Texas Longhorns did the right thing Monday and signed basketball coach Rodney Terry to a 5-year, $15.3M contract. Good for everyone; for once, sanity prevails.

— North Carolina’s leading scorer Caleb Love is in the transfer portal, will bolt Chapel Hill after UNC went 20-13 this season, turning down a chance to play in the NIT. When you see a team choose to end their season like that, you can assume they had internal issues, and Love’s going into the transfer portal seems to confirm that.

— Here are trends for all eight XFL teams, six weeks into a 10-game regular season.

Arlington Renegades (3-3)
Last five games stayed under the total.
All three wins were by 6 or less points.
Allowed 15 or fewer points in three of last four games.
0-3 ATS as a favorite.

DC Defenders (6-0)
Won/covered all six games.
Five of those six games went over the total.
Last four games, Defenders scored 32.8 ppg.

Houston Renegades (4-2)
Lost last two games, after a 4-0 start.
3-0 SU/ATS at home, winning by 21-9-9 points.
Favorite covered five of their six games.

Las Vegas Vipers (1-5)
Only win was 35-32 over 0-6 Orlando.
Vipers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
Last four games, Las Vegas allowed 30.8 ppg.
Three of their last four games went over total.

Orlando Guardians (0-6)
Orlando beat spread in three of last four games.
Five of their six games went over total.
Guardians are giving up 29.7 ppg.

St Louis Battlehawks (4-2)
Both their losses are to 6-0 Defenders (34-28/28-20)
St Louis allowed 18 or less points in its wins
Battlehawks covered both times they were favored.

San Antonio Brahmas (2-4)
Brahmas were held to 15 or less points in five of six games.
Five of their six games stayed under the total.
Average total in their last three games: 22.3.

Seattle Sea Dragons (4-2)
Seattle won its last four games, after an 0-2 start.
Their three road games all went over the total.
Last three games, they allowed only 13 ppg.
 

Udog

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N TEXAS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last...

UAB is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less in the current season.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 28


3Z8vQ0i.png





NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 28


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WISCONSIN (20 - 14) vs. N TEXAS (29 - 7) - 3/28/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N TEXAS is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
N TEXAS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTAH VALLEY ST (28 - 8) vs. UAB (28 - 9) - 3/28/2023, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
UAB is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH VALLEY ST is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH VALLEY ST is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTAH VALLEY ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH VALLEY ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH VALLEY ST is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
UTAH VALLEY ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 28


North Texas vs Wisconsin
— North Texas (29-7) ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #363
— Experience: #166
— Continuity: #139
— North Texas won 14 of its last 16 games.
— Mean Green won in OT at #47 Oklahoma State to get here.
— North Texas is 12-2 outside Conference USA.
— Mean Green has #7 eFG% defense in country.
— North Texas is #36 team in country on offensive boards.
— North Texas schedule, to this point: #109
— bench minutes: #222
— North Texas best wins: 63-52/82-79 2OT over #44 UAB

— Wisconsin (20-14) ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #342
— Experience: #239
— Continuity: #127
— Wisconsin won four of its last five games
— Badgers won 61-58 at #42 Oregon to get here.
— Wisconsin has #288 eFG% offense in country.
— Badgers are getting 36.1% of their points on arc (#43)
— Wisconsin is 11-2 outside the Big 14.
— Wisconsin’s schedule, to this point: #14
— bench minutes: #331
— Wisconsin’s best win: 80-77 in OT at #10 Marquette

— Total is 115.5; both teams in bottom 25 in country in pace.

UAB vs Utah Valley
— UAB (28-9) ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #32
— Experience: #5
— Continuity: #110
— UAB won 15 of its last 17 games.
— Blazers won 67-59 at #81 Vanderbilt to get here.
— UAB is 12-2 outside Conference USA.
— Blazers have #43 eFG% defense in country.
— UAB is #8 team in country on offensive boards.
— UAB’s schedule, to this point: #126
— bench minutes: #73
— UAB’s best win: 86-77 over #17 Florida Atlantic

— Utah Valley (28-8) ranked #64 by KenPom
— Tempo: #42
— Experience: #142
— Continuity: #136
— Utah Valley won 12 of its last 14 games
— Wolverines won at New Mexico/Colorado in this tournament.
— Utah Valley has #4 eFG% defense in country.
— Wolverines are 6-3 against top 100 teams.
— UVSU split two games in WAC tourney on this floor 3 weeks ago.
— Utah Valley’s schedule, to this point: #108
— bench minutes: #270
— Utah Valley’s best win: 77-72 at #42 Oregon

— Total of 150.5; both teams are in top 50 in pace.
 
Last edited:

Cnotes53

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TUESDAY, MARCH 28
UNT at WIS07:00 PMUNT -1.5
U 114.5
+500 +500
UVU at UAB09:30 PMUAB -5.0
U 151.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
30,356
29
48
Pending Picks
Mar 28, 2023NCAABNorth Texas
Wisconsin
-
-
07:00 PMUNT -1.5
Completed Picks
Mar 26, 2023NCAABCreighton
San Diego St.
56
57
SDSU +1.5Win
Mar 25, 2023NCAABFlorida Atlantic
Kansas State
79
76
Over 144.5Win
Mar 24, 2023NCAABSan Diego St.
Alabama
71
64
SDSU +7.5Win
Mar 23, 2023NCAABMichigan St.
Kansas State
93
98
Over 138.5Win
Mar 22, 2023NCAABCincinnati
Utah Valley
68
74
Over 148.5Loss
Mar 21, 2023NCAABNorth Texas
Oklahoma State
65
59
UNT +4.5Win
Mar 20, 2023NCAABCharlotte
Milwaukee
76
65
Over 139.5Win
Mar 19, 2023NCAABMichigan St.
Marquette
69
60
Under 140.0Win
Mar 18, 2023NCAABPenn St.
Texas
66
71
PSU +5.5Win
 

Cnotes53

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03/28/20232-2-050.00%-100Detail
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03/23/20233-5-037.50%-1250Detail
03/22/20230-2-00.00%-1100Detail
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03/19/202313-23-036.11%-6150Detail
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03/17/202315-16-148.44%-1300Detail
03/16/202315-17-046.88%-1850Detail
03/15/202310-10-050.00%-500Detail
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03/10/202339-33-054.17%+1350Detail
03/09/202354-53-450.45%-2150Detail
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03/07/202321-31-040.38%-6550Detail
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03/05/202330-30-050.00%-1500Detail
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Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
30,356
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48
Completed Picks
Mar 28, 2023NCAABNorth Texas
Wisconsin
56
54
UNT -1.5Win
Mar 26, 2023NCAABCreighton
San Diego St.
56
57
SDSU +1.5Win
Mar 25, 2023NCAABFlorida Atlantic
Kansas State
79
76
Over 144.5Win
Mar 24, 2023NCAABSan Diego St.
Alabama
71
64
SDSU +7.5Win
Mar 23, 2023NCAABMichigan St.
Kansas State
93
98
Over 138.5Win
Mar 22, 2023NCAABCincinnati
Utah Valley
68
74
Over 148.5Loss
Mar 21, 2023NCAABNorth Texas
Oklahoma State
65
59
UNT +4.5Win
Mar 20, 2023NCAABCharlotte
Milwaukee
76
65
Over 139.5Win
Mar 19, 2023NCAABMichigan St.
Marquette
69
60
Under 140.0Win
Mar 18, 2023NCAABPenn St.
Texas
66
71
PSU +5.5Win
 

Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Six top prospects for the Arizona Diamondbacks:
1) Corbin Carroll, OF
2) Jordan Lawlar, SS
3) Druw Jones, OF
4) Brandon Pfaadt, P
5) Deyvison de los Santos, 3B
6) Ryne Nelson, P

Quote of the Day
“People have gotten used to going from Sunday afternoon to Sunday night; that doesn’t mean that they like it. This year, we could be flexed to Monday night, which I think is really inconsiderate to our ticket holders. To flex a game back to Thursday night, to me, is just abusive. I am adamantly opposed to it. Fortunately, it didn’t get enough votes today, but it will probably be revisited in May.”
New Jersey Giants’ owner John Mara

Wednesday’s quiz
Nolan Ryan pitched for 27 years in the big leagues; who did he start his major league career with?

Tuesday’s quiz
Tony Gwynn was once the point guard for San Diego State’s basketball team.

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Rounders, John Malkovich played Russian mobster Teddy KGB




************************************************** ******


Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

NIT semifinals
— North Texas 56, Wisconsin 54

Wisconsin didn’t score in last 9:08 of this game.
Badgers led 41-29 at half; they scored 13 points in 2nd half.
Two guards on North Texas played all 40:00 (61 possessions, slow pace)

— UAB 88, Utah Valley 86 OT
UAB won despite its best player shooting 5-23 from the floor.
Ty Brewer scored 30 points, had 12 rebounds, five steals.

— Conference USA is now 17-1 in postseason games this month; Charlotte won the CBI, FAU is in the Final Four, and the NIT final is two C-USA teams. 17-1 is freakin’ impressive.

— NIT Final Four has traditionally been in Madison Square Garden, but this year it is in the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas and next year, it is at Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indiana, where they shot the finale scenes in Hoosiers.

— College coaching stuff:
Penn State hired VCU coach Mike Rhoades
VCU then hired Utah State coach Ryan Odom

— Happy 79th birthday this week to Rick Barry, one of the best basketball players of all-time; he was Larry Bird before Larry Bird. Famous for shooting free throws underhanded, Barry led the Warriors to the 1975 NBA title. He also has five sons who all played pro basketball.

Had Barry played during the ESPN era, he would get a lot more credit for how great he was.

— Baseball’s new rules this season are giving umpires a lot of discretion, especially where the pitch clock is concerned. Hopefully at the end of close games, they’ll let players decide the outcomes. We’ll see what happens.

By the way, after last season, 12 umpires retired, which seems like an awful lot for one season, so in a year when umpires have more discretion, there will be 12 new umpires.

— Cleveland Guardians signed 2B Andres Gimenez a 7-year, $106.5M contract extension; 24-year old Gimenez hit .297 last year, with 17 home runs.

— Cleveland P Tristan McKenzie is out 6-8 weeks with a strained back.

— Cubs signed 2B Nico Hoerner to a 3-year, $35M contract extension; Hoerner hit ,281 last year with 60 runs scored, 55 RBI.

— Where do various major league teams get their top prospects from? My book came in the mail Tuesday, which lists each team’s top 30 prospects.

18 of the Astros’ top 30 prospects played college baseball, more than any team; Cardinals/Giants have 16 college players in their top 30.

Reds, Mets, Red Sox have only six college players in their top 30 prospects.

Rangers have 13 high school players in their top 30, Red Sox 10, Pirates 9. Bronx has only one high school player in their top 30; Dodgers have only three.

Bronx (15), Mets (14), White Sox/Toronto (13 each) have the most international players in their top 30; Orioles/Rays have only four each.

Cincinnati acquired 11 of its top 30 prospects via trade; A’s/Rays acquired 10. White Sox are only team in major leagues whose top 30 prospects are all home grown.

— Atlanta Falcons named Desmond Ridder their starting QB for the coming season, probably so people will stop asking them about Lamar Jackson. Ridder split four games as Atlanta’s starting QB during his rookie season last year.

— Was watching the XFL game Monday night when I was reminded of something from 40 years ago, the night I was part of the chain gang at a semi-pro football game here in Albany.

Metro Mallers played at Bleecker Stadium in Albany for a long time; it was pretty good football, a fun night out. I went to the game but didn’t feel like paying to get in; saw a friend of mine’s dad who worked for the Mallers, asked him to get me in for free.

He smiled and said “I’ve got just the job for you”

I’m 22-23 years old, just out of college; lot of the guys on the Mallers played ball at UAlbany— my work study job in college was doing stats for football/basketball games, so when I went out on the field for a measurement in the first quarter, Donnie Hyde, who was a really good linebacker, looked at me and said “What the hell are you doing here?”

I laughed and said “Just like college; you’re playing and I’m watching”

The other team had uniforms just like the Cowboys; I’m standing on their sidelines with the chains, and during the third quarter of a close game, I’m standing next to their head coach.

He has his play chart in his left hand, and is sending plays in via messenger; then I realized he has a freakin’ can of beer in his right hand- the guy is drinking Pabst Blue Ribbon while he is coaching the game, calling plays.

That was the epitome of semi-pro football; guys playing because they loved to play, just having fun on a Saturday night. Think I did OK with the chains too; no one complained.
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack
Six top prospects for the Atlanta Braves:
1) AJ Smith-Shawver, P
2) Owen Murphy, P
3) Jared Shuster, P
4) JR Ritchie, P
5) Royber Salinas, P
6) Darius Vines, P

Quote of the Day
“Why did they call me a game manager? Why did I win 15 straight games in the NFL? I learned how not to lose.”
Former NFL QB/current UAB football coach Trent Dilfer

Thursday’s quiz
When was the last time the national championship game in college basketball didn’t have a #1-seed playing in it?

Wednesday’s quiz
Nolan Ryan pitched for 27 years in the big leagues; he started his major league career with the Mets.

Tuesday’s quiz
Tony Gwynn was once the point guard for San Diego State’s basketball team.




****************************************


Thursday’s Den: Happy Opening Day, everyone!!!

Baseball season starts today, one of the best days of the year.

— Rule changes are going to help the game:
Pitch clock chopped 36:00 off of spring training games. Pace of pace should be a lot better this season. Most of the younger players have already played with a pitch clock in the minors; don’t think we’ll notice the pitch clock much, once the season gets rolling.

Banning the shift will help lefty pull hitters be more productive.

Stricter rules on pickoff throws to first base should promote base stealing, especially since the bases are a little bigger. Bases are slightly closer to each other now.

I would recommend betting the over on stolen base props this season.

— New schedule in the big leagues this year; every team plays every other team this year, which means that starts like Trout/Ohtani/Soto, over the course of two years, will play in every big league ballpark. Division rivals will play each other only 13 games this season.

Batters are going to see the same pitchers fewer times, which figures to hurt offense some.

You look back at the old days and hitters faced the same pitchers a ton of times, which helps the hitters. Nowadays, teams don’t like pitchers to face the same hitter three times in a game.

— What will Aaron Judge do for an encore this season? Last year, he hit 62 home runs, had a 1.111 OPS, 111 walks, 133 runs, 131 RBI. Tough act to follow.

— This is Shohei Ohtani’s walk year; what are the Angels going to do with him? Angels are paying him $30M this year, he makes another $40M in endorsements— he will break the bank next winter, but with what team?

Do the Angels trade him this summer? If so, what do they get for him? Halos’ over/under win total is 81.5, but if they trade Ohtani this summer, what happens then?

— Which brings us to the cruddy, cheap teams like the A’s, Pirates; their win totals are really low. Would Pittsburgh trade Bryan Reynolds? Pirates have some good young players, but if they don’t sign Reynolds to a contract extension and trade him away, what happens then?

Last three years, Pirates are 142-242, losing 101-100 games the last two years. Their win total for this year is 67.5, so they’re expected to be slightly better this season.

As for the A’s, their win total is 59.5, so 60-102 would net them the over, which is depressing on several levels. Oakland’s owners are cheap bastards; the franchise made a $29M profit last year despite fielding a God-awful team that went 60-102.

A’s did add some starting pitching this year with Fujinami/Muller; I’ve been an A’s fan since 1965 when I was five years old, so I have this stubborn optimistic streak inside me that says they could be way better than 60-102 this year, but they were over .500 every year form 2018-21, then went in the ashcan last year. Going to be tough to lose less than 90 games this season, but 72-90 would be a pretty big improvement.

Meanwhile, the A’s off-field drama continues; will they move to Las Vegas? Portland? Doubtful that Oakland builds them a new stadium. If I was in Las Vegas, I’d make the cheap bastards put it in writing that they’re going to spend $$$ on payroll if they move to the desert.

— Right now, the Mets’ payroll for this season is $357,083,333; there are 13 major league teams with a payroll of $200M+, but no other team is close to the Mets’ payroll.

Mets have two Hall of Fame pitchers in Scherzer/Verlander, but they’re 38/40 years old. NL East is a tough division; team that finished third in the NL East last year won the NL pennant. Mets lost closer Diaz for the season; who takes his place as the closer?

— Red Sox won the World Series in 2018, then missed the playoffs three of the last four years, finishing last in the AL East last year, 21 games behind; their current payroll is $194,695,000, their over/under for wins this year is 77.5.

— Bruce Bochy will be a Hall of Fame manager, having won three titles with the Giants; now he is managing the Texas Rangers, who signed Jacob deGrom this winter, and have a payroll at a hefty $221,544,827. Semien/Seager/deGrom make a combined $91.5M, just the three of them. Rangers’ over/under win total is 81.5.

— Dodgers won the NL West nine of the last ten years, but it looks like San Diego has a better team this season. Padres haven’t won the NL West since 2006, when their manager was Bruce Bochy; their payroll this year is $248,981,645.

Peter Seidler is the Padres’ owner; he is the grandson of Walter O’Malley, the guy who moved the Dodgers from Brooklyn to Los Angeles in the 50’s.

Unclear why the Dodgers let Trea Turner walk; are they putting $$$ aside to go all-in with the Ohtani sweepstakes next winter?

— Astros won their second World Series last year; they’ve been in four of last six World Series, but then they fired their general manager? Why?????

Altuve broke his thumb in the World Baseball Classic, is out until June; they lost Verlander. Could this be a year that Texas/Seattle challenges them in the AL West?

Last two years, Mariners went 67-41 in one-run games; is that sustainable?

— Six months of baseball starts today; enjoy it, everyone.
 

Udog

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N TEXAS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, March 30


QRoBIeR.png





NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 30


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UAB (29 - 9) vs. N TEXAS (30 - 7) - 3/30/2023, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N TEXAS is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
N TEXAS is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
N TEXAS is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
N TEXAS is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
N TEXAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 4-3 against the spread versus N TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 4-3 straight up against N TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 30


North Texas vs Alabama-Birmingham
— North Texas (30-7) ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #363
— Experience: #167
— Continuity: #142
— North Texas won 15 of its last 17 games.
— Mean Green allowed 55.3 ppg in its first four NIT games.
— North Texas held Wisconsin scoreless in last 9:00 Tuesday.
— Two guys on North Texas played all 40:00 Tuesday
— Mean Green has #7 eFG% defense in country.
— North Texas is #42 team in country on offensive boards.
— North Texas schedule, to this point: #108
— bench minutes: #223
— North Texas best wins: 63-52/82-79 2OT over #45 UAB

— UAB (29-9) ranked #45 by KenPom
— Tempo: #31
— Experience: #5
— Continuity: #108
— UAB won 16 of its last 18 games.
— Blazers played two starters 41:00 in Tuesday’s OT win.
— UAB’s best player shot 5-23 from floor in Tuesday’s win.
— Blazers have #43 eFG% defense in country.
— UAB is #10 team in country on offensive boards.
— UAB’s schedule, to this point: #123
— bench minutes: #73
— UAB’s best win: 86-77 over #17 Florida Atlantic

— North Texas beat UAB two of three games this season; UAB beat the Mean Green in the C-USA Tournament. One of UNT’s wins was in double overtime.




NCAAB

Thursday, March 30


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UAB @ North Texas
UAB
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UAB's last 6 games when playing North Texas
North Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Texas's last 6 games when playing UAB


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Friday’s 6-pack
Six top prospects for the Baltimore Orioles:
1) Gunnar Henderson, SS
2) Grayson Rodriguez, P
3) Jackson Holliday, SS
4) Colton Cowser, OF
5) DL Hall, P
6) Jordan Westburg, SS-3B

Quote of the Day
“That’s just the business we’re in right now. He’s everything we want to be about. He’s a hard worker. He cares about his teammates. He cares about where he’s from — Ohio. This fanbase, I think he represents us the right way. And so, we take a lot of pride in having Joe Burrow as our quarterback.”
Bengals coach Zac Taylor

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Bull Durham, Timothy Robbins played a minor league pitcher; what number did his character wear in the movie?

Thursday’s quiz
2014 was the last time the national championship game in college basketball didn’t have a #1-seed playing in it; #7-seed UConn beat #8-seed Kentucky in the final that year.

Wednesday’s quiz
Nolan Ryan pitched for 27 years in the big leagues; he started his major league career with the Mets.

************************************************** *****

Friday’s Den: Wrapping up Opening Day of baseball season

— Rangers 11, Phillies 7:
Texas scored nine runs in 4th inning after Phillies had led 5-0.
First time since 1997 a team scored 9+ runs in an inning on Opening Day.
Rangers won despite deGrom giving up five runs in 3.2 IP.
Grossman hit a 3-run homer for Texas.

— Blue Jays 10, Cardinals 9:
Springer went 5-6, scored four runs, tied game with hit in 9th.
Guerrero hit sac fly for game-winning run in top of 9th.
Cardinals lost C Contreras with knee injury in 7th inning.
Donovan went 3-6 with three runs scored for St Louis.

— White Sox 3, Astros 2:
Vaughn hit 2-run double in top of 9th for game-winning hit.
Game was scoreless thru six innings.
First time in 11 years Houston lost on Opening Day.

— Orioles 10, Red Sox 9:
Baltimore led 10-4 after seven innings, hung on for dear life.
Rutschman went 5-5 with four RBI for the Orioles.
Slots 1-4 in Boston order went 8-18; slots 5-9 went 3-17.

— Pirates 5, Reds 4:
Cruz homered early, had game-winning sac fly in 8th inning.
Pirate bullpen threw 4.1 scoreless IP, allowed only four baserunners.
This is 7th year in a row that Pittsburgh started season on road.

— Cubs 4, Brewers 0:
Stroman tossed six shutout IP, allowed six baserunners.
Chicago scored all four of its runs in the third inning.
Swanson went 3-for-4 in his first game as a Cub.

— Braves 7, Nationals 2:
d’Arnaud went 4-5 with two runs scored, two RBI.
It took Washington starter Corbin 80 pitches to get thru three IP.
Braves’ starter Fried is headed to the IL with a hamstring injury.
Washington was 1-11 with runners in scoring position.

— Mets 5, Marlins 3:
Nimmo had RBI double in 7th inning to put Mets ahead for good.
Marlins had tied game with three runs in 6th inning off Scherzer.
Mets put star P Verlander on IL with a muscle pull near his shoulder.

— Rays 4, Tigers 0:
McClanahan threw six shutout IP, allowed five baserunners.
Rays’ home opener drew 25,025 fans, not great for a successful franchise.
Siri and Franco homered for Tampa Bay

— Twins 2, Royals 0:
Game was scoreless after five innings.
Lopez got 16 outs on 85 pitches, allowed five baserunners.
Kansas City was 0-6 with RISP.

— Bronx 5, Giants 0:
Judge scored first run of MLB season with a 1st inning homer.
Cole threw six shutout IP, striking out 11 Giants.
Torres hit a two-run homer in fourth inning.
 

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SAN DIEGO ST is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seaso...

CONNECTICUT is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) after 3 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, April 1


PsbV7i1.png





NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 1


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FLA ATLANTIC (35 - 3) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (31 - 6) - 4/1/2023, 6:09 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games this season.
FLA ATLANTIC is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
FLA ATLANTIC is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
FLA ATLANTIC is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (29 - 7) vs. CONNECTICUT (29 - 8) - 4/1/2023, 8:49 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
CONNECTICUT is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
CONNECTICUT is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 22-14 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 22-14 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
MIAMI is 70-42 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games on Saturday games since 1997.
MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more this season.
MIAMI is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 1


Final Four (@ Houston)

Over the last 30 years, underdogs are 11-8-1 ATS in national semi-final games where neither team was a #1-seed. There are no #1-seeds in this Final Four.

San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic
— San Diego State (31-6) ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #266
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #39
— San Diego State won eight in row, 14 of last 15 games.
— San Diego State allowed 55.8 ppg in its last eight games.
— Aztecs have #20 eFG% defense in country.
— Aztecs are 17-6 against top 100 teams.
— San Diego State is 13-3 in games decoded by 7 or less points.
— San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #35
— bench minutes: #30
— San Diego State’s best win: 71-64 over #4 Alabama

— Florida Atlantic (35-3) ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #156
— Experience: #148
— Continuity: #26
— FAU won its last eleven games.
— FAU gave up 80-86-74 points in its three losses.
— Owls have #15 eFG% defense, #25 eFG% offense
— Owls are 13-1 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— FAU is 9-1 against top 100 teams.
— FAU’s schedule, to this point: #118
— bench minutes: #14
— FAU’s best win: 62-55 over #7 Tennessee

Miami vs UConn
— Miami (29-7) ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #90
— Experience: #27
— Continuity: #138
— Miami won 13 of its last 15 games.
— Larranaga was in Final Four with George Mason in 2006.
— Canes have #22 eFG% in country.
— Canes are #74 team in country on offensive boards.
— Miami is 8-3 against top 50 teams.
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #65
— bench minutes: #326
— Miami’s best win: 89-75 over #2 Houston

— UConn (29-8) ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #204
— Experience: #115
— Continuity: #248
— UConn won 13 of its last 15 games.
— Huskies won its four NCAA games by 24-15-23-28 points.
— UConn has #8 eFG% defense in country.
— UConn is 1-5 in games decided by 6 or less points.
— Huskies are 11-6 vs top 50 teams.
— UConn’s schedule, to this point: #25
— bench minutes: #224
— UConn’s best win: 82-67 over #2 Alabama




NCAAB

Saturday, April 1


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Trend Report
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Florida Atlantic @ San Diego State
Florida Atlantic
No trends to report
San Diego State
No trends to report

Miami @ Connecticut
Miami
Miami is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Connecticut
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Connecticut
Connecticut is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Connecticut is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Miami


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Cnotes53

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Saturday’s 6-pack
Years since these NFL teams’ last playoff win:
31 years— Detroit Lions
22 years— Miami Dolphins
20 years— Las Vegas Raiders
17 years— Washington Commanders
12 years— Chicago Bears, New Jersey Jets
7 years— Arizona Cardinals, Carolina Panthers, Denver Broncos

Tweet of the Day
“Will y’all stop @’n me to tell the Colts to get Lamar (Jackson). I have no way of making your wish come true. Hell… I’m still trying to get my kids to listen to me… Let alone a organization.”
Former Colts WR Reggie Wayne

Saturday’s quiz
What was the most points Michael Jordan scored in an NBA game?

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Bull Durham, Timothy Robbins played a minor league pitcher; his character Nuke LaLoosh wore number 37.

Thursday’s quiz
2014 was the last time the national championship game in college basketball didn’t have a #1-seed playing in it; #7-seed UConn beat #8-seed Kentucky in the final that year.


************************************************** *********
Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

— Over the last 30 years, the underdog is 11-8-1 ATS in Final Four games that didn’t have a #1-seed in the game. There are no #1-seeds in this year’s Final Four.

— Last time the Final Four wasn’t in a domed stadium was 1996, when Rick Pitino’s Kentucky team won the national title in the Meadowlands Arena in New Jersey.

— North Texas 68, UAB 61
Good news for North Texas: they won the NIT championship, finished 31-7.

Bad news for North Texas: about 10 minutes after the game ended, coach Grant McCasland bolted Denton to become the new head coach at Texas Tech- he got a 6-year contract.

McCasland went 135-65 in six years at North Texas; his career record is 211-89— he won a junior college national title at Midland College in Texas in 2007.

With modern basketball the way it is, with so much roster turnover every season, guys who have coached in junior college have an advantage— they’re used to re-stocking their rosters a lot.

— North Texas promoted associate head coach Ross Hodge to head coach.

— Other college hoop coaching stuff:
South Florida hired Kennesaw State coach Amir Abdur-Rahim to be its new coach. Kennesaw State was 26-9 this past season, their first winning season in 18 years at the D-I level.

Cal Bears hired Utah Valley coach Mark Madsen as its new coach; Madsen is a Stanford alum. Cal/Stanford have been arch-rivals forever, making Madsen an interesting hire.

— Kentucky became the 37th state to legalize sports betting.

— Thursday night, major league teams stole 21 bases in 23 tries, a huge increase over last year.

— Colorado Rockies had 17 hits Thursday night; they also struck out 17 times, the first time in the last 100 years that a team had 17+ hits, 17+ strikeouts in a 9-inning game.

— Angels are paying Shohei Ohtani $30M this season; he is making another $40M from off-field endorsements.

— Teams with the oldest rosters in the major leagues:
Mets, Braves, Padres, Red Sox

— Teams with the youngest rosters in the major leagues:
Guardians, Rays, Orioles, Tigers

— Some gamblers prefer to bet on first 5-inning outcomes in baseball, instead of the 9-inning income. People at SouthPoint Casino in Las Vegas estimated 20% of their baseball action on Opening Day was 5-inning wagering.

— Was watching a G-League game on ESPN2 the other day; every college freshman who thinks he can play in the NBA next year should watch these games- it ain’t easy to make an NBA roster. Sometimes staying in school and developing your skills more can enhance your value in the long run.

— Sacramento Kings will be in the NBA playoffs this year, for first time since 2006.

— Philadelphia Flyers scored four goals Thursday, on only 11 shots on goal, the 5th time ever an NHL team scored 4+ goals on 11 or fewer shots.

— This week at the NFL meetings in Arizona, someone asked Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel about the $6B price tag on the Washington Commanders, where McDaniel worked as an assistant coach 10 years ago.

McDaniel replied “Wow, the organization is worth that much? And I couldn’t get free coffee?”

Hard to believe that an NFL franchise would charge its coaches for coffee.

— Over the last 10 years, I-AA North Dakota State has had two QB’s drafted in the first round of the NFL Draft, Carson Wentz/Trey Lance.

Over the last 10 years, the entire Big 14 Conference has also had two QB’s drafted in the first round of the NFL Draft— Justin Fields, Dwayne Haskins

Since 2013, the ACC has had eight QB’s drafted in the first round.

— Kansas Jayhawks hired Illinois special teams coach Sean Snyder as an special assistant to head coach Lance Leipold; this is significant because Snyder is the son of Bill Snyder, the legendary former coach at Kansas State— K-State’s football stadium is named after Bill Snyder.

Unusual for a team to hire someone so closely connected to its arch-rival.

— There is a commercial running on TV advertising some kind of sparkling energy drink, with lot of young, attractive people skiing while drinking the product.

Long time ago, my cousin took me skiing a couple of times; once at Hunter Mountain in the Catskills, the other time I can’t remember where it was. I wasn’t a good skier. I was good at sitting at the bar in the lounge and listening to people tell stories about skiing.

Loved the chairlift, that was fun, but after the chairlift, it was all downhill.
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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SATURDAY, APRIL 1
FAU at SDSU06:09 PMSDSU -2.5
O 131.5
+500 +500
MIA at CONN08:49 PMCONN -5.5
O 149.0
+500 +500
 
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