COVID-19 confirmed cases/death

Old School

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Originally Posted by The Joker View Post
42,906 deaths as of 4/21/2020
58,964 deaths as of 4/29/2020

16,058
 
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MadJack

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Date of article April 8.

https://thehill.com/policy/healthca...-downward-predicts-60k-deaths-in-us-by-august


Key coronavirus model revised downward, predicts 60K deaths in US by August

Same article.

[FONT=&quot]Public health experts, including [/FONT][FONT=&quot]Anthony Fauci[/FONT][FONT=&quot], the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, have previously estimated that as many as 100,000 to 200,000 Americans could die from the novel coronavirus. [/FONT]
 

Old School

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It passed 60,000 on Wednesday, according to the Johns Hopkins University tracker,
 

Old School

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Less than 2% of all Americans have been tested for the coronavirus to date, according to White House figures ? nearly 5.5 million people. It's a figure that experts say is both higher than most nations and far lower per capita than where the U.S. should be at this point.
 

MadJack

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[h=1]Predicting Coronavirus Cases[/h]
http://systrom.com/blog/predicting-coronavirus-cases/

For instance, the model claims there is a 95% chance we will have more than 15.4 million infections in the United States. The best estimates of IFR (infection fatality ratio), are around 2%. Recent tallies imply a 4% IFR, though this is disputed because mild cases go undiagnosed.

Either way, a conservative 1% IFR implies a 95% chance of 154,000 deaths or greater in the US alone. The average scenario of the model implies 1.5 million dead in the US ? bested by the now widely cited Imperial College study at 2.2 million deaths. In a typical year, the flu kills just 40,000.
 

CryBoy

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Just watched an interview with Mark Cuban on Texas reopening tomorrow (Friday, May 1). Love him or hate him, he is honest about the reality of it all. I strongly encourage everyone to watch the full interview.

Here's a snippet...


"Everyone is busting their ass to get a vaccine out, and I think it happens sooner rather than later, but it's not here yet," Cuban said. "When it comes to health, would you let your kids out? I'm certainly not going to let mine.

"There's just so many things we don't understand about this virus."
 

UGA12

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Between The Hedges
[h=1]Predicting Coronavirus Cases[/h]
http://systrom.com/blog/predicting-coronavirus-cases/

For instance, the model claims there is a 95% chance we will have more than 15.4 million infections in the United States. The best estimates of IFR (infection fatality ratio), are around 2%. Recent tallies imply a 4% IFR, though this is disputed because mild cases go undiagnosed.

Either way, a conservative 1% IFR implies a 95% chance of 154,000 deaths or greater in the US alone. The average scenario of the model implies 1.5 million dead in the US ? bested by the now widely cited Imperial College study at 2.2 million deaths. In a typical year, the flu kills just 40,000.

Some of these articles you have posted this morning are over a month old, as are their models. Just a heads up in case you didn't realize. My apologies if you did:0008
 

MadJack

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Some of these articles you have posted this morning are over a month old, as are their models. Just a heads up in case you didn't realize. My apologies if you did:0008

Within some of those links are up to the the current day.

https://rt.live/

There's a bright side and a dark side. I don't discount any until they figure out what's going on. You can continue to look at the bright side and I hope you're right. :0008

I'm just throwing it out there, food for thought. I quit with the Fox News and CNN, both are FOS, IMO.
 

MadJack

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I just hope these states that are opening aren't doing it too quickly. Really, really rooting for them. If it backfires, it could set us back a lot. What happened to the plan of waiting 2 weeks of downward cases before going to stage one? Some states opening are still on the upswing? I don't get it.
 

MadJack

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Some of these articles you have posted this morning are over a month old, as are their models. Just a heads up in case you didn't realize. My apologies if you did:0008

I see what you mean now on that link. It was from March. I found that page from the link I just posted above. Makes me feel better about that outrageous prediction.
 

MadJack

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If you look at this page then click 'last week', 2 weeks, 3 weeks, 4 weeks, you can see we have made some serious progress.

https://rt.live/
 
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