NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, January 26
Ohio State lost its last five games after a 12-1 start, losing last two road games by 3-10 points. Nebraska lost four of its last six games; they?re 2-1 in Big 14 home games, 0-5 in Big 14 games if they allow 65+ points. OSU is 11-2 vs Nebraska in Big 14 games, winning four of five visits to Lincoln; underdogs covered last four series games. Buckeyes are 9-13-1 in last 23 games as a road underdog, 0-1 this year; Nebraska covered seven of last nine games as a home favorite, 1-1 this year. Big 14 home favorites of less than 8 points are 5-13 vs spread tis season.
Iowa State lost three of its last five games, with all three losses by 4 or fewer points; Cyclones are 2-3 in true road games, winning at Oklahoma St, Texas Tech. ISU is experience team #259 whose subs play 5th-fewest minutes in country; they?re 2-4 vs top 50 teams. Ole Miss lost two of last three games after a 13-2 start; Rebels are 8-0 at home, 3-4 vs top 50 teams- they?re #196 experience team. SEC teams are shooting only 45.1% inside arc against Ole Miss. Big X teams are 6-3 vs spread when playing SEC foes this season; they were 3-8 LY.
Xavier was only 1-14 on arc in 70-52 loss at Marquette Jan 6; Golden Eagles are 3-2 in last five series games- they?re 1-4 in last five visits to Cintas Center, losing by 7-4-8-19 points. Eagles won its last six games and 14 of last 15; they?re 2-2 in true road games, with wins by total of five points. Xavier lost four of last six games, splitting last four home tilts; Musketeers are making only 28.2% of their 3?s in conference games. Marquette is 7-4 vs spread in last 11 Big East road games, 2-1 this year; Xavier is 8-14 vs spread in last 22 home games, 2-2 this season.
VCU split its last four games, is 4-2 in A-14, losing last two road games, at Davidson/URI. Rams are turning ball over 23.4% of time in A-14 games. Duquesne won its last five games, all by 6 or fewer points, after a 9-5 start; they?re 3-0 in A-14 home games, winning by 5-1-4 points. VCU is 6-0 vs Duquesne in A-14 play, winning by 27-6-7 in three visits here. Rams are 6-7 in last 13 games as a road favorite, 1-1 this year; under Dambrot, Dukes are 5-1 as home underdogs. A-14 road favorites of 5 or fewer points are 4-3-1 against the spread.
Davidson won five of its last six games; they?ve lost three of last four road games, with win by 5 at George Mason. Saint Louis won six of its last seven games; they?re 3-0 in A-14 home games, winning by 7-3-11 points. Billikens are shooting only 28.6% on arc in conference games. Davidson is 4-1 vs SLU is A-14 play, splitting pair of visits here. Underdogs covered three of last four series games. Wildcats are 8-7 as an A-14 road underdog; Saint Louis covered eight of last 10 games as a home favorite. A-14 home favorites of 4 or fewer points are 2-6 vs spread.
Washington won its last eight games, is 6-0 in Pac-12, with wins at Utah, Colorado, Oregon; Huskies have 2-game league lead. Oregon State is 4-2 in Pac-12, 3-0 at home, scoring 82.3 ppg in home wins over the LA schools and Wazzu. OSU won four of last five games with Washington; their last three series wins were all by 1 point or in OT. Huskies lost last three visits to Corvallis, by 14-1-3 points. Under Hopkins, Washington is 8-4 vs spread on Pac-12 road, 3-0 this year; Beavers are 29-17-2 vs spread in last 48 Pac-12 home games, 2-0-1 this year.
Kansas won four of its last five games; they?re 1-3 in true road games, with win at Baylor and losses by 4-1-17 points. Jayhawks re 10-1 vs top 50 teams this season; their last four games were all decided by 5 or fewer points. Kentucky won its last five games, four by 9+ points; they?re 4-2 vs top 50 teams. Wildcats? last two losses were by total of 3 points, to Seton Hall/Alabama. Kansas won six of its last nine games with Kentucky, beating Wildcats 65-61 in Chicago LY. Big X teams are 6-3 vs spread when playing SEC foes this season; they were 3-8 LY.
Syracuse won seven of its last eight games; they?re 5-1 in ACC, winning road games at Duke, Notre Dame. Virginia Tech lost two of last three games after a 14-1 start; they?re 3-0 in ACC home games, beating lesser teams. Syracuse is 5-1 vs Tech in ACC play, winning two of three visits to Blacksburg- they lost last visit here 83-73 two years ago. Syracuse is 5-9 in its last 14 games as a road underdog, 1-1 this season; Hokies are 5-11 in last 16 games as a home favorite, 1-2 this year. Single digit home favorites are 11-3 vs spread in ACC games this season.
Arizona State won five of its last six games; they?re 2-1 on Pac-12 road, losing by 14 at Stanford. USC is 4-0 in Pac-12 home games, with all four wins by 9+ points; Trojans are 2-7 vs top 100 teams. Home side won last six ASU-USC games; Sun Devils lost eight of last ten games in Galen Center, losing last two by 10-3 points. Under Hurley, ASU is 10-16-3 vs spread in Pac-12 road games, 2-1 this year; Trojans are 17-14 in last 31 home games, 3-1 this year. Pac-12 home favorites of 3 or fewer points are 3-5 against the spread.
Auburn is 2-3 in SEC, losing last two games by total of 5 points; they?re 1-2 on SEC road, with win at Texas A&M. Mississippi State is 2-3 in SEC home games, splitting pair of home games; they?re 5-2 vs top 50 teams. Auburn won four of last six games with MSU, but they?ve lost six of last seven trips to Starkville, winning 76-68 (-7) here LY. Under Pearl, Auburn is 18-20-1 vs spread in SEC road games, 1-2 this year; Bulldogs are 12-7-1 in last 20 home games, 0-1-1 this year. SEC road teams are 8-4 vs spread in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Arizona lost two of last three games after a 13-4 start, scoring 54-57 points in the two losses. Wildcats are 5-2 in Pac-12, 2-1 on road, sweeping Cal/Stanford. UCLA lost its last three games while allowing 81 ppg; they?ve lost seven of last ten games overall. Arizona/UCLA split their last 14 meetings, splitting last four games played in Westwood. Last seven years, Wildcats are 3-3 as a Pac-12 road underdog; UCLA is 8-4 in its last dozen games as a home favorite, 2-1 this year. Pac-12 road teams are 7-5 vs spread in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
San Francisco starts out 5-1 in WCC, with only loss to Gonzaga, and road wins by 1 at Pacific, by 3 at Pepperdine. San Diego split its last eight games after a 10-3 start; they?re 3-3 in WCC, winning two of three home games. USD/USF split last eight meetings, with teams 4-4 in each gym. Favorites covered four of last five series games. USF is 9-5 in last 14 games as a road favorite, 0-2 this year; Toreros are 14-25 vs spread in last 39 WCC home games, 2-1 this year. WCC home teams are 3-2-1 vs spread in games where spread was 4 or fewer points.
Weber State won its last four games and eight of last nine; they?re 7-1 in Big Sky, 4-0 on road; Wildcats are shooting 58.6% inside arc in Big Sky. Montana won its last three games (all by 11+ points). Griz is 4-4 vs teams in top 200, is 6-2 in Big Sky, 2-1 at home. Weber/Montana split their last eight meetings; Wildcats lost eight of their last nine visits to Missoula. Last four years, Weber is 4-3 as a Big Sky road underdog; Montana is 7-5 in its last dozen games as a home favorite, 1-2 this year. Big Sky home favorites of 7 or fewer points are 11-5 vs spread.
