Cnotes College Hoops Picks,Trends News 2018-2918 !

Cnotes53

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CBB FEB. RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

02/03/2019 9-7-0 56.25% +6.50
02/02/2019 49-58-4 45.79% -74.00
02/01/2019 11-6-1 64.71% +22.00

Totals..............69-71-1......49.28%....-45.50


******************************

BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS

02/03/2019...............6 - 4..................+8.00.....................3 - 1.................+9.50................+17.50
02/02/2019..............19 - 21................-20.50....................7 - 9.................-14.50................-34.00
02/01/2019...............4 - 3...................+3.50....................4 - 1.................+14.50..............+18.00


Totals.......................29 - 28...............-9.00.....................14 - 11...............+9.50...............+1.50
 

Cnotes53

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Monday?s 6-pack

Someone named Andrew Miller posted his top six college QB?s for next year:

1. Trevor Lawrence, Clemson

2. Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama

3. D?Eriq King, Houston

4. Justin Herbert, Oregon

5. McKenzie Milton, Central Florida

6. Sam Ehlinger, Texas

Quote of the Day
?I?m scared of crowds? In between holes is really scary to me, because there?s so many people that close to you. I?m just scared of people in general.?
Bubba Watson

Monday?s quiz
What three major league teams did Alex Rodriguez play for?

Sunday?s quiz
Rams won the Super Bowl the last time it was held in Atlanta, 23-16 over Tennessee, 19 short years ago.

Saturday?s quiz
Craig Morton was the first QB to start a Super Bowl for two different teams (Dallas/Denver)

***************************

Monday?s List of 13: Wrapping up a sullen Sunday

13) Patriots 13, Rams 3? New England wins its 6th Super Bowl title in a defensive struggle that was reminiscent of Super Bowls from the 70?s. Not a lot of offense.

12) 18 months ago, if you had told me that the Rams would lose this Super Bowl Sunday night, I would?ve suggested drug testing for you, after I thanked you for trying to cheer me up.

Sean McVay and GM Les Snead have a done a GREAT job making the Rams a prominent team; this was a disappointing end to a great season. Life goes on.

11) We live in a country full of frontrunners and know-it-alls; only way to silence the haters is to win all the time. But only one team carries that trophy home; everyone else is a ?loser?

The Super Bowl is so hyped up that it magnifies the stuff that happens. Jared Goff?s job from this point on will be to play well, like he has for the last two years, but then when the Rams get back to the playoffs, he has to win a title, preferably in style.

The naysayers will be after him from this point on, until he shuts them up.

10) Sports are interesting because they?re unscripted; you can be a nerd like me and study trends and stats, but you never KNOW whats going to happen until it happens. Total for this game was 56, but it turned out to be the first Super Bowl with no TD?s in the first three quarters.

Go figure.

9) There was a 54-51 game this season and people complained about that. No defense.

Lot of people are complaining a lot about this 13-3 game. No offense.

There are lot of people who just like to complain.

8) Turns out I?m way behind on my pop culture knowledge; this guy Adam Levine sings at halftime of the game; he is in one of my favorite movies, Begin Again, where he played a singer, but I had no idea he actually IS a singer. Who knew? (everybody but me, apparently)

Halftimes are very long at the Super Bowl; wonder how that effects the players. It is almost like playing two separate games.

7) Do people actually watch commercials? I almost never do, but did a little bit during the Super Bowl because it is useless to turn the channel during the game. Not much else on.

6) This is what was on the ESPN family of networks at halftime of the game:

ESPN? Boxing
ESPN News? X Games
ESPNU? Women?s gymnastics
ESPN2? World Series of Poker

5) Alex Rodriguez was in a commercial with Mr Peanut?

4) Someday, people who broadcast football games on TV will realize that plays run is a more important stat than time of possession. Someday.

3) How much do you think it costs to open/close a retractable dome? They opened it during the National Anthem so people could see the flyover, then closed it again; that can?t be cheap.

2) Was looking thru Joe Lunardi?s Bracketology on ESPN.com; there are still six weeks until Selection Sunday in college basketball, but on Sunday morning, last four teams in field were: Arizona State, Florida, Indiana, Seton Hall.

1) On the bright side, it was over freezing in Albany Sunday and temps will be above freezing most of the week, creeping into the 50?s on Tuesday.

Spring training starts in two weeks.
 
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Monday's Tip Sheet
February 3, 2019
By David Schwab


College Basketball Betting Tip Sheet- Monday, Feb. 4 Three of Monday night?s top college basketball Betting Matchups feature a pair of nationally ranked teams from the ACC and the Big 12.

In a head-to-head showdown between ranked teams in the ACC, No. 15 Louisville will be on the road against No. 12 Virginia Tech as part of ESPN?s Big Monday doubleheader. In the other matchup, the Big 12?s West Virginia Mountaineers will square off against No. 16 Texas Tech. As a bonus game in that same conference, No. 20 Iowa State takes on Oklahoma in Norman.

No. 15 Louisville Cardinals at No. 12 Virginia Tech Hokies (ESPN , 7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Virginia Tech -5 ?, Total 140

Betting Matchup


Saturday?s 79-69 loss to North Carolina as a slight 1 ?-point home underdog ended Louisville?s recent straight-up six-game winning streak. This was just the third time in their last nine games that the Cardinals failed to cover against the spread.

The total stayed UNDER 158 points against the Tar Heels and it has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven games. Sophomore forward Jordan Nwora leads Louisville (16-6 SU, 12-9-1 ATS) in scoring with 17.9 points per game, but was held to 11 points in Saturday?s loss.

In the ultimate defensive grinder, Virginia Tech almost doubled up North Carolina State on Saturday with a 47-24 victory as a three-point road underdog. The Hokies have won their last three games SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER in two of those contests.

They are tied with Louisville in the ACC standings at 7-2 as part of a SU record of 18-3. Virginia Tech is 13-8 ATS this season with a 7-4 record ATS at home. Junior forward Kerry Blackshear scored 13 points with 13 rebounds to help pace Saturday?s win.

Betting Trends

-- The Cardinals have covered in six of their last seven road games with the total staying UNDER in six of those seven contests.

-- The Hokies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played on Monday with the total staying UNDER in seven of those last nine Monday games.

-- The underdog has gone 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the total has gone OVER in four of those five games.

West Virginia Mountaineers at No. 16 Texas Tech Red Raiders (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Iowa State -1, Total 144 ?

Betting Matchup


West Virginia doubled its Big 12 victories this season with Saturday?s 79-71 upset against Oklahoma as a 2 ?-point home underdog. Its only other SU victory in conference play came against Kansas at home on Jan. 19 against seven losses.

Freshman guard Brandon Knapper came of the bench to score 25 points in Saturday?s win. The Mountaineers are 5-4 ATS in the Big 12 and they did manage to cover as 4 ?-point home underdogs in a 62-59 loss to Texas Tech on Jan. 2.

The Red Raiders fell to 5-4 SU in conference play with Saturday?s 79-63 road loss to Kansas as 4 ?-point underdogs. This was their fourth loss in their last six games SU while going a costly 1-5 ATS. Texas Tech (17-5 SU) is 12-1 at home this season with a 4-8-1 record ATS.

The total has stayed UNDER in 14 of its 22 games played overall. Sophomore guard Jarrett Culver is averaging 18.1 points, 6.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists a game. However, he was held to 10 points with six rebounds and one assist against Kansas.

Betting Trends

-- The Mountaineers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games with the total going OVER in five of the seven road games.

-- The Red Raiders have a 5-15-1 record ATS in their last 21 games following a SU loss. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 13 games at home.

-- The road team is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings and the total has gone OVER in five of the last seven meetings at Texas Tech.

No. 20 Iowa State Cyclones at Oklahoma Sooners (ESPN2, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Texas Tech -12 ?, Total 135 ?

Betting Matchup


Iowa State beat Texas 65-60 on Saturday, but it could not cover as an eight-point home favorite. The Cyclones are 6-3 in the Big 12 both SU and ATS. The total stayed UNDER 139 ?-points against Texas after going OVER in the previous three games.

This was the first time the Cyclones (17-5 SU, 14-8 ATS) failed to score at least 76 points in their last four starts. Their overall scoring average this season is 79 points behind senior guard Marial Shayok?s 19.2-point scoring average. He was held to 12 points in Saturday?s win. Saturday?s loss to West Virginia was the Sooners? fourth SU setback in their last six games as part of a 3-6 record in the conference. They are 15-7 SU overall while going a productive 15-5-2 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 14 of those 22 games.

Oklahoma has covered in five of eight home games this season. Senior guard Christian James (16.0 points) and sophomore forward Brady Manek (11.4 points) have accounted for the bulk of the scoring as the only two players in double figures.

Betting Trends

-- The Cyclones have a 2-6-1 record ATS in their last nine Monday games and the total has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 12 conference games.

-- The Sooners are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a SU winning record with the total staying UNDER in eight of their last 10 home games.

-- Iowa State has an 8-1 edge ATS over the last nine meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 13 games between the two.
 

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Long Sheet

Monday, February 4


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LOUISVILLE (16 - 6) at VIRGINIA TECH (18 - 3) - 2/4/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 130-98 ATS (+22.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 130-98 ATS (+22.2 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 3-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PENN ST (7 - 14) at NORTHWESTERN (12 - 9) - 2/4/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 2-2 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-2 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IOWA ST (17 - 5) at OKLAHOMA (15 - 7) - 2/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
OKLAHOMA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
OKLAHOMA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
IOWA ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
IOWA ST is 261-206 ATS (+34.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
IOWA ST is 164-129 ATS (+22.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
OKLAHOMA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 3-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 3-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W VIRGINIA (10 - 12) at TEXAS TECH (17 - 5) - 2/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 48-75 ATS (-34.5 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
TEXAS TECH is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 4-2 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 3-3 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FAIRFIELD (7 - 16) at SIENA (10 - 12) - 2/4/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 45-22 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
SIENA is 73-100 ATS (-37.0 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
SIENA is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SIENA is 4-2 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 4-2 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARIST (8 - 14) at CANISIUS (9 - 12) - 2/4/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CANISIUS is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CANISIUS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CANISIUS is 3-3 against the spread versus MARIST over the last 3 seasons
CANISIUS is 5-1 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MONTANA ST (8 - 12) at N COLORADO (14 - 7) - 2/4/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA ST is 48-77 ATS (-36.7 Units) in February games since 1997.
N COLORADO is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N COLORADO is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N COLORADO is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
N COLORADO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA ST is 2-1 against the spread versus N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
N COLORADO is 2-2 straight up against MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ARIZONA (7 - 13) at E WASHINGTON (7 - 13) - 2/4/2019, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
E WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
E WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN UTAH (9 - 10) at IDAHO (4 - 16) - 2/4/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games this season.
IDAHO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
IDAHO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO is 4-1 straight up against SOUTHERN UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 4


Louisville won six of last seven games; they?re 7-2 in ACC games, 3-1 on road, with only loss by 3 at Pitt. Virginia Tech won its last three games, holding NC State to 24 points Saturday; Hokies are 7-2 in ACC, 4-0 at home, with all four wins by 11+. Louisville is 5-0 vs Tech in ACC games; long time ago, these teams were rivals in the old Metro Conference. Cardinals won last two visits to Blacksburg, by 8-7 points. Louisville is 6-2-1 in its last nine games as an ACC road underdog, 1-0 this year; Tech is 6-11 vs spread in its last 17 games as a home favorite, 2-2 this year.

Penn State lost its last eight games, is 0-10 in Big 14, with road losses by 7-13-1-6 points; Lions lost their last three games by 4 or fewer points or in OT. Northwestern lost its last two games, scoring 46-52 points; they?re 3-7 in Big 14, 2-2 at home, with wins over Illinois/Indiana. PSU/Northwestern split their last eight meetings; Nittany Lions won three of their last five visits to Evanston. Favorites covered last four series games. PSU is 11-16 in its last 27 games as a road underdog, 2-2 this year; Wildcats are 6-9 in last 15 games as a home favorite, 0-2 this year.

Iowa State won five of its last six games; they?re 6-3 in Big X, 2-2 on road, winning by 6 at Oklahoma St, 4 at Texas Tech. Oklahoma lost its last two games, is 3-6 in Big X, 2-1 at home, losing last home game by 30 to Baylor. Sooners? 46.2% eFG% is worst in Big X- they?re shooting 29.8% on the arc, 47.1% inside arc. ISU won three of its last four games with Oklahoma; they lost five of last six visits to Norman. Under Prohm, ISU is 4-5-1 as a Big X road favorite, 1-1 this year; over last five years, Sooners are 2-2 vs spread as home underdogs.

West Virginia lost eight of its last ten games; they?re 0-4 on Big X road, losing by 7-2-31-25 points. Texas Tech lost four of last six games after a 15-1 start; Red Raiders are 5-4 in Big X, 3-1 at home, with home wins by 6-7-19 points. Tech won a 62-59 brickfest at West Virginia Jan 2; teams combined to shoot 8-37 on arc; WV was 18-32 on foul line. Teams split last six meetings; Mountaineers lost last two trips to Lubbock, both by one point. WVU is 9-6 in its last 15 games as a road underdog, 2-2 this year; under Beard, Tech is 9-10 as a home favorite, 2-2 this year.

Siena won 57-48 at Fairfield Jan 23 in another brickfest; teams were combined 9-40 on arc. Saints won four of last six series games; Stags lost three of last four visits to Albany, losing by 15-7-12 points- they won 70-69 here LY. Fairfield lost five of last seven games; they?re 4-7 in MAAC, 1-4 on road, losing by 7-2-17-13 points. Saints won four of its last five games, winning last two home games, by 9-13 points. Fairfield is 10-13 in its last 23 games as a road underdog, 2-2 this year; Siena is 5-10 in its last 15 games as a home favorite, 2-2 this year.

Marist lost nine of last 12 games, is 3-7 in MAAC, 1-3 on road, losing by 9-1-13 points. Canisius won 75-72 at Marist Jan 3, their 7th win in last eight series games. Marist is 3-7 despite shooting 39.2% on arc in league games. Canisius won four of its last five games; they?re 6-3 in MAAC, winning last two home games, by 14-5 points. Griffins are 8-4 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Red Foxes lost their last three visits here, by 15-33-24 points. Last six years, Marist is 29-21-1 as a road underdog; Griffins are 7-3-1 in last 11 games as a home favorite, 2-1 this year.

Northern Colorado won 73-70 at Montana State Jan 14; teams split their last six meetings. MSU lost its last two visits to Greeley, by 2-23 points. State lost four of its last five games after a 4-1 start in Big Sky; Bobcats split their four road games, losing by 6 at NAU, 4 at Eastern Washington. Bears won eight of their last ten games; they?re 3-1 in Sig Sky home games, with wins by 4-12-11 points. Bobcats are 8-7-1 in last 16 games as a Big Sky road underdog, 1-2 this year; Northern is 8-3 in its last 11 games as a home favorite, 2-1 this year.

Northern Arizona won three of its last four games, is 5-5 in Big Sky, 2-2 on road, losing by 25 at Weber State, 2 at Southern Utah. Eastern Washington won four of its last five games, is 4-1 in Big Sky home games, winning last three home games, by 4-2-3 points. EWU won six of its last seven games with Northern Arizona; Lumberjacks lost their last seven visits to Cheney, all by 13+ points. Last five years, NAU is 22-12-1 as a Big Sky road underdog; EWU is 18-11 vs spread in its last 29 games as a home favorite, 2-1 this year.

Southern Utah lost its last three games, is 4-6 in Big Sky, losing last three road games, by 11-3-3 points. Thunderbirds are playing fastest tempo in Big Sky. Idaho lost six in row and 12 of last 13 games; they?re 1-8 in Big Sky, 1-5 at home, losing last three home games, by 10-18-13 points. Idaho won five of last six games with SUU, winning last two meetings here, by 12-2 points. Underdogs covered last three series games. Last six years, SUU is 1-0 as a road favorite; Vandals are 3-5 vs spread in last eight games as a home underdog.
 

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Monday, February 4


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Trend Report
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Louisville @ Virginia Tech
Louisville
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Virginia Tech
Louisville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Virginia Tech is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games

Marist @ Canisius
Marist
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Marist's last 7 games when playing Canisius
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Marist's last 10 games
Canisius
Canisius is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Marist
Canisius is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Marist

Fairfield @ Siena
Fairfield
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fairfield's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fairfield's last 7 games on the road
Siena
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Siena's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Siena's last 5 games

Penn State @ Northwestern
Penn State
Penn State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Penn State's last 7 games on the road
Northwestern
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Northwestern's last 9 games
Northwestern is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

Iowa State @ Oklahoma
Iowa State
Iowa State is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oklahoma
Iowa State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Oklahoma is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Iowa State

West Virginia @ Texas Tech
West Virginia
West Virginia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Texas Tech
West Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas Tech
Texas Tech
Texas Tech is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
Texas Tech is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games

Montana State @ Northern Colorado
Montana State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montana State's last 5 games when playing Northern Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montana State's last 5 games
Northern Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Colorado's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Colorado's last 5 games when playing Montana State

Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington
Northern Arizona
Northern Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Northern Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northern Arizona
Eastern Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northern Arizona

Southern Utah @ Idaho
Southern Utah
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Southern Utah's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Utah's last 5 games when playing Idaho
Idaho
Idaho is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Southern Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Idaho's last 5 games


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Dunkel

Monday, February 4



Southern Utah @ Idaho

Game 867-868
February 4, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Utah
41.877
Idaho
43.660
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Idaho
by 2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Utah
by 5 1/2
146
Dunkel Pick:
Idaho
(+5 1/2); Under

Miss Valley St @ Grambling

Game 1487-1488
February 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miss Valley St
28.341
Grambling
44.534
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Grambling
by 16
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Grambling
by 11
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Grambling
(-11); Over

Northern Arizona @ East Washington

Game 865-866
February 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Arizona
45.649
East Washington
47.085
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
East Washington
by 1 1/2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
East Washington
by 5
147
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Arizona
(+5); Over

Montana State @ Northern Colorado

Game 863-864
February 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montana State
49.888
Northern Colorado
52.853
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Colorado
by 3
166
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Colorado
by 8 1/2
154 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montana State
(+8 1/2); Over

West Virginia @ Texas Tech

Game 857-858
February 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
West Virginia
59.541
Texas Tech
75.539
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Tech
by 16
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas Tech
by 11 1/2
137
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Tech
(-11 1/2); Under

Iowa State @ Oklahoma

Game 855-856
February 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa State
73.182
Oklahoma
64.349
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 11
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 2 1/2
144
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa State
(-2 1/2); Under

AR-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State

Game 1489-1490
February 4, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
AR-Pine Bluff
35.571
Jackson State
42.536
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jackson State
by 7
122
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jackson State
by 4 1/2
125 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jackson State
(-4 1/2); Under

Alabama State @ Prairie View

Game 1485-1486
February 4, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama State
40.749
Prairie View
46.299
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Prairie View
by 5 1/2
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Prairie View
by 8
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama State
(+8); Over

Alabama A&M @ Texas Southern

Game 1483-1484
February 4, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama A&M
35.177
Texas Southern
45.397
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Southern
by 10
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas Southern
by 17 1/2
142
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama A&M
(+17 1/2); Over

NC Central @ Florida A&M

Game 1481-1482
February 4, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC Central
42.532
Florida A&M
42.217
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC Central
Even
124
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida A&M
by 3
122
Dunkel Pick:
NC Central
(+3); Over

Penn State @ Northwestern

Game 853-854
February 4, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Penn State
62.286
Northwestern
60.865
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 1 1/2
124
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northwestern
by 3 1/2
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Penn State
(+3 1/2); Under

Savannah St @ MD-Eastern Shore

Game 1479-1480
February 4, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Savannah St
30.424
MD-Eastern Shore
33.294
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
MD-Eastern Shore
by 3
159
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Savannah St
by 2 1/2
150
Dunkel Pick:
MD-Eastern Shore
(+2 1/2); Over

South Carolina St @ Delaware State

Game 1477-1478
February 4, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina St
36.606
Delaware State
29.742
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Carolina St
by 7
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Carolina St
by 4
138 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina St
(-4); Over

NC A&T @ Bethune-Cookman

Game 1475-1476
February 4, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC A&T
37.432
Bethune-Cookman
45.311
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Bethune-Cookman
by 8
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Bethune-Cookman
by 2
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Bethune-Cookman
(-2); Over

Colgate @ Lehigh

Game 1473-1474
February 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colgate
51.358
Lehigh
53.413
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Lehigh
by 2
163
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Lehigh
by 5
157
Dunkel Pick:
Colgate
(+5); Over

Marist @ Canisius

Game 861-862
February 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marist
45.174
Canisius
47.532
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Canisius
by 2 1/2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Canisius
by 5
142 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Marist
(+5); Under

Fairfield @ Siena

Game 859-860
February 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fairfield
45.638
Siena
46.792
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Siena
by 1
125
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Siena
by 5
129 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Fairfield
(+5); Under

Louisville @ Virginia Tech

Game 851-852
February 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisville
74.294
Virginia Tech
72.881
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisville
by 1 1/2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 4
137
Dunkel Pick:
Louisville
(+4); Over
 

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Top 25 Betting Recap
Joe Williams

Each week until March Madness we'll take a look at how the Top 25 fared from college basketball, but straight up and against the number, while also taking a look at their upcoming schedule.

North Carolina State (16-6 SU, 13-9 ATS) had a difficult week, and it wrapped up with one of the most ugly performances in recent memory. The Wolfpack actually hung with Virginia (20-1 SU, 16-5 ATS), falling 66-65 in overtime at PNC Arena in Raleigh. Perhaps the emotional letdown was too much for the young Wolfpack, as they absolutely laid an egg against Virginia Tech (18-3 SU, 12-8 ATS) on Saturday. The Hokies do rank sixth in the nation, allowing just 60.2 points per game (PPG), and that likely bumped up even further after the took care of the Wolfpack by a 47-24 score which resembled more of a football score than today's era of high-scoring basketball. The Pack scored just 14 points in the first half, and 10 in the second, hitting just 9-of-54 (16.7 percent) from the field to set a new school low. It was also the lowest point total in the shot-clock era, which dates back to 1985-86.

Buffalo (19-3 SU, 13-7-1 ATS) had been in the Top 25 rankings for a good chunk of the season, but the Bulls are likely to fall out of the rankings. In fact, they're not even in first place in the East Division of the Mid-American Conference. That's because the Bulls lost a crucial battle for first place against Bowling Green (15-6 SU, 13-6 ATS) to fall a half-game back of the Falcons. The Bulls are now 2-2 SU over the past four games, and 2-4 ATS across the past six outings.

Kansas State (16-5 SU, 11-10 ATS) and Baylor (15-6 SU, 14-7 ATS) currently sit atop the Big 12 Conference at 6-2, a half-game ahead of Iowa State (17-5 SU, 13-7-2 ATS) and Kansas (17-5 SU, 9-13 ATS), and one and a half games ahead of Texas Tech (17-5 SU, 7-14-1 ATS). Like football, these teams continue to beat on each other and it might cost them heading into March Madness. However, while the team is not currently projected to have anyone on the one-line, they might have several high seeds which will head into March battle tested. Kansas is on a major slide, going 2-3 SU and just 1-5 ATS over the past six outings. They'll look to turn things around against rival K-State. The Wildcats are a solid 5-1 ATS over the past six contests.

North Carolina (17-4 SU, 13-6-2 ATS) avenged a loss a couple of weeks ago against Louisville (16-6 SU, 12-8-2 ATS), beating the Cardinals at the KFC Yum! Center by a 79-69 score as 1 1/2-point favorites. Since that wake-up call from the Cards on Jan. 12, the Tar Heels have won five in a row and they have covered four straight. Total bettors have liked the Heels for their 'under' results, too, as the total has gone under in 9-2 across the past 11 outings. For the Cardinals, the loss snapped a six-game win streak and a four-game cover streak.

Tennessee (20-1 SU, 12-7-1 ATS) will likely remain atop the rankings at No. 1 after doing nothing to hurt their standing. They won two road games this past week, and the Vols have covered three in a row, and eight of the past 10. Gonzaga (21-2 SU, 16-7 ATS), a team Tennessee beat back on Dec. 9, has won 12 in a row since mid-December, and they're 9-3 ATS during the span. The 'under' is also a frequent happening for the Zags, hitting in nine of the past 12, too.

Auburn (15-6 SU, 10-9-1 ATS) could be poised for a return to the Top 25 after beating Missouri (11-9 SU, 8-11-1 ATS) and rival Alabama (13-8 SU, 9-11-1 ATS) by a combined 55 points to cover double-digit spreads in both instances. The 'under' ended up cashing in Saturday's game against 'Bama, snapping a six-game 'over' run. Washington (18-4 SU, 13-8-1 ATS) continues to sit atop the Pac-12, and they're likely set to make a return to the rankings this week, too. The Huskies have also covered nine in a row, while the 'under' is 4-1 over the past five, so they're a friend to bettors for sure.

33kr82c.jpg
 

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MONDAY, FEBRUARY 4
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


MRST at CAN 07:00 PM
MRST +4.0
O 141.5


FAIR at SIE 07:00 PM
SIE -4.5
U 128.5

LOU at VT 07:00 PM
VT -4.0
U 136.5


PSU at NW 08:00 PM
NW -3.5
U 132.0

WVU at TTU 09:00 PM
TTU -11.5
O 135.5


ISU at OKLA 09:00 PM
OKLA +2.5
O 146.5


NAU at EWU 09:00 PM
EWU -5.5
U 147.0

MTST at UNCO 09:00 PM
UNCO -8.5
U 155.5


SUU at IDHO 10:00 PM
SUU -4.0
O 147.0
 

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McMahon helps No. 16 Louisville beat No. 11 Virginia Tech
February 4, 2019
By The Associated Press


BLACKSBURG, Va. (AP) Ryan McMahon scored 12 points in a span of 83 seconds in the second half and No. 16 Louisville used a 14-3 run to pull away and beat No. 11 Virginia Tech 72-64 on Monday night.

It is the Cardinals' 15th consecutive victory against the Hokies.

McMahon had scored just three points when he made three free throws with 11:53 to play. He then added three 3-pointers, the last with 10:30 left after a 3 by Ty Outlaw for the Hokies, to bolster the Cardinals (17-6, 8-2 Atlantic Coast Conference).

McMahon finished with 17 points, and Jordan Nwora and Dwayne Sutton each scored 15 for the Cardinals.

Kerry Blackshear Jr. scored 21 points and Nickeil Alexander-Walker 17 for the Hokies (18-4, 7-3), who lost for the first time in 12 home games. Virginia Tech has not beaten its old Metro Conference rival since Feb. 13, 1991.

No. 17 IOWA STATE 75, OKLAHOMA 74

NORMAN, Okla. (AP) - Lindell Wigginton scored 17 points to help lead Iowa State to a victory over Oklahoma.

Marial Shayok added 16 points, 10 in the final eight minutes, including a crucial off-balance 3-pointer as the shot clock expired with 1:19 remaining, for Iowa State (18-5, 7-3 Big 12). Shayok, who shot just 2-of-7 for six points through the first 32-plus minutes, also had eight rebounds and five assists as the Cyclones won their fourth straight.

Kristian Doolittle had 19 points and nine rebounds, while Brady Manek scored 16 for Oklahoma (15-8, 3-7), which had a very short turnaround after a game at West Virginia on Saturday. The Sooners have lost three in a row.

No. 18 TEXAS TECH 81, WEST VIRGINIA 50

LUBBOCK, Texas (AP) - Brandone Francis scored a season-high 16 points and Texas Tech overwhelmed cold-shooting West Virginia.

The Red Raiders (18-5, 6-4 Big 12), who lost four of their previous five Big 12 games, took control with a 13-0 run midway through the first half. That was part of a longer stretch during which the Mountaineers missed 11 consecutive shots during a span of more than 15 minutes.

West Virginia (10-13, 2-8) finished with only nine made field goals, the fewest ever for a Big 12 team and matching North Carolina State's total in a 47-24 loss to Virginia Tech on Saturday for the fewest by any team in a game this season. The Mountaineers were 9-of-39 (23 percent) shooting overall, and made 29 free throws.

Freshman Derek Culver had 15 free throws among his 23 points for WVU.
 

Cnotes53

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CBB FEB. RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

02/04/2019 13-5-0 72.22% +37.50
02/03/2019 9-7-0 56.25% +6.50
02/02/2019 49-58-4 45.79% -74.00
02/01/2019 11-6-1 64.71% +22.00

Totals..............82-76-1......51.89%.....-8.00


******************************

BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS

02/04/2019...............4 - 2..................+9.00.....................5 - 2.................+14.00..............+23.00
02/03/2019...............6 - 4..................+8.00.....................3 - 1.................+9.50................+17.50
02/02/2019..............19 - 21................-20.50....................7 - 9.................-14.50................-35.00
02/01/2019...............4 - 3...................+3.50....................4 - 1.................+14.50..............+18.00


Totals.......................33 - 30...............+0.00...................19 - 13...............+23.50...............+23.50
 

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Tuesday?s 6-pack
? Louisville 72, Virginia Tech 64? Hokies are hurting without senior G Robinson.
? Montana State 69, Northern Colorado 66? Upset in the Big Sky Conference.
? Penn State 59, Northwestern 52? Nittany Lions finally win a conference game.
? Texas Tech 81, West Virginia 50? It is 1,467 miles from Morgantown to Lubbock; long way to go to get your butts kicked. Why is West Virginia in this league?
? Baseball happenings: Francisco Liriano signed with the Pirates, and Jerry Blevins signed with the A?s.
? Iowa State 75, Oklahoma 74? Sooners hit a 3 to cover, but it was after the horn and was not reviewed. Very bad beat for Cyclone backers.

Quote of the Day
?After all is said and done, usually more has been said than done.?
Anonymous

Tuesday?s quiz
Which NHL team made the Stanley Cup finals in its first three years in existence, in the late 60?s/early 70?s?

Monday?s quiz
Alex Rodriguez played for three AL teams; Seattle, Texas and New York.

Sunday?s quiz
Rams won the Super Bowl the last time it was held in Atlanta, 23-16 over Tennessee, 19 short years ago.


*******************************************************


Tuesday?s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but??

13) Jeremiah Martin is a 6-3 senior at Memphis; he was scoreless in the first half Saturday at South Florida, when the Tigers fell behind USF 27-1; it was 38-13 at halftime.

Then Martin scored 41 points in the second half. By himself.

Martin made 7-9 on arc as Memphis made a run but fell short, losing 84-78 to the Bulls.

12) Oakland Raiders will play next season at the SF Giants? baseball park, before moving to Las Vegas in 2020. Two new NFL stadiums in ?20, Las Vegas and Los Angeles.

11) Deondre Francois was dismissed from the Florida State football team on Sunday by coach Willie Taggart one day after a video was posted to Instagram by a woman ? believed to be Francois? girlfriend ? where you could hear (but not see) a man making threats and admitting to various forms of physical and mental abuse.

Francois is a pretty good QB; schools will be interested in him, despite all that.

10) A new football league kicks off this Saturday, the AAF, with 8 teams playing a 10-game schedule. Most of the head coaches are well-known names, but coach of the Atlanta team is a guy named Kevin Coyle, a 63-year old football lifer. Here is his coaching resume:

? 1978-79: U of Cincinnati, grad assistant
? 1980: Arkansas, coaching assistant
? 1981: Merchant Marine Academy, defensive coordinator
? 1982-5: Holy Cross, assistant coach
? 1986-90: Holy Cross, defensive coordinator
? 1991-93: Syracuse, defensive coordinator
? 1994-96: Maryland, defensive coordinator
? 1997-2000: Fresno State, defensive coordinator
? 2001-02: Cincinnati Bengals, cornerbacks? coach
? 2003-11: Cincinnati Bengals, defensive backs? coach
? 2012-15: Miami Dolphins, defensive coordinator
? 2016-17: Cincinnati Bengals, defensive backs? coach
? 2018: LSU, defensive analyst

Quite a career.

9) All the AAF games will be televised this season, either on NFL Network, CBS Sports Network, Turner Sports or B-R Live (I?m not really sure what that is).

8) Bill Walton told a great story on TV Saturday about way back in the mid-60?s, when freshmen were ineligible to play college basketball, so they had freshman teams.

UCLA?s varsity had won the national title the year before, but now they had a freshman named Lew Alcindor; the freshman team beat the defending national champs by 20 in a preseason exhibition game. UCLA?s fans were stunned.

After the game in the locker room, coach John Wooden looked at his current varsity and said, ?Looks like we?ll have a pretty good team next year.?

Bruins didn?t win that year (Texas Western did), but then they won the next seven national titles.

7) Bob Valvano brought up an interesting point Sunday night; Super Bowl commercials aren?t funny anymore, because advertisers are terrified of offending someone in our more politically correct world. To be funny is to be edgy, but if you?re edgy SOMEONE will get offended, and then you lose that someone?s business. No one wants to lose business.

Our society, to a large extent, has lost its sense of humor. Or, to paraphrase what Michael Jordan once said, ?(Fill in demographic) buy sneakers, too.?

6) Big East is a two-horse race this year:

Villanova is 9-0, Marquette is 8-1 in conference games.

No one else in the Big East is at .500 in conference; St John?s, Creighton, Georgetown are all 4-5 in league games. Butler, Seton Hall and DePaul are 4-6. Providence is 3-6, Xavier 3-7.

Any game between teams in the bottom 8 is interesting; Marquette has more skilled shooters than anyone else. Villanova seems to be improving a lot as the season goes on.

5) We have a minor league baseball team here in the Albany area, the Tri-City Valley Cats, who play games at Hudson Valley CC in a nice ballpark. Valley Cats? manager this year will be Ozney Guillen, son of the former White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen.

Valley Cats are a Class A affiliate of the Astros, playing in the NY-Penn League.

4) Wednesday of this week is National Signing Day for college football, then Thursday is the NBA trade deadline, so there will be lot of news this week made off the field/court.

3) Nevada sportsbooks won $10,780,319 off of $145,939,025 worth of bets on the Super Bowl

New Jersey sportsbooks lost $4.5M statewide on the Super Bowl off of $34.8M wagered

2) Last year?s Final Four was the first one since 2005 where all three favorites covered the three Final Four games.

1) So I go to the **** for lunch the other day, looking forward to some pizza and a Coke; I get there, and the freakin? pizza place is boarded up, closed. How does a **** not have a pizza place?

No bueno.
 

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Hot & Not Report

Week of February 4th

The left coast has some highly entertaining college basketball games going on in multiple conferences, and this week's piece is dedicated to that. There are some betting angles that we should be able to take advantage of later on this week in both Pac-12 and Big West action, so pack your bags and get on the highway, cause road teams are the focus here.

Who's Hot

Fading Pac-12 ?weekend? road teams (not named Washington) straight up when playing two road games in the span of 3/4 days


One of the most interesting things about Pac-12 basketball betting is how the conference schedules groups of teams to play consecutive games on the road in a week, spanning from Wednesday to Sunday. Scheduling games that way means that every program has to deal with a second consecutive road game either 48 or 72 hours after a first game in hostile territory, and essentially that's what creates plenty of parity within the conference. Winning on the road is extremely tough for any college basketball program across the nation, but give schools consecutive road games to deal with in such a short span every other week, and the results are rather predictable.

Simply put, each of the conference's 12 teams have already had two separate occasions where they've had to play two straight on the road in short order (i.e. two games from a Wednesday to Sunday, Thursday/Sat etc). That's 24 happenings overall throughout the conference, and of those 24 occurrences, the road team has only swept the weekend road trip five times. Eliminate the perfect Washington Huskies from that equation, and Pac-12 road teams have only swept their weekend series three out of 22 tries.

Conversely, these road teams have been swept (lost both games SU) on their weekend road trip nine times during those 24 opportunities, with Washington State an California going a perfect 0-4 SU in their two chances respectively.

Three teams ? Arizona State, UCLA, and Oregon ? have established the same pattern in both of their weekend road trips, winning SU in the first game, and following that up with a loss in the 2nd game on the Saturday/Sunday. Utah is the only other school that's followed that pattern at least once as well, while USC, Stanford, and Colorado have each had one occurrence where they've lost the weekday road game and managed to bounce back with a SU win over the weekend.

Now chances are we see 1st place Washington fall victim to this tough scheduling scenario sooner than later, and this weekend they've got trips to Arizona, and Arizona State on Thursday and Saturday respectively. This might be the week to look at adding a wager against the Washington Huskies in there, but there are five other teams in that same boat this week as well.

Those teams are Washington State (at Arizona State, at Arizona), California (at Oregon, at Oregon State), Colorado (at UCLA, at USC), Stanford (at Oregon State, at Oregon), and Utah (at USC, at UCLA). Those five programs currently reside in five of the last six spots in the Pac-12 standings, so fading them outright on the ML may be quite chalky, but this is a trend that probably won't go away for the entire league for the rest of conference play this season.

So if any one of these five teams ? and even Washington this week ? win outright in that first road game on Wed/Thursday, you'd better be prepared to look the other way in their second game on the weekend. That's because recent history suggests that these Pac-12 programs rarely return home after a perfect weekend road trip, and if you don't believe they've got a shot at an outright win, backing them ATS can be difficult to stomach.

Who's Not

Fading road teams in ?mainland USA? games in Big West Conference play ? 10-17 ATS


Home court/field advantage arguably means more in college basketball than any other major sport in this country, and yet, if you're a basketball team in the Big West this year that isn't Hawaii, you aren't covering too many spreads at home in conference play. Hawaii's got a 4-1 ATS mark at home in Big West play so far, but all the other eight teams in the Big West Conference enter this week with a combined 10-17 ATS home record.

Looking at the overall standings in the Big West, it's become clear that UC Irvine and UC Santa Barbara are the class of the conference at 19-5 and 16-5 SU respectively, but in conference home games, those two programs are a combined 1-5 ATS so far. Throw 3rd place Cal State Fullerton into the mix, and the top three teams in this conference are sitting on a 2-8 ATS mark at home against their rivals this year.

The poor home ATS numbers for those teams are likely more to do with some chalky spreads attached to their name that they can't quite cover, as those three are a combined 7-3 SU at home in Big West play. Going forward, it will be interesting to see if the point spreads start to get shaded down a notch and the results start to flip.

I say that because with more than half of the conference (5 of 9 teams) having just a single SU road win on the entire season, road teams covering spreads in conference play at a 63% clip is quite astonishing. Those five teams with a single SU road win this year ? Hawaii, UC Davis, Long Beach State, UC Riverside, and Cal Poly Slo ? are a combined 9-6 ATS in mainland conference road games, once again proving that the point spread is still the great equalizer in this business.

So if you are looking at Big West games later in the week ? starting on Wednesday - have an eye to backing home teams.
 

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Tuesday's SEC Tips
Brian Edwards

Let?s get you updated on SEC hoops, something that finally exists again after a decade in the toilet -- outside of Florida and Kentucky ? but is back on the map nationally the last two years.

Tennessee?s dream season continues and the Volunteers are now alone at the top of the conference standings after Arkansas went into Baton Rouge and handed LSU its first SEC defeat. Rick Barnes?s team (12-7 against the spread) is 20-1 and perfect through eight league contests.

UT will take a 16-game winning streak into tonight?s showdown vs. Missouri. As of early this morning, most books had the Vols installed as a 17-point home favorites against the Tigers, who are 1-4 both straight up and ATS. Tennessee is undefeated in 12 home games with a 5-5-1 spread ledger.

Since needing overtime win at Vanderbilt on Jan. 23, UT has covered the number in three straight games. The Vols downed West Virginia 83-66 before winning 92-70 at South Carolina and 93-76 at Texas A&M. Grant Williams torched the Aggies for 22 points on 9-of-12 shooting from the field. He also had 10 rebounds, four assists, two blocked shots and one steal.

Jordan Bone produced 18 points and five rebounds with a 10/2 assist-to-turnover ratio. Bone buried all of seven of his FGAs and went 4-of-4 from beyond the arc. Lamont Turner added 19 points, three steals, two boards and seven assists compared to merely one turnover.

This game marks Cuonzo Martin?s return to Thompson-Boling Arena for the first time since serving as UT?s head coach by replacing the ultra-popular Bruce Pearl, who was forced out by former AD Mike Hamilton after misleading the NCAA during an investigation into the school?s basketball program. Martin led the Vols to the Sweet 16 in the final season of his three-year tenure, but left Knoxville to take the head-coaching job at Cal before eventually exiting for Mizzou.

Missouri (11-9 SU, 8-11-1 ATS) is 2-6 in SEC play after losing its best player, Jontay Porter, to a season-ending ACL tear in October. Mark Smith, the Tigers? second-leading scorer (12.6 points per game, 5.5 RPG), has missed three games in a row (sprained ankle) since scoring 22 points and seven rebounds in a Jan. 23 loss at Arkansas. Smith is ?questionable? tonight vs. UT. Missouri is mired in a 2-6 ATS slump.

This game will tip at 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

As of early this morning, most books had Auburn (15-6 SU, 10-9 ATS) listed as a 7.5-point favorite for tonight?s home game vs. Florida. The total was 137.5 points.

Pearl?s team is 11-1 SU and 7-4 ATS at home following Saturday?s 84-63 win over Alabama as a 10-point ?chalk.? A 6-0 ?over? run for the Tigers came to a halt when the 147 combined points slithered ?under? the 152-point tally. Bryce Brown led the winners with 23 points on 5-of-7 shooting from 3-point range.

UF saw its three-game SEC winning streak snapped Saturday when it allowed an 11-point second-half lead to get away in a 65-54 loss to Kentucky as a four-point home underdog. The 119 combined points fell ?under? the 132-point total. The Gators led 42-31 with 13 minutes left, only to score only six points in the next 11-pluls minutes.

UK?s Tyler Herro scored a game-high 19 points by burying 6-of-8 field-goal attempts, 3-of-4 shots from 3-point territory and all four of his FTAs. P.J. Washington added 15 points and 12 rebounds.

UF?s Andrew Nembhard scored 12 points and had three assists and two steals. KeVaughn Allen and Jalen Hudson scored 11 points apiece for the Gators, who are 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS in five road assignments.

Florida has failed to cover the spread in four consecutive games. UF is winless SU and 1-5 ATS in six games as an underdog this year. This is the Gators? richest spot as underdogs.

Florida has an 11-game winning streak over Auburn and has won 21 of the last 22 head-to-head meetings. AU?s last win over UF came at the 2009 SEC Tournament.

The ?under? is 13-8 overall for Florida, 4-1 in its five road games. Going back further, the ?under? has cashed at a 12-2 clip in the Gators? past 14 road contests. The ?over? is on a 6-1 run for Auburn to improve to 12-8 overall and 7-4 in its home outings.

Tip-off on ESPNU is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

Kentucky (18-3 SU, 12-9 ATS) returns home to Rupp Arena tonight to face South Carolina as a 16-point favorite. The total was 146.5 points as of early this morning. The SEC Network will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

Since losing its league opener at Alabama, John Calipari?s club has won eight games in a row and covered the spread in six straight. However, the Wildcats are 4-6 ATS as double-digit ?chalk? and 0-2 ATS in a pair of such spots against SEC competition.

UK and LSU are tied for the second place in the SEC with identical 7-1 conference records. South Carolina (11-10 SU, 8-12 ATS) is in fourth place with a 6-2 mark in SEC action.

Frank Martin?s team went into Athens on Saturday and beat Georgia by an 86-80 count as a 2.5-point road underdog. The ?over? (149) was an easy winner to hit in a fifth straight USC game. The ?over? is on a 9-1 run for the Gamecocks, who have seen the ?over? go 15-4 overall and 5-2 in their road games.

Chris Silva scored 19 points and grabbed six rebounds at UGA. A.J. Lawson finished with 19 points and seven boards, while Hassani Gravett and Keyshawn Bryant were also in double figures with 13 and 11 points, respectively.

South Carolina is 3-4 SU and 4-3 ATS in seven road assignments. The Gamecocks are 6-6 ATS with five outright wins in 12 games as underdogs. They?re 2-0 ATS in a pair of games as double-digit underdogs, winning outright at UF as 11-point ?dogs and losing 89-78 at Michigan as 17-point puppies.

UK had won four in a row both SU and ATS over South Carolina into going to Columbia last year. That?s when the Gamecocks beat the ?Cats 76-68 as one-point home underdogs. The ?over? hit for the third straight time in this rivalry. In fact, the ?over? is 22-10 in the past 32 UK-USC meetings and 10-4 in the last 14 times they?ve collided at Rupp.

Another SEC game on tap tonight is Vanderbilt at Arkansas. The Razorbacks were eight-point home favorites this morning with the total at 147.5. The SEC Network will provide television coverage at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

Arkansas is in a six-way tie for fifth place in the SEC standings. Mike Anderson?s team shared as 4-4 league record along with Alabama, Florida, Auburn, Ole Miss and Mississippi State. Meanwhile, Vandy is the only team still looking for its first SEC win with a 0-8 conference record.

Arkansas (13-8 SU, 11-10 ATS) has won back-to-back games and three of its last four while going 4-0 ATS. The Razorbacks won 90-89 at LSU as 10-point underdogs Saturday night at the Pete Maravich Assembly Center. Daniel Gafford led the way with 23 points, eight rebounds and two blocked shots. Isaiah Joe added 18 points and Keyshawn Embery-Simpson had 16 points in 22 minutes off the bench.

Vandy is 2-7 ATS during its current nine-game losing streak. Six of its nine losses have come by double-digit margins and seven have come by at least nine points. The Commodores lost 77-66 at Missouri on Saturday night despite Smith?s absence for the Tigers.

The ?under? is 15-6 overall for the Hogs, 10-3 in their home games. However, the ?over? has cashed in four consecutive Vandy games.

Arkansas is 6-1 both SU and ATS in its last seven games against Vandy. The ?under? has prevailed in the past four games of this rivalry.

**B.E.?s Bonus Nuggets**

-- Penn State ended its eight-game losing streak last night by winning 59-52 at Northwestern as a 3.5-point road underdog, hooking up money-line supporters with a +145 return (paid $145 on $100 wagers). The 111 combined points dropped ?under? the 131.5-point total. Lamar Stevens led PSU with 18 points, seven rebounds, six assists and two blocked shots.

-- Louisville was a live underdog last night, too, capturing a 72-64 win at Va. Tech as a five-point underdog. Gamblers on U of L to win outright cashed a +180 money-line ticket. The 136 combined points inched ?over? the 135-point total. Ryan McMahon scored 17 points in 16 minutes of playing time from off the bench. McMahon drained 4-of-5 launches from downtown and all five of his FTAs.

-- Kansas State (16-5 SU, 11-10 ATS) was favored by two early this morning for tonight?s home game vs. Kansas. The total was 130 points. The Wildcats have won six straight conference games with a non-conference loss at Texas A&M on Jan. 26. They bounced back from the loss to the Aggies and avoided the look-ahead situation in Saturday?s 75-57 win at Oklahoma State. as 2.5-point road favorites. The ?under? is 14-7 overall for KSU, 9-1 in its home games. Bruce Weber?s bunch is 9-1 SU but just 3-7 ATS at home. Kansas is an abysmal 1-5 both SU and ATS in six road assignments. KU had failed to cover the spread in five straight games until beating Texas Tech 79-63 on Saturday as a 4.5-point home ?chalk.? Marcus Garrett (7.2 PPG, 3.6 RPG & 2.4 APG) is ?questionable? at KSU (ankle). The Jayhawks have won eight in a row over K-State while going 5-2-1 ATS. The ?under? is 3-1 in the past four head-to-head meetings. Tip-off is slated for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

-- As of early this morning, Syracuse was a 2.5 or three-point home favorite for tonight?s home game vs. FSU on the ACC Network at 8:00 p.m. Eastern. The Orange is 9-2 both SU and ATS in its last 11 games. The Seminoles are 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS in five road outings. They?ve bounced back from a three-game losing streak to win three in a row and improve to 4-4 in ACC action.
 

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Dunkel

Tuesday, February 5



San Diego St @ New Mexico

Game 643-644
February 5, 2019 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego St
50.643
New Mexico
52.284
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Mexico
by 1 1/2
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 2
148 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico
(+2); Under

Utah State @ Fresno State

Game 641-642
February 5, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah State
60.362
Fresno State
61.194
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fresno State
by 1
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah State
by 1
141
Dunkel Pick:
Fresno State
(+1); Under

Florida @ Auburn

Game 639-640
February 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
66.067
Auburn
75.610
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 9 1/2
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 7
136 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Auburn
(-7); Under

Vanderbilt @ Arkansas

Game 637-638
February 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vanderbilt
56.070
Arkansas
67.654
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas
by 11 1/2
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas
by 8
147
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas
(-8); Under

Kansas @ Kansas State

Game 635-636
February 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas
71.698
Kansas State
71.402
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas
Even
126
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas State
by 2 1/2
131
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas
(+2 1/2); Under

Missouri @ Tennessee

Game 633-634
February 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Missouri
62.439
Tennessee
76.772
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 14 1/2
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 17
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Missouri
(+17); Over

Dayton @ St Louis

Game 631-632
February 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dayton
56.273
St Louis
63.960
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Louis
by 7 1/2
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Louis
by 1
131 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St Louis
(-1); Under

NC State @ North Carolina

Game 629-630
February 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC State
66.222
North Carolina
79.121
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 13
168
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 10 1/2
163
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(-10 1/2); Over

Florida State @ Syracuse

Game 627-628
February 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida State
68.833
Syracuse
67.463
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 1 1/2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Syracuse
by 3
137
Dunkel Pick:
Florida State
(+3); Over

Michigan @ Rutgers

Game 625-626
February 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan
70.053
Rutgers
61.854
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 8
124
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 10
125 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Rutgers
(+10); Under

St John's @ Marquette

Game 623-624
February 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St John's
64.070
Marquette
72.232
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marquette
by 8
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marquette
by 6
154
Dunkel Pick:
Marquette
(-6); Under

Valparaiso @ Illinois State

Game 621-622
February 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Valparaiso
49.661
Illinois State
60.176
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Illinois State
by 10 1/2
129
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Illinois State
by 7
132
Dunkel Pick:
Illinois State
(-7); Under

Ball State @ Northern Illinois

Game 619-620
February 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ball State
54.132
Northern Illinois
47.691
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ball State
by 6 1/2
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Illinois
by 2
150 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ball State
(+2); Over

Stetson @ Liberty

Game 1493-1494
February 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stetson
35.163
Liberty
64.197
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Liberty
by 29
130
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Liberty
by 23
135 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Liberty
(-23); Under

Rider @ Manhattan

Game 645-646
February 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rider
53.013
Manhattan
39.651
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Rider
by 13 1/2
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rider
by 6 1/2
131
Dunkel Pick:
Rider
(-6 1/2); Over

South Carolina @ Kentucky

Game 617-618
February 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina
63.890
Kentucky
77.876
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 14
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 16
146 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina
(+16); Over

Drake @ Loyola-Chicago

Game 615-616
February 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Drake
47.222
Loyola-Chicago
58.690
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Loyola-Chicago
by 11 1/2
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Loyola-Chicago
by 5 1/2
129
Dunkel Pick:
Loyola-Chicago
(-5 1/2); Over

Bowling Green @ Western Michigan

Game 613-614
February 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bowling Green
59.447
Western Michigan
44.630
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Bowling Green
by 15
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Bowling Green
by 5 1/2
147 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Bowling Green
(-5 1/2); Over

Miami-OH @ Kent State

Game 611-612
February 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami-OH
58.065
Kent State
59.141
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kent State
by 1
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kent State
by 3 1/2
142 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-OH
(+3 1/2); Over

Akron @ Toledo

Game 609-610
February 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Akron
55.603
Toledo
61.230
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 5 1/2
127
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 7 1/2
132 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(+7 1/2); Under

Boston College @ Duke

Game 607-608
February 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston College
59.295
Duke
84.853
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 25 1/2
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 23 1/2
156 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(-23 1/2); Over

Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest

Game 605-606
February 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
59.267
Wake Forest
54.441
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 7 1/2
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2 1/2
138 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-2 1/2); Under

Michigan State @ Illinois

Game 603-604
February 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan State
74.372
Illinois
66.050
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 8 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 10
148
Dunkel Pick:
Illinois
(+10); Under

St Joseph's @ LaSalle

Game 601-602
February 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St Joseph's
54.744
LaSalle
47.565
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Joseph's
by 7
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LaSalle
by 2
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St Joseph's
(+2); Over
 

Udog

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Forum Member
Sep 10, 2018
18,011
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Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 5


Michigan State lost its last two games after an 18-2 start; they?re only playing seven guys with Langford out for year. Spartans are 5-1 on Big 14 road, winning by 11-9-15-6-15 points. Illinois split its last six games after a 4-12 start; they?re 2-2 in Big 14 true home games, losing by 10-12 points. MSU won four of last five games with Illinois, winning three of last four visits here, with wins by 16-7-20 points- they lost here two years ago. Spartans are 22-11 in its last 33 games as a road favorite, 5-1 this year; Illini is 8-6 in its last 14 games as a home underdog, 2-3 this year.

Akron won four of its last five games; they?re 5-3 in MAC, 1-3 on road, with only win at Ohio- their road losses are by 2-17-7 points. Zips are shooting 26.6% on arc in MAC games. Toledo won six of its last seven games, is 6-3 in MAC, winning last three home games, by 12-23-4 points. MAC teams are shooting 45.4% inside arc against them. Toledo won six of last seven games with Akron, winning last three meetings here, by 17-14-2 points. Zips are 6-9 in last 15 games as a MAC road dog; Toledo is 17-23 in last 40 games as a home favorite, 2-2 this year.

Drake won five of its last six games, is 6-4 in MVC, winning last three road games, by 17-11-6 points. Bulldogs are turning ball over 21.5% of time in Valley games. Loyola won five of its last seven games; they?re 7-3 in MVC, 5-0 at home, with three wins by 17+ points. Loyola is 7-3 vs Drake in MVC games, winning last three by 15-23-15 points; Bulldogs are 0-5 at Loyola, losing by 10-3-5-15-15 points. Drake is 6-4 in its last ten games as a road underdog, 1-1 this year; Loyola is 13-9 in its last 22 games as a home favorite, 3-2 this year.

Marquette won its last eight games since an 89-69 loss at St John?s Jan 1, when Johnnies made 11-24 on arc, while Eagles were 6-21. Home side won last five series games; Red Storm lost last two visits to Milwaukee, by 22-12 points. SJU lost five of its last seven games; they?re 2-3 on big East road, with losses by 2-5-9 points. Marquette won all four of its Big East home games, with wins by 18-4-11-10 points. St John?s is 8-4 in its last dozen games as a road underdog, 3-1 this year; Marquette is 10-7-1 in its last 18 games as a home favorite, 2-1-1 this year.

Michigan is 3-2 in its last five games after a 17-0 start; they lost two of last three road games, losing at Wisconsin/Iowa- their road wins are by 2-10-23 points. Rutgers won three of its last four games, beating Nebraska/Indiana in its last two home games. Michigan is 5-0 vs Rutgers in Big 14 play (2-3 vs spread), winning both meetings here by four points. Home side covered four of the five games. Wolverines are 4-8 in last dozen games as a road favorite, 2-3 this year; Rutgers is 11-9 in its last 20 games as a home underdog, 2-2 this year.

North Carolina overcame 23 turnovers (-10), made 10-22 on arc in 90-82 win at NC State Jan 8; Tar Heels won 29 of last 33 series games, but Wolfpack won 95-91 (+13) here LY. State covered four of last five visits to Chapel Hill. Wolfpack scored 24 points in a home loss Saturday; they?re 3-5 in last eight games- they split four ACC road tilts. Tar Heels won its last five games, winning last three by 21-23-10 points. Wolfpack is 6-10 in last 16 games as an ACC road underdog, 0-1 this year; UNC is 12-8 in its last 20 games as a home favorite, 1-2 this year.

Florida State won its last three games, by 9-10-12 points; they?re 1-3 in ACC road games, with win at Miami, losses by 13-13-5 points. Syracuse won nine of its last 11 games, is 7-2 in ACC, winning last two home games, by 11-20 points. Home side won five of last six FSU-Syracuse games; Seminoles are 0-3 in the Carrier Dome, losing by 13-13-12 points. FSU beat Syracuse 101-90 in double OT LY. Seminoles are 7-10 in last 17 games as a road underdog, 0-1 this year; Syracuse is 11-4 in its last 15 games as a home favorite, 3-1 this year.

Dayton won 10 of its last 12 games after a 5-5 start; Flyers are 7-2 in A-14, 3-1 on road, with only loss at VCU0? they allowed 60 ppg in winning last three games. Saint Louis lost its last four games after a 14-4 start; Billikens lost last two road games by total of four points, to Davidson/Richmond. SLU swept Dayton by 10-3 points LY, after losing previous seven series games; Flyers won four of last five visits here. Dayton is 0-5-1 in its last six games as a road underdog, 0-1 this year; Billikens are 8-4 in last 12 games as a home favorite, 2-3 this year.

Kansas lost its last three road games, scoring 64-63-63 points; they shot 40%+ from arc in their last four wins. Jayhawks have almost no depth now. K-State won six of its last seven games; they are 6-2 in Big X, winning last three home games, by 2-10-13 points. Kansas won last eight games and 31 of last 36 games with Kansas State, winning last three visits to the Little Apple, by 9-3-14 points. Last five years, Jayhawks are 8-5 vs spread as a Big X road underdog, 0-1 this year; K-State covered seven of last nine games as a home favorite, 2-2 this year.

Vanderbilt lost its last nine games, is 0-8 in SEC, losing road games by 19-9-10 points. SEC teams are shooting 55.6% inside arc vs Vandy- they?re 0-8 vs top 50 teams. Arkansas won three of last four games, is 4-4 in SEC, beating Missouri/Georgia in last two home games, by 12-10 points. Hogs are forcing turnovers 21.8% of time in SEC tilts. Arkansas won six of last seven games with Vanderbilt, winning five of last six meetings here. Under Drew, Vandy is 12-7 in its last 19 games as a road dog; Hogs are 15-11 in last 26 games as a home favorite, 2-1 this year.

Florida won its last 11 games with Auburn, covering last four and winning last seven visits to the Plains. Gators is 4-5 in its last nine games- they?re 2-1 in SEC road games, losing at Miss State by 3, winning at Arkansas/Georgia. Florida is forcing turnovers 24.5% of time in SEC games. Auburn won its last two games by 34-21 points; they?re 3-1 in SEC home games, winning by 15-34-21, with a loss to Kentucky. Gators are 11-7-2 in last 20 games as a road underdog, 0-0-1 this year; Auburn is 9-4 in its last 13 games as a home favorite, 3-1 this year.

Fresno State won 78-77 at Utah State Jan 9, after trailing by 9 with 8:19 left; Bulldogs made 15-31 on the arc that night. USU won three of last four series games, but lost three of last four visits to Fresno- they won here 65-62 LY. USU won its last six games, is 7-2 in MW, winning last three road games. Fresno is also 7-2 in MW, 3-1 at home, with wins by 11-4-12 points, with a loss by 10 to Nevada. Aggies are 7-16 in last 23 games as a road underdog, 0-1 this year; Fresno is 4-7 vs spread in its last 11 games as a home favorite, 0-3 this year.

San Diego State drilled New Mexico 97-77 at home Jan 15, scoring 1.31 ppp; Lobos made 13-32 on arc and still lost by 20. Aztecs lost their last two games in the Pit, by 5-4 points. San Diego St won its last three games, is 5-3 in MW, 1-3 on road, with lone win at San Jose. New Mexico lost six of its last seven games, is 3-6 in MW, splitting their four home games, with losses to UNLV by 11, Utah St by 2- they beat Nevada here. Under Dutcher, San Diego State is 4-9 vs spread on Mountain West road; under Weir, Lobos are 10-3 vs spread in MW home games, 3-1 this year.
 

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Forum Member
Sep 10, 2018
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Tuesday, February 5


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saint Joseph's @ La Salle
Saint Joseph's
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saint Joseph's's last 5 games when playing La Salle
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Saint Joseph's's last 13 games
La Salle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of La Salle's last 5 games when playing Saint Joseph's
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of La Salle's last 11 games

Miami-Ohio @ Kent State
Miami-Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-Ohio's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-Ohio's last 5 games
Kent State
Kent State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami-Ohio
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kent State's last 7 games when playing Miami-Ohio

South Carolina @ Kentucky
South Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Carolina's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Carolina's last 6 games on the road
Kentucky
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Drake @ Loyola-Chicago
Drake
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Drake's last 7 games
Drake is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Loyola-Chicago
Loyola-Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Loyola-Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Drake

Michigan State @ Illinois
Michigan State
Michigan State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Michigan State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games when playing Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Illinois's last 15 games when playing at home against Michigan State

Boston College @ Duke
Boston College
Boston College is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games
Duke
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston College

Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 16 games
Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Wake Forest
Wake Forest
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wake Forest's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wake Forest's last 7 games at home

Akron @ Toledo
Akron
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Akron's last 5 games when playing Toledo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Akron's last 5 games
Toledo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing Akron

Bowling Green @ Western Michigan
Bowling Green
Bowling Green is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Bowling Green is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games when playing Bowling Green
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games at home

Rider @ Manhattan
Rider
Rider is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Manhattan
Rider is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Manhattan
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Manhattan's last 7 games
Manhattan is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Rider

Valparaiso @ Illinois State
Valparaiso
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Valparaiso's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Valparaiso's last 6 games on the road
Illinois State
Illinois State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Illinois State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Ball State @ Northern Illinois
Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Northern Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ball State's last 10 games when playing Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games

Michigan @ Rutgers
Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan's last 5 games
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rutgers
Rutgers
Rutgers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rutgers's last 6 games when playing Michigan

North Carolina State @ North Carolina
North Carolina State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of North Carolina State's last 8 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
North Carolina
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
North Carolina is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against North Carolina State

Florida State @ Syracuse
Florida State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 6 games when playing Syracuse
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Florida State's last 11 games on the road
Syracuse
Syracuse is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Syracuse is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

St. John's @ Marquette
St. John's
St. John's is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Marquette
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. John's's last 8 games when playing Marquette
Marquette
Marquette is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Marquette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Missouri @ Tennessee
Missouri
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Missouri's last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Dayton @ Saint Louis
Dayton
Dayton is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Saint Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dayton's last 7 games on the road
Saint Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saint Louis's last 6 games at home
Saint Louis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

Vanderbilt @ Arkansas
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games when playing Arkansas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games
Arkansas
Arkansas is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt
Arkansas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt

Florida @ Auburn
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Auburn
Florida is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Auburn
Auburn
Auburn is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Auburn's last 7 games

Kansas @ Kansas State
Kansas
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas State
Kansas is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Kansas State
Kansas State
Kansas State is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas State's last 9 games at home

Utah State @ Fresno State
Utah State
Utah State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Fresno State
Fresno State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fresno State's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fresno State's last 6 games when playing at home against Utah State

San Diego State @ New Mexico
San Diego State
San Diego State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
New Mexico
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico's last 7 games when playing San Diego State
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New Mexico's last 16 games when playing San Diego State


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Udog

Registered
Forum Member
Sep 10, 2018
18,011
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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 5


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ST JOSEPHS (10 - 12) at LASALLE (6 - 14) - 2/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST JOSEPHS is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all games this season.
ST JOSEPHS is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
ST JOSEPHS is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1997.
ST JOSEPHS is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOSEPHS is 3-1 against the spread versus LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
LASALLE is 2-2 straight up against ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN ST (18 - 4) at ILLINOIS (7 - 15) - 2/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 84-60 ATS (+18.0 Units) in February games since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 99-64 ATS (+28.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 67-39 ATS (+24.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (12 - 10) at WAKE FOREST (8 - 13) - 2/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 37-62 ATS (-31.2 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON COLLEGE (11 - 9) at DUKE (19 - 2) - 2/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 141-96 ATS (+35.4 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
DUKE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 225-166 ATS (+42.4 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 125-88 ATS (+28.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 125-88 ATS (+28.2 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 121-88 ATS (+24.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 1-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AKRON (13 - 8) at TOLEDO (18 - 4) - 2/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AKRON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
AKRON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 2-1 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-1 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI OHIO (12 - 10) at KENT ST (16 - 5) - 2/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
KENT ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 2-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOWLING GREEN (15 - 6) at W MICHIGAN (6 - 15) - 2/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
BOWLING GREEN is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 2-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 2-1 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DRAKE (17 - 6) at LOYOLA-IL (14 - 9) - 2/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-IL is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-IL is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-IL is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-IL is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
DRAKE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games this season.
DRAKE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
DRAKE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
LOYOLA-IL is 4-1 against the spread versus DRAKE over the last 3 seasons
LOYOLA-IL is 4-1 straight up against DRAKE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S CAROLINA (11 - 10) at KENTUCKY (18 - 3) - 2/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S CAROLINA is 65-98 ATS (-42.8 Units) in February games since 1997.
KENTUCKY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
S CAROLINA is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
S CAROLINA is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALL ST (11 - 11) at N ILLINOIS (12 - 10) - 2/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 3-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 3-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VALPARAISO (12 - 11) at ILLINOIS ST (14 - 9) - 2/5/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS ST is 2-1 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 2-1 straight up against ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST JOHNS (16 - 6) at MARQUETTE (19 - 3) - 2/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARQUETTE is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
MARQUETTE is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
MARQUETTE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
MARQUETTE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all home games this season.
MARQUETTE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in home lined games this season.
MARQUETTE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after a conference game this season.
MARQUETTE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOHNS is 3-2 against the spread versus MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
ST JOHNS is 3-2 straight up against MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (20 - 2) at RUTGERS (11 - 10) - 2/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA ST (16 - 5) at SYRACUSE (16 - 6) - 2/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NC STATE (16 - 6) at N CAROLINA (17 - 4) - 2/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 4-1 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 4-1 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DAYTON (15 - 7) at SAINT LOUIS (14 - 8) - 2/5/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAYTON is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DAYTON is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DAYTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DAYTON is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DAYTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
DAYTON is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DAYTON is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
DAYTON is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DAYTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 55-34 ATS (+17.6 Units) in February games since 1997.
SAINT LOUIS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAINT LOUIS is 3-1 against the spread versus DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
DAYTON is 3-1 straight up against SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSOURI (11 - 9) at TENNESSEE (20 - 1) - 2/5/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 91-122 ATS (-43.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
MISSOURI is 91-122 ATS (-43.2 Units) in road lined games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-1 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS (17 - 5) at KANSAS ST (16 - 5) - 2/5/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 3-2 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 5-0 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VANDERBILT (9 - 12) at ARKANSAS (13 - 8) - 2/5/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 15-34 ATS (-22.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 15-34 ATS (-22.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 11-29 ATS (-20.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 3-1 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS is 3-1 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA (12 - 9) at AUBURN (15 - 6) - 2/5/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 35-15 ATS (+18.5 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UTAH ST (17 - 5) at FRESNO ST (16 - 5) - 2/5/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 3-1 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 3-1 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN DIEGO ST (13 - 8) at NEW MEXICO (9 - 12) - 2/5/2019, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 201-162 ATS (+22.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
SAN DIEGO ST is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 3-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RIDER (12 - 9) at MANHATTAN (6 - 16) - 2/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in all games this season.
RIDER is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
RIDER is 105-137 ATS (-45.7 Units) as a favorite since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 4-2 against the spread versus RIDER over the last 3 seasons
RIDER is 5-1 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Udog

Registered
Forum Member
Sep 10, 2018
18,011
20
38
Top 25 Betting Recap
Joe Williams

Each week until March Madness we'll take a look at how the Top 25 fared from college basketball, but straight up and against the number, while also taking a look at their upcoming schedule.

North Carolina State (16-6 SU, 13-9 ATS) had a difficult week, and it wrapped up with one of the most ugly performances in recent memory. The Wolfpack actually hung with Virginia (20-1 SU, 16-5 ATS), falling 66-65 in overtime at PNC Arena in Raleigh. Perhaps the emotional letdown was too much for the young Wolfpack, as they absolutely laid an egg against Virginia Tech (18-3 SU, 12-8 ATS) on Saturday. The Hokies do rank sixth in the nation, allowing just 60.2 points per game (PPG), and that likely bumped up even further after the took care of the Wolfpack by a 47-24 score which resembled more of a football score than today's era of high-scoring basketball. The Pack scored just 14 points in the first half, and 10 in the second, hitting just 9-of-54 (16.7 percent) from the field to set a new school low. It was also the lowest point total in the shot-clock era, which dates back to 1985-86.

Buffalo (19-3 SU, 13-7-1 ATS) had been in the Top 25 rankings for a good chunk of the season, but the Bulls are likely to fall out of the rankings. In fact, they're not even in first place in the East Division of the Mid-American Conference. That's because the Bulls lost a crucial battle for first place against Bowling Green (15-6 SU, 13-6 ATS) to fall a half-game back of the Falcons. The Bulls are now 2-2 SU over the past four games, and 2-4 ATS across the past six outings.

Kansas State (16-5 SU, 11-10 ATS) and Baylor (15-6 SU, 14-7 ATS) currently sit atop the Big 12 Conference at 6-2, a half-game ahead of Iowa State (17-5 SU, 13-7-2 ATS) and Kansas (17-5 SU, 9-13 ATS), and one and a half games ahead of Texas Tech (17-5 SU, 7-14-1 ATS). Like football, these teams continue to beat on each other and it might cost them heading into March Madness. However, while the team is not currently projected to have anyone on the one-line, they might have several high seeds which will head into March battle tested. Kansas is on a major slide, going 2-3 SU and just 1-5 ATS over the past six outings. They'll look to turn things around against rival K-State. The Wildcats are a solid 5-1 ATS over the past six contests.

North Carolina (17-4 SU, 13-6-2 ATS) avenged a loss a couple of weeks ago against Louisville (16-6 SU, 12-8-2 ATS), beating the Cardinals at the KFC Yum! Center by a 79-69 score as 1 1/2-point favorites. Since that wake-up call from the Cards on Jan. 12, the Tar Heels have won five in a row and they have covered four straight. Total bettors have liked the Heels for their 'under' results, too, as the total has gone under in 9-2 across the past 11 outings. For the Cardinals, the loss snapped a six-game win streak and a four-game cover streak.

Tennessee (20-1 SU, 12-7-1 ATS) will likely remain atop the rankings at No. 1 after doing nothing to hurt their standing. They won two road games this past week, and the Vols have covered three in a row, and eight of the past 10. Gonzaga (21-2 SU, 16-7 ATS), a team Tennessee beat back on Dec. 9, has won 12 in a row since mid-December, and they're 9-3 ATS during the span. The 'under' is also a frequent happening for the Zags, hitting in nine of the past 12, too.

Auburn (15-6 SU, 10-9-1 ATS) could be poised for a return to the Top 25 after beating Missouri (11-9 SU, 8-11-1 ATS) and rival Alabama (13-8 SU, 9-11-1 ATS) by a combined 55 points to cover double-digit spreads in both instances. The 'under' ended up cashing in Saturday's game against 'Bama, snapping a six-game 'over' run. Washington (18-4 SU, 13-8-1 ATS) continues to sit atop the Pac-12, and they're likely set to make a return to the rankings this week, too. The Huskies have also covered nine in a row, while the 'under' is 4-1 over the past five, so they're a friend to bettors for sure.

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Florida State hopes to ride defense to road win at Syracuse, and this week's NCAA basketball odds and analysis

Is 50 the magic number for a cover-deficient Florida State team? That question will be answered this week as the Seminoles take on the Syracuse Orange in one of the marquee games on the early-week college basketball schedule. Other notable matchups include Duke in prime position to reverse its long home Under trend against Boston College, and LSU and Mississippi State set for a mid-week shootout. Here are the top games, betting trends and tips to monitor for this week's NCAA hoops action.

Nifty Fifty

The Florida State Seminoles are clinging to a Top 25 spot and they have some work to do if they hope to stay there. FSU visits Syracuse on Tuesday night, and could be in tough at +2.5 with the home team having covered each of the previous five meetings between the schools. But something about a solid defensive effort brings out the best in the Seminoles, who are a sizzling 19-4-1 ATS in their past 24 games after allowing 50 or fewer points in their previous game. That's a welcome sight to bettors who have seen Florida State go just 5-11-1 ATS in its past 17 games.

Blue Devils Bucking a Trend?

The Cameron Crazies have seen more than their share of lower-scoring affairs of late ? but things could be quite different Tuesday night as the second-ranked Blue Devils host the Boston College Eagles. Bettors have made a healthy profit from betting Duke Unders at home, with the Blue Devils having gone 19-7-1 to the under in their last 27 games at Cameron Indoor Stadium. But Duke and Boston College have exceeded the total in each of their previous six meetings, and have combined for more than 170 points in their previous two encounters.

Point Parade

LSU and Mississippi State saw a brief reversal of their lengthy Over trend ? but they're back on the O train, so to speak, as they renew acquaintances Wednesday night at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville. The Tigers and Bulldogs are 11-2 to the Over in their previous 13 meetings, including an 80-77 Mississippi State triumph in their last encounter March 8; they've also crossed the 155-point threshold in five of their past seven meetings. And both sides come in riding hot Over trends: LSU is 13-3 O/U in its past 16 road games, while Mississippi State has surpassed the number in four straight home outings.

Don't Fear the Spread

Whatever spread the Gonzaga Bulldogs will encounter for Thursday's home contest against San Francisco, bettors should feel comfortable giving the points away. The Bulldogs, who sit fourth in the Associated Press Top 25 Rankings, have gone 4-1 ATS in their previous five home games against the Dons despite being favored by at least 14.5 points in each game. Gonzaga has scored 80 or more points four times over that span, while holding San Francisco to 61 or fewer points on four different occasions. And the Dons have just two covers in seven road games this season.

Mid-Major to Watch: Lipscomb Bison (18-4 SU, 13-7 ATS, 10-10 O/U)

The Atlantic Sun Conference is shaping up to be a two-team race between Lipscomb and Liberty ? and for the time being, at least, the Bison have the upper hand. And while the SU record is something to marvel at, bettors will be more interested to know that Lipscomb has gone 5-3 ATS in its past five games, including three straight away from Allen Arena. That bodes well for a Bisons team that hits the road for a Wednesday encounter with North Florida.

Lipscomb have done it with offense this season, entering the week ranked eighth in the nation in scoring at 85.5 points per game. The Bisons are also tied with Michigan State for 11th in field-goal shooting (49.4 percent) ? but it isn't just their offensive prowess that has this team ranked in the top 10 among mid-major schools. Lipscomb is limiting opponents to a 40.7-percent success rate from the field, the 42nd-best mark in the country.

National Title Odds

The top teams remain largely unchanged, with the Blue Devils leading the way at +225 and Gonzaga and Virginia next in line at +1,000. One dark horse team to monitor: The sixth-ranked Nevada Wolf Pack, who are an unbelievable 21-1 SU coming into Tuesday and carry +1,800 odds of capturing the national championship.

Betting Trends

It was a sensational week for road underdogs ? at least, relative to their ATS performance on the season. Away 'dogs converted more than 28 percent of the time over the previous seven days worth of games, a significant improvement on the 21.4-percent season-to-date success rate. Road teams won 41 percent of the time SU over the seven-day span.

Totals bettors have seen an uptick in Under results over the past week, with games sliding below the number nearly 53 percent of the time. That raises the 30-day under share to 51.8 percent, with 54.1 percent of non-overtime games coming in under the total during that span. Unders have converted 51.9 percent of the time so far this season.

Is good defense the key to a successful cover? It would appear so, at least through the first two-thirds of the college hoops season. Of the 10 teams with the best ATS records entering Tuesday, nine have more Unders than Overs. The only exception? East Tennessee State, which has a 16-6 ATS record and a 13-9 O/U mark.
 
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