Football Service Thread 2015-16

[WildBillPicks7]

Alleghenies Analysis The Swami Donn Wagner (10-15-1 -43.40) They were great last year??? LOL

BC/Clemson UNDER

Texas Tech/Kansas UNDER

Vandy/So Carolina UNDER

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Cajun Sports Wire

5.5* Michigan St +7
5.5* Over 53 Okla/K St
5* South Carolina -1

Consensus plays:


Asa (5,4,3) 5- nw 4-ole miss, ariz st 3- pur, louis, usc

dr. Bob (3,2,1) 4-mich, 3-af, 2-e car, va tech, marsh under, bc under, mn under
1- pitt, char under

gameday (4,3,2) 4-bay, 3-ga, 2-nw , fl st, memph

harry bondi (5,4,3) 5-oreg, 4-mich, 3-nw, t a&m

jack jones (25,20,15) 25-ariz st 20-mich st, ole miss, 15-usc, tcu, okla, s jose

joe d (25,20,15) 25-uconn, 20-lsu, nm, 15-louis, unc, app st

lenny stevens (20,10) 20-usc, nev, 10-col, az st, neb

neri (5-4-3) 4-oh st, 3-mizz, bay

northcoast (5,4,3) 4-bay, ala, sd st, 3-nw, mia fl

pick city (5,4,3,2) 5-ga tech, 3-bay, mich, 2-fl under, ala

pointwise (4,3,2) 4-bay, nd, 3-la tech, mich, vandy, 2-nw, wash st, bc, louis

preferred picks (5,4,3) 4-mich st, 3- fl, louis, memph

pure lock (top) n mex

wildcat (10,7,5) 10-clem

ats (10-3) 20-s fl, 7-wash st, nm, 6-bay, oh u

maddux (20,10) 20-ore, 10-unc, af, mich, vandy, va tech, unc over, e car over
10-tol over, az st under

jason sharpe 5-char, vandy, nw, 3-fl atl, mid tn, pitt, neb, mich

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Kelso

100 Texas Tech
100 Michigan

 

[WildBillPicks7]

NFL Sunday Info

NFL Sunday Info

HOW SHARPS ARE BETTING NFL WEEK 6



SUNDAY
DENVER AT CLEVELAND: The Broncos opened at -6. That?s been bet down by sharps to only Denver -4. Cleveland is getting respect after good road performances at San Diego and Baltimore. Denver is in a potential letdown spot after a road divisional game, and will be dealing with a bad body clock. Worth remember that sharps are liking what they?re seeing from quarterback McCown. Nobody?s talking about Manziel any more. Not much happening yet on the opening Over/Under of 42.5. I?ll only mention totals today when they?ve moved at least one point off the opener.
CINCINNATI AT BUFFALO: Cincinnati has been bet very aggressively this week because of the injury situation in Buffalo. An opener of pick-em is up to Bengals -3, and some stores are testing -3.5. The fact that some stores are even thinking about moving off the key number of three tells you that things may be pretty bad healthwise for the Bills. The Over/Under is down from 45.5 to 42.5 because sharps are pessimistic about E.J. Manuel at backup QB for the Bills?or about Tyrod Taylor if he has to play injured (among other offensive injuries).
KANSAS CITY AT MINNESOTA: Minnesota has moved off the opener of -3 up to a widely available -3.5. You regulars know that?s actually a huge move even though it?s half a point. It takes a lot of money to move a game off the three and then keep it higher. Some stores are even testing Vikings -4 because there?s so little interest in the stumbling and now shorthanded Chiefs. The Over/Under has been bet down from 44.5 to 43 because the Vikings tend to run clock and play strong defense in their victories.
HOUSTON AT JACKSONVILLE: We?ve flipped favorites here, as an opener of Houston -1.5 is now Jacksonville -1 or -1.5. Sharps were surprised to see the Texans as a road favorite given how poorly the team has been playing recently. Looks like oddsmakers were giving a boost for extra rest off a Thursday game that wasn?t justified. I?m hearing this is very much an anti-Houston move rather than a pro-Jacksonville one. If the line firms up at Jaguars by 1.5?then Houston is going to be a popular underdog choice in two-team teasers that move the line six points. That would cross both the 3 and the 7 to put Houston at +7.5 in two-teamers.
CHICAGO AT DETROIT: Detroit has come down from an opener of -3.5 to a very solid -3. It?s telling that Lions money didn?t come in with any passion on the key number. Sharps have soured on Detroit in recent weeks because the defense has been inconsistent and the offense too mistake-prone. It?s not like they suddenly love Jay Cutler! But, they don?t mind taking points with him above the field goal against a slumping opponent.
WASHINGTON AT NY JETS: Support for the Jets continues to show. The opener of NYJ -5.5 was bet up fairly early to six and beyond. As I write this, some stores are testing Jets -7. We?ll have to see if that?s enough to bring in dog money. I wouldn?t be surprised if it is?which would set up a tug-of-war between Jets -6.5 and Washington +7. The Redskins are playing a second road game off an overtime loss?which can be tough for losing teams to overcome. Monitor this one between now and kickoff to see if that tug-of-war develops or not. The opening total of 41.5 was bet down for value by quants to 40.5.
ARIZONA AT PITTSBURGH: A lot of money hitting Arizona?as big winners from last week in Detroit are re-investing on the Cardinals. An opener of Arizona -3 flew off the three past Arizona -3.5 to what?s becoming a common Arizona -4. Pittsburgh is in a short week off that dramatic Monday Night win?which is why there isn?t much resistance to the Arizona money. Also, Michael Vick isn?t seen as a great come-from-behind quarterback even though he managed to pull that off against the Chargers.
MIAMI AT TENNESSEE: Not much happening on the team side, where Tennessee is still on the opener of -1 at most places. The Over/Under jumped from 43.5 to 45.5 because it?s assumed Miami will play a more wide-open style under a new coaching regime. Teams often change their stripes after a coaching change and more than a few sharps are trying to beat the market to that punch. Be on the lookout for some creative betting on game day. Some pro bettors may try to bet Tennessee up to -1.5 just so they can come in strong on Miami +7.5 in two-team teasers. Crossing the 3 and 7 is always on the teaser radar for aggressive sharps.
CAROLINA AT SEATTLE: Seattle opened at -6.5 and was bet up to the key number of -7. It?s been sitting there since. I would be surprised if it drifted higher because Carolina plays defense, as well as a style that makes points more scarce. If the public bets the home favorite, the Wise Guys would definitely fade any move off the seven. The Over/Under has fallen from 41.5 to 40.5 because of the chances for a defensive struggle.
SAN DIEGO AT GREEN BAY: Sharps also bet a favorite just below a key number early here?in anticipation of public support for the Packers. Green Bay opened at -9.5?and has blown through the 10 all the way to -10.5. Some support for the Chargers does come in above the key number. But, there are Wise Guy concerns about how this struggling San Diego defense matches up against Aaron Rodgers. I?ll say it this way?the math guys think Green Bay is going to have a big day?while the ?old school? guys who will take any double digit underdog don?t mind rooting for Philip Rivers to either cover normally or rally the team back for a backdoor cover in garbage time. There aren?t enough old school guys betting (yet) to bring the line back to 10.
BALTIMORE AT SAN FRANCISCO: I?ve talked to a few sharps who were impressed with San Francisco?s effort last Sunday Night in New York. They didn?t look like a team who had thrown in the towel yet. So, an opener of Baltimore -3 was bet strongly in the direction of the home underdog. Stores are either showing San Francisco +2.5 or +2 right now. You already know that?s a fairly dramatic development below a key number like three. As of now, it looks like San Francisco +8 or +8.5 will be a popular play in basic strategy teasers. (Some Super Bowl rematch! The teams are a combined 2-8.)
NEW ENGLAND AT INDIANAPOLIS: New England has been very heavily bet all week. An opener of Patriots -7 is all the way up to -9 with little headwind. The math guys are getting a projected blowout, as they did last week with Patriots/Cowboys. Early public bettors are going to keep investing in Brady too. We can assume that the ?information? guys aren?t getting any scoops about Andrew Luck returning in great health. The Pats couldn?t possibly be -9 if Luck was healthy! Also worth remembering here that sportsbooks wouldn?t want to fall back to 8.5 even if there was Colts money because that would invite basic strategy teasers featuring New England at -2.5. Sportsbooks learned a few years ago that they need to ?play defense? against potential teaser overloads.

MONDAY NIGHT
NY GIANTS AT PHILADELPHIA: Some support for the Eagles at the opener of -4.5. Some stores are showing -5 now. We?re not near any key numbers?and there isn?t any reason to jump in early here. Wouldn?t be shocked if action ultimately splits out. Philly?s big win over New Orleans last week will invite some favorite money to come in. But, Eli Manning gets respect as a dog. And, there are still lingering doubts about whether Sam Bradford?s offense can pull away from good teams if they?re not getting turnover breaks. The early total of 49 may be influenced by game day weather. So, pay attention to the forecast.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Billy Walters plays:

Florida Int'l +12 1/2 last night, now +12
Baylor -18, now -21 1/2, played Monday
Michigan St +8 1/2, now +7 1/2
Texas A&M +4, now +3 1/2
Colorado ST +4, now +3
Tulsa +14, now +13 1/2
Iowa ST +22, now +20 1/2

NFL

Jacksonville +1 1/2, now -1
New England -7, now -10
Over 43 1/2 Chi/Det, now 44 and climbing

GLE!

Nebraska +3, now pk!!

Looks like Baylor will cover, FIU already covered, lost by 8!!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Nebraska +3, now pk!!

Looks like Baylor will cover, FIU already covered, lost by 8!!

South Carolina -1 1/2 is his latest play...action should start moving this line now.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Nebraska +3, now pk!!

Looks like Baylor will cover, FIU already covered, lost by 8!!

South Carolina -1 1/2 is his latest play...action should start moving this line now. (Sorry already kicked off)

He has a late play and total and I'm still trying to confirm it.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

South Carolina -1 1/2 is his latest play...action should start moving this line now. (Sorry already kicked off)

He has a late play and total and I'm still trying to confirm it.

BW is 3-0 on his early plays thus far, FIU, Tulsa, Baylor... Pending plays on A&M, S Car, Michigan St, Iowa St and Colorado St.

Late plays: New Mex St +30 1/2 & Over 62.

Watch the lines!!

:0003

I'm done for the day!!

GLE!!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Scott Van Pelt ESPN - 3-2 LW, 15-10-1 on the season

Memphis +10 (WON)
USC +5
Arizona St +5 1/2
Colorado +7 1/2
Iowa St +20 1/2

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Billy Walters:

Florida Int'l +12 1/2 last night, now +12 W
Baylor -18, now -21 1/2, played Monday W
Michigan St +8 1/2, now +7 1/2 W
Texas A&M +4, now +3 1/2 L
Colorado ST +4, now +3 W
Tulsa +14, now +13 1/2 W
Iowa ST +22, now +20 1/2 PENDING
Nebraska +3, now pick W
S Carolina -1 1/2 W
New Mex St +30 1/2 W
NM ST/G So Over 62. W

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Billy Walters:

Florida Int'l +12 1/2 last night, now +12 W
Baylor -18, now -21 1/2, played Monday W
Michigan St +8 1/2, now +7 1/2 W
Texas A&M +4, now +3 1/2 L
Colorado ST +4, now +3 W
Tulsa +14, now +13 1/2 W
Iowa ST +22, now +20 1/2 PENDING
Nebraska +3, now pick W
S Carolina -1 1/2 W
New Mex St +30 1/2 W
NM ST/G So Over 62. W

9-2 in CFB was BW!! WOW!!

Only 3 plays in the NFL that I know of and he hasn't done well in NFL this year.

GLE!!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Sunday's 6-pack

Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)
six most popular picks in Week 1 season record: 15-10

6) Giants +4.5 (384)-- Lost 11 of last 14 games against the Eagles.

5) Lions -3 (417)-- Lot of people have faith in this winless favorite.

4) Bills +3.5 (470)-- Only QBs to beat Buffalo both won multiple Super Bowls.

3) Vikings -4 (547)-- Minnesota lost its last five post-bye games.

2) Cardinals -3 (768)-- Bruce Arians against his former employer.

1) Patriots -7.5 (849)-- NE scored 47 ppg in last four games vs Colts.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Maddux

10* Miami +3

COLIN COWHERD Blazing 5 15-10 on the season

Denver -4
Tennessee -2.5
Indy +10
NY Giants +5
NY Jets -6

Week 6 SuperContest NFL Picks By Most Contestants
(2-2-1 Last Week, 17-7-1 ATS YTD)

1 New England -7.5 By 849*
2 Arizona -3 By 768
3 Minnesota -4 By 547
4 Buffalo +3.5 By 470
5 Detroit -3 By 412

2015 PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB
NFL ? 10/18/15

PLAY ON any NFL team off a SU loss on Monday night if the were favored by 3 or more points and are facing an opponent off a win.
ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 18-5

Play On: San Diego Chargers

Top NFL Public Bets

#1 273 New England Patriots 87%
#2 263 Arizona Cardinals 82%
#3 253 Cincinnati Bengals 78%
#4 251 Denver Broncos 78%
#5 275 New York Giants 74%
#6 256 Minnesota Vikings 72%
#7 270 Green Bay Packers 68%
#8 257 Houston Texans 62%
#9 260 Detroit Lions 60%
#10 265 Miami Dolphins 58%

Football Jesus Podcast

Seahawks

Maddux
Adding:


10* teaser Houston +8/Miami +8
10* Arizona/Pittsburgh over 44.5
10* San Diego +10.5
10* Indianapolis +10

Jeff MA

Pitt
Indy

Frank Patron

20,000 Unit NFL Lock


Houston Texans +2.5 over Jacksonville

 

[WildBillPicks7]

CONSENSUS PICKS:

ASA (5,4,3) 5- SEA, 4- MIA, 3- GB, JVILLE OVER

DR. BOB (3,2,1) 3- kc, 2-BALT

GAMEDAY (4,3,2) 2- JETS

HARRY BONDI (5,4,3) 7- BALT, 3- MIA, SD

JACK JONES (25,20,15) 25- SD, 20- SEA, 15- NE

JOE D (25,20,15) 25- JETS, 20- CINN, MN, 15- MIA, DET

LENNY STEVENS (20,10) 20- MIA, KC, 10- SD, HOU, CAR

NERI (5-4-3) 3- KC, DET, BALT, NE

NORTHCOAST (5,4,3) 4- MINN, 3- NE, DEN

PICK CITY (5,4,3,2) 5- NE, 3- NE OVER, MINN, SEA, 2- ARIZ

POINTWISE (4,3,2) 4- NE, 3- BALT, ARIZ, DET, HOU

PREFERRED PICKS (5,4,3) 3- HOU

PURE LOCK (TOP) DEN

WILDCAT (10,7,5) 10- ARIZ, 7- BALT OVER, 5- HOU


ATS (10-3) 7- CINN, CAR, SF OVER

MADDUX (20,10) 20- MIA, 10- KC, SD, INDY, ARIZ OVER

 

[WildBillPicks7]

BW's SNF play:

New England -7, moved the line to -10, it's dropped several times and rose several times.

My number has his one at 13 pts or more for what it's worth. NE 37 Indy 24!

GLE!!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

About 80% of the services are on the Giants +3 1/2 to +5 and OVER 50

Mark Lawrence perfect system, NY Giants +4 1/2

King Creole 2* NY Giants & 3* Over

Wayne Root Eagles -3 1/2

North Coast 2* NY Giants +4

Wiseguy Insider NY Giants +4 1/2

GLE!!

 

[ROBB MACK]

Wild Bill,

Northcoast 5* October game of the month goes Saturday in college football. I hope u can get it with the rest of their card. They are doing great on these big plays. Thanks buddy!

 

[JTB]

Nelly CFB

COLLEGE KEY SELECTIONS
**********************************************************************
RATING 5 CINCINNATI (-12?) over Connecticut
RATING 4 INDIANA (+16?) over Michigan State
RATING 3 LOUISVILLE (-7?) over Boston College
RATING 2 CHARLOTTE (+16) over Southern Miss
RATING 2 BOWLING GREEN (-14?) over Kent State
RATING 1 AIR FORCE (-17?) over Fresno State
RATING 1 KANSAS STATE (+4

 

[JTB]

Scott Van Pelt "Winners":

Vandy +3
UMass +14.5
GT +6.5
Mia +7.5
Maryland +6.5

 

[JTB]

Marc lawrence playbook dataplay= ole miss rebels

Marc Lawrence

5* GOM Kansas St.