NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 16
Thursday game
Jaguars (6-8) @ Jets (7-7)
— Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in last six games after a 2-6 start.
— Jaguars are 3-6 in one-score games (decided by 8 or less points).
— Last five games, Jaguars are +6 in turnovers (11-5)
— Jaguars are 2-5 ATS this season as a road underdog.
— In his career, Pederson is 11-18 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last two games, Jaguars scored 36-40 points (7 TD’s/23 drives)
— Last four games, opponents converted 37-62 on third down.
— Jaguars are 7-11 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Last five games, Jacksonville gave up 419.8 yards/game.
— Jaguars are only game out of first place in AFC South
— Five of their last six games went over the total.
— Wilson is expected to start again here (8-13 as NFL starter)
— Jets are 2-5 in their last seven games, after a 5-2 start.
— Despite that, Jets are 7-4 ATS in their last eleven games.
— Jets are 6-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-6 scoring less than 20.
— Jets scored 46 points on their last 13 red zone drives (3.54 pts/drive).
— Jets have one takeaway in their last five games (minus-4 TO’s)
— Under Saleh, Jets are 4-4 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Seven of last nine Jet games stayed under the total.
— Last two games, Jets ran ball 44 times for only 126 yards.
— Jets held nine of last 11 opponents under their team total.
— Jets are 5-1 ATS this season, coming off a loss.
— Jets won five of last seven series games.
— Jaguars covered once in last four visits here.
— Last five meetings went over the total.
Saturday’s games
Falcons (5-9) @ Ravens (9-5)
— Rookie QB Ridder was 13-26/92 passing in his 1st NFL start.
— Falcons lost five of last six games SU, are 0-8 ATS in last eight.
— Six of their last seven games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Underdogs are 9-4-1 ATS in their games TY.
— Atlanta is 12-8 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog.
— Falcons ran balll for 231 yards LW, converted 9-16 third down plays.
— Last 12 opponents converted 83-171 (48.5%) third down plays.
— Falcons are 15-13 ATS last 28 games coming off a loss (4-4 TY).
— Last 12 games, Falcons ran ball for 167.8 yards/game.
— Atlanta is 1-4 outdoors this season, scoring 17.4 ppg.
— Under is 8-3 in their last eleven games.
— Ravens split last four games SU, are 1-4 ATS in last five.
— Last two games, Ravens ran ball for 215-198 yards.
— Last 3 games, Ravens threw ball for 4.4/4.9/3.8 yards per play.
— Baltimore won seven of its last ten games SU.
— Eight of last eleven Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Ravens led by 9+ points in four of their five losses.
— Ravens are 0-5 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— Since 2018, Baltimore is 12-20-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last two weeks, Ravens converted 12-38 (31.6%) on 3rd down.
— Nine of Ravens’ last eleven games stayed under the total.
— Baltimore is 9-8 last 17 games coming off a loss.
— Baltimore is 8-1 giving up 20 or less points, 1-4 if they give up 20+.
— Ravens won three of last four series games.
— Falcons lost 29-7/24-10 in last two visits to Baltimore.
— Four of last five meetings stayed under the total.
Saints (5-9) @ Browns (6-8)
— Saints lost four of last six games, scoring 14.7 ppg.
— NO is 1-5 SU/ATS in true road games this season.
— Saints are 4-3 scoring 24+ points, 1-6 when they score less.
— Saints have four takeaways last eight games; their turnover ratio: minus-13.
— Saints are 5-7-1 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC opponents.
— New Orleans is 3-9 ATS last 12 games coming off a win (0-4 TY)
— Saints have been outscored 77-28 in last 2:00 of each half.
— New Orleans held last six opponents under 6.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Six of last seven New Orleans games stayed under the total.
— Last three games, Saints scored 16 points on seven red zone drives.
— Saints are 0-5 SU outdoors this season, scoring 13 ppg.
— Browns won two of Watson’s first three starts SU
— Watson’s three games: Browns scored 2 TD on 28 drives, with 12 3/outs.
— In Watson’s three starts, Browns are +4 in turnovers (7-3)
— Cleveland is 4-3 SU in last seven games after a 2-5 start.
— Browns are 6-3 giving up 24 or less points, 0-5 giving up more than 24.
— Last three games, Browns converted 13-43 on third down.
— Browns are 1-5 when they run for less than 171 yards.
— Cleveland outgained 10 of its 14 opponents, but they’re 6-8.
— Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Browns are 7-11-1 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite (2-2 TY).
— Watson is 31-28 as an NFL starter, making playoffs twice with Houston.
— Weather for this game is supposed to be bitter cold.
— Browns won three of last five series games.
— Underdogs covered all five of those games.
— Under was 3-2 in those games.
Lions (7-7) @ Panthers (5-9)
— Detroit won six of its last seven games (7-0 ATS).
— Last six games, Lions have scored 30.2 ppg.
— Lions are road favorite for first time since Week 6, 2020.
— Last three games, Detroit outscored foes 47-31 in second half.
— Last seven games, Lions are +11 in turnovers (14-3)
— Last six games, Detroit foes converted 48-99 (48.5%) on 3rd down.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 10-20-1 SU, 21-9-1 ATS.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 7-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 8-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Over is 5-3 in Detroit’s last eight games.
— Lions held four of last five foes under their team total.
— Panthers won three of last five games, covered six of last eight.
— Darnold is 19-33 as an NFL starter, 2-1 this year.
— LW, Panthers ran ball for 21 yards (185-233 yards/previous 2 games).
— Panthers are 4-1 ATS as a home underdog this season.
— You’re reading armadillosports com
— Carolina has converted only 49-168 (29.2%) third down plays.
— Carolina is 6-12 ATS in last 18 games coming off a loss (4-3 TY).
— Carolina is 5-10 ATS last 15 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Under is 8-5 in last thirteen Panther games.
— Carolina went over its team total in six of last eight games.
— Carolina is 4-2 scoring 22+ points, 1-7 scoring 21 or less.
— Last two games, opponents converted 18-29 on third down.
— Panthers won seven of last nine series games.
— Lions lost last five visits to Charlotte (2-3 ATS)
— Three of last four meetings stayed under the total.
Bengals (10-4) @ Patriots (7-7)
— Cincinnati won/covered last six games (11-1 ATS last 12).
— Cincy is 5-3 SU on road TY, 5-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Bengals are 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road favorite.
— Three of Bengals’ four losses are by 3-3-2 points, all on last-second FG’s.
— Bengals are 9-0 if they score 21+ points, 1-4 if they score 20 or less.
— Cincy converted 68 of last 139 (48.9%) third down plays.
— Bengals won 34-23 in Tampa last week, after trailing 17-0.
— Cincy scored 29 TD’s on their last 77 drives.
— Bengals went over their team total in 8 of last 12 games.
— Cincy is 7-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Three of last four Bengal games stayed under the total.
— Bengals scored 34 points, without any plays of 20+ yards.
— Patriots lost three of their last four games SU.
— Is there hangover effect, given hideous way they lost last week?
— New England is 7-4 ATS in last ten games.
— Patriots’ last seven games: 8 TD’s, 23 FGA’s, 27 3/outs on 77 drives.
— Patriots committed only two turnover in last five games (+3 TO’s)
— New England is 7-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-7 giving up 20+.
— Patriots are 1-5 SU when game goes over the total, 6-2 if it stays under.
— Last five games, Patriots converted 15-61 third down plays (24.6%).
— NE is +8 in turnovers in its wins, minus-4 in losses.
— Patriots are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
— Mac Jones is 15-14 as an NFL starter.
— Five of last seven New England games stayed under the total.
— Patriots won seven of last eight series games.
— Bengals are 0-3 ATS in last three visits to Foxboro.
— Last three meetings went over the total.
Bills (11-3) @ Bears (3-11)
— Bills won their last five games, scoring 27 ppg.
— Buffalo is 1-6-1 ATS since their bye week.
— Buffalo is 11-9 in last 20 games as a road favorite (3-4 TY)
— Last eight games, Buffalo was outscored 98-70 in second half.
— Last four games, Bills converted 26-55 (47.3%) on third down.
— Bills scored 30 TD’s on their last 101 drives.
— Buffalo has 67 plays of 20+ yards (opponents 54)
— 11 of 14 Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Buffalo hasn’t trailed at half since Week 4 (10-1-3 in first half)
— Bills are 18-14 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win (4-6 TY).
— Bills are 11-6 ATS in last 17 games vs NFC teams (1-3 TY).
— Chicago lost seven in row, 10 of last 11 games SU (3-7-1 ATS).
— Last seven games, Chicago gave up 32.3 ppg.
— Opponents scored TD’s on 25 of last 62 drives.
— In Fields’ last five starts, Bears converted 36-67 on third down.
— Fields ran ball 15 times LW, for 95 yards.
— Last 4 games, Bears were held to 160 or fewer rushing yards; not enough.
— Chicago is 9-11 ATS in last 20 games as a home underdog (3-2 TY).
— Bears led at halftime twice this season (2-10-2).
— Chicago is 7-2 ATS last nine games vs AFC teams.
— Over is 8-1-1 in their last ten games.
— Last six games, Bears were outscored 45-0 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Bears won three of last four meetings.
— Bills lost two of last three visits to Chicago.
— Over is 3-2 in last five series games.
Texans (1-12-1) @ Titans (7-7)
— Texans are 0-9 SU since their bye week (3-6 ATS)
— Texans lost close games last two weeks, vs Cowboys/Chiefs.
— Last three weeks, Houston converted 17-37 on third down
— Texans are 6-10 ATS last 16 games as a road dog (3-5 TY)
— Four of Houston’s last five TD drives were less than 50 yards.
— Last three games, Houston was outscored 47-22 in second half.
— Texans were outgained 502-219 by Chiefs LW, but got game to OT.
— Texans are 12-21-1 ATS last 33 games coming off a loss.
— Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Texans averaged less than 6.0 yards/pass attempt in 10 of 14 games.
— Houston is 7-6-1 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
— Texans have five TD’s on last 23 drives (5 on last 48 drives before that).
— QB Tannehill has ankle issue; check status for starter.
— Tennessee lost last four games, scoring 16-10-22-14 points.
— Titans are 0-4 SU since OC got a DUI coming home from road trip.
— Tennessee scored 19 or less points in eight of last ten games.
— Last four weeks, Titans were outscored 50-21 in second half.
— First eight games, Titans ran ball for 142.3 yards/game.
— Last five games, Titans ran ball for 100.4 yards/game.
— Opponents have converted only 59-187 (31.6%) third down plays.
— Tennessee held nine of last 12 foes under their team total.
— Last four years, Titans are 11-11 ATS as a home favorite (2-2 TY)
— Under is 10-4 in Titan games this season.
— Titans are 1-3-1 ATS coming off a loss this season.
— Titans (+1) ran for 314 yards, won 17-10 at Houston in Week 8
— Tennessee won six of last eight series games.
— Titans are 1-7 ATS in last eight visits to Houston.
— Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Seahawks (7-7) @ Chiefs (11-3)
— Seattle is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS last five games, running for 62.6 yards/game.
— Last four games, Seahawks gave up 28.5 ppg.
— Seattle is 6-2 when it allows less than 27 points.
— Last five games, Seattle allowed 16 TD’s on 51 drives.
— Last five games, opponents are 34-67 (50.7%) on 3rd down.
— Last five games, Seattle gave up 201.6 rushing yards/game.
— Last five games, Seattle ran ball for 62 yards/game.
— Seahawks are 12-5-1 ATS last 18 games as a road dog.
— Geno Smith is 20-27 as an NFL starter.
— Seattle is 9-3 ATS in last 12 games vs AFC teams.
— Over is 3-1 in Seattle’s last four games.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.
— Chiefs won nine of last 11 games (4-7 ATS).
— KC trailed at halftime in four of last seven games.
— Chiefs were held under their team total in five of last seven games.
— Chiefs are 9-12 ATS last 21 games as home favorite (2-3 TY).
— Last ten games, Chiefs converted 72-125 (57.6%) third down plays.
— Last five weeks, opponents converted 30-65 (46.2%) third down plays.
— Last seven games, Chiefs are minus-6 in turnovers (7-13)
— Chiefs have 75 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 44.
— Chiefs lost field position battle in eight of last nine games.
— KC is 2-7 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Chiefs allowed 24+ points in four of last five games.
— Chiefs are 7-2 ATS in last nine games vs NFC teams.
— Chiefs won six of last nine meetings.
— Seahawks are 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Arrowhead.
— Last five series games went over the total.
Giants (8-5-1) @ Vikings (11-3)
— Giants are 2-4-1 SU last seven games, after a 6-1 start.
— Last 5 weeks, Giants scored 18-20-20-22-20 points.
— Giants trailed by 10+ points in three of their wins.
— Giants are 10-4 ATS this season, 4-1 as a road underdog.
— Giants are 3-2 SU/4-1 ATS in true road games, losing by 14-8 points.
— Last four games, Big Blue converted 18-60 (30%) on third down.
— Last four games, Giants were outscored 61-35 in 2nd half.
— Under is 9-4-1 in Giants opponents’ team totals this year.
— Under is 9-4-1 in Giant games this season.
— Last five weeks, Giants gave up 185.2 rushing yards/game.
— Giants are 5-3 ATS TY coming off a win.
— Vikings won 10 of their last 12 games SU.
— Vikings had best comeback ever LW; they trailed 33-0 at half, won in OT
— Minnesota is 7-2-1 ATS in last ten games.
— Despite being 11-3, Vikings have outscored foes only 351-349.
— Last two weeks, Vikings were outscored 47-7 in first half.
— Minnesota gave up 30+ points in four of last six games.
— Minnesota is 5-2-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Cousins is 71-64-2 as an NFL starter.
— Last two weeks, Vikings ran ball 41 times for only 114 yards.
— Minnesota is 9-0 when it scores 24+ points, 2-3 when it does not.
— Five of their last six games went over the total.
— Vikings won last three meetings, by 18-14-32 points.
— Giants covered once in last four visits to the Twin Cities.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Commanders (7-6-1) @ 49ers (10-4)
— Washington is 6-2-1 SU/ATS in its last nine games.
— Heinicke is 5-2-1 as Commanders’ QB this season.
— Washington is currently #7 seed in NFC, last playoff spot.
— Last six games, they ran ball for 158.4 yards/game.
— Washington is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five road games.
— Commanders are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Washington is 4-1 when it scores 23+ points, 3-5-1 if they don’t.
— Washington is 7-12-1 ATS last 20 games as an underdog.
— Last three games, Commanders are 12-49 on third down.
— 10 of their last 12 games stayed under the total.
— Opponents stayed under their team total nine of last 12 games.
— 49ers clinched NFC West LW; now they play for playoff seeding.
— Rookie QB Purdy is 62-93/678 passing in last three games.
— San Francisco won its last seven games (6-1 ATS)
— 49ers outscored last six opponents 87-24 in second half.
— 49ers are 7-0 when they score 24+ points, 3-4 when they don’t.
— Last four games, 49ers converted 51-100 (51%) on third down.
— In six post-bye games, 49ers ran ball for 152 yards/game.
— 49ers are 6-1 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— 49ers are +15 in turnovers in their wins, minus-8 in losses.
— RB/WR Deebo Samuel (ankle) is out here.
— Last six games, 49ers allowed six TD’s on 62 drives.
— 49ers won five of last seven meetings.
— Washington is 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits to Santa Clara.
— Five of last six series games stayed under the total.
Eagles (13-1) @ Cowboys (10-4)
— QB Hurts (shoulder) is a ???; Minshew (8-14 as NFL starter) is backup.
— Eagles won last five games, scoring 37 ppg in last four.
— Philly is 7-0 SU on road this year, but 2-5 ATS.
— Eagles are an underdog for first time this season.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 4-6 ATS as an underdog.
— Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Eagle games.
— Eagles have 52 touchdowns on 138 drives this season.
— Last six games, Philly converted 41-84 3rd down plays (48.8%).
— Last five games, Eagle opponents converted 19-62 (30.6%) on 3rd down.
— Philly is 7-4 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Eight of their last 16 TD’s came on plays of 27+ yards.
— Last three games, Eagles have 26 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 14).
— Cowboys won 10 of their last 13 games (8-5 ATS).
— Cowboys blew 27-10 lead in LW’s OT loss at Jaguars.
— Last seven games, Dallas scored 32 TD’s on 75 drives.
— Last nine games, Dallas ran ball for 163.9 yards/game.
— Dallas gained 397+ TY in each of their last seven games.
— Cowboys are 9-5 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite (4-2 TY)
— Dallas is 13-4 ATS last 17 NFC East home games.
— Last 4 games, Cowboys have 23 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 14)
— Dallas is +11 in turnovers in its wins, minus-2 in losses.
— Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.
— Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in last eight games coming off a loss.
— Eagles were +3 in turnovers, beat Dallas 26-17 at home in Week 6.
— Cowboys won six of last nine series games.
— Philly is 1-5 ATS in last six visits to Dallas.
— Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Raiders (6-8) @ Steelers (6-8)
— Las Vegas won four of last five games, with two wins in OT.
— They won LW on a bizarre defensive TD on last play of game.
— Last three weeks, Raiders converted only 13-40 on third down.
— Raiders are 6-9 ATS last 15 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Raiders are 3-6 SU in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.
— Las Vegas led 17-0 in three of their seven losses.
— LW was 4th time TY Raiders blew a double digit lead in 2nd half.
— Last 13 games, Las Vegas’ opponent is 9-3-1 against its team total.
— Las Vegas is 12-9 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win (3-2 TY).
— Over is 8-5 in last thirteen Raider games.
— Derek Carr is 63-79 as an NFL starter.
— Last two games, Raiders converted 13-37 (35.1%) third down plays.
— Rookie QB Pickett (4-5 as starter) is expected to return here.
— Pittsburgh is 4-2 since its bye week, with +6 turnover ratio.
— Steelers have no turnovers (+10) in their wins, 17 (-11) in losses.
— Steelers are 9-5 ATS last 14 games with spread of 3 or less.
— In six post-bye games, Steelers converted 46-84 (54.8%) on third down
— In six post-bye games, opponents are 20-67 (29.9%) on third down
— Steelers are 4-9 ATS last 13 games coming off a win.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.
— Last six games, Steelers have 19 plays of 20+ yards (21 in first 8 games).
— Pittsburgh has been outscored 142-95 in 2nd half of games.
— Steelers held last four opponents under their team total.
— Las Vegas won six of last eight series games.
— Raiders covered three of last four visits to Pittsburgh.
— Three of last four meetings stayed under the total.
— This is the 50th anniversary of the Immaculate Reception game.
Sunday’s games
Packers (6-8) @ Dolphins (8-6)
— Short week for Green Bay after their win Monday night.
— Packers lost seven of their last ten games SU.
— Packers are 12-3 ATS last 15 games as an underdog (3-1 TY).
— Green Bay went over its team total in four of last five games.
— Last six games, Green Bay was outscored 109-67 in first half.
— Packers are 11-8-1 ATS last 20 games vs AFC teams (1-3 TY)
— Last four games, opponents converted 25-50 on third down.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.
— Green Bay is 2-7 when they run ball for less than 175 yards.
— Last three games, Packers allowed 196.7 rushing yards/game.
— Packers led at halftime once in last seven games.
— Dolphins lost their last three games, after a 5-0 streak.
— Miami is 5-1 SU at home this year, 3-1 ATS as home favorite.
— Dolphins are 12-4-2 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
— Miami is 5-2 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Dolphins are 7-1 if they score more than 17 points.
— Last three games, Dolphins are 8-32 on third down.
— Last three games, opponents are 25-51 on third down.
— Dolphins are 2-2 SU/0-3-1 ATS this season vs NFC teams.
— Miami is +7 in turnovers in its wins, minus-9 in losses.
— Five of last seven Dolphin games went over the total.
— Dolphins are 3-8 ATS in last eleven games coming off a loss.
— Tagovailoa is 21-12 as an NFL starter.
— Green Bay won four of last five series games.
— Packers won 27-24/34-24 in last two visits to Miami.
— Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Broncos (4-10) @ Rams (4-10)
— Denver lost nine of their last 11 games (4-6-1 ATS)
— Check status whether Wilson/Rypien starts at QB.
— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in 10 of 14 games.
— Broncos are 5-9 ATS last 14 games coming off a win.
— Broncos scored 7 TD’s last 2 weeks (had total of 3 in previous 4 games)
— Broncos allowed 9-10-17-15 points in their four wins.
— Last two games, Denver scored TD’s on all six red zone drives.
— Last six games, Broncos are 48-181 (26.5%) on third down.
— Denver is 0-6 SU in true road games TY; they won game in England.
— 11 of 14 Denver games stayed under the total.
— Denver lost field position six of last seven games.
— Broncos are 5-8 ATS last 13 games as road favorite (0-2 TY)
— Short week for Rams after Monday night’s loss in Green Bay.
— Mayfield is 4th QB to start for Rams this year.
— Rams lost nine of last 11 games SU (3-8 ATS).
— Rams are 3-2 scoring 20+ points, 1-8 when they score less.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 135-52 in second half.
— Last seven games, Rams converted 29-88 (33.0%) on third down.
— Rams stayed under their team total 10 of last 12 games.
— Under McVay, Rams are 3-4 ATS as a home dog (2-2 TY).
— Rams are 5-8 ATS last 13 games coming off a loss.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Rams have eight takeaways in last four games (one in previous seven).
— Rams won five of last six meetings.
— Broncos lost last three visits to St Louis, by 15-8-5 points.
— Last road series game for Broncos was in 2014.
— Underdogs covered last six meetings.
Buccaneers (6-8) @ Cardinals (4-10)
— Despite being 6-8, Tampa Bay is in first place in AFC South.
— Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in its last nine games.
— Bucs led 17-0 at home LW, lost 34-23 to Bengals.
— Buccaneers are 1-10-1 ATS in their last dozen games.
— Buccaneers are 5-8 ATS last 13 games as road favorite (2-3 TY)
— Tampa Bay is 6-1 allowing less than 20 points, 0-7 giving up 20+.
— Tampa Bay is 0-4 SU/ATS in last four road games.
— Bucs turned ball over nine times in last three games (minus-7 TO’s)
— Tampa Bay is 0-6-1 ATS this year coming off a loss.
— 10 of 14 Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— Bucs were held under 100 yards rushing in 12 of last 13 games.
— Last four games, Tampa Bay lost field position by 12-5-10-9-26 yards.
— McCoy (concussion) is a ??; McSorley is #3 QB, Blough #4.
— McSorley has thrown 39 NFL passes; this would be his 1st start.
— Blough was 0-5 as a starter for the 2019 Lions.
— Cardinals lost four in row, eight of their last ten games SU.
— Arizona was outscored in 2nd half in each of last nine games.
— Last nine games, Arizona was outscored 155-76 in 2nd half.
— Cardinals lost field position battle in nine of last ten games.
— Arizona is 1-10 SU when it scores less than 29 points.
— Cardinals trailed at halftime in nine of their 14 games.
— Last two games, Arizona converted 6-26 third down plays.
— Under Kingsbury, Arizona is 8-8 ATS as a home dog (2-3 TY).
— Cardinals outscored opponents 66-36 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Seven of last eight Arizona games went over the total.
— Cardinals won three of last four meetings SU.
— Teams haven’t met since 2019.
— Buccaneers lost three of last four visits to Arizona.
— Over is 3-2 in last five series games.
Monday’s game
Chargers (8-6) @ Colts (4-9-1)
— Chargers are 4-3 SU in last seven games (wins by 1-3-6-3 points).
— Bolts gained 432-365 last two games, with WR’s Allen/Williams back.
— Chargers are 7-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 if they give up 27+.
— Last seven games, Chargers converted 46-106 on third down (43.4%)
— Chargers have been outscored 175-109 in second half.
— Bolts ran ball for 91 or fewer yards in 12 of 14 games.
— Coming into week, Chargers are #6-seed in AFC.
— Chargers are +6 in turnovers in their wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Chargers are 5-8-2 ATS last 15 games coming off a win
— Under is 5-2 in Bolts’ last seven games.
— Herbert is 23-23 as an NFL starter
— Chargers are 4-3 SU on road TY, 2-3 ATS as road favorite.
— Bolts are 6-10-1 ATS in last 17 games as a road favorite.
— Colts led 33-0 LW but lost, biggest comeback in NFL history.
— Colts lost seven of their last eight games SU.
— Last two games, Colts were outscored 72-9 in 2nd half/OT. 72 to 9.
— Colts are 3-1-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-8 if they score less.
— Underdogs covered 10 of their 14 games.
— Colts went under their team total in 10 of 14 games TY.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.
— Colts are 6-8 ATS last 14 games as home underdog (2-0 ATS).
— Indy is 2-4 ATS this year, coming off a loss.
— Last four games, Colts converted 18-59 (30.5%) third down plays.
— Indy lost LW, despite blocking punt for TD, having a pick-6.
— Chargers won seven of last nine games against the Colts.
— Teams haven’t met since 2019.
— Bolts won three of last four visits to Indianapolis.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.