Cnotes NL 2024-2025 Schedule, Best Bets, Opinons, News !

Udog

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Cnotes53

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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 10

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
BUF at IND01:00 PMBUF -4.5
O 47.0
+500 +500
DEN at KC01:00 PMKC -7.5
U 42.5
+500 +500
NE at CHI01:00 PMNE +6.0
U 37.5
+500 +500
MIN at JAC01:00 PMMIN -7.0
O 43.0
+500 +500
SF at TB01:00 PMSF -6.5
O 49.5
+500 +500
PIT at WAS01:00 PMPIT +2.5
U 45.5
+500 +500
ATL at NO01:00 PMNO +3.5
O 47.0
+500 +500
TEN at LAC04:05 PMLAC -8.0
U 40.0
+500 +500
NYJ at ARI04:25 PMNYJ -2.0
U 46.0
+500 +500
PHI at DAL04:25 PMDAL +7.5
O 44.0
+500 +500
DET at HOU08:20 PMDET -3.5
O 50.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NFL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/10/2024.................3 - 14 - 0.....................17.64%......................- 62.00
11/07/2024...................2 - 0 - 0...................100.00%......................+ 10.00
11/04/2024...................1 - 1 - 0.....................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/03/2024...................9 - 5 - 1.....................64.28%......................+ 17.50

TOTALS......................15 - 20 - 1.....................42.85%......................- 35.00
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— Wake Forest 72, Michigan 70- Wolverines led by 13 in first half.
— Gonzaga 88, Arizona State 80- Zags scored 101-88 points in first two games.
— North Florida 105, Ga Tech 93- Ospreys have wins over South Carolina, Ga Tech
— Cal-Irvine 80, Northern Iowa 60- Anteaters shot 65.9% inside arc.
— Princeton 79, Northeastern 76- Tigers outscored hosts 18-9 over final 5:28
— Detroit 84, Niagara 78 OT- Niagara led by 7 with 3:45 left in regulation.

Quote of the Day
“We’re gonna keep fighting. In all honesty, the playoffs should be the last thing on our mind right now. We’ve just got to play better football.”
Jets’ interim head coach Jeff Ulbrich, after a 31-6 loss in Arizona

Monday’s quiz
Which major league baseball team drafted Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray?

Sunday’s quiz
Oregon was the last Pac-12 team to win the Rose Bowl.

Saturday’s quiz
Tony Eason was starting QB for the Patriots, first time they played in a Super Bowl, after the 1985 season.

*******************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..

Lions 26, Texans 23
Houston led this game 23-7 at halftime.
Texans in first half: 38 plays, 182 yards, 23 points.
Texans in 2nd half: 31 plays, 82 yards, no points.
Houston lost three of last four games, after a 5-1 start.
Last four weeks, Texans were outscored 60-19 in second half.
Lions won their 7th game in a row.
Goff was 15-30/240 passing, with 2 TD’s, 5 INT’s.
Detroit’s last three drives: 20 plays, 125 yards, 13 points.
Lions outgained Houston, 345-248.
Texans are the first team since the 1970 Bears to lead by 15+ points, pick off 5+ passes and still lose that game.

Chiefs 16, Broncos 14
Chiefs blocked a 35-yard FG on last play to stay unbeaten.
Kansas City is 9-0 despite being minus-6 in turnovers.
Chiefs are 4-9 ATS in last 13 AFC West home games.
Chiefs won 16 of last 17 meetings with Denver.
Broncos’ last 3 drives in first half: 22 plays, 188 yards, 14 points.
Broncos in second half: 27 plays, 68 yards, no points.
Denver is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games.
Last three weeks, Broncos converted 24-44 third down plays.

Steelers 28, Commanders 27
Wilson threw a 32-yard TD pass to Williams with 2:22 left for the win.
Washington led 24-14 with 9:00 left in third quarter.
Steelers won/covered their last four games.
Pittsburgh is 17-7-1 ATS last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Commanders’ last 3 drives: 13 plays, 39 yards, no points.
Commanders averaged 4.9 yards/pass attempt, their worst mark this year.
Washington allowed 37-30-28 points in their three losses.
Steelers ran for 140 yards, Washington only 60.

Panthers 20, Giants 17 OT
Giants lost a fumble on the first play of overtime.
Panthers then kicked a 36-yard FG, got their 2nd win in a row.
Carolina led 10-0 with 5:00 left in third quarter.
Panthers ran for 188 yards, but turned ball over three times.
Giants lost last five games, scoring seven TD’s on 52 drives.
Giants in first half: 28 plays, 154 yards, no points.
Last four games, Giants were outscored 54-19 in first half.
QB Jones is 25-45-1 as an NFL starter.

Vikings 12, Jaguars 7
Vikings ran 82 plays for 402 yards, Jaguars 43 for 143 yards.
Jaguars drove 70 yards for a TD on their second drive.
Jaguars rest of game: 28 plays, 73 yards, 3 turnovers, no points.
Jacksonville lost last three games, by 3-5-5 points.
Vikings won without scoring a touchdown (four FG’s).
Darnold threw an INT on three of first five Minnesota drives.
Last four games, Vikings were outscored 49-27 in first half.
Minnesota is 6-2 giving up 17 or less points; they gave up 31-30 in losses.

Saints 20, Falcons 17
Saints snap 7-game skid in first game under interim coach Rizzi.
Falcons lost despite outgaining New Orleans, 468-365.
Atlanta missed 3 FG’s: one was blocked, another hit the upright.
Falcons are 10-15-1 ATS last 26 games coming off a win.
Saints in first half: 32 plays, 261 yards, 17 points.
Saints in second half: 21 plays, 100 yards, 3 points.
New Orleans averaged 10.8 yards/pass attempt.
Falcons were held to 10-17-14-17 points in their losses.

49ers 23, Buccaneers 20
49ers kicked 44-yard FG at the gun for the win.
Bucs had tied game on 26-yard FG with 0:44 left.
49ers led 10-0 with 2:00 left in first half.
49ers outgained Tampa Bay, 413-215.
SF missed three FG’s, muffed punt that gave Bucs an easy TD.
Tampa Bay lost last four games, last three by 5-6-3 points.
Bucs averaged only 3.4 yards/pass attempt.
Bucs are 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.

Famous birthdays, November 11th:
Scott Hunter, 77
Kevin Kunnert, 73
Stanley Tucci, 64
Demi Moore, 62
Cory Snyder, 62
Bill Musgrave, 57
Leonardo DiCaprio, 50
Hilton Armstrong, 40
Mark Sanchez, 38
Victor Cruz, 38
Stedman Bailey, 34
Ladd McConkey, 23

Bills 30, Colts 20
Buffalo is 8-2 for first time since 1993.
Bills won their last five games (4-1 ATS)
Last six games, Bills are +8 in turnovers (12-4).
Buffalo is 7-0 giving up less than 23 points.
Flacco threw a pick-6 on Colts’ first play of game.
Indy lost its last three games, by 3-8-10 points
Bills were 7-14 on third down, Colts 4-11.
Last two games, Colts gave up 415-415 yards.

Patriots 19, Bears 3
New England scored 10 points in last 2:00 of first half.
Patriots held Chicago to 1.8 yards/pass attempt.
New England outgained the Bears, 328-142.
Patriots are 2-1 SU/3-0 ATS in last three games.
First loss in four home games for the Bears.
Chicago was 1-14 on third down, 2-4 on 4th down.
Bears are 0-5 scoring less than 24 points.
Chicago in second half: 30 plays, 53 yards, no points.

Chargers 27, Titans 17
Tennessee is 0-8 ATS in last eight games coming off a win.
WR Ridley caught five passes for 84 yards, 2 TD’s.
Tennessee is 3-8 ATS in last ten games as a road dog (1-4 TY).
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; 31-20 points in wins.
Bolts’ first two drives of 2nd half: 18 plays, 130 yards, two TD’s.
Chargers averaged 9.1 yards/pass attempt.
Last five games, opponents are 16-60 on third down.
Chargers scored 22-26-23-26-27-27 points in wins, 10-10-15 in losses.

Eagles 34, Cowboys 6
Eagles won last five games, scoring 28-37-28-34 points in last four.
Last five games, Eagles allowed 4 TD’s on 51 drives.
Philly outgained last four opponents, 1,802-1,004.
Eagles outscored last four opponents 54-19 in first half.
Eagles outgained Dallas, 348-146.
Dallas lost last four games, giving up 47-30-27-34 points.
Cowboys are 0-6 when they allow more than 17 points.
Last three games, Cowboys gave up 16 TD’s on 42 drives.

Cardinals 31, Jets 6
Jets first two drives: 23 plays, 94 yards, two field goals
Jets rest of game: 34 plays, 113 yards, no points
Jets were outgained 406-207.
Jets are 1-6 SU/ATS in last seven games.
Cardinals had six drives in this game, scored four TD’s.
Arizona averaged 10.4 yards/pass attempt.
Only 7 of their 57 plays came on third down.
Arizona won last four games, scoring 28-28-31 points in last three.
 

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MONDAY, NOVEMBER 11

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MIA at LA08:15 PMMIA +2.5
O 48.5
+500 +500
 

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NFL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/11/2024...................1 - 1 - 0.....................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/10/2024.................3 - 14 - 0.....................17.64%......................- 62.00
11/07/2024...................2 - 0 - 0...................100.00%......................+ 10.00
11/04/2024...................1 - 1 - 0.....................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/03/2024...................9 - 5 - 1.....................64.28%......................+ 17.50

TOTALS......................16 - 21 - 1.....................43.24%......................- 35.50
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
— Cavaliers 119, Bulls 113- Cleveland starters were minus-30, their subs +60.
— Rockets 107, Wizards 92- Alperen Sengun scored 27 points, had 17 rebounds.
— Nets 107, Pelicans 105- Ben Simmons had 12 assists, 5 rebounds in 22:00
— Thunder 134, Clippers 128- Gilgeous-Alexander scored career-high 45 points.
— Spurs 116, Kings 96- San Antonio made 22 of 46 shots behind the arc.
— Alabama 72, McNeese State 64- Alabama was 11-34 on arc, 11-16 inside arc.

Quote of the Day
“It’s great to be part of history. I never want to take those things for granted along the road when we’re doing it in various ways. We’re doing it in ways where we are blowing out teams. We’re winning from behind. We’re winning close games. And it’s somebody different every night leading the charge. It’s always a group effort.”
Cleveland Cavaliers star Donovan Mitchell

Tuesday’s quiz
Los Angeles Clippers have existed since 1970, but they’ve played home games in two other cities. Where did the Clippers call home their first eight years in the NBA?

Monday’s quiz
Oakland A’s drafted Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray with the 9th pick in the 2018 draft.

Sunday’s quiz
Oregon was the last Pac-12 team to win the Rose Bowl.

***************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

Dolphins 23, Rams 15
Dolphins scored a TD on their first drive of each half.
Their six drives in between TD’s: 25 plays, 41 yards, 2 turnovers.
Miami was 6-13 on third down, Rams 3-12.
Miami allowed 17-10-15 points in wins, 31-24-16-31-28-30 in losses.
QB Tagovailoa is 34-23 as an NFL starter.
Rams’ first five drives: 17 plays, 27 yards, two turnovers.
Rams rest of game: 57 plays, 268 yards, 5-6 on field goals.
LA outgained Miami, 327-238, but didn’t score a touchdown.
Rams are 1-5 scoring less than 26 points.
LA is 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

— RIP to the great football coach John Robinson, who passed away at age 89.
Coach Robinson was 104-35-4 coaching USC, going 8-1 in bowl games; he was 79-75 coaching the Rams, making the playoffs in six of his nine seasons. He was also UNLV’s coach for six years, winning the 2000 Las Vegas Bowl.

— July 1986, I went to Rams’ training camp at Cal-State Fullerton; coach Robinson was on the field at the end of practice, watching kicker Mike Lansford practice.
There was almost no security there; I figure what the hell, I stepped over the security rope and walked on the field and talked to coach Robinson for a few minutes, wished him well.
He should’ve thrown my butt out of there but he didn’t; he was cordial for a couple minutes and I scooted over to where players were signing autographs. Was always appreciative of that.
John Robinson led the Rams during the Eric Dickerson/Jim Everett era; he was an excellent coach who thrived at his teams running the ball.
RIP, sir.

NFL divisional trends (non-division games):
NFC East home teams are 3-9 ATS.
NFC North home teams are 11-4 ATS
NFC South home teams are 4-9 ATS
NFC West teams are 11-15-1 ATS
AFC East underdogs are 5-9-1 ATS
AFC North road teams are 11-4 ATS
AFC South road underdogs are 3-9 ATS
AFC West favorites are 10-4 ATS

— Dallas Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott is off to New York City for a second opinion on a serious hamstring injury, which probably requires season-ending surgery.

— Nebraska fired their offensive coordinator, brought in former Houston/West Virginia head coach Dana Holgorsen to be the OC for the rest of this season.
Nebraska is 5-4, needs one more win to be bowl eligible for first time since 2016.

— Florida State is 1-9, losing their last three games by 20+ points each; they fired both their coordinators and another assistant this weekend- this is going to be the Seminoles’ worst year since 1974, when they went 1-10, two years before Bobby Bowden got to Tallahassee.
Head coach Mike Norvell has a contract that pays him $84M thru 2031. Whoops.

Famous birthdays, November 12th:
Neil Young, 79
Cliff Harris, 76
Steve Bartkowski, 72
Jody Davis, 68
Sammy Sosa, 56
Ryan Gosling, 44
Anne Hathaway, 42
Charlie Morton, 41
Russell Westbrook, 36
Marcell Ozuna, 34
Trey Burke, 32
Paolo Banchero, 22

— Miami Marlins named Dodgers first base coach Clayton McCullough their new manager; he spent the past four years on the Dodgers’ coaching staff. He managed in the Blue Jays’ minor league system from 2007-13, so he has experience. McCullough will be the Marlins’ 17th manager in their 32-year history.
Marlins, by the way, used 45 pitchers this season, the most ever by a team in one year.

— Don Mattingly’s son Preston was promoted to general manager of the Philadelphia Phillies; he figures to learn under the tutelage of president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski for three years. Dombrowski is 68 years old, has three years left on his contract.
Former big leaugue OF Sam Fuld has been the Phillies’ GM since December 2020, but he is going back to college to get his Master of Business Administration and will become the team’s president of business operations when he gets his degree in 2026.

— Random fact: Winner of the Boston Marathon gets $150,000; winners of the marathons in New York City and Chicago get $100,000 each,

— NBA’s in-season tournament starts tonight; it is a tournament that begins with group play followed by single elimination knockout rounds. It is designed to increase interest in early season NBA season games, which haven’t always been that popular.
Last year was the first in-season tournament; Lakers won it, then finished the season 47-35 but fired their coach, which makes you believe the Lakers’ owners didn’t care that much about it.

— Cleveland Cavaliers have started this season 12-0, the best start for any team since Golden State nine years ago. Cavaliers are the 8th NBA team to start a season 12-0.

— Winnipeg Jets are the first NHL team ever to start a season 14-1; their only loss was 6-4 at home to Toronto October 28th. In their last three games, Jets have allowed only one goal.

— High school QB Cole Leinart, son of former USC star and Heisman Trophy winner Matt Leinart, committed to play college ball at Southern Methodist in the ACC.
 

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WEEK 11

Thursday, November 14


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Sunday, November 17

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Monday, November 18

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Udog

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NFL

Week 10


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Trend Report
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Washington vs Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington

Green Bay vs Chicago
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Cleveland vs New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Cleveland's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home

Minnesota vs Tennessee
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Minnesota is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Tennessee's last 25 games at home

Jacksonville vs Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Las Vegas vs Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Las Vegas's last 9 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games when playing Las Vegas
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Las Vegas

LA Rams vs New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing New England
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing LA Rams

Baltimore vs Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore

Indianapolis vs NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
NY Jets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

Seattle vs San Francisco
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's last 11 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle

Atlanta vs Denver
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Kansas City vs Buffalo
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home

Cincinnati vs LA Chargers
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Chargers's last 11 games

Houston vs Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Houston
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston


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Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Six most experienced college basketball teams (team continuity in parenthesis):
— Ole Miss (127)
— Kansas (104)
— Xavier (219)
— Nevada (111)
— Kentucky (349)
— Memphis (317)
Teams with the high continuity #’s are poaching lot of transfers.

Quote of the Day
“He’s like the random older dude that pulls up to the court and you’re kind of like, ‘alright he’s whatever,’ and then you pick him up and he’s making the craziest passes. Not moving too much, not doing the most. But he’s just got the OG game like he’s been playing forever.”
Photographer Xavier Luggage, talking about actor Adam Sandler playing pick-up basketball

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Klay Thompson play his college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
Los Angeles Clippers have existed since 1970, but they’ve played home games in two other cities. Their first eight years in the NBA, the Clippers were the Buffalo Braves, before they moved to San Diego and became the Clippers.

Monday’s quiz
Oakland A’s drafted Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray with the 9th pick in the 2018 draft.

*************************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Happy Felix Unger Day!!!!

“On November 13, Felix Unger was asked to remove himself from his place of residence. That request came from his wife…….”
So began all 114 episodes of The Odd Couple, one of the funniest TV shows ever; spent ton of time in my high school/college years watching Odd Couple re-runs.
Jack Klugman/Tony Randall were a great team, playing totally opposite roommates who were both divorced. Episodes are on Paramount these days: I recommend the episode where they own a greyhound racing dog and another episode where Oscar dates a princess.
Happy Felix Unger Day!!!

— Kansas 77, Michigan State 69
Teams combined to shoot 8-41 on the arc; a brickfest.
Kansas already has wins over North Carolina and the Spartans.
Modern college basketball; one of Michigan State’s starters is Frankie Fidler, who played three years for a Nebraska-Omaha squad that went 15-37 in the Summit League those three years. Lat year, Summit League was the 23rd-ranked league in the country.

— Kentucky 77, Duke 72
Kentucky’s youngest starter is older than Duke’s oldest starter, but Kentucky is also in the bottom 15 in the country in continuity- will take them some time to develop their chemistry- this is a great win for them.
Duke led this game 46-37 at halftime.
Kentucky’s subs outscored Duke’s bench, 25-6.
Modern college basketball, part 2:
Kerr Kriisa plays for Kentucky; he’ll be 24 on January 2nd.
2020-23- He played in 76 games over three seasons for Arizona.
2023-24- He played in 23 games for West Virginia.
2024-25- He is part of the total rebuild that is this year’s Kentucky team.

— There were seven college basketball referees who worked the first seven days of the season; college refs make a boatload of $$$, some of them traveling all over the country.

— Will be interesting to follow Rick Pitino’s St John’s squad this year; Red Storm hasn’t been in the NCAA’s since 2019, hasn’t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2000.

— Oklahoma City Thunder center Chet Holmgren hurt his hip, is out 8-10 weeks; he was scoring 16.4 ppg, grabbing 8.7 rebounds/game in his second NBA season— actually his third year, he didn’t play his first year.

— LA Clippers have a brand-new arena that is supposed to be awesome; every player’s locker has room for 32 pairs of sneakers (64 sneakers!!!)

Famous birthdays, November 13
Joe Mantegna, 77
Chris Noth, 70
Whoopi Goldberg, 68
Vinny Testaverde, 61
Kevin Gamble, 59
Jimmy Kimmel, 57
Steve Christie, 57
Gerard Butler 54
Wade Miley, 38
Brett Baty, 25

— Chicago Bears fired offensive coordinator Shane Waldron less than 10 months after he got the job. Bears are 4-5, losing their last three games while scoring a total of 27 points- they don’t have a touchdown on their last 23 drives.
Ummmm……starting a rookie QB can be dicey, no matter how good they are. Payton Manning, Troy Aikman both sucked as rookies; they’re both in the Hall of Fame. Patrick Mahomes didn’t start until the last game of his rookie year, which seems like a better way to go, but the Bears are force-feeding rookie QB Caleb Williams, and it cost Waldron his job.

— Catcher Travis d’Arnaud signed a 2-year, $12M deal with the Los Angeles Angels; d’Arnaud hit .225/.238 the last two years as a part-time player.

— USC is changing QB’s this week; starter Miller Moss is getting benched, former UNLV QB Jayden Maiava will get his first USC start against Nebraska, fueling rumors that Miller will be packing his bags and transferring for his final year of college eligibility.

— Hawks 117, Celtics 116- Dyson Daniels scored a career-high 28 points as Atlanta won as an underdog of 15.5 points.

— Pistons 123, Heat 121 OT- Miami called a timeout they didn’t have with 0:01.1 left, and Detroit hit the game-winning foul shot, after blowing a 9-point 4th quarter lead. Tyler Herro scored 40 points for the Heat, making 10-17 shots on the arc.

— Knicks 111, 76ers 99- OG Anunoby scored 24 points as New York spoiled Joel Embiid’s debut this season. Embiid scored 13 points in 26:00 for the struggling 76ers, who are 2-8.

— Suns 120, Jazz 112- Devin Booker scored 31 points for Phoenix, which made 18-39 shots on the arc. Suns are off to a 9-2 start this season.
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
Six college basketball teams with least continuity in country:
— DePaul
— Iona
— Missouri State
— Niagara
— Tennessee-Martin
— West Virginia
These teams started the season with zero continuity, totally new teams.

Quote of the Day
“I was ready to leave the G League, maybe go overseas. I talked to my dad about that. He thought maybe if it doesn’t work out I’ll have to go overseas and try to do it over there, but I kind of just thugged it out and stayed and believed in my NBA dreams and I got the call.”
Scotty Pippen Jr, who is making a name for himself with the Memphis Grizzlies

Thursday’s quiz
Washington Commanders QB Jayden Daniels played college football for which two schools?

Wednesday’s quiz
Klay Thompson played his college basketball at Washington State

Tuesday’s quiz
Los Angeles Clippers have existed since 1970, but they’ve played home games in two other cities. Their first eight years in the NBA, the Clippers were the Buffalo Braves, before they moved to San Diego and became the Clippers.

************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— First things first……best wishes to Spurs coach Greg Popovich, who suffered a mild stroke on November 2nd. 75-year old Popovich has missed the Spurs’ past seven games; he’s started a rehabilitation program and is expected to make a full recovery. Popovich is the oldest coach in NBA history; he has 1,560 wins, winning five championships.
Get well soon, coach.

— There are 1,271 regular season games in an NBA season; every once in a while you see one with a little extra intensity. Tuesday night in San Francisco, Klay Thompson returned to the Bay Area with his new team, the Dallas Mavericks, after playing 11 years with Golden State, helping the Warriors win four championships.
Golden State won the game 120-117; Thompson scored 22 points, but Steph Curry scored 37 for the 9-2 Warriors. This was basketball at its highest level, a very entertaining game.

— Hofstra 49, Seton Hall 48
Pirates lost last two games, to Fordham/Hofstra, both by a point. Not good.
Seton Hall is scoring 53.7 ppg, shooting 37.6% inside the arc.

— St Joe’s 83, Villanova 76
Hawks beat Villanova for second year in a row; going back to last year, Wildcats are 9-13 in their last 22 games. Villanova made the NCAAs the last nine years Jay Wright was coaching; this would be the third year in a row they miss the NCAA’s, bad news for the current coach.

— Cal-Santa Barbara 91, Fresno State 86
Fresno has a new coach and only two players back from last year; they were 16-24 on the foul line in this game. UCSB G Turner was 15-16 on the line, all by himself.
There are a lot of college teams that are total rebuilds; they’re learning on the go. Guys who were junior college coaches have an advantage now; they’ve done all this before.

— Oregon 80, Portland 70 OT
Ducks were down 13 with 8:11 left in game, but they fought back, forced overtime and escaped with a win to improve to 3-0. Portland had lost its previous game by 41 points to UCSB.

— North Dakota State 88, Santa Clara 80 OT
Santa Clara led 37-18 early; they led by 5 with 0:14 left in regulation, Ugly loss for a team that starts four seniors and is #11 in country in continuity. North Dakota State had lost its first two D-I games, but they made 15-32 on the arc in this game.

Famous birthdays, November 14th:
Mike Livingston, 79
Jack Sikma, 69
Curt Schilling, 58
Lionel Simmons, 56
Josh Duhamel, 52
Kyle Orton, 42
TY Hilton, 35
Francisco Lindor, 31
DeVonta Smith, 26

Mid-week college football
— Buffalo 51, Ball State 48 OT

Ball State led 45-31 with 6:00 left in game.
Bulls tied game on a 33-yard TD pass with 1:49 left.
Cardinals outgained 6-4 Buffalo 520-470.

— Bowling Green 31, Western Michigan 13
Falcons ran ball for 226 yards (6.8 yards/carry)
Western Michigan was 4-15 on 3rd down, 5-6 on 4th down.
Bowling Green is 6-4, and bowl eligible.

— Toledo 37, Central Michigan 10
Rockets had 5 takeaways, including a 45-yard pick-6.
Toledo led 27-3 at halftime.
Chippewas have lost five games in a row.

— Miami OH 34, Kent State 7
Kent State scored a TD 1:20 into the game; that was it for them.
Miami outgained the Golden Flashes, 477-178.
Redhawks ran ball for 275 yards; they’re bowl eligible now.

— Northern Illinois 29, Akron 16
Huskies had two guys run ball for 100+ yards.
NIU outgained Akron 439-255; they led 23-16 at halftime.
Akron scored a touchdown on a blocked punt.

— Ohio U 35, Eastern Michigan 10
Ohio QB Navarro threw for 277 yards, ran for 106 more.
Bobcats led 14-7 at halftime.
Ohio outgained Eastern Michigan, 433-266.

Movie of the Day: He Got Game (1998)- The best high school basketball player in the country has to choose what college to go to; his father, who is in prison, will get his sentence shortened if the son goes to the college where the warden of the prison wants him to.
Denzel Washington is the father, Ray Allen is the son, Ned Beatty is the warden, Jim Brown is a probation officer. A mostly sad movie, but it is well done.

— Cincinnati Reds hired Brad Mills as Terry Francona’s bench coach; Mills has been one of Francona’s coaches in 17 of his 22 major league seasons- he also managed Houston from 2010-12.

— Tropicana Field in St Petersburg isn’t going to be ready for the 2025 season; they think it’ll be ready for 2026, but next season is only 20 or so weeks away and the Rays have a new stadium opening in 2028, so will they spend $55M to fix this ballpark?
Speculation is that the Phillies’ spring training ballpark in Clearwater is the favorite to be used by the Rays for the 2025 season.

— Red Sox P Nick Pivetta got a qualifying offer for $21.05M for next year; he is expected to turn it down, even though he was 6-12, 4.14 in 26 starts last year. Word has it that Pivetta wants a 3-year deal; he’s going to be 32 on Valentine’s Day, so three years should be the ceiling on any kind of deal he gets.

— Indianapolis Colts are going back to 2nd year QB Anthony Richardson this week for their game with the Jets. Richardson has completed only 44.4% of his passes but has run for 242 yards. Colts have split his six starts; they’re 1-3 when 39-year old Joe Flacco starts.

— Vikings’ rookie QB JJ McCarthy underwent a second surgery earlier this week on his right knee as he continues to recover from a torn meniscus; it is not good when you’ve had two surgeries on the same knee, before you’ve played in a game.
McCarthy is still expected to be ready to play next season; the question is, if Sam Darnold keeps winning games, will the Vikings need McCarthy to play?

— Slugger Mark McGwire got his first major league hit in 1986 off of Tommy John, who was in his 23rd major league season at the time.
Tommy John’s dentist back then was………Mark McGwire’s father.
 

Udog

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Armadillo's Write-up

Week 11

Thursday’s game
Commanders
@ Eagles (-3.5)
Commanders (7-3)
Washington is 7-2 SU/ATS in its last nine games.
Rookie QB Daniels is 7-3 as an NFL starter.
Commanders are 4-1 in games decided by less than 7 points.
Last five games, Commanders are +6 in turnovers.
Team total: over 8-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-5


Washington allowed 37-30-28 points in their three losses.
Last three games, Washington was outscored 44-25 in 2nd half.
Commanders are 2-0 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
Commanders are 4-6 ATS in last 10 NFC East road games.
Last two games, Washington gave up 164-140 rushing yards.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.


Eagles (6-2)
Eagles won last five games, scoring 28-37-28-34 in last four.
Last five games, Eagles allowed 4 TD’s on 51 drives.
Philly outgained last four opponents, 1,802-1,004.
Team total: over 4-0 last four
Opponents’ team total: under 4-1 last five


Eagles outscored last four opponents 54-19 in first half.
Philly is 2-7-1 ATS in last 10 games as a home favorite.
Last three games, Eagles are +7 in turnovers.
QB Hurts is 43-22 as an NFL starter.
Eagles are 8-13 ATS in last 21 NFC East home games.
Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.


Eagles won 11 of last 13 series games.
Coammnders are 1-5 SU/3-3 ATS in last six visits to Philly.
Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.


Sunday’s games
Ravens
(-3) @ Steelers
Ravens (7-3)
Baltimore is 7-1 SU/ATS in its last eight games.
Baltimore is 7-0 if they score 28+ points, 0-3 if they score less than 28
Ravens scored 35 touchdowns on their last 78 drives.
Ravens allowed 320 PY in four of last six games.
Team total: over 7-3
Opponents’ team total: over 8-2


Ravens are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games as a road favorite.
Over is 9-1 in Baltimore’s games this year.
QB Jackson is 68-26 as an NFL starter.
Ravens gave up 29+ points in three of their last four games.
Over is 5-0 in Baltimore road games this season.
Last 5 weeks, Ravens threw for 8.8+ yards/pass attempt four times.


Steelers (7-2)
Steelers won/covered their last four games.
Pittsburgh scored 37-26-28 points in Wilson’s first three starts.
Since 2014, Steelers are 12-5-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Team total: over 4-0 last three
Opponents’ team total: under 6-3


Steelers are 14-7-1 in its last 22 games coming off a win.
Pittsburgh is 11-4 ATS in last fifteen AFC North home games.
Steelers are 17-7-1 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last four games, Pittsburgh outscored opponents 75-25 in 2nd half.
Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
Last three games, Steelers scored nine TD’s on 32 drives.


Pittsburgh won seven of last eight series games.
Ravens are 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Pittsburgh.
Under is 6-0 in last six series games.


Jaguars @ Lions (-13)
Jaguars (2-8)
Jaguars lost last three games, by 3-5-5 points.
Jaguars covered their last four games.
Jaguars have 11 turnovers in last six games (minus-4)
Team total: over 3-1 last four
Opponents’ team total: over 4-2 last six


Jaguars are 5-2 ATS last seven games as a road underdog.
Jaguars lost to Minnesota, despite not giving up a TD.
Backup QB Jones is 18-26 as an NFL starter.
Five of their last seven games went over the total.
Jaguars are 12-31 ATS in last 41 games vs NFC foes (3-1 TY).
AFC South underdogs are 7-10 ATS in non-divisional games.


Lions (8-1)
Detroit won its last seven games (6-1 ATS).
Last three games, Lions outscored opponents 43-11 in 2nd half.
Detroit won LW, despite Goff throwing five INT’s.
Opponents have converted 19 of last 61 third down plays.
Team total: over 4-2 last six
Opponents’ team total: under 6-3


Under Campbell, Lions are 12-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Detroit is 11-6 ATS in last 17 games vs AFC opponents.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 19-9 ATS in games coming off a win.
Lions have outscored opponents 47-13 in last 2:00 of each half.
QB Goff is 78-55-1 as an NFL starter, 34-25-1 with Detroit.
NFC North favorites are 14-9 ATS in non-divisional games.


Lions won/covered last four series games.
Jaguars lost 40-14/26-19 in last two visits to Detroit.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Rams (-5) @ Patriots
Rams (4-5)
Rams won three of their last four games.
Rams are 1-5 scoring less than 26 points.
Seven of their nine games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
Last week, Rams didn’t score a TD (tried FG on last 6 drives)
Team total: under 6-3
Opponents’ team total: under 4-0-1 last five


Rams are 1-3 SU on road TY (only win in OT at Seattle)
Last four games, Rams are +4 in turnovers.
Rams are 6-11-1 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC opponents.
Rams are 11-14-2 ATS last 27 games coming off a loss.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
NFC West favorites are 4-7-1 ATS in non-divisional games.

Patriots (3-7)
Patriots won two of their last three games (3-0 ATS).
Last three games, New England outscored foes 38-22 in 2nd half.
Patriots were held under 300 TY in eight of ten games.
Team total: under 5-3 last eight
Opponents’ team total: under 3-0 last three


NE is 10-20-1 ATS in last 31 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 32-46 since Tom Brady left town.
Patriots are 5-7-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
Rookie QB Maye is 2-3 as an NFL starter.
Over is 3-1 in their home games.
AFC East underdogs are 5-9-1 ATS in non-divisional games.


New England won five of last six series games.
Rams lost their last three visits to Foxboro.
Last three meetings stayed under the total.


Browns @ Saints (-1.5)
Browns (2-7)
Cleveland lost six of its last seven games.
Browns are 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS on road this season.
Cleveland scored 18 or fewer points in 8 of 9 games.
Browns are 2-7 ATS in last nine post-bye games.
Team total: under 8-1
Opponents’ team total: over 5-4


Browns are 8-12-1 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog.
Last three games, Browns ran ball for 77-80-79 yards.
Cleveland is 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Cleveland allowed 20+ points in eight of nine games.
AFC North underdogs are 7-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Browns are 6-6 ATS in last 12 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.


Saints (3-7)
New Orleans snapped 7-game losing skid LW, first game with interim coach.
Saints are 2-6 against spread in last eight games.
Last five games, New Orleans was outscored 94-25 in second half.
Team total: under 3-1 last four
Opponents’ team total: over 6-1 last seven


Saints are 2-3 SU at home TY, losing by 3-14-13 points.
Saints are 7-10 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite.
New Orleans is 8-15-2 ATS last 25 games coming off a win.
Saints are 4-9 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC teams.
QB Carr is 75-92 as an NFL starter.
Over is 3-2 in their last five games.


Saints won last two series games, 17-10/21-19
Browns are 2-1 SU/3-0 ATS in last three visits to Bourbon Street.
Over is 3-3 in last six meetings.


Colts
@ Jets (-4)
Colts (4-6)
Indy lost last three games, by 3-8-10 points (5-2-1 ATS last eight)
Colts are 1-5 giving up 20+ points.
Colts have played eight games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Team total: under 5-3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 4-1 last five


QB Richardson (5-5 as NFL starter) is back as the starter.
Colts are 7-8-1 ATS last 16 games as a road underdog.
Indy is 7-5 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
Colts converted 13 of last 48 third down plays.
Four of last five Colt games stayed under the total.
AFC South road underdogs are 3-8 ATS in non-divisional games.


Jets (3-7)
Jets are 1-6 SU/ATS in last seven games.
Jets are 3-1 if they allow 17 or less points, 0-6 if they allow 23+.
Jets are 0-6 scoring less than 21 points.
Team total: under 6-1 last seven
Opponents’ team total: over 5-1 last six


Jets are 5-10 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
Jets are 6-10 ATS last 16 games coming off a loss.
Under is 3-1 in their home games.
Jets are 1-4 SU/ATS since their coaching change.
Jets converted 11 of last 25 third down plays.
AFC East home favorites are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Colts won three of last four series games.
Teams haven’t met since 2021.
Colts are 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS in last five series games..
Average total in last four meetings: 61.3 (over 3-1).


Vikings (-6) @ Titans
Vikings (7-2)
Minnesota won its last two games, giving up 13-7 points.
Vikings allowed 31-30 points in their two losses.
Last four games, Vikings were outscored 49-27 in first half.
Vikings are 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
Team total: over 6-3
Opponents’ team total: under 6-3


QB Darnold is 28-37 as an NFL starter, 7-2 with Vikings.
Minnesota is 6-2-2 ATS in last ten games as road favorite.
Minnesota has 19 takeaways in nine games (+3 turnovers).
Vikings are 11-6-2 ATS in last 19 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC North favorites are 14-9 ATS in non-divisional games.
Vikings are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS on the road this season.


Titans (2-7)
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; 31-20 points in wins.
Tennessee is minus-11 in turnovers, with six takeaways.
Titans have trailed in only three of nine games at halftime.
Team total: under 7-2
Opponents’ team total: over 4-3-2


Tennessee is 14-8-1 ATS in last 23 games as a home dog.
Tennessee has been outscored 139-66 in second half.
QB Levis is 4-11 as an NFL starter.
Tennessee is 1-5 ATS in last six games coming off a loss.
AFC South home teams are 7-6 ATS in non-divisional games.


Minnesota is 4-2 SU/5-1 ATS in last six series games.
Vikings split their last two visits to Nashville.
Favorites are 4-1 ATS in last five meetings.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Raiders @ Dolphins (-7.5)
Raiders (2-7)
Raiders are 0-5 SU/2-3 ATS in last five games
Raiders have 19 turnovers in nine games (minus-14).
Raiders are 1-6 SU/1-5-1 ATS last seven post-bye games.
Team total: over 5-4
Opponents’ team total: over 6-3


Raiders are 20-14 ATS last 34 games as a road underdog.
Raiders haven’t led a game at halftime since Week 1.
QB Minshew is 17-27 as an NFL starter.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Last six games, Raiders averaged 5.6 or fewer yards/pass attempt.
AFC West road underdogs are 6-3 ATS in non-division games.


Dolphins (3-6)
Short week for Dolphins after their win in LA Monday night.
Miami allowed 17-10-15 points in its wins, 31-24-16-31-28-30 in losses.
Miami was 21-36 on 3rd down last three games, with Tagovailoa back at QB.
Tagovailoa is 34-23 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 6-2-1
Opponents’ team total: under 5-4


Miami is 0-4 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Last four weeks, Dolphins outscored foes 43-19 in 1st half, but went 1-3.
Dolphins are 26-19 ATS in last 45 games coming off a win.
Miami is 2-3 ATS TY in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Under is 3-2 in their home games.
AFC East home favorites are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Dolphins won 10 of last 13 series games.
Raiders are 1-5 SU/2-3-1 ATS in last six visits to Miami.
Over is 6-1 in last seven meetings.


Packers (-6.5) @ Bears
Packers (6-3)
Packers won four of last five games, scoring 25.2 ppg.
Green Bay’s three losses were 34-29/31-29/14-24.
Green Bay outscored last six foes 94-46 in second half.
Team total: over 5-4
Opponents’ team total: under 6-3


Green Bay is 3-10-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road favorite.
Packers are 9-6 ATS in last 15 NFC North road games.
Last two games, Green Bay gained 422-411 total yards.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Green Bay is 3-5-1 ATS in last nine post-bye games.
Last four games, Packers were outscored 40-9 in last 2:00 of half.


Bears (4-5)
Bears lost last three games, scoring 15-9-3 points.
Bears fired their offensive coordinator Monday.
Last two games, Bears were outscored 14-0 in second half.
Team total: under 5-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 7-2


Under Eberflus, Bears are 11-8-1 ATS at home.
Under Eberflus, Bears are 6-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Chicago is 2-10 ATS in last 12 NFC North home games.
Under Eberflus, Chicago is 11-13-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last four games, Chicago was +8 in turnovers (10-2).
Last six games, Bears are 18 of 71 on third down.


Green Bay won last 11 series games, covered last 10.
Packers are 8-1 SU/7-2 ATS in last nine visits to Chicago.
Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.


Falcons @ Broncos (-2.5)
Falcons (6-4)
Atlanta won five of its last seven games SU.
Falcons were held to 10-17-14-17 points in their losses.
Three of Falcons’ last four games stayed under the total.
Team total: under 3-1 last four
Opponents’ team total: over 4-2-1 last seven


Atlanta is 3-1 SU/ATS on road this season.
Falcons are 14-13 ATS in last 27 games as a road underdog.
Falcons are 3-5 ATS last eight games coming off a loss.
Falcons are 7-14 ATS last 21 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Cousins is 82-75-2 as an NFL starter.
Falcons are 3-8 ATS in last 11 games vs AFC teams.
NFC South road underdogs are 6-4 ATS in non-divisional games.


Broncos (5-5)
Denver lost its last two games, outscored 23-0 in 2nd half.
Last three weeks, Broncos converted 24-44 third down plays.
Denver is 4-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-5 if they score 20 or less.
Team total: over 5-4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 6-4


Denver is 2-0 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Since 2015, Denver is 16-26-4 ATS as a road underdog
In wins, Broncos are +5 in turnovers; in losses, minus-6.
Under Payton, Denver is 6-6 ATS coming off a loss.
Five of Broncos’ last six games went over the total.
AFC West home favorites are 9-4 ATS in non-division games.


Atlanta won four of last five meetings.
Falcons won two of last three visits to Denver.
Under is 3-1 in last four series games.


Seahawks @ 49ers (-6.5)
Seahawks (4-5)
Seahawks lost five of last six games, after a 3-0 start.
Seattle allowed 42-29-36-31-26 points in losses, 20 or less in wins.
Seahawks are 0-4 ATS last four post-bye games.
Team total: over 7-2
Opponents’ team total: over 7-2


QB Smith is 34-42 as an NFL starter, 22-23 with Seattle.
Last two games, Seahawks were outscored 40-14 in second half.
Seattle is 5-7 ATS in last 12 NFC West road games.
Over is 6-3 in their games this season.
Seattle turned ball over nine times in last four games (minus-4)


49ers (5-4)
49ers won their last two games, by 6-3 points.
49ers held last two opponents to 292-215 yards.
Last two games, 49ers outgained opponents, 882-507.
Team total: under 5-4
Opponents’ team total: over 6-2-1


49ers are 13-8 ATS last 21 games as a home favorite.
49ers are 2-4 when they run ball for less than 180 yards.
QB Purdy is 26-9 as an NFL starter.
San Francisco is +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.


49ers are 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five meetings.
Seahawks are 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS in last three visits to Santa Clara.
Under is 4-1-1 in last six series games.


Chiefs @ Bills (-2.5)
Chiefs (9-0)
Chiefs are 9-0, winning last three games by 7-6-2 points.
Last three games, Chiefs were held to 87.7 rushing yards/game.
Kansas City is 9-0 despite being minus-6 in turnovers.
Team total: over 4-1 last five
Opponents’ team total: under 6-3


In his career, Mahomes is 12-1-1 ATS as an underdog.
Chiefs are 12-19 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
QB Mahomes is 99-25 as an NFL starter.
Chiefs are 8-5 ATS last 13 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last seven games, Chiefs are 60-108 on third down.
Chiefs have outscored opponents 109-67 in second half.
Five of Chiefs’ last seven games stayed under the total.


Bills (8-2)
Bills won their last five games (4-1 ATS)
Buffalo gave up 35-23 points in its two losses (7-0 allow less than 23).
Buffalo outscored last five opponents 98-40 in second half.
Last six games, Bills are +8 in turnovers (12-4).
Team total: over 8-2
Opponents’ team total: under 6-4


Buffalo is 9-10-1 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite.
Bills are 28-20-1 ATS in last 49 games coming off a win.
QB Allen is 76-37 as an NFL starter.
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Bills are 17-5-1 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last five Buffalo games went over the total.
AFC East home favorites are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Road team won last four series games.
Chiefs won/covered their last four visits to Buffalo.
Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.


Bengals @ Chargers (-1.5)
Bengals (4-6)
Bengals gave up 35+ points in their last four losses.
Bengals are 4-1 if they allow 24 or fewer points, 0-5 if they allow more than 24.
Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.
Team total: over 6-4
Opponents’ team total: over 6-3-1


Bengals are 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
Bengals won three of last four road games SU.
Cincinnati is 21-11-1 ATS in last 33 games coming off a loss.
Bengals are 4-7-1 ATS in last 12 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in games decided by fewer than 7 points.
QB Burrow is 38-30-1 as an NFL starter.
AFC North road teams are 11-4 ATS in non-division games.


Chargers (6-3)
Chargers won/covered their last three games.
LA scored 22-26-23-26-27-27 points in wins, 10-10-15 in losses.
Last six games, Chargers outscored foes 108-36 in 1st half.
Team total: over 6-3
Opponents’ team total: under 6-2-1


Chargers are 11-9-1 ATS last 20 games as home favorites.
Last five games, opponents are 16-60 on third down.
Chargers are 16-18-4 ATS in last 38 games coming off a win.
QB Herbert is 36-36 as an NFL starter.
Under is 7-2 in their first nine games.
AFC West favorites are 9-4 ATS in non-divisional games.


Chargers won last three series games.
Bengals covered last five road series games.
Under is 5-1 in last five meetings.


Monday’s game
Texans
(-7.5) @ Cowboys
Texans (6-4)
Houston lost 3 of last 4 games, all decided by 4 or fewer points.
Texans have five wins by 6 or fewer points.
Last five games, Texans are 2-3, despite being +10 in turnovers.
Houston lost 26-23 LW, after leading 23-7 at halftime.
Team total: under 7-3
Opponents’ team total: under 4-1-1 last six


Texans are 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS on road this year
Houston is 8-4 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 16-11 as an NFL starter.
Last three weeks, Texans were outscored 60-19 in second half.
Texans are 7-15-2 ATS in last 24 games vs NFC opponents.
AFC South favorites are 4-6 ATS in non-divisional games.


Cowboys (3-6)
Dallas lost last four games, giving up 47-30-27-34 points.
Cowboys are 0-6 when they allow more than 17 points.
Last four games, Cowboys gave up 16 TD’s on 42 drives.
Dallas is 11-8 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
Team total: under 5-1 last six
Opponents’ team total: over 5-4


Since 2021, Dallas is 1-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Backup QB Rush is 5-2 as an NFL starter (most starts, 2022).
Cowboys averaged 1.5 yards/pass attempt last week.
Cowboys allowed 2.7/6.8/4.3 yards/pass attempt in their wins.
Over is 3-1 in Dallas home games this season.
Dallas is 8-5 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC opponents.


Dallas is 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS in last five series games.
Texans lost last three visits to Dallas, by 28-4-3 points.
Five of last six meetings stayed under the total.
 

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THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 14

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
WAS at PHI08:15 PMPHI -3.5
O 48.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NFL BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11142024.....................1 - 1 - 0.....................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/11/2024...................1 - 1 - 0.....................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/10/2024.................3 - 14 - 0.....................17.64%......................- 62.00
11/07/2024...................2 - 0 - 0...................100.00%......................+ 10.00
11/04/2024...................1 - 1 - 0.....................50.00%......................- 0.50
11/03/2024...................9 - 5 - 1.....................64.28%......................+ 17.50

TOTALS......................17 - 22 - 1.....................43.58%......................- 36.00
 

Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack:
Six college basketball teams with most experience in country:
1- Ole Miss
2- Kansas
3- Xavier
4- Kentucky
5- Nevada
6- Memphis

Quote of the Day
“I’m kind of an asshole when I’m bored. I don’t have enough hobbies. I just think I can be irritable. … For me, I don’t know how I’d be not having a team, not having a purpose for a year. And if there’s a couple opportunities, or an opportunity that kind of grabs my heart, then I need to take advantage of that.”
DePaul basketball coach Chris Holtmann, on why he took over a struggling program

Friday’s quiz
Who was head coach of the Washington Redskins/Commanders last time they won a playoff game?

Thursday’s quiz
Washington Commanders QB Jayden Daniels played college football for Arizona State and LSU.

Wednesday’s quiz
Klay Thompson played his college basketball at Washington State

******************************************

Friday’s Den: College basketball knowledge.…….

College basketball teams that will be interesting to follow this year…….

— Connecticut
UConn won last two national titles, winning title games by 17-15 points.
Huskies were first team since Florida (2006/2007) to win consecutive titles.
Last team to win 3+ consecutive national titles? UCLA, from 1967-73
UConn lost four starters from LY; they’re #199 in experience this year.

— Arkansas
Hard to process, but John Calipari is now the Arkansas coach.
Arkansas was in 3 of last 4 NCAA’s, making two Elite 8’s and a Sweet 16 under Eric Musselman.
Calipari hasn’t made the Sweet 16 since 2019.
Hogs are #232 in experience, #327 in continuity; Calipari is used to that.

— USC
Speaking of Musselman, he is now the Trojans’ coach, as they join the Big 18.
This year’s Trojans are #31 in experience, #349 in continuity; 10 transfers.
USC is 3-0; they struggled to beat Texas-Arlington 98-95 Wednesday.

— Southern Methodist
Andy Enfield bolted USC for SMU and ACC; Dallas is nowhere near the Atlantic Ocean.
Mustangs are #29 in experience, #209 in continuity; Enfield’s teams usually defend well.
So far, SMU scored 93 ppg in beating three stiffs (schedule #331)

Whats left of the Pac-12? (they’re playing in WCC this year)
Oregon State went 11-49 in Pac-12 the last three years, after an Elite 8 in 2021.
Seven players bolted the Beavers’ program after last season.
This year, OSU is 3-0 vs schedule #322; they’ve continuity team #260.

Washington State
New league, new coach, new players after Coogs went 25-10 last year.
David Riley is the new coach; he went 31-5 in the Big Sky last two years.
Wazzu has only one guy back from LY; they’ve scored 97 ppg in a 3-0 start.

— Villanova
Wildcats made Final Four three years ago, then Jay Wright abruptly retired.
Since then, Villanova is 37-35, 20-20 in conference games, 0-0 in NCAA’s.
This year, Villanova is #34 in experience, #261 in continuity; lot of transfers.
Wildcats are 2-2 this year, with losses to Columbia/St Joe’s. No bueno.

Famous birthdays, November 15th:
Sam Waterston, 84
Bob Dandridge, 77
Greg Anthony, 57
Sasha Pavlovic, 41
Asia Kate Dillon, 40
Trevor Story, 32
Karl-Anthony Towns, 29
Wyatt Langford, 23

— Fresno State
68-year old Vance Walberg is the coach; he coached Pepperdine (2006-08), was an NBA assistant for four years, was a high school coach the last eight years, at a school five miles from the Fresno State campus.
Fresno hasn’t been in NCAAs since 2016; they’ve got only two players back from last year, but Walberg recruiting last year’s junior college player of the year, so they’ve got talent. Bulldogs lost an 82-possession game 91-86 in Santa Barbara Wednesday. Walberg’s teams play fast.

— Seton Hall
Shaheen Holloway led Saint Peter’s to the Elite 8 three years ago; his 2nd Seton Hall team was 25-12 last year, 13-7 in Big East but they didn’t make the NCAA’s.
So far this year, Seton Hall has scored only 53.7 ppg in a 1-2 start, losing to Fordham/Hofstra. Pirates are experience team #88, continuity team #240; they’ve got three top 100 games before Big East play starts December 17.

— Louisville
Pat Kelsey is Louisville’s 5th coach in nine years; they went 11-49 in the ACC the last three years and haven’t made the NCAA’s since 2019. Kelsey’s teams have been in three of last four NCAA tournaments, at Winthrop/Charleston— his teams play fast.
This year’s Cardinals are experience team #9, continuity team #350— Kelsey pounded the transfer portal. Louisville split its first two games, forcing turnovers 28.9% of the time. Won’t be long before Louisville is back in the field of 68.

— St John’s
Rick Pitino was Louisville’s coach the last time they won an NCAA game, in 2017.
St John’s hasn’t won an NCAA game since 2000; this year’s Red Storm is experience team #91, continuity team #264- they’ve beaten three stiffs, by 32-23-21 points.
Pitin0 is a great coach; he plays his son’s New Mexico team Sunday, then has three more top 100 games before Big East games start. Chances are St John’s will be in March Madness for the first time since 2019.

— Richard Pitino’s New Mexico Lobos are playing the fastest tempo in America so far this year; Lobos are 3-0 with a win over UCLA- they’ve forced turnovers 24.6% of time (#30). Lobos were in NCAA’s last year for first time since 2014.

— Siena had its first losing season in six years last year, but they fired the coach anyway and hired Syracuse assistant Gerry McNamara- the rumor was he could add some boosters to help Siena’s NIL situation, which wasn’t good.
McNamara’s best recruit might be special assistant Brian Beaury, who won 654 games at St Rose, a Division II team in Albany (the school went out of business LY). Beaury is a great coach who will help a rookie head coach.
Siena is off to a 3-0 start, beating Brown/Bryant in overtime; they’re #19 in country on offensive boards, #301 on the defensive end. Saints are #349 in experience, #331 in continuity.

— Steve Alford’s Nevada Wolf Pack is #5 in experience, #107 in continuity; they’ve scored 80.7 ppg in their 3-0 start, making 49.1% of their 3’s, best in the country so far. Nevada was 25-11 in the Mountain West the last two years and figure to contend there again this year.
 

Cnotes53

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Six college basketball teams playing the fastest tempo so far:
1- New Mexico
2- Portland State
3- Arizona
4- Kennesaw State
5- Bryant
6- Cal-Northridge

Quote of the Day
“It is your character, and your character alone, that will make your life happy or unhappy. That is all that really passes for destiny…..…others can encourage you to make the right choices or discourage you, but you choose.”
John McCain

Saturday’s quiz
From 1967-73, UCLA won March Madness every year; what team beat them and ended their streak in the 1974 national semi-finals?

Friday’s quiz
Joe Gibbs was head coach of the Washington Redskins/Commanders last time they won a playoff game, in 2005; Mark Brunell was the QB.

Thursday’s quiz
Washington Commanders QB Jayden Daniels played college football for Arizona State and LSU.

************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a fall Friday…….

— Marquette 78, Maryland 74
Maryland led by six points early in second half.
Visiting Marquette was 18-24 on foul line, Terps were 9-14.
Marquette played nine guys double figure minutes; quality depth.

— Purdue 87, Alabama 78
Alabama was 9-29 on the arc, Purdue 9-16
Crimson Tide led by 6 with 11:00 left in game.
Purdue only had 3 turnovers in a 68-possession game.

— Virginia 70, Villanova 60
Cavaliers made 14-25 shots behind the arc. Impressive.
Virginia didn’t play any seniors in this game.
Villanova started five seniors; they’re 0-3 vs teams in the top 250.

— Butler 81, SMU 70
Butler shot 46.2% on the arc, 37.1% inside the arc.
Bulldogs had six players score in double figures.
SMU’s Harris scored 21 points in 30:00; he didn’t start.

— Florida 87, Florida State 74
Gators shot 66.7% inside arc.
Senior G Clayton was 4-10 on arc, scored 25 points.
Florida has a 7-foot-9 freshman who will redshirt this year. 7-foot-9.

— Michigan 76, TCU 64
Wolverines won despite being minus-9 (21-12) in turnovers.
TCU shot 34.4% from the floor, scored 0.88 points/possession.
Horned Frogs are #90 in experience, #330 in continuity; lot of transfers.

— Charleston 119, Florida Atlantic 116, 2OT
Charleston led by 13 with 6:47 left in regulation.
Cougars were 15-30 on arc; FAU was 16-29.
93-possession game; five guys who didn’t start scored in double figures.

— Tennessee-Martin and Oregon State have the most foreign players on their team this season; both teams have players from nine different countries.

Famous birthdays, November 16th:
Herb Washington, 73
Marg Helgenberger, 66
Dwight Gooden, 60
Maggie Gyllenhaal, 47
Amare Stoudemire, 42
Denzel Valentine, 31
Jason Sanders, 29
Grayson Rodriguez, 25

— Colorado State 24, Wyoming 10
Favored Rams led 14-0 after the first quarter.
Colorado State is 7-3, 5-0 in Mountain West games.
Rams averaged 11 yards/pass attempt.

— Texas-San Antonio 48, North Texas 27
Roadrunners led 27-7 at halftime.
There were five TD plays of 39+ yards in this game.
Both teams are 5-5, both need a win to be bowl eligible.

— East Carolina 38, Tulsa 31
ECU scored two TD’s in last 5:30 of game; they’re 6-4 and bowl eligible.
Pirates ran ball for 222 yards, survived having 125 penalty yards.

Movie of the Day: The Verdict (1982)- An alcoholic lawyer sees the chance to salvage his career and self-respect by taking a medical malpractice case to trial rather than settling, even though his client was offered a hefty settlement.
Paul Newman is the lawyer, Jack Warden is his friend, James Mason is the opposing lawyer.
Very good movie, albeit a little dated now. Paul Newman’s character plays pinball on those cool old-fashioned pinball machines that used to be in bars.

— Tampa Bay Rays will play next season in Tampa, but at the spring training home of the Bronx Bombers. Rays actually have to pay their division rivals $15M to use the facility, because Tropicana Field was wrecked by by a hurricane last month.

— Los Angeles Angels added utility man Kevin Newman for one year, $2.5M; they’ve also added P Kyle Hendricks, C Travis d’Arnaud- they’ve been the busiest baseball team this off-season.

— Pitcher Cole Irvin signed a $1M contract with the Doosan Bears of the KBO; $1M is the most a first-year player can make in Korea.
Irvin is 28-40, 4.54 in 93 MLB starts over six seasons for four teams.

— Cal Poly in the Big West appears to be a vastly improved team; they went 65-202 the last nine years, going 4-65 in conference games the last four years, but the 2-2 so far this year, with 75-71 win over Seattle, plus respectable losses to San Francisco, Cal.
Mike DeGeorge is the new coach; his teams play a faster style, which should help recruiting.

— Mentioned on Tuesday how November 13 was Felix Unger Day, in reference to the great TV show The Odd Couple. Turns out that Garry Marshall’s birthday was November 13; he was one of the show’s writers, and a creative genius with an amazing resume of movies to his credit.

Eagles 26, Commanders 18
Commanders led 10-6 after the third quarter.
Eagles’ first five drives: 30 plays, 177 yards, no points.
Eagles rest of game: 43 plays, 350 yards, 26 points.
Eagles won 12 of last 14 series games.
Philly was 9-16 on third down, Commanders 3-12.
Eagles outgained Washington, 434-264
Last five games, Washington was outscored 67-36 in 2nd half.
Commanders are 4-7 ATS in last 11 NFC East road games.
 

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack:
Six highest-paid pitchers last season
:
— Max Scherzer
— Justin Verlander
— Jacob deGrom
— Gerrit Cole
— Patrick Corbin
— Steven Strasburg

Those six pitchers combined to make $233M this year, but won only 21 games.

Quote of the Day
“Yes. Without hesitation, yes. He has something you can’t draw up, reminds me a lot of our other tight end, he’s the head coach up at Detroit right now.”
Cowboys owner Jerry Jones, touting Jason Witten as a potential NFL coach

Sunday’s quiz
Who was UNLV’s football coach the last time they won a bowl game?
Hint: He also was a head coach in the NFL

Saturday’s quiz
From 1967-73, UCLA won March Madness every year; in 1974, NC State beat them at the Final Four and ended their streak.

Friday’s quiz
Joe Gibbs was head coach of the Washington Redskins/Commanders last time they won a playoff game, in 2005; Mark Brunell was the QB.

************************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

— Georgia 31, Tennessee 17

Tennessee led 10-0 after the first quarter.
Game was 17-17 at half; Vols didn’t score in 2nd half.
Vols were 10-17 on third down, Georgia 8-13.
Dawgs have now won eight in a row against Tennessee.

— Clemson 24, Pittsburgh 20
QB Klubnik ran 50 yards for game-winning TD with 1:16 left.
Up to that point, Clemson had 8 yards rushing for the whole game.
Clemson led 17-7 at halftime.
WR Williams caught 13 passes for 149 yards, two TD’s.

— Oregon 16, Wisconsin 13
Ducks kicked a 24-yard field goal with 2:36 left.
Wisconsin led this game 10-6 at halftime.
Oregon outgained the Badgers, 354-226.

— USC 28, Nebraska 20
QB Maiava threw for 259 yards, 3 TD’s in his first start for USC.
Nebraska was on USC’s 5-yard line in the last few seconds, but didn’t score.
Both teams are 5-5, need a win to become bowl eligible.
Nebraska hasn’t been to a bowl since 2016; they’ve lost their last eight games that could’ve made them bowl eligible, with seven of those losses by 8 or fewer points.

— Stanford 38, Louisville 35
Stanford kicked a 52-yard field goal as time expired.
Cardinal’s win snaps a six-game losing skid.
Louisville led 35-21 with 7:00 left in the game.

— South Carolina 34, Missouri 30
QB Sellers ran 15 yards for game-winning TD with 0:15 left.
Mizzou had taken lead on a 37-yard TD pass with 1:10 left.
Gamecocks averaged 11.8 yards/pass attempt.

— Florida 27, LSU 16
Game was 10-10 at halftime.
Gators had lost five games in a row against LSU.
LSU lost its third straight game overall, by 15-29-11 points.

Upsets of the Week:
Stanford (+20.5) 38, Louisville 35
Louisiana Tech (+12.5) 12, Western Kentucky 7
New Mexico (+11.5) 38, Washington State 35

Syracuse (+10) 33, California 25
Arizona State (+7.5) 24, Kansas State 14
Troy (+7.5) 28, Georgia Southern 20

South Alabama (+7) 24, Louisiana 22
Rutgers (+5.5) 31, Maryland 17
Florida (+3.5) 27, LSU 16

— Temple 18, Florida Atlantic 15 OT
FAU led 7-6 after the third quarter.
Temple kicker Trujillo made four field goals.
FAU forced OT on a TD/2-point play with 0:34 left.

— Sam Houston 23, Kennesaw State 17 OT
8-2 Bearkats outgained 1-9 Kennesaw 382-243.
San Houston was 8-17 on third down, Owls 3-13.
Kennesaw tied game on a 9-yard TD pass with 0:25 left.

— SMU 38, Boston College 28
Surprising Mustangs improve to 9-1, with seven straight wins.
QB Jennings threw for 298 yards, three TD’s.
Boston College QB James threw for 237 yards in his first college start.

— Baylor 49, West Virginia 35
Hope you bet the over; it was 35-28 at halftime.
Baylor won its 4th straight game, scoring 59-38-37-49 points.
This was Baylor’s first win in seven visits to Morgantown.

— Liberty 35, UMass 34, OT
UMass led 20-7 at halftime.
Minutemen missed a 43-yard FG at end of regulation.
UMass scored first in OT, but missed the PAT.

— Famous birthdays, November 17
Martin Scorsese, 82
Lauren Hutton, 81
Danny DeVito, 80

Adrian Branch, 61
Reggie Wayne, 46
Nick Markakis, 41

Ryan Braun, 41
Seth Lugo, 35
Minkah Fitzpatrick, 28

College basketball from Saturday…….
— Missouri State 111, Tulsa 106, 3OT
Bears were 32-51 on foul line, Tulsa 30-44.
Tulsa led by 5 points in the first OT.
Martin scored 18 points in 44:00 for Missouri State; he didn’t start.

— Bucknell 80, Richmond 76, 2OT
Richmond led 35-14 late in first half.
Spiders are 0-3 vs D-I teams, shooting 23.9% on the arc.

— Radford 92, Evansville 81
Purple Aces led 50-28 late in first half.
Evansville shot 17-35 on the arc, Radford 10-19.

— East Carolina 78, George Mason 77, 2OT
ECU was down 75-71 with 2:17 left in 2nd overtime.
East Carolina had 24 offensive rebounds; they only played 7 guys more than 5:00

— Syracuse 104, Youngstown State 95, 2OT
Penguins led by 9 early in second half.
Teams combined to shoot 13-53 on the arc.
 
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