Cnotes53 2017 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News Thru Playoffs !

[Cnotes53]

Hoop Trends - Tuesday
March 13, 2018

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Spurs are 12-0-1 ATS (10.23 ppg) as a 8+ favorite coming off a game as a dog.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Wizards are 12-0-2 OU (12.04 ppg) with rest off a road loss in which they never led.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pelicans are 0-11 ATS (-10.14 ppg) as a home favorite off a loss as a dog in which Anthony Davis had a double double.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Jazz are 10-0-1 ATS (13.36 ppg) at home coming off a win in a road game where they were outscored in the paint by double digits.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Jazz are 11-0 ATS (13.41 ppg) off a game as a favorite in which Donovan Mitchell was not the high scorer.

-- The Hornets are 0-10 ATS (-11.00 ppg) as a dog off a win where Kemba Walker attempted more three pointers than two pointers.

 

[Cnotes53]

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Last night's ATS Records
NBA: 3-3 | NCAA BB: 3-2
I had plays on every CollegeInsider Tournament contest and already caught a tough loss you can credit March madness for. The college lock came in and both CIT totals hit, but the NBA guarantee came up short. Here is Monday's recap, complete with some of the highlights (and lowlights):

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx SELECTION

The pick: Jazz -8
I hope Stan Van Gundy gets a crack at coaching the team he's helped put together when the Pistons shake up their current structure this offseason, but right now, it's unfair to expect much out of his team. Reggie Bullock joins Stanley Johnson in being hampered by back issues, so an already thin wing rotation is hurting. Reggie Jackson is close to returning, but his continued absence means Ish Smith, Jameer Nelson and Dwight Buycks continue in his place. Watching Brandon Jennings go off last night in his NBA return with the Bucks probably didn't sit too well with Detroit fans. Look for the Jazz to roll to a seventh straight win here. They've won the last four by double-digits and will do so again. Ride Utah and lay the points.

xxxxxxxxxxx SELECTION

The pick: Bucks -7.5
Slowly but surely, Jabari Parker is working the rust off his game and becoming a factor as new head coach Joe Prunty gets to work on experimenting with putting his best lineups out there. The Bucks have been terrible against the spread of late, covering just one of their last eight games in a 2-9 run since Feb. 13, but have won and covered in their last three games as a road favorite and should control a game against a Grizzlies team that is been held 280 or fewer points and their last two contests. Ride Milwaukee.

Result: Milwaukee hooked up the freebie fans with a stress-free 121-103 rout in Memphis. It's on you if there were nervous mements when the Grizzlies closed within six with 6:30 to go, but you shouldn't be so skittish. The Bucks outscored Memphis 24-12 from that point to win 121-103. Brandon Jennings returned to the NBA with 16 points, eight boards and 12 assists in under 24 minutes of action. Anyone offering odds on him getting a second 10-day contract?

MONDAY'S LOCK

The pick: San Diego -9.5
Although USD head coach Lamont Smith resigned due to a sexual assault investigation, he ultimately wasn't charged. It sounds like the school is moving on, but his acquittal should make it easier for players to turn the page and this tournament offers a nice opportunity. The Torerors were fantastic at the Jenny Craig Pavilion this season and get a Hartford squad with limited depth that had to fly cross-country for this CIT opener. If John Carroll or J.R. Lynch get into foul trouble, this will get ugly. Ride San Diego -9.5, guaranteed.

Result: Hartford showed up ready to play, which kept the Toreros sharp early and allowed them to find a rhythm they sustained throughout despite top scorer Isaiah Pineiro landing in foul trouble. Six scored in double-figures as San Diego won 88-72.

LOCK THAT DIDN'T CLICK

The pick: Spurs/Rockets OVER 209.5
The Spurs will be relying on a team-based approach to offense without LaMarcus Aldridge in the mix, so Rudy Gay will likely have to be aggressive and isn't at 100% to trust in that role yet. With Manu Ginobili resting and Kawhi Leonard not debuting until later in the week, the Spurs are extremely vulnerable heading into Houston, where a fan base that hasn't seen its team in a while is set to pack the house for a rivalry game. With James Harden back, the Rockets are going to find easy offense and proved in Dallas that this road trip hasn't done anything to cool off their strokes or tire their legs. The Spurs are going to have to score to hang around, which means they can't slow the game down to have any shot. Ride the over, guaranteed.

Result: I wound up splitting here since the Rockets covered, but the Spurs getting so bogged down early doomed this play. Houston held San Antonio to 67 points through three quarters and 40.7 percent shooting for the evening.

BAD BEAT BULLETIN

The pick: Drake -8.5
Abilene Christian found out that it would make its postseason debut a few days ago since they didn't qualify for even the Southland Tourney. The Wildcats are extremely limited in terms of depth, so they can't afford Jalone Friday or Jaren Lewis landing in foul trouble. Keeping both out against a team that can attack proficiently is unlikely, so expect Reed Timmer to be able to close out a double-digit win down the stretch, keeping Abilene Christian from hanging around. Ride Drake -8.5.

Result: Friday did land in foul trouble and the Bulldogs pulled away in the second half, reaching the 2:00 mark up by 10 after a Nick McGlynn layup. Abilene Christian than forced OT with a 10-0 run highlighted by sloppy Drake turnovers. Drake won in OT, but it finished 80-73.


TOTAL RECALL

The pick: Liberty/North Carolina A&T UNDER 141
This is an awfully high total for a Ritchie McKay-coached team, especially given the fact that unlike many MEAC teams, the Aggies don't prefer to run at all costs. They have bigs who can at least make their presence felt down low, so unless we get a bad whistle, I don't see these teams combining to reach this total. Ride the under in this CIT contest.

Result: This wasn't in doubt after the opening tip-off, and at one point, I think the Flames caught fire -- sorry -- and hit seven straight shots. Liberty won 65-52.

UPSET CITY

The pick: IPFW -5
The Mastodons have a huge edge here, getting to roll out of bed ready to play this morning in their home gym against a team that is going to run with them. On TV, too. Look for a wide open game in this CIT opener, which you can watch on CBS College Sports Network. Ride IPFW and the over for the in-game parlay.

Result: Central Michigan pulled off the first upset of the week, claiming the first postseason tourney game 94-89 in Fort Wayne. The Mastodons had their chances to take control, but missed too many wide open 3-point looks they typically make.

SWING AND A MISS

The pick: Heat +7
The Heat know they have to push tempo to stay engaged in Portland given how well Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum are playing, so look for the faster pace that prevailed against Washington to be in play here, especially with Hassan Whiteside and Dwyane Wade, both ball-stoppers, sidelined here. The Heat should hang around. Take the points with Miami and ride the over for the in-game parlay.

Result: Miami made a late run, but was largely overwhelmed by Portland's Damian Lillard and Jusuf Nurkic in a 115-99 loss. Those two combined for 59 points to lead the Trail Blazers to their league-best 10th consecutive win.

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, MARCH 13
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

IND at PHI
IND +6.5
O 211.5

MIN at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -3.5
O 218.0

TOR at BK 07:30 PM
TOR -9.0
U 219.0

DAL at NY 07:30 PM
DAL +1.0
O 216.0

OKC at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL +6.5

LAC at CHI 08:00 PM
CHI +7.0
U 225.5

CHA at NO 08:00 PM
CHA +5.0
U 230.0

ORL at SA 08:30 PM
SA -10.5
U 201.5

DET at UTA 09:00 PM
UTA -8.5
U 195.5

CLE at PHO 10:00 PM
PHO +7.5
O 230.0

DEN at LAL 10:30 PM
DEN -2.0
O 230.5

 

[Cnotes53]

Turner helps Pacers beat 76ers 101-98
March 13, 2018

PHILADELPHIA (AP) Myles Turner scored 25 points, including two clutch free throws with 21.5 seconds remaining, and the Indiana Pacers beat the Philadelphia 76ers 101-98 on Tuesday night in a possible Eastern Conference playoff preview.

Thaddeus Young added 19 points and 10 rebounds for the surprising Pacers (40-28), who overcame an off shooting night by leading scorer Victor Oladipo to win their third straight and improve to a season-high 12 games over .500. They were coming off a 99-97 victory at Boston on Sunday night.

Joel Embiid had 29 points and 12 rebounds and Ben Simmons finished with 10 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists for the 76ers (36-30), who had won 13 straight home games.

TIMBERWOLVES 116, WIZARDS 111

WASHINGTON (AP) - Minnesota star Karl-Anthony Towns recovered from a shot to the mouth that left him down on the court and finished with 37 points and 10 rebounds.

Towns shot 13 for 17, including making all three of his 3-point attempts, and showed no ill effects after getting knocked in the face with about a minute left in the first half.

A 20-3 run capped by an inside basket from Andrew Wiggins off Towns' assist put Minnesota up 105-98 with less than 5 1/2 minutes to go. After the Wizards got within 111-109, Towns sank a corner 3 with 29 seconds left to push the visitors' lead back up to five.

Markieff Morris led Washington with a season-high 27 points, and Bradley Beal added 19.

THUNDER 119, HAWKS 107

ATLANTA (AP) - Russell Westbrook picked up the 100th triple-double of his career, and the Thunder used a 16-0 run late in the fourth quarter to pull away from the Hawks.

Westbrook scored 32 points, dished out 12 assists and grabbed 12 rebounds to become the third-fastest player to reach the milestone. Only Oscar Robertson (277 games) and Magic Johnson (656) got to No. 100 quicker than Westbrook, who accomplished the feat in his 736th contest.

Taurean Prince led the Hawks with 25 points.

RAPTORS 116, NETS 102

NEW YORK (AP) - Jonas Valanciunas had 26 points and 14 rebounds, and Toronto earned its ninth straight win.

DeMar DeRozan and reserve Fred VanVleet scored 15 points apiece, and Kyle Lowry added 11 points and 11 assists for the Eastern Conference-leading Raptors, who held Brooklyn to 35 points after halftime and won a franchise record-tying seventh straight road game.

D'Angelo Russell hit his first seven shots - all 3-pointers - and scored 24 points in the first quarter for the Nets, who have lost 11 straight to the Raptors. Russell finished with 32 points, and Rondae Hollis-Jefferson scored 19.

JAZZ 110, PISTONS 79

SALT LAKE CITY (AP) - Rudy Gobert had 22 points and 12 rebounds, sending Utah to its seventh consecutive victory.

The Jazz had six players score in double figures. Joe Ingles added 17 points, seven assists and seven rebounds, and Jonas Jerebko had 16 points and eight rebounds.

Luke Kennard scored 18 points and Andre Drummond had 13 points and 11 rebounds for the Pistons, who have lost 11 of 14.

Donovan Mitchell hit a buzzer-beating 3-pointer to end the third quarter and put the Jazz ahead 81-51.

PELICANS 119, HORNETS 115

NEW ORLEANS (AP) - Anthony Davis had 31 points, 14 rebounds and five blocked shots, leading New Orleans to the victory.

Rajon Rondo added 12 points and 17 assists and Jrue Holiday highlighted a 25-point, nine-assist performance with 10 points in the final 2:39, starting with a 3 that put the Pelicans in front.

Holiday's second 3 in that stretch widened New Orleans' lead to five points with 1:19 to go and he added a driving finger roll that made it 117-110 with 30 seconds left. The Pelicans had dropped two in a row.

Dwight Howard had 22 points, 11 rebounds and three blocked shots for Charlotte, while Kemba Walker added 22 points.

MAVERICKS 110, KNICKS 97

NEW YORK (AP) - Harrison Barnes scored 30 points, and the Mavericks handed the Knicks their eighth straight loss.

Dallas couldn't stop New York early, and then dominated the second half to win for the third time in four games, with only a loss to NBA-leading Houston in that stretch.

Rookie Dennis Smith Jr. added 17 points for the Mavs and Dirk Nowitzki had 13.

Michael Beasley scored 21 and Tim Hardaway Jr. had 19 for the Knicks, who got a visit from Kristaps Porzingis before the game and then showed again that they have no hope of winning without him. They lost for the 16th time in 17 games, most coming since their All-Star forward tore his left ACL on Feb. 6.

CLIPPERS 112, BULLS 106

CHICAGO (AP) - DeAndre Jordan dominated with 29 points and 18 rebounds, leading the Clippers to the road win.

Lou Williams scored 26 and Tobias Harris had 18 points for Los Angeles, which took control late in the third quarter on the way to its fifth win in six games.

Bobby Portis led Chicago with 19 points and nine rebounds. Kris Dunn added 18 points and six assists. But with Lauri Markkanen sidelined by lower back spasms, the Bulls lost for the eighth time in 11 games.

SPURS 108, MAGIC 72

SAN ANTONIO (AP) - LaMarcus Aldridge scored 24 points, helping San Antonio stop a three-game slide.

The Spurs led 62-37 at halftime and extended that cushion to 39 entering the fourth quarter.

Patty Mills had 13 points for San Antonio, and Dejounte Murray, Danny Green and Pau Gasol each had 11.

Orlando has lost five straight and 12 of 14. Nikola Vucevic and Jonathon Simmons each had 10 points for the Magic.

 

[Cnotes53]

SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY MARCH 14, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:00 PM Milwaukee Bucks Orlando Magic Amway Center
8:00 PM Washington Wizards Boston Celtics TD Garden
10:00 PM Miami Heat Sacramento Kings Golden 1 Center
10:30 PM Los Angeles Lakers Golden State Warriors ORACLE Arena


*************************



March NBA Record:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/13/2018 13-8-0 61.90% +21.00
03/12/2018 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
03/11/2018 10-8-0 55.56% +6.00
03/10/2018 7-3-0 70.00% +18.50
03/09/2018 13-7-0 65.00% +26.50
03/08/2018 4-6-0 40.00% -13.00
03/07/2018 4-10-0 28.57% -35.00
03/06/2018 7-7-1 50.00% -3.50
03/05/2018 7-7-0 50.00% -3.50
03/04/2018 5-9-0 35.71% -24.50
03/03/2018 10-4-0 71.43% +28.00
03/02/2018 9-10-0 47.37% -10.00
03/01/2018 6-2-0 83.00% +19.00

Totals.............98 - 84........53.84%....+68.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Some prop bets for the NCAA tournament; wins by conference:

? ACC? 14 wins

? Big East? 8.5 wins

? Big X? 8.5 wins

? #1 seeds? 11.5 wins

? #2 seeds? 10.5 wins

? #3 seeds? 8 wins


**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings??.

13) Minnesota Vikings made their decision; they give Kirk Cousins $84M for three years, all fully guaranteed, to be their QB. Cousins has a 26-30-1 career W-L record, 0-1 in playoffs.

12) Minnesota went 11-3 with Case Keenum at QB LY; Keenum signed with the Broncos on Monday; he threw for 3,547 yards and 22 TD?s last season.

11) Drew Brees re-signed with the Saints; he turned down $60M guaranteed from someone else (Cardinals? Vikings?) before deciding to stay in New Orleans.

10) Cardinals gave oft-injured QB Sam Bradford $20 ($15M guaranteed) for one year. As a long-time Ram fan, I endorse the Keenum signing; the Bradford signing? Not so much.

9) Jets signed Teddy Bridgewater and re-signed Josh McCown, meaning they probably ain?t drafting another quarterback next month.

8) Gonzaga lost the national title game 71-65 last April, ending an odd run to the Final Four- they were 1-4-1 vs spread in their NCAA tournament games last spring.

7) Florida made the Elite 8 in each of its last five NCAA tournaments- hard to do that.

6) Since 2010, Villanova is 5-2 in its first-round games, 1-4 in second round games; the one time they won in second round, they won national title two years ago.

5) Arkansas is probably glad just to be in a different region than North Carolina this year; last three times the Razorbacks made the NCAA?s, they lost to the Tar Heels in the second round. If they play UNC in this year?s tournament, it?ll be in the Final Four.

4) Why gambling on NIT/CBI/CIT games can be dicey; USC star Chimezie Metu sat out Trojans? NIT game Tuesday, for no reason except he didn?t want to get hurt. Not sure that Metu will get picked in the first round of the NBA Draft? he is a junior, so if he got hurt, he could come back to school next year, but it is a free country, and he chose not to play.

Late night update: With Metu sitting on bench, NC-Asheville played its heart out but fell short, losing 103-98 in double OT at USC- they led by six points in overtime.

3) Virginia loses its best guy off the bench, DeAndre Hunter for the season with a broken wrist.

2) Radford 71, LIU 61? Radford advances to play Villanova Thursday; no 16-seed has ever beaten a #1-seed. Last nine years, #16-seeds who won the play-in game are 7-11 vs spread in their next game, against a #1-seed.

1? St Bonaventure 65, UCLA 58? Season that started with shoplifting in China ended with an ugly loss on a Tuesday night in Dayton. Bruins turned ball over 20 times (-14), shot 10-30 on arc. Bonnies? Stocker was doubtful to play, then played all 40:00, scored 26 points- they won despite star Adams going 2-16 from the floor.

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 14

Bucks won six of last eight games with the Magic; they?re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Orlando. Four of last six series games stayed under. Milwaukee won its last two games after a 1-6 skid; they?re 7-1 this season as road favorites. Under is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Orlando are off an 0-5 road trip; they?re 8-3 vs spread in last 11 games as home underdogs. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Wizards/Celtics split their last eight meetings; Washington is 1-5 vs spread in last six visits to Boston. Seven of last nine series games went over. Wizards lost five of their last seven games; they?re 7-2 vs spread in last nine games as road underdogs. Six of their last eight games went under the total. Celtics won six of their last eight games; they?re 1-7 vs spread in last eight home games. Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.

Miami won eight of last ten games with the Kings; they?re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Sacramento. Eight of last ten series games went over. Heat won six of their last nine games; they?re 4-5 vs spread as road favorites. Seven of their last ten games went over. Sacramento lost seven of its last ten games; they?re 3-9 in last 12 games as home underdogs. Five of their last six games stayed under.

Golden State won its last six games with the Lakers but LA covered last three; Lakers are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Oakland. Last three series games went over. Lakers are 1-4 vs spread on road if they played night before; they won eight of last ten games, are 4-1 vs spread in last fie road games. Over is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. Golden State is 0-6 vs spread in its last six games; five of the six games stayed under.




NBA

Wednesday, March 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE @ ORLANDO
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 14 games on the road
Orlando is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games

WASHINGTON @ BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Boston is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Washington

MIAMI @ SACRAMENTO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 13 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games

LA LAKERS @ GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 8 games on the road
LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers


--------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 14


Milwaukee @ Orlando

Game 601-602
March 14, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
118.284
Orlando
114.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 4
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 8 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+8 1/2); Under

Washington @ Boston

Game 603-604
March 14, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
121.843
Boston
117.225
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 4 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-2); Under

Miami @ Sacramento

Game 605-606
March 14, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
122.749
Sacramento
111.326
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 11 1/2
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 6 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-6 1/2); Under

LA Lakers @ Golden State

Game 607-608
March 14, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
117.404
Golden State
127.522
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 10
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 7
225
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-7); Under




NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (36 - 31) at ORLANDO (20 - 48) - 3/14/2018, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (38 - 30) at BOSTON (46 - 21) - 3/14/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 12-5 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 11-6 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (36 - 32) at SACRAMENTO (21 - 47) - 3/14/2018, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (31 - 36) at GOLDEN STATE (51 - 16) - 3/14/2018, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-5 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 9-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
March 14, 2018

Game of the Night: Wizards (-3, 204 ?) at Celtics ? 8:00 PM EST

These two Eastern Conference squads played seven games in their second round playoff series last season with the home team winning each time. So of course the first two meetings this season have seen the road squad capturing victory in each instance. The Wizards (38-30 SU, 32-35-1 ATS) knocked off the Celtics on Christmas day, 111-103 as four-point underdogs at TD Garden, but Boston downed Washington in overtime in D.C. on February 8 by a 110-104 count as two-point favorites.

The Celtics (46-21 SU, 40-25-2 ATS) are the walking wounded currently as forward Marcus Smart is sidelined with a right thumb injury, while leading scorer Kyrie Irving will miss tonight?s contest with a sore left knee. On top of those injuries, forward Al Horford is questionable with an illness, as the Celtics try to rebound from a 99-97 home setback to the Pacers on Sunday as 4 ?-point favorites.

Washington travels to Beantown following a 116-111 home loss to Minnesota on Tuesday after blowing an eight-point lead going into the final quarter. Markieff Morris led the Wizards with 27 points, but Washington was outscored, 34-21 in the last 12 minutes of the game to drop to 2-9-1 ATS in the past 12 opportunities as a home favorite. The Wizards own a mediocre mark when playing with no rest at 5-6 SU/ATS, including a 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS mark on the road in this role.

Lake Night in Oakland

The Lakers (31-36 SU, 37-30 ATS) began the season at 11-27, but the Purple and Gold has rolled to a 20-9 record the past 29 games. The latest victory came against the Nuggets on Tuesday, 112-103 as two-point underdogs to improve to 12-1 in the previous 13 contests at Staples Center. Both Kyle Kuzma and Julius Randle posted exact 26-point and 13-rebound stat lines for Los Angeles, while knocking down 15 three-pointers.

Los Angeles travels up I-5 to face Golden State (51-16 SU, 28-38-1 ATS), who will be without several of its stars. Stephen Curry remains sidelined with an ankle injury suffered last week against San Antonio, while Draymond Green will sit with right shoulder soreness. The Warriors return home following a pair of road defeats at Portland and Minnesota, while Steve Kerr?s squad has failed to cover the number in six straight games.

The Lakers have cashed in all three matchups with the Warriors this season, including taking two of those games to overtime at Staples Center. In the most recent meeting at Oracle Arena in late December, the Warriors held off the Lakers, 113-106, but L.A. took home the money as 11 ?-point underdogs. All three games have sailed OVER the total, but the Warriors are currently on a 5-1 UNDER run.

Cold Road

The Heat (36-32 SU, 34-29-5 ATS) have received a boost since acquiring former franchise star Dwyane Wade by winning seven of eight home games. However, Miami has struggled on the highway by losing all five road games since Wade returned, while the Heat have dropped eight consecutive contests away from American Airlines Arena. The most recent setback came at Portland on Monday, 115-99 as six-point underdogs, while Wade and Hassan Whiteside each sat out due to injury.

Both players will sit again tonight as the Heat visit Sacramento (21-47 SU, 31-34-3 ATS), who posted a 3-2 record on its most recent homestand. The Kings are fresh off a pair of road losses at Denver and Oklahoma City, but managed a cover as 13 ?-point underdogs in Monday?s 106-101 defeat to the Thunder. Sacramento shocked Miami on January 25 as 9 ?-point ?dogs, 89-88, ending a six-game losing streak to the Heat dating back to 2015.

Out of Tricks

A brutal season for Orlando (20-48 SU, 32-35-1 ATS) hit a low point on Tuesday in a 108-72 setback at San Antonio as 10 ?-point underdogs. The Magic lost all five games on their road swing, while dropping eight consecutive contests away from central Florida since mid-February. Orlando has won two straight at home as the Magic try to extend that streak as the Bucks invade Amway Center.

Milwaukee (36-31 SU, 27-35-5 ATS) is riding a two-game hot streak following a 1-6 stretch as the Bucks blew out the hapless Grizzlies on Monday, 121-103. Since the start of February, the Bucks own a dreadful 6-12 ATS record, including a 3-7 ATS ledger as a favorite. Milwaukee has captured the first two matchups with Orlando this season, including a 111-104 road victory as five-point favorites on February 10.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 14
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIL at ORL 07:00 PM
ORL +10.0
O 207.0

WAS at BOS 08:00 PM
WAS -3.5
U 201.0

MIA at SAC 10:00 PM
MIA -6.5
U 207.0

LAL at GS 10:30 PM
LAL +6.0
U 224.0

 

[Cnotes53]

Warriors beat Lakers 117-106 despite missing 3 All-Stars
March 15, 2018

OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) Kevin Durant scored 26 points and the injury-plagued Golden State Warriors pulled away in the fourth quarter to beat the Los Angeles Lakers 117-106 on Wednesday night while missing Stephen Curry on his 30th birthday and their two other All-Stars.

Zaza Pachulia returned to the starting lineup for the first time since the All-Star break and had 10 points, 12 rebounds and five assists for the banged-up defending champions, who already had clinched a sixth straight playoff berth this week without playing.

Coach Steve Kerr's non-traditional, late-season starting lineup of Durant, Quinn Cook, Nick Young, Kevon Looney and Pachulia worked as the Warriors won their eighth straight home game.

Julius Randle had 22 points and 10 rebounds before fouling out late as the Lakers were without starting forward Kyle Kuzma because of a sprained right ankle. Los Angeles had won two straight and three of four. Isaiah Thomas added 20 points with five 3-poitners and seven assists, while Lonzo Ball dished out 11 assists.

WIZARDS 125, CELTICS 124, 2 OT

BOSTON (AP) - Bradley Beal scored 34 points, including a three-point play with 1:25 left in the second overtime, and Washington beat short-handed Boston.

Jayson Tatum missed a 3-pointer just before the buzzer that could have won it for the Celtics, who were without six players and missed several opportunities to put away the Wizards.

Otto Porter Jr. finished with 18 points and 11 rebounds. Markieff Morris scored 20 points, Ian Mahinmi added 14 and Tomas Satoransky had 10 points for Washington, which played the night before but still had enough energy at the end to rally past the weary Celtics, who blew a 20-point lead.

Boston patched together a lineup without All-Star point guard Kyrie Irving (knee) and center Al Horford (illness), two of the four regulars who were sidelined.

Marcus Morris led Boston with 31 points and pulled down 19 rebounds, but made a costly defensive error in the closing seconds of regulation. Terry Rozier added 21 points and nine assists, and Tatum scored 19 points for the Celtics.

MAGIC 126, BUCKS 117

ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) - Jonathon Simmons scored a career-high 35 points, D.J. Augustin added 32 and Orlando bounced back from an embarrassing defeat to beat Milwaukee.

Simmons was 7 of 12 from 3-point range and Augustin hit 6 of 9, three of them in the fourth quarter to help Orlando pull away.

Nikola Vucevic had 22 points, nine rebounds and nine assists for the Magic, who were routed 108-72 Tuesday night in San Antonio, their fifth straight loss.

Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 38 points for Milwaukee, which has lost seven of 10.

KINGS 123, HEAT 119, OT

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) - De'Aaron Fox made a layup at the buzzer to force overtime, Zach Randolph scored the first three points of the extra period and finished with 22, and Sacramento recovered after blowing a 16-point lead in the fourth quarter to beat Miami.

Randolph added a key block on Justise Winslow with 1:19 remaining in OT as Sacramento swept Miami for the first time since 2001-02.

That overshadowed an impressive night by Miami's Goran Dragic, who scored 11 straight points in the fourth quarter to fuel the Heat's comeback and matched his season high of 33 points. But Dragic missed a tying turnaround jumper with 20 seconds left in overtime, then stepped out of bounds with the ball with 12.3 remaining.

Randolph had the first three points in overtime with a free throw and 17-foot jumper. Fox made a short runner, Bogdan Bogdanovic hit a 28-foot 3-pointer and Buddy Hield added four free throws.

Hield finished with 24 points, Fox had 20 and Bogdanovic added 14 for Sacramento.

 

[Cnotes53]

SCHEDULE FOR THURSDAY MARCH 15, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:00 PM Toronto Raptors Indiana Pacers Bankers Life Fieldhouse
7:30 PM Charlotte Hornets Atlanta Hawks Philips Arena
7:30 PM Philadelphia 76ers New York Knicks Madison Square Garden
8:00 PM Chicago Bulls Memphis Grizzlies FedExForum
8:00 PM Los Angeles Clippers Houston Rockets Toyota Center
8:30 PM New Orleans Pelicans San Antonio Spurs AT&T Center
9:00 PM Detroit Pistons Denver Nuggets Pepsi Center
9:00 PM Phoenix Suns Utah Jazz Vivint Smart Home Arena
10:00 PM Cleveland Cavaliers Portland Trail Blazers Moda Center at the Rose Quarter

*********************

March NBA Record:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/14/2018 3-5-0 37.50% -12.50
03/13/2018 13-8-0 61.90% +21.00
03/12/2018 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
03/11/2018 10-8-0 55.56% +6.00
03/10/2018 7-3-0 70.00% +18.50
03/09/2018 13-7-0 65.00% +26.50
03/08/2018 4-6-0 40.00% -13.00
03/07/2018 4-10-0 28.57% -35.00
03/06/2018 7-7-1 50.00% -3.50
03/05/2018 7-7-0 50.00% -3.50
03/04/2018 5-9-0 35.71% -24.50
03/03/2018 10-4-0 71.43% +28.00
03/02/2018 9-10-0 47.37% -10.00
03/01/2018 6-2-0 83.00% +19.00

Totals.............101 - 89........53.15%....+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some prop bets for the NCAA tournament; wins by team: (Westgate SuperBook)

? wins for Villanova, 3.5 (under -$120)

? wins for Duke, 3 (under -$130)

? wins for Michigan State, 2.5 (under -$135)

? wins for Virginia, 4 (under -$140)

? wins for North Carolina 2.5 (under -$140)

? wins for Michigan 2 (under -$130


**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud??

13) USC star Chimezie Metu sat out the Trojans? NIT game Tuesday, because he doesn?t want to get hurt before the NBA Draft, which is in late June. This ignited a heated Twitter debate.

I?ll say this: Metu has the right to do as he pleases, it is a free country. But??.

In 2000, Kenyon Martin was the star of a Cincinnati team that was going to be a #1-seed in the NCAA?s, but in the first round of the C-USA tournament, he broke his leg and also injured knee ligaments, the kind of disastrous injury that Metu obviously fears now.

Long story short: Martin was still picked 1st in the NBA Draft that year; he played 15 years in the NBA, scored over 9,200 points and earned $113M in his career.

My opinion is that you should finish what you start, but thats just my opinion.

12) Klay Thompson has apparently broken his right thumb, will miss at least four games; he hasn?t missed more than five games in a season since he became a full-time starter.

11) Stupid new baseball rule: In minor league baseball this year, all extra innings will start with a runner on second base. I?m beginning to think the people who run baseball don?t like baseball.

10) Patrick Beilein is the 34-year old coach at LeMoyne, a D-II school in Syracuse; he is the son of Michigan coach John Beilein. It has been rumored that Patrick Beilein has already gotten three job offers from D-I schools this spring.

9) Ole Miss is going to hire Middle Tennessee State coach Kermit Davis, whose dad used to be the coach at Mississippi State. Rough couple weeks for the Blue Raiders, who got screwed out of an NCAA tournament bid and now are losing their coach of the last 16 years.

8) Memphis went 21-13 this year, but apparently they fired Tubby Smith this week and will hire Anfernee Hardaway as his replacement. John Calipari spoiled this fanbase forever; they ran Josh Pastner out of town after he went 166-73 with the Tigers and now they got rid of Tubby, whose career record is 597-302. Tough town.

7) Evansville fired Marty Simmons after 11 years and zero NCAA tournament bids; he went 25-9, 24-12 two and three years ago, but didn?t win Arch Madness so now he is unemployed.

6) Arizona Cardinals signed Mike Glennon as their backup QB, which is a good thing if they?re going to start Sam Bradford at QB this fall.

Bradford has a 34-45-1 W-L record in NFL, missing 48 games in his eight NFL seasons. He has a very bad knee that Mike Zimmer recently called ?degenerative.? He is not dependable.

5) There are 11 teams in this year?s NIT that would be favored over Syracuse on a neutral floor.

4) Toys ?r Us is closing its 800 stores in this country; that just sounds kind of sad.

3) Cleveland Browns? tackle Joe Thomas retired this week; the man played 10,363 consecutive snaps in the NFL without missing a play, which is astounding for an offensive lineman.

2) Saw a baseball shift this week I?ve never seen before; Kris Bryant is batting for the Cubs with a man on 3rd. San Diego put three infielders on the left side of the infield, and the 1B almost halfway to 2B. If Bryant hits the ball to the right side of the infield, not sure how they get him out, unless he hits it hard right at the first baseman.

1? Dee Gordon is playing centerfield for the Mariners this spring, at least he was until Robinson Cano strained a hamstring. Seattle?s TV guys were bragging on the Mariners? bullpen, so we?ll see how well they do this season.

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 15


Toronto @ Indiana

Game 701-702
March 15, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
127.508
Indiana
120.537
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 7
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-3 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ Atlanta

Game 703-704
March 15, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
111.508
Atlanta
109.491
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 5
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+5); Over

Philadelphia @ New York

Game 705-706
March 15, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
120.836
New York
107.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 13
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 9
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-9); Under

LA Clippers @ Houston

Game 707-708
March 15, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
121.060
Houston
129.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 8 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+11 1/2); Under

Chicago @ Memphis

Game 709-710
March 15, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
111.395
Memphis
110.418
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+2); Under

New Orleans @ San Antonio

Game 711-712
March 15, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
120.563
San Antonio
119.498
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 1
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 4
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+4); Under

Phoenix @ Utah

Game 713-714
March 15, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
103.892
Utah
127.381
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 23 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 12 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-12 1/2); Under

Detroit @ Denver

Game 715-716
March 15, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
114.966
Denver
119.763
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 5
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 8
216
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+8); Under

Cleveland @ Portland

Game 717-718
March 15, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
117.660
Portland
128.268
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 10 1/2
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 4
222
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-4); Over

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (50 - 17) at INDIANA (40 - 28) - 3/15/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 192-240 ATS (-72.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
INDIANA is 39-29 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
INDIANA is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 68-47 ATS (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 39-28 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 9-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-6 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (29 - 39) at ATLANTA (20 - 48) - 3/15/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
ATLANTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 8-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 7-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (36 - 30) at NEW YORK (24 - 44) - 3/15/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW YORK is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (37 - 29) at HOUSTON (53 - 14) - 3/15/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 216-270 ATS (-81.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
HOUSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 116-85 ATS (+22.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 51-70 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 107-140 ATS (-47.0 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
HOUSTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-5 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-5 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (23 - 44) at MEMPHIS (18 - 49) - 3/15/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (39 - 28) at SAN ANTONIO (38 - 30) - 3/15/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1037-910 ATS (+36.0 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 827-706 ATS (+50.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 528-443 ATS (+40.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 188-147 ATS (+26.3 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 211-163 ATS (+31.7 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 183-141 ATS (+27.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 7-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (19 - 50) at UTAH (38 - 30) - 3/15/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after allowing 85 points or less this season.
UTAH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
UTAH is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 171-124 ATS (+34.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
PHOENIX is 54-37 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 9-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (30 - 37) at DENVER (37 - 31) - 3/15/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 29-43 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (39 - 28) at PORTLAND (41 - 26) - 3/15/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 22-44 ATS (-26.4 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
PORTLAND is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in the second half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 3-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

Thursday, March 15

Home side won last nine Toronto-Indiana games; Raptors are 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits here, all of which stayed under. Toronto won its last nine games; they?re 6-1 vs spread in last seven games as road favorites. Six of their last eight games stayed under. Pacers won six of their last seven games; they?re 5-5 as home underdogs. Nine of their last ten games went under the total.

Hornets won six of last seven games with the Hawks; they?re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Atlanta. Eight of last ten series games stayed under. Charlotte lost six of its last seven games; they?re 4-2 as road favorites. Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Hawks lost eight of their last ten games; they?re 4-6 in last 10 games as home underdogs. Seven of their last ten games went under the total.

Knicks lost three of last four games with Philly; five of last six series games stayed under total. 76ers covered their last four visits to Manhattan. Philly split its last 10 games; they?re 2-6 in last eight games as road favorites. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. New York lost its last eight games (1-7 vs spread); they failed to cover last seven games as home underdogs. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Clippers won three of last four games with Houston; they?re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. Four of last five series games stayed under. Clippers won seven of their last nine games; they?re 11-3 vs spread in last 14 games as road underdogs. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Rockets won 19 of their last 20 games; they?re 5-9 in last 14 games as home favorites. Last four series games stayed under.

Road team won seven of last ten Chicago-Memphis games; Bulls covered three of last four trips to Memphis. Over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Chicago lost seven of its last ten games; they?re 1-8 in last nine games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games stayed under the total. Grizzlies lost their last 18 games (last win Jan 29); they?re 6-10 as home favorites. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Pelicans won three of last four games with the Spurs; they?re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the Alamo. Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. New Orleans won eight of its last 10 games; they?re 7-2 in last nine games as road underdogs. Eight of their last ten games went over total. San Antonio lost seven of its last ten games; they?re 1-5 in last six games as home favorites. Spurs? last five games all stayed under.

Jazz won nine of last ten games with Phoenix but Suns covered four of last five; Phoenix is 2-2-1 vs spread in last five visits to SLC. Six of last nine series games stayed under. Phoenix lost its last six games; they?re 4-6 in last ten games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total. Utah won its last seven games; they?re 3-6 in last nine games as home favorites. Eight of their last ten games stayed under.

Nuggets are 5-3 in last eight games with Detroit; last seven series games stayed under the total. Pistons are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Denver. Detroit lost eight of its last ten games; they are 1-10 in last 11 games as road underdogs. Four of their last five games went under the total. Denver split its last ten games; they?re 5-7 in last dozen games as home favorites. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Home side won last eight Cleveland-Portland games; Cavaliers are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Oregon. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Cleveland is 3-4 in its last seven games; they?re 7-4 vs spread as road underdogs. Under is 6-4 in their last ten games. Trailblazers won their last 10 games; they covered last five games as home favorites. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

 

[Cnotes53]

NBA

Thursday, March 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO @ INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games

CHARLOTTE @ ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Charlotte is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing Charlotte

PHILADELPHIA @ NEW YORK
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing New York
New York is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

CHICAGO @ MEMPHIS
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games

LA CLIPPERS @ HOUSTON
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games

NEW ORLEANS @ SAN ANTONIO
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games
San Antonio is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against New Orleans

PHOENIX @ UTAH
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Phoenix's last 22 games when playing Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

DETROIT @ DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit

CLEVELAND @ PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

 

[Cnotes53]

Hoop Trends - Thursday
March 15, 2018


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Raptors are 16-0 ATS (10.81 ppg) on the road off a win in which they scored a least 18 fast break points.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The 76ers are 10-0 OU (11.85 ppg) as a road favorite with rest after they had at least 15 fewer shots than their opponent

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pacers are 0-11-1 OU (-14.88 ppg) after Victor Oladipo had a plus/minus at least 5 more than the team?s margin.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Suns are 11-0 ATS (8.77 ppg) as a 8+point dog off a 10+ point loss in which they had more turnovers than assists.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Grizzlies are 0-13-2 ATS (-5.07 ppg) with more than one day of rest off a 10+ point loss as a home dog.

-- The Jazz are 12-0 ATS (14.12 ppg) off a game as a favorite in which Donovan Mitchell was not the high scorer.

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, MARCH 15
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TOR at IND 07:00 PM
IND +4.0
U 212.0

CHA at ATL 07:30 PM
CHA -5.5
U 219.0

PHI at NY 07:30 PM
PHI -9.5
U 217.0

LAC at HOU 08:00 PM
HOU -11.5
O 225.0

CHI at MEM 08:00 PM
MEM -1.0
U 211.5

NO at SA 08:30 PM
NO +4.5
U 219.5

PHO at UTA 09:00 PM
PHO +13.5
U 213.0

DET at DEN 09:00 PM
DEN -8.5
U 215.5

CLE at POR 10:00 PM
POR -6.0
O 220.5

 

[Cnotes53]

Rockets beat Clippers, clinch Southwest Division title
March 16, 2018

HOUSTON (AP) James Harden scored 24 points, Eric Gordon added 23 and the Houston Rockets outlasted the Los Angeles Clippers for a 101-96 victory on Thursday night.

The Clippers scored six straight points, with four from Austin Rivers, to cut the lead to a basket with less than a minute left. But on the next possession, Harden stepped back and knocked down a long 2-pointer with Rivers in his face to make it 100-96.

Rivers missed a 3-pointer after that before Harden made one of two free throws with 6.2 seconds left to secure the victory.

It's Houston's third straight win and snaps a three-game winning streak for the Clippers. The victory, coupled with a loss by the Pelicans to the Spurs, wrapped up the Southwest Division title for the Rockets.

Tobias Harris led the Clippers with 29 points and Rivers had 20.

TRAIL BLAZERS 113, CAVALIERS 105

PORTLAND, Ore. (AP) - CJ McCollum scored 29 points and Portland won its NBA-best 11th straight game with a victory over Cleveland.

Damian Lillard added 24 points for the Blazers, on their longest run since also winning 11 in a row in 2013. It was the Blazers' eighth straight win at home.

LeBron James had 35 points, including a highlight-reel dunk in the first quarter that had the fans at the Moda Center momentarily stunned. He also had 14 rebounds for his sixth straight double-double. Kyle Korver added 19 points.

RAPTORS 106, PACERS 99

INDIANAPOLIS (AP) - DeMar DeRozan scored 24 points, Jonas Valanciunas added 16 points and 17 rebounds, and Toronto rallied late to get past Indiana for its 10th straight victory.

The Raptors need one more win to tie the franchise's longest winning streak. They haven't lost since Feb. 23 and broke a tie with the 2016-17 squad for longest road winning streak, which is now at eight.

But it sure wasn't easy on a night Darren Collison scored 22 points and Al Jefferson had a season-high 20 for Indiana.

SPURS 98, PELICANS 93

SAN ANTONIO (AP) - LaMarcus Aldridge scored 25 points, Dejounte Murray had 18 points and 12 rebounds, and San Antonio overcame another late rally to beat New Orleans.

New Orleans was playing hours after learning Pelicans owner Tom Benson had died. Benson was hospitalized with the flu on Feb. 16 and never recovered. The 90-year-old native of San Antonio owned both the Pelicans and the Saints.

Anthony Davis finished with 21 points and 14 rebounds, but fouled out after playing 36 minutes. New Orleans fell to sixth in the West.

76ERS 118, KNICKS 110

NEW YORK (AP) - Joel Embiid had 29 points and 10 rebounds, Ben Simmons finished with a triple-double, and Philadelphia used a big final period to rally past New York.

The Sixers, who hold the sixth spot in the Eastern Conference playoff race, trailed by as many as 13 points in the third quarter before storming back in the final period, going on a 20-6 run during the last five minutes of regulation.

Simmons finished with 13 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds.

Michael Beasley had 24 points and 13 rebounds, and Courtney Lee and Trey Burke each contributed 16 points for the Knicks, who have lost a season-high nine straight games and 17 of 18. The Knicks' last win came on Feb. 22 at Orlando.

NUGGETS 120, PISTONS 113

DENVER (AP) - Nikola Jokic had 23 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists for his eighth triple-double of the season, Jamal Murray added 26 points and Denver's playoff hopes received a much-needed boost with a victory over Detroit.

Will Barton hit a big basket down the stretch and later knocked down two free throws to help the Nuggets hold off a Pistons team that trailed by as many as 26 points in the third quarter. The Nuggets now hit the road for a pivotal seven-game trip.

The fading Pistons dropped their 11th straight road game despite Andre Drummond scoring 21 points and grabbing 17 rebounds. Blake Griffin added 26 points and nine assists.

Jokic's eight triple-doubles are the most by a Nuggets player in a season since Fat Lever had nine in 1988-89.

JAZZ 116, SUNS 88

SALT LAKE CITY (AP) - Donovan Mitchell scored 23 points and Rudy Gobert had 21 points and 13 rebounds to lead Utah over Phoenix, its eighth consecutive victory.

Joe Ingles scored 17 points, including four 3-pointers, and Jae Crowder added 12 for the Jazz, who have won 20 of their last 22 games.

T.J. Warren paced Phoenix with 19 points while Josh Jackson had 17 and Devin Booker had 12. The Suns have lost seven in a row.

Ricky Rubio had 12 points and 11 assists, and Dante Exum made his first appearance of the season for the Jazz and finished with 10 points.

HORNETS 129, HAWKS 117

ATLANTA (AP) - Dwight Howard scored 20 of his season-high 33 points in the second half, Nicolas Batum had a triple-double and set a career high with 16 assists, and Charlotte beat Atlanta.

Kemba Walker added 24 points and Marvin Williams had 17 for Charlotte, which kept its slim playoff hopes alive. The Hornets began the night having lost six of seven and were in 10th place in the Eastern Conference, 6+ games behind No. 8 Miami with 13 games remaining.

Taurean Prince finished with 22 points and rookie John Collins tied a career high with 21 for Atlanta, the worst team in the East at 20-49.

BULLS 111, GRIZZLIES 110

MEMPHIS, Tenn. (AP) - Antonio Blakeney made two of three free throws with 1.8 seconds left as Chicago handed Memphis its 19th straight loss.

On the game's final play, Memphis got the ball to Marc Gasol for a baseline fadeaway that was long. JaMychal Green tipped it in but after the horn, although it appeared to be basket interference anyway.

Zach LaVine led the Bulls with 20 points while playing only three quarters, while Bobby Portis scored 17. Denzel Valentine had 15 points, going 5 of 7 from outside the arc.

Tyreke Evans had 25 points and nine assists for Memphis, while Gasol added 21 points and 10 rebounds. Jarell Martin scored 15 points and Green finished with 15 points and 10 rebounds.

 

[Cnotes53]

B]Friday?s 6-pack[/B]

Odds you can get on various World Series matchups:

14-1- Astros-Dodgers

18-1? Indians-Dodgers

18-1? Astros-Nationals

22-1? Indians-Nationals

30-1? Red Sox-Cubs

150-1? A?s-Dodgers? Hey, a guy can dream.

Quote of the Day
?I say that after a lot of reflection and mostly a lot of belief that, ultimately, what is the most important thing in life is to be happy. As much as it was a great honor to be the voice of ?Monday Night Football? ? and you guys know me well enough, and certainly a lot of my friends and family do ? it wasn?t a tremendous amount of fun the last two years??.?
ESPN?s Sean McDonough, who will no longer be on Monday Night Football

Friday?s quiz
What is the capital of Kentucky?

Thursday?s quiz
No #16-seed has ever beaten a #1-seed in the NCAA tournament.

Wednesday?s quiz
James Harden played his college basketball at Arizona State.


Friday?s Den: Wrapping up a basketball Thursday

Night Games
16) Buffalo 89, Arizona 68? Complete ass-kicking; Bulls outhustled Arizona, they made 15-30 on the arc and they looked like the better team. Arizona kids quit in the last 10:00.

This is first time since 2012 a MAC team won an NCAA tournament game; it is only the second time in last eight years Arizona didn?t make the Sweet 16. With all their legal issues, could be a long time before they get there again.

15) Houston 67, San Diego State 65? Rob Gray scored 39 of Houston?s 67 points, including the game-winner with 0:01 left; I don?t want to say he?s a ballhog, but he took 25 shots, 15 more foul shots and he had zero assists. It is amazing how he dominates the ball, but he made 12-25 from the floor and the Cougars advance.

14) Alabama 86, Virginia Tech 81? Pet Peeve of the Day; calling a flagrant foul when a defender intrudes the space of the guy with the ball, and the offensive player swings the ball to create space and plugs the defender in the face with the ball or his elbow. Whats he supposed to do?

20 years ago, we used to teach this about rebounding: ?Catch-Tuck-Swing? the ball, and if the guy on the other team didn?t want to get drilled in the face, he?d move his face. Now in our soft society, that would be a foul on the guy with the ball, maybe a flagrant foul. It shouldn?t be.

13) Kentucky 78, Davidson 73? Davidson hit a 3-ball with 0:00.6 to cover the spread, but now Kentucky plays Buffalo Saturday for a spot in the Sweet 16.

Kentucky went 0-for-6 outside the arc against Davidson, which ended a 1,047-game streak in which Kentucky made at least one 3-pointer. It was the longest active streak in the country, dating back to November 26, 1988.

12) Texas Tech 70, Stephen F Austin 60? Lumberjacks led by 3 at the half; but Keenan Evans scored 23 points for the Red Raiders and Tech gets their first NCAA tournament win since 2005.

11) Michigan 61, Montana 47? Griz led this game 10-0 early, but Big Sky teams haven?t won a tournament game since 2006- they?re just not good enough to beat a top 20 opponent.

10) Florida 77, St Bonaventure 62? Bonnies made tournament for first time since 2012, beat UCLA Tuesday, but ran out of gas here and got drilled by the Gators, who now play Texas Tech.

I?m still amazed one of the genius AD?s at the big money schools hasn?t scooped up Bonnies? coach Mark Schmidt? he is a very good coach. Ain?t easy to recruit players to Olean, NY.

9) Villanova 87, Radford 61? Worst game of the day, a total mismatch; now the Wildcats face their bugaboo, the second round of the tournament.

Since 2010, Villanova is 1-4 in the second round of the NCAA?s, losing two of last three years in 2nd round as a #1-seed; the one time they won was two years ago, when they went on to win the national title. Villanova plays Virginia Tech Saturday.

Day games
1) Rhode Island 83, Oklahoma 78 OT? First game of the tournament was terrific; Sooners led by 8 late in first half, then trailed by 6 with 4:10 left in regulation, before URI missed a point-blank putback at the buzzer to force OT, where the Rams prevailed.

Oklahoma winds up losing 12 of its last 16 games. URI moves on to play Duke.

2) Loyola Chi 64, Miami FL 62? Donte Ingram stuck a 3-ball with 0:00.3 left to send Ramblers on to the next round in their first NCAA appearance since 1985. Loyola outscored Miami 8-2 over the last 2:47; they were +6 in turnovers (16-10) for the game.

This is the 14th consecutive year that a #11 seed beat a #6 seed

3) Gonzaga 68, NC-Greensboro 64? Games like this are what make the NCAA tournament great. Condescending jerks like Jay Bilas think the NCAA?s should be the best 68 teams in country, rather than the champs from all 32 D-I leagues, but if that were the case, the Spartans wouldn?t have been invited? we?d get the 13th place team in the ACC.

Zags led by 12 with 16:00 left, but UNCG took a 64-62 lead with 1:46 to play- Gonzaga scored the last six points of the game. Exciting game, for sure.

4) Ohio State 81, South Dakota State 73? This game was 70-70 with 1:53 left, but then SD State fouled the 3-point shooter on the next two trips and that was that. Jackrabbits dared Ohio State to shoot 3-pointers; OSU was 12-40 outside the arc, 15-32 inside arc.

South Dakota State?s Mike Daum is an NBA player; he is a sturdy 6-8 guy with 3-point range; he had 27 in this game, and star freshman Jenkins had 16. If those two guys are back in school next year, the Jackrabbits should go dancing again.

5) Duke 89, Iona 67? Gaels shot 38.3% on arc for season; they were 5-24 in this game, as Duke ran out to a 53-39 halftime lead and coasted home from there.

6) Seton Hall 94, NC State 83? Pirates are #55 experience team in country, NC State is #179, which explains this result. Seton Hall led 51-41 at the half and held the Wolfpack off in a game with lot of fouls. Solid first season for Kevin Keatts with NC State, finishing at 21-12. ACC lost two teams already; Wolfpack and Miami.

7) Kansas 76, Penn 60? Quakers led 21-11 early, then reality set in. Penn had a senior named Caleb Wood, only senior in their rotation. He was 4-12 behind the arc in this game, only 12 shots he took all day. He shot 38% behind arc for the year; thats a good gig, just shooting 3?s.

Penn was first Ivy League team to be a 16-seed since Princeton in 1989.

8) Tennessee 73, Wright State 47? Total mismatch, other than first 2:00, when Raiders led 2-0. Vols are just so much more athletic than Wright State. Tennessee has all five of its starters back next year, so they should be even better. Wright State?s only senior starter was Grant Benzinger, son of former major leaguer Todd Benzinger? he was 2-16 from floor in this game.