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Udog

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Sunday’s games
Falcons (5-8) @ Saints (4-9)

— Rookie QB Ridder gets 1st NFL start; newly-signed Woodside is backup.
— Woodside comes from Tennessee; he knows Smith’s offense.
— Falcons lost four of last five games SU, are 0-7 ATS in last seven.
— Five of their last six games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Underdogs are 8-4-1 ATS in their games TY.
— Atlanta is 11-8 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog.
— Last four games, Falcons converted 12-40 third down plays.
— Last 12 opponents converted 78-160 (48.8%) third down plays.
— Falcons are 14-13 ATS last 27 games coming off a loss (3-4 TY).
— Last 11 games, Falcons ran ball for 161.9 yards/game.
— Atlanta is 8-3 ATS in last eleven post-bye games.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

— Saints lost four of last five games, scoring 13.4 ppg.
— NO is 7-5 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite (2-0 TY)
— Saints are 4-3 scoring 24+ points, 0-6 when they score less.
— Saints have three takeaways last seven games; their turnover ratio: minus-13.
— Last 3 games, Saints won field position, by 11-4-10 yards.
— New Orleans is 10-3 SU last 13 post-bye games; 0-3 ATS last three.
— Saints have been outscored 77-28 in last 2:00 of each half.
— New Orleans held last five opponents under 6.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Five of last six New Orleans games stayed under the total.
— Last four games, Saints are 19-59 (32.2%) on third down.
— Saints are 13-9 ATS last 22 NFC South home games (0-1 TY).

— Saints (-5) won 27-26 in Atlanta way back in Week 1.
— Saints won seven of last nine meetings.
— Falcons are 4-7 ATS in last 11 visits to New Orleans.
— Last three series games went over the total.

Lions (6-7) @ Jets (7-6)
— Detroit won five of its last six games (6-0 ATS).
— Lions scored 31-31-25-40-34 points last five games.
— Detroit scored 23 TD’s on its last 61 drives.
— Last five games, Lions are +9 in turnovers (12-3)
— Last five games, Detroit converted 42-86 (48.8%) third down plays.
— Last five games, Detroit foes converted 41-85 (48.2%) on 3rd down.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 9-20-1 SU, 20-9-1 ATS.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 6-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 7-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Over is 5-2 in Detroit’s last seven games.
— Lions are 5-3-1 ATS last nine games vs AFC opponents.

— Jets are 2-4 in their last six games, after a 5-2 start.
— Despite that, Jets are 7-3 ATS in their last ten games.
— Jets are 6-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 20.
— Jets scored 36 points on their last 11 red zone drives.
— Jets won three of their last four home games SU.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 4-3 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Six of last eight Jet games stayed under the total.
— Jets are 4-8 ATS in last 12 games vs NFC opponents.
— Jets held eight of last ten opponents under their team total.
— Jets are 5-0 ATS this season, coming off a loss.
— In White’s three starts, Jets are 18-45 (40%) on third down.

— Jets won four of last five meetings.
— Lions won two of last three games vs Jets in New Jersey.
— Four of last five series games went over the total.

Chiefs (10-3) @ Texans (1-11-1)
— Chiefs won eight of last ten games (4-6 ATS).
— Chiefs were held under their team total in four of last six games.
— Chiefs are 14-14-1 ATS last 29 games as a road favorite (3-4 TY).
— Last nine games, Chiefs converted 66-112 (58.9%) third down plays.
— Last four weeks, opponents converted 26-55 (47.3%) third down plays.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Last six games, Chiefs are minus-5 in turnovers (6-11)
— Chiefs have 70 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 43.
— Chiefs lost field position battle in seven of last eight games.
— KC is 2-6 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Chiefs allowed 27+ points in three of last four games.

— Texans are 0-8 SU since their bye week (2-6 ATS)
— Texans are 3-10 ATS in last 13 games, 1-4 in last five.
— Last two weeks, Houston converted 13-27 on third down
— Texans used two QB’s last week; they led late in game at Dallas.
— Houston’s two TD drives last week were only 27-24 yards.
— Last two games, Houston was outscored 30-12 in second half.
— Texans have had 2+ turnovers in each of last six games (minus-8 TO’s)
— Texans are 11-21-1 ATS last 33 games coming off a loss.
— Five of their last seven games stayed under the total.
— Texans averaged less than 6.0 yards/pass attempt in 9 of 13 games.
— Houston is 7-6-1 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
— Texans have only seven TD’s on their last 61 drives.

— Kansas City won five of last seven meetings.
— Chiefs are 4-2-1 ATS in last seven visits to Houston.
— Over is 3-0-1 in last four meetings.

Eagles (11-1) @ Bears (3-10)
— Eagles won last four games, scoring 40-35-48 points in last three.
— Philly is 6-0 SU on road this year, but 2-4 ATS.
— Eagles are 4-9 ATS last 13 games as a road favorite.
— Last three Eagle games went over the total.
— Eagles have 49 touchdowns on 127 drives this season.
— Last five games, Philly converted 32-68 3rd down plays (47.1%).
— Last three games, Eagle opponents converted 14-49 (28.6%) on 3rd down.
— Philly is 7-3 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Seven of their last 13 TD’s came on plays of 29+ yards.
— Last three games, Eagles have 19 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 10).
— 3rd-year QB Hurts is 21-12 as an NFL starter.

— Check status on who plays QB for Chicago.
— Chicago lost six in row, nine of last ten games SU (2-7-1 ATS).
— Last six games, Chicago gave up 33.5 ppg.
— Opponents scored TD’s on 22 of last 51 drives.
— in Fields’ last four starts, Bears converted 31-54 on third down.
— Last three games, Bears were held to 160-127-155 rushing yards; not enough.
— Chicago is 8-11 ATS in last 19 games as a home underdog (2-2 TY).
— Bears led at halftime twice this season (2-9-2).
— Chicago is 1-7 ATS last eight post-bye games.
— Eight of their last nine games went over the total.
— Fields ran ball only six times in his last game.

— Philadelphia won/covered last five series games.
— Teams last met in 2019.
— Eagles covered three of last four visits to Chicago.
— Last three meetings stayed under the total.

Steelers (5-8) @ Panthers (5-8)
— Pittsburgh is 3-2 since its bye week, with +6 turnover ratio.
— Steelers have no turnovers (+10) in their wins, 17 (-11) in losses.
— Steelers are 8-5 ATS last 13 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last two games, Pittsburgh allowed 146-215 rushing yards.
— In five post-bye games, Steelers converted 34-68 on third down
— Pittsburgh covered three of its last four road games.
— Steelers are 11-13 ATS last 24 games coming off a loss.
— Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Pittsburgh is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games vs NFC teams.
— Last five games, Steelers have 19 plays of 20+ yards (21 in first 8 games).
— Pittsburgh has been outscored 133-85 in 2nd half of games.
— Pickett got hurt LW; check status whether he or Trubisky starts,.

— Panthers won three of last four games, covered six of last seven.
— QB Darnold won his first two ’22 starts; he is 19-32 as an NFL starter.
— Last two games, Panthers ran ball for 185-233 yards.
— Panthers are 5-7 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog (3-3 TY).
— You’re reading armadillosports com
— Carolina has converted only 45-157 (28.7%) third down plays.
— Carolina is 10-8 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Carolina is 5-9 ATS last 14 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Eight of last 12 Panther games stayed under the total.
— Carolina went over its team total in six of last seven games.
— In Weeks 9-10, Carolina was outscored 49-0 in first half.
— Four games since then, Carolina outscored foes 43-23 in first half.

— Steelers won/covered last five series games.
— Pittsburgh won 37-19/37-3 in last two visits to Charlotte.
— Four of last five meetings went over the total.

Cowboys (10-3) @ Jaguars (5-8)
— Cowboys won 10 of their last 12 games (8-4 ATS).
— Cowboys are 0-2 SU on natural grass this season.
— Last five games, Dallas scored 31 TD’s on 73 drives.
— Last eight games, Dallas ran ball for 165.1 yards/game.
— Dallas gained 404+ TY in each of their last six games.
— Last ten games, Cowboys outscored foes 173-54 in second half.
— Dallas is 6-1 ATS last seven games as a road favorite (1-1 TY).
— Cowboys are 15-12-1 ATS in last 28 games vs AFC teams.
— Dallas is +11 in turnovers in its wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
— Cowboys are 11-7 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.

— Jacksonville is 3-2 SU in last five games after a 2-6 start.
— Jaguars are 2-6 in one-score games (decided by 8 or less points).
— Last four games, Jaguars are +7 in turnovers (9-2)
— Jaguars are 3-0 ATS this season as a home underdog.
— In his career, Pederson is 11-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last four games, Jaguars converted 17-52 on third down.
— Last four games, opponents converted 28-46 on third down.
— Jaguars are 6-11 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
— Last four games, Jacksonville gave up 425.5 yards/game.
— Last four years, Jaguars are 2-15 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Four of their last five games went over.

— Underdogs covered five of last six Cowboy-Jaguar games.
— Dallas won last two meetings, 40-7/31-7
— Last five series games went over the total.

Cardinals (4-9) @ Broncos (3-10)
— Kyler Murray tore his ACL Monday, is out for the year.
— Colt McCoy is 11-24 as an NFL starter; Trace McSorley is his backup.
— Short week for Arizona after Monday night’s loss.
— Cardinals lost seven of their last nine games SU.
— Arizona was outscored in 2nd half in each of its last 8 games.
— Cardinals lost field position battle in eight of last nine games.
— Last seven games, Arizona was outscored 117-67 in 2nd half.
— Arizona is 1-9 SU when it scores less than 29 points.
— Cardinals trailed at halftime in nine of their 13 games.
— Last three games, Arizona converted 22-42 third down plays (52.4%).
— Under Kingsbury, Arizona is 16-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Cardinals outscored opponents 63-36 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Six of last seven Arizona games went over the total.
— Under Kingsbury, Cardinals are 10-7 ATS vs AFC opponents.

— Denver lost five in row, nine of their last ten games (3-6-1 ATS)
— QB Wilson had concussion LW, check status (Rypien is backup)
— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in 10 of 13 games.
— Last ten games, Denver was outscored 96-57 in second half.
— Broncos scored 4 TD’s last week (had total of 3 in previous 4 games)
— Broncos allowed 9-10-17 points in their three wins.
— Last five games, Denver got into red zone on only 7 of 57 drives.
— Last six games, Broncos are 44-170 (25.9%) on third down.
— Denver is 6-15-2 ATS last 23 games as home favorite (0-3 TY).
— 11 of 13 Denver games stayed under the total.
— Denver lost field position six of last seven games.
— Broncos are 6-10-1 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.

— Broncos won five of last six series games.
— Cardinals lost 41-20/37-7 in last two visits to Denver.
— Last six series games went over the total.

Patriots (7-6) @ Raiders (5-8)
— Patriots stayed out west this week, after Monday game in Arizona.
— New England won six of its last nine games SU (7-3 ATS last ten).
— Patriots’ last six games: 7 TD’s, 20 FGA’s, 24 3/outs on 66 drives.
— Patriots committed only one turnover in last four games (+3 TO’s)
— New England is 7-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-6 giving up 20+.
— Patriots are 1-4 SU when game goes over the total, 6-2 if it stays under.
— Last four games, Patriots converted 13-48 third down plays.
— NE is +8 in turnovers in its wins, minus-4 in losses.
— Patriots are 8-6 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
— Mac Jones is 15-13 as an NFL starter.
— Five of last six New England games stayed under the total.

— McDaniels was a New England assistant for 18 years.
— Las Vegas won three of last four games, with two wins in OT.
— Last three weeks, Raiders ran ball for 207.3 yards/game.
— Raiders are 3-2 SU at home TY, 6-7 ATS last 13 home games.
— Las Vegas is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Raiders are 2-6 SU in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.
— Las Vegas led 17-0 in three of their seven losses.
— Last 12 games, Las Vegas’ opponent is 8-3-1 against its team total.
— Las Vegas is 7-14 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven Raider games.
— Derek Carr is 62-79 as an NFL starter.
— Last two games, Raiders converted 8-23 third down plays.

— New England won last six series games (5-1 ATS)
— Patriots won/covered their last three visits to Oakland.
— This is their first visit to Las Vegas.
— Three of last four meetings stayed under the total.

Titans (7-6) @ Chargers (7-6)
— Titans fired their GM last week, despite being in first place.
— Tennessee lost last three games, scoring 16-10-22 points.
— Titans are 0-3 SU since OC got a DUI coming home from road trip.
— Tennessee scored 19 or less points in seven of last nine games.
— Last three weeks, Titans were outscored 40-14 in second half.
— First eight games, Titans ran ball for 142.3 yards/game.
— Last four games, Titans ran ball for 93.8 yards/game.
— Opponents have converted only 55-174 (31.6%) third down plays.
— Tennessee held eight of last 11 foes under their team total.
— Titans are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog (4-2 TY)
— Three of last four Titan games went over the total.
— Titans are 1-3 ATS coming off a loss this season.

— Chargers split their last six games SU (wins by 1-3-6 points).
— Bolts gained 432 TY LW with WR’s Allen/Williams back in lineup.
— Chargers are 6-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 if they give up 27+.
— Last six games, Chargers converted 42-93 on third down (45.2%)
— Chargers have been outscored 168-99 in second half.
— Bolts ran ball for 91 or fewer yards in 11 of 13 games.
— Last five games, Chargers were outscored 63-31 in second half.
— Chargers are +7 in turnovers in their wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Chargers are 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games coming off a win
— Under is 4-2 in Bolts’ last six games.
— Herbert is 22-23 as an NFL starter

— Teams split last four series games (last one was in 2019)
— Titans are 1-6 ATS in last seven road series games.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings

Bengals (9-4) @ Buccaneers (6-7)
— Cincinnati won/covered last five games (10-1 ATS last 11).
— Cincy is 4-3 SU on road TY, 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Bengals are 12-7 ATS last 19 games as a road favorite.
— Three of Bengals’ four losses are by 3-3-2 points, all on last-second FG’s.
— Bengals are 1-4 scoring 20 or less points, 8-0 if they score 21+ points.
— Cincy converted 63 of last 126 (50%) third down plays.
— Bengals are 7-5-1 ATS last 13 games vs NFC teams.
— Cincy scored 25 TD’s on their last 66 drives.
— Bengals went over their team total in 7 of last 11 games.
— Cincy is 6-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Last three Bengal games stayed under the total.

— Despite being 6-7, Tampa Bay is in first place in AFC South.
— Tampa Bay is 3-5 SU in its last eight games.
— Last two weeks, Tampa Bay was outscored 38-3 in first half.
— Buccaneers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last eleven games.
— Tampa Bay is 6-1 allowing less than 20 points, 0-6 giving up 20+.
— Tampa Bay is 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home underdog.
— Bucs turned ball over five in last two games (minus-4 TO’s)
— Tampa Bay is 0-5-1 ATS this year coming off a loss.
— 10 of 13 Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— Bucs were held under 100 yards rushing in 11 of last 12 games.
— Last four games, Tampa Bay lost field position by 12-5-10-9 yards.

— Cincinnati won last two games with the Bucs, 37-34/14-13
— Underdogs covered Bengals’ last three visits to Tampa.
— Over is 3-2 in last five series games.

Giants (7-5-1) @ Commanders (7-5-1)
— Giants are 1-4-1 SU last six games, after a 6-1 start.
— Giants are 5-1 scoring 21+ points, 2-4-1 scoring 20 or less.
— Giants trailed by 10+ points in three of their wins.
— Giants are 9-4 ATS this season, 3-1 as a road underdog.
— Giants are 2-2 SU/3-1 ATS in true road games, losing by 14-8 points.
— Last four games, Big Blue converted 16-50 (32%) on third down.
— Giants went over their team total seven of last nine games.
— Under is 8-4-1 in Giants opponents’ team totals this year.
— Three of last four Giant games went over the total.
— Last four weeks, Giants gave up 160-189-165-253 rushing yards.
— Last four games, Barkley was held to 152 yards on 55 carries.

— Washington is 6-1-1 SU/ATS in its last eight games.
— Heinicke is 5-1-1 as Commanders’ QB this season.
— Last eight games, Washington is +7 in turnovers (minus-7 in first five)
— Last five games, they ran ball for 158.4 yards/game.
— Washington is 4-1 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Commanders are 3-11 ATS in its last 14 post-bye games.
— Washington is 5-7 last 12 games as a home favorite (1-1 ATS)
— Nine of their last eleven games stayed under the total.
— Opponents stayed under their team total nine of last eleven games.
— Washington is 6-13 ATS last 19 NFC East home games.
— Last three games, Commanders are 11-39 on third down.

— These teams tied 20-20 in Swamp Stadium two weeks ago.
— Washington outgained Giants 411-316 in that game.
— Giants are 7-2 ATS in last nine visits here.
— Five of last six meetings stayed under the total.

Monday’s game
Rams (4-9) @ Packers (5-8)

— Mayfield will be 4th QB to start for Rams this year.
— Rams lost eight of last 10 games SU (3-7 ATS).
— Rams are 1-3-1 ATS on the road this season.
— This is Rams’ 4th game outdoors TY (scored 9-13-10 in first three)
— Rams are 3-2 scoring 20+ points, 1-7 when they score less.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 121-46 in second half.
— Last six games, Rams converted 25-77 (32.5%) on third down.
— Rams stayed under their team total nine of last eleven games.
— Under McVay, Rams are 7-6-2 ATS as a road dog (0-3-1 TY).
— Rams are 19-23-1 ATS last 43 games coming off a win.
— Under is 4-1 in their road games this season.
— Rams have six takeaways in last three games (one in previous seven).

— Packers lost seven of their last nine games SU.
— Packers are 1-3 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— Green Bay went over its team total in three of last four games.
— Last six games, Green Bay was outscored 103-57 in first half.
— Last two games, Packers gave up 518 rushing yards.
— Last three games, opponents converted 21-39 on third down.
— Under is 4-2 in Packers’ true road games this season.
— Green Bay is 1-7 when they run ball for less than 190 yards.
— Over is 4-0 in last four Packer games.
— Green Bay is 2-4-1 ATS in last seven post-bye games.
— Packers haven’t led at halftime since Week 7.

— Packers won seven of last eight series games.
— Rams are 0-5-1 ATS in last six visits to Lambeau.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
 

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NFL Betting Trends - Week 15
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, December 15

San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks (Amazon Prime, 8:15 p.m.)

Seahawks were a thorny foe for 49ers in the Russell Wilson years, but not with Geno Smith in first meeting this season when SF won and covered 27-7.
Niners have now won six straight, covered last four and five of six, this season, and on 18-7 spread uptick since mid 2021.
Meanwhile Seattle now on 4-game spread skid after Panthers loss.

Tech Play: Niners


Saturday, December 17

Indianapolis Colts vs. Minnesota Vikings (NFL Network, 1:00 p.m.)

Colts no covers last two or five of last seven this season, also “under” 14-4 since late 2021 (though “over” last two).
Vikes 10-3 SU but only 6-6-1 vs. line in 2021, also “over” three in a row.

Tech Play: Under

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns (NFL Network, 4:30 p.m.)

Ravens have covered three straight at Cleveland.
Balt 5-2 SU and vs. spread away this season, also “under” 8-2 last ten in 2022.
Browns now “under” three straight in 2022, including both with Deshaun Watson back at QB.

Tech Play: Ravens, Under

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills (NFL Network, 8:15 p.m.)

Dolphins won first meeting back on Sept 19 but trips to Buffalo have been harsh on Dolphins for years, they’re 1-9 SU and 2-8 vs. spread last ten at Orchard Park.
Last two Dolphins wins at Buffalo since 2011 have also both been with long-since departed Matt Moore at QB.
Miami now 0-5-1 vs. spread last six away this season.
Bills “under” 10-3 in 2022.

Tech Play: Bills, Under


Sunday, December 18

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Chicago Bears (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

Birds 6-0 SU on road this season (though only 2-4 vs. line away, even after Giants win last week).
Philly also now “over” 7-1 last eight after romping past G-Men last Sunday.
Bears no covers last four this season, also “over” seven In a row.

Tech Play: Eagles, Over

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Chiefs have only covered three of last nine this season after another spread L last week in Denver, also no covers last three on road.
KC also “under” 9-5 since late 2021.
Texans 1-4 vs. spread last five, 2-6 last eight after near-miss vs. Dallas last week.
Lovie Smith also “under” 4-1 last five in 2022.

Tech Play: Under

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Carolina Panthers (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Mike Tomlin 4-4-1 in once-profitable dog role this season.
Steel also “under” 10-5 in reg season since late 2021.
Panthers 4-3 SU last seven, covers last four and six of last seven for Steve Wilks this season.
Carolina also “under” 5-1 last six at Charlotte in 2022.

Tech Play: Panthers, Under

Detroit Lions vs. New York Jets (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Hot Lions have won five of last six outright, covered last six, 6-0-1 last seven vs. spread.
Also now “over” 11-4 since late 2021.
Dan Campbell 20-9-1 vs. spread since last season.
Jets now two straight Ls for first time this season, also “under” 5-2 last seven in 2022.

Tech Play: Lions, Over

Dallas Cowboys vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

Cowboys “over” 5-1 last six this season after Texans game, and Dallas still 8- 4 last 12 vs. line in 2022 even after non-cover vs. Houston.
Jags have now won and covered three of last five this season, also “over” last three in 2022.

Tech Play: Over

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

Saints won but couldn’t cover opener, though NO has now won five of last six meetings outright.
NO 4-3 vs. line at home this season, also “under” 5-1 last six after “overs” in previous four.
Falcons on 1-6 spread tailspin, also “under” 5-1 last six this season.

Tech Play: Saints, Under

Arizona Cardinals vs. Denver Broncos (FOX, 4:05 p.m.)

Broncos caught a rare “over” last week but still “under” 11-2 this season and 23-7 “under” since Vic Fangio’s last ride in 2021.
Denver has covered two straight for first time this season, however. Cards 3-2 vs. line away this season, 11-3 vs. spread as visitor in reg season since 2021.
Arizona “over” 5-1-1 last seven even after Patriots game landed "under" on Monday night.

Tech Play: Cardinals, Under

New England Patriots vs. Las Vegas Raiders (FOX, 4:05 p.m.)

Belichick had dropped two straight vs. number this season after having covered six of seven previous seven, all prior to win at Arizona on Monday.
Pats also “under” 5-1 after Monday, and 4-1-1 vs. spread away this season.
Raiders 3-2 vs. spread at home in 2022, also on 5-2 “under” run after Rams game last Thursday.

Tech Play: Patriots, Under

Tennessee Titans vs. Los Angeles Chargers (CBS, 4:25 p.m.)

Titans have lost and failed to cover last three this season after eight game spread win streak.
Tenn also “over” 3-1 last four after six straight “unders” previous, and 10-6 as road dog since late 2019.
Chargers on 4-1-1 “under” run after Miami result.

Tech Play: Titans, Under

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (CBS, 4:25 p.m.)

After win over Browns, Bengals have won and covered five straight this season, 18-3 vs number since late last season.
Cincy also “under” last three in 2022 and “under” 13-4-1 since late 2021.
Bucs “over” last week vs. Niners but were “under” 10-2 previously this season.
Brady also on 1-9-1 spread skid.

Tech Play: Bengals, Under

New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)

Teams played to draw two weeks ago (NY cover) at MetLife.
G-Men, however, are winless last four SU (0-3-1) in 2022 and 1-4-1 SU last six vs. spread this season.
NY started this campaign on 7-1-1 under” run but now “over” 3-0-1 last four.
Wash 6-1-1 SU and vs. spread last eight this season, also “under” 10-4-1 since late 2021.

Tech Play: Commanders, Under


Monday, December 19

Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers (ESPN, 8:15 p.m.)

Pack has won and covered at home last two years vs. Rams, part of Aaron Rodgers' seven straight covers vs. LA.
Rams 0-3-1 vs. spread last four away this season, now on back-to-back spread covers first time in 2022 but still just 4-8-1 vs. line this season and 4-10-1 back to late 2021.
LA also on 10-5 “under” run after Raiders result.
GB only 2-4 vs. spread at Lambeau in 2022, also working on four straight “over” results.

Tech Play: Packers
 

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NFL
Weather Report

Week 15


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The Niners are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in five of San Francisco's last seven games.
The Niners are 6-0 SU in their last six games.
The Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Seattle's last five games.
The total has gone OVER in six of Seattle's last nine games against San Francisco.
The total has gone OVER in six of Seattle's last nine home games.
The Niners are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 matchups against Seattle.
The Niners are 3-15 SU in their last 18 games against Seattle.
The Niners are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.
The Niners are 1-10 SU in their last 11 road games against Seattle.
 

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DECEMBER'S BEST BETS !

DATE................................... W - L.................................%............... .........................UNITS

12/15/2022......................1-1-0.................................50.00%.............................- 0.50
12/11/2022......................5-9-0.................................35.71%.......... ..................- 24.50
12/08/2022......................2-0-0..............................100.00%............ ................+ 10.00
12/05/2022......................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ ..................- 0.50
12-04-2022......................8-9-0...............................47.05%............ ..................- 9.50
12-01-2022......................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ ...................- 0.50

TOTALS.......................18-21-0..............................46.15%............. .................- 25.50

************************************************** **************

SEPT'S BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
OCT'S BEST BETS
Totals..................40-42-1.................48.78%.................- 30.50
NOV'S BEST BETS
Totals..................42-29-4..................59.15%................+ 36.00
 

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Weather Report

Week 15


1haXBZf.png





The Dolphins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Miami's last six games.
The Dolphins are 5-2 SU in their last seven games.
The Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in nine of Buffalo's last 11 games.
The Bills are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Buffalo's last 15 games against Miami.
The Bills are 9-1 SU in their last 10 home games.
The Dolphins are 1-7 SU in their last eight games against Buffalo.
The Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.
 

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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 17
IND at MIN01:00 PMIND +3.5
U 47.0
+500 +500
BAL at CLE04:30 PMCLE -3.0
U 38.5
+500 +500
MIA at BUF08:15 PMBUF -7.0
O 43.0
+500 +500
 

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DECEMBER'S BEST BETS !

DATE........................... W - L.................................%............... ...................UNITS

12/17/2022.....................4-2-0..............................66.67%.......... .................+ 9.00
12/12/2022.....................0-2-0..............................00.00%.......... ................- 11.00
12/11/2022.....................5-9-0...............................35.71%.......... ................- 24.50
12/08/2022.....................2-0-0..............................100.00%............ ............+ 10.00
12/05/2022.....................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ ................- 0.50
12-04-2022.....................8-9-0...............................47.05%............ ................- 9.50
12-01-2022.....................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ ................- 0.50

TOTALS......................21-24-0...............................46.66%............. .............- 27.00

************************************************** **************

SEPT'S BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
OCT'S BEST BETS
Totals..................40-42-1.................48.78%.................- 30.50
NOV'S BEST BETS
Totals..................42-29-4..................59.15%................+ 36.00
 

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Vikings 39, Colts 36 OT
Colts led this game 33-0 at halftime. 33. Nothing.
This is biggest comeback win in NFL history.
Matt Ryan is now losing QB in biggest comebacks in regular season/Super Bowl history.
Colts blocked punt for TD, also had a pick-6 in first half.

Colts lost six of their last seven games SU.
Underdogs covered 10 of their 14 games.
Colts are 8-4 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
Colts are 23-10-1 ATS in last 34 games vs NFC opponents.

Vikings in first half: 24 plays, 91 yards, 3 first downs, no points.
Vikings in 2nd half/OT: 60 plays, 499 yards, 29 first downs, 39 points.
Dalvin Cook had 95 rushing yards, 95 receiving yards.
Vikings won 10 of their last 12 games SU- they clinched NFC North.

Browns 13, Ravens 3
Browns win Deshaun Watson’s home debut in Cleveland.
Watson’s first three starts TY: 2 offensive TD’s on 28 drives (12 3/outs).
Browns are 6-3 giving up 24 or less points, 0-5 giving up more than 24.
Cleveland is 4-3 in its last seven games after a 2-5 start.

Baltimore had two empty trips to red zone, averaged 3.8 yards/pass attempt.
Nine of Ravens’ last eleven games stayed under the total.
Last three weeks, Ravens converted 12-38 on 3rd down.
Ravens’ loss puts Cincinnati atop the AFC North.

Bills 32, Dolphins 29
Dolphins lost their last three games, after a 5-0 streak.
4th quarter of this game was played in snowy conditions.
Mostert ran ball for 136 yards (8 yards/carry).
Bills converted 8-14 on third down, Miami 5-14.

Buffalo drove 86 yards, kicked game-winning FG at the gun.
Bills clinch their fourth straight playoff berth.
Bills won their last five games, scoring 27 ppg.
Buffalo is 1-6-1 ATS since their bye week.
 
Last edited:

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Weather Report

Week 15


NTTmSvO.png







The Titans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in seven of Tennessee's last ten games.
The Titans are 2-4 SU in their last six games.
The Chargers are 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the Chargers' last six games.
The total has gone OVER in seven of the Chargers' last ten home games.
The Titans are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games against the Chargers.
The Titans are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games against the Chargers.
The Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
The total has gone OVER in five of the Chargers' last seven games against Tennessee.


The Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cincinnati's last 18 games.
The Bucs are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of Tampa Bay's last five games.
The Bucs are 4-1 SU in their last five home games.
The Bengals are 5-0 SU in their last five games.
The Bengals are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against Tampa Bay.
The Bengals are 2-6 SU in their last eight games against Tampa Bay.


The Giants are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
The Giants are 1-4-1 SU in their last six games.
The Commanders are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games.
The Commanders are 6-1-1 SU in their last eight games.
The total has gone UNDER in nine of Washington's last 11 home games.
The Giants are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against Washington.
The Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
 

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SUNDAY, DECEMBER 18
ATL at NO01:00 PMNO -5.0+500
PIT at CAR01:00 PMCAR -2.5+500
DAL at JAC01:00 PMJAC +4.0
O 48.0
+500 +500
PHI at CHI01:00 PMCHI +8.5+500
DET at NYJ01:00 PMNYJ -2.0
U 43.5
+500 +500
KC at HOU01:00 PMKC -14.5+500
NE at LV04:05 PMLV -2.5
O 45.0
+500 +500
ARI at DEN04:05 PMDEN -1.5
U 37.0
+500 +500
CIN at TB04:25 PMCIN -3.5
U 47.0
+500 +500
TEN at LAC04:25 PMLAC -3.0
U 46.5
+500 +500
NYG at WAS08:20 PMWAS -4.5
U 40.5
+500 +500
 

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DECEMBER'S BEST BETS !

DATE................................... W - L.................................%............... .........................UNITS

12/18/2022...................10-7-1...............................58.33%............ ...............+11.50
12/15/2022......................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ ................- 0.50
12/11/2022......................5-9-0...............................35.71%.......... .................- 24.50
12/08/2022......................2-0-0.............................100.00%............ ..............+ 10.00
12/05/2022......................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ ................- 0.50
12-04-2022......................8-9-0...............................47.05%............ ................- 9.50
12-01-2022......................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ .................- 0.50

TOTALS......................28-28-1...............................50.00%............ ...............- 14.00

************************************************** **************

SEPT'S BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
OCT'S BEST BETS
Totals..................40-42-1.................48.78%.................- 30.50
NOV'S BEST BETS
Totals..................42-29-4..................59.15%................+ 36.00
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wrapping up a sports Sunday


Raiders 30, Patriots 24
— Raiders scored bizarre defensive TD at 0:00, intercepting a lateral.
— Raiders had tied game on 30-yard TD pass with 0:32 left.
— Las Vegas won four of last five games, with two wins in OT, plus this.
— Raiders also blew another double-digit halftime lead (17-3).
— Last 13 games, Las Vegas’ opponent is 9-3-1 against its team total.

— Carr threw an awful pick-6 in 3rd quarter when Raiders led 17-3.
— New England is 7-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-7 giving up 20+.
— Patriots are 1-5 SU when game goes over total, 6-2 if it stays under.
— Last five games, Patriots converted 15-61 third down plays.
— Raiders also scored a TD with 0:05 left in first half.

Jaguars 40, Cowboys 34 OT
— Prescott threw a 52-yard pick-6 in overtime.
— Dallas led 27-10 with 5:00 left in third quarter.
— Jaguars outgained Dallas, 503-397.
— Cowboys were 9-16 on third down, Jaguars 8-12.
— Over is 6-1 in last seven Cowboy games.

— Jaguars’ last six drives: 31 plays, 278 yards, 24 points.
— Zay Jones caught six passes for 109 yards, three TD’s.
— Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in last five games after a 2-6 start.
— Jaguars are 4-0 ATS this season as a home underdog.
— In his career, Pederson is 12-4 ATS as a home underdog.

Saints 21, Falcons 18
— Falcons ran ball for 231 yards, but threw for only 97.
— WR London lost fumble on Saints’ 39 with 2:06 left.
— Underdogs are 9-4-1 ATS in their games TY.
— Six of their last seven games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Falcons lost five of last six games SU, are 1-7 ATS in last eight.

— Saints’ first two drives: 12 plays, 148 yards, 14 points.
— Saints rest of game: 42 plays, 191 yards, 7 points.
— Backup QB Hill threw a 68-yard TD pass in 1st quarter.
— Saints won eight of last ten meetings with Atlanta.
— Six of last seven New Orleans games stayed under the total.

Lions 20, Jets 17
— Goff threw 51-yard TD pass to TE Wright with 1:49 left.
— It was Lions’ only play all day of 20+ yards.
— Detroit won six of its last seven games (7-0 ATS).
— Under Campbell, Lions are 21-9-1 ATS, 7-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 8-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

— Jets ran ball 22 times for only 50 yards.
— Jets are 2-4 in their last six games, after a 5-2 start.
— Jets are 6-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-6 scoring less than 20.
— Jets held nine of last 11 opponents under their team total.
— Seven of last nine Jet games stayed under the total.

Chiefs 30, Texans 24 OT
— McKinnon ran 26 yards for the walk-off TD in overtime.
— Chiefs won nine of last eleven games SU (4-7 ATS).
— Chiefs have 75 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 44.
— Last seven games, Chiefs are minus-6 in turnovers (7-13)
— Last ten games, Chiefs converted 72-124 (58.1%) third down plays.

— Houston led this game 14-13 at halftime.
— Texans are 0-9 SU since their bye week (3-6 ATS)
— Chiefs had a 13-play, 97-yard TD drive just before halftime.
— Kansas City outgained Houston, 502-219.
— Four of Texans’ last five TD drives were shorter than 50 yards.

Eagles 25, Bears 20
— Eagles won last five games, scoring 40-35-48-25 points in last four.
— Philly is 7-0 SU on road this year, but 2-5 ATS.
— Eagles outgained Chicago, 421-248; they threw for 309 yards.
— Last four games, Eagles have 26 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 14).
— Eagles are 4-10 ATS last 14 games as a road favorite.

— Chicago lost seven in row, 10 of last 11 games SU (3-7-1 ATS).
— Fields ran ball 15 times for 95 yards, but was sacked six times.
— In Fields’ last five starts, Bears converted 36-67 on third down.
— Last seven games, Chicago gave up 32.3 ppg.
— Bears have led at halftime twice this season (2-10-2).

Steelers 24, Panthers 16
— Steelers were 12-16 on third down, Carolina 4-11.
— In six post-bye games, Steelers converted 46-84 on third down
— Pittsburgh covered four of its last five road games.
— Steelers are 9-5 ATS last 14 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Pittsburgh is 4-2 since its bye week, with +6 turnover ratio.

— Carolina’s first five drives: 23 plays, 94 yards, 7 points.
— Panthers went 3/out on four of first five drives.
— Carolina’s last three drives: 23 plays, 152 yards, 9 points (3 FG’s).
— Panthers ran ball 16 times for only 21 yards.
— Carolina has converted only 49-168 (29.2%) third down plays.

Broncos 24, Cardinals 15
— 2nd-string QB McCoy got hurt; #3 QB McSorley was 7-15/95 passing (2 INTs).
— Cardinals lost eight of their last ten games SU.
— Arizona was outscored in 2nd half in each of its last nine games.
— Cardinals lost field position battle by 12 yards.
— Arizona is 1-10 SU when it scores less than 29 points.

— Denver scored 7 TD’s in last two games (3 TD’s/previous 4 games)
— Broncos ran ball for 168 yards (4.9 yards/carry).
— Broncos allowed 9-10-17-15 points in their four wins.
— Denver was perfect in red zone (21 points/three drives).
— Broncos first four drives in 2nd half: 24 plays, 182 yards, 21 points.

Chargers 17, Titans 14
— Titans drove 74 yards for TD, tied game 14-all with 0:48 left.
— Chargers won game on 43-yard FG with 0:04 left.
— Tennessee lost last four games, scoring 16-10-22-14 points.
— Titans are 0-4 SU since OC got a DUI coming home from road trip.
— Tennessee scored 19 or less points in eight of last ten games.

— Chargers are 4-3 in last seven games SU (wins by 1-3-6-3 points).
— Right now, Chargers are the #6-seed in the AFC.
— Under is 5-2 in Bolts’ last seven games.
— Bolts ran ball for 91 or fewer yards in 12 of 14 games.
— Chargers are 7-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 if they give up 27+.

Bengals 34, Buccaneers 23
— Tampa Bay’s first half: 42 plays, 243 yards, 17 points.
— Buccaneers led 17-0 until Bengals kicked FG at halftime gun.
— Tampa Bay’s 2nd half: 30 plays, 119 yards, 6 points.
— Buccaneers turned ball over on four straight drives in 3rd quarter.
— Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in its last nine games.

— Bengals’ first three TD drives were 31-13-39 yards.
— Cincinnati had a 26-yard advantage in field position.
— Cincinnati won/covered last six games (11-1 ATS last 12).
— Bengals are 8-0 if they score 21+ points, 1-4 if they don’t.
— Bengals are 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road favorite.

Giants 20, Commanders 12
— Giants’ first TD was a strip sack/fumble by Thibodeaux.
— Barkley ran ball for 87 yards and a touchdown.
— Last five games, Big Blue converted 18-63 (28.6%) on third down.
— Giants are 10-4 ATS this season, 4-1 as a road underdog.
— Under is 9-4-1 in Giants opponents’ team totals this year.

— Washington converted 1-10 on third down, Giants 2-10.
— Washington outgained Giants 387-288, was minus-2 in turnovers.
— Giants are 8-2 ATS in last ten games at Washington.
— Washington is 5-8 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite (1-2 TY)
— Commanders are now 3-12 ATS in its last 15 post-bye games.
 

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Weather Report

Week 15


kX6OiIU.png





The Rams are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Rams' last 15 games.
The Packers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Green Bay's last five games.
The Packers are 2-7 SU in their last nine games.
The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.
The Rams are 1-6 SU in their last seven games.
The Rams are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games against Green Bay.
The Rams are 1-7 SU in their last eight games against Green Bay.
 

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Packers 24, Rams 12
— Green Bay outgained the Rams, 345-156.
— Packers also had a 13-yard advantage in field position.
— Only nine of Green Bay’s 68 plays came on third down.
— Aaron Jones carried ball 17 times for 90 yards.
— Aaron Rodgers wins his 10th straight Monday night game.

— Baker Mayfield was 4th QB to start for Rams this year.
— This was Rams’ 4th game outdoors TY (scored 9-13-10-12 points)
— Under is 5-1 in their road games this season.
— LA is 0-4-1 ATS this season as a road underdog.
— Rams are 0-6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Lambeau.
 

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JACKSONVILLE is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992.

MINNESOTA is 30-14 ATS (14.6 Units) in home games after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.

NEW ORLEANS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after playing a game at home in the current season.

CAROLINA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after going over the total in the last 2 seasons.

NEW ENGLAND is 53-25 ATS (25.5 Units) after allowing >=30 pts. since 1992.

BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after a win by 3 or less points in the last 3 seasons.

TENNESSEE is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5-10.5 pts. since 1992.

SEATTLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game in the last 2 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) as a favorite of 3.5-10.5 pts. in the last 2 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games in the current season.

DALLAS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game in the last 2 seasons.

LAS VEGAS are 16-39 ATS (-26.9 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.

MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games in the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 32-16 ATS (14.4 Units) after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.

TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread in the current season.

INDIANAPOLIS are 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) as a home dog of 3.5-7 since 1992.
 

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Long Sheet

Week 16


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JACKSONVILLE (6 - 8) at NY JETS (7 - 7) - 12/22/2022, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (8 - 5 - 1) at MINNESOTA (11 - 3) - 12/24/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
NY GIANTS are 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 109-79 ATS (+22.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (5 - 9) at CLEVELAND (6 - 8) - 12/24/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) against AFC North division opponents since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in a home game where the total is between 32.5 and 35 points since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 114-85 ATS (+20.5 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (7 - 7) at CAROLINA (5 - 9) - 12/24/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
DETROIT is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (10 - 4) at NEW ENGLAND (7 - 7) - 12/24/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 294-231 ATS (+39.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 294-231 ATS (+39.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 96-61 ATS (+28.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 105-73 ATS (+24.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 224-169 ATS (+38.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 218-166 ATS (+35.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 150-107 ATS (+32.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 140-103 ATS (+26.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 97-68 ATS (+22.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
CINCINNATI is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (11 - 3) at CHICAGO (3 - 11) - 12/24/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games off a win against a division rival since 1992.
BUFFALO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (1 - 12 - 1) at TENNESSEE (7 - 7) - 12/24/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 40-62 ATS (-28.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 4-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (7 - 7) at KANSAS CITY (11 - 3) - 12/24/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
SEATTLE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
SEATTLE is 76-52 ATS (+18.8 Units) in December games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 58-34 ATS (+20.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
SEATTLE is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ATLANTA (5 - 9) at BALTIMORE (9 - 5) - 12/24/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) against AFC North division opponents since 1992.
ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WASHINGTON (7 - 6 - 1) at SAN FRANCISCO (10 - 4) - 12/24/2022, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (13 - 1) at DALLAS (10 - 4) - 12/24/2022, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LAS VEGAS (6 - 8) at PITTSBURGH (6 - 8) - 12/24/2022, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LAS VEGAS is 67-97 ATS (-39.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games against AFC North division opponents since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 43-73 ATS (-37.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 48-95 ATS (-56.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 28-54 ATS (-31.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 41-68 ATS (-33.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LAS VEGAS is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
LAS VEGAS is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (6 - 8) at MIAMI (8 - 6) - 12/25/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 223-161 ATS (+45.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 77-50 ATS (+22.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 71-47 ATS (+19.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DENVER (4 - 10) at LA RAMS (4 - 10) - 12/25/2022, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TAMPA BAY (6 - 8) at ARIZONA (4 - 10) - 12/25/2022, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
TAMPA BAY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CHARGERS (8 - 6) at INDIANAPOLIS (4 - 9 - 1) - 12/26/2022, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 142-105 ATS (+26.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 142-105 ATS (+26.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 33-8 ATS (+24.2 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Udog

Registered
Forum Member
Sep 10, 2018
17,481
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38
NFL

Week 16


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Trend Report
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Jacksonville @ NY Jets
Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Jacksonville's last 9 games on the road
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

Buffalo @ Chicago
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Seattle @ Kansas City
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Kansas City is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Seattle

NY Giants @ Minnesota
NY Giants
NY Giants is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

Houston @ Tennessee
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 14 games on the road
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston

Atlanta @ Baltimore
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Detroit @ Carolina
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

New Orleans @ Cleveland
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games

Cincinnati @ New England
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati

Washington @ San Francisco
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Philadelphia @ Dallas
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games

Las Vegas @ Pittsburgh
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Green Bay @ Miami
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home

Denver @ LA Rams
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing LA Rams
LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver

Tampa Bay @ Arizona
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

LA Chargers @ Indianapolis
LA Chargers
LA Chargers is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
LA Chargers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 8 games at home


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