First and Ten

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lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,226
126
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
2023 NFL Regular Season: 69-63 (-1.91*)
- - Fav: 47-38
- - Dog: 22-20
- - Totals: 0-3
- - 2nd H: 0-2
- - NFC North: 21-18
2023-2024 NFL Postseason: 9-4 (+4.45*)

2023 NCAA Regular Season: 119-114 (-5.70*)
- - Fav: 85-69
- - Dog: 29-39
- - Totals: 2-4
- - 2nd H: 3-2
- - Big10: 34-30
2023-2024 Bowl Season: 13-14 (-4.25*)

2023 Futures: 4-3 (+0.15*)

All Games 2023 Season: 214-198 (-7.26*)


2022 NFL Regular Season: 79-74 (-3.60*)
2022-2023 NFL Postseason: 6-10 (-4.90*)

2022 NCAA Regular Season: 89-102 (-20.25*)
2022-2023 NCAA Bowl Season: 15-14 (-0.90*)

All Games 2022 Season: 189-200 (-29.65*)


2021 NFL Regular Season: 81-76 (-5.25*)
2021-2022 NFL Postseason: 5-8 (-4.14*)

2021 NCAA Regular Season: 114-97 (+8.47*)
2021-2022 NCAA Bowl Season: 13-12 (-1.43*)

All Games 2021 Season: 213-193 (-2.35*)


GL
 
L

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,226
126
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
Chicago(-4) over Tennessee (1*)
- - No one is on Chicago. I mean no one is on Chicago. Maybe it is the 1 and gazillion ATS record in first starts by rookie QBs and #1 picks. I think it is really more of a case of cappers playing a number instead of playing on or against teams . . . Pulling the trigger in my capping is far more influenced by INFORMATION and ANGLES on teams and situations, matchups and coaches, than it is numbers (or trends). This No. 1 pick came from Carolina, and IMO that means something here. I love the spot, I've been tracking it all through the exhibition season, and in a slate of lid lifters that may prove I know nothing about nothing, Chicago carries my cash against Will Levis today.

Los Angeles Chargers(-3)(+100) over Las Vegas (1*)
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Carolina(+3') over New Orleans (1*)
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Houston/Indianapolis(Ov49) (1*)
- - When I play totals, it is usually when I get sold on the idea by analysis from cappers I respect laying out a case that is in line with my thinking.

Cincinnati(-7') over New England (1*)
- - I have done well betting against New England the last two years. This is not the spot to pull back.

Atlanta(-4) over Pittsburgh (1*)
- -

GL
 
L

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,226
126
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
New York Jets(-4) over Tennessee (1*)
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Houston(-6) over Chicago (1*)
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Denver(+3)(-130) over Pittsburgh (1*)
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Baltimore(-9) over Las Vegas (1*)
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Jacksonville(-3) over Cleveland (1*)
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Tampa Bay/Detroit(Ov51) (1*)
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Dallas(-6) over New Orleans (1*)
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Kansas City(-6') over Cincinnati (1*)
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Green Bay(+2) over Indianapolis (1*)
- -

GL
 
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lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,226
126
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
2024 NFL YTD: 7-10 (-4.20*)
- - Fav: 4-6
- - Dog: 2-3
- - Totals: 1-1
- - In-game: 0-0
- - NFC North: 2-1

2024 NCAA YTD: 35-30 (+1.80*)
- - Fav: 19-19
- - Dog: 14-11
- - Totals: 0-0
- - In-game: 2-0
- - Big10: 15-12


Arizona(+3)(-115) over Detroit (1*)
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Baltimore(-1') over Dallas (1*)
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Tennessee(-3)(+100) over Green Bay (1*)
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Minnesota(+1') over Houston (1*)
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Atlanta(+3)(-105) over Kansas City (1*)
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Pittsburgh(-2')(-115) over Los Angeles Cyhargers (1*)
- -


GL
 
L

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,226
126
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
Arizona(-3)(-130) over Washington (1*)
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Atlanta(-2')(-115) over New Orleans (1*)
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Philadelphia(-1) over Tampa Bay (1*)
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New York Jets(-8) over Denver (1*)
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Green Bay(-2') over Minnesota (1*)
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San Francisco(-10') over New England (1*)
- -

GL
 
L

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,226
126
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
I spent as much time tracking developments all week on the Jets/Vikings game as I have on any NFL game this season, and I was fully committed to the side I chose. On the other hand, I only gave a cursory look at the Washington game before deciding I had no reason whatsoever to let Cleveland carry my cash. And for every one of my 65 years I know substantially more tracking developments over the course of a 365 day year on the NFL North than any other division, so stepping out with a play on the Bears seemed to be my best avenue for hopefully turning a corner on my losing ways.

Denver(-3) over Las Vegas (1*)
- - Sean Peyton says his team is playing good football, and his rookie QB is taking on more with aplomb, while the short handed Raiders are not in a comparable spot. This home stand looks right for the new regime ending a streak of 8 straight losses to their consistently unexceptional divisional foe.

Green Bay(-3) over Los Angeles Rams (1 Biscuit)
- - I always post a play on the side of every Packers game and Hawkeye game. Only got the Packers right this year on the Indy game.

Pittsburgh(-2')(-115) over Dallas (1*)
- -

GL
 
L

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,226
126
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
New Orleans(+5') over Kansas City (1*)
- - IMO, Kansas City has dug deep for magic rather than great football to plot their way to 4-0, and I don’t see this as the spot in which they seem likely to flip the switch to great football . . . New Orleans is probably being undervalued after a tough loss at Atlanta because of a couple of improbable touchdowns and a 58 yard field goal with two seconds left. Saints QB Derek Carr can be all over the spectrum from good to bad, but in this game I like the fact he has vast experience against KC, if not success. And any team in the hyper competitive NFL relishes a chance to play the World Champions, maybe a little more so on the big Monday night stage for a team feeling slighted.

GL
 
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lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,226
126
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
I would have to say I liked the NCAA card this week. And yes, I was very sad I did not switch my play from Oklahoma to Texas. But I needed some helpful lines on Kansas State(-3)(-115), Penn State(-3)(-130), and UCLA(+4') to escape the week with a record of 8-9-2.

I can't say I like the NFL card much at all this week, and now I'm very sad I didn't take a shot with one play I was liking better than most on the feeling good and happy to play anywhere Bears against the hurricane distracted and overvalued Jags.

What I got:

Tennessee(-2')(-120) over Indianapolis (1*)
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Tampa Bay(-3)(-130) over New Orleans (1*)
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Philadelphia(-8') over Cleveland (1*)
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Detroit(-3)(-115) over Dallas (1*)
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Green Bay(-5') over Arizona (1 Biscuit)
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Pittsburgh(-3)(-120) over Las Vegas (1*)
- -

GL
 
Last edited:
Another Steve

Another Steve

Put Pete In
Forum Member
Jul 7, 2002
11,557
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Benbrook
Going with these two Props, any incite.

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY KHALIL SHAKIR (BUF) OVER o31½-126
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY TYLER CONKLIN (NYJ) OVER o26½-130
 
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