NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, February 5
Michigan State lost its last two games after an 18-2 start; they?re only playing seven guys with Langford out for year. Spartans are 5-1 on Big 14 road, winning by 11-9-15-6-15 points. Illinois split its last six games after a 4-12 start; they?re 2-2 in Big 14 true home games, losing by 10-12 points. MSU won four of last five games with Illinois, winning three of last four visits here, with wins by 16-7-20 points- they lost here two years ago. Spartans are 22-11 in its last 33 games as a road favorite, 5-1 this year; Illini is 8-6 in its last 14 games as a home underdog, 2-3 this year.
Akron won four of its last five games; they?re 5-3 in MAC, 1-3 on road, with only win at Ohio- their road losses are by 2-17-7 points. Zips are shooting 26.6% on arc in MAC games. Toledo won six of its last seven games, is 6-3 in MAC, winning last three home games, by 12-23-4 points. MAC teams are shooting 45.4% inside arc against them. Toledo won six of last seven games with Akron, winning last three meetings here, by 17-14-2 points. Zips are 6-9 in last 15 games as a MAC road dog; Toledo is 17-23 in last 40 games as a home favorite, 2-2 this year.
Drake won five of its last six games, is 6-4 in MVC, winning last three road games, by 17-11-6 points. Bulldogs are turning ball over 21.5% of time in Valley games. Loyola won five of its last seven games; they?re 7-3 in MVC, 5-0 at home, with three wins by 17+ points. Loyola is 7-3 vs Drake in MVC games, winning last three by 15-23-15 points; Bulldogs are 0-5 at Loyola, losing by 10-3-5-15-15 points. Drake is 6-4 in its last ten games as a road underdog, 1-1 this year; Loyola is 13-9 in its last 22 games as a home favorite, 3-2 this year.
Marquette won its last eight games since an 89-69 loss at St John?s Jan 1, when Johnnies made 11-24 on arc, while Eagles were 6-21. Home side won last five series games; Red Storm lost last two visits to Milwaukee, by 22-12 points. SJU lost five of its last seven games; they?re 2-3 on big East road, with losses by 2-5-9 points. Marquette won all four of its Big East home games, with wins by 18-4-11-10 points. St John?s is 8-4 in its last dozen games as a road underdog, 3-1 this year; Marquette is 10-7-1 in its last 18 games as a home favorite, 2-1-1 this year.
Michigan is 3-2 in its last five games after a 17-0 start; they lost two of last three road games, losing at Wisconsin/Iowa- their road wins are by 2-10-23 points. Rutgers won three of its last four games, beating Nebraska/Indiana in its last two home games. Michigan is 5-0 vs Rutgers in Big 14 play (2-3 vs spread), winning both meetings here by four points. Home side covered four of the five games. Wolverines are 4-8 in last dozen games as a road favorite, 2-3 this year; Rutgers is 11-9 in its last 20 games as a home underdog, 2-2 this year.
North Carolina overcame 23 turnovers (-10), made 10-22 on arc in 90-82 win at NC State Jan 8; Tar Heels won 29 of last 33 series games, but Wolfpack won 95-91 (+13) here LY. State covered four of last five visits to Chapel Hill. Wolfpack scored 24 points in a home loss Saturday; they?re 3-5 in last eight games- they split four ACC road tilts. Tar Heels won its last five games, winning last three by 21-23-10 points. Wolfpack is 6-10 in last 16 games as an ACC road underdog, 0-1 this year; UNC is 12-8 in its last 20 games as a home favorite, 1-2 this year.
Florida State won its last three games, by 9-10-12 points; they?re 1-3 in ACC road games, with win at Miami, losses by 13-13-5 points. Syracuse won nine of its last 11 games, is 7-2 in ACC, winning last two home games, by 11-20 points. Home side won five of last six FSU-Syracuse games; Seminoles are 0-3 in the Carrier Dome, losing by 13-13-12 points. FSU beat Syracuse 101-90 in double OT LY. Seminoles are 7-10 in last 17 games as a road underdog, 0-1 this year; Syracuse is 11-4 in its last 15 games as a home favorite, 3-1 this year.
Dayton won 10 of its last 12 games after a 5-5 start; Flyers are 7-2 in A-14, 3-1 on road, with only loss at VCU0? they allowed 60 ppg in winning last three games. Saint Louis lost its last four games after a 14-4 start; Billikens lost last two road games by total of four points, to Davidson/Richmond. SLU swept Dayton by 10-3 points LY, after losing previous seven series games; Flyers won four of last five visits here. Dayton is 0-5-1 in its last six games as a road underdog, 0-1 this year; Billikens are 8-4 in last 12 games as a home favorite, 2-3 this year.
Kansas lost its last three road games, scoring 64-63-63 points; they shot 40%+ from arc in their last four wins. Jayhawks have almost no depth now. K-State won six of its last seven games; they are 6-2 in Big X, winning last three home games, by 2-10-13 points. Kansas won last eight games and 31 of last 36 games with Kansas State, winning last three visits to the Little Apple, by 9-3-14 points. Last five years, Jayhawks are 8-5 vs spread as a Big X road underdog, 0-1 this year; K-State covered seven of last nine games as a home favorite, 2-2 this year.
Vanderbilt lost its last nine games, is 0-8 in SEC, losing road games by 19-9-10 points. SEC teams are shooting 55.6% inside arc vs Vandy- they?re 0-8 vs top 50 teams. Arkansas won three of last four games, is 4-4 in SEC, beating Missouri/Georgia in last two home games, by 12-10 points. Hogs are forcing turnovers 21.8% of time in SEC tilts. Arkansas won six of last seven games with Vanderbilt, winning five of last six meetings here. Under Drew, Vandy is 12-7 in its last 19 games as a road dog; Hogs are 15-11 in last 26 games as a home favorite, 2-1 this year.
Florida won its last 11 games with Auburn, covering last four and winning last seven visits to the Plains. Gators is 4-5 in its last nine games- they?re 2-1 in SEC road games, losing at Miss State by 3, winning at Arkansas/Georgia. Florida is forcing turnovers 24.5% of time in SEC games. Auburn won its last two games by 34-21 points; they?re 3-1 in SEC home games, winning by 15-34-21, with a loss to Kentucky. Gators are 11-7-2 in last 20 games as a road underdog, 0-0-1 this year; Auburn is 9-4 in its last 13 games as a home favorite, 3-1 this year.
Fresno State won 78-77 at Utah State Jan 9, after trailing by 9 with 8:19 left; Bulldogs made 15-31 on the arc that night. USU won three of last four series games, but lost three of last four visits to Fresno- they won here 65-62 LY. USU won its last six games, is 7-2 in MW, winning last three road games. Fresno is also 7-2 in MW, 3-1 at home, with wins by 11-4-12 points, with a loss by 10 to Nevada. Aggies are 7-16 in last 23 games as a road underdog, 0-1 this year; Fresno is 4-7 vs spread in its last 11 games as a home favorite, 0-3 this year.
San Diego State drilled New Mexico 97-77 at home Jan 15, scoring 1.31 ppp; Lobos made 13-32 on arc and still lost by 20. Aztecs lost their last two games in the Pit, by 5-4 points. San Diego St won its last three games, is 5-3 in MW, 1-3 on road, with lone win at San Jose. New Mexico lost six of its last seven games, is 3-6 in MW, splitting their four home games, with losses to UNLV by 11, Utah St by 2- they beat Nevada here. Under Dutcher, San Diego State is 4-9 vs spread on Mountain West road; under Weir, Lobos are 10-3 vs spread in MW home games, 3-1 this year.