First and Ten

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lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,186
112
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
2023 NFL Regular Season: 69-63 (-1.91*)
- - Fav: 47-38
- - Dog: 22-20
- - Totals: 0-3
- - 2nd H: 0-2
- - NFC North: 21-18
2023-2024 NFL Postseason: 9-4 (+4.45*)

2023 NCAA Regular Season: 119-114 (-5.70*)
- - Fav: 85-69
- - Dog: 29-39
- - Totals: 2-4
- - 2nd H: 3-2
- - Big10: 34-30
2023-2024 Bowl Season: 13-14 (-4.25*)

2023 Futures: 4-3 (+0.15*)

All Games 2023 Season: 214-198 (-7.26*)


2022 NFL Regular Season: 79-74 (-3.60*)
2022-2023 NFL Postseason: 6-10 (-4.90*)

2022 NCAA Regular Season: 89-102 (-20.25*)
2022-2023 NCAA Bowl Season: 15-14 (-0.90*)

All Games 2022 Season: 189-200 (-29.65*)


2021 NFL Regular Season: 81-76 (-5.25*)
2021-2022 NFL Postseason: 5-8 (-4.14*)

2021 NCAA Regular Season: 114-97 (+8.47*)
2021-2022 NCAA Bowl Season: 13-12 (-1.43*)

All Games 2021 Season: 213-193 (-2.35*)


GL
 
L

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,186
112
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
Chicago(-4) over Tennessee (1*)
- - No one is on Chicago. I mean no one is on Chicago. Maybe it is the 1 and gazillion ATS record in first starts by rookie QBs and #1 picks. I think it is really more of a case of cappers playing a number instead of playing on or against teams . . . Pulling the trigger in my capping is far more influenced by INFORMATION and ANGLES on teams and situations, matchups and coaches, than it is numbers (or trends). This No. 1 pick came from Carolina, and IMO that means something here. I love the spot, I've been tracking it all through the exhibition season, and in a slate of lid lifters that may prove I know nothing about nothing, Chicago carries my cash against Will Levis today.

Los Angeles Chargers(-3)(+100) over Las Vegas (1*)
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Carolina(+3') over New Orleans (1*)
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Houston/Indianapolis(Ov49) (1*)
- - When I play totals, it is usually when I get sold on the idea by analysis from cappers I respect laying out a case that is in line with my thinking.

Cincinnati(-7') over New England (1*)
- - I have done well betting against New England the last two years. This is not the spot to pull back.

Atlanta(-4) over Pittsburgh (1*)
- -

GL
 
L

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,186
112
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
New York Jets(-4) over Tennessee (1*)
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Houston(-6) over Chicago (1*)
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Denver(+3)(-130) over Pittsburgh (1*)
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Baltimore(-9) over Las Vegas (1*)
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Jacksonville(-3) over Cleveland (1*)
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Tampa Bay/Detroit(Ov51) (1*)
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Dallas(-6) over New Orleans (1*)
- -

Kansas City(-6') over Cincinnati (1*)
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Green Bay(+2) over Indianapolis (1*)
- -

GL
 
L

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,186
112
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
2024 NFL YTD: 7-10 (-4.20*)
- - Fav: 4-6
- - Dog: 2-3
- - Totals: 1-1
- - In-game: 0-0
- - NFC North: 2-1

2024 NCAA YTD: 35-30 (+1.80*)
- - Fav: 19-19
- - Dog: 14-11
- - Totals: 0-0
- - In-game: 2-0
- - Big10: 15-12


Arizona(+3)(-115) over Detroit (1*)
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Baltimore(-1') over Dallas (1*)
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Tennessee(-3)(+100) over Green Bay (1*)
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Minnesota(+1') over Houston (1*)
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Atlanta(+3)(-105) over Kansas City (1*)
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Pittsburgh(-2')(-115) over Los Angeles Cyhargers (1*)
- -


GL
 
L

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,186
112
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
Arizona(-3)(-130) over Washington (1*)
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Atlanta(-2')(-115) over New Orleans (1*)
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Philadelphia(-1) over Tampa Bay (1*)
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New York Jets(-8) over Denver (1*)
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Green Bay(-2') over Minnesota (1*)
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San Francisco(-10') over New England (1*)
- -

GL
 
L

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,186
112
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
I spent as much time tracking developments all week on the Jets/Vikings game as I have on any NFL game this season, and I was fully committed to the side I chose. On the other hand, I only gave a cursory look at the Washington game before deciding I had no reason whatsoever to let Cleveland carry my cash. And for every one of my 65 years I know substantially more tracking developments over the course of a 365 day year on the NFL North than any other division, so stepping out with a play on the Bears seemed to be my best avenue for hopefully turning a corner on my losing ways.

Denver(-3) over Las Vegas (1*)
- - Sean Peyton says his team is playing good football, and his rookie QB is taking on more with aplomb, while the short handed Raiders are not in a comparable spot. This home stand looks right for the new regime ending a streak of 8 straight losses to their consistently unexceptional divisional foe.

Green Bay(-3) over Los Angeles Rams (1 Biscuit)
- - I always post a play on the side of every Packers game and Hawkeye game. Only got the Packers right this year on the Indy game.

Pittsburgh(-2')(-115) over Dallas (1*)
- -

GL
 
L

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,186
112
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
New Orleans(+5') over Kansas City (1*)
- - IMO, Kansas City has dug deep for magic rather than great football to plot their way to 4-0, and I don’t see this as the spot in which they seem likely to flip the switch to great football . . . New Orleans is probably being undervalued after a tough loss at Atlanta because of a couple of improbable touchdowns and a 58 yard field goal with two seconds left. Saints QB Derek Carr can be all over the spectrum from good to bad, but in this game I like the fact he has vast experience against KC, if not success. And any team in the hyper competitive NFL relishes a chance to play the World Champions, maybe a little more so on the big Monday night stage for a team feeling slighted.

GL
 
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L

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,186
112
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
I would have to say I liked the NCAA card this week. And yes, I was very sad I did not switch my play from Oklahoma to Texas. But I needed some helpful lines on Kansas State(-3)(-115), Penn State(-3)(-130), and UCLA(+4') to escape the week with a record of 8-9-2.

I can't say I like the NFL card much at all this week, and now I'm very sad I didn't take a shot with one play I was liking better than most on the feeling good and happy to play anywhere Bears against the hurricane distracted and overvalued Jags.

What I got:

Tennessee(-2')(-120) over Indianapolis (1*)
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Tampa Bay(-3)(-130) over New Orleans (1*)
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Philadelphia(-8') over Cleveland (1*)
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Detroit(-3)(-115) over Dallas (1*)
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Green Bay(-5') over Arizona (1 Biscuit)
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Pittsburgh(-3)(-120) over Las Vegas (1*)
- -

GL
 
Last edited:
Another Steve

Another Steve

Put Pete In
Forum Member
Jul 7, 2002
11,510
235
63
67
Benbrook
Going with these two Props, any incite.

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY KHALIL SHAKIR (BUF) OVER o31½-126
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY TYLER CONKLIN (NYJ) OVER o26½-130
 
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